A U.S. naval fleet is heading toward Venezuela, and there are fears that the United States is about to go to war with that country. Alex Blumberg explains why this is bad news, and why we should be worried.
00:00:00.000Not to be the bearer of bad news, but it looks like we're about to embark on another regime change war like next week.
00:00:07.980There's so much going on right now in this country that you may not be aware that there is a U.S. naval armada steaming toward Venezuela,
00:00:14.640which is a large, oil-rich country in South America, not too far from here, actually.
00:00:19.480And the purpose, the stated purpose of this show of military force is to force the leader of that country, Nicolas Maduro, to leave.
00:00:27.960And the threat is unless he leaves, vacates the premises, gives up his job, turns over the reins to the opposition party, splits Venezuela for good,
00:00:38.220the United States will go to war with Venezuela, invade it even.
00:00:44.820Kind of a big deal. You may not even have known that. Very few people seem to be talking about that.
00:00:50.360Again, there's a lot else going on, but it's a pretty significant turn of events if you think about it.
00:00:56.600It's not every day. The United States has another regime change war.
00:00:59.760In fact, it's been quite some time. We had a narrowly averted regime change war back in June with Iran.
00:01:05.280They were telling you the point was just to stop its nuclear program.
00:01:09.360Of course, the point was to change the leadership in Tehran.
00:01:13.240President Trump pulled back. That didn't happen. Thank God.
00:01:16.380But we are on the cusp of something very similar happening not too far from here.
00:01:23.360And yes, we're fully aware that anyone who points out the potential downside possibilities of a war
00:01:30.080is not only a wuss, but unpatriotic, hysterical.
00:01:33.800Well, the fact that Caracas, Venezuela, the capital, by the way, you'll be hearing a lot more about it if we go to war there.
00:01:41.660Caracas, Venezuela, the main population center and capital of Venezuela, is about 475 miles by sea from San Juan, Puerto Rico, the American Protectorate.
00:01:51.020So really from our country, it's pretty darn close, super close.
00:01:56.600And that's significant not because Venezuela's SEAL teams are going to blow up Puerto Rico,
00:02:03.180but because wars tend to precipitate huge movements of people.
00:04:37.240They've been under pretty tough American sanctions.
00:04:39.100There have been now publicized efforts to get rid of the leader of Venezuela, Nicolas Maduro, and before him, his predecessor, Hugo Chavez, who claimed as he died of cancer that he was infected with cancer by the CIA.
00:04:57.540But the point is, this is a conflict of longstanding.
00:05:01.820The United States, under a number of different administrations, has said out loud, we would like someone else to run that country.
00:05:09.600Now, it's a little strange if you think about it, that one country can just say to another country, we don't like your leadership, leave or we'll kill you.
00:05:23.660But what's interesting is it's hard to think of all the regime change affected by the United States and its various agencies whose budgets you can't know and whose activities are still, decades later, shrouded in secrecy.
00:05:38.540Of all those regime changes affected by the U.S. government, how many worked out well?
00:05:44.560Would anyone say that hanging Saddam Hussein made Iraq better, made the world safer, made America more prosperous?
00:05:51.020Well, it empowered Iran, for one thing, and so on and so on and so on.
00:05:55.140And so to say the U.S. does not have a positive track record of regime change that the aftereffects upon examination haven't been worth doing, I mean, that's an understatement.
00:06:17.960Why are we so opposed to Nicolas Maduro?
00:06:20.680So if you ask someone on the street, random person, why are we against Nicolas Maduro?
00:06:25.740The answer you're going to get is who's Nicolas Maduro?
00:06:27.400But if you find someone in South Florida, for example, who knows who Nicolas Maduro is, who can identify where Venezuela is on a map, that person will almost certainly say, well, because he's a communist or a socialist, he's exceedingly left wing.
00:06:41.880Nicolas Maduro and his government are very left wing on economics, not on social policy, by the way, which is kind of interesting.
00:06:48.320In Venezuela, gay marriage is banned, abortion is banned, sex changes for transgenderism are banned.
00:06:57.260It's one of the very few countries in the entire hemisphere with those policies.
00:07:01.080It is on social policy, not defending the regime, just saying.
00:07:05.600One of the most conservative countries in North or South or Central America.
00:07:12.720Only El Salvador really comes close, which is much smaller, of course.
00:07:16.240And by the way, the U.S.-backed opposition leader who would take Maduro's place if he were taken out is, of course, pretty eager to get gay marriage in Venezuela.
00:07:27.700So to those of you who thought this whole project was Globo Homo, not crazy, actually.
00:07:33.620So the average person when asked would say, we've got to get rid of the guy because his politics are bad, his ideas are bad.
00:08:02.400So if we see a leader in our hemisphere or anywhere in the world who's dictatorial, who, I don't know, cancels his own citizens, arrest them for saying bad things, we overthrow that person?
00:09:24.780Venezuela has the deepest proven oil reserves, the biggest proven oil reserves in the world.
00:09:29.540Venezuela has more oil than Saudi Arabia does.
00:09:32.680Now, it's low-grade oil, dirty oil, and its infrastructure, its oil extraction infrastructure is in terrible shape after 10 years of sanctions and mismanagement by the government, et cetera, et cetera.
00:09:44.720Again, none of this is a defense of Maduro's economic policies, but they're not that out of whack with a lot of different places, a lot of different countries.
00:09:55.860In fact, they're not that different from the economic policies of the incoming mayor of New York.
00:09:59.960Actually, to be honest, the big difference is that Nicolas Maduro is a social conservative and Mom Donnie is all about transiting your kids.
00:10:17.700There are a bunch of American oil companies, big ones and little ones, independent and publicly traded, who would like to get into Venezuela.
00:10:27.060They can't because of sanctions, but they'd like to change that so they can help Venezuela extract its mineral resources and make money in the process and presumably help the United States in the process.
00:10:38.700So if your goal was to secure as much oil as you could, as much energy as you could for the United States and help American energy companies build their businesses, employ Americans, of course, you would stop moralizing long enough to let Americans rebuild Venezuela's aging extraction infrastructure.
00:12:28.200The top five drug cartels operating in the United States, including the ones that control entire counties in Northern California, huge parts of the American Southwest, Florida, Texas, all over, Northern New England, those are all Mexican.
00:13:03.640So, it's going to happen no matter what people think.
00:13:07.020In fact, if it does happen, it will likely happen at a time when most Americans had no idea it was about to happen.
00:13:13.080In other words, it will be a huge surprise to everyone if this happens.
00:13:16.080Except those 18 people, if it's even that high a number, who still watch the broadcast television Sunday shows.
00:13:26.860If you're one of those people, likely someone in intensive care, strapped to a gurney, the attendant's going out for a cigarette and taking the remote and you can't change the channel, you may have seen this on Sunday.
00:13:38.400This is Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, redolent with glee, as he describes our plans to kill Nicolas Maduro.
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00:18:52.300On the other hand, these are people who just got here, and so why would they be using the U.S. military to settle some score in a country that's not America?
00:19:03.620It doesn't really seem like the way things should work.
00:19:21.440But the moment when you decide, well, wait a second, I'm going to use the military power of the country that gave me shelter to fix things in the country I came from, you're going to have to tell me why that's a good idea for me and for everyone else, the hundreds of millions of other Americans who didn't come from anywhere else who were born here, whose grandparents were born here.
00:20:55.700But after he got done with the Hezbollah part and restoring peace to southern Lebanon, key concern for most Americans, he said this is about drugs, bringing boats of drugs.
00:21:08.320Now, we already went through the numbers.
00:21:10.660Of course, there are probably drugs coming from Venezuela.
00:21:21.340But Venezuela is not where most drugs are coming from.
00:21:23.560So if you wanted to address the drug crisis in the United States, what would you do?
00:21:30.380Well, first you would acknowledge it's an actual crisis.
00:21:33.280More Americans have died, many more Americans have died of drug ODs over the last hundred years than in all wars during that time combined, including the Second World War.
00:21:44.140Something like 416,000 Americans died.
00:27:38.380And because they have zero tolerance for it, when you visit them, you feel immediately that this is a safe country, this is a clean country, this is a country under control with self-respect.
00:31:22.320Alarm bells are sounding in Philadelphia about Trank.
00:31:27.660You'd see people kind of like walking around looking like animals when their knuckles are touching the ground.
00:31:33.740Now Art L. Malik's hands and knuckles are swollen to three times their natural size from exposure to the animal sedative xylazine, street name Trank.
00:31:43.700When I was leaving, somebody had to take samples and that's what got me stuck, man.
00:31:49.420The xylazine now mixed into 90% of Philadelphia's fentanyl and heroin supply, drugs that drive fatal overdoses.
00:31:57.440Adding a horse tranquilizer, something more sedating, makes it feel like it lasts longer.
00:32:03.820But now fentanyl addicts newly addicted to xylazine, seen nodding out and falling over along Philadelphia's notorious Kensington Avenue, are also developing dangerous sores on their bodies.
00:32:16.040Biggest holes all over you, these sores in your legs and wherever, they just pop out of anywhere.
00:32:22.440Have the doctors told you that you could lose your leg?
00:34:13.220AI-powered cameras detect threats while they're still outside your home, and then alert real security agents before anything else happens.
00:34:20.540Those agents take action right away, confront the intruder, let them know they're being watched on camera, call the cops, sound a siren, triggering a spotlight, whatever it takes to get them out of there.
00:35:32.720In fact, it looks like it could happen on 4 or 5 November.
00:35:36.900The reason I bring that up, it just so happens to be a full moon, which would lend credence to the argument that lunatics are ruling us in Washington, D.C.
00:35:45.400You know, you've gone down the list of reasons, and there are a couple that I would add, because I recently went into D.C. and I talked to some people.
00:35:54.400Some of the people I talked to are just below the decision maker level.
00:35:58.280And these are the usual smug resume builders who come in and out through every administration, hoping that at some point they'll get a high-level appointment.
00:36:08.080And they said a couple of things that I thought were interesting.
00:36:11.660First, they said, well, you've got to understand, Doug, we're flipping the chessboard on Russia and China.
00:36:22.720By going into Venezuela, we're saying a very strong message, because Russia and China have tried to build up and cultivate support there, and we're telling them that they can't do it.
00:36:58.200I said, so, you know, you can't make this argument that this has some great strategic value that justifies this enormous task force.
00:37:05.480And, you know, it ultimately boiled down to it's time for us to be strong again.
00:37:11.900As though bombing hapless people in Venezuela or Colombia or Nicaragua or anywhere in Latin America is testimony to our greatness as a nation.
00:37:21.380And then, of course, the final straw is, well, we've got to we've got to destroy the drug problem where it originates.
00:37:27.700Well, I've got a big flash of the obvious.
00:37:30.260The drug problem originates here inside the United States.
00:37:34.540You're not going to get anywhere by bombing Mexico just because Mexico provides most of the fentanyl.
00:37:40.400And when I say Mexico, we're talking about the cartels.
00:37:42.880And Mexico is an organized crime state.
00:38:54.440And I said, you know, if you exercise some restraint right now, you bring the forces back to the United States, defend the borders, defend the coastal waters, and then crack down on the peddlers.
00:39:06.540And I would add child trafficking to the drug trafficking.
00:39:22.800Venezuela, you know, don't execute the drug peddler or the child trafficker, but let's bomb Venezuela.
00:39:29.140It doesn't make any damn sense whatsoever.
00:39:31.420That's where people's heads are right now in Washington, D.C.
00:39:34.920But I worry, I mean, it used to be, well, you're the army officer, you tell me, but my understanding was in a democracy, you know, in our republic, the president has constitutional authority to just send troops and start wars effectively, even without congressional approval, I've noticed.
00:39:56.100But there was always this expectation that someone would explain why we're doing this.
00:40:01.000You didn't want to go into a conflict because, of course, you never really know what's going to happen without getting the public on board.
00:40:08.760And I don't think I know five people who know this is about to happen.
00:40:13.820Well, you know, you bring something up that's very interesting.
00:40:16.720Somebody pointed out to me just the other day, Benjamin Franklin told the population that was standing out in front of the Independence Hall when they asked, what sort of government do we have now, Mr. Franklin?
00:40:27.960This is after the Constitutional Convention.
00:40:31.000He said, well, you have a republic if you can keep it.
00:40:33.900And he said, we need to change that because today, if Ben Franklin came back, he would say, you have a drama queen republic if you can keep it.
00:40:42.340We have a lot of frivolous theatrics in Washington that passes for diplomacy and policy.
00:40:48.340We have a president, and you know that I like the president personally, always have.
00:40:52.860But everything is about theatrics and optics and appearances.
00:40:58.400And now we have the prime minister of Japan, who just made wonderful deals for Japan with us, by the way.
00:41:05.760Japan is going to continue to buy oil and gas from Russia.
00:44:08.040She's the lady that just won the Nobel Peace Prize, and she's from Venezuela.
00:44:12.200And she said, if we're liberated by the U.S. armed forces and they remove Maduro, our first act will be to move the Venezuelan embassy to Jerusalem.
00:45:03.120And I think there are interests in the oil resources, oil and gas primarily, although, let's face it, they've got gold mines and emerald mines as well, and other things.
00:45:15.440There may be a true interest in putting in a puppet government and finding a way to extract these resources, because right now, for the first time in 30 years, all the central banks beyond the borders of the United States around the world hold more gold than we do.
00:45:31.820That's a very important thing to understand.
00:45:36.780So how do you begin to reverse this process of managed decline, which is really what we've been on now for the last 25 years?
00:45:48.060And even though the oil is exactly what you described, it's heavy oil, high sulfur content, requires a lot of refining.
00:45:55.360But still, we have the best oil engineers in the world, especially for deep drilling.
00:46:00.540It will probably, for the same amount of money we pay for one barrel of oil out of the ground in the United States, we can probably get two out of Venezuela.
00:46:08.480It's still not as good as Iran or Libya, where you can probably get three barrels out for what we spend to drill in the United States.
00:46:17.820But it doesn't look like we're going to get control of the Iranian oil fields.
00:46:21.280And I think we've bullied the Emirates and the Saudis not as much as we can at the moment.
00:50:07.680But I don't think that is necessarily the kind of theater that Washington's interested in.
00:50:13.060And I don't think people on the Hill may also include friends of President Trump and others are necessarily going to profit from any of that activity.
00:50:22.760I mean, we're watching an awful lot of huge hundred million, billion dollar deals closed all over the place by people connected back to Washington right now.
00:50:33.680We saw that under the Biden and Clinton administrations.
00:50:36.220But it's certainly vulgar and out in the open right now.
00:50:39.760You don't close those kinds of deals by shutting down the drug trade and the child trafficking in Philadelphia or Seattle or anywhere else.
00:50:47.760I do think it's fair for people to say, OK, you know, do your deals, do your crypto or whatever.
00:50:58.180But we don't want to live like animals and we want, you know, our kids to be able to buy a home.
00:51:05.960And like there should be more balance here.
00:51:09.880Like no presidency should be completely dominated by foreign policy concerns.
00:51:16.680Well, they're drawn into it because it's a wonderful platform for them to display their decisiveness, their strength, their courage, their leadership.
00:52:33.820But the issue is how do you deal with it?
00:52:35.900And you deal with it along the lines that we've described.
00:52:38.120But how do you face people who say, well, I don't want you to arrest someone, and then if they're found guilty, punish them with the death penalty if they're trafficking children or they're trafficking drugs?
00:52:52.220But the same people that object to that will turn around and say, well, I don't want you to bomb innocent people in Venezuela or Colombia.
00:53:18.240I keep wondering when the John Brown moment arrives.
00:53:21.040We've got a lot of evidence that one is coming because we can't let governors and mayors stand there and pour filth and abuse all over our federal laws and simply say, no, we won't enforce them.
00:53:33.260And by the way, we regard you and your police forces as the enemy.
00:53:38.880So since you have to ask you a final question about Russia, Ukraine, when does that conflict end?
00:53:46.640My impression is that since President Trump concluded that he wasn't going to get a ceasefire that he could tout as another great foreign policy achievement, like the last ceasefire in Gaza, he's lost interest.
00:54:02.800I think he knows that he can't settle that.
00:54:06.800But remember, he made remarks before he was elected, which were very unfortunate, telling everyone, I can end this with a phone call in 24 hours.
00:54:15.280No understanding whatsoever of the problem.
00:54:28.360He's going to be meeting with the leaders of the five Central Asian republics, you know, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, and so forth.
00:54:37.280He wants to talk to them about commercial arrangements with us and trade.
00:54:42.420This is going to be a real serious issue for the Russians and the Chinese.
00:54:46.960First of all, Moscow has not forgotten our attempted coup at about in January, February of 2022, when we tried to overthrow the government in Uzbekistan.
00:54:58.200The Russians went in there at the request of the president and stabilized it.
00:55:01.780This was another one of these color revolutions cooked up by the National Endowment for Democracy, which should be the National Endowment for Anarchy, and, of course, the CIA, always.
00:55:13.700The CIA mucks around in Central Asia all the time.
00:55:16.280We're still pumping hundreds of millions of dollars into places like Afghanistan that are really destined to support subversive elements in Central Asia.
00:55:38.540They don't want Central Asia to become what it was a few hundred years ago, which was the greatest force in the world under someone like Genghis Khan.
00:56:52.180Remember, Venezuela has 1,700 miles of coastline, 1,370-mile border with Colombia, 1,380-mile border with Brazil.
00:57:04.560And I'm being told by people with experience down there that you've got 100,000 paramilitaries along their border in Brazil and Colombia that are just can't wait to go into Venezuela and fight us if we go into that country.
00:57:25.480I would urge the president to reconsider his rejection of this proposal from Maduro and get out of this business of regime change, particularly when you know that somebody like Machado is playing to the wrong audience.