The Tucker Carlson Show - January 16, 2024


The Iowa Results


Episode Stats


Length

17 minutes

Words per minute

180.41008

Word count

3,106

Sentence count

248

Harmful content

Misogyny

19

sentences flagged

Toxicity

5

sentences flagged

Hate speech

15

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Donald Trump won the Iowa caucuses by about 30 points, more than double the previous record set in 1988 by Bob Dole . Donald Trump did to Iowa what the Vikings once did to the Irish coast, only smoldering huts remain .

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 What would happen if we held an election the way that Americans used to do it just a few
00:00:14.880 years ago? We should try that sometime. Here's how it would work. Everyone would vote on the
00:00:19.680 same day in person. You would show up and present an ID just like you do at the airport or the
00:00:24.360 liquor store. Then you'd mark your preferences on a piece of paper. You do it manually. There
00:00:28.960 would be no electronic voting machines. There would be no drop boxes or absentee ballots.
00:00:33.940 The poll workers would probably be people that you recognize from your own zip code. They'd be
00:00:37.360 your neighbors. They would not be employees of Mark Zuckerberg from California. As for the names
00:00:42.780 on the ballot, you would get to choose those yourself as citizens do in a democracy. Judges
00:00:48.080 wouldn't be allowed to tell you who you can vote for and who you can't vote for. You'd get to decide.
00:00:53.860 And then once you voted, nobody could order a stop to the vote counting. That would be illegal.
00:00:58.960 So you would know the results of the election in just a few hours, and you would feel pretty
00:01:02.360 confident that they were pretty real. That's how we used to do it in this country. What would happen
00:01:08.320 if we tried it again? Well, as it happens, the state of Iowa did that very thing last night. They had
00:01:14.480 their caucuses. That's the first contest in the 2024 presidential cycle. It all felt very retro,
00:01:20.600 very non-third world. But the results were interesting. Here they are. Donald Trump won 51%
00:01:27.600 of the vote. Governor Ron DeSantis of Florida got 21%. Nikki Haley got 19%. In other words, Donald
00:01:34.900 Trump won decisively. At this point, it's hard to see how he's not the Republican nominee because he
00:01:41.060 didn't just win last night. He triumphed overwhelmingly by a historic margin. Trump won the Iowa caucuses by
00:01:48.120 about 30 points. That's more than double the previous record. That was set in 1988 by Bob Dole.
00:01:53.960 So last night was not close. It was a shocking blowout. Trump did to Iowa what the Vikings once
00:02:00.440 did to the Irish coast. Only smoldering huts remain. Chris Wallace looked like he was going
00:02:05.380 to be sick. On the other channels, they cast about looking for an explanation for this unexpected
00:02:10.580 calamity. Here was NBC News's quote explanation. This is a state that is overrepresented by white
00:02:18.940 Christians that are going to participate in these caucuses, especially tonight. I, today, earlier
00:02:23.940 today, reached out to Robert Jones, Robbie Jones, from the Public Religion Research Institute,
00:02:28.580 knowing that we were going to talk about Iowa. And this is a hyper-evangelical white state. 0.83
00:02:33.140 I asked him, what do they get out of supporting Donald Trump? Because he keeps losing, he keeps
00:02:37.920 delivering losses and losses and losses. And he said the following. They see themselves as the
00:02:43.180 rightful inheritors of this country. And Trump has promised to give it back to them. All the things
00:02:50.460 that we think about, about electability, about, you know, what are people gaming out or none of that
00:02:55.440 matters when you believe that God has given you this country, that it is yours, and that everyone who
00:03:02.200 is not a white conservative Christian is a, is a fraudulent American. Oh, the whites. You can see 0.98
00:03:10.080 Chris Hayes just repeating himself. I just want to keep my job. I just want to keep my job.
00:03:14.820 But they're very upset. And at some point, it'll be interesting after all these many years to
00:03:19.140 discover why a certain sort of person fears Donald Trump to the point of hysteria. There's an awful lot
00:03:25.560 going on there, much more than we publicly acknowledge. But in the meantime, it is enough to know
00:03:30.360 who NBC News believes is at fault for yesterday's history-altering calamity in Iowa. It was the
00:03:36.300 whites, the Christian whites. You knew that. And if you're being honest, you can see why NBC is so 0.97
00:03:42.200 upset. At this hour, millions of devout Christian whites are streaming illegally over our borders, 1.00
00:03:47.840 toting their blonde children and their prayer books. And in the process, they're wrecking our 1.00
00:03:52.120 schools and hospitals and cities and raising the cost of living and hiking the crime rate. 0.90
00:03:56.300 We're watching an invasion by the Christian whites. It's scary. 1.00
00:04:01.080 But it's not just NBC that feels this way. Joe Biden's entire re-election message is based on
00:04:06.760 hating these dangerous Christian whites. You heard it unmistakably in his speech last week to a black 1.00
00:04:11.980 church in Charleston. You should watch the whole thing online if you'd like a preview of every
00:04:16.800 Democratic presidential campaign to come for the next generation. It's the Robert Mugabe strategy.
00:04:22.700 The real problem, Joe Biden explained, is the whites. They did it. 1.00
00:04:28.060 Never mind that white people's life expectancy is dropping faster than any other group in America,
00:04:32.100 thanks in large part to suicide, and that they will soon be a minority in the country their 1.00
00:04:36.740 ancestors founded. If anything, these trends aren't accelerating fast enough, says Mugabe Biden.
00:04:43.180 There are too many white people. It's their fault. So Democrats in the media have been saying 0.96
00:04:47.780 species of this for years, as you know, and they say it both because apparently it works politically
00:04:51.940 and because they sincerely believe it. And there's no sign they plan to stop any time
00:04:56.060 in our lifetimes. But for now, they have a more pressing problem on their hands. That's how to
00:05:01.460 stop Donald Trump and his white Christian campaign. And that's a tough one, and it's made tougher by 0.91
00:05:06.860 last night's results. Thankfully, they have a plan, and the plan is Nikki Haley. Now, Haley frankly
00:05:12.920 underperformed last night. They told us she was surging in Iowa. She was not surging. Nobody really likes
00:05:17.480 her. She came in third by a thin margin, and that denies the media the chance to declare her the one 0.99
00:05:22.780 true alternative to Donald Trump. But don't expect them to give up on Nikki Haley. A Nikki Haley
00:05:28.600 presidency is a lot like a war with Iran. It's a terrible idea. No normal person wants it. But
00:05:34.400 because a small, well-funded group of extremely enthusiastic activists are determined to have it
00:05:39.980 anyway, we are perpetually on the verge of getting it. The next skirmish in this ongoing battle is going to
00:05:46.340 take place a week from today in New Hampshire. And hard as it is to believe, Nikki Haley could do
00:05:50.960 pretty well there. She could even win the New Hampshire primary. Potentially. How's that
00:05:56.240 possible, you ask? Well, it's taken a lot of coordinated effort, and above all, an awful lot
00:06:01.260 of money. Judging from available disclosures, Nikki Haley's team is burning through about $3 million a
00:06:06.840 week in New Hampshire. By contrast, Ron DeSantis seems to be spending zero there. Now, much of Haley's
00:06:13.240 money comes not from Republicans or conservatives, but from committed Democratic partisans.
00:06:18.000 Anti-civilization activist Reid Hoffman, for example, is a major Haley supporter.
00:06:23.240 Reid Hoffman is the founder of LinkedIn. He's a friend of Jeffrey Epstein's. He was a visitor to Peto
00:06:27.780 Island, in fact. He's also the guy who funded E. Gene Carroll's sexual assault case against Donald Trump.
00:06:34.160 Reid Hoffman is a Democratic mega-donor. In 2020, he gave a million dollars to David Brock's
00:06:39.580 American Bridge PAC. That's a group designed to physically harass Republican candidates. 0.61
00:06:45.140 Hoffman's money has also helped to prop up the authoritarian governor of California,
00:06:48.900 Gavin Newsom, as well as many others on approximately the same team.
00:06:52.400 So you know exactly who he is. What's interesting is, this cycle, Reid Hoffman
00:06:56.800 is all in on Nikki Haley. His cash is paid for one of the most shameless propaganda operations in memory.
00:07:04.780 So the very same people who told you four years ago that Joe Biden was a jovial,
00:07:09.460 moderate grandfather is trying to return America to normal.
00:07:12.560 Those same people are now trying to sell Nikki Haley as a conservative woman of principle. 1.00
00:07:18.660 And one of the most enthusiastic peddlers of this absurdity
00:07:22.040 is the neoliberal governor of New Hampshire, Chris Sununu.
00:07:25.420 He's been stumping for Nikki Haley in multiple states.
00:07:28.480 Now, you may not know much about Chris Sununu. He gets relatively little attention outside of New England.
00:07:33.220 But his charmlessness makes him a terrible TV guest, so they don't put him on very often.
00:07:37.960 But there's probably no Republican officeholder in the country who hates Republicans more than Chris Sununu does.
00:07:45.680 At one point a few years ago, he complained that there were just too many whites in New Hampshire.
00:07:50.580 Sununu has far more in common with Joe Biden than he does with the residents of, say, Coas County.
00:07:56.200 Listen to Chris Sununu explain how Nikki Haley is the natural leader of conservative Republicans
00:08:01.620 because she's got her bony finger directly on their pulse. 1.00
00:08:05.360 When you put all that package together of experience, the fact that she is the wife of a combat veteran,
00:08:11.920 the fact that she's a mom, the fact that she brings some humanity to a lot of these very tough issues,
00:08:16.260 and most importantly, again, it's not a big government solution out of Washington that were promised.
00:08:20.580 She looks at every issue through the eyes of the voters, through the electorate.
00:08:25.480 She looks at the issues through the eyes.
00:08:27.840 She's channeling you.
00:08:29.520 Because the thing about Nikki Haley is she's just totally real.
00:08:33.600 She's America's most authentic person who somehow wound up in this phony business of politics,
00:08:39.120 probably against her will.
00:08:40.940 She's doing it for your sake. 0.80
00:08:42.540 But Nikki Haley knows what Republican voters care about because she feels it deeply in her soul.
00:08:47.040 It's reflexive.
00:08:47.960 She leads from her gut. 0.98
00:08:49.580 She sees the world through your eyes. 0.87
00:08:52.860 Nikki Haley is not a bloodthirsty, power-mad feminist robot 1.00
00:08:56.340 who takes millions in cash payoffs from the people who make weapons of mass destruction
00:09:00.540 in exchange for promoting their wars.
00:09:02.680 Oh, no, not at all.
00:09:04.480 Nikki Haley is one of us.
00:09:06.740 We can trust her.
00:09:09.120 Okay, Chris Sununu, you seem like an honest guy.
00:09:11.440 We believe you.
00:09:12.340 But will voters in New Hampshire, Republican voters, believe Chris Sununu?
00:09:18.400 Some of them probably will.
00:09:20.420 Haley's approval numbers among self-described conservatives remain remarkably high.
00:09:25.400 Why?
00:09:26.360 Well, because she's been endlessly promoted on the news outlets they watch and read. 1.00
00:09:32.620 Thank you, Wall Street Journal.
00:09:34.360 But those outlets are not telling them the truth.
00:09:37.380 Nikki Haley is not a conservative.
00:09:39.380 That's not a slam on her.
00:09:41.740 It's just a fact.
00:09:42.540 Nikki Haley is a committed neoliberal, just like her creepy little friend, Chris Sununu.
00:09:46.500 And it's measurable.
00:09:48.420 For example, how many Republican primary voters support the wave of illegal immigration
00:09:53.500 that is currently destroying our country?
00:09:55.560 Not many do, but Nikki Haley does.
00:09:58.720 Illegal aliens are not criminals, she once explained to her friends at the Aspen Institute.
00:10:03.220 We can't disrespect them.
00:10:04.680 How dare you disrespect them?
00:10:06.320 We should give them amnesty.
00:10:07.440 Reid Hoffman agrees with that, and that may explain why he sent her so much money.
00:10:13.340 Then there's the issue of BLM.
00:10:14.540 Consider that.
00:10:15.720 Did Republican primary voters support the rioting and looting and killing that enveloped
00:10:20.400 this country after George Floyd died three and a half years ago?
00:10:23.800 They didn't seem to support it, but Nikki Haley did support it.
00:10:27.320 Quote,
00:10:27.560 Nikki Haley wrote that on Twitter as the fires were burning.
00:10:42.260 Nikki Haley wanted the rest of us to suffer because some armed robber died of a drug OD
00:10:47.040 after passing a counterfeit bill at a convenience store in Minneapolis.
00:10:49.980 And in the end, we did suffer for it.
00:10:52.560 We suffered very badly.
00:10:54.040 Nothing in this country has been the same since.
00:10:56.640 But Nikki Haley has never apologized for that.
00:10:58.920 She meant what she said.
00:11:00.900 Then you've got to wonder if normal people, if Republicans, for example, still want to
00:11:05.880 spend billions more to the corrupt oligarchs in Ukraine.
00:11:09.600 At one time, a lot of Republicans did want to send more money to Ukraine.
00:11:13.500 But at this point, now that we have the evidence of what the results are, they probably have
00:11:17.540 some reservations about that.
00:11:19.580 By the time the Ukraine catastrophe reaches its depressing and inevitable conclusion,
00:11:24.180 the United States, its taxpayers, will likely be on the hook for half a trillion dollars
00:11:28.620 all in.
00:11:29.720 So it's fair to ask, what did they get in return for all that money?
00:11:32.700 Well, we got an entire generation of dead Ukrainians. 1.00
00:11:35.900 We got a completely obliterated Ukraine. 0.99
00:11:38.300 And above all, we got a much weaker and much poorer America.
00:11:42.980 We got pointless suffering and death and destruction.
00:11:45.920 And that's all we got.
00:11:47.780 But it wasn't enough death and destruction for Nikki Haley.
00:11:51.400 For reasons that surely have nothing to do with her deep financial ties to the weapons
00:11:54.860 industry, Nikki Haley demands that we keep the slaughter going in Ukraine and send billions 0.97
00:11:59.660 more, more than Congress has appropriated, even if we have to cut current programs to pay
00:12:04.920 for it.
00:12:06.320 Nikki Haley didn't just think that or dream it.
00:12:07.940 She said it out loud.
00:12:10.160 So how is that the reasonable, much less conservative position on foreign policy?
00:12:14.560 It's not.
00:12:15.260 It's insane.
00:12:16.920 Nor is establishing a vaccine registry for Americans a conservative idea.
00:12:22.920 Nikki Haley tried to do that, too, as a member of the South Carolina legislature. 1.00
00:12:26.780 And maybe most ominously, Nikki Haley buys into the anti-human, anti-science precepts behind 0.75
00:12:31.720 the Green New Deal.
00:12:32.380 Haley has said repeatedly that she accepts the terms of the so-called climate debate, as
00:12:38.840 devised by the forces currently trying to destroy the West.
00:12:42.940 Haley has declared climate change a, quote, national security issue.
00:12:46.420 That's a position that further politicizes the U.S. military, something we very much don't
00:12:50.260 need.
00:12:50.540 Haley has suggested she'd be willing to accept more waves of so-called climate refugees from
00:12:56.000 the world's poorest, most backward countries. 0.69
00:12:58.500 The idea there is we displace these people from their ancestral homes in Africa and the
00:13:03.000 Middle East by our selfish use of air conditioning and Chevy Tahoes. 0.89
00:13:07.700 Therefore, we have a moral obligation to import them here, along with their extended families,
00:13:12.260 and immediately give them free housing and health care for generations, because it's only
00:13:16.080 fair.
00:13:17.660 Nikki Haley accepts that idea as reasonable.
00:13:20.800 Needless to say, most Republican primary voters don't think that's reasonable at all.
00:13:24.500 They think it's crazy and destructive, because it is.
00:13:27.480 Not that they'll have a chance to complain about any of this if Nikki Haley ever became president.
00:13:31.720 As she explained recently, people should not be allowed to express their opinions on the
00:13:35.680 internet without first registering with the government.
00:13:39.020 That's not exactly the constitutional position on free speech.
00:13:42.260 That's the North Korean position on free speech.
00:13:45.500 But whatever.
00:13:46.520 Nikki Haley is our Margaret Thatcher.
00:13:48.320 Yay, girl power. 1.00
00:13:50.700 You wonder how many Republican voters could ever fall for something like that.
00:13:54.840 Some of them probably will, the ones who haven't bothered to learn the details.
00:13:58.740 In New Hampshire, it's not going to take a lot of those.
00:14:01.260 New Hampshire has an open primary system, and that means that non-Republicans get to help
00:14:06.040 choose the Republican nominee.
00:14:07.720 Next week, estimates suggest that 40%, maybe more, of all primary voters in the Republican
00:14:14.400 primary will not be Republicans.
00:14:17.060 So who will they be?
00:14:18.560 Well, they'll be liberals, like this one.
00:14:20.600 Yeah, I'm still undecided on who I'm voting for.
00:14:24.080 I'm a Democrat, but I think Biden's too old to be in office, and I watched the Republican
00:14:31.620 debate, and I think Haley, I definitely don't agree with a lot of her platform, but I think
00:14:36.360 she has a lot of momentum behind her, and I think she's much more capable than both Trump 0.98
00:14:40.780 and Biden.
00:14:41.200 Wow, you mentioned that you're a Democrat, said Joe Biden's a little bit too old.
00:14:44.740 If it came down to Nikki Hurley versus Joe Biden, which way would you lean on?
00:14:48.560 I think I'm still undecided on that.
00:14:50.760 I definitely agree a lot more with Biden's platform, but I think Haley's more capable
00:14:55.740 of the job.
00:14:57.240 That poor girl. 1.00
00:14:58.860 She'll be embarrassed by that tape at some point. 0.54
00:15:00.680 But she went on in that video to explain that the issues that she cares most about in the
00:15:06.540 world are, quote, climate and transgenderism.
00:15:10.360 So that's where she is politically. 1.00
00:15:12.580 And if Nikki Haley wins the primary next week, it will be because of people like the woman 1.00
00:15:17.180 you just saw.
00:15:18.060 They are the real Nikki Haley voters.
00:15:20.720 Now, if Nikki Haley wins or even does very well in New Hampshire, it'll be a big story,
00:15:25.160 of course, and we'll hear a lot about it.
00:15:27.640 But then what happens?
00:15:28.960 It's a long primary process.
00:15:30.900 New Hampshire is just one small, heavily wooded state out of 50.
00:15:34.340 Will Republicans in other states back Nikki Haley, too?
00:15:37.840 Will she win a string of these?
00:15:39.860 Well, they're not going to vote for her voluntarily.
00:15:42.560 Haley can only become the Republican nominee if Republican primary voters have no one else
00:15:47.240 to vote for.
00:15:48.360 So the plan works like this.
00:15:50.240 Ron DeSantis drops out after losing a few contests in a row.
00:15:53.500 He simply runs out of money and has to head back to Florida.
00:15:56.000 That could happen.
00:15:56.540 And at that point, liberal donors swing as a block behind Nikki Haley, giving her bottomless 1.00
00:16:02.300 resources.
00:16:03.000 That's already happening right now.
00:16:04.960 And then critically, Donald Trump goes to jail.
00:16:08.100 And that could happen, too, to be honest.
00:16:11.180 And at that point, bam, Nikki Haley wins the Republican nomination by default.
00:16:16.280 Now, it's not a foolproof plan.
00:16:17.960 A lot could go wrong.
00:16:19.420 But at this point, it's the only plan.
00:16:21.540 It's all that Democrats have.
00:16:23.940 Joe Biden is going to have a very hard time getting reelected, much less serving another
00:16:27.920 term.
00:16:28.440 It's impossible to imagine that.
00:16:30.260 Yet the party cannot replace him because that would leave Kamala Harris, who is even
00:16:34.180 more unpopular than he is.
00:16:36.660 Because Harris is a member of the new master race, she cannot be booted off a presidential 0.99
00:16:40.740 ticket.
00:16:41.260 She must be shown maximum respect at all times, no matter what she says or does.
00:16:44.980 And so that means the Democratic Party is stuck with two fatally unpopular candidates.
00:16:50.600 It's their doing, of course, but it's a massive problem.
00:16:54.620 They can't get out of it.
00:16:56.060 So their only option at this point is to run a Republican who has the same views as Joe
00:17:01.420 Biden and Kamala Harris.
00:17:03.260 And that is exactly what they're doing right now, no matter what they tell you.
00:17:08.880 And that candidate's name is Nikki Haley.
00:17:10.980 Thank you.
00:17:11.980 Thank you.