In this week's show, we talk about the latest in the Iran crisis, a new AI tool from Venice, and why AI can be more than just a replacement for the human brain. We also hear about a new company that wants to make AI more accessible to the masses, and a company that thinks you can be a better human being.
00:02:49.000A leaked Intel report suggests that the Iranian strikes failed after 14 bunker busters were dropped.
00:02:57.000The facility was only set back a few months in terms of nuclear enrichment and weapons development.
00:03:03.000Now, the White House and the Trump administration are denying this claim, saying this is totally wrong.
00:03:09.000The question is, why does this assessment exist?
00:03:13.000And it sounds like from the Trump administration, it does exist.
00:03:16.000They're just saying they disagree with it.
00:03:18.000They feel that it is an incorrect assessment.
00:03:21.000My fear in this is if the argument comes out and it is publicly accepted that the strikes failed, then you are going to see the warmongers come out in full force saying, well, now we have no choice.
00:03:34.000In the meantime, however, it looks like the ceasefire is holding, which is good news.
00:03:39.000And Donald Trump this morning had one of the best lines of a president ever when he just said, you got two countries that have been fighting for so long, they don't know what the they are doing.
00:04:58.000They don't spy on you or censor the AI.
00:05:00.000Messages are encrypted and your conversation history is stored only in your browser.
00:05:04.000AI can be extremely valuable, but we shouldn't need to give up our privacy to use it.
00:05:08.000And, you know, full disclosure, I usually use, we use GPT on this show as well.
00:05:13.000But I'm going to give Venice a shot because, yeah, I kind of don't like how creepy it can be when, well, let's just say these companies, they know when you go to the bathroom.
00:05:32.000So they've got their Pro Plan that unlocks the full platform and features, including PDF uploads, summaries, or insights, the ability to turn off safe mode for unhindered image generation, the ability to change how Venice interacts with you by modifying the system prompt, limitless text, high image limits.
00:05:46.000I mean, that's another big factor in a lot of these different AI services.
00:05:53.000You know, the other day when the bombs dropped on Iran, I asked ChetGPT to give me a summary and an image, and it refused, saying, you have, I can't help you with that.
00:07:46.000White House furious at top-secret leak on Iran nuclear site bombing as Trump faces impeachment calls.
00:07:53.000Additionally, the impeachment failed, but we'll get to that in a bit.
00:07:56.000A leaked intel assessment claiming Trump's strike on Iran did not destroy Tehran's nuclear program is flat out wrong, the White House has claimed.
00:08:03.000The report conducted by the Defense Intelligence Agency and leaked by CNN claims Saturday's airstrike on three Iranian nuclear sites only set the country's program back by months instead of completely destroying it.
00:08:15.000Trump claims the strikes completely and totally obliterated, a statement echoed by White House Press Secretary Carolyn Levitt, who dismissed the assessment as a clear attempt to demean President Trump.
00:08:25.000Everyone knows what happens when you drop 14 30,000-pound bombs perfectly on their targets, total obliteration.
00:08:33.000Now, I don't know if I have the post actually pulled up, but I think the statements from the White House basically lay out that this assessment actually exists.
00:08:57.000He is the primary source as the commander in chief.
00:09:00.000So it is strange to me that CNN would run a story saying some random, random, low-level guy leaked this report to us, and we believe this over the actual president and the administration.
00:09:13.000That being said, I understand administrations can lie, but for any layperson, you're going to be looking at random anonymous guy versus the president's administration.
00:09:23.000I don't know why in this instance, you would doubt the primary source versus random anonymous source.
00:09:31.000Well, the thing, too, is this assessment was there were seven sources that were, there were like three sources and people were briefed on the report, but the report wasn't leaked to CNN.
00:09:44.000So they only heard about the pieces of the report that these sources wanted them to hear about.
00:09:51.000I've become so cynical of political motivations behind leaks that it's hard to believe what people, what's actually true and what is just being used as an angle.
00:10:03.000A lot of these people in the administration, I mean, everybody involved in politics, a lot of these people who become sources for journalists seem to have an axe to grind.
00:10:11.000Yeah, and people are out for Tulsi Gabbard.
00:10:14.000Like, they've been messing with her whole intelligence situation for a while.
00:10:18.000They had the flip-flopping FBI reports about potential terror cells in the U.S. They were going after Joe Kent by leaking some stuff.
00:10:25.000I mean, there are, I think, elements in the media and out there, I don't know who they are, who really want Tulsi Gabbard out of her position.
00:10:36.000Is it realistic to think that they're going to be able to influence the president to remove Tulsi?
00:10:42.000I mean, he is, you know, it's not like he's afraid of firing people.
00:10:46.000It's not like he's afraid of making changes on the fly.
00:11:27.000We know that CNN had three people, low-level people apparently at the White House tell them that they saw a draft, an early version of a draft report, right?
00:11:37.000Like who of people who didn't check it out.
00:11:44.000I don't think this is going to have a big impact.
00:11:47.000To me, you look at who is sharing this online and the joy and the glee that they have that they can smear something on this incredible moment for the president.
00:12:01.000It's CNN, it's liberal journalists, it's Democrats, and of course it came from low-level members of the deep state.
00:12:09.000This is not going to have an actual foreign policy impact.
00:12:12.000This was just like rage bait for people who cannot stand the fact that the president pulled off something incredible this week.
00:12:21.000They cannot stand the fact that what he did was something that neither side could have pulled off.
00:12:28.000This whole peace through strength thing where you protect the American people without losing a single soldier.
00:12:34.000So I think that this is really just like, this is like a cultural artifact of the moment more than it is actually even like journalism or designed to have actually a foreign policy impact.
00:12:48.000I would also just intentionally try to impugn the honor of Natasha Bertrand.
00:13:13.000motivated reasoning is definitely not out of the question.
00:13:16.000Yeah, she's the one who penned that political report in the first place with the 51. Yeah, she penned the political report.
00:13:23.000And that report still has not been corrected or updated.
00:13:26.000And the other thing about that report that cannot ever be forgotten is that it was Anthony Blinken with the Biden campaign who contacted one of like the main guy, the main intel officer who worked on that report and said, hey, don't you think this kind of has the hallmarks of Russian disinformation?
00:13:41.000And the guy was like, yeah, it totally does.
00:13:43.000And then he got 50 of his friends and they put the letter together.
00:13:47.000And the letter didn't say also, I mean, when you look at the letter, the letter did not say that the Hunter Biden laptop is Russian disinformation.
00:13:54.000It said it had all the hallmarks of Russian disinformation.
00:14:01.000None of them have taken their tweets down.
00:14:03.000And literally everyone who reported on that like it was true and refused to report on the Hunter Biden laptop story, because you have to remember, they all came out and said they would not report on it.
00:14:13.000NPR, CBS, New York Times, all the rest of them, they all ended up with egg on their faces.
00:14:17.000And it was all Natasha Bertrand's fault.
00:14:19.000Okay, so speaking of egg on the face, here's my question.
00:14:22.000So we saw Trump basically, you know, metaphorically give the middle finger both to the like neocon regime change side of the influencer sphere and to the anti-Israel isolationist side and do his own thing, which kind of split the difference and said, look, we're going to protect our people, but we're not going to war.
00:14:43.000After the peace deal was signed or whatever, the ceasefire came into effect, suddenly you had both the isolationists and the neocons coming out and being like, thank God he pulled it off.
00:15:28.000But they wanted him to tell the Israelis you're on your own, like not even give them refueling assistance and intelligence assistance.
00:15:35.000And then the neocons wanted like full-on regime change, you know?
00:15:38.000And when Bhutan Graham, when it became clear that wasn't going to happen, like they started to get agitated and be like, oh my gosh, I can't believe we're going to leave this hanging.
00:15:45.000Like this is our one opportunity, blah, blah, blah.
00:15:48.000But now that the dust has settled, both sides are trying to be like, I'm not unhappy.
00:15:55.000I'm thrilled with how this, this is how I would have want, you know, like there's this weird, like, I think because they realized that like 80% of Republicans were like, oh no, this is exactly what we want.
00:16:04.000Like this is the peace to strength that we voted for.
00:16:06.000But do you think people are going to have this feeling of like there's going to be like a lingering, like a patina of betrayal on the people who turned on him and who came out against him?
00:16:17.000Or you think they'll just get immediately reabsorbed into it?
00:16:20.000I think it gets reabsorbed, but it really does depend on if this holds.
00:17:00.000He says, yes, I said, do you regret it?
00:17:00.000And he goes, everybody's mad because I said I regretted it.
00:17:04.000But, you know, what I'm saying now is I voted for the guy and where we are is where we are.
00:17:09.000And so I think, you know, not remembering literally every word that he said, his general, the general idea was Trump didn't do the worst thing that everyone thought was going to happen.
00:17:20.000Everybody thought this was the moment of great betrayal.
00:17:23.000It seems like Trump was trying to take the minimalist approach.
00:17:28.000The neoconservation screaming, but they're going to get a nuke.
00:17:30.000The anti-interventionists are saying, don't get involved at all.
00:17:31.000And he's like, we'll bomb those sites and then we're done.
00:17:34.000That's why he got super pissed this morning and said, you know, they don't know what the F they're doing because he doesn't want.
00:17:43.000I told him, Dave, I hope Trump takes away from this.
00:18:10.000Like, okay, I was pissed, but now I'm not so mad because we may get away from this without this being as bad as I thought, which actually means Trump is a pretty good president.
00:18:19.000So there's this quote from J.D. Vance.
00:18:20.000He gave this great talk at the Quincy Institute, I think it's called, in 2024 in May.
00:18:27.000So I guess it was kind of right before he became, was that convention in August?
00:18:33.000And it's a really great talk, and he explains, like, basically from his point of view, like what a foreign policy designed to protect the interests of the middle class would look like.
00:18:44.000And he said, it is obvious that our foreign policy should be designed around the recognition that the moral intuitions that matter are the moral intuitions of the American citizens.
00:18:59.000And I think that is so accurate and so true and just inherently a moral, correct way to see what a nation's foreign policy should look like.
00:19:08.000It should reflect the moral intuitions of the citizenry.
00:19:12.000A lot of people in the isolationist camp do not want to admit it, but the moral intuitions of the American people, the majority of the American people, if not the vast majority of the American people, are very closely aligned with Israel.
00:19:25.000Like that is, you stop a normie American and their moral intuitions are pretty aligned with the idea of having a strong, pretty independent, sovereign ally in the region who fights people who hate us, you know?
00:19:39.000And I think that's kind of where the isolationists went a little too far is in doubting, A, that Trump knew his base, and B, that he could pull off something like this.
00:19:49.000And C, in doubting that the base should have their desires enacted in their former way.
00:20:46.000I think he, what's become a big deal in New York and around Israel specifically is that within many of the anti-Israel protests in the city, they chant to globalize the so-called intifada.
00:20:58.000Some people view that as a tepid call for violence against Jews.
00:21:01.000He came out in support, as I understand, of the phrase.
00:21:31.000We are seeing Pew has research that came out showing that among Democrats and Republicans, Republicans 18 to 49 are now 50 percent anti-Israel, critical of Israel.
00:22:45.000And they get, who is it, James Charles or whatever that guy's name is, saying like, oh no, they're taking my TikTok from me, but Trump saved me.
00:22:51.000I'm like, they know how to run a PSYOP.
00:22:56.000It's funny because you got these people who think Israel controls the world.
00:22:59.000And I'm like, for all the stereotypes about being sneaky Jews, they can't seem to muster up any degree of support among young people.
00:23:06.000So right now, based on the split between Democrats and Republicans, the principal voting blocks in this country being, that's just it, majority negative.
00:23:13.000Half of Republican in 18 to 49 are negative.
00:23:16.000To be fair, 50 plus, a large voting block are very positive.
00:23:32.000I don't think even when the war ends, that's going to change.
00:23:36.000And I'll give you a really good reason, TikTok being one of them.
00:23:38.000After October 7th, we went over this with Axios.
00:23:42.000We pulled up the Axios data 800 million times.
00:23:44.000So I'm not going to pull it up right now, but we saw that the content that was getting the most views, there was a small amount of posts talking about how Israel had been victimized that got a large amount of play.
00:24:00.000A week later, a week later, it inverted 10X.
00:24:04.000Now all of a sudden, anti-Israel were getting way more views, like hundreds of thousands, more, millions more, than pro-Israel sentiment, which was indicative of an algorithmic change because it makes no sense that over a weekend, it just flips.
00:24:20.000Now, this could be the result of TikTok internally saying, we want people to hate Israel and clicking a button, or it could be that Islamic Nations said to their cyber armies, we want 100 guys each running 1,000, you know, 100 accounts each, going on TikTok and posting anti-Israel sentiment to force the algorithmic switch.
00:24:41.000Either way, within a week, the sentiment inverted.
00:24:44.000Israel's not done anything to combat this.
00:24:47.000And the sentiment is only getting worse.
00:24:50.000Prominent conservative personalities are getting millions of views when they're critical of Israel.
00:24:55.000And whether you want to call it legitimate or not does not matter.
00:24:58.000Young people, you see that video of the woman who gets pulled over for the DUI?
00:25:02.000The cop walks up to her and then she's drunk and she goes, well, she allegedly is drunk.
00:25:07.000And she goes, did you know there's a genocide in Palestine?
00:25:13.000It's so wired into the minds of these young people because they're getting spam blasted with it that she blurts it out to a random cop at a stop.
00:25:24.000Let me tell you, the people that I see on social media that are pro-Israel are, there's an overlap between the DeSantis people and them, and everyone finds them insufferable.
00:25:36.000Not literally every single person who's pro-Israel.
00:25:40.000But a lot of these posts are just smarmy and snide.
00:25:45.000Meanwhile, I don't have to name any, but you guys can, but there's a ton of prominent personalities on the conservative side who have recently come out as Israel is not doing us any favors to Israel is secretly controlling this country and they're evil.
00:25:59.000And they're getting Millions upon millions of views.
00:26:04.000I don't see a reason why that trend would change.
00:26:06.000Well, it used to, this is another place where the far right and the far left converge, right, is on hating Israel.
00:26:12.000And also, being pro-Jew and pro-Israel used to be a leftist position.
00:26:16.000And like other leftist positions, the left has totally abandoned it along with, you know, free speech and workers' rights and all kinds of other stuff.
00:26:25.000How much of this do you think is a function of them hating Israel or downstream from the base of the Democrat Party becoming leftists and as a result of Israel?
00:27:24.000If you were actually to apply critical theory and you actually were trying to say that we're on the side of the oppressed, you'd be pro-Israel.
00:27:31.000It depends on your narrative and framework.
00:27:32.000I mean, I don't disagree with you on principle.
00:27:52.000And they say the one small ethnic minority surrounded by 2 billion Muslims is the oppressor.
00:27:58.000But that's because I think Americans like to reject our points.
00:28:02.000The point is they believe these things not because there's a logic behind them, but because they are told to believe them by PSYOPS and PR campaigns.
00:28:12.000And people, so here's what I genuinely think about a lot of the anti-Israel sentiment.
00:28:53.000We want somebody who hates waffles to be spam blasted until they genuinely believe everybody likes pancakes.
00:29:03.000Why does the left believe they're on the right side of history?
00:29:06.000Because they open their social media app and they see a video of a thousand protesters in the street and it looks like this massive gathering.
00:29:12.000It looks like the whole world is watching.
00:29:14.000And it's a thousand people in a city of 13 million.
00:29:17.000But in their minds, they can't comprehend that.
00:29:20.000So what the bots do is they'll see a lot, go on X and say, you know, I had a waffle today.
00:31:11.000If you're, there have been people that have been affected by this.
00:31:15.000There's a person who's like a fitness instructor and their YouTube channel is a bunch of fitness videos, not very big.
00:31:21.000Here's how we do push-ups, whatever, I don't know.
00:31:23.000One day, October 7th happens, and they make a video saying, you know, I've been getting a lot of messages from people asking me what my thoughts are on what's going on in Israel.
00:31:31.000And to be honest, like, I don't really know a whole lot about it, but I know that's deeply affected a lot of you.
00:31:35.000And I know I have a lot of fans that are deeply concerned about this.
00:31:37.000So I thought I'd make a video addressing it.
00:31:39.000They go from getting 10,000 views to 50,000.
00:31:42.000And so then they just talk about it all the time.
00:31:44.000They come back to their channel and they go, whoa, I got 50,000 views for talking about Israel.
00:31:53.000Then he makes a video where he's like, you know, I don't really know if it's a genocide or what you'd call it, but I know that it's deeply passionate.
00:32:00.000Then the comments are all saying genocide, genocide, genocide, genocide, genocide.
00:32:03.000So then he makes a video saying, I think it might be a genocide.
00:32:08.000And then all of a sudden, he gets a million views.
00:32:11.000So not that every single time this happens, it's bots.
00:32:15.000But my point is there are SIAP campaigns that do this.
00:32:19.000There are a lot of people that are critical of Israel.
00:32:43.000Listen, listen, I don't care what she says.
00:32:46.000What if the cop pulled her over and trolled the window and she was like, If you need a cash settlement and you want to get paid or whatever that song is, if you have a structured settlement, you need cash now.
00:32:59.000The fact that this drunk lady, allegedly, can just blurt it out means she doesn't know anything about anything, but in her brain, that's something she's memorized.
00:33:08.000So what happens when a kid grows up watching TikTok and Instagram shorts and YouTube shorts, and that's all they see?
00:33:14.000And Israel does nothing in terms of any kind of PR?
00:33:18.000Okay, 10, 10 years from now, that 53, minus 53 will be minus 60. And that's when Congress says we vote to defund Israel.
00:33:27.000But I think, okay, first of all, I think that there is a kind of like the current thing aspect to it, you know, like the left does tend to move from one thing to the next.
00:33:39.000It just happens to be that this is a global thing, and the war is still ongoing for reasons we can talk about, none of them good.
00:33:46.000So like it is a thing that has, you know, like legitimate criticism attached to it that is global and happened to have been the current thing.
00:33:54.000And also, I think Israel is making a lot of friends in the Middle East.
00:33:58.000Like it's becoming much less dependent on U.S. largesse.
00:34:03.000We're going to end up at a situation, possibly, I don't think so, I think these numbers will improve for Israel, but we're going to end up in a situation where the U.S., for its own strategic purposes, wants to be giving that money more than Israel wants to be taking it because it has local friends, possibly Saudi Arabia, currently the UAE, et cetera, who are more than happy to enter into that kind of relationship and have that kind of intelligence sharing, et cetera.
00:34:26.000So I don't look at this as a pro-Israel person and feel like terror.
00:34:30.000I feel like, you know, I have a lot of trust in the American people, the moral intuitions of the American people, the greatest people on planet Earth, and they will arrive at the right situation.
00:34:39.000But I don't think that this is like the current geopolitical situation that Israel is in is significant.
00:34:49.000And right now on social media, name a prominent conservative with a big following that's grown substantially, that is pro-Israel, that is advocating for strikes on Iran in favor of Israel.
00:35:06.000I mean, literally the inverse of what we see with prominent conservatives who have massive followings and get 12 million views.
00:35:12.000But didn't we just see in the last two weeks that their influence is like null and void?
00:35:17.000Like it doesn't matter how many Twitter polls they put up and when, like, actually, the American people supported what President Trump did.
00:35:25.000Well, I mean, the real polls show that what he did was wildly popular.
00:35:51.000Trump's approval rating is actually really good right now.
00:35:53.000Yeah, but the average Democrat who's part of this 80% who wants Iran not to have a nuclear weapon is going to oppose whatever Trump does to make their wishes come true because they're going to oppose whatever Trump does, period.
00:36:03.000Well, not just that, but the disapproval that Trump has in the GOP for the strikes in Iran is slightly higher than his general disapproval in the party, suggesting more Republicans.
00:36:12.000we just see that the influencers have no influence?
00:36:14.000Like, all of these anti-final influencers were not able to influence, like, Trump's actions or...
00:37:02.000I think if the entirety of Trump's base said, we want escalation, we want more action, Trump would have said, okay.
00:37:09.000He would have thought about it, but he should have.
00:37:11.000I mean, that's how democracy is supposed to work, right?
00:37:13.000The fact is the majority of his base didn't want it, despite the fact that all of the influencers were pushing Trump not to get involved, not to drop these bombs, not to assist Israel.
00:37:23.000But they were irrelevant in this story.
00:37:28.000Yeah, but I think the influencers had influence.
00:37:31.000I think the reason Trump's frustrated and wants a ceasefire and he wants limited interaction is because he knows that he's got these intelligence reports saying, do it or you have to.
00:37:40.000But then he's got his base screaming, we don't want this, and he's stuck between them.
00:37:48.000Although we like to say mainstream media has completely lost their influence, I think Fox News probably has more viewers than Twitter does have active followers on certain times.
00:37:58.000Twitter is just completely filled with foreign influence campaigns.
00:38:02.000And it seems as though a lot of people who had a lot of different jobs have all of a sudden become Middle Eastern experts.
00:38:08.000I know people who used to be comedians who had not many people show up to their shows seem to get millions of impressions right now on Twitter as a result of this, as a result of their commentary on stuff they actually know next to nothing about.
00:38:19.000I do agree with you, though, that Israel in the future, they're losing support from Democrats, but that's the reason why I think it's going to become a partisan issue.
00:38:26.000And I think one of the biggest threats to Israel is one of the biggest threats to America as well.
00:40:05.000It's like, I don't really care that there's a bunch of like people being captured by the algorithm making money off of this content and being viewed by a bunch of people in Pakistan or what have you.
00:40:14.000Like I don't know that this is like a crisis.
00:40:15.000So why do you think over three years sentiment has shifted 11 points negatively for Israel?
00:40:41.000So that's a totally different question.
00:40:42.000So why are young conservatives, and I think a lot of this has to do with- I think it's overstated on the right, completely overstated, and I think it's because many people who are not truly MAGA appropriate MAGA.
00:40:53.000So for example, a lot of these isolationists or libertarian types aren't truly MAGA.
00:40:59.000And President Trump even says of people like Thomas Massey, Congressman Thomas Massey, who's been a very good person.
00:41:12.000So my point here specifically, President Trump put out this truth where he said Congressman Thomas Massey of Kentucky is not MAGA, even though he likes to say he is.
00:41:19.000I think that's true of many libertarian leading types who aren't truly MAGA.
00:43:16.000And if he says Massey's not MAGA, then Massey's not MAGA.
00:43:19.000There should be like a little Cosmo quizzer for like Massey is weak, ineffective, and votes no on virtually everything put before him, no matter how good it may be.
00:43:30.000So, I mean, I think Donald Trump is really spot on here.
00:43:38.000Well, I think it's a message to these Republicans who aren't falling in line with the MAGA agenda.
00:43:42.000And I think it's important for Republicans to fall in line with the MAGA agenda because Donald Trump won the majority of the votes in the past election, right?
00:43:50.000I thought he had, what was this, this mandate, right?
00:43:52.000Well, apparently Thomas Massey disagrees.
00:44:28.000I think fighting against the ideology of socialism and democratic socialism in our country will correlate aggressively with support for Israel in our country.
00:44:38.000Because people in our country who are, these young people who are anti-Israel are leftists who believe that Israel is right-wing coded and white-coated, and that's why they hate Israel.
00:44:47.000You're missing the big picture of someone told them that.
00:44:51.000And if they stop being socialists, well, they'll stop looking at sociology.
00:44:54.000So I guess the issue I take with your answer is a broad question.
00:45:01.000There's a broad answer that's vague and nebulous, targeting a very specific issue.
00:45:06.000So I feel like you're not answering the question.
00:45:09.000Fight socialism and people will like Israel seems to be a non-sequitur.
00:45:26.000because they're told that the propaganda narrative they think that because they have a college degree Whether you've been indoctrinated three years.
00:45:35.000In universities, you get this woke indoctrination where there's no like right versus wrong, the way like normal people think about the world.
00:45:42.000There's just who has more power and who has less.
00:45:45.000And then they superimpose some racial category or some gender category, what have you.
00:45:50.000And whoever is the white person, like a lot of saying, is evil and bad.
00:45:53.000And whoever is the person of color is oppressed and therefore inherently virtuous.
00:46:00.000So why do high school students also agree?
00:46:02.000Because it's that that curriculum is dripping down.
00:46:05.000Every teacher that has a lot of people in the world.
00:46:06.000That's a critical race theory in our left.
00:46:08.000Because the left has infested the schools of education to teach the teachers.
00:46:13.000So all of the curriculum that the teachers learn is all leftist.
00:46:18.000So the teachers that are teaching high school as well as college, these people all went to the same colleges of education that have a leftist indoctrination built around.
00:46:29.000So now, the reason why I reject what you've said is your argument could actually be summarized by fighting socialism entails altering the curriculum of various schools from the bottom up through various universities, then altering social media algorithms to stop the spread of these ideas, which in a grand scale can be applied in certain ways where someone could accuse Israel of being bad.
00:46:51.000After we do that, we'll run a campaign that would start to convince people that Israel is actually not right-coded and the arguments that they've been using on critical theory don't apply to Israel properly.
00:47:56.000It's the kind of thing that regular people who don't have fancy degrees inherently are drawn to, like the idea that marriage is a really good idea or there's a difference between boys and girls.
00:48:05.000You think support for Israel is like marriage?
00:48:09.000Yeah, in the mind of like, if you would look at the polling, like the like a middle, regular middle-class American who does not, has not been influenced either by woke university curriculum or by, you know, online whatever on the far right, like it's a, it's the kind of thing that Christians in America feel very attached to, for example.
00:48:37.000The problem is not so much that a certain sub-sector of Americans go to college and get a college degree and have like terrible ideas.
00:48:45.000It's that those are the people who have access to the American dream.
00:48:48.000And that normie people, like regular people, working class people, people who don't have access to that stream of education and those knowledge industry jobs have been in a large way economically disenfranchised in this country.
00:49:04.000So the way that you fix for that is what Trump is doing right now, which is you create an economy that instead of being an upward funnel of wealth is actually a downward funnel of wealth through things like tariffs and right.
00:49:14.000And so why then do key demo Republicans support Israel less by 15% over three years?
00:51:20.000But I'm really unhappy if Israel's going out this morning because the one rocket that didn't land, that was shot, perhaps by mistake, that didn't land.
00:51:59.000The report came out that, in fact, Israel still went ahead with at least one of the strikes on a radar station in Iran in defiance of Trump saying, don't do it.
00:52:10.000Trump was pissed and dropped an expletive, which is kind of shocking for a president.
00:52:36.000So what's the ramification of that going to be?
00:52:37.000Will Trump hold a grudge in foreign aid to Israel?
00:52:41.000Well, basically what happened was he, after that amazing, amazing moment, got Bibi Netanyahu on the phone and was like, what is going on here?
00:53:11.000I also thought that was an amazing moment.
00:53:12.000It was to me because he was on his way to NATO and it felt a lot like, you know, when your dad is driving like you to a wedding or something and you're fighting with your siblings in the back and like your dad's hand comes back is like, shut the F up.
00:53:42.000Was there excuse that they were already in transit or the mission?
00:53:45.000An hour and a half later, you could turn around at any point.
00:53:47.000I mean, I'm not saying that they couldn't, but the point that I'm making is they might be like, oh, well, we just.
00:53:50.000Like, we tried calling the pilot with the bombs and he's not answering.
00:53:52.000Well, they're going to make up, they're a state.
00:53:54.000They're going to make up all kinds of excuses as to why they couldn't.
00:53:57.000They both violated it, both Iran and Israel.
00:53:59.000I'm just saying, will Trump tolerate being made to look like a chump?
00:54:02.000So I think actually President Trump and Prime Minister Netanyahu are on the same page and they're playing good cop, bad cop throughout this entire thing.
00:54:10.000I think there's been intelligence sharing the entire time and they have been on the same page and have been coordinating together.
00:54:16.000And in order to get Iran to the negotiating table, Israel's the bad guy and Trump's trying to be the good guy.
00:54:22.000I don't even, I think it's like 2D chess.
00:54:24.000It's like actually really straightforward.
00:54:26.000It's just extremely straightforward the way he's posturing.
00:54:29.000I think Trump has a lot of moral clarity when it comes to Israel.
00:54:34.000I think the whole thing's been an act.
00:54:36.000That anger, that F-bomb, they wrote it.
00:54:38.000Not knowing about what Israel was going to do, how they were going to attack.
00:54:41.000I think the United States has been doing intelligence sharing with Israel throughout this entire thing.
00:54:46.000And I think Trump probably signed off on a lot of these attacks.
00:54:49.000He just wanted the plausible deniability of not being involved until he saw that it was a success.
00:54:54.000So the people who are like, the isolationist thinkers who are like, oh, maybe this means that Donald Trump's not going to support Israel anymore, I think are really missing the bigger picture of the people.
00:55:25.000They describe themselves as non-interventionalists, and then they're called isolationists because it's an extreme position meant to poison.
00:55:57.000So I think the non-interventionalists were hopeful that President Trump would, you know, clean his hands of the Middle East and the United States.
00:56:02.000I know very few people who call themselves isolationists.
00:56:06.000The people who tend to be in favor of war refer to people who don't want their war isolationist.
00:56:12.000So if I said something like, I understand the precision strikes on the Houthi rebels, despite the fact Trump said he wouldn't do it, I'm kind of lukewarm on the issue.
00:57:00.000Absolutely, it doesn't mean it's isolation.
00:57:02.000But Tim, would you support, like, knowing what we know now, let's say the ceasefire holds, retrospectively, would you support the attack on Fordo?
00:57:42.000Based on the evidence, I put the probability slightly greater than chance.
00:57:46.000And what is your level of opposition to them having a nuclear weapon?
00:57:50.000That they would give it to the Houthi rebels and other insurgent groups for dirty bombs.
00:57:54.000Can you be comfortable with them just having one?
00:57:57.000If Iran had a nuclear bomb, the question is, if Iran wasn't going to give fissile material to random crackpot religious extremists, which I think they would, that's the threat.
00:58:32.000Okay, so then we could, Well, you can, if you're going to ask the things that are likely, and then I'm going to say, well, these are the things that people have said, and then you said, well, I don't believe them.
00:58:40.000There's no point in even having the conversation.
00:58:41.000You should be like, well, I don't, I'm going to believe the arguments.
00:58:43.000And I think the things that I want and not believe the things that I don't want, like, or the things that fit the right.
00:58:47.000So the issue is: what is our risk assessment?
00:58:51.000What is the risk that if we intervene with B-2 bombers and drop 14 bunker busters on a foreign country, that we drag other nations into the war and trigger the arms race itself?
00:59:03.000Okay, so Mua Margadafi gave up his arms program.
00:59:10.000And he was assured of certain sanctions would be dropped, that the UN was going to basically allow him to start developing without obstruction.
00:59:37.000Yeah, I mean, in 1995, the estimates were that they might have it in four years.
00:59:42.000The point is when the U.S. negotiates and then kills the guy, you affirm in the minds of those people in the region why they need to have those weapons.
00:59:52.000I don't think that these are mutually exclusive.
00:59:54.000Like, it's not mutually exclusive that Trump was negotiating in good faith and also at some point became convinced that they were not and therefore green lit the operation.
01:00:06.000Like he could have been negotiating in good faith upon the future.
01:00:41.000The real solution has to be diplomacy because, again, we could prevent them.
01:00:45.000We could keep bombing their nuclear facilities.
01:00:46.000But if they could bring them back up to date within six months to 12 months, then it has to be negotiations where they're saying we will shelve our ambitions to do it.
01:00:55.000Otherwise, we're going to keep bombing them.
01:00:57.000And then regime change becomes a serious conversation.
01:01:05.000Right now, the argument that I should, or anyone should feel safer after they just dispersed an estimated 900 pounds of uranium to God knows where, and that's, if you want to believe the reporting, I suppose, the U.S. officials, according to the New York Times, whether we trust them or not, sometimes they lie, doesn't know where 400 kilograms of fissile material went.
01:01:27.000And there's concerns that even J.D. Vance brought up that they enriched it to about 60%.
01:02:00.000Well, maybe he's lying for political reasons because it didn't work.
01:02:03.000The initial reporting beforehand was that bunker busters would not be able to do it.
01:02:09.000Not only was the concern that the basis was too deep underground for a single bunker buster, even if you were to get multiple bunker busters in the same spots, which is possible, FOIA was also spread out to a great degree with multiple points of entry and egress, indicating that even if we were to take out certain parts of it, they could still operate other areas or even start rebuilding the areas that were damaged.
01:02:31.000The IAEA says that it appears that there's a chemical spill rendering this area contaminated, which could set them back.
01:02:38.000So the argument now is we don't know how long they're set back.
01:03:02.000Now, I will say if the ceasefire holds, Trump has a tremendous victory and that he was able to bomb a foreign country targeting their nuclear sites, a key component of like the mission without triggering a dramatic escalation is a massive and historic victory for anybody who wants to take on military action.
01:03:21.000But for the regular average person, you're going to choose what you want to believe.
01:03:26.000They did have nuclear fissile material.
01:03:28.000They had the capabilities of arming Houthi rebels and other insurgent groups who have killed Americans and launched rockets and fought with our troops in the Middle East.
01:03:37.000I mean, the IRC is the only one has killed American citizens.
01:03:41.000And the only thing that's changed with this strike right now is that we have potentially given them a justification for why they should disperse this material among psychopaths.
01:04:30.000They sort of did, but they didn't in a big way.
01:04:33.000And Russia saying, actually, we're staying out of this.
01:04:36.000I'm going to call Donald Trump and offer to mediate this because I have a thing going with him that's going pretty good for me.
01:04:44.000And maybe I'm going to be rejoining the West and leaving this new axis of China, Iran, Russia.
01:04:51.000Like that Trump picked off one by one, like each of these big diplomatic trip.
01:04:59.000And Qatar, like getting the Iranians to shoot this sort of fake, face-saving barrage into Qatar to piss off the Qataris, their only sort of pseudo-ally from that trip.
01:05:12.000So let's just lay down some basic points.
01:05:18.000Do you agree with the assessment that they have gotten the 400 kilograms out of nuclear facilities and we don't know where they are?
01:05:39.000But I think we've changed the conversation domestically, and I think we've changed the conversation internationally.
01:05:44.000With the probability that despite fog of war, there is the probability based on the reporting that, and I think just general common sense, when it became clear that Trump was telling them six months out, we're going to bomb your nuclear facilities, Iran probably set up contingencies for getting their uranium out because they want to keep it.
01:06:24.000And so with that being said, do you think that the U.S. striking Iran could anger Iranian-backed interests of any faction who may get access to that uranium?
01:06:38.000I think these people were like psychopaths trying to build a nuclear bomb to, you know, eviscerate Israel and to hurt America.
01:06:45.000And I don't think that this changes the calculation.
01:06:47.000They were that before and they were probably still that.
01:06:50.000Do you think that Iran would have launched a nuclear weapon at Israel as soon as they got it?
01:07:00.000They said, we want a nuclear weapon so that we can wipe Israel off the face of the planet and destroy America afterwards.
01:07:06.000Like that, that's just their stated foreign policy objective.
01:07:10.000So like the idea that we could anger them into being even worse than like psychopaths who want a nuclear weapon to hurt our children and to destroy our ally, Israel, like I like, I don't see that as like a real argument.
01:07:23.000Aaron Powell, I guess the question is, were they actually close to building a nuclear weapon capable of launching it?
01:08:39.000I don't believe that we should be engaged in regime change.
01:08:42.000I think probably all of us would agree it would be wonderful if the Iranian people themselves were able to find their way to a less brutal regime.
01:08:51.000But honestly, I think what changed was, you know, this is something now we're all aware of is, you know, like, okay, like this is a conversation that we're having that we were not having before because of the Obama-era appeasement strategy that seemed to have failed.
01:09:08.000I do think that if Iran got a nuclear weapon, they would definitely consider at least letting their proxy use it against American troops in the region so they have some plausible deniability against them.
01:09:19.000Also, if they were to acquire a nuclear weapon, it would sort of be the ultimate insurance policy for them.
01:09:25.000They're, you know, we wouldn't be able to inflict as much damage on them, assuming that they could use the nuclear threat in response.
01:09:33.000So the same reason that, you know, we ultimately can't support Ukraine too much, we don't want them to be too successful against Russia, is because we don't want to trigger a nuclear response.
01:09:41.000We don't want to give that option to sworn enemies of our country who support proxy groups in the area that attack Americans and our allies.
01:09:49.000I see this only as having changed the circumstances and alleviated nothing.
01:09:54.000It's kicking the can down the road, but the military pressure should get us to a deal.
01:09:58.000I think it's just changed the circumstances.
01:10:03.000If Iran was intent on using a nuke to blow up a country, then wouldn't they not say, okay, plan B, let's disperse this uranium into a bunch of dirty bombs and have them detonate into a bunch of major cities.
01:10:14.000I don't think that's in the regime's best interest right now because that would guarantee their top off.
01:10:18.000Why would nuking Israel be in their best interest?
01:10:20.000Well, that's been their stated goal of the Ayatollah by 2040 was to completely wipe off Israel off the mouth.
01:10:25.000If they can smuggle weapons into Gaza, why not smuggle some uranium and dirty bombs now?
01:10:33.000I mean, just like the level of intelligence, the number of Mossad agents embedded in the highest levels of the ITRG.
01:10:40.000So I think that there is going to be a lot more attention paid to that.
01:10:44.000And that intelligence is very much in our interests as Americans as well.
01:10:48.000I just think it's dangerous for radical Muslims to get a nuclear weapon.
01:12:10.000Like the David Freeberg from the All in podcast had a big, long tweet about it, and he's like, look, we should actually hope that Mom Donnie actually wins, like the whole thing, and that he does all of the things that he's talking about doing.
01:12:22.000Because the point that Freeberg was making in the tweet was this sentiment, which is something we've been talking about all night, the leftist sentiment, the socialist sentiment is something that's actually very popular among young people in the United States.
01:12:36.000And his argument was, let this happen to New York.
01:12:40.000Let people see the terrible results of an actual socialist mayor, an actual socialist.
01:12:46.000So that way the rest of the country can avoid this kind of terrorist.
01:13:14.000They dipped for like a year, and I was able to move back and get like a cheap rent on the Lower East Side.
01:13:20.000And I was able to keep my rent really low for years and years and years until I, like for 20 years or something, until I finally hit market rate and I ended up out of rent-stabilized apartments.
01:13:31.000So my sort of big hope, if Mom Donnie wins, is that in three years I can buy a penthouse for pennies.
01:13:37.000The broad point that he was making is like, he says, let's make sure one or two cities and states fall apart fast so the rest don't have to, like Mom Donnie.
01:13:59.000They're going to lose all their grocery stores.
01:14:01.000I mean, John Katzmatitis, who runs all the Gristetis and has his company's like Red Apple, something rather, he runs a bunch of businesses.
01:14:08.000He was like, well, if Mom Donnie wins, I'll close up all the Gristettis and New York.
01:14:14.000And I'll move, I'll leave the country.
01:14:16.000No, well, he's got a, well, I think he could leave New York.
01:14:21.000And also, I mean, the profit margins on grocery stores are shockingly low.
01:14:26.000There's this old story that's probably just an urban legend where it's like a teacher was teaching their kids about socialism.
01:14:33.000So all the kids were lefties and he said, what we're going to do is we're going to take a test on Friday and then I'm going to average out all the scores and everyone will get the same grade.
01:14:40.000So what happened was some students studied really hard and they aced the test.
01:14:45.000Some tried their best and they got, you know, most of it right.
01:14:49.000And then some people slacked off and they did miserably.
01:14:51.000Everyone ends up getting a B. So the lazy people were like, woo, I get a B. I didn't even do anything.
01:14:56.000The people who worked their S off were like, what was the point?
01:14:58.000I busted my S. So the next week and he says, we're going to do the same thing again.
01:15:03.000This time everybody got a C because the hard workers gave up.
01:15:22.000The argument was, and again, it may be a real story, but the teacher was like, when people are not able to collect the fruits of their labor, they abandon the labor.
01:15:34.000What these socialists don't understand is they're literally creating a system by which individuals cannot control the fruits of their labor.
01:15:40.000When they say the people have a right, what they're saying is the committee, the institutions decide for you.
01:16:06.000Yeah, but because of social press, get out of here.
01:16:08.000The argument that the government should form a body by force to come and seize things from literally everyone just means that all the grocery stores are going to close down.
01:16:17.000Yeah, and this is from a city where the Democrats for years were complaining about food deserts, and they're going to create them because you're going to have people, you're going to have these city-run grocery stores.
01:16:26.000They're not going to know how to do it.
01:18:13.000And so at a certain point, we ask ourselves, just like the lesson of communism, maybe we just stop doing it.
01:18:22.000I don't get paid for the work that I do.
01:18:24.000It's because I want a company to exist.
01:18:27.000At a certain point, this system is going to implode.
01:18:30.000So when I say Zoran Mamdani may not matter for New York right now, he is not just a grain of sand to make the heap, not just the snowball rolling down the hill.
01:18:41.000This is like a bunch of kids at the top of the mountain creating a six by six ball of snow and then rolling it down the hill.
01:18:48.000So I don't like anything he stands for.
01:18:51.000I just think he seems like a nice guy.
01:18:53.000But I think he's probably, I disagree with all of his views.
01:18:56.000I think his views on Israel are the least bad of his views.
01:19:01.000But I think like, yes, there's a way in which the Democrats socialist agenda, which wants to just raise tons and tons of taxes on people and then redistribute it.
01:19:26.000You can freeze the rent on rent stabilized.
01:19:28.000You get to already like so in New York and in California, and in Chicago, there are, because of Democrat policies to restrict how much rent can be increased, despite the fact we were hit with massive inflation, what's happened is building owners have decided not to rent out or renovate properties because it's too expensive and the renter costs you more money.
01:19:54.000So what they've concluded is, if I can only rent the apartment for $2,000, but the person who comes in will cost me $2,100 per month, I am better off not renting this apartment or paying for the renovations.
01:20:09.000Well, and if you scroll down, he also wants to crack down on bad landlords.
01:20:15.000He also wants to crack down on really Dom, but I think that there is like there is a level at which like, so there's this bad idea, right?
01:20:24.000But the idea that like just having a purely free market is going to result in every hardworking person getting like a living that they can support a family on, I think is also wrong.
01:20:40.000I mean, we also have a pediatric on a lot of people to do jobs that are really difficult and really unrewarding.
01:20:47.000And we've created a system in which it's okay to just expect them to do those jobs for very little money because they don't require like some sort of individuated like.
01:21:53.000There are people who do jobs that get paid very little.
01:22:00.000I want to phrase the question properly, but what are we supposed to do when the fruits of the labor of that work are not worth what that person is being paid?
01:22:12.000So we have artificially made it not worth that through a lot of really terrible policies.
01:22:20.000So it wasn't like the free market that got us there.
01:22:23.000For example, I think you probably agree with me about this, importing millions and millions and millions of illegals to compete for low-wage jobs, right?
01:22:32.000So in 1971, which was the high watermark for working class purchasing power, the percentage of the U.S. population that was foreign-born was 4%.
01:22:43.000Like, that's not an accident that the highest working class wages and purchasing power correlated with the lowest immigration.
01:23:36.000Well, but if so if currently because they already have robot arms that can make McDonald's cheeseburgers and kiosks where you can order from, would you just fire all those people then?
01:23:45.000But first of all, unemployment is very low and we've been having a lot of like there's no correlation between automation and unemployment.
01:23:51.000Like because we find new ways for people to be able to.
01:23:54.000I don't think those employment numbers are functioning properly right now because of the gig economy.
01:24:10.000When you use your car for a ride-sharing app, the wear and tear and damage to your car and fuel actually costs you more than you're getting paid from the app.
01:24:20.000And people don't realize that all they're actually doing is pulling equity out of the vehicle they own, destroying it.
01:24:39.000And so, what we've seen in some jurisdictions, they've mandated that the ride-sharing companies provide a vehicle to the driver so that it's not their cost.
01:25:06.000They fled the city and people pointed out that the driverless cars were on the highway.
01:25:09.000But so those Uber drivers will be unemployed.
01:25:12.000So the thing about what does it mean to be employed?
01:25:15.000I think that unemployment's under counting a ton of people right now because if you stop looking for work, you're not considered unemployed anymore.
01:25:22.000Unemployment is under counting unemployed people?
01:25:27.000JD Vance was talking about that during the campaign, too.
01:25:29.000He was saying that there were like millions of young men who just dropped off the unemployment yesterday who just are underemployed or unemployed.
01:25:37.000But you don't count them if they're not applying for unemployment.
01:25:40.000If they're not like on the unemployment rolls.
01:25:43.000Unemployment is people who are looking for work.
01:25:45.000And if you say I'm to live at home with my parents, they say, well, you don't count them.
01:26:10.000Like you would start out as a drywaller, and then you would move your way up, and finally you become a contractor, and then you make good money.
01:26:16.000Like you would provide for your family.
01:27:02.000Is it saying that women, I feel like it's saying that women don't want to, they're not getting married because men are not educated enough or not making enough money and they're making a lot of money?
01:27:11.000Women can't, so from the Wall Street Journal, American women are giving up on marriage.
01:27:16.000Major demographic shifts have put men and women on divergent paths.
01:27:19.000That's left more women resigned to being single.
01:27:23.000The easiest way to explain this phenomenon, men don't want to marry one of their bros.
01:27:29.000They want to marry someone who complements their life in a way that they cannot, like to provide something in their life they don't.
01:27:35.000So if there's a woman who is a girl boss and wants to hang out and likes hanging out with a dude and they get along really well and they mesh together, they maybe even hook up.
01:27:44.000And she's like, I'm going to get that promotion.
01:27:46.000I'm looking at a $30,000 a year raise if I get this.
01:27:54.000Now I'm going to find a wife who's going to talk to me about all the kids she wants to have.
01:27:57.000And now she wants to help me start a family because I can't.
01:28:01.000And so what's happening is that's an oversimplification.
01:28:06.000But what's really happening is there's a lot of women who are going to make, I got so much crap for this six years ago.
01:28:14.000A New York Post wrote, women are struggling to find men who make as much as they do.
01:28:19.000And let me just put it simply for all the ladies out there.
01:28:21.000If you're a 35-year-old woman who makes $50,000 a year, you will not likely find a 35-year-old guy who makes the same as you who's going to date you because a 35-year-old guy making 50K a year can go to a 28-year-old woman and take her out on a fancy dinner.
01:28:37.000Or a 30-year-old guy making $50,000, $60,000 a year is going to be hooking up with 24-year-olds because he's going to get on the dating app, 24-year-old and say, hop in my car.
01:28:46.000I got a convertible and we're going to go to the lake and then get dinner.
01:28:49.000And she's going to be like, holy crap.
01:28:51.000So the woman the same age as him, he's like, why?
01:28:55.000Men should be, instead of all this toxic masculinity nonsense, men should, we should go back to our society, should go back to expecting men to be leaders and to be heads of the family.
01:29:08.000And then you should marry the woman you fall in love with.
01:29:11.000And so once again, the issue is most women are not doing those things.
01:29:17.000So I feel like this article is, having not read it, but having just read the summary and the discourse online, is saying that you're saying, Tim, that men don't want these women.
01:29:27.000But I think this article is saying these are women who make a ton of money, who are like, I will only date a guy who makes as much money as me or more, even though they are very financially secure.
01:29:39.000And it's so funny to me because, first of all, there is this thing in liberal culture where you have men who also want like overachiever wives.
01:29:48.000Like it used to be that like doctors would marry nurses and lawyers would marry secretaries.
01:29:53.000And so you would have this like robust middle class because you would have like one earner and a homemaker.
01:30:00.000But today, those professionals marry each other.
01:30:03.000So the doctor is looking for a doctor and the lawyer is marrying a lawyer.
01:30:07.000So you have these like upper middle class over-credentialed elites who are like hogging the American dream.
01:30:14.000And these women are like, if I can't find a guy like that, instead of being like what I think makes sense, which is be like the doctor and be like, hey, I'm financially secure.
01:30:23.000I can choose a mate based on how funny he is or like how good in bed he is or like how nice he is to me or like.
01:30:30.000So what they're saying is that as a 29-year-old woman, she's given up on trying to find a husband.
01:30:47.000These women go on Facebook and then make posts saying that they've resigned themselves to being single and so they want a man to come and inseminate them.
01:31:13.000And the guys don't care that they have a kid out there who they don't know.
01:31:17.000Guys have been told to step back and guys have been told that they don't have any say in any of that for so long that dudes have just been like, all right, well, I guess I can't.
01:31:26.000Because they're not allowed to say that they want to keep their baby.
01:31:29.000They're not allowed to say that they want the woman to have an abortion.
01:31:34.000Remember, if you don't have a cervix, you don't get a say.
01:31:37.000Men have internalized that, and that's the way that it's been for ages.
01:31:39.000In liberal centers, they are aghast when I say these things.
01:31:43.000I talked about this in 2019 when the New York Post wrote an article about these 35-year-old women who are like, for some reason, I can't find a guy my age who makes the amount of money as me and wants to date me.
01:31:53.000And I'm like, you guys remember when Tiger Woods had a whole South Park episode made about him?
01:31:59.000And the South Park episode, they were like, the news reporters are like, we are confused and shocked why wealthy and successful men are having sex with so many young, beautiful women.
01:33:39.000They've been telling young women that they should be basing their, like how they style themselves to attract men on what they want from a man.
01:33:48.000And men don't want the same thing from women that women want from men.
01:33:52.000Also, women have been sold a false bill of goods about exactly what they want from men.
01:34:36.000And so this idea that a woman can have a career, have the baby, hand the baby off to the dad and say, I'm going back to work, not possible.
01:34:43.000I mean, the thing is, after you have a baby, like, you know, I had my son when I was 35, and very shortly, I wished I'd had him younger so that I could have another one.
01:34:54.000And right away, I didn't give a single flying F about my career.
01:35:38.000He's not dealing with trips to the emergency room or like any kind of, he's not dealing with the changes to his body and the hormonal disruption in any way.
01:35:47.000And then when it comes time for the wife to have the baby, he needs substantially less time than the wife, than the woman does after she gives birth.
01:35:55.000So after giving birth, the woman's going to be bed rest and laying down and taking care of the baby for weeks.
01:36:04.000So then, why would a man who says, I want a family, choose a 29-year-old career woman when he's going to be like, I don't have the time or energy to like negotiate with you on when you're going to be breastfeeding the child or not breastfeeding the child and formula, he's going to go, I don't want to formula feed the baby.
01:36:26.000But Tim, don't you think I'm, I have been, like, I feel like when I was coming up, I knew a lot of like really awesome girls who were single.
01:36:33.000And now I feel like I know a lot of like really great guys who cannot find a woman.
01:36:47.000Because women don't want to be moms anymore.
01:36:50.000Right, but you're talking about it like the women are like aging out of the marriage market when the truth is they're withholding themselves like much younger.
01:36:57.000Like men are like, you meet these men and they're desperate to find love and they just have no broken, you know?
01:37:04.000So the charts that we've seen over the past several years are that young guys are increasingly staying virgins, struggling to find relationships.
01:37:16.000I would surmise, I think this is my hypothesis.
01:37:19.000If you're in college 30 years ago, your dating pool is the women that are in your university.
01:37:28.000You go to parties, you meet A woman, you're like, hey, we both go to UIC, and you know, and then you hook up, then you start hanging out together, and then many of these people start getting married.
01:40:13.000The social order of human civilization was you were a spinster and you were insulted and derided as a woman if you were not married with children before you were 30. Just like in well, women also didn't have many other economic opportunities.
01:40:27.000They weren't, what, 100 years ago that women didn't, you know, they didn't have the most economic spinsters were women who chose to work instead and they were insulted for it.
01:41:17.000But the point of what I was saying was society would not tolerate so many successful bachelor men not having families 50, 60 years ago, you'd be insulted, frowned upon, and questioned.
01:41:32.000Even in the 90s, people were like, why is that man a bachelor at 45 or 50?
01:43:28.000Let's cite the meme where a woman posted on Twitter, back when it was Twitter, sexism is that a man can wear the same clothes every day, but a woman will get criticized if she wears the same outfit twice.
01:43:40.000And the guy responded, literally, not a single man cares if you wear the same cute dress twice in a row.
01:45:19.000And then younger guys who are available, but, you know, there's a lot more to this.
01:45:23.000One of the arguments that's brought up often by sociologists is that women, when they're, what's attractive to a woman, a component of that is the access to resources and status.
01:45:35.000And if a woman has set her status at the middle class median, then she's going to be attracted, like you were saying, hardwired to someone who's making more than her.
01:45:45.000If the woman is making the same on average as the average guy, all of the men she meets look unappealing.
01:45:51.000Whereas for men, they're just like, this is a beautiful woman who could be a mom.
01:45:55.000And the woman's like, I'm not interested in you.
01:45:56.000And I think that is exacerbated by the fact that the Democrats created an economy in which having a college degree was an enormous benefit in the marketplace, in the economy.
01:46:06.000And women are 15 points more likely to have a college degree, meaning that they are actually have been catapulted to a certain degree, not like in the CEO class, but like in the upper middle class professional managerial class.
01:46:18.000They're much more likely to be overrepresented there.
01:46:20.000And men are more likely to be represented in blue collar work, meaning that they are literally like not going to even.
01:46:25.000And because guys are so desperate to hook up, they tolerate women's excesses.
01:46:31.000Such as we hear about the glass ceiling every day, but no one talks about the glass floor.
01:46:35.000Don't forget that women don't know what they want.
01:46:37.000The glass floor is that women tend not to work in sewage, tend not to work on oil rigs.
01:46:42.000Their workplace mortality is exceptionally low relative to men.
01:46:45.000And when it comes to office work, women are substantially more likely to get hired at mid-tier levels, whereas men work in the basement, in the gutter.
01:47:26.000It's the only promo code that matters.
01:47:28.000Ladies and gentlemen, shout out to Mike Lindell, the man put everything on the line.
01:47:34.000And if you're looking for towels, if you're looking for bed sheets, if you're looking for these amazing energy drinks for which we actually have all over the place, where is it?
01:47:56.000If you need any of this stuff, you got to give your support to Mike Lindell for everything he's done for standing up for what he believes in, for Donald Trump, and for those of us that think the Trump agenda is the right move for this country.
01:48:54.000So on abortion, for example, this is like a really good example of a phenomenon that I think happens on a lot of issues.
01:49:01.000So if you poll people and ask them, are you pro-life or pro-choice?
01:49:05.000So 49% of Americans will say I'm pro-life and 49% will say I'm pro-choice.
01:49:10.000But if you dig down into the numbers of the pro-lifers, over 90% believe in exceptions for rape, incest, and the health of the mother.
01:49:18.000And then you look at the pro-choice people, like the vast majority, I think it's 65 to 70%, believe it should only be legal for the first trimester.
01:49:27.000So that's 12 weeks, meaning that there's like 80% overlap on 80% of this issue.
01:49:33.000Then why is it that in blue states, they're unrestricting abortion to the point of birth?
01:49:57.000If you look at how people feel about gay marriage, it's really taken off even on the right, and that is especially among younger Republicans.
01:50:20.000The vast majority of Americans are pretty pro-Second Amendment and believe in background checks and other sort of what, you know, red flag laws and other sort of common sense restrictions.
01:50:30.000I know you're not in the majority, but the majority of Americans, 70% I think, support background checks.
01:50:40.000I think if you went to the average person and said, should the government be allowed to send armed men to your home without a warrant to seize your private property?
01:51:58.000They have no idea what they're talking about.
01:51:59.000So when you poll them on things like, should police have suppressors on their rifles, this is something we talked about the other day, they're going to be like, why would they need that?
01:52:08.000And it's like, because it's a safety device that reduces ear damage.
01:52:47.000If you shot it, like, and it depends on what you're shooting, but like rifles, for the most part, like even with a can, you're going to, you're going to blow your ears out if you're inside.
01:53:02.000I mean, if you're just like a 22, you're probably going to be like, it's not that big a deal.
01:53:07.000But liberals have banned suppressors because they think, because of movies, that you can go into a house and go, pew, pew, pew, and no one can hear anything.
01:53:15.000Are there any weapons that are like pew, pew, pew?
01:53:18.000I could probably, you could probably make a get 22s.
01:54:36.000But on these other issues, abortion, it's declining a little because of the trans issue.
01:54:42.000I think it's kind of a, it's because they probably phrase the question as LGBT, but I think most Americans are pretty pro-gay and pretty wary of the trans issue.
01:54:52.000The YouGov data that we pulled up a while ago found that Gen Z support for gay marriage dropped dramatically in a short period of time, indicating that was an ideological shift.
01:55:00.000They hate Israel, they hate gay marriage.
01:56:18.000This country has always been deeply phylo-Semitic.
01:56:21.000So America from its founding has been very protective of its Jewish population.
01:56:26.000And I think that there's an affinity for Israel, both religiously and sociologically.
01:56:30.000We get a lot out of that relationship strategically in terms of intelligence sharing, in terms of, you know, they keep an eye on our enemies in the region.
01:56:38.000But again, you know, I think if young people decide like, you know, it's time to stop giving any aid to any foreign country, I don't think there's anything wrong with us making that decision as a country.
01:56:47.000I think there's also something to say about how we actually literally never had boots on the ground for any Israel war as opposed to our other allies.
01:56:55.000Israel is actually a very good military ally.
01:56:58.000They're not like South Korea where we had to bail them out.
01:57:08.000So, for example, you know, we had to go bail out Europe too in World War II.
01:57:12.000So, you know, for half of Israel's history, we actually didn't even support them military aid-wise, but we've never had boots on the ground there.
01:57:19.000And as far as potent allies go, I think Israel's a great ally.
01:57:24.000I wish our other allies were as potent, were as potent and ambitious militarily as Israel was.
01:57:29.000Again, if South Korea could take care of North Korea, if Japan and Taiwan could take care of China and hold their own, if Europe could take care of Russia and hold their own so we don't have to get bogged down in there, Israel really handled Hezbollah, Hamas, Iran almost completely to themselves.
01:57:45.000We don't like to talk about the subversive stuff they did in Syria too.
01:57:48.000So I think it would be helpful to have more allies like Israel, actually.
01:57:51.000All right, Mr. Spencer says, I like the teenaged girl talking around the problem way Ilad says comedians on Twitter when he's clearly talking about Dave Smith and only Dave Smith.
01:58:01.000Name a second isolationist comedian, Ilod.
01:58:09.000I mean, it's tongue in cheek, but I think these comedians, some comedians like him, get more attention doing their Israel commentary than they do or ever have in their comedy routines.
01:58:20.000And I think that's worth mentioning because a lot of people on social media are just getting completely sucked up into audience capture and just saying whatever will produce them live from people in packaging.
01:58:28.000Dave was running for the libertarian, he was front runner for the libertarian presidential ticket.
01:58:33.000He has been, this is not something new of Dave.
01:58:45.000But I must admit, there was a very funny meme I saw where it said, I'm starting to doubt my trust in the expertise of comedians on Twitter.
01:59:08.000I don't like comedians in politics because whenever they're proven to be say or do something stupid, they always put on my, oh, gee whiz, I'm just a comedian hat.
01:59:16.000So Jon Stewart used to do a lot of this too.
01:59:18.000It's like, oh, you take me seriously in my political commentary?
01:59:37.000Yeah, we're going to make a show called Comedy Sketch News, where we just make AI videos of people like Jon Stewart saying things that are compromising, but believable.
01:59:48.000Because they can't sue me because it's a joke.
02:01:46.000Vice did a funny video on this on a transgender comedian like 10 years ago who literally just went on stage and made a bunch of jokes that were not jokes, but they were self-deprecating statements that aligned with woke values.
02:02:00.000But it's like instead of doing jokes, they go up and they go, don't I look like I can't pass?
02:02:05.000And then they all start clapping and cheering and be like, but that shouldn't mean that people are going to are just going to discriminate, you know?
02:05:49.000So what we didn't want was somebody who wanted to buy a bunch of these because like we had people saying I'm going to send them out to my friends and it's a joke and it's funny.
02:06:12.000And so if we do sell out and you, and just bear in mind, it's never going to stop you from putting the order in.
02:06:21.000What that means by sellout is we have these printed, pressed, and ready to ship right now, about 200.
02:06:27.000And if you put it in order and there's no available at the warehouse, it just means they have to make, like they just have to press the boards and that could take a couple weeks.
02:06:39.000It could actually go faster than that, depending on how they start producing these.
02:06:43.000If they go small batch at a time, like 10, 10, 10, they'll start chipping them out pretty, pretty quickly.
02:06:49.000But the issue was that because it's a hard product, it's hard to do.
02:06:53.000You know, if we order 250 and then everyone buys it out, it sells out in two minutes and then we buy 250, but then everyone's like, no, we got them already.
02:06:59.000Then we're sitting on 250 boards nobody wants.
02:07:02.000So, you know, we're just going to take the orders now and then there could be a delay on that.
02:07:10.000I'm shocked to say this, but nobody's buying B Gay.
02:08:45.000Based on the data provided, here's a list of races by their corresponding average IQ scores, primarily drawn from sources that discuss national or regional averages, which can be indicative of racial groupings.
02:10:16.000But it's Garrett Morris talking to Julian Bond about how, you know, IQ tests are racist.
02:10:23.000And it's because, you know, one of the questions will be like, you have a, you know, you have cocktails with the head of your trust fund at six, but you have a black tie event at eight.