Trump Sentencing DELAYED, Trump WILL NOT Face Prison Until AFTER Election w-Ivy Lauren | Timcast IRLTrump Sentencing DELAYED, Trump WILL NOT Face Prison Until AFTER Election w-Ivy Lauren | Timcast IRL
Donald Trump's sentencing has been delayed until after the election, so the chance of him going to jail before the election is, as of now, probably zero. Plus, a bunch of major retailers are shutting down, and we ve got three stories pulled from the past day of Macy s, LL Flooring, and The New York Times. And then, ladies and gentlemen, which may surprise many of you, Dick Cheney will be voting for Kamala Harris.
00:00:44.000A bunch of major retailers are shutting down.
00:00:46.000And we've got three stories pulled up from the past day of all these Macy's, LL Flooring, And it's crazy that Lichtman's prediction for Trump to lose is partially predicated upon the economy being good.
00:01:00.000He thinks the economy is good, and I'm just like, I don't know how you look at that when stores are closing down, negatively impacting short-term, and with hundreds of locations shutting down, that's definitely bad long-term.
00:01:11.000However, he has specific criteria for whatever that really means, so it should be interesting.
00:01:46.000You know, we knew you well, but support us at Casper.
00:01:48.000Also, head over to TimCast.com, click join us to become a member and support our work directly.
00:01:54.000If you think the show and the work we do is good, and you want to see it continue, then we definitely need your support as of right now, more than ever.
00:02:03.000Largely, we are preparing a lawsuit against the Kamala Harris campaign for defamation, and we I have reviewed documents.
00:02:11.000I can't say too much because we're getting close to making the moves we have to make, but these things do take time and maybe we'll see something by next week.
00:02:34.000I am an ambassador for Turning Point USA.
00:02:38.000I am an ambassador for Live Action, for Students for Life, and I love creating content around motherhood, around encouraging women to embrace things like motherhood, marriage, and femininity.
00:02:48.000And, you know, things that aren't really encouraged these days.
00:03:14.000Judge delays Trump sentencing in Hushmoney case until after November election.
00:03:19.000The former president was scheduled to be sentenced on September 18th.
00:03:23.000A New York judge has delayed Trump sentencing on felony criminal charges.
00:03:26.000Quote, This is not a decision this court makes lightly, but it is the decision which in the court's view best advances the interests of justice.
00:03:34.000Judge Juan Marchand wrote in the decision handed down Friday.
00:03:37.000Marchand issued the ruling after Trump's attorneys had asked him to postpone the sentencing until after the election to allow them to appeal a pending ruling involving presidential immunity.
00:03:46.000That ruling was expected by September 16th, just two days before what would have been the first ever sentencing of a former president on criminal charges.
00:03:55.000They go on to mention the charges, which we know.
00:03:58.000Rashan said in his order Friday that he took that as the DA essentially consenting to the request.
00:04:04.000Well, let me actually say, prosecutors from Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg's office said they would defer to the court on whether an adjournment is warranted to allow for orderly appellate litigation of any Trump appeal, but would be prepared to appear for sentencing on any future date the court sets.
00:04:20.000Murshan said in his order Friday that he took this as the DA essentially consenting to the request.
00:04:24.000He also acknowledged that the case is one that stands alone in a unique place in this nation's history.
00:04:30.000And so I have to wonder, some speculation right now is the reason they're doing this is because they fear sentencing Donald Trump would actually boost him.
00:04:37.000And Nate Silver has already got him favored to win.
00:04:41.000Yeah, it's interesting because Marshawn mentions the mitigating factors that's unique to this case, you know, that they're bringing charges or they're trying to sentence the one of the major political parties in America's presidential candidates.
00:04:54.000I think that the lawfare against Trump is losing fuel.
00:04:59.000I think even gung-ho progressives in these DA's office or in the DOJ that at one time thought that this was going to really be valuable to them.
00:05:08.000Realize the clock is running out and that putting Trump behind bars wouldn't have the effect they want.
00:05:14.000I also think that they they want there to be drama after the election, so they have to keep some things back to be able to say, you know, if he does win, well, then we want that that perp walk photo of this president.
00:05:26.000You know, is this really who you want to be your president?
00:05:29.000Yeah, well they've seen how the first time around, the photo, went around with everyone and they see how he had big boost in money.
00:05:36.000What'd he make, like a hundred million dollars plus?
00:05:38.000And this was just- They have some of the best campaign merch of all time.
00:05:41.000The iconic, iconic mugshot, like sweatshirts and mugs.
00:05:45.000And that's one of the only times he like got back on X at that point.
00:05:48.000He was sort of there to drop his crazy merch and then leave.
00:05:51.000Yeah, I'm wondering, would this have any effect on the gag order?
00:06:46.000They had issued him so many fines, they were like, maybe it's time to put you on court.
00:06:50.000I mean, that's really what Mershawn obviously wants.
00:06:53.000And if I'm not mistaken, there's a congressional committee that's calling Mershawn's daughter's employer, because remember, she was part of a group fundraising off of Trump's legal issues in favor of Democrats, obviously, I feel like.
00:07:07.000I have to clarify, even though we all know how that goes.
00:07:10.000You know, I really think that there is a fear that they don't know what to do with Donald Trump.
00:08:09.000She's trying to get him up because it's case is law, says a judge dictates that a judge must recuse from a case where a relationship up to and including a sixth degree has a financial interest in the outcome of the case, and that is him and his daughter.
00:09:15.000I think it's become a very contentious issue for a lot of reasons.
00:09:19.000Some people totally justified, but I think people are feeling the drama of the 24-hour news cycle that has fed us into this election in particular.
00:09:30.000I mean, every election someone says, this is beyond all of our nation, but I feel like this year more than ever because of sort of The number of unprecedented historical events that have happened, people really feel like this is make or break.
00:09:45.000And that tension doesn't just go away on election day.
00:09:49.000Even if your candidate wins, you have some kind of momentum.
00:09:52.000The other side is obviously going to be in reaction to it.
00:10:54.000It's like with Twitter, with X, and with Instagram and those other platforms, there's a 24-7 violent mob confined to these social spaces where they don't have the physical capability to go and smash things, but it's just like, you take that large group of people and put them in the street with pitchforks and torches screaming, just banging on the ground, and that's the internet, that's social media.
00:11:31.000I think culturally, we're getting further and further apart.
00:11:35.000There's this huge divide, and I feel like people who used to not care so much about politics are jumping on one of the sides, and they have more at stake with every election that happens.
00:11:45.000So I do think it is kind of hype of being, you know, this is the most important election, but I also think it actually is.
00:11:51.000This is the most divided we've ever been, and both sides, I think, see so much to be lost if they don't win.
00:11:58.000And we're going to war if we don't win.
00:12:01.000I don't know that we avoid war at all.
00:12:05.000I don't know at this point how Trump stops it.
00:12:08.000I mean, look, a year ago I was like, oh, if Trump were to win, he gets in and he can negotiate the peace.
00:12:16.000And yeah, man, it seems like certainly there's a better choice with Donald Trump than the Democrats.
00:12:23.000You think the dominoes have been hit down?
00:12:26.000Yeah, and I felt like that was the plan.
00:12:27.000We talked about this earlier in the year, that Democrats are going to inflame the tensions to the point where even Trump won't be able to pull it back because they want to make sure they get their war.
00:12:36.000And hedging their bets is, well, if Donald Trump does win, at least the war will be at a point where it can't be rescinded.
00:12:42.000Trump would not be able to give up certain territories that just ended overnight.
00:12:46.000Like a bit part player like Buttigieg or anybody else.
00:12:50.000But what if now she's like, no, you guys nominated me for president once, I deserve a second shot.
00:12:55.000Like, she might not be able, she's not, I mean, she's, she's what, in her 60s?
00:12:59.000She might be around for a little while now.
00:13:01.000What if she sort of Hillary Clinton's it and like, every couple years throws her hat into the ring?
00:14:04.000We have this clip from Stephen Crowder.
00:14:06.000President Trump responds to Crowder undercover bombshell.
00:14:10.000So the Crowder undercover team recorded the chief public affairs guy from the DOJ saying that the cases against Donald Trump, or specifically the case around his real estate, is a travesty of justice.
00:14:22.000Donald Trump has responded, and we have this clip here from Crowder.
00:16:22.000You were so close to having your dignity and your respect, and we want to give it to you because I appreciate what he was saying on the undercover camera, but it's only going to work if it's backed up by what he says in real life.
00:16:32.000He should come out and say, it's how I feel.
00:17:06.000But what is this about these undercover videos?
00:17:08.000It's the same thing with James O'Keefe, where, you know, he sends a woman into a date.
00:17:13.000She meets with some like executive at a law firm and he's like, let me impress you with
00:17:16.000some corporate malfeasance I'm involved in.
00:17:19.000Like, what about a guy going and saying, the department that I work for, or the prosecutors here are bad people who are destroying the justice system?
00:17:30.000If he was saying, like, if he was wearing binoculars and a safari cap and he was juggling, like, some rare African bird and was like, look what I can do and look where I've been, I'd be like, that's trying to impress somebody.
00:17:48.000Everybody knows, guys, when you're going on a first date, talk about politics to the woman, especially how you don't like Democrats, because everybody knows women You get my point?
00:18:01.000They're in Manhattan and he just like meets a girl and he's like I'm gonna just assume she's conservative like interesting and bold choice unless she just signaled that she was supportive of Trump and he felt like he had to defend him but you know I think what's sort of sad about this is like This guy probably wants to talk about this all the time.
00:18:18.000He probably does want to talk about what's going on.
00:18:20.000And instead, I guess, at fear of losing his job, which, sir, you have to go back to this office now with all of these people and pretend you didn't say the things that you said.
00:18:35.000If you wanted to impress a conservative woman, you say something like that and then you stick by it and you say, yeah, like, come at me, but that's the truth.
00:19:21.000But I wonder if a component of this postponement is that with all this stuff going on, especially with this leak, And the prediction models, they're like, if Trump wins, we're in trouble, so get on his good side, or at least try to be on his good side.
00:19:36.000The leak came out first, and then Michonne said, hey, we're going to go ahead and move it out.
00:19:39.000This came out, and then, yep, this was the other day.
00:19:41.000So I could see this coming out, and you'd be like, okay, my bad, let's just postpone it until after the election.
00:19:46.000Well, this for sure has something to do with it, yeah, if this was before.
00:19:50.000I still think that, like, they want to be able to get some kind of purport.
00:19:55.000I think there is a chance that they know Trump is going to win, and, like, as a last-ditch spiteful effort, they want to be able to run the headline, President-elect reports to jail.
00:20:02.000Yes, but you only flick the balls of a lion if the lion is in a cage that he can't get out of.
00:20:07.000Don't you think there's just an arrogance, though?
00:20:09.000Like, they just think that they can pull it off?
00:20:38.000Look, if Trump was expected to lose, they'd lock him up.
00:20:41.000The fear is that putting him in jail helps him and he might win and then he's going to get revenge.
00:20:45.000Yeah. And like I said, I think afterwards they want to be able to puncture any kind of like
00:20:50.000Trump wins media headlines with. President goes to prison.
00:20:53.000I think that there is there is like this last optic that they are trying to hold on to.
00:20:58.000Maybe they won't sentence him if he gets elected, but I think there is, you know, people like Alvin Bragg and to a certain extent Marchand have really staked their careers on this and they did it with the ambition of climbing higher within the DNC and the progressive arm of American politics.
00:21:14.000You know, they want to have the last say in this until it becomes impossible to speak anymore.
00:21:20.000And I feel like with the, going back to the Crowder thing, like they know, I feel like they all know that what Bashan is doing is bad.
00:21:27.000Like it's not like, it's not hidden news.
00:21:29.000So he has, when he has a chance to talk to a pretty lady who's probably good at goading him out with some information, he'll gladly say it out loud to her in person instead of holding it tight.
00:21:37.000Cause it's already like, it's like there at the crisp top of everyone knowing that it's true.
00:21:41.000So she just says, gives him a little bit of push and he brings it out.
00:21:43.000Wouldn't it be funny if like 14 other people come forward and they're like, oh yeah, I golf with him.
00:22:20.000You can just tell, you can tell he's being real.
00:22:22.000You can tell that that clip is like his real, normal self.
00:22:25.000And then, just to come out, I just don't understand why you don't, if you're gonna do that, if you know it's out there, just stand by what you're saying.
00:22:32.000Because now you made enemies of all kinds of people.
00:23:17.000Like, Tim Walz's family endorsed Trump.
00:23:19.000Well, there's a picture of his family doing it, so we assume that to be the case.
00:23:25.000You know, when we find conflicts, my favorite example is Politico has a story claiming that Ukraine interfered in the 2016 election to assist Hillary Clinton, and Politico also has another story claiming that the allegation Ukraine interfered in the 2016 election to help Clinton is Russian disinformation.
00:23:44.000So I don't necessarily believe that it's always been as bad, but it still may be a part of the Internet, so I'm wondering if a large component of what we're seeing is actually just It's the natural process by which the narrative machine falls apart.
00:23:57.000The opinions of officials back in the day used to be just like this guy is now, and then publicly he'd never say anything, and he didn't have Twitter, and there weren't really a lot of undercover cameras, so you'd never hear it.
00:24:08.000But now, because of the internet, some random dude with a camera or Steven Crowder's crew can get him on candid camera, and now more and more of the truth is breaking out of the narrative machine.
00:24:19.000Yeah, I think that there's an aspect to that.
00:24:21.000Oh, I was gonna say, that's what journalism is supposed to be.
00:24:23.000It's like, in some ways, it's a double-edged sword with social media and all this information, because a lot of these people will find, you know, they actually become the watchdogs for the government, which is what journalism is supposed to be and what it hasn't been in so long.
00:24:41.000I think that the difference between the private opinion and the, like, I'm going to stand by what my employer is saying was easier before the internet.
00:24:53.000I mean, you see this all the time now where people will get in trouble for something you post online.
00:24:56.000Maybe that's not fair because it doesn't represent their company's values that someone reports on them.
00:25:01.000In this case, I actually feel like, and I'm just a broken record over here, but you know, I feel like having at least one person in that office who is like, yeah, it seems like this is not good.
00:25:11.000I don't agree with the choices that were made.
00:25:13.000As an independent American, that makes me feel better, right?
00:25:17.000I don't, I always had questions about this and I think even not super political people look at the number of cases that That different branches of law enforcement brought against Trump over the last couple years.
00:25:31.000And they say, like, obviously there's some kind of coordinated effort to get him.
00:25:35.000You don't want to be looking at these institutions and saying, no one in there would ever take my concerns seriously.
00:25:41.000You want there to be someone who is like, this doesn't seem right.
00:26:11.000Before we... Let's jump right into Nate Silver's prediction, actually.
00:26:15.000So we got this interactive poll says latest Nate Silver 538 forecast chance of winning August 23 Harris 53.5 to Trump 46.1 but as of September 6th Trump is at 61.5 to Harris is 38.3 we actually have it here silver bulletin and it looks like they predict Trump is good as of right now and this could change Nevada and Arizona go Trump.
00:27:21.000Many of these polls typically favor Democrats, so it could be within the margin of error.
00:27:26.000More importantly, national popular vote does not matter for who wins the president.
00:27:31.000So, of course, if the polls show a 3% skew towards Harris, but that's mostly Los Angeles, New York, and, you know, Illinois or Chicago or whatever, then it doesn't matter.
00:27:41.000Trump wins the swing states, Trump wins the election.
00:27:45.000I was in northeastern PA this last past weekend, and everywhere are Trump signs.
00:27:50.000Even very outskirts of Scranton, which is definitely Harris, 100% Democrat.
00:27:55.000Well, because Joe is from Scranton, hypothetically.
00:27:59.000Anyways, even on outskirts, like the small cities, I've been seeing more Trumps, because I was doing a lot of driving around my family's here and there.
00:28:06.000But you do usually see Obama or Biden on these little small towns.
00:28:13.000Small offshoots of the city, but I'm seeing Trump, so that's huge.
00:28:15.000I feel like that's a good sign for PA to win Trump.
00:29:05.000I almost feel like it's like the one house in the neighborhood that's trying to point out to everyone else that they're Democrats.
00:29:11.000Like it's only if there's other Trump flags.
00:29:13.000Yeah, well it's also never just, I never see just a Biden sign.
00:29:16.000I feel like I always see a Biden sign or Biden-Harris sign or whatever it is now, plus a pride flag, plus like some other like symbols of like, we're not like the rest of you.
00:29:26.000But, and maybe that's because I'm in West Virginia.
00:29:29.000I think that it's Nice to see polls like this.
00:29:32.000It makes me so nervous that conservative voters will get complacent.
00:29:37.000Like, I just, you know, when the polls leaned, when you saw this rise in Kamala Harris, you know, gaining some ground after the initial bump after she was announced, then she picks walls and conventions, stuff like that.
00:29:50.000I think it was a good reminder to People who will vote Republican, Independent, Federal, Leaning, Conservative, that like they have to do something.
00:29:58.000It's not enough to look at like a surging Trump poll and be like, cool, somebody's got this.
00:30:03.000You know, a likely voter is not the same thing as someone who has definitely cast a ballot for Trump.
00:30:08.000And, you know, early voting starts in Pennsylvania, you know, in about 10 days.
00:30:15.000But that's my biggest fear, I guess, that people will be like, oh, well, he looks like he's in the lead, so I'll just stay home today or I won't do anything about it.
00:30:29.000And also with with independents and, you know, there's millions more registered Democrats than Republicans.
00:30:37.000So if we if we want to have it in the bag, we have to, you know, Get those people to, and not just, like you said, not arrogant, not get complacent.
00:30:46.000Do you feel like anyone's complacent right now?
00:31:09.000I mean, Joe Biden flipped, like, winning the primary, but then dropping out is very anomalous.
00:31:16.000So I don't know if anyone can predict what's going to happen.
00:31:18.000I don't even know if Nate Silver's predictions make sense, because Nate Silver is accounting for public sentiment.
00:31:24.000Is he accounting for bureaucracy and administrative and procedural place?
00:31:28.000The polls that I like the most right now, that I personally feel the most comfort in reading, are state-level polls where the presidential election is not the only issue.
00:31:38.000Like, again, I was talking about this the other day, but Montana, AARP released one about Montana that was largely about the Senate race.
00:31:45.000It talked about, you know, the influence of uptick in voting, you know.
00:31:49.000Whether they're going to vote for Trump or Harris, but I feel like people will say one thing about the top of the ticket.
00:31:55.000They're like, oh yeah, I'll probably vote for this guy, whatever else.
00:31:57.000But people who are actively thinking about their congressional seats, their Senate seats, the people who are willing to give you an opinion on that, I feel like they are the most likely to turn out to vote because it's easy to, you know, you said football season's about to start.
00:32:39.000I was through Martinsburg this week earlier.
00:32:42.000I didn't see anything, at least in the main strips.
00:32:45.000You know, I've seen a couple of Harris signs here and there, but nothing significant.
00:32:48.000You drive around and everything's a Trump flag or something like that.
00:32:51.000So I grew up in Connecticut, which is always blue, but it would make me laugh during 2016 because I would go back, it was in college at the time.
00:33:00.000There were houses that had Trump signs, which I was kind of surprised about because it's, you know, a pretty blue area.
00:33:05.000And there were very few houses that had Biden signs.
00:33:10.000It's not that the Democrat didn't win the state.
00:33:15.000It's just that, like, the Trump supporters were more willing to talk about their stance, which is interesting culturally.
00:33:21.000And people who are voting Democrat, I guess, just didn't feel the need to, like, They weren't that into Hillary Clinton, I think.
00:33:28.000I really think for the last four campaigns that the Democrats have fielded, which is Clinton, Biden, Biden Part 2, and now the Harris-Walls takeover, they're all actually about Trump, right?
00:33:40.000It's sort of about their candidate in the sense that they have a name on the ticket, but actually they are Asking voters to vote against Trump.
00:33:46.000And I just don't think that narrative holds up right now, especially given the state of the economy, the state of national trust, the way we look like we were standing on the international stage.
00:33:56.000I think voters, I think it would have been better for the Democrats if they had an actual inspirational candidate.
00:34:02.000And they didn't have that twice this year.
00:34:04.000And that's what they already did in 2020 of, like, that guy is orange and bad and he's, you know, awful.
00:34:18.000They can't, you know, like, point to him.
00:34:21.000Did you guys ever have someone... I have a couple friends who are, you know, always going to vote Democrat.
00:34:26.000They believe that, you know, they're progressive to the core.
00:34:29.000But they're, you know, after Trump was president, there was, you know, a lot of people got money back on their tax turns because of some of the economic policies implemented.
00:34:38.000And I would have these friends turn to me and be like, yeah, I hate this guy, but I do have a lot of money right now.
00:36:25.000I think it was the Allies developed sonar and radar, or I think it was sonar, not sonar, radar, and was able to pinpoint locations at night.
00:36:34.000And in order to try and like, the Germans trying to figure out how do they know where we are at night.
00:36:38.000The West was just like, they spread a lie that they were eating a lot of carrots that was improving their eyesight so they had good contrast or whatever.
00:38:06.000A lower court in Michigan had said that Kennedy's name should not be removed, but the appeals court determined that Democrat Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson had no basis to deny Kennedy's request to withdraw his name from the ballot, the Detroit Free Press reports.
00:38:22.000The appeals court further determined that the law Benson used to justify her refusal to remove Kennedy's name from the ballot only to candidates for state office, not to presidential candidates such as Kennedy.
00:38:34.000It was only two days ago that the Michigan judge determined that Kennedy, the Kennedy,
00:38:38.000must remain on the November ballot, which would have potentially aided
00:38:41.000Vice President Kamala Harris's bid for the White House, which is the very candidate Kennedy is
00:38:45.000hoping to see defeated. I don't know if I agree with that logic, to be completely honest, because
00:38:50.000that argues Kennedy was always pulling from Trump.
00:38:54.000Him staying on the ballot may pull from the Democrats.
00:38:57.000I don't know why everyone's immediately assuming this is just bad for Trump.
00:39:00.000Is it because even though he's a Democrat, but he was kind of based Democrat, so they think anyone who's has some illogical brain cells might be voting for him from on the right side instead of the left side?
00:39:10.000Well, when he first announced that he was switching to an independent, a lot of people were like, Well, first off, let's remember that it was Democrat organizations that were trying to keep him off the ballot initially.
00:39:22.000I don't know of any Republican state-led effort that was like, we've got to keep RFK off the ballot.
00:39:29.000It was also his family that said he should drop out.
00:39:31.000This was when he was an independent because it would hurt the Democrats.
00:39:35.000So obviously someone thought it was bad for him to be there.
00:39:38.000But when he initially announced his candidacy and again when he announced that he was going to be an independent, there was a lot of enthusiasm among people who identified as conservative.
00:39:46.000But when you would look at polls that would ask them like, oh, so you like him?
00:39:49.000They'd be like, yeah, we think he's great.
00:39:50.000And they're like, are you going to vote for him?
00:39:51.000They'd be like, no, I'm voting for Trump.
00:39:54.000But, you know, I think he does appeal to a lot of voters.
00:39:57.000Now, independents are a little more mixed.
00:40:00.000But again, like, I don't think that an independent that was leaning towards Trump I don't think there's enough of them that were going to not vote for Trump.
00:40:09.000Whereas Democrats were deeply unhappy with Biden as a candidate and were looking for other options.
00:40:36.000And she's costing her own people, you know, their own money.
00:40:40.000Well, to go back to where we started, I think we can assume then if Trump really was losing voters to RFK Jr., this boosts Trump in Michigan.
00:41:15.000I think that it's interesting to watch the lawfare have gone from, we must keep him off the ballot to being like, no, now you can't get off the ballot.
00:41:24.000And in some ways, I think it's just another testament to how poorly the Democratic Party treats RFK Jr., who really could have been the sort of firebrand to breathe new life into the Democratic Party.
00:41:37.000If they were open to it, but they obviously weren't.
00:41:39.000There's a regiment direction they are trying to move in and he doesn't get to be a part of it.
00:41:44.000You know, Michigan is a state that I don't count on for Trump, but it would be interesting if not having RFK does tip it in his favors.
00:42:43.000If I'm remembering correctly, Michigan is one of the states that during the primary said basically there was a significant enough portion of votes that were saying, we want not Joe Biden.
00:42:57.000Yeah, the non-committed voters, which is fascinating, right?
00:43:01.000Because then that was largely at the time reported because of the Palestine-Israel conflict.
00:43:06.000So if those voters who, from all the interviews I've heard done with people who are, this is their single issue this year, it's not enough to have swapped out for Harris.
00:43:16.000They need the promises of a complete ceasefire.
00:43:20.000And I don't think anyone has won them over on the Democratic Party.
00:43:24.000So if you're a non-committed voter in Michigan, It's not that you're going to switch and vote for RFK, it's that you sit out the election entirely.
00:43:31.000So RFK's name coming off the ballot wouldn't win Trump those voters, it would just continue to free up voters who are going to pick someone else.
00:43:41.000It doesn't motivate the people that the Democrats actually need.
00:43:44.000And Kamala has never said anything about doing ceasefires.
00:43:47.000I still see people mad about her not going far enough to shut it down right now.
00:43:51.000She kind of just pays lip service to it.
00:44:05.000And once again, I'll throw it to the Lichtman prediction where it says that the incumbent party affects major national policy change.
00:44:12.000Without having any policies, I don't know how he's saying that's true.
00:44:15.000It's business as usual, unless she tells us she's doing something else.
00:44:18.000I mean, there was that stuff on the capital gains tax today where it's like, it's less than what Biden is suggesting, but it is still an increase.
00:44:25.000Like, it's like she is trying to suggest, oh, I'm not like Biden, but actually she is basically still the Biden-Harris administration, except for when she's copying Trump.
00:45:17.000It just feels like the over the past seven to 10 years, the collective IQ of this country has dropped by like 10 points.
00:45:27.000Or I don't know how else to describe it.
00:45:29.000But people that I knew who are otherwise smart, even if they weren't super, they didn't care, have seemingly lost the capability to comprehend Simple things?
00:46:18.000People were saying that he was gonna do a proper withdrawal.
00:46:22.000The general argument was, we're not gonna get an overnight withdrawal, you can't do it, but he's gonna wind this thing down, get our troops back, anti-war candidate, everyone's mad about the war, and I'm like, oh, okay, and I could look and see what his policies were all about and see what he was talking about.
00:46:35.000Kamala Harris and Tim Walz don't have anything.
00:46:37.000I don't know what they represent or what they will do.
00:46:41.000And I think that's how they want it, right?
00:46:43.000She doesn't want to have to answer any questions at any time.
00:46:45.000She doesn't want to be glued down to any promises because she doesn't have a vision for the country.
00:46:54.000I think this also might speak to some sort of discord within her campaign because one of the fascinating things about being like Hey, we're, you know, however many days out, we're gonna throw Kamala in now, is that she inherited the Biden campaign, meaning a lot of his volunteers and staffers, but then also brought in her own support staff.
00:47:12.000Like, they actually might, for all we know, be in a room every night fighting about the policies because she was staffed with even more progressive people than Biden was.
00:47:22.000And so they don't know what to present to the people because there is no plan.
00:47:32.000So like her staff now might not be who she wants them to be.
00:47:35.000They might just be people who got hired so they can't decide on what's going on.
00:47:39.000And some reporting that I've heard is that she doesn't really have any like Policy advisors that have been with her for a long time.
00:47:46.000You know, she's got her sister and she's got her husband and she's got her brother-in-law, but she doesn't have, you know, experts who she's been working with since her days in California.
00:47:57.000It's just insane because you go to like the local people running for office, like these small offices, you know, just locally and they have websites and they have policies and they have what they want to do.
00:48:07.000You want to be the leader of the free world, you have no policies on your website.
00:48:19.000I mean, what's interesting is there was this New York Times reporter talking about how he had done on-the-ground interviews with Harris Wall's volunteers in Nevada, and they were being told—Nevada, Nevada, don't come for me—they were being told, don't focus on policy, just focus on Vibe.
00:48:36.000Do you think they could win this election on Vibe alone?
00:49:37.000I feel like owning a boat is sort of like an achievement thing.
00:49:40.000Like you've come to a point in your life where you're able to buy this boat.
00:49:43.000But then also if you have come to a point in your life where you're able to buy the boat, you're probably working really hard and don't have that much free time.
00:49:47.000Yeah, you have to scrub the bottom and do a lot of work.
00:50:09.000That's why a lot of people who own boats charter them out.
00:50:12.000So it's like, you own a boat, you're gonna use it a couple times a year, you have a charter company manage it, and then people rent it, and a pilot takes it out, or a captain takes it out.
00:50:20.000Yeah, well, enough boat talk, I guess.
00:50:24.000So we have this from the Postmillennial.
00:50:27.000LL Flooring shutters all 442 stores after filing for bankruptcy.
00:50:32.000We've got this one, Macy's closing even more stores than originally planned from NJ.com.
00:50:38.000Macy's will be shuttering 150 stores over the next few years, adding that it would close 55 stores in 2024 instead of the 50 stores that were projected.
00:50:48.000Red Lobster to emerge from bankruptcy after closing dozens of locations.
00:51:14.000Yet when we looked at the prediction model from Lickman claiming that Kamala Harris is going to win, short-term economy, It says that the economy is not in a recession.
00:51:31.000I know those are specific things to say that are true, but I kind of feel like the rate at which businesses are shutting, it's going to have a massive impact on people and people don't feel like the economy is good.
00:51:42.000So it's a question of Does his model account for the alignment between whether the economy is officially good, meaning what he's basing this off of is people making statements.
00:51:54.000They are saying, here's our numbers, we think it's good.
00:51:57.000Does that correlate with how people actually feel?
00:52:00.000Because you see these men in the street interviews, even Don Lemon, and people are like, the economy is bad, we're struggling.
00:52:08.000I think with her not being the incumbent, I think his whole model is out the door.
00:52:14.000Because she's just, it is different than what it usually is.
00:52:17.000She's not the actual president incumbent.
00:52:18.000Yeah, but you could be a termed out president with your VP running.
00:52:22.000So where I would consider this is, the weird shenanigans around Biden dropping out, not because he was termed out, but because his brain don't work right, that says something weird.
00:52:34.000Like there's no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination.
00:52:39.000And the argument there is that They didn't have any votes at the convention, and that's what it means.
00:53:02.000Maybe he's saying, no, no, if there really was contention, then the politicians and the delegates at the conventions would be split because they'd be worried about what that meant for them back home.
00:53:16.000But these aren't congressmen and women.
00:53:18.000These are delegates who were sent in, you know, to vote.
00:53:22.000I don't know how he comes up with this stuff.
00:55:42.000I think the debate, like, I can't think October Surprise or anything else.
00:55:46.000I can really only think about the debate, because I think you get a whole new press cycle when people are deciding if Kamala is a defensible candidate.
00:55:54.000I also think that, similarly to the debate with Biden, Trump can push so hard on the issues.
00:56:03.000He can really hold her feet to the fire and be like, you haven't given anyone any specifics.
00:56:14.000She can't really girlboss her way out of the explanation for what she's going to do.
00:56:19.000I'm afraid that it's going to turn into sort of personal posturing and standoff and we'll get our, you know, excuse me, I am speaking moment or whatever she's going to try and pull out of her sleeve and that will derail the entire effectiveness of the debate.
00:57:01.000Nobody has been able to get a hold of you and been able to talk to you.
00:57:05.000So just right off the bat, he needs to push how she isn't a strong leader because you're the vice president right now and you're not answering our questions.
00:58:29.000So she's gonna go to Pennsylvania, and she might already be there right now, doing, like, several days of debate prep for this, because it's in Philadelphia.
00:58:36.000And I just wonder, if you're Kamala's handlers, like, what advice are you giving her right now?
00:59:23.000Like, if Trump can spar a little bit and be like, well, tell me right now, you know, if the question is about the economy and he can ask for a specific detail, I don't think she's prepared to speak candidly.
00:59:49.000She insisted that her name be front and center for the last three and a half years, and then she's going to back off to, well, I was oppressed by the white man who put me on the ticket?
01:00:28.000Because, you know, when my mom was raising me and then divert completely into an irrelevant personal story that she thinks makes herself... That's memorized.
01:00:35.000That's memorized, and she thinks makes herself looks likable.
01:01:33.000The first human case of bird flu has been detected in Missouri.
01:01:36.000On Friday, the CDC confirmed a human case of avian influenza, AH5.
01:01:42.000H5 bird flu was found by the Missouri Department of Health and Senior Services.
01:01:46.000The DHSS said the risk of sustained transmission of infection among the general public remains low.
01:01:51.000The organization said a patient was hospitalized on August 22nd, and additional testing showed a tested specimen for the individual was confirmed as bird flu.
01:02:38.000So the possibility it's already jumped to other humans is, it exists.
01:02:43.000You know, it's like they catch the one person and they're immediately gonna be like, who are you with?
01:02:46.000Friends and family, and then we're gonna monitor them for symptoms.
01:02:49.000Let's say we actually end up with several hundred thousand people having this, which means the virality factor is gonna be exponentially growing.
01:02:59.000Visually, you will be seeing people who are dying.
01:03:39.000This is a question that Ian brought up during the lockdowns or during lockdown period.
01:03:46.000He was like, You know, we were saying the lockdowns are wrong, the government should be allowed to do this, and he was just like, unless it's an airborne Ebola.
01:03:52.000And I'm like, ah, it's actually an interesting point.
01:03:55.000The severity of disease matters in whether or not we are willing to tolerate something.
01:04:00.000Now, a lot of people would still say no, and those are the consensus.
01:04:03.000A lot of people said no, no mandates, choice.
01:04:06.000If you want to go out during an Ebola pandemic in your own country, like, you make that choice to do it, you're gonna get sick.
01:04:11.000But we're talking like 60% mortality means, you know, what kind of penetration are we going to see of the virus?
01:04:22.000And if it's 10 million people, you see 6 million dead.
01:04:25.000And that's just 10 million people who catch it.
01:04:28.000I think a lot of people aren't going to argue about lockdowns.
01:04:44.000Like, I found 60 through Google, but if you heard a news report that was like, it's actually 65.
01:04:50.000If there's any kind of discrepancy, then people are going to start to be like, You guys don't give us any information and this is just a repeat of before and that had devastating consequences.
01:04:58.000Like, hopefully you would make a decision that's safe based on accurate information.
01:05:07.000But the problem is that, like, we went into severe lockdown and got very, very inaccurate reporting on all of this stuff.
01:05:16.000I mean, even years later, there was just all kinds of data that they were still combing through to try and categorize correctly.
01:05:22.000Uh, and I just think that, like, that is a deep scar that Americans are not going to get over, even Americans who were compliant initially.
01:05:41.000I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I think, I think a lot of people might say something like, yeah, that they shouldn't be allowed to mandate it.
01:05:48.000But if you're literally witnessing actual bird flu with 60% of people dying, people are going to stay home.
01:06:04.000Do you remember the travel restrictions?
01:06:05.000Like, there were states that are like, if you're coming from the state, don't come in here.
01:06:08.000I wonder if that would actually be the first step, if people would be open.
01:06:12.000They would want to be able to move in their communities if the infection rate was low, but they would be like, New York has high rates of bird flu.
01:06:21.000And you would actually see more serious checks on that.
01:06:23.000Because I think there are people that don't, like, you could see the logic.
01:06:26.000If it's really dangerous, they don't want to risk getting infected.
01:06:28.000On the other hand, They don't want to have to live in fear if actually their state is okay.
01:06:34.000And it's just if it's that contagious and everyone's dying like how you're just gonna sit in your house forever and you're just gonna like you have to get out you have to get food you have to do something.
01:06:55.000You give them a bird flu and they're going to demand it twice over.
01:06:59.000And then I think a lot of conservatives and libertarians will complain about the government mandates, but they're still going to abide by it for their own sake.
01:07:06.000There's a big difference between COVID, which I mean, what was the mortality rate?
01:09:55.000Then he died after 10 days in the hospital from a brain infection caused by Listeria bacteria, an illness that was confirmed to be linked to the contaminated Boar's Head products, the AP reported.
01:10:31.000And like the symptoms are fever, vomiting, like all sorts of gastroenterological stuff.
01:10:35.000But, you know, that comes with the risks of like severe dehydration.
01:10:38.000If you have any other medical injuries, if you're immunocompromised, like the stuff that they talked about with COVID, But also worse because it could be in your sandwich.
01:10:51.000I used to write a lot about recalls for Scanner, like when products would get recalled, because I just think it's really something that impacts people day to day, but also for some reason just never gets the coverage.
01:11:04.000We'd rather talk about, you know, mpox, which only affects a certain, you know, group of people right now, whereas anybody could potentially be exposed to contaminated food.
01:11:22.000Jason Hutchinson superchatted a good point.
01:11:24.000He says that 60% mortality would burn out too fast.
01:11:27.000This is the issue with why Ebola doesn't spread as crazily as people might fear.
01:11:35.000The disease is so brutal that people get terrified, it debilitates, it disables the individual so they can't spread it.
01:11:43.000And the most successful viruses are like the common cold, which is actually a whole bunch of different ones, but it's because the symptoms are super mild and people might be like, I don't know, I've got the sniffles, I don't want to stay home, and they go out and they infect everybody.
01:11:55.000But if you're seriously ill and throwing up and can't move, you can't leave your house, you're not infecting anybody.
01:12:02.000That doesn't make sense, Jason Hutchinson.
01:15:02.000I think a lot of things pushed me in that direction.
01:15:07.000Kamala Harris's failure to comply with her constitutional obligation to preside over the The Israel thing's really interesting, too, with how crazy everything is.
01:15:25.000I don't understand the political parties.
01:15:30.000Dershowitz is saying he's not a Democrat anymore because these protesters outside are praising Hamas, condemning Israel.
01:15:41.000Kamala Harris tries to play both sides in this debate.
01:15:44.000They've tried to court the anti-Israel left.
01:15:48.000Is the right for Trump going to end up being overwhelmingly pro-Israel?
01:15:55.000He's saying his Democratic Party is an independent, so he's certainly not going to be voting for Kamala.
01:17:13.000It sounds like what Dershowitz is saying is that voting for Trump is the pro-Israel side.
01:17:17.000But there's a lot of people on the right who do not like Israel and who have said they would vote for Kamala if Kamala came out as anti-Israel.
01:18:47.000I think if Donald Trump wins, he's going to be funding Israel for sure.
01:18:50.000So it's like almost just the Israel thing is a foregone conclusion, but Dershowitz backing with the Democratic Party over this, it's kind of just like, okay, I guess.
01:19:00.000There are issues where the deep state and Trump and these factions are at odds, and it certainly is not Israel.
01:19:07.000I think no matter who you vote for, you're getting a well-funded Israel.
01:19:25.000Do you remember at that town hall that Trump did and she was like, Caitlin, what's her name, was pushing him about the Ukraine conflict and Trump eventually was like, I just don't want people to die.
01:19:59.000At this point in everything, I'm not even convinced that a vote for Trump is, like I was saying earlier in the show, is going to end war.
01:20:07.000Like, I think we're entrenched to this point.
01:20:10.000I don't know how you recover or how you de-escalate from Ukraine invading Russia.
01:20:15.000Like we gave them too much money and assets to just stop them, to take it away from them right away?
01:20:20.000I mean... They have it, so they're using it.
01:20:22.000I don't know if you need to say too much, we gave them money and resources, right?
01:20:25.000Okay, yeah, yeah, maybe not too much, right, sure.
01:20:26.000And so, with Ukraine invading Russia, what...
01:20:31.000I find it substantially more difficult for Donald Trump to come in and negotiate an end to this, especially if Putin is utilizing the conflict to mobilize in his own country, that they've been invaded.
01:20:44.000Trump's going to have a lot harder of a time going in and negotiating a stop to this because now it's not Russia invading Ukraine and giving anything up, it's Ukraine invading Russia.
01:20:52.000Do you think that's why Zelensky did it?
01:20:53.000Do you think that feeds into the timing of why he moved into Russia now, because he can see that time is running out?
01:21:01.000Maybe it's to put the war in a position that can't be easily ended.
01:21:06.000At this point, or I guess maybe the gambit is at this point, a negotiated end to the war, if Trump does win, is natural borders of Ukraine and Russia.
01:21:16.000I just think if you're Zelensky, you make a lot of money on this, so you don't want it to be settled quickly.
01:21:21.000You need it to last a little bit longer.
01:21:25.000Yeah, but what's the point of making money if you don't have a country?
01:21:28.000I don't really think that's what he cares about, but I'm also very cynical.
01:21:31.000Like, after all of this, you think he moves somewhere else?
01:21:33.000I think all their politicians who are stealing money can just bounce out somewhere.
01:21:37.000Yeah, but Zelensky as the president of Ukraine, I don't know that there is a after this.
01:21:42.000I mean, like, Afghanistan was never ending.
01:21:45.000And it's still in conflict and chaos, though we're not there.
01:21:48.000Like, the Afghanis are A lot of people who worked with the United States and translators, just there.
01:21:55.000And a lot of them are dying and not getting evacuated or whatever.
01:22:00.000Trump assumes that worst comes to worst, he'll live in exile in America where he'll be a highly paid speaker who will tour, you know, America talking about, you know, I don't know, being a strong leader and an actor.
01:23:46.000Russia's a big country and Ukraine's a smaller country, and so it was bad that Russia invaded, and it's just like, okay, now explain to me why that's our business.
01:24:03.000Can they not just say that Russia and its allies were trying to strangle out our means of conveying energy to our European allies, which was causing stagnation, recession, depression, death.
01:24:15.000And when we tried to counter, they blocked us and it led to war.
01:24:28.000Maybe the end goal of all these blind zelts waving Ukrainian flags is that now they're so blindly marching in lockstep you can tell them the truth and they won't care about the morality of it.
01:24:39.000Like, at this point, if the US government came out and literally said to the Democrats, we were trying to build a pipeline that would compete with Gazprom to reduce the cost of energy, because you see the riots that are happening in Europe, you see the cost of fuel, people were struggling, and Russia was using this against our allies, our neighbors, our friends, and when we tried to build a pipeline, we were blocked by Russia, who went to Syria and said, don't let them do this, which is anti-competitive.
01:25:09.000And it resulted in an escalation of conflict because they're strangling us out energy-wise.
01:26:48.000You shouldn't have invaded Ukraine, fine, I get it, but what is our involvement predicated upon?
01:26:52.000Yeah, the only off-the-cuff reason I could give for Biden not wanting to make an energy-based argument for being in the war is because he ran with a very intense environmental policy.
01:27:05.000And so, you know, he made a big deal out of like, you know, EVs or whatever else.
01:27:10.000Like, there were American pipelines that people really didn't want him to sign off on.
01:27:14.000And so if you're saying it's okay in Europe, then like, Maybe you would hurt your own base.
01:27:19.000But I think mostly it's just, like, the joy of lying.
01:27:23.000Like, there's a level of, like, we can't tell anyone why we would have a vested interest in anything for, quote-unquote, national security, even though we don't care about the border.
01:27:30.000Maybe they don't want to admit to instigating unrest in Syria.
01:27:36.000Well, we don't want to admit to anything.
01:27:47.000And us being big government, not me specifically.
01:27:50.000I honestly think Democrats would earn more votes if they were completely honest.
01:27:54.000If they owned their morality and said outright, we want cheap energy into Europe so Europe's economy grows and it generates revenue for us.
01:28:03.000People are going to be like, why is the U.S.
01:28:10.000And if Western powers, like, they're our allies and we prefer them to win over Russia and China, and we want to get cheaper energy, and we want to basically disrupt the Russian economy and diminish them as a global power, and then after that we want to, you know, extend our bases across the region, like, you'd get independent voters being like, okay, I guess.
01:28:27.000At least tell me why they're doing it.
01:29:24.000Like, they don't care what the reason is, and so you can give them as basic a reason as possible and it's satisfying.
01:29:31.000Yeah, Putin's the bad guy, that's why.
01:29:33.000It's like, alright, whatever, I'm gonna go play football.
01:29:36.000You know, I'm gonna go watch the game, I don't care.
01:29:38.000I think having a vague explanation, like Russia is bad, blanket statement, without any details, works better if you decide ultimately to change your tactic, right?
01:29:46.000Like if you were like, we have this one specific complaint, you know, energy, then as soon as Anyone can spot a way around it.
01:29:55.000Whereas if it's just generally like they're the bad guys, then you can justify giving tons of money or making, you know, other decisions, admitting them to NATO, all this stuff.
01:30:06.000Gives you more power because you can move around more.
01:30:34.000I can't think of a time in my life where there was no war.
01:30:36.000Well, the thing is I don't think that there could be a human society that didn't have any kind of conflict that results in violence, right?
01:30:46.000Like think of the civil wars that are going on in Africa right now.
01:30:49.000Like there's all kinds of tensions that we don't talk about on the scale.
01:30:53.000Obviously there's like bigger economic consequences to that.
01:30:57.000I think we would want as many people on earth to get along and treat each other respectfully and peacefully, but ultimately the idea that we would live in a world with no violence at all is, you know, contrary to all of human history.
01:31:21.000I think it's coming, and I think the sad part, too, about, like, I've never lived at a time where there wasn't war either, but I think our generations have become numb to it, where we see, oh, Ukraine invaded Russia, I don't care, okay, whatever, and you need to pay attention to that, because eventually it's, like, coming closer and closer.
01:31:38.000One day you're going to wake up in a conflict and not know why if you're not paying attention.
01:32:02.000And so, like, the analogy I gave in the past couple days is, you know, Trump's attitude is pull the car over, fix the brakes, change the tires, work on the engine.
01:32:12.000And, you know, the Democrats scream, that'll put us, like, Russia and China are going to zoom past us.
01:32:26.000And then we can fix the car later or something.
01:32:28.000Very short term sided, I feel like, whereas you have to think big on this, you have to think long term about this kind of stuff and think about like the next generations and your children and what what is the United States?
01:32:42.0003040 years from now China taking over?
01:32:46.000Belt and Road Initiative, colonial expansion into South America and Africa, the Chinese Communist Party having global hegemonic power and a unipolar Chinese Communist Party world.
01:32:56.000Even with their population and everything failing?
01:33:43.000We're going to pull all the Ukrainians back and give you more.
01:33:46.000Like, how do you, how do you argue that?
01:33:48.000No, Trump would have to say, Ukrainians are going to withdraw from the Russian territory and the borders will, yeah, take their original positions.
01:34:14.000But the West wants to basically shut them out.
01:34:17.000And they want to control the flow of energy without interference from Russia.
01:34:21.000You know, I think the reason why The U.S.
01:34:25.000is under Obama and why they were so pissed at Trump.
01:34:31.000China is the bigger threat in the bigger picture, but I think the strategy from NATO is to destroy Russia's economy, end them as a regional power, and then China falls like a paper tiger.
01:34:47.000allows Russia to continue to control the energy into Europe, then Russia and China combined makes it more difficult for NATO to gain control of these other territories.
01:34:57.000But don't get me wrong, you've got Australia and US forces gearing up for Taiwan, and the BRICS nation expansion, I don't see how this ends well.
01:35:04.000And I will stress, all of this was going on well before Trump got elected.
01:35:07.000Russia and China were planning on dumping dollars and these moves were happening.
01:35:12.000So it seemed like no matter what, the war was inevitable, so long as the West refuses to give up this hegemonic power.
01:35:21.000Well, definitely if we don't address China like the threat that it actually is.
01:35:27.000I know that China and Russia have their own relationship and dynamic, but the way, the criticism of Russia is, to me, has always seemed far more intense than China, even though China has a huge influence on our country economically.
01:35:42.000And for whatever reason, probably because we have a lot of, China has a lot of influence in American politics.
01:36:05.000All right, we're going to Super Chat, so if you haven't already, would you kindly smash that like button, subscribe to this channel, share this with your friends, head over to TimCast.com.
01:36:11.000Click join us to become a member and support our work directly.
01:36:32.000You know, Anna was tweeting about Colorado and the gangs that took over.
01:36:37.000And I'm not sure if this was her, but I think it was her making the point that the police had been warning about these gangs for like a year.
01:36:43.000Then when the story comes out, these videos of the gangs taking over these apartments, these corporate news outlets are like, it's a lie.
01:37:56.000Jashabeam Kildon says, The Lotus Eaters podcast did a lovely bit about the Tenet debacle, and except for one of them almost calling you a donkey, it was completely positive.
01:38:10.000We'll have some developments next week, I suppose, but I don't know.
01:38:14.000I probably shouldn't say too much considering, you know, what's going on with the ongoing investigation, but I've been thinking about this all day, and I feel conflicted on even talking about the Ukraine-Russia stuff, considering I actually feel kind of personally slighted by Russia.
01:38:33.000Like, I'm quite pissed off, you know what I mean?
01:38:42.000Like, I'm just some dude who, I don't want to be in the news, I want to mind my own business, I want to complain about the news, I want to talk about politics, I want to talk about polling numbers, but I don't want to have anything to do with, like, the actual internals, and they decide to screw me over in this regard, pisses me off to an extreme degree.
01:39:44.000Jason Abbey says, your show is the best to share with lefty friends since you're evidence-based and usually avoid rhetoric and name-calling.
01:40:02.000Radioactive Rat says, you could make a drinking game out of this morning's Culture War podcast with how often John Devaney said the word OK.
01:40:18.000The dude seems very nice, and he's very emotional about this ending trafficking stuff, but I don't think he's super political.
01:40:24.000So I don't think he quite understands the dynamics that are at play in the political space as to why the theater is maybe trying to remove a movie about human trafficking, which is what he described as a call to action to get people to stop the trafficking, you know?
01:40:37.000It's sort of rushing to have someone that is like, hey, I just think human trafficking is bad.
01:41:32.000Dougie J. Newcomb says, if your pending lawsuit ends up costing more than you can muster, would you consider selling the coffee shop to make up the difference?
01:41:38.000No, what happens is you run out of money and it just stops.
01:42:18.000I don't know if he's referring to someone up like the thing from earlier this week where one of Kathy Hochul's former aides was charged with being a foreign agent.
01:44:40.000And please go up to the Harris signs if you can without, you know, going on anyone else's property and see if they are Harris wall signs or like I have really discovered ones that were Biden-Harris and they just cut Biden off because I think those are really funny and we should save them in memoriam.
01:44:55.000William Kelly says the play from Trump's team should be, we're going to win, but let's show them the red wave that they fear.
01:45:01.000No matter the polls, no matter the predictions, let's vote and show them.
01:45:06.000If 2016 taught us anything, it was just ignore the polls and go vote.
01:45:11.000Because also down ticket, like even if you think we're not going to win the White House, then you really, really want Congress and Senate to lean in your favor, to have your values.
01:45:19.000Yeah, you don't want them getting all three.
01:45:22.000A. Merrick says, Trump needs to make an emotional ad from an innocent guy Harris kept on death row, something that will tug at the heartstrings of people who vote with their feelings.
01:45:35.000A lot of people didn't like that when they heard about that.
01:45:37.000Yeah, I think the full context of the story was that she was instructed by the feds to release a certain amount of inmates, and she tried stopping doing this so that she could use them to fight wildfires.
01:45:52.000So it's like, well, I'm supposed to release these guys, but dollar an hour, life-threatening work is hard to come by.
01:46:08.000Just because I'm freezing, has anybody else heard about Poder Latinx in Arizona?
01:46:13.000Apparently it's a Democrat voter registration organization that's registering people outside of DMVs, saying all you need to register is a driver's license.
01:46:22.000Wasn't that the justification for, like Texas said, Was it Texas?
01:46:27.000Arizona just had the the judge say that they can enforce the requirement that people show ID before vote or no proof of citizenship before voting in state-level elections.
01:46:38.000And they caught like just today I think they caught like all 15 counties in Arizona had been registering non-citizens or doing something like that so again swing state really important.
01:46:50.000You would call that election interference but Big7588 says, Germans tried to make a decoy airfield with mock planes.
01:47:28.000I mean, even if they didn't want to speculate on dementia, Alzheimer's, some of the stuff that other people have, they could have always been honest and said, his speech is slurred.
01:47:37.000He is not the same energetic person before.
01:47:39.000Instead, they just would cut up his speeches.
01:48:48.000Well, I know that's true, but I'm saying that they made up this story that they were improving their eyesight with carrots so that they could see the targets at night, which was silly.
01:49:16.000But I mean, it could be that we are literally seeing a decline from like, that would mean that in the 90s, it's probably around like 95% or something.
01:49:24.000And so now it just genuinely feels like there's a lot of people who have no idea what's going on.
01:49:31.000I don't understand how this is operable for the powers that be at all, unless it's a managed decline of the United States, the intentional destruction.
01:49:40.000I think they moved the markers to see this was like public education.
01:49:43.000I was just reading about this, but I don't want to quote it too intensely because I can't remember the specifics.
01:49:47.000But you know, developmental milestones, I think it was the CEC, have changed them for children.
01:49:53.000Like if they were supposed to say their first word by or like say a certain number of words by the time they were a year old, now it's something like 18 months old.
01:50:01.000And so in some ways, like, maybe that's managed decline, but maybe that's just also this, like, general softening of our standards.
01:50:08.000Like, they don't want anyone to feel as though they aren't striving to hit certain goals, and so they just lower all of the thresholds, not thinking about the consequences of doing that.
01:50:19.000Dirty Dan Roberson says, I live in an old wooden sailboat in Alaska.
01:50:23.000It's a fun life, but yes, a lot of work to keep the ship in shape.
01:51:01.000When I lived in Dallas there was that Ebola outbreak and there was a nurse who got sick and stuff like that and I knew this girl who I think her dad lived in like a houseboat off of Galveston off the coast in Texas and she'd be like, it's fine if it just gets bad we'll just push off the coast for a while.
01:51:13.000Like a van you would still be trapped by the landlocked, you know, U.S.
01:51:17.000highway system but with a boat just push off the coast.
01:53:21.000I didn't realize how much I said weird until Democrats tried to make it their thing, and then I realized it's always been a part of my vocabulary.
01:54:18.000You've got a combination of older people who die and older people who retire, and you need four workers per one Social Security recipient.
01:54:26.000So if birth rates right now are 1.6, Give it 16 years.
01:54:32.000Yeah, our generation is going to grow up, like, there's so many people, again, who comment on my stuff and be like, you don't need to have kids, you're overpopulated.
01:54:38.000Who are you going to depend on when you're older?
01:54:41.000I'm not saying just your own children, but you're going to be depending on somebody else's children.
01:54:45.000People who are children now are going to be the ones making it so you can exist later in life.
01:54:49.000We need Like, if you personally don't want to have kids, you should want all of your friends to have kids, and you should be throwing them baby showers all the time.
01:54:59.000Yeah, and you should be caring about the future, too.
01:55:01.000We actually need a great American baby boom, and if you feel strongly you don't want to do it, you should want everyone around you to, because that's who is going to be there when you need support from society.
01:55:11.000Yeah, and no matter how independent you are now, we're all going to get old and sick, and you're going to need someone.
01:55:17.000Maybe they want around 500 million people.
01:55:21.000Oh, like those, uh, like the Georgia Stones.
01:55:23.000Did they, did they, did they rebuild those?
01:55:38.000For those that aren't familiar, there was, like, every language, basic arithmetic, star chart, like, you could look through a hole and see, like, planets or whatever.
01:55:47.000And it had, uh, guide, like, like, the rules for rebuilding civilization.
01:55:53.000And the conspiracy theorists think it was, like, the plan of, of the global elite.
01:55:58.000But I think the actual idea was it was the height of the Cold War.
01:56:00.000And people were like, hey, if if we go into nuclear annihilation, we need a something that'll last forever that can translate all these, you know, like the Rosetta Stone, they argue, for a while, they argued we would never have understood hieroglyphics without the Rosetta Stone, which was a portion of it was Egyptian hieroglyphics and Greek.
01:56:20.000So we were able to read the Greek and then understand the hieroglyphics.
01:56:24.000But some people argue we would have figured it out anyway, after a certain amount of time.
01:56:28.000But, uh, that's the idea for the Guidestones was we need something that can show the same phrase in all these different languages so you can decipher the language, basic math, so that when civilization is wiped out, whoever finds this will have a starting point.
01:56:42.000And then people thought it was a conspiracy to destroy the Earth or whatever.
01:57:22.000Alright everybody, if you haven't already, would you kindly smash that like button, subscribe to this channel, share the show with your friends, head over to TimCast.com, click join us, become a member to support our work directly.