Timcast IRL - Tim Pool - Hunter Biden Pleads Guilty In Tax Case, Lichtman Predicts Harris Win w-Chris Lonsdale | Timcast IRLHunter Biden Pleads Guilty In Tax Case, Lichtman Predicts Harris Win w-Chris Lonsdale | Timcast IRL

00:00:00.000 ...and I'm going to go ahead and close the show. Thank you.

00:00:02.000 ...

00:00:14.000 Hunter Biden has pled guilty to three felonies and other charges in the tax evasion case.

00:00:19.000 Big news, we'll talk about this.

00:00:21.000 The new polling, the new prediction from Lichtman, the professor with the key to the election, says...

00:00:25.000 Kamala Harris is going to win.

00:00:27.000 Nate Silver, on the other hand, says Trump has a two-to-one chance to win, so they're at odds in this case.

00:00:33.000 It's going to be particularly interesting.

00:00:35.000 We'll go through all this stuff.

00:00:36.000 Republicans have subpoenaed Tim Walz in a—what was the fraud case?

00:00:41.000 What was this?

00:00:41.000 The COVID fraud?

00:00:42.000 Yep, that's right.

00:00:43.000 COVID-19 fraud.

00:00:44.000 And then, oh boy, Tenet Media and Lauren Chen's YouTube channels have been deleted.

00:00:49.000 They're gone.

00:00:51.000 I do have an announcement.

00:00:52.000 and uh... some some news in the matter that uh... i can now share with you I've been contacted by the FBI as a potential victim in a criminal case.

00:01:03.000 They have requested a voluntary interview as they believe I have information relevant to this ongoing criminal investigation and I intend to provide assistance.

00:01:13.000 That's all I can say on that matter because, as I mentioned, it's an ongoing criminal matter.

00:01:17.000 Everyone in the world is messaging being like, you gotta have a lawyer, you gotta have a lawyer.

00:01:20.000 Dude, we're a corporation.

00:01:22.000 We have like A bunch of lawyers.

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00:02:51.000 Joining us tonight to talk about this and so much more is Rep.

00:02:53.000 Chris Lonsdale.

00:02:55.000 Happy to be here.

00:02:56.000 So I'm Chris Lonsdale.

00:02:57.000 I'm a state representative for House District 38 in Missouri.

00:03:00.000 So that's the Kansas City suburbs.

00:03:02.000 Right on.

00:03:03.000 Well, should be fun.

00:03:03.000 Thanks for hanging out.

00:03:04.000 Thanks.

00:03:05.000 We got Libby hanging out.

00:03:06.000 I'm Libby Emmons.

00:03:06.000 I'm here with the Post Millennial.

00:03:07.000 I'm glad to be here tonight.

00:03:09.000 I'm glad you're here, too, and you have no connections to the mob.

00:03:11.000 Just want to make that clear to everyone.

00:03:13.000 Libby strongly denies any implication he's tied to the mob.

00:03:16.000 I'm Hannah-Claire Brimlow.

00:03:17.000 I'm a writer for SCNR.com, Scanner News.

00:03:19.000 Follow their work at TimCast News, and let's get started.

00:03:21.000 Here we go.

00:03:22.000 From the post-millennial, Hunter Biden pleads guilty to three felonies, other charges, and tax evasion case.

00:03:28.000 Biden's lawyers first attempted to enter an Alford plea.

00:03:31.000 Which would have seen Hunter Biden plead guilty but maintain his innocence.

00:03:35.000 His attorneys later agreed to a standard guilty plea after an exchange with prosecutors.

00:03:40.000 According to the Daily Mail, Judge Mark Scarcey told the President's son that he could face a sentence of up to 15 years in prison and a $1 million fine once convicted of the three felony and six misdemeanor counts.

00:03:51.000 In entering a guilty plea, Ab Lowell said his client did not want to cause more difficulty for the family.

00:03:57.000 Your Honor has basically indicated that there's a need to address the public interest, but Mr. Biden also has to address the private interest.

00:04:05.000 This has been a difficult time for him and his family.

00:04:07.000 Enough is enough.

00:04:08.000 They attempted the Alford plea, which we read in the subhead.

00:04:11.000 Special Counsel David Weiss alleged in the indictment that Biden engaged in a four-year scheme to not pay at least $1.4 million in self-assessed federal taxes he owed for tax years 16 through 19, from in or about January 17 through about October 15, 2020, and to evade the assessment of taxes for tax year 2018 when he filed false returns, blah, blah, blah.

00:04:31.000 Very, very interesting.

00:04:33.000 Libertarians are probably screaming in defense of Hunter Biden because he's been charged on gun rights and taxes.

00:04:39.000 And of course, libertarians are very much on the other side of these things.

00:04:42.000 But Libby, you had a good point as to why he took this plea deal and why it's going down.

00:04:46.000 So what up?

00:04:47.000 Yeah, so I was kind of thinking that maybe he took the plea deal now and got the conviction out of the way so that there's still time for his father to pardon him before he's officially out of office.

00:04:56.000 But Corrine Jean-Pierre came out today and said, no, Joe Biden's sticking with what he said in Delaware.

00:05:00.000 He's not going to pardon him.

00:05:01.000 It is interesting because you would think, and I heard a couple other analysts talking about this today, you know, it's his only surviving son.

00:05:08.000 He doesn't have a political career after this.

00:05:10.000 So why wouldn't President Biden just go ahead?

00:05:12.000 Yeah, and like, it wouldn't be the first time that the White House has gotten Joe Biden's motives and plans wrong.

00:05:18.000 I mean, the White House told us repeatedly for months and months and months that

00:05:22.000 Joe Biden was going to stay in the race, that he wasn't going anywhere,

00:05:25.000 that he was definitely planning on, you know, continuing his run for presidency.

00:05:29.000 And that was all upended by Joe Biden one Sunday afternoon, who just casually said that he wasn't going to do it.

00:05:35.000 So, you know, I think there's every reasonable expectation to believe that Joe Biden would pardon his son.

00:05:41.000 And, you know, this may be a hot take or whatever, but I think I think that's probably what that's what I would do.

00:05:48.000 He's gonna do it. I would do it. Yeah, I think he's gonna do it.

00:05:51.000 I think the Alford plea play was actually the most interesting part because that is an acknowledgement that there is enough evidence against you that you will be convicted and the prosecutors were resistant to this.

00:06:01.000 They were saying like, he committed crimes, you shouldn't let him get away with this plea and there was resistance and ultimately he had to just plea guilty.

00:06:09.000 Do you guys remember that sweet plea deal he had for a while?

00:06:11.000 Where it was like, You can't charge him with anything else.

00:06:14.000 They had rolled the tax evasion and the gun charges together, and now he's pleading guilty without any agreement on the table.

00:06:19.000 He's facing 17 years in prison.

00:06:21.000 I don't think he'll get that, but... Why are they charging?

00:06:23.000 Why was he charged?

00:06:25.000 Why was he charged?

00:06:26.000 Yeah, why was he charged?

00:06:27.000 You mean, like, why did they finally get around to charging him after the IRS agents for years were like, hey, maybe there's something going on here?

00:06:33.000 Yeah.

00:06:33.000 I think they did it so that it was like almost to run cover for all of their other charges so that they could say, like, see, we're not charging Trump politically.

00:06:40.000 We're also charging Hunter Biden, you know, which that's a big part of it.

00:06:44.000 And also, I think that Hunter Biden was the you know, was the guy who was determined to get thrown under the bus like he was the one who was You know, set up by the family.

00:06:55.000 Somebody had to take the fall and it may as well have been the guy who was already looking pretty bad in the public eye.

00:07:00.000 Yeah.

00:07:00.000 I think he's being thrown under the bus in part to protect his father.

00:07:03.000 Yeah.

00:07:05.000 Because because the House still has, right, like the House has an impeachment investigation open.

00:07:09.000 And I can see him being kind of the sacrificial lamb.

00:07:12.000 And then also, you know, the FBI, all these agencies are like, see, you know, we're not partisan.

00:07:16.000 We're not weaponized.

00:07:17.000 You know, we go after both sides.

00:07:18.000 Yeah.

00:07:19.000 We clearly know that the Hunter Biden treatment is not even on the same level that they've treated Trump.

00:07:23.000 When Biden came out, you know, however many months ago and said, no, I believe in law and order in this country.

00:07:29.000 And if he is convicted, I'm not going to pardon him.

00:07:32.000 You know, I think that is part of the attempt to save the Biden legacy because they are really known, I think, by both sides as a somewhat corrupt or somewhat shady family.

00:07:42.000 I mean, I don't even think Democrats Because with Hunter Biden, it wasn't just the Burisma stuff.

00:07:47.000 It wasn't just his connections to to owning that gun.

00:07:50.000 But he's, you know, he's acknowledged very publicly in his memoir that he's an addict.

00:07:54.000 You could have sympathy for that, but he does treat the people around him pretty terribly.

00:07:57.000 And then there was all of the coverage of the legal battle over his daughter, Navy, who he wasn't acknowledging.

00:08:03.000 Joe Biden wasn't acknowledging.

00:08:04.000 And so in some ways, I think Being able to sort of summarize Hunter Biden's crime as being like, it's the gun thing, it's tax evasion, we're not going to talk about anything else is the Biden family attempt to sort of to lock this up and move into like gold plating Joe Biden's legacy.

00:08:20.000 We do have another story too, which we'll get into later in greater detail, but It's the, it's a, it's a DOJ public, it's the, it's the chief DOJ guy for public affairs in, in New York saying that they are engaged in lawfare against Trump.

00:08:32.000 He's, he's in a private setting saying like, it's a travesty of justice what they're doing to Trump.

00:08:36.000 They're going after him.

00:08:37.000 And so without getting into too much of that, because we'll get into it later.

00:08:40.000 What we're looking at with Hunter Biden very much just feels like a, see, we're going after the Bidens too.

00:08:46.000 Yet we're all wondering why Jack Smith is still so adamant about going up, getting Trump indicted in the superseding indictment pertaining to documents, but Joe Biden is not being charged in this regard.

00:08:58.000 Yeah, I mean, that is a very dodgy situation where Robert Herr, we talked about this the other night, where Robert Herr said that Biden was essentially too sympathetic, that no jury would convict him.

00:09:10.000 But the circumstances of the absconded documents are so incredibly different in those two cases.

00:09:16.000 You know, like, on the one hand, Biden wasn't entitled to have them at all.

00:09:20.000 They covered it up.

00:09:21.000 Merrick Garland went as far as to, you know, refuse to comply with congressional subpoena, which is absolutely insane.

00:09:31.000 And then his staff at the Department of Justice said that they were not going to charge him, even though charges were recommended by the House.

00:09:38.000 Right.

00:09:38.000 I mean, and then one thing that happened, too, was you had and Anna Paulina Luna was really interesting in this regard.

00:09:45.000 You had Garland come out and say, you know, if I'm going to be congressionally subpoenaed to and be forced to turn over documents as part of our investigation, that's going to be a problem because it will prevent witnesses from feeling in the future that they could trust the Department of Justice.

00:10:00.000 But you equally had Luna saying if congressional subpoenas have no teeth, Then Congress can't do any investigations.

00:10:08.000 And pretty much all the GOP has right now is the ability to do investigations and their necessary investigations.

00:10:13.000 They're bringing Andrew Cuomo in next week to discuss the, you know, COVID nursing home deaths.

00:10:19.000 I have a whole lot of things that we could say about that.

00:10:21.000 You know, they've been bringing people in to deal with the impeachment.

00:10:24.000 They've been investing, you know, impeachment investigation.

00:10:27.000 They've been dealing with the Weaponization of Justice Committee has been doing some really incredible work.

00:10:31.000 You have Jim Jordan out there with the Facebook files.

00:10:34.000 Literally uncovering, you know, government collusion censorship on social media platforms.

00:10:40.000 This is what's been going on.

00:10:42.000 So yeah, I mean, I think Garland probably should have been arrested and charged and tried for I love Merrick Garland.

00:10:51.000 Yeah, he's your favorite.

00:10:52.000 I know.

00:10:53.000 He's a good guy.

00:10:54.000 One call from the FBI.

00:10:56.000 Hey, hey, hey, hey, hey.

00:10:57.000 He's attractive and handsome.

00:11:00.000 Accomplished.

00:11:01.000 Well, you know what, though?

00:11:02.000 Here's the thing is no one is above the law, as your buddy Merrick Garland likes to say.

00:11:07.000 He is very fond of saying that, except he apparently believes that himself and his boss, big guy Joe Biden, are above the law.

00:11:14.000 Yeah, he should be in jail.

00:11:15.000 Merrick Garland should be in jail.

00:11:18.000 It's not personal.

00:11:19.000 It's that you're in contempt of Congress, and that's what we do.

00:11:22.000 There's this crazy thing called due process, and every American is entitled to it under the Constitution.

00:11:26.000 Lawyer up, Mr. Garland.

00:11:27.000 That should be what's going on, but it's not.

00:11:31.000 Part of it is that he sees himself as the law.

00:11:34.000 Like, there is no reason to challenge him because he is the arbiter of what is okay.

00:11:38.000 He is the top cop in the country, for sure.

00:11:40.000 And I think we're seeing that, you know, with a whole lot of Department of Justice things going on this week.

00:11:49.000 You know, there's the RT thing.

00:11:51.000 There was the 32 internet domains were seized.

00:11:54.000 You know, the doppelganger domains, they were seized.

00:11:57.000 I opened up my Department of Justice emails that I get because they send out press releases about every case, and I scroll through them to see what could be good stories.

00:12:09.000 Those things are packed the past couple of days.

00:12:11.000 They are chock full of things.

00:12:13.000 Yesterday was crazy for them.

00:12:14.000 Yeah, it was like four pages of, you know, press releases about convictions and trials and charges and all kinds of things.

00:12:23.000 Yeah.

00:12:24.000 Kind of crazy.

00:12:25.000 Yeah.

00:12:26.000 And it's kind of like, also, maybe Merrick Garland knows that his time is coming to an end.

00:12:31.000 That could be it, yeah.

00:12:31.000 And he's gotta, he's gotta, like, clean the, clean his, I don't know if docket is the right word.

00:12:37.000 We are, we are what, 60 days?

00:12:38.000 61 days?

00:12:39.000 Something like that.

00:12:40.000 61 days, yeah.

00:12:41.000 61 days, man.

00:12:43.000 That's crazy.

00:12:44.000 And to be fair, it's not even 61 days because early voting starts, what, a month out?

00:12:47.000 Yeah.

00:12:48.000 So when it comes to this idea of an October surprise, it very well may be Coming any minute.

00:12:55.000 Yeah.

00:12:55.000 And it is turning the news cycle.

00:12:57.000 I mean, we talked about this after Joe Biden announced he was leaving.

00:13:01.000 The news cycle was dominated by how badly he had done in the debate.

00:13:06.000 And then it was the assassination attempt in Butler.

00:13:09.000 The only way the DNC was able to get control of that was by swapping out their candidates.

00:13:13.000 Then it became all about who is Kamala Harris?

00:13:14.000 What is she doing?

00:13:15.000 Who's going to be your VP?

00:13:16.000 Who are these people?

00:13:17.000 All the way through the DNC.

00:13:18.000 And now we get this moment where it could start to turn to be critical.

00:13:22.000 And instead, the federal government is like, Here's 27 different press releases about things that we could have been talking about all year, but instead for some reason we never did.

00:13:29.000 Like, fascinating.

00:13:30.000 One of the things that came up yesterday was the DOJ announced that they're investigating two prisons in California for the sexual abuse of female inmates.

00:13:37.000 Which, why now?

00:13:39.000 Why didn't you start this in January?

00:13:40.000 What have you guys been doing?

00:13:41.000 Who are they alleging has been abusing them?

00:13:43.000 It looks like they're saying officers, but I had the same question.

00:13:46.000 I think you did, which is like, are you saying other inmates that might biologically be male?

00:13:50.000 Perhaps because there is an inmate who is I think going on trial for, he's a man, he's owned a woman's, in the woman's estate, and he has been amazingly abusive.

00:14:01.000 It happens in a lot of states, but again, like, the DOJ has suddenly thrown a lot of stuff out there, and that is what the news cycle is focusing on.

00:14:07.000 Now, as someone who talks about the news, it is sort of nice to not have to talk about the election constantly, all the time, 24-7.

00:14:13.000 On the other hand, if you're an effective government, why wait?

00:14:16.000 Why did Merrick Garland choose now versus, you know?

00:14:19.000 Six months ago for some of this stuff.

00:14:20.000 Well, speaking of the election, on to the next story from CNBC.

00:14:24.000 Harris will beat Trump, says election prediction legend Alan Lichtman.

00:14:29.000 And this is interesting, ladies and gentlemen.

00:14:31.000 Nate Silver currently has it for Trump.

00:14:33.000 That could change.

00:14:34.000 Lichtman currently has it for Kamala Harris.

00:14:37.000 This doesn't make sense.

00:14:39.000 Lichtman predicted accurately that Donald Trump would beat Hillary Clinton and they made fun of him. 0.98

00:14:44.000 They were like, you're crazy.

00:14:46.000 He went through his prediction model and said, Hillary Clinton is going to lose. 0.90

00:14:49.000 And the media laughed and said, she can't lose. 0.99

00:14:51.000 Are you nuts?

00:14:52.000 Now Lichtman is predicting that Kamala Harris will win. 0.93

00:14:56.000 The only time he was wrong is when he predicted, I think it was Al Gore, was going to win.

00:15:02.000 He predicted Al Gore.

00:15:03.000 That's right.

00:15:04.000 But then it wasn't a normal election, considering how it turned out.

00:15:08.000 So some say, since the 80s when he began this model, he's never been wrong.

00:15:12.000 2000 was an anomaly, so we don't count that.

00:15:15.000 Maybe you should.

00:15:17.000 I kind of feel like he's full of it.

00:15:19.000 Let me show you.

00:15:21.000 So they say, The results are in.

00:15:23.000 The Democratic presidential nominee, Kamala Harris, will defeat Republican rival Trump in the November 5th election, according to the historian named the Nostradamus of presidential elections.

00:15:31.000 In his latest election prophecy, he, an American professor, blah blah blah, is predicting Harris is going to win.

00:15:37.000 The Democrats will hold onto the White House, and Kamala Harris will be the next president of the United States, Lichtman said in the video.

00:15:42.000 At least, that is my prediction for this race. 1.00

00:15:45.000 His forecasts are based on a historical index model he dubs the keys to the White House.

00:15:49.000 The way it works is, there are 13 true-false statements.

00:15:53.000 If 6 or more of the statements are false, then the challenger in this case, Trump, is predicted to win.

00:15:59.000 Here are the keys and his determinations.

00:16:02.000 I gotta say, before I read, actually, let's do this.

00:16:07.000 I'll read the keys of the White House.

00:16:10.000 It is 1.

00:16:11.000 Party mandate.

00:16:12.000 2.

00:16:12.000 No primary contest.

00:16:14.000 3.

00:16:14.000 Incumbent seeking re-election.

00:16:15.000 4.

00:16:15.000 No third party.

00:16:16.000 5.

00:16:17.000 Strong short-term economy.

00:16:18.000 6.

00:16:19.000 Strong long-term economy.

00:16:20.000 7.

00:16:21.000 Major policy change.

00:16:22.000 No social unrest.

00:16:23.000 No scandal.

00:16:23.000 9.

00:16:25.000 No foreign or military failure.

00:16:27.000 11.

00:16:28.000 Major foreign or military success.

00:16:30.000 Charismatic incumbent.

00:16:32.000 13.

00:16:32.000 Uncharismatic challenger.

00:16:34.000 Now, his determination is that only three of these statements are false, therefore Trump cannot win.

00:16:39.000 But let's go through his assessment.

00:16:41.000 Party mandate.

00:16:42.000 After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S.

00:16:45.000 House than it did after the previous midterm.

00:16:48.000 False.

00:16:49.000 That's good for Republicans. 0.54

00:16:50.000 Contest.

00:16:51.000 There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination.

00:16:55.000 True.

00:16:55.000 Woah, woah, woah, woah, woah, woah, woah.

00:16:57.000 Yeah, I think you're onto something with this one.

00:16:59.000 Dean Phillips, RFK Jr., and you had a bunch of other kind of rent—Marion Williamson.

00:17:05.000 I mean, there were primaries that said, not Joe Biden, right?

00:17:08.000 Like, there was all this contest over— Yeah, that's what I'm referencing.

00:17:12.000 Even the whole thing with the uncommitted voters.

00:17:16.000 Yeah, yeah, yeah.

00:17:17.000 So this was very seriously contested.

00:17:19.000 RFK Jr.

00:17:20.000 was running for the Democratic ticket.

00:17:21.000 They blocked him from it, so he turned independent.

00:17:24.000 They filed lawsuits against him in every state.

00:17:27.000 Which a funny point he brought up is they kept suing him to keep his name off the ballot.

00:17:31.000 Now they're suing him to keep his name on the ballot.

00:17:33.000 Right.

00:17:33.000 How about that?

00:17:34.000 So he said, there is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination.

00:17:39.000 True.

00:17:40.000 That's false.

00:17:42.000 There was a serious contest for it.

00:17:44.000 It was a matter of huge contention how they handled the primary to keep people out.

00:17:49.000 So maybe his argument is, it doesn't matter.

00:17:52.000 All that matters is the primary didn't happen.

00:17:54.000 Perhaps his argument is, his model is not based on whether or not people were challenging him.

00:17:59.000 It's based on whether or not there was an actual election where the incumbent almost lost.

00:18:02.000 So basically he's saying that because the incumbent party was so powerful and used lawfare so effectively, there was no primary challenge.

00:18:10.000 I guess.

00:18:10.000 Which doesn't make sense.

00:18:11.000 If the argument is...

00:18:13.000 When there is a serious primary contest for the incumbent party nomination, it shows disdain for the current candidate, and many of those people won't vote.

00:18:21.000 We absolutely have that in RFK Jr.

00:18:24.000 So let's continue.

00:18:25.000 Not to mention, the incumbent party victor of the primary is not the candidate.

00:18:30.000 Let's make that clear.

00:18:31.000 The guy who won the primary is not the candidate.

00:18:33.000 So this is weird.

00:18:35.000 Incumbency.

00:18:35.000 The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president.

00:18:37.000 False.

00:18:39.000 Seems strange because it's... Right.

00:18:42.000 It is false, but this whole model seems to not acknowledge the fact that she is actually part of the incumbent administration.

00:18:48.000 I mean, it works as if when they don't want her to be, when it would benefit the model, she isn't, and when it would hurt her or help her, like, you know, it kind of goes back and forth whether she's a part of this or not.

00:19:00.000 But look, we'll read it verbatim.

00:19:01.000 She is not the sitting president.

00:19:03.000 I don't know how many times that has happened.

00:19:05.000 And I don't think ever.

00:19:07.000 No, I don't.

00:19:07.000 The sitting president.

00:19:08.000 Well, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no.

00:19:10.000 That's wrong.

00:19:11.000 During elections where the president is termed out and the vice president is running, like, say, Al Gore or whatever, then this clearly becomes the issue.

00:19:17.000 So let's just say fine.

00:19:19.000 We'll give him the false. 0.92

00:19:20.000 It benefits Trump anyway.

00:19:22.000 There is no significant third party or independent campaign.

00:19:24.000 I'll actually agree that's true.

00:19:26.000 Short-term economy.

00:19:28.000 The economy is not in a recession during the election campaign.

00:19:31.000 True.

00:19:31.000 Full stop.

00:19:32.000 Are we in a recession?

00:19:35.000 If it feels like it, it's not officially a recession.

00:19:39.000 Exactly.

00:19:39.000 So this is the question.

00:19:41.000 If you go around and ask people, as even Don Lemon did, Who are you voting for?

00:19:45.000 They say Trump.

00:19:46.000 He says, why?

00:19:46.000 He was in Atlantic City and they're like, the economy.

00:19:48.000 And Donald Trump's like, no, the economy is good.

00:19:51.000 Well, people don't feel it.

00:19:52.000 So the question is not, I think, I don't think you can say, are we in a recession?

00:19:57.000 I think the question is, do people feel bad economically? 1.00

00:20:00.000 Because it's the economy, stupid. 1.00

00:20:02.000 Yeah. 1.00

00:20:02.000 The other thing, too, is I was reading a report this morning. 1.00

00:20:05.000 Groceries hit like an all time high in July.

00:20:08.000 What did?

00:20:08.000 Groceries.

00:20:09.000 Prices for it.

00:20:10.000 Prices for groceries.

00:20:11.000 And people can feel it.

00:20:12.000 That one's fine.

00:20:13.000 That's an economic academic statement.

00:20:14.000 I have no problem with that.

00:20:15.000 economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the

00:20:18.000 previous two terms. True. That one's fine. That's an economic academic

00:20:22.000 statement. I have no problem with that. The short-term economy, I think, would

00:20:26.000 likely be false because people are feeling the heat.

00:20:29.000 But you know what?

00:20:30.000 We're not in a recession, so I'll give that one.

00:20:31.000 So let's just say this.

00:20:32.000 So far we have 1 is false, 2 is false, 3 is false.

00:20:36.000 We have 3.

00:20:37.000 So there's 3 more.

00:20:37.000 Policy change.

00:20:38.000 This one's fascinating.

00:20:39.000 The incumbent administration affects major changes in national policy.

00:20:43.000 True.

00:20:44.000 What?!

00:20:46.000 Kamala Harris is not offering any change!

00:20:49.000 The Inflation Reduction Act already happened.

00:20:51.000 The policies that they've proposed, they've enacted, what change would they possibly bring about as the same administration?

00:20:58.000 I think what he's playing here is he's treating this as though the vice president taking over is as if a two-term president is termed out and an ambitious VP is taking over.

00:21:08.000 It's the same administration.

00:21:10.000 Yeah, and also the one thing that where I would say that they are attempting to affect change isn't actually working, and it's certainly not working in any sort of public way, which is they're trying to pull back on this border after letting in, you know, I think even the New York Times says 9 million people over the past couple of years, and Marjorie Taylor Greene says 20, right?

00:21:29.000 So there's a big difference, but they're trying to affect some kind of change with the amnesty program.

00:21:36.000 They put a pause on their parole program to allow in, you know, 30,000 extra people per month from, what is it, like Venezuela, Nicaragua, Cuba, and Haiti.

00:21:48.000 And they're trying to do that, but it's not actually working because you still have, you know, a lot of reports of crimes committed by illegal immigrants, like really violent ones, you know, child rape and things like that.

00:22:03.000 Do we all agree that's false?

00:22:04.000 Yeah, I think it's false.

00:22:05.000 He said true.

00:22:07.000 I believe if Kamala wins, it is stagnant, same policies, the war advances, the border doesn't change, she's the borders are.

00:22:14.000 He put true.

00:22:15.000 That makes literally no sense.

00:22:16.000 There's no major change in national policy should she win. 1.00

00:22:19.000 False.

00:22:19.000 That's four falses.

00:22:20.000 Two more and Trump wins.

00:22:21.000 And talking about the immigration, it's like when you look at the Biden administration, they're essentially playing a shell game where every time you see, oh, well, immigration, illegal immigration or visas are going down.

00:22:33.000 Well, they're just routing it through a different legal process.

00:22:37.000 So it's like immigration's not going down.

00:22:39.000 They're just playing a massive shell game, moving these numbers around.

00:22:42.000 All right.

00:22:42.000 So eight, social unrest.

00:22:43.000 There is no sustained social unrest during the term.

00:22:46.000 I don't know that we have sustained social unrest, so I'll call that true.

00:22:49.000 That's fine.

00:22:50.000 This is my favorite.

00:22:51.000 I would argue we are close to sustained social unrest with the Palestine stuff. 1.00

00:22:55.000 Oh, actually, fair point.

00:22:56.000 You know what I mean?

00:22:57.000 They're back on campuses, like the first day back on campus.

00:23:00.000 And they're protesting him and Kamala.

00:23:03.000 Okay, so that's five false.

00:23:04.000 That's a good point.

00:23:05.000 They've been protesting nonstop all year.

00:23:06.000 And I want to say, what was it, like 100,000 Palestinian protesters in Chicago at the DNC?

00:23:11.000 Yeah.

00:23:13.000 Like, just watching the videos, it was shocking to see just the steam.

00:23:15.000 Oh yeah, so absolutely I was wrong on that one.

00:23:17.000 Fair point.

00:23:17.000 We're weeks away from the year anniversary of that.

00:23:19.000 So that seems sustained to me.

00:23:22.000 There is sustained.

00:23:22.000 Okay, so that's five.

00:23:24.000 Number nine, scandal.

00:23:25.000 The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.

00:23:27.000 True.

00:23:28.000 What?

00:23:29.000 The president was ousted in the 11th hour as the whole media said they were secretly withholding information about his cognitive decline.

00:23:37.000 That's the incumbent administration.

00:23:39.000 That's not just Kamala Harris. 0.99

00:23:40.000 That's six.

00:23:40.000 Trump wins.

00:23:42.000 But there's more, there's more.

00:23:43.000 Incumbent charisma.

00:23:44.000 The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.

00:23:47.000 False.

00:23:48.000 I will agree with that.

00:23:49.000 That's seven.

00:23:49.000 Now here's an interesting one.

00:23:51.000 Challenger charisma.

00:23:52.000 The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero.

00:23:55.000 True.

00:23:56.000 But this is interesting.

00:23:58.000 Trump is charismatic, but he's also widely hated.

00:24:01.000 He's widely hated.

00:24:02.000 On the other hand, he is obviously charismatic.

00:24:04.000 He built a whole career in TV before he even got anywhere.

00:24:07.000 I mean, he just survived an assassination attempt.

00:24:10.000 I'm sorry.

00:24:11.000 That's eight.

00:24:11.000 And then, guess what?

00:24:12.000 Number 12, foreign military failure.

00:24:14.000 The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs. 0.98

00:24:18.000 Holy crap. 0.96

00:24:20.000 The Abbeygate scandal is breaking now with the Gold Star families. 1.00

00:24:25.000 Criticizing heavily the Biden administration and Harris for besmirching their name for insulting Trump when they invited him.

00:24:30.000 Not to mention Afghanistan was a major failure.

00:24:33.000 Not to mention Israel is resulting in massive protests.

00:24:36.000 That's nine.

00:24:37.000 And last but not least, foreign military success.

00:24:39.000 The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.

00:24:44.000 False.

00:24:45.000 That's 10 for Trump.

00:24:46.000 How is this guy making these assessments?

00:24:50.000 Maybe he's right.

00:24:51.000 Maybe what he's actually doing is sitting there and he's being like, you know, I'm just gonna lie because the deep state's gonna give it to Harris or whatever.

00:24:58.000 Or maybe the news media for the first time has become so broken that this guy watching CNN doesn't understand reality.

00:25:07.000 And so he genuinely thinks he's being correct on this.

00:25:10.000 And it's not a fault of his system, it's a fault of where he gets his information.

00:25:13.000 Well, you mentioned with Al Gore that that was sort of an anomalous race.

00:25:16.000 And I think similarly, maybe he is not able to judge how unusual this race is with the insertion of Kamala Harris.

00:25:25.000 I mean, some of these metrics almost seem like they don't apply because when they reference the incumbent being, you know, not charismatic, which incumbent are we talking about?

00:25:34.000 The incumbent vice president or the incumbent president?

00:25:35.000 You know what I mean?

00:25:36.000 Like, it's just a weird, weird situation.

00:25:38.000 I think the scandal question nails it.

00:25:42.000 The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.

00:25:44.000 This guy's plugged in MSNBC 24-7.

00:25:46.000 Yeah, because there have been several major scandals.

00:25:49.000 There's been the classified documents scandal.

00:25:51.000 There was the Hunter Biden, you know, laptop scandal.

00:25:54.000 Pleading guilty literally right now.

00:25:55.000 There's Hunter Biden pleading guilty.

00:25:56.000 There was cocaine in the White House scandal.

00:25:59.000 There was, you know, Biden getting pushed out at the last second scandal.

00:26:04.000 There have been a lot of scandals and things like Not to mention just total policy failures that have been a really big problem that people have noticed.

00:26:12.000 You have the border situation.

00:26:14.000 That's a really giant disaster.

00:26:16.000 If we remember going back to 2019 and 2020, like you started to see, as soon as Biden started making a really big play for the White House, you started to see would-be illegal border crossers lining up south of the border wearing like Thank You Biden t-shirts.

00:26:33.000 They all knew the drill.

00:26:34.000 It had been telegraphed to them.

00:26:36.000 Everybody was aware of it.

00:26:37.000 You had, you know, you've had like countless administration officials hauled before Congress.

00:26:44.000 You had Mayorkas outright lying. 1.00

00:26:46.000 He said, you know, he said from the briefing room, I remember watching it, like, we're

00:26:50.000 not saying don't come.

00:26:51.000 We're saying don't come now.

00:26:52.000 Let us get our system together.

00:26:54.000 And then he lied to Josh Hawley and said that he hadn't said that.

00:26:57.000 And I was like, well, you did kind of totally say that.

00:27:00.000 You had the vaccine mandate push and then you had, you know, concerns were raised about that, rightly or wrongly.

00:27:07.000 And then you also had like lockdowns.

00:27:08.000 That was a problem.

00:27:09.000 You had the enforcement on the states.

00:27:11.000 So I think that there have been a lot of school closures, you know, that was an issue.

00:27:16.000 And you had literally the Biden administration being told by teachers unions that were funding the campaign, this is what we want you to do with schools once you're in office.

00:27:26.000 And that, you know, that wasn't the only thing.

00:27:29.000 So let's jump to the story.

00:27:30.000 This is the Silver Bulletin, Nate Silver's assessment and current presidential election forecast.

00:27:35.000 And I want to make sure I stress this because the previous segment was talking about how Alan Lichtman, the professor who's gotten every election right except for 2000, And that was weird, but you know, he got it wrong, he did.

00:27:47.000 He's predicting Harris will win based on his keys to the presidency, I think it's called, model.

00:27:53.000 And because it goes against what I want to happen, he's wrong.

00:27:57.000 I want Trump to win, so he's wrong.

00:27:58.000 And Nate Silver says Trump's gonna win, so he's right.

00:28:01.000 I don't know their data points, but in all seriousness, Nate Silver is now predicting, as of today, Based on current polling, Trump has a 60.1% win probability to Harris's 39.7.

00:28:17.000 A massive drop off for Harris.

00:28:19.000 Trump is shooting up nearly 2 to 1 in Nate Silver's forecast model to win.

00:28:26.000 The interesting thing about this is that Politico said recently that people should ignore the forecast models and the predictions because nobody knows.

00:28:33.000 And at the time he said, well, it's too close to 50-50, so it doesn't really matter, but people actually can predict this.

00:28:39.000 It's just that the failed news outlets and pollsters get it wrong and then say, well, nobody knew, nobody knew, when he's like, actually, we can tell.

00:28:47.000 Now it's 60-40.

00:28:48.000 Nate Silver's saying Trump's 60% chance to win.

00:28:51.000 This is wild.

00:28:53.000 Nate Silver is giving Trump a very, very strong path to victory with his probability right now.

00:28:58.000 He's saying that Pennsylvania's going Trump 2-1.

00:29:00.000 Look at this.

00:29:01.000 Chance of winning 60.8%, Harris 39.2.

00:29:05.000 He's gonna win Arizona.

00:29:06.000 He's gonna win Nevada.

00:29:09.000 He's gonna win North Carolina.

00:29:12.000 And then he's gonna win Michigan and Wisconsin in his model.

00:29:15.000 That's crazy.

00:29:16.000 Narrowly, Michigan and Wisconsin.

00:29:19.000 Nate Silver's putting it all—it's Trump right now.

00:29:23.000 So who's going to be wrong?

00:29:24.000 The statistics guy analyzing all the data and making a prediction, or the professor who has a 13-point system based on opinion?

00:29:33.000 He's only been wrong one time.

00:29:35.000 Who do we pick?

00:29:36.000 Because either way, someone's going to be wrong.

00:29:39.000 I'm siding with Nate Silver.

00:29:42.000 Me too, because I want to.

00:29:44.000 When you actually look at the fundamentals of the race, you know, voter registrations are up for Republicans in almost every major swing state.

00:29:51.000 You know, mail-in ballot requests, especially for Pennsylvania, I want to say right now I think they're down 130,000 from the same point in 2020.

00:29:56.000 30,000 from the same point in 2020.

00:29:59.000 So every fundamental data point outside of just opinion and spin pieces is looking pretty

00:30:08.000 So, and I actually, I think it's going to get even higher, Trump's chances of winning after this, the debate, because people are going to realize that, you know, Kamala Harris is kind of dimwitted, is not charismatic.

00:30:19.000 And, you know, I don't think that she's going to come anywhere close to Scranton Joe and this kind of made up mythos about Joe Biden.

00:30:27.000 I don't think he's, I think she's going to lose Pennsylvania by a pretty good chunk.

00:30:31.000 Yeah, I think that's why the first time that they brought Joe Biden onto a campaign event was in Pennsylvania.

00:30:37.000 I mean, I always thought if they didn't pick Josh Shapiro, that was a misstep.

00:30:42.000 And I think in some ways it was her campaign saying, basically, we don't think we can win this state because it doesn't seem like she has a path forward without it, which is fascinating.

00:30:51.000 The debate will be very telling.

00:30:51.000 And I think you're right.

00:30:53.000 They just, you know, all these new reports coming out that they have agreed to do it standing with mics muted, basically the same rules that the Biden team had negotiated, even though the Harris campaign had come out and said, well, we want to be able to sit down and we want to do it this way.

00:31:07.000 Treat us exactly like the Joe Biden campaign by coming to this debate, but also give us completely new rules because we don't like them anymore.

00:31:13.000 And I think the muted mics, I think, actually help Trump.

00:31:17.000 Because I think, you know, he naturally, I think, probably reserves himself a little bit better and is not as aggressive, and he's kind of more succinct to the point, and I think that's good for him.

00:31:29.000 Well, and we got these really good moments where he would say, you know, they would turn and be like, Mr. Trump, do you want to respond to that?

00:31:34.000 And he was like, I don't know what he said, and I don't think he does either.

00:31:37.000 I mean, like, it sort of saved him the chance to tee up really good lines when he knew the mic and cameras were on him.

00:31:45.000 I think there's always a reason to be slightly skeptical of polls.

00:31:48.000 Data models can be skewed and obviously like you can get an organization that wants a certain outcome and they're able to use the data so that they're able to get that.

00:31:56.000 But I think what you're saying is that, you know, Trump has popular support in the country and that shows up.

00:32:02.000 Like I was I was writing about Montana Senate race today with Jon Tester and Tim Sheehy and AARP, which released this report, underscored the fact that the majority of voters in Montana's elections in 2020 and 2022 are older, and overwhelmingly older Montanans support Trump, and they also support Tim Sheehy.

00:32:22.000 Montanans in general are leaning towards both Trump and the Republican candidate for Senate, but I think that this model gets ignored by mainstream media that wants to say, Well, we don't know.

00:32:32.000 Anything could happen and it's a lot closer than you think it is because they don't really want to talk to average Americans. 0.95

00:32:37.000 They sort of have something they're driving towards.

00:32:40.000 They have a headline they want to print.

00:32:41.000 Yeah.

00:32:41.000 And I also say this with the polling industry.

00:32:45.000 You know, Democrats generally have more money than Republicans in most of these races.

00:32:50.000 And when when candidates and parties are buying polls, they're doing it to push a narrative.

00:32:55.000 So like when people say, oh, polling is always wrong and it's like, well, You know, yes and no, but who is buying a lot of these polls?

00:33:03.000 Democrats or Democrat-adjacent groups.

00:33:05.000 So, like, you're naturally almost going to have kind of more of a left-wing bias in some of these polls just because they're the ones putting up all the cash so they can make the headlines and everything like that.

00:33:15.000 NBC was making a big deal out of this poll that they had released recently.

00:33:18.000 They polled young voters and I was listening to one of their broadcasts on it and it seems like the next day they were sort of downplaying it because young voters had told them that their top issue was the economy, which I don't think this mainstream media outlet was expecting.

00:33:34.000 I think they were expecting them to say, I don't know, abortion or, you know, Palestine or whatever, like something, a more social issue.

00:33:43.000 But the reality is young Americans are trying to establish their lives and a huge part of that is what kind of economic decisions they have to make every day.

00:33:53.000 Do they put off buying a car?

00:33:55.000 Do they think they'll be able to buy a house?

00:33:56.000 Do they think that they can, you know, afford groceries?

00:33:59.000 It's like these are the things that are actually on the minds of young Americans, even if You know, a Democrat campaign like the Harris campaign is basically posturing as, well, it's brat summer and everything's vibes.

00:34:10.000 You know, I think the economic vibes are more dominant than that.

00:34:13.000 Yeah, just pay attention to all these issues that don't really kind of affect your life in a major way.

00:34:18.000 But yeah, the economy, like, what do you guys do?

00:34:20.000 What are you guys talking about?

00:34:21.000 But, you know, when I go back to my district and talk to constituents, talk to younger people that I represent, you know, it's housing affordability, it's wages, it's being able to start a family, it's making sure that your kids aren't getting indoctrinated in the school system, and all these things are materially declining over the last four years and largely over the course of our entire generation, our entire life.

00:34:49.000 I don't think Harris looks like she's going to turn the tables on any of this.

00:34:52.000 I don't know how she could win support without getting better messaging on the economic issue. 0.93

00:34:56.000 That's why they try to distract with things like abortion or marijuana or whatever.

00:35:00.000 She calls herself the underdog. 1.00

00:35:02.000 I mean, I wonder if they're realizing that the media spin narratives, they aren't going to help.

00:35:07.000 But I have been hearing that there are a lot in the area around us in Virginia, a lot of Harris signs.

00:35:14.000 I've been seeing a lot of Harris signs too, and especially in that... Are they Harris-Waltz signs?

00:35:19.000 Because I walked past this one and realized that it was a Biden-Harris sign and they had just cut Biden off of it.

00:35:27.000 So it's just like a yard sign thing, which I thought was pretty symbolic here.

00:35:31.000 It's expensive to buy those.

00:35:33.000 And also they were just telling me they're always going to vote Democrat.

00:35:35.000 Like they don't care about, especially like, you know, West Virginia is a dominantly Republican state.

00:35:40.000 I can assume if you're an out and proud Democratic voter, maybe you're just trying to say we are the resistance and you can't make us vote for anyone but someone who is a Democrat.

00:35:48.000 I just registered to vote the other day in West Virginia.

00:35:50.000 You did?

00:35:51.000 Yeah.

00:35:51.000 That's great.

00:35:52.000 This will be the first time I have ever in my life not voted in New York.

00:35:57.000 That's pretty wild.

00:35:58.000 And I even asked, I was like, do we have to show voter ID?

00:36:01.000 And she's like, yep, and here's your voter ID card.

00:36:03.000 And I was like, okay, I will put this in my wallet.

00:36:06.000 Early voting starts in Pennsylvania in like 11 days.

00:36:08.000 It's September 16th.

00:36:09.000 North Carolina is coming up too.

00:36:11.000 Wow, when?

00:36:11.000 In seven days?

00:36:13.000 Pennsylvania is September 16th, 11 days.

00:36:15.000 Wow.

00:36:17.000 And the 18th is Trump prison day.

00:36:19.000 Yep.

00:36:20.000 That's Trump prison day.

00:36:21.000 We'll see what happens.

00:36:22.000 I think that, I mean, could they just haul him off to prison?

00:36:25.000 Could they just be like, and you're going to- What if he gets put on house arrest and has to hang out with Barron in their New York City apartment?

00:36:31.000 Right?

00:36:31.000 I was talking to somebody- That's where Barron's living while he goes to NYU.

00:36:35.000 About where they'd put him.

00:36:35.000 They wouldn't put him in Rikers.

00:36:37.000 They'd put him in like Manhattan County Correctional.

00:36:40.000 Prediction is that they're going to put him in Rikers.

00:36:42.000 Well, but they could have put him in Rikers.

00:36:44.000 They'd have to put him in MCC, which is right around the corner.

00:36:47.000 They would have to, you said?

00:36:48.000 Well, I forget who I was talking to, and I don't think he was talking on the record, so I think it's perfectly fine that I totally forgot.

00:36:56.000 Conveniently!

00:36:56.000 I was talking to this lawyer, New York lawyer, who was saying that they wouldn't put him in Rikers, they'd put him in MCC, which is around the corner from where he was tried.

00:37:06.000 Anyway, downtown, like on Pearl Street, and that that's where they put Epstein.

00:37:12.000 Oh, yeah.

00:37:13.000 Wasn't this, I guess, on the show?

00:37:14.000 We thought we all had this conversation.

00:37:16.000 Was it?

00:37:16.000 Yeah.

00:37:16.000 Was it?

00:37:16.000 Yeah.

00:37:17.000 Good.

00:37:17.000 Then it wasn't.

00:37:18.000 Then it wasn't.

00:37:19.000 I'm mixing everything up.

00:37:20.000 Exclusive, off-the-record conversation.

00:37:23.000 No idea what's going on, but yeah.

00:37:25.000 Yeah, it was an exclusive authority.

00:37:27.000 I was imagining, do you know what's funny?

00:37:30.000 I was imagining sort of intimate conversation with me and this person and other people and it was!

00:37:35.000 It was!

00:37:35.000 It was just live to a lot of people in this room.

00:37:38.000 You know, because this always feels like sort of an intimate conversation.

00:37:40.000 That's funny.

00:37:41.000 What do you think is going to happen to Trump?

00:37:43.000 Do you have a prediction?

00:37:47.000 I honestly, you know, I haven't I haven't really thought a ton about it just because I'm like, you know, it's just so out of my control.

00:37:56.000 Do you think that's how a lot of Americans are feeling?

00:37:58.000 Like, we think about it a lot because we cover the news, but a lot of Americans, the trial and stuff has sort of faded to the background for them?

00:38:07.000 Yeah, because it's just, you know, we almost live in like a hyper news cycle where it's like, it's just story after story, you know, every day, every couple days.

00:38:16.000 You know, I think everything that's being done to them is a total injustice, but yeah, I honestly think they probably will put him in jail just to spite him.

00:38:28.000 I know watching some videos and reading some articles that the Secret Service haven't actually made plans on how they would even protect him.

00:38:36.000 They were talking about it though.

00:38:38.000 Months ago they were saying that the Secret Service had considered it.

00:38:41.000 That was like leaked somewhere, you know?

00:38:44.000 I thought it was leaked that they hadn't made any definite plans that they were still waiting to see, but they were waiting to see kind of what actually, where he ends up, or if he even goes to jail.

00:38:54.000 And right now I feel like the Secret Service kind of has a reputation for being unprepared.

00:38:58.000 Yeah, yeah.

00:39:00.000 Not to be mean to all Secret Service agents, but just to reflect on this summer.

00:39:04.000 When you're in your district, do people talk about the lawfare against Trump very much?

00:39:08.000 How much does Trump come up day-to-day for you?

00:39:12.000 Actually, yeah, quite a bit.

00:39:14.000 Most of it is just, do you support Trump?

00:39:17.000 When I'm out door knocking, when I'm out talking to people, most Republicans are like, are you MAGA?

00:39:22.000 Are you Trump-aligned?

00:39:23.000 And it's like, yes.

00:39:24.000 It's part of the reason why I even got involved in politics.

00:39:26.000 And most people are like, all right, I'm voting for you.

00:39:31.000 So that's definitely a big question.

00:39:33.000 Because people, especially Republicans, are so used to just getting backstabbed that they want to know, What's your position on Trump?

00:39:40.000 What do you think about the guy?

00:39:42.000 Because most of these people, a lot of them, are Trump voters.

00:39:46.000 They're going to show up for Trump, and they'll probably vote for other Republicans, but their main reason for going out to vote is Trump.

00:39:52.000 Yeah, I think that's true.

00:39:54.000 It's interesting how much of a draw to the polls he is, and I think the lawfare against him actually might motivate more people this year than ever.

00:40:03.000 I mean, I think people feel like this is the last shot and a lot is at stake, but they also feel in some ways a deep loyalty to Trump, that it's worth the time and effort to go out and vote for him.

00:40:14.000 I don't think people felt that way about Joe Biden.

00:40:16.000 I really don't think they feel that way about Kamala Harris.

00:40:18.000 I don't think so either.

00:40:19.000 I think it would be hard, you'd be hard pressed to really be driven to go out and, you know, vote for Kamala Harris because you even saw after the DNC, there were a lot of Democrat activists and stuff coming out on their TikToks and talking about how they were not particularly inspired by this overwhelming joy and euphoria and that they really wanted some answers as to what Kamala Harris was promising to do other

00:40:42.000 than just be not Trump, which frankly isn't good enough. And I'm really curious to see what

00:40:48.000 happens next Tuesday on the debate stage in Philadelphia. Because you look at the Harris campaign so

00:40:53.000 far, there really hasn't been a whole lot of substance. Have they even put up any policies

00:40:57.000 yet?

00:40:58.000 Still no policies on the platform.

00:41:01.000 Wow.

00:41:01.000 So they affect no major change?

00:41:03.000 Nothing. 0.94

00:41:04.000 So that Lichtman thing is ridiculous. 0.61

00:41:06.000 And every time she does come out with a policy proposal, it's either widely blasted by people on her own side or stolen from Trump. 0.91

00:41:16.000 You know, so that's pretty wild.

00:41:18.000 And then the California Democrats came out and opposed a GOP measure to not tax tips.

00:41:26.000 So she's not even aligned with the state that at one point she claimed to represent?

00:41:29.000 Yeah, you kind of start thinking that maybe she's lying, too, on top of everything else.

00:41:34.000 And her whole policy of supporting, you know, no tax on tips, it's totally because she realizes that Trump is totally on the money, totally over the target on that, and she's like, oh, well I need to copy that so I can take that away from him because that is a popular issue and something that could be done.

00:41:50.000 Yeah, it's to neutralize the advantage that he has.

00:41:52.000 Let's jump to the story from louderwithcrowder.com.

00:41:55.000 This is crazy.

00:41:56.000 DOJ Chief of Public Affairs admits Trump indictments a perversion of justice reveals lawfare involved.

00:42:04.000 Absolutely crazy video.

00:42:06.000 Louder With Crowder Mug Club Undercover Unit released this video.

00:42:10.000 And you have this guy, his name is Nicholas Biase of the Southern District of New York.

00:42:15.000 His official title is what?

00:42:17.000 DOJ Chief of Public Affairs.

00:42:19.000 Outright saying, Bragg was stacking charges and, like, rearranging things just to make it fit a case.

00:42:25.000 No, honestly, I think the case against Trump is nonsense.

00:42:27.000 Every real estate person in New York does what Trump did.

00:42:30.000 Nobody's ever been charged with this.

00:42:31.000 It's all him.

00:42:32.000 That's why.

00:42:33.000 Like, Trump is surging in the polls.

00:42:34.000 You know it's a perversion of justice.

00:42:37.000 Before he, Bragg, decided to prosecute Trump, did you know who he was?

00:42:40.000 You do now, Alvin Bragg, who I've known for 15 years.

00:42:42.000 He used to work in my office.

00:42:43.000 Alvin is very ambitious.

00:42:45.000 He basically goes into great detail.

00:42:48.000 About how this is ongoing lawfare against Trump to impact the election.

00:42:53.000 We actually have this, the New York Post covering it, saying, Top Manhattan U.S.

00:42:55.000 Attorney's Office spokesperson blasts D.A.

00:42:58.000 Bragg over Trump prosecution in secret recording.

00:43:00.000 The case is nonsense, he said.

00:43:03.000 We do have a statement.

00:43:04.000 Steven Crowder's breaking update.

00:43:06.000 Chief of Public Affairs Nick Biase officially responded, saying, I was recently made aware of a video where I regretfully made some statements in a private and social setting that don't reflect my views about two local and state prosecutions.

00:43:20.000 I said these things in an effort to please and impress someone I just met, who was secretly filming me.

00:43:25.000 I'm deeply sorry to the local and state law enforcement officials working on these matters, who deserve more respect than I showed them.

00:43:30.000 I should have known better.

00:43:32.000 I got something for you, Guy.

00:43:34.000 If you're willing to lie to a random person in public, what makes any of us think you're not lying to us now? 0.99

00:43:39.000 So your words are all meaningless garbage. 0.99

00:43:42.000 It's moot. 1.00

00:43:42.000 Your statements mean nothing. 1.00

00:43:45.000 If you can't own up to what you think or believe, you should be fired because you no longer have any credibility.

00:43:50.000 But who would fire him?

00:43:51.000 He would be fired people who have even less morals and scruples than he does.

00:43:55.000 Was this a James O'Keefe media move where he was on a date with someone?

00:43:58.000 Why is he trying to impress someone he had just met?

00:44:00.000 Well, this is something that's going on now.

00:44:01.000 Like, James O'Keefe has, you know, with his OMG Media, was his Crowder, broken out and started training citizen journalists and now they can be anywhere even on Stephen Crowder.

00:44:11.000 Yeah.

00:44:11.000 It's kind of fascinating.

00:44:12.000 Yeah, and it's amazing how open and candid they are. 0.97

00:44:16.000 You know, the reality is... Like, yeah, I'm a corrupt son of a gun. 0.87

00:44:20.000 I wish he'd double down and be like, I said it, I meant everything I said, this place is the worst. 0.95

00:44:24.000 The reality is that this guy is terrified.

00:44:26.000 Yeah.

00:44:26.000 Of course he believes what he said in the undercover camera.

00:44:29.000 And it's unfortunate, too, because before this statement, I was praising him, like, seems like a good dude who knows what's going on.

00:44:34.000 We just need good people to speak out.

00:44:36.000 And then he comes out and does the opposite and says, I don't actually think that.

00:44:40.000 B.S.

00:44:40.000 He was so quick-witted with it.

00:44:42.000 He knew exactly what he thought, and he thought he could say it because he was in private, but he's terrified what this means.

00:44:47.000 People, my guy, Nick, you've got to stop.

00:44:50.000 You've got to just admit it and say to the public, this needs to stop.

00:44:54.000 Otherwise, they will come for you.

00:44:57.000 You cannot survive ducking and hiding behind a counter and hoping the violent mob passes you by.

00:45:02.000 The moment everyone just speaks up and says, enough of this, it all stops and you are at zero risk.

00:45:08.000 But if you were to come out and say, of course I think these things.

00:45:11.000 It was terrible.

00:45:12.000 It was wrong.

00:45:13.000 They shouldn't bring it.

00:45:14.000 We'd be all like, bravo, sir.

00:45:16.000 You're a hero.

00:45:17.000 But you know what?

00:45:17.000 They're scared.

00:45:19.000 Yeah, they are scared.

00:45:20.000 Everybody's scared.

00:45:21.000 And isn't that sort of the thing that happens?

00:45:23.000 I'm like, I'm hearkening back to novels from behind the Eastern Bloc, you know, Russian Soviet novels and from Eastern Europe.

00:45:33.000 And this is what happens, right?

00:45:35.000 Look at Solzhenitsyn.

00:45:36.000 This is what happens.

00:45:37.000 You have people start to be freaked out.

00:45:40.000 They start to be scared.

00:45:41.000 They couch their opinions.

00:45:42.000 They They lie, they obfuscate, they try to cover up and save themselves.

00:45:47.000 And more and more, just the grip continues to tighten around the whole of society because each individual person is too scared to stand up on their own.

00:45:57.000 And then you have, you know, other people who you maybe think are your friends and it turns out that they are actually backstabbing you or turning you over to somebody else or, you know, reporting you to the authorities because you don't believe the right thing and you said that.

00:46:12.000 you know, at brunch one day, and so now they're turning you over because

00:46:15.000 otherwise they're worried that they're going to be turned over, or some

00:46:18.000 authority has them over a barrel. So that is, you know, that is,

00:46:24.000 that's what happens. That's what we have learned from the Soviet bloc nations and from the literary

00:46:30.000 geniuses who were working behind the Vaclav Havel I'm thinking of, you know, primarily or, you know, even going back further, you know, Franz Kafka or Solzhenitsyn or, you know, Bulgakov, all of these guys.

00:46:45.000 And thinking about what he said about Alvin Bragg, that he was like, oh, he's an ambitious guy.

00:46:49.000 It's like, you know, that is total political weasel talk for, you know, this guy will knife anyone in the back.

00:46:55.000 This guy will do anything, totally unscrupulous.

00:46:58.000 It doesn't matter if it's right, wrong, or in a gray area.

00:47:01.000 Like, he's just in it for himself, trying to advance his political career.

00:47:04.000 And you see this all the time in politics.

00:47:08.000 Political insiders, you know, always tout that they're like, oh, he's ambitious, like he wants to go places.

00:47:12.000 And it's like, well, yeah, because he's trying to sell his soul and do anything and everything to climb the ladder.

00:47:16.000 Yeah.

00:47:17.000 And I think that's the problem with a lot of these positions.

00:47:19.000 It's somebody's like 15 minutes of power that they're trying to play in into an entire career.

00:47:25.000 I mean, it is interesting that this was sort of public knowledge that that that this case had been rejected multiple times.

00:47:31.000 People didn't think it was worth doing.

00:47:33.000 And all of a sudden you got one guy moved into the office, the office and you got off and brag and they were like, Actually, we've decided to bring this case and even the judge, when he sent the jury to deliberate was like, you don't have to actually decide on on which of these, like, just just kind of get a consensus go and we'll see what happens.

00:47:50.000 Mostly, please give us a guilty verdict because that's what we want.

00:47:53.000 I mean, I don't think that this kind of...

00:47:56.000 I think this public affairs officer had a chance to really show that there is not just a monolith opinion in this office and present the idea that possibly you could trust a system like this and it immediately was turned into actually he has to fall in line and we all are on the same page and we have definitively decided that no matter what Donald Trump is guilty.

00:48:18.000 I think that's not good for the American psyche.

00:48:20.000 There's such a low trust in government and lawfare right now and this is only making it worse.

00:48:24.000 Oh yeah, and it totally vindicates what Republicans are saying, is that, you know, they are...

00:48:29.000 A lot of these bureaucracies are totally unified against them.

00:48:34.000 And this guy even is willing to admit, oh yeah, this is not fair, this is not right.

00:48:38.000 But when the hammer comes down on him, he's like, oh no, what the system is doing, A-OK.

00:48:43.000 Yeah.

00:48:44.000 Absurd.

00:48:45.000 And it's the hammer.

00:48:46.000 Yeah.

00:48:47.000 Yeah.

00:48:47.000 RFK was talking about this, the organs.

00:48:49.000 That's what they always say in the old books, the organs, the organs of government, the organs.

00:48:54.000 It's the agencies that just swarm around, take everybody down.

00:48:59.000 And spend a lot of money.

00:49:00.000 I mean, think about how much money the federal government and the state of New York have spent trying to put Trump in jail or at least get some sort of guilty conviction.

00:49:09.000 I mean, is that really the number one goal here?

00:49:13.000 Do we think these funds were used justly in a way that honors the contribution that taxpayers are making and that trust that elective officials have, you know, somehow extracted from their voters?

00:49:25.000 I don't think so.

00:49:26.000 I don't think that this is really what anyone wants.

00:49:29.000 Well, it's taxpayer-funded campaigning.

00:49:31.000 of Trump derangements, I don't think that Donald Trump's convictions have actually made

00:49:36.000 anybody happy.

00:49:37.000 It just seems like nothing is sticking, probably because there's not a reason to, and instead

00:49:41.000 of saying, OK, well, we tried and we'll walk away now, there's just corruption within the

00:49:45.000 system to prove a point.

00:49:47.000 It's taxpayer-funded campaigning.

00:49:49.000 That's basically what they're doing.

00:49:50.000 And it was a great, I mean, again, this is one of the things that bothers me about mainstream

00:49:53.000 media, but I remember they would run these, especially when this New York trial was going

00:49:57.000 on, being like, well, you know, Trump has not been on the campaign trail because he's

00:50:01.000 in, he is on trial and Joe Biden's out here doing all these wonderful things.

00:50:06.000 And then Trump would have these, you know, interesting ways of connecting with the public.

00:50:10.000 He did that event in New Jersey.

00:50:12.000 He did something in the Bronx.

00:50:13.000 And they would be like, ugh.

00:50:15.000 Can you believe he's doing this while he's on trial?

00:50:16.000 It's like he's not even taking the trial seriously.

00:50:18.000 Like, there was nothing he could do to win in an impossible situation that he was turning into something that was benefiting his campaign.

00:50:24.000 Yeah.

00:50:25.000 And it was actually, you know, I was thoroughly impressed that, like, he would spend, you know, six hours, eight hours in a courtroom, and then, like, right after, he'd get on the plane and go to a rally, like, nearby, and it was just like, this man is just a machine.

00:50:37.000 Meanwhile, Joe Biden gets ousted and then takes a two-week vacation.

00:50:41.000 You know, he can't even make his way up the stairs, you know?

00:50:44.000 It is funny that people are pointing out the moment he dropped out of the race, he's just dropped out pretense of being president.

00:50:48.000 Yeah, he's just not in there.

00:50:49.000 Even when he was talking the other day from, you know, what was said to be the White House, he was behind like a little play school desk at a fake set.

00:50:59.000 It was like it was COVID all over again.

00:51:01.000 People also pointed out that Kamala saluted Some of the, I don't know if it was Marines or somebody, she was boarding the plane.

00:51:09.000 She saluted them and then someone said something like, only the president does that as commander-in-chief. 0.96

00:51:13.000 Vice president is not in this position, should not be doing this.

00:51:17.000 Unless she's the president. 0.90

00:51:18.000 Well, she doesn't respect any decorum. 1.00

00:51:21.000 She's a fool. 1.00

00:51:22.000 She's just trying to seem presidential. 1.00

00:51:23.000 I'm sure she doesn't actually care about any official protocol.

00:51:26.000 I saw somebody do this once before.

00:51:28.000 Let me try it now.

00:51:29.000 The earbuds thing is funny because who has a phone with a headphone jack?

00:51:32.000 Right?

00:51:32.000 Who has that anymore?

00:51:34.000 In those photos, she just looks so pitiful. 0.96

00:51:36.000 Is her face scrunched up?

00:51:38.000 I loved watching Tim Murtaugh tweet about that because he was like, if you're gonna do this, then don't put the phone to your ear like you're taking a phone call.

00:51:46.000 Come on! 0.61

00:51:47.000 They set this thing up so she can try to politely avoid the press, which You know, I think she should just continue on her merry way of blatantly ignoring them because that's what she's been doing so far. 1.00

00:51:56.000 I mean, do you guys remember that really amazing interview she gave us?

00:52:00.000 Oh wait, it wasn't amazing.

00:52:01.000 It was very short and Tim Walz had to hold her hand through it.

00:52:04.000 I mean, this is someone who doesn't care about anything and thinks if she just mostly tries to say nothing, she can win the White House.

00:52:10.000 I think the American people deserve better than that.

00:52:13.000 Yeah, I tweeted out on that interview because it was, what, supposed to be an hour?

00:52:17.000 And I think they only released like 30 minutes of it.

00:52:19.000 And then it was like MSNBC or CNN was like, well, you know, it definitely wasn't a touchdown, but we think that she moved the ball forward a little bit.

00:52:27.000 If CNN is saying that, it's just like it was not good.

00:52:31.000 It was rough.

00:52:32.000 I mean, again, why is she not doing this alone?

00:52:35.000 She's like the girl boss and she needs a male chaperone. 1.00

00:52:39.000 Let's jump to this next story.

00:52:40.000 We've got this from NBC News.

00:52:42.000 Republican House panel subpoenas Governor Walz and investigation of Minnesota nonprofit that ran a COVID aid

00:52:48.000 scheme.

00:52:49.000 The group Feeding Our Future faces federal criminal charges that it created fake children's names to seek reimbursements

00:52:55.000 for meals they were never served.

00:52:57.000 They say the House Education and Workforce Committee issued subpoenas on Wednesday to Minnesota Governor Tim Walz.

00:53:02.000 The Minnesota Department of Education and the U.S.

00:53:04.000 Department of Labor.

00:53:04.000 Department of Agriculture for how they responded to what federal prosecutors have called the largest pandemic fraud schemes in the country.

00:53:12.000 The subpoenas obtained first by NBC News demand that Walz Minnesota Commissioner of Education Willie Jett, and U.S.

00:53:19.000 Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack, and Agriculture Inspector General Phyllis Fong, turnover documents concerning oversight of the nonprofit Feeding Our Future, which is alleged to have misused millions of dollars intended to feed children during the pandemic.

00:53:34.000 Yo, there's, there's, what, hundreds of companies that were taking money illicitly?

00:53:39.000 Yeah, there were a lot.

00:53:41.000 And in fact, in Washington State, there was a crazy Nigerian scheme where they managed to abscond with extra unemployment benefits, even though they weren't in the United States at all. 0.95

00:53:53.000 There's no way to get those back.

00:53:55.000 But there's photographs of Tim Walz with some of the Somali Americans who were convicted of this fraud. 0.98

00:54:04.000 And it's 250 million dollars.

00:54:05.000 It's really a lot of money.

00:54:06.000 It's a significant amount of money.

00:54:07.000 And they took the money to feed hungry Minnesota children.

00:54:10.000 Allegedly.

00:54:11.000 And they didn't do that.

00:54:12.000 Yeah.

00:54:13.000 You know, they bilked the state out of the money, they bilked all of us out of the money, and they didn't feed any children.

00:54:18.000 I wonder if this is why Tim Walz's family are endorsing Donald Trump.

00:54:23.000 It does seem like perhaps Tim Walz wasn't actually vetted.

00:54:28.000 You know what I mean?

00:54:29.000 Like, they wanted Shapiro, but after the panic, they just had Waltz, Waltz.

00:54:32.000 Right.

00:54:33.000 They just panicked after.

00:54:34.000 And Shapiro would have outshined her because he's actually, you know, like him or don't

00:54:38.000 like him.

00:54:39.000 He's actually a leader and he's well-respected.

00:54:41.000 And Tim Waltz seems like a total patsy.

00:54:43.000 You know, it doesn't seem like he has any idea about anything.

00:54:46.000 He lied about his military record.

00:54:48.000 He lied about, you know, the way his children were conceived.

00:54:53.000 And it turns out that he, I mean, maybe he was complicit in this.

00:54:56.000 I have no idea.

00:54:57.000 But he's going to have to explain it to Congress.

00:54:59.000 No, Assistant Coach Waltz is not trustworthy.

00:55:02.000 And that just becomes more and more true every week.

00:55:05.000 I agree with you.

00:55:06.000 Maybe he wasn't vetted.

00:55:07.000 But also, they didn't really have any time, right?

00:55:10.000 I mean, This is one of the issues that Democrats have created for themselves by inserting Kamala Harris and not holding any kind of runoff primary by just saying, well, she's it and whoever goes with her is who you have to back completely.

00:55:27.000 They put themselves in a position where they didn't have the time and also they didn't have the critical analysis to really comb through Kamala.

00:55:34.000 I think it would have been better for the DNC if they had allowed there to be basically a mini primary and had an open convention where Kamala Harris could have picked her VP or whatever else but you would have had a bunch of challengers come out and by the time they got to convention probably one of the second tier challengers would have become the VP and then they would have presented their own record and I think that would have been a smarter move because you would have demanded engagement from the voters in a way that they haven't right now.

00:56:01.000 They demand a compliance from their voters right now, but they never ask them to actively engage in a process of selecting the new candidate.

00:56:08.000 I'll just say this, you know, just watching some of the videos with Governor Walz, it's like, he has such bizarre mannerisms.

00:56:16.000 I can't quite put my finger on it, but yeah, he's an odd fella, just watching him kind of do the retail politics thing.

00:56:24.000 Missouri's not the Midwest, right?

00:56:26.000 Yeah, we're a midwestern state.

00:56:29.000 Southern Missouri, it's more southern, but yeah, we're a midwestern state.

00:56:33.000 So when you look at Tim Walz, you're not inspired?

00:56:36.000 You don't think he's a friendly dad from the suburbs?

00:56:37.000 Because that's what I keep hearing.

00:56:39.000 All these left-wing talking heads are like, well, he connects with rural Minnesota men and rural midwestern men.

00:56:46.000 He just seems like a dad.

00:56:48.000 What are you talking about?

00:56:49.000 This guy seems super weird.

00:56:50.000 Yeah, driving around like rural Missouri or just like knowing people out there, like no one is like, wow, you know, Tim Walz?

00:56:56.000 Coach Walz!

00:56:57.000 Yeah, Coach Walz!

00:56:59.000 Or like how he was walking around today at that Pennsylvania event in Lancaster and he was, you know, he wouldn't take any questions, which he was, you know, talking to volunteers or whatever, but one reporter tried to ask him questions and reportedly the campaign, the, you know, campaign people were like, do not interrupt the program.

00:57:18.000 And you have Tim Walz being like, hi, hi, hi!

00:57:21.000 It's so bizarre.

00:57:23.000 It's a children's television show?

00:57:24.000 Yes, it was a program Tim Walz was delivering to the volunteers of Lancaster, Pennsylvania.

00:57:29.000 Did he jangle his keys in front of everybody?

00:57:32.000 No, I don't think he did that.

00:57:34.000 I thought it would have worked.

00:57:35.000 What's that?

00:57:37.000 I think Coach Walz and his rule of appeal is like the same thing with Scranton Joe.

00:57:42.000 The Democrats know they're hemorrhaging male voters, so they try to almost gaslight the American people like, no, no, he's just like you.

00:57:49.000 He totally gets your way of life and everything.

00:57:52.000 I don't think most people even buy it.

00:57:55.000 How old is he? 60?

00:57:57.000 He looks at least 65-ish, no?

00:57:59.000 Let's look.

00:58:00.000 So that would make him, is that still a boomer?

00:58:05.000 Well, I don't know.

00:58:07.000 Born in 1964.

00:58:09.000 So he's a, so was, wasn't Kamala Harris also 64?

00:58:13.000 Yeah, they're boomers. 0.83

00:58:15.000 Well, they're the tail end of the boomers because then Gen X starts in 65. 1.00

00:58:20.000 Really?

00:58:20.000 Yeah.

00:58:21.000 Gen X is 65?

00:58:22.000 That's when it starts, yeah.

00:58:24.000 It's like 65 to 79.

00:58:25.000 Yeah, she was born in 64. 0.95

00:58:27.000 You're right.

00:58:29.000 65 to 80 is Gen X. Tim Waltz and Kamala Harris are exactly the same age.

00:58:33.000 She looks a lot better than he does, I will say that.

00:58:35.000 Well, she's probably paid to look that way. 1.00

00:58:37.000 She probably has.

00:58:38.000 Which I respect, you know?

00:58:41.000 So then boomers are 81, or millennials are 81 and up?

00:58:44.000 Yeah, that's the millennials.

00:58:47.000 Wow.

00:58:49.000 Well, there you go.

00:58:52.000 I guess it's weird because I don't see this guy as being relatable to Gen X. No.

00:58:59.000 And not boomers either. 0.88

00:59:00.000 No, he just seems to be kind of a big floppy weirdo.

00:59:03.000 Yeah. 0.91

00:59:04.000 Like a little pudgy. 0.97

00:59:05.000 Big floppy weirdo talks like this. 0.95

00:59:06.000 Yeah, a little, you know, doesn't really know what's going on.

00:59:10.000 Eats pork chops on sticks.

00:59:12.000 Come on.

00:59:13.000 Beef and cheese on a tortilla.

00:59:13.000 And brings shame to the campaign.

00:59:15.000 You know what I mean?

00:59:16.000 He brings shame to the campaign.

00:59:18.000 He's already had several lion's handles.

00:59:20.000 200 mayonnaise tacos?

00:59:22.000 Yeah.

00:59:22.000 My son was like, who eats pork chops on a stick?

00:59:24.000 That sounds like it would just be really dry.

00:59:26.000 Yeah.

00:59:27.000 I'm like, oh, it does sound like that.

00:59:28.000 Yeah. 0.93

00:59:29.000 Your son, the culinary expert, is like, that's disgusting.

00:59:32.000 I wonder if, like, when he was doing the taco thing with Kamala, and then he was like, I have white guy tacos, and she's like, what's that, like, tuna and mayonnaise?

00:59:39.000 I'm just thinking about this, because, like, Kamala, have you never had a tuna wrap?

00:59:43.000 Yeah.

00:59:43.000 Like, did you ever go to, like, a deli or, like, a diner and, like, tuna wraps are on the menu?

00:59:46.000 He can't even find the Doritos out of sheets, though.

00:59:49.000 Was she looking for the Doritos?

00:59:50.000 No, she sent her minions, Doug Emhoff and Tim Waltz.

00:59:53.000 Well, she was in it and they threw the chips to her. 1.00

00:59:55.000 Yeah.

00:59:55.000 Because they're fun!

00:59:56.000 They're friends, you know?

00:59:57.000 They're on like this crazy cross-country road trip.

00:59:59.000 They're having a road trip, yeah.

01:00:00.000 Meanwhile, the DOJ is going after sheets for being racist for saying they don't want criminals to work there.

01:00:04.000 Right, right. 0.96

01:00:05.000 And that's just so ridiculous because how could it be racist to say you don't want criminals to work there? 0.99

01:00:10.000 Because it disproportionately affects black people according to the DOJ. 0.99

01:00:13.000 I understand.

01:00:14.000 They're making an admission that perhaps they doesn't actually match their values.

01:00:20.000 It's kind of weird.

01:00:21.000 Right.

01:00:21.000 Yeah.

01:00:23.000 I can't, I just can't stop.

01:00:25.000 I'm just wondering who's going to be right in this prediction model.

01:00:27.000 You know, Nate Silver is this dodgy nerd and Lichtman is more... You know, I guess it's fair to say that Lichtman's predictions are just astrology for dudes.

01:00:34.000 You know what I mean?

01:00:36.000 It's like him looking at things and being like, well, based on what I think about these factors, Kamala wins.

01:00:40.000 And we're like, well, he got it right a bunch of times before.

01:00:42.000 That means he must be right now.

01:00:43.000 And then Nate Silver is like, look at all the data, how it's lined up in the last several elections and where we are now with trends.

01:00:49.000 I think Trump's going to win.

01:00:50.000 And I'm going to go with Nate Silver.

01:00:52.000 OK.

01:00:53.000 Yeah.

01:00:54.000 They could have went with Shapiro, but instead they chose Coach Waltz.

01:00:58.000 I still think they should have picked Andy Beshear from Kentucky.

01:01:02.000 Oh yeah, I used to like him.

01:01:03.000 Well, I don't personally like him, but I think if... I remember you liked him for Kamala.

01:01:07.000 I think if Kamala was a serious candidate, she would have picked... You were like a matchmaker. 1.00

01:01:10.000 Right.

01:01:11.000 She would have picked the blue governor in a red state, and that would have been more likely to foil her. 0.98

01:01:19.000 But you don't need Kentucky for anything.

01:01:21.000 She doesn't need anything anyways, right?

01:01:24.000 She has to focus on Pennsylvania.

01:01:25.000 If she's not going to pick Shapiro, then she's not very serious anyways.

01:01:29.000 But at least Bashir postures as a Christian. 0.94

01:01:33.000 He has a different region of the country. 0.98

01:01:35.000 She's basically using Walls as this punching bag to be like, You're a white man and I'm going to make fun of you. 1.00

01:01:41.000 That's all he's there for. 0.97

01:01:42.000 He's the sitcom dad.

01:01:43.000 I think Bashir would probably have more rural appeal than Wallace.

01:01:50.000 And he foils J.D.

01:01:51.000 Vance in it.

01:01:52.000 They're both young.

01:01:53.000 They have young families.

01:01:55.000 Anyways, sorry you didn't take my advice.

01:01:58.000 Aren't we lucky they didn't?

01:02:00.000 Although, I mean, the obvious choice was Shapiro, even outside of that.

01:02:02.000 Oh, yeah.

01:02:04.000 I actually think that we would be in a little bit of trouble if they had picked Shapiro.

01:02:08.000 Because I think, had Shapiro been picked, I think PA would probably be going blue.

01:02:14.000 Because I think Shapiro is fairly well-known in PA, and I think he's well-liked just because he hasn't been in government for that long.

01:02:24.000 So he hasn't really done anything too controversial that has turned public sentiment against him.

01:02:29.000 Yeah, and Nate Silver's prediction was, he said that if Kamala Harris does not win Pennsylvania, her chance of winning drops to 4%.

01:02:39.000 So this is a win or like, it's all or nothing in Pennsylvania.

01:02:46.000 And they went with Waltz?

01:02:47.000 Yeah, pretty weird.

01:02:48.000 Pretty weird.

01:02:49.000 And I think you're right.

01:02:50.000 It doesn't seem like they vetted this guy.

01:02:53.000 Yeah, it seems like skipping Shapiro was like a desperate attempt to appease the anti-Semites who showed up at the DNC and protested and burned American flags anyway.

01:03:04.000 Yeah.

01:03:05.000 All right, let's jump to the story from the Post Millennial from Andy Ngo.

01:03:08.000 Tenet Media founders were raided just as the DOJ indictment dropped. 0.89

01:03:13.000 Holy crap.

01:03:14.000 We got a bunch of updates here. 0.93

01:03:16.000 The Blaze has fired Lauren Chen.

01:03:18.000 And we also have the Washington Post reporting YouTube has taken down Tenet Media and Lauren Chen's channels.

01:03:25.000 This is crazy.

01:03:28.000 Absolutely crazy.

01:03:28.000 So here's the report from the Postmillennial.

01:03:30.000 Andy Noh says the founders of Tenet Media, the right-wing media startup accused by the

01:03:34.000 USDOJ of illegally taking nearly $10 million from Russian state actors to launder Russian

01:03:38.000 influence, were raided on Wednesday as the indictment was unsealed, according to sources

01:03:42.000 who spoke exclusively with the Postmillennial. The sources were not authorized to publicly speak on

01:03:47.000 record, said the authorities confiscated the electronic devices belonging to Tenet Media

01:03:51.000 owners Lauren Chen, also known as Lauren You-Some-Tam, I didn't know that, and her husband

01:03:55.000 Liam Donovan around the same time the Biden-Harris administration announced the indictment.

01:04:00.000 I don't think the owners had any idea about the investigation, one source said.

01:04:04.000 The raid just came out of nowhere.

01:04:06.000 Sources said the couple, who are Canadian nationals living in Tennessee, had recently returned from a trip abroad.

01:04:11.000 Chen, a right-wing YouTuber and social media personality, and her husband have not commented publicly.

01:04:16.000 The company's social media accounts were still posting content just before the indictment was unsealed.

01:04:20.000 Sources tell the Post Malino that Tenet media staff had been kept entirely in the dark since the indictment's announcement, with the founders not communicating at all with any employees or contributors.

01:04:30.000 Tenet Media has not issued any public comment.

01:04:32.000 Now, this is interesting.

01:04:33.000 There was a quickly posted and deleted comment that said, Very interesting.

01:04:43.000 And now we have, The Blaze has fired Lauren Chen.

01:04:48.000 I don't think they've added much else after that.

01:04:50.000 And then, YouTube has terminated these channels.

01:04:54.000 This is absolutely crazy.

01:04:56.000 And, uh, you know, the one thing I can add to this, obviously, is we had a show licensed to Tenet.

01:05:00.000 We do sponsors, right?

01:05:03.000 And now we regularly have ad sales where a company will come to us and say, we'd like to sponsor your show.

01:05:09.000 And it's immediately now like, who are you?

01:05:10.000 Where are you from?

01:05:11.000 Why are you doing this?

01:05:13.000 Because the crazy thing about Lauren Chen is we've known her for so long.

01:05:17.000 She's been a prominent producer for over a decade.

01:05:19.000 She works for The Blaze.

01:05:21.000 She was a contributor to TPUSA.

01:05:24.000 And everyone was just like, oh yeah, she's starting a company, sure.

01:05:27.000 This is nuts.

01:05:28.000 But the crazy thing I would also add is, it actually is very scary.

01:05:33.000 This indictment is an allegation not yet proven in court, and that's a statement from the DOJ.

01:05:37.000 The DOJ said that.

01:05:38.000 They said these are allegations not yet proven to be true, and these individuals are presumed innocent.

01:05:43.000 And that's not in reference to Lauren Chen or Liam Donovan.

01:05:46.000 The crazy thing is, YouTube took down Lauren Chen's channel, YouTube terminated Lauren Chen's channel.

01:05:53.000 She's not been indicted on any crime.

01:05:55.000 She's not been accused of any crime.

01:05:58.000 She's listed in this document.

01:06:00.000 There are some damning allegations, but she's not yet been indicted, and YouTube just nuked their channels instantly.

01:06:05.000 Tenet, I could understand, but even after that, these are still just allegations, which is kind of worrying.

01:06:12.000 Yeah.

01:06:12.000 Well, Andy added an update, which says, shortly after the report was published, Tenet Media announced privately to its staff that it was ceasing operations effective immediately.

01:06:23.000 Whoa, wait, where?

01:06:23.000 When did he say that?

01:06:24.000 Did he tweet it?

01:06:26.000 No, he just told me, because he was watching, and he just told me that you didn't update and it wasn't there at the top, and I'm looking at the story.

01:06:35.000 Oh, I see it, I see it, yeah.

01:06:36.000 Shortly after this report was published, Tenet Media announced privately to its staff that it was ceasing operations effective immediately.

01:06:42.000 Yeah.

01:06:42.000 If you guys ever wonder why Libby's on her laptop during the show, she is actively always working.

01:06:46.000 Yeah.

01:06:47.000 I was just talking to Andy.

01:06:49.000 So, Timcast, the company where we do the show, I'll give you a quick history.

01:06:54.000 I started a YouTube channel a long time ago.

01:06:56.000 Worked for a couple big media outlets.

01:06:57.000 They paid me good sums of money when I worked for Disney and for Vice.

01:07:00.000 Then I used that money to invest in my YouTube channel, which it grew and generated revenue.

01:07:04.000 Carl Benjamin had me do a guest spot on his channel, which gave me a bunch of subscribers.

01:07:09.000 Shortly after that, I went on Joe Rogan, got way more subscribers.

01:07:12.000 Big YouTube channels make lots of money, reinvested back into the company.

01:07:15.000 The company grew substantially.

01:07:17.000 So when, you know, Lauren Chen approached us about a deal, it was like, hey, we'd like to license your show for

01:07:22.000 distribution.

01:07:23.000 That's the gist of it.

01:07:24.000 The show already existed.

01:07:25.000 It's on youtube.com slash TimCast.

01:07:27.000 It has 1.3 million subscribers.

01:07:29.000 And I was like, okay.

01:07:30.000 And then that's it.

01:07:32.000 It was not exclusive.

01:07:33.000 This is absolutely insane.

01:07:35.000 That, I don't know, I don't know.

01:07:38.000 They fired her even? 1.00

01:07:39.000 I gotta say, it really does look like, from this reporting, she's gonna be charged.

01:07:45.000 Her and Liam are gonna face criminal charges.

01:07:50.000 There's another statement in the story apparently.

01:07:52.000 What is it?

01:07:54.000 That Donovan sent a message to staff saying, as most of you may know by now, there's a federal investigation surrounding Tenet at the moment.

01:08:01.000 There have been no indictments against us or the company.

01:08:04.000 We've hired legal counsel and are working through the legal issues.

01:08:07.000 We hope to provide more clarity soon.

01:08:08.000 However, it is clear that given the nature of the investigation, we have no choice but to stop all work on Tenet.

01:08:13.000 We do not foresee it coming back.

01:08:15.000 Absolutely insane.

01:08:16.000 That's crazy.

01:08:18.000 I mean, the DOJ indictment's fairly damning.

01:08:20.000 It says that when they were looking for remittances and they didn't get a response, they Google-searched time in Moscow.

01:08:28.000 That's pretty... That's a bold claim.

01:08:30.000 But hey, these are allegations.

01:08:31.000 I don't know what's true.

01:08:32.000 Due process.

01:08:33.000 Yeah, and I've not talked to Lauren Chen after any of this stuff, and I think I only talked to her a couple times this year at all, and I think it was one time because she came on the show with Pearl Davis, and we talked about dating and marriage and stuff.

01:08:48.000 And she was here with Benny Johnson after that, I think.

01:08:51.000 She was here with Benny Johnson?

01:08:52.000 Yeah, she and Benny Johnson were here.

01:08:53.000 Man, I barely remember.

01:08:55.000 I think it is pretty funny, though, that if it's true that she Googled that, it's like, you know, that's the same thing that Bob Menendez's wife did when they had the gold bars.

01:09:06.000 They were like, oh, what to do with all these gold bars?

01:09:07.000 It's like, if you're committing crimes, don't Google about what crime you're committing, because, like, they will find out.

01:09:14.000 Yeah.

01:09:16.000 It'll be really interesting to see how this plays out.

01:09:18.000 I mean, I think that It's just one of these things that I don't trust the DOJ.

01:09:25.000 On the other hand, these are very serious allegations.

01:09:27.000 And especially during election year, you know, to have the credibility of a lot of people who are openly discussing politics in a way that the Biden administration doesn't like come under scrutiny.

01:09:37.000 You know, it's it's it's rough.

01:09:40.000 And the kind of bizarre thing is, you know, the media has always been saying that, you know, Trump is Putin's candidate, you know, Trump is pro-Russia.

01:09:50.000 And, you know, you follow Lauren's Twitter feed, and like, she's been very critical of Trump from a I think Trump had a statement about it on Truth Social.

01:10:00.000 It's like I don't see how Russia gains or anything like that if this is all true. 0.71

01:10:07.000 It's kind of bizarre.

01:10:08.000 It's like what do they gain from attacking Trump from the right other than I guess this

01:10:12.000 general discord.

01:10:14.000 I think Trump had a statement about it on Truth Social.

01:10:16.000 Let's see if I can pull that one up.

01:10:20.000 Blah blah blah.

01:10:21.000 No, I don't know.

01:10:23.000 He had some truth social posts, but the media's not covering it because it doesn't, you know, it doesn't lend to their narrative.

01:10:30.000 But here we are, man.

01:10:31.000 I don't know if this is a pre-October surprise.

01:10:34.000 Early voting is starting in, what did you say, Pennsylvania?

01:10:36.000 Pennsylvania on the 16th.

01:10:37.000 North Carolina is coming up, too.

01:10:39.000 Pennsylvania is the one that matters.

01:10:40.000 Pennsylvania's first, too.

01:10:41.000 Yeah.

01:10:42.000 That's a very big deal.

01:10:43.000 Yeah.

01:10:44.000 Yeah, and there could be more October Surprise, you know?

01:10:47.000 September Surprise?

01:10:48.000 Yeah, well, we've got the September Surprise.

01:10:50.000 Maybe they're just going to keep ramping it up, you know?

01:10:52.000 Yeah, I almost feel like it's not going to be a surprise.

01:10:54.000 It's just going to be like hit after hit after hit after hit after hit until the election.

01:10:58.000 Well, that has been like, for people who work in news, it has been ludicrous.

01:11:04.000 It has been just absolutely insane.

01:11:05.000 Like, every single day is a collection of crazy stories, none of which have anything to do with each other.

01:11:13.000 So you're just constantly, like, assigning writers, like, you do this crazy thing.

01:11:18.000 How about you do this crazy thing?

01:11:19.000 They're all breaking.

01:11:20.000 You have to come up for new with new words for breaking, you know, just in.

01:11:24.000 New crazy thing happened.

01:11:26.000 And you have school shootings.

01:11:28.000 That poor kid, you know, like, it looks like he was abused by his dad on top of everything else.

01:11:34.000 I'm just looking at all the stuff that's going on.

01:11:36.000 And I'm really worried about what happens in not like mid November and December sounds scary.

01:11:41.000 Yeah.

01:11:41.000 And also terrible for the victims.

01:11:43.000 Obviously, I don't mean to just say I always feel bad for the person who has so much trouble that they give into evil.

01:11:51.000 I always feel bad for that person.

01:11:53.000 Yeah, well, I'm worried about what happens to the stability of this country.

01:11:55.000 Yeah, for sure.

01:11:57.000 Moving post, you know, November 5th.

01:12:00.000 Two months, 61 days.

01:12:03.000 And up until that point, you know, I feel like the stuff that we're seeing now, this is absolutely, these allegations are absolutely crazy.

01:12:11.000 And, man, I have no idea.

01:12:15.000 I feel like what's to come is going to get nuts.

01:12:16.000 Because I've been saying this for a while now.

01:12:19.000 They're going to go after anti-establishment channels. 0.64

01:12:24.000 You know, I don't know.

01:12:25.000 Well, it's a concern.

01:12:27.000 And they certainly you know, they certainly didn't have a problem going after Steve Bannon.

01:12:32.000 Yep.

01:12:33.000 And Peter Navarro.

01:12:34.000 And Peter Navarro.

01:12:35.000 And, you know, War room's doing a really good job holding it together until he gets back, but... Now we've got, you know, Lichtman saying Harris wins.

01:12:43.000 I think it's like the end of October, right?

01:12:45.000 Yeah, right before the election.

01:12:46.000 Harris, I'm sorry, Lichtman's got it for Harris.

01:12:49.000 Silver's got it for Trump.

01:12:50.000 They're both subject to change, I guess.

01:12:52.000 The question then becomes, what happens on November 6th?

01:12:57.000 What happens?

01:12:58.000 I guess... What do you think?

01:12:59.000 I think it totally depends on who wins.

01:13:01.000 Well, I know, that's the question.

01:13:02.000 I mean, is there going to be a winner?

01:13:04.000 Yeah.

01:13:05.000 Well, I also think, like, if it is, like, a very tight electoral college outcome, like, I could see just chaos, violence the day after.

01:13:13.000 And especially if, you know, states are, like, very marginal and they're swapping because of mail-in ballots or something like that, you know, it's gonna be hectic.

01:13:22.000 But if it's clear one way or the other, I think most people will.

01:13:26.000 I think there'll be some frustration, some anger, but I don't know if it devolves into, like, mass chaos.

01:13:31.000 Have you seen the HAVV numbers?

01:13:34.000 Help America vote verification stuff?

01:13:36.000 No.

01:13:37.000 Are you updated though?

01:13:37.000 I don't know.

01:13:37.000 Let's pull up the week ending August 31st and take a look at Missouri.

01:13:42.000 Whoa! 0.99

01:13:42.000 Holy crap. 0.99

01:13:43.000 Is this true? 0.78

01:13:44.000 Week ending August 31st, 2024.

01:13:47.000 Let's zoom in.

01:13:48.000 Are you familiar with HAVV?

01:13:50.000 I am not.

01:13:51.000 This is the Help America Vote Verification System.

01:13:54.000 What you're seeing here, and we'll start with these numbers, Alabama, total transactions, this is 3,041 voter registration attempts from individuals who don't have IDs.

01:14:04.000 What they do is, the DMV, or the, what is it, Motor Vehicle Administration, will submit the registration application, along with the last four of their social, name and birthday, to the SSA, who will then confirm if the person exists.

01:14:18.000 Alabama had 3,041 total attempts.

01:14:22.000 815 of those registrations did not come back matched to a social security name and number.

01:14:27.000 2,226 did.

01:14:28.000 1,943 were dead.

01:14:28.000 I'm sorry, were alive.

01:14:29.000 283 were dead.

01:14:29.000 So that's over a one-week period.

01:14:30.000 243 were dead. I'm sorry, we're alive. 283 were dead.

01:14:33.000 So that's over a one-week period.

01:14:36.000 Arizona had 53,200 voter registration attempts without IDs.

01:14:42.000 Wow.

01:14:43.000 Missouri had 36,769 people attempt to register to vote without an ID.

01:14:50.000 237 were dead.

01:14:53.000 3,141 did not match the SSA database.

01:14:55.000 Could a lot of these be voter registration drives?

01:14:58.000 So, with a voter registration drive... Millions per month?

01:15:01.000 I mean, or hundreds of thousands per month?

01:15:03.000 Well, in Arizona, I know Charlie Kirk just did, like, a huge voter registration drive.

01:15:07.000 And 53,000 of the people that he registered didn't have IDs?

01:15:10.000 Well, it's not that they didn't have IDs.

01:15:12.000 It's that when you do a voter registration drive, you may be like, check the ID, but you don't submit their voter registration with their ID because they take their ID back.

01:15:21.000 If you put your name, your ID down and you write your ID information, you're good.

01:15:24.000 This is for people who don't have one who submit specifically with their Social Security numbers.

01:15:28.000 Yeah, I'm just wondering if that's... I don't remember the last time I looked at a voter drive form.

01:15:34.000 What's interesting is why that's probably so high, because I was kind of shocked to see that number, is in Missouri on the November ballot we have an abortion referendum.

01:15:43.000 So I know Democrats are doing voter registration drives all across the state to try and make sure that that margin goes their way.

01:15:52.000 Does Missouri have early voting?

01:15:53.000 Yeah, two weeks.

01:15:54.000 Here's Missouri, February 17th of this year.

01:15:56.000 78,421 registration attempts without an ID.

01:15:57.000 of this year. 78,421 registration attempts without an ID.

01:16:02.000 23,253 of those attempts were from dead people.

01:16:06.000 That is crazy.

01:16:07.000 Why are there dead people registering to vote?

01:16:09.000 The argument that people say makes the most sense is that this is the reapplication of existing voter registration forms to check as a voter roll cleanup thing.

01:16:20.000 I don't know that that makes sense.

01:16:22.000 If the point of this, SSA says it's only for voter registrations with IDs, this would mean the state's abusing the system.

01:16:29.000 And I don't know the mechanism by which they submit, but my understanding, according to the website, is you submit the form, the voter registration form, with the information about their social security number, name, and date of birth.

01:16:41.000 I don't see how Missouri doing voter roll cleanup would take a stack of voter registration forms from when?

01:16:46.000 I mean, if we're talking about 23,253 people who are deceased, that means they must have been registered for quite some time, right?

01:16:53.000 I can't imagine those are murder victims.

01:16:55.000 They're people who died of old age.

01:16:56.000 Yeah.

01:16:57.000 Why would the state still have all their forms?

01:16:59.000 Well, things move really slow.

01:17:02.000 Bureaucracy is...

01:17:04.000 Really slow. But how does that explain 23,000 dead people in Missouri? The explanation may be that

01:17:10.000 they filled out new application forms for everybody on the voter rolls and then submitted

01:17:15.000 them to see if they were still alive so they could remove them later. Seems kind of...

01:17:19.000 Are these people who submitted a voter registration and are now registered,

01:17:23.000 or these were just people who submitted registration and then got flagged?

01:17:27.000 So all this checks is whether they have a social security number.

01:17:31.000 Okay.

01:17:32.000 So the way it works is total non-matches.

01:17:35.000 So let's do Alabama for the week of February 17th, 1092 transactions.

01:17:39.000 These are the DMV submitting the form saying here are the people who tried to register.

01:17:44.000 210 did not match.

01:17:45.000 Okay.

01:17:46.000 So that person likely will not get registered.

01:17:48.000 Yeah.

01:17:49.000 882 did match.

01:17:50.000 They likely will go back and say, okay, these names are good.

01:17:52.000 Okay.

01:17:53.000 And however, 276 were dead.

01:17:56.000 So they'd likely say, okay, take that name.

01:17:58.000 This person can't register.

01:17:59.000 They're dead.

01:18:00.000 The question is, how does a dead person try to register to vote?

01:18:02.000 Yeah.

01:18:04.000 The argument could be that they register and then die, and the application was sitting on the desk for a few weeks or something.

01:18:11.000 But 23,000?

01:18:11.000 Yeah.

01:18:13.000 Did you guys have a very specific plague hit suddenly?

01:18:16.000 No, no.

01:18:17.000 I will say this.

01:18:19.000 This is something that I need to talk to you.

01:18:20.000 So my state senator actually won the primary and arguably the most conservative one of the eight candidates that were running for Secretary of State of Missouri.

01:18:29.000 So he will be the next Secretary of State.

01:18:32.000 I need to talk to him about this.

01:18:33.000 Yeah, this is, you know, eye opening.

01:18:35.000 But yeah, it's disturbing.

01:18:38.000 In one week, 23,000 dead people.

01:18:39.000 That's absurd.

01:18:42.000 The argument is that it's voter roll cleanup, and that's the only thing that really makes sense, but I don't understand the mechanism by which you use a voter registration system for voter roll cleanup.

01:18:50.000 It seems like a leap.

01:18:52.000 What's the other argument?

01:18:53.000 That someone tried to register a bunch of names they found and they were dead people?

01:18:56.000 I mean, that's crazy, too.

01:19:00.000 Yeah, well, one...

01:19:04.000 And this is me spitballing.

01:19:06.000 One thing I could think is, you know, as they're gathering signatures to put things on the ballot, they cross-reference that to see if they're a registered voter or not.

01:19:16.000 So maybe they find out that these senators are either dead, like these people are not alive,

01:19:21.000 or anything like that, and then they eliminate them. But still, I don't know.

01:19:25.000 No idea.

01:19:26.000 Yeah, that is bizarre. It's definitely something that we need to look into.

01:19:29.000 Let's jump to this story from SCNR.

01:19:33.000 White House denounces Tucker Carlson for recent viral interview.

01:19:36.000 Carlson, they're warmonger freaks.

01:19:38.000 They don't get the moral high ground.

01:19:40.000 The White House has condemned Tucker Carlson for a recent viral interview he conducted with Historian.

01:19:45.000 On Monday, The Independent Broadcaster released an interview with podcaster Daryl Cooper, whom Carlson referred to as the best and most honest popular historian in the U.S.

01:19:53.000 The viral episode, which is approaching 30 million views and acts, has resulted in Cooper's martyr-made podcast topping the

01:19:59.000 iTunes charts and surpassing Carlson's podcast. Wow. During the wide-ranging two-hour interview,

01:20:04.000 Cooper offered a heterodox view of Winston Churchill. Quote, I think maybe I'm getting a

01:20:08.000 little, I'm being a little hyperbolic, maybe, but I thought Churchill was the chief villain of the

01:20:12.000 Second World War, Cooper said.

01:20:14.000 He didn't kill the most people. He didn't commit the most atrocities. He was primarily responsible

01:20:18.000 for that war becoming what it did. In a statement issued to CNN, the Biden administration's senior

01:20:23.000 deputy press secretary, Andrew Bates, said, giving a microphone to a Holocaust denier who spreads

01:20:26.000 Nazi propaganda is a disgusting and sadistic insult to all Americans, to the memory of over

01:20:32.000 six million Jews who were genocidally murdered by Adolf Hitler, to the service of the millions 0.94

01:20:35.000 of Americans who fought to defeat Nazism, and to every subsequent victim of anti-Semitism.

01:20:41.000 Hitler was one of the most evil figures in human history, and the chief villain of World War II, full stop. 0.94

01:20:45.000 The Biden-Harris administration believes that trafficking in this moral rot is unacceptable at any time, let alone less than one year after the deadliest massacre perpetrated against the Jewish people since the Holocaust, and at a time when the cancer of antisemitism is growing all over the world.

01:20:59.000 I gotta say, I have not listened to the full interview that Tucker Carlson did.

01:21:05.000 I did see a lot of people saying that there was a mix of conservative and liberal personalities misquoting what Cooper had been saying in the podcast.

01:21:15.000 I would say this, for my opinion on this.

01:21:18.000 I think it's silly to say Churchill was the chief villain.

01:21:20.000 I understand the point he's trying to make.

01:21:22.000 Responsibility in war is not, it's not, we're not facing comic book villains, but yo, I gotta be honest, like, dude, Hitler was the chief villain, and I know there's a lot of people who are gonna make arguments about the heterodox nature of things, like, you know, in this.

01:21:35.000 Yeah, it's called relativism.

01:21:37.000 Yeah, I know.

01:21:39.000 This is a postmodern, you know, deconstructivist approach to history from a right-wing perspective instead of a left-wing perspective, but it's still exactly the same thing.

01:21:50.000 Yeah, look, my view is you absolutely can criticize Churchill.

01:21:54.000 I read Cooper's thread on why he's critical of Churchill, and I'm like, Look, my opinion is that he's critical of Churchill for waging war on a country at war, and he didn't like the tactics used.

01:22:06.000 Hitler killed people for psychotic reasons.

01:22:11.000 I mean, look, the argument, I suppose, outside of what he's saying is, if you drive people to the brink of starvation and insanity and demoralization and conquest, and then let it stew, they will bubble up and go insane.

01:22:24.000 But to claim that Churchill is the chief villain, I think, is just not correct.

01:22:30.000 Yeah, I agree.

01:22:32.000 Did you guys listen to the podcast?

01:22:34.000 So I listened to clips of it.

01:22:35.000 I didn't listen to the full thing.

01:22:37.000 But I just, just looking at it through Analyzing history, you know, I think a lot of Americans don't understand, you know, the Allies did commit some atrocities and then also the fact that the Allies, you know, stood with Stalin and, you know, Stalin committed, you know, the Holodomor, a lot of these different, you know, genocides.

01:23:03.000 And I think because You know, they were largely with the Allies, and the Allies have kind of wrote a lot of the history, and it's kind of the founding mythos of our, you know, modern politics.

01:23:13.000 I think, you know, it is important to kind of look critically at that.

01:23:16.000 You know, I wouldn't agree that Winston Churchill was the main villain of World War II, but I, you know, I, you know, as with any political leader, yeah, you know, they're not perfect, and I think it is kind of important to look at everything that they did.

01:23:28.000 Even Mussolini was worse than Churchill.

01:23:30.000 So Carlson responded saying, The fact that these lunatics have used the Churchill myth

01:23:34.000 to bring our country closer to nuclear war than at any moment in history disgusts me and should terrify every

01:23:38.000 American, he wrote in a text message to the outlet.

01:23:41.000 They're warmonger freaks. They don't get the moral high ground.

01:23:44.000 Though Cooper has not directly addressed the White House statement, he mentioned the controversy in an interview in

01:23:48.000 a Thursday evening ex post.

01:23:51.000 The furor over my Tucker interview is straight replay of the very fine people hoax.

01:23:55.000 Totally mendacious, claiming the literal opposite of what was actually said.

01:23:58.000 Too shameless to care that people can easily go see the video themselves.

01:24:03.000 During his interview with Carlson, Cooper clarified his comments, saying that, uh, well, here's a quote.

01:24:09.000 And the next thought comes to your head is that, oh, you're saying Churchill was the chief villain, therefore his enemies, you know, Hitler and so forth, were the protagonists, right?

01:24:14.000 They're the good guys.

01:24:16.000 If you think he's a villain, that's not the case.

01:24:17.000 That's not what I'm saying.

01:24:18.000 He says, you know, Germany, look, they put themselves in a position, and Adolf Hitler is chiefly responsible for this, but his whole regime was responsible for it. 0.93

01:24:25.000 that when they went into the East in 1941, they launched a war

01:24:29.000 where they were completely unprepared to deal with the millions and millions of prisoners of war,

01:24:32.000 of local political prisoners and so forth, that they're going to have to handle.

01:24:36.000 They went in with no plan for that, and they just threw these people into camps,

01:24:39.000 and millions of people ended up dead there.

01:24:41.000 Cooper then argued that components of the traditional narrative of World War II

01:24:45.000 have become akin to modern American mythology.

01:24:48.000 I suppose if the greater point he's saying is that Adolf Hitler, in his idealistic fervor and desire for, you 0.89

01:24:58.000 know, seizing back land and expanding German territory,

01:25:02.000 captured, imprisoned, and then killed millions of people.

01:25:07.000 I don't really... I just feel like it's...

01:25:07.000 Like, I don't know.

01:25:12.000 I don't know, pulling hairs? 0.99

01:25:14.000 I suppose the argument is there are stupid people who don't understand history and think it's some, like, can't-stand-to-hear about, like, laying out what happened and how it happened. 0.99

01:25:23.000 I feel like once you read all of it, you still conclude that Hitler is the bad guy. 0.99

01:25:28.000 I feel that way too. 0.97

01:25:31.000 I think Hitler is probably the evil person. 0.98

01:25:35.000 Probably. 0.97

01:25:36.000 There's probably others, like Mussolini wasn't great, Stalin was a terrible guy.

01:25:40.000 That being said, you need allies in war.

01:25:44.000 War doesn't mean you team up with your best friends and go on an expedition.

01:25:49.000 War means that you're struggling to save your nation from obliteration and to save your allies from obliteration, and you have to make really hard choices.

01:25:58.000 I know this is not a popular thing to say, but I listened to a bunch of interviews with Condoleezza Rice after she left the Bush administration, and I think she's a really interesting, I think she's very intelligent, and I think she thinks things through all the way, which is not something that happens very much anymore.

01:26:18.000 But she said, she was asked about the Iraq war, right, which was, in my view, like a really bad idea.

01:26:25.000 And she said, we had to make, we had to decide between several really bad alternatives.

01:26:33.000 There were no good options.

01:26:35.000 Right?

01:26:36.000 Like, in World War II, were there a bunch of really good options, and the U.S.

01:26:40.000 and Britain just took the ones that were the worst?

01:26:43.000 I don't think there were good options available.

01:26:47.000 And I think that that is important to remember, that when you're facing this kind of thing, which we could be facing ourselves, like, are there a lot of good options available when it comes to Israel or when it comes to Ukraine?

01:26:59.000 Every option leads to some kind of death and destruction and horribleness.

01:27:04.000 Every single option.

01:27:06.000 Getting involved is bad.

01:27:07.000 Not getting involved also leads to bad things.

01:27:11.000 It doesn't matter what you do, which option you pick, something bad is going to happen.

01:27:17.000 Whether it's immediately for your nation or somebody else's or for your allies or for all of the children or whatever.

01:27:24.000 Pick your victim class.

01:27:26.000 I'll put it in a modern context, I suppose.

01:27:28.000 I can't, because I'm not going to sit here and speak about, I don't know, I read Cooper's thread on Churchill and it's very interesting where he makes the points that blockade, starvation, created desperation and anger and a generation of angry young men and all of these things.

01:27:42.000 He didn't say that literally, but it's the general idea, I suppose.

01:27:45.000 And among other things, I'm not, that wasn't the principal message.

01:27:48.000 But you look at right now with Ukraine, and I think it's fair to say that Putin's the bad guy.

01:27:52.000 But I don't think it's fair to say that Putin's goal is the conquest of Europe, that he takes Ukraine, he's going to take Poland.

01:27:58.000 I think that is exaggeration.

01:27:59.000 Those are exaggerations to justify foreign, namely U.S. 0.50

01:28:02.000 and NATO involvement in Ukraine.

01:28:04.000 Vladimir Putin invaded Ukraine.

01:28:05.000 He should not have.

01:28:07.000 The U.S.

01:28:07.000 was engaged in a soft power battle that it was winning, and that's preferable to hot conflict.

01:28:13.000 Vladimir Putin decided hot conflict was better because he didn't want to lose a soft power battle, and I think that is wrong.

01:28:19.000 So what happens in Ukraine is the East and the West were offering up money and opportunity.

01:28:25.000 Putin said to Ukraine, if you do a deal with the EU, we will cut off our trade agreement with you.

01:28:31.000 And then Ukraine said, OK, then we're going to go with the wealthier Western European and NATO.

01:28:40.000 And so Putin got pissed and was like, well, yeah.

01:28:43.000 And his argument was, the Russian argument, That if Ukraine opened up trade to Western Europe, those products would then freely flow into Russia and disrupt their economy, so we had to cut them off.

01:28:53.000 And then by doing so, lost the soft power battle, offered up nothing in return to the Ukrainians, and then decided to instead invade. 0.88

01:29:00.000 I think that was a stupid thing to do, and I think he's a guy who tries to hold onto power for a long time. 0.91

01:29:04.000 That being said, That doesn't justify U.S. 0.99

01:29:07.000 funding a conflict in a country that is not us.

01:29:11.000 And the argument they've made is that, well, they may join NATO.

01:29:15.000 I mean, why are we expanding on Russia's border as it is and creating this potential problem?

01:29:21.000 That being said, I can understand soft power versus hot conflict, but why are we now, after this is all going down, deciding that we are going to be involved militaristically in this conflict, or that I, or any other American, should support the funding of hundreds of billions of dollars going to this country that is not one of our allies?

01:29:36.000 There's also this crazy thing now, you know how the U.S.

01:29:38.000 is giving- oh, you have a fly on your head.

01:29:40.000 There's always a fly in here.

01:29:42.000 Yeah, I just didn't want to- There's two of them!

01:29:45.000 Because we have the door, everything's open.

01:29:48.000 Now it's on your head.

01:29:49.000 Oh, come on. 0.87

01:29:52.000 You know I don't like bugs.

01:29:53.000 What was I going to say?

01:29:55.000 Oh, so Ukraine's taking all of these weapons from the U.S., but they also put together all these deals with the help of the U.S.

01:30:02.000 to have defense and munitions companies in Ukraine.

01:30:05.000 And so now they're making their own weapons.

01:30:07.000 And you know what they're doing with those?

01:30:08.000 They're selling them out of the country.

01:30:12.000 Yeah.

01:30:14.000 This is something we covered at Human Events the other day.

01:30:16.000 Wow.

01:30:16.000 And it's just like, so you're taking our stuff.

01:30:19.000 You're taking a bunch of contracts so that you can build your own stuff.

01:30:23.000 It's the business form.

01:30:24.000 And now you're selling that.

01:30:26.000 Meanwhile you have like... Anyway.

01:30:28.000 We know about the fortifications that never got built.

01:30:29.000 Yes.

01:30:30.000 I mean, it's crazy to have people on Axe that are just blindly putting up the Ukrainian flags and saying, whoo, we're going to support them no matter what.

01:30:37.000 And I'm like, we gave a bunch of money to these companies that were fake.

01:30:40.000 The government knew.

01:30:41.000 And then the money was taken by criminals and they ran.

01:30:43.000 It is insanity.

01:30:46.000 And I think these European countries are getting away with murder because we already know they don't pay the dues that they should be paying for NATO.

01:30:53.000 We're paying all the money.

01:30:54.000 And then, okay, there's conflict in their backyard.

01:30:57.000 And what are we doing?

01:30:57.000 We're sending American weapons and spending, what, I think it's now over $100 billion to fight this war when, you know, it's their backyard.

01:31:06.000 They should be fighting.

01:31:07.000 They should be fighting it.

01:31:08.000 They should be coughing up the money. 0.99

01:31:10.000 Once again, I guess America ends up always being the sucker and paying for everything. 0.98

01:31:16.000 Yeah, that is what happens, isn't it? 0.98

01:31:20.000 We just pay for everything.

01:31:21.000 I hate that for us.

01:31:22.000 Do you think Americans look positively at NATO or no?

01:31:26.000 When I'm talking to voters, people don't bring it up.

01:31:31.000 But I think more and more people are not looking positive on it because it's like, you know, there's a reason why Trump's comments resonated with people because it's absolutely true.

01:31:42.000 You know, we are the world's piggy bank and, you know, everyone is just taking us to the cleaners.

01:31:47.000 And, you know, most of these establishment politicians are totally willing to let that happen because, you know, they're getting money on the side.

01:31:52.000 They're getting something to kick back and they're totally willing to sell us out just for, you know, pennies on the dollar.

01:31:58.000 Yeah.

01:32:00.000 Indeed.

01:32:01.000 And we've, you know, it's kind of wild to me is that I remember doing like the Iraq War stuff.

01:32:07.000 If you didn't support the Iraq war, you were with the terrorists, you're either with us or you were with the terrorists, and there was this fervent, zealotry, pro-war, and a lot of good people signed up and enlisted because they thought this was the right thing to do, that America needed us, we were attacked and we had to answer, and then we end up in Iraq for some reason.

01:32:22.000 Yeah, J.D.

01:32:23.000 Vance and Ron DeSantis both signed up.

01:32:25.000 For that reason.

01:32:26.000 And now, it's funny because it was the conservatives at the time, it was under Bush, but now it's the Democrats that are pro-war. 0.51

01:32:32.000 But they're not enlisting.

01:32:33.000 I'll underscore that.

01:32:34.000 Yeah, that's true.

01:32:35.000 But they're like neocons, and Kamala Harris' DNC speech was like a neocon-written speech. 0.99

01:32:41.000 The funny thing is, in that Lichtman thing where he says, won't affect major change, or whatever, and then he claims that she will, or whatever the thing was, they're claiming that Harris, if she gets elected, will affect major change.

01:32:41.000 You know?

01:32:51.000 Maybe it's because she wants to build a wall and no tax on tips. 1.00

01:32:53.000 That is major change, right?

01:32:53.000 Right.

01:32:54.000 Yeah, I guess so.

01:32:55.000 Maybe that's the one.

01:32:57.000 Alright everybody.

01:32:58.000 Make the change for politicians.

01:32:59.000 Exactly.

01:33:00.000 Do very little and then pat yourself on the back.

01:33:02.000 And someone pointed out too that the primary challenge is a reference only to the convention.

01:33:07.000 But I think these things, I don't know if this prediction model applies appropriately

01:33:12.000 because it's not following the same pattern.

01:33:15.000 That's totally a lot of unprecedented stuff.

01:33:17.000 Right.

01:33:19.000 All right, we're gonna go to Super Chat, so smash that like button, subscribe to this channel, share the show with your friends, and become a member at TimCast.com to support our work directly, because that's what makes this whole machine operate.

01:33:31.000 And when you become a member, you get access to our members-only uncensored show, which will be coming up at 10 p.m.

01:33:36.000 tonight.

01:33:37.000 Not so family-friendly, but always fun.

01:33:39.000 We'd love to see you there.

01:33:40.000 Smash the like button, as I said.

01:33:41.000 Let's read.

01:33:42.000 Ty Groot says, first Super Chat, you win, sir!

01:33:45.000 Congratulations.

01:33:48.000 Yeah, I know.

01:33:51.000 I actually DM'd Jesse Watters.

01:33:56.000 I was like, dude, that's massively defamatory.

01:33:58.000 Like, that's not true at all.

01:34:01.000 The indictment literally says that we were deceived.

01:34:04.000 And as I stated already, I've been contacted by the FBI as a victim, and they've requested an interview.

01:34:10.000 I can't say much more than that.

01:34:13.000 All right, let's go, let's go.

01:34:14.000 Big Cheese says, Tim, remember Flynn when talking with the FBI.

01:34:19.000 Ginger McIsaac says, get your sweet bamboo switches ready. 0.99

01:34:22.000 The Panda Express bus is out and about, full of yummy platitudes and regional dialects for any taste sensation.

01:34:29.000 Indeed.

01:34:31.000 Imperial Navy says, I find it interesting that they put out the DOJ indictment right after you said you're suing the Kamala Harris campaign.

01:34:37.000 I don't know.

01:34:37.000 I don't think it's related.

01:34:39.000 Don't know.

01:34:40.000 Don't know.

01:34:41.000 Raymond G. Stanley Jr.

01:34:42.000 says, Tim, they're too easy to F with. 0.99

01:34:43.000 A simple hi mom and they lose their freaking minds. 0.99

01:34:46.000 We cannot afford to let these lemmings have any more say in things. 1.00

01:34:53.000 I tweeted hi mom.

01:34:54.000 That's it.

01:34:55.000 I also tweeted that I'm pro-war now. 0.99

01:34:57.000 I'm for it.

01:34:58.000 I want to make sure that's clear.

01:35:00.000 All of my statements are in the show.

01:35:02.000 War is good. 1.00

01:35:02.000 All of a sudden, change of ways. 1.00

01:35:03.000 War is good. 1.00

01:35:04.000 War is good. 1.00

01:35:06.000 We must have more.

01:35:09.000 Let's go.

01:35:10.000 Lurch says, Lincoln Park has a new album and a female singer.

01:35:14.000 I don't know.

01:35:15.000 It's kind of weird.

01:35:15.000 I don't know.

01:35:16.000 I heard that.

01:35:18.000 A female singer from Lincoln Park.

01:35:19.000 It doesn't seem like the same band.

01:35:21.000 I never listened to them.

01:35:22.000 They got good music.

01:35:22.000 I have no idea.

01:35:23.000 They were huge, man.

01:35:24.000 I didn't even know they were still performing.

01:35:26.000 Oh, yeah, yeah.

01:35:28.000 Wow.

01:35:28.000 They never stopped.

01:35:29.000 Yeah, I think they have another vocalist.

01:35:32.000 I think he did both.

01:35:33.000 I'm not sure.

01:35:34.000 I like Lincoln Park.

01:35:34.000 I mean, their old stuff in the 2000s was pretty good.

01:35:36.000 Yeah.

01:35:38.000 Alright.

01:35:40.000 Paul Tascalo says, Tim's reputation gets smeared by low-information media goons claiming he got paid by Russia directly.

01:35:46.000 It's almost like that was the ultimate plan to harm prominent independent and MAGA voices via a Russia, Russia, Russia hoax.

01:35:51.000 I don't know.

01:35:53.000 Look, uh, I'll say this.

01:35:56.000 Outside of that context.

01:35:57.000 We have sponsors.

01:35:58.000 Like, I get hit up by people who are like, are you interested in this company, like, putting their logo on your thing, and like, What do people think we do?

01:36:07.000 Do we deep dive into these companies and run criminal background checks on their founders, figure out who their VCs and investors are?

01:36:15.000 So the only thing I can really say is when Lauren Chen, who everybody knew and had a big prominent channel and worked for the blaze, is going to people being like, we'd like to license content.

01:36:23.000 It's like, oh, okay.

01:36:25.000 Sure.

01:36:26.000 And then people are acting like, I'm going to say this, because there's a lot that I can't elaborate on for the most part.

01:36:32.000 Travis Kelce just got a hundred million dollar contract for his podcast.

01:36:35.000 Like people need to understand what's going on in the podcast industry and how much money people are getting paid for this stuff.

01:36:39.000 And his podcast is not even one of the biggest in the world.

01:36:42.000 I think he gets like, I think he does one every week or other week and he gets like a million, a million hits.

01:36:49.000 Timcast IRL gets, I think a total of like 3.5 million.

01:36:52.000 So just consider those numbers.

01:36:54.000 That's all I can say.

01:36:55.000 All right.

01:36:56.000 There you go.

01:36:57.000 And then, you know, you can infer.

01:37:00.000 All right.

01:37:01.000 Super Heavy Booster says, Rep Chris is single and a good looking guy.

01:37:05.000 Mary is single and pretty, just saying.

01:37:07.000 We're all thinking it.

01:37:09.000 You're all Catholics, right? 0.99

01:37:10.000 Yeah.

01:37:12.000 There you go.

01:37:13.000 Yeah.

01:37:13.000 Only Catholic in my family.

01:37:14.000 I'm a convert as of 2020.

01:37:17.000 That's a very J.D.

01:37:18.000 Vance of you.

01:37:19.000 Yes, very J.D.

01:37:21.000 And I kind of look like him too.

01:37:23.000 When I was at the RNC, I think it was like, what, 14 times people came up to me like, oh, you look just like J.D.

01:37:29.000 It's like, well, thanks.

01:37:32.000 Legoma says, Dear Tim, I agree with you about two thirds of the time.

01:37:35.000 I think you are misguided about foreign policy.

01:37:37.000 What am I wrong about?

01:37:38.000 But I know your stance comes from a place of concern for the U.S.

01:37:41.000 and its people.

01:37:41.000 You are no traitor.

01:37:42.000 Please take my money for the eventual defamation lawsuits, and I encourage you to file against certain media personalities.

01:37:49.000 I guess people are saying that breaking points defamed me?

01:37:51.000 The Five did.

01:37:53.000 Right?

01:37:54.000 Like, I'll just say it again.

01:37:55.000 The DOJ indictment literally says that we were tricked.

01:37:57.000 There was a sophisticated scheme to manipulate us.

01:38:01.000 And that's it, I guess.

01:38:03.000 I don't know.

01:38:04.000 All right, where are we at?

01:38:08.000 Harlan the Human says, turned 40 today.

01:38:10.000 Can I get a birthday shout out from Hannah Clare?

01:38:13.000 Ever since I was a kid, I thought girls with widow peaks were really cool.

01:38:16.000 Also, Libby rocks.

01:38:18.000 Well, happy birthday from me and my widow's peak.

01:38:21.000 It's always been a favorite feature of my head.

01:38:22.000 It's for my genetics.

01:38:25.000 So I guess I made it myself and I hope you have a great year.

01:38:27.000 Happy birthday.

01:38:30.000 Dark Truth says, Tim, he says, it doesn't take a genius to predict Harris will, quote, win.

01:38:35.000 Nobody is talking about how Trump is supposed to defeat the fraud machine in November.

01:38:39.000 Meh.

01:38:41.000 Ted Thorne says, they said Kamala has no scandals?

01:38:44.000 She and the Dems committed a coup over the nominated incumbent president.

01:38:48.000 Yeah, seriously.

01:38:48.000 That's a very good point.

01:38:50.000 Yeah.

01:38:51.000 Awake Not Woke says, Jessica Tarloff just defamed you by name on The Five. 1.00

01:38:55.000 Please look it up.

01:38:55.000 Just happened.

01:38:56.000 Jessica?

01:38:57.000 Jessica?

01:38:59.000 I saw that, I was watching, I watched the five!

01:39:02.000 Greg Gutfeld interjected a little bit, I can't remember exactly what he said, but Jesse made a joke about something like, I think he said, are they hiring?

01:39:10.000 When he saw the numbers, or whatever.

01:39:12.000 I just want to let the Fox cast members know, have you ever Googled searched the salaries of primetime Fox hosts?

01:39:19.000 Wasn't Tucker getting like, reportedly 25 to 30 million dollars, Hannity got like 60?

01:39:24.000 I don't know.

01:39:24.000 Hennedy made more than Tucker?

01:39:26.000 Oh, yeah, absolutely.

01:39:27.000 Hennedy's been the top guy forever.

01:39:29.000 That's crazy.

01:39:29.000 Tucker's new.

01:39:30.000 But I don't know, you want to Google search?

01:39:33.000 Cable TV News salaries?

01:39:34.000 I mean, these people get paid insane money, and their shows aren't even as big.

01:39:40.000 We get more Key Demo viewers than most of these people.

01:39:43.000 Jesse Watters gets $5 million a year, apparently.

01:39:46.000 $5 million?

01:39:48.000 So he wants to be hired somewhere for less.

01:39:51.000 No, it's the same amount.

01:39:52.000 Oh, is it the same?

01:39:52.000 Yeah.

01:39:53.000 Okay.

01:39:53.000 Yeah.

01:39:54.000 I guess that makes sense.

01:39:55.000 Yeah.

01:39:56.000 That's funny.

01:39:58.000 That's why they're acting like they don't make this much money.

01:40:00.000 They make more than this.

01:40:01.000 Yeah, it's wild.

01:40:03.000 Absolutely wild.

01:40:04.000 I will say this too, for anyone who's wondering, if that, if that amount of money shocks you, you should hear the offers I get from major network corporations, like major corporations and the stuff they offer.

01:40:15.000 You know, the people who, yeah, I'll leave it there.

01:40:19.000 All right, let's go.

01:40:21.000 George, as my family's business is a diesel truck repair shop, we've been abnormally slow this summer.

01:40:26.000 Other shops we've talked to are also slow.

01:40:31.000 Most parts suppliers said their sales are down 20 to 40 percent from last year.

01:40:36.000 Yeah, you know, when they revised down the job numbers by nearly a million, I wonder if we actually are in a recession, but they're just putting out fake numbers.

01:40:46.000 Yeah.

01:40:46.000 Did you find their salaries?

01:40:47.000 I didn't find a list.

01:40:49.000 Oh, you couldn't find one?

01:40:50.000 I can look up specific people if you want.

01:40:52.000 Let's do Fox News host Salaries.

01:40:55.000 I mean, you found Jesse Watters.

01:40:56.000 I don't know if these are real.

01:40:57.000 I looked up Jesse Watters.

01:40:59.000 Oh, you looked him up specifically?

01:41:00.000 Yeah.

01:41:01.000 Let's see.

01:41:02.000 There's an image.

01:41:03.000 It was the name I knew how to spell the best.

01:41:06.000 And these websites aren't always correct.

01:41:08.000 So one website says Hannity gets 45, Brett Baer gets 20, Laura Ingraham gets 15, Cavuto gets 7, Gutfeld 7, Waters 5, Sondra Smith 3.

01:41:18.000 Uh, Pierrot gets 3, Hammer gets 3, Bream gets 3, Martha McCallum gets 2, and Perino gets 1.

01:41:24.000 Don't know if that's true or not.

01:41:25.000 These websites usually are not correct.

01:41:27.000 They say Hannity's net worth is $250 million.

01:41:29.000 I usually don't believe these things anyway.

01:41:31.000 They're saying Diane Sawyers from CBS earns $22 million a year and she's in it worth of $80 million.

01:41:37.000 It's hard to say though.

01:41:38.000 What source was that one?

01:41:39.000 It's thestreet.com.

01:41:41.000 I've got msn.com and what do they say?

01:41:43.000 George Stephanopoulos estimated salary of $15 million, estimated net worth of $40 million.

01:41:49.000 Yeah, I've got MSN.com.

01:41:51.000 Hannity gets $40.

01:41:52.000 They've got an ad.

01:41:54.000 Perino gets $6.

01:41:56.000 Okay, Brett Baier, they say it's $15.

01:41:58.000 Anderson Cooper's $12 million, apparently.

01:42:00.000 Wow.

01:42:01.000 What is this from?

01:42:02.000 This seems old.

01:42:03.000 Mine's from June of 2024.

01:42:05.000 Yeah, this one says Jessie Waters gets $2 million. 0.88

01:42:07.000 Megyn Kelly gets $45 million? 0.96

01:42:10.000 Whoa.

01:42:10.000 Was that before?

01:42:14.000 Yeah, while she was there at Fox.

01:42:17.000 They reported it as $45 million.

01:42:19.000 NBC offered her $69 million.

01:42:21.000 What?

01:42:22.000 Rachel Maddow's $30 million, apparently.

01:42:24.000 Yeah, that one I think was big public news when they announced that deal with her.

01:42:27.000 That's a lot of money for her, and she still can't afford a shirt, you know? 0.99

01:42:30.000 Yeah.

01:42:31.000 Kilmeade gets four at this claims.

01:42:33.000 I mean, look, let me just say, like, I think people should look this up.

01:42:39.000 Oh wow.

01:42:39.000 MSN's claiming Gutfeld's getting $24 million.

01:42:42.000 Wow.

01:42:43.000 Because he's hosting Gutfeld now, which is beating Colbert.

01:42:46.000 Yeah.

01:42:46.000 He gets millions.

01:42:48.000 That's wild.

01:42:49.000 Yeah.

01:42:50.000 So people who never Google search the salaries of these primetime shows, and let me just say this to you guys.

01:42:54.000 Those shows are on the decline.

01:42:56.000 Podcasts are on the rise.

01:42:58.000 Travis Kelce getting offered $100 million for his show?

01:43:01.000 And look at the numbers that Rogan's pulling in.

01:43:01.000 I mean, come on.

01:43:03.000 We do like $3.5 million per episode.

01:43:07.000 Yeah, that's wild.

01:43:08.000 Yeah.

01:43:09.000 And Jim pays me $45 million per episode.

01:43:12.000 Per episode, that's right.

01:43:13.000 I'm just kidding.

01:43:13.000 That doesn't happen at all.

01:43:15.000 That would be really cool.

01:43:16.000 I would ask you.

01:43:16.000 I would love it if that was the case.

01:43:19.000 Ted Thornton says, in the Lex Friedman interview, Trump admitted he lost by a whisker in 2020.

01:43:24.000 He is catching on that being humble will put him in the White House.

01:43:28.000 Yeah, that's smart.

01:43:29.000 He did lose by a whisker.

01:43:30.000 So whatever people think about fraud or ballot harvesting or whatever, Trump was very close to winning the Electoral College.

01:43:36.000 Should the Republicans adapt their strategy and prepare for what's going to happen or what may happen, then they have a good chance of winning, unless the Democrats are one step ahead of them already, which may be the case.

01:43:48.000 It's Time to Stand says, Tim, have you read How Civil Wars Start and How to Stop Them?

01:43:52.000 I've heard you reference it, but I imagine you calling her out for the obvious and blatant left-wing globalist propaganda.

01:43:58.000 Is that the former CIA lady? 0.95

01:44:00.000 I don't think I've referenced her book specifically, but maybe the articles about her.

01:44:05.000 And we've also had...

01:44:07.000 Stephen Marchand, a couple times, who's written two books, what was the first one called?

01:44:13.000 The Next Civil War or something, but he had one called The Last Election, and we agree on a lot of the issues, but I think he's substantially ill-informed about what's going on publicly.

01:44:25.000 He says the right is doing these things, the right will foment civil war, and he's hyper-focused on these fringe stories that aren't really prominent in media.

01:44:33.000 Of, like, sovereign citizens and weirdos in the country doing weird things that don't impact anything culturally.

01:44:38.000 Whereas I'm concerned of, like, these large-scale anti-Israel protests that have been going on all year.

01:44:44.000 Well, you know, whatever.

01:44:46.000 Let's go.

01:44:48.000 Redwing Blackbird says, Did Star Trek DS9 predict the future with the episode Past Tense 1 and 2?

01:44:54.000 Mark me safe from the bell riots.

01:44:56.000 Oh, yeah.

01:44:57.000 Yeah, that was just the other day.

01:44:59.000 Yeah, they're supposed to, according to the Star Trek lore, they're supposed to be major riots, right?

01:45:04.000 What happens?

01:45:05.000 So, I mean, how in-depth do you want me to go?

01:45:08.000 Lightly.

01:45:10.000 Shocking.

01:45:11.000 Anyway, so Cisco and Dr. Bashir get thrown back in time and they end up in the Sanctuary District, which is a place where they put essentially people who are unemployed and have not been able to find work.

01:45:25.000 And they say that they're going to help them find work, but they don't actually.

01:45:27.000 They just call them, you know, untouchables essentially.

01:45:31.000 And so what happens is some of the Untouchable guys decide to like a hold up.

01:45:36.000 It's like a bank within the sanctuary district or some kind of like.

01:45:40.000 It's like a little admin office, like the unemployment office.

01:45:40.000 It's not a bank.

01:45:43.000 And they decide to hold it up.

01:45:45.000 And in history books, which Cisco knows, this guy Jeremiah, Jeremiah Bell, I think it was, anyway, like tried to quell the holdup and save the hostages, but instead, when

01:46:02.000 they go back in time, Jeremiah Bell gets killed, and so Cisco takes over, and he's like, I

01:46:06.000 will be Jeremiah Bell and fix everything and save the hostages and whatever.

01:46:11.000 And so it happens.

01:46:12.000 But yeah, there were riots inside the sanctuary district where people were saying, we deserve

01:46:17.000 dignity and respect, and you can't keep us in here anymore, and we just want jobs and

01:46:21.000 to have like a normal life.

01:46:23.000 Well, that's not till next year in our world, when all of the people they've brought into 0.98

01:46:27.000 the country illegally and the displaced members of these local communities get angry and they 0.99

01:46:34.000 can't handle what's going on.

01:46:35.000 Or maybe it's just going to start in Aurora, Colorado instead of San Francisco.

01:46:39.000 Yeah, you know what's really crazy about the Aurora story is, these leftist media outlets saying, it's fake news, it's propaganda, Tucker Carlson's lying, and the police are like, please be warned that there are gangs, and here's the gang that's here, and they've been talking about it for like a year.

01:46:53.000 And the mayor of the city, you know, going on all these news stations and talking about it, and it's just like, it's like, they almost just have to just lie about it because it's like, they have no way of defending it.

01:47:03.000 They're just like, oh yeah, it's a conspiracy, it's all fake, and it's like, Meanwhile, if they talked about it, they could potentially keep people safe.

01:47:08.000 Instead, they'd rather keep their own perspective of America safe.

01:47:11.000 Yeah, yeah.

01:47:12.000 It's absurd.

01:47:12.000 Cool.

01:47:13.000 Thanks, guys.

01:47:15.000 Let's grab some more Super Chats.

01:47:17.000 Sean Hanley says, as someone who goes to college in Scranton, PA, don't let the media fool you about Northeast PA being a Democrat strangle.

01:47:24.000 I've seen about four times more Trump signs than Kamala signs.

01:47:26.000 Pennsylvanians want Trump.

01:47:29.000 Well, all right.

01:47:30.000 Let's hope that's the case.

01:47:31.000 Well, in 61 days, we'll see.

01:47:33.000 Barely a Millennial says, the jail situation has not floated to the back of my mind.

01:47:37.000 Rather, I just don't want to think about it.

01:47:38.000 It's extremely depressing to me.

01:47:41.000 Yeah.

01:47:42.000 Korowag says, Libby is onto it.

01:47:44.000 They put him in MCC.

01:47:46.000 Use HR-8081 to remove Social Security, I'm sorry, Social Security, Secret Service from him.

01:47:51.000 I said SS.

01:47:52.000 And Epstein 2.0 happens.

01:47:54.000 We know the play.

01:47:54.000 It's written all over the faces in the books.

01:47:56.000 Wouldn't be surprised if it happened this way.

01:47:59.000 It's scary.

01:48:00.000 Very scary.

01:48:01.000 Yeah.

01:48:02.000 And we'll know in like two weeks, right?

01:48:04.000 What's gonna happen?

01:48:05.000 Yeah.

01:48:05.000 When is it?

01:48:06.000 The 18th?

01:48:07.000 18th.

01:48:07.000 Oh, now I remember which lawyer it was.

01:48:10.000 What's his name?

01:48:10.000 From Bay Ridge.

01:48:12.000 I can picture him.

01:48:13.000 I don't know why I can't remember his name right now.

01:48:14.000 He was a nice guy.

01:48:15.000 Yeah, he was super cool.

01:48:17.000 Barely Millennial says, I loathe finding out new undercover stuff.

01:48:20.000 It's good.

01:48:20.000 It's true, the transparency, but there are never consequences and it's incredibly frustrating.

01:48:25.000 That I get.

01:48:26.000 Yep.

01:48:28.000 Man.

01:48:30.000 That's creepy.

01:48:32.000 All right.

01:48:34.000 What is this?

01:48:36.000 Dreamcast Night says Tim Waltz is the other Lebowski. 1.00

01:48:39.000 His tagline should be, get a job, sir, while stealing millions from a children's charity.

01:48:45.000 What is that?

01:48:46.000 The other Lebowski? 0.81

01:48:48.000 The other Lebowski, you know, the big Lebowski, was it Jeff Daniels?

01:48:53.000 So there's Jeff Daniels is Lebowski. 0.58

01:48:58.000 And then there's the, you know, the rich guy whose name is also Lebowski.

01:49:03.000 Oh, I get it.

01:49:04.000 And so, you know, Jeff Daniels is like, no, I'm the other Lebowski, dude.

01:49:11.000 And then doesn't like the guy pee on his carpet or something.

01:49:14.000 Yeah, and it really tied the room together.

01:49:17.000 I barely remember that movie, man.

01:49:20.000 All right, here we go.

01:49:22.000 Tryin54 says, you're asking the wrong questions, Tim.

01:49:24.000 Commander-in-Chief only returns salutes already rendered.

01:49:27.000 Who cares if she returns it? 1.00

01:49:28.000 She's a moron. 1.00

01:49:29.000 My question is, why are the Marines saluting her in the first place? 1.00

01:49:32.000 Do they not salute the VP?

01:49:35.000 Honest question.

01:49:36.000 I don't know.

01:49:36.000 I don't know what the protocol is.

01:49:38.000 Yeah, I wouldn't know.

01:49:42.000 What is this?

01:49:42.000 Jimmy says Tim Waltz had the highest long-term care center death rates in the country, higher than Cuomo.

01:49:47.000 Wow.

01:49:48.000 Wow.

01:49:48.000 That's pretty crazy.

01:49:49.000 Because Cuomo's about to have to talk about this again, right?

01:49:52.000 Yeah.

01:49:52.000 He's getting called up in front of Congress.

01:49:54.000 Yeah.

01:49:56.000 Vice presidents don't have to return salutes.

01:50:00.000 Nor do presidents.

01:50:01.000 So that means the Marines have to salute them?

01:50:03.000 Yeah.

01:50:04.000 Yeah.

01:50:06.000 I think she's just posturing a strategy presidential. 1.00

01:50:08.000 Bill Hoekstra says, remember, remember the 5th of November.

01:50:10.000 and everyone was like, you didn't even return the salute.

01:50:13.000 Bernie Kerrick said that, former police commish, New York.

01:50:19.000 Bill Hoekstra says, remember, remember the 5th of November.

01:50:23.000 V for Vendetta.

01:50:25.000 But that's an actual saying.

01:50:26.000 The gunpowder treason and plot.

01:50:28.000 That was Guy Fawkes.

01:50:29.000 He wanted to install a Christian theocracy in the UK and he wanted a bloat parliament to do it. 0.97

01:50:35.000 It's kind of weird that it's like, I don't know, leftists were celebrating it.

01:50:40.000 It was largely leftists wearing the Guy Fawkes masks and protesting because they were using this pop culture image.

01:50:46.000 And it's like, that guy was a Christian theocrat.

01:50:49.000 And he wanted to overthrow the government for Christian theocracy. 0.75

01:50:52.000 Interesting.

01:50:53.000 And my understanding is that Bonfire Night in the UK, some like the bonfires to celebrate that he failed, and some like them to celebrate that he tried.

01:51:03.000 Yeah.

01:51:06.000 Whatever.

01:51:09.000 All right.

01:51:11.000 What have we here?

01:51:12.000 Never mind, since I turned 70 today.

01:51:13.000 Canceled Netflix and will use that money to become a member here.

01:51:16.000 I may be scraping by, but not eating cat food yet and there's still a lot of fight left in me.

01:51:21.000 Fight cubed.

01:51:22.000 Thank you very much, sir.

01:51:23.000 You head over to TimCast.com, click join us, become a member.

01:51:28.000 We are member supported.

01:51:29.000 That's how we run the show.

01:51:32.000 Over at TimCast.com.

01:51:34.000 All right.

01:51:35.000 Raymond G. Stanley Jr.

01:51:36.000 says, remember PA says they'll take days to count the votes.

01:51:41.000 Yep.

01:51:42.000 That's right.

01:51:42.000 They said don't be surprised if it's not, the results are not available.

01:51:45.000 I feel like you shouldn't be able to say that months out from the election.

01:51:48.000 I think it's a little weird too.

01:51:51.000 It seems like an admission of some kind.

01:51:53.000 You've had years to prepare for this and yet you're already saying, well, we think we're going to be late.

01:51:58.000 Not the best.

01:51:59.000 And granted it's not a swing state but like Washington just had its primary and like I think like they were still counting like a week and a half after the election and just like you know we live in a first world country and we can't figure out you know how to have results like within a day or like that night.

01:52:15.000 Especially for Pennsylvania which has the earliest early voting period like what are we doing everybody?

01:52:23.000 Supposedly, I'm pretty sure that I read something that Pennsylvania changed its law to where they're going to count mail-in and absentee ballots the morning of election day.

01:52:33.000 So to try to minimize that, I don't... Does that seem better or worse?

01:52:40.000 I honestly can't tell you, you know?

01:52:42.000 Like, the fact that they'll just have these votes sitting there unaccounted for, like, you know what I mean?

01:52:47.000 I feel like you should be counting them as they come in.

01:52:48.000 Right?

01:52:51.000 Otherwise, you're just like, no no no, we're storing these votes, we'll check them later, absolutely no one's going to look at them right now.

01:52:57.000 Well, I know, like, some of the red states, what they do is, like, they don't open them, but they account for all of them.

01:53:05.000 I know how many ballots it is.

01:53:06.000 Yeah, exactly.

01:53:07.000 And then basically, if you haven't gotten in by that point, it's just cut off.

01:53:12.000 If you haven't submitted your mail-in before the election day, they're just not going to take it.

01:53:16.000 That's a lot of issues, especially within 2020, where they said, oh, well, if you postmark a mail-in ballot the day before, but it arrives like a week later, we'll still count it because it was postmarked before the election.

01:53:29.000 As far as I'm aware, there might have been some clamping down on that, but probably not

01:53:33.000 even enough.

01:53:34.000 You would think that voters from both sides would be against it taking days to have results

01:53:39.000 because if everyone's afraid of instability, wouldn't you want to have an answer as soon

01:53:43.000 as possible?

01:53:44.000 Like, why would it?

01:53:45.000 Yeah, you would think.

01:53:46.000 But, you know.

01:53:48.000 Even in Missouri, I wasn't a legislator at the time, but I remember when they passed the bill to make sure that it was explicitly clear that you had to have a photo ID to go vote.

01:54:02.000 Democrats got up and debated it, saying how racist, how bigoted it was.

01:54:07.000 You know, this should be common sense.

01:54:08.000 Like, you need to, you know, present your driver's license to get by alcohol, and then, you know, deciding who's gonna run our government.

01:54:14.000 You know, it's just a terrible, atrocious thing.

01:54:16.000 Yeah, they never want to take away the ID thing when it comes to alcohol.

01:54:19.000 Yeah.

01:54:19.000 Or, like, lottery tickets.

01:54:21.000 Yeah.

01:54:21.000 Is that not racist also, then?

01:54:23.000 Yeah.

01:54:24.000 It's just absurd, you know?

01:54:28.000 All right, what do we got here?

01:54:30.000 John Jones says, Alan Littman's no primary contest key is a bit misleading.

01:54:33.000 It only focuses on the convention vote, so technically it's true for Harris.

01:54:38.000 That's the question.

01:54:39.000 Is technically true good enough for his model? 0.99

01:54:41.000 Because if it is, his model's garbage. 0.78

01:54:44.000 Like, we're not dealing with normal circumstances. 0.89

01:54:47.000 Has there been, since 1980, an election where something like this has happened?

01:54:52.000 I don't think so.

01:54:54.000 Isn't this like, is it the first time the president?

01:54:56.000 This is pretty unprecedented, in fact.

01:54:59.000 It's very unprecedented.

01:55:01.000 This is not the kind of thing that we do.

01:55:02.000 Yeah.

01:55:04.000 Except for now, apparently.

01:55:05.000 Except for now, apparently.

01:55:06.000 Now political parties can install a candidate who hasn't actually been elected or voted for by anyone.

01:55:14.000 Shouldn't it have had to be Dean Harris by that logic?

01:55:17.000 Like, at least he ran in the primer and got some votes.

01:55:20.000 Or perhaps RFK.

01:55:22.000 But he had exited the Democratic primary at that point.

01:55:25.000 He exited the Democratic primary because the Democrats were waging legal warfare against him and make it impossible for him to run.

01:55:32.000 That's why he exited.

01:55:34.000 Right.

01:55:34.000 But what I'm saying is like during the primary, Dean Phillips actually garnered a certain number of votes.

01:55:39.000 So therefore he was second place in the primary.

01:55:41.000 So even if she is the vice president, he's actually the heir apparent to the Democratic primary.

01:55:47.000 Mm-hmm.

01:55:47.000 Well, I wish he had put up more of a fight, because he was like, you know, he ultimately endorsed Biden, but when he was running his resistance campaign, he was like, look, this guy's old.

01:55:57.000 Like, he was hitting a lot of good talking points.

01:55:59.000 Yeah, yeah.

01:56:00.000 All right.

01:56:01.000 Warsage says, I know DS9 had the bell riots, but in Next Generation, we find out about the Irish unification, lol.

01:56:09.000 That's right.

01:56:10.000 For those that don't know, there's a reference made by Data in one of the episodes about the Irish unification of 2024, in which he explains that in this instance in history, terrorism was used to reunite Northern Ireland with Northern Ireland.

01:56:27.000 You know, I guess it's because of the troubles at the time when they were writing the show.

01:56:30.000 But nope, it's 2024 and they are not unified.

01:56:34.000 They do a reverse Troubles to bring them together.

01:56:36.000 Reverse Troubles.

01:56:37.000 Terrible.

01:56:37.000 Yeah.

01:56:39.000 But I don't know if you guys saw, you know, Conor McGregor supposedly running for president of... Oh, yeah.

01:56:46.000 Yeah.

01:56:47.000 So, you know, maybe, maybe Ireland will be united under President McGregor.

01:56:52.000 What an arc to be a UFC fighter who then comes out and starts talking about politics amid this stabbing incident.

01:57:00.000 He's also made a ton of money off of his whiskey brand.

01:57:03.000 And then he's like, next step president.

01:57:05.000 It is giving Donald Trump it away.

01:57:07.000 It's a little Trumpy, yeah.

01:57:08.000 This is wild. 1.00

01:57:10.000 Cultured Redneck says, Dave Ehrenberg, state attorney for Palm Beach County, called Tim a useful idiot twice on Megyn Kelly, and then stated Tim walked back his comments on Ukraine Today, which made Dave Tim's useful idiot. 0.99

01:57:24.000 Because I tweeted that thing upon... Yeah, but you were joking. 0.99

01:57:27.000 These people don't have the cognitive capabilities to understand what a joke is.

01:57:31.000 No, I don't think so.

01:57:33.000 And I put the Ukrainian and Israeli flag in my name.

01:57:36.000 It's better for him if you walked it back.

01:57:38.000 He didn't read it as a joke because he doesn't want to.

01:57:41.000 I don't know that they have the ability to understand jokes.

01:57:43.000 No, I think he's self-serving.

01:57:44.000 It's like, you know, Putin had that thing where he was, like, basically joking, saying he wanted Kamala Harris to be president because she's so good at laughing, yeah, or whatever.

01:57:54.000 And that got picked up and run with as though it were serious by a number of outlets.

01:58:00.000 And we were looking at it, and we were like, this seems like it's a joke, and you still have no idea what it is that he would advocate for.

01:58:06.000 I tweeted, I'm pro-war now. 0.99

01:58:08.000 We must fund Ukraine and Israel. 0.96

01:58:09.000 And these people are going to be like, Tim Pool supports the war.

01:58:12.000 And they're going to write it unironically being like, these people don't understand.

01:58:16.000 So it's like the RFK Jr.

01:58:17.000 thing.

01:58:18.000 When I'm in this Twitter spat back and forth being like, stop insulting moderates to these conservatives.

01:58:22.000 And then after like four or five tweets, I went, okay, fine.

01:58:24.000 I'm voting for RFK Jr.

01:58:25.000 now.

01:58:26.000 And the media was like, wow, look at that.

01:58:27.000 He's endorsed RFK Jr.

01:58:29.000 Yeah, you took a lot of hell for that.

01:58:31.000 I can see it now on Twitter.

01:58:33.000 You know, Tim Pool, globalist, establishment shill, pro war.

01:58:37.000 It's crazy.

01:58:38.000 I mean, there are some people tweeting, I can't believe you're supporting Ukraine now.

01:58:41.000 And it's just like, oh, my goodness, people.

01:58:43.000 He's always supported Ukraine.

01:58:46.000 He talks about it all the time.

01:58:47.000 I'm just kidding.

01:58:48.000 Obviously, if you can't tell what a joke is.

01:58:49.000 Well, you know, I think Zelensky's crooked.

01:58:52.000 I think I'm offended by him trying to come here and demanding our money for his war.

01:58:56.000 I hate that.

01:58:56.000 And then how Kamala Harris and Nancy Pelosi, they like strung up the flag of Ukraine on the door of the house.

01:59:01.000 That's crazy to me.

01:59:02.000 And I was just like, you guys are literally, this is traitorous behavior.

01:59:06.000 This is the people's house.

01:59:08.000 And you don't have the right to do that in the people's house.

01:59:10.000 That's...

01:59:12.000 That makes me so mad.

01:59:13.000 It should be like a consequence, right?

01:59:14.000 I mean, you shouldn't be able to do that.

01:59:16.000 Then Chuck Schumer and they're like waving their little Ukraine flags, you know, on the little wooden stick.

01:59:20.000 How many of them have the pocket square of this Ukraine flag?

01:59:23.000 My goodness.

01:59:23.000 You guys know what country you're supposed to represent?

01:59:25.000 I'll say this, even in the Missouri House, like there are Republicans that have Ukraine flag pins.

01:59:31.000 Why?

01:59:32.000 Yeah.

01:59:32.000 Are they actually Ukrainian?

01:59:35.000 That's the only time I get it.

01:59:36.000 Like, if you are actually Ukrainian, okay, you have the vested interest. 0.99

01:59:39.000 It's, you know, it's unreal.

01:59:40.000 It's like, you know, you make state law for Missouri and then... You know the mistake?

01:59:45.000 I'm sorry.

01:59:46.000 Look, the deep state is bad at what they do.

01:59:48.000 Guys, maybe some of you figured it out already because hindsight is 20-20.

01:59:53.000 But you see, the Iraq and Afghanistan thing was off the heels, was after 9-11.

01:59:58.000 And this country was traumatized by planes crashing into buildings and killing 3,000 people and causing massive damage.

02:00:04.000 And it hit the psyche of so many people.

02:00:06.000 And that terror that people felt was exploited so that we would invade Afghanistan and Iraq.

02:00:12.000 And Afghanistan, some argue there's more of a legitimate reason.

02:00:16.000 I think it was still wrong. 0.81

02:00:18.000 Iraq was completely nuts. 1.00

02:00:20.000 That made no sense, that invasion.

02:00:21.000 But people were scared and they were tricked.

02:00:24.000 You see, the thing is, the Deep State needed a false flag casus belli for Ukraine.

02:00:30.000 But we didn't have it.

02:00:32.000 So what they're doing now is they're flying the flags of a country no one knows or cares about and telling you to fall in line.

02:00:38.000 And it's like, well, maybe guys, if you try to false flag, maybe you can look at Operation Northwoods for some inspiration.

02:00:45.000 Maybe then many Americans would have been more on board.

02:00:50.000 But you look at the beginning of the conflict, though, and the decline of the public polling.

02:00:56.000 I remember when it first broke out, even in suburban Kansas City, where I'm from, there were a lot of Ukraine flags.

02:01:03.000 It was shocking to me.

02:01:05.000 And I think there's probably a majority of Americans that were pro-Ukraine, like right at the onset.

02:01:11.000 The media just gaslighting everyone.

02:01:13.000 And it's just, you know, and I guess you're absolutely right to where the fact that there was no actual attack or conflict on Americans.

02:01:20.000 You know, Americans are only willing to be the piggy bank for so long. 0.51

02:01:24.000 And they just see this endless supply of money flowing that way and nothing changing.

02:01:28.000 All right, everybody, we're going to go over to the members-only show at TimCast.com, so smash that like button, subscribe to this channel, and again, head over to TimCast.com, click join us or click sign up, become a member, support our work.

02:01:38.000 We need it now more than ever.

02:01:39.000 We are two months out from the election and things are going to get spicy.

02:01:43.000 You may have noticed they already are.

02:01:45.000 And so if you think the show is good and worth keeping, then we definitely need you guys to be members.

02:01:49.000 You can follow the show on Instagram at TimCast IRL.

02:01:52.000 You can follow me personally on X at TimCast.

02:01:55.000 Chris, do you want to shout anything out?

02:01:57.000 Oh, yeah.

02:01:58.000 I'm Chris Lonsdale, State Representative from Missouri.

02:02:01.000 You can follow me at ChrisLonsdaleKC on Twitter and Instagram or Chris Lonsdale for State Rep on Facebook.

02:02:07.000 Right on.

02:02:09.000 I'm Libby Emmons.

02:02:10.000 You can find me on Twitter at Libby Emmons.

02:02:12.000 And of course, you can check out everything we're doing at ThePostMillennial.com and HumanEvents.com.

02:02:18.000 It's been so fun having you here, Chris, and always nice to see you, Libby.

02:02:21.000 I'm Hannah-Claire Rimlow.

02:02:22.000 I'm a writer for scnr.com at Scanner News.

02:02:25.000 Check out all of their work at TimCast News on the Internet.

02:02:27.000 It's a really cool team.

02:02:28.000 Chris Burtman's there, Adrian Norman's there, Chris Garr.

02:02:29.000 So I'm really glad to be a part of it.

02:02:32.000 If you want to follow me personally, I'm on Instagram at hannahclaire.b.

02:02:35.000 I'm on Twitter at hannahclaireb.

02:02:37.000 Thanks for everything you guys do.

02:02:38.000 You really are the backbone of the show, in my opinion.

02:02:42.000 Have a good night.

02:02:43.000 We will see you all over at timcast.com.

Timcast IRL - Tim Pool - September 06, 2024

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