On today's show, we discuss the revelation that the FBI authorized the use of lethal force against Donald Trump and his security team in a raid at his Mar-a-lago resort. Plus, the Trump hush money trial is in full swing, and the judge is now questioning a key witness.
00:01:40.000Plus, in the Trump hush money trial, the defense has arrested after one day, and it was already nuts yesterday when the judge was like screaming, yelling at one of the witnesses.
00:01:53.000And now, questions, of course, as to what is actually going to happen this November.
00:01:58.000And I want to give a shout out to our good friend Bill Maher over at his show, because he called Joe Biden cadaver-like and Dracula on The View.
00:02:06.000And so I can respect Bill Maher being wrong about a lot of things, but also at least recognizing the faults with Joe Biden.
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00:04:30.000Joining us tonight to talk about this and so much more is Bradley Devlin.
00:04:34.000Hi guys, Bradley Devlin, political editor at the American Conservative.
00:04:37.000Happy to be here on a great show and in a super awesome studio.
00:04:53.000Yeah, a lot of people were saying the last studio, I thought it was really small, and it was longer, but now this room is actually evened out and big, which gave us a little echo problem, but you know, we're there.
00:05:59.000And now we'll add one more on top. In this filing, this document released by Julie Kelly,
00:06:06.000we can see in the document it says, law enforcement officers,
00:06:09.000the Department of Justice may use deadly force when necessary.
00:06:12.000The agents planned to bring standard issue weapons, ammo, handcuffs, and medium and large size bolt cutters, but they were instructed to wear unmarked polo or collared shirts and to keep law enforcement equipment concealed.
00:06:27.000I'm going to tell you my opinions right away.
00:06:28.000There is no competent human who does this without the expectation this could lead to death, to an active shootout between the Secret Service and unmarked law enforcement agents.
00:06:44.000We all remember the story of... What was that woman's name?
00:07:08.000I believe, you know, we've actually interviewed one of the cops involved and they did announce themselves.
00:07:12.000They knocked and then, you know, the guy shot at them.
00:07:14.000I'm only bringing this story up because the left's perspective on it was that she was sleeping in her bed and these cops didn't announce themselves and opened fire on her.
00:07:22.000That means it is well established in the psyche of your liberals, of your Democrats, that police officers who show up to enforce the law but are not wearing identifiable outfits create the perception of a burglary or a robbery or an assault attack.
00:07:39.000This had the potential, the high potential, in my opinion, to result in Trump security guards.
00:07:45.000I was just at Mar-a-Lago, I'll tell you, and Secret Service.
00:08:01.000Many people on social media are already saying this was an assassination attempt.
00:08:05.000Could you imagine if what could have happened if this went the way of what one of these stories we hear in the press where you know cops who don't identify themselves end up getting into shootouts?
00:08:15.000I almost think that either these people are as stupid as stupid can be or they were crossing their fingers that they would get a news report of Trump security opens fire on FBI.
00:08:25.000Do they think that Donald Trump is like Like Scarface?
00:08:29.000Because you know that the only people that are going to be actually engaging with them, if there were to be a gunfight, it would be Secret Service.
00:08:36.000It would be FBI versus Secret Service.
00:08:39.000Because Donald Trump ain't going to be there with a machine gun, like, come and get me.
00:08:43.000So the idea that it was like to... I don't understand why the Department of Justice would say, We're allowing you to get into a gunfight.
00:08:56.000We're saying it's acceptable for you to get into a gunfight with the Secret Service.
00:08:59.000Because, again, it's not Donald Trump.
00:09:02.000They could just call the Secret Service and say, we're going to have some, two FBI agents are going to come down and we're going to do a sweep.
00:09:07.000And they would have been like, you got it.
00:09:30.000Right. We had heard reports in the past that Secret Service had coordinated with Trump and with the DOJ and with the
00:09:39.000archives about this documents problem.
00:09:42.000Now we need to know exactly what the Secret Service knew, because if the Secret Service didn't know anything, I mean...
00:09:48.000I think these documents prove they didn't because there's a line in one of them, if I'm not, if I'm remembering
00:09:53.000correctly, where it says, you know, if the U.S.
00:09:56.000Secret Service resists, like, here's how to proceed.
00:09:59.000They talk about the possibility that the Secret Service are not working with them.
00:10:02.000Now, maybe that's to account for A potential agent who's like, hey, I don't believe in this, but really it seems like they were operating completely independently than this other government agency, and the only reason they would do that is to have the element of surprise.
00:10:17.000Donald Trump to be there, you know, armed and dangerous, ready to defend his territory?
00:10:21.000That doesn't seem like it, however cool that visual might be to some people.
00:10:25.000The reality is they treated him like a hostile mob member because that's how they perceive him.
00:10:31.000They believe that he is incredibly dangerous and that he is, you know, capable of harming people in a crazy way, when in fact they are setting up a situation that could become incredibly dangerous quickly.
00:10:44.000And like Tim is saying, this is a narrative that everyone on the left repeats all the time.
00:10:49.000If you have a plainclothes officer who doesn't identify themselves, they actually, theoretically, in the minds of the left, create the dangerous situation.
00:10:56.000Now why would you send all of these people in in unmarked polos?
00:10:59.000What are we trying to accomplish here?
00:11:01.000I think the defense will be from the other side of the aisle from the Biden administration.
00:11:04.000Oh, well, you know, he's a former president.
00:11:06.000So we didn't want to seem like we were just swarming Mar-a-Lago.
00:11:09.000Except we all know, we all saw the videos.
00:11:11.000This is exactly what they wanted it to seem like.
00:11:13.000Because again, to them, Trump is a corrupt mod boss who they have the right to stand up against.
00:11:36.000And if they do, wow, then we need to then then all the criticisms of the FBI are warranted.
00:11:42.000The idea that they have to worry about a former president who's under Secret Service, they can't go to the Secret Service and say, OK, hey, guys, we're going to be I'm assuming they even inform the Secret Service, right?
00:11:52.000There's no, there's no justification for the bringing of weapons and the use of deadly force in this capacity.
00:13:36.000But the other part of this is that we know that the Biden administration is somewhat dysfunctional.
00:13:40.000I mean, how could the defense secretary go missing for like a week and not tell anyone unless it's normal for people to go offline and not tell Biden what's going on?
00:13:50.000Either way, this doesn't paint a good picture for the Biden administration.
00:13:54.000And there are parts of it where I want to say, like, I saw some reports, you know, pointing out that there was a medic on scene, that part of the filing points out, like, if anything happens, you'll go to this hospital.
00:14:02.000And if we're giving them benefit of the doubt, let's say that's just standard protocol.
00:14:06.000If you're going to authorize this type of force, then you have to have a plan for this kind of thing.
00:14:10.000But The fact that this was just a conversation, everybody was like, well, obviously there's a chance that this kind of force could be necessary, is bizarre to me.
00:14:19.000And again, I can't help but stress, I think this shows how deranged people are when it comes to Donald Trump.
00:14:25.000And that puts a lot of people in danger.
00:14:28.000It puts anyone who supports him into a level, it makes them vulnerable to a level of scrutiny that nobody else is.
00:14:41.000It's a worrying headline, you know, and part of me is like, I know a lot of people are constantly concerned about what's going to happen this November.
00:14:50.000There's a lot of people who live, it's really fascinating, if you say, if you report on a story like this and just show the document where they were showing up with standard issue weapons, ammo, and the preparation and authorization to use deadly force, There, people are going to get mad.
00:15:04.000They're going to be like, this is crazy.
00:15:09.000If you don't talk about it, then you get people who are being like, why aren't you talking about the important issues?
00:15:14.000It's just, people are going to get mad no matter what.
00:15:19.000And the challenge, I suppose, is knowing when these stories are flash, when it's a flash in the pan, or are we really inching towards some kind of actual catastrophe?
00:15:30.000I feel like You know, in the winter things get slow.
00:16:22.000I mean, this does seem like a gut check to the normies, especially the normies who hold out on Trump because they are afraid that the 45th president is constantly, always, and everywhere breaking every constitutional norm possible.
00:16:37.000And then they make some argument about our democracy.
00:16:42.000These documents prove that the Biden administration, the so-called adults that were
00:16:47.000supposed to be in the room, right, the so-called return to normal, basically means effectively
00:16:52.000that the Constitution is a dead letter, right? Because either the executive of this country
00:16:56.000has been vested with the executive power and powers and duties that correspond with it or not.
00:17:01.000And very clearly, the government is operating off of the assumption that the president has no
00:17:34.000He didn't always have the personnel to best help him do it.
00:17:37.000But at least he, like, has a gut instinct for, I am the president of the United States and therefore preside over the executive branch.
00:17:44.000And that actually is, you know, regardless of any law degree that Biden may or may not have gotten, like, that seems more constitutional than any sort of constitutionalism that Biden and his administration is putting forward at the moment.
00:18:00.000Well, let's jump to the next big breaking story as it pertains to Donald Trump.
00:18:03.000The hush money trials entered its new phase after the defense rests without testimony from the former president.
00:18:10.000I can't say I'm very surprised, but the Trump defense team had half a day.
00:18:23.000So the big story here, which we didn't really talk about too much yesterday, But I think actually is, um... Well, it's, it's, it's a bit shocking.
00:18:42.000They called Robert Costello, who completely obliterated the prosecution's case.
00:18:48.000Former lawyer, or legal advisor, depending on the reports, they, you know, some reports say he was a lawyer.
00:18:53.000For Cohen, saying Cohen had nothing, Cohen said he would lie, Cohen did this of his own volition, and what we learned from this is that if the defense is telling the truth, Cohen stole around a quarter of a million dollars in the Trump Organization without Trump knowing.
00:19:07.000The reimbursement for Stormy Daniels, Trump didn't know about.
00:19:10.000The $30K he stole and pocketed from the money that was supposed to go to Red Finch, Trump didn't know about.
00:19:15.000The tax reimbursement, they didn't know about.
00:19:16.000The tax reimbursement also shows that they thought they were just paying Cohen for his labor.
00:19:22.000Here's your labor plus additional for any tax liability that you may incur due to, you know, taking care of these things or paying for services.
00:19:34.000Now that's if the defense is telling the truth.
00:19:36.000When Costello comes in to testify, the judge basically refuses to allow him.
00:19:40.000Which is crazy considering they let Stormy Daniels effectively accuse Trump of raping her, but then Costello comes up and says, I was his lawyer, here's what happened, and they're just like, shut your mouth.
00:19:48.000The judge actually yells at him, Like, it is unheard of.
00:19:53.000All these political commentators and pundits on TV are like, a judge yelling at a witness?
00:20:08.000And correct me if I'm wrong, but Murshan was appointed for this?
00:20:12.000It wasn't through the traditional judicial process?
00:20:15.000I can't remember off the top of my mind.
00:20:21.000I might be getting my wires crossed here, but I know that Judge McAfee in Georgia presiding over the Fulton County case, he was appointed, and this is his first time going up for re-election.
00:21:34.000You know, hypothetically, they could have summations on Thursday and start deliberations on Friday, but I guess that's not how he wants to handle it.
00:21:42.000You know, this whole case is really interesting to me Because so much of it just completely rested on the shoulders of Michael Cohen.
00:21:51.000Michael Cohen who's been convicted of lying under oath and of campaign finance and tax evasion.
00:21:56.000So he's got a background of financial crime and he's been convicted of lying and unsurprisingly yesterday he was once again like yes I am a thief and a liar and This is what the New York state had.
00:22:11.000There are other reports that talk about the fact that this case has come up and different people, including Allen Bragg's office, had been like, well, we're not going to take it.
00:22:42.000I don't think that they ever had a strong case in the first place.
00:22:46.000And I think that that's kind of the situation with all of the cases.
00:22:49.000We were talking before the show started about just the overall situation as to how all of the legal stuff is panning out against Trump.
00:22:57.000None of it is going the way that any of the Democrats would have expected, I think.
00:23:01.000And I think that if they look back now and they look back and they're like, these probably should not have happened, we shouldn't have gone Gone through with all of the, all of this legal, um, all of the, the, the lawfare because it's not, it's not working out.
00:23:15.000And these, the results are generally making people sympathetic to Trump.
00:23:20.000One thing that was particularly revealing about Costello's testimony to Congress, when Cohen was on the stand, Costello was on Capitol Hill talking to the Weaponization Subcommittee in a hearing about lawfare, and basically explaining that lawfare isn't always the court cases that end up on the docket.
00:23:41.000It's dangling a judgeship here or a pardon here in that smoke-filled room, right?
00:23:46.000All of those really funny tropes about what politics actually is.
00:23:50.000And Costello and his fellow witnesses kind of pointed out like, yeah, to a certain extent, that's true.
00:23:58.000And so for me, right, I'm looking at this, regardless of how it pans out, because I think you and I agree, like, no one can actually read the tea leaves at this point on what damage this is doing to Trump and the damage it's actually doing to Biden's reputation.
00:24:13.000But one thing is abundantly clear, and that's the Democrats view the process as the punishment.
00:24:21.000I heard this funny comment today that was like, what's the one thing Ed Snowden, Assange, and Trump have in common?
00:24:32.000Not just a broad meta-narrative, but a very concrete thing.
00:24:35.000It's like all three of them charged with the Espionage Act.
00:24:47.000But Trump, with the documents case, charged with the Espionage Act.
00:24:52.000And so all that is to say, like, the state has been so clear in punishing those two men, Edward Snowden and Julian Assange, through a process, right?
00:25:01.000You see the Assange update earlier this week.
00:25:05.000And it's the same exact way for The attorneys that were in Trump's camp that were making, I think, pretty common sense legal arguments about the 2020 election and about possible improprieties and where the president's role is in correcting that, right?
00:25:17.000And the president's authority to interpret the Constitution for himself?
00:25:22.000Like, legislators and the executive and the Supreme Court all have the authority to interpret the Constitution.
00:25:28.000How else are we going to make laws or policies in this country if all three branches of government don't do that?
00:25:33.000But, you know, all that is to say is that those lawyers involved in the Trump case, like The point was to punish the lawyers through the process, know that maybe they're not going to get convictions against them, and also to scare off any sort of legal help that Trump could give in the future.
00:25:54.000Right, and it's to damage their reputations.
00:25:55.000So much of this is about, just like for Trump, the punishment being the process, meaning he's not on the campaign trail.
00:26:01.000And then we heard this over and over again.
00:26:02.000Well, Donald Trump, you know, Joe Biden's out campaigning for stuff and Donald Trump's in a courtroom.
00:26:07.000Because you guys put him there and I think Trump did a pretty good job or at least his campaign did of being like, well, then we're going to use make New York the center of this whole thing.
00:26:16.000We're going to hold rallies more locally to kind of combat that but ultimately.
00:26:22.000I don't know that the effect of sort of demonizing anyone who is tangentially related to Donald Trump, either directly or just through someone through a legal case or whatever, had the intended effect for voters.
00:26:35.000I think ultimately people are starting to feel fatigued, and I think a lot of people are more fearful of the government than Democrats really realize, and seeing the weight of having So many governments, state and federal, come after you is actually something I think that makes Donald Trump sympathetic to the voter because they couldn't handle it, right?
00:26:56.000They don't have the financial resources or the influence that Donald Trump has.
00:27:00.000If the government did this to you, you would be in a worse off position.
00:27:02.000And so they don't want this kind of thing to be playing out over and over again.
00:27:05.000I mean, it's weird when you've got even Bill Maher being like, yeah, Biden's a cadaver, this is it.
00:27:11.000USA Today runs an op-ed from some guy being like, yeah, Biden's got to drop out.
00:27:16.000There's no reality in which any sane person thinks Biden's an actual viable candidate.
00:27:21.000So once again, the only thing they have is orange man bad.
00:27:25.000Only at this point, inflation is so apocalyptic.
00:27:29.000If you are a new voter, if you're a Gen Z voter, and you were 18 in 2019, You have felt the sting of Biden's economic policies more than most people.
00:28:12.000Four years later, that same cheeseburger, on average, is now somewhere around four bucks.
00:28:17.000So it's like your money is being cut in half, you know, every other year or so.
00:28:22.000I mean, so this is, yeah, your money halves every two years.
00:28:27.000Did you see that thing that McDonald's is rolling out the $5 menu, but it has to be subsidized by Coke because they just can't keep prices?
00:28:33.000Wait, subsidized by, like, so Coke is... So they're partnering with Coke and Coke is kicking in several million dollars so they can offer for one month, like, $5 meals, right?
00:28:42.000Like, you can get a McChicken or a burger or whatever else for $5.
00:28:45.000But actually, like, they can't actually offer to you for $5 because inflation is so high.
00:28:50.000Okay, so first of all, the market provides.
00:28:53.000Second of all, that's insane that the market has to do that.
00:28:56.000That the average meal from McDonald's is over $5 now.
00:29:01.000I mean, obviously it's about the value of the currency, and it's because of all the printing of money.
00:29:10.000Like, over a hundred trillion dollars in unfunded liabilities.
00:29:14.000A trillion dollars every hundred days.
00:29:18.000Remember, a trillion seconds ago was 30,000 years before Christ.
00:29:23.000Like, these numbers are absolutely beyond human comprehension.
00:29:28.000Like, most people don't understand it.
00:29:30.000And unless they do something about the unfunded liabilities, unless they do something about Medicare and Medicaid, they're going to blow up the dollar.
00:29:37.000It is absolutely, there is no question that it will happen.
00:29:42.000I hope that Phil says unfunded liabilities is on the official Tim Cass bingo card now.
00:29:46.000It could be either, you know, it could be, uh, it's unfunded liabilities or, uh, not discretionary spending is the stuff that they can, mandatory spending, unfunded liabilities or mandatory spending, same stuff.
00:29:57.000We have this, uh, we have this image that's been going around.
00:30:00.000It's been going viral on X and I posted it with a holy ish.
00:30:04.000I knew Bidenflation was bad, but I didn't realize how bad.
00:30:07.000And you can see McDonald's price increases.
00:30:09.000Now they've chosen some select locations, but it's Chick-fil-A's website, it's Taco Bell's website, and then they use the McDonald's app for the LA Figueroa Street location for their sources.
00:30:22.000In 2019, a medium french fry was $1.79.
00:31:45.000Are you making that much more per hour?
00:31:49.000Has your income gone off enough to afford this?
00:31:52.000There's a great point in there that needs to be pinpointed on.
00:31:57.000When you have low interest rates like we've had for literally the past decade, interest rates at zero, what that does is it means that people that have good credit, that have money, they get the money first.
00:32:09.000and then it filters through the economy. They get the money when there's no inflation. They got the money five years
00:32:16.000ago, four years ago, three years ago, before the inflation really hit
00:32:20.000and then they went and they bought assets, sometimes they spent the money, blah blah blah
00:32:24.000but as the money filters into the economy and then the inflation comes
00:32:29.000because what inflation is is too much money chasing after too
00:32:35.000Once the money gets to the average person, that's when the prices rise.
00:32:41.000So you guys have to pay more money for the prices, but your paycheck hasn't gone up yet.
00:32:50.000Actual increase in The decrease in the dollar amount hasn't hasn't gotten to you yet.
00:32:56.000So your money you don't get more money yet You just have to sit there with less valuable dollars.
00:33:01.000So the people that actually have money your your Banks and wealthy people, they get the money when it's cheap, and they take the loans out when it's cheap, and then the cost gets put onto the poor people.
00:33:16.000So that's why it's such a massive screwing for the average person when you print money and just give it away, because it goes to the people that don't need it first, and then by the time money actually starts affecting the money supply and inflation happens, the average person is screwed.
00:33:32.000Yeah, when you're working down the socioeconomic ladder, the that excess capital in the American economy is getting
00:33:39.000caught up by wealthy people and not put into consumables.
00:35:11.000It might devalue your debt, but at the same time, your entire lifestyle is just getting absolutely destroyed.
00:35:18.000The only people that made out in that is people that got a low-interest home loan right before the inflation and stuff went.
00:35:26.000If you got a 3% mortgage Yeah, I saw a lot of videos of people being like, we thought this was our starter home, but now it's our forever home because our interest rate is so low.
00:35:46.000You know, I think higher education is a really interesting issue, and I think that the Biden administration is really going to struggle to deal with it during the campaign.
00:35:56.000We talk about this a lot, or I bring it up a lot, like Biden keeps saying, oh, I've forgiven all these student loans, but tons are tied up in court.
00:36:03.000And also, he hasn't stopped issuing federal student loans.
00:36:06.000And in fact, so there are tons of, I was just reading this report about how many students are thinking that they're not going to enroll in college because the FAFSA roll, the free application for federal student loans, got so messed up.
00:36:17.000The fact that there were so many students who don't know what kind of aid they're being offered, or they had to get secondary letters that were like, actually, we offered you an incorrect amount.
00:36:25.000I mean, The very small area that Biden thought that he would really just like carry and beat Trump, you know, people interested in going to college and who are willing to take out these loans, they haven't done anyone any favors.
00:36:37.000And it continues to be this message to, I think, young Americans that, you know, you are trying very hard to establish yourselves and potentially start on a strong financial foot.
00:36:47.000And no matter which way you turn, you cannot do that right now.
00:36:51.000And I just don't think that brings voters to the polls.
00:36:54.000The other incentive that the state and institutions of higher education, colleges, universities, what they actually end up subsidizing is more immigration.
00:37:08.000Because at the end of the day, who's actually making sure that the research universities can continue what they do?
00:37:20.000You think of like the archetypical rich Saudi prince who finds his way to Harvard, right?
00:37:26.000That guy's paying an arm and a leg to go to Harvard.
00:37:29.000Meanwhile, you have all sorts of discounts, all sorts of scholarships, all sorts of students not
00:37:37.000actually paying full price for tuition, and the institution basically contracting with the government
00:37:45.000to get that funding over a longer period of time. And then if the state decides to forgive
00:37:51.000the loans of the students and continue to pay it out over time, it only incentivizes more and more
00:37:56.000foreign students coming into our universities and paying an arm and a leg, which like
00:38:00.000ultimately, like I saw it on my college campus, like-
00:38:04.000It crowds out a lot of people from a public university system where I grew up in the state of California when, like, technically their parents have been paying for that, you know, institution of education their entire lives through California taxes, and now they don't have access to it.
00:38:19.000Because, sorry, it's like financially infeasible for them to actually have Californians go to a Californian public school.
00:38:26.000Imagine what Social Security is going to be like!
00:38:33.000And this is why, it's one of the reasons why they're flooding the country with non-citizens.
00:38:36.000They are desperate to create a labor force that will support the elderly who don't have families and rely on social security.
00:38:42.000I mean, yeah, I think there's truth to that, but I think that If that's their plan, it's a very, very bad, bad plan that's not going to—it's too little, too late.
00:38:56.000It's burning the country down to save the country that's on fire.
00:39:04.000I'm speaking generally that they need a labor force because you've got older people who don't have families.
00:39:10.000You've got older people who no longer rely on families and their children at all, and they're getting Social Security.
00:39:15.000When Social Security stops, it doesn't matter how much money you print.
00:39:19.000They could just print the money and say, we will pull the debt.
00:39:24.000And then there's not enough young people producing resources for the elderly.
00:39:29.000So it's just it's it's that means the system stops instantly overnight.
00:39:34.000There's a lot of people that are that are currently banking on like AI and automation robots and they're they're they're saying or they're they're even if they aren't saying they're planning on or behaving as if they're planning on super productivity because of automation because of robots, because of AI and stuff. The
00:39:54.000answer to the production problems is automation. So our answers are immigration, so people who
00:40:00.000are not encouraging native people to have children, or technology. Like this is a bleak future
00:40:24.000The argument they've made is, you know, bringing people in because they are jobs that the people that live there, currently live here, don't want to do or whatever, and then they're, oh, well, you know, we don't have enough people being born, so we have to have people come into the U.S.
00:40:36.000It's funny how immigration's their answer for everything.
00:40:42.000I don't want to derail or go down the rabbit hole a little too far, but we talked about this underclass or we talked about tech services, AI filling the gap.
00:40:51.000What do you think that looks like in a country that has decided it's no longer going to reproduce and that it's just going to rely on this permanent underclass of migrants?
00:41:09.000The earth is overcrowded, and everyone speaks Spanish, and the rich people live in a floating space station, and they all speak French, and they have machines that can cure any disease, but they've simply decided not to give it to people for no reason.
00:41:23.000Like, yeah, that's not the reality, but that's the leftist worldview is, they have the cure for all diseases, they just simply don't want you to have it.
00:41:31.000And it's like, okay, yeah, that's not the case.
00:41:33.000It's certainly the case to a certain degree that Big Pharma has an incentive on treating symptoms and not diseases.
00:41:39.000But in this movie, they literally had machines that cured cancer, and they're like, but we won't let you use it for no reason.
00:41:43.000And then the Liberators come, invade the space, steal everything, reprogram it, and strip them of their wealth and access, and then send all of these med booths down to Earth so that everyone can be cured of their diseases.
00:41:56.000And then what they don't show you is Elysium 2, and everyone's dead.
00:42:00.000So basically what happens is, if the United States continues to function this way, with fewer and fewer people of merit and production and who hold the values which made the country what it is, you will end up with an enclave.
00:42:12.000A small group of people who maintain the traditional values of the United States, believe in meritocracy, are wealthy and successful, and they start building barriers around themselves as they're surrounded by more and more people who do not have the merit and the capability to build a nation.
00:42:25.000And then, finally, after a certain amount of time, the dam breaks.
00:42:28.000The 92% of lower-merit individuals who are not part of the culture and don't have the same education destroy what little wealth and access there was, and then you'll end up in a country where you've got mass rapes and farmers being killed and things like this and displaced and weird hokey views about AIDS being a curse and things like that.
00:42:49.000And none of this takes into account what happens to what the rest of the world does or what other near-peer powers do without the United States having the economic powerhouse behind it that it has had historically.
00:43:02.000Because the idea that China doesn't do anything or the idea that Russia doesn't do anything in response to the United States having an economic crisis, that's something that I think people Don't take into account when they talk about repercussions of like the dollar crashing or whatever kind of big civil strife or whatever issue you want to you want to use your favorite doomsday scenario in the US people talk about that kind of stuff and they always leave out what the rest of the world does the United States is such a it's such
00:43:34.000It's so important in the world that everything that happens to the United States actually happens to the whole world.
00:43:40.000So you don't get things that just happen to the United States.
00:43:44.000So if the United States stops being like the global hegemon for whether you think it's good or bad, if it does, that means there are going to be massive reverberations throughout every country on earth, and it's going to change the way that the world behaves.
00:45:07.000I thought they were going to rebound quicker than that, and I've had some scholars tell me that China isn't doing as well as you think it is, but nevertheless, don't empower them when they're showing demographic decline when they're showing economic slowdown by basically incentivizing the entire global south to partner with China, whether it's the Belt and Road Initiative or other types of financial arrangements to skirt around Western sanctions.
00:45:33.000I imagine any time China can export young men to work, like if they can send them to other countries to work, that's a good thing for China because they have so many young men that, because of the one-child policy, They have an excess of young men, which is one of the things that I've heard people that, you know, people that are experts on international conflict and stuff, one of the things they say is if you've got too many young men, you're headed to war.
00:45:54.000Because one of the things historically that's taken care of young men when there aren't women is send them off to war.
00:46:00.000Because if you don't do something with your young men and they don't have families, they might overthrow the country.
00:46:12.000Aristotle talks about this in the Politics, where Sparta knew how to wage war, they had policies enacted to favor male childbirth, and then when they finally got to a position where they could make peace, they had no idea how to do it.
00:46:25.000So what do you think's going to happen to the U.S.
00:46:30.000What do you think's the biggest concern for people or for American politicians right now?
00:46:35.000Is it geopolitical or is it domestic issues?
00:46:39.000I think it's geopolitical, just simply because I think the Republican Party demonstrated with the $95 billion supplemental that they actually care about wars in the Middle East and in Eastern Europe more than they care about the border.
00:46:53.000Like, so if the Republican Party and the establishment is going to be so singularly focused on these two issues, then I, you know, it's a powder keg ready to explode.
00:47:02.000I wish I could say, like, immigration will be The issue that like galvanizes and draws the most attention, um, and then we can actually solve the issue.
00:47:12.000But I, you know, just the prospect of World War III, it just feels like he's lurking around every corner.
00:47:17.000I feel like it would have been the big issue, like immigration would have been the big issue had it not been for October 7th.
00:47:22.000I feel like last year and last summer, this time, everybody was so very focused on the border.
00:47:25.000Everyone was so focused on what was going on.
00:47:27.000I think immigration is still a big issue, even though we had October 7th.
00:47:32.000It's still one of the biggest issues among voters and Israel doesn't even rank in the top 10.
00:47:37.000Well, let's jump to the story from Christopher Rufo, who has this Harvard-Harris Caps poll.
00:47:43.000The pro-Hamas faction is a disaster for the left.
00:47:46.000The campus protesters, Palestinian Authority, Antifa, and Hamas are four out of the five least popular institutions in a recent Harvard-Harris poll.
00:48:44.000There's a lot of people on Twitter that think that, like, Israel's, like, really unpopular and that, like, oh, the Israel's gonna be the thing that's gonna mess, you know, gonna, we're gonna stop supporting Israel, the U.S.
00:50:21.000But I'm willing to bet when your average 35 year old is 70, These polls are going to look nuts.
00:50:31.000The older generation right now that is not on social media, so we're talking Gen Xers who are not as active on social media as Millennials and then Gen Z. Still active though.
00:50:42.000Boomers who are not nearly as active, and if they are, they're on Facebook pages where they're sharing, you know, these silly memes where like a pig has wings and it's like he goes, like, they're just silly things.
00:50:52.000There's like, I see, I see weird Facebook memes that they get shared by a lot of boomers, where it's like Jesus holding a pig and it's just like, no but for real.
00:51:02.000And it's just like in all caps saying, you know, pray and pray and he will save and like, they're really, like they use all caps a lot.
00:51:10.000When the older generations that don't use the internet as much are gone, you will see the police numbers change.
00:51:18.000So if you're looking at Silent Generation, Boomers, Gen X, Millennials, Gen Z, and you ask them about police, yeah, you're gonna get 75% favorability.
00:51:30.000Silent Generation and Boomers, pass on.
00:51:33.000And then you've got Gen X, Millennials, Gen Z, Gen Alpha, and what, I don't even know what's after Alpha.
00:51:44.000I bet if you look at the crosstabs on this and look at, you know, age brackets, you know, how did 18 to 29 year olds say to talk on police?
00:51:53.000I bet it's gonna be like 60-40 or 50-50.
00:51:55.000This means when the older crowd is gone, the weight changes and it will more reflect what you see on social media.
00:52:03.000Yeah, I kind of assumed one of, and I could be totally off on this, but one of the reasons that military and police are high, even though there are lots of, you know, anti-war people, people who are skeptical of law enforcement, the state, things like that, was because people are more likely to know someone who served in the military or is a law enforcement officer.
00:52:18.000So there's a level of like, Well, I don't like that group, but the guy that I know is pretty good.
00:52:23.000There's sort of a level of forgiveness that other things don't have.
00:52:26.000But police recruitment, from what I know nationally, is very low.
00:52:30.000And so as generations grow up, there are fewer people.
00:52:34.000I mean, military recruitment is extremely low.
00:52:37.000So we're going to have fewer of that positive association on a personal level that maybe people use to balance out bigger issues.
00:52:43.000This is what I think people don't understand, right?
00:52:46.000They see polls like this, they see economic numbers, and they're like, the internet is not real life.
00:52:51.000Like, Twitter is not real life, or X, now it's officially x.com.
00:52:55.000And what they don't understand is that it's technically true in that it is not the universal perspective in this country or on the planet.
00:53:03.000And it is because different generations consume media in different ways.
00:53:07.000But when you go on X and you see that there is a 50, like, there's no way Hasan Piker is ever going to say, yay, go cops.
00:53:16.000Well, unless, of course, they're arresting, like, Sam Hyde or something, right?
00:53:20.000I mean, literally, like, the moment the cops go after the enemy, the left, they cheer for it.
00:53:24.000But Hassan's never gonna go on his show to however many viewers he still has.
00:53:28.000I don't know, he used to have like 40K.
00:53:30.000There's never a circumstance where he's gonna be like, hey look, I think just generally speaking, cops are very good and I heavily favor them 75% of the time.
00:53:37.000Never gonna happen, his audience would be in revolt.
00:53:39.000We then go, ah, but the internet's not real life.
00:53:41.000Only because his audience is comprised of like 24 year olds.
00:53:45.00022, well actually I think they were like 18 to 22.
00:53:48.000And that's many of the left that are young.
00:53:50.000On a show like this, majority of the people who are watching are like, I think it's 33.
00:53:55.000And then we have a recent uptick among younger, uh, 18 to 24, I think.
00:53:59.000Gen Z getting the shaft is really starting to light a fire under them.
00:54:02.000And then we do have a lot of people who watch who are, uh, you know, who are older for sure.
00:54:05.000But the majority skews towards the 30s.
00:54:08.000So when you're looking at the comments and opinions on this show, there's a lot of people being like, ah, Tim has no idea what he's talking about because he's not talking about what I see.
00:54:16.000There's a lot of people who like to post online and they say things like, actually I saw this on, I think it was on Gutfeld, Bill Maher was on Gutfeld.
00:55:40.000You walk outside and you're like, I see Democrats and Republicans getting along.
00:55:43.000Because you're in a moderate district and then you go on social media and some fringe far leftist is screaming their lungs out and you're like, ah, that's not real life because I go outside.
00:55:53.000Then you go to Portland to take a trip there and you're like, this is where these people live.
00:55:59.000It really is just very, very different in this country.
00:56:02.000And people don't understand that we used to consume media on a local basis.
00:56:07.000Even when you turned on your news, you were getting your local news station.
00:56:10.000Now people turn on the news and it's all national level news.
00:56:13.000You go on Twitter, it's all national level.
00:56:15.000People don't realize your local community is not the same as every other community.
00:56:20.000And so they think everything's fine once you go outside.
00:56:24.000Then they go on Twitter and they're like, ah, you people don't understand.
00:56:27.000But I tell you, When the older generation, who consumes media at the local level, as soon as they age out, pass on, it is going to be... Man, I tell you this.
00:56:42.000Younger people are not watching local news.
00:56:44.000They don't know who their city council people are.
00:56:46.000They don't know who their state reps are, their state senators.
00:56:50.000There is going to be abject corruption at the state level because no one pays attention to local news anymore.
00:56:56.000It is only the older generation that turns on local news to get their news.
00:57:00.000Because your local news station is going to report on Joe Biden.
00:57:04.000It's going to report on these big stories.
00:57:05.000And then it's going to tell you about, I love this, I was in New York, Watching New York One or whatever and they're like a water main break over on 3rd Avenue and it's like, you're not going to get that news on CNN.
00:57:15.000Why would they talk about a local pipe break?
00:57:31.000At the beginning, you started talking about how, like, the police numbers, as the older generations die off and you start to see, like, more digitally native generations do these polls, like, the police numbers are going to drop.
00:57:44.000One of the interesting things about this new New York Times Siena poll that came out showed that Biden was, like, three points ahead of Trump with boomers, like, 65 and over.
00:58:25.000Oh, I hope that recording got grabbed or whatever.
00:58:28.000So for those that are listening, you probably have noticed something seems off about the stream today, and I think it's fairly obvious considering the title and the subject matter that we're engaging in.
00:58:41.000I can tell you that on the back end, everything looks normal.
00:58:43.000On the front end, things look weird, and it's like we may be getting a denial-of-service attack of some sort.
00:58:49.000Like, the whole machine just fritzed and then shut off, plus we're seeing YouTube end stuff.
00:58:54.000So, considering the title of this episode and the news that broke, I don't know what to tell you, man.
00:59:04.000We're talking about the nature of politics these days.
01:00:22.000The older generation, they're gonna pass on.
01:00:25.000When Gen X is in their 60s, You're going to have boomers, they're going to be in retirement homes, and they're not going to be very active in much.
01:00:35.000Then you're going to have millennials, who are going to be the heads of industry and the CEOs, and they are going to have hyper-polarized views that I just think the direction this country is headed in is, I don't know, I should say worrisome.
01:03:13.000The headline of the show is literally the DOJ authorized lethal force against the former president.
01:03:19.000Now they put out a statement during this show saying this is standard protocol, and I'm like, in what world do you just blanket standard protocol a raid on a president that's never been done before?
01:03:30.000Wouldn't there be some kind of special protocol and assessment for the fact that you're raiding a former president never before?
01:03:59.000No, you know, those police officers were unmarked because they were in fear of their lives from Antifa protesters.
01:04:07.000And then, you know, you have an incredibly cooperative team over in Mar-a-Lago cooperating with the National Archives, supposedly cooperating with the DOJ, and then Biden decides, oh, I'm going to roll the sixth fleet right up to Mar-a-Lago's door and no one's going to have any sort of identification.
01:04:28.000How much of this do you think was just sort of an ill-thought-out PR stunt on behalf of the Biden administration?
01:04:34.000Because there is a possibility he didn't really know what was going on, Merrick Garland, etc.
01:04:37.000But it reminds me of the withdrawal from Afghanistan, right?
01:04:40.000He decided like, oh, we have to be out by September 11th for sort of a symbolic victory, and it just got completely botched.
01:04:46.000It costs 13 service members their lives.
01:04:48.000I mean, I think the Biden administration sets itself weird goals to try and tout them as victories, and they almost always end up backfiring.
01:04:57.000Again, I don't know about enough about like the internal processes on how this would work on a departmental level or throughout the executive branch to say conclusively that it was like a failed PR stunt or anything like that.
01:05:08.000I think more what I see is just an old, daughtering, gerontocratic regime
01:06:50.000Apparently one of Trump's accounts retweeted it, and then they saw that in the article it referenced the beginnings of Nazi Germany after World War I or something, and then Joe Biden is now trying to act like Trump is calling for a unified Reich.
01:07:06.000I'm shocked that they actually put that out from the official Trump did no well no that Biden yeah this is a skit where
01:07:15.000he pretends to be shocked for a camera and notice what does he say is this on
01:07:19.000an official account that way they can't get sued for defamation because
01:07:23.000it was some other account that did it because they made him stand at a
01:07:27.000perfectly lit spot and say hey say this line and we're gonna do this like
01:07:30.000They're pretending like this is his genuine reaction.
01:07:32.000That's how inauthentic the Biden campaign is.
01:07:44.000That's the thing that blows my mind is like they're actually saying this as if he said that.
01:07:49.000Because they're trusting you're going to only read the headline.
01:07:52.000Yeah, but to me this, and I mean, yes, I totally understand that you're, that's completely true.
01:07:58.000I understand what you're saying, but like, it's just, this is, and not that there should be anything beyond the pale, but it's just so surprising that something so blatantly Blatantly dishonest is actually coming out now.
01:08:26.000I mean, the whole launch of Joe Biden's first campaign was the Very Fine People hoax.
01:08:31.000The Very Fine People hoax, I know that was like BS.
01:08:36.000Maybe I shouldn't be so surprised about this because of that, but I feel like the Verifying People hoax, even that was a little more believable, because you could at least say, oh, they only heard the bit that he said that, right?
01:08:48.000The only thing they presented was that little piece that wasn't, you know, getting something from World War One, a newspaper from World War One, and putting it as if this is some kind of ad from today.
01:09:00.000That's Well, ABC News said Trump posts social media videos seemingly suggesting his victory will bring unified rec.
01:10:26.000You watch MSNBC, you live in WALL-E world, dude.
01:10:30.000You live in crackpot, nightmare, bubblegum nonsense.
01:10:34.000And it's crazy because MSNBC wasn't always like that, but they've become like that.
01:10:39.000CNN is trying to pull itself out, and they're struggling to do so.
01:10:43.000Younger people are getting their news and information from social media.
01:10:46.000The problem is, I see a dark future, my friends.
01:10:51.000We're looking at, with the rise of TikTok, YouTube Shorts taking over, and YouTube Shorts really are displacing a lot, and Instagram, people are no longer consuming in-depth conversations.
01:11:05.000Now hold on, for a while they weren't in the first place.
01:11:08.000The podcast era comes for a good 10 years, but it seems like we may be on the way out from there.
01:11:14.000Joe Rogan comes in, his podcast takes off, and people really start enjoying listening to long-form shows where you get longer conversations breaking issues down, and people start to understand them.
01:11:26.000YouTube is a great vehicle for this, and a lot of people succeeded by creating these long-form videos, but YouTube is deprioritizing all of this, and now what they're prioritizing is shorts.
01:11:35.000TikTok is creating an algorithm where there's zero substance and maximum dopamine.
01:11:40.000If young people go this route, Oh, wow.
01:11:44.000I mean, I assume that's what the deep state is hoping and praying for, that the corporate press, the cable TV is dead, and so they need to make sure things like this can't be substantive.
01:11:57.000So they want to make sure that you go to work, come home, look at the TikTok and swipe, swipe, swipe, swipe, swipe, and you never have any idea what's really going on.
01:12:29.000And then they do what's called the tiny room shadow ban.
01:12:32.000And that's basically what they've been doing to us for a long time, of course.
01:12:36.000And it's only because people share the show and really enjoy it, they can't just shut us down outright.
01:12:42.000But the Tiny Room Shadow Ban is basically, make sure no new members, anybody who goes to YouTube for the first time will NEVER see TimCast IRL.
01:12:51.000Only the people who already know it exists and have subscribed will see it, unless they share it with other people and interact with it.
01:12:59.000So what they want to do is they create pressure against, you know, as this show, you know, gets older, I know exactly why YouTube nuked our two biggest episodes.
01:13:07.000know it's not really my cup of tea anymore I watch something else we are not seeing the response
01:13:11.000from you know YouTube's algorithm typically promoting a show like this so I'll tell you I
01:13:17.000know exactly why YouTube nuked our two biggest episodes they don't like that we are defying
01:13:21.000their shadow ban we put up an ad on YouTube which some of you may have seen we
01:14:05.000If you have the ability to just activate the advertisement, if you're telling me right now there's no election stuff in it, and that's true, turn it on.
01:14:18.000So then, I get an email like a few days later, and they're like, hey, we're the supervisor, we reviewed this, you are correct, nothing in this is related to elections, so your ad has been activated.
01:14:27.000The next day, I get a call, I get an email from Google saying, we've deleted these two episodes, which were two of three that appeared in the advertisement that I made.
01:15:09.000Now we're specifically targeting through the ad outside of the news space and into cultural spaces, and it is working, and I think they are rightly pissed off about it.
01:17:05.000So, one of the things that I talk a lot to young journalists, to people who want to get into the journalism space, specifically on the right.
01:17:13.000And one thing that I—I give a little spiel of the history of American media because I don't think that you can become a part of it successfully without understanding some of the history there.
01:17:22.000And one of the things that I say to them is, you know, we live in a media environment that seems decentralized because you have shows like this one, you have Joe Rogan, you have longer form conversations, but actually it is one of the most centralized media environments that has ever existed in this country.
01:17:41.000When you combine the fact that nearly every major cable news network is owned by one of five corporations, like just a handful, like for every media executive in the country, they oversee an audience of about a million people.
01:17:54.000So about the size of the city of San Francisco, which is mind boggling.
01:17:58.000You think, like, oh, well, like, that doesn't account for social media, and it doesn't account for YouTube, and it doesn't account for all these other platforms.
01:18:04.000But at the end of the day, the social media tech sensors are, like, basically replacing the old corporate journalism sensors.
01:18:11.000And, like, one of the questions that I have constantly, especially, like, working for a, you know, plucky, relatively small Conservative outlet is like how to empower the decentralizing forces like how to empower shows like like Tim Tim cast right like how do you?
01:18:28.000Think the right should go about doing that or just people with decent people with rel you know just Believe that the media apparatus is corrupt and want to see a decent, lively public square again.
01:19:47.000So, she had this post on Axe talking about how her account is being throttled or something to that effect, and I want to find it so I can cite it properly.
01:20:24.000For some reason, all of a sudden, right-wing aligned accounts saw massive growth in audience size, and left-wing accounts started dropping dramatically.
01:20:35.000And everyone's like, whoa, what is this?
01:20:37.000Some speculated that it was the thumb on the scales of big tech.
01:20:42.000They were trying to make sure that accounts that were right-wing would not gain followers, and accounts that were left-wing would.
01:20:51.000Then when Elon announced that he's, you know, buying the platform, they go shred all the papers, clear everything out, make some changes to try and cover things up, and those changes instantly unthrottle all the right-wing accounts.
01:21:08.000Why is it that right now so many people on Twitter are saying my viewership is down, my engagement is down, it's not worth it?
01:21:13.000I'm willing to bet that a lot of the engagement people were experiencing was fake and probably run by government entities intentionally for the purpose of manipulating public opinion.
01:21:22.000In the early 2010s, Barrett Brown started something called Project PM.
01:21:28.000He went to prison over this, actually.
01:21:30.000He's an investigative reporter, and he was working with some hackers, and they uncovered information related... I think this might have come from Wikileaks emails.
01:21:40.000And we saw, I believe it was the Air Force, was buying social media accounts that one person would run 50 accounts to manipulate public opinion by pretending to be 50 different people.
01:21:53.000So if you are a, um, I'll tell you got a million followers and you post on social media something like, well, I, you know, I just plain don't like Israel, whatever.
01:22:03.000You get responses from 50 accounts instantly all saying, you are right.
01:22:12.000And what happens is when the average person can only see about 300 posts are once, once they get to the point where more than 300 comments are coming in, it becomes unintelligible.
01:22:22.000So you go on social media and you comment something like, waffles are great.
01:22:27.000And then every response is, no they're bad, you shouldn't eat carbs, starches are bad.
01:22:32.000It could be one person commenting by themselves 50 times to trick a high profile personality into saying, wow, people get really mad when I praise waffles, I better not do that.
01:23:53.000Yeah, because they used to manipulate public opinion by making sure they amplified certain messages and making it look like certain messages were popular or unpopular, and by programming responses.
01:24:27.000It's fascinating that you look to the digital era where we can track IP addresses and know exactly how many people are watching at any given time.
01:24:36.000And we're supposed to believe the numbers from traditional media about what they're getting when they're like, it's an estimate.
01:24:49.000There was something called ad rights sales where these media companies would go to clickbait farms that produce garbage and trick people into clicking and buy the rights to their traffic so they could put it in their network.
01:25:04.000All the big digital outlets were doing it.
01:25:06.000They were claiming, we get 30 million views per month!
01:25:10.000And what they wouldn't tell the advertisers is that 10 million was the actual website,
01:25:14.000and 20 million came from bot farms that were producing garbage.
01:25:17.000So they make these websites where most of you have seen it, and it'll be like 25 photos of
01:25:23.000celebrities, you know, having wardrobe malfunctions. You click it, and then one image pops up,
01:25:31.000and there's 800 ads, and then you have to scroll down, click next,
01:25:35.000and it loads the next image and another 800 ads.
01:25:38.000What they were doing is they're farming ad views.
01:25:40.000So they can then, what happens then is, that one page with 50 ads on it, you click five images, and you've generated 250 ad impressions, and then you charge money to an advertiser for that.
01:25:53.000The advertisers are then like, this is standard in the business.
01:26:04.000People don't like our product, what can you do about it?
01:26:05.000The reality was, it was ads being given to, it was the same ad given to one guy five times, or 50 times, and they're not interested in your product, they're not gonna click it, and the advertisers were being defrauded.
01:26:16.000And all of the big digital media companies were doing it, and then claiming that they were the next up-and-coming stars of media.
01:26:22.000The whole thing's been fake the whole time.
01:26:25.000The real question of influence is, If the host of the show says, here's a product, do people buy it?
01:26:31.000If the host of the show says, become a member at TimCast.com, do people become members?
01:26:36.000If they do, then you've actually got influence.
01:26:39.000And so the fascinating thing is there are a lot of people who buy fake followers, they buy views, and they can't sell a product to save their lives.
01:26:48.000That's the real test, and right now the challenge is, when Facebook launched videos, You would get a million views on a Facebook video and like a hundred thousand on YouTube.
01:27:00.000So all these big companies, I told this story, I'm at a meeting and they're like, we got to go with Facebook.
01:27:35.000And now we're moving into the space with what Elon is doing on X. And I think it's one of the most important things ever done.
01:27:41.000Eliminating the bots from the equation of ad sales and sponsorships to fix the system.
01:27:46.000I think it's going to be a really great thing.
01:27:48.000That means ultimately, though, people are going to see engagement go down because it was never real to begin with.
01:27:52.000Does it ever come down to the advertisers to, as they become more familiar with the digital marketing, you know, metrics, to say like, oh, well, you're giving me 250 views, but there's no conversion rate?
01:28:03.000Like, are advertisers demanding more from these places or are they basically operating the same way they always did?
01:28:19.000Bigger advertisers don't know or care.
01:28:22.000And so these big companies will be like, put, put a million there, put a million there, put a million there, put a million there, put a million there.
01:28:28.000And then if it doesn't work, they'll be like, oh.
01:29:17.000And it's funny to see, like, just, like, open admissions that this happens on social media, exactly what you just laid out.
01:29:24.000Whether it's the, you know, when these companies are going bankrupt or they're doing mass layoffs, just, like, saying out in the open, yeah, all of this is fake.
01:29:32.000And then government sources, like, the IDF, had to admit that it and it said it made a mistake in creating a secret influence campaign on social media after October 7th and like I think everyone's broadly on board what happened on October 7th was absolutely terrible but that is just an example of how governments play with social media to alter public opinion just as you laid out.
01:29:59.000I will say this right now as well because we've been doing this show for what is it like going on four years now?
01:30:05.000And we know how the metrics all intertwine and work with each other.
01:30:10.000It looks like we're being throttled on YouTube, but it only looks like we're being throttled on YouTube.
01:30:15.000Because the backend metrics, super chats, likes, are all comparable to when we normally have 38,000 concurrent views.
01:30:23.000Time watch, everything is stable, but the visible concurrent viewer count is lower than it normally is by like 30%, which isn't possible.
01:30:33.000Yeah, so, considering the nature of the story, and we saw this happen a couple weeks ago when a bunch of YouTubers were impacted by some kind of glitch where their viewer counts were negatively impacted.
01:30:48.000Our super chat revenue is slightly above average for the time of the show, our likes are over 10,000, and then the viewer count doesn't seem to make sense.
01:30:57.000But on the back end, we're actually slightly above average in total viewer count for where we normally are.
01:31:03.000I would not be surprised, and I don't think anyone else should be, if coming into this election, they find ways to harm this show in such a way that they don't outright ban it because that causes too big of a splash, but they try to do things that are harder to trace and look strange so that it just seems like something else is happening.
01:31:25.000Like, yo, the weird system crash thing that we got, considering the nature of the show, I just don't believe in coincidences. Doesn't happen on a
01:31:35.000Tuesday when you're talking about, you know, swing state polls or whatever, you know, you have
01:31:39.000to have something spicy in there and then all of a sudden, oh, it's just a coincidence. Well, what is
01:31:43.000going on right now has never happened before ever. Oh, okay. I feel like, I mean, this
01:31:47.000is anecdotally, but like increasingly, I know people who have watched Timcast for years, even, you
01:31:51.000know, before I was part of it, and more and more they'll reach out to me and say like, oh,
01:31:56.000I tried to find the show last night, just typing into YouTube or whatever else, and it didn't, I,
01:31:59.000you know, Even when I was searching it specifically, if they were aware of who the guest was, I couldn't find it.
01:32:04.000A year ago when I was on the show I didn't hear it nearly as often and now I feel like I hear it much more regularly.
01:32:10.000And if we need to move on, let me know.
01:32:12.000But you mentioned the Elon cleaning up the bots.
01:33:10.000There's people like Jeremy at The Quartering that everything that he puts up, it goes up onto Alternative Tech.
01:33:15.000Same thing with Sticks, Hex, and Hammer.
01:33:17.000Everything goes up on Alternative Tech.
01:33:19.000And dudes that do that are really, you know, they're the ones that are kind of pioneering the way to get away from, you know, the big corporations.
01:33:28.000And then you've got stuff like Public Square.
01:33:30.000But I don't know that there's anything in particular that your average person can, like, do Like that's going to have an if an impact the thing that the position that we're in right now is all of the stuff that's going to work or that's that's going to be successful is not going to give you that big time satisfying result right it's the small things that happen over and over and over because that's how we've gotten to this point right all of the small uh the small like all the people that just allow uh
01:34:02.000Allowed the woke stuff to influence their day.
01:34:07.000I'm not going to say that because it might be a microaggression, or I'm not going to say this because it might offend someone, or, oh, I don't want to do that.
01:34:15.000All those little things have added up to the position that we're at now.
01:34:19.000So now the things that you need to do is be like, OK, well, do the small stuff, like shopping at Public Square before you go to Amazon and making sure your alternative tech stuff.
01:34:32.000I mean, I think that that's the best thing to do, is everyone just kind of focus on the small things.
01:34:36.000Make sure you're voting in your local elections.
01:34:38.000Make sure you know who your selectmen are.
01:34:39.000These are the things that we talk about here regularly.
01:35:01.000TimCast IRL has the highest average live viewership on YouTube, and that confers certain algorithmic benefits, granted, within the limits of the pressure they put on us.
01:35:12.000And so we also generate revenue in Super Chats, which is a decent amount.
01:35:41.000So, by moving the clips over, we lost a couple million dollars in yearly revenue, but that's worth it if it means we are helping to compete and try and challenge the system.
01:35:53.000If we were to move the show over its entirety, then we lose a substantial amount of revenue.
01:36:01.000There is the possibility of dual streaming, which we've been actively working on, and then we could do XRumble and YouTube all at once, which would likely drop us out of the top YouTube ranking space, which isn't really that big of a deal considering YouTube's giving us the business as it is.
01:36:19.000But if we end up losing more money, It negatively impacts everything we're doing.
01:36:24.000So there's a balance between sacrifice to try and support platforms like Rumble and
01:36:29.000X so that we can compete with YouTube, but also revenue lost confers an inability to
01:36:56.000And the question is, if we do switch over the show to dual streaming, or even to Rumble exclusive, will we actually gain more members to the website?
01:37:10.000For the time being, YouTube allows us to effectively advertise to the people who aren't members to become members, and there's a constant churn and burn of people who leave, credit cards expire, they don't sign back up, and other people do sign up, and it's a general slow percentage growth per month.
01:37:26.000We hope, we've had these conversations, that if we switch to Rumble, We're going to get a big spike in memberships from people who are like, this is the right move to make because it supports the alternate ecosystem.
01:37:36.000And then we get more viewers and it makes the show bigger.
01:37:39.000But because we don't know, we run the risk of if it ain't broke, don't fix it.
01:37:43.000That being said, YouTube breaking it makes it kind of more easy to just be like, well, we have no choice.
01:37:49.000I think that if we multi-streamed to X, especially considering I have 2 million followers, we probably would get, generally, substantially more viewers.
01:37:57.000That would require us to do internal sales, which is another job.
01:38:03.000There's a lot of questions in how we make that work.
01:38:11.000Sitting down and we're talking about it, like, if we do decide to multi-stream, are we going to lose money or make money?
01:38:19.000What are the net benefits and the net losses?
01:38:21.000Okay, a lot of people are like, haha, Tim only cares about money.
01:38:24.000Well, I care about the business being able to operate, people being able to keep their jobs, and for us to be able to do shows like this, if we don't make money, then the show just stops existing.
01:38:31.000So if we are currently on a path that generally has a slight growth rate, why shift that in a dramatic way that causes us a massive net negative?
01:38:42.000Look, there are some other podcasts, who I don't want to name, that are big, that have stopped publishing on Rubble in there completely.
01:38:48.000And people have called them out for it, and they ignore it.
01:38:52.000I'm like, dude, they looked at their bottom line and said, holy crap, when 20% of our audience switched to Rumble, we lost 20% of our ad revenue, and we can't sell against that.
01:39:09.000I hope everyone understands the importance of helping Rumble and being on Rumble so that people can make that choice.
01:39:16.000We're going to have to figure out sales.
01:39:18.000And I think perhaps what we'll have to do is do internal sales targeting Rumble specifically because they don't have the same mechanism as YouTube.
01:39:25.000So that's just something we've got to work out.
01:39:27.000But again, I'll stress like we've been we've been working on a bunch of stuff on the back end for X Rumble and YouTube multi streaming.
01:39:34.000uh... because of what you tubes done in in in in going after us
01:39:37.000i'd just wish it didn't have to be that way but it is
01:39:41.000uh... i i i hope rumble wins their lawsuit against google for their their monopoly manipulation of the digital
01:39:48.000ecosystem and what we're going through is a good example of why they
01:39:51.000should be suing the way they manipulate the ad market and restrict
01:39:55.000competition make shows like us have a very difficult time
01:39:59.000building a a business outside of you to because of you to strangle the machine
01:40:04.000So we intentionally put our clips on Rumble knowing it's going to hurt us because we have to put pressure in the other direction.
01:40:12.000I think that's a great position for Rumble to make that argument that the mechanism by which Google has created in this monopoly, like the example they give is that Android devices have to have YouTube.
01:40:23.000So they basically have dominated the space and have cut everyone out of the market, putting pressure on all people who produce content to be forced to use YouTube.
01:40:30.000And then they censor opinions they don't like.
01:40:32.000So anyway, long story short, I suppose, it is a difficult space to navigate, especially in election year when they're attacking us and trying to throttle us and shut us down.
01:40:42.000So, I don't know if, uh, maybe, maybe I can write a 30 second pitch for memberships that is more effective than the one I normally do, that drives more membership, because I can tell you, with, uh, 3.3 million unique viewers per episode across the board, Those people are not becoming members at TimCast.com.
01:41:48.000Man, I'll buy out the entirety of Times Square.
01:41:50.000But, you know, the Daily Wire, I think, has like over a million paying members, but it really is hard to get that, especially when the economy is hurting so bad.
01:41:59.000Right now, we're coming out of an ad market lull, which everybody saw the brunt of, and the economy is getting bad.
01:42:06.000When Joe Biden says the economy is good, they're lying.
01:42:09.000When you get these trolls in the chat who are like, Tim doesn't understand what it's like because he's rich, I'm like, bro, I can look at ad rates and memberships and the wave of emails from people being like, we're hurting too much right now to be able to be members.
01:42:20.000Like, we can see it more so than probably an individual when they're going to the grocery store, because we see 100,000 people all saying right now, Hey, look at what we're going through.
01:42:31.000Certainly doesn't mean like I'm going through it, but I get it.
01:42:33.000So, you know, hopefully we can come to a point where some people have suggested we hire people to do phone calls and like call up members whose credit cards have expired.
01:42:56.000In the meantime, we'll probably get banned, censored, and nuked moving forward, but, you know, it is what it is, so thanks for being members, and become a member at TimCast.com for the uncensored show, which will be up at 10 o'clock, and now we'll read superchats, because I've been ranting for 20 minutes.
01:43:10.000Kyle says, Think you could get into Don Jr.' 's ear about his dad picking a libertarian for his VP pick?
01:43:16.000Michael Recktenwald or Josh Smith would be great choices.
01:43:21.000Yeah, I mean, I don't think he would, but I do love the idea.
01:43:24.000If Trump was like, I'm gonna pick a prominent libertarian personality, and then he just wins over the entirety of the libertarian, not the entirety, but a large portion of it, I mean, I think that'd be massive.
01:43:51.000S. N. Spartan says, I feel like the Dems would have been better off if they just arrested and jailed Trump without charge or trial, because at least they wouldn't seem incompetent.
01:46:29.000And all the, all the guys she meets are trash.
01:46:32.000And I'm like, how much you want to bet there's a bunch of guys who watched that video and laughed at her and said, yeah, well maybe she should choose a guy.
01:46:40.000A lot of these guys are sitting on the internet complaining about women instead of lifting, instead of going for a walk, instead of running, instead of working on a project.
01:46:49.000And I'm like, I bet if any one of these guys who is watching a bunch of this Red Pill content Just decided one day to go for a walk and start lifting and figure out how they could be a better person every day.
01:47:16.000And I'm like, and there are a lot of guys who are actively trying too.
01:47:18.000But I'll just say, if you're the kind of person who sits online and complains about people and doesn't try to improve yourself, Don't be surprised if you're alone.
01:47:24.000There's a lot of the, like a lot of the Red Pill guys are like, you know, I feel like they're just trying to collect
01:47:30.000money from dudes that are having a hard time.
01:47:33.000But there's a couple out there that seem like they are actually, at least actually trying to be useful to guys.
01:47:39.000Even if they're not like motivated to be like, I'm going to help dudes and like, I want to make sure that people get
01:48:25.000So if you're one of those dudes that's like, well, you know, I haven't met someone or I haven't bumped into a woman or whatever, it's your responsibility to go out there and do it.
01:48:34.000Because women have forever been in the position where guys approach them.
01:48:45.000If you want to meet someone, you have to do the things that are going to put you in a position that is most likely to get you into a relationship.
01:48:55.000So even if there are things that like, not every woman likes this, or not everyone likes that, or not every woman likes this, you have to do the things that the vast majority of women like.
01:49:04.000Because you're trying to cast a wide net, so I'm sorry for No, I was just going to say, I think it's that idea of like you, if you have this idea of like a partner or a wife or a spouse or husband or whatever it is, like you also have to be the kind of spouse, wife, partner, whatever it is that that person would want.
01:49:19.000And women and men don't want the same things.
01:49:21.000It's another, like, just because you're a dude that thinks that they want something doesn't mean that that's what women want and vice versa.
01:49:27.000And to the commenter who's like, Tim's been lifting for a month, and now he's gonna try and tell me, well, it's been three, but the reason I said lifting is because it's easy.
01:49:35.000No, I've been skateboarding for 25 years and been physically active, and you know, I have my periods.
01:49:42.000Look, two and a half years ago, I was 200 pounds.
01:49:45.000Now I am working out every day, have lost 30 pounds, and I decided I've got to do More every day to be a better person.
01:49:57.000So three months ago I was like, I should add lifting to my already intensive exercise schedule.
01:50:03.000Today I skated for two hours, a thousand calories burned in those two hours, and that's usually what I do every single day.
01:50:13.000Um, Friday's when we just, we hang out, we eat, we play, we do the morning show and then play poker, and that's like, you gotta have a rest day on there.
01:50:18.000And then I think this Sunday, we chilled, and what did we do on Sunday?
01:50:29.000There's a lot of people who are online just complaining about women.
01:50:32.000And like, bro, you are allowed to complain about women, you are allowed to complain about guys, for sure.
01:50:36.000I'm just saying, there are women out there who are good, and are trying to find good men, and then there are a lot of guys who are not improving themselves, who are angry that women don't choose them, and it's like, guys have to earn their status.
01:51:41.000The number one thing that irks me about the even more genuine red pill folks is that they completely reject the notion of sexual complementarity and they completely reject the notion that like actually the key to healthy relationships is deeply reflecting and considering that and so like even in their relationships they still set up this dichotomy of like it's it's individuals compromising and there is a lot of compromise in relationships and the people involved in relationships are individuals sure but actually like the whole purpose i'm a catholic right so like
01:52:19.000Sacrament of marriage, which I'm preparing for, means that, like, I am going to cling to my wife.
01:52:25.000And, like, that should scare the ever-living daylights out of you in the best way possible.
01:52:30.000Because, like, if you lose a sense of sexual complementarity, um...
01:52:37.000you you end up in these types of relationships where like even if you know you're going to the gym and you're doing the hard things and you're like trying to make yourself appealing to women like you actually have still missed the point that like the point is not to enter into like a bipolar cold war between you and your significant other like you actually need to move forward together like it's the abrahamic call to leave your father's house stop being a lazy you know george peterson does this like What's Abraham?
01:54:12.000It's like 7,500 but I average about two hours of exercise four to five times a week and one of those days might I think like Saturdays can be like three to three and a half hours of max heart rate.
01:55:16.000I'm going to progress in the thing I'm growing on.
01:55:19.000Those are traits that women are looking for, someone who is disciplined, someone who has goals, someone who has ambition.
01:55:24.000And yes, working out brings you physical health, so that's a benefit, but it also changes your character and changes your habits and that is what you need to do to live a productive life and especially if you want to be in a long-term relationship.
01:55:37.000I think you have to have the kind of character that supports long-term growth.
01:55:42.000Yeah, do the hard things that you don't want to do.
01:55:44.000Like, if you just look at something and say, like, I don't want to do that, screw that.
01:55:48.000And then you accuse someone of saying, you should do that thing, it's really good for you, of being a simp.
01:55:52.000I mean, okay, well then just stop playing the game.
01:55:54.000Like, stop pretending that you're even playing the game in the first place.
01:56:02.000Cuz you know, we've got two different trainers here.
01:56:06.000We've got one who does stretching and massage and one who does actual training.
01:56:10.000And they're both just like, oh, you gotta slow down a little bit.
01:56:13.000And I'm like, but if I'm capable of doing it, I don't understand.
01:56:18.000When I skate, I skate when I'm comfortable skating, and I skate as hard as I can, and I don't feel like I'm gonna die or anything, but they're like, yeah, but you're pushing it, and I'm like, I don't know the difference, so I guess whatever.
01:56:27.000You said it burns a thousand calories when you skate for two hours?
01:56:31.000Uh, so... Like, what part of your body is getting just worked when you're skating?
01:56:36.000You're not doing any anaerobic upper body stuff, but what I've added to my skate routines is I lift a little bit before, during, and after, because otherwise you're not getting any anaerobic upper body.
01:59:52.000Bender the Offender says, a lot of people were worried Trump would be targeted for assassination attempt.
01:59:57.000Now that this story has come out, that the FBI was authorized to use lethal force at the Mar-a-Lago raid, who's to say they won't try it again before this election?
02:00:05.000That's a scary thing, and the FBI says it's standard protocol to authorize this.
02:00:09.000What about raiding a former president in this way is standard protocol?