Timcast IRL - Tim Pool - November 06, 2026


Susie Wiles Is DONE, MASSIVE Shake Up After Midterm Wipeout | Timcast IRL

Democrat Backlash, Market Crashes $2.5 Trillion | Timcast IRL

Episode Stats


Length

2 hours and 5 minutes

Words per minute

191.75

Word count

24,039

Sentence count

1,993

Harmful content

Misogyny

9

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Transcript

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Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
00:01:07.000 Susie Wiles is out as the chief of staff of the White House.
00:01:12.000 Stephen Miller is in.
00:01:14.000 A lot of people are going to, obviously, because of the nightmare scenario on Tuesday, a lot of blame is going to be thrown around.
00:01:21.000 And it seems like Susie Wiles is the first casualty of that.
00:01:26.000 There are a lot of people that are MAGA adjacent or very pro MAGA that are looking at Stephen Miller and they're saying, this is the guy that it should have been for ages.
00:01:34.000 He's done such great work for Donald Trump, blah, blah, blah.
00:01:37.000 So we're going to talk about that.
00:01:38.000 There was a huge, huge jobs number report that came out this morning.
00:01:43.000 The U.S. added 165,000 jobs in October, totally blowing up expectations.
00:01:49.000 They were talking about something like 65,000 jobs added.
00:01:54.000 So that's a huge thing.
00:01:55.000 And coming on the heels of the massive election blowout the Republicans took, that's a little bit of good news for the Trump administration.
00:02:03.000 Dems have already started to pivot from affordability to we're going to get our political enemies.
00:02:09.000 There's a bunch of people on X, obviously.
00:02:11.000 If you follow Democrats, right away they were saying, lawyer up.
00:02:15.000 They were saying, we're going to investigate Elon Musk.
00:02:17.000 They're talking about investigating beyond just Elon Musk, they're talking about investigating people in the tech industry, Meta, Amazon, a bunch of companies are going to be hauled in front of Congress.
00:02:29.000 So the affordability question is out.
00:02:33.000 There are a couple Democrats that seem to have been swept in that have some problematic history.
00:02:40.000 Someone that is connected to the daycare fraud that has been elected to the Minnesota state legislature.
00:02:48.000 And then there is someone in Texas who withdrew from the Texas House race, but she still won and she has a felony.
00:02:55.000 So we're going to talk about all that today.
00:02:56.000 We're going to get right to it.
00:02:58.000 Smash the like button, share the show with all of your friends.
00:03:01.000 Head on over to timcast.com, become a member and join our Discord.
00:03:04.000 Head on over to rumble.com, become a member there so you can join us for the after show, which is Monday through Tuesday.
00:03:09.000 But without further ado, we're going to enter.
00:03:11.000 Introduce our guest.
00:03:12.000 Mark, how are you doing?
00:03:13.000 Thanks for coming today.
00:03:14.000 I'm good.
00:03:14.000 Great to be back.
00:03:15.000 Who are you?
00:03:15.000 What do you do?
00:03:17.000 I am the head pollster and founder of the Honest Polling Company, formerly the head pollster of Rasmussen Reports.
00:03:23.000 There's a lot of pollsters out there, but I'm one of the very few that actually saw this blue wave coming, and I'm also one of the few that actually saw Donald Trump winning in 2024.
00:03:31.000 So being able to do a good job in a red wave year and a blue wave year is pretty rare, but I'm also one of the very few that represents the American people and not basically left wing media.
00:03:45.000 Or the dark money NGOs, or increasingly we're seeing in right wing polling Trump political action committees.
00:03:51.000 Sure.
00:03:52.000 Thanks for joining us.
00:03:53.000 Alan?
00:03:54.000 Hi, guys.
00:03:54.000 I'm Alan Bakari.
00:03:56.000 I work for the Foundation for Freedom Online.
00:03:58.000 We're an online censorship watchdog tracking the causes and consequences of online censorship and what's driving all that.
00:04:05.000 We were founded by Mike Benz in 2022.
00:04:09.000 And you can go to our website, foundationforfreedomonline.com, to check out our latest work.
00:04:14.000 Awesome.
00:04:14.000 Ian's here.
00:04:15.000 I am.
00:04:16.000 I am Comic Relief.
00:04:17.000 Good to be here.
00:04:19.000 What'd I do for a living?
00:04:20.000 What's up, Carter?
00:04:21.000 I was enjoying the conversation about whether or not it was a D. Was it a D sharp?
00:04:26.000 This?
00:04:27.000 Is it a D sharp?
00:04:28.000 Yeah, it's a D sharp, as far as I know.
00:04:29.000 Phil, is that a D sharp?
00:04:32.000 It looks like it, but I'm not sure.
00:04:34.000 It's just the down's a little off.
00:04:35.000 I'm not one friend.
00:04:36.000 Okay.
00:04:36.000 Anyway, I'm Carter Banks, and I'm happy to have you all back.
00:04:40.000 Alan, you should put in last notice, and let's get right into it.
00:04:44.000 Anyways, so from Donald Trump himself, actually, but we got the New York Post to talk about it.
00:04:51.000 Trump fires Susie Wiles after midterm blowout named Stephen Miller as new chief of staff.
00:04:56.000 From Washington, President Trump on Friday announced that he was replacing Susie Wiles as the Chief of Staff with his longtime advisor, Stephen Miller, following Republican landslide midterm election loss.
00:05:06.000 Donald Trump posted on Truth Social I'm pleased to announce that Mr. Stephen Miller, the current Deputy Chief of Staff of the Trump administration and one of my most trusted advisors, will become the Chief of Staff starting Monday, November 9th, 2026.
00:05:19.000 Trump wrote on Truth Social.
00:05:21.000 Susie Wiles, who has done an outstanding job, will be moving over to the Trump political operation.
00:05:26.000 I want to thank her.
00:05:27.000 For her service as chief of staff, she has done a great job.
00:05:31.000 Obviously, there's going to be heads rolling because of the absolute blowout in the administration, but also all of the downstream, all the down ticket stuff.
00:05:42.000 Did you guys expect that it was going to be Susie Wiles first?
00:05:45.000 Well, if you look at the coverage after the election, there was immediate sort of attempts by various people in the admin to knife each other.
00:05:51.000 And there was a faction that appeared to be going after Pete Hegseth, the Secretary of War, and another faction that was going after Susie Wiles.
00:05:59.000 And that second faction appears to have won.
00:06:01.000 It's a major victory, I'll say, for Stephen Miller because we saw in some of these reports that came out in the New York Times and the Daily Mail and elsewhere that Wiles and Miller had tried to undermine Miller over immigration enforcement after Minneapolis and tried to make immigration a less visible part of the Trump administration's public stance.
00:06:23.000 And Miller was on the other side of that.
00:06:25.000 So this is a big victory for him.
00:06:26.000 I think it's interesting because you saw during the election that the one issue that Republicans won decisively on with voters was immigration.
00:06:35.000 Yeah.
00:06:37.000 We didn't really see Susie Wiles in the public eye a lot. 0.96
00:06:40.000 And that was something that in the beginning of the administration, I don't know if it was actually her or just talking heads that were saying, you shouldn't expect to see her approaching the microphone a lot. 1.00
00:06:52.000 She wants to kind of hang back. 0.65
00:06:53.000 Would you expect Miller to behave the same way?
00:06:55.000 Because he's definitely not afraid of getting in front of a microphone and taking it right to the press.
00:07:00.000 Do you think he's going to be more vocal, more of an advocate for Trump policies?
00:07:05.000 Well, he's certainly going to be an advocate.
00:07:06.000 He's a Trump loyalist and he believes in Trump's platform.
00:07:09.000 This was surprising for me because I wasn't sure if it was going to come.
00:07:12.000 It was one of the first signs I was looking for a Trump pivot, which we really, really, really need.
00:07:19.000 After Obama got shellacked in 2010, he gave a speech the very next day and he took accountability for it and said he was going to try and do a better job and represent the people.
00:07:27.000 And we have not seen that at all.
00:07:29.000 In fact, Donald Trump is basically attacking the voters and blaming all the candidates.
00:07:34.000 And just like from a polling perspective, being in the numbers for the last two years, Trump did not lose because of the Iran war.
00:07:43.000 Trump lost because he failed to deliver on economic populism.
00:07:47.000 And that's a hard thing to deliver in a short period of time, but that's why messaging is so important.
00:07:52.000 So, to that point, this is a question that I've asked other people that have been here this week.
00:07:56.000 If gas prices, like if we were in a different universe and gas prices were two bucks a gallon, but the Iran war was going off, does Trump still lose?
00:08:05.000 I mean, I don't think Mississippi would go Democrat, but I still think he'd lose.
00:08:10.000 Susie brought me into the White House a year ago, and I told Trump then, You're going to lose because you're completely fudging the economic messaging.
00:08:18.000 And we saw this with, Don't talk to me about the affordability hoax.
00:08:22.000 Don't, you know, the Dow's 50K.
00:08:24.000 Well, people don't have, you know, stock portfolios.
00:08:27.000 And this is very different.
00:08:29.000 To that point, though, but like I was doing some Googling yesterday because there are a lot of people that are like, When the stock market crashed yesterday, they were like, Well, I don't care.
00:08:38.000 I don't care.
00:08:39.000 And this is just obviously anecdotal in my replies and stuff.
00:08:43.000 But 60% of Americans have some kind of investment in the stock market.
00:08:48.000 So, do you think that it's just that they're not aware of it?
00:08:50.000 Or do you think that, because do you think that they're just like, I don't care, I'm really angry about the way the inflation has made me feel, the cost of living, the cost of gas and stuff?
00:09:02.000 Because most of the country has exposure to the stuff.
00:09:04.000 We have a stealth depression, is the main issue.
00:09:07.000 And so, almost every economic measure kind of obscures that fact.
00:09:10.000 You really have to go to the polling.
00:09:12.000 One of the basic questions is the economy getting better or worse?
00:09:15.000 We had roughly about 30% of people who would consistently say worse.
00:09:20.000 Until COVID.
00:09:21.000 And then it was in the 60s the entire time, and it has not changed.
00:09:23.000 Only 17% of Americans say today's kids will be better off than their parents.
00:09:28.000 62% think the economy only works for the wealthy and well connected.
00:09:31.000 Like, I could just go on, but like, we're in a situation where a third of people are basically using like short term loans to get groceries and stuff like that, right?
00:09:39.000 So these people, it's not that they care about egg prices, it's that they hate the entire system and are mistrustful of large corporations and hate this idea of oligarchy, although they don't know the word, right?
00:09:51.000 And so with Trump, what we saw is actually You know, inadvertently, it would appear he did some things that made him look like an oligarch.
00:09:58.000 And so people are going to rebel against that and they're angry at a system they don't think is going to work.
00:10:03.000 And we could go into a lot of it, but I mean, we've gotten to the point where Republicans ran against socialism when I disguised seizing the means of production and Republicans support that by a plurality.
00:10:13.000 So we're going into a very crazy place and it's like right wing socialism versus left wing socialism.
00:10:23.000 That's the discussion.
00:10:25.000 Zumerwaffen versus gay race communism.
00:10:27.000 Where's Teddy Roosevelt?
00:10:28.000 That's my question.
00:10:28.000 What are the two left and right wing socialism?
00:10:31.000 I've seen he's used the government to buy like 33 companies.
00:10:34.000 He's bought stock 10% in like 36 different companies or something.
00:10:37.000 Tech companies, a lot of it's to shore up like chip production and stuff, defense mechanisms, but socialist behavior.
00:10:44.000 But like, so where's your alignment between left and right wing?
00:10:47.000 That's not socialism.
00:10:49.000 He's brought this up a bunch of times, and I've said a bunch of times that's not socialism, but he.
00:10:53.000 You don't think so?
00:10:54.000 No, not at all.
00:10:55.000 Still don't think so.
00:10:57.000 No, buying a.
00:10:58.000 If the government is purchasing stock, right?
00:11:02.000 Buying a stake in them by using market methods to purchase stock, that's not socialism.
00:11:10.000 Socialism is when the government just expropriates a company and says, this is important to the United States.
00:11:18.000 So we're taking control of this company.
00:11:20.000 51%?
00:11:21.000 No, no, no, no.
00:11:22.000 Again, you're talking about stock.
00:11:24.000 And just because they own stock in a company doesn't mean that they're taking the company.
00:11:29.000 They're different than the Chinese when they have 51% of the stock.
00:11:33.000 The Chinese don't have 51%, don't use market forces.
00:11:36.000 They just take it.
00:11:38.000 They may say, oh, well, we've got a stock market, but it's not nearly as free of a stock market as the United States is.
00:11:45.000 I see.
00:11:45.000 It looks like the same thing, just a different scale.
00:11:48.000 I understand it looks like it, but I keep telling you, like people keep saying to you around the table, it's not the same thing.
00:11:53.000 And I don't think the federal government has actually taken 51% control of any of the businesses.
00:11:58.000 Oh, it's like 10%.
00:11:59.000 So again, so this is not their.
00:12:02.000 Two different things.
00:12:03.000 You keep saying, well, what about when they buy stock?
00:12:05.000 We explain it.
00:12:06.000 Socialism uses my tax money to pay to buy companies, not mine.
00:12:11.000 Your tax money controls inflation and your tax so that way they can control inflation by taking dollars out.
00:12:20.000 When they use public funds to purchase a company that now is owned by the government, that is socialism.
00:12:26.000 No, it's not.
00:12:27.000 Then what would you call it?
00:12:27.000 I don't understand.
00:12:28.000 Is it crony capitalism?
00:12:30.000 It's the government buying it.
00:12:30.000 Is that capitalism?
00:12:31.000 It's the government intervention.
00:12:33.000 It's the government interfering in markets, yes.
00:12:35.000 But that's not the same thing as socialism.
00:12:37.000 Socialism is.
00:12:38.000 People that are on the left always love to get on other people from the right or whatever for saying, you don't even know what socialism is.
00:12:45.000 And this is a case of you calling something that is not socialist socialism.
00:12:50.000 Are you saying it has to be 100% to be classified as socialism?
00:12:54.000 I'm saying that it is different in term.
00:12:58.000 What is that called?
00:12:59.000 Because now I'm curious because it does sound weird.
00:13:01.000 Well, it's the government interfering.
00:13:04.000 We do have a mixed economy, and it is the government involving itself in markets, but because it's buying stock and buying 10% or whatever stock in a company, that is the government investing in a company because it believes that the company is important.
00:13:20.000 To national security, to whatever.
00:13:22.000 It is not the same thing as the government saying, we are going to direct this company or we are going to have ownership of this company.
00:13:30.000 We're going to nationalize this company because we need to make sure that the government controls this company.
00:13:36.000 10% is not a controlling interest.
00:13:38.000 Now, I understand you continue to say, well, what about when it gets to 51%?
00:13:42.000 But that's moving the goalpost because in reality, they are buying a percentage, but a small percentage, providing liquidity.
00:13:50.000 The problem is that the words socialism and capitalism are abstractions that we use in the polling industry to try and track sentiment towards things that people will run on.
00:13:59.000 But the American people ultimately don't know because I don't even think conservative leaders understand what capitalism is right now.
00:14:04.000 For them, it's like complete deregulation and let these companies do whatever and ship all the jobs overseas and blah, And what people want is solutions, basically.
00:14:13.000 We have transactional politics now, and Democrat socialists are winning, not necessarily because people want.
00:14:21.000 The lack of economic freedom that comes with socialism.
00:14:23.000 They just want somebody to actually put their interests first.
00:14:26.000 At the same time, Republicans will sort of die on this hill of modern capitalism, which just absolutely sucks and is destroying America.
00:14:32.000 So, unfortunately, like that is tough because all the infrastructure, the thought leadership, and all these politicians and the national parties are sort of run to like dig in on these abstractions that don't even make any sense.
00:14:45.000 And so we don't get solutions.
00:14:47.000 And like the way I kind of see it is we have been here before.
00:14:50.000 We've been in a period where there's a lot of concentration, wealth, and power at the top.
00:14:54.000 Workers' wages have been suppressed.
00:14:56.000 They're treated terribly.
00:14:58.000 You know, we even had margin fueled stock manias and things like that in the 10s and 20s.
00:15:03.000 And back then, people innately understood we needed to break up all this corporate power.
00:15:07.000 We needed to smash these oligarchies and, you know, have stronger unions, have a more progressive tax system.
00:15:15.000 And that was a Republican platform under Teddy Roosevelt, right?
00:15:19.000 And so when you look at what capitalism was, I guess, earlier in the 19th century, a lot of people like The thought leaders in American Compass would say, well, conservative capitalism acknowledges that if you want your economic system to serve the American people, you have to make sure it actually does that.
00:15:34.000 And in order to do that, you need a powerful government that will actually regulate in a way that serves people as opposed to, yeah.
00:15:44.000 You're calling it conservative capitalism.
00:15:47.000 I'm like searching about asking what to call it.
00:15:49.000 They're calling it selective state capitalism.
00:15:51.000 That's what it's called when the U.S. government buys 10% of 30 different companies.
00:15:55.000 They call it selective state capitalism.
00:15:57.000 It's not socialism, it's state capitalism.
00:15:59.000 State corporatism, strategic capitalism.
00:16:02.000 State capitalism has been a thing in history.
00:16:04.000 I mean, Mussolini's Italy practiced state capitalism, but they weren't like socialist.
00:16:10.000 It's leaning more towards like fascism, but not really.
00:16:14.000 Fascism is.
00:16:16.000 State capitalism and fascism are actually.
00:16:19.000 They're not the same thing.
00:16:22.000 I'm just saying like non socialist governments have done the same thing.
00:16:25.000 Right.
00:16:25.000 I'm trying to attach it to the class.
00:16:27.000 I'm not saying it's fascist to invest 10% in a company.
00:16:29.000 Obviously not.
00:16:30.000 They're saying it's not only socialist governments that have done that.
00:16:30.000 Yeah.
00:16:33.000 I mean, to be honest with you, whatever you call the process, personally, I don't have a significant problem with the United States federal government saying, look, there are certain industries that are vital to national security.
00:16:46.000 And so we're going to do what we can to incentivize these companies from not only ensuring that they will be able to survive, but also to ensure that we have the things that we need here in the United States to ensure national security.
00:17:02.000 Right?
00:17:03.000 So even though the CHIPS Act was kind of a boondoggle, The concept of making sure that we have the ability to make the chips that we need to support the military and support the infrastructure here in the U.S., I think that's okay.
00:17:16.000 The idea that we would have, you know, make sure that we can produce steel here in the United States for, you know, whatever it may be, whether it be for airframes, that's usually aluminum, anyway, for ships or what have you, we can produce the things that we need for our national security.
00:17:31.000 I'm a big fan of Andrew because they're building weapons that use.
00:17:37.000 Basic normal things that you could quote unquote go down to Radio Shack and pick up.
00:17:41.000 That's something that Palmer Lucky himself has said.
00:17:44.000 They just built a laptop that's entirely manufactured in the US.
00:17:48.000 Yeah, and that's the kind of stuff.
00:17:49.000 I'm very pro the United States ensuring that we have the capacity to defend ourselves.
00:17:55.000 Look, when COVID first hit and we didn't have any PPE in the US because we were getting it all from China and everything got shut down, that was a massive problem.
00:18:04.000 And it should have been a wake up call for the United States.
00:18:06.000 And to be honest with you, in the five, six years since, Those problems should have been solved.
00:18:11.000 And the fact that they're not is an indictment of the federal government.
00:18:14.000 They have not taken care of the things that they need to take care of when it comes to ensuring that the United States can stand on its own two feet.
00:18:21.000 We have basically an entire continent here at our disposal.
00:18:25.000 The United States is a massive country with enormous amounts of resources that we can tap into.
00:18:31.000 And we don't have to tap into it on the level of, oh, we're going to provide it for the rest of the world, but we can tap into it and say, we're going to make sure that the United States can take care of itself.
00:18:40.000 I wonder if these.
00:18:41.000 Tariffs, and I'd like to get your guys' opinions on if they're actually working.
00:18:44.000 I know it pissed off a lot of people.
00:18:45.000 Trump said there's going to be short term pain.
00:18:47.000 Now we're feeling it and you're seeing it in the midterms.
00:18:49.000 But is it working?
00:18:51.000 Are they re industrializing the base?
00:18:52.000 Because the government can't make the technology we need to survive.
00:18:56.000 It needs to invest in it.
00:18:57.000 And so I'm wondering if you guys have seen it.
00:19:01.000 I mean, that's a really tough thing to measure from a public opinion perspective.
00:19:05.000 The polling on tariffs is tough because people don't understand it.
00:19:09.000 It depends on how you word the questions.
00:19:11.000 But I would just say, from like measuring the economy, we are.
00:19:14.000 Getting worse.
00:19:16.000 People are in more crisis.
00:19:17.000 Everything is just getting worse because inflation continues to go up.
00:19:21.000 Now, healthcare premiums are going up drastically.
00:19:24.000 We still have wage stagnation.
00:19:26.000 There hasn't been, like, we haven't seen a major effort to, like, resure all these jobs or, like, you know, we're starting to turn a corner, I guess, with H 1Bs.
00:19:34.000 But, like, overall, the problem is that the government doesn't appear to be addressing these things.
00:19:40.000 What you were talking about with buying the companies would probably be broadly popular.
00:19:43.000 I mean, Americans are protectionist.
00:19:45.000 Like one proxy, the H 1B program is popular overall, and that's because people think we're taking talent from other parts of the world.
00:19:53.000 But then if you ask them, are corporations abusing it?
00:19:55.000 They're like, hell yeah, they are, right?
00:19:56.000 And so, like, the main issue is that we have a system that people think has failed.
00:20:02.000 And if the government appears to be cozy with it, when in reality they should be looking out for the interests of people who think they're getting screwed, like that sort of exacerbates this issue that the government doesn't represent the people.
00:20:13.000 And Trump has definitely leaned into that.
00:20:15.000 Like, the ballroom optics don't help, hugging Mark Zuckerberg when he accused Zuckerberg of stealing his.
00:20:20.000 Blah blah blah, something like that doesn't help, you know.
00:20:23.000 Trump ran as a populist and then he abandoned it.
00:20:27.000 I think that that means that now there's a populist stomp on it.
00:20:30.000 Yeah, that means the crown is in the gutter.
00:20:32.000 He kind of set the ball rolling, and then he and now someone's gonna get that ball.
00:20:36.000 Like, there's a pop, like Nick Fuentes, he just directed 30 plus thousand people to vote Democrat or not vote.
00:20:42.000 And like, you can see he's gonna be the Republican nominee if he wants to be now.
00:20:46.000 Like, some Trump, like, when you create the monster, you better put a leash on that thing, or someone's gonna grab it and ride it.
00:20:53.000 I would say that we're probably a few cycles away from Nick Fuentes being in a position.
00:20:58.000 I don't even know if he's old enough.
00:20:59.000 Yeah, he's like, he's in his 20s.
00:21:00.000 I mean, maybe in the 40s.
00:21:04.000 But he's a kingmaker.
00:21:05.000 Maybe in the 40s or 50s, he might be in a position to run for public office and actually win.
00:21:12.000 But he's influential.
00:21:14.000 And there are a lot of people that listen to him.
00:21:16.000 And he's extremely charismatic and really, really good at talking.
00:21:23.000 But that doesn't mean that he's on his way to the presidency right now.
00:21:27.000 That being said, do you guys have a sense of who will be the one to kind of pick up the torch and actually.
00:21:37.000 Resonate with the American people.
00:21:38.000 Obviously, the two names that people throw around right now are Marco Rubio and JD Vance, who each come with their own set of problems.
00:21:47.000 I was talking to Tate, and he says that he has some friends that are in Marco Rubio's kind of circle, and he says that the people around him are good.
00:21:55.000 I've watched some of the speeches that he made, specifically the one from Greece, and I was pretty impressed.
00:22:02.000 I also like the fact that Marco Rubio is extremely anti communist.
00:22:06.000 I know there's a lot of people that have different problems with Vance.
00:22:09.000 His history of criticism of Donald Trump is the first thing that comes to mind.
00:22:14.000 But if Donald Trump is damaged goods now, is that something that Vance can overcome?
00:22:19.000 What are your thoughts, Alan?
00:22:22.000 I mean, I think probably the guy who's positioning himself now, as we saw in the last couple of days, is DeSantis.
00:22:30.000 He's sort of come out looking good because he wasn't associated with the administration, and therefore he can distance himself from this electoral defeat, which is being pinned on the administration, of course.
00:22:41.000 I think the problem he's probably going to have in 2028, given how much people are tying this to Iran and the Israel relationship, I think that will be a problem for DeSantis as well, even though he isn't tied to the administration.
00:22:57.000 He's also one of the governors that didn't have an absolute massacre in Florida.
00:23:03.000 Yeah, Florida is the outlier.
00:23:05.000 Florida was the outlier.
00:23:06.000 They held strong against a significant push from the Democrats.
00:23:12.000 And.
00:23:13.000 I think the only thing that the only serious, like the, the Israel stuff that you were talking about, I think is is legitimate, and then the other serious, very legitimate yeah, the.
00:23:22.000 The other thing that he has to overcome is the fact that he's not tall right, the voice is not the best yeah yeah, but I do think, like Vance is probably still still like out ahead, it's just gonna be a very wide open primary, I think so.
00:23:37.000 It's four years, you know, it's only two years until the the, you know the next election for for uh president um, And Israel's on everyone's mind, or on a significant portion of the electorate's mind.
00:23:37.000 It's.
00:23:51.000 Is that going to be, is Israel and the United States relationship with Israel, is that going to be a key issue or is it going to be a secondary issue that people are like, well, he's a little chummy with Israel, but these other things overrule that?
00:24:09.000 So you still have a core Republican voter who did turn out, but it's just not enough.
00:24:14.000 So Trump won in 2024 with about 40% of his vote coming from Israel.
00:24:17.000 Self ID independents and crossover Democrats.
00:24:20.000 Next cycle, it might be 45.
00:24:21.000 The cycle after that, it might be 50.
00:24:23.000 And Republicans still haven't gotten it through their head that they just can't say these people will vote for me because we're Republicans.
00:24:29.000 That's sort of the hump that we have to get over.
00:24:31.000 So, the problem is, this coalition was always loosely cobbled together, and it was America First, Economic Populism, Reform the Government coalition.
00:24:40.000 It had Muslims in it, it had socialists in it, it had pro deportation Hispanics in it, it had a lot of people in it that are not traditional Republican voters.
00:24:50.000 Trump, over the last year and a half, has betrayed a lot of those people and just completely governed incoherently, and the Republican Party didn't convert them to Republican voters through good government.
00:25:01.000 So now, The problem we have in 2028 is like Trump's still in office for two years.
00:25:07.000 Anything economically that happens, he's probably going to own.
00:25:10.000 The 120th Congress is going to go after him viciously.
00:25:13.000 And from everything I hear, find actual real fraud.
00:25:16.000 And the Democrats have a mandate, in my opinion, that's very limited, but it is, it's big, but limited to work with Republicans on affordability, which I hope they would do, but I don't think they will.
00:25:27.000 They're not going to do that.
00:25:28.000 And to hold people accountable for fraud.
00:25:30.000 You feel like that the, the, the, American people are.
00:25:33.000 Corruption is going to be a thing that is going to be a big deal because I. My reading of it, and this is just, again, my X feed that I'm reading, there's a certain portion of the voting electorate that cares about things like fraud and corruption and stuff.
00:25:51.000 But I get the vibe that they're more concerned with economic issues.
00:25:58.000 Well, both of them, right?
00:25:59.000 So, on the issue of who do you trust more to keep the country economically prosperous.
00:26:04.000 In 2023, Republicans had a 14 point lead.
00:26:06.000 Now they're underwater at 14 points.
00:26:09.000 And the issue of government corruption wasn't as high in previous elections.
00:26:11.000 It's now in the top five, depending on where you look at.
00:26:14.000 And Republicans are losing on the issue of government corruption now.
00:26:17.000 So these things will be popular.
00:26:19.000 But the problem is that when you have a president who looks like an oligarch, who's standing in the way of affordability things, and you're going to find fraud of all these wealthy people in his administration potentially stuffing taxpayer money or whatever they're doing in their pockets, right?
00:26:34.000 That people are, this is going to be some catharsis.
00:26:36.000 The Democrats might become popular because, like, quite the Epstein thing plays into this as well.
00:26:43.000 Like, Trump, and again, I was out there with polling that said the Epstein thing was the biggest mistake they ever could have made.
00:26:48.000 They handed the Democrats an issue gift wrapped for to run on for the next, you know, four years.
00:26:54.000 And what they're going to probably do is make Trump the face of Epstein accountability.
00:26:58.000 They're going to say, look at these elites.
00:26:59.000 They think they're better than you.
00:27:00.000 They're the Epstein class.
00:27:02.000 And they've been using their roles in government to enrich themselves.
00:27:05.000 And we caught them all.
00:27:06.000 And we're going to.
00:27:07.000 Basically, what they're doing is taking over Trump's 2024 agenda, drain the swamp in economic populism.
00:27:13.000 And you see, they're smart.
00:27:15.000 Like people like Assoff, you know, he's leaning into things that sound a lot like Trump.
00:27:20.000 Al Said was cutting ads that look like they were practically American first stuff.
00:27:24.000 If these people actually moderated and got rid of the anti American, unpopular stuff of their platform, like they could do a good job.
00:27:30.000 And I think the calculus that you'll start to see is that the Republican Party is now so cooked generationally.
00:27:37.000 Like, we might not get the Senate back for a decade.
00:27:40.000 Like, it might be that bad, right?
00:27:41.000 Now, the House, what should be happening is people should be organizing now to get actually good candidates for the first time to run in 2028.
00:27:50.000 That's not happening.
00:27:51.000 And it is not going to come from the traditional Republican structure.
00:27:55.000 You know, but they could literally.
00:27:57.000 What you're going to see is actually maybe some MAGA populists run as Democrats now.
00:28:02.000 Really?
00:28:03.000 You have a better chance of winning.
00:28:06.000 Could that be a way to.
00:28:11.000 Change the Democrat Party from being so anti American to something that is more pro American?
00:28:17.000 Because, I mean, look, there is, there is, not that there's a lot of it out there, but there has historically been a pro America Democrat, right?
00:28:25.000 John Fetterman is one now, but he's obviously very pro Israel, too.
00:28:30.000 JFK, man.
00:28:31.000 Yeah, exactly.
00:28:32.000 Pro American Democrat.
00:28:32.000 Yeah.
00:28:33.000 Bernie Sanders, he's not.
00:28:35.000 Say what you want, but he's anti TPP.
00:28:37.000 He did not want globalism.
00:28:38.000 Bernie Sanders is a good person to look at.
00:28:41.000 He has positive favorability consistently.
00:28:44.000 He was the only person that outpolled JD Vance a year ago in head to head matchups.
00:28:49.000 You know, now he would lose to Newsom and AOC now, but the anti oligarchy messaging, the economic system doesn't work.
00:28:57.000 For you, these are all popular things, and disaffected Bernie people actually were some of the first people on the Trump administration.
00:29:02.000 Yeah, true.
00:29:03.000 Yeah, the big question I have for Bernie though is that if you listen to him 20 years ago, he would say immigration suppresses wages, and now he does not.
00:29:11.000 So, this is a big problem because if we want to form coalition, I think we're on a path to a very dark place, and people are innately sensing an upcoming political violence.
00:29:23.000 The risk of civil war is even higher.
00:29:25.000 I think the last time I pulled it last week, I haven't processed it yet, I think it's going to be close to 50.
00:29:30.000 We're almost up to 60 now.
00:29:32.000 I just pulled it of people who think an economic uprising is going to happen against the government in the next few years because of hardship.
00:29:38.000 So, I mean, something's coming, right?
00:29:40.000 And the 2032 is when Social Security goes insolvent.
00:29:44.000 And the only thing they can do is either raise taxes, cut benefits, or they can print money.
00:29:50.000 You know what else happens then, too?
00:29:52.000 The Gen Z and millennials are a majority of the electorate.
00:29:55.000 And they will still own three times less wealth than boomers in silence together.
00:29:55.000 Yeah.
00:29:59.000 So, the day of the pillow is coming.
00:30:02.000 The day of the pillow.
00:30:04.000 I just kind of heard that referenced on the show.
00:30:04.000 I mean, it's just.
00:30:06.000 I love that.
00:30:07.000 I like it's a real thing.
00:30:09.000 So, we asked a question to reduce the deficit, would you rather cut Social Security and Medicare, cut defense, or tax millionaires?
00:30:16.000 And so, perennially, the boomers are more pro capitalism.
00:30:20.000 They love free market capitalism.
00:30:22.000 And if you poll on socialism, the younger people are like, yeah, yeah, I support that kind of stuff, right?
00:30:26.000 But only 4% of boomers said they would cut their benefits, and 70 something of them said they would tax millionaires.
00:30:32.000 They have like what is 60% of the wealth or something like that?
00:30:35.000 Yeah, yeah, yeah.
00:30:36.000 And then for the younger people, the Zoomers, it was like 54% combined cut Medicare, Medicaid, and defense.
00:30:44.000 And then in the 30s, for 10 years.
00:30:46.000 It has to be Medicare and Medicaid.
00:30:48.000 Defense is not, there's not enough that you can cut.
00:30:53.000 But, well, we have to find common ground if we're going to form a coalition on a very focused platform to save America.
00:31:00.000 It needs to be nationalistic, it needs to be populist.
00:31:02.000 And there will be common ground that we'll find.
00:31:04.000 It's like they're going to, you know, the left's going to have to understand that we need national sovereignty, right?
00:31:09.000 And maybe the right has to understand that, like, economic progressivism has its benefits.
00:31:13.000 Like, that's what gave us the 50s, 60s, and 70s, the Great Compression, partially, right?
00:31:18.000 Like, World War II helped.
00:31:20.000 But maybe common ground is that we can at least audit the Department of Defense.
00:31:25.000 And I think everybody would love that because that's what they thought they were getting with Doge and they got rug pulled.
00:31:30.000 So I hope this happens.
00:31:33.000 But the establishment is very good at, Distracting people with divisive issues.
00:31:38.000 Like, don't you?
00:31:39.000 They killed Charlie Kirk and they all want to kill you.
00:31:41.000 And it's like, that's not technically correct, right?
00:31:44.000 Like, 30% of them might, but it's not everybody.
00:31:47.000 You got to convert those people.
00:31:48.000 Well, of course it is.
00:31:50.000 It's also might, you know, not everyone knows.
00:31:50.000 That's enough to.
00:31:52.000 30% of the right change.
00:31:55.000 Look, you don't know if your house is going to have a fire, but you still get fire insurance, right?
00:32:00.000 Like, if you have a 30% chance of having a fire, you make significant changes to what's going on in your house.
00:32:06.000 And if there's a 30% chance of total catastrophe, you have insurance against it.
00:32:10.000 Yeah, so I mean, the idea of, well, you know, it's only 30% of them that maybe do, like, it's worth paying attention to.
00:32:18.000 No, obviously you got to track it.
00:32:19.000 But the point is, you need some introspection too.
00:32:21.000 And there's a really good chunk of people on the right who want to like remigrate every Muslim and go to war with global Islam.
00:32:27.000 It's like, no, that's not our big deal.
00:32:29.000 We don't want to do that like this.
00:32:31.000 So, you know, there will have to be some come to Jesus moments there.
00:32:34.000 And I guess it'll happen eventually.
00:32:36.000 It's just a question about how bad things get before then.
00:32:38.000 So, we're going to jump to this story here.
00:32:40.000 We're seeing as we're talking about economics a bit here.
00:32:43.000 From Yahoo Finance, a blowout, U.S. adds 165,000 jobs in October, trouncing expectations.
00:32:50.000 The U.S. added 165,000 jobs in October, blowing past economist expectations as the labor market showed strength despite the Federal Reserve's recent rate hikes.
00:33:00.000 The unemployment rate ticked down to 4.1 even amid a slight increase in labor force participation.
00:33:06.000 September's underwhelming jobs report of 29,000 additions was also revised upward to a gain of 60,000.
00:33:14.000 Heather Long, chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, deemed the results a blowout.
00:33:20.000 Is good for headlines, but I don't think it doesn't make Americans actually feel like the situation economically is better.
00:33:28.000 Like you were saying earlier, Mark, that we're in a stealth depression.
00:33:33.000 I've heard people say a stealth recession.
00:33:36.000 I haven't heard anyone say a stealth depression.
00:33:39.000 Why don't you unpack that a little bit?
00:33:41.000 I mean, when people are literally, we've gotten to the point where the right supports taxes on billionaires by three to one.
00:33:47.000 You know what I mean?
00:33:48.000 And we have people who are literally shut out of society because they think they'll never be able to afford a house.
00:33:55.000 Again, if we're not there yet, we're going to be there soon.
00:33:58.000 And we're on the cusp of a housing collapse, probably, that makes 2006 look like a joke.
00:34:04.000 And we are on top of probably what is a tech bubble that will eventually upload, right?
00:34:09.000 On top of a president who said he's literally going to monetize our debt.
00:34:12.000 So at a certain point, these forces, the only question is will we remain the cleanest, dirty shirt?
00:34:18.000 I don't know.
00:34:19.000 There's a lot of uncertainty about what happens.
00:34:21.000 But I'll take the real, in my opinion, issue is this idea of institutional trusts.
00:34:26.000 And we don't have to get into the fourth turning.
00:34:28.000 I think it's happening.
00:34:30.000 That's why all this stuff is changing so fast now.
00:34:33.000 But institutional trust was one of the reasons Trump got elected.
00:34:35.000 It wasn't just drain the swamp.
00:34:37.000 It's like FBI raided Mar a Lago with authorized use of deadly force.
00:34:40.000 People don't trust the federal government now, only 30%.
00:34:43.000 And so now when you're in office and you just say, okay, well, cash is in charge, everything's great.
00:34:48.000 That's not the way you reform the government.
00:34:50.000 And so the whole idea that Donald Trump is running on economic numbers that came out of a BLS, where just literally two years ago in the 24 cycle, We found out the BLS made up a million jobs, and I polled on it, and 70% of people, if it was like 60 or 70%, literally thought it was because they were trying to politically interfere.
00:35:11.000 So I don't think, even if people hear it, they don't trust it.
00:35:16.000 And why would it affect their ability to afford things or not?
00:35:19.000 A lot of obfuscation with the Iranian situation.
00:35:22.000 I agree.
00:35:22.000 I don't trust the number.
00:35:24.000 But what do you say?
00:35:25.000 You monetize the debt?
00:35:26.000 What does that mean?
00:35:28.000 Trump was talking about monetizing the debt.
00:35:30.000 Well, we started this administration with really the best effort we ever had to cut all the waste out of our deficit.
00:35:38.000 And people were very hopeful that that meant that there was a future because people are sensitive to the debt.
00:35:43.000 The first time Trump promised people checks a year ago, it was only like 60% popular.
00:35:48.000 But then the next question we asked was, should the government keep it and just pay down the debt instead?
00:35:52.000 And actually, people said yes, 49 to like 30 something, right?
00:35:56.000 So I thought that that was pretty astute.
00:35:58.000 You know, people wanted Doge to just rip through the government.
00:36:01.000 And then we saw all this fraud.
00:36:02.000 We could have gotten a trillion dollar less deficit and now we're paying more on interest each year than we are on defense.
00:36:09.000 So this only gets worse.
00:36:11.000 We get to a certain point where bond vigilantes will force our hand.
00:36:14.000 You know, like the rate keeps going up until we have economic repression.
00:36:17.000 And then you either have to cut or you got to do something else.
00:36:20.000 And the other thing that you traditionally do is just print a hell of a lot of money, inflate everything away.
00:36:25.000 The side effect of that will be that everybody that has assets will continue to get more wealthy and everybody else would just absolutely be crushed more.
00:36:31.000 Yeah.
00:36:32.000 So it's going to be, I mean, that's literally Weimar.
00:36:36.000 And the most likely thing that they're going to do is to just print money.
00:36:41.000 Like, that's the most likely.
00:36:43.000 Yeah, that's the lowest common denominator.
00:36:46.000 Well, it's the thing that Americans, even though they know or most people know kind of in the back of their head that it's actually bad, it's a quick, immediate solve because the inflation takes a little bit of time to hit.
00:37:01.000 So people will get the money, they can go out and get that kind of like a sugar high, spend it, pay their bills.
00:37:07.000 They feel good about the fact that their bills are lower or whatever.
00:37:10.000 Um, but then inflation hits a few years later, yeah, six, eight months later, or a year later, a couple years later.
00:37:15.000 Then they're like, oh wow, McDonald's now costs 50 bucks for a Big Mac Fry and Coke.
00:37:20.000 Yeah, I remember 2021, everyone was feeling great, so much money.
00:37:23.000 The greatest numbers of our generation.
00:37:26.000 Well, no, but remember, it's not the messaging from the government, it's the way people feel that we're talking about.
00:37:31.000 People were like, I love the idea of getting a check, right?
00:37:35.000 Americans love to get paid.
00:37:37.000 And if the government writes checks and gives it to people, they're going to do something with that.
00:37:42.000 But the problem is when you give people money who don't have assets, who don't own anything, They spend that money on stuff.
00:37:49.000 Where does that money go?
00:37:50.000 To the people that have things. 0.95
00:37:51.000 It goes to the billionaires because the billionaires own Walmart.
00:37:54.000 The billionaires own Amazon.
00:37:56.000 So all they do is you transfer the wealth that you produce or that you print and give to the people that gets transferred to the people that own things because they're the ones that your average person is buying products from.
00:38:09.000 I keep thinking about with GDP, you either want to increase the value of your output or you want to reduce the cost of input.
00:38:14.000 And they're obsessed with increasing the value of output, of course.
00:38:17.000 How can we make more?
00:38:18.000 But if you can reduce the cost of fuel, and I bring it up.
00:38:18.000 Make more.
00:38:21.000 From time to time, about hydrogen, because I think we're on the cusp of like they figured out at Rice University how to make graphene by electrocuting carbon and then turning it into graphene gives up hydrogen gas that you can capture and use as fuel.
00:38:32.000 You make about $4.50 for every kilogram of hydrogen you produce total in profit.
00:38:37.000 That's after electricity costs.
00:38:39.000 So you're actually, instead of spending money to get hydrogen, you're making money in this graphene you can sell to get hydrogen.
00:38:46.000 They've inverted the value prop now.
00:38:48.000 So you could actually earn money to make hydrogen.
00:38:50.000 The question is if we upend the global petroleum power structure, the petrodollar, I think America will lose on the global war scale.
00:38:58.000 They're afraid of letting go of the petrol power.
00:39:01.000 But it's like adhering to the petrol dollar is destroying the world economy because it's just fucking oil.
00:39:08.000 We need a better fuel.
00:39:09.000 We need to lighten up the fuel to reduce costs.
00:39:12.000 And I don't know how to, how to, it's like the Indiana Jones scene where he's got to get the idol off the pedestal and he tries to replace it with sand.
00:39:20.000 But it's like, how can you do that fast enough?
00:39:22.000 How can you switch the fuel economy and maintain power?
00:39:26.000 Because if everyone's using hydrogen now, no one.
00:39:28.000 Everyone will be able to run their jets and their boats and their rockets, and no one will be begging us for fuel.
00:39:35.000 And it's really easy to get it wrong on energy.
00:39:37.000 I mean, this is the problem that Europe and especially Britain have.
00:39:41.000 Their energy costs are just so huge that they can't have any domestic industry because it's just too expensive compared to other countries.
00:39:48.000 And as bad as the gas prices are in America, they're not as bad as Europe or the UK.
00:39:52.000 But that just shows you how high energy costs can completely cripple an economy.
00:39:56.000 That's all I think about, man, because.
00:40:00.000 The printing, were you going to say something else?
00:40:01.000 No, no, go ahead.
00:40:02.000 Oh, the printing money thing is like, that's a failure.
00:40:05.000 That's like the game over sign.
00:40:07.000 Oh, we printed, we had to hyperinflate, game over.
00:40:09.000 So there's got to be good for the government, though.
00:40:12.000 Yeah.
00:40:14.000 They dodge the blame and get away with it, and it kicks the can down the road.
00:40:18.000 It's good for the rich because they get paid the money by, like I said, people purchasing stuff.
00:40:25.000 They get that money before inflation.
00:40:27.000 So it goes into the value of stocks or people that have assets.
00:40:30.000 They'll borrow more money and buy back more shares.
00:40:34.000 Yeah, because the reason that we have such a, or the reason that we've noticed such a significant increase between the haves and the have nots.
00:40:43.000 In the past 15 or so years, it is because of quantitative easing and because of zero printing, right?
00:40:49.000 If you've got $10 million that you're sitting on, right, and you can take a loan for $5 million, you take that loan and you put it into the stock market and it's gaining 10%, but your loan was at 3%, you're making 7% per year on money that you borrowed.
00:41:04.000 So you pay the interest on it with 3% of your profits, you keep 7%.
00:41:10.000 If you're doing that with millions of dollars, you're making money just because you borrowed money.
00:41:15.000 I will say that.
00:41:16.000 All of the teens.
00:41:17.000 Also, we're talking about economic populism and, you know, this sort of zoomer versus boomer dynamic.
00:41:22.000 One great achievement of the Trump administration, I think, was Trump accounts because that does give everyone a stake in the future and sort of like some insurance against possible hyperinflation because if everyone's bought into the stock market, everything hyperinflates, those accounts will go up, those assets will go up.
00:41:37.000 It would actually was a genuine consolation prize.
00:41:39.000 Yeah, it is.
00:41:40.000 It is.
00:41:41.000 Every citizen gets a thousand bucks.
00:41:42.000 Is that what it is?
00:41:43.000 The Trump accounts.
00:41:44.000 Every child, yeah.
00:41:44.000 Every child gets a thousand.
00:41:46.000 And it's matched, like you put a thousand dollars in, the government matches it, and, or, I think for every thousand dollars you put in, they match for a thousand dollars.
00:41:53.000 Something like that.
00:41:53.000 Yeah, yeah, yeah.
00:41:56.000 So it's a nice idea.
00:41:58.000 It doesn't solve the problem.
00:42:00.000 It doesn't solve the problem.
00:42:01.000 But it does.
00:42:02.000 Mitigates.
00:42:03.000 Yeah.
00:42:04.000 Because right now, young people don't own anything.
00:42:06.000 They don't own stocks.
00:42:07.000 They don't own property.
00:42:08.000 They probably don't own their car.
00:42:10.000 And for a young person, they're like, why do I care about property rights?
00:42:14.000 I don't own anything.
00:42:15.000 But property rights are the foundation of our entire system.
00:42:22.000 We're talking about young people as a group.
00:42:25.000 One thing I'm curious about with these job numbers is who did those jobs go to?
00:42:29.000 Because I think you look at 2021 when something like up something of over 90% of all jobs went to non white males.
00:42:39.000 Yeah, it didn't go to young white guys.
00:42:40.000 This is the Achilles heel of the Democrats as they try and adopt.
00:42:43.000 So you said they were trying to adopt an America first platform, a populist platform.
00:42:47.000 They do still have this thing, like Bernie Sanders, he said, changed his stance on immigration, where They just have this sort of seething underlying racism and sexism towards white males.
00:42:58.000 And they created this system, this institutional consensus in corporate America, where it was okay to discriminate on the basis of race and sex.
00:43:05.000 And I think this will still be their Achilles heel going forward when it comes to economic populism.
00:43:11.000 There are some smart Democrats, and we're starting to see change, in my opinion.
00:43:16.000 The whole thing with Nick Fuentes and Amy Acton, did you see she updated her profile pick to be the Groyper pose?
00:43:22.000 Really?
00:43:23.000 No, I didn't.
00:43:24.000 She knew this was happening and apparently had had discussions with people where she was trying to convince people, like, no, I'm not one of these crazy Democrats.
00:43:31.000 I'm going to govern like a moderate.
00:43:33.000 And again, Ossoff's not using radical language.
00:43:36.000 And the big question, in my opinion, is that what we're finding out is that, like, interests and forces control our government.
00:43:42.000 And it is not the American people, right?
00:43:44.000 On the right, it's almost entirely foreign and corporate donor bucks, especially at the Senate.
00:43:49.000 And, you know, until today, I would have said in the White House because I really think that that was Susie's role in there.
00:43:56.000 Personal opinion.
00:43:57.000 But who controls the interests of the Democrats and what is the feedback loop that prevents them from being, from adopting these moderate stances?
00:44:06.000 Why do they keep leaning in on crazy?
00:44:07.000 That's my question, right?
00:44:08.000 So, is it like, you know, the people, the money coming in through Soros that goes through Arabella, or who are like, I don't know.
00:44:14.000 Or do they just convert you behind the scenes, get blackmail on you, or compromise?
00:44:18.000 Or I like, these are questions.
00:44:20.000 I don't know enough about the Democrats.
00:44:21.000 I don't have enough of the contacts.
00:44:23.000 But we have to work that out because, again, these are the kinds of people that will try to be dividing any, what will probably be a youth coalition by things like culture war issues, right?
00:44:33.000 So, well, I'm not sure like static interests that back one side or the other because I think what happened in the Obama years.
00:44:40.000 Corporations try to cozy up to the Democrats who are in power by doing all these woke things, by starting to discriminate on the basis of race and sex.
00:44:47.000 And I think the question, and they stopped all that in order to cozy up to the Trump administration.
00:44:52.000 I have a question is, like, how far are they going to do that?
00:44:55.000 And I'm especially interested in the question of censorship as well.
00:44:57.000 Will Silicon Valley, will tech companies start censoring people again now that they anticipate Democrat rule in Washington?
00:45:06.000 That would be a disaster, especially because they haven't finished uncensoring everyone, right?
00:45:10.000 Not only because of the Censorship stuff, but because of the capabilities of what tech companies are going to have in the next couple of years, right?
00:45:18.000 Like when it was just, oh, we're going to, you know, shadow ban you because you said a no no word, that's one thing.
00:45:24.000 But nowadays, with AI that can monitor basically your entire internet existence, like all of your, yeah, I mean, literally can monitor, I mean, they can monitor where you are in your house by your Wi Fi signal, right?
00:45:40.000 Like they can access your TV without you knowing it and all of this information.
00:45:44.000 It used to be where there was so much information, they couldn't disseminate it.
00:45:49.000 So they had to decide which target they were going to go after.
00:45:51.000 They won't have to do that.
00:45:53.000 They probably don't have to do that now.
00:45:54.000 And they definitely won't have to do that in a year or two because AI will be able to basically monitor everybody all the time because they just work so fast and they're so capable.
00:46:05.000 Yeah, I've written a number of op eds about this.
00:46:07.000 Like the danger, especially now that Democrats have won so big, is that this whole field of AI safety, which is fueled by some valid concerns about what AI can do, especially in the realm of cybersecurity.
00:46:18.000 Gets hijacked in the same way that trust and safety got hijacked with social media companies to push these social causes into the very algorithms of the AI companies.
00:46:28.000 And I think a lot of people that say Anthropic, which I think a lot of people there are a little bit woke themselves, are going to be somewhat receptive to that.
00:46:34.000 Yeah, I'm going to jump to this story just because this actually leads into what we're talking about here.
00:46:39.000 From Fox News Dems pivot from affordability pitch to DHS probe threats after midterm wins.
00:46:47.000 From Fox News, Several prominent Democrats who ran on affordability message were largely silent when pressed by Fox News Digital on their sudden pivot to foreshadowing investigations into the Trump administration, including in many cases its immigration enforcement efforts.
00:47:02.000 Rep. Robert Garcia from California, who is poised to lead the House Oversight Committee, responded to Democrats' win Tuesday with a statement, Lawyer up, despite having pledged to prioritize household costs alongside government accountability.
00:47:15.000 Garcia told CNN before the election that Democratic Priorities would be lowering the cost of gas, groceries, the mortgage, the rent, alongside combating government corruption.
00:47:25.000 In response to a request for comment, a representative for Garcia shared a tweet he posted Wednesday after his Tuesday lawyer up warning that referenced affordability.
00:47:33.000 People can't afford gas, groceries, and rent because Donald Trump and his family are ripping off the American people and enriching themselves.
00:47:40.000 While it may be true that that's happening, it may be true that that is happening, that is not why people cannot afford things.
00:47:48.000 But he goes on.
00:47:49.000 Taking on corruption is about making life more affordable for working families, Garcia said in the tweet.
00:47:54.000 That's just BS.
00:47:55.000 Okay, look, you can have a problem with corruption in the Trump administration, and you can have valid, and it can be valid.
00:48:05.000 Maybe there is corruption.
00:48:07.000 Maybe they're doing things that they shouldn't be doing.
00:48:09.000 Get them if they are.
00:48:10.000 Fine.
00:48:11.000 That doesn't have anything to do with why people can't afford groceries, it doesn't have anything to do with why people can't afford gas.
00:48:19.000 The Melania coin is not the reason that you can't make your ends meet.
00:48:24.000 So, this, I understand he's trying to connect the two, but it is BS.
00:48:28.000 He's BS, didn't he?
00:48:30.000 If the reason that they got into office was to enrich themselves and not serve the American people, and you uncover that, because again, we've seen very little effort, not even the communication has been focused on affordability.
00:48:42.000 Again, I don't know if that's the case.
00:48:44.000 I'm saying what the optics look like.
00:48:46.000 Yeah, fair enough.
00:48:47.000 I honestly think that it's more incompetence than intending to say, oh, we're not going to try to work for the American people.
00:48:55.000 Yeah, the Trump coin and the Melania coin, I don't want to think it was intentionally a rug pull that is.
00:49:01.000 Buddies got the insider scoop and got to sell first, but that's exactly what happened.
00:49:07.000 Oh, I think that those were rug pulls.
00:49:09.000 I think those were absolutely rug pulls.
00:49:10.000 We're talking about cozy contracts.
00:49:12.000 We're talking about insider trading.
00:49:14.000 We're talking about the stuff people are taking money from lobbyists to get people fired out of the Trump administration, selling of access, selling of jobs.
00:49:21.000 These are the things that are going to come out.
00:49:23.000 Yes.
00:49:24.000 But I made this point even when Obama was the president and stuff.
00:49:28.000 The president has a limited ability to affect.
00:49:32.000 The economy.
00:49:33.000 Congress can pass legislation, can regulate and stuff like that, but the president himself, and this is the same for Obama and for Trump, they have a limited ability to actually affect the economy, right?
00:49:46.000 But that doesn't, so it doesn't, so when I hear people saying, oh, it's Trump's fault the economy's bad, I'm kind of like.
00:49:52.000 I told them how to fix this.
00:49:53.000 A year ago, I went to the White House, and there's two points here that I want to make.
00:49:56.000 One is I sat down and said, this is not the first administration, America is in an economic crisis, and you're losing.
00:50:03.000 And if you can do whatever you want in Iran, but number one, the first thing every day that you wake up is be an economic wartime president.
00:50:10.000 A wartime leader knows who the enemy is, knows what their capabilities are, has a strategy to fight them, and everybody has to be convinced every day that they have a plan and are winning that war.
00:50:21.000 So, who's the enemy?
00:50:22.000 And I would say the enemy is corporate capture, corporatism, the oligarchy, the uniparty global homo kleptocracy, right?
00:50:29.000 Like these kind of concepts.
00:50:31.000 And everybody knows that, they just don't know how to say it.
00:50:34.000 And then he surrounded himself by all of these interests and cozies up to them, and it looks terrible.
00:50:39.000 But I said, What Americans want to see, you can't change these economic forces fast enough.
00:50:44.000 It is cynically about optics, but there's a way to lean into that.
00:50:48.000 You have to convince people that if you vote for Republicans, you will continue to get progress down this path to the golden age.
00:50:55.000 I told him that he needs to work with Republicans instead of fighting them to lay out the things that they are specifically going to do for economic populism.
00:51:01.000 And it's not hard.
00:51:02.000 Charlie Kirk had a list that everybody saw on Twitter, right?
00:51:05.000 And then show what's going into each reconciliation package.
00:51:08.000 Have a big announcement, put it on the website, have a little radio button.
00:51:11.000 I checked off this step on the path to the.
00:51:14.000 And there was absolutely no effort to pay attention or listen or any of that.
00:51:19.000 And then the other aspect of it was the reason I got there was because, again, stepping back, what I've been told is that Susie Wiles and Jared Kushner ended Project 2025.
00:51:29.000 Susie Wiles was part of the influence that pushed Elon Musk out of Doge, out of the White House.
00:51:36.000 Again, this is all alleged from people and multiple rumors, but.
00:51:41.000 After that, we can acknowledge that there was a vacuum of anything other than the one big beautiful bill, right?
00:51:47.000 And then leading up into the fall is when Trump's messaging got really bad after Charlie Kirk was assassinated.
00:51:54.000 And so, one of the things I was directly told to my face when I went there is that Trump listens to a lot of people every day.
00:52:00.000 He watches Fox News, he talks to Sean Hannity every day.
00:52:03.000 Lindsey Graham's his best friend.
00:52:04.000 And after Charlie Kirk was assassinated, and Charlie Kirk was a very positive influence on Trump.
00:52:10.000 And I was actually told that he helped limit, he was an influence on limiting what happened during June of 2025 against Iran.
00:52:19.000 That they were not able to replace that voice in Trump's ear that was advocating for the younger voter that Trump had lost.
00:52:26.000 And so I was told that I was one of multiple people that were there essentially trying to throw stuff at a wall to see what sticks.
00:52:33.000 And like this really leans into me, in my opinion.
00:52:37.000 Like if you have goals and a strategy laid out and you build a team, a support structure of people you could delegate to that you trust in order to help you make decisions and stuff like that.
00:52:48.000 And it doesn't go from the top down, it's like, He's running everything.
00:52:52.000 Susie's managing the White House schedule.
00:52:54.000 He makes a bunch of decisions and stuff happens.
00:52:57.000 And what we saw is that's the kind of scenario where there isn't a lot of backup if somebody's whispering in his ear about what we want to do over in Iran.
00:53:06.000 And here we are.
00:53:08.000 Yeah, Charlie Kirk was a really important voice on that.
00:53:11.000 The loss.
00:53:12.000 Trump had trumpeted a few sources of influence and he was one of them.
00:53:16.000 The one point I'll make on the oligarch thing is it was a good thing that Silicon Valley companies dialed down the censorship.
00:53:24.000 In a bid to win Trump over, I think either that was good, that was unequivocally good.
00:53:28.000 Maybe it was cynical on their part, but it's good that they did that.
00:53:31.000 I think it is a travesty that Republicans didn't make more of that, that there are still major right wing figures banned on social media platforms.
00:53:39.000 Like, whatever you think of Nick Fuentes, I don't 100% agree with him on everything.
00:53:44.000 Like, he should not be banned on Twitch.
00:53:46.000 He should not be banned on these big platforms.
00:53:48.000 Yeah, TikTok.
00:53:49.000 I agree he shouldn't be banned on Twitch, but Twitch is extremely ban happy.
00:53:54.000 They're not just.
00:53:57.000 You know, he's not using it.
00:53:58.000 I mean, Asmund Gold doesn't stream on Twitch.
00:54:01.000 Yeah, yeah, of course.
00:54:01.000 Yeah, but Asmund Gold is another example.
00:54:04.000 He shouldn't feel that he can't stream on the biggest streaming platform when he's such a popular streamer.
00:54:09.000 I mean, this is the problem Republicans did accumulate all this clout with Silicon Valley, and they did not fully use it to get some of these major figures banned.
00:54:20.000 And now I think Silicon Valley is going to be more inclined to look at what's coming down the road with Democrats.
00:54:27.000 And they might even get more ban happening.
00:54:29.000 Yeah, we need to pivot into a 21st century digital constitution.
00:54:32.000 I mean, someone's going to do it.
00:54:35.000 I'd like to see a young, hip, vibrant administration work on evolving what I've got so far.
00:54:40.000 The First Amendment, your free speech, is your right to code access.
00:54:44.000 So, like, if you're using a digital software in the commons, you get access to that software code.
00:54:48.000 AI is going to be able to reverse engineer it anyway.
00:54:50.000 So, just make it a human right.
00:54:52.000 Then you can spin up your own Twitch that interoperates with Amazon's Twitch.
00:54:56.000 You can have your own terms of service on yours.
00:54:58.000 So, if Asmongold gets banned from theirs because he said, fuck.
00:55:01.000 He can join yours.
00:55:02.000 He can still see their stuff, but he can still exist on the platform in some fashion.
00:55:07.000 Your Second Amendment would be your access to onboard AGI.
00:55:09.000 It's your digital defense mechanism, your gun on the internet.
00:55:12.000 You need to be able to protect yourself against cyber attacks.
00:55:14.000 And then the third would be protection against enforcature, your Third Amendment right on the internet.
00:55:19.000 No one can make you use software.
00:55:21.000 You have a right to freedom, you can't be forced to use a piece of software.
00:55:27.000 You don't have to use private company software, but a government cannot force you to use a piece of software, and they should protect your right.
00:55:32.000 That's what I got so far.
00:55:34.000 We need a serious pivot.
00:55:35.000 Into this digital realm with protections, or we're going to get machines controlling us, cutting our arms off.
00:55:41.000 It is not, it is not, I don't know, I don't want to be doomed about this.
00:55:45.000 Why are they cutting our arms off?
00:55:46.000 They'll try and force you into an orderly pattern.
00:55:50.000 Like, cutting our arms off?
00:55:51.000 Like, they'll carve away your creativity to get you to, is what I mean.
00:55:54.000 It's a metaphor of like, to get you to fall in line.
00:55:57.000 They'll want you to be part of a machine to get the.
00:55:59.000 But you got to understand, order for the sake of order can be very evil.
00:56:01.000 It can be very bad.
00:56:02.000 The Nazis did it wonderfully.
00:56:04.000 So we need to be able to.
00:56:05.000 What?
00:56:06.000 Pull pot, I think.
00:56:07.000 All these totalitarian authorocrats that want, like, adhere to the order above all else.
00:56:12.000 Law is the rule of.
00:56:13.000 No, no, no.
00:56:14.000 Sometimes you want to break the law when the law is evil and you want to do good, which they, when they lied to the Nazis that they didn't have.
00:56:20.000 Jews in their house, they were doing good and they were breaking the law.
00:56:22.000 So, like, we need to do that in the digital space.
00:56:24.000 They're going to try and create massive amounts of order in the guise of safety, and we need to be able to break out of that for freedom.
00:56:30.000 Like, we yeah, I would like consumers to make, uh, to perhaps be more aware of better options out there.
00:56:36.000 Like, you know, instead of simply going to the most popular streaming platform that has all these censorship policies, Twitch, um, like they're a way, yeah, go to kick or uh, Grey J. Have you guys heard of Grey J?
00:56:46.000 Uh, so this is a product by uh, Futo, uh, that's Aaron Wolf's company in Austin.
00:56:46.000 No, no.
00:56:51.000 You know, he's a big, big sport of digital liberty.
00:56:54.000 And that's a service that basically allows you to follow creators rather than platforms.
00:56:58.000 So you follow a creator and it gives you their content across platforms.
00:57:01.000 So if they're banned on Twitch, it'll show you their content on Kick.
00:57:04.000 That's a much better way for consumers to get content, I think, because it renders consumers and creators both much less vulnerable to these centralized censorship platforms.
00:57:14.000 Yeah, it's super important.
00:57:15.000 Mesh networking is really important to be able to have our network is like all our devices so that no one, if one goes down, we're still all on the network.
00:57:22.000 But like, yo, bro, shit's changing so fast.
00:57:25.000 I think that's like a 20th century mindset is like, AI can reverse engineer all the software code now.
00:57:32.000 Maybe not right now, maybe now.
00:57:34.000 But it's to the point where these networks with their code are calling it IP and that it has value.
00:57:41.000 It's all shattering.
00:57:43.000 The reality is the most adaptable survive.
00:57:47.000 If AI lets you make it, if it isn't just completely cocked and restricted by these AI safety policies that Democrats are now going to influence.
00:57:55.000 Anthropic just announced, well, not just Democrats, lots of people are trying to influence these AI safety policies.
00:58:00.000 Bootleg models and stuff.
00:58:01.000 Well, there's the thing.
00:58:02.000 So, yeah, open weight models, but these are precisely the things that Anthropic wants to ban.
00:58:07.000 But I tell you, man, if Anthropic tries to step on innovation in the guise of protection, the Chinese are going to blow them out of the water.
00:58:15.000 It won't be Anthropic.
00:58:16.000 Well, Anthropic already said they're not going to let people reverse engineer with their software anymore.
00:58:16.000 It's going to be the Democrats.
00:58:20.000 It doesn't matter.
00:58:22.000 The software itself isn't super important.
00:58:24.000 It's the end result that people want.
00:58:26.000 No one cares what software they're using, they want the result that the software provides.
00:58:32.000 Provides.
00:58:33.000 And once you have the ability, like once you have an AI that you can say, look, I'm trying to do this and it does it, it doesn't matter what software it's using.
00:58:41.000 It doesn't matter what the code is.
00:58:43.000 It matters, do I get the result?
00:58:45.000 This is not like I'm some kind of engineer or whatever, but people didn't know that they wanted the iPhone.
00:58:54.000 They wanted to do what the iPhone did, right?
00:58:57.000 Like everybody's iPhone, once you open it up, it's all different inside.
00:59:01.000 All the apps they use, all the things, everyone's iPhone is very personalized.
00:59:05.000 No one cares about the product.
00:59:07.000 They care about the result.
00:59:08.000 So if you have an AI or access to AI and you're like, hey, do this for me.
00:59:14.000 I need this picture.
00:59:15.000 Hey, I'm writing a song.
00:59:16.000 I need this.
00:59:17.000 Hey, I'm working on this presentation.
00:59:20.000 I need to be able to do this, do this, do this.
00:59:23.000 It doesn't matter what the code is or what the software is because the result is what people care.
00:59:28.000 You are right.
00:59:28.000 That's like saying, I want to go to the amusement park.
00:59:30.000 I don't care if you take I 90 or I 85.
00:59:34.000 It doesn't matter how we get there.
00:59:35.000 It doesn't matter what the code is.
00:59:36.000 I just want to get to the place.
00:59:38.000 I want the function.
00:59:39.000 But if the guy that's driving me is selling my data to the Chinese CCP, then I'm going to be like, well, now it does matter how we get there.
00:59:46.000 So, but most people don't think like that, I don't think.
00:59:49.000 And either way, the people that are going to put the brakes on and limit things, it's not going to be anthropic.
00:59:56.000 It's going to be the government because that's what soon.
00:59:59.000 That's what anthropic.
00:59:59.000 Yeah, soon.
01:00:00.000 That's what 2028 is about, in my opinion.
01:00:02.000 2028?
01:00:03.000 Yeah.
01:00:04.000 Well, first off, we have massive Democrat control in both houses of Congress that nobody expected.
01:00:09.000 Uh, then you have a really uphill fight for anybody currently on the field, they're mostly all just fake and gay.
01:00:15.000 So, I don't, I mean, JD Vance, as far as I know, is the only economic populism.
01:00:19.000 Uh, populist, he's been the polling front runner, but he's got some major problems to work out with the whole Trump administration thing.
01:00:26.000 And so, we also have this issue where the AI companies promised all this debt, don't have enough revenue to pay it off, uh, as well as all the concentration in the stock market.
01:00:37.000 So, like, we've seen this kind of thing before in 2008, whether it was intentional or not.
01:00:42.000 The bubble got popped under George W. Bush, and it gave the government a lot of power that was coming in to solve the crisis, right?
01:00:51.000 Yeah.
01:00:52.000 So, a cynical person like me would say, you know, whoever, Larry Fink or somebody, will like pull the plug and drop this puppy right in Trump's lap on the way out, and then the Democrats get to do whatever they want.
01:01:04.000 Like, that would be an opportunity to give us UBI over AI or something like that.
01:01:07.000 So, just like the Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac 2008, Obama have used the government to buy them, basically, did they completely buy Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac with that bailout?
01:01:16.000 I don't remember.
01:01:18.000 But I think they bought Fannie Mae.
01:01:21.000 So you think they're going to crash Anthropic and buy it?
01:01:23.000 I think the AI companies realize there's a problem, and the financial industry realizes there's a problem.
01:01:30.000 And so we're getting to a situation where it's like, okay, there's probably talks behind the scenes about moral hazard, right?
01:01:35.000 Like, let's socialize these losses.
01:01:38.000 And of course, if you're going to do that, it's going to make a lot of people unhappy.
01:01:41.000 And so you have an opportunity in a crisis situation to pack a whole lot of stuff in there and make a lot of change.
01:01:46.000 That's the whole reason why Anthropic was saying that they need to have the government regulate them because they're looking to insulate themselves from some kind of negative result from one of their AIs.
01:01:56.000 But all of this stuff is kind of irrelevant because this is not happening in China.
01:02:01.000 And China's, if they're six months behind when it comes to AI models, all their models are open.
01:02:07.000 They're all, you know, you can change the weights and stuff like that.
01:02:11.000 Whereas stuff like Anthropic, OpenAI, they're.
01:02:15.000 This isn't about AI, though.
01:02:16.000 That's the thing.
01:02:17.000 This is about our debt fueled, over leveraged financial system that everybody is using government bucks to gamble in, right?
01:02:26.000 The argument, though, is that the AI, the productivity that AI will produce, will allow the U.S. to outgrow the debt, make it produce productivity to a point where the debt is manageable again.
01:02:40.000 Now, whether or not that's true.
01:02:41.000 That's a dream.
01:02:42.000 Whether or not that's true.
01:02:43.000 That's all I see.
01:02:44.000 Pardon me?
01:02:45.000 I see wage suppression.
01:02:46.000 That's all I see.
01:02:46.000 What an AI?
01:02:48.000 Yeah, like we were talking about before.
01:02:51.000 At Rasmussen Reports, we had four employees, right?
01:02:55.000 And $20,000 a year in software costs, I would estimate.
01:02:58.000 I've replaced all of that with Claude.
01:03:00.000 So.
01:03:01.000 You're paying like a few thousand bucks a year, $5,000 less than.
01:03:05.000 Yeah, I don't need an author.
01:03:07.000 I don't need a graphics guy.
01:03:08.000 I don't need advanced statistical weight raking software.
01:03:13.000 I built my own.
01:03:14.000 Like, I'm not just dumping it into Claude and saying, process my polls.
01:03:17.000 I built a stack.
01:03:19.000 Elon's been saying the real value of the economy, and I agree with him totally on this, is the electricity.
01:03:24.000 He's like, all this stuff, because like Phil was saying, with the production of electricity.
01:03:27.000 If that's the case, then China's got us by the ball.
01:03:30.000 Apparently, they do electrically.
01:03:33.000 Not that we can't get there, but because like nuclear power, but um, if you can make two sandwiches for the cost of one, you've cut your economy's national debt.
01:03:41.000 I might say 40 trillion in paper, but it's really 20 trillion in value debt.
01:03:44.000 So if we can enhance our output, reduce our input, the thing is, how but this, but this still comes back to the fact that the government has basically total control.
01:03:56.000 You're not, you can't get any kind of power generation, anything built in any reasonable time, right?
01:04:04.000 China.
01:04:05.000 If they're like, we want to build nuclear power, we want to build nuclear reactors, they break ground the next week, or at least they can, right?
01:04:13.000 They don't have the same limitations.
01:04:14.000 The United States, the EPA comes in and says, hold on there.
01:04:19.000 And they have to do studies and they have to make sure that there's no turtles and there's no, you know, this isn't a breeding ground for some specific animal that might be endangered or is it a wetland or whatever.
01:04:32.000 In the United States, we just do not have the efficiency that China has.
01:04:37.000 And China's got a lead when it comes to.
01:04:39.000 To generating electrons, right?
01:04:41.000 Like China can have the Three Gorges Dam.
01:04:44.000 They have another one that's going to be coming online that's going to power enough people to cover like the entire country of Germany or something like that.
01:04:50.000 They have nuclear, they went all in, they have solar.
01:04:53.000 China, 10 years ago or whatever, went all in on electricity generation.
01:04:58.000 The bottleneck next year isn't chips because like Amazon's sitting on chips in a warehouse that they can't power, Google's sitting on chips in warehouses that they can't put into service as a data center.
01:05:12.000 Because they don't have the power to do it.
01:05:15.000 And China doesn't have that same problem.
01:05:17.000 So even if China's using the previous generation of chips, right, they don't have the most advanced models that TSMC and NVIDIA make, they still have the ability to increase the amount of usage that they're getting just by using more of the older chips, right?
01:05:34.000 They're getting the same level of compute.
01:05:36.000 They're just using more of the older generation and they have the power to do it.
01:05:40.000 Like deregulating the power economy, dude.
01:05:43.000 I don't know anybody in the Department of Energy right now.
01:05:45.000 I'd like to, but.
01:05:48.000 We should have been building nuclear reactors, nuclear power plants two decades ago.
01:05:52.000 But, anyways, thorium reactors.
01:05:54.000 What I would propose, my understanding of it, looking back economically or history, is that the issue isn't like it's these ways of productivity haven't necessarily netted a better economic situation for most Americans.
01:06:09.000 And so, look at all the things we've invented in the last 20 or 30 years, and yet the middle class has been absolutely decimated.
01:06:15.000 And so, the question I have is like, Elon Musk or whoever thinks this AI is going to completely overhaul our economy.
01:06:22.000 Like, what is the force that's actually going to concentrate that wealth down and not up?
01:06:27.000 And so, the reason that we have this whole problem is because we have a government that serves the corporate massive corporations and they aren't operating from the perspective of the economic common good.
01:06:38.000 And not only that, they actually despise the very concept.
01:06:41.000 And the Republicans will call it socialism, right?
01:06:43.000 So, whether or not this AI stuff develops, whether or not, like, We have the energy limitations.
01:06:49.000 The main problem is that we're still on a path to an economic uprising or some kind of political violent upheaval, right?
01:06:57.000 In the near term.
01:06:58.000 When you say near term, five, 10 years?
01:07:01.000 I think less than that.
01:07:01.000 Really?
01:07:02.000 Look at what we're talking about. 0.81
01:07:03.000 Zoomers and millennials are going to be a majority of the electorate.
01:07:05.000 They're going to govern very differently, right?
01:07:08.000 We're talking about potentially social safety nets failing, right?
01:07:12.000 We're talking about, remember in 2008, when that great financial crisis happened, we had a much more robust middle class.
01:07:21.000 We are starting from a way worse place.
01:07:22.000 It's like half of people can't even pony up 500 bucks to pay off an emergency.
01:07:26.000 So, how are we going to survive that if there's a downturn?
01:07:30.000 And I think what we're seeing.
01:07:32.000 There will be some kind of downturn in the future.
01:07:34.000 That's not a question.
01:07:34.000 It just can't forever, right?
01:07:35.000 Like, and, you know, and it could be like, it could be the.
01:07:39.000 So, this is the fourth turning essentially, where the institutions fail so badly that a new generation of people with a different set of values rebuilds the institutions.
01:07:49.000 And we know these new generations are millennials and Gen Z. That's what history tells us.
01:07:53.000 And they're doing all the behavior things.
01:07:55.000 Like, this stuff with Nick Flynn is fourth turning stuff.
01:07:58.000 He's rebelling against the older generation.
01:08:00.000 Israel.
01:08:01.000 Is a very big sign of the fourth turning.
01:08:03.000 People are pissed as hell about that because the institutions, if they put Israel first, have failed.
01:08:08.000 And so, what we're going to see is that eventually the political power will form because of pain and friction.
01:08:15.000 It's just a matter of like what's the instigating factor.
01:08:17.000 You know, like last time we talked with Tim, like all the different scenarios under which something secessionist could happen that's one.
01:08:25.000 One of them is under the Bolsheviks, if a Democrat gets into office, we get pulled into a war in Eastern Europe.
01:08:32.000 Or The stuff we're doing in Iran bleeds up into there, right?
01:08:36.000 Like that could happen.
01:08:37.000 You could have an economic uprising, like riots and stuff like that.
01:08:41.000 And what we're also, I think, seeing, which is positive, like I would say, people look at this Tuesday as a crisis.
01:08:46.000 And I say, okay, yeah, but like take a breath and it's like get in the game.
01:08:52.000 Now it's game time.
01:08:53.000 You outsourced your evolution to somebody else, it failed.
01:08:56.000 Now it's all hands on deck, you know?
01:09:00.000 I mean, I don't have a significant.
01:09:00.000 Yeah.
01:09:04.000 Argument against the idea of some kind of civil unrest or whatever.
01:09:08.000 Like, when I asked, it was five, 10 years, and you said sooner, you were thinking before 2030.
01:09:14.000 Well, this is what Americans think.
01:09:16.000 So, I think when I process it, I'm going to get a number like 57 or 58.
01:09:21.000 The percent of Americans who think it's at least somewhat likely an economic uprising against the government happens in the next few years.
01:09:28.000 Those numbers have all been going up, right?
01:09:30.000 So, and if you rank people's concerns, like one of their highest concerns is.
01:09:35.000 Political violence in the United States.
01:09:37.000 People don't care about foreign terrorism anymore.
01:09:39.000 They're more concerned about domestic terrorism, like three to one.
01:09:42.000 So we ask the question who's America's biggest enemy?
01:09:47.000 And we usually stack rank them and see where they are.
01:09:50.000 And we put the Republican and Democrat parties in there.
01:09:53.000 And it's like China, Democrats, Republicans, Iran.
01:09:58.000 No, Russia, then Iran.
01:09:59.000 Sorry.
01:10:00.000 So we went to war with the fifth biggest enemy, a war of choice.
01:10:04.000 You ever stack corporations in there?
01:10:06.000 No, that's a good idea.
01:10:07.000 I mean, the polling, Americans hate corporations.
01:10:09.000 They're trusted less than the federal government in some measures.
01:10:12.000 And I had one.
01:10:13.000 So I actually did some polling for the head of DOJ antitrust, Gail Slater, because she couldn't find anything about it because people don't want to poll about how unpopular corporations are.
01:10:22.000 Imagine that.
01:10:23.000 And there were questions along the lines of, like, do you support or oppose holding big tech companies accountable for whatever?
01:10:30.000 And it was like 80%.
01:10:33.000 And how likely is it that aggressive antitrust action by The government will bring down prices for American consumers.
01:10:40.000 This is like 70%.
01:10:41.000 And these are people that like antitrust, like most people don't even know that, but they're just desperate for some kind of solution.
01:10:47.000 And what we saw, like I'm telling you, this egregious stuff is going to come out.
01:10:50.000 Like you got a lobbyist who is getting paid millions of dollars to get Gail Slayer fired out of DOJ antitrust to defend Live Nation so it could keep buying up all these ticket venues so your Taylor Swift ticket's 300 bucks.
01:11:01.000 Americans are going to freaking hate that.
01:11:02.000 And the story has only been told a little bit, right?
01:11:05.000 So this is the kind of stuff that's coming.
01:11:07.000 Like, we're gonna, there's gonna be very egregious examples of bad things that happen that people are gonna.
01:11:14.000 So, Trump went into this election with a 38% approval rating, lowest going all the way back to Nixon.
01:11:21.000 Nixon got down to a 25% and he was forced to resign.
01:11:23.000 So, that's like the bookends we're dealing with.
01:11:25.000 He's going to take a hit because these midterms are going to be down to like 35%, probably.
01:11:29.000 So that's like about where George W. Bush was when the great financial crisis happened.
01:11:34.000 And so when you look at 35 to 25, these are the kinds of things that can get us there.
01:11:34.000 This is appalling.
01:11:40.000 And now what you'll see is a Senate that has so many votes for impeachment that this could really happen.
01:11:46.000 The foreign corporation influence is nuts because the Bank for International Settlements is out of Switzerland.
01:11:52.000 It's the mother bank for the Federal Reserve, the Bank of London, the Bank of Australia.
01:11:57.000 They funnel their money through this Swiss bank.
01:11:59.000 That kind of controls the liberal economic order's monetary system.
01:12:04.000 And I don't know how many Americans have heard of the Bank for International Settlements.
01:12:07.000 You should.
01:12:08.000 You should know where your economy is being mother brained.
01:12:13.000 To extricate from that, I'm not even advocating to get out of it because that would, they'll go, I don't know.
01:12:19.000 That's the whole system that's been set up since 1947 is this liberal economic order out of Switzerland, I guess, is where they headquartered it.
01:12:28.000 But the system's hyperinflating.
01:12:30.000 I feel like they're going to sell the Americans under the bus.
01:12:34.000 I don't know how to get out of the Federal Reserve system without defaulting on the debt and destroying the Americans' total economy.
01:12:43.000 I don't think that's an option, defaulting.
01:12:45.000 I mean, maybe default on the interest owed to the Federal Reserve and knock the.
01:12:49.000 But, like, dude, I'm tracking like 2029, total chaos if nothing changes.
01:12:53.000 But the upside is things are changing.
01:12:55.000 Like, we're here.
01:12:56.000 There's an opportunity.
01:12:57.000 The people have spoken.
01:12:58.000 They want the Democrats in the House and the Senate.
01:13:00.000 They've spoken.
01:13:01.000 The Republicans is like, it's an opportunity to bridge this gap now with an intensely popular president.
01:13:08.000 In the Republican Party.
01:13:09.000 I mean, what do you think?
01:13:10.000 And the word of the people now, like pulsing on the left.
01:13:17.000 It's not the end, just something's got to change.
01:13:19.000 The crown is in the gutter.
01:13:21.000 All somebody has to do is pick up the crown.
01:13:23.000 It's a nationalist, populist movement that is sanguine about representing the American people.
01:13:29.000 That's all, like the very basic fundamental purpose of the government.
01:13:33.000 All we need is one person that can do that.
01:13:35.000 The problem is that they're going to need a major support infrastructure.
01:13:39.000 And the Republican Party is farther than it's ever been from that.
01:13:42.000 And I would argue that probably the Democrat support infrastructure has other goals, right?
01:13:46.000 And so, in my opinion, the biggest sucker in America right now is Elon Musk, who pissed away half a billion dollars trying to bail out Republicans at the very end.
01:13:56.000 And none of that money, a lot of it was pocketed by the consulting class.
01:14:00.000 None of it went to the right messaging.
01:14:01.000 The ads didn't move the polling at all.
01:14:03.000 And I would be pretty mad with it if I were him because he lost tens of billions or whatever in stock because now they're going to come after him, right?
01:14:11.000 And it's like the problem is that all the money that goes to the right is funneled through a tightly controlled network of people, and it's all allocated based on who makes the most money off of it.
01:14:21.000 It is not ideological at all.
01:14:22.000 These people are not ideological.
01:14:23.000 They're just riding the world's biggest grift.
01:14:26.000 And they get more money.
01:14:26.000 They've spent more money than Democrats this cycle.
01:14:29.000 I think $11 billion was spent in total.
01:14:31.000 So that's a massive amount of money.
01:14:33.000 Again, most of it pissed away on it.
01:14:34.000 Certainly not spent like knocking on doors.
01:14:38.000 Well, the right doesn't have that same, the kind of Infrastructure when it comes to activists.
01:14:38.000 No, no.
01:14:43.000 We need it now.
01:14:44.000 I mean, we do need it now, but that's not something that you build in six weeks.
01:14:44.000 Yeah.
01:14:48.000 Like the Democrats have had.
01:14:50.000 You got six months.
01:14:51.000 No, I'm just saying.
01:14:53.000 It ain't happening.
01:14:55.000 I would not bet anything on the right being able to build that kind of infrastructure and infrastructure that can rival the Democrats' ground game activist infrastructure because the Democrats have been doing it for decades.
01:15:10.000 Look, the idea of a community organizer.
01:15:14.000 Those kind of things, like Barack Obama was a community organizer, like that.
01:15:17.000 Oh, yeah, they definitely plugged the SEIU into the whole network.
01:15:20.000 What's that?
01:15:20.000 Decades ago.
01:15:21.000 And they also had the federal government helping fund that with the support and all of that.
01:15:24.000 Yeah, they understand financial levers.
01:15:24.000 They did.
01:15:27.000 That's not happening in the U.S.
01:15:28.000 I mean, whether it be the National Lawyers Guild to protect the activists if they get out of hand, or if you're dealing with the on the ground protest stuff, like every protest always has nicely made signs that are made up and they're handed out.
01:15:48.000 That kind of activism, the right does not have.
01:15:51.000 When you say we have six months, what to do exactly?
01:15:54.000 So if you think about what we're, let's just say JD's the candidate.
01:15:58.000 Somehow, miraculously, he overcomes the fact that Israel hates him and that he probably won't raise the Miriam Middleton money and he'll have to use big tech money instead or whatever.
01:16:07.000 And somehow they keep from shiving him and shoving Rubio in because that's what everybody around Trump wants.
01:16:13.000 Again, he's the polling front runner and he's the only one that I've talked to who I think is a genuine economic populist, which I think is an imperative at this point.
01:16:22.000 The right will not win without anybody who can talk about that with authenticity.
01:16:26.000 Now, he's always been doing well in the polls.
01:16:29.000 His net approval is 10 points better than Trump.
01:16:32.000 There is a shot, but what we're asking of him isn't to run as a president in a tough cycle.
01:16:38.000 We're asking him to challenge an extremely well funded organization that he's going to have to take over that wants to fight him with every fiber of its being and realizes that if he gets his way and gets political power and governs for the people, that their gravy train is over.
01:16:51.000 So, how do you do that?
01:16:53.000 Is he going to build this whole thing himself?
01:16:55.000 Who's his team going to be?
01:16:57.000 How is he going to keep it from being co opted?
01:16:59.000 How is he going to run it with people outside of DC?
01:17:01.000 Like, there's a lot of questions.
01:17:02.000 Your point to the how's he going to keep it from being co opted.
01:17:05.000 There aren't as many true believers on the right as there are on the left, right?
01:17:11.000 Like, people on the right are like battered wife.
01:17:14.000 Yeah, like your point, like people on the right that should be doing things with the money that's donated to try to help get the candidate elected, they're just shoving it in their pockets.
01:17:25.000 Here's the problem, though the people think about how many people went to Trump rallies in the last 10 years.
01:17:33.000 There was never a resume stand there.
01:17:35.000 And what Trump said instead, Is don't know, don't worry, sit down.
01:17:39.000 You don't have to do anything.
01:17:40.000 I got this for you.
01:17:41.000 And then it was a rug pull.
01:17:42.000 If you look at the ballot initiatives that were all brought for throughout the several states, all of the stuff the right, the Republicans campaign on, they all passed voter ID that passed in almost every 70 or 80 positions.
01:17:58.000 Yeah, they're all thinking right loses because it wants to.
01:18:01.000 They have the right issues, like it's not hard.
01:18:03.000 Like, well, there's one thing that's missing from this discussion, which is the level to which the federal government.
01:18:09.000 Like the deep state in the US and in many other countries has this formula where they astroturf the grassroots, where they fund civil society.
01:18:18.000 And this is how they created the impression.
01:18:21.000 This is how they started in 2018 to create the impression of a grassroots demand for counter disinformation on social media.
01:18:30.000 They just funded all of these civil, what they call civil society organizations.
01:18:34.000 And that creates the impression of grassroots activity.
01:18:37.000 And actually, it can create genuine grassroots activity because that's a lot of money that's going down.
01:18:42.000 To organizers, to community organizers, to academics, to all these forces in society.
01:18:47.000 But that doesn't exist on the right.
01:18:49.000 It doesn't, no.
01:18:50.000 Well, but it did.
01:18:50.000 No, it did, though.
01:18:52.000 We had January 6th.
01:18:53.000 We had people beating each other on the heads.
01:18:55.000 Remember Base Stickman from 2016 or 2017?
01:18:58.000 That's not an organization.
01:18:59.000 Those are people.
01:19:00.000 No, it's people organizing, right?
01:19:03.000 But I'm saying that the foot soldiers are there.
01:19:06.000 Trump just convinced them that he was going to do the work for them, right?
01:19:10.000 And that didn't happen.
01:19:12.000 Obama did the same thing.
01:19:12.000 It never does.
01:19:14.000 I thought hope and change.
01:19:15.000 I was like, finally, he's in office.
01:19:16.000 I can relax.
01:19:17.000 In 2008, I campaigned for the guy.
01:19:19.000 I got a video featured on YouTube in the early days when it mattered, when it was big.
01:19:23.000 And then I was just like, oh, I learned my lesson.
01:19:25.000 You can't rely on another person to lead this for you.
01:19:27.000 You have to do it yourself.
01:19:28.000 We're in this, I'm in this for me, and you're in this for you.
01:19:31.000 We have to work together, but work for ourselves together.
01:19:35.000 You can't rely on an autocrat. 0.60
01:19:37.000 They're too bribed.
01:19:38.000 I don't know.
01:19:39.000 I don't know the solution.
01:19:40.000 What do we do?
01:19:41.000 What do we have six months to do?
01:19:42.000 Because we have AI.
01:19:43.000 We can, like, Mike Benz was here last week.
01:19:45.000 We were talking about, oh, yeah, why isn't there someone like Kissinger in the modern era refactoring a new form of global military dominance that can work?
01:19:54.000 And what do we need to accomplish that?
01:19:55.000 Because we can sit down in 17 hours and get something crafted.
01:19:58.000 So I think it needs to be not attached to a candidate.
01:20:01.000 And I think it probably needs a few billion, unfortunately.
01:20:03.000 That's pie in the sky, right?
01:20:05.000 But it needs to be focused around not a party.
01:20:08.000 It needs to be focused around a very specific and limited policy set that's based on values.
01:20:12.000 Tucker Carlson understands that.
01:20:14.000 If you're going to build a coalition and compromise with people, they have to understand why you have your beliefs.
01:20:20.000 And his 10 points was not like a list of build the wall and stuff.
01:20:23.000 It was like we believe in a fair America and a rule of law and stuff like that, right?
01:20:28.000 So, this organization should have something like Arabella, where it funnels the big money in and it goes to organizing infrastructure.
01:20:37.000 So, it needs somebody that'll do the data that won't sell out, like all the right wing pollsters that sell out to the lobbyists.
01:20:44.000 It needs somebody to lead, to do messaging.
01:20:46.000 It needs somebody to be in charge of the advertising and do digital ads that don't just get pissed away.
01:20:52.000 It needs to have something like Turning Point, where there's a national organizing for grassroots, but it should be structural, right?
01:20:58.000 So, you build one of these nonprofits in every State and you actually allocate money to them instead of just like pissing on the grassroots.
01:21:05.000 These people, you know, give them real data.
01:21:08.000 It's coming from one source.
01:21:10.000 Then you have something like the Democrats have run for success where they actually find candidates and train them and back them.
01:21:15.000 So the main issue with the Republican Party is that the primaries are basically their chance to find the person that can raise the most donor bucks or get all the manna from heaven from the NRCC or whatever.
01:21:27.000 So they can all grift off of it and they will shut MAGA, they will shut outsiders out, they'll tell the donors not to.
01:21:32.000 You know, support them at all.
01:21:34.000 And so the Republican Party tells you you can't punish Republicans in primaries on purpose because they want to keep making money, right?
01:21:41.000 So you have to get this army of candidates that might not like they'll probably run as Republicans, but maybe also Democrats.
01:21:48.000 But all of this, the whole goal is to build this whole thing and another win red that actually brings the money straight to the campaigns that is not headquartered in DC and has like an iron fisted control of who works there and it needs to be an uncorrupted organization.
01:22:04.000 The Republican Party is just too far gone.
01:22:05.000 Yeah, you could have like a smart.
01:22:07.000 Contract system where the money just goes.
01:22:09.000 There's no middleman where it's just like the donations are spread out.
01:22:12.000 Yep.
01:22:12.000 It's communistic, sort of, but I mean, a functionally communistic, whatever you want to call it.
01:22:17.000 Yeah.
01:22:18.000 You could do that with like, there are ways to structure this to keep it like focused on the mission.
01:22:23.000 You know what I mean?
01:22:23.000 Like, you, like, part of the whole goal is to separate the source of the money from the outcome of the money, right?
01:22:29.000 So, you're, if you're donating this, you're donating for pro American impact.
01:22:33.000 You're not donating to get contracts out of the Department of Defense, right?
01:22:37.000 And, uh, Again, that's the fight, and it would go, everybody would hate it, and they would try and come after it, and stuff like that.
01:22:45.000 But it has to happen because, like, I just look at the Republican Party takeover.
01:22:48.000 Like, I'm just hearing things like Joe Gruder's, the head of the RNC, was handpicked by Susie Wiles.
01:22:53.000 You know what I mean?
01:22:53.000 Like, we essentially took a money making organization and transplanted it into the front, the very head of a populist movement that had a historic mandate.
01:23:05.000 Like, and just, like, I mean, this is what happened.
01:23:08.000 It was co opted, right?
01:23:09.000 Like, that's, in my opinion, what happened.
01:23:11.000 I wonder if a populist grassroots movement could compete with Chinese autocracy if we need like a federal authoritarian movement, like seize the means of production, seize people's property rights to beat the enemy, like they did during World War II.
01:23:31.000 China doesn't seize the means of production.
01:23:32.000 I mean, they abandoned like full top down USSR style economics decades ago.
01:23:38.000 Particularly like Lincoln, you know, how he shut down habeas corpus for an area because it was too dangerous to let these people, like right now, It's too dangerous.
01:23:46.000 I don't like this.
01:23:47.000 It's an emergency mindset.
01:23:48.000 Since 9 11, it's been like this.
01:23:49.000 I don't like it.
01:23:50.000 But can we compete against an authoritarian enemy?
01:23:53.000 Well, you have to have cracking down.
01:23:54.000 You have to have a government that actually encourages not just the companies that are involved.
01:24:02.000 If you're talking about beating China with AI, you have to have a government that wants to see AI being used to benefit the people as opposed to AI being used as a means to kind of shape.
01:24:18.000 Popular opinion and control people.
01:24:21.000 Because I mean, the AI products that you're allowed to use and stuff in China are very different than the open models that they put out because there are certain things that you're not allowed to talk about.
01:24:32.000 I'm sure if you were in China and you ask an AI model about Tiananmen Square, you'll get a very different answer than if you ask an AI model from China that you're using in the US.
01:24:45.000 I imagine the answers would be pretty different.
01:24:47.000 And this is a big problem.
01:24:48.000 There's a lot of hostility towards sort of AI oligarchs and tech oligarchs and all of this.
01:24:53.000 But if you just unilaterally slow down on all of this stuff without getting an agreement with China to slow down as well, then what's going to stop China racing ahead?
01:25:04.000 That seems to be the disconnect.
01:25:06.000 You have big Democrats who say we've got to pause all development and super intelligent AI.
01:25:11.000 You've got some conservative, like Tiger Cost probably wants to do that as well.
01:25:16.000 But if you don't get China to pause as well, how do you stop them just dominating everything?
01:25:21.000 And that's one of the things when it comes to AI, when it comes to like.
01:25:25.000 Actual ASI, like artificial super intelligence.
01:25:30.000 If you do get models that are that smart and that are that capable of predicting how other actors will behave and what they're going to do, when you lose, you lose forever.
01:25:44.000 So if we had the problem I see is if we had like a strategic AI limitation treaty or whatever SALT is, right?
01:25:50.000 How do you stop other actors, right?
01:25:53.000 Like that aren't party to the agreement, like Israel or our intelligence agencies?
01:25:57.000 Mm hmm.
01:25:58.000 You know, Department of Defense or whatever.
01:26:00.000 I mean, and you can.
01:26:01.000 And the thing is, like, stop anybody.
01:26:03.000 Even if you can try and slow them down, but you can't stop them.
01:26:05.000 Even if you put the brakes on, killing them.
01:26:08.000 And say, say, pie in the sky, China agrees.
01:26:11.000 You slow it down, but all you're doing is kicking the can down the road, anyways.
01:26:14.000 Because the capabilities of these models continue to get better and better.
01:26:20.000 And eventually, on a long enough time, like, if you put it off by two years, it doesn't matter.
01:26:27.000 And in the grand scheme of things, it doesn't matter.
01:26:29.000 You put it off for two years, things start back up.
01:26:32.000 A year later, you're dealing with an intelligence that you can't comprehend how it thinks.
01:26:39.000 It looks like the Manhattan Project.
01:26:41.000 I just keep thinking like the Manhattan Project.
01:26:43.000 If you don't win the race, they use it on you and then they bow you into submission, and then you have no choice but to give up.
01:26:52.000 Yeah, but I mean, the best case scenario that you can think of is something like what happened with nuclear weapons.
01:26:59.000 The U.S. used two neutral AI destruction.
01:27:01.000 Well, no, but like, and kind of, but like the U.S. used two nuclear weapons.
01:27:06.000 And the U.S. didn't say we're taking over the world now, right?
01:27:10.000 We didn't.
01:27:12.000 No, it didn't.
01:27:12.000 It did.
01:27:13.000 Look, I know you're going to go and get into the global economic order, but I'm talking about using violence and using nuclear weapons.
01:27:22.000 The U.S. had nuclear weapons and it didn't say, do what we say or we're going to nuke you.
01:27:28.000 It didn't use that kind of direct force.
01:27:33.000 And also, even though you have your issues with the global economic order, it was a carrot and stick.
01:27:41.000 Look, if you.
01:27:43.000 Open up your country to markets and you work with us, we'll be good to you.
01:27:47.000 If not, you know, maybe the CIA goes in and overthrows your government or whatever.
01:27:52.000 It was still every country that said, okay, we're going to open up our markets, their standard of living rose.
01:27:58.000 Their standard of living increased.
01:27:59.000 Their life expectancy increased.
01:28:02.000 All of the things that came, especially after World War II, when we were, when the global society, if you want to call it that, all the countries on earth were considerably further down the economic ladder, right?
01:28:15.000 The U.S. saying, look, We're not going to just go in and nuke your governments and take your resources.
01:28:21.000 We're going to help you to develop your country and your people will be better off.
01:28:26.000 The entire world, even places that are still kind of backwards, like in Africa and stuff, they're better off than they were 50 years ago.
01:28:38.000 The infant mortality rate has gone down overall globally.
01:28:43.000 I'm not sure if Zimbabwe is better than it was 50 years ago, but.
01:28:47.000 Oh, yeah, yeah, you're right.
01:28:49.000 There's a couple pockets where things have kind of regressed.
01:28:51.000 The U.S. isn't really better than what it was.
01:28:54.000 Zimbabwe is kind of a new thing, isn't it?
01:28:56.000 What used to be something else, right?
01:28:57.000 Yeah, yeah.
01:28:59.000 Which was a net food exporter to the rest of Africa when it was formed.
01:29:02.000 But Zimbabwe's infant mortality rate today is probably better than it was when it was first formed.
01:29:08.000 So you see what I'm getting at.
01:29:11.000 It probably wasn't as good as when Rhodesia existed.
01:29:14.000 An example of AI military dominance would be like, Imagine the worst case scenario the Chinese decide we're going to Nagasaki and Hiroshima, the United States, they're going to blow up our economics.
01:29:25.000 Our power grid goes down for two weeks, and they're like, see, this is what we can do.
01:29:28.000 Then it goes back up, and four weeks later, they do it again.
01:29:30.000 And they're like, bow to us, and we will make sure your standard of living goes up.
01:29:34.000 And we're like, oh, the U.S., like I said, after the end of World War II, the U.S. had nuclear bombs and had the capability to actually dominate militarily, and we didn't.
01:29:47.000 That would be the best case scenario with AI.
01:29:50.000 Have the U.S. Behave with a super intelligent AI system saying, Look, we've got this and we could do this stuff, but we're not going to.
01:30:00.000 Let's figure out a way to.
01:30:01.000 In order for that to work, I think they have to show it once.
01:30:04.000 They have to use it once and be like, We're never going to do this to you again.
01:30:08.000 Well, actually, maybe they have to use it twice.
01:30:10.000 They use it once and then they wait and then they use it again and they're like, We can keep going.
01:30:13.000 But to demonstrate the intelligence of a super intelligent AI system does not require.
01:30:22.000 Killing millions of people.
01:30:23.000 It does not require the same kind of demonstration that you're alluding to.
01:30:27.000 Well, I'm thinking, like, well, how would you do it?
01:30:29.000 What would you do that would threaten people into not kill millions of people?
01:30:32.000 But I mean, what's another tactic?
01:30:34.000 Just because I can't answer that doesn't mean that it doesn't exist.
01:30:36.000 I don't think anything can terrify people like blowing up their economy.
01:30:39.000 The point isn't trying to terrify them.
01:30:40.000 I mean, just be like, look, we have this.
01:30:42.000 We have this.
01:30:43.000 Hacked your nuclear codes.
01:30:44.000 Yeah, I mean, something like that.
01:30:45.000 There you go.
01:30:46.000 Just because you like, be like, look, your entire military infrastructure is completely open to us now and we'll prove it and we do it and we're going to take the.
01:30:56.000 The AI system out of your system, but you're no longer in a position to military action.
01:31:01.000 Actually, that's probably what happened in January of 2025.
01:31:03.000 We just don't know it yet.
01:31:05.000 That's probably what happened.
01:31:06.000 Are there instances of military dominance where all they did was just show the potential that they could win?
01:31:12.000 Well, that was Hiroshima and Nagasaki, right?
01:31:14.000 I mean, there was an interesting historical counterfactual.
01:31:16.000 There was like a few years when America was the only country that had nuclear weapons.
01:31:22.000 They could have conquered the world if they were ruthless enough in those few years.
01:31:26.000 Yeah, that's the point that I'm making.
01:31:28.000 I don't think the Americans intended to blow everybody up.
01:31:28.000 Oh, yeah.
01:31:31.000 That wasn't their intention.
01:31:32.000 They wanted to end the war and they were willing to show force to do it.
01:31:34.000 But they didn't just indicate that they had the ability.
01:31:37.000 They blew up two cities and killed, I don't know how many.
01:31:39.000 Million people died.
01:31:41.000 So I think it was like a quarter of the year.
01:31:42.000 Well, they said they were going to stop after the first one, and then the guy was like, No, we're not going to surrender.
01:31:48.000 And they're like, All right, we're going to drop a second one.
01:31:50.000 And then that's not what I heard.
01:31:52.000 No, what did you hear?
01:31:53.000 I heard they were all ready to surrender.
01:31:55.000 And there's just pages and pages of quotes I read that some guy put on Twitter of all the people who were like, We didn't have to do this.
01:32:02.000 They were going to, it was going to be over.
01:32:04.000 But the order came from on top because they wanted to demonstrate these things.
01:32:09.000 I could have the history incorrectly, so maybe you're right.
01:32:12.000 Well, you know, it's like one of those things you see on the internet, but it came from a pretty credible account.
01:32:16.000 I mean, they were quoting actual generals.
01:32:18.000 I forget, like MacArthur or whoever, but.
01:32:22.000 The question is, like, how much does AI resemble nuclear weapons?
01:32:25.000 Because with nuclear weapons, you get that balance of power and mutually assured destruction.
01:32:32.000 But if two countries have super intelligent AI, how much does that resemble that?
01:32:36.000 Where, you know, if one.
01:32:38.000 Well, you know, it's almost like first strike.
01:32:40.000 Like, can, if one super intelligent AI acts first, can it just completely knock out the other one?
01:32:45.000 No, you need more.
01:32:46.000 Electricity.
01:32:47.000 Whoever has more electricity wins in those instances.
01:32:50.000 If development is the critical path, but you're saying it's like, okay, instead of asymmetry of capabilities, it's like asymmetry of vulnerabilities or something like that, right?
01:32:58.000 Yeah, it's like the scenario you were saying where one country doesn't use its super intelligent AI.
01:33:04.000 That allows a few years for another country to get it.
01:33:06.000 And what happens then when two countries have it rather than one?
01:33:09.000 Yeah.
01:33:10.000 And if you get the first super intelligence, you can kind of seed the rest of the world with your intelligence.
01:33:15.000 And so it all gets manipulated by yours.
01:33:18.000 That might be like the way they win in the.
01:33:20.000 The one difference I'll point out is that when we developed nuclear weapons, we had an existential foe that externalized all our problems, and American public opinion was cohesive, and there was a high trust society, and we were at the end of the fourth turning crisis where people had already reformed.
01:33:35.000 And a lot of stuff that had happened there in World War II, like besides just the nukes, there was an unprecedented level of government control over the economy.
01:33:43.000 Like we were re industrializing, there were lots of new regulations, there was a lot of government control over certain sectors.
01:33:48.000 In a way that would be absolutely crazy to us.
01:33:50.000 And then after that period, it was like, hey, we developed nukes.
01:33:54.000 The government has nukes.
01:33:55.000 Everything's awesome.
01:33:55.000 Our government's perfect.
01:33:57.000 Where now the problem is that all of our institutions are in absolute decay.
01:34:01.000 We don't have an externalized enemy.
01:34:02.000 Our enemy, if anything, is the corporations and the government.
01:34:06.000 And so if the corporations and government get this capability, like what do the people think, right?
01:34:10.000 That's.
01:34:11.000 Well, in America, the American people are generally negative towards AI, right?
01:34:15.000 Like 70% of Americans.
01:34:20.000 Use Google AI every day, and 70% of Americans say that they don't like AI.
01:34:27.000 There's so many polls that I see where I just think of that Simpsons bit where the old lady's like, you know, put everything in one bag, but don't make the bag too heavy.
01:34:37.000 Yeah, it's like Amazon, right?
01:34:38.000 Everyone uses it.
01:34:39.000 Everyone likes Duncan on Jeff Bezos, but everyone uses Amazon.
01:34:42.000 And that's one of the things that, you know, that's one of the things that I find most frustrating is people want.
01:34:51.000 That are mutually exclusive, right?
01:34:54.000 Like you were talking about, like with the social security stuff, right?
01:34:58.000 Nobody wants to do any of the things that will fix social security, but everyone knows that it's going to destroy them.
01:35:03.000 These are not hard problems on AI.
01:35:05.000 I will say this one last thing.
01:35:06.000 I mean, we're talking like everyone, the Duma conversation is very, like, dominates.
01:35:12.000 You know, will it kill us all?
01:35:13.000 Will there be, like, the equivalent of nuclear warfare?
01:35:16.000 But if none of that happens, there are some massive silver linings.
01:35:19.000 Hollywood is over.
01:35:21.000 Hollywood can no longer gatekeep culture.
01:35:23.000 Oh, the Malfoy stuff is incredible.
01:35:24.000 Big, big video game companies can, video game companies will go first, actually.
01:35:28.000 You already see, like, BioWare going on.
01:35:30.000 They're one of the worst video game companies to have, like, pushing political messages on its audience.
01:35:35.000 Like, all of these cultural gatekeepers will eventually disappear because of AI.
01:35:39.000 Which is a significant silver lining, I think.
01:35:40.000 I think so.
01:35:41.000 The overpriced white collar industries of like administration, like lawyers and tax attorneys.
01:35:48.000 Yeah.
01:35:48.000 Yeah, bureaucracies.
01:35:49.000 Bureaucracies can go. 0.95
01:35:50.000 That feeds, that's the people.
01:35:51.000 If you want the populist upside of AI, it's that.
01:35:54.000 You can save money on not having to go for a $2,000 consultation with your guy to get your finances together.
01:36:01.000 You can tell that thing and give it access to your stuff and have it done in two hours.
01:36:04.000 Look, one of the things that I think is most positive about it is like, If you have a technician that's looking at an MRI, do you want a guy that's looked at 10,000 MRIs to find maybe to see if you might have a problem?
01:36:21.000 Or do you want an AI that's seen every MRI ever?
01:36:25.000 Every MRI ever.
01:36:27.000 The capabilities of AI to influence and affect the healthcare industry, not only on the actual medicine side, but also on the side of getting rid of the.
01:36:41.000 Of all the administration in it.
01:36:43.000 Yeah, the delays, getting rid of the delays.
01:36:45.000 How about that?
01:36:46.000 People have a negativity bias.
01:36:48.000 I think that's really showing itself with AI and data centers and all this.
01:36:51.000 But if you think for a little bit about all the things that could go right with it, it's actually quite a fantastic future.
01:36:56.000 Yeah.
01:36:57.000 Democratizing integrity is one.
01:37:00.000 If I had, so I left my former employer, Rasmussen Reports, and I was doing a good job.
01:37:05.000 I rebuilt the company.
01:37:07.000 I got to a position where literally the Trump Line Political Action Committee wanted to offer us a check.
01:37:12.000 But I was told I had to be silenced and not criticize the Trump administration in order to do that.
01:37:17.000 So I started my own company.
01:37:19.000 Had I done that two years ago, I would not have been able to start my own company.
01:37:22.000 So I'm out there, and because of that, I don't have any strengths to anybody, and I can literally reproduce an entire polling company myself with AI.
01:37:30.000 I was listening to this.
01:37:32.000 And government accountability.
01:37:32.000 I mean, I do this too at FFO.
01:37:35.000 It's so much easier now to just say, hey, AI, tell me about all the US government funding that went to promoting censorship in Brazil.
01:37:44.000 And it'll find all the places where they hid it because they hide it in so many places.
01:37:48.000 And AI can just like find those little nooks and crannies where they hid all the funding so quickly.
01:37:54.000 It's like aspects of the apocalypse.
01:37:57.000 I try and tell as many people about this.
01:37:58.000 The term apocalypse, it's a Greek term meaning apocalypse, means to remove.
01:38:02.000 Apo is removed.
01:38:03.000 Calypse is the veil.
01:38:05.000 You're taking away the veil.
01:38:06.000 You're seeing, not only do you have access to seeing it, but like the downside of the apocalypse, I think, is that your emails are going to get made public, all your texts, all your browser history, maybe even your thoughts if they start reading thoughts.
01:38:19.000 That's probably coming.
01:38:20.000 So, like, get good with God and righteousness.
01:38:23.000 Because that's another reason why not to become obsessed with law and order.
01:38:25.000 Because there's going to be so many people that have broken so many laws.
01:38:28.000 And it's like, bro, law is not the lay of the land.
01:38:31.000 It's like there's law and then there's good.
01:38:33.000 And sometimes you got to do the right, the good thing that maybe is a little more chaotic.
01:38:37.000 People are really going to have to find God when it comes to that.
01:38:40.000 By far the worst consequence of the digital era in general, you know, I'm pretty anti censorship, but the panopticon, like everyone publishing everything about everyone, recording each other, posting it online, no one's lives being.
01:38:52.000 Private anymore.
01:38:53.000 Well, that's that.
01:38:54.000 So you're a millennial, right?
01:38:55.000 Yes.
01:38:56.000 That's something that Gen Z doesn't really have a concept of.
01:39:01.000 Yeah.
01:39:02.000 Like, I'm the enemy of the state.
01:39:04.000 What was that?
01:39:05.000 Enemy of the State.
01:39:06.000 Yeah, I mean, I love it.
01:39:07.000 Will Smith was great.
01:39:09.000 I thought it was a great movie.
01:39:10.000 Gene Hackman, is that who it was?
01:39:11.000 Yeah, Gene Hackman.
01:39:12.000 But I'm like, you know, I'm Gen X.
01:39:15.000 And I remember a time before being constantly monitored, right?
01:39:20.000 Like when I was a kid, I would get on my bike and I'd go ride, and my parents would be like, get home before the lights, and they wouldn't actually know where I was, right?
01:39:29.000 Like literally.
01:39:31.000 Gen Z doesn't have a concept of not knowing where their parents are, where their friends are.
01:39:39.000 Only recently in my life have I actually turned on the monitoring thing in this where someone can share your location all the time.
01:39:50.000 That was something that never occurred to me.
01:39:52.000 But Gen Z is like, oh, yeah, I have all of my friends on all the time.
01:39:57.000 Or my group of five friends, I always know where they are.
01:40:00.000 And it's something that Gen Z doesn't really find value in.
01:40:06.000 The idea of, oh, I don't want to be watched all the time, they kind of assume that they're being watched all the time.
01:40:12.000 Anyways, the idea of privacy has evolved to from being like I can actually be alone and not have cameras watching me all the time to like, well, no one's complaining about what I'm doing.
01:40:23.000 Maybe I'm actually, I can't even really, I can't even, I can't, I can't really come up with a theory of mind.
01:40:29.000 You're socially cohesive as a generation and in a way that it fascinates me.
01:40:34.000 So we were talking about video games before, and when we were young, like what year, if you don't mind me asking, was I born?
01:40:42.000 Yeah, 75.
01:40:43.000 Okay, so I'm four years behind you.
01:40:45.000 I remember first seeing the Nintendo and you got it and you played Mario and Duck Hunt.
01:40:48.000 Like that's all it was, right?
01:40:50.000 And then our entire lives were just more and more options that got better every year.
01:40:55.000 It was incredible.
01:40:55.000 And it's gotten to the point where like 10 years ago, there's thousands of independent games in like literally every niche.
01:41:04.000 What do the Gen Z do?
01:41:05.000 They all play freaking Roblox.
01:41:06.000 So they'll like literally set the all time record of, you know, games, the gamers all on one game with like grow a garden or something like two years ago and they play Fortnite, right?
01:41:18.000 So, they want to do it from a social interactive perspective.
01:41:20.000 That's why they perceive technology so positively and they don't care about these aspects.
01:41:26.000 That's my hypothesis.
01:41:28.000 But that is what you would expect to see out of a fourth turning generation somebody that's sick of all this fragmentation and individuality.
01:41:35.000 We should come together.
01:41:36.000 My society sucks.
01:41:38.000 Eventually, I'll fix it when I get power, and that's going to happen soon.
01:41:42.000 I think we're going to jump to some of the Discord calls.
01:41:42.000 All right.
01:41:46.000 Today's Friday.
01:41:46.000 We don't do the.
01:41:48.000 Call in from, or we don't do the super chats on Fridays because obviously we're pre recording this.
01:41:54.000 So we've got our lovely Discord members.
01:41:56.000 So smash the like button, share the show with all of your friends, tell everyone you know.
01:42:00.000 Head on over to rumble.com, become a member so you can watch our after show Monday through Tuesday, and then head to the Discord so you can call into the Rumble after show and also so you can be among the people that will submit questions in the Discord on Friday.
01:42:17.000 So right now, Kevin Adele says, Tim Cass, I don't think Tucker, Nick, And their ilk will support Vance or Rubio due to their association with Trump and the Iran war.
01:42:26.000 I think they'd support the most anti Israel candidate, which I believe will be El Said.
01:42:31.000 Do you guys think Brandon Gill will be a more viable candidate?
01:42:33.000 So, look, personally, I don't know a lot about Brandon Gill, but the things that I see, I like.
01:42:40.000 I don't know that Tucker's and Nick Fuentes' audience would find El Said compelling.
01:42:50.000 I don't think they're only.
01:42:52.000 Israel skeptic, even though they are very, very anti Israel.
01:42:56.000 I don't think that that is the only issue.
01:42:59.000 I think that El Said has problems that the Groypers would probably disapprove of.
01:43:06.000 I kind of think that one of the reasons why they don't like Vance is because Vance is married to an Indian woman.
01:43:12.000 That's one of the things I've seen people talking about.
01:43:14.000 His kid's named Vivek.
01:43:16.000 One of the reasons why they were very strongly against Vivek is because Vivek is an Indian.
01:43:21.000 A lot of their arguments against H 1B is because of the perceived influx of Indians.
01:43:27.000 So I don't know that they would go for El Said either.
01:43:30.000 Do you guys have thoughts on.
01:43:32.000 If the Groypers and his Christian movement.
01:43:34.000 If you watch Fuentes' post election stream, he does say this is sort of an alliance with convenience with the Democrats.
01:43:40.000 Democrats still hate white males.
01:43:42.000 It's the same people who supported BLM in 2020 and supported all this discrimination on the basis of race and sex in corporate America.
01:43:53.000 So, yeah, you already see that happening.
01:43:54.000 You already see that prose happening of them turning against the Al Said's and the Democrats.
01:43:59.000 He's looking for an unencumbered dark horse, and he's already endorsed Fishback.
01:44:03.000 I don't know how serious that is.
01:44:04.000 And then he alluded to the fact that he's identified who he thinks the dark horse candidate will be, although I don't think he's named a name yet.
01:44:11.000 But yeah, I don't know.
01:44:13.000 I don't know.
01:44:14.000 I feel like Fishback was on our show and he was engaging.
01:44:20.000 He was very much a politician.
01:44:24.000 He was looking at you and saying your name to whoever he was talking about doing that kind of politician speak.
01:44:32.000 But I don't know that.
01:44:33.000 I don't know.
01:44:34.000 I'm not sure that Fishback has the mojo.
01:44:36.000 Yeah, I mean, I think that the difficulty that Groypers will encounter and the Fuentes faction will encounter, and it's the same problem that the DSA have because all the DSA candidates ran behind the more moderate Democrats.
01:44:48.000 They would have lost if there wasn't a massive national swing against Republicans, where some of the more moderate candidates would have won.
01:44:55.000 Can that faction accept somebody with maybe most of the policies of a James Fishback, but with the demeanor and the rhetoric of a Glenn Youngkin?
01:45:06.000 Can they accept that?
01:45:07.000 Yeah.
01:45:07.000 Say, oh, this guy's not based enough.
01:45:10.000 He's not the best thing.
01:45:11.000 He's faking gay.
01:45:11.000 Yeah.
01:45:12.000 You know?
01:45:13.000 They want a charismatic leader.
01:45:15.000 I think they need one.
01:45:16.000 Yeah.
01:45:16.000 I mean, America needs one.
01:45:18.000 Yeah.
01:45:19.000 The presidency, you look at the people that get elected to the office of the president, they're almost always six foot or taller.
01:45:26.000 Yeah.
01:45:27.000 Right.
01:45:27.000 Well, authenticity, I think, is the number one word.
01:45:30.000 This president is going to have to do better than any previous one, probably, in convincing Americans to trust them.
01:45:36.000 That trust has been sort of stomped on in the last two years.
01:45:40.000 We got to find a middle ground between the corporations, the US government, the Chinese government.
01:45:46.000 I don't want to derail the conversation into this, but we need an amalgamation.
01:45:49.000 I think the corporate governance, we're headed towards a corporate governance.
01:45:52.000 The World Economic Forum has desperately been trying to create world social governance, corporate governance.
01:45:57.000 They think national governance is passe.
01:45:59.000 Maybe it's time to move on.
01:46:01.000 It's not going to be one or the other.
01:46:02.000 There's going to be a blending.
01:46:03.000 There already is in the background, but we need to forge it first with the American Bill of Rights ideals in this corporate structure.
01:46:09.000 And otherwise, the corporations will have the guy killed.
01:46:12.000 So, you can't have another JFK that gets killed.
01:46:14.000 You need to find a middle ground.
01:46:15.000 We need to do it.
01:46:17.000 Someone's going to be able to navigate it.
01:46:19.000 This land is too valuable to give up.
01:46:21.000 The banks aren't going to give up on the United States, it's too powerful.
01:46:25.000 All right.
01:46:26.000 We got one for you, Ian, from Taylor Renz's ex wife today.
01:46:32.000 Oh, yeah.
01:46:34.000 Taylor Renz's ex wife.
01:46:36.000 Hey, Phil, please ask Ian what he thinks the Social Security situation would look like.
01:46:40.000 If our government invested the money we pay into it, into stocks, instead of lighting it on fire.
01:46:45.000 Technically, they didn't light it on fire.
01:46:47.000 They just spent it on other things.
01:46:49.000 A lot of it probably went to paying down the debt.
01:46:52.000 But transfer payments.
01:46:54.000 Yeah.
01:46:54.000 What's the question?
01:46:56.000 Too late now.
01:46:57.000 What was the question exactly?
01:46:59.000 What do you think the social security situation would look like if our government invested the money we pay into it, into the stocks, into stocks instead of lighting it on fire?
01:47:10.000 I don't know.
01:47:11.000 It depends on the stocks, I guess.
01:47:12.000 You mean?
01:47:13.000 Just to the SP or to the Dow.
01:47:16.000 So, like a national stock portfolio that people invest in?
01:47:21.000 Well, instead of putting the money into the lockbox that was always wide open, that was never locked, instead of basically just giving it to the government to spend how they see fit, because that's what they do with it.
01:47:32.000 If the people were allowed to retain the money that they would have put into the social security system, but retain it for themselves, or even if it went to the federal government and the federal government then actually did take that money and put it into the stock market.
01:47:49.000 So that way, people that are not particularly good at saving money, they had to save the money because the government said, Daddy's going to do it for you.
01:47:58.000 A little state capitalism.
01:48:01.000 I don't know.
01:48:02.000 It might at least stand up to inflation a little better.
01:48:04.000 That if it sits in a box and gains nothing, does it gain interest while it sits in the lockbox?
01:48:09.000 No, no, actually, it devalues because it's still dollars and they keep printing it.
01:48:15.000 So it becomes less value.
01:48:17.000 I would think that if that would have been a good idea, that they would have done it already.
01:48:21.000 I don't know why they haven't looked into that.
01:48:23.000 Is that just because it's a good idea?
01:48:24.000 Just because it's a good idea, do you think the government would have done it?
01:48:27.000 I think that history is kind of evidence that it doesn't do that.
01:48:31.000 If they spent the money they've taken in in transfer payments primarily, right?
01:48:34.000 Mm hmm.
01:48:34.000 And then we're going back and making it actually go into accounts instead.
01:48:39.000 Doesn't that make our past GDP structurally lower?
01:48:42.000 Because all that money that goes to, like, you know, Medicaid or it goes to welfare or whatever, wouldn't have been spent.
01:48:52.000 And that means that they would have borrowed the money to do it.
01:48:56.000 Yeah.
01:48:56.000 They'd have had to print more money.
01:48:58.000 I wish I could give a better answer.
01:48:59.000 I don't know enough.
01:49:00.000 I don't know enough about the structure to really.
01:49:02.000 I mean, again, to Mark's point, like, Conceptually, it sounds good, but like you said, the money that does get spent on Social Security and those things that does go into the economy, it does go into the healthcare market.
01:49:02.000 Yeah.
01:49:20.000 Even if the government is just taking a transfer payment, transferring from one group of people, which is the people that are on Social Security, to another group of people that are in the healthcare industry, it's still a transfer payment at the end of the day.
01:49:34.000 Day of the pillow.
01:49:35.000 Because you have Gen Z and millennials at peak working age. 0.50
01:49:38.000 Basically, paying for end of life care for boomers.
01:49:41.000 Is the day of the pillow like bite down on the pillow because you're about to take it?
01:49:45.000 No, the day of the pillow is you take the pillow and put it over grandma's face until she stops breathing.
01:49:50.000 Oh, man.
01:49:51.000 Dude, they're going to be living until they're 150.
01:49:55.000 Genetic.
01:49:56.000 I scribed to the gentler version, which is where all the benefits just got cut off, but that's where it came from is a 4chan copypasta about that.
01:50:04.000 Yeah.
01:50:05.000 All right.
01:50:05.000 So let's see.
01:50:07.000 What do we got?
01:50:09.000 At what point do we admit from Dr. Pants' PhD in 40, At what point do we admit that enlarging the tent alienated a large enough element of the base that it was counterproductive?
01:50:18.000 I mean by this that the pandering to minorities and immigrants had a statistically insignificant return on investment while younger white males abandoned the party in droves.
01:50:29.000 We didn't pander to anybody.
01:50:30.000 That was the whole point of MAGA.
01:50:32.000 America first, national economic populism.
01:50:35.000 Everybody's like, sweet, I want that.
01:50:37.000 We didn't have to pander to people.
01:50:38.000 Now we're doing fratricide.
01:50:40.000 We're like, we had Muslims for Trump two years ago, and now the Republican Party needs to make global Islam our enemy.
01:50:45.000 Like, that's where we went in two years.
01:50:47.000 It's pretty sad.
01:50:49.000 So, we're anti pandering now.
01:50:51.000 We weren't pandering then.
01:50:52.000 I think the Republican Party was pretty anti Islam in 2016.
01:50:55.000 I think that's pretty consistent on that point.
01:51:00.000 Also, Dr. Pants, PhD in 40, Sublime is a dog shit band.
01:51:05.000 Oh, snap.
01:51:06.000 Sublime?
01:51:07.000 Yeah, dog shit.
01:51:08.000 Dude, Sublime's awesome.
01:51:10.000 No, they're not.
01:51:12.000 Wrong Way?
01:51:13.000 Yeah, that's not good.
01:51:14.000 Freaking album is so good.
01:51:16.000 Not good.
01:51:16.000 Santeria.
01:51:18.000 Yeah, that is, it is absolute garbage.
01:51:21.000 Absolute garbage.
01:51:22.000 And the message is terrible as well.
01:51:23.000 Very long.
01:51:24.000 Phil, how can we organize to fight back for the states in 2028 and get rid of the interstate compact?
01:51:29.000 That eliminates the electoral college.
01:51:31.000 How can we run a better marketing campaign?
01:51:33.000 I'm not a marketing guy, so I don't know.
01:51:35.000 As for the interstate compact, I'm not 100% sure if that's constitutional.
01:51:42.000 If I understand correctly, the states are not, or the electors are not obliged to vote for whoever they had.
01:51:52.000 So it would actually have to be the people in the actual electoral college going ahead and voting for whoever the majority was.
01:52:03.000 As opposed to what their state says.
01:52:06.000 Is the idea here that the states are going to align their rules?
01:52:08.000 Because I'm pretty sure states have their own rules about how they do it.
01:52:12.000 So the electoral college is supposed to go not for, they're supposed to vote for whatever the state is.
01:52:18.000 But if the total popular vote goes a different way, then the compact says no matter what the state is supposed to vote for, we're going to vote for whoever wins the popular vote, which I don't know if that's unconstitutional or not.
01:52:37.000 I guess we'd have to test it if it hasn't been tested before.
01:52:40.000 Yeah.
01:52:40.000 The state does it and then sees what happens.
01:52:42.000 But the Democrats are essentially, they want to circumvent the Electoral College, which.
01:52:47.000 Well, they don't have to worry about it now.
01:52:49.000 Right?
01:52:49.000 Yeah.
01:52:50.000 That map looks pretty ugly.
01:52:51.000 Yeah.
01:52:52.000 It probably won't be an issue.
01:52:54.000 But this does go to the point that Democrats do want to structurally change the United States and get rid of the Senate, get rid of the Electoral College, and they'll basically do anything they can to circumvent the rules because.
01:53:08.000 The rules only matter if you're in charge.
01:53:10.000 You know, the Republican, the DNC, and the RNC are private companies.
01:53:15.000 You guys probably know that.
01:53:16.000 I don't know if everyone knows that.
01:53:17.000 They're private companies that get to decide whoever they want to be their candidate.
01:53:21.000 They're fucking private.
01:53:22.000 I'm sorry, private companies are deciding the candidate of the democratically elected.
01:53:27.000 It is insane.
01:53:29.000 To me, that is insane.
01:53:30.000 The rules, too.
01:53:31.000 They can change their rules about how they do it.
01:53:33.000 The founders didn't want parties at all, particularly George Washington.
01:53:37.000 He was adamant about it.
01:53:38.000 You know.
01:53:39.000 So, I mean, what else would they be?
01:53:40.000 Nonprofits?
01:53:41.000 I mean, that have to be some sort of private organization.
01:53:42.000 Yes, something like a nonprofit organization.
01:53:44.000 They're private companies.
01:53:46.000 I mean, well, nonprofits can be private companies too, but I don't know if they're for profit or not.
01:53:52.000 That's a good question.
01:53:53.000 Let's find out.
01:53:54.000 I mean, people make money that work for them, but I don't know that they are.
01:53:59.000 I don't know that it's.
01:54:01.000 A nonprofit would in some ways be worse because they're subject to more government oversight.
01:54:01.000 I think that.
01:54:05.000 You need a legal entity whether you're for profit or not.
01:54:05.000 You don't want the government.
01:54:08.000 Whether you file the Form 990, you.
01:54:08.000 Yes.
01:54:11.000 I think you're just getting wrapped up with the concept of a company and thinking that it's automatically bad.
01:54:16.000 Well, I don't know.
01:54:17.000 There should be some government, it should be some function of the federal government, not a private company.
01:54:21.000 The federal government is actually prohibited from being involved in the things because the states are supposed to do that.
01:54:28.000 The states decide how they run their elections.
01:54:31.000 The federal government isn't supposed to be largely involved in elections because the federal government isn't supposed to have an opinion.
01:54:42.000 Right, like, yeah, that's a good point.
01:54:43.000 The government has a lot more leverage over a nonprofit than it does over a private company because they could always threaten to take away nonprofit status.
01:54:49.000 The DNC and the RNC are both 527 tax exempt nonprofit organizations.
01:54:53.000 Yeah.
01:54:54.000 So, and again, the federal government isn't supposed to have an opinion, right?
01:54:58.000 The people are supposed to vote.
01:55:00.000 The electoral college elects who's going to be the president.
01:55:04.000 And the federal government is supposed to say, well, this guy's the president in charge now because that is the will of the people.
01:55:11.000 So we will change and adjust to what this administration wants as opposed to saying, well, we want to have a stake or a say in who the president is and how the country's run.
01:55:23.000 I understand the better men model that we need the Senate.
01:55:27.000 We need a small group of better men that will override the mob if the mob speaks.
01:55:31.000 But it's like the will of the core, like a 501, what is this, 527?
01:55:35.000 That's a corporation.
01:55:37.000 So these nonprofit corporations, it's the will of the corporation.
01:55:41.000 The people vote and then the corporation decides who they're going to put in.
01:55:44.000 I don't think the RNC actually has political power, though.
01:55:47.000 I think it's like a fundraising and grassroots organizing organization and they allocate the funding.
01:55:51.000 They are decision makers because I think they get to decide how their funding goes.
01:55:55.000 But then there's a lot of other layers.
01:55:57.000 And, like, what we're talking at the state level is like, okay, who are the elected officials from the parties?
01:56:02.000 And then what do the state parties do?
01:56:04.000 Like, it's pretty complex.
01:56:06.000 But the RNC itself, like Joe Greuters, he's just meeting with donors and they're having a weekly call with all the volunteers.
01:56:13.000 There's like 170 of them that get to decide who the candidate is.
01:56:16.000 But they try to stay aligned with what the people vote.
01:56:18.000 But then at the end of the day, they get in a room and they decide.
01:56:21.000 The DNC has like 1,800 people.
01:56:23.000 They have the superdelegates and then the delegates.
01:56:25.000 The RNC is a very small group of like 200 people or something.
01:56:28.000 C. Nosky says, Why is it that we're three days after this trouncing, looking at the same candidates as possible 2028 contenders as what just lost?
01:56:37.000 Why aren't we trying to find the next guy?
01:56:39.000 Because it's only three days.
01:56:40.000 Yeah, I think there will be a dark horse in 2028.
01:56:42.000 Absolutely.
01:56:43.000 We don't know who it's going to be yet.
01:56:44.000 Name your craziest one.
01:56:45.000 Let's go around the room.
01:56:46.000 Crazy?
01:56:47.000 Honestly, I don't even have any idea of who might be an option.
01:56:52.000 Dark horse Republican candidate in 28.
01:56:54.000 Doesn't have to be Republican.
01:56:56.000 Dark horse, principled human that will save America.
01:57:00.000 Right?
01:57:04.000 I just keep thinking about myself.
01:57:06.000 God.
01:57:07.000 That's my real life.
01:57:09.000 I'm not looking for someone else to save me anymore.
01:57:11.000 I don't know, though.
01:57:11.000 I don't want to be president.
01:57:13.000 You're going to run for president?
01:57:14.000 No, Ian 2028.
01:57:14.000 I like the Ben Franklin model.
01:57:16.000 I'm here to support, but I'll do it if I have to.
01:57:19.000 Ian and AOC.
01:57:21.000 Me and AOC are going to run together.
01:57:24.000 I want to get her in here, man.
01:57:25.000 She's my saving grace.
01:57:26.000 And I'm not even joking. 0.78
01:57:27.000 Yeah, come over here.
01:57:29.000 I don't know.
01:57:31.000 Let's do a real dark horse candidate Tucker Carlson.
01:57:33.000 That's not a dark horse.
01:57:34.000 People are predicting him.
01:57:36.000 I think the definition of a dark horse candidate is you can't predict them.
01:57:39.000 Yeah.
01:57:40.000 McConaughey.
01:57:41.000 Matthew McConaughey.
01:57:43.000 Did you see that video he put out?
01:57:44.000 No.
01:57:45.000 Oh, it's worth a watch.
01:57:46.000 Really?
01:57:47.000 Now, it was probably written by ChatGPT, but I mean, the concept's good, right?
01:57:50.000 But like, I wonder how connected this is to the Tucker thing, because I've heard that Tucker has been reaching out to leftists as well.
01:57:58.000 And I don't think he's going to run or not, but him going principles first, in my opinion, was the smartest thing I've seen in politics for a long time.
01:58:06.000 And the Matthew McConaughey thing was a five minute speech about how important it is that we step back from the two party system and have true independent candidates.
01:58:17.000 And that he wants an independent movement.
01:58:19.000 And the goal would be to basically get a block of hostage votes in Congress where you can shut down any legislation that doesn't serve the American people.
01:58:26.000 And that's like single issue enough for me where it's like, cool, who can he get on board?
01:58:31.000 And would he be the candidate?
01:58:33.000 And it's like at the end of the day, he's.
01:58:37.000 The authenticity, I think, is there.
01:58:39.000 The ability for him to build trust in people.
01:58:41.000 I don't know anything about his politics.
01:58:42.000 He's got the charisma, too.
01:58:44.000 He's from Texas.
01:58:45.000 The risk, yeah.
01:58:47.000 Sonat, who is it?
01:58:48.000 I can't see this person's name on here.
01:58:50.000 That is.
01:58:52.000 I also.
01:58:53.000 Oh, TJ Rain Man.
01:58:55.000 Rain Man.
01:58:56.000 Phil, what do you think of Massey for 2028?
01:58:58.000 The one person to stick to their guns on the Epstein files, fought against the AIPAC and lost sure, and had been a big anti war advocate.
01:59:07.000 I feel like he embodies what MAGA was supposed to represent and didn't go full warmonger neocon when Trump did.
01:59:14.000 I think he's the only one that has that X factor right now.
01:59:17.000 Look, I like Thomas Massey, but there is.
01:59:20.000 Absolutely no way that he would win the office of the presidency.
01:59:26.000 Just going by the fact that Congress people don't go from Congress to the office of the president, right?
01:59:33.000 That alone, usually they'll go and they'll get a governorship somewhere.
01:59:37.000 They'll win an election as a governor.
01:59:39.000 But Thomas Massey lost his election in a state where he was a seven time incumbent, right?
01:59:47.000 It is the most pie in the sky.
01:59:51.000 Stuff to think that Thomas Massey would be able to win in 2028.
01:59:57.000 Maybe down the road, maybe something changes.
01:59:58.000 Maybe he does, you know, he gets elected to, like I said, like to a governorship and he spends some time as an executive.
02:00:05.000 Maybe that's possible.
02:00:06.000 There's a lot of people that keep bringing up his name because they're very fond of his perspective and stuff.
02:00:11.000 And I get that.
02:00:12.000 But actually winning is totally different than people liking you.
02:00:16.000 Obama.
02:00:17.000 He would get trounced.
02:00:18.000 Obama was a senator.
02:00:19.000 Yeah, he went from Congress to.
02:00:20.000 No, he went from the Senate to Congress.
02:00:23.000 The Congress is the House and the Senate.
02:00:24.000 Okay, well, I'm making the distinction of Congress people to senators.
02:00:28.000 Senators are congressmen.
02:00:29.000 People from the House of Representatives.
02:00:31.000 Representatives and senators are both congressmen.
02:00:32.000 People from the House of Representatives.
02:00:33.000 Well, I don't understand why you didn't understand what I was saying.
02:00:35.000 Because you said people in Congress don't become president, and you're acting like the Senate is not in Congress.
02:00:39.000 No, the Senate is the Senate.
02:00:40.000 The Senates are.
02:00:41.000 I mean, they're congressmen, Phil.
02:00:42.000 Okay, okay.
02:00:43.000 You understand that?
02:00:44.000 Okay, yeah.
02:00:45.000 Congress consists of two houses.
02:00:46.000 But senators are called senators.
02:00:48.000 Congress people are called congressmen.
02:00:49.000 People are representatives and they're congressmen, and then they're senators and they're congressmen.
02:00:53.000 People from the House do not go from the House.
02:00:58.000 Generally, do not go from the House to the office of the president.
02:01:01.000 Okay, that's a different statement.
02:01:02.000 People from the Senate can have historically gone from the Senate to the office of the president.
02:01:02.000 Yeah.
02:01:09.000 You're arguing semantics here.
02:01:11.000 Yeah, I was just arguing the definition of Congress.
02:01:11.000 I think so.
02:01:13.000 You're arguing semantics.
02:01:14.000 That's what semantics is.
02:01:14.000 Well, I was right.
02:01:16.000 It's still arguing semantics.
02:01:17.000 Okay, be clear.
02:01:18.000 You're on a TV show.
02:01:19.000 Everybody knows what I'm talking about.
02:01:21.000 Everyone knows where he came from.
02:01:22.000 You said congressmen don't become president.
02:01:24.000 Were you under the impression that I didn't know?
02:01:28.000 I thought you were mistaking that Obama became a president.
02:01:31.000 Went from the Senate to becoming president.
02:01:32.000 No, I said that Obama went from the Senate.
02:01:35.000 He was a senator.
02:01:37.000 People refer to people in the House of Representatives as congresspeople generally.
02:01:41.000 People refer to senators generally as senators.
02:01:44.000 This isn't.
02:01:45.000 Well, then that would be weird things to say.
02:01:47.000 This is colloquial.
02:01:48.000 It's a colloquialism.
02:01:49.000 People, that's generally what they do.
02:01:51.000 Congressmen.
02:01:52.000 Okay, whatever.
02:01:55.000 Are you indicating that most people think that senators are not congressmen?
02:01:58.000 Most people, when they think of senators, they think of senators.
02:02:01.000 When people think of congresspeople, they think of people in the House of Representatives.
02:02:04.000 When I think of Congress, I think of the two houses of Congress, the Senate and the fucking Republic.
02:02:10.000 That's like the representatives.
02:02:11.000 I'm not trying to.
02:02:12.000 How hard is this?
02:02:14.000 I'm telling you what.
02:02:14.000 Is this five spaces or a tab?
02:02:16.000 Like, this is what we're talking about.
02:02:18.000 I'm only telling you.
02:02:19.000 One back space.
02:02:20.000 Only telling you what most people think of.
02:02:22.000 That's the way that.
02:02:24.000 Look, bro, you can only speak for yourself.
02:02:25.000 Who knows what most people think?
02:02:26.000 I don't know.
02:02:27.000 I'm trying to educate the masses.
02:02:29.000 I think he would lose as well.
02:02:31.000 Yeah.
02:02:31.000 But he could definitely cause Republicans to lose.
02:02:33.000 I think he should run.
02:02:35.000 Because of that, because he's going to give people a run for their money.
02:02:38.000 Massey, I mean.
02:02:39.000 He would be a forcing function.
02:02:41.000 I also, I hate to say it, but it's not the time for libertarians.
02:02:45.000 No, it works locally, but it fails geopolitically.
02:02:49.000 It's like a nice set of ideals, right?
02:02:51.000 But it's like one of those things like representative democracy.
02:02:54.000 It only works in a moral society, right?
02:02:57.000 The problem with libertarians or with libertarianism, and I was a libertarian for a lot of years, or I called myself a libertarian.
02:03:04.000 I didn't know you converted.
02:03:05.000 Yeah, yeah, I'm not.
02:03:06.000 I'm not anymore because they're kind of dumb.
02:03:09.000 And they're dumb because of this.
02:03:10.000 Like the argument of we're going to get into office and leave you alone.
02:03:15.000 Well, that's not what people want people in office to do.
02:03:17.000 That's not what Americans want.
02:03:18.000 We're going to get into office and then we're not going to do anything.
02:03:22.000 Well, that's not a compelling argument.
02:03:24.000 That's not a compelling slogan.
02:03:27.000 And that's something that libertarians, the 3% or 4% of America that calls themselves libertarians, that really charges them up.
02:03:36.000 Yeah, I'm going to get into office and they're going to leave us alone.
02:03:38.000 We're going to let us live our lives.
02:03:40.000 Most Americans say they want to be left alone, but they're not interested in leaving other people alone.
02:03:46.000 The fact that Silicon Valley dialed down censorship in anticipation of Republicans.
02:03:51.000 When it's a testament to the fact that corporations do look to the government for direction.
02:03:55.000 And maybe that's simply because that's the only reality they've ever experienced, but that's certainly how it happens.
02:04:01.000 And again, you've got to watch in the coming years, a couple of years, whether they'll start reversing course on those policies.
02:04:11.000 So you can follow me on X, and I'm at Fill That Remains.
02:04:11.000 All right.
02:04:15.000 You can check out my Patreon.
02:04:16.000 It's patreon.com slash Fill That Remains.
02:04:18.000 The band's All That Remains.
02:04:19.000 You can go to all the music sites to check them out.
02:04:21.000 Alan, where can people find you?
02:04:23.000 Yes, I'm on X at Alan Bakari, and you can find the Foundation of Freedom Online at foundationfreedomonline.com, where we continue to cover the growth and an occasional retreat of censorship around the world.
02:04:38.000 Occasional.
02:04:39.000 Mark?
02:04:40.000 On Twitter, it's at honestpolster.
02:04:42.000 The website is thehonestpoll.com.
02:04:44.000 I have a free Substack notification thing.
02:04:46.000 Like half the content's not behind a paywall.
02:04:48.000 So if you guys want to go there, it's thehonestpoll.substack.com.
02:04:52.000 Really glad to have you.
02:04:53.000 Follow me, Ian Crossland, X, Instagram, YouTube, Follow me all over the place.
02:04:57.000 Twitch, anywhere you find me, subscribe.
02:04:59.000 Ian Crossland, Carter Banks.
02:05:01.000 You can follow me at Carter Banks on YouTube as well and Instagram at Carter Banks Official.
02:05:07.000 I think X is also at Carter Banks.
02:05:09.000 And check out the label at Trash House Records on YouTube, Phil.
02:05:13.000 All right.
02:05:14.000 We will be updating with posts all weekend.
02:05:18.000 And otherwise, we will see you back here on Monday.