Timcast IRL - Tim Pool - Trump Threatens To ARREST DEMOCRATS Over Sanctuary Policies, Obstructing ICE | Timcast IRL

00:02:38.000 Well, the big news, of course, is Trump's big, beautiful bill and whether or not it will pass.

00:02:43.000 It's looking like it won't.

00:02:44.000 There haven't been too many developments, and we may be waiting until Friday when no one's going to be paying attention to see if it actually makes it through the House, of which, I'm going to say it again, I don't think it will.

00:02:55.000 There are some developments there, but not a whole lot to go on to lead off tonight's episode.

00:02:59.000 So we're going to go with Donald Trump threatening to arrest Zoran Mamdani because he has talked about obstructing ICE from doing their job in New York, to which I have said any politician that is obstructing by force the enforcement of the law should be charged with seditious conspiracy, which specifically states that if you're trying to obstruct the enforcement of law, that's a seditious conspiracy.

00:03:23.000 But unfortunately for us, conservatives tend to be a little weak.

00:03:26.000 And the general argument is, oh, no one would ever do that.

00:03:28.000 The law is not going to be used that way.

00:03:30.000 Well, I do think it should.

00:03:31.000 And so Trump was asked about this, and he said, we're going to have to arrest them if that's the case.

00:03:36.000 Going on to say, we don't need a communist in this country.

00:03:38.000 He's going to keep an eye on New York, and he ain't going to be having it.

00:03:40.000 So we'll talk about that.

00:03:41.000 Plus, oh boy, New Yorkers re-upping their hotels for illegal immigrants. 0.99

00:03:46.000 And here's where it gets fun.

00:03:48.000 There is a conspiracy theory right now with millions of views on the left that Donald Trump, kid you not, is loading up cargo planes full of illegal immigrants, flying over the Atlantic, dumping them out of the plane, and then returning.

00:04:05.000 I'm not kidding.

00:04:06.000 There are numerous videos on TikTok, on Instagram, on X with millions of views where the users are showing flight patterns, showing stories out of Mayorca where dead bodies were found shackled, and they are claiming the Trump admin is extrajudicially engaging in executions of illegal immigrants.

00:04:29.000 Not the B has the story, so we'll definitely talk about that.

00:04:31.000 But before we get started, my friends, we've got a great sponsor.

00:04:32.000 It is Lear Capital.

00:04:34.000 My friends, you guys have any silver?

00:04:36.000 I got a bunch of silver right here, in fact.

00:04:37.000 I got a big stack of it.

00:04:38.000 I've had silver for a long time.

00:04:41.000 I think silver's fantastic.

00:04:42.000 I bought it a while ago, as well as gold, because I was concerned about what's going on with inflation.

00:04:48.000 To me, you take a look at the value of the dollar over the past hundred years, and it becomes kind of obvious that the dollar just keeps dying.

00:04:54.000 Right now with the Big Beautiful Bill, what are they saying?

00:04:57.000 Massive deficit spending.

00:04:58.000 And most of us agree, even those who know the bill's got to pass, this deficit spending is going to be really, really bad for the value of the dollar.

00:05:06.000 It's going to strip the buying power from the American people. 1.00

00:05:09.000 So that's just one reason I'm a big fan of silver.

00:05:12.000 Not to mention, of course, you guys, let's talk about technology.

00:05:18.000 With what's going on in the development of AI electric vehicles, silver is definitely a major component of this.

00:05:23.000 So all of these tech, it's increasing, it's driving a massive demand for silver, especially AI.

00:05:29.000 Some of the biggest technological shifts in our lifetime, silver is essential to making it work.

00:05:33.000 Since 2020, silver prices have jumped as much as 190%, and it's still trading at what many experts are calling bargain prices.

00:05:40.000 So right now, some say we're in a multi-year, I believe we are in a multi-year deficit.

00:05:44.000 Demand is outpacing supply.

00:05:46.000 And all of the AI stuff that's popping up in every company trying to win this race, especially with, once again, the big beautiful bill, how they were trying to get that 10-year block on any state trying to regulate it.

00:05:57.000 The expectation is they're going to be buying up as much as they can to build this up.

00:06:01.000 It's going to get massive.

00:06:03.000 Some analysts are warning the ongoing deficit could turn to a full-blown shortage.

00:06:07.000 Robert Kiyosaki, the guy behind Rich Dad Poor Dad, thinks it could double or even triple by the end of 2025.

00:06:13.000 So if you guys are serious and you want to learn more about this, get ahead of the curve, I recommend you guys check out Leader Capital, L-E-A-R, Capital.

00:06:20.000 They've got a free report out called the AI Revolution, and it breaks down exactly why silver prices are primed to soar.

00:06:25.000 You can call 1-800-489-6450.

00:06:30.000 Once again, that's 1-800-489-6450.

00:06:36.000 Or go to leadertim.com, check it out.

00:06:38.000 And legit, I've had a bunch of silver for a hot minute.

00:06:42.000 And also, don't forget, my friends, DCComedyloft.com.

00:06:45.000 Go to the events.

00:06:46.000 We've got three events up right now.

00:06:48.000 They're going to be fun, funny, informative.

00:06:50.000 Live tapings of the Culture War podcast.

00:06:53.000 Now, we haven't confirmed the talent and the debate topics for the 26th or August 9th, but on August 2nd, Michael Malice, Angry Cops, two very funny men debating the issue of policing.

00:07:05.000 I will be there hosting along with Alex Stein.

00:07:07.000 We've got just over 100 or so tickets remaining, so definitely go and check them out.

00:07:11.000 That's going to be, of course, August 2nd.

00:07:13.000 Don't miss it.

00:07:14.000 It's going to be a lot of fun.

00:07:15.000 But also, don't forget to smash the like button.

00:07:17.000 Share the show right now with everyone you know.

00:07:19.000 Joining us tonight to talk about this and so much more is Braxton McCoy.

00:07:23.000 Yeah, thanks for having me, man.

00:07:24.000 It's good to be back.

00:07:25.000 I'm going to try not to get you demonetized this time.

00:07:27.000 Right on.

00:07:27.000 Well, who are you?

00:07:28.000 What do you do?

00:07:29.000 Last time I called TSA agents the R-word.

00:07:34.000 Yeah, so I'm going to try not to do that.

00:07:36.000 Part owner of Pastor Peaks, author.

00:07:39.000 Is that what you're looking for?

00:07:40.000 I don't know what you were looking for.

00:07:41.000 I was going to say, you can say that your career as you're a guy who calls Ice Agents or TSA Agents retards. 0.81

00:07:47.000 What?

00:07:48.000 So you can do it now?

00:07:49.000 Oh, we brought it back.

00:07:49.000 Oh, okay.

00:07:50.000 Cool.

00:07:50.000 We brought it back.

00:07:51.000 Well, I feel I'm way more comfortable now.

00:07:53.000 I got my words back, dude.

00:07:55.000 Yeah, it's been a hot minute, but the culture war is shifting, and we've been winning, so it's been pretty good.

00:08:00.000 Cool.

00:08:01.000 But yeah, right on Manwolt's going to be fun.

00:08:02.000 Thanks for hanging out.

00:08:03.000 I don't know if there's anything else you wanted to add about what you do.

00:08:05.000 You're good?

00:08:05.000 Oh, yeah.

00:08:06.000 All right.

00:08:06.000 We've got Brett's hanging out.

00:08:07.000 Yeah, absolutely.

00:08:07.000 What's going on, guys?

00:08:08.000 Yeah.

00:08:08.000 Like, Tim buys stock or buys gold and silver.

00:08:11.000 I'm going to be buying stock in Johnson & Johnson baby oil because of the Ditty Trial coming to a close today.

00:08:17.000 But my name is Brett Dasvick.

00:08:18.000 I am the host of Pop Culture Crisis, Monday through Friday, 3 p.m.

00:08:21.000 Eastern Standard Time, which is noon Pacific.

00:08:23.000 You should hang out with us.

00:08:24.000 Hello, everybody.

00:08:25.000 My name is Phil Labonte.

00:08:26.000 I'm the lead singer of the heavy metal band, All That Remains.

00:08:27.000 I'm an anti-communist and counter-revolutionary.

00:08:30.000 it.

00:08:30.000 Here's a story from ABC News: Trump falsely questions Zaran Mamdani's citizenship.

00:08:35.000 Still doing that.

00:08:37.000 Adding the falsely.

00:08:38.000 Yeah.

00:08:38.000 Right.

00:08:39.000 Well, what does that even mean in this context?

00:08:41.000 Sorry.

00:08:41.000 So Trump, there are many people questioning Zaran Mamdani's citizenship because they're arguing he lied on his immigration and naturalization forms by claiming he did not support terrorism when he was rapping that he did, this certain group that was charged over it.

00:08:58.000 But he then goes on to threaten to arrest him over ICE operations.

00:09:02.000 And this is exactly what I voted for, calling him a nut job.

00:09:07.000 Check this out.

00:09:08.000 The president continued to allege the 33-year-old Democratic socialist is a communist while talking to reporters Tuesday at the new so-called alligator Alcatraz migrant detention center in Florida's Everglades.

00:09:20.000 When asked by a reporter what his message is to Mamdani, after he said in a victory speech following the New York City Democratic mayor primary that he would stop masked ICE agents from deporting our neighbors, Trump responded, well, then we'll have to arrest them. 0.86

00:09:32.000 We'll have to arrest him.

00:09:33.000 Look, we don't need a communist in this country, but if we have one, I'm going to be watching over him very carefully on behalf of the nation.

00:09:39.000 Trump also referenced false claims that Mamdani's in the country illegally.

00:09:43.000 He said, a lot of people are saying he's here illegally.

00:09:46.000 We're going to look at everything.

00:09:47.000 Ideally, he's going to turn out to be much less than a communist.

00:09:50.000 But right now, he's a communist.

00:09:51.000 That's not a socialist.

00:09:53.000 Born in Uganda, he's lived in the U.S. since he was seven years old and became a naturalized citizen.

00:09:57.000 Right.

00:09:58.000 And the argument for why he's illegal is that he lied on his naturalization forms, as I mentioned.

00:10:02.000 Now, it gets better.

00:10:03.000 Bill de Blasio vows to organize human shield if Trump seeks to arrest Zoran Mamdani over promised ICE actions should he become mayor.

00:10:13.000 He said Donald Trump will have to go through a lot of us first if he wants to arrest Zoran Mamdani, to which my response is, the seditious conspiracy law says that if you use force to stop the U.S. from enforcing its laws, you too are guilty of a seditious conspiracy.

00:10:26.000 So I think by virtue of him saying this, lock him up.

00:10:30.000 Rico charges.

00:10:31.000 Rico charges against him and any lawyer who tries to help him.

00:10:35.000 Like they did with Donald Trump's lawyers.

00:10:37.000 If he wants to hire a lawyer, just bring RICO charges and says, aha, you're conspiring to help this seditious conspirator.

00:10:44.000 I say arrest them all.

00:10:46.000 I think that this back and forth between Trump, I wish that Trump wouldn't engage because it's only raising Mamdani's profile.

00:10:56.000 I mean, it's already a bad thing, but the way that the reaction throughout the media has been about Momdani getting, you know, winning the nomination, I wish that people would just kind of be like, yeah, okay, cool, and let it go.

00:11:11.000 But I don't think that the Republicans have that in them.

00:11:16.000 They're going to look to attack him, even though he is just a mayor of, even though it's the biggest city, it's still only a city.

00:11:23.000 It's not like he's a governor.

00:11:23.000 It's not like he's got significant power nationwide.

00:11:27.000 You have a point?

00:11:27.000 No, go ahead.

00:11:28.000 I was going to say we were trying to figure out what the big story of the day was, because honestly, there's just a couple.

00:11:33.000 It's Diddy, but there's really not much to be said about the Diddy case.

00:11:37.000 He was found not guilty on the trafficking stuff.

00:11:39.000 He was found guilty of prostitution.

00:11:41.000 And so it's like, okay, he's kind of a bad guy.

00:11:44.000 And some of it was, you know, he was found guilty of.

00:11:47.000 Then there's also the Big Beautiful Bill, of course.

00:11:49.000 However, there's no big movement on it.

00:11:52.000 And so we talked about it.

00:11:53.000 And I said, you know, I think Trump threatening to arrest Zarin Mamdani is pretty big because this is the action we've been waiting to see.

00:11:59.000 Democrats were violating the law.

00:12:01.000 It's a huge deal.

00:12:02.000 Admittedly, however, based on social media trends and just kind of how I feel about it, we're in a weird place where it feels kind of uneventful that Trump is threatening to lock up a potential mayor of New York City.

00:12:15.000 Rhett McIver has already been charged.

00:12:17.000 And we've got this big fraud case where 324 people were charged.

00:12:22.000 It feels weird that it's not the most alarming thing in the country that Trump is saying he will arrest a mayor.

00:12:30.000 I just think that we should arrest and deport anyone who eats rice with their hands.

00:12:35.000 Yes.

00:12:36.000 You know, like that's good enough for me.

00:12:38.000 It is weird how they suddenly start caring about states'rights when they're not in charge of the federal government for four years.

00:12:44.000 They always want overarching, extreme federal power, except for when the other side— And it's always related to sanctuary cities.

00:12:59.000 I mean, I don't know.

00:13:02.000 Lock them all up.

00:13:04.000 It's just, it's such a silly, the back and forth between Trump and Mamdani is going to be, it's going to be three years or the next three years of annoying back and forth. 1.00

00:13:15.000 It's just going to be silly and kind of dumb. 0.98

00:13:18.000 And all it's going to do is make Momdani the poster child for the left. 0.99

00:13:26.000 I do not agree.

00:13:29.000 This was kind of my point that everyone's desensitized to what's actually going on.

00:13:33.000 A Democratic member of Congress was arrested and charged for assaulting an ICE officer.

00:13:38.000 These things have happened.

00:13:39.000 I think the probability that Trump arrests Mom Dani or goes into New York by force and starts shutting down components of their government, I think there's actually a very strong probability he does this.

00:13:48.000 I think we should hope that he does because to hit on your point, what you're noticing is that the left is good at winning and you win by winning.

00:13:58.000 And conservatives usually fall back on this principle thing.

00:14:01.000 They love going out and getting a win.

00:14:03.000 They love to fall back and lose on principle.

00:14:05.000 Yeah.

00:14:06.000 It's their favorite thing.

00:14:07.000 Which is, I mean, it's absolutely awful because if you don't win, you have no ability to institute your policies.

00:14:15.000 And we were talking about this last night or whatever.

00:14:17.000 Like you have to win in order to, or you have to use power when you have it because you know that the left is going to, they've shown over and over and over that when they get into the position of power, they're going to use it, even to their own detriment.

00:14:31.000 Like the changing of the rules that ended up allowing McConnell to put, you know, put conservative justice or allowing the McConnell to make sure that the Republicans could put conservative justice on.

00:14:42.000 They still exercise power when they have it.

00:14:45.000 And the Republicans, honestly, they need to do that more.

00:14:47.000 There is a mosquito flying around in here.

00:14:49.000 And I will give one silver coin to anybody who gets it.

00:14:52.000 I did catch it that one time.

00:14:53.000 A fly.

00:14:54.000 It's a true story.

00:14:55.000 Brett went and caught a fly.

00:14:57.000 And everyone was like, what?

00:14:58.000 Ninja in his spare time.

00:15:01.000 Anyway, you don't think that this is the type of thing where Trump addressing it more and more raises this guy's profile more than it needs to be raised?

00:15:09.000 I mean, giving a guy who benefits from airtime more airtime for something, especially if you're not going to act on this.

00:15:14.000 If you're not going to go in and arrest this guy, just...

00:15:18.000 You know, I was thinking.

00:15:19.000 But do you honestly think that he will go in and do it?

00:15:23.000 I think there's a decent probability.

00:15:24.000 I don't know for sure.

00:15:25.000 I don't buy that he will do it.

00:15:26.000 And I think that if he doesn't intend to go do it, they arrested a judge.

00:15:32.000 They arrested, charged, indicted a grand jury return indictment on Rhett McIver.

00:15:36.000 So these moves have been made.

00:15:39.000 I don't think, I mean, let's even go back in time and talk about what Democrats did to Trump, arresting his lawyers in multiple states.

00:15:46.000 So the door is wide open, and the Trump admin has already made similar moves.

00:15:51.000 So I think the answer is he probably will do it.

00:15:53.000 That being said, people are bringing up these questions of like, but won't this make Zoran Mamdani more popular, more prominent?

00:15:59.000 I don't care.

00:16:00.000 I am done with this argument of let Democrats be evil and burn our country to the ground. 0.96

00:16:05.000 Otherwise, people will find out they exist.

00:16:07.000 If there are evil people in New York that will defend a guy for being evil, then it's better we just get it over with, arrest them, lock them up when they break the law, and then we've got to deal with a population of evil people.

00:16:18.000 Yeah, I'm with you.

00:16:19.000 And also, as far as Raisin's profile, I understand the concern there, but he's going to be the mayor of the biggest city in the world or a country, you know, and it's like a cultural capital.

00:16:28.000 He's going to be in the news either way.

00:16:30.000 I mean, this guy's going to be front and center whether you arrest him or not.

00:16:33.000 And so I would rather be in chains.

00:16:35.000 And so I don't have to see any more videos of him eating rice with his hands.

00:16:39.000 One was too many.

00:16:41.000 One was too many.

00:16:43.000 I was trying to come across, you know, trying to relate to the third world, but he's the mayor or going to be likely going to be the mayor of the capitalism capital of planet Earth.

00:16:53.000 But when did he eat the rice with his hands?

00:16:55.000 Was that recently?

00:16:56.000 Not sure.

00:16:57.000 It was like an old video, though, wasn't it?

00:16:58.000 I don't know.

00:16:58.000 I just saw the video like yesterday, and I'm still bothered by it.

00:17:03.000 He was making claims about the perspectives that you get when you eat rice with your hands or whatever.

00:17:08.000 Wait, what?

00:17:09.000 Yeah.

00:17:10.000 Yeah, yeah, yeah.

00:17:11.000 Wait, what was he saying?

00:17:12.000 Yeah, he was like, you can't relate to the third world unless you eat like the third world, essentially. 0.98

00:17:18.000 And to which I would say, I have no interest in relating with the third world. 1.00

00:17:21.000 I like it over here in the first world.

00:17:23.000 See, that's just unfettered globalism.

00:17:26.000 We need to roll things backwards.

00:17:27.000 I don't believe the guy's actually.

00:17:30.000 He shot in 2023.

00:17:31.000 Yeah. 0.98

00:17:32.000 I don't think this dude is anything other than a power-hungry psychopath. 0.96

00:17:36.000 He's a politician. 0.99

00:17:37.000 So of course he's a power-hungry psychopath.

00:17:39.000 Yeah, but I mean, some of these people are members of Congress. 0.74

00:17:43.000 I wouldn't necessarily call all of them power-hungry psychopaths. 0.91

00:17:45.000 I would call them like sniveling, groveling sycophants. 0.98

00:17:49.000 You know, some of them just suckle at the teat of the military industrial complex and have no illusions about being president. 0.95

00:17:55.000 No, this is the kind of guy who wants to genocide hundreds of millions of people.

00:18:00.000 You know what I mean?

00:18:01.000 I mean that somewhat facetiously.

00:18:03.000 I'm saying he strives to be a Stalin or a Lenin.

00:18:06.000 I don't know if it really is facetious.

00:18:07.000 Did you see that proposal he put out where he's going to crack down on white neighborhoods with taxes?

00:18:12.000 Yeah, yeah, yeah.

00:18:13.000 I mean, he's kind of saying the quiet part out loud.

00:18:16.000 Only because he can. 0.92

00:18:17.000 You know, CNN had this article up in February that said Trump's agenda will fail because white people don't have babies.

00:18:22.000 Like the fact that the dude can publicly say, vote for me and we will tax white people shows you what happens with this demographic change.

00:18:31.000 Even CNN made the point, demographics is destiny.

00:18:34.000 Wow.

00:18:35.000 Wow, CNN.

00:18:37.000 Race realists over there at CNN.

00:18:39.000 Yeah.

00:18:40.000 Obviously, I think it's not that.

00:18:43.000 I don't think it's true, actually.

00:18:44.000 I think.

00:18:45.000 No, no, I mean, they're the race realists.

00:18:46.000 Right, right.

00:18:47.000 I think Europe went through the Enlightenment.

00:18:49.000 This is where white people are. 0.72

00:18:51.000 And so you get the American colonies, largely of white people, saying, we're going to create a country, accepting of different races and multiculturalism under the umbrella of an ideology.

00:19:04.000 You end up with people like Clarence Thomas, who's based AF, and he's a black guy.

00:19:07.000 It's not about being white, because certainly Clarence Thomas is the best of us.

00:19:12.000 But when you import from the third world, it doesn't matter if they're white or brown people. 0.98

00:19:17.000 They come from a country that doesn't have our values. 1.00

00:19:19.000 That will outnumber the values of the Americans. 0.60

00:19:23.000 And that's when you lose your nation.

00:19:25.000 Yeah, it's more to do with your actual love of the country.

00:19:29.000 I sent you an article the other day about Gen Z as the lowest sense of national pride of any prior generation, which isn't hard to understand, right? 1.00

00:19:37.000 They've been chipping away at that as far as the media and pop culture and everything.

00:19:41.000 They've been chipping away at the idea of being proud of being an American for a very, very long time.

00:19:46.000 But now you're seeing kind of between that chipping away of actual born citizens' pride and then immigration.

00:19:54.000 And then there's just no sense of cultural American identity anymore.

00:19:58.000 It's like when they talk about America, like white people don't have culture.

00:20:01.000 Yeah. 0.85

00:20:03.000 Wasn't it like true, Do said that Canadians have no culture?

00:20:05.000 Yeah. 0.91

00:20:05.000 That's insane. 0.91

00:20:06.000 Like that self-hatred is disgusting. 0.84

00:20:08.000 They have poutine.

00:20:09.000 Yeah.

00:20:10.000 Nothing else.

00:20:12.000 You know?

00:20:12.000 Nothing else.

00:20:14.000 Brian Adams, I think.

00:20:16.000 Oh, really?

00:20:16.000 Shania Twain.

00:20:17.000 Brian Adams.

00:20:18.000 Brian Adams, Shane Twain.

00:20:19.000 Sarah McLaughlin.

00:20:21.000 But you know what?

00:20:21.000 I think maybe like Seth Rogan cancels him out.

00:20:24.000 Fair enough.

00:20:24.000 I mean, look, there's a lot of great television that's been filmed in Canada, so I'll give them a pass on that.

00:20:29.000 But for everything else, they don't get a pass.

00:20:30.000 Let's jump to the next story, ladies and gentlemen.

00:20:32.000 The Big Beautiful Bill.

00:20:33.000 What is next?

00:20:34.000 Well, the Postmoneyo writes it, but they bury the lead.

00:20:38.000 Thomas Massey is saying that there are probably 10 no's at the moment, meaning the Trump Big Beautiful bill will likely fail.

00:20:48.000 So they say the Congressional Budget Office estimates the bill would add roughly 3.3 trillion to the federal debt over the next decade.

00:20:53.000 One of the most vocal critics has been Rep Thomas Massey of Kentucky, a fiscal conservative who opposes the bill's size and lack of spending cuts.

00:20:59.000 Massey confirmed the next Wednesday that there are probably 10 no's at the moment among House Republicans.

00:21:05.000 The GOP has a narrow 220 to 212 majority in the House.

00:21:08.000 Now, this is interesting.

00:21:10.000 You have to have 218 votes to pass a bill.

00:21:13.000 I'm going to go ahead and say this.

00:21:15.000 I think that Congress is fake.

00:21:17.000 I don't think it's a real institution.

00:21:20.000 I believe maybe it was at some point.

00:21:22.000 But how does it make sense that there is a majority that can make the rules and they never do?

00:21:28.000 And that you have this parliamentarian in the Senate who can just change the bills and you can't do anything about it.

00:21:34.000 I think it's all fake.

00:21:36.000 It's smoke and mirrors.

00:21:38.000 And they're going, oh, woe is me.

00:21:40.000 We can't actually do these things.

00:21:41.000 Oh, heavens.

00:21:42.000 And then they're going to do or not do whatever they want.

00:21:45.000 AI.

00:21:45.000 It's just fake now.

00:21:47.000 Maybe the AI took over a long time ago and Mike Johnson is actually just a hologram.

00:21:51.000 Yeah.

00:21:52.000 I mean, remember when Mike Johnson was elected?

00:21:54.000 Everyone's like, I don't even know who this guy is.

00:21:56.000 Yeah.

00:21:56.000 It was from Louisiana.

00:21:57.000 Yeah.

00:21:58.000 I think so.

00:21:58.000 Like, nobody knew who he was.

00:22:00.000 I don't remember the last time that someone was elected to be the Speaker of the House that I was familiar with previously.

00:22:09.000 I had no idea who McCarthy was before he was Speaker.

00:22:14.000 So, yeah, I mean, that took me a second.

00:22:15.000 But there were people like Jim Jordan, right?

00:22:18.000 Was running for the Speakership.

00:22:19.000 I would have loved to see Jim Jordan.

00:22:20.000 Yeah, but I really do think that there's a deep state.

00:22:23.000 The deep state is bigger than people realize.

00:22:26.000 And Congress is just smoke and mirrors.

00:22:29.000 That's why Al Green doesn't really get censured.

00:22:31.000 That's why Mike Johnson didn't do anything about it.

00:22:33.000 I think the whole thing is just one big magic act.

00:22:38.000 Zinke kind of alluded to that on a podcast I was listening to today.

00:22:42.000 He was saying, Congressman Zinke from Montana, he was saying that he knew that the deep state was real and that it was a swamp, but he didn't realize how big the deep state was.

00:22:52.000 And he said something to the effect of, I thought I needed hip waiters, but what I really needed was a boat when I got there.

00:22:58.000 So he's kind of saying the same thing as what you are.

00:23:01.000 Like, why is Mike Johnson bringing all the Democrat bills to the floor, but not the Republican, not the MAGA ones?

00:23:06.000 And it's just all fake.

00:23:08.000 Can I ask a question on this, though?

00:23:11.000 Which particular revision that happened in the Senate is the one that's holding people up now?

00:23:16.000 Because as far as I understand, the spending didn't change from the bill that got passed in the first reconciliation sent up to the Senate.

00:23:22.000 The spending levels were the same, right?

00:23:26.000 There were goodies that were placed in it for conservatives, like the Hearing Protection Act and the Short Act.

00:23:31.000 And I believe that's largely gutted now.

00:23:33.000 Yeah, it's only they've removed, they've made the tax $0, but you still have to register and stuff.

00:23:41.000 And we will save a little bit more on this, but the update on the gambling provision is that the parliamentarian added in a poison pill, which I think nukes the bill no matter what, or destroys the Republicans' chance of winning in the midterms.

00:23:56.000 So we'll get more to that, but basically, there have been changes made to it at the Senate level where you're going to get a ton of Republicans to be like, absolutely not.

00:24:06.000 I mean, personally, I like that because I want to see the bill made into the best piece of legislation that it can be. 0.90

00:24:16.000 I know it's going to be a lot of garbage. 0.81

00:24:17.000 It's 900 pages. 0.70

00:24:19.000 But look, I think the tax cuts are important.

00:24:22.000 I think that the funding for the border stuff is important.

00:24:25.000 I personally want to see the NFA stuff in there.

00:24:27.000 I want to see the changing of that.

00:24:29.000 I don't want to see illegal aliens getting Medicare or Medicaid. 1.00

00:24:33.000 I don't want to see the United States continue to have policies that attract illegal aliens, that make it attractive to come here illegally. 0.99

00:24:43.000 I want to see changes that make it more difficult and that disincentivizes.

00:24:50.000 But I think that it's going to get passed eventually.

00:24:54.000 And I don't know what it will look like when it does.

00:24:56.000 So the other day, the news source that we had pulled up said they needed 218 votes.

00:25:01.000 But NBC says the first time it passed, it was 215 to 214, just a simple majority of the sitting of the available House members, not the three vacancies because Democrats had passed, had died.

00:25:12.000 So I'm wondering if it's actually they can, if they lose five votes, because right now it's 220 to 212.

00:25:19.000 So there's a certain amount of votes they can lose.

00:25:21.000 I think it's three or four.

00:25:23.000 I'm fairly confident in the House it's just simple majority is all they need.

00:25:27.000 But to your point, we need the money for deportations and on the Medicaid, Medicare, all that other stuff.

00:25:34.000 What is that?

00:25:35.000 Like 60% of the budget right now is social programs?

00:25:38.000 Always, always going to be.

00:25:39.000 And we're addicted to it.

00:25:41.000 No one's ever going to reject it.

00:25:42.000 But if you have 50 million, I'm just throwing a number out there that I've seen.

00:25:45.000 If you have 50 million people and some percentage of that is illegally collecting benefits off of there, I mean, you're reducing your spending just by getting rid of those.

00:25:54.000 Do we have the estimated number on the getting illegal immigrants off of Medicaid?

00:26:00.000 I don't have a solid number for you.

00:26:01.000 I've seen varying numbers.

00:26:03.000 I've also talked to a person inside the government that told me that they have better estimates of how many illegals are here than they put out in public.

00:26:12.000 I have no idea if that's true, but I had a person tell me that.

00:26:14.000 I just say we should get rid of all entitlements.

00:26:17.000 No bridges, no roads.

00:26:20.000 Yes.

00:26:21.000 Everybody has to make their own killdozer.

00:26:24.000 No more science experiments on rats, making them swim.

00:26:28.000 You know, testing to see whether...

00:26:30.000 Testing whether fish feel pain.

00:26:33.000 I'm half kidding, but it is a problem where no one running for office can threaten to take away your freebies.

00:26:41.000 No one can.

00:26:43.000 Anybody goes up there and says, we shouldn't be taking money from the young to pay the old, you'll lose two seconds.

00:26:49.000 Yep.

00:26:50.000 Good luck.

00:26:51.000 Good luck building a society when you must maintain either the same level of extraction or increased levels of extraction.

00:26:59.000 And have a population that's shrinking.

00:27:02.000 Right.

00:27:02.000 It's impossible.

00:27:03.000 Yeah.

00:27:03.000 And what's the average age of a boomer right now?

00:27:05.000 Like 62 or something?

00:27:07.000 Yeah, somewhere under.

00:27:08.000 So you got life expectancy is about 72 in the U.S., something like that?

00:27:12.000 You know what I love too is you know what all the boomers say? 0.95

00:27:15.000 It's my money.

00:27:16.000 I paid into it.

00:27:17.000 I deserve it.

00:27:17.000 And it's like, okay, well, here's the problem.

00:27:20.000 I'm paying into it right now and I don't get to have it.

00:27:23.000 So you see, there's an impasse.

00:27:25.000 And I think what's going to happen is the estimates on Social Security are that it's going to reach the point where it can only pay out what goes in.

00:27:35.000 And so benefits will be reduced to around 70 or so percent.

00:27:40.000 Considering, however, that people are living longer and you need between two and four workers to fund one social security recipient, and Gen Alpha is only 40 million people.

00:27:53.000 I don't think there will be enough workers to fund even 70%.

00:27:58.000 So the system just buckles and collapses.

00:28:00.000 So, to all the boomers out there saying, Well, but I paid into it, so it's mine. 0.85

00:28:04.000 I'd be like, Listen, you can't own something that does not exist.

00:28:08.000 Thank you and have a nice day.

00:28:10.000 I mean, even if even if we had replacement numbers for the population that still wouldn't be able to take care of all the entitlements, and so now that there's a shrinking population that millennials are smaller than boomers and Gen Z is a smaller generation than millennials, it's going to fail.

00:28:29.000 It's just a matter of when and how does that look?

00:28:31.000 What do you think that looks like?

00:28:32.000 How does that look like when it actually fails?

00:28:35.000 So, well, what they'll do is they'll probably try to print their way out of it, which means it's going to be inflation, which means that the dollars that people get that are on fixed income, that are on Social Security, those dollars are going to be able to buy less.

00:28:46.000 And that means that people that are expecting Social Security to pay for them, they're not going to be able to.

00:28:51.000 You're going to have more old people eating cat food is what you're going to have. 1.00

00:28:55.000 That's terrible, but you're going to have a lot more old people living off of less buying power because the amount of money that they're getting isn't going to change. 0.99

00:29:03.000 The dollar, you know, the number of dollars isn't going to change.

00:29:07.000 The most likely thing is that the United States is going to inflate it.

00:29:11.000 It's possible that other countries call in their debt or what have you, but the most likely thing is that they're just going to monetize it and try and just pump more money into the system.

00:29:22.000 It is infuriating that they don't allow you to opt out of Social Security.

00:29:25.000 Yeah.

00:29:26.000 And to that point, as they keep pumping money into the system, you're going to have young people that are going to only have the opinions they have now.

00:29:36.000 They're going to only feel more strongly about it.

00:29:38.000 They're going to say, capitalism doesn't work.

00:29:39.000 Oh, yeah.

00:29:40.000 The money that I make doesn't make it.

00:29:42.000 New proposal.

00:29:42.000 Only net taxpayers get to vote.

00:29:44.000 I wish.

00:29:45.000 You do that, entitlements disappear overnight.

00:29:48.000 No question.

00:29:50.000 So people don't understand this.

00:29:51.000 Net taxpayer means you're paying more into the system than you're getting out.

00:29:54.000 Most people who pay taxes are paying substantially less.

00:29:57.000 I think it's only the top 10% who actually pay all the taxes.

00:30:01.000 So if the top 10% of the United States left the country, the entirety of entitlements would just collapse and cease to exist, or the country would go through hyperinflation.

00:30:11.000 So we got a problem with a country where people expect other people to pay their bills.

00:30:18.000 Again, imagine going to the founding fathers and telling them in 200 years time, half of all of the money a person makes will be taken by the government in some form to be distributed amongst those who are not producing for the country.

00:30:33.000 They'd be like, that's insane.

00:30:36.000 Well, that's exactly where we are right now.

00:30:38.000 Half of the money that you make is taken by the government.

00:30:41.000 And the 250 years since the founding, the actual currency has lost probably 90% of its value as well.

00:30:49.000 I think it's what it's like.

00:30:50.000 The top 1% of taxpayers pay 40% of the federal taxes in this country.

00:30:55.000 Here's what people don't understand.

00:30:56.000 When I say that half of all the money you make is taxed, people look at their tax bracket and they go, what do you mean?

00:31:00.000 I'm only at the 20% tax bracket.

00:31:02.000 And then you factor in property taxes, gasoline taxes, sales taxes, excise, sales, tariff, service, whatever.

00:31:11.000 Overall, I think the average when they actually wrap it up is like 48% of all the money you make will be given away in taxes, will be given to the government in some form.

00:31:20.000 So even if it's not income tax, when you buy gas, the prices, there's a tax in there you can't see.

00:31:26.000 Cigarettes, they put taxes on that stuff.

00:31:28.000 There's punitive taxes.

00:31:30.000 All of your money.

00:31:31.000 All so that they can have somebody create some type of virus so that they can study how to cure the virus.

00:31:41.000 They create biological weapons so that they can figure out how to come up with antidotes for biological weapons. 0.79

00:31:47.000 I think the most likely situation is going to be that they're going to end up inflating the currency, hyperinflation, and then there'll be a war.

00:31:55.000 That's the thing.

00:31:56.000 All the people that you have in power now, I think they really believe that what ended the depression was the next war, World War II.

00:32:05.000 So you get those kind of people in power, and it makes you wonder what the decision-making is going to look like, the process.

00:32:10.000 Let's jump to this next story from the Las Vegas Review Journal, how Trump's Big Beautiful Bill Could Impact Gamblers.

00:32:18.000 Well, my friends, last night we talked about how there was a small two-paragraph provision added to Trump's Big Beautiful Bill in the Senate that says that wagers can only be expensed up to 90%.

00:32:31.000 So we have a bunch of updates on this and what it really means.

00:32:34.000 The first thing I'm going to say is this was added to the bill.

00:32:39.000 So we did some investigating.

00:32:40.000 I see that mosquito over there.

00:32:42.000 Where is he?

00:32:42.000 He's over there.

00:32:44.000 Anyway, so when this story broke, we did some investigating.

00:32:47.000 And what we believe right now, based on our sources on the Hill, the Senate parliamentarian added this provision in.

00:32:54.000 This individual is a Democrat.

00:32:56.000 My personal belief is that this provision was added intentionally to sabotage the bill.

00:33:02.000 And there's a lot to why this is the case.

00:33:05.000 Right now, we've got Democrat members of Congress.

00:33:08.000 Dina Titus of Nevada says, buried within the B.S. Republican budget bill is a provision that harms poker players and those who gamble by limiting loss deductions.

00:33:18.000 I'm working on a legislative fix that fairly treats gaming losses in the tax code.

00:33:22.000 It's going to be, at least right now, it looks like Democrats are swooping in to try and save the day.

00:33:27.000 They say Dina Titus, Democrat Derek Stevens, and Derek Stevens, co-owner of Circa, the D and Golden Gate Hotel Casinos, share similar concerns about this.

00:33:38.000 So here's what I'm told happened.

00:33:40.000 There was a tax rule that said any gaming, any wagering, you can deduct all of your losses against your winnings, but not more than your winnings.

00:33:52.000 Basically, if you go to a casino and you're a regular person and you wager $100, you can't just write off $100.

00:33:58.000 Only if you win.

00:34:00.000 So this was set to expire.

00:34:03.000 And the Senate initially said, we just re-up it, whatever, who cares?

00:34:06.000 The Senate parliamentarian wanted to take it out completely, which would have meant that literally gambling is impossible because no matter what you win, you got to pay taxes On everything, even when you lose money.

00:34:18.000 So, this would mean that if you won money but then lost it right away, the government would still consider that income.

00:34:22.000 The Senate Finance Committee negotiated, saying, Well, let's just do 99%.

00:34:26.000 The parliamentarian refused and said it's got to be 90%, to which they agreed, thinking it didn't matter.

00:34:33.000 What we're hearing now is this goes beyond gambling.

00:34:35.000 This affects any kind of wagering in any kind of tournament, any kind of sporting event where you decide to enter.

00:34:41.000 If you are in a golf tournament or a fishing tournament and you put money up to enter that tournament, that's considered wagering.

00:34:47.000 At least that's what some of the people are arguing now.

00:34:49.000 I'm not a tax lawyer.

00:34:50.000 They're saying that still qualifies as a loss, as a wager, as far as the tax code goes.

00:34:58.000 So what's happening, and I'll tell you my thoughts on this.

00:35:01.000 I think this was intentionally added by the parliamentarian, a Democrat, to create a circumstance that will target regular working class white dudes who live in Democrat urban areas that vote for Trump.

00:35:15.000 Why?

00:35:15.000 This effectively will shut down fantasy sports apps.

00:35:20.000 So here's what I'm seeing from everybody.

00:35:22.000 They're saying gambling is bad.

00:35:24.000 Who cares anyway?

00:35:25.000 Okay.

00:35:26.000 The majority of the middle-aged white dudes in Pennsylvania who shifted for Donald Trump, union working guys, who are now going to be asking questions as to why they can no longer go to their fantasy sports league or why they're getting taxed $3,000 at the end of the year for having done it.

00:35:43.000 What I'm hearing from people, a lot of people are saying, well, who cares?

00:35:45.000 Even if you go to Vegas, you're not really going to track all of this anyway.

00:35:48.000 If your argument is just line your taxes, fair point, I guess.

00:35:52.000 Most people don't want to do that, but you're right.

00:35:54.000 People probably won't.

00:35:55.000 They probably won't report this stuff.

00:35:57.000 What I think happened, wild conspiracy.

00:36:02.000 If you were a Democrat and you're trying to sabotage Donald Trump in the midterms, what group are you targeting?

00:36:09.000 You're targeting like Ohio, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, where a lot of white working class people shifted for Donald Trump.

00:36:17.000 What are these guys like doing?

00:36:19.000 Fantasy sports on the weekends with their buddies, sports spending on the weekends with their buddies.

00:36:23.000 You do something like this, FanDuel, DraftKings, and whatever app you're using, you're going to open up the app one day and a notification is going to pop up saying, we do track every transaction you make and we'll be reporting that to the IRS as we're obligated to do.

00:36:38.000 And then next year, some random 40-year-old dude who makes $50,000 a year is going to get a tax bill for two grand and say, I have no idea what just happened.

00:36:46.000 Because a Senate parliamentarian Democrat injected in this bill that you can only write off 90% of your losses.

00:36:53.000 So I think this is just one component of what Democrats likely conspired to do behind the scenes to make sure that it's a poison pill.

00:37:02.000 If Amade in Amodi or whatever his name is, the Nevada Congressman Republican, votes against Trump, Trump's going to primary him, right?

00:37:12.000 Okay.

00:37:12.000 If he votes for the bill, the people of Nevada will primary him.

00:37:16.000 So it's a rock and a hard place.

00:37:18.000 Looks like the, and not to mention Nevada was slim majorities between Republican and Democrat.

00:37:23.000 If the Republicans pass this, you are going to see the entirety of the gaming industry, which includes sports tournaments and otherwise, blaming Donald Trump, saying this is his fault and it's bad for the industry.

00:37:35.000 And this is $172 billion.

00:37:40.000 I mean, look, I don't know a whole lot about gambling at all or the law surrounding it.

00:37:46.000 But if you've got a state like Nevada that's got such a very slim majority, you know.

00:37:54.000 Well, there's three, I think it's three Democrats, one Republican.

00:37:57.000 But the Senate race was like one percentage point.

00:38:01.000 Yeah, if the Republicans pass, the Republicans in the Senate vote pass this, Nevada's going to go Democrat 100%.

00:38:07.000 It's going to never change.

00:38:08.000 I mean, look, this bill has the, has the, you know, it's possible that this bill causes havoc with the midterms for Republicans because there's a lot of people that are really upset with a lot of things in it.

00:38:18.000 I think that the bill needs to pass.

00:38:21.000 Trump needs to get his budget for illegal immigration.

00:38:25.000 But you would be crazy not to think or to believe that Democrats are not thinking ahead for how they can sabotage Republicans in the midterms.

00:38:34.000 Knowing Trump's bill is going to pass, what would any clever person do?

00:38:39.000 Can we get stuff put in there?

00:38:41.000 There'll be a time bomb.

00:38:42.000 Then in the midterms, we can run campaign ads saying that so-and-so Republican voted to tax your fantasy sports so that your hobby would effectively be shut down.

00:38:54.000 Or a pro industry like the World Series of Poker.

00:38:57.000 You're going to have all of these pros popping up already.

00:38:59.000 Newsweek, NBC have written this up.

00:39:02.000 I think it is only by luck we caught this one bad thing injected by the parliamentarian.

00:39:09.000 But I'm willing to bet there's probably a dozen more nobody noticed because it's almost a thousand pages.

00:39:13.000 I mean, selfishly, I like the idea of less people being at SHOT Show this year.

00:39:20.000 But I understand the point that you're making.

00:39:22.000 This is not something I had really known about until this morning.

00:39:25.000 I was watching your show before we came on.

00:39:27.000 And we got to get deportations going.

00:39:30.000 So I want this thing to pass.

00:39:31.000 But I do think you're making a fair point.

00:39:33.000 I mean, what percentage of Nevada's revenue comes from travel to Vegas specifically for gambling?

00:39:39.000 It's got to be.

00:39:40.000 About Kentucky.

00:39:41.000 Kentucky, yeah.

00:39:42.000 Derby.

00:39:43.000 The Derby.

00:39:44.000 And we were talking about that behind the scenes.

00:39:46.000 Everyone's trying to figure out why Thomas Massey is going so hard.

00:39:49.000 Well, I mean, the Kentucky Derby revolves around gambling, at least partly.

00:39:53.000 Well, he was going hard against it before the Senate injected.

00:39:56.000 The parliamentarian.

00:39:57.000 I want to stress this.

00:39:58.000 This is the lynchpin.

00:39:59.000 The parliamentarian appointed by a Democrat put this in there.

00:40:03.000 Why?

00:40:03.000 Can someone explain to me how the hell Parliament, I apologize for cursing, gets appointed when you have control of the...

00:40:12.000 Like, how does that work?

00:40:13.000 The Republicans could easily remove the parliamentarian.

00:40:16.000 Yeah, that's really weird.

00:40:17.000 It's fake.

00:40:18.000 But it takes a 50-senator vote to remove them, right?

00:40:23.000 Or a majority.

00:40:24.000 Presumably, and we have how many seats?

00:40:25.000 52?

00:40:26.000 Not sure exactly.

00:40:27.000 I think it is 52, yeah.

00:40:29.000 So they theoretically should be able to just change the rules.

00:40:31.000 That was the point of winning a majority, but they're not doing it.

00:40:34.000 And they're going, oh, no, the parliamentarian is doing things.

00:40:38.000 There's nothing we can do to stop it.

00:40:40.000 Yeah.

00:40:40.000 And in the Senate, because this is a reconciliation bill, it doesn't have to meet 60 up there either.

00:40:45.000 It just has to make simple majority in the Senate, too.

00:40:47.000 This is the bird rule that basically the parliamentarian advises on what needs to go in it so that it can't be subject to the filibuster.

00:40:56.000 And then all the members of the Senate just say, okay, whatever you say, parliamentarian.

00:40:59.000 And that's only there because it's a budgetary bill, not a policy bill.

00:41:04.000 Yes.

00:41:05.000 That's my understanding.

00:41:06.000 Theoretically, they could change all the rules and the Republicans could say, we are going to win forever, but they are intentionally floundering.

00:41:13.000 This is what they do.

00:41:14.000 They are never intended to win.

00:41:15.000 They're pulling a Washington generals right now.

00:41:18.000 They're all whoopsie-daisies. 0.98

00:41:20.000 Which is frustrating.

00:41:20.000 So I think people need to consider it is only because of pro poker players that this story actually got any attention.

00:41:29.000 The World Series of poker is happening right now.

00:41:31.000 You got 100 plus thousand people flying into Las Vegas for the biggest event of the year.

00:41:37.000 There's tens of thousands of pro players.

00:41:40.000 And they do this at one of the highest profile moments for the gaming industry.

00:41:45.000 I'm like, that sounds intentional.

00:41:47.000 It sounds like they were like, what will cause the biggest problem?

00:41:51.000 But, and so here's what I thought.

00:41:54.000 Conservatives, many are cheering for it.

00:41:56.000 They're like, oh, really?

00:41:57.000 It's going to inadvertently ban gambling?

00:41:58.000 Ha, good.

00:42:00.000 It's like, okay, Kentucky Derby, Charlestown Races, you've got all sports betting, ESPN, you've got DraftKings, you've got Barstool Sports, you've got FanDuel, you've got UFC, all of these industries.

00:42:15.000 Then you've got to consider too, and I'm not so sure on this one, but I saw people pointing out that wagering for tournaments, when you enter any kind of tournament, be it golf or fishing or anything where you go with the sponsor, the money paid up front is considered a wager because they pay out a prize pool.

00:42:32.000 No kidding.

00:42:33.000 So this means that entry fees can't be expensed 100% anymore.

00:42:38.000 So if you enter a golf tournament and lose, you still have to pay on any money received, even though it costs you money to do.

00:42:47.000 So like it looks like they did this intending to set a time bomb for the midterms or something.

00:42:54.000 Or like for Rand, Paul, and Messie, what choice do they have?

00:42:58.000 Well, Massey's Tennessee, right?

00:42:59.000 I think he's Kentucky.

00:43:00.000 Massey's Kentucky.

00:43:01.000 He's Kentucky.

00:43:02.000 Yeah.

00:43:02.000 Okay, right, right.

00:43:03.000 Rand Paul's Kentucky as well, right?

00:43:04.000 Yeah.

00:43:05.000 Yeah, yeah, yeah, okay.

00:43:05.000 Yeah, I think it's those two and then McConnell.

00:43:08.000 Imagine being like, guys, you can't battle the horse at the Derby anymore.

00:43:11.000 Right.

00:43:11.000 Yeah.

00:43:12.000 You're going to lose money.

00:43:13.000 So the thing about this that people should understand, I know we talked about it quite a bit, but I'll just lay it out, is that as a percentage base, it's an exponential loss for your recreational gamer or amateur tournament goer.

00:43:31.000 Let's say every month you play in a tournament that costs 500 bucks and you're like, man, I love fishing.

00:43:36.000 It's 500 bucks today.

00:43:37.000 We do it once a month and it's like a regional thing.

00:43:40.000 That means you're going to be looking at about $6,000 wagered.

00:43:43.000 So you're going to owe taxes on $600 if you break even on that tournament.

00:43:47.000 And then you're going to have to pay, you know, what, I don't know, you're going to be $30, $180, $200 on your taxes.

00:43:53.000 And you're going to get a bill in the mail and you're going to wonder why it happened.

00:43:55.000 You're going to open your FanDuel app and it's going to say, we are here.

00:43:58.000 We are now officially sending all of your information to the IRS.

00:44:02.000 You're going to get a letter in the mail in June and it's going to be like, based on the information from FanDuel, you owe an additional $2,000.

00:44:09.000 Every time you wage your money, if you break even, the amounts of losses exponentially, it's going to keep increasing, meaning the percentage base you owe goes up.

00:44:19.000 If you bet $1 and you win and lose a million times, you will owe the government taxes on $50,000.

00:44:28.000 And you have only a dollar to name.

00:44:30.000 It's insane.

00:44:31.000 Long story short, they're sabotaging Trump's bill.

00:44:34.000 They want to steal the midterms, and they're doing it in a way that conservatives are going to cheer for and regret it later.

00:44:40.000 It's not even stealing.

00:44:41.000 It's just smart politics on their part.

00:44:43.000 It's masterful, man.

00:44:44.000 I'm impressed, honestly.

00:44:46.000 And it does call into question just how much of the American economy relies on gambling now.

00:44:51.000 I know it's become a meme of sorts, especially in baseball, with how much gambling is involved in the market for them there.

00:44:57.000 But it's definitely interesting. 0.96

00:44:59.000 I think additionally, like once again, I feel my thoughts on this are, we lost, we're fucked because conservatives can't see past the word gamble. 0.80

00:45:10.000 I don't understand this is like a fishing tournament. 0.95

00:45:13.000 This is like a 43-year-old guy being like, I'm going to go enter a fishing tournament, go fishing with Du Bois.

00:45:18.000 And that's a wager against the prize pool.

00:45:21.000 And at the end of the year, they're going to be like, you owe money on all your winnings.

00:45:24.000 And he's like, but I'm negative now.

00:45:25.000 Why can't I go fishing anymore? 1.00

00:45:27.000 And all the conservatives keep saying is, fuck gambling. 1.00

00:45:30.000 And I'm like, oh my God, dude. 1.00

00:45:31.000 Even fantasy sports is different when you think about it.

00:45:34.000 They don't understand the difference between fantasy sports and gambling, considering how prevalent fantasy sports are for people these days.

00:45:40.000 I think the issue is that the bill says wagers and people keep saying gambling.

00:45:45.000 This is a tax on wagering in any capacity.

00:45:49.000 You want to go to a golf tournament, they're taxing your winnings.

00:45:52.000 You can't win anymore.

00:45:53.000 It sounds like if you're going to a shooting tournament and there's a gun on the line and you win it, that's considered income, right?

00:45:59.000 Yep.

00:46:00.000 And you wagered against it.

00:46:02.000 That's wild, man.

00:46:03.000 I wonder who actually put this language in the bill.

00:46:06.000 The Senate parliamentarian.

00:46:07.000 The parliamentarian herself.

00:46:08.000 So Lisa started digging around and asking Senate staffers, how did this get put in the bill? 0.62

00:46:13.000 I have the tweet.

00:46:14.000 Lisa Elizabeth says, I'm now hearing this on the parliamentarian invoking the Byrd Rule.

00:46:19.000 A specific change related to the deduction of gambling losses under the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act is scheduled to expire at the end of 25.

00:46:26.000 You can deduct gambling losses up to the amount of your gambling winnings.

00:46:30.000 Full stop.

00:46:31.000 This is, again, the issue.

00:46:32.000 It's wagering in the bill.

00:46:33.000 Wagering, not gambling, wager.

00:46:36.000 Expiration at the end of 2025, a change introduced by the TCGA that temporarily removed the limitation that losses could not exceed 2% of adjusted gross income.

00:46:45.000 I'm told the Senate parliamentarian flagged it and said no to the extension because of the Byrd rule.

00:46:50.000 Congress went to her and asked for 99%.

00:46:52.000 She said no and agreed to 90%.

00:46:54.000 Her name is Elizabeth McDonough.

00:46:56.000 She's supposed to have no political agenda, but she is no Trump fan and keeps delivering blows to his agenda. 1.00

00:47:03.000 I should just, I think there's no way to explain this to conservatives to get them to understand what this will do to the midterms, because the only thing I keep hearing from most people is, but Gambling is bad.

00:47:15.000 And I'm like, right, okay, so don't enter any kind of tournament.

00:47:18.000 No race car tournaments, no amateur racetracks, no destruction derbies, no golf, no fishing, no disc golf, no football, no frisbee, whatever it is.

00:47:29.000 And then on top of that, you can talk about sports betting, UFC, the entirety of the gaming industry of Vegas.

00:47:35.000 Like, this is a nuclear bomb.

00:47:36.000 I wonder if there's even like some type of other stats on what the political affiliations are as far as gambling, like which party gambles more, which, you know, which members.

00:47:46.000 The Democrats?

00:47:46.000 Yeah.

00:47:47.000 You think so?

00:47:47.000 Yeah, and the Democrats are already the ones.

00:47:48.000 I mean, not if you're talking fishing tournaments and golfing tournaments and shooting tournaments.

00:47:53.000 If we're going to talk about wagering as opposed to just gambling, then I would say that, you know, isn't the joke always that the voters on the left, they don't need any money anyways?

00:48:02.000 Yeah.

00:48:02.000 Wow, this stuff is.

00:48:04.000 People that do scratch, like, buy scratch-off and stuff like that.

00:48:06.000 Oh, actually, there's a chat right there for I was going to read it from Martin Edgar.

00:48:09.000 He says, the lottery is a wager.

00:48:11.000 This is going to nuke a bunch of states.

00:48:13.000 This is going to be absolutely insane.

00:48:14.000 And the thing is, people that do scratch-offs and stuff like that, they tend to actually be poorer and lower on the income scale.

00:48:21.000 that's gonna really, really hurt those people.

00:48:23.000 I mean, if they do any kind of, you know, But at the same time, I mean, it could, you know?

00:48:33.000 I mean, I don't see how they would be reporting the scratch-offs and stuff like that.

00:48:38.000 Individual stores aren't going to be reporting that.

00:48:40.000 Secession now super chatted $100 saying, here's $100. 0.98

00:48:43.000 Please shut the fuck up about gambling, a gamble law tax code change. 0.99

00:48:46.000 Nobody cares. 0.99

00:48:47.000 Extra 15 minutes on the same topic.

00:48:49.000 No, no, I'm reading this because it exemplifies exactly the point I'm making. 0.95

00:48:53.000 Conservatives hate gambling and are happy to see Trump's agenda get blown the fuck up by a Democrat, and they don't care.

00:48:59.000 And the midterms are going to come around, and they're going to wonder why they lose in a nuclear fashion.

00:49:05.000 It's like the swing districts could flip 10 seats because there's going to be some 50-year-old guy being like, I can't go fishing anymore.

00:49:12.000 Like I enter a fishing tournament every year in my town, and now I got a tax bill over it.

00:49:16.000 Look, I'll give in to this if we can at least get Pete Rose in the Hall of Fame.

00:49:21.000 Well, all right.

00:49:22.000 I mean, honestly, I think that, like I said earlier, there's a lot of stuff in this that really could do a job on the Republicans come the midterms.

00:49:30.000 And I still do believe that if the economy's good, they'll have a positive result in the midterms.

00:49:35.000 I'm not going to talk about individually or whatever, but I think that if the economy's good, they can have a positive result in the midterms.

00:49:42.000 But if the economy is bad, all of these things, people are going to remember.

00:49:46.000 They'll go, oh, remember they did this.

00:49:48.000 I'm bummed out.

00:49:49.000 I'll say this.

00:49:49.000 Amade will lose in Nevada.

00:49:52.000 That's a seat flipped instantly.

00:49:54.000 You know, he normally wins by like 10 points.

00:49:56.000 He's like Reno.

00:49:57.000 But the state, like Reno has gaming.

00:49:59.000 Nevada is a gaming state.

00:50:01.000 Imagine what the ads are going to be when they're like, Amade voted to destroy the gaming industry in Nevada, specifically with Trump.

00:50:09.000 Yeah, and I don't know a lot about this, but constitutionally, I'm against, and I mean like personal constitution, not like it's written in there, but I'm against gambling.

00:50:18.000 I don't think it's good, but you win by winning, and we need to win.

00:50:21.000 So your point is taken.

00:50:23.000 I don't know.

00:50:24.000 It sounds plausible to me.

00:50:25.000 I don't really have a strong opinion beyond that, I guess.

00:50:28.000 Yeah, I mean, it's anything that is this controversial that has the negative reaction that this does.

00:50:37.000 I mean, it's just a better idea to just get it out of there, get rid of it.

00:50:41.000 Let's jump to the next story.

00:50:42.000 We got this from the post-millennial.

00:50:43.000 NYC signs $1 billion contract to expand hotel shelter program for illegals after Roosevelt Hotel shut down.

00:50:51.000 These hotel units will be used by social service vendors to house emergency shelter clients who have entered the shelter system.

00:50:57.000 I am for this.

00:50:59.000 I could not be happier.

00:51:02.000 A billion dollars is not enough.

00:51:04.000 I think New York should spend every penny they got to create single centralized locations where all the illegal immigrants go. 1.00

00:51:13.000 So that way it's cheaper for Trump when he goes with a handful of ICE agents to round them all up, put them in buses and send them home.

00:51:19.000 That's right.

00:51:19.000 You just post dudes up at the exits and wrap some chicken wire around it.

00:51:25.000 Pull the bus and be like, everybody, in you go.

00:51:28.000 We're giving you a ride home.

00:51:29.000 Set security, get in there and see you.

00:51:32.000 So it is absolutely insane they're doing this.

00:51:35.000 However, I am kind of serious about it.

00:51:37.000 I mean, a hotel centralized in New York where all of the illegal immigrants are, it's going to be the easiest ICE raid ever. 0.78

00:51:44.000 You send one guy with a clipboard.

00:51:46.000 He's going to walk up and be like, I got a van outside.

00:51:48.000 That's all you don't need anything.

00:51:49.000 I'm just glad that I don't live in New York so I don't have to pay that New York City tax that's going to go to the funding of this.

00:51:55.000 Not crazy.

00:51:55.000 I think a couple of things.

00:51:57.000 You got to be careful.

00:51:58.000 You don't want to give up the best city in the country and just blow it off.

00:52:03.000 It's important.

00:52:03.000 It's a cultural hub.

00:52:04.000 It's a financial hub.

00:52:06.000 It would be great to have control of it.

00:52:07.000 And I mean, where I'm from, we're not real fond of New York City, but I still don't want to just piss it down the drain.

00:52:13.000 You know what I mean?

00:52:14.000 And then secondly, didn't we just find out like six months ago or so that New York was shipping welfare recipients to New Jersey because it was cheaper to house them there?

00:52:25.000 So they're keeping them on welfare, like New York City welfare, and then housing them elsewhere.

00:52:30.000 So they're offloading miscreants.

00:52:33.000 At least this is what I heard.

00:52:35.000 I hadn't heard that, but it wouldn't shock me at all.

00:52:37.000 I mean, and I agree with you.

00:52:38.000 Like the idea that we should just write New York off is, I think that's unpalatable to most Americans.

00:52:45.000 But at the same time, New York has gone through bad city governments, and they've come out the other side.

00:52:51.000 And I think that this will probably be the same situation.

00:52:54.000 You'll get Memdani in there for however long he's in there, and his policies will have the negative repercussions that these types of policies always do.

00:53:05.000 And New Yorkers will get sick of it. 0.56

00:53:08.000 And hopefully they'll find someone like Giuliani in the 90s or whatever to fix the city and bring it back.

00:53:17.000 Why does that work for New York, but not California?

00:53:20.000 Well, because it's a city versus a state.

00:53:22.000 But I guess the hubs of California have been the same for how long, right?

00:53:27.000 Like in California, it's other than what, San Diego.

00:53:30.000 The rest of it is all blue everywhere in the cities, in the outskirts of the state, it's red.

00:53:35.000 A lot of that is because of illegal immigration.

00:53:38.000 And I don't think that you can do that in New York City.

00:53:41.000 I think that because it's a city, I think there's going to be, there would be different, there are significantly different contexts because of the fact that it's a city.

00:53:47.000 I mean, look, California is awesome.

00:53:50.000 Like, it's beautiful country.

00:53:52.000 Like, I mean, you know, out there is gorgeous.

00:53:55.000 You can literally in January be sitting in Lakeview and looking up at, or, you know, in, and looking up at the snow-capped mountains.

00:54:03.000 It's gorgeous.

00:54:04.000 That's really, really, really attractive to people, you know?

00:54:07.000 And so it's almost like California itself has empowered the state government to just brutalize the citizens because they'll put up with it.

00:54:18.000 Yeah, because they'll put up with it because it's so nice.

00:54:21.000 It's the one where I'm just like, look, I would never want to live there because of the taxes and because of just the cost of living.

00:54:27.000 But if I could, I would put up with it because it's such a beautiful place to be.

00:54:31.000 I think also their cities are more spread out.

00:54:34.000 It's easier to get away from, you know, the problematic type people to use a word.

00:54:41.000 You've got bigger suburbs, big giant gated communities.

00:54:46.000 If you're rich in LA, Hollywood area, you live up on a mountain with security.

00:54:50.000 And if you're rich in New York, you've got a penthouse, so you're still dealing with it.

00:54:56.000 I think that's totally right.

00:54:57.000 It's easier to isolate yourself.

00:55:00.000 If you don't like the cities, you can go live in the desert, go out into just maybe half an hour, 45 minutes outside of the city.

00:55:06.000 And it's not the same culture, even if you have to deal with the laws.

00:55:11.000 And I think in California, it's such a big state, I think there's a lot of people that do a lot of skirting the laws out there.

00:55:17.000 People that are just like, ah, I pay my taxes because I have to, but the other things that aren't.

00:55:22.000 No 10-round mags here.

00:55:24.000 Out in the desert, there's a lot of mags.

00:55:27.000 Big mags, you know? 0.97

00:55:28.000 Well, on a positive note, maybe we'll get a taxi driver part two that won't be a crappy remake.

00:55:34.000 Wasn't Joker a remake of taxi driver?

00:55:36.000 Yes.

00:55:38.000 Kings of Comedy.

00:55:43.000 Yeah, yeah.

00:55:43.000 But no, but you could also, I mean, what you don't want is a remake of Falling Down.

00:55:49.000 Stay away from that one. 0.66

00:55:50.000 Did you not like Falling Down?

00:55:51.000 I loved Falling Down.

00:55:51.000 Yeah, it's amazing.

00:55:52.000 Michael Douglas.

00:55:54.000 He's just getting bigger and bigger.

00:55:55.000 That's all the movie is.

00:55:56.000 He just keeps getting a bigger weapon.

00:55:59.000 Smart moves.

00:56:00.000 Like that archetype of the guy with the glasses in the white button-up shirt.

00:56:05.000 It's like just you see that guy just run. 1.00

00:56:07.000 He's kind of a dick, though. 1.00

00:56:08.000 He just wanted breakfast. 1.00

00:56:09.000 Yeah.

00:56:11.000 My favorite scene is, though, when he's sitting in the park and the two guys come up and they're like, this is our turf.

00:56:14.000 And he tries to be like, I didn't realize.

00:56:17.000 And then they shake him down anyway.

00:56:19.000 What is that?

00:56:19.000 Is that when he beats him with the briefcase?

00:56:21.000 Yeah.

00:56:23.000 What a great movie.

00:56:25.000 What's the final weapon that he gets?

00:56:27.000 Oh, gosh, it's been so long.

00:56:29.000 Isn't it a rocket launcher?

00:56:30.000 I thought it might have been the rocket launcher.

00:56:32.000 He just keeps getting bigger.

00:56:33.000 It's been a long time.

00:56:34.000 Could you imagine pitching that in Hollywood?

00:56:36.000 Like, here's my movie.

00:56:37.000 It's Michael Douglas, and he starts up with a briefcase, and he beats people, and he gets bigger and bigger weapons until the movie ends.

00:56:43.000 I mean, the idea was that movies were better when there was more cocaine in the executive office.

00:56:50.000 You know, I think you're on to something.

00:56:52.000 No, it's 100% true.

00:56:54.000 It's the sanitization of Hollywood executives that has ruined movie making because nobody's just ripping lines and then saying, I got an idea.

00:57:03.000 The idea that he keeps getting bigger and bigger weapons, it reminds me of the people that were trading, like started trading with a paperclip and ended up trading to a house.

00:57:11.000 That's what he's doing just with weapons.

00:57:12.000 I think that's actually happened several times.

00:57:15.000 There are people who make videos about it now with YouTube videos about that.

00:57:17.000 Yeah.

00:57:18.000 You like knock on someone's door and you're like, I got a business card.

00:57:21.000 What are you going to give me for it?

00:57:23.000 And then they're like, I'll give you a pen.

00:57:25.000 Okay.

00:57:25.000 And then the guy takes the pen and like I'm filming a video.

00:57:28.000 And then I had a paperclip and made it all the way to a house.

00:57:30.000 A pen is significantly more valuable than a business card.

00:57:34.000 But the reality is, in the early stages of those trades, the pen is valueless to the person.

00:57:39.000 They're like, I got a bunch of pens laying around.

00:57:40.000 Oh, he got away from you.

00:57:41.000 He got away that time.

00:57:42.000 Mosquito.

00:57:44.000 Wasn't quick enough.

00:57:45.000 Maybe someone can go around New York and trade a bunch of stuff to get that hotel.

00:57:50.000 I mean, haven't they been doing this in Portland for a long time?

00:57:54.000 The hotels for illegal immigrants? 1.00

00:57:57.000 I don't understand how this system survives.

00:57:59.000 I don't think it's working in Portland.

00:58:01.000 I mean, but they've tried.

00:58:03.000 I mean our society.

00:58:05.000 Well, he wants to open this hotel because he wants to get this hotel because then he can put the government-run grocery stores right next to it.

00:58:12.000 Do you guys think that we've passed the event horizon of social collapse based on young Americans not wanting to work, not knowing how to work, and the fertility crisis? 0.70

00:58:22.000 Yeah.

00:58:23.000 I mean, I think it's more to do with the fact that whenever these topics come up, people are like, eventually people will learn that free markets are the way.

00:58:30.000 I'm like, no, they're going to turn to the government.

00:58:32.000 Like they always do.

00:58:35.000 They haven't been taught either by their families or by society to be self-reliant.

00:58:39.000 This is what people don't understand.

00:58:41.000 When you have social disorder, who's in charge when there's no government, right?

00:58:48.000 Whoever's the most brutal.

00:58:50.000 The most brutal guy wins.

00:58:52.000 And so you end up with barbarians. 0.98

00:58:53.000 And the joke is that if the U.S. government collapsed, there's going to be a prison gang that uses the prison as a base and starts taking over things, right?

00:59:00.000 Okay.

00:59:01.000 Well, who's the most brutal guy literally right now?

00:59:04.000 Most brutal guy right now?

00:59:06.000 I mean, well, the American U.S. government indeed.

00:59:10.000 So when social order starts breaking down and there's no food, there's no resources, people will go to the most brutal guy and say, I will do anything you say as long as you give me food.

00:59:21.000 And this is what we see time and time again, like in Venezuela.

00:59:24.000 The people who join the military are guaranteed food while everyone's starving.

00:59:27.000 All you got to do is shoot your neighbor if they step out of line.

00:59:31.000 So, and what I mean by that is they will order the Venezuelan National Guard, go out with guns and open fire if ordered to, and you will want for nothing.

00:59:40.000 And so these people are basically like, look, I don't know you.

00:59:44.000 I don't care.

00:59:45.000 It's either I do this so I can feed my family or my children starve.

00:59:49.000 And they do not care about you.

00:59:52.000 I mean, look at the whole like, I was talking, or we were talking to Terrence when he was here a couple of weeks ago.

01:00:00.000 And I was talking about how AOC could actually get the nomination and could get elected.

01:00:06.000 And he was like, no, no, no.

01:00:08.000 But the situation, the context that Tim's talking about is exactly the situation that would lead to someone like AOC.

01:00:15.000 And maybe it's not AOC.

01:00:16.000 Maybe it's Mandani, right?

01:00:17.000 Like, so maybe he does a couple of years.

01:00:20.000 I don't know how long the New York mayor is in office, but he does a couple years as the New York mayor.

01:00:26.000 With that kind of position and that kind of high profile, you can guarantee that he will have his sight set on the presidency.

01:00:33.000 Oh, I thought I didn't know that he was allowed to run for president.

01:00:36.000 Oh, no, you're right.

01:00:37.000 My bad.

01:00:37.000 I'm sorry.

01:00:39.000 That's true.

01:00:39.000 But someone like him with the same kind of politics that was born here.

01:00:43.000 You need to.

01:00:45.000 The Constitution is only what people are willing to enforce.

01:00:49.000 And it is conservatives who live in this world of, so as it is written, so must it be done.

01:00:54.000 But the reality is the Constitution has never been enforced.

01:00:58.000 Not once.

01:00:59.000 We only got the right to keep and bear arms in 2008 and only, technically, 2010 with Chicago v.

01:01:05.000 McDonnell, I think it was.

01:01:06.000 And so everyone's like, we have a right to keep him and bear arms.

01:01:08.000 Well, you actually didn't until 2008.

01:01:11.000 States could actually arrest you and say you can't have a gun.

01:01:13.000 And so that right, although it was enshrined in the Constitution, wasn't actually interpreted to mean you literally could just have a gun.

01:01:18.000 Free speech, no, because they had blasphemy laws. 0.61

01:01:22.000 They arrested George Collin for swearing.

01:01:23.000 Free speech didn't exist the way we understand it until recently.

01:01:26.000 So my point ultimately is the Constitution says you got to be born here.

01:01:30.000 Yeah, okay, right.

01:01:31.000 Give communists enough power and wait till they change the meaning of natural born citizen.

01:01:37.000 And they'll be like, no, no, it means born of nature, not from a test tube.

01:01:41.000 In West Virginia, this is my understanding.

01:01:44.000 I never actually read through the Constitution, but I was told by local politicians that drinking and gambling are banned in the Constitution.

01:01:52.000 So you can't pass a law to, or legislation that's going to allow gambling and drinking.

01:01:58.000 So what they did was, how can we legalize liquor in West Virginia when the Constitution says no alcohol?

01:02:05.000 I got it.

01:02:07.000 Clearly they meant methyl alcohol, not ethyl alcohol.

01:02:12.000 Obviously they banned methyl.

01:02:13.000 Wood alcohol will kill you if you drink it, but sugar alcohol is fine.

01:02:17.000 So boom, here we go.

01:02:19.000 And despite the fact they knew exactly what the Constitution was trying to say and what their ancestors were trying to prevent, they said, we all just kind of look at each other, shrug, and say, screw them, we're doing it anyway.

01:02:31.000 So when people are like, Zora and Mamdani can't run for president or Arnold can't run for president or whatever, I'm like, dude, give it time.

01:02:37.000 If the communists get enough power, Jenk Uger's already made the argument that he should have the right, because he's a naturalized citizen, that should qualify.

01:02:45.000 Otherwise, he's a second-class citizen.

01:02:47.000 And there's an interesting argument there.

01:02:49.000 That's like we've talked about it.

01:02:51.000 Because of the way the Constitution is worded right now, a Chinese woman can have a kid in the United States as a tourist, leave immediately, and then 20 years later, that kid moves back to the United States without knowing a word of English, goes to school, studies for 15 years, and then can run for president. 0.99

01:03:08.000 I mean, that makes no sense.

01:03:09.000 So I think they absolutely, you know what, let me just put it this way.

01:03:14.000 Do you guys actually believe if given the opportunity and the political power, Democrats would not change that in some way?

01:03:21.000 They would do anything they possibly could to maintain power.

01:03:26.000 I can't wait to read Katanji Brown Jackson's sent.

01:03:30.000 AI generated.

01:03:31.000 Yes.

01:03:32.000 It's going to be great.

01:03:33.000 So I'm going to say this.

01:03:35.000 I did a segment on this, on the rumor that it was AI generated.

01:03:37.000 I think it was.

01:03:38.000 No kidding.

01:03:39.000 Well, she has one point in it.

01:03:41.000 She says, a Martian arriving from another planet.

01:03:44.000 And immediately everyone went, Martian means from Mars.

01:03:48.000 Like Martian is demonym of, is it fictional Martian life, like Mars life?

01:03:52.000 What?

01:03:53.000 Yeah.

01:03:54.000 I think colloquially, that's not necessarily going to be healthy.

01:03:58.000 Either way, why would a Supreme Court justice write some nonsensical fiction about a Martian?

01:04:04.000 It's something that an AI would generate telling a story.

01:04:08.000 She was born on Mars and then lived on Venus for a minute.

01:04:12.000 She also had a dot, dot, dot, wait for it, dot, dot, dot.

01:04:17.000 Like, and who's going to be the real person selling power?

01:04:19.000 Dot, dot, dot, wait for it, dot, dot, dot.

01:04:22.000 The executive branch is like, or no, she wrote the district courts. 0.99

01:04:26.000 And it's like, that's not a legal opinion writing.

01:04:29.000 That's like a feminist blog writing. 1.00

01:04:31.000 There was ellipses in it?

01:04:33.000 Yeah, ellipses, parentheses, wait for it, parentheses, ellipses.

01:04:36.000 That's the best.

01:04:37.000 Yep.

01:04:38.000 It was good that the rest of the SCODAS kind of, you know, smacked her down for that.

01:04:41.000 I think it was AI generated.

01:04:43.000 Let's jump to this next story, my friends.

01:04:45.000 We got this one from Not the Bee.

01:04:47.000 The newest left-wing conspiracy is that Trump is throwing migrants off planes into the ocean for real.

01:04:54.000 When I, for my noon morning show, I guess my afternoon, my noon show, I guess you can't even call it morning show.

01:04:59.000 This was the lead.

01:05:00.000 And the first comment that pops up was someone saying, is this clickbait?

01:05:03.000 To which someone responded, yes, it is.

01:05:06.000 First of all, clickbait, I'm going to say it again for those in the back, is when you leave information out of the title.

01:05:12.000 So you'd say something like, this celebrity did the most disgusting thing. 0.98

01:05:16.000 Wow, that's clickbait.

01:05:18.000 This is an actual story that is so insane, people didn't believe it.

01:05:22.000 They thought I was making something up to get them to click on it.

01:05:24.000 That's not correct.

01:05:26.000 There are millions of views on these TikToks where people are making this story.

01:05:31.000 Guys, they're throwing the deportees out of the planes and into the ocean.

01:05:34.000 No, this is not a drill.

01:05:35.000 No, this is not fear-mongering.

01:05:37.000 They're shackling people, flying out into open ocean and throwing them out.

01:05:43.000 Okay?

01:05:44.000 The flight patterns, there's people tracking on this app.

01:05:49.000 The flights going out with the deportees. 0.97

01:05:52.000 Okay.

01:05:52.000 So videos of planes taking off from Afghanistan during the pullout.

01:05:56.000 Check this out.

01:05:56.000 This is another post.

01:05:58.000 ICE plane leaves for Sudan.

01:06:00.000 Sudan says ICE plane never arrives.

01:06:02.000 ICE plane arrives back empty.

01:06:04.000 Shackled bodies wash up on the beach of Majorca downstream of a U.S. regime airbase.

01:06:10.000 Also, all fake.

01:06:11.000 The real story was that Trump flew, was flying migrants to South Sudan.

01:06:17.000 A court said he violated their order.

01:06:18.000 They stopped in Djibouti where they were placed in holding and then did not move.

01:06:23.000 Sudan then says, where's the plane that's supposed to arrive?

01:06:26.000 It was in Djibouti because the court said stop.

01:06:28.000 Trump then won the rights to do it.

01:06:30.000 So it may be that eventually they then will bring those migrants to South Sudan. 0.98

01:06:35.000 Crazy leftists then say, aha, this proves it.

01:06:40.000 I don't know if there's some of these other ones. 0.93

01:06:42.000 All these pictures with like Trump and the plane, they should have put Trump in like a Pinochet costume.

01:06:47.000 Yeah.

01:06:47.000 Indeed.

01:06:48.000 I mean, couldn't he have been dumping them like near alligator Alcatraz?

01:06:53.000 That's what they claimed.

01:06:54.000 Okay.

01:06:56.000 One of the flight paths they posted was from Costa Rica over the Pacific and then back to Costa Rica.

01:07:02.000 And I'm like, my dude, we don't have migrants in Costa Rica and the bodies washed up in the Mediterranean, which is from the Atlantic.

01:07:10.000 So they're literally just taking random things.

01:07:12.000 There's one dude who's got 200,000 likes and 7,000 comments on TikTok, indicating probably a million plus views.

01:07:19.000 And he goes, I have no reason to connect these stories.

01:07:23.000 And then it shows five shackled bodies wash up on beach.

01:07:27.000 And then it shows Trump shackles migrants.

01:07:29.000 And he goes, but we cannot be naive.

01:07:32.000 And I'm like, oh, boy.

01:07:33.000 Oh, yeah, you can.

01:07:36.000 I mean, this is the natural outcome of independent media becoming a thing is that people may turn to independent media like this, but people also are turning to TikTokers to get their news and their information.

01:07:48.000 I agree.

01:07:49.000 And I think it's for the component is like that first woman in this video.

01:07:55.000 Let me ask you, Brett, she talks about two things.

01:07:58.000 The first of which is Trump throwing migrants out of a plane.

01:08:01.000 What do you think the second thing she brings up is?

01:08:03.000 Have we got drugs?

01:08:05.000 What's that?

01:08:05.000 Sharks.

01:08:06.000 That is actually one of the things you saw me talking about it.

01:08:10.000 One guy says this is shark-infested waters.

01:08:13.000 So they've graduated, but no, no, no.

01:08:15.000 She goes on to start talking about how she's not getting enough followers and shares from talking about this, which clearly means she's being shadow banned.

01:08:22.000 I think this is connected to the 50th anniversary of Jaws, which just came out.

01:08:28.000 This would be great promotion for the 50th anniversary steelbook for Jaws.

01:08:31.000 It is.

01:08:31.000 One of the videos is a guy saying, not only are the reports the planes are going out, there's like one guy's been begging people to hear this story, saying, please, because they're throwing the people he knew he's migrants out of the plane, but these are also shark-infested waters.

01:08:47.000 Well, I got some sad news for her.

01:08:50.000 China owns that app, and they're known for sowing discontent in America. 1.00

01:08:54.000 So I'm pretty sure they're boosting you, if anything.

01:08:57.000 I did see that.

01:08:59.000 I did just see that YouTube shorts have surpassed TikTok in views, though I think that has some funny business to do with how they, what they count as a view now.

01:09:07.000 But YouTube, like, one of the crazy things is now people think that, like, because of that, like, just the fact that TikTok got banned by the U.S. government allowed YouTube in meta to come in and take all those views because a lot of people who use the platform gave up once they found out that it was going to be banned.

01:09:22.000 They're like, I don't want to invest a bunch of time into a platform that's going to get banned anyways.

01:09:26.000 And Trump keeps pushing back the date on the ban.

01:09:29.000 And he has no authority to do that.

01:09:31.000 Yeah, through executive order.

01:09:32.000 They don't want to enforce it anyways.

01:09:34.000 But, you know, that's who these people are going to watch.

01:09:37.000 Now, they're going to watch the lady on TikTok in her living room who's telling you that shark-infested waters are now being used to house migrants. 1.00

01:09:44.000 That's great.

01:09:45.000 Someone commented, Tim, if this turns out to be true, will you apologize?

01:09:49.000 And I said, if it turns out to be true that Donald Trump is rounding up illegal immigrants on cargo planes and then dumping them out of planes into the ocean, not only will I apologize, I will call for him to be impeached and convicted, as will literally every Republican in the House and the Senate.

01:10:06.000 So there you go.

01:10:07.000 I really don't think it's possible that this is actually happening.

01:10:11.000 Did you ever see that gif of the guy that's like, I prefer not to speak.

01:10:15.000 If I do speak, I'm in big trouble.

01:10:16.000 You ever seen that one?

01:10:17.000 Well, that keeps going through my head.

01:10:22.000 I mean, look, I don't think that there are any stories that people that hate Donald Trump won't believe if it's critical and cast Donald Trump and Republicans in a bad light.

01:10:35.000 And I think that this is more evidence of that, whether it be this or kids in cages or whatever it is.

01:10:44.000 They want to believe the terrible stories.

01:10:46.000 They want to hear them. 0.97

01:10:49.000 They want that fan fiction that Donald Trump's the evil orange man.

01:10:53.000 They believe it in their heart and everything they hear that confirms their bias, they're going to be like, yes, it's true.

01:10:59.000 I mean, he looks pretty cool in all the artwork that they created for us.

01:11:02.000 So they're not doing a great job of making him look bad.

01:11:04.000 No.

01:11:05.000 Yeah, it is.

01:11:06.000 It's like the low-budget AOC standing next to the fence crying.

01:11:09.000 It's like the lowest budget version of that.

01:11:11.000 We need to make a picture of her in a boat crying, looking into the waters. 0.84

01:11:16.000 With like some shackled people.

01:11:18.000 Well, I don't know.

01:11:19.000 I'm not saying that.

01:11:19.000 I'm saying she knows that in the middle.

01:11:21.000 Yeah, do you know who that's from?

01:11:24.000 I mean, the portrait looks like his whatever movie that's from.

01:11:29.000 You don't know?

01:11:30.000 You're supposed to.

01:11:33.000 The pop culture guy over here doesn't know what movie that is.

01:11:36.000 Is that the fugitive?

01:11:37.000 No, it's the one where Harrison Ford.

01:11:39.000 It's the one where Harrison Ford was the president.

01:11:41.000 Get off my plane.

01:11:42.000 Air Force One?

01:11:44.000 Was that it?

01:11:44.000 Get off my plane.

01:11:45.000 Air Force One.

01:11:46.000 I thought it was Where's My Son?

01:11:49.000 That's Ransom.

01:11:50.000 Yeah.

01:11:51.000 And that's Give Me Back My Son.

01:11:53.000 Give Me Back My Son.

01:11:53.000 Are there like 12 movies?

01:11:55.000 Yeah.

01:11:56.000 That's Mel Gibson.

01:11:58.000 Those lines are always kind of written into my brain because they were in all the trailers and all the movies that I, like on the VHSs of the movies that I watched growing up.

01:12:04.000 You know, they used to make a lot of movies about people trying to get their kids back.

01:12:08.000 Yep.

01:12:09.000 You know?

01:12:10.000 Taken.

01:12:11.000 Yeah.

01:12:11.000 They made three of them.

01:12:12.000 I mean, that's a later example of it, too.

01:12:15.000 Ransom was like 19.

01:12:16.000 It is pretty funny that there's three takens. 0.99

01:12:18.000 It's like, dude, at a certain point, you're just not doing a good job.

01:12:21.000 Well, he gets taken.

01:12:21.000 Stay home.

01:12:24.000 He gets taken in the second one, right?

01:12:25.000 I thought the second one was his wife gets taken or something.

01:12:28.000 No, like, in the first one, it's his daughter, who's like the oldest-looking teenager ever.

01:12:32.000 She's like 28 when they made that movie.

01:12:34.000 Maybe it is, maybe it's her in the second one, and him.

01:12:37.000 Like, he like has he like has his daughter set off grenades in Poland in the second one. 0.99

01:12:41.000 I'm like, you probably killed like 20 people when you did that.

01:12:44.000 Well, you know, whatever.

01:12:45.000 I don't know, man.

01:12:46.000 You know, my big concern with this, though, is that the left believing this, and they do, what do you think a person who thinks is his true is capable of doing?

01:12:56.000 Oh, anything.

01:12:56.000 I mean, that's why, that's why, what's his name, tried to kill Trump, you know, because of, or the, the guy that was in touch with people from Ukraine was trying to get a, I don't remember what the, the artillery or whatever, heavy, heavy weaponry that he was trying to get, but like he was trying to get whatever he could to attack Trump.

01:13:13.000 And it's, it's because the left has been saying, look, he's Hitler for a decade and it's going to affect people.

01:13:19.000 And I'll say this: the reason why people can believe this story on the left is because they have been told the worst possible things about Trump were true for years.

01:13:30.000 So, for a sane person who's watched Trump rallies, who's, you know, actually knows the news, the idea that Donald Trump is loading up cargo planes full of shackled immigrants and dumping in the ocean is laughably absurd. 0.76

01:13:43.000 But if you're one of these MSNBC people, you're going, I knew it.

01:13:48.000 It's just one degree more than they already told you he was doing.

01:13:52.000 It's just, oh see, I knew it.

01:13:54.000 I love how they're also claiming now they're posting pictures of Alegator Alcatraz saying, and now Trump is building concentration camps.

01:13:59.000 I love it.

01:14:01.000 The more histrionic they get, the happier I am. 1.00

01:14:03.000 I mean, these people are ridiculous. 0.99

01:14:05.000 And if they actually believe this stuff, which I do think they're... 0.99

01:14:12.000 Well, there's a certain, at least a certain percentage that do. 0.94

01:14:15.000 You know, I like it and it makes me laugh because, you know, they're doing this to themselves by indulging these ridiculous fancies. 0.99

01:14:24.000 Well, it's stupid too, because there's so much banal evil in politics that you don't need to get so histrionic with it. 0.99

01:14:29.000 Like, there's plenty of evil in politics that doesn't have to sound so flashy. 0.99

01:14:33.000 Most of it.

01:14:34.000 Yeah.

01:14:35.000 Yeah.

01:14:36.000 Like everything we're seeing with Trump's big beautiful bill.

01:14:38.000 Someone's getting screwed over and someone's taking a buyout.

01:14:41.000 Like Murkowski was given, what was she given?

01:14:43.000 Like billions of dollars or whatever for Maine or something.

01:14:47.000 Is that where she is?

01:14:48.000 She's in Maine.

01:14:49.000 Alaska.

01:14:49.000 Sorry.

01:14:50.000 Yeah.

01:14:50.000 Collins is Maine, right?

01:14:51.000 For 250,000 people.

01:14:53.000 There's 250,000 people in the whole state, if I understand.

01:14:55.000 I mean, hey, if you live in Alaska, you're going, yes.

01:14:57.000 Yeah, I guess so.

01:14:58.000 Like, well, you know, we're not going to have to have the sun all winter, but at least we get all these goodies from the government.

01:15:05.000 If you're up north, the crazy thing is they got a long growing season with really long days.

01:15:09.000 And tons of mosquitoes.

01:15:11.000 Big watermelons.

01:15:12.000 That's where they grow the big watermelons because the sun's out so long, you know?

01:15:15.000 Do they still pay people to live up there?

01:15:17.000 I believe so, yes.

01:15:18.000 They get a royalty from oil and stuff like that.

01:15:21.000 I think we need to occupy Alaska.

01:15:23.000 I think we need to invade Alaska.

01:15:24.000 I think we do.

01:15:27.000 We got military bases up there.

01:15:28.000 There's a bunch of restrictions on being able to do any kind of development, but apparently there's a lot of resources and potential rare earths and stuff.

01:15:34.000 But it's just massive landmass that's like as big as, what is it, bigger than Texas or whatever?

01:15:39.000 We don't do nothing with it.

01:15:41.000 I think it's like twice the size of Texas.

01:15:42.000 Yeah, I think it's almost double.

01:15:45.000 Man, you're going to get my autism going.

01:15:47.000 My conservation autism is triggering right now.

01:15:49.000 This is a bit...

01:15:51.000 I was going to jump to the next story unless you wanted to add something.

01:15:53.000 No, I'll ask after the.

01:15:56.000 Here we go from Fox News.

01:15:58.000 DOJ indicts suspect who went viral for delivering protective gear to anti-ICE protesters on live TV.

01:16:04.000 Let's go.

01:16:05.000 Justice Department charges Alejandro Orellana with conspiracy to aid and abet civil disorders after delivering face shields.

01:16:14.000 They got him, boys.

01:16:15.000 Everybody was wondering who's paying for this.

01:16:18.000 And it's not just this.

01:16:19.000 So they got this guy.

01:16:20.000 There was that lady. 1.00

01:16:21.000 I don't know if you guys saw the viral video of the black woman in Portland screaming at the ICE protesters because she's like, you're harassing us. 0.99

01:16:28.000 I'm not sure if it was her, but somebody was saying, these people are leaving and going into office buildings.

01:16:33.000 Someone is paying for their access to these resources to be able to sit outside of ICE.

01:16:39.000 I think it's the government.

01:16:41.000 I think the state governments are using the far left as essentially corsairs.

01:16:48.000 They want illegal immigrants. 1.00

01:16:50.000 It gives them political power at the federal level.

01:16:52.000 They get electoral college votes, the more illegal immigrants they have, but they cannot use their sanctioned law enforcement to physically attack ICE.

01:17:00.000 They can sanction these street activist protesters all wearing masks and then say, oh, geez, not us.

01:17:07.000 It's just the people that are mad at you.

01:17:09.000 But I think California, Oregon, Washington intentionally want the riots and they want to stop deportations.

01:17:15.000 I don't know about...

01:17:25.000 But they can't actually hit an ICE agent.

01:17:28.000 Sure.

01:17:28.000 LAPD can't be instructed to go attack ICE.

01:17:31.000 They can tell the Antifa people to do it.

01:17:33.000 They can put undercover personnel in with black block Antifund far-leftists to instigate fights and then leave.

01:17:41.000 It's impossible.

01:17:42.000 I've told that Antifa isn't a real thing.

01:17:44.000 It's not even a group.

01:17:45.000 You're right.

01:17:45.000 God.

01:17:46.000 That's frustrating.

01:17:47.000 You still hear that argument, too.

01:17:49.000 You still really?

01:17:50.000 It depends on how deep on Twitter you go, but you'll definitely still hear that argument, even though you can point to pages where you can buy merch in Facebook groups.

01:17:58.000 It's frustrating because those, like when it was the January 6th rioters, you know, they go to jail with for, you know, for however long without trial or whatever and stuff.

01:18:10.000 And when it's the, when it's Antifa, it's like, oh, that's just an idea.

01:18:14.000 You know, never mind the fact that you have video after video after video of people wearing black block or people dressed for a black block holding Antifa flags.

01:18:22.000 But, you know, it's just an idea. 0.99

01:18:24.000 It's ridiculous. 0.68

01:18:25.000 So Trump is saying they may vote on the bill tonight? 0.93

01:18:28.000 Interesting.

01:18:29.000 They may pass it tonight, and it's sounding like Republicans may have enough votes to do it, but we'll see.

01:18:34.000 In the meantime, I guess I'm wondering with the escalation of the violence and resources for this, do we expect these protests, these riots, to reach a higher degree of conflict in the years to come?

01:18:49.000 You mean like through the summer and then worse when summer comes around next year?

01:18:53.000 There was just some kind of mass shooting in, where was it, like Portland?

01:18:57.000 Well, there was one there, but in Portland.

01:18:59.000 So I think it was, I'm not entirely sure what happened.

01:19:00.000 I think a Somali guy yesterday was opening fire or stuff.

01:19:05.000 I'm wondering if, you know, with these leftists arguing Trump is throwing bodies out of planes, do we start seeing something worse than whether underground level violence bombings and attacks?

01:19:16.000 You know, obviously you've been sitting here trying to crack jokes and stuff, but maybe, I mean, I get death threats and I'm a total nobody, you know? 0.98

01:19:24.000 So if it's reached a level where just idiots who get bucked off of horses for money are getting death threats, I would say it's a pretty good sign that it's not going to slow down. 0.97

01:19:34.000 And then you've got this kid up in Cordelaine that shot a bunch of firefighters. 0.99

01:19:40.000 Do you want to know what the motivation was for that?

01:19:42.000 I haven't seen yet.

01:19:43.000 Wasn't it that he Applied to join the fire department and was rejected.

01:19:47.000 I read that, but I could have been.

01:19:48.000 I mean, I don't know.

01:19:49.000 I saw some, I'm pretty sure he was a lefty.

01:19:53.000 I'll say that much based on the things I saw. 0.81

01:19:55.000 Hated his man.

01:19:58.000 And it's, you know, it's a travesty anytime this kind of thing happens, but when one party seems to be excited about it, that's a dangerous thing.

01:20:09.000 I mean, and their rhetoric has been pushing for this kind of stuff for a long time.

01:20:14.000 And the fact that there's been all kinds of violence from the left for the past, for the better part of the past 10 years that's been excused.

01:20:23.000 You don't hear politicians speaking up about all of the riots in the street, all the riots during 2020.

01:20:30.000 In fact, they were, you know, bailing people out.

01:20:33.000 They were saying mostly people.

01:20:35.000 It was making excuses for all this stuff.

01:20:36.000 And when you do that long enough, then the people on the left start thinking, well, we can get away with whatever we want.

01:20:42.000 And there's the long-held belief that they push that the idea is that all domestic terrorism has always been a right-wing idea, which is obviously because they never actually talk about anything that's done by lefties.

01:20:53.000 Yeah.

01:20:53.000 Never mind the fact that leftists actually bombed Congress in the 80s.

01:20:58.000 In the House, there was a bomb, and then Bill Clinton pardoned that person not 10 years later or whatever.

01:21:06.000 And then didn't one of them end up in Obama's administration as an advisor or something?

01:21:10.000 I believe so.

01:21:10.000 And I'm not sure the details of it, but I do recall hearing something like that.

01:21:14.000 But again, they just say, oh, it never happens or that doesn't happen and ignore it or sweep it under the rug.

01:21:21.000 The shooter that went and shot up the congressional baseball game.

01:21:26.000 Steve Scalise is still in a wheelchair because of that.

01:21:29.000 I think he has to have a colostomy bag because of that.

01:21:31.000 Oh, my God.

01:21:32.000 But, oh, that doesn't happen from left.

01:21:35.000 It's only the right. 0.94

01:21:36.000 It's ridiculous. 0.94

01:21:37.000 Attacks on Rand Paul, right? 0.98

01:21:39.000 Well, yes.

01:21:42.000 There was the one that his neighbor got into a fight with him, and Rand actually had to subdue him and hold him until the police arrived, which good on you, Rand Paul.

01:21:53.000 But there was also the attack when him and his wife were walking through D.C. and they were harassing him.

01:22:01.000 This stuff happens regularly, and it's just always ignored.

01:22:06.000 It's like, well, you know, and they make excuses.

01:22:09.000 Well, you know, you can't oppress people this way, and et cetera, et cetera. 1.00

01:22:13.000 It's all ridiculous garbage. 0.99

01:22:15.000 You can't allow this stuff, make excuses, and not expect more of it. 0.99

01:22:22.000 Well, I mean, there's a prevailing idea that all the violence is justified because they believe that the ends justify the means and that it's OK because they're working towards a greater good.

01:22:31.000 Yeah, it's a – I don't think these enemy people think anything, honestly.

01:22:38.000 I think they're just out there like...

01:22:45.000 There's a group of people.

01:22:47.000 It's their friend group.

01:22:48.000 Their friends are doing a thing.

01:22:49.000 They're doing a thing too.

01:22:50.000 They couldn't tell you up, down, left, or right about it.

01:22:53.000 And the fact that it's always cast as, well, we're fighting oppression and we're fighting the bad guys.

01:22:59.000 You don't have to know much more than that.

01:23:01.000 It's real easy to be like, well, clearly my friends are saying these guys are the bad guys.

01:23:05.000 So we got to fight back and we got to defend ourselves. 0.92

01:23:08.000 And it's ridiculous. 0.84

01:23:10.000 And I can go on and on about it. 0.95

01:23:12.000 Well, Aaron Bushnell started himself on fire, self-immolated, and they said he should be proud for what he did.

01:23:19.000 I'm going to leave that one alone because I don't think that anything I have to say about Aaron Bushnell is going to be TOS friendly.

01:23:31.000 Okay.

01:23:32.000 So, you know, part of me kind of hopes that these people just fizzle out and give up.

01:23:38.000 I don't think that this, like, with the amount of propaganda that can be found online and the way your algorithm feeds you material, I don't think that's possible.

01:23:45.000 I mean, considering Trump winning the popular vote.

01:23:49.000 I think that honestly, what needs to happen, and I know that I sound like a broken record with this, but like the better the economy is and the fewer people are struggling and the more people feel like they're invested in society, the fewer radicals you're going to have, the fewer people you're going to have that say, well, my situation sucks.

01:24:11.000 So maybe if we tear everything down, my situation will be better.

01:24:14.000 There's a lot of people on the left that look at the situation like, well, I don't have anything and I got nothing to lose then.

01:24:20.000 So if we tear everything down and I got nothing, I got nothing at the end of it too.

01:24:27.000 So it doesn't matter to me.

01:24:28.000 And if you get enough people like that that feel that way, they're going to tear it down, particularly when you have so many young men that are in a position where they feel like they're outcasts or they have no future and stuff.

01:24:41.000 They feel like they can't either get a good job or they can't find a wife or they'll never have a family, can't buy a home.

01:24:47.000 All these things that people feel like they can't have or can't get.

01:24:51.000 I mean, well, you know, what does it matter if we tear it all down?

01:24:54.000 I don't know how we come back from the social decay.

01:24:56.000 Young people not only can't afford it, they mostly won't work for it. 1.00

01:25:01.000 I hear it over and over again.

01:25:03.000 There's these viral videos from business owners that are like, you know, Americans don't want to do the job.

01:25:07.000 So they got to get illegal immigrants. 0.94

01:25:09.000 Elon Musk, I think it was, was it Musk talking about this, that American workers are lazy?

01:25:15.000 He was during the H-1B visa stuff with Vivek.

01:25:17.000 And he's like, if you want to get a hard worker, they got to be from India. 1.00

01:25:19.000 And so that's why they do it.

01:25:21.000 And my attitude is, no, just take what you've got and we've got to bite the bullet.

01:25:26.000 And we're going to have lazier workers if that's the case. 1.00

01:25:28.000 But it doesn't matter.

01:25:29.000 You're not going to rebuild your country by bringing in foreign workers and letting your generation just struggle. 1.00

01:25:35.000 But I think we're past the event horizon because Gen Alpha is way too small.

01:25:41.000 If Trump does have these mass deportations take effect and denaturalization of criminals, we're going to drop 20 million people if he actually succeeds in this.

01:25:51.000 I think the Big Beautiful Bill is actually advanced now.

01:25:55.000 It's not advanced.

01:25:56.000 It's moving to a vote.

01:25:59.000 What you're looking at is them deciding whether or not they should consider voting to advance the bill.

01:26:05.000 See, that's why everything in government moves so slow, is they have to vote to advance the bill just to vote on the bill.

01:26:09.000 I mean, that was the big news over the weekend.

01:26:10.000 It was like the Senate has, it was like, they voted yes on Trump's big beautiful bill.

01:26:13.000 What does it mean?

01:26:14.000 It means they're going to vote on it.

01:26:15.000 I'm not kidding.

01:26:18.000 They cast a vote to bring it to the floor for a vote.

01:26:20.000 That's why People hate politics.

01:26:23.000 Yeah.

01:26:24.000 So, yeah, apparently, right now, I've got the PBS Live pulled up.

01:26:29.000 The Fox of North Carolina amendment on agreeing to the amendment.

01:26:33.000 You're going to go to New York to buy your groceries, and then you have to vote to sell you the groceries at your government-run grocery store.

01:26:39.000 Well, on that H-1B thing, though, didn't Microsoft just lay off like 2,300 guys and then apply for like 6,000 H-1Bs to replace them with?

01:26:49.000 Wow.

01:26:49.000 That doesn't make sense if your argument is the Americans are lazy because it takes twice as much to replace them.

01:26:55.000 That's kind of weird.

01:26:56.000 Yeah.

01:26:57.000 Yeah.

01:26:58.000 They should stop the H-1B visa program. 0.75

01:27:01.000 I don't know that it's going to happen or that it could happen or what the process would be.

01:27:04.000 But the H-1B visa program, it's not bringing in people that are necessary to do these jobs.

01:27:11.000 It's not like the, what is the 0-1 is the, is the, the, uh, what is it, what is 0-1?

01:27:16.000 Exceptional talent?

01:27:17.000 Yeah, where you have some kind of special reason to come to the U.S. The H-1Bs are just like, come on, bring people in, and then you change my. 0.97

01:27:24.000 I'm fine with it.

01:27:25.000 I just don't care anymore.

01:27:25.000 Like, guys, you know, I think this country's got too many communists.

01:27:31.000 I just think, I think everyone's a communist.

01:27:33.000 I said this before, I'm only half kidding.

01:27:35.000 When people come to me and say that they deserve entitlements, I'm like, communism.

01:27:39.000 You know, I'm not literally communism.

01:27:41.000 I'm just saying, how did we become a nation where people are like, I deserve free stuff from the government in any capacity, any, literally one penny, free roads, free whatever it might be.

01:27:53.000 The government is going to take from somebody else to give me a thing that I want.

01:27:56.000 I mean, well, just the whole like, you know, basic, what is it, UBI, universal basic income.

01:28:03.000 I don't know where that idea came from, but that's extremely popular with people, young people on the left.

01:28:09.000 And all that will do is just add to inflation, and that'll be the baseline cost for everything.

01:28:15.000 You know, whatever it is that you give to the people for $1,000 or $5,000 or whatever it is per month, it's just going to end up adding to inflation, which is only going to compound our problems.

01:28:26.000 If you ever want to look at a hellscape, look at r slash anti-work on Reddit.

01:28:31.000 Like, it's awful.

01:28:33.000 Oh, I mean, let's pull it up, dude.

01:28:37.000 It's an ideological cancer.

01:28:39.000 There's 2.9 million people in the anti-work subreddit pay labor a fair wage.

01:28:46.000 Mark Ruffalo says extreme wealth of billionaires is making U.S. desperate, not immigrants. 0.98

01:28:50.000 That literally makes no sense.

01:28:52.000 It makes no sense at all.

01:28:53.000 A man working for the most capitalist industry in America, the movie making industry.

01:28:58.000 I do also want to point out that I think it may be a lot worse than people realize.

01:29:05.000 Right around COVID, during the whole COVID period, it kind of just feels like millions of people died.

01:29:13.000 Maybe because they did.

01:29:14.000 I don't know.

01:29:15.000 But look at this on the right of the page.

01:29:18.000 How many idlers does it say?

01:29:21.000 Anybody?

01:29:22.000 It's an idler weird.

01:29:23.000 On the right side, it says idlers.

01:29:26.000 There's a number.

01:29:27.000 Almost 3 million, 2.9 million.

01:29:28.000 2.9 million.

01:29:29.000 Okay.

01:29:30.000 How many not working?

01:29:33.000 747.

01:29:35.000 What that means is there are 2.9 million people subscribed to this subreddit.

01:29:40.000 Right now, only 747 are actually there on the page.

01:29:44.000 It used to be that it would say 2.9 million and you'd have 200,000, 300,000 people, actually.

01:29:50.000 We call that the 1% rule. 0.99

01:29:52.000 How is it now that Reddit has millions of people subscribed to this, but only a few hundred?

01:29:57.000 This is true for every single subreddit.

01:29:59.000 I've been feeling like this for a while, that it seems like tons of people just stopped interacting and disappeared from society.

01:30:10.000 I mean, it could be dead internet theory.

01:30:12.000 Yeah.

01:30:13.000 Or it could just be that internet theory that their bots would actually inflate the number.

01:30:21.000 The number should be higher.

01:30:23.000 Unless all the IPs would be in India.

01:30:26.000 Maybe, maybe.

01:30:28.000 I don't know, man.

01:30:29.000 Nobody wants to work.

01:30:30.000 What if this is just to cover with the fact there's no workers?

01:30:33.000 Well, I mean, our unemployment's too low for it to be.

01:30:37.000 But the unemployment doesn't count people not looking for work.

01:30:40.000 So if we have 40 million young people who aren't even trying to work because 3 million say don't work, they don't count towards unemployment.

01:30:47.000 I've always kind of wondered, it sort of looks like we paper over the real unemployment rate with BS college degrees too.

01:30:54.000 Not that there's anything wrong with college or whatever.

01:30:56.000 I'm saying we put people that otherwise would be in the workforce into a BS degree pathway just to take them off of those numbers, you know?

01:31:05.000 And then we're just sucking wealth out of them.

01:31:09.000 So the big news is that the House is expected to vote on Trump's bill in one hour.

01:31:14.000 Well, interesting in the after-show.

01:31:17.000 Earn their government paychecks working late.

01:31:19.000 Yeah.

01:31:20.000 We may have big breaking news tonight.

01:31:22.000 This will be interesting.

01:31:23.000 This is Mason pajamas.

01:31:25.000 It is sounding like it will pass, which is surprising.

01:31:28.000 Yeah, that's why they're going for a vote.

01:31:30.000 I wonder if there have been any changes or what the wrangling inside the house was like.

01:31:36.000 Yeah.

01:31:38.000 I think people are saying polymarket's giving it 70%.

01:31:40.000 So you can gamble on the bill that's going to have gamble.

01:31:44.000 Yes, you can.

01:31:45.000 Yup.

01:31:46.000 All right, let's see.

01:31:47.000 Polymarket.

01:31:47.000 Let's pull in your polymarket.

01:31:49.000 Reconciliation bill.

01:31:51.000 70% by July 3rd.

01:31:55.000 Oh, man.

01:31:55.000 Look at that 3% chance.

01:31:57.000 If they vote on in the next hour, that is a massive payout.

01:32:01.000 Somebody's about to make some good money.

01:32:02.000 You better put some money on that.

01:32:03.000 I ain't going anywhere near it.

01:32:05.000 Look, if I put a $100 bet, you'll win $2,000.

01:32:09.000 What?

01:32:09.000 Bro.

01:32:10.000 For real?

01:32:11.000 That's a value bet.

01:32:12.000 You got $100.

01:32:13.000 Toss it in.

01:32:14.000 If you wager on, I don't think we can use polymarket in America, right?

01:32:17.000 Oh, really?

01:32:19.000 If you wager $100 that the bill will pass by tonight, you will win $2,611.

01:32:25.000 That's wild.

01:32:26.000 How come no one's betting on that?

01:32:28.000 Like, oh, you know what it is?

01:32:29.000 I talk about it all the time.

01:32:32.000 We are on the forefront of the news.

01:32:35.000 The polymarket's not.

01:32:37.000 So when the tweet breaks right now, and I'm reading it literally, it was like 26 seconds.

01:32:41.000 It was tweeted 26 seconds before I read it, where it says they're planning on voting on this Now, most of the people who are wagering on this are going to find out in an hour or two.

01:32:50.000 So, is DraftKings publicly traded?

01:32:52.000 So, you're going to have to sell the stock now before they vote on it if they end up having to do all this stuff with reporting.

01:33:02.000 It's going to be funny if they're like, we decided that stock is gambling.

01:33:06.000 You are wagering on a company's success.

01:33:08.000 It's entirely a function of chance.

01:33:10.000 Never going to happen because they make too much money on it.

01:33:13.000 Oh, look at it here.

01:33:14.000 Here we go.

01:33:15.000 The number dropped.

01:33:16.000 More and more people are going to start buying July 2nd right now.

01:33:19.000 It's actually even funnier to think that there's just a bunch of people in Congress that are just really into gambling that vote against it just because they really want to keep gambling.

01:33:30.000 If you bet $1,000, you win $11,000.

01:33:35.000 You got to do it.

01:33:36.000 Ooh, what if you bet $1 million?

01:33:40.000 Only $300,000.

01:33:41.000 Because it only pays out with what is in, and the cap's really small.

01:33:46.000 That's crazy.

01:33:47.000 No, I think Polymarket's illegal in the U.S. Is it legal?

01:33:51.000 I don't know.

01:33:51.000 It's funny that it is because it's sponsored, like the All In Podcast sponsors them and they've actually got some kind of – Yeah, they talk about Polymarket all the time.

01:34:04.000 They got some kind of deal with it.

01:34:06.000 They could be.

01:34:06.000 I know that I think Call She is like the first legal market or whatever.

01:34:11.000 I don't even know what Call She is.

01:34:13.000 Call she is the legal American one. 0.88

01:34:17.000 Let's find out.

01:34:18.000 Here we go.

01:34:19.000 Look at this.

01:34:20.000 When will a budget reconciliation bill become law?

01:34:24.000 85% says before July 5th.

01:34:27.000 What is this?

01:34:29.000 Before August.

01:34:30.000 98%.

01:34:32.000 These are terrible bets.

01:34:34.000 I don't want to wager on any of it.

01:34:35.000 I guarantee that it's going to be before August.

01:34:38.000 Yeah, I don't understand.

01:34:41.000 I don't get it either.

01:34:42.000 Holly Market's got a better question.

01:34:45.000 Look at all these people milling around in Congress.

01:34:47.000 What are they doing?

01:34:47.000 Who's that guy?

01:34:48.000 Look at him.

01:34:49.000 Talking.

01:34:51.000 Who's that guy?

01:34:51.000 Yeah, he's doing nothing and using our money for it.

01:34:55.000 Well, that's standard Congress.

01:34:58.000 Something's happening.

01:34:58.000 Shall we find out what's going on?

01:35:00.000 The nays are 212. 0.98

01:35:02.000 The amendment is adopted.

01:35:07.000 The question is on adoption of the resolution as amended.

01:35:11.000 Those in favor say aye.

01:35:13.000 Those opposed, no.

01:35:17.000 It sounds like there's a lot of the same.

01:35:17.000 In the opinion of the chair, the ayes have it.

01:35:21.000 Mr. Speaker, gentlemen from Massachusetts.

01:35:24.000 I will have to insist on asking for the yays and nays. 1.00

01:35:27.000 Yays and nays are requested.

01:35:28.000 Those favoring the vote for the yays and nays will rise. 1.00

01:35:31.000 Special number having risen, the yeas and nays are ordered.

01:35:34.000 Members will record their votes by electronic device.

01:35:37.000 Just makes me hate politicians.

01:35:39.000 The chair will remind everyone in the house.

01:35:43.000 It's my opinion.

01:35:44.000 This whoever was laughing.

01:35:45.000 This is a five-minute vote.

01:35:48.000 They're laughing.

01:35:49.000 That's funny, huh?

01:35:51.000 Hilarious.

01:35:52.000 All of that laughter just costs you so much money.

01:35:55.000 But what was the amendment to the bill?

01:35:56.000 Because they said they amended.

01:35:57.000 Here we go.

01:35:59.000 On agreeing to the resolution as amended.

01:36:03.000 Do you love the 1980s?

01:36:06.000 Is this so HRES 56 says this is the rules?

01:36:10.000 Isn't it?

01:36:10.000 This is not the big beautiful bill?

01:36:14.000 I have no idea what that means.

01:36:15.000 I love the 80s motion graphics, though.

01:36:19.000 It's like C-SPAN.

01:36:20.000 Yeah, it looks straight out of I mean, the government hasn't updated any of the computer systems.

01:36:25.000 Why would they update this?

01:36:27.000 Actually, no, this is C-SPAN.

01:36:29.000 It's not the federal government.

01:36:30.000 It's PBS.

01:36:31.000 So maybe it is.

01:36:35.000 So when it's saying as amended, does it mean as amended by the Senate and then brought back?

01:36:39.000 Or are they saying they amended it again in the House?

01:36:42.000 So this is HR1.

01:36:45.000 I'm pretty sure HR1 is Trump's big beautiful bill, the omnibus.

01:36:48.000 So this is HRES 566, which I think is just the rules.

01:36:53.000 I see.

01:36:54.000 So it's like all Congress does is waste time. 0.99

01:36:57.000 You got to be such a gosh damn nerd to get into this stuff, dude. 0.99

01:37:00.000 It's like not making fun of you. 0.99

01:37:02.000 No, they intentionally have made Congress convoluted and nonsensical because all they're trying to do is steal power from each other.

01:37:10.000 So it's like any technicality I can use.

01:37:13.000 And so it's become this ridiculously complicated, nonsense waste of time.

01:37:17.000 I mean, I just love the, in the opinion of the chair, the eyes have it, smile.

01:37:21.000 And it's like here we go.

01:37:26.000 And so what, all of the members are there right now sitting in their chairs or something?

01:37:30.000 I don't know.

01:37:31.000 I mean, I think so.

01:37:32.000 I assume so because they all want to cast their vote.

01:37:36.000 You know, I feel bad for people who get in Congress because all their job really is, is to stand up in the well and yell about stuff and complain and then not actually do anything.

01:37:48.000 And they could have just become a YouTuber like me.

01:37:51.000 Way more effective.

01:37:52.000 Seriously, I would argue that I and members of Congress do an equal amount of work towards changing things because, again, they do less in that they don't do several shows per day.

01:38:08.000 They only do their stand-up fake outrage periodically so they can fundraise later.

01:38:13.000 Well, that's the thing.

01:38:13.000 They spend most of their time fundraising.

01:38:15.000 Yeah, but their stock portfolios look so fantastic.

01:38:19.000 There is a reason to be true.

01:38:22.000 If I could buy a stock and then vote on a law that's going to have an effect on the stock, I'd be looking great too.

01:38:29.000 Maybe that's the American dream.

01:38:31.000 Serve one term in Congress, pump your portfolio, and then retire with benefits.

01:38:35.000 And a pension, right?

01:38:37.000 Yeah.

01:38:37.000 I mean, the American dream is to slip in the wrong driveway and sue.

01:38:41.000 That's the real American dream.

01:38:43.000 To slip in a supermarket?

01:38:44.000 Yeah.

01:38:44.000 Well, you know, or like a rich person's driveway.

01:38:48.000 It's to get hit by a truck in a wealthy neighborhood.

01:38:50.000 Like just in the right way.

01:38:52.000 Right.

01:38:52.000 Like you can still walk, but.

01:38:55.000 The American dream used to be work really, really hard.

01:38:57.000 You could buy a house and your kids will have a better future.

01:38:59.000 Now it's hope that the car that hits you is owned by a millionaire.

01:39:03.000 Yeah.

01:39:04.000 Try and run across the street without or try jaywalking.

01:39:07.000 Wait, look at that kid.

01:39:08.000 What's that kid doing?

01:39:09.000 He's like dancing.

01:39:10.000 It's the movie Richie Rich, where the guy gives him the blank check, or the movie Blank Check, where he gives him the blank check and he just Writes a million dollars into the check and then spends the money.

01:39:18.000 My favorite part of Richie Rich was when they break into the vault and he's like, Where's the money?

01:39:21.000 And he's like, In banks.

01:39:22.000 In banks.

01:39:25.000 Like, if you're a kid, that just blew your mind the first time.

01:39:27.000 He's like, Oh, that makes perfect sense.

01:39:29.000 Why would he have rubies in this giant vault?

01:39:32.000 The vault was just full of like paintings and pictures and family photos.

01:39:37.000 Yeah.

01:39:38.000 And he was like, What?

01:39:39.000 He goes, banks.

01:39:40.000 Banks.

01:39:42.000 All right, we got one minute remaining.

01:39:45.000 It looks like the yeas.

01:39:48.000 How come it says yeah, but they call it I?

01:39:51.000 I don't know.

01:39:53.000 That's how you spell ye, ain't it?

01:39:55.000 It is.

01:39:55.000 Ellie if you pronounce it, it's ye.

01:39:57.000 Yeah.

01:39:57.000 Yes.

01:39:58.000 But there's no H?

01:39:59.000 Yeah.

01:40:03.000 It means yes and yay.

01:40:05.000 Nay.

01:40:06.000 Why don't they just say yes and no?

01:40:07.000 Why do they gotta, you know?

01:40:10.000 They mean different things.

01:40:11.000 Are those no votes representative of people that are not there?

01:40:15.000 I have no idea.

01:40:17.000 But you can clearly tell that most people aren't there.

01:40:20.000 Right.

01:40:20.000 They got 30 seconds left, and there's only, what are we looking at?

01:40:24.000 75 and 59?

01:40:26.000 134?

01:40:29.000 And didn't Massey win during COVID on the whole quorum issue?

01:40:34.000 You have to have a quorum in order to actually pass something.

01:40:37.000 At least two-thirds of the House has to be there.

01:40:39.000 Yeah.

01:40:40.000 On agreeing to the resolution as amended.

01:40:43.000 So they voted for an amendment and then voted for the amendment as amended.

01:40:49.000 And now they're voting on the resolution as amended.

01:40:52.000 I just started hating politicians even more than I did before, just by that description.

01:40:57.000 Worse than lawyers.

01:40:58.000 Yeah.

01:40:58.000 Okay, time's up and the yays have it.

01:41:01.000 See, the time is up, but they're still voting.

01:41:04.000 This is all fake.

01:41:05.000 And they're supposed to be calculating this with electronic methods.

01:41:09.000 They're not doing a write-in ballot.

01:41:11.000 Two people have voted after time.

01:41:14.000 Three people.

01:41:15.000 Unreal.

01:41:16.000 So here's what I don't understand.

01:41:18.000 Clearly, the Republicans aren't there, and the Democrats aren't there.

01:41:23.000 So how do the Republicans win?

01:41:24.000 Because shouldn't the Democrats be like, hey, guys, when the Democrats go home, let's win the vote.

01:41:30.000 Yeah, you'd think.

01:41:32.000 You'd think.

01:41:33.000 Well, I mean, they're only five votes away from winning.

01:41:38.000 How hilarious would it be if the Democrats win because Republicans weren't there?

01:41:42.000 I don't know how anything ends.

01:41:43.000 You just had to go to bed too early.

01:41:45.000 Or what might happen.

01:41:47.000 There you go.

01:41:48.000 It's going up.

01:41:49.000 I think this is on agreeing to the resolution, the amendments that are put in it.

01:41:53.000 I think if the Republicans lose this one, they go back to debating what's in the resolution.

01:41:58.000 And then get rid of that gambling stuff and everybody can keep gambling.

01:42:01.000 They may have.

01:42:01.000 Who knows?

01:42:02.000 Because that Democrat from Vegas was saying she was going to get rid of it. 0.99

01:42:06.000 I do think that stuff might just end up going to the courts because there'll be lawsuits about it.

01:42:12.000 Like every casino in the country, every gaming industry.

01:42:15.000 Have the money to go throw just millions of dollars at attorneys.

01:42:19.000 But I think it could settled instantly.

01:42:21.000 I think the federal courts will just be like, yeah, we're not doing this.

01:42:25.000 There's going to be like 800,000 lawsuits over it.

01:42:27.000 Yeah, that makes sense.

01:42:28.000 And I think I heard a few months back that revenue generated from betting on the UFC exceeds the UFC's revenue each year.

01:42:38.000 Wow.

01:42:38.000 I think I read that.

01:42:39.000 UFC is awesome.

01:42:40.000 Yeah, those are fun to watch.

01:42:43.000 See all those people making money, like betting on whether Angel Reese will make her first shot in the WNBA.

01:42:49.000 Did you see that?

01:42:50.000 Wasn't it that I read somewhere that Caitlin Clark came in ninth place?

01:42:55.000 Among players.

01:42:56.000 Among players.

01:42:57.000 First in fans, fourth in media voting, ninth in players.

01:43:01.000 Because they're just jealous.

01:43:02.000 I mean, to be honest, I've never liked the WNBA more.

01:43:05.000 It's basically Foxy boxing.

01:43:07.000 It's turned into WWE.

01:43:09.000 Well, yeah.

01:43:10.000 I like saying foxy boxing.

01:43:11.000 Because WWE is when you say that, people think of guys.

01:43:14.000 With the WWE?

01:43:16.000 Yeah, like when you tell someone we're going to watch WWE, they're thinking about big, sweaty guys.

01:43:19.000 But when we're talking about women fighting each other, you think Foxy boxing. 0.77

01:43:23.000 It's also turned into like, you know, it's like a dog and pony show.

01:43:26.000 Everybody's fighting and arguing with each other.

01:43:28.000 I do think it's funny that at some point some guy was like, let's have boxing matches with hot women beating each other.

01:43:33.000 We'll call it foxy boxing.

01:43:34.000 And they're like, that's brilliant.

01:43:35.000 And they made money doing it.

01:43:38.000 Do they still have that?

01:43:39.000 Is lingerie football still around?

01:43:41.000 I have no idea.

01:43:43.000 That was Vince McMahon's thing, right?

01:43:44.000 Yeah, well, Vince McMahon is not exactly allowed in polite conversation anymore.

01:43:49.000 He is not.

01:43:50.000 No.

01:43:50.000 Oh, let's see.

01:43:51.000 Is Foxyboxing still around?

01:43:54.000 No.

01:43:55.000 Yeah.

01:43:55.000 All right, we're going to go to your chats, my friends, while we wait for this vote on whatever they're voting on.

01:44:00.000 Smash the like button.

01:44:00.000 Share the show with everyone, you know.

01:44:02.000 We're going to have that uncensored call-in show coming up at 10 p.m. at rumble.com slash Timcast IRL.

01:44:07.000 You don't want to miss it.

01:44:08.000 We are waiting to see if they vote on the Big Beautiful bill, which may happen at any moment.

01:44:13.000 So I will say this.

01:44:15.000 In the event that they do move for a vote, if it's looking like closer to 10, they're going to move for a vote.

01:44:22.000 We'll keep going live and we'll keep it as the, you know, we won't go to the uncensored version just right away if we're going to have major breaking news live.

01:44:31.000 So we'll hold that for a minute.

01:44:32.000 But for now, we'll grab your Rumble Rants and Super Chats.

01:44:37.000 Let's go.

01:44:38.000 All right.

01:44:39.000 Shane H. Wilder says, Alligator Alcatraz sounds like an early 2000s sci-fi movie like Shark Nado.

01:44:44.000 And honestly, I'm here for it.

01:44:45.000 It goes hard.

01:44:46.000 Oh, and happy birthday, Brett.

01:44:47.000 Man, you always live mass.

01:44:49.000 Happy birthday.

01:44:49.000 Thank you, Brett.

01:44:49.000 You're eating Taco Bell either?

01:44:51.000 I did have some Taco Bell.

01:44:52.000 I ordered all of the Taco Bell.

01:44:54.000 It does sound like a 2000s movie.

01:44:56.000 You should watch Velocirpastor if you haven't seen Velociraptor.

01:45:00.000 To be honest, like, someone should make an Alligator Alcatraz film.

01:45:04.000 Yeah, oh, yeah.

01:45:05.000 Or at least a fake trailer where it's like the plot writes itself, okay?

01:45:10.000 There's an old abandoned flooded prison where the urban legend is that the warden was corrupt and was taking kickbacks that he was storing in a safe back in his office, but nobody dares go there because it's flooded in a swamp.

01:45:26.000 And then they go there and there's a gigantic alligator that lurks around and starts killing people on the team.

01:45:31.000 And then in the end, only the main attractive guy and the young female co-lead escape and only with some of the money.

01:45:39.000 Yeah.

01:45:40.000 I mean, they still haven't made that Street Sharks movie from when I was a kid.

01:45:43.000 That's what they were.

01:45:44.000 Were they going to make a Street Sharks movie?

01:45:46.000 There should have been a full-length street sharks movie.

01:45:48.000 Street sharks.

01:45:49.000 They've mined every other property.

01:45:50.000 What was that show?

01:45:51.000 Like a bunch of skateboarders got bitten by sharks or something?

01:45:54.000 Something like that.

01:45:55.000 That and VR Troopers are the ones everybody forgets about.

01:45:57.000 We're talking sharknado level stuff here.

01:45:59.000 Yeah.

01:45:59.000 Street sharks.

01:46:01.000 Oh, whoa, it's 138 to 136 because two Republicans voted no.

01:46:05.000 Who's that?

01:46:09.000 Agreeing to the resolution as amended.

01:46:11.000 Like, again, I think that means they're saying we agree.

01:46:14.000 This is what the bill is.

01:46:15.000 Have you ever seen those streamer videos where like a guy sits and watches a video of somebody drawing something?

01:46:20.000 He's like, oh, this is cool.

01:46:22.000 You could do that with this.

01:46:23.000 You could be like, wow.

01:46:25.000 What do you do with?

01:46:26.000 Wow.

01:46:26.000 Two voted no.

01:46:27.000 No, you just do this.

01:46:29.000 You point up at it and shake your head and go like that and go.

01:46:32.000 It doesn't have to mean anything.

01:46:34.000 All right, let's read some more.

01:46:36.000 Evan for U.S. says, evening, everyone.

01:46:38.000 Join us in our growing YAL organization.

01:46:41.000 As president of the Fort Bend County Chapter, I'm asking anyone who wishes to fight for liberty to join your local YAL chapter today and help.

01:46:49.000 All right.

01:46:50.000 YFK says, as an Asian, eating rice with your hands is like Trump putting ketchup on a steak.

01:46:56.000 Man.

01:46:56.000 Wait, so they're saying that that's endearing.

01:47:00.000 Okay.

01:47:01.000 Ladytight says, I hate giving Tim money, but I'm dead ass convinced this damage is irreversible.

01:47:07.000 It's going to collapse at some point, and you 100% need to stock up on family, bullets, prayers, and shelf life.

01:47:13.000 It'll get ugly.

01:47:15.000 Yep.

01:47:16.000 Yakinda, Yakindia says, have you considered the gambling impact on state lotteries?

01:47:21.000 This is actually pretty interesting because what the government is basically saying is they want a cut of all of the money spent on state lotteries.

01:47:29.000 They're basically saying like, we want 10% of all that money.

01:47:32.000 That's pretty wild.

01:47:34.000 Yeah, it's crazy.

01:47:35.000 The federal government is saying, oh, the Democrats are winning.

01:47:39.000 The time remaining has been zero for 10 minutes.

01:47:42.000 And the Democrats are winning by one vote.

01:47:44.000 I don't understand the rules at all.

01:47:45.000 Time slows in that chamber there.

01:47:47.000 They've got some type of time.

01:47:49.000 Okay, if I was a Democrat right now, I'd be like, I'd be banging, being like, call time, call time, call time, we win, we win.

01:47:55.000 Right?

01:47:55.000 The nays have it right now at 154.

01:47:58.000 154 to 153.

01:47:59.000 The nays have it. 0.96

01:48:01.000 Two Republican defectors.

01:48:02.000 You think Massey's in there? 1.00

01:48:04.000 Oh, damn. 0.99

01:48:04.000 It's 160 to 154 now. 0.99

01:48:06.000 The nays have it. 0.96

01:48:07.000 So what the hell are they doing?

01:48:08.000 They're transferring it from electronics to parchment or what?

01:48:11.000 They got a little quill.

01:48:12.000 They said that it was the electronic vote to start.

01:48:15.000 No.

01:48:16.000 Democrats could win it.

01:48:18.000 You got two Republican defectors already, man.

01:48:21.000 I am extremely interested to see what happens with the actual bill if it actually passes.

01:48:26.000 If they do end up voting on this, like, what's polymarket?

01:48:29.000 If it passes, it goes directly to Trump, right?

01:48:31.000 It doesn't have to go back to the Senate.

01:48:32.000 Or do they change it?

01:48:34.000 It goes right to Trump.

01:48:35.000 Okay.

01:48:36.000 Yeah, I think if it's changed, it has to go back to the Senate again.

01:48:38.000 I think so.

01:48:39.000 I don't know.

01:48:40.000 All I know is Polymarket says 72% chance it passes July 3rd.

01:48:44.000 I suppose the assumption is it'll be past midnight when it does pass.

01:48:47.000 The 4th has got 78%.

01:48:48.000 But if it passes tonight, within the next two hours, that's a lot of money.

01:48:54.000 Gonna get paid more?

01:48:55.000 Gonna get paid.

01:48:56.000 All right, let's see what we got going on here.

01:48:59.000 Whatever happens says bingo time.

01:49:00.000 We understand church bingo.

01:49:03.000 Yeah.

01:49:03.000 What?

01:49:05.000 Voodoo says, Tim, you need to talk to a tax expert, not a gambler.

01:49:08.000 You are wrong about how the tax filing works.

01:49:10.000 In fact, I've talked to politicians, accountants, and professional gamblers.

01:49:15.000 But if you'd like me to interview a tax accountant, I would.

01:49:18.000 So the reason why I was saying that this is actually worse than we thought and that gambling is the wrong phrase is because it's wagering.

01:49:25.000 And the tax code, there's no definition, a clear definition of what wagering is in law.

01:49:30.000 But there was a Supreme Court ruling, I think it was in 19, or a court ruling in 87 that set precedent saying that a wager is money placed on any contest where you could win from a prize pool, which is why a lot of people started freaking out saying like, hey, this could wrap up fishing tournaments or like golf.

01:49:50.000 And the argument is that the element of chance is slightly the conditions, but largely the amount of money you win.

01:49:58.000 So they say, if you enter a contest where it's $100 to enter the contest and your chance of winning money is not guaranteed, it's determined based on the amount of people who entered something out of your control, your winnings are chance.

01:50:11.000 That's the legal argument.

01:50:13.000 If the contest says $100 entry fee with a guaranteed prize of $10,000, that's when it becomes skill.

01:50:21.000 Because many tournaments are prize pool-based, the government argues that's actually a bet, a wager.

01:50:28.000 So that would be taxed.

01:50:29.000 That's why people are freaking out.

01:50:31.000 Anyway, but who knows?

01:50:33.000 The big issue is that taxes are all interpretable and they change based on how someone's willing to interpret it.

01:50:38.000 And then the IRS calls you and says, we disagree.

01:50:40.000 And then you go to court.

01:50:40.000 You argue.

01:50:41.000 A judge says, I don't know, I guess maybe.

01:50:43.000 So here's a question for you guys.

01:50:45.000 Are super chats and rumble rants tips?

01:50:48.000 I would get my first response would be to say yes.

01:50:52.000 They may or may not be.

01:50:53.000 We don't know.

01:50:53.000 There's no clearly.

01:50:55.000 So that the typically in tax law, a tip is something given without consideration.

01:51:00.000 Consideration is a legal term for something of value.

01:51:04.000 However, I guarantee you, the government would argue that me reading some of them is consideration.

01:51:12.000 If you pay me money, I will read your chat.

01:51:15.000 However, guess what?

01:51:17.000 There's no guarantee?

01:51:18.000 It's a game of chance.

01:51:21.000 When you super chat, the likelihood that I read your comments is random.

01:51:27.000 You don't know what I'll end up picking.

01:51:29.000 And honestly, neither do I. I just read which one pops up and it seems to like make sense to read.

01:51:35.000 And we can't read all of them.

01:51:37.000 So I've talked to my accountant about this.

01:51:39.000 I've talked to lawyers about this.

01:51:41.000 With the no tax on tips, if we want it clean, we could say we will no longer read super chats.

01:51:48.000 And that means every super chat sent is a tip because you are giving money in exchange for nothing.

01:51:53.000 However, the other argument is by virtue of it displaying your comment, that is legal consideration where you are offering up real estate for an individual to buy ad space for their views.

01:52:07.000 So we don't know if it's a tip or not.

01:52:09.000 We don't know.

01:52:10.000 See, guys, that's why you watch Pop Culture Crisis.

01:52:13.000 We read all your super chats Monday through Friday, me and Mary.

01:52:16.000 We do.

01:52:17.000 Every last one of them.

01:52:18.000 Except for the ones that Mary thinks might be abhorrent.

01:52:21.000 Unless Mary thinks that you said something abhorrent, then she might not read it.

01:52:24.000 Straight up, I'm not reading that.

01:52:27.000 Rofflo says, yes, Trump is building concentration camps for the illegals.

01:52:30.000 He wants them to study American history.

01:52:31.000 And what better way to get them to study history than a concentration camp? 0.64

01:52:35.000 Well, it's just a camp where you can go to concentrate really hard on what you're learning.

01:52:39.000 Shettuck says all professional sports become non-profit and donate to a cause and use the donations to pay the donation workers based on the time they provide to gaining contributions to the cause.

01:52:49.000 Now no techs.

01:52:52.000 Oh, man.

01:52:53.000 All sports leagues are non-profits.

01:52:55.000 No, the nays have it. 0.63

01:52:56.000 I remember when somebody told me that, I thought they were lying to me.

01:52:59.000 I was like, that's crazy.

01:53:00.000 Well, because the teams are owned by individuals, right?

01:53:03.000 Or it's not-for-profit.

01:53:05.000 Yo, check this out.

01:53:06.000 The nays are up 15 with four Republican defectors.

01:53:09.000 I think that's it.

01:53:10.000 If it was, I think that's it.

01:53:12.000 I think Republicans lost.

01:53:14.000 If it was, what was it?

01:53:15.000 It was 2020.

01:53:18.000 I'm sorry, it was, yeah, 220 to 200 to 212 was the split on the first vote.

01:53:25.000 This would tie it.

01:53:26.000 It's currently tied with the four nays. 0.99

01:53:29.000 If every remaining Democrat votes, it'll be 216 nays. 0.98

01:53:36.000 And if every remaining Republican votes yes, it'll be 216 yes.

01:53:40.000 Tie vote.

01:53:42.000 What happens then?

01:53:43.000 It's all fake.

01:53:43.000 It sounds like a movie script.

01:53:45.000 We're in a simulation again.

01:53:47.000 This is to see if they are going to leave it as is or approve the amendment, right?

01:53:56.000 So I think the last vote was agreeing on the amendment as amended.

01:54:01.000 And now the resolution, do they agree that this is the final resolution as amended?

01:54:07.000 And if it's no, they're going to go back to debating the Big Beautiful bill.

01:54:11.000 I mean, look, I hope it's no, and I hope that they actually make it worth voting on.

01:54:16.000 I think if they change, I think they've already amended it, which means it's got to go to the Senate, right?

01:54:19.000 I'm not entirely sure.

01:54:20.000 This is so weird.

01:54:21.000 Let's ask the robot.

01:54:23.000 If the House passes a bill, I think that's why it went to the House.

01:54:27.000 Then the Senate amends it, and it goes back to the House, who then amends it.

01:54:35.000 Does it have to go back?

01:54:37.000 It's literally Katanji Brown Jackson as she was writing her dissent right now.

01:54:41.000 With the amendments, it will have to go back to the Senate before it can be advanced.

01:54:44.000 And according to Eric Daughtry, he just said five minutes ago when it was only two.

01:54:48.000 He said if they lose one more vote for the Big Beautiful bill, they can only lose one more vote for the Big Beautiful bill to advance.

01:54:54.000 So they lost two more, so it's not.

01:54:56.000 It's over.

01:54:56.000 Yeah.

01:54:57.000 It's over.

01:54:58.000 And again, with the amendment, so the no actually could be preventing it from going back to the Senate.

01:55:05.000 If they say no, no amendments.

01:55:07.000 So I don't know, maybe the next, this might be good for Trump.

01:55:10.000 It might be that the Republicans voting, well, I don't know why the Republicans would be voting yes on the amendments then.

01:55:16.000 I'm assuming it's bad for Trump and it's the standard holdouts that are holding out.

01:55:20.000 But it looks like the nays have it.

01:55:22.000 So the bill is not going to be agreed upon as amended.

01:55:26.000 I'm confused then.

01:55:29.000 If they amend it, it has to go back to the Senate.

01:55:32.000 The Senate's got to vote on it.

01:55:33.000 And then you know what's going to happen?

01:55:34.000 The Senate's going to amend it.

01:55:35.000 And it's going to keep going back and forth forever.

01:55:39.000 Before August. 1.00

01:55:41.000 What a dumb system. 0.98

01:55:43.000 I do think, however, there is a strong probability we are going to keep the Congress up live and delay or not even go to our uncensored portion if we have major breaking news literally happening right now. 0.99

01:56:00.000 So, you know, usually we do this rarely for those that are familiar.

01:56:03.000 If there's going to be a big moment, we have a debate or a speech or some big breaking news, we'll just keep the show going for a reasonable amount of time.

01:56:12.000 If it looks like after this vote, they are going to have another vote, we'll just keep it live and keep staring at it.

01:56:18.000 But in the meantime, we can definitely read your chats.

01:56:22.000 But Tina Molina says, Phil, the gate theory discussed the other day isn't about liberal or conservative.

01:56:26.000 It's about rural versus city.

01:56:27.000 Rural people know that gates are usually meant to keep critters in their peddocks, not people out.

01:56:34.000 I'm not sure if that was the context, but.

01:56:37.000 What were you talking about?

01:56:38.000 There is a...

01:56:41.000 I don't know.

01:56:41.000 Oh, you were saying like if someone walks in the middle of nowhere, they know to...

01:56:51.000 And a liberal might open the gate because they're like, oh, well, you know, you should.

01:56:56.000 They're comfortable with change or something like that.

01:56:58.000 But again, I don't have the whole thing is not clear in my head.

01:57:07.000 Does that mean there's like a person who just goes up to doors and just opens them?

01:57:11.000 I mean, there are people that are weird.

01:57:13.000 But what would happen if this gate was there and a rural juror went up to look upon it?

01:57:18.000 Juror?

01:57:19.000 A rural juror.

01:57:20.000 Rural juror?

01:57:21.000 A rural juror.

01:57:22.000 What are you saying?

01:57:23.000 Rural juror.

01:57:25.000 Rural juror?

01:57:26.000 A rural juror.

01:57:27.000 What is a rural juror?

01:57:28.000 It's a 30-rock joke.

01:57:29.000 Come on.

01:57:29.000 Oh, this, right?

01:57:30.000 I don't know why.

01:57:30.000 I don't watch 30 Rock.

01:57:33.000 What's her face?

01:57:34.000 I forgot the character's names.

01:57:35.000 Tina FaZe.

01:57:36.000 No, no, no, no.

01:57:37.000 Jane Gurkowski's character.

01:57:39.000 Oh.

01:57:40.000 She's in a movie called Rural Juror.

01:57:42.000 And she keeps saying Roll Jur.

01:57:44.000 And no one knows.

01:57:45.000 Roll Jur?

01:57:45.000 Like, what is that?

01:57:47.000 Good God, Lemon.

01:57:48.000 And no one knows what the name of the movie is?

01:57:50.000 Rural Juror.

01:57:52.000 All right, Growdy says, Buck Buck here and a Buck Buck there.

01:57:55.000 Glad you are there.

01:57:58.000 It is amazing when the chickens are out walking around.

01:58:01.000 We have one of those automatic doors that when the sun comes up, the door opens and the chickens walk outside and they do their chicken business.

01:58:06.000 Automatic.

01:58:07.000 Yeah, yeah.

01:58:07.000 So here's the thing, though.

01:58:08.000 If you drive a couple blocks down, maybe like half mile, there are chickens just running around.

01:58:13.000 And it's funny, like, you'll see just a chicken in like, there's no houses.

01:58:18.000 You're like, where is this chicken coming from?

01:58:19.000 And there's like a rooster just standing by her, like looking all serious while the hen eats.

01:58:24.000 Because that's what the boys do, you know?

01:58:26.000 The boys stay and watch to make sure the girl's safe while she eats her food.

01:58:29.000 And then when the cars come, they both run full speed, just like off into the distance.

01:58:34.000 Now, the most magical thing we have out here is there's a stream that is only after heavy rain or in the springtime when the snow melts.

01:58:40.000 And it's in a wooded area connected to a pasture.

01:58:44.000 And the cows walk down through the forest to the stream and then stand in it and drink the water, and it is magical.

01:58:52.000 There's a farm on the way to this ledge that I skate all the time, and it's got huge signs up front that say the horses lay on their sides.

01:58:59.000 It's normal.

01:59:01.000 Don't call anybody.

01:59:02.000 Yeah.

01:59:02.000 The horse is not dead.

01:59:03.000 It's not dead.

01:59:04.000 It's fine.

01:59:05.000 Yeah, leave it be.

01:59:08.000 When it's sunny, especially, they do look dead.

01:59:10.000 Half the time I get nervous.

01:59:13.000 Horses don't like, do they always sleep on their, on their, standing up, or they can sleep standing up?

01:59:17.000 They can sleep standing up, but they like to lay out.

01:59:20.000 I mean, they'll spread out just like a dog.

01:59:22.000 Who doesn't?

01:59:22.000 Who doesn't like to?

01:59:23.000 Yeah, no, I kind of like them myself, actually.

01:59:25.000 Richard Dillon says, hey, Tim, what can I do to make my voice heard on the issue of gambling tax write-offs in the Big Beautiful bill?

01:59:31.000 I'm a semi-pro poker player, and I've invested thousands of hours studying and playing over the past two years.

01:59:36.000 If this passes, I don't know if I can vote Republican again.

01:59:39.000 Doug Polk is one of the most famous poker players in the world.

01:59:42.000 He's got half a million subscribers.

01:59:44.000 He's got millions of fans and followers.

01:59:47.000 And he told me today, I hope Trump's bill fails.

01:59:51.000 He says, it's attacking my industry, and I hope it fails.

01:59:54.000 And he's not a political guy.

01:59:55.000 And I'm like, that's so brutal, man.

01:59:57.000 We need this to pass.

01:59:58.000 But they've got normies who are uninvolved in politics now rooting for its demise over this. 0.98

02:00:03.000 And that sucks. 0.97

02:00:06.000 But whatever. 0.96

02:00:06.000 I mean, moral victory. 0.96

02:00:07.000 Woo.

02:00:08.000 Gambling is bad.

02:00:09.000 It might be bad for that industry, but it would be way worse for the whole country if the bill doesn't pass because that's just an argument to not have omnibus bills, though.

02:00:19.000 Yeah, of course.

02:00:20.000 Omnibus bills are terrible.

02:00:21.000 I think this is where conservatives and libertarians really come together in that the libertarians don't care if they lose so long as they showed everyone how principled they were.

02:00:33.000 So I'm glad that Republicans are very happy to stand up and say ban gambling and then potentially lose Trump's agenda over it to show the world how righteous you are and how virtuous you are as the Democrats take over your country and burn it down.

02:00:47.000 Yeah.

02:00:49.000 I got into it with libertarians today because I was like, you know, I'm not really a libertarian anymore.

02:00:53.000 And they're just so focused on, you know, being principled that they would allow their opponents to have all the power of the federal government just so long as they're like, well, you know, I was principled.

02:01:07.000 They're being beaten over with a club by the left.

02:01:09.000 And then I'm going, dude, guy, just stop them from hitting me.

02:01:12.000 And he goes, no, that would be unprincipled.

02:01:14.000 Well, I think part of that is because there's actual conservatives in politics and libertarians seem to occupy more of the realm of theory because they don't ever get elected.

02:01:24.000 So obviously politics in theory is vastly different from politics in practice and you have to make vast changes when it's actually in practice.

02:01:32.000 So when all you're doing is focusing on a theoretical concept, it's easy to be principled.

02:01:37.000 It's very different when you get, again, it doesn't mean that there isn't a problem with bills of this size, which force garbage like this through, but it is the point, right?

02:01:46.000 Is that eventually you have to do something about it.

02:01:49.000 All right.

02:01:50.000 Cale says, Phil, as much as I want the HPA in short in the Big Beautiful Bill, if it passes with removing suppressors from the NFA, it makes suppressors illegal in 17 states.

02:01:58.000 I don't...

02:02:01.000 I don't know why they believe that.

02:02:03.000 I read something about that, too.

02:02:05.000 Some language in like Montana and some other states that apparently that's what people are claiming.

02:02:11.000 But I would tell you that Montana will just take care of that problem overnight.

02:02:15.000 Yeah, and the federal government has, or at least the Trump DOJ, has said that suppressors are protected under the Second Amendment.

02:02:25.000 They consider them protected under the Second Amendment.

02:02:27.000 So I don't know why that would be the case.

02:02:29.000 And I'd be interested to hear the chatters, what the reason was or hear more information about it.

02:02:38.000 Because as far as I know, that wouldn't be the case, or at least that wouldn't be the position of the DOJ.

02:02:45.000 Now, obviously, another DOJ when President Trump is no longer in office could change that.

02:02:51.000 But at the same time, anything that is law now could change in another administration.

02:03:00.000 So I'm not sure why they believe that.

02:03:03.000 Yeah, and if you're a pro-2A guy, we all are, so far as I can tell, proliferation is your friend. 1.00

02:03:10.000 So the more cans you can get in hands, the faster, the better off you are.

02:03:13.000 Yeah.

02:03:14.000 Common use tests and stuff like that.

02:03:17.000 So this vote right now is to bring the bill to the floor, and it looks like it's dead.

02:03:23.000 Yeah.

02:03:23.000 So they're not going to bring the bill to the floor.

02:03:25.000 At least not right now.

02:03:26.000 So we're going to go to the members-only uncensored portion of the show.

02:03:30.000 We will keep tracking this, but smash the like button, share the show with everyone you know.

02:03:33.000 Head over to rumble.com slash Timcast IR to keep watching.

02:03:36.000 We will have PBS pulled up to keep monitoring the situation, but we will go uncensored, which is much more appropriate.

02:03:43.000 You can follow me on X and Instagram at Timcast.

02:03:45.000 Braxton, do you want to shout anything out?

02:03:47.000 PasturePeaks.com.

02:03:49.000 That's where we sell our meat. 0.98

02:03:50.000 And you can follow me online at Braxton underscore McCoy.

02:03:53.000 I think it is on Twitter.

02:03:55.000 And that's pretty much it.

02:03:56.000 Yep.

02:03:56.000 Right on.

02:03:57.000 Guys, if you want to follow me, I'm on Instagram and on X at Brett Dasovic on both of those platforms.

02:04:02.000 But what you should do is check out Pop Culture Crisis.

02:04:04.000 Me and Mary are live Monday through Friday, 3 p.m. Eastern Standard Time, which is noon Pacific, except I think we're off this Friday for 4th of July.

02:04:12.000 You should join us there.

02:04:13.000 I am Phil That Remains on Twix.

02:04:14.000 I'm Phil That Remains Official on Instagram.

02:04:16.000 The band is all that remains.

02:04:17.000 Our new record is entitled Anti-Fragile.

02:04:19.000 You can check it out on YouTube, Apple Music, Amazon Music, Spotify, Pandora, and Deezer.

02:04:22.000 Don't forget the left lane is for crime.

02:04:24.000 We will see you all at rumble.com slash Timcast IRL in just a few seconds.

02:04:29.000 Thanks for hanging out.

02:05:28.000 Diddy didn't do it!

Timcast IRL - Tim Pool - July 03, 2025

Trump Threatens To ARREST DEMOCRATS Over Sanctuary Policies, Obstructing ICE | Timcast IRL

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