A new poll shows Donald Trump is gaining ground on Sen. Kamala Harris, D.C.'s Democratic challenger, is having a hard time getting her name in the running for the vice presidential nomination. And there's a new conspiracy theory about Haitian migrants eating ducks. Plus, a new Caspew coffee company is celebrating the life of a beloved cat.
00:00:43.000It's not really worked out for her, so it's going to be interesting.
00:00:46.000Aside from the New York Times, Nate Silver's forecast for Trump just keeps going up.
00:00:50.000It's near 65% chance to win as of right now.
00:00:54.000So we'll see how things play out at tomorrow's debate.
00:00:57.000Kamala Harris needs to get a tremendous victory in order to beat Donald Trump, and her staff is now saying she's handcuffed by the rules that Joe Biden's team put in place.
00:01:49.000Before we get started, head over to casprew.com and buy some Casprew coffee.
00:01:52.000We got a bunch of different flavors and blends.
00:01:55.000Casprew is our coffee company, and I gotta tell you, It makes me very emotional.
00:02:00.000There are only 38 bags left of the Mr. Bocas Pumpkin Spice experience.
00:02:04.000Mr. Bocas, of course, was our cat, and we expected him to be a mascot for a long time, but he passed on, and so we decided to end the Mr. Bocas Pumpkin Spice because it didn't feel right.
00:02:15.000There's 146 bags of the whole bean, but only 38 bags of the ground coffee left, after which we'll be launching a memoriam Focus with Mr. Bocas.
00:02:24.000So he will have a new... we will never abandon him.
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00:02:57.000Now more than ever, We do need your support because let's just say there's a lot of things happening.
00:03:04.000Let me just say, we're 57 days from the election and I can only imagine it's going to get wild.
00:03:10.000Already there's been a lot of news and I'm not going to get into great detail because we're currently talking with my legal team on issues related to defamation and things of such, but should be exciting when we have an update for you there.
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00:03:25.000Joining us tonight to talk about this and so much more is Raheem Kassam.
00:04:06.000And I've written a couple of books, No Go Zones, which is about migrant-dominated neighborhoods, specifically Muslim migrant-dominated neighborhoods in Europe.
00:04:16.000And I would probably be remiss without mentioning my good friends at the New York Young Republican Club as well, where I sit on their advisory board and help.
00:04:24.000And we're doing the big gala again at the end of this year.
00:06:19.000There's a reason why it looks this way.
00:06:21.000They immediately panic, and start acting like it shouldn't be happening, and they're upset with their own results.
00:06:28.000Well, yeah, because they don't want it to be Trump.
00:06:30.000I mean, one of the interesting things that the Harris campaign has had to grapple with was initial favoritism in the media.
00:06:37.000There was this big, bold, oh, she's surging in the polls and she's going to catch Trump.
00:06:41.000And now they sort of don't want expectations to be particularly high for her.
00:06:45.000They want to remain in this position where they only have to attack Donald Trump and they never have to say, oh, she will follow through.
00:06:51.000I mean, how can you explain that someone is leading in the polls when they hadn't released a policy until, what, 24 hours ago today?
00:06:58.000What I'm curious about, on the other crosstab with the youth vote, where it was 18 to 29, 26 for the Democrats, do you think that's because they are too progressive or not progressive enough for younger people, that that number is?
00:08:33.000Anyway, hear me out on the Twisters thing.
00:08:36.000So I'm watching Twisters the other day, and the main character is this woman, and there's a big tornado, and there's this guy who's driving with her, and they're trying to triangulate radar data on a tornado to learn more about tornadoes.
00:08:51.000This data could save, you know, it could help forecast models, it can predict tornadoes better, and it can help people get out of the way and save lives.
00:09:00.000So they get the data, the tornado scoops up one of their radars and flings it, and after the tornado clears, the guy's like, we gotta go get the GPS so we can get this data, and the woman goes, no, the tornado hit a town, people need help.
00:09:16.000And he's like, we have to get this data, and she says, no, I'm going.
00:09:21.000And so instead of getting the scientific data that is extremely hard to get, that they risk their lives for, they go give out water bottles in a town.
00:09:30.000And right away I was like, this explains Democrat women.
00:09:34.000And I don't mean that in a mean way, but it does.
00:09:37.000The woman's immediate reaction was, we have to go help the people.
00:09:40.000The guy's immediate reaction was, we have to collect the data.
00:09:44.000The data, it's an interesting philosophical difference between, and I know it's just a movie, but my point is this.
00:09:50.000You don't know exactly what's gonna be happening in that town.
00:09:52.000You don't know who needs help or what's gonna happen, but her concern was the people there and not the science, not the research.
00:09:57.000The guy was like, we need this data because the data is gonna help us in the future, long-term and short-term.
00:10:03.000One guy cared more about the object, the woman cared more about the people.
00:10:41.000But it's funny because randomly in the movie, it's like you hear a TV in the background saying, a record amount of tornadoes this year.
00:10:46.000And it's like, we get it, you made a movie about tornadoes.
00:10:48.000But anyway, my point is that, that that's the perspective of women when it comes to policy.
00:10:53.000They're coming on saying, guns are bad, and they hurt kids.
00:10:57.000And women are like, we got to ban guns.
00:10:58.000And guys are like, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, you know, we need to have a conversation about what that's what that's going to do and what will happen after the fact.
00:11:05.000By the way, did you see the clip of Trump talking about mosquitoes when he did the interview with Hannity?
00:11:44.000That's why they've been going, like you say, on the abortion stuff.
00:11:46.000But it's a whole gamut of other things.
00:11:49.000And it's not the Democrat women, you know, that I particularly think very often, if at all about, but it is those independent women and where the pathos arguments apply to them.
00:11:57.000I think there's something to say too about how for a lot of political issues on the presidential level, a lot of the policies don't, they affect your life, but they don't affect your life in an extreme tangible way, the way an abortion issue for women can.
00:12:12.000So this is something that mobilizes women a lot more than most issues do for most people, because this affects them more directly than most other political issues.
00:12:20.000Which is why it was a genius move to send it back to the states.
00:12:23.000I mean, also, there's a lot leading up to this backlash that we're going to see because Donald Trump, of course, appointed these three Supreme Court justices who eventually overturned Roe v. Wade.
00:12:36.000And I think we're going to continue to see a divide like this.
00:12:38.000As Democrats continue to be the party of abortion, I cover a lot of Democrat rallies and this is the top issue that people talk to me about.
00:12:47.000Women will literally work themselves up into tears, not for wrong reason in some cases, but I'll ask them what are their top issues, what are their concerns about.
00:12:55.000They'll tell me a heartfelt story about how they needed access to abortion and how they heard these one-off stories about women having to cross state lines to get abortions elsewhere.
00:13:06.000And for women, this is probably the issue, the number one thing mobilizing Democrats.
00:13:12.000And Donald Trump, I mean, he's been trying to dispel this for the Democrats in how he's been probably the most pro-choice Republican we've seen in our lifetime.
00:13:22.000Well, abortion is definitely the issue that Kamala Harris was willing to sign her name to first, right?
00:13:27.000I mean, she, as vice president toward the country, you know, that's where she met Tim Walz, at a Planned Parenthood.
00:13:32.000She was on a pro-abortion, they are trying to steal your rights tour.
00:14:44.000Pro-life Democrats have been around for a while.
00:14:47.000That's why I wonder if the large play is actually going to be from Trump to try and play a moderate role on this one.
00:14:54.000But it's probably just at this point that the hyperpolarization is here, and I'm willing to bet that pro-life Democrats largely don't exist anymore, that they've migrated over already.
00:15:03.000I don't know if Trump thinks he's going to capture more votes from women by doing this.
00:15:07.000I think, like most PR lessons, he should say literally nothing.
00:15:12.000Well, he has said he's against the national abortion ban.
00:15:16.000I think there is something to be said about how much Democrats are able to raise as a result of the abortion issue.
00:15:22.000That's why they want to talk about it.
00:15:25.000Well, that's why they also don't want to permanently solve it, so they will be able to fundraise on it.
00:15:31.000NARAL, there's a few of these abortion organizations, but they fundraise the most money of any PAX, so they're some of the biggest fundraisers in our country.
00:15:40.000But if you poll young people, if you poll women, if you poll men, all of them report that the economy is the number one issue.
00:15:51.000NBC just released a poll polling men and women about this economy is the number one issue.
00:15:56.000I can't remember which outlet, but one outlet did this article where they were interviewing women in Texas who were, you know, very mad about Texas restrictive laws.
00:16:02.000And one of them said, you know, I wasn't able to afford to go out of state to get an abortion.
00:16:28.000There was a really funny post over the weekend where someone referenced testosterone level testing that NPR had done, and some of the guys on the show's testosterone levels were like 140 or something, and they pointed out that the levels were so low a doctor would probably consider it an emergency and prescribe you some medication to solve the problem.
00:16:48.000and these were like NPR guys, their testosterone was like that of a woman.
00:16:54.000And there was a—it was like a statement from a study saying that something like people
00:16:59.000who have low testosterone seek social acceptance more as a safety mechanism, something like
00:17:05.000And so it could be that it's not necessarily an intentional mechanism where some politician
00:17:10.000was like, we're going to target women with this kind of stuff.
00:17:12.000It's that over a long enough period of time, market research says this strategy works on women in this way.
00:17:18.000The more you do it, you end up with It's filtering.
00:17:22.000The market research data compiles in a computer, the computer then says, here are the things that resonate with women, and then they start putting money into things that make sense, especially with keywords.
00:17:32.000You end up with all the political advertisements targeting specific issues, hitting women, because it's more bang for your buck.
00:17:39.000And this polarizes men and women politically.
00:17:41.000Women are only going to get... I'll use Google as an example.
00:17:45.000A politician makes a Google ad campaign, And they tell the Google AI, I want to target, you know, men and women with this set of ads, 10 ads, and we want to make it the most effective.
00:17:56.000The AI will start to discover women respond to these four ads and men respond to these six ads.
00:18:02.000And the ones that women are responding to are going to be emotionally driven issues.
00:18:06.000You know, kids, oh no, they're dying because of guns.
00:18:08.000And then you're going to get a lot of women who are going to be like, that's my issue.
00:18:18.000It's what I'm saying is the marketing will invariably just go and flow in their direction because of algorithmic advertising, and then you're gonna end up with women who don't care about abortion hearing that 24-7 and then just saying, yeah, that's why I'm voting.
00:19:12.000The pro-lifers who have been telling Donald Trump, like, you don't get our votes unless you vote the way we want, and Trump's basically just stayed the course.
00:19:42.000That's why they go out there and do these things and tweet these things and issue these statements.
00:19:46.000And to some extent, they've been very successful in that.
00:19:48.000Don't forget, they've been very successful in the sense that they managed to get Trump to a position where he had to choose those Supreme Court justices.
00:19:56.000For that very issue was one of the critical issues that they were grilled on when they were picking those people.
00:20:03.000So, you know, they have had a level of success.
00:21:09.000Trump is en route to an election landslide over Kamala Harris, and I'm reading this to get you really excited, because then when Kamala Harris wins, you'll be equally as disappointed.
00:21:19.000I tell you, if you're sitting here right now saying, woohoo, we're gonna win, Trump's gonna win, whatever, you're gonna lose.
00:21:26.000It's only when you push as hard as you can and you get out there and you vote, you do whatever you have to do, you register your friends, you get everybody registered to vote, that's when you win.
00:21:34.000But the reality is, no matter what Nate Silver is telling you, We have no idea what's going to happen.
00:21:40.000So the only thing that matters is assume nothing.
00:22:04.000Look, I think all of this stuff is nonsense, to be honest with you, and I think the pollsters have not managed to figure out new methodologies that work with a snap candidate, that work with this election, that, you know, take into account everything that changed.
00:22:16.000Remember, a lot of things changed in 2019 and in the run-up to the 2020 election.
00:22:21.000The way votes are cast, the length of period of time you have to send in your vote, and I think pollsters really have not accounted for all of that, which is why there's stuff all over the place.
00:23:12.000And with this bump in Trump, he said recently, I think he said on X, that the projection model actually predicted Trump's likelihood to increase in the way we are seeing now, or something to the effect of, We predict that the model predicted Kamala Harris's polls would not be improving, and they have not been.
00:23:29.000Now, he does say it's an opportune moment for her with the debate coming up because this is her chance to swing it back in, to bring it back around.
00:23:38.000So just so everybody knows, tomorrow night, special live show with members of Congress in D.C.
00:23:44.000as we're going to have on a rotating panel of various members of Congress who are going to comment on the debate.
00:23:49.000I imagine it's going to be very, very funny.
00:23:52.000So just just to come back on your point there for a second with with the data that's going in.
00:23:57.000So firstly, you have to take into account that this is this is what Nate Silver believes are the more reliable polling that he works into his model, which I'm not necessarily sure I'm ready to do yet is make that leap of trust there.
00:24:09.000And the reason I'm not ready to do that is because it goes back to my earlier point is that those pollsters, right?
00:24:15.000uh you talk about the post-convention bump there hasn't actually been a proper you know mega measurable poll bump in the last several presidential elections now i think going back to 2000 there hasn't been three or four percent you might get but those are within the margins of error on a lot of these polls So it's not like in the 70s where you'd have this and it would be everywhere, it'd be front page of every newspaper and that's all people were seeing and then people were telling the opinion pollsters, oh yeah, I did like what he said about this because it's on the front page for, you know, three fucking weeks straight after their convention.
00:24:45.000Now you're getting these immediacy, like, tries to measure, you know, they're measuring sentiment now, right, coming out of these things.
00:24:52.000You know, how did you feel when she said this certain word and that certain word?
00:24:55.000And I think a lot of it is just dog shit.
00:24:58.000Have you seen the things where they have, like, the focus group watch the debate, and they'll give them a knob?
00:25:01.000Like, you twist the knob when you feel good, left when you feel bad, and then you can watch in real time the collective, like, we like this, we don't like this.
00:25:10.000You know, that is funny, because ultimately the problem is, who are these people?
00:25:15.000There was some viral story where Democrats were all mad because some conservative podcaster was brought on as an undecided voter, and then was like, I'm going to vote for Trump!
00:25:22.000And it's like, you were voting for Trump the whole time.
00:26:13.000There have been many different changes in polling.
00:26:16.000I did an article about this several years ago for Breitbart, where we sort of went into the detail on something called random digit dial.
00:26:22.000How do you actually reach somebody that you want as somebody for the poll?
00:26:27.000Because you don't actually want all of these people.
00:26:29.000The reason that there's so much waiting put on all of this stuff is because sometimes they oversample, sometimes they undersample.
00:26:34.000I mean, honestly, with some of the measurements I've seen running polls, They'll poll three black people and then weight that up as if they're speaking to black people all around the country.
00:27:51.000Now, one thing I did see that was interesting was that in several I can't remember, I think it was Michigan, I'm not sure, but Democrats in the Senate, I think it's like three different states, Democrats are leading in their Senate races in these swing states substantially.
00:28:06.000So the argument is, how could Trump possibly be favored to win if the polling is swinging so heavily towards a Democrat senator?
00:28:21.000Joe Biden was worse, and they didn't think he'd be able to win.
00:28:25.000So they brought in Kamala Harris because the money — I think the real issue was the money.
00:28:30.000It's already questionable if Kamala can take the money from the Biden campaign, and they're arguing she can, but apparently she used Biden's FEC number instead of her own.
00:28:49.000Well, in the Senate race, especially in contentious states, they've had more time.
00:28:54.000They've been running for much longer than Harris has.
00:28:57.000So I could understand where they might have made more inroads in their own communities.
00:29:01.000What I find interesting about Harris overall, and I've made this point before, but she is not a stand-in that I think Democrats are happier with.
00:29:08.000I think they would have preferred to see a competition leading in a culmination at the DNC because it would have encouraged voter participation.
00:29:17.000I've told the story before that the first Harris sign I saw in this area was not actually a Harris sign.
00:29:21.000It was a Biden Harris sign that someone had cut in half.
00:29:24.000And now someone else has told me that she's seen similar ones, but instead of cutting Biden off, they just plaster over it, like, teachers for, and then it says Harris.
00:29:32.000Like, they are throwing her in because she's there, but not because she has any true influence or is an inspiring candidate.
00:29:39.000And I think for a lot of contentious races, they're actually trying to distance themselves from her.
00:30:09.000Look, there was a point in time where, you know, the idea of New York being in play wasn't completely out there when Biden was the candidate.
00:30:16.000And, you know, the debate, I think, was campaign malpractice.
00:30:19.000They shouldn't have allowed him to, you know, do that early debate with Biden, get him out of the race.
00:30:23.000But the reason Pelosi wanted him out of the race was they saw how he was hurting all the down ticket races.
00:30:29.000And so now you're seeing a situation where a little bit of pressure has been alleviated down ticket, but as you say, people just aren't buying the Kamala stuff.
00:30:39.000Tomorrow night, it's really his... I don't want to say it like this, because it puts pressure on him, but it's his to lose.
00:30:45.000Harris might win New York, but if she loses the House seats all around the city, if she continues losing upstate, a lot of House members on Long Island, in these purple districts, if they can't maintain the House, the Democrats...
00:30:59.000Republicans have the majority in the House, but if Democrats can't maintain majority in the Senate and or take control of the House if Trump wins, it's going to be a very tough time for them legislatively.
00:31:10.000So David Hogg has this tweet, which goes in line with what we saw from the crosstabs in the New York Times poll.
00:31:18.000And he's getting ragged on by a lot of people on the right.
00:31:22.000He says, I hope I'm wrong, but if we lose in November, I think the main reason why will be the number of young men of all races that are no longer Democrats.
00:31:28.000There's been a taboo about talking about this because we understandably are hesitant to make men a main point of conversation.
00:31:35.000Given we have been for thousands of years, excellent parentheses there, David, we have a real problem to deal with.
00:31:41.000At this point, with 60 days to go, there isn't much we can do to recover it other than turning out more young women and trying to slow the departure of young men.
00:31:50.000I think a lot of this is caused by COVID and the epidemic of male loneliness in this country and the ensuing commodification through social media of misogyny.
00:31:57.000Long term, we have a lot of work to do to provide positive examples of what actual masculinity looks like that is not defined by putting down women or other people, but by lifting others up and being a true leader.
00:33:05.000What does he think Republicans are doing in representing men?
00:33:10.000Does he think the Republican view of men is that they're all just like the Fonz or like a jock football player picking on nerds?
00:33:16.000Because the masculine view on the right is strong men protecting the people they care about.
00:33:23.000I love this statement because he references the male loneliness epidemic, which I think is real, while also giving an example of why men probably do not want to be Democrats anymore.
00:33:45.000But also, let's continue to be a part of this.
00:33:48.000A burgeoning faction that we're seeing in the Republican Party now is this, I forgot who coined the phrase, but this sort of barstool conservative who I think David Hogg is kind of hinting towards.
00:33:59.000You see Donald Trump going on these podcasts with these young influencers, Aiden Ross types and so on.
00:34:05.000I think that's the type of audience he's talking about.
00:34:08.000People who he'd call misogynistic but are just, you know, regular young men in my estimation.
00:34:16.000Um, that whole wall of text, I, you know, that's like, to me, that's like reading LibGPT, right?
00:34:22.000But you know what stands out to me about that is no mention of your vice presidential candidate, who is a man who is supposed to be a coach who served in the military, you know?
00:34:59.000The point is, young guys are watching a dude who's ripped, who exercises, who works out, who smokes cigars, who's got a Bugatti, and they're like, I want to be great.
00:35:06.000And you're not getting it from Tim Waltz.
00:35:08.000Tim Waltz is the doofy, I eat beef and cheese tacos with no seasoning.
00:35:15.000Dude, Gordon Ramsay is a white guy, okay?
00:35:17.000And he's like one of the best chefs ever, right?
00:35:20.000Why do they think it's going to be endearing to young men when the guy they look up to goes, I don't know, I just put beef and cheese on a tortilla.
00:35:29.000Just pretending like he's inept and unaccomplished.
00:35:34.000I think the things, too, that young men are drawn to are the same things that people in the Democrat Party would call toxic masculinity.
00:35:42.000For example, Andrew Tate does hit on a lot of things that men are drawn to.
00:35:46.000That doesn't mean I agree with everything he says, but he does hit on a lot of things that young men are drawn to.
00:35:59.000But these are things that these people would call, like, you're a capitalist pig because you want, uh, you know, because you want a Bugatti.
00:36:06.000You know, you're a misogynist because you like hot women.
00:36:10.000So these are things that liberals and Democrats would judge men for, but are things that young men are drawn to.
00:36:15.000And Trump's unabashedly embracing these things.
00:36:54.000It's whatever you want your truth to be, man.
00:36:56.000And so young men started gravitating towards Islam.
00:37:00.000And now you have this really weird situation where you have somebody who was raised in Islam, me, in the West, a brown guy, telling them like, no, dude, that isn't actually the way to go.
00:37:17.000YouTube actually invited me to a special event they were having because they were concerned that, this is really fascinating, they didn't know how to handle free speech and radicalization at the same time, and so what they were, and not that they're like really great with free speech, you're not gonna be wrong, but they were basically, the general idea was There are people who produce pro-ISIS videos without saying ISIS or anything.
00:38:31.000After everything, after January 6th, after clear evidence a second term would be far more authoritarian than the first, after the ever-increasing radicalization of MAGA World, Trump now has more support than he had in 2016 or 2020.
00:38:47.000This neocon focus on January 6th makes me embarrassed to call myself one.
00:38:52.000This whole stuff with Dick Cheney saying he'll vote for Kamala Harris.
00:38:57.000Liz Cheney has staked her entire identity now on this January 6th being the worst thing to happen since 9-11.
00:39:03.000Thank God Bush hasn't endorsed Kamala Harris as well.
00:39:07.000For Adam Kinzinger, who was like, I'm here at the DNC.
00:39:10.000A lot at the next meeting, you've got to make sure to say, guys, tone down the January 6th,
00:39:50.000First off, I understand completely why she never does interviews since she's like, oh, well, you know, I'm so grateful because they are both great leaders and, like, looking down at her hands, like, she could have not—this is the one question I expected her not to answer.
00:40:02.000Instead, she's like— What was the question?
00:40:03.000They asked her, like, are you grateful that you have, you know, Dick Cheney and Liz Cheney's endorsement?
00:40:07.000And she sort of stumbled her way through, which could have just been like, oh, yes, of course.
00:40:11.000There was a non-zero chance she just had dick and got all giddy.
00:40:15.000I will say there is not consensus among neocons on the Kamala Harris question.
00:40:21.000Nikki Haley still said she will vote for Donald Trump.
00:40:25.000John Bolton obviously served as National Security Advisor in the previous term.
00:40:30.000I'm sure we'll probably see Mike Pompeo again.
00:40:32.000By the way, this comes back to an earlier point.
00:41:19.000If there's an off chance that he might take some retaliatory action, then we don't want to go there.
00:41:25.000And these, you know, people like Bill Kristol are the ones that really shocked me, because actually what they're saying is they never gave a flying fuck about these principles that they profess to have.
00:41:35.000Well, allegedly, Bill Kristol cares about democracy, right?
00:41:37.000So I think that's why he's hopping on this January 6th to... In their minds, that's registering with people, as I care about democracy, because I'm complaining about democracy.
00:41:46.000I think the only thing they ever cared about was the petrodollar.
00:41:49.000And the reason why the neocons have jumped ship to join the Democrats is because, you know, I'll just dramatically oversimplify.
00:41:56.000Trump and MAGA represents Restore America.
00:42:01.000Secure our borders, focus on this country.
00:42:03.000Democrats represent We want to strip everything down to the bare bones.
00:42:09.000We want to rip the copper from the walls to do whatever we have to do to maintain the international IMF petrodollar infrastructure.
00:42:18.000So they're going to burn the economy to the ground in the United States, flood the country with illegal immigrants because they're desperate to keep job numbers up and to pad the economy, while they fund the war in Ukraine to push back Russia, while they provide funding to Israel and many other countries.
00:42:33.000Not just those two, but those are the big ones that everyone's talking about.
00:42:37.000Eli gets mad that I don't mention Taiwan.
00:42:38.000National security hawks, too, are most concerned about Trump's rhetoric around leaving NATO, although I think that's just a rhetorical tool to get them to increase their GDP to military funding.
00:42:50.000The neocons have joined the Democrats because they're like, look, the only thing that matters is that we blow up anybody who dare oppose the petrodollar.
00:42:57.000And this is a strong basis for what we see with Russia and Ukraine.
00:43:03.000It's a strong basis for, obviously, what's going on in the Middle East.
00:43:05.000The United States wants to expand the liberal economic order.
00:43:18.000When you look at the crosstabs in that New York Times poll and see that The largest demographic for identifying as Democrat is 65 plus in the age groups.
00:43:29.000It literally is the liberal economic order worldview of the 1950s, and it is over.
00:43:36.000When the next generation moves in, you see, Gen Z is not Democrat.
00:43:47.000This shift, this country is going to be so different in 10 years.
00:43:52.000When the 65 plus crowd are reaching their, you know, they're moving on.
00:43:57.000I'm not trying to be crass or crude or disrespectful, but when they move on, those votes will be gone with them.
00:44:03.000And there will be a tremendous amount of impact on the younger generation moving in to the age where they start taking the controls of industry and politics.
00:44:11.000And the worldview there is dramatically different.
00:44:14.000Do you believe the old Churchillian mantra?
00:44:16.000You know, a liberal at 20, a conservative at 30?
00:44:21.000No, but I don't think that was ever really...
00:44:25.000They say if you're not a liberal when you're young, you have no heart.
00:44:27.000If you're not a conservative when you're old, you have no head.
00:44:30.000And I don't think that's necessarily true.
00:44:32.000What's actually happening is that society itself was pushing leftist worldview on young people intentionally through, you know, it was constructed, it was on purpose.
00:44:46.000I would say it's half emergent, half on purpose.
00:44:49.000So what happens now is you reach the limit of what leftism can bring you, which is these weird books in schools, racist policies that make everything worse, like Robin DiAngelo stuff, and eventually people start rejecting it.
00:45:02.000So what's happening is, let's take a look at where we're at now, right?
00:45:07.000A liberal, Donald Trump was a liberal in the 90s, he's a New York Democrat, or a New York Conservative, whatever you want to call him, which is meaning he's like a moderate left-leaning guy.
00:46:45.000It's why the Democratic Party is on the way out.
00:46:47.000And it's why I think The establishment, the deep state, all of these things, they are fizzling out of control.
00:46:54.000They're becoming desperate and dangerous.
00:46:57.000But in 20 years, they probably will not exist.
00:47:00.000They might exist in some small remnant form that is mocked and ridiculed.
00:47:04.000But you can see, since 2016, let me put it this way.
00:47:09.000I think it was Brett Weinstein who was talking, Eric Weinstein, the Magician's Choice Presidency, where it's supposed to be Barack Obama versus McCain.
00:47:18.000Two people who represent largely the same things with a minor difference in cultural issues.
00:47:22.000So the people feel like they're winning.
00:48:50.000I wonder if he ever asks himself why that is, because he recognizes that that is the case, and Trump has been only becoming more popular the more time he's spent in politics.
00:49:39.000And then by the 2000s, people were slowly not rollerblading anymore.
00:49:43.000And now, for those that are still pros, they have very small followings, they don't make any money anymore, the industry is gone.
00:49:50.000So these people must be looking back on the glory days.
00:49:52.000I remember when you'd go to the park and there were a thousand kids all cheering and watching you rollerblade, and now it's not there anymore.
00:49:58.000I feel the same about trebuchet operating.
00:50:00.000You know, once upon a time, there were huge armies dedicated to rolling the trebuchet down the hill.
00:50:54.000The former president's latest threats made in a social media post represent the most overt signal yet that he will not accept the results in November if he loses.
00:51:06.000When I win, those people that cheated will be prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law, which will include long-term prison sentences, so that this depravity of justice does not happen again," Trump wrote on Saturday on his Truth Social platform.
00:51:19.000We cannot let our country further devolve into a third-world nation, and we won't.
00:51:24.000I don't disagree that he probably wouldn't accept the results if he lost, but I don't think that social media post explicitly says that.
00:51:33.000It says jail opponents, but only if they cheat.
00:51:38.000It's an admission by the Washington Post.
00:51:41.000Trump says, I will arrest the cheaters, and they go, he's going to arrest us.
00:51:45.000E, what are you saying about yourself there, buddy?
00:51:47.000Yeah, so that's, yeah, but I don't doubt that he would say it was stolen if he lost, but it's just, that's the narrative they have pre-written in their head, in their mind, regardless of what he tweets out on.
00:52:00.000Well, let me tell you, he goes on to say, please be aware that this legal exposure extends to lawyers, political operatives, donors, illegal voters, and corrupt election officials.
00:52:09.000Adding that people will be sought out, caught, and prosecuted levels unfortunately never seen before in our country.
00:52:38.000I need to be a little bit crude about this, but in some cases you do have to give it to the Democrats because they actually do what they say they will do, or at least do what the Republicans say they do and won't do.
00:52:50.000And when I say that, I mean when Trump was running leading up to 2016, he said he was going to lock up Hillary Clinton.
00:53:35.000They delayed the sentencing for Trump.
00:53:38.000And a lot of the speculation is that they were concerned the jailing of Trump would push him over the top.
00:53:45.000I don't even think he would do it if elected.
00:53:47.000I don't think he'd go after anybody if elected.
00:53:49.000It would be the same thing like he said with Hillary.
00:53:51.000I'm just saying right now Democrats have pulled back from actually putting him in jail and delayed the sentencing until after the election, which suggests to me they believe Trump is going to win.
00:55:12.000Around the first time on my original show on youtube.com slash timcast when I was saying, there's a potential for a civil war in this country.
00:55:19.000If you went back then and said, July of 2024, a shooter will fire a rifle at Donald Trump, and the bullet will strike his ear, narrowly missing his head, killing bystanders.
00:55:33.000Trump will tilt his head and almost die.
00:55:35.000People would be like, oh, get out of here.
00:55:38.000They wouldn't have believed you about January 6th.
00:55:40.000They wouldn't have believed you about the George Floyd riots.
00:55:43.000They wouldn't have believed you if you said, a far leftist, if you went back to 2018 and said, In two years, a far-leftist BLM guy with a communist tattoo on his neck will walk up to a Trump supporter and put two in his chest.
00:56:21.000I don't know what happens in the next two months, but if you think it just ends here, I mean, I just gotta tell everybody to be safe, be careful, be calm, and hopefully we don't see, you know, this escalate in any way.
00:56:35.000I'm hoping that Democrats are making the moves they're making because they're recognizing Trump actually has the probability to win.
00:56:40.000I am hoping that Trump does win, and I am hoping we actually just get a marginally good presidency from Trump.
00:56:47.000There will probably be some DOJ investigations.
00:56:49.000I don't think they'll be super over-the-top.
00:56:51.000Some lawyers will probably go to jail.
00:56:53.000Maybe we'll get some reforms at the state level.
00:56:55.000I don't see a second Trump presidency being this despotic, Hitlerian nightmare that the neocons and the neolibs are claiming.
00:57:02.000Trump's gonna be—it's gonna be marginally good.
00:57:13.000I mean, when you look at who's in charge of the transition team and what the kind of priorities are, I mean, this is going to be a heavily economic-focused, at least for its first 18 months, administration.
00:57:24.000And I think that's exactly where it needs to be.
00:57:25.000That's what the country wants it to be, quite frankly.
00:57:27.000I mean, yeah, we've all got our other issues and our pet issues and the things that we care about and are passionate about, but at the end of the day, It comes down to whether or not you can put food on the table, right?
00:57:36.000And that is what most people in this country are still looking at every single day and going, I can't today.
00:57:45.000I'm intrigued, though, as to why we wouldn't have believed all of these crazy things would have happened, because, you know, I don't necessarily... I wouldn't.
00:57:59.000When Trump dodged a bullet, literally tilted his head, everyone else said Civil War.
00:58:06.000And I was like, hey, don't look at me.
00:58:07.000I just think I'm of the Billy Joel school of thought with this, you know, we didn't start the fire is a very good example of how shit is crazy shit is always happening.
00:58:17.000And there are very few moments of human history where there is genuine respite from wild political, you know, machinations and tugs of war.
00:58:27.000And this is this is that I mean, you are the country that has seen multiple of your heads of state shot at.
00:58:33.000Killed, replaced, still don't know the details of some of them, which is absolutely wild.
00:58:43.000Looking at this country, all of its apparatus, all of the administrative state, and yet you don't know who killed, you know, who really killed one of your former presidents.
00:58:53.000So this is a story from 2019 in August.
00:59:16.000And I think the conclusion was, we could pull up the article, but it was something like, when you average it out, it's around a 65 percent chance.
00:59:57.000And I was told by a bunch of DC conservative Hill people working for Congress and think tanks and all that saying, this is just street violence.
01:00:04.000You think the civil rights movement was a precursor to civil war and it's never going to happen.
01:00:09.000And my response was, what about when these, these, this ideology, which is, you know, in the far left, what happens when that gets into the government?
01:00:19.000The response, I was told this, the security state will never allow this to happen.
01:01:34.000I want to see a country where Donald Trump says, I've got a reasonably minded Attorney General We're going to bring on an AG, and there's going to be investigations.
01:02:05.000You've got Steve Bannon and Peter Navarro going to prison for contempt of Congress, and then when it comes to Merrick Garland, who's also in contempt of Congress, nothing happens.
01:02:14.000We cannot maintain a system that flouts its own rules and spits on the people.
01:02:20.000Where you have Steve Bannon, who is a very prominent, famous populist leader, going to prison for contempt of Congress, and then you have, on the Democrat side, Merrick Garland, skirting the rules, and nothing happens.
01:02:31.000This says to the people, the country, that the law doesn't exist.
01:03:05.000And a vampire hunter seeks out this very rare thing that no one believes is real.
01:03:12.000In the story, the long story short of it is, as the vampires start converting more and more people, eventually, it's now 50-50, humans and vampires.
01:03:55.000They're the first order in the Star Wars series.
01:03:57.000The Empire has fallen, and the remnants of the Empire are trying to mount a counter-insurgent to take back the Republic, and that's the premise, and that's what the Deep State represents.
01:04:08.000More and more, Bill Kristol's tweet where he was like, why does Trump have more support?
01:04:31.000Chinese communist power will probably expand, and we'll see where that leads to.
01:04:36.000The BRICS nations will create their currency, and the U.S.
01:04:39.000will be in a position of weakness, but I believe it already is.
01:04:43.000You can see this moment happen when Blinken was talking to his Chinese counterpart in that meeting, and the guy from China said, you are not negotiating from a position of power.
01:04:52.000To look into the eyes of America itself and say, you can do nothing!
01:04:58.000That says a lot about the state of this country.
01:05:00.000And you can blame Donald Trump, and you can blame everybody else, but the reality is Trump won in 2016.
01:05:05.000And if the deep state was strong enough to maintain the system, they would have stopped him from doing it, and they couldn't, because they've lost it.
01:05:10.000And now they are weakening and fizzling out of power, and in their desperation, they are screaming like banshee babies, banging on the wall, and trying to take everyone down with them.
01:05:23.000And I hope we get legitimate investigations with a calm, rational hand and we say, Sir, it is nothing but you broke the law and you will be charged and you will answer because we have a constitution and we have a legal process.
01:06:24.000It's only gotten worse since the 1950s.
01:06:26.000And at a certain point, the system becomes strained.
01:06:29.000And when the system becomes strained, and they keep trying to engage in these schemes, like, let's say, for instance, right now, mass migration to pump up the jobs numbers and keep the economy going, culturally, the system starts to break down.
01:06:54.000And that means you're going to have to do some hard work.
01:06:57.000But people on the right have no problem with hard work, rolling up their sleeves and doing the work to generate the labor that brings them value.
01:07:03.000The liberal economic order system is, we don't do the work, we don't export goods, we go and bomb other countries.
01:07:09.000So if you want to sit around and be lazy and fat and eat wings, you want to vote Democrat.
01:07:13.000I think the continuation of the liberal world order will hinge on the future of the South China Sea.
01:07:19.000With how things go down in a future conflict between China and Taiwan is how I think this weighs one way or another.
01:07:25.000Because that's where like a third of the world's economy is.
01:07:39.000Trump is part of the deep state cabal, and the whole conflict between Trump and the deep state is the larger conspiracy, and it doesn't matter who wins.
01:07:45.000It's still the same game as it always was, but now they're trying to make it—I really doubt that.
01:08:08.000We can pull over to the gas station, we can fix the tires, fix the engine before it blows.
01:08:12.000Democrats say, no, pedal to the metal and push it as hard as we can, and if the engine blows, it blows, but we'll make it to our destination.
01:08:40.000See, when you look at Democrats, they're not having kids.
01:08:43.000And you can call it a hodgepodge of their cultural ideas, but for whatever reason, you cannot increase the jobs numbers when your population is declining.
01:08:52.000So they're bringing in as many people from other countries as they can.
01:08:55.000The problem is that they're doing to the United States economy through its population what we saw in 2008 with a subprime mortgage loan crisis.
01:09:03.000They are taking AAA-rated, high-skill workers from a developed nation, and they are dumping in low-skill, uneducated workers from third-world nations, and they're calling it the American economy.
01:09:15.000But sooner or later, the culture can't maintain itself.
01:09:18.000If Democrats overwhelmingly rely on people who are multicultural from all different places, they're not going to be able to muster up control of cultural institutions.
01:09:28.000That's why I think we're seeing the right.
01:09:32.000I think the liberal world order is suffering from a certain amount of its own success with how rapidly we've become so rich and are dealing with the consequences of that.
01:09:45.000Why it matters, though, is an important and key question here because Why I think it matters is because I think our values, although somewhat perverted through some of our elected officials, even the perverted versions are endlessly better than the alternative, which is a communist China allied with an Islamist Iran and a dictatorial Russia.
01:10:04.000And geopolitics is a zero-sum game, so if Taiwan's not on our side, China will take it over.
01:10:10.000If China takes over a third of world trade, then the dominant force on planet Earth will be that led by communist ideology.
01:10:39.000Ukraine had an option of staying in the Russian free trade zone or joining the EU, and Ukraine wanted to join the EU because They want Schengen zone.
01:10:49.000They want their economy to be boosted.
01:11:04.000What ends up happening is Russia says, and Putin actually talks about this in his interview with Tucker Carlson, he says, if you guys join the trade zone, the Eurozone, You're gonna bring all these European products without tariffs or controls, and then we have an open border with you and it floods into Russia, disrupting our economy, so we're gonna close our borders if you do this.
01:11:23.000Putin said to Ukraine, I will give you billions and billions if you don't do this.
01:11:27.000And they said, they're going to offer us billions more.
01:11:30.000And so then Putin said, okay, then I'll invade you instead.
01:12:42.000So you had Yanukovych and you had, you know, pretty good relationship with Russia.
01:12:47.000As good as he could possibly get while keeping the EU on board, by the way.
01:12:51.000There was no animus, there was no active animus between Ukraine and the EU during this period of time, but there were overtures from the EU.
01:12:58.000Look, we want to expand its power fully understandable, that's why we left, we didn't want to be a part of that, you know, the whole Brexit thing was, you know, the war stuff was a big part of it.
01:13:08.000Right, so the argument is that the US, and people say the CIA, but it's Western powers, it's NATO countries included.
01:14:04.000And this is what we were warning about, and this is what Nigel gave speeches about in the European Parliament on the run-up to that war, is that actually a war is not a victory for the West.
01:14:14.000It's not what we want to be a part of.
01:14:16.000It is not what we want on our doorstep.
01:14:17.000You know, what it's caused in terms of refugees across Europe as well, Ukrainians moving across Europe, it's been absolutely devastating for not—it's been devastating for the EU.
01:14:27.000It's been devastating for the UK, and we're not even in it anymore.
01:14:30.000So, bigger picture, the issue is You're familiar with the Qatar-Turkey pipeline story, and it goes well back before that as well, but basically Gazprom controls about 20% of natural gas into Europe, Russia controls Gazprom of course, they've got Nord Stream, and the U.S.
01:14:46.000is trying to cut their market monopoly, their large controlling share, so they can compete and get prices down.
01:14:53.000The idea, on the surface, because a lot of people don't agree this is true, but the surface idea was that The Europe needs cheaper energy to expand more rapidly.
01:15:01.000The cost of petrol, the fighting, all these things.
01:15:03.000Some people believe the climate change stuff is an excuse to try and control fuel so they can basically market-seize it and put it where they want to put it.
01:16:03.000Otherwise, they're going to keep the prices high.
01:16:05.000And this bubbles up into the conflict we're seeing today.
01:16:08.000And the argument is, again, all on the surface, because some argue that Democrats are colluding with the Chinese communists.
01:16:13.000That's why Hunter and Joe flew on Air Force Two for the private equity deal in China.
01:16:18.000But the general idea is that you cannot defeat China so long as they're aligned with Russia, because Russia will rush to their aid and make them strong.
01:16:28.000If a conflict with Taiwan happens, then we go to conflict with China, We're in water battles, struggling.
01:16:57.000Shutting down their Black Sea fleet and Sevastopol allows us to stop them from selling oil to the Mediterranean, crippling their economy, putting them in a weakened state.
01:17:05.000And once they're weakened, then should the China-Taiwan conflict erupt, we have a clear shot at shutting down China as well.
01:17:11.000That's the surface-level foreign policy argument that people will tell you.
01:17:15.000Granted, there's a lot of other theories about actually the Democrats are working with the Chinese.
01:17:20.000I think there's a failure of Europeans to understand Vladimir Putin for what he is.
01:17:26.000Angela Merkel deciding to extend the Nord Stream 2 pipeline is only giving additional political leverage to Putin.
01:17:33.000In their ideas, it was, oh, free markets will give us leverage over Russia because we're paying them for gas.
01:17:40.000Therefore, you know, peace is preferable.
01:17:42.000But that's assuming that Putin isn't some sort of Russian irredentist.
01:17:46.000The economy is a means to an end to try to take over more parts of what he views as prior Russian Federation territory.
01:17:55.000Yeah, and Donald Trump has said this before.
01:17:56.000The Germans and Europeans accepting cheap gas from Russia is only allowing more leverage of the Russians on top of the Europeans, because now you have to consider, oh, if I do this, will the Russians not sell oil to us and jack up prices?
01:18:10.000Cost of living goes up, and now I'm unpopular in Europe.
01:18:13.000And it's another good reason why Trump was telling them, you've got to pay your fair share.
01:18:17.000And recently Germany issued an arrest warrant for a Ukrainian for bombing Nord Stream 2.
01:18:21.000Well that's why it's a good reason that Nord Stream 2 is blown up, because now we eliminated the leverage that the Russians can have.
01:18:27.000And this is why Germany's mad, because Germany has not been...
01:18:32.000I don't know what the right word is for it, but they've been rather, we're going to work with Russia, why not?
01:18:49.000You know European politics better than we do, so it's just... Let's save a little bit for the members-only show, for sure, because I definitely want to talk about this story.
01:19:11.000Savannah Hernandez says, still can't get over this Haitian dude walking around with an entire goose like it's a freshly prepared bag of Chick-fil-A.
01:19:30.000But it's just a picture of a black man with a goose.
01:19:33.000Okay, now, look, I know it's probably not the most probable outcome, but could you imagine if this guy's name is, like, Henry Smith, and he just went hunting with his buddies?
01:20:07.000But the big story is, in Ohio, locals are complaining that Haitian migrants are catching ducks in the park and then cooking and eating them.
01:20:21.000I just want to say one more thing before we get into the deep, deep dive on this.
01:20:25.000There's something funny to me about people eating dinosaur-shaped chicken paste, breaded, dipped in ketchup, complaining about a man catching a bird to eat it.
01:20:37.000You know, it's like, I get it, it's not, it's probably illegal depending on where you are because there's restrictions on when you can hunt.
01:20:43.000People don't like it when you take the ducks out of their park or whatever, and they're federally protected.
01:20:47.000But it is funny that we're at this point where modern civilized society is like, EGAD!
01:20:53.000And you know, you go 100, 200 years, 100 years ago in New York, they'd walk outside their houses in New York, throw a net over a bunch of passenger pigeons, and just drag them inside and eat them.
01:21:04.000Sure, but in this case, they're talking about the docks in the local park that probably everyone takes their toddlers to feed.
01:21:09.000I mean, it's more equivalent if someone stole your cat or dog out of your yard.
01:21:13.000Then, I don't care if you're eating chicken nuggets, I would also say, yes, very bad.
01:21:20.000The greatest irony here is that these companies that make the chicken nuggets and all of that, they actually mass employ illegal migrant, undocumented migrant labor.
01:21:30.000So they're bringing over the migrants who are eating the real chickens in the fields while you're eating the paste, right?
01:21:37.000Well, you don't want to eat, you know, they say about when you're making something, you'd want to see it, you get it?
01:21:41.000This is really a story about the rising cost of living in certain communities.
01:21:45.000People have to go hunting for their own ducks and how desperate some migrants apparently are.
01:22:02.000Um, I think it's, like, kind of odd that, like, a guy like me has to come out from doing what I do on a daily basis to have fun, because I see what's going on in these streets, and I see you guys just sitting up there in them comfy chairs and suits, and, like, and I'm getting out here every day, and I'm broadcasting this, and you guys are just sitting up there in suits or something.
01:22:18.000Like, I, I really challenge you guys to get out here and do something.
01:22:21.000These Haitians are running into trash cans, they're running into buildings, they're running They're flipping cars in the middle of the street, and it's nothing but immigrants over there.
01:22:33.000And I don't even want to seem like I'm coming down on the immigrants, because it's the people that's bringing them down here.
01:22:38.000Because wherever they're at, that's what they're used to, bro.
01:22:41.000They're in the park, grabbing up ducks by their neck and cutting their head off and walking off with them and eating them.
01:23:24.000Job opportunities in Springfield have attracted thousands of Haitians since the pandemic, with city officials estimating that as many as 20,000 have arrived.
01:23:31.000By most accounts, the immigrant community has helped revitalize the town, though it has put pressure on housing, schools, and hospital.
01:23:39.000Is the New York Times saying that locals are complaining about this?
01:23:40.00058,000 people as of the last census in 2020.
01:23:44.000Resentment is also brewed among some residents over an immigrant's presence, and those emotions
01:23:48.000have bubbled over since an immigrant driver was involved in a fatal school bus crash last
01:24:07.000i mean we split a video of a guy saying hey man that they're catching ducks
01:24:11.000Well, he's just a local resident, whereas a local official said it's not happening.
01:24:15.000So it's really, who can you trust here?
01:24:17.000You know, immigration, there are obviously a lot of issues with illegal immigration and how cultures mesh.
01:24:21.000But I'm looking up Springfield, Ohio, and I think they have an extremely high gun crime rate, too.
01:24:26.000So there, you know, this duck issue and how the migrants are getting along with the natives in this town are an issue.
01:24:32.000But maybe there's more of a problem with gunplay in the community.
01:24:35.000They formed an immigration task force in 2023.
01:24:39.000I mean, obviously absorbing, you know, if in 2020 it was 58,000 people and they absorbed basically, you know, half of or just under half of that population again, that's pretty significant.
01:24:52.000I know that the line is that immigration is here to save us from our collapsing birth rates and dying towns.
01:24:57.000I just don't know that that's the case.
01:24:59.000If you have an immigrant population that is not here to assimilate and live by the values, right?
01:25:05.000Like, and I'm not even talking about the goose snatching and the kitten snatching or whatever it is.
01:25:09.000You know, if you have a group of people that, you know, don't want to speak the local language, they don't want to abide by the local laws, yes, you might literally be filling vacant houses.
01:25:18.000On the other hand, you are causing other issues for your community.
01:25:21.000I could understand the residents' frustration, but Being told constantly, like, no, they're fine, and immigrants are a blessing is making it worse.
01:25:27.000It's making it more difficult for everyone involved.
01:25:30.000Well, so this is in a county that 60% supported Trump in 2020, and 37% is Democrat.
01:25:33.000Trump in 2020 and 37% is Democrat. I have to imagine those 37% Democrat are now
01:25:41.000all Trump supporters. We'll have to keep track of how many vote.
01:25:46.000One of the lines I'm seeing from a lot of people is that the Biden administration brought these migrants into a Trump, largely Trump-supporting town.
01:25:53.000I just want to say, I mean, if this guy is saying, I don't even want to say it's the immigrants, he sounds like he's more of a Democrat-leaning guy.
01:26:19.000Not all of them, but it's going to create Trump support.
01:26:23.000In the long run, it's a bad thing, but it results in people saying, fix it, and going to the guy who they think can.
01:26:29.000Do you think we'll get a pushback from Democrats saying, look, these people are just hunting public ducks and that's OK?
01:26:35.000And that's why, you know, you don't need your guns.
01:26:36.000You could just catch things by hand because these people are doing it.
01:26:39.000I mean, I think that there are a lot of ways to spin this argument, you know, for and against what's happening here.
01:26:44.000On the other hand, I think it's really asking this town, which we're already acknowledging is economically disadvantaged, to pay the price for a federal fight over whether or not we should allow Haitian immigrants in.
01:26:57.000And, you know, you look at the type of story it is, this is not an isolated incident as far as we understand.
01:27:06.000Migrants in the Western world, especially illegal, especially recent, having, you know, taken part of things like this.
01:27:14.000We've seen it in Europe, we've seen it in England all the time.
01:27:19.000Look, I don't know whether that guy with the goose was a guy with a goose or whatever, but the fact is it doesn't seem to stretch credulity.
01:27:26.000And a lot of people will look at that and be like, yep, sounds about right, and kind of move on with their day, right?
01:27:32.000And we shouldn't even be in that situation.
01:27:34.000This should not be... This should not... This, Tim, is what I would have said probably could not have predicted 10 years ago.
01:27:43.000Is you putting that up on the screen right now.
01:28:16.000So, I mean, is catch and releasing the ducks a bad thing?
01:28:20.000He's not really releasing it in the park, though, if he's walking it across the crosswalk.
01:28:23.000I'm saying if you walked up to a duck and picked it up, and they're like, look, I got a duck, and you let it go, I don't think anybody would care.
01:29:29.000People still hunt deer, even though we don't get it as sort of a grocery store meat.
01:29:34.000What's stranger to me is that you would have someone who has arrived in America and is like, well, I'll just continue hunting from the local public park.
01:29:42.000Like, wouldn't you think at a certain point you would hope that you'd be like, you don't need to do that anymore.
01:29:51.000That scene where he explains how they've put all of the low credit score garbage rated mortgages into the nice ones to make it look like it's nice.
01:30:03.000Basically they're like, hey 100% of these are good, put 20% bad ones in and it's an 80% good security and that we can monetize the garbage.
01:30:11.000What we're seeing now is, in order to maintain the economy because of a declining population, Democrats are largely saying, just let all of the migrants come and enter the border illegally.
01:30:56.000So when you bring in people who don't make as much money to try and replace... Look, you got someone who's 65, COVID happens, and they're like, look, I make $60, $70 a year, but I'm done.
01:31:14.000Plus, the young people can't just jump into that position without training.
01:31:17.000So I think COVID caused a serious managerial crisis in our economy.
01:31:21.000And I think it's just, it's a freight train that got slammed to a stop and crashed, and now they can't figure it out again.
01:31:27.000Not that they can't figure it out, but it's really difficult to get going.
01:31:31.000And they're just saying, Bring in 15 million people and it'll do something.
01:31:38.000We're struggling too because we can't decrease the population pyramid because as a result of that our tax revenue would decrease as we have an increasing amount of old people in our country, and then we have Medicaid, Medicare, and Social Security that will have to be paid out, that is going to be insoluble, it's untenable for the future, and that's when the crisis will hit.
01:31:58.000So that's why we need to continue, that's why Our economy is forced to continue bringing in young people, young migrants, is the idea behind it.
01:32:19.000And the issue, I think, aside from this, is that culturally you cannot maintain that system.
01:32:25.000So what we end up seeing is the media claiming it's not happening.
01:32:30.000Aurora, Colorado, this is the funniest thing.
01:32:32.000When this migrant gang takeover stuff started happening, the police largely were telling people to avoid the area, and that was like a year ago.
01:32:38.000Now, it became a big talking point where the right actually started spreading the story, and the media comes out and says, it's a lie, it's not happening.
01:32:44.000And you just go, I think it was Anna Kasparian, she was like, uh, here's a quote from a year ago where they said it was happening?
01:33:54.000Can I just ask why we haven't mentioned Americans having more babies?
01:34:00.000And that, I think, is the appropriate thing to do, and that's why, you know, on shows like this we advocate for it.
01:34:05.000That's why I will give a shout-out to Kamala Harris for her new policy on her website where she says she wants to increase the child tax credit.
01:34:13.000There's a really long conversation to be had about what to do... Which she stole from J.D.
01:35:02.000So you, a singular bachelor male, want to enjoy all that society has to offer, But parents who are having children, maintaining the country and the economy, and literally creating the future, are doing the hard work, and you want their labor for free.
01:35:18.000No, they want my labor for free to pay for their children.
01:35:21.000No, see, you're not contributing to the future of the country.
01:35:26.000Man, my age contributes the most to the economy.
01:35:30.000I don't think I should be burdened with the tax burden of helping people who do decide to have families.
01:35:38.000If you decide to have 10 kids, God bless you, you should pay for them.
01:35:41.000I shouldn't be burdened with raising your kid.
01:35:43.000The state shouldn't be burdened with raising your kid.
01:38:17.000Okay, so you said a minute ago you don't think government should have a role in setting policy that grows the family populations across the country.
01:38:24.000At least it decides where it's doing it.
01:38:26.000What do you call it when a government presides over a shrinking and failing nation?
01:38:31.000I think it's because it's too involved.
01:38:33.000The more involved they get, they don't understand how to properly get the basics right.
01:38:38.000We do gotta go to Super Chats, but I think my general understanding is that ELAD is opposed to the concept of a nation-state, where a group of people form rules to maintain their existence and their way of life.
01:38:50.000Your worldview is, I should not have to contribute to the furtherance of this nation, I would be burdened by that.
01:38:57.000I think through society's cultural and different societal structures beyond the government,
01:39:55.000Everybody should be worried about that.
01:39:56.000We're gonna go to Super Chat, so if you haven't already, would you kindly smash that like button, subscribe to this channel, share this with your friends, head over to TimCast.com, click join us, or sign up, you can click sign up, become a member to support our work because, oh boy, we are less than two months in the election, and it's already getting very, very, very spicy.
01:40:16.000So we've got some legal bills, but I'll have some updates for you in this coming week.
01:40:21.000We'll see how things end up playing out.
01:40:24.000There's several big stories in the news, but we need your support.
01:40:26.000TimCast.com, if you like the show that we do and you think it should continue, become a member, and then the Members Only Uncensored show is coming up at 10, where we'll probably argue about families and war.
01:41:33.000We played covers of, you know, Crawling, and In The End, and those were our favorites, and Papercut, and, you know, that was when Hybrid Theory came out.
01:41:40.000And in those clips, it sounded to me like she was trying to sound like Chester, and her brain was just going to, what would Chester sound like?
01:44:23.000But then I made a picture of a chicken in a futuristic neon, you know, city with sunglasses on.
01:44:30.000What I wanted to do was make little neon sunglasses for one of the chickens, because they have these things you put on their beaks that cover their eyes so they don't peck each other.
01:45:06.000And then I kind of just stopped promoting it.
01:45:08.000And so now it does bring in a good amount of money.
01:45:10.000The way it works is when you super chat live, it fills up a meter, and once the meter reaches $100, it plays a chicken party dance song and makes treats come down.
01:45:21.000The funny thing is, at first, It's me screaming, chicken party, and then a dance song plays.
01:45:26.000The chickens would just be like, looking around like, what?
01:45:29.000But then the food would come down, they'd run over the food.
01:45:31.000It didn't take them long to realize, when you hear me going, chicken party!
01:45:35.000They run full speed like, food's coming!
01:45:38.000And so it's funny to watch the little morons run to get chickens.
01:45:42.000Well, I know what I'm going to do before the debate tomorrow, for the warm-up.
01:46:27.000Because, uh, he was only, I think, like, a year and a half or two years old, and, uh, Kim, our chicken tender, was washing his feet off, because, you know, it happens, and then he just went, and died.
01:47:03.000Andrew Aborney says, here is some lawyer money.
01:47:06.000My question though, why do people complain about wanting to tax the rich corporations more, and the same people complain about then having record profits?
01:47:14.000Like you should want corporations to have a profit so they get taxed.
01:49:10.000Davey Boy says, real quick, how much will the polls go up if Trump says that he'll pardon Hunter Biden if he were to get re-elected during the Trump v. Harris debate?
01:49:38.000The government has no right to do that.
01:49:39.000If you're caught with a weapon and in possession, I agree.
01:49:42.000You know, you get arrested or whatever, you get charged.
01:49:44.000But the idea that the government says, you have to incriminate yourself to us right now, I think is wrong.
01:49:50.000If he wins on appeal and it goes to the Supreme Court on the gun charge, then they could throw out the whole thing and say the government has no right to ask people to self-incriminate.
01:50:00.000Biden said he wouldn't pardon his son if convicted.
01:50:02.000I don't believe him, but that's the right thing to say.
01:50:05.000That was specifically in the tax stuff, too, I think, though.
01:50:08.000I don't know where with the gun charge.
01:50:08.000He said it first with the gun charge, and then when Hunter pled guilty in the tax stuff, he reiterated it via Corinne Jean-Pierre, which, you know, I really don't know how much he actually talks to him.
01:50:18.000I don't think anyone knows what Joe Biden's up to these days.
01:50:22.000I'm pretty sure he's still on a beach vacation as far as I'm concerned.
01:50:25.000No, I think he's back at the White House.
01:50:26.000So it was Robert Steinhauer who said, y'all should get Nate Silver and Alan Lichtman on the Culture War podcast before the election, and Rich Barris.
01:50:44.000Actually, just having Nate Silver on to explain the forecast model and breakdown, what he thinks would be absolutely fantastic, even if it was just him and maybe like, you know, Hannah Clarison, when we just talked to him about forecasting.
01:51:47.000You know, I do agree with you, though, that...
01:51:50.000These simplistic worldview plans of like, how about we make it so that if you've got three kids, you don't have to pay taxes, and you end up with corporations where they're like, marry a random woman with three kids to get tax-exempt status.
01:52:03.000You end up, what would happen is a corporation would say, for 10% of your yearly income, we'll marry you to this woman with three kids, and you save 30% in taxes, and it doesn't work the same way.
01:52:13.000We already have anchor babies, but now we're going to have income.
01:52:54.000She went on one of her, like, you have to be healthier campaigns, and I think it took away the things that people were excited for in school.
01:56:01.000When Joe Rogan is an old man, 40 years from now or whatever, and he passes, are we going to see the same bipartisan sadness?
01:56:11.000Or will the country just be a fractured state where The left is just, like, good riddance to a bad problem, you know what I mean?
01:56:18.000Anti-vax lunatic finally passes away at age.
01:56:23.000And then, God forbid, he is killed by something that, you know, a vaccine was able to prevent or some medicine was able to prevent, which, you know, it happens to a lot of people.
01:56:32.000I think the former Apple CEO, like, didn't accept cancer medication until it was too late because they wanted to go, like, a homeopathic path.
01:56:38.000Yeah, Tim Apple, no I'm kidding, Steve Jobs had, I think he had pancreatic cancer, and so he went on an all-fruit diet, is that what happened?
01:57:10.000The modern research is that cancer feeds off glucose, and when you switch to a ketone-based diet, I don't know if this is true, talk to a doctor, I'm not trying to give anybody a cure for cancer, but the idea is that switching to a ketone-based diet, meaning high fat, so 120 or so grams of fat, 120 protein, and almost no carbs, The cancer can't grow, it has no sugar.
01:57:30.000So, the ketones, your body runs just fine.
01:57:33.000I like how you had to have that disclaimer, though.
01:57:35.000Just in case there was somebody out there with cancer watching being like, right, this is it.
01:59:09.000I feel like Chester has such an intense following and support and like Linkin Park had a specific sound that it's just hard to replicate.
01:59:20.000It would have been better to to form as something else.
01:59:23.000I mean you were saying before you feel like she's sort of mimicking his style.
01:59:26.000Wouldn't it be better to say like we miss performing together you know obviously we can't replace Chester but we want to start giving our fans some new type of music moving forward?
01:59:34.000I think another of the band members is also no longer touring with them.