Trump would-be assassin has now been formally charged by the DOJ for an attempted assassination. Plus, a new Quinnipiac poll shows Donald Trump leading in the polls against Kamala Harris, Taylor Swift s new album, and more.
00:00:00.000The Trump would be assassin has now been formally charged by the DOJ for an attempted assassination
00:00:26.000Initially, it was some weird gun charge, but after the news broke that he had some hidden letter offering up a massive bounty on Donald Trump, the DOJ has now issued these formal charges.
00:00:35.000But the story is interesting because just yesterday, Time magazine published a story about the third assassination attempt on Donald Trump.
00:00:43.000An Iranian individual, or I'm sorry, Pakistani who was working the best of Iran, was arrested and his plot was foiled.
00:00:49.000When the DOJ announced the indictment, they just said on politicians or political officials, they didn't mention Trump, but Time Magazine says they've all but confirmed it was Trump.
00:00:59.000Now, I'm wondering what connection this guy had with potentially the first assassination attempt because they arrested him the day before it happened, claimed that they heightened security on Donald Trump, but actually did not.
00:01:40.000People are less likely to vote for her in all but the 65-plus age bracket, I think it was.
00:01:46.000They're all basically like, nah, we don't like that she did that, so it actually soured many individuals from Kamala.
00:01:51.000We'll talk about that, all that data, Trump leading the battleground states, but before we do, my friends, head over It's MyPillow.com and use promo code Tim.
00:02:28.000Of course, you know, MyPillow is made with a patented adjustable fill.
00:02:31.000It adjusts to your exact individual needs regardless of your sleep position, helps keep your neck aligned, and it holds its shape all night long so you get the best sleep of your life.
00:02:40.000Get their six-piece kitchen or bath towel sets for $25, the brand new mattress topper as low as $69.98, their famous MyPillow bed sheets for as low as $25, and so much more.
00:02:49.000Go to MyPillow.com, use promo code Tim to get a huge discount on all MyPillow products, including the standard size MyPillow, only $14.98, the lowest price ever.
00:03:00.000And shout out to Mike Lindell, man, they've run this guy over the coals over and over again, and he's a good dude, so really do appreciate the support.
00:03:08.000Don't forget, also, we got this song coming out.
00:03:25.000It's about the collapse of our cities by the people who are supposed to be running it, we entrusted, who have run them into the ground.
00:03:31.000Become a member at TimCast.com, that members-only show, be coming up tonight where you as members can call in, talk to us, and our guests, ask questions, and being a member by going to TimCast.com and click and join us.
00:03:43.000It's how you help make this show possible.
00:03:45.000So smash that like button, subscribe to this channel, share the show with all of your friends.
00:03:49.000Joining us tonight to talk about this and so much more is Dinesh D'Souza.
00:03:53.000Hey Tim, great to be back on the show and I'm doing a little bit of the movie tour these days.
00:05:20.000Previously, he'd only been charged with possession of a firearm by a convicted felon and possession of a firearm with an obliterated serial number.
00:05:28.000So the indictment, unsealed Tuesday, alleges that Ryan Wesley Routh, is it Routh, Ruth?
00:05:33.000Routh, did intentionally attempt to kill former President of the United States Donald J. Trump, a major presidential candidate, when he was camped out near where Trump was golfing in West Palm Beach, Florida.
00:05:44.000It also added two other charges, possessing a firearm in furtherance of a crime of violence and assaulting a federal officer.
00:06:10.000The indictment comes just one day after Trump issued a statement accusing the DOJ of downplaying the alleged assassination plot against him this month and suggesting state officials in Florida take over the case.
00:08:14.000And we see it not just with the assassination attempts, we see it also, by the way, in the way he has handled these criminal charges.
00:08:21.000Because I think you know, you guys all know, that if any other Republican was facing three criminal charges, they would have fled the field.
00:08:43.000And because Aristotle has the famous doctrine of the mean, you know, the virtue is always in the middle of two extremes, so recklessness on the one hand, timidity or cowardice on the other.
00:08:53.000But there's also There's also a confidence or an arrogance that could be applied this as well.
00:08:59.000I mean, it may not be that you're reckless.
00:09:52.000You'd just be sort of emotionally destroyed.
00:09:54.000So you have to have a massive ego that insulates you and allows you to sort of shut out some of this craziness and forge ahead.
00:10:04.000So I think Trump's egotism is a political asset.
00:10:06.000Do you think that Trump can view different aspects of the government differently?
00:10:13.000Like, one of the things that struck me after the first assassination attempt is that the entire Trump family came out and said, no, there are really good agents that protect us.
00:10:20.000We like them, while simultaneously being open to the idea that there was a failure.
00:10:25.000And in this case, he's saying, you know, the DOJ is not trustworthy.
00:10:29.000I think this is sort of an interesting characteristic, that he is both dependent on the Secret Service day to day.
00:10:35.000It's not like they could just hire a private security team to step in and replace the Secret Service, and at the same time, he doesn't totally trust the federal government right now.
00:10:45.000I mean, the eerie fact which sort of can't be avoided is Trump is dependent for his security on a regime that is trying every other which way to destroy this guy, right?
00:10:58.000I mean, it's the regime that has criminal charges against him.
00:11:01.000They have done the character assassination that in some ways has emboldened the actual would-be assassins.
00:11:07.000So Trump is in a very strange position.
00:11:09.000Now, admittedly, looking back in American history, At least when I was a younger man in my earlier career, no one thought this was an issue.
00:11:17.000I mean, no one thought, for example, that John Kerry would not get proper Secret Service protection because George W. Bush is out to do him in.
00:11:28.000This is a question that has emerged only now and I think reflects our deep distrust of these institutions and the ruthless way in which they have gone after him trying to lock up the leading candidate of the opposition party for life.
00:11:42.000Despite this obviously being widely condemned by most elected officials, political commentators, I think it unfortunately speaks to the political climate that we're in and it's only going to get worse.
00:11:53.000I think Tim was pulling up a poll earlier That said, Democrats, Independents, Republicans across the board are anticipating and concerned about more political violence, copycat attempts, things like this.
00:12:08.000I've said it before, these guys get Secret Service protection.
00:12:11.000Most Senators, no Senators does, maybe the Leader of the House does.
00:12:15.000I think Nancy Pelosi does, like some of the highest ranking members of Congress do, but it's mostly the Vice President.
00:12:20.000There was still somebody who was able to get to Nancy Pelosi's husband, so it's scary how much damage one person who is very motivated can do.
00:12:31.000And Trump just announced that he'll have his October 5th rally in Butler, Pennsylvania.
00:12:36.000I mean, he's returning to the same site, which is fascinating.
00:12:39.000And again, it brings up that question of, like, is this just a level of boldness that no other American has kind of pulled off?
00:12:46.000Is he symbolically saying, like, you cannot intimidate me.
00:12:50.000I'm going to return to this spot where, you know, I was hit by a bullet.
00:12:54.000I think that this is the question with American leadership, especially given that Biden and Kamala Harris are so famously inaccessible to the media and therefore to their constituents.
00:13:03.000I think, you know, you're mentioning Trump defending his egotism.
00:14:05.000You have maybe ten years left to live.
00:14:08.000And somebody asks you, well, you know, are you going to put yourself in a position where you will be flayed on every platform every second of every day?
00:14:19.000You'll face criminal charges to lock you up for the rest of your life.
00:14:22.000You'll face Two, maybe more assassination attempts.
00:14:26.000No normal person would go for that deal.
00:14:28.000You know, it's kind of like the scene in My Cousin Vinny.
00:14:31.000Do I take the $200 or the ass-kicking, you know?
00:14:58.000They'd be on the House floor, on the Senate floor.
00:15:00.000Whereas there's a kind of, to me at least, a creepy silence from Republicans.
00:15:05.000One or two exceptions to that, but by and large, Republicans are acting like it's no big deal.
00:15:10.000Or they're letting the mainstream media dictate it.
00:15:12.000I mean, I think that's so much the difference between Democrats and Republicans right now, which is in part because I think there is a stronger relationship between mainstream media outlets and Democratic politicians, right?
00:15:23.000They have the ear and the ear wants to hear what they have to say, so to speak.
00:15:27.000But, you know, there are Republicans who have pushed, you know, the FBI directors or Different people for answers about what happened in Butler, and I guess now we'll have another one.
00:15:37.000I know Josh Hawley has brought forward a whistleblower, but it's almost like every other Republican knows, well, if I bring it up, the media is not going to pay attention to me, and if I am trying to, you know, get some media attention, this isn't something that I can talk about.
00:15:54.000It's allowing themselves to be siloed, but I could understand if you have limited resources as a congressman and you're trying to, you know, Talk about something that matters to your constituents, you may have to make a choice between the assassination attempt and, you know, agricultural issues.
00:16:06.000Well, let's jump to this story from Time Magazine.
00:16:09.000Iran, Trump, and the third assassination plot.
00:16:12.000Now, we did have a Super Chat the other night that said actually we're at number seven.
00:16:16.000I think it was this morning we're at number seven with a bunch of different instances that happened.
00:16:18.000There were like ricin letters that were sent and no one's really keeping track of the lesser-known ones.
00:16:23.000But this story is pretty crazy because the DOJ put out a statement about the arrest of Asif Raza Merchant.
00:16:28.000And they said that he was arrested for targeting political individuals.
00:16:31.000Time Magazine is now saying that is Donald Trump.
00:16:34.000He was scouting out Donald Trump's rallies, counting what their security was, things of this nature, and was authorized, apparently by Iran, to offer up to $1 million to kill Donald Trump.
00:16:59.000But the big point of the story is, we could be looking at, on the surface, based on the news, there have now been three assassination attempts on Donald Trump.
00:17:09.000One was stopped abruptly before this guy, a foreign actor, could have actually enacted his plan.
00:17:17.000Then you have the next day, someone actually struck Donald Trump with a bullet.
00:17:21.000And now, of course, you have the Ryan Routh story.
00:17:44.000I think one of the important details here is that Iran was planning an assassination attempt against Donald Trump and not Joe Biden.
00:17:51.000And the reason for that is because under Donald Trump is when they killed Qasem Soleimani, leader of the IRGC.
00:17:59.000I think Iran had multiple plots to kill John Bolton and Mike Pompeo and Donald Trump as a result of that killing.
00:18:06.000I'm happy they are unsuccessful, and we should continue taking out the upper echelons of the IRGC as retaliation for doing things like this.
00:18:15.000It's absolutely outrageous, and the shocking fear is that were they to have been successful, this country is going to full-scale war, and that can only mean the absolute worst.
00:18:25.000So I remember reading the reporting when this was first reported on, and it was a little bit absurd because it made it look like this guy wanted to fund an assassination but not do it himself.
00:18:41.000And according to the reporting, he was going around apparently with an Uber driver or a limo, wanting to stop at clubs to recruit an assassin.
00:18:56.000And there are some new developments here.
00:18:58.000I think it's very interesting that the thing that catches my attention from what you just said, is the fact that they suppressed the fact that Trump was the target.
00:19:08.000And that's probably because they thought that if they say it, it's going to help them politically.
00:19:13.000That would be a reason for the DOJ to go, well, it was just some high-ranking officials.
00:19:29.000They knew exactly what he was trying to do.
00:19:31.000Fortunately, the guy he met up with, because he's a moron, you know, no one accuses people of being smart, was an informant who immediately went to the to the feds.
00:19:39.000And they were like, or I wonder if they say he was an informant.
00:19:42.000I wonder if what actually happened was, when he went to the guy and said he wanted to pull this off, the guy panicked and called the FBI and said, hey, I am now a I had read, and I could be wrong, but in the early days, I remember a July reading that this man was known to U.S.
00:19:58.000intelligence before he arrived in the U.S., and that he arrived in the U.S.
00:20:02.000on a visa that was approved by a federal agency.
00:20:06.000Like, if you know someone has malintentions, why did we approve a visa for them to, you know, come stay in the U.S.?
00:20:12.000It seems like a way to prevent this to me, but I don't know.
00:20:17.000The fact that he would then approach an FBI informant or whoever, like that also seems sort of strange.
00:20:24.000I totally believe that there are threats to not just Trump, but all kinds of top officials that we'd never hear about because they're stopped so early in their tracks or because they never escalated anything else.
00:21:13.000What's your stance on foreign war, foreign policy?
00:21:16.000Are you, you know, I don't want to be too, you know, are you for Ukraine, Israel or anything like that, but like in general, how do you feel about foreign intervention?
00:21:25.000I generally, I think I would say I'm by and large with Trump on this, and here's what I mean by that.
00:21:37.000I certainly am very reluctant to commit troops, but so was Reagan.
00:21:41.000So if I think back to my Reagan days, I think Reagan was quite prudent.
00:21:45.000Reagan was also much more transactional than we give him credit for.
00:21:48.000We think of Reagan as ideological because it was the Cold War.
00:21:51.000But remember, Reagan was very tough on the Soviets in the first term, and then he became surprisingly accommodationist with Gorbachev in the second term.
00:22:00.000And that's when the neocons were bashing Reagan.
00:22:02.000They're like, he's an idiot, he's falling for Gorbachev's lie, and he doesn't realize Gorbachev is the same as Andropov and Chernenko and Brezhnev.
00:22:11.000So I think what happened is I got a little suckered into the Bush deal.
00:22:16.000When the Iraq thing first came out, I thought to myself, This is so dumb that the obvious stated rationale can't be the real reason for going into Iraq.
00:22:26.000There must be like another clever reason they're not telling us.
00:22:30.000And I thought it was more like the old Western movies, you know, where the new sheriff goes into the bar, the bad guys are there, but he doesn't really know who they are.
00:22:38.000So he just pistol whips a few guys and he just goes, you know, hey, there's a new sheriff in town.
00:22:43.000That was sort of my way of thinking about the Iraq War when it first happened.
00:22:47.000But now, I think, with some perspective, I think that this was a very bad road to go down.
00:22:54.000So I've revised my way of looking at foreign policy, partly because I think I understand better that war is a racket, no less than, let's say, welfare programs or housing programs.
00:23:06.000Well, here's what I ask, because I imagined that you'd probably be somewhere in the Trump realm, where Trump's like, with limited purpose, we might go in places, but we got Iraq war, etc.
00:23:16.000If Iran definitively was proven, and I don't mean like the federal government came out and said trust us, I mean literally we knew for a fact Iran orchestrated the assassination of Donald Trump, would you then support military reprisal against Iran for that action?
00:23:37.000But we've talked about this quite a bit, and this is what scares me the most about this story, is that I don't want to go to war with Iran.
00:23:43.000I don't want to be involved in foreign conflict.
00:23:45.000I don't like that we're funding the war in Ukraine.
00:23:51.000But if a foreign government, an adversary of our country, were to assassinate one of our leaders, even if it was Joe Biden, you can't—I don't understand morally and logically you survive as a nation if you allow your enemies to literally kill your leaders.
00:24:08.000Okay, so if they successfully assassinate Donald Trump, then we go to war with Iran.
00:24:40.000However, there is a question of murder versus attempted murder.
00:24:45.000And do we escalate to an extreme degree, which is severe international conflict in the Middle East with Iran, a mountainous nation with anti-aircraft capabilities?
00:24:54.000I mean, I don't want to get into war with anybody.
00:25:00.000I can sit here and say, in my heart of hearts, no war.
00:25:03.000We have to avoid it at all costs, no matter what.
00:25:06.000But I don't know how you function diplomatically with other countries, and even hold treaties, if an enemy can kill one of your leaders, or even frontrunners for an election, and then nothing happens.
00:25:54.000And I do believe there has to be some kind of penalty in any circumstance for a murder, for killing.
00:26:00.000But to go to war with Iran is not some minor—it is not Iraq, it is not Afghanistan.
00:26:04.000We can start with our proxies in Iraq, Lebanon, and other countries.
00:26:09.000Dinesh, I wanted to ask you, I feel like on the foreign policy question of our time has become if we should defend Taiwan if China invades.
00:26:16.000I feel like they've been talking about that for most of your lifetime too now, but what do you think about that core question?
00:27:05.000Is it not too different what we're doing now with Ukraine against Russia, what we did with Afghanistan against Russia, the Soviet Union when they invaded them?
00:27:14.000Yeah, I think you can make an analogy because I think that in the Ukraine case now, it is a proxy war, right?
00:27:21.000And the difference, I think, is the level of U.S.
00:27:26.000national interest is not the same in the two cases.
00:27:29.000In the Afghanistan case, you have to look at the background.
00:27:31.000The Soviet Union had gobbled up 10 countries between 1974 with the fall of Vietnam.
00:27:57.000We have a much smaller interest in Ukraine.
00:28:00.000We're deploying relatively enormous resources in a war that's not so important to us.
00:28:05.000But on the other hand, like, for example, I would make a distinction between our interests with Israel on the one side and Ukraine on the other.
00:28:13.000I don't think that those are equivalent.
00:28:15.000Part of the problem with our political debate right now is, you know, Mr. Trump, who do you want to win?
00:28:38.000Well, I think, Dinesh, what you're saying is it's not black and white, right?
00:28:41.000When you go to the negotiation table, nobody's going to be a winner there.
00:28:45.000Ukraine is likely going to have to give up some parts that Russia conquered, and Russia will likely have to Likely give up much less, but neither side would go away happy.
00:28:55.000It won't look like there's a clear winner on either side, especially with all the casualties Russia's taking.
00:28:59.000And that's true of what's going on with Palestine and Israel, right?
00:29:03.000There's no way to negotiate a deal there where everyone walks away being like, wow, this was great.
00:30:03.000Oren Routh's residence in Guilford County, North Carolina on Saturday conducted in connection with an investigation unrelated to child exploitation.
00:30:11.000The two charges he faces include receipt of This material and possession of said material.
00:30:17.000The unrelated investigation referred to his father who remains in custody.
00:30:22.000Attorney's Office for the Middle District of North Carolina confirmed to ABC News investigators said the imagery was found on a Samsung Galaxy Note device located inside his primary bedroom in the residence, as well as another Galaxy Note device in his possession.
00:30:33.000A review of the SD card located in the device revealed that it contained hundreds of these images.
00:30:40.000Prosecutors wrote in the criminal complaint these files include videos from a known series, jeez, created outside the state of North Carolina.
00:30:51.000But the crazy thing about it is, Epstein, now Diddy, the guy who's trying to go after Donald Trump's kid.
00:31:02.000There are a lot of people that believe there's this great conspiracy theory of, you know, child abusers at powerful, you know, levels of government.
00:31:10.000And this just has people saying, what the is going on?
00:31:17.000I think it makes people unhappy because they realize how sensitive all of these issues are.
00:31:24.000What I find kind of, I don't know what the right word is, but this was the son who gave the interview saying, you know, my father was a great, you know, good father and I don't really know why he did this, but of course he hated Trump like all reasonable people would.
00:31:37.000And you want to say this person's yardstick for what's reasonable is becoming more and more warped to me.
00:31:43.000I don't know that I trust his judgment.
00:31:46.000I think that child sexual abuse material is actually really rampant in our country, and I think one of the reasons we're hearing about it more is because people are starting to take it more seriously.
00:31:56.000I was just going to say, for years, you know, when we heard about Pizzagate and so on, it was a little difficult to know if this was just some outrageous allegation being made or whether there really are these powerful pedophile rings in politics in Hollywood.
00:32:13.000I guess I'm beginning to move to the fact that some of this may be real, right?
00:32:25.000So, Usher apparently deleted all of his Twitter account, but then came back and said it was hacked and it got restored, but Pink deleted her Twitter account, and, you know, apparently, like, I don't know if... Serge, you know anything about this?
00:32:35.000You were saying something like people are quitting or I don't know?
00:32:38.000So you're saying before the show that a bunch of music executives are quitting but he took away his own microphone so now we can't have him comment on it.
00:32:47.000I think I'll just say the obvious on this that it's obviously extremely gross but more widespread than we might realize and that's very unsettling.
00:32:55.000It's obviously sickening and unthinkable to polite society, but there exists this like gross underworld
00:33:02.000and I think it goes from the elites to non-elites and I don't think this is unique to just rich
00:33:08.000people or poor people. I think this is a sickness that exists across the board and people need
00:33:13.000to be on the lookout and concerned for and... I think this is what you know Hannah Clare was
00:33:18.000saying is that people are starting to I think people are starting to realize how serious it is.
00:33:22.000And I think when we learn about what Epstein was involved in, and now these Diddy stories, which is, I think the bulk of the story is just he was filming politicians with these weird romps and orgies, and there was trafficking involved, and there were underage girls and stuff.
00:33:35.000These are all allegations, by the way, all the allegations.
00:33:38.000I think there are, the powerful people who are involved in this have a vested interest in making sure the media stays away from it.
00:33:43.000And so if you're a billionaire, if you're Epstein, I think he was worth half a billion, yeah, he's gonna, if he's got blackmail material on somebody, and you've got some connections to major media publications, that story ain't coming out.
00:33:55.000Look at the story that James O'Keefe broke with Amy Rohrbacher, I think her name was, and she's like, we had Epstein, we had the story, and they killed it.
00:34:49.000You see Trump Derangement Syndrome all over the place.
00:34:53.000And then you see a lot of an attempt, if you will, to pull down the moral codes of our society, which is going to open the door to all kinds of taboos falling by the wayside and the Democrats, you know, will cheer it.
00:35:09.000I will say on this issue, one of the ways that it touches into other issues is like free speech and privacy issues with some apps not working with the feds to find perpetrators.
00:35:24.000Yeah, so for example, Telegram recently was embroiled in this stuff because they don't work with the feds at all when it comes to any of these cases, so Telegram has kind of become a hub for Predators as a result of this stuff because if you're doing illegal things telegram will you is known to not work with the feds?
00:35:39.000It'll become your app of choice this you obviously have to weigh with Working with the feds and collaborating with them, and if you make a backdoor to your program for one reason It's a backdoor for any reason per se so It's a security concern well now.
00:35:54.000I think after that whole dude getting arrested in France.
00:35:57.000They removed some of like the The terms of service, it's something about like protections or whatever, the implication, I guess.
00:36:03.000And I haven't looked enough into this, but that if you're on Telegram, there's going to be a backdoor for law enforcement.
00:36:08.000And Telegram has always said like they work with law enforcement to a certain capacity.
00:36:13.000They don't, you know, they have their certain values that they stand by, but they also meet certain EU standards.
00:36:19.000NYPD, they have not worked with NYPD, like, they constantly complain about how they have many cases that Telegram hasn't worked with them with.
00:36:25.000I also think the FBI has come out and said, like, the Telegram hasn't worked with them at all.
00:36:29.000Maybe they, I would be surprised, frankly, if they didn't have the back door that they were able to engineer themselves, but I don't think you could use that legally, therefore, so.
00:36:36.000I mean I think with a lot of this, and I am not sure what language YouTube's okay with, but I think our cultural understanding of pornography has changed so much that it went from like at one point being this like part of the sex positive movement and being like some people do this because it's expression and this that and the other, but as we come up against really horrifying things I think people don't want to talk about, You have that relationship of like there have to be boundaries and there have to be protection, especially in this case, minors who cannot consent to be a part of this.
00:37:12.000And I think the cultural revelation of like, The sexualization of children as it becomes more entrenched in our mainstream conversation you will see more conversations like this which is like this guy has a series of images that was known to police and made outside the state because they are trying to stop something that they are
00:37:36.000It's very different from the conversation about, like, this family seems to have some serious problems, but it also speaks to, like, our cultural issue, which is like, this is something that law enforcement is chasing.
00:37:46.000They're not preemptively preventing right now because they can't.
00:37:50.000I've got some serious concerns about this coming month, so I will be purchasing some water and dry food.
00:38:42.000I don't think these Venezuelan gangs get it.
00:38:46.000I mean, maybe if we're talking about, like, I don't know, you know, Colombian revolutionary or, like, counterinsurgency, whatever, like, actual combat, war, and, like, the cartels, MS-13, great above.
00:39:01.000But this Trinidad and Tobago stuff, I think these guys are wholly unprepared for what they're getting themselves into in Chirac.
00:39:07.000Like, these Chicago gangbangers are gonna...
00:39:09.000You see that video out of Aurora where the Venezuelans knock on the door and then they're like banging on the door?
00:39:16.000Yeah, if that was Chicago, bullets would come through the other side.
00:39:44.000When I was in Venezuela, The way it was explained to me is that the most common crime you're going to experience is called an express kidnapping.
00:40:22.000I believe there's more murders in Caracas than anywhere in any other city in the world, but not per capita Honduras, I believe, or maybe Belize, but I think one of the two has that more per capita.
00:40:31.000The thing about Chicago is I can't perhaps speak to the greater of Venezuela.
00:40:37.000When I was there, I didn't experience this kind of stuff, but there's cultural violence where, with the gangs, there's a combination of finance, honor, territory, things like this.
00:40:47.000So what these gangbangers in Chicago are saying is that these Venezuelan gangs don't understand the rules.
00:40:52.000They're coming in and they're on their turf.
00:41:25.000But it would be funny if it unites the Chicago gangs, and then the Chicago gangs end up pushing out the Venezuelan gangs and it cleans up crime.
00:41:50.000It's basically like, you get one gangbanger, and it's like one day he sees Venezuelan gangs like robbing a liquor store, and then, you know, he walks in and he sees a bunch of other gang members are all beat up, so he has to now go and recruit all the leaders of all the other gangs to form one super gang to go up against the international cartel or whatever.
00:43:10.000You know, political escalation where people are targeting each other for politics with this kind of stuff is substantially worse than just standard urban crime.
00:43:17.000Well, and also just to raise the question, and I'll raise it in a broader context, not about the Tempe, not about this incident, and that is, should we feel sorry?
00:43:27.000for Democrats in cities who vote for policies that produce carjackings, crime, burglaries, muggings, and then become the victims of those exact policies that they advocate not only prior to these things happening, but they continue to advocate it even after they happen.
00:43:46.000I've got a very simple answer for this, and we need to stop looking at this From our perspective, we need to think outside the box because, you know, you and I, Dinesh, we clearly don't want to be victimized.
00:43:57.000We don't want muggers to come after us and take our wallets.
00:44:02.000And so the problem I was experiencing for a while is that I could not fathom.
00:44:06.000I assumed they must feel the same way as me, that if I don't want to be mugged, they must be making a mistake and then getting upset when they get mugged.
00:44:14.000And then I realized No, they actually are okay with it.
00:44:17.000In which case, I would liken it more to someone saying, I'd like to vote for ice cream, and then someone handing them an ice cream cone.
00:44:25.000So that's the better way to look at it.
00:44:27.000So when Democrats say, we vote to release criminals from our prisons, be light on crime, which does increase crime, I say, well, that's really good for you.
00:44:35.000I'm really happy that you got what you wanted.
00:44:37.000I'm a little bit more empathetic and sympathetic.
00:44:41.000I think if you're a freedom-loving American, and even if you voted for Democrat policies, if you're getting mugged or something, or if you get killed downstream from a policy that is tangentially related— You did not listen to a word I said, did you?
00:45:30.000and there's more criminals out on the street as a result of it.
00:45:32.000You put the whole ensemble of things on the ballot and let's just say that 90% of San Franciscans go,
00:45:37.000no, we don't want that, we want to take the money away from the cops, we want bail reform,
00:45:42.000and then you see a spike in the crime rate and you see that more San Franciscans are getting
00:45:47.000victimized by crime. How are you and I to feel morally as well as politically about that?
00:45:53.000I disagree with their position that we should decrease funding to police, but I don't think they're directly, by doing that, they're not, I don't think, directly voting for crimes to happen.
00:46:03.000And I think this is sort of partisanship.
00:46:05.000They decriminalized, they said if it's up to $950 you can't be prosecuted for it anymore.
00:46:10.000And people were loading up garbage bags from stores.
00:46:15.000Or it could be that their votes are even more malicious, which is to say they don't mind the crimes happening as long as it doesn't happen to them.
00:46:23.000So they feel like, I'm in a high-rise building, it's not gonna happen to me, but there may be some poorer neighborhoods what happens, I don't care about those people.
00:46:29.000So then when it happens to you, I feel almost particularly delighted because I feel like you voted for it, you lobbied for it, and finally it's caught up with you.
00:46:38.000I think the question would be, like, if it was a new policy, no one had ever heard of this before, and you were a Democrat, I'm like, I think that could make a difference, and you voted for it, and then you were a victim of crime.
00:46:46.000I might be like, yeah, that's sad, that's bad.
00:46:48.000But the fact that it's happened over and over again, that other cities try the same things and get the same results, it becomes a level of, like, are we going to excuse the fact that they are now acting illogically?
00:47:11.000The only response logically is, outside of my emotions, congratulations on getting what you asked for.
00:47:15.000I don't like dunking on my fellow Americans when bad things are happening to them.
00:47:20.000I think sort of the Democrat equivalent to this would be, like, if an old person who said they were against vaccines and would never get the COVID vaccine ended up contracting COVID and died.
00:47:29.000And now you see on MSNBC or viral tweets going, oh, look, this moron didn't take the vaccine that could have saved him.
00:47:41.000When this happened and people on the right refused to get vaccinated and died, they didn't all of a sudden go, I wish I actually did this thing.
00:48:09.000Yeah, I don't think the goal of bail reform in their mind— Okay, now understand, the Democrats are saying the identical thing about vaccines, saying these stupid Republicans didn't understand the vaccines would save them, and now they died because of it, but Republicans never change their position.
00:48:29.000The changing position part is for political people and for you to decide how you want to change your mind, but on the face of it, I don't think we should be making fun of people for having bad things happen— I'm saying congratulations.
00:48:41.000MSNBC would make fun of people who could have gotten vaccines and helped save themselves and now we're making fun of people who have crimes committed against them when they vote for things like defunding the police and bail reform.
00:49:17.000I think that's more direct, though, than wanting something like bail reform and then having a violent crime happen to you.
00:49:24.000If you go and ask one of these leftists, you were the victim of a violent crime by an individual who should have been in jail, how do you feel?
00:49:55.000That the right says, there should be no mandates, I don't want to do this.
00:49:58.000Then, you know, Herman Cain or somebody dies, and then they all start mocking him, saying, haha, but not a single Republican goes, we hereby change our position and regret the choices we made.
00:50:09.000I think it's generally politically toxic to say, like, when violent crime happens to somebody in somewhere where... I mean, that's how we were starting the premise out.
00:50:18.000The premise was that I say congratulations to them.
00:50:42.000I mean, let's say we were to say that the people in San Francisco who essentially chased out all these productive high-tech businesses are now facing empty office buildings and they're now facing, let's say, property values are starting to slump in San Francisco.
00:50:59.000I say, again, there's no other way to think of it, but didn't you vote for that?
00:51:03.000Didn't you vote for the policies that made that happen?
00:51:05.000I agree with that, but I think that's different than, like, you're voting for somebody to— because defunding the police is different from directly voting for somebody to, like, have a violent crime committed against you.
00:51:15.000If you're raising taxes in an area, then yeah, you should be— expect the consequences to that.
00:51:19.000If you go to a progressive in San Francisco and say, Do you—ask them, do you support bail reform?
00:51:41.000This is what we see time and time again.
00:51:42.000That was the beginning of what Nesh's point was.
00:51:46.000They advocate for a policy, face negative consequences from it, and continue to advocate for it.
00:51:51.000Because I think the policy is wrong, I still feel bad for them.
00:51:56.000But I think you have to bring out your hidden premise, and your hidden premise is that they do not think that bail reform and defunding the police will in fact lead to more crime.
00:52:07.000You must think secretly they can't believe that because you find it hard to believe that they would be okay with escalating crime rates because of course escalating crime rates are bound to visit them at some point.
00:52:18.000I guess it depends on the leftist you talk to.
00:52:20.000I feel like some would justify it and some wouldn't.
00:52:24.000I would say that if you go to the average default liberal, they're going to be clueless on every single issue.
00:52:29.000You're going to go to the average conservative and they're going to be clueless on most issues as well.
00:52:33.000If you go to politically active individuals on the left, AOC, you ask her about it, they will not retract the support for bail reform despite the crime.
00:52:42.000Well, they'd add on a bunch of things like, we need bail reform because our jail system is historically racist, and NYPD is historically racist.
00:52:51.000My point is, other people think differently and feel differently than you do, Elad.
00:52:57.000So when you say, I feel bad for them, it's like saying, did you see Hawk Tua girl?
00:53:15.000But someone would look at that and say, I would be miserable if my whole persona and character was based on saying you spit on a dude, you know, like that.
00:53:26.000And they feel like, ooh, man, and for all you know, she's happier than a pig in ish, rolling around with millions of dollars, being a life is so good.
00:53:32.000Why feel bad for people who are happy with the results they got?
00:53:35.000I can understand though, like being like, I have my own moral code, right?
00:53:39.000Like if you're saying like, look, they may...
00:54:12.000I'm so empathetic to people who are forced to eat cilantro.
00:54:15.000I mean, because if people really had the choice, they would never vote to put cilantro in their guacamole.
00:54:19.000It's just that the restaurants forced them to do it.
00:54:21.000And so me, as the benevolent leader who understands exactly what people think and feel, and I know exactly what they want, I will make it so that they have to live my way and they will never have cilantro again.
00:54:32.000I don't like it, but I understand people do like it.
00:54:36.000The idea that you are saying it's such a shame that these people are experiencing these things that they are completely okay with, they support and advocate for, even after experiencing it.
00:54:45.000Look at the guy who went up at the podium whose son was murdered and he said he wished his son was killed by a white man.
00:54:50.000You're empathizing with someone who is begging for this stuff, right?
00:54:54.000So we can certainly say, I believe their morals are backwards, but the idea that you can be like, wow, I feel so bad for them.
00:55:03.000Although he supports immigration that might have led to more people without licenses in his community, that led to the car accident... There's a distinction here, though.
00:55:10.000I feel bad for an old man who falls down the stairs.
00:55:13.000I feel differently about an old man who runs full speed and then jumps and then flops down the stairs.
00:55:18.000It's a different kind of feeling, right?
00:55:20.000I'm upset that he got hurt, but I also think that guy should be in a mental institution because he's a danger to himself.
00:55:26.000But wait, we don't need to do abstractions.
00:55:27.000to me saying, hey, you know, I bought cookies for her and he slips and falls. I'm going to be
00:55:31.000mortified and terrified and rush to try and help. If he ran full speed and was like, this is going
00:55:35.000to be fun and then just bally flopped off the stairs. But wait, we don't need to do abstractions.
00:55:40.000This man who said, I wish my son was killed by a white man instead of a migrant. Do you feel bad
00:55:45.000for that man? So there's a distinction between feeling bad for someone whose son was killed and
00:55:49.000a person who's advocating for a white man to have murdered his son.
00:55:51.000The bad I feel for him is not empathy.
00:55:56.000But this man, I believe, is a bad person.
00:55:59.000I do not empathize with someone who would say something so disgusting.
00:56:02.000You have to separate the two things, because what's going on is, number one, there is the fact that this man has suffered, right?
00:56:10.000And that part of it you do feel sorry for.
00:56:13.000But he's exploiting that suffering to do something quite pernicious, which is ultimately saying, I want to now beg the blame for this on a white guy.
00:56:22.000So that's the sick and demented part of it.
00:56:24.000And I think by separating those two, you're not being morally inconsistent at all.
00:56:34.000So when the cartoon for Batman came out, they won an Emmy for the story because it was one of the first times a comic book villain had a real motivation.
00:56:41.000His wife was dying, he freezes her body to try and buy time so he can find a cure, and he turns to crime to get the resources he needs to save the life of his wife.
00:56:50.000And so you're like, wow, I feel so bad for him.
00:56:58.000I don't know if you remember this story, but she was a University of Iowa student who was murdered by an illegal immigrant while she was out for a jog.
00:57:05.000And her body was found in a cornfield.
00:57:21.000Did it have empathy for his argument that we shouldn't talk about illegal immigration because that would actually be racist and, you know, politicize his daughter's death?
00:57:30.000Like, his daughter's death was, you know, and the man has been convicted, so I feel comfortable.
00:57:35.000Like, she was definitely murdered by an illegal immigrant.
00:57:38.000Illegal immigration was a direct influence on her death.
00:57:42.000And so, you know, To what Dinesh was saying, I feel sad about the loss of life.
00:57:47.000I can't imagine being that parent, but I have no sympathy for his trying to steer this away from the truth, which is that illegal immigration causes harm in this country and especially to his family.
00:57:59.000One last point on this and we can move on is if a guy was robbing a bank and then on his way out, A cop shot him, and he was lying on the ground.
00:58:09.000Do you feel bad for that burglar, that robber?
00:58:11.000No, but I don't think the metaphor works, because I don't think the Democrats are metaphorically robbing the bank.
00:58:16.000You don't think releasing criminals onto the street who continually victimize people is a bad thing?
00:58:21.000I think that's a really bad policy, but I think most of the time, most of the people in most Democrat cities don't even vote, and I think it's kind of still messed up to kind of throw it in their faces.
00:58:30.000There's a spectrum between an innocent person who in no way is responsible for the harm that comes to them, And the individual who advocates for it suffers the consequences of his own actions, of a negative choice, and then continues to advocate for it.
00:58:43.000So it would be like a criminal commits a crime, gets punched in the face while committing the crime, gets angry, goes to the hospital, then goes back out and starts robbing people again.
00:58:53.000Democrats in these cities are voting for things that are destructive, suffer the consequence of the destruction, and then continue the path of destruction.
00:59:10.000People who choose to live this way, I say, oh, okay, you know, congratulations for getting what you want.
00:59:14.000I'm not going to sit here and tell you how to live your life.
00:59:16.000I mean, I think we're trying to make a broader point here about the cities, and that is that for decades we have assumed that as the cities devolve and become more and more unlivable, There is bound to be a political revolt in which the people who live in those cities are going to say, I don't want to live like this.
00:59:41.000And we've been struck by the fact that that point never appears to be reached.
00:59:44.000And then it forces you to go, wait a minute.
00:59:47.000Maybe I'm only thinking that this is the way I would feel if I lived in Philadelphia under these conditions, but maybe the people who are actually in those conditions have different motives, different interests.
00:59:59.000We're not saying that they enjoy being mugged, but what we're saying is they may have Other things to gain.
01:00:05.000So, for example, they realize the city creates a structure of dependency.
01:00:10.000I don't mind the crime as long as I get a monthly paycheck.
01:00:15.000But then the crime comes and haunts you.
01:00:17.000Now, you're not happy it did, but you made a dirty bargain in which you said, I'd rather take that paycheck, and I'm willing to live with higher crime rates.
01:00:25.000And I'm saying, that's a bargain, buddy, that you made.
01:00:28.000Not that I don't feel bad for you, but I do recognize you are getting what you voted for.
01:00:37.000Trump edges ahead of Harris in new national Quinnipiac poll.
01:00:41.000There was this headline a while ago and it said something like, Harris edges Trump in, you know, latest political, you know, poll or whatever.
01:00:49.000And everyone was like, please never write that again.
01:01:48.000When you put the battleground states here, this is the national average, 2.1, and then Trump in the battlegrounds, Trump is up .2 in aggregate in the battleground states.
01:01:58.000If we are to assume that the same bias exists like it did in 2016 and 2020, then Trump is up in every battleground state by about 3 or 4 points.
01:02:08.000Because the battleground bias in 16 and 17 was 4 to 7 points, depending on the polls.
01:02:13.000In the national average, it was 3 to 5.
01:02:20.000Quinnipiac, when listed by RCP, they put Tai.
01:02:22.000They don't even give him the plus one.
01:02:24.000Jill Stein is absolutely running, and so is Chase Oliver.
01:02:26.000That is, Trump is up one in this poll, not even giving it to him.
01:02:30.000And the Democrats have made a serious effort in certain states to keep Jill Stein off the ballot, which I find fascinating.
01:02:36.000I think, you know, and you'd have to go through each poll to be to be careful, but maybe if it's just a direct matchup between her and Trump, she has an edge within the margin of error in some places.
01:02:47.000But I think that's pretty inaccurate considering how many places have third party candidates.
01:02:54.000I think that one of the reasons why Trump won't do this next debate and why Kamala is begging for it is because they know her internals are bad.
01:03:03.000We went over that commercial the other day where Sam Elliott was like, what are you waiting for?
01:03:13.000I think that's a huge issue for many people in America.
01:03:16.000I think she hasn't even won over all of the Democrats that she needs, let alone independents or, you know, they keep trying to, like, make it okay for Republicans to vote for her.
01:03:26.000I don't know if you guys saw the story, but there were climate activists who were protesting outside her home in Brentwood in California.
01:03:36.000In response, she put up a tweet that was something like, we will make the environment better and full of priorities and joy and hope and opportunity.
01:03:46.000And it irritated the activists because they have specifically been asking her to be Direct and specific in what her promises are.
01:03:55.000They want concrete goals and measurable values that she plans to carry out, and she won't give it to them.
01:04:03.000And it's the same thing with the voters that Biden faced during the primary who were saying, our number one issue is Israel-Palestine, if you do not secure or promise a ceasefire or whatever it was, we are not coming to the polls.
01:04:15.000I think the idea that they are now so far ahead, all the Democrats are on lock, that they need to convert Mormons in Arizona, it's a fantasy.
01:04:26.000I mean, this race, interestingly, is not even between Trump and Harris, if you really think about it.
01:04:33.000This is a race between Trump And the unelected junta that is running the country.
01:05:14.000He's the face of the canoe, but he's not steering the canoe.
01:05:17.000And we reserve the right to move him out at any time, and he has to go kind of willingly.
01:05:23.000And interestingly, if you think that that was just like a one-time deal for Biden because Biden was in a unique position, he has dementia and so on, it turns out that they made exactly the same deal with Kamala Harris.
01:06:13.000For a political party that talks so much about democracy, it is really ironic that they pull the rug from under Joe Biden in the primary just to appoint somebody who won, again, no primary votes.
01:06:26.000They say, regardless of how you—keep in mind, keep in mind, this whole time I'm reading these things—that Trump is ahead of Harris by one point.
01:06:34.000Chase Oliver and Jill Stein are absolutely in this race, and when you factor in the full race, Trump is ahead by one point nationally.
01:07:42.000So when you can see the people like, oh, Kamala's way more ethical and more honest, but Trump's better on the economy and immigration, so I'm voting for him.
01:07:50.000And I think Kamala's favorability is actually better than Trump's in this.
01:07:53.000People are outright like, I don't like Trump.
01:07:55.000He's not a nice guy, but he's going to make me some money.
01:07:58.000I think it's the myth of would you have a beer with them, right?
01:08:01.000I mean I think people would want to have a beer with Donald Trump just to ask him lots of questions, but the reality is I think we're past the point of feeling like our politician has to come to our Christmas party or to our summer barbecue.
01:08:14.000I think people feel desperate enough where they're like, I don't know that I would personally be friends with this person, but if they are effective on the world stage and if they can handle domestic issues, especially as things become more acute, then that's who I want there.
01:09:04.000I think people don't want celebrities in politics.
01:09:07.000I think they want – there is a political fatigue and they want entertainment to be entertaining and to have a break because it's been essentially a decade of intensifying divisive politics.
01:09:17.000But also, sorry, just – No, go ahead.
01:09:19.000Elon Musk's endorsement had a similar backfire on Trump.
01:09:22.00013% are more enthusiastic, but 21% are less enthusiastic because he endorsed Donald Trump.
01:09:55.000It makes sense why some people would say like, oh, that's who you want.
01:09:57.000yeah I'm just gonna be a contrarian and do the opposite.
01:09:59.000Do you think AYF has to do with the influencer economy?
01:10:02.000Like, now basically anyone can be micro-famous, but I don't care, you know, what the girl who started a pretty successful blog that I went to college with, she's a nice lady, I don't really care how she's voting.
01:10:12.000Like, I think it dulls the shine of celebrity endorsements because everyone kind of has a platform.
01:10:17.000Isn't it beneath you as a celebrity to even care about this?
01:10:20.000Don't get involved in our petty politics.
01:10:22.000I wish it was trendy to stay out of politics.
01:10:25.00073% of people say they're at least somewhat or very concerned that there will be political violence following the outcome of the 2024 election.
01:10:36.000I mean, considering what we've seen the past five years, ever since really the George Floyd riots.
01:10:44.000I think we've been seeing some parallels with some protests we've seen coming up that hasn't reached the same level of violence, but then obviously the two assassination attempts, January 6th.
01:10:53.000I think people have a reason to be concerned about political violence moving forward.
01:10:58.000Democrats, 90% of Democrats are concerned that there will be violence, much less, it's 59% of Republicans.
01:11:05.000The Democrats, they know their neighbors.
01:11:07.000They've been hyped up aggressively about the January 6th stuff.
01:11:10.000CNN, MSNBC is constantly drilling them with January 6th stuff, fear-mongering.
01:11:16.000So, I think that's why the Democrats are so high.
01:11:20.000Well, I think the added factor is that Democrats get information only from other Democrats.
01:11:50.000If you were in a private closed room, Chatham House Rules, Rachel Maddow would absolutely correctly nail down Tucker Carlson's worldview and opinions.
01:12:00.000And then once the camera turns on, she'd say he's a neo-Nazi white supremacist.
01:13:30.000They have very different ways of thinking.
01:13:32.000And I find that to be the most concerning part.
01:13:35.000It's very difficult to form a cohesive society if you continue to drift farther and farther apart where even the common language, even the common way of interpreting news and information is just wildly different.
01:13:57.000IPCC data shows human activity not causing global temperature rises.
01:14:01.000Scientists quote, these findings call for a fundamental reconsideration of the current man-made climate change narrative.
01:14:07.000They say, the data in a report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change suggests that Earth's warming trend over the past two decades may not be attributable to human-related activity.
01:14:17.000Experts analyzing the report point to changes in the planet's albedo, the fraction of the sun's energy reflected by the Earth, as the factor driving the rise in global temperatures.
01:14:27.000Albedo fluctuations have caused Earth to reflect less solar energy and absorb more, leading to the warming trend frequently cited by activists, advocates, and policymakers focused on addressing climate change.
01:14:36.000In a recent interview with SCNR, Ned Nikolaev, Ph.D., a scientist specializing in climate, cosmology, and astrophysics, expressed concerns about the integrity of the IPCC reports, accusing the panel of manipulating the data.
01:14:47.000Now, I'm going to pause here and just say this, right?
01:14:50.000I guarantee you you're going to get pushback.
01:14:52.000The corporate press is going to say, no, this is not correct.
01:14:54.000These scientists are not experts, even though they're Ph.D.
01:15:18.000Everyone knows that Chevron is one of the world's biggest climate criminals.
01:15:22.000But the oil giant is also fueling Israel's genocide in Palestine.
01:15:27.000As Israel bombs hospitals, homes and schools in Gaza, Chevron supplies them with energy from two Israeli-claimed gas fields in the Mediterranean, making millions in the process.
01:15:39.000Ending Israel's genocide in Gaza and Israeli apartheid is a climate justice issue.
01:15:45.000Israel is destroying Palestinian lives, but also destroying Palestinian lands and resources through its warfare and industries that pollute and destroy the environment.
01:16:46.000Because the whole thing always just following activist trends without rhyme or reason.
01:16:51.000I think she speaks to a larger trend among the activist community, ready to move on to the next issue, the next most important issue ever, on to the next most important issue ever.
01:17:04.000And you'll see this continuing cascade, and then trying to meld issues together.
01:17:16.000When the people are all rallied around saying climate change, and she sits outside and refuses to go to school, they prop her up and put her on TV.
01:17:23.000But now nobody wants to put her on TV anymore.
01:18:16.000People who follow the climate change hoax like this, who are just trying to follow the trends?
01:18:20.000You're seeing the mesh of BLM into this movement as well?
01:18:24.000I think what's quite clear, if you just take a little bit of perspective, is that you have a group of people who are deeply restless in terms of their soul.
01:18:36.000And these are people who are always looking for a moral cause that never involves personal responsibility.
01:18:45.000It always involves something that other people need to do.
01:19:40.000And so they're just tying it in this sort of loose way to something else because they want to transition into what I think is the money source, right?
01:19:48.000Like if this person, she started doing climate activism when she was like 16.
01:19:53.000If this is her main source of supporting herself, she needs to continue to chase wherever people are sending their donations or paying her to give speeches or whatever.
01:20:03.000Like, wherever the money is, that's where they go.
01:20:05.000So in this case, it's like, how can we tie this thing that I was known for to this cause that's more trendy right now?
01:20:12.000In the first few decades of the 20th century, you would have these leftists who would try to find a communist utopia abroad.
01:20:20.000And in the 1920s and 30s, it was Stalin, believe it or not.
01:21:30.000And then what's happening here is that the professional activists who are making a living off of that particular placard become kind of annoyed when a new placard shows up.
01:21:40.000So then they have to hitch their placard to the new placard.
01:21:43.000And that's really what's going on with Greta Thunberg here.
01:21:46.000She has to now climb on the new bandwagon.
01:21:48.000There's no environmental object behind her as far as I can see.
01:21:55.000I mean, the fact that Saudi Arabia Had the petrodollar deal with the United States for 50 years, and is a massive oil-producing nation, and she's like, I don't know.
01:22:53.000I think she might be trying to appropriate some of the Palestinian cause to try to reinvigorate some energy into the climate change movement.
01:23:01.000She wants to bring more Islamists into the climate change movement.
01:23:15.000Just so as far, you know, and I think that's part of it, like the camaraderie, the idea of her trying to, you know, it's funny because the BDS people, they don't boycott Chevron.
01:23:25.000There's a long list of countries and different companies that try to boycott Israel and nonprofits that get people to try to boycott Israel.
01:24:46.000I mean, isn't it interesting that not so long ago the primary cause of the left was eradicating global poverty, and now we have the possibility of having abundant natural gas, abundant fuel, low-cost energy, and the good that this could potentially do for the world is enormous.
01:25:05.000And how ironic that these same people have now mobilized against it.
01:25:08.000The one thing that has the chance to make life easier for Hundreds of millions of people on three continents who have very difficult lives right now.
01:25:46.000He certainly did live better in a lot of ways.
01:25:48.000Servants, you know, a train on his command and beck and call, and was very wealthy and commanded respect.
01:25:53.000But technology has advanced to the point where at least many of these things, which were only for the upper echelon of society, are now attainable by the poorest of society.
01:26:02.000Air conditioning, clean running water, hot showers.
01:26:05.000Those were unheard of a couple hundred years ago.
01:26:19.000In a hundred years, poverty is going to be like you live in a floating castle with servants and filet mignon 3D printed, you know, manifested or whatever, and then you're going to be like, it's not fair, I wish I could go to outer space and travel to Jupiter.
01:26:32.000The thing is, too, cheap oil and cheap energy disproportionately benefits the poorest in our society because it hits the bottom.
01:26:40.000Everybody has to pay the same or use the same amount of it generally.
01:26:44.000And who feels the pain when the gas goes up a couple of dollars and its downstream effects on the economy?
01:26:50.000When you see a gas tax, it's the people who are at the bottom of the ring.
01:26:54.000I was looking at one of those data charts that divides America.
01:26:59.000Typically, they do this into five quintiles.
01:27:01.000You know, there's the upper quintile, and then there's the next, and all the way down to the bottom quintile.
01:27:07.000And I was thinking to myself, where do I fit in this kind of class distribution of America?
01:27:13.000And I realized that through my life, just over the last 25 years, I've actually been in all five quintiles.
01:27:51.000Do you think that environmentalism as a conversation will ultimately drift farther down the political ladder?
01:28:00.000I mean, Kamala Harris came out as the, I am the, I'm the savior of abortion in America candidate, whereas the environment was sort of a big push in Joe Biden's 2020 campaign.
01:28:12.000He did position himself as someone who was going to take environmentalism seriously.
01:28:16.000In fact, I was just reading a report that You know, there are a lot of environmental advocates who think he hasn't done enough and he's done kind of a bad job.
01:28:24.000Well, I think that the reason – this is why I think the environmental movement has failed.
01:28:28.000Because if it really succeeded, it would have persuaded at least its own side, right?
01:28:34.000In other words, let's just say, for example, the environmentalists tell us that the oceans are rising and that coastal property as a result is going to be endangered.
01:28:45.000As far as I can see, no one takes this seriously.
01:29:06.000I can't buy in AgZ because the ocean is going to take my property.
01:29:11.000So you would begin to see property values falter.
01:29:14.000And the fact that we have seen no effect whatsoever tells me that everybody recognizes that the whole thing is nonsense.
01:29:22.000And so they spout political rhetoric maybe on the one side, but their actions and their portfolios and the way they allocate money shows they don't believe it.
01:29:34.000I wonder if that's enough for the American people though, right?
01:29:38.000Like there were a lot of Americans who felt like, like at one point when you would look at reasons people were deterring having children, climate anxiety was one of the number ones, that the world's going to fall apart and you couldn't add to the, you know, fossil fuel consumption or whatever it was.
01:29:53.000It seems more so we're seeing people are just saying it's overall, the price of having children is very expensive.
01:29:59.000In many cases, like economic policies, people are in a position to verify for themselves, right?
01:30:04.000For example, you can tell if the economy is going well because of how it's affecting you.
01:30:09.000But if somebody were to tell you something like, an asteroid is going to hit the earth next year, you're in no position to know.
01:30:15.000You're bound to feel anxiety because someone's saying it, they appear to be credible, they appear to have degrees, and so you're going to worry about it.
01:30:23.000But if a year goes by and two years goes by and ten years goes by and there's no sign of the asteroid, after a while you're going to go, wait a minute, I'm not too worried about that asteroid anymore.
01:30:33.000I think that's what's really happening is that initially people thought, you know, that serious people are doing calculations and something troubling is going on with the entire globe.
01:30:46.000And now they've begun to realize that, you know what, there's a lot of variation in temperature.
01:30:58.000I just kind of don't believe you anymore, man.
01:31:00.000I think something similar is happening with Trump.
01:31:02.000I mean, I think that he is really a known quantity after basically a decade of running for public office.
01:31:08.000At one point, there was a big panic and fear like he's going to ruin everyone's lives forever.
01:31:14.000After his economy was pretty good and Biden's was pretty bad, I think people are similarly not looking out for this asteroid in the same way.
01:31:31.000So when he says things like, I'll be dictator for a day, and you pretend to take that seriously, he's really going to be dictator for a whole day!
01:31:38.000But he actually, Hannity asked him, will you be a dictator?
01:31:41.000It was only on day one to secure the border and drill for oil.
01:31:44.000And they were like, he's going to murder people.
01:32:05.000I never want to hear about her ever again.
01:32:07.000I looked her up to see, like, what is she up to these days?
01:32:10.000Because again, she made her- I remember my- I had a teacher in high school who was like, I heard her speak at the UN, it was really impactful.
01:32:16.000And, you know, you were saying before the show, like, it's just not cute anymore.
01:32:21.000And I was trying to see, like, is she in college?
01:32:24.000And all I can find are these, like, honorary doctorates that have been conferred to her by all of these universities.
01:32:29.000I mean- I mean, she's such a weird creature.
01:32:32.000I think what it is is that they're almost daring us to make fun of her, knowing that the moment we do, they will immediately turn on us and accuse us of being horribly insensitive and so on.
01:34:05.000They're increasing their coal productions.
01:34:06.000But a lot of the biggest climate change critics, or not critics, biggest proponents of climate change will not blame China and say they're a role model in the fight.
01:34:18.000Like, Trump was like, NAFTA's a terrible deal.
01:34:20.000And one of the problems is there are all kinds of environmental, like, carbon emission reduction requirements that Mexico just did not meet.
01:34:27.000And it was sort of like, you guys should do that.
01:34:30.000And they'd be like, we're probably not going to.
01:34:31.000And then America would still continue to be like, we'll ban plastic straws and whatever else.
01:34:35.000Like, there are countries that are actually They're producing more in terms of emissions and we just can't do anything to stop them and we all know it.
01:34:46.000It's hard to blame them too because they're not doing this because they're like, oh screw the planet and we want to contribute to pollution.
01:34:52.000They're doing this because cheap energy is good for their people and it helps with the economic development of their country.
01:34:58.000So you're asking these countries to sacrifice that, sacrifice the well-being of the people in your country, make everything in the country more expensive.
01:35:06.000Because some chart from some scientist says something in the future in a 50 or 100 years might happen.
01:35:13.000There's another factor here that's going on, and this is something that was figured out internally in the country through the civil rights movement by the blacks, but it's been now being figured out by the rest of the world with regard to the West.
01:35:25.000And that is, the West is the only civilization that is plagued by guilt over its own success.
01:35:35.000If you go to other countries and talk about the Indo-Pakistan War, the Indians will say things like, well, you know, we had a war and we won and that's that.
01:35:44.000And there's no further need for discussion beyond the fact that we defeated you and we took all this territory and we're not giving it back because we got it.
01:35:52.000It's only the West where you can say things like, hey listen, you've had all this development and now you need to pay us.
01:36:01.000You now need to turn over some of this wealth to us.
01:36:04.000As long as the West is willing to take out its wallet when that happens, the rest of the world realizes that guilt is a highly profitable business.
01:36:13.000And so the Indians and the Chinese, I mean, you've just got to realize that they will mouth the slogans of climate change because they have been initiated into a game that the West has invented that they have now learned how to play.
01:36:27.000They have no intention of actually doing anything, restricting their own development.
01:36:33.000They would have to face their own people if they did that.
01:36:36.000They have no intention of even going there.
01:36:38.000But they recognize that when they go to the UN, They're going to show climate sensitivity and use all the appropriate climate emergency and so on, but it's ultimately the West that has brought this, I think, this problem on itself because of its demonstrated willingness to be suckered in this way.
01:36:59.000We're gonna go to super chat, so smash that like button.
01:37:03.000Everybody, if you are watching, if all of you right now smash that like button, we'd have 50,000 likes.
01:37:09.000And head over to timcast.com, click join us to become a member, and you will get access to the members-only uncensored show at 10 p.m.
01:37:17.000where you as members actually get to call in to the show, join us, talk to us and our guests, and as a member, you are making all this possible.
01:37:25.000So as many of you know, we are in the process of suing the Kamala Harris campaign.
01:37:29.000It's about 40 days till the election or so, so of course we're suing her for defamation, and it was an egregious lie, but it's not such an easy task and we could use your support.
01:37:39.000If you appreciate the work that we do, we stand up for ourselves and we fight the fake news.
01:37:43.000TimCast.com, click join us, but for now, we'll grab superchats.
01:37:54.000Cal H says, regarding this morning's survival conversation, I have the Ranger's Handbook in my Amazon cart, but what are some other resources to learn these skills?
01:38:06.000There are some really interesting apps.
01:38:07.000There are apps that will show you the direction of the nearest cell tower.
01:38:10.000So if you have weak signal, they have apps that you'll open up and it will point like a compass to the tower so you know which direction to walk to improve signal, and that could be amazing.
01:39:07.000I thought we were going to be parent company to... No, no, no.
01:39:09.000They're liquidating his company, which means they're going to try and get as much money as possible to pay off the lawsuit.
01:39:15.000But I also think it's going to be strange.
01:39:16.000I mean, especially in liberal circles, which is dominant in the media industry, who's going to want to be the person who has Alex Jones's camera?
01:39:24.000Maybe as a trophy to be like, look at this, I bought his camera.
01:39:29.000I mean, if you're a company and you're like, we bought Alex Jones's equipment from InfoWars to run this, they're going to be like, why would you help him?
01:39:35.000But if you're starting, unless it's branded or something like that, I'm sure there's some business that's like, it's super cheap, I'm gonna buy it, and so therefore I have this fancy equipment, because the government sells quickly.
01:39:45.000And you'll get it for dirt, I guess, but then people keep it secret.
01:39:49.000But if anyone finds out that you bought Alec Jones' equipment to help pay down his debt from these families, I imagine they're gonna accuse you of being far right or something.
01:39:57.000It seems like there's a strong vindictive component here, right?
01:40:01.000In other words, their whole deal is, if they were trying to maximize Alec Jones's revenue so that he could pay off these legal debts, they would keep him in business.
01:40:13.000But they would rather take less money, I think, and try to wreck his operation.
01:41:06.000And that kid's gonna be like, I'm gonna get a million followers from this.
01:41:10.000There's just no way to stop Alex Jones.
01:41:14.000How do you stop someone from speaking?
01:41:18.000I guess you can try to track any revenue that comes in from that and say, I'm going to go after that, but that still doesn't intercept the speech itself.
01:41:25.000So in that sense, Alex Jones retains his free speech.
01:41:29.000All right, let's grab some more Super Chats.
01:41:32.000I'm Not Your Buddy Guy says, people end the existence of others for a couple hundred thousand in insurance money.
01:41:37.000What do you think others would do for control of the most powerful military economy and influence in the world?
01:42:25.000And I had someone superchat the other day, I missed the superchat, but they were like, Dan Bongino gets 100,000 to 150,000, you really think he'd be the biggest?
01:42:32.000First of all, Dan Bongino is awesome, big fan, and he does have a massive show.
01:42:36.000And yes, my point is, if 50,000 people all at once posted the link on X, it would be the number one worldwide trend.
01:42:44.000And then you'd get millions of people watching.
01:42:51.000We talked about maybe doing something cool like that.
01:42:52.000There used to be this app called Thunderclap.
01:42:55.000You'd sign up for it, and it would connect to your Twitter account, and then all at once, it sends out the same tweet, creating a viral worldwide trend, so everybody sees it in their feed.
01:44:34.000Uh, it's funny because, like, my board sold a little bit, you know, Boca's and Taylor's a little bit, and then the Snek boards were instantly gone.
01:44:41.000So if you want to get a step on Snek and find out skateboard, boonieshq.com.
01:44:46.000Alright, Steven Shefflo says, Hey Timmy community, a friend of mine is battling stage 4 cancer and has two young kids and could use the help.
01:44:52.000I know GoFundMe, but please, help if you can, support Zoke's fight against melanoma.
01:45:09.000TheDarkKing says, hey Tim, I just want to let you know is the only possible possibility that has been showing up regularly without fail is the no show tonight you posted three days ago weird.
01:45:32.000Mad Max says, make no mistake, a very significant part of the GOP hates Trump even more than Dems and would like nothing more for Trump to go away.
01:45:39.000And I agree, there are a lot of Republicans who hate Trump and will vote for him anyway.
01:46:42.000I mean, it's a good moment to spell out the philosophy of what appears to be the Paul Ryan view of the world, and that is, let's Let's sort of tank the 2024 election so that we get rid of Trump.
01:46:58.000Let's bring the Democrats in for another term.
01:47:01.000Admittedly, they're sort of destroying America, but the great news here is that we have a chance now to reconstitute the Republican Party so we can beat them the next time around, and this time we'll be a GOP without Trump, and we'll be better and stronger than ever.
01:47:18.000And you just have to listen to that and ask yourself whether someone actually can espouse such a nonsensical vision of where he sees things going.
01:47:30.000Especially when it's out of alignment with what the voters want.
01:47:33.000I mean, Trump has wide popularity, maybe not among elected Republican officials, but among American voters.
01:47:41.000The Republican base picked him for a reason.
01:47:45.000And I think to say like, well, I know best, the Republican Party must reform under the image I see fit, and that's Donald Trump-less.
01:47:53.000How are you going to sell that to the people who feel as though Trump is the reason that, or Trump is the only one who can get the country back on track?
01:48:01.000Yeah, and to put it slightly differently, some of those sort of Trumpian issues were there before Trump.
01:48:06.000I mean, we have to remember that even that Reaganism to some degree preceded Reagan.
01:48:34.000He says, you can't not trust the government on death sentence, but trust them when intel agencies blame a foreign government on assassination.
01:48:47.000First of all, the presumption on the death penalty is that I don't trust people like Kamala Hara and other actors to convince a jury, an institutionalized mechanism, to kill people.
01:48:57.000There's a story that's going on right now that we had talked about where apparently, Hannah Clare, I think you know more than I do, that there's a guy who's on death row and there's exculpatory evidence but they won't hear it and they refuse to stay his execution.
01:49:08.000Yeah, there's a man on death row in Missouri.
01:49:11.000His name's slipping my mind right now, but he... This may get an ongoing issue.
01:49:14.000I mean, he's been on death row for a long time and there have been a lot of efforts to appeal his case, but his team is saying right now there's new evidence.
01:49:22.000The evidence is that his DNA does not match the DNA that was found on the murder weapon.
01:49:26.000He's accused of killing a reporter, I believe, in the 80s.
01:49:31.000And the governor has refused to stay the execution.
01:49:35.000So he is going to be put to death tonight.
01:49:38.000And I've heard the state, you know, argued a couple different ways, which is like, and it's a case I should have followed more closely before presenting on tonight.
01:49:45.000But, you know, the state has argued he's had a fair trial.
01:49:48.000The evidence that they are bringing up doesn't actually conflate anything that was brought up during trial.
01:49:53.000And so he has he's been through the justice system fairly.
01:49:58.000There's an institutionalized mechanism at the state level where people are killed and you don't know anything about it.
01:50:04.000So the argument I always share in the death penalty is, if I were the judge and I saw the evidence and I knew he did it, well of course you could do those things.
01:50:12.000I trust that if there was a deranged murderer who was trying to kill me and you were standing in front of me, you would do the right thing to use the force necessary to save my life up to and including lethal force.
01:50:22.000I don't trust an institution that is the bureaucracy of the United States to effectively run a system that kills people because they deem it to be so, because there's a big difference between you as a good moral person and the Democrats in this country who don't know up from down and vote for Kamala Harris, who are going to be on those juries.
01:50:39.000And you're never going to get past that one.
01:50:41.000But more to the point, the idea that First of all, the death penalty presumption was always that in the event you know definitively a person is a threat to others, you have the right to take action to protect others.
01:50:54.000That's why when I brought up war with Iran, I specifically said, imagine a circumstance where we knew definitively it wasn't a question of they're trying to convince you.
01:51:02.000It was somehow you know 100% you as an individual.
01:51:10.000The question is always whether or not you as an individual have direct knowledge of an event beyond a reasonable doubt, or an institution has decided to convince you of something and you let them do it.
01:51:45.000So, if you think domestically, I'm going to support people who say, trust me, we need to kill this guy, I'm going to say, screw off!
01:51:51.000I've been down there where I see exactly what you do.
01:51:53.000Sure, probably most of the people, the overwhelming majority of the people you're going after, but sooner or later, there's going to be political retribution or there's going to be error and negligence and malice that result in innocent people being killed.
01:52:37.000If it's true, because we didn't research this, that he exhausted all of his appeals and then they discovered exculpatory evidence that now your appeals are exhausted, that is a psychotic system.
01:52:46.000I kind of don't believe that's the case, though.
01:52:48.000I think that's, you know, however, that being said, Kamala Harris did keep a guy on death row despite knowing there was evidence that proved he was innocent because she is a demon.
01:52:57.000And it's just insane to me that we know it's not just Kamala Harris, that other prosecutors have kept innocent people on death row out of fear for career embarrassment, and they don't want to acknowledge they prosecuted an innocent person, so they're just like, just kill them so that no one finds out.
01:53:12.000I'm not ardently against the death penalty.
01:53:14.000It's something that I feel like I'm constantly reviewing and how I feel about it because it's so complicated.
01:53:18.000But this case is weird because from what I know from the reporting I was listening to today, the victim's family was saying that the execution should be stayed.
01:53:51.000Some people—I imagine most honorable men suffering would say, like, well, don't kill an innocent person because of my—I think most people would agree, no, we don't want to—you don't want to be a murderer.
01:54:00.000Yeah, I mean, I think that we should separate the cases where we have an element of genuine, reasonable doubt, because the idea of executing an innocent man is horrific.
01:54:14.000On the other hand, let's just take the case where, let's say for example, you have a serial murderer and he is on video having done these things.
01:54:22.000And in other words, there is no doubt, not even reasonable doubt, there's no doubt at all that this is in fact the perpetrator and the crimes are horrific.
01:54:30.000I think in that case, the argument for the death penalty is extremely strong.
01:54:34.000Except that argument is, in a single instance where we have definitive proof, we justify an entire machine where other instances without proof will be justified.
01:54:43.000So every single time I have this conversation, the opposing argument is always, what about the one moment where you know for sure?
01:54:50.000But we're not arguing about one moment.
01:54:53.000If you see a person, with your own eyes, about to commit a horrific act, or you know he's a threat, let's just put it very bluntly, a threat to society that cannot be contained, and the only way to save someone's life or great bodily harm is to use force against them, up to and including lethal force, everyone agrees.
01:55:09.000But how does that justify mechanizing, at a national, institutional level, A system where we know the bureaucracy can't even run a DMV properly.
01:55:52.000There's so many perverse incentives with prosecutors and defense attorneys.
01:55:56.000Like, if you're a defense attorney and you're defending somebody who you even know did something wrong, you're still going to try to manipulate the legal system in any way possible.
01:56:04.000I think Hillary Clinton famously used to brag about the horrible people that she used to help protect.
01:56:10.000But that's what makes somebody a good defense attorney.
01:56:15.000I think Matt Walsh made a lot of really great points when we discussed it, and he said, we need to think about in terms of what is possible and what we can do right now.
01:56:24.000The island sounds great, you can't do it.
01:56:27.000Because my argument is, just exile people.
01:56:29.000If they get convicted by unreasonable doubt, you don't have to kill them, just say, you go live yourself somewhere else.
01:57:08.000However, I recognize I don't really have good alternatives, just that I morally oppose it.
01:57:12.000Therefore, what I told Matt was, well, look, you know, fair point.
01:57:15.000You're not going to see me joining an advocacy group and going and marching in D.C.
01:57:19.000to abolish the death penalty because I don't know.
01:57:21.000All I know is I don't like the idea of institutionalizing the state to have the power to kill people when you've got Kamala Harris and Joe Biden as people who are running the system.
01:57:30.000This is why I don't like to take a definitive stance on it.
01:57:32.000I'm generally open to capital punishment, but, you know, one of the benefits of living in modern society is that we are able to demand higher levels of proof, like DNA, like video surveillance, like cell phones, and some of this stuff is fallible, but, like, If you were on trial for capital punishment in the 1920s, it would be really different, right?
01:57:55.000Like, to me, the ability to definitively prove something is much better now.
01:58:01.000And of course, the risk of potentially putting someone to death for a crime they didn't commit is horrifying.
01:58:07.000On the other hand, the burden – like, if our prisoncism is to Remove violence from society and hopefully reform those who can be reformed and otherwise deal with those who can't.
01:58:19.000I think you have to weigh the benefits here.
01:58:21.000Andre C. chiming in again saying, Tim, intel agencies fabricated definitive proof in the past.
01:58:25.000You can't not trust on death penalty, but trust the same institution on foreign assassin.
01:58:30.000I think once again you are mistaken, sir.
01:58:32.000I have never said I will trust the intelligence agencies on foreign assassinations.
01:58:37.000I said, in the instance where you know definitively that a foreign government killed your leader, a president or politician, would you be okay with war?
01:58:46.000I never said, in the instance where an intelligence agency comes to you and says, trust me, I have proof, my response would be the same.
01:59:06.000On the third attempt, we talked about Iran.
01:59:09.000But look at the first two attempts, right?
01:59:11.000Now, no one is saying, and I wouldn't say for a minute that this is an, quote, inside job in which the intelligence agency selected a 20-year-old like Crooks and said, you go do it.
01:59:26.000But what is to me believable is that people high up in the government know that there are kooks out there who might want to get Trump.
01:59:34.000And they don't think it's the worst thing in the world if they did.
01:59:37.000And so you find out there's this guy Crooks and he's planning to go up in this building and climb up on this roof.
01:59:45.000And so you conveniently leave the roof unguarded.
01:59:48.000This kind of thing, to me, is believable and needs to be investigated.
01:59:52.000I'm not saying it happened exactly that way, but it could have, and it is telling that we have so much distrust today of our own agencies that we would believe them fully capable of doing that.
02:00:04.000All right, everybody, if you haven't already, would you kindly smash that like button, subscribe to this channel, and share the show right now everywhere you can.
02:00:12.000If you share the show, it really does help out because that's how podcasts basically grow, word of mouth.
02:00:16.000Go to TimCast.com right now, click join us.
02:00:18.000The members-only show will be starting in about a minute.
02:00:20.000It's going to be a lot of fun, so we hope to see you there.