00:02:59.000Donald Trump has announced a ceasefire with Iran and preliminary reports suggest they have accepted a two week ceasefire.
00:03:07.000The Strait of Hormuz will be open and peaceful for two weeks and already oil prices have dropped 15%.
00:03:15.000Now we've got the 10 point plan from Iran, which they are saying is the basis for negotiations, which will begin on Friday.
00:03:23.000And I gotta tell you, my friends, whatever you want to say, I am happy that we are backing away from nuclear annihilation, whatever it may be.
00:03:32.000Now, I'm not going to play any stupid games and insult Donald Trump when he's doing what we want him to do and we don't want war to escalate.
00:03:39.000Yet, for the life of me, I will just say this.
00:03:42.000I am infuriated by the alleged Trump critics attacking the man for having called off the attack on Iran.
00:03:51.000They are going after him and saying he's a coward and a chicken for not attacking Iran.
00:03:56.000Yet, the whole time they attacked the man for attacking Iran.
00:04:16.000And that's why I supported Tulsi Gabbard.
00:04:18.000And I said, when Donald Trump started this war, it is not effective to insult the man when you're trying to convince him to do something you want him to do.
00:04:24.000And you've got to be able to keep one hand on the steering wheel.
00:04:27.000Yet people went crazy attacking Donald Trump and insulting him.
00:04:31.000And I said, I respect the arguments, okay?
00:04:33.000Because we want to try and keep things together.
00:04:35.000But now that Donald Trump has done what these people have asked him to do, And backed off of attacking Iran and calling for a ceasefire, agreeing to it, they are still insulting the man.
00:04:48.000And we will not be able to have a cohesive, functioning government with grifters on all sides lying about what they actually want to happen.
00:04:55.000You can tell I'm pissed, but we have a lot to talk about.
00:04:58.000Oil prices going down, things are starting to improve, and we need to encourage in every possible way this ceasefire to hold.
00:05:05.000Now, of course, we have a bunch of other news related to this.
00:05:09.000We now have, I can't believe I'm saying it, Candace Owens and AOC together at last, calling for the impeachment and removal of the Mad King.
00:07:41.000I think for your viewers and listeners, I am a New York Post columnist correspondent covering kind of the intersection of business, technology, politics.
00:09:48.000In response to the brotherly, brotherly request of PM Sharif in his tweet, And considering the request by the U.S. for negotiations based on its 15 point proposal, as well as the announcement by POTUS about acceptance of the general framework of Iran's 10 point proposal as a basis for negotiations, I hereby declare on behalf of Iran's Supreme National Security Council if attacks against Iran are halted, our powerful armed forces will cease their defensive operations.
00:10:13.000For a period of two weeks, safe passage to the Strait of Hormuz will be possible by coordination with Iran's armed forces and with due consideration of technical limitations.
00:11:01.000I am not going to pretend that I support it.
00:11:03.000But this is a victory for the Trump administration in that they took out the Ayatollah.
00:11:08.000They took out the top echelon of Iranian government, and now they have a cessation of hostilities.
00:11:14.000If this holds, Trump will have a moderate victory in the region, which will be good for his plans moving forward and Western sphere of influence control over the energy coming out of Iran.
00:11:27.000Is it everything the Western powers might want?
00:11:50.000I think we're better off now than we were before.
00:11:52.000And already I'm hearing these sort of refrains that, oh, no, no, no, we're way worse.
00:11:56.000No, we've actually decimated the IRCG.
00:11:59.000And bear in mind, Hezbollah seems to be decapitated.
00:12:02.000So we're already seeing their proxies, which to me, as an American and as somebody who is concerned about the region, that was what we were most impacted by, obviously Hezbollah, Hamas.
00:12:11.000So if you're decapitating those proxies, that in and of itself, I think, is a huge victory.
00:12:16.000And I was concerned because we do have a really horrible track record.
00:12:20.000In the Middle East, of getting involved, staying there, and then not knowing how to extricate ourselves.
00:12:27.000And I kept, I was like, I'm going to wait six weeks.
00:13:53.000You said you think we're better off now than we were before.
00:13:55.000So I guess technically that counts on if gas prices come down because, you know, Respect to what you were saying about Hezbollah and terrorism in the Middle East, is the average everyday American isn't necessarily thinking about foreign terrorist threats.
00:14:09.000What they're looking at is how it's affecting their wallet right now.
00:14:12.000And the joke, I guess, you know, stark humorous it is, is like the idea of Trump being the bull in the China shop made sense to me when you could get gas prices down and potentially arrest bad political actors that have committed crimes within your own government.
00:14:27.000But once we started going to war again in the Middle East, you're like, look, I don't know if all that much has changed.
00:14:32.000So, yes, gas prices do need to come back down.
00:14:35.000Otherwise, people look at the midterms already.
00:14:37.000This has been damaging for them as far as the midterms because for a lot of people, it seems like we're looking at a lot more of the same, despite the fact that we were kind of sold the idea that things were going to be different this time around.
00:15:02.000Yeah, down the street, we're in the middle, and we're in a rural area.
00:15:05.000Six dollar diesel that means everything's going through the roof.
00:15:08.000Yeah, your milk, your bread, your eggs.
00:15:10.000So, this is we everyone should be very happy.
00:15:12.000And I'll tell you, if people were sincere about their criticisms of Trump, they would be saying, Thank you, Donald Trump, for this.
00:15:18.000Thank you for doing the right thing, or at the very least, like waiting to see how it shakes out in the next couple of days to see if things actually do start looking like they're making changes.
00:15:26.000Yeah, it's fair to be cautiously optimistic.
00:15:28.000I think with the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a couple things on that.
00:15:32.000I mean, the fact that the Iranians were able to close it in this way.
00:15:36.000Is a sign that they could have and would have at any moment.
00:15:38.000So I think if we're able to resolve that.
00:15:42.000That's a good and a positive thing because that was always their point of leverage.
00:15:46.000I also think gas prices right now are kind of where they were under Biden, even with all of this pressure.
00:15:51.000It's interesting the Red Sea, we kind of forget this.
00:15:53.000The Hooties basically had the Red Sea and under lock and key for like almost a year.
00:15:58.000There was so much delay shipping through that.
00:16:01.000So, this, the Strait of Hormuz has only been delayed a couple weeks.
00:16:04.000And now that it's open, we're going to see it back to normal very quickly.
00:16:09.000This isn't, I feel like I've heard so many people say, oh, this is going to be.
00:17:58.000Now we have an announcement of a ceasefire and both sides are agreeing to negotiate.
00:18:01.000Trump might get out of this one once again with a victory.
00:18:04.000So, what does it look like long term for him, given that the midterms are coming and people are talking about like if we end up losing House and Senate, they're going to look at impeachments again.
00:18:55.000Again, CNN said, GOP net favorability is up five points, and Democrats, the generic ballot for Congress, is only up five points, which is a historic low.
00:19:05.000And the prediction markets are still saying Democrats are going to take the House.
00:19:08.000I think I'd figure it would have been at least two to one, not four to one.
00:19:11.000Like right now, it's four to one Democrats to win.
00:19:14.000I'd be like, two to one's fine because what?
00:19:17.000They might win three or four seats in the majority.
00:19:20.000But Republicans can turn this one around.
00:19:23.000This is going to be a major component of this.
00:19:26.000If Trump walks away with a new peace agreement, and then we get a Straight up, we have secured the region.
00:19:33.000We have ended the violence from the militia groups, the rebels, and Iran has now agreed to the terms of a ceasefire.
00:19:39.000That's going to be a major boost for him.
00:19:44.000I do think that the Democrats are, or I mean, I'm aware that Democrats are historically unpopular.
00:19:50.000I think that that's largely because of the fight between the progressives in the Democrat Party and the what you consider sane, normal Democrats.
00:19:57.000Are the moderates or the same people in the Democrat Party?
00:19:59.000Well, the problem is you can't really tell.
00:20:02.000And I think that's part of why they're unpopular.
00:20:03.000I can't think of one person who is being annoyed.
00:20:05.000But the point that I'm making is like, even if they run as a moderate, they'll do what Spanberger did or whatever if they get elected.
00:20:12.000And I think that the American people generally know that.
00:20:14.000Like, I think that people saw through Gavin Newsom going on all the podcasts and talking to the pod bros and being like, oh, you know, going on Sean Ryan and be like, I own a gun and I'm a gun god BS, you are.
00:22:51.000These people who claim to be anti Trump, well, they are anti Trump, but the people who claim to oppose the war with Iran, who are angry that Donald Trump threatened Iran, went to war in Iran, Are now attacking him as a chicken for doing what they asked him to do.
00:23:50.000When there's a little kid and he's going to jump off like a 20 foot quarry into the water, what do you say to him when he says, I don't want to do it?
00:24:40.000Even people on the right that say that.
00:24:41.000Yeah, reposting like Iranian propaganda.
00:24:43.000Like that's where some people clearly are getting their news is literally from Iranian propaganda.
00:24:48.000Joe Kent following this, I will say this.
00:24:50.000I do believe that we may see Tucker Carlson come out and say, Thank you, Mr. President.
00:24:56.000Because Tucker has been particularly measured in how he's approached these things.
00:25:00.000He's a smart guy and he understands how to communicate his opinions effectively without, well, let's say he is a bit controversial as of recent, but I think he'll do the smart thing.
00:26:18.000And so now that they're saying, it's like, of course, like they're just.
00:26:22.000My mentions were an absolute train wreck all day of people saying, oh, blah, blah, blah, Trump's going to destroy it.
00:26:27.000He said he's going to destroy the civilization, blah, And I'm just like, do you people really believe that he's going to use nuclear weapons?
00:26:34.000And there were people that were like, you'll see, blah, blah, blah, blah.
00:26:36.000And I'm like, how could you possibly believe that?
00:27:31.000This is the next component of the story.
00:27:33.000Ryan Grimm says, This is unbelievable.
00:27:36.000The edit history on this tweet shows that Pakistan Prime Minister Shahbaz Sharif originally copied and pasted everything he was sent.
00:27:42.000So let me first show you his statement.
00:27:44.000His statement is Diplomatic efforts for peaceful settlement of the ongoing war in the Middle East are progressing steadily, strongly, and powerfully, with the potential to lead to substantive results in the near future.
00:27:53.000To allow diplomacy to run its course, I earnestly request President Trump to extend the deadline for two weeks.
00:27:58.000Pakistan, in all sincerity, requests the Iranian brothers to open the Strait of Hormuz for a corresponding period of two weeks.
00:28:03.000As a goodwill gesture, we also urge all warring parties to observe a ceasefire everywhere for two weeks to allow diplomacy to achieve conclusive termination of war in the interest of long term peace and stability in the region.
00:28:13.000However, at the top of this message, it says draft Pakistan's PM message on X.
00:28:19.000The implication that they're making Ryan Grimm says obviously Sharif's own staff don't call him Pakistan's PM.
00:28:26.000They would just call him prime minister.
00:28:28.000The U.S. and Israel, of course, would call him Pakistan's PM.
00:28:31.000Would be funny if the fate of the world wasn't hanging in the balance.
00:28:35.000What they are trying to insinuate right now is that Pakistan did not actually agree to make this happen, that the U.S. and Israel made the prime minister of Pakistan issue this statement, all because he had a draft statement referring to Pakistan's PM.
00:28:56.000Why are you guys trying to stop this from happening?
00:28:59.000Honest question The people who don't like Trump and claim they don't want a war with Iran are doing everything in their power to make sure the ceasefire fails.
00:29:45.000But the fact that they talk about Israel all the time.
00:29:47.000It's so simplistic to blame one teeny tiny country for all of the world's woes.
00:29:53.000I mean, when you look at the map of how teeny it is and the map, and you juxtapose that with like the Islamic controlled territory all through the Middle East, and you're like, really?
00:30:03.000That's what you're going to focus on this year.
00:30:38.000Well, it sounds like Israel doesn't have interests there.
00:30:41.000And Israel's interests are in the Middle East, which just so happens a component of our foreign policy is as well.
00:30:45.000So it seems like they're an ally of ours in the Middle East.
00:30:48.000So, yeah, when it comes to the Middle East, we work with them.
00:30:51.000It's also insane that all of the people who are saying that Trump doesn't have any allies and he doesn't know how to work with other countries, then they're the ones who are saying, oh, well, we're just listening to it.
00:31:00.000It's like, well, do you want us to work with other countries?
00:31:02.000Do you want us to have allies in the region?
00:31:04.000Or then are you just going to blame Israel for everything and that we just are a subject to them?
00:31:09.000I will say, I'm like really impressed.
00:31:11.000They think the Jews are like, Like an alien occupying force that has superpowers.
00:31:17.000I'm not, I'm trying to figure out how to phrase this properly.
00:31:45.000That is being made is like it's like when they talk, it's like when somebody's in Black Lives Matter wants to blame white people for all of their ills, right?
00:31:53.000It's like at the end of the day, even if all of that is true, it's still your responsibility to make right with your own life and figure things out.
00:31:59.000I'm going to let you guys in on the secret.
00:32:48.000Or one could make the argument that we serve Ukraine's interests because we've given them more money in three years and we've given it to Israel in 70.
00:32:54.000And their prime minister actually came to our Congress where they all waved his flag and got our country behind his war.
00:34:49.000And so, for a lot of people, it's all about the song remains the same.
00:34:52.000It feels like the same thing over and over again.
00:34:54.000And to your point earlier about the people who are posting about this, when politics becomes sport and something that you post about online as a running, you know, whether whatever your theme is, whether it's Joe Kent in Israel, whether it's Tucker Carlson in Israel, whether if you're on the other side of the aisle and you want to hold Iran responsible, what you're seeing right now is the cost of everyone turning, first of all, it's monetized.
00:35:18.000So, if you're posting on X and you're monetized and there's In financial incentive to do so, it is not prudent to take a ton of your advice or your news from people who are financially benefiting from the most sensational headline they can get.
00:35:33.000Look at what the Daily Beast wrote MAGA Pod Bro predicts crushing Trump humiliation.
00:35:58.000That was not an insult to Donald Trump.
00:36:01.000That was not a request for one of the two options.
00:36:04.000The effing lunatics on X. I'm going to tell you guys, I have never been more anti free speech than I am right now from the people who are trying to make World War III happen.
00:36:14.000Trump gets a ceasefire, and they're like, You're a chicken, Trump.
00:37:01.000But they have to frame it always in the most insane of ways to make sure everybody is at each other's throats like maniacs.
00:37:09.000This is a direct result for the political landscape becoming what it is under Trump, right?
00:37:14.000Which is that it's funny that you mention, like, Trump's foreign policy and American foreign policy.
00:37:18.000Like, we're having the most foreign policy wins in his first term, right?
00:37:23.000The most foreign policy wins that doesn't involve just surrendering and giving other countries money under the guy who is the most bombastic with his dialogue.
00:37:31.000Whereas in prior administrations, they're very polite when they tweet, they're very polite when they give their speeches, but you end up surrendering, giving money, leaving hostages behind.
00:37:39.000Now they frame the American government.
00:37:41.000destroys a bunch of their equipment to just to save one soldier and the people are framing it as a bad thing that we lost a bunch of equipment all to go back and save one person when that is objectively what makes America great.
00:37:54.000I, you know, I look at everything that's going on and I'm like, I think they really just want to burn down America.
00:37:58.000Because if you, if you, if I know Phil's about to just say yes.
00:38:01.000But the reason, the reason that they want to burn down America is because they don't like the, a lot of the, at least the right wing libertarians that are like this, they don't want to see the United States be the unipolar power.
00:38:12.000They want to see an End to the petrodollar.
00:38:24.000And that's, again, the libertarians' take on foreign policy is one of the big reasons why I'm not a libertarian anymore because I think it's a fantasy.
00:38:32.000But they would say, look, China doesn't have these goals.
00:38:48.000They're like, everything's the United States' fault.
00:38:50.000Everything is the United States' fault.
00:38:52.000And so they're like, the US should close all the bases, stop being the world police, and we should just retract to our own continent and be here in the US and trade with everybody, which sounds great, but it actually doesn't work in reality.
00:40:02.000It's been all about the potential hypothetical war crimes that the U.S. might commit, nothing about how evil and horrible Iran is.
00:40:09.000Look, that's a point that Tim makes here a lot.
00:40:13.000Like the United States, regardless of what you think about the United States, The United States is objectively the most measured and the most benevolent global power ever in human history.
00:40:28.000Do you think the Mongols, if they had aircraft carriers, do you think the Mongols would have made it a Soviet Union?
00:40:36.000Yeah, the Russians were not in any way a chill kind of group of people.
00:40:43.000In all of human history, there has never been a country with as much power.
00:42:02.000And so as a result, it's self flagellation.
00:42:05.000And again, it's just this naivete that somehow if we just focus inward and whatever, the world will be fine.
00:42:11.000And it's interesting part of the rhetoric, too, is we hear that, oh, well, the only reason the Middle East is messed up is because we ever went in there in the first place.
00:42:18.000Like everything somehow in the world is either America.
00:42:22.000And it's like, no, we weren't just twiddling our thumbs under Jimmy Carter and they literally attacked people and murdered America.
00:42:29.000Like, anytime that we just try and are isolationist, we get it, like, things get really bad in the world.
00:42:35.000Every time I try to get out, they pull me back in.
00:42:39.000It's funny because we see these videos of how America used to be and they're like showing Times Square in like 1890 with this like high up res footage and everyone's like, look how great and peaceful it is.
00:42:59.000And then many of these same people criticize Donald Trump or the U.S. in general for trying to maintain order and stability and high trust around the world.
00:43:08.000Albeit it's a difficult job and sometimes you don't do it well.
00:43:12.000And we should criticize the U.S. military when they do things that are bad.
00:43:14.000I think Afghanistan and Iraq were huge blunders.
00:43:17.000But again, to Phil's point, this has been the most benevolent global power in the history of mankind.
00:43:24.000And as a matter of narrative framing, like my favorite part about X is like whenever a different president is in office, the other president.
00:43:31.000Party or people who like the other party are like, the rest of the world is laughing at us right now.
00:43:36.000But literally, all you have to do is wait, and both sides will say the same thing about the other side, about everything.
00:43:42.000We are chickens in a chicken coop, really.
00:44:42.000When they enter this game, they are stripped of all their possessions and belongings and have to wear jumpsuits that are identical and eat the same food.
00:44:48.000They are placed on an equal line and told to compete in games while the powerful elites laugh and the poor people die.
00:44:56.000If Squid Games were a critique of capitalism, they would say you can leave at any time.
00:45:02.000They would say if you have more money, you can purchase a higher position in the hierarchy in those games.
00:45:08.000They wouldn't require them all to revolt to try and fight their way out the way communists do.
00:45:12.000Now, if your argument is the guy who wrote it thought it was a critique of capitalism, my response is yes, because communists are retarded and they don't understand that capitalism offers you choice.
00:45:22.000If you don't like this system, you can literally opt out.
00:45:26.000You can walk off into the wilderness, you can get in a boat and just kick yourself off in the ocean.
00:46:01.000But unfortunately for these people, that's not how it played out.
00:46:04.000They critiqued communism accidentally and were too stupid to realize it.
00:46:07.000Well, it's also like we live in this nihilistic culture now where it's like just the idea that they have to get up every day and go to work.
00:46:14.000And they're like, I have to go to work for eight hours and I have to commute an hour.
00:46:24.000Not realizing that throughout human history, you didn't really have time for you because you had to get up and go hunt to make sure that you could actually get on these things.
00:47:17.000If you can make it in the real world without help from others, you will win money because then I will agree you actually have a point when you argue the system is bad.
00:47:26.000If at any point you want to leave, just scream, Dear God, help me, I was wrong, and we'll airlift you out and we'll bring you home.
00:47:46.000Is that the communists believe that the system should take care of you.
00:47:49.000And the idea, which they now denigrate of rugged American individualism, is that it's your responsibility to make your own life what it is.
00:49:38.000You know, but it's so interesting to me, and it kind of makes me sad.
00:49:41.000I feel like we're seeing the Iranian people want freedom.
00:49:45.000They're tired of this Islamic Republic.
00:49:47.000Or, you know, throughout the world, it seems like there's a recognition that capitalism is good, that the society that America's created is good, and yet Americans don't appreciate it.
00:49:57.000And I know there's, you know, you were talking about some videos that have gone viral of what America used to be in the 1800s and 1900s, and now we're seeing, Viral videos in El Salvador, right?
00:50:06.000Of how they've cleaned that up at the same time that we're looking at like Paris is being desecrated.
00:50:11.000And so it almost feels like I don't want to be fatalistic here, but it feels like in South America with Mille and then, you know, in Argentina and then in El Salvador, those places are embracing Western values at the same time we're eschewing it.
00:52:23.000Every day, she increments the story in a crazier and crazier way.
00:52:27.000Now, people who are reasonable seven months ago think Donald Trump killed Charlie Kirk today.
00:52:34.000That is a degree of retardation and mass formation psychosis that it's hard to recover from.
00:52:38.000So, these people will start posting these things, and then I imagine they're going to start getting banned.
00:52:44.000Censorship's going to appear, and she's Pied Pipering all of these people in a crazy direction, and then they'll all get axed from the internet.
00:52:54.000I mean, look, I can't say enough negative things about people like, you know, like Candace Owens and a slew of other, you know, influencers or whatever you want to call them that have just jumped onto Charlie Kirk and moved directly to Israel did it and all.
00:53:27.000Frog in the boiling water, where day by day you're not really paying attention to what's going on, and then you just get so sucked in.
00:53:34.000And then you start to believe this, and you assume that only she has this secret knowledge, and she's the only person that you can really listen to.
00:53:58.000Her corporate interests, deep state, machine state politicians.
00:54:01.000What do you think the corporate interests are?
00:54:03.000The same people who are behind, like intelligence agencies, the same people who are behind YouTube censorship.
00:54:08.000If you're looking at how Twitter and Facebook, when it was Twitter, had backdoors for intelligence agencies, where the Biden administration, I think, got sued by Alex Bernstein for telling them to censor him, censorship did not work.
00:54:21.000So, what is the best course of action you can take?
00:54:24.000Okay, well, how do we get people to all collectively start breaking the rules in such a way that we can legitimately just Just removing them.
00:54:39.000I would argue that Donald Trump was not supposed to win.
00:54:42.000They thought Hillary Clinton was going to win.
00:54:44.000The WikiLeaks emails in 2016 from Democrats show that they thought Trump was a Pied Piper candidate, that they would use him to lead Republicans in a bad direction they could not win.
00:55:04.000So the play is how do we get these people to stop paying attention to foreign policy and politics?
00:55:11.000Candace Owens is one of the most prominent actors in helping Democrats win the midterms with the quote from Candace We don't care about your midterms.
00:55:23.000I mean, do you think, I mean, now I'm criticizing conspiracy theories and then potentially getting into them.
00:55:45.000When Elon announced he was going to buy Twitter, something strange happened across Social Blade where you could track all of the liberal personalities started losing hundreds of thousands of followers and conservatives started gaining hundreds of thousands of followers, which defies explanation.
00:55:59.000Some argued that they had their thumb on the scale.
00:56:01.000They had a script that would artificially amplify the accounts of leftists to make it look more prominent.
00:57:09.000You can go to someone's channel, wait till they post the content you want them to make, take the URL, go on Google Ads, and put $1,000 behind that one video.
00:57:19.000Now, every time somebody watches that video, your ad wins the bid and they'll get slightly higher viewership and money.
00:57:26.000Because you pledged a thousand bucks on it, YouTube says we need to play this video more because we've got ads bought against it.
00:57:32.000I didn't realize the ads could influence the content in that way.
00:57:36.000So imagine this: imagine you make three videos.
00:57:39.000One's about the color green, one's blue, one's red.
00:57:42.000Blue and green should get 10,000, red gets 100,000.
00:57:45.000You look at the red video and you're like, I made 500 bucks off that.
00:58:06.000It is crazy how much things can be influenced in the attention economy.
00:58:11.000People could spend a couple thousand bucks and like, Completely, or you look at the way that politicians are bought off with a couple million bucks.
00:58:54.000But I will say if you were concerned that a large populist base was voting for a candidate you did not like, what is the effective way to stop them?
00:59:03.000You get them to focus on issues that don't matter in elections.
00:59:06.000I mean, but this is happening anyways because of the big tent, right?
00:59:09.000It's like what did I say the other week?
00:59:10.000It's like in one day, three separate parts of the 2024 coalition all said they were going to lose the midterms.
00:59:18.000Glyphosate and the other one was Iran and they're like, everybody's got their one issue and everybody's a one issue voter now.
00:59:23.000But those, those, those, those issues actually matter for an election.
00:59:27.000So if they're pushing out, they're saying, like, I'm not voting for them.
00:59:30.000So, so whoever it is says to a million people.
00:59:33.000So, so, so again, how do you stop those people?
00:59:36.000If you have a great big wall, it's guarding your property and everybody keeps attacking the weak point and you're like, they keep breaking through the weak point and getting in past our wall.
00:59:48.000We need to trick them into fighting the tree over there instead of the wall.
00:59:52.000So, what you do is you can start running stories about how the tree is a portal that leads to the inside of the wall, and they all start whacking the tree, and now they're doing God knows what, and you're laughing.
01:00:04.000I mean, this is such a new phenomenon in the history of the world where you have these sort of parasocial relationships with podcasters and influencers in a way that we never had with like Walter Cronkite or Tokyo Rose, who obviously tried to lure the soldiers into sort of Japanese propaganda.
01:00:25.000With like TV personalities and entertainers and stuff.
01:00:29.000But there's so much trust because she, you know, all these people market themselves as just your normal kind of gal that you might see at a coffee shop or whatever.
01:00:39.000And then it's crazy to think that like there actually could be money and propaganda and all of these things behind that.
01:00:47.000It's actually not about the coffee shop.
01:00:48.000Actually, it's about these people saying like everyone's lying to you.
01:00:51.000I'm the one who's telling you the truth.
01:02:17.000Candace hits the nail on the head with two major voting blocks.
01:02:21.000She is attacking Turning Point, which got young voters to vote for Trump, and she is attacking Trump personally to suburban women.
01:02:34.000So Getting people to turn on Turning Point, which is a massive voter registration effort for Trump and the Republicans, and convincing the maha suburban women that Trump is an assassin who killed Charlie Kirk for Israel.
01:02:47.000She is attacking a principal voter block for the right populist movement.
01:04:22.000It was like something that was rather a shock to me when I experienced it.
01:04:25.000It was like when you were talking earlier about animal farming.
01:04:27.000I'm like, I'm radicalized against private equity.
01:04:29.000Have you seen the stories about like the hockey player, the hockey kids whose parents aren't allowed to film at arenas because private equity owns the rinks?
01:06:03.000I think there are certain companies that are bad.
01:06:06.000The concept of private equity at its blanket core is I have an investment firm and we see a dysfunctional company that is burning money and mischieving its employees.
01:06:15.000We can come in, clean things up, cut the bloat.
01:06:18.000It's basically like flipping houses for businesses.
01:06:53.000And there are big private equity firms that do bad things and gut companies and fire people to strip them from parts.
01:06:58.000But that doesn't mean the entire concept of investing in business is a bad thing.
01:07:01.000I would say, yeah, I totally agree with that analysis.
01:07:04.000I think right now we're in a situation where, and this is, I've been thinking a lot about like America as an experiment.
01:07:10.000And obviously the founders believe that like America is, I think this is apocryphally attributed to, who is it I'm linking to, Tocqueville.
01:07:18.000But America is great because she's good.
01:07:20.000And when she ceases to be good, she'll cease to be great.
01:07:22.000And so I think the morality and faith and religion, all of that is such an important underpinning for our system.
01:07:29.000And when you watch like, You know, Frank Capra movies where you see the little guy trying to stand up against kind of the big guy.
01:07:35.000I think America used to have a system of morality.
01:07:56.000But I don't think the system is flawed, but I do think that like people had more of.
01:08:01.000A sense of responsibility to their community.
01:08:04.000There's a CEO of a Fortune 500 company.
01:08:05.000He'll make maybe $13 million average salary.
01:08:08.000Sometimes they get more than that, depending.
01:08:10.000The stockholders and owners that function as CEOs will make more through stock bonuses and things like that.
01:08:14.000If you were to take the salary of the CEO and break it up among their 40,000 employees, people aren't really going to make much more money at all.
01:08:22.000And to be fair, a lot of the compensation when we say, oh, the CEO made $500 million this year, it's stock.
01:08:31.000It's not like they're getting that in their pocket because they're incentivized.
01:08:35.000To so, I actually don't also think that was kind of an escape.
01:08:39.000The people who critique the guy at the top of the food chain at the company tend to straw man the argument about just how important his job is and just how much he has to do in a given day, the relationships that he has to build with other companies, his attempt to be able to foresee what's going to happen at the market.
01:08:55.000If you look at what David Zaslav did with Warner Brothers before the Paramount sale, he had to lean out the company and he had to cancel the right projects, he had to move things around to make it.
01:09:07.000He took his stock that was at like $16 and got another company to pay like $40.
01:09:12.000So, this is an important clarification for most people.
01:09:15.000The last time we covered this, it was lower, and it's been several years of inflation, it's been pretty brutal.
01:09:18.000But the average compensation package for a Fortune 500 CEO, any guesses?
01:09:39.000So these people come out and they are convinced, these commies, that CEOs of these Fortune 500s are making $500 million when they're making 500 times less than that.
01:10:00.000You're not necessarily innovating, but people in tech who are actually creating things, I'm like, he deserves, I want him to be a trillionaire.
01:10:06.000Like, he has created out of nothing incredible products that are sending people to space, making all of our lives better.
01:10:13.000Like, that to me is the capitalist dream.
01:10:15.000You're making the pie bigger, you're creating things so people's lives improve.
01:10:19.000It's also about your fundamental outlook on improving the world, right?
01:10:22.000It's like the argument I always make is like, we've been to the most rural areas of the state, and Amazon can still deliver you packages there, right?
01:10:28.000The idea is like, is Jeff Bezos in charge of Amazon anymore.
01:10:33.000But the point being, it's a company that he built, right?
01:10:35.000Like, how much cap do you want to put on what he's worth when he's able to bring people who at one point may not have had access to that much that quickly can now get something shipped to them in two days?
01:10:47.000It depends on how you view what he's given society.
01:10:51.000Okay, so I'm curious actually, Tim, to get your take on hedge funds because I know you made the point that PE can actually be beneficial.
01:11:00.000I think maybe hedge funds can be beneficial.
01:11:06.000Like all of the, many of the richest people in New York, I live in New York, the nicest homes in the Hamptons are almost all owned by hedge fund managers.
01:11:14.000I don't think they create that much value for the economy.
01:11:16.000And I know the argument about, oh, they have teachers' pensions and, but, but, but, but.
01:11:20.000I really don't think that these people who are worth like $10 billion, I don't think that they have created $10 billion worth of value.
01:11:27.000I think, honestly, they created a trillion, but I don't think they've.
01:12:18.000There are people who live in this fantasy world where they think that you can sit there on a computer trading and you're going to make a bunch of money.
01:12:23.000I think you sit there and think about it for a few seconds, you're going to realize, like, there's a cap to how much money you can actually generate.
01:12:29.000There's a bunch of fake posts on the internet where they're like, you can program a bot to make money on the stock market for you, which is just not true.
01:12:44.000It's not possible because liquidity doesn't exist for that.
01:12:46.000So, there are key areas where you can buy, but you have to manually do it because these bots don't know how to do it fast enough and they can't see as wide as a human can.
01:13:53.000What I will tell you, and here's a lesson for everybody who doesn't own a business from someone who does, and I know all the people who do own a business are going to love it because they know what I'm talking about.
01:14:04.000You will find that there is a decent portion of individuals who will come to work for you who believe that you have infinite money, money just exists, and they deserve it.
01:14:14.000And I will tell you throughout my years with contractors and various employees, I have literally asked people, So you're asking me for money?
01:14:27.000I'm like, Well, you want me, Tim Pool, to give you money, right?
01:14:32.000Like, Yeah, okay, where does that money come from?
01:14:34.000They're like, I don't know, the business.
01:14:36.000And I'm like, right, but the business has to get it from somewhere.
01:14:38.000Like, I had this, Ian, we had this conversation on the show when he was saying that in the future, shows will pay the people to watch them.
01:16:50.000She could not comprehend what I was saying.
01:16:52.000And she said, I don't know what you mean.
01:16:54.000We are a bunch of talented writers and journalists, and they need to pay us more money that's market like comparable.
01:17:00.000And I said, The money you are asking for of this company has to come from the pockets of a wealthy individual who then decides whether he's going to give it to you.
01:17:11.000I said, Listen, if you want to keep your job, You need to go to the president of the company right now and say, I reject the unionization.
01:17:17.000Tell me what you need me to do, and I will do it.
01:17:19.000But I don't want to be party to this because I understand we don't generate revenue.
01:17:23.000And she goes, No, I think you're wrong.
01:17:28.000It's very confronting, I think, to recognize, yeah, like, oh, I actually have to create a service.
01:17:33.000Like, I have to create value for something.
01:17:36.000And I think a lot of journalists, particularly in New York, kind of think because they went to an Ivy League school or they have a job that's very prestigious that they should.
01:17:44.000Also, make a lot of money, and David Brooks writes about this like status income disequilibrium.
01:17:48.000That the reality, and I didn't realize this when I got my first job in news where I'm like making 30k and try to live in New York.
01:17:56.000No, there's a lot of people who want to do these jobs.
01:17:58.000And if you want to differentiate yourself or if you want to make more money, you have to differentiate yourself.
01:18:02.000That's the fundamental thing that a lot of people in Hollywood don't understand because they're basically paid, like the studios pay them to make these movies.
01:18:09.000And then they're mad when the movies don't get to be made the way they want them to.
01:18:12.000And they're like, why won't you let me make my movie the way I want to make it?
01:18:17.000I'm the one who has to pay everyone the money.
01:18:19.000I want to see a return on my investment.
01:18:21.000And then they're shocked when they're told, no, you can't do that because the studio theoretically actually wants to make something that people want to see.
01:18:28.000And if you make out that that happens, investors, yeah.
01:18:30.000And if you make a product that the, I don't know if it's the way, this way in the studio, but in the music world, like if you make a record and you're like, no, we're doing this on our record.
01:18:41.000The label will be like, well, we don't hear a single or what have you.
01:18:43.000If you make a record and the label's like, we don't believe in it, it's actually better for the label to say, okay, fine, you made the record.
01:18:49.000We're not going to spend a whole lot of money on promoting it.
01:18:52.000And the reason is because they don't believe in the record.
01:18:56.000So why are they going to spend more money over the, you know, $250,000 they spent to, To make the record or whatever.
01:19:04.000It's the funniest thing in the world to me because I certainly can't speak to it the way that Phil could, but I've had friends who had smaller deals back when I was in my early 20s.
01:19:13.000And the entitlement from these people blew my mind.
01:19:18.000And I have to ask them, I was like, honest question.
01:19:24.000Did the label just owe you the money that you were asking for?
01:19:28.000Like, was there a reason they had to pay you?
01:19:29.000And they were like, well, they signed us.
01:19:33.000They signed you to make a product that people would listen to, and then you told them you didn't want to.
01:19:39.000So, why should they give you money if you don't want to do what they're hiring you to do?
01:19:44.000And they did not understand because, in their mind, they were talent.
01:19:47.000That means they were just deserving of the money.
01:19:49.000I'm not trying to like dunk on millennials because I am actually a millennial, but I do think there's an entire generation that was raised to think that we're just inherently special and wonderful and talented.
01:20:04.000We need to be celebrated no matter what we do.
01:20:07.000And I also think Gen Z to an extent, all of these kids, because the parenting mindset went from basically like, live your life, you know, be smart, to now like, oh no, children need to be nurtured and told they're wonderful.
01:20:22.000And of course, when you get into the real world, you just assume that everyone else is going to treat you like your parents and just nurture you and tell you you're great.
01:21:13.000So I'm very conflicted because I do think.
01:21:16.000There are certain people who were set up to fail, but I also think there's a lot of people who thought that they should have the sun, moon, and stars and are really upset that they have to take a low paying job and work their way up.
01:21:31.000I agree with you about the fact that kids were sold a bill of goods about going to college, especially considering AI now, like all the kids that went to college that got degrees and couldn't find a job.
01:21:39.000It's only going to get worse for white collar workers.
01:21:41.000But the idea of income inequality being a problem, I reject that because the problem isn't that there are other people that have made too much money.
01:21:52.000And also, the reason why there's so much income inequality is because the government left interest rates at zero from 2008 until 2018 because people were taking loans at 0% interest and putting it in the stock market.
01:22:11.000I have to stress this, too, about the income inequality thing.
01:22:13.000I agree to a functional perspective that whatever your view on this is, societies collapse when there's a difference between the highest and lowest brackets.
01:22:23.000However, what I will say is, I take this personally for one very simple reason.
01:22:29.000There are people who say tax the rich.
01:22:31.000What they don't understand because they are ignorant, unlearned people is that I make a lot of money because I work 16 hours a day and weekends.
01:22:43.000I work less now on the weekends, but there's still a little bit of business stuff that we have to do in terms of paperwork, but I don't do as many shows.
01:22:48.000I used to work doing a morning show every day, no days off, and Tim Kest IRL Monday through Friday.
01:22:56.000Because I work double shifts and the weekends, my income is greater, but I have to pay more tax on the extra money I'm earning.
01:23:03.000What they are telling me is stop working.
01:23:06.000You're a high producer, high talent individual who generates something of value that people want and it makes a lot of money.
01:23:12.000But the more you do it, the more we're taking from you to the point where right now, if I were to cut my workload in half, I've talked about it before.
01:23:20.000I know people don't like, they think it's like offensive for me to say this, but if I did not do Timcast IRL, the company revenue drops by like 30%.
01:23:28.000So I'm doing double the work for a 30% increase.
01:23:33.000That's the system we exist in right now.
01:23:55.000Well, there's a fundamental difference that, like I said earlier, some people believe that there should be some type of cap on what a human being is able to accomplish.
01:24:02.000And to everybody in this room, you would find that offensive because the idea that I, you know, because everybody wants to strive, right?
01:24:09.000They want to find themselves with success.
01:24:11.000But the thing is, the people you're talking about have already kind of accepted that that's not going to happen to them.
01:24:16.000So their worldview is more nihilistic and they don't see a path forward.
01:24:21.000It's also why Hollywood and everybody else has turned billionaire into a slur.
01:24:25.000Billionaire with a B means you can say tax the rich, and the millionaires like Mark Ruffle can say, Well, I'm not talking about me.
01:24:45.000When they're talking about that too, like the Mark Rufflows of society, arguably, they don't create the same level of value that a Jeff Bezos does.
01:24:52.000Now, you can put in, you can have a conversation about, you know, what art means to society and all that.
01:24:58.000But if we're talking about actual dollars into the economy, then it's a very different thing.
01:25:03.000And they've demonized that for a reason.
01:25:05.000All of the movies now, they don't say the wealthy, they don't say the elite, they say billionaires because it's being turned into a slur.
01:25:11.000Like you said, Pavlovian, to put it into the brains of young people.
01:25:14.000As soon as Bernie became a millionaire, he stopped saying millionaires.
01:25:34.000And we'll just lightly touch on this as we got a few minutes left before the super chats and all that.
01:25:38.000But the new trailer for Animal Farm came out.
01:25:41.000Yo, they edited this one intentionally to highlight as much of the communist perspective as possible.
01:25:48.000Because, like, so I watched the new trailer for Animal Farm, and it is a selective grappling of only the key pieces where they can say, see, look, it's criticizing communism.
01:26:07.000Well, we were talking about this before the show, and I was saying it's so crazy to me that people have to sort of steal these famous pieces of literature and then desecrate them.
01:26:18.000And Tim, you were making the point that the point isn't to have a pro communist show, it's to sort of destroy the anti communist message.
01:26:29.000So you make a bad movie that's anti capitalist, but it destroys the memory.
01:26:46.000Many seasons ago, we all dreamed that one day animals would be free.
01:26:56.000So I'm not going to play the trailer, but I'm going to make a few key points as we go through this using the footage they've released to explain this.
01:27:02.000So the first thing you notice in the opening of the trailer is there's these guys in hazmat suits and the animals are being loaded up onto a cart.
01:27:42.000So, the first thing I want to point out for those that know the book Animal Farm, the animals were living under a drunken farmer who neglected them, and they felt that the farm could be run better.
01:27:52.000They all discussed it and decided amongst themselves to remove the farmer from control.
01:27:58.000In this movie, the animals are happy and they think they're going on vacation, but the corporation has acquired the animals for slaughter.
01:28:07.000The animals have no choice but to have a revolt against the Pilkington, otherwise they will die.
01:28:15.000Dramatically different from the critique of communism where people vote their way into a system thinking it will be better and then end up getting trapped under a boot.
01:28:22.000This is the capitalists were going to kill them and they had no choice but to fight for their survival.
01:31:02.000So, again, we talked about it quite a bit because the film's coming out.
01:31:06.000And just because they are wearing Animal Farm like a skin suit, Andy Serkis has written an op ed for the Washington Examiner saying Orwell would approve because it's a modern critique.
01:31:16.000It's a critique on the modern power infrastructure that oppresses us.
01:31:21.000I would just say this movie is not Animal Farm, not in any meaningful way.
01:31:28.000I think it's fair to say this because although this might be technically a spoiler, I don't think it's fair for Angel Studios or any company to.
01:31:47.000I'm just saying I think it's not a critique of communism, it's a critique of capitalism.
01:31:51.000That being said, I do take issue with them using the name Animal Farm for a movie that is not Animal Farm.
01:31:56.000Yeah, his comment about he would approve of this because it's talking about the modern structure that oppresses us just proves that Hollywood likes to take IP and use it as a strategy.
01:32:06.000So the reason I'm explaining this is I'm now going to say something that does reveal something about the movie without telling you the plot of the movie.
01:32:13.000But it is important so that people, again, if I came to you and said I was selling pool water and you got something different, I think that's wrong to do.
01:33:12.000You know, so there are some critiques that I can say that aren't spoilers because they were already revealed in the trailer from the first go around.
01:33:18.000But in the original Animal Farm, the chickens were upset because the pigs stole their eggs and then sold them off to traders.
01:33:26.000In the first Animal Farm trailer, the chickens are laying eggs and then handing them off intentionally.
01:33:31.000So, there is something there that is relevant to the critique of capitalism, which you will find out if you see the movie.
01:33:36.000Well, maybe when I had this discussion with the Harmon brothers, they won't care if I talk more in depth.
01:33:41.000Because I will say this I'm being very respectful in not wanting to spoil key plot elements that they, or I shouldn't say they, because Angel Studios just bought distribution, but Andy Serkis added to the film, which is such a dramatic deviation.
01:33:54.000Again, I'll say this in the original Animal Farm, the chickens have their eggs stolen from them.
01:33:58.000These are their children by the state who profits off them.
01:34:01.000And when the chickens complain that their eggs are being stolen, they're executed.
01:34:37.000Like in some of the new legislation, there's all these provisions.
01:34:40.000Again, I'm saying this is tangentially related, it's related to farm animals that basically allows us to be very abusive to animals and pigs in particular.
01:34:50.000Well, maybe they read Animal Farm, they think pigs are bad.
01:34:53.000So, no, anyway, anyway, but I've been kind of alarmed.
01:34:57.000I feel like I liked one photo about that.
01:34:59.000Now my algorithm is all like animals being abused on farms.
01:35:38.000Now, there are some people on X, they've been asking around trying to find guild members who voted after watching the film.
01:35:45.000And the responses I've seen on X, nobody has said, I watched it and liked it.
01:35:50.000They're all saying, the few comments I saw were people saying, I was asked by a message, would you want to see an adaptation of Animal Farm?
01:38:45.000I just think Idris Elba is a great action movie star.
01:38:47.000I tend to have, like, I have less of a problem with race swaps than a lot of other people as long as they don't turn race into a conversation about the story, which fundamentally is the character.
01:39:03.000Fundamentally changes not just him, but it changes everything James Potter's motivation.
01:39:07.000It's like I was trying to explain to somebody, I said, You do not understand that to the outside world, a schoolyard bully is not looked at the same as a racist bully, even if that racist bully is underage, right?
01:39:19.000It's looked at as a shortcoming of both your upbringing from your family.
01:39:24.000How about Hermione being mixed race and being called the mudblood?
01:39:28.000There's a whole new meaning to the white blonde kid calling the mixed race girl the mudblood.
01:39:32.000I read an article today, I'm not even kidding you, from comic book resources that says it's a good thing.
01:39:36.000Thing they're making Snape black because it makes more sense for him to be an outcast because he's black.
01:39:41.000Where they literally said, they said, like, you can't, they basically, it basically says, you cannot understand what it means to truly be an outcast unless you are a minority.
01:39:52.000There's the famous line in Harry Potter where Lily asks James why he's picking on Snape and she says, Is there something about him?
01:39:59.000He says, It's nothing about him, it's just that he exists, which means a whole lot different when it's coming, when he's pointing out a black guy.
01:40:05.000They're also like in the first one when Harry suspects that Snape is stolen.
01:40:27.000The funny thing about all of that is, it's proof that J.K. Rowling does literally agree with them on everything except for trans issues because J.K. Rowling is a progressive.
01:40:36.000Yeah, he should have made Snape a woman, a trans woman.
01:40:43.000Then she would have been like, that's the ultimate magic.
01:40:46.000There's even worse stuff going on right now.
01:40:47.000So there's articles written or there's quotes coming out from the writers and the production designers who seem to want to speed run everybody hating this.
01:40:57.000The show has been produced around the idea of naturalism, which, if you look into naturalism, is the idea that, you know, supernatural only exists through, you know, through scientific order.
01:41:19.000So, the production designer seems to, they could just be doing word salad.
01:41:23.000But, you know, under their idea, you know, that science would be able to explain magic, is that actually what's going to show up in the show?
01:41:29.000So, are you saying that the, It's going to be bad.
01:45:04.000Their beds are serious health equipment designed for relief and recovery, not looks, not fluff.
01:45:08.000Your body should be healing while you sleep, not fighting for comfort.
01:45:11.000It's easy to tell the difference between a ghostbed and a regular old mattress if you're waking up stiff, tossing and turning, sleeping hot, even reaching for a pain reliever before bed.
01:45:19.000That's not aging, that could be your mattress talking.
01:45:22.000Here's another thing that's awesome about Ghostbed you get 101 nights to try it at home.
01:45:26.000If you don't feel the difference, you can send it back risk free.
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01:45:33.000Go to ghostbed.com slash Tim and use promo code Tim.
01:46:07.000And I'm like, the first thing I would say to all these guys that are looking for testosterone therapy and they're like late 30s and 40s or whatever, the first thing you should be doing is figuring out if you're exercising enough, eating healthy enough, hydrated, and sleeping before you start doing any kind of supplementation.
01:46:20.000But, you know, talk to a nutritionist, talk to a doctor.
01:46:22.000Don't take advice from guys on the internet unless they're a doctor.
01:46:25.000But let's grab your rants and super chats and see what's going on.
01:46:29.000St. Miles says, Who do you think blinked first?
01:47:57.000Like, I'm sorry, there's no reality where Iran wins, it just doesn't.
01:48:01.000Trump may not get the guaranteed Grand Slam victory of taking the control of the entirety of the landmass, but Trump blew up like 40 government officials.
01:48:15.000I'll put it this way if you get into a fight with somebody and he punches you in the face 15 times, but you threaten to kill a kid, so he stops punching you, I'm not going to call that you winning.
01:48:26.000I'm going to be like, okay, the fight's over, but man, he messed you up.
01:48:29.000Iran lost their senior leadership, most of their Navy, at least half of their missile launchers.
01:48:34.000Thousands of security personnel, bridges and rail lines, steel and petrochemical plants, their ability to deter their nuclear infrastructure, their air defenses, and the ability to use Dubai as a sanctioned evasion hub for the possibility of charging trolls for merchant shipping on the Strait of Hormuz.
01:49:11.000If I understand correctly, there was a 10 point plan released, but that was BS.
01:49:17.000Trump said on Truth Social that it was not an actual outline or anything, that they didn't come to that kind of agreement and that they're going to work on it over the next two weeks.
01:50:27.000Lava Bear says DS9, season 7, episode 16, Intern Arma Enum Silent Legos is the second best episode of the series, right behind In the Pale Moonlight.
01:50:37.000What Sloan says to Bashir at the end of this episode is a gut punch.
01:51:13.000So they come across a star system that they're investigating that went nova.
01:51:18.000The sun went nova a thousand years ago, wiping out all life on the planets surrounding it.
01:51:22.000And a probe approaches the Enterprise.
01:51:25.000And then blasts Captain Picard with a beam of some sort, some kind of energy, which causes him to collapse.
01:51:33.000What happens is this probe is broadcasting an experience, memories into his mind, and he lives in the span of 25 minutes, 30 years on their planet.
01:51:44.000And he has a family and he has kids and he learns to play the flute.
01:51:48.000And then after 30 years of living this life, they reveal to him that the probe was created because it was a civilization.
01:51:57.000About on par with modern Earth, that knew that they were going to all die and go extinct.
01:52:02.000So, they created the probe as a way to transmit a history of their people to someone 30 years of experience on their planet.
01:52:10.000And then what happens is Picard wakes up, the probe deactivates, they bring it in, and inside of it, stored for a thousand years, is a flute that they broadcast into Picard's brain.
01:52:20.000It's actually much better when you watch it because he has a family and he has kids and he has grandkids and he lives this life.
01:52:28.000And then he has to watch them explain that they've died a thousand years ago.
01:55:39.000But the effective thing to do with Trump is try and keep one hand on the steering wheel, not just spit in his face and tell me he's an idiot.
01:55:45.000If we want to actually succeed, we have to try and negotiate.
01:55:49.000The people that are attacking Trump when he did this, it's like, okay, well, Trump's going to turn on you.
01:55:54.000And now that he's done what they wanted, they're still attacking him.
01:55:56.000It shows they never were operating in good faith.
01:55:58.000I also do think there's so much arrogance in commenting on this because the fact of the matter is we don't have all of the intelligence, we don't have all of the briefings.
01:56:07.000That he has, and I also will say, I feel like this is the new op.
01:56:12.000I feel like every day there's some sort of story about some person who called into C SPAN or someone who said on the radio that they voted for Trump three times, but somehow this is a bridge too far, right?
01:56:23.000It's like no matter what he did, oh, I supported Trump, but this I no longer support.
01:56:27.000I'm like, they're like, I thought he was guilty about the Epstein stuff, but this is just a bridge too far.
01:56:33.000I'm like, it's like, there's so many people out there who, like, that is their shtick.
01:56:42.000Like, you're taking all this information in secondhand.
01:56:46.000You know, they're like, on one hand, they're saying we blew up a girls' school.
01:56:50.000On the other hand, they're saying that they killed 40,000 protesters.
01:56:53.000Their own government killed 40,000 protesters.
01:56:55.000And then somebody says, oh, you believe that number?
01:56:57.000So, what does it really matter if you don't know for a fact whether any of this happened?
01:57:02.000The sad fact of the matter is, guys, you, I, everyone is not really programmed to care about everything that's going on everywhere in the world.
01:57:10.000You could make the argument that you care about this because it will have severe consequences for your homeland, given that your children may be sent off to war.
01:57:19.000But in general, when all you do is take in the news all day and take in nothing but bad news and the violence and the crime and the evils of the world, you weren't programmed to deal with that.
01:57:30.000Was it Mary who thinks that universal literacy was a bad idea?
01:58:47.000But it's also like, as a matter of personal responsibility, you should want yourself and those around you to be smart enough to be able to see through that stuff.
01:58:54.000Yeah, I've been thinking so much about networks.
01:58:57.000Like, the mainstream media was extremely flawed.
01:59:01.000But now, I don't know if this new system with all these podcast hosts is like that much more.
01:59:47.000So it feels very op-e to me, especially when she attacked Nick Shirley.
01:59:52.000Like, come on, attacking Nick Shirley outright screams disinformation campaign.
01:59:58.000Nick Shirley's just a young guy who went and filmed stuff.
02:00:01.000She dug up an old video of his eight months ago.
02:00:04.000And then claimed it was impossible that he was able to actually interview Brazilian gangs.
02:00:09.000This was, look, if someone asked me to discredit somebody, I'd say, here's how you do it find something that regular people can't relate to, use that and claim it's fake news, and use that to discredit his future works.
02:00:22.000The idea is the average person in America doesn't know what a favela is like.
02:00:26.000So you look through his footage and you say, there is no way the average person will be able to tell me I'm wrong about this.
02:00:32.000You grab that video, you show it, and then say, this is so stupid, it's fake.
02:00:47.000So she's saying something where if you trust her, she must be right because it seems insane you'd walk up to a Brazilian gang member, but that's literally what you do.
02:00:57.000You go to the favela, you ask around and say, I'm a reporter and I wanted to see if there's any of the gang members that wanted to do an interview.
02:03:25.000And what you should do is go check out Pop Culture Crisis.
02:03:27.000We are live Monday through Friday at 3 p.m. Eastern Standard Time, which is, of course, noon Pacific on YouTube and Rumble.
02:03:33.000And if you found our discussion tonight on Harry Potter enthralling for our YouTube channel members, I just did a full hour and 40 minute episode with.
02:04:13.000If you want to check out some of the things I've been writing on Patreon, It's patreon.com slash fillthitremains.
02:04:18.000I just put up a post last night talking about the Japanese U.S. barbecue friendship that has exploded all over X.
02:04:27.000And I kind of actually led into what that means, where the U.S. relationship started with Japan after World War II and goes through all of it up until today, and what the new Japanese efforts to rearm and become a regional, at least a regional bulwark for China.
02:06:30.000The enhanced games valued at $1.2 billion before a single race.
02:06:35.000We've all talked about this the idea where everyone just gets jacked up on goofballs and then we just have monsters taking crazy drugs just going for it.
02:07:19.000Also, you know, given the fact that Ken Griffey Jr., who in my opinion is my favorite baseball player of all time, the fact that he never got caught up in a steroid scandal just makes those players that didn't.
02:08:02.000They wanted, what they want to do is they want to use drugs to enhance themselves as much as they can.
02:08:07.000But I'm telling you, you're going to see people doing incredible things.
02:08:14.000Drugs can make people do incredible things.
02:08:16.000I'm curious, are they, is this going to be like a live golf thing, right?
02:08:19.000Where like with live golf, obviously, like the Saudis paid people a lot of money to leave the PGA to go there?
02:08:26.000Because I feel like if I was an athlete who'd worked my entire life to get to the Olympics, I wouldn't want to be like, oh yeah, I'm giving up my dream of getting a gold medal to go to the, They're going to make more money.
02:08:35.000This Saudi Arabia is going to make more money.
02:09:43.000I think there's, we probably have a video on PCC going back to like 2021 where I was talking about how we need the steroid Olympics where everybody just gets jacked to the gills and does amazing stuff.
02:09:56.000And we just watch monsters just thrash each other, just deformed behemoths.
02:11:02.000It's amazing how people like come back and they have, I don't know if that's like a great brand specialist who did that for him, or just to your point, Phil, like it pro wrestling was better when the wrestlers were on steroids.
02:11:12.000Oh, yeah, and a Macho Man Randy Savage promo.
02:11:16.000No, someone commented the Olympics used to be nude.
02:12:05.000He smashed a woman, went to prison, they came out and smashed a guy.
02:12:08.000But that, like, that's, like, I honestly think this is actually going to be, it's going to do fairly well because people want to see records broken.
02:12:16.000They want to see amazing performances.
02:12:18.000And the Olympians are all, you know, they're great.
02:12:23.000But when you see the augmented Olympics crushing the records of the people in the regular Olympics, people are going to be like, I want to watch that because it's about entertainment.
02:13:13.000But I mean, there's like honestly, you know, the shooting the guy, the remember the yeah, like the Turkish guy, yeah, with special equipment.
02:13:21.000It would mess with your like your ability to keep your hands the only thing that guy needed more was a cigarette hanging out of his mouth while he was doing it, just sitting there ripping a dart.
02:13:29.000I like that they're like, he's clearly special forces or a spy because he got third place, even though he doesn't look like he's trying, yeah, like he couldn't win.
02:13:37.000Their arms are all twisted and they're wearing the weird little the weird guys, yeah, the goggles, yeah, the Olympics, it's the best, that's hilarious.
02:15:16.000There seems to be a massive reforming of who or what kind of, you know, the quotes right is.
02:15:23.000It's taken place over the past several months, if not even a little bit longer.
02:15:27.000You know, we even highlighted the elections where progressives are taking a hit.
02:15:32.000I guess my question is are we doomed to regress to kind of early 2000s politics or can, you know, all these obvious You know, grifters be called out and kind of kicked out of the movement.
02:15:42.000So you kind of keep the core movement that I guess we had more in 2016, but yeah, in the early right after the election, too.
02:16:17.000And it just feels like everyone's just a grift to, you know, like, you know, like, despite the fact that Candace is pandering to liberals, liberals are going to go, nope, she's a conservative.
02:16:23.000It's because they love the idea that, see, even conservatives agree with us.
02:16:52.000You know, I don't even like, I don't know that the actual national socialists out there are super anti Trump.
02:17:00.000There's the Groypers and stuff that are, but I'm that Nick, the Nick Fuentes followers.
02:17:04.000But I don't know that if you're actually like really, you know, national socialist, I don't know that they're anti Trump now.
02:17:12.000I mean, I'm sure that Trump wouldn't want them to be pro Trump, but, uh, I think that Nick Fuentes and the Groibers and stuff, they're kind of an entity to themselves.
02:17:30.000This is all like a ton of purity testing, which is just a side effect of a large scale coalition of voters being built.
02:17:37.000Kind of like the left purity test themselves, but they're so rigid about keeping everyone in line that you're not really allowed to fall away from the pack, anyways.
02:17:45.000So everybody arguing about who's more like who was more America first or who was more.
02:17:55.000And when you're dealing with a coalition, purity tests are the worst thing you can do because the coalition is not going to live up to any purity tests.
02:18:03.000This is one of the problems that libertarians have all the time.
02:18:05.000They're always like, well, I'm the only real libertarian.
02:18:08.000You know, libertarians are constantly purity testing each other.
02:18:12.000And you'd think that, you know, ostensibly libertarians are supposed to be like, you do what you want just so long as you want to be free.
02:18:18.000But as soon as someone says, well, you know, we need the politics of addition, not Subtraction.
02:18:24.000I feel like in general, though, the left, I think for the left, progressivism is more of a religion.
02:18:28.000I feel like a lot of people on the right are just like want to do their thing and make sure government isn't in their way.
02:18:33.000So I think inherently the left is more prone to purity.
02:18:37.000Yeah, the MAGA coalition was not as much all right wing or all Republican as it was, I reject the woke of the left.
02:19:25.000Right, but for the honest, the purpose of woke right was to create a catch all for people he could smear as anti Semites and white supremacists the same way alt right did.
02:19:34.000So he's outright saying he knows all these people have different ideologies, but he wants to create an insult for all of them to freak people out.
02:19:40.000It's like I don't use the term woke when I. Complain about things in movies and TV shows because my definition of that is likely very different.
02:19:48.000Like, you have a very specific definition you have for that term, but I could people give you the correct definition, but people could give you 10,000 different definitions for what they consider to be something woke in a movie or a television show.
02:19:58.000So, it's inherently not beneficial for me to describe it that way, especially if I'm trying to tell you to or to not to see something.
02:20:49.000Everybody is, you know, it's just people who have some type of problem with Israel.
02:20:54.000There's people on all sides of the aisle that have their thing, and that's what they focus on because it's not necessarily about speaking truth to power as much as they say that that's true.
02:21:04.000It's about garnering an audience and holding that audience.
02:22:00.000Their nuclear materials, U.S. troops withdrawn from the region, the U.S. accepted Iran's 10 point peace plan.
02:22:06.000So, what do you guys think about that?
02:22:08.000I don't think the U.S. has actually accepted the 10 point peace plan.
02:22:12.000Yeah, it's a framework for negotiation, but also beyond that, I don't know.
02:22:16.000There are a million and one variables.
02:22:17.000We don't know what's going to happen, so I don't know what to prescribe next.
02:22:20.000It does look like the journal has reported about some of the edicts in the peace plan, and they seem a little unreasonable about what Iran wants.
02:22:30.000I think we should just go back to focusing on Epstein.
02:22:32.000I think that would be really beneficial.
02:22:34.000I think we'd get a lot done if we did that.
02:23:05.000They shot a lot of missiles at Israel.
02:23:07.000I'm not sure that Israel should owe them.
02:23:09.000I think Iran's got plenty of oil, they got plenty of money.
02:23:12.000And it's kind of like a Venezuela situation where a lot of Western companies invested in Iran and then they sort of took over the means of production.
02:23:18.000So I think that's why when Trump was saying, Oh, to the victor goes the spoils, I think there is a sense in which they stole a lot of effort and work and infrastructure from many companies quite a long time ago.
02:23:34.000There is talk about them charging for transit through the Strait of Hormuz and splitting the money with Oman.
02:23:41.000I don't know if that's actually true, but one of the reasons that was stated for that was because they were going to use that to rebuild the infrastructure.
02:23:50.000But no, I don't think the U.S. should give them a dime.
02:23:52.000I don't think the U.S. needs to give them anything.
02:23:56.000So, I guess what I was kind of thinking of was the United States helped Germany rebuild after World War II.
02:24:02.000So, I was just kind of wondering what your thoughts were if there was any sort of parallel or not.
02:24:08.000Like, Germany and Japan literally signed treaties or like Hitler killed themselves.
02:24:12.000Like, it was very clear that they had lost and that Nazism and the powers were not going to exist in the same way.
02:24:23.000So, I think if Iran wanted to surrender, yeah, we can have a Marshall Plan 2.0 if we're going to see serious regime change there, but why would we?
02:24:32.000I think somebody made this distinction between there's a difference between regime change and regimes acting differently.
02:24:37.000And from the American vantage point, the only thing that matters is the regime is acting differently, but we don't need to prop them up and give them cash.
02:24:48.000And then my last question is do you think this is productive American policy?
02:24:53.000So, kind of throwing the world into chaos, in a sense, holding the world hostage unless Iran bends the knees.
02:24:59.000So, energy shortages, fertilizer shortages, et cetera.
02:25:03.000Is all of this destruction morally worth it for the petrodollar?
02:25:08.000For American hegemonic power, if you want the U.S. to stay on top of all the other countries, you don't want a Chinese Communist Party controlling the world, then yes.
02:25:24.000I think the Belt Road Initiative is obvious that they're trying to build their own IMF, their own liberal economic order, and will be under their boot.
02:25:35.000I also think there's something to be said for Iran.
02:25:37.000You know, Iran and China and Russia are all allies.
02:25:40.000So I think weakening one weakens the other.
02:25:42.000And that's why the Ukrainians and Zelensky was actually very supportive of our action in Iran.
02:25:48.000Because if we are able to weaken them, that inherently impacts China, which gets much more of their oil from Iran than really anybody else.
02:25:56.000I mean, I'm of the opinion that a lot of this had to do with China.
02:26:01.000I don't think that it was exclusively China.
02:26:02.000I think that a lot of it, I think it was, you know, Israel deciding, saying that they're going to attack Iran, you know, kind of forced the U.S.'s hand.
02:26:09.000But I also think that the U.S. looked at the situation and said, you know, this is actually going to be really bad for China.
02:26:15.000Regardless of, I think I still have a lot of questions about the strategy long term, but regardless, I think the display that our military put on and the success from a military vantage point, I mean, the AI we were using, this is the first time we deployed some of these incredible new technologies we have, but the way that they were able to rescue the soldiers, they had a heartbeat detector.
02:26:37.000So they were able to find his heartbeat over the span of, Thousands of miles.
02:26:41.000So I think that is certainly a deterrent to China to show off everything that we've created.
02:27:14.000So, like I said, I think a lot of this had to do with China, even though I don't think that it was exclusively China.
02:27:19.000I'm not saying that it was all because of China.
02:27:22.000But I think that the reason why the U.S. thought that it was a good idea to do this was like, we can make this work to our advantage by putting China in.
02:27:30.000Yeah, there's like ripple effects on the proxies that are now sort of decimated, but also.
02:27:37.000And I've mentioned this a couple times.
02:27:40.000Like when the Biden administration met with China, the entourage was talking to Blinken and they came right out and said, you are not negotiating from a position of strength.
02:29:02.000So, got anything you want to add or shout out?
02:29:07.000Yeah, so I guess something I kind of want to add a little bit is just that.
02:29:12.000So, I'm teaching my seven year old son how to play chess, and he's getting very, very good.
02:29:17.000And I guess the way that I kind of see this is as much as I hate to see the destruction and the use of our military and the just kind of free floating anxiety throughout the world, it's kind of like removing a bishop off the board.
02:29:31.000It's maybe not as powerful as a queen.
02:29:33.000But it's still a problem piece that is, you know, especially if he's controlling the center of the board, it's kind of like you got to get that piece off the board or do something with it to, you know, to try and protect your own side so that you can essentially win in the long term.
02:29:48.000And that's how I kind of, I guess that's how I kind of look at it.
02:30:09.000It's a literal gambit in the truest sense of the chess terminology.
02:30:12.000Trump is making a move that has potential risks in a hope to position his enemies in a way that will give him the advantage in the long term.
02:30:19.000If Trump succeeds here, it swings the advantage so heavily that I don't see the BRICS nations ever recovering.
02:30:26.000So they're not going to be crushed immediately.
02:30:28.000He's not checkmating, but it's a foregone conclusion at this point.
02:30:31.000They may actually just say, okay, okay, shake hands and say, let us know how to run this.
02:31:48.000It's been really awesome to watch things moving the way they have been.
02:31:51.000And yeah, no, I just want to get into this.
02:31:54.000So, what you guys were talking about with private equity earlier made me jump onto my computer and go to the Discord and say, Hey, I'd like to talk to Tim about this.
02:32:02.000It sounded to me like you were really defending private equity.
02:32:04.000And I come to this topic as a libertarian capitalist myself.
02:32:10.000I'm not anti capitalism, of course, but I think the way private equity is operating is very sketchy and is hurting the economy in general and hurting the American people.
02:32:19.000So, I just wanted to get a clarification from you, Tim, on how you feel about private equity and how you're actually, like, what your actual point on this is.
02:32:26.000And if that Is taking into account the issues of these leverage buyouts, the collateral obligation loans that they're putting the companies under, recipe thinning, asset stripping, all these things that these private equity firms are doing that are destroying these companies.
02:32:39.000And these things are also being passed off to pension firms as well.
02:32:42.000So you're describing specific companies that have done a bad thing.
02:32:45.000Private equity as a function is when investors come into a business.
02:32:51.000Like private equity is a vague, generic term that has been used by activists upset about large companies that do bad things to start attacking just general capitalism.
02:33:03.000So, if Phil and I pool resources and say we're going to start a private equity firm, we each put in 20 grand, small, and we say we're going to buy a small business off BizBuySell that we think is not doing a good job, there's a reason they're selling.
02:33:17.000We're going to invest in it, clean it up, and fix it up and make a profit.
02:33:33.000Like, you're talking about this company did a bad thing.
02:33:36.000Don't attack the idea of investing in a business in general as bad.
02:33:41.000Language wise, I feel like it's from videos that are being made where somebody makes a general point about a company.
02:33:46.000Like the video I was talking about earlier about the private equity firm, the specific one that bought up these hockey rinks and removed the rights of parents to film their kids with their phones because they have a streaming service.
02:33:56.000That they have to subscribe to if they want to see their kids play hockey.
02:33:59.000And the video is basically like private equity is doing this thing when what he could be saying is like this company and others like it are doing that thing.
02:34:38.000I just, I was, that's what I thought you were talking about earlier, Tim.
02:34:41.000I just wanted to make sure because it seems like it was being talked about in the context of private equity being used in a colloquial sense.
02:34:47.000But I understand that, you know, describing it as a generalization.
02:34:50.000It's like this when the left says abolish profit, and then you say to them, like, but if a man makes birdhouses and the materials cost $20, How will he buy food after selling his birdhouse if he can't profit?
02:35:03.000They go, No, we're not talking about that.
02:35:33.000Should we be finding some other term to use for these companies that are explicitly engaging in these practices?
02:35:38.000I was talking about with the hockey rinks.
02:35:40.000This is happening across multiple industries with not just retail and food service, but also hospitals, veterinary.
02:35:46.000There's a lot of, and even in the trades as well, this is happening across a large amount of the economy, and this is going to cause an issue.
02:35:52.000So should we be finding some other term to refer to these companies specifically?
02:35:58.000But I mean, this is a very large chunk of private equity which is doing this.
02:36:03.000Pretty much any private equity company that's publicly traded.
02:36:07.000I actually, not to toot my own horn here, actually, I wrote a story that I think is very cool about now there are companies that are sort of trying to offer an alternative because one issue we have is sort of this what's referred to as a silver tsunami, where there's a lot of boomers and folks who've created these sort of small and medium sized businesses.
02:36:26.000They're retiring and they face these two options either they shutter their business or in some cases the only option is to sell to private equity.
02:36:34.000And some of these folks don't want to do that.
02:36:35.000And To large private equity firms that are publicly traded because they've seen the outcome is employees get fired, prices are more expensive, and the investment that they personally made in the community of supporting local charities and whatnot and giving back, large private equity firms that are headquartered in New York City, for instance, aren't going to invest in their community.
02:36:56.000So there's one company I wrote about, it's, I think, I'm blanking on American Operator, but I know there's other companies doing this as well.
02:37:02.000And they're basically trying to offer an alternative where they partner with.
02:37:08.000Somebody in the community to help that person purchase the business and sort of keep the money, keep the profit, keep the business locally owned and not outsource it to a big company.
02:37:21.000It feels like such a dying effort in today's day and age, too.
02:37:23.000I don't think, but I think people want that option.
02:37:27.000I take another look at, too, like even with large private equity firms, the thing that annoys me about it, too, is there are a lot of companies that are dysfunctional, run by morons, and by luck, they're staying afloat.
02:37:40.000They should have someone come in and gut it and clean it up.
02:37:44.000So, even large scale private equity, I think, is a good thing.
02:37:47.000The idea that like businesses should just get to exist is communist to me.
02:37:53.000Don't get me wrong, there are nefarious practices in the business with debt, loading a business with debt to offload it and things like that, then bankrupt it.
02:38:03.000There are quantitative ripple effects.
02:38:05.000Like the cost, I forget, I think Bank of America produced a research study that said, as a result of some of these big private equity companies buying up veterinarian clinics, Prices are up something like 38% over the last five years.
02:38:18.000And so there are, like, how would you respond to that?
02:38:20.000Because there are quantifiable impacts on price, on quality, on the.
02:38:25.000Open a veterinary clinic and compete and offer cheaper prices.
02:38:30.000It is communist to say that because a business is bought another business, we should shut that business down instead of why doesn't someone just open a competing clinic next door that offers cheaper prices and steals all the business, putting them under?
02:38:43.000Starbucks will open, allegedly, Opens a coffee shop across the street from a mom and pop shop, drops their prices at a loss so that people stop going to the mom and pop shop, putting them out of business, then they normalize their prices.
02:40:29.000You know, you have the protagonist, George Bailey, who is trying to get back.
02:40:36.000And I guess you could say that, like, who, Mr. Potter is just being, he's reducing costs and.
02:40:46.000Creating, I don't even know what the terminology would be, but there's some, I don't know.
02:40:50.000There's something, and again, I can't quantify it, but it's like a moral thing that I think Frank Capra encapsulated in his wonderful life.
02:40:56.000Is the idea just like any crack begets a flood and any regulation at all is just too dangerous?
02:41:54.000But more importantly, we just saw in Kentucky the state Supreme Court ruled that the Kentucky legislature, having voted 73 to 14 to do so, cannot impeach a state circuit judge, citing that there is a judiciary review committee that is supposed to do that, not the legislature.
02:42:14.000We, as a country, are officially cooked.
02:42:18.000Well, I mean, it's just one state, but yeah, I think we've been locked down for a long time.
02:42:24.000I think they're telling us outright we're chickens in a chicken coop.
02:42:36.000I mean, I don't really, I don't, I'm not familiar with what you're talking about, but the idea of getting rid of judges is, it seems to me, one of the more difficult things that absolutely has to happen if we're going to have, if we're going to straighten out what's going on, the problems in our government, right?
02:42:55.000Like a judge should not be able to decide that something the president does.
02:43:02.000You mean all the injunctions and stuff?
02:43:20.000And everything that, like the whole rest of the country, still goes, you know, as had been before the injunction.
02:43:29.000And then when the specific person's specific, you know, claimant or, you know, whatever gets in front of the court and the court finds, then maybe it'll go to the rest of the country.
02:44:58.000I am here to tell you about streamers.com.
02:45:01.000Streamers.com was created by a small creator who got tired of trying to find all sorts of people to do all sorts of tasks necessary for their streaming, and he built it.
02:45:13.000This is somebody who has taken Rumble's platform and just with their API fixed many, many bugs that are associated with Rumble.