On this week's Culture War Podcast, we talk about the Senate passing a bill that could kick illegal immigrants off Medicaid, Elon Musk being asked if he would be willing to be deported by President Trump, and more. Culture War is a production of Gimlet Media. New episodes drop every Tuesday.
00:02:44.000J.D. Vance had to issue the tie-breaking vote, and it looks like it will be advancing to the House, but we're not so convinced that the House is going to pass it.
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00:05:23.000It said I'm the best at because I don't hold back.
00:05:25.000I give straight uncensored answers, and I don't pull punches.
00:05:27.000I would just like to stress to all of you, considering we're just doing a promo spot at the beginning of the show, I'm not going to get to specifics, but hang out for the after show, the uncensored portion of the show.
00:05:36.000We were messing around with it last time.
00:06:46.000I'm the senior editor for The Daily Caller, co-host of The Hills Rising, as well as Reasons Free Media and author of The Unfit to Print newsletter.
00:07:22.000J.D. Vance traveled down to cast the tiebreaking vote.
00:07:26.000WAPO says Senate narrowly passed the budget reconciliation bill on Tuesday with J.D. Vance casting a tie-breaking vote.
00:07:33.000Three Republicans, Rand Paul, Tom Tillis, and Susan Collins voted against the bill.
00:07:38.000The measure passed after nearly 48 consecutive hours of reading, debating, and voting on the amendments.
00:07:43.000The bill includes trillions in tax cuts from President Trump's first term, implements new promises from his campaign, and will spend billions on immigration.
00:07:51.000I would appreciate it if they got a little specific and said it will spend billions on deporting illegal immigrants.
00:07:57.000So what comes next in the Senate reconciliation process?
00:08:02.000The bill will return to the House where another majority vote for the full chamber is needed to approve the legislation with the Senate changes.
00:08:08.000If it passes, the final version will be sent to Trump to sign and the bill will become law.
00:08:36.000$175 billion towards immigration enforcement and border security through 2029, which includes $29.85 billion for ICE to hire 8,500 new enforcement officers and expand deportation operations, along with $45 billion to increase ICE detention capacity with more adult and family residential center beds.
00:08:55.000Also, $46.55 billion for border wall construction.
00:08:58.000I think the immigration aspect is the strongest part of this bill.
00:09:02.000The Medicaid for illegals thing is kind of tricky.
00:09:04.000You have Senator Eric Schmidt claiming that they're kicking off 1.4 illegal immigrants.
00:09:09.000It's a little bit more complicated than that.
00:09:11.000Basically, how they structured it, because the complete removal was killed by the Senate parliamentarian under the Byrd rule.
00:09:18.000What it does is it reduces the federal matching rate for states that provide Medicaid to illegal immigrants from 90% to 80%, and then also lowers the amount of federal emergency Medicaid spending on emergency room visits for illegal.
00:09:35.000So it's not a full moratorium, and it doesn't kick in until October of 2026.
00:09:42.000I agree with you about the immigration stuff.
00:09:45.000I do think that making the tax cuts permanent are good.
00:09:49.000I think that people haven't given enough thought or you don't hear people talking about enough how bad for the economy it would be if they didn't make the tax cut permanent.
00:10:00.000You hear the left complaining about, oh, you know, rich don't pay their fair share, et cetera, et cetera.
00:11:34.000But these things are already happening.
00:11:35.000So if really what this bill is, the next move we're going to make is get Trump his funding for controlling immigration, then I just say, okay.
00:11:43.000You know, I saw a post from Mike Cernovich.
00:12:12.000But we've got more pressing issues in the short term.
00:12:16.000If we can solve these short-term issues, we can pull out of the tailspin and start correcting these in the long term.
00:12:20.000So this one big, beautiful bill is the Trump agenda manifested into a bill.
00:12:26.000So if you trust what Trump has to say in this bill and you believe that he had a, what was it, when he won the election with a pot and he had a mandate when he won the election, then I think you should be supporting this bill.
00:12:39.000The three holdouts was one, Susan Collins from Maine.
00:12:43.000She likes to vote as a centrist because it plays well to her audience over there.
00:12:46.000Then also Republican Senator Tom Tillis from North Carolina, one of the guys who voted no, is more of a moderate in his speech complaining about why he didn't vote for the bill.
00:12:55.000He was really upset about the Medicare cuts and he said it would end up knocking something like 600,000 People in his state off Medicare, off of Medicare as a result of these cuts.
00:13:04.000I think they put in some necessary work provisions and that Medicare needs to have some changes made to it, some reforms made to it, if we want to see it as a long-term program that the government is going to be able to maintain, that's going to be able to stay tenable.
00:13:19.000And then, of course, there is the Libertarian grandstanders who voted against the bill, and that is Senator Rand Paul.
00:13:25.000I think that we need to have a serious conversation about what the goals of these libertarians really are.
00:13:30.000They need to swallow their pride and vote for Trump's one big, beautiful bill.
00:13:34.000As you guys were saying, the debt is an issue in our country, but it is far from the number one issue.
00:13:39.000As far as it goes for me, I believe immigration tops that issue by leaps and bounds.
00:13:46.000And then they had to give Lisa Murkowski a bunch of sweeteners to get her to vote yes from Alaska.
00:13:50.000So if Rand Paul wanted to be able to influence this bill and cut $100 billion from it, which they increased to give to Lisa Murkowski, maybe he should have voted to support Trump's bill.
00:14:47.000Like, how are you going to not vote for it then?
00:14:49.000He told me that he would vote for the bill if they split it into two bills, where one of them was Trump's priorities in the tax cuts, and the other bill was everything else.
00:15:06.000I don't take issue largely with Messie and Rand Paul, but the general libertarian, I mean, y'all hear me argue with some of these libertarians.
00:15:16.000Their attitude, we had one just recently with Billy Binion.
00:15:20.000And with all due respect, it was nice.
00:15:41.000But don't you dare do anything because that means you're going to add to the happenings.
00:15:43.000That's the problem with libertarians is they're like, well, you know, we shouldn't do this and we're so principled and et cetera, which is, it's fine to be like, you know, to have those opinions.
00:15:52.000But when it comes down to it, at the end of the day, power is a zero-sum game.
00:15:57.000If you do not exercise power when you have it, when your opponents have power, they will exercise it and they're going to do things that you hate.
00:16:05.000So to say, well, you know, it's better to be principled and not do things that violate my principles, that's important to me.
00:16:13.000Well, it's cool, but you shouldn't be in a position to be making decisions about how power is used because you're not going to use power.
00:16:20.000And the libertarians being 3% at the highest point they've ever been, at the highest point they've ever been, they were like 3%.
00:16:31.000So they shouldn't be like, oh, no, we're not going to, we're not going to, we're going to be principled and we're not going to exercise power.
00:16:36.000While you have the opportunity to make things better, you need to make things better if you can.
00:16:41.000I think they often look at the world as it should be and not as it is, i.e.
00:16:45.000But I will say that Kentucky's a very interesting state electorally.
00:16:51.000They are a longtime Democratic stronghold who kind of flipped to Trump in 2016, but still voted Democrat multiple times for the governorship.
00:17:01.000The last, I think, three governors were all Democrats in Kentucky.
00:17:05.000They're kind of Maverick voters and they like Thomas Massey.
00:17:09.000So even though this MAGAPAC and APAC are going after him hard, unless they find truly the perfect candidate, he's not going anywhere.
00:17:18.000APAC's been going after Thomas Massey since 2012.
00:17:22.000Kentucky's producing some crazy politicians between Senator McConnell, between Rand Paul, between Thomas Massey.
00:17:30.000I don't know if they're sending their best.
00:17:31.000The important thing to understand about Mitch McConnell in Kentucky is that he was like the Murkowski for Kentucky, meaning he brought home the bacon, right?
00:17:39.000Like he was in Congress, in the Senate, always making sure that Kentucky got its share of federal dollars.
00:17:48.000And so they'll always love him for that, even if they kind of don't like him personally.
00:17:53.000If every member of Congress was Thomas Massey, the Trump agenda would be complete.
00:17:58.000It would be finger snapped and we're good to go.
00:17:59.000It is all of these politicians that demand special deals.
00:18:06.000You've got Susan Collins right here, and her opposition says, I'm pleased the bill contains a special fund that I propose to provide some assistance to our rural hospitals, but it's not sufficient to offset the other changes in the Medicaid system.
00:18:16.000Let me just simplify what she's saying.
00:18:18.000My state deserves special sweetheart provisions if I'm going to agree to what you want.
00:18:24.000If every politician just said we shouldn't be spending this money, we should focus on the agenda to make America better, then let's roll.
00:18:31.000But then they'd lose to the politicians who would say that I will get our state better deals.
00:18:35.000Yes, my point is quite literally, if politicians had integrity and actually were standing on principle, like Thomas Massey does and ran Paul, Trump would get everything he wants without issue.
00:19:30.000Speaking of extra pork in the bills, the Republicans, because they couldn't lose another vote, had to get Lisa Markowski in from Alaska, who got a ton of extra pork in the bill.
00:19:42.000He said the bill includes over $500 billion in new spending, and at the end, they get in the end, to get the vote of the Alaska Senator, billions and billions more were added, said Rand Paul of Kentucky.
00:19:52.000It really kind of begs the question, though, why wouldn't he try to leverage his vote instead of Lisa's to try to help reduce the extra pork in this bill by some $500 billion or whatnot?
00:20:02.000Because it's easier to spend money than to cut money politically.
00:21:04.000So I'm reading Chip Roy and Massey are both the Digit Hawks.
00:21:08.000Ralph Northam from South Carolina told reporters he currently opposes advancing the bill out of rules committee after the Senate's changes.
00:21:15.000I don't know if they're going to massage him too.
00:21:25.000And there will probably be amendments in the House version as well.
00:21:29.000I mean, just a couple of the things in the Senate version that are kind of disturbing.
00:21:34.000The provision that prevents Medicaid funding for Planned Parenthood only lasts for one year.
00:21:41.000And also the no tax on tips and no tax on overtime only lasts for three years.
00:21:45.000So the way that the OMB director Rust vote is able to say that the bill is deficit neutral is because the CBO scores over a period of 10 years.
00:21:54.000They did this exact same accounting trick with the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, which is where they made the corporate tax cuts permanent and they made the middle class tax cuts temporary because they knew that would be politically easier to pass an extension on.
00:22:08.000But when they passed it the first time, making that part temporary made the 10-year scoring window look deficit neutral.
00:22:15.000So they're doing the same thing with this three-year provision on no tax on tips and no tax on overtime.
00:22:19.000Because if you scored the bill over those first three years, it would increase the deficit significantly.
00:22:24.000But because it's scored over 10, assuming those things expire, which they won't, Congress will obviously vote to extend them.
00:22:30.000It is, of course, a huge budget buster.
00:22:33.000So that's like the huge rub here that I think the Trump administration is not being super honest about.
00:22:38.000And they keep claiming that they are doing no tax on Social Security, which isn't true.
00:22:42.000It's only under certain conditions, which they're like, oh, well, it's 88% of seniors covered under Social Security.
00:22:48.000But what about people who take their Social Security before the age of 65?
00:22:51.000Like, what about a widow who has to take it because she's only getting her late husband's pension and she's only 62, right?
00:22:57.000Like, they're not getting tax relief under this.
00:22:59.000I honestly think at the end of the day, the reason why Trump is so adamant about the bill is because if the tax cuts don't stay, that's going to have a negative effect on the economy.
00:23:12.000And I think he knows that the worst thing for his entire presidency is a bad economy.
00:23:18.000That's why he's going so ham at the Powell and giving him such a hard time about not cutting interest rates.
00:23:28.000So I don't know that this is actually really all that much deeper than that.
00:23:35.000I think a lot of posturing has to be done, but if you vote against the big beautiful bill, you're probably going to have to retire or be primarily by a candidate that Trump is practicing.
00:24:46.000I won't be there in the midterms, et cetera.
00:24:50.000This is a big deal to a very small group of people, but that small group of people can really make a difference because they are so committed and they always vote.
00:25:25.000He said that Mike Johnson's brought, what, like 100 and something Democrat bills to the floor while dilly-dallying on the Trump agenda and what the Republican voter base wants or the Trump base wants.
00:25:58.000You know, it's like if you had 300 Republicans, you'd just be like, whatever, we're going to get it.
00:26:03.000And you can't make the perfect the enemy of the good.
00:26:04.000That's like rule number one in politics.
00:26:09.000I really think that we shouldn't have to be, the Trump agenda shouldn't hinge on these couple of House members, specifically Thomas Massey, thinking that, you know, blocking the agenda from passing.
00:26:20.000So I wanted to actually regurgitate this truth social from Donald Trump talking about Thomas Massey because I do think we need to be clear-eyed about these libertarians.
00:26:28.000He says Congressman Thomas Massey of Kentucky is not MAGA, even though he likes to say he is.
00:26:33.000Actually, MAGA doesn't want him, doesn't know him, and doesn't respect him.
00:26:36.000He's a negative force who almost always votes no, no matter how good something may be.
00:26:40.000He's a simple-minded grandstander who thinks it's good politics for Iran to have the highest level of nuclear weapon while at the same time yelling death to America.
00:26:48.000So I think, again, these Republicans need to fall in line.
00:27:14.000And I want the bill to pass, but I think Mike Johnson's the problem, not Thomas Massey.
00:27:19.000I think the problem is weak-willed, spineless Republicans and evil, smarmy Democrats, not Thomas Massey.
00:27:26.000Well, I mean, it's true, because why are we having to do doge cuts through the rescission process, which doesn't even affect future spending?
00:27:32.000That's pulling back money that's already been appropriated by Congress.
00:27:45.000Like, Mike Johnson should be bringing one to the floor every single effing day.
00:27:49.000I'm just going to go ahead and assume that when you go to Congress, Mike Johnson is standing at the table banging the gavel and behind him is a gigantic lizard monster with an alien laser weapon pointed at his back or something.
00:28:00.000I have no idea why nothing ever gets done, but it's just standard operating procedure.
00:28:06.000I think Speaker Johnson has conditions that he's put in.
00:28:12.000I think he has, what, a two-seat majority?
00:28:14.000How much wiggle room does he really have?
00:28:16.000He's put in a tough position trying to pass agenda.
00:28:30.000The fact that things like this exist, listen, ladies and gentlemen, we are all no different than chickens in a coop walking around, pecking the ground, going about our daily business, thinking we have lives and rights.
00:28:41.000And they have set up the system in such a way that even when you win the election, a parliamentarian goes whoopsie and starts stripping out the things on the bill that you actually want.
00:28:50.000It's a deep state, just Senate version.
00:29:05.000That's exactly why the 2A lobby is so upset is because they know that this is probably the only chance that there's going to be, especially with the change in the actual tax, there's probably not going to be a chance to do anything about the NFA ever.
00:29:21.000You're probably not going to get anything in front of the Supreme Court about this post-the tax.
00:29:51.000It'll be a disaster for the economy and it'll be a bad thing for the immigration stuff and for ICE and for getting immigrants out of the country.
00:30:03.000Democrats would be elated if this didn't pass, huh?
00:30:33.000Somebody's going to compromise on principle or whatever you want to call it and vote for this.
00:30:38.000Maybe, but let's jump to the story from ingame.com.
00:30:41.000I actually think as much as this story isn't really well known right now, this could actually help put an end to the Big Beautiful bill.
00:30:49.000Gambling taxes could exceed your net winnings under sweeping federal bill.
00:30:54.000That is, at the very last minute, they added an amendment to the Big Beautiful bill that says for gamblers, you can only write off 90% of your expenses and losses.
00:31:44.000If it costs you your business, you're flying around, you're buying special training softwares, whatever it might be.
00:31:51.000And then you're paying $10,000 to enter a tournament.
00:31:54.000If it costs you $100,000 in expenses for the year, you can only write off $90,000.
00:31:59.000So then if you end up winning $100,000 of the year, a break-even year where you're like, man, that year sucked, you will actually end up owing on $10,000 in income you do not have.
00:32:10.000Now, that, of course, matters very, very much for the poker pros in the poker industry, but gaming itself might turn on this the very last minute.
00:32:19.000So again, on the surface, it may seem like a relatively minor issue, but understand this.
00:32:25.000The entirety of Vegas, Penn Entertainment, Caesars Entertainment, They're opening a Caesars in New York.
00:32:31.000They're opening, I think, a Bally's in Chicago.
00:32:34.000They are spending hundreds of billions of dollars on gaming.
00:32:38.000And for them to slip in a provision that takes away your ability to itemize expenses as to your wagering in gaming, I don't understand how the gaming industry like Caesars is going to just let this slide.
00:32:54.000I have to imagine every politician in Vegas right now, every politician in Nevada is on the phone with their members of Congress and other members of Congress saying, we are going to spend as much as it takes to get this bill killed in the House by tomorrow because this destroys the gaming industry.
00:33:10.000Yeah, I mean, I don't know a whole lot about the gaming industry, but to your point, like there has never been, I don't think in all of American history, there's never been more places where people can go and gamble.
00:33:21.000There's never been more people that actually are interested in gambling for recreation the way that they are.
00:33:27.000And it's because of the availability of casinos and stuff.
00:33:30.000So I think it will make a difference, but I'm not sure.
00:33:32.000But I think that it's one of those things where it'll be a small constituency that really cares.
00:33:37.000And then there's going to be just like with the 2A people, it'll be a small constituency that really, really, really cares about this.
00:33:44.000And I think that you're going to see some of that kind of stuff.
00:33:48.000Small groups of people that really, really, really care.
00:34:51.000How much money do you think DraftKings is spending to maintain their app so that they can have all of these people playing fantasy league sports?
00:34:57.000I mean, Fantasy Kings is a business, but people who do it recreationally fun.
00:35:03.000And if they're making $10,000 or $20,000 a year additional to their income and they're saying that this is not a hobby, this is a source of income for my family.
00:35:11.000I have a league and we do sports betting or we do gaming, whatever it may be.
00:35:18.000Like the idea that Vegas is going to sit back and say, we're totally okay with this.
00:35:22.000My understanding is that this provision got edited the bill without debate and nobody knew it happened until the very last minute.
00:35:27.000That's why I'm saying I don't see a scenario where the gaming industry, as massive as it is, just sits back and says, we literally don't care.
00:35:36.000My point is, I guarantee you that whether you care about fantasy sports or not, and you think it's silly, the companies that are making $50 billion a year off this are shitting in their pants right now saying, holy fuck, they're going to shut us down.
00:36:35.000They already pay tons of political lobbying dollars to try to get casinos and to deregulate sports betting in states, but I don't agree it's a good thing for those things to happen.
00:36:45.000So right now, you have the World Series of poker going on.
00:36:48.000It's like a two-month-long event in Vegas.
00:36:51.000Hundreds of thousands, not millions of people show up for this.
00:36:53.000One of the biggest sporting events in the world.
00:36:55.000Texas Hold'em, social poker is not gambling.
00:36:59.000There's a lot of pros that'll say it is, but there's a dramatic difference between rolling dice and crossing your fingers and trying to figure out what your opponent is doing, reading what they may or may not be doing, knowing the math.
00:37:12.000Right now is the worst possible time for them to try and put this tax in there because you basically said to literally every single person who just flew to Vegas over the last two months, we are going to destroy what you are doing right now.
00:37:30.000If you wager over the course of one year, $1 million, and that's because you're entering tournaments every week, and then at the end of the year, you make $1.05 million, meaning you netted $50,000, they are going to say you owe an additional $100,000 an additional $100,000, meaning the more you actually are engaged in your profession, not make money, the bigger your tax bill becomes.
00:37:57.000There are some pros that might have a total wager for the year of $2 million and end up making $100,000 by the end of the year from tournament winnings and losses.
00:38:05.000Then they're going to say, on the $2 million, you are going to owe an additional $200,000 tax, you're going to have $200,000 taxable income.
00:38:12.000And you're going to say, I only made $100 this year.
00:38:14.000So they're going to say, you owe us double taxes from everybody else based on this bill.
00:38:18.000Yeah, the margins aren't big enough where this is going to be something that even pros aren't going to feel.
00:38:26.000I'm unsure about the specific provisions about gambling, taxes in the bill, but just to zoom out and looking at the gambling and gaming and sports betting industry as a whole, I actually think it's a scourge on our society.
00:38:42.000I think poor people writ large are the ones gambling and they're losing overall.
00:38:47.000And I think it's kind of ruining sports.
00:38:49.000It's ruining the enjoyment of watching sports.
00:38:52.000Also, I think there's something to say about if you're an advantage player on these apps, they actually remove you from the app.
00:38:58.000You are not allowed to be an advantage player with an amount of winnings on any of these sports gambling apps.
00:39:03.000So I know way too many young men who this disproportionately affects, who've lost tens of thousands of dollars, who aren't very rich or well off.
00:39:11.000And I think this is another way that society kind of takes advantage of young men.
00:39:46.000People hit their credit cards to the credit window casinos to take money on cash advance they can't pay back, put on a craps table and lose.
00:39:52.000I've talked about this over and over again.
00:39:54.000There are something like 12 casinos within two or three hours driving of us.
00:39:58.000So I think one of the reasons they may be doing this is intentionally to kill the gaming industry.
00:40:05.000Sport like social poker is not the same as blackjacking craps.
00:40:11.000And so professional players that are playing in tournaments where you're paying $10,000 up front to enter a tournament where the top price is $20 million is not the same thing as going to a casino, sitting at a blackjack table, and then just flipping a coin every time hoping you win.
00:40:36.000When a child spends $20 to enter a tournament where they shuffle up their cards and then randomly draw cards, hoping the cards they draw are better.
00:40:50.000What percentage of random chance doesn't make something gambling is the issue?
00:40:53.000So the issue here is that this is a blanket on the entirety of gaming, even though fantasy sports and social poker games probably would not fall into the same category as, they literally don't fall in the same category as casino gaming.
00:41:08.000I think we have a big problem, a massive problem with the general expansion of casinos.
00:41:13.000I actually think they slipped this in there to destroy the gaming industry quickly, sneakily.
00:41:43.000So there are limits on how much you can write off on losses on capital gains, right?
00:41:48.000So why aren't there limits on gambling losses?
00:41:52.000I suppose the I don't care about it in the sense that it's like if you're trying to play blackjack or craps or something or counting cards or whatever, the issue is that it's going to like this is one of the biggest problems I have with how they regulate gambling is that, as a story I've told before, in West Virginia, it's actually illegal by law, codified in the state to play any card game, any.
00:42:16.000Magic, Art, you know, Lorcana, that doesn't count.
00:42:19.000So there are stores all over the state where children gamble based on what the law states.
00:42:25.000The law says if you put up any money for a card game that involves chance, this is an illegal game of chance card game that is banned in the state.
00:42:33.000But they've decided, no, no, no, we're going to allow big corporations to do this.
00:42:36.000But if you're a guy with Du Bois and you want to set up a poker game, now it's illegal gambling.
00:44:16.000I think that's why most people watch watch the YouTube channels where they're wearing latex gloves and they have millions of subscribers and they're shaking as they open a pack and go, oh, and then they rack, they have a money counter showing how much money they've made from doing it.
00:44:32.000Maybe I've been out of the game for too long, but when I was a child and I used to play with my Pokemon cards, there was no real like sick pull.
00:44:40.000Yeah, I think we commercialized it in this kind of way.
00:44:43.000I don't even think most of the people who would buy Yu-Gi-Oh cards or maybe, again, the industry's developed into this and that would be kind of sad.
00:44:52.000But I think that's manifestly different than like blackjack people going in with the expectation of trying to.
00:44:58.000My point is we regulate only some things as gambling and other things as not.
00:45:03.000Meanwhile, I'll say this, like the stock market is, it's silly to call it gambling.
00:45:34.000Like, if you're going to go and say, you're like, I'm just going to continuously buy $100 worth of General Electric every week because I know that GE is a solid company.
00:45:46.000It's been around for however, you know, and additionally, calling stock market gambling would be like saying, I am going to invest in a farm that grows apples because I think people want apples.
00:46:24.000Anyway, my point is simply, I have concerns about how this will affect the poker industry, as it is a lot of poker pros do call it gambling.
00:46:34.000I think that's silly when you're playing in a tournament, you're not wagering money, you've bought in and you have chips and your goal is to outwit people.
00:46:40.000But that being said, this is going to, I think the risk here is they just basically challenged the entirety of the gaming industry to say, we are going to destroy a significant portion of your base.
00:46:53.000They've just opened up every gaming company to say, we're going to lobby as hard as we can to make sure this bill fails.
00:46:58.000And it takes only one congressman from Nevada or, I mean, the highest grossing single casino outside of Vegas and Atlas City is Maryland, is Oxen Hill.
00:47:14.000One member of Congress being like, my district brings in too much money.
00:47:17.000Let me tell you guys, Charlestown Races in West Virginia, before they opened, the Horseshoe Casino, Maryland Live, and National Harbor was the biggest casino on the East Coast.
00:47:31.000And West Virginia was raking in billions of dollars.
00:47:34.000They had one of the biggest poker rooms in the country.
00:47:36.000They had something like 50 poker tables.
00:47:38.000And then when Maryland opened three casinos in the East Coast, people stopped driving to West Virginia to gamble.
00:47:43.000But it was because West Virginia was the only game in town.
00:47:46.000My point is, I have actually had these politicians, members of Congress, come to me and say, we are desperate to get that revenue back.
00:47:57.000So what do you think is going to happen when you've got Maryland now that owns that real estate, that equity, and they're going to say, if this bill passes, you will lose all of that revenue?
00:48:06.000We're talking like, I don't know, was it $500 million in revenue for National Harbor last year?
00:48:11.000They're going to say, do we want to lose $500 million?
00:48:21.000So I think there's potentially some Republican jurisdictions where they might not immediately come out and say this is the reason.
00:48:28.000But again, the gaming industry is going to dump as much as they can into fighting this.
00:48:32.000There's a lot of perverse incentive when it comes to industries that some people view as good or bad.
00:48:36.000I think one of the interesting ways that a comparison that we could make here is like the marijuana industry in some states, you know, people are against it, but it brings in tons of revenue for these states that otherwise do not get it.
00:48:48.000And then if you think about walking back all that legalization, the state revenue is completely lost.
00:48:52.000So now people are arguing for the pro-legalization side as just a way to get tax revenue, which I would argue is a wrong reason to argue for this stuff.
00:49:01.000Let's jump to this next story, though.
00:49:03.000The post-milliona reports, Big Beautiful bill includes removal of illegal immigrants from Medicaid.
00:49:09.000Everybody thought that wasn't the case, but we have this from Senator Eric Schmidt, who says, the Big Beautiful bill kicks 1.4 million illegal immigrants off Medicaid.
00:49:16.000For too long, Americans have been paying for the welfare of people who shouldn't be in our country.
00:50:03.000I read the provision he's talking about, and what it does is it caps the amount that states can be reimbursed when they have illegal aliens on the Medicaid payroll, and it also caps the amount that federal Medicaid dollars go towards paying for emergency room visits from illegal aliens.
00:50:22.000It just slightly reduces the amount that states get back from the federal government when they have, which I think it's like 20 states that allow illegal aliens to get coverage.
00:50:46.000You'd probably lose the next election.
00:50:48.000Yeah, communism is favored for that reason.
00:50:54.000I think there's a tendency of countries to drift towards communism because who's the guy with that famous saying that something like the United States will last until politicians realize they can offer up tax one of the founders.
00:51:07.000Yeah, when you can offer themselves money from the tax coffers when they can vote to pay.
00:51:15.000So where we are currently at, if you went back to the founding of this nation and said we would have a social security system, they would laugh and be like, what?
00:51:27.000We're going to take just roughly half of all of the money of everybody in the country who works and then distribute it amongst everybody else.
00:51:40.000Well, yeah, because people rely on it.
00:51:42.000They've set their retirements as their, they've made that their retirement plan, which is a terrible idea because it was only supposed to be like, like when they started Social Security, it was like 65 was the life expectancy for the average man.
00:51:57.000And it was basically to prevent women from ending up destitute when their husband passed away.
00:52:05.000And now it's just like, you know, anyone that can come up with some kind of injury and get onto Social Security, you know, it doesn't matter how old they are.
00:52:12.000People that are overweight get onto Social Security.
00:52:15.000There are people that will, you know, they're like, oh, I'm too big to work or I have my, you know, pain and blah, blah, blah.
00:52:21.000And they'll get onto Social Security all of them.
00:52:22.000Well, the SSDI program has a lot of problems because if you have a disability where you could work part-time, for example, you have to be very careful about how much money you make because if you make over a certain income, you get kicked off.
00:52:39.000Once you give people different rights or start different entitlement programs, it becomes extremely politically unpalatable to strip away any of this stuff, any of this stuff back without people getting extremely pissed, obviously.
00:52:54.000This stuff's true for a lot of different entitlement programs, but obviously once you're giving out stuff for so long and now the government rolls that back, people are going to get pissed.
00:53:03.000I think that was a big thing during Prohibition too.
00:53:06.000People were like, we've been drinking for so long.
00:53:07.000Now you're going to roll this stuff back.
00:53:09.000I think that's also become the case now with abortion.
00:53:12.000Women have had access to abortion in most of our country for so long.
00:53:16.000Now when you mention, which the Trump administration wisely hasn't mentioned at all throughout this entire administration, very interestingly, that we completely overlooked, by the way.
00:53:24.000But, you know, now it's going to be impossible to roll that back because women have had access to abortion for so long.
00:53:29.000It would make it a lot more difficult to.
00:53:32.000You realize that Trump is like, no, this is a state's rights issue now.
00:53:37.000And that was the intent of the administration.
00:53:40.000Yeah, I think it was politically savvy for them to lay off the issue that's been dragging down Republicans for so long.
00:53:49.000I also think they actually encouraged, there was a case in Texas about the abortion pill that they encouraged judges to dismiss because maybe you know more specifically about it, but I think it was how there's issues with mephopristone, I believe, the abortion pill that is more threatening to women's health than previously led to believe.
00:54:07.000But then the Trump administration encouraged judges to dismiss this case and not push it forward.
00:54:12.000They're not trying to make the abortion issue an issue at all.
00:54:15.000My larger point here, though, is that when women have, or anybody has access to abortion or rights or different entitlement programs for so long, it becomes unpopular to strip those back or take those rights away.
00:54:28.000I think the way to do it for Social Security, like the only way that would be politically feasible is you have to reimburse everyone exactly the amount that they've paid in.
00:54:38.000And then for people who are close to or at retirement age, perhaps open up an account privately for them.
00:55:04.000Look, if we'd have pegged the Social Security fund or the money that the Social Security fund, the money that's supposed to go to Social Security, if you'd have pegged it to the stock market or made an investment account with that same money, you wouldn't have any problem with the only get like 75 cents back on the dollar because of inflation for Social Security.
00:55:22.000I have a lot of people who are going to be able to do it.
00:55:23.000It needs to be restructured or else it's going to destroy the dollar.
00:55:27.000What I think is total BS is the cap on Roth IRAs of what is it?
00:55:34.000There's an income limit and there's a contribution limit.
00:55:38.000So interesting you mentioned that because I was very curious about this myself.
00:55:41.000I actually read into it and the reason why the Roth limit was so low is because it was purposefully planned for low to middle income people and they didn't want it to be abused by people who did make it.
00:55:54.000Because if you have enough money to invest something like $20,000 some odd dollar, invest $20,000 or plus some odd dollars and still reap those tax benefits, like there are other ways.
00:57:10.000And it's half that and half Ron Paul fans.
00:57:13.000So the thing is, I think younger right-wingers have some affinity towards some of the ideals of libertarianism.
00:57:19.000But when I turned hard against the way it manifests in the Libertarian Party is when they had a rally with literal communists and socialist groups.
00:57:26.000And that made me realize this against the imperial war machine.
00:57:31.000There are people that call themselves Angela McCurdle and others.
00:57:34.000Angela McCartle is not a socialist, but there are people who are rallying with communists.
00:57:50.000No, I'm talking about at this rally that the Libertarian Party in our country teamed up with different literal socialist and communist groups because they had common parts.
00:58:11.000Yeah, we should totally abolish the Libertarian Party because they're a Trojan horse for the far left and they're literal apologists for communists of socialists.
00:58:19.000Well, they're willing to work with them.
00:58:23.000Because if you're going to abolish parties, why don't you just abolish the far left?
00:58:27.000Yeah, and their allies, the far left and their allies, which are the libertarians.
00:58:30.000I mean, if we're going to do that, clearly If we're just high in the sky, whatever we want, can we get a big boat, put all the leftists on it, and then send them off to Venezuela?
00:58:39.000That would be far more effective than going after the Libertarian Party, just going after leftists.
00:59:20.000And straight up and I was like, I'm ready to land.
00:59:24.000A buddy of mine owns one of those helicopters they call the Little Birds that the Special Forces guys will be sitting on the side and hauling around.
00:59:31.000I've been on one of those and that thing is pretty crazy.
00:59:34.000I was advocating for sending leftists to a socialist paradise.
00:59:39.000I think that is a gift and we should tax all right-wingers at 50% until we pay to be able to give leftists their socialist utopia by sending them to Cuba.
00:59:54.000And I believe no conservative should argue against it.
00:59:56.000Everyone on the right should agree with me that we will tax every penny we have to from you.
01:00:00.000It is a sacrifice I am willing to make.
01:00:02.000Okay, but we have to send the neocons too, because if not, they're going to be calling for regime change and socialist utopia.
01:00:09.000They're going to be Boeing and Lockheed Martin are going to get all the contracts to orchestrate the coup, and then we're going to be involved in nation building.
01:00:46.000Now, Trump has been saying this over and over again that Elon is upset because the EV mandate is going away, despite the fact that Elon's been saying for like five years he hates the EV mandate.
01:01:26.000Trump is acting like he doesn't want to get rid of it and entertaining, possibly deporting him because Elon says the big beautiful bill is the death knell for this country.
01:01:37.000So I think that Elon's chief concern, of course, is the deficit.
01:01:40.000But I will say multiple sources in Congress told me that Elon called them directly and told them not to get rid of the EV subsidies.
01:02:26.000It was just a way to him to flex influence and cut different programs that he was or wasn't a fan of and to exercise power within the government.
01:03:38.000Well, I think he's going to say Elon because I honestly think the only reason he said we'll take a look is because he doesn't know what they're talking about.
01:03:45.000That's just his response to everything is we'll take a look at it.
01:03:50.000But it's the right response because let's say there's like, you know, Elon kicks a dog or something and then screams, you know, I hate America.
01:04:13.000Just if I could trash Elon a little bit, I actually think he's not only fake MAGA, he's antithetical to MAGA because he supports mass H-1B visas continuing to flood into the US.
01:04:24.000And he tries to appropriate the facade of MAGA.
01:04:27.000So while Trump's trying to get rid of mass migration from happening in our country, I think Elon Musk and his business interests want to flood our country with more migrants.
01:04:46.000Well, hey, if you're willing, you know, I think we should have more rich people in our country.
01:04:50.000They contribute a disproportionate amount to their tax revenue.
01:04:54.000I think we should just get rid of all taxes on people who make more than $100,000 a year and only tax people who make under $100,000 at 100%.
01:05:05.000But in all seriousness, that was Bloomberg's actual proposal, not like literally taxing everybody, but Bloomberg's campaign proposal was tax the poor.
01:05:18.000so we should tax them and take away their money so that we can decide for them what they should have.
01:05:22.000There was a study that I, or there was an article that I was reading that was a study that said the same thing, that a big part of the reason why people are poor is because they make bad decisions.
01:05:31.000There's a lot of people that are like, oh, life's hard and blah, blah, blah.
01:06:42.000Anyway, I think Elon is correct about the deficit, but I don't know why he's so adamant about it right now, as if he just discovered we have a massive deficit.
01:06:52.000To be fair, we were talking about this, I can't remember if we're talking about this on culture war or not, but when the debt to GDP ratio hits like 120-something is like historically, we see nations collapse and we're there.
01:08:58.000Yeah, I feel like the immediate threat we face is the mass migration problem and Democrats pumping the census so they can steal the election.
01:09:07.000Well, this is an important point because obviously all of these CBO projections about the bill don't take into account how much public assistance is being spent on illegal immigrants.
01:09:20.000Yeah, that's I was talking to someone today about the deficit because they were concerned about the bill.
01:09:25.000And I said the argument from the from the right that opposed the bill is that it's adding to the deficit.
01:09:31.000But the argument from the pro-Trump faction is that when you deport all these illegal immigrants, it's going to dramatically reduce spending.
01:09:37.000There's a lot of fraud and then it should balance itself out.
01:09:40.000You also have a higher housing supply.
01:09:41.000Wages will go up, which means more tax revenue collected by the government, possibly more inflation too.
01:09:47.000I mean, the demand for jobs will be skyrocketing.
01:09:50.000So you're going to be able to negotiate for higher salaries and wages.
01:09:54.000I think they also argue that it's reducing the amount that the deficit would increase, was one of the taglines for the bill.
01:10:50.000Well, speaking of that, let's jump to the story from the Daily Mail.
01:10:53.000Trans swimmer Leah Thomas's wins will be wiped and runners up move to first place after Penn bowed to Trump crackdown.
01:11:02.000The DOE announced Tuesday that Penn is adopting strict definitions for male and female competitors under White House guidelines and that the school will ban trans athletes from women's competitions and erase Thomas from the school's record books.
01:11:18.000But in the future, when children are reading and learning about history, they're going to say there was this brave moment in the early 2000s where they had men playing on women's sports teams for some reason.
01:11:34.000You guys had a person, a person who had a private secret.
01:11:36.000Yeah, our White House correspondent Reagan Reese was there.
01:11:38.000She got a couple of questions in with the education secretary, Linda McMahon, who was like, Yeah, look, this is a roadmap for basically every negotiation we're going to do with all of the colleges who let this happen because the only reason UPenn is stripping the titles and apologizing to all the swimmers impacted is because the Trump administration paused $175 million in funding.
01:11:58.000So they basically did to UPenn the same thing that they did to Harvard, and UPenn really wants that money.
01:12:05.000Okay, so now one other funny thing, sorry to interrupt, but Linda McMahon also told our reporter that she talks to Trump privately about this issue, obviously, and he thinks it's deeply disturbing.
01:12:16.000I think we need to commend the Trump administration for willing to exercise and use power and twist the arms of these different schools and administrations to doing what is genuinely right.
01:12:26.000And that's a very important thing because in the past, there are different administrations sometimes feel like threatening to cut funding or whatnot is like beyond the red line of what's acceptable for you to do to try to achieve, you know, whatever ends or right whatever wrongs are happening in these schools.
01:12:40.000So I think it's a good thing that the President-Trump administration is willing to use this power and it's clearly bearing fruit and working very well.
01:12:48.000I think we should see other colleges start to capitulate on other rules they're breaking too.
01:12:53.000Well, I mean, the administration should use everything, every bit of power at its disposal to influence whether or not men are allowed in women's sports, whether men are allowed in women's changing rooms in any school, in any college at all.
01:13:13.000If you're of the opinion that men can become women and women can become men, you shouldn't be in a position to make decisions about children or young people at all.
01:13:25.000Yeah, the LGBT community has been catching a lot of L's recently.
01:13:29.000I know there's also been a couple of Supreme Court decisions that were recently released last week.
01:13:34.000One of them being that they ended up backing up the Tennessee state laws banning transgender surgeries for minors that I know many Democrats were in dismay over.
01:13:42.000There were also a few different things.
01:13:43.000So closing out Pride Month on a high note, so it seems.
01:13:46.000Yeah, they allowed the Montgomery County Maryland parents to opt their kids out of the LGBTQ storybook hour in elementary school.
01:13:55.000The idea that you wouldn't be allowed to opt out is insane.
01:13:59.000Interesting tidbit of the Montgomery School District specifically, the groups that were most vocal about this were religious Muslim people.
01:14:06.000These weren't like religious Christians or whatnot.
01:14:08.000I covered a couple of protests that they had there years ago.
01:14:11.000It was predominantly 75, 80 percent plus Muslim people who were protesting over having the options to opt out from LGBTQ material in their schools.
01:14:43.000A parent shouldn't have any issue saying, I don't want my kids learning that, especially when it comes to things that have to do with sexuality, right?
01:14:49.000Like if a parent decides, I don't want my kids learning about sexuality beyond anatomy, then I don't want my kids.
01:14:56.000That shouldn't, that should be a no-brainer.
01:15:10.000Because Biden tried to rewrite Title IX to include gender identity as a protected category.
01:15:17.000And so these universities, to some extent, I think a lot of it is their ideologically captured, but certainly they were worried that if that rule got codified, that they would lose funding under Title IX if they didn't do it.
01:16:44.000Democrats will get 87 new congressional seats and electoral college votes, and no Republican will win an election ever again.
01:16:50.000I can't imagine what it would be like for the Democrats to actually go back to the Biden policy when it comes to the border.
01:16:59.000Like, how are Americans going to react?
01:17:02.000Obviously, you know, people will vote and they'll vote for whatever their interests are, and they might not be thinking about the border.
01:17:10.000You know, maybe in three years when they're actually in the booth, it doesn't occur to them or they're like, oh, you know, they won't do that or whatever.
01:17:18.000But I do really, I'm very curious as to what the American people will do if it's like, oh, now there's another massive invasion of illegal immigrants.
01:17:28.000I think the Republicans have a deep bench right now, especially compared to the Democrats.
01:17:32.000So whether it be J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis against likely AOC.
01:17:38.000All of this is dependent on the economy.
01:17:42.000Well, you also have Senate and House to consider, which could provide a stopgap if there were a Democratic president.
01:17:47.000And the congressional map is looking better and better for Republicans because courts have struck down a lot of the Democratic gerrymandering.
01:17:53.000Plus, the DNC is currently in massive debt.
01:20:01.000I think they're stuck between a rock and a hard place because if they voted against the bill, then President Trump would definitely send a primary their way, somebody to primary it.
01:20:09.000I think there might end up being a lot of people getting primaried, to be honest with you.
01:20:12.000Yeah, but not explicitly with Trump's endorsement and support.
01:20:35.000If he doesn't defeat Massey after pouring all of this money in and having La Civita and Fabrizio go in to combat him, then you're going to open up the floodgates for other Congress members to think that they can openly buck Trump, too.
01:20:47.000Does a Congressman really want to go through all the, you know, Massey, he'll fight to the freeze?
01:20:58.000The other thing to understand with Trump and endorsements, though, is that he really cares about his win record.
01:21:04.000So if he senses that his primary challenge is not going well, he will pull an endorsement and he'll endorse the person who's running ahead of, I mean, okay, recent example, Arizona, Karen Taylor Robson is running for governor.
01:21:16.000He gets, he gives her the endorsement.
01:21:19.000She's not performing that great compared to Andy Biggs.
01:21:22.000So a month later, he co-endors Andy Biggs just to hedge his bets, right?
01:21:26.000And he was going to, he was going to endorse Thomas Massey's primary challenger in the last election.
01:23:19.000So that picture though, that screenshot is from a hilarious scene where she's talking to one of the dudes on Love Island, and they're talking about how old they are.
01:23:55.000Look, I know people are going to be like, that's so mean.
01:23:57.000Okay, well, young women are getting all this crazy plastic surgery and it is nasty.
01:24:03.000I think it's really unfortunate and sad because she likely has issues with, you know, her body and how she views herself.
01:24:10.000I think this body dysmorphia is what I'm diagnosing her with.
01:24:14.000I don't know, not a doctor, but I think it's actually similar to the issues that so-called transgender people feel with their body dysmorphia and viewing themselves differently in the head and how they outwardly appear.
01:24:24.000So they just get an obnoxious amount of plastic surgery and looking like a crazy.
01:24:28.000She almost looks like a transgender when she gets that crazy amount of like bimbo type looking surgery.
01:24:37.000I have friends who think this is really, really hot.
01:24:40.000There are times, like some of these pictures, she looks all right in that, but that she looks her nose is overcooked, her lips are about to burst, and her chest is fake.
01:24:48.000Uh, that's the heavily filtered version, yeah.
01:24:51.000But the uh, that's a look that people go after.
01:24:53.000I think a lot of it is sure, but I bet, I bet it's not majority.
01:24:56.000I think it's the Instagram face that everyone is trying to get from the plastic surgery because these girls make so much money with like brand deals, and they get so many likes that they think that that is people find attractive.
01:25:08.000I think there is a line you have to ride to because there are a lot of people who do look good and we don't.
01:25:18.000Compared to some of the women out there, frankly, hey man, it's to be fair, guys could be into literally anything.
01:25:23.000Look, to be honest with you, if the option is that or someone that's 150 pounds overweight, I might be like, all right, well, you know, she looks all right.
01:25:32.000It's just so crazy that young women, like teenage adult women, are getting plastic surgery and looking like weird 80-year-old women.
01:27:25.000Yeah, well, the lens, the lens, whatever, if it's actually focal lengths of different lenses distort the faces totally could widen and shorten.
01:27:36.000But no, I think young women, this is a huge issue for young women that we should be attuned to and try to address because we can't have young women being this amount of self-absorbed and self-obsessed with their looks because that'll have downstream consequences.
01:29:59.000I don't know the difference between Botox and filler.
01:30:03.000Botox freezes the muscles, whereas filler replaces fat loss in the face.
01:30:08.000I'm not trying to be sexist, but it looks like almost any woman who's a newscaster on TV nowadays has that some sort of almost all of them.
01:30:20.000I mean, I know a fair amount of women who get regular Botox who you probably wouldn't know unless they told you.
01:30:26.000But I think the danger is that this stuff is very addicting because when you see yourself every day in the mirror, you're not noticing these minor changes because you see yourself every day.
01:30:35.000It's like for people who lose a lot of weight, right?
01:30:37.000Like you probably don't notice until after the first like 40, 50 pounds because you see them every day.
01:30:42.000So they don't look that different on it.
01:30:43.000It's like the paper towel effect, they call it.
01:30:46.000But I think it's the same thing with the plastic surgery.
01:30:49.000So when women see themselves every day and they're really noticing the facial features and they're like, well, I don't really see that much of a difference with this latest Botox I just got.
01:30:57.000I think maybe I need fillers in the cheeks to make the cheekbones look higher and it quickly spirals out of control.
01:31:23.000I think smart women tricked stupid women into doing this so they would look disgusting and men would look.
01:31:28.000I don't want to point out politicians specifically, but Christy Noam, the transformation she's gone through also did seem a little bit different.
01:33:04.000I think the thing that's really sad about the excessive plastic surgery for women, though, especially the facelifts and the nose jobs and things, is that if you have daughters one day, your daughters are going to grow up wondering why they don't look like mommy and why mommy thought that like I wasn't pretty enough without extra stuff.
01:33:23.000Well, I think what guys should do is just whenever they meet a woman who does this, they should go, turn around.
01:35:54.000The transgender surgeries are literally mutilating the body.
01:35:58.000They don't even, they don't produce what they're trying to produce.
01:36:01.000If you want to go ahead, if you're a woman and you want to get like some kind of shape, if you think your jaw is too whatever or your nose is too whatever and you want to go get plastic surgery, fine.
01:36:11.000But transgender surgery is a totally different animal because they're literally turning your genitals into hamburger.
01:36:17.000I think all the viewers, all people are made in the beautiful image of God and you don't need to change it to make yourself feel imperfect.
01:36:24.000You're already perfect the way you are.
01:36:25.000It is common in East Asia for it's called V-line surgery where women get their faces shaved, their bones shaved.
01:41:31.000The people on Ozempic end up, I don't know if it's because of the weight loss or if it does something to their face, but it looks like it does something to their face where it transfers when you're not supplementing enough.
01:41:43.000And I think it's sort of like the COVID vaccines where you have to calculate your risk factors, right?
01:41:51.000Like for some people, it probably does make sense if you are in the obese category or you have diabetes or sleep apnea or other things that you're struggling with.
01:41:59.000But it definitely shouldn't be a catch-all for whoever wants to lose like 20 pounds.
01:42:29.000We just made some politically charged images that it made.
01:42:32.000And we were like, okay, it is uncensored.
01:42:34.000Anyway, Shane H. Wilder says, the Texas law requiring warning labels on food with artificial colors and ingredients goes into effect in 2027.
01:42:41.000Companies are starting to change ingredients ahead of time to avoid the labels.
01:44:24.000Could you imagine having to wake up at like four in the morning or like your day is 1 a.m. till I don't think that's going to be up to him?
01:44:33.000There's a lot of people on social media who pretend to be Americans or imply that they're Americans and aren't at all.
01:44:39.000Well, we talked about this because I posted a joke where I said, ask not what your country can do for you, but what your country can do for Israel.
01:44:47.000And I got thousands of retweets and people who are pro and anti-Israel were laughing, saying, ha, ha, ha.
01:44:53.000But there were a bunch of people that were getting angry and attacking me, calling me a shill for saying it.
01:44:59.000And I think the reason is they're not American.
01:45:01.000There was a guy and it was like an American flag and it was like MAGA.
01:45:18.000But if you were from a foreign country where you don't speak English and you're running it through a filter, you don't see a quote from JFK being satirized.
01:45:25.000You literally see Tim Poole saying, it is important that your country helps Israel.
01:45:29.000And you're like, whoa, and you're all angry, not understanding what the joke was.
01:45:33.000So I think most of these people, that's why I tweeted, Elon should make a filter that removes anyone from outside the U.S. And I only have to look at people from America.
01:45:56.000Yakin India, Republicans need to learn the leftist art of relentless incrementalism, or they will never get anything done in any meaningful way.
01:46:08.000Give me a grain of sand in the heap, and I will take it.
01:46:11.000Methos says, I hope it fails so I can go back to the Senate and they can put the Short Act and Hearing Protection Act back in and fire that bitch parliamentarian.
01:46:20.000She is a product of the deep state that exists to make sure that never happens and the system is rigged against you.
01:47:34.000Regular people who play fantasy sports and who like going to casinos, that's why it's a $172 billion industry, are going to be mad at Trump's Big Beautiful bill.
01:47:44.000They will use this against Trump and they will use it in the midterms probably.
01:47:47.000They're going to be like, they're going to say Republican so-and-so voted to increase taxes on fantasy sports.
01:47:55.000And then you're going to get all these middle-aged working class guys being like, what are you doing, huh?
01:48:08.000But is it struggling with gambling to play a game with your buddies and make wages on sporting?
01:48:12.000Some more than others, but I think the most triggered would be those who have an unhealthy relationship with gambling.
01:48:17.000There are certainly those that exist, and I do think there's too many casinos.
01:48:20.000But again, you're talking about regular run-of-the-mill people who are downloading an app and they're playing fantasy sports with their friends and buddies.
01:48:26.000Now they're going to be going to their bar and saying, fuck Trump.
01:48:31.000They're going to be like, this motherfucker just fucking turned off my fantasy sports.
01:48:35.000Why can't I watch football and do my bets with my buddies now, man?
01:49:38.000We'll see how much of an impact it can have.
01:49:40.000But again, $172 billion industry is going to be pissed off at Republicans in the Trump administration.
01:49:46.000I think the casino and hotel industry should be more concerned about Trump deporting all the illegals where it can get your casinos at a hotel.
01:50:07.000He keeps making remarks about it, though.
01:50:08.000He said something else about the necessity of illegal immigrants here or of immigrants here to do money.
01:50:15.000I think he's trying to walk the line of making as many people satisfied with his messaging as possible because there's been a lot of heat on the immigration front, so he might try to turn it back a little bit.
01:50:24.000But Donald Trump will go ahead and change what he's saying depending on how it's being received.
01:50:29.000So I've had a first-hand account of DHS and their immigration and crackdown efforts.
01:50:34.000And I mean, I thought you were not on others.
01:50:40.000No, it's been very impressive to see what they've been able to achieve, especially in New York.
01:50:44.000DeWinde says, Tim, please read off the definition of gambling instead of just making logical fallacies.
01:50:53.000Again, that means Pokemon is gambling, and they don't enforce against it, which is my point.
01:50:58.000The legal definition where lines are drawn on when something is a wager and is not is ill-defined and not enforced universally or equally.
01:51:06.000So there are going to be a ton of issues with this.
01:51:09.000I imagine the bill will end up with tons of lawsuits because they're going to be arguing the good news is maybe for games like social poker, they'll get an official Supreme Court ruling that doesn't qualify as a game of chance for money because they'll compare it to Pokemon.
01:51:22.000But I'll send it back to the story that I had for you guys a year and a half ago where I was talking to the West Virginia Lottery Commission and I asked them, there's only five places in West Virginia where Texas Holdham, Omaha, these kind of games are allowed.
01:51:47.000So why are they regulated the same while games like Pokemon and Yu-Gi-Oh are not, despite being games of chance for money?
01:51:53.000And they told me, if it's collectible, it is allowed, you are allowed to gamble.
01:51:58.000You're allowed to make wagers and play.
01:52:00.000And then I asked them, does that mean that children playing Pokemon are allowed to gamble so long as the cards they're using are collectible?
01:52:07.000And the lottery commission told me yes.
01:52:10.000So we've been working on a card game called Debate Me, which is literally just Texas Hold'em, but the cards are like a golden Trump card or something.
01:52:18.000And then according to the law, we're legally allowed to play literally any game we want, be it blackjack or otherwise, because the cards are collectible, which is the stupidest effing thing imaginable.
01:52:28.000The laws are not being properly mandated or enforced.
01:54:20.000Magic has a thing in professional play called Mulligan, where you'll draw seven cards, and if your opening hand is bad by chance, they actually calculate your win rate based on a bad draw.
01:54:32.000And if a player takes a mulligan, their chance of winning drops by like 17%.
01:54:42.000Well, actually, they change it all the time.
01:54:44.000So I believe the current rule is you scry.
01:54:45.000You look at the, you look, or actually, I think they change it again.
01:54:48.000You shuffle the hand back in, draw seven, choose one you don't want, and then put on the bottom of your library or something.
01:54:55.000They keep, so since the beginning of Magic, so Magic and Pokemon are largely similar games, somewhat different to an extent based on how they're played, but they're 60 card decks.
01:55:05.000The problem has always been that the randomization element makes it so that there are games that are just purely not skill.
01:55:13.000And then there have been professional games where the player draws seven cards, looks down, face palms, shuffles, never played a single game, draws six, slaps the cards down, shakes his opponent's hand, game over.
01:57:34.000I mean, well, the court, the legal definition of the courts is typically that 50% threshold of whether it's primarily skill or primarily chance.
01:58:38.000And I think the studies show that 80% of hands that win poker hands, like they win the round, are not the strongest hand.
01:58:46.000Exactly, because aggression is rewarded in poker.
01:58:51.000I mean, it does, but a lot of the time it doesn't get to the end where everybody has to show up.
01:58:55.000But for a lot of people, this is the challenge we have in the law.
01:58:58.000People like Bloodbased don't know what the game is.
01:59:01.000And so they're imagining like you go to a table at a casino, give him 50 bucks, he hands you two cards and you go, what does this mean?
01:59:10.000Or like Blackjack, you put money down, then they give you cards, then you decide to hit or whatever.
01:59:15.000But for games like there's a ton of poker games like Raz, Hilo, Omaha, Big O, Texas Hold'em, seven cards stud, five cards stud, five cut, et cetera.
01:59:26.000All of them allow you to get cards typically before you put any money up.
01:59:37.000Ginger McIsaic says, I've seen returns where professional gamblers claimed their travel expenses as a loss on Schedule C. Gambling isn't going anywhere.
01:59:45.000If you're a pro poker player, they're saying you are being regulated as gambling despite it being substantially different of a game and you're entering tournaments.
01:59:54.000And they say that when you fly yourself to Vegas to enter a tournament, that would qualify, that would be filed under a gambling loss.
02:01:01.000Steve Cox says, Jefferson County girls' little league softball team won the West Virginia State Championship Sunday.
02:01:06.000These talented girls will be at the IHOP and Guerrilla Fireworks in Charlestown on Thursday, 9-3, raising money for their national regional championships in Irma, South Carolina.
02:03:03.000This is not New York or D.C. If you could DM me the funding nowadays than it's ever been, like it's safer nowadays than it was like when I was growing up.
02:03:09.000Now, granted, you don't have the ability to project that kind of advertisement so easily you do, but like it's a pretty safe world.
02:03:17.000This is the best seems like it's $50 ad campaign anyone's ever bought ever.
02:03:59.000I'm the White House correspondent and fields reporter here at Timcast.
02:04:02.000You could find me on Twitter and Instagram under Alad Eliyahu.
02:04:05.000Recently, I've been covering a lot of deportations by ICE, Border Patrol, ERO, outside the immigration courts in New York City, which has made for some very dramatic coverage.
02:07:26.000And if we make another word unkosher and it's not up to the bar of the N-word, then we're really diminishing what it means to make the N-word unkosher.
02:08:57.000And it's a racial slur for Asian, people of Asian descent.
02:09:01.000And it says the term originated in the Korean War was used by American soldiers to refer to Korean and Chinese people.
02:09:05.000It's considered derogatory and offensive.
02:09:08.000I am actually not in any way offended by it, but I know that by saying that, they're going to say, it's because you're not really that Asian, Tim.
02:09:56.000So it was the term cheese-eating surrender monkey is a pejorative phrase used to stereotype the French, particularly their perceived tendency to surrender or capitulate easily, often referenced to historical events such as the French surrender to Nazi Germany in World War II.
02:10:09.000The phrase cheese-eating is a reference to the French culinary tradition of cheese consumption.
02:10:39.000Groundskeeper Willie used the phrase to refer to French people.
02:10:42.000The line delivered in Willie's Heavy Scottish Ancient is, bonjour, you cheese-eating surrender monkeys.
02:10:47.000It was written by Ken Keiller, a staffer at Simpsons, and it became widely recognized, and he used especially in political and cultural commentary to stereotype the French as readily surrendering or capitulating.
02:11:00.000I hear you, Quebecers, were causing real problems for the Canadian government and would be the reason if Canada were ever to fall apart, it would be because of the Quebecers.
02:15:27.000Do you know where those jokes come from, where they originate?
02:15:30.000Because after the invasion of Poland by the Nazis and then from the East for the communists, both regimes started executing all their political leaders and academics and industry leaders, leaving only the working class, lower educated people.
02:15:42.000So it's actually, in essence, like a second generation or like a second tier Holocaust joke.
02:15:47.000So people are like, ha, why are Polish people so dumb?
02:15:49.000And it's like, oh, like, you know, they make a joke about Polish people being dumb.
02:15:52.000And it's like, oh, yeah, because the Nazis massacre everybody in concentration camps.