Timcast IRL - Tim Pool - Vance STUNS Independent Voters After Walz's VP Debate Disaster! | Timcast IRL

00:00:00.000 Now I know y'all saw that debate that I saw and I gotta tell ya, JD Vance cooked Tim Waltz

00:00:25.000 Now, originally I said he crushed him, but I was informed by Gen Z that you gotta use the young man's language, Gen Z slang, so cooked is what we say now. 0.97

00:00:33.000 Okay, Tim Walz got cooked by J.D. Vance.

00:00:36.000 Independent voters favoring J.D. Vance.

00:00:38.000 But it is surprising that there are many polls showing it's basically neck and neck, that people actually liked Tim Walz, despite the fact he got called out for lying.

00:00:47.000 Several times. And he said he was friends with school shooters.

00:00:51.000 I'm not making it up. It's not an exaggeration.

00:00:53.000 He didn't misspeak.

00:00:54.000 Not that I cannot fathom what he was trying to say.

00:00:57.000 The dude literally said he is friends with school shooters.

00:01:00.000 And when two reporters came up later and said, Mr.

00:01:04.000 Governor, can you clarify what you meant by this?

00:01:07.000 He ignores them.

00:01:08.000 A reporter asks again, what did you mean you're friends with school shooters?

00:01:12.000 And he does not answer.

00:01:13.000 I can only assume he is.

00:01:15.000 So we'll talk about the political ramifications and the fallout.

00:01:17.000 There's some really funny articles where Politico is trying to claim that women don't like beards.

00:01:23.000 I'm sorry, ladies. Politico says beards are bad. 1.00

00:01:25.000 And then they say that Tim Walts' wide eyes where he looks like, I don't even know how to describe it, a clown.

00:01:32.000 They say that it's actually good because it makes people think that he's attentive.

00:01:36.000 So we'll talk about all this stuff.

00:01:38.000 Plus, we got a whole lot of debate coverage.

00:01:41.000 Israel stories are coming up as well.

00:01:43.000 And we'll get into that. But before we do, my friends, head over to MyPillow.com slash Tim.

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00:02:51.000 Promo code TIM. Shout out to Mike Lindell.

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00:04:15.000 Joining us tonight, talk about this and so much more, we got Ben Zeisloft.

00:04:18.000 Great to be here. Thanks for having me. Who are you?

00:04:20.000 What do you do? So I'm the editor of the Republic Sentinel.

00:04:22.000 We are a conservative news and commentary outlet owned and operated by Christians.

00:04:26.000 So we are producing excellent reporting to the honor and glory of the Lord Jesus Christ and just exposing establishing Republicans with your stories, investigations, documentaries, all the rest.

00:04:36.000 Right on. We also got Mario Knopfel.

00:04:38.000 Tim, thanks for having me.

00:04:39.000 It's great to have you. Who are you?

00:04:41.000 What do you do? I host the biggest show on X. So I talk everything U.S., global politics.

00:04:46.000 So I know we're talking about Israel later on.

00:04:48.000 We're talking about the debate. So it should be a good chat.

00:04:50.000 If there is an X space that y'all have heard about, it was this guy.

00:04:54.000 For real, every time they're like, did you hear about Elon?

00:04:56.000 Did you hear about this and that? It's always Mario.

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00:04:59.000 It's sleepless nice as well this last few months.

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00:05:03.000 Raymond is here as well.

00:05:05.000 Yes, yes. Thanks for having me. Hello, friends.

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00:05:12.000 So I'm looking forward to talking with you, gentlemen.

00:05:13.000 He's a good hat, by the way. Thank you.

00:05:15.000 He's converting voters in his home state of Pennsylvania.

00:05:17.000 I am. We're doing the work.

00:05:19.000 And before I cut you off, Tim, good news.

00:05:22.000 I want to wait until we're on air. The screen is going to be here.

00:05:25.000 It should be Monday or Tuesday next week, early.

00:05:27.000 So we can play video games on a 20-foot screen.

00:05:30.000 This is fantastic. This is great news.

00:05:31.000 You guys have to understand, this is like a boy's paradise.

00:05:35.000 There's skateboarding. There's a lot of beef jerky.

00:05:37.000 There are video games.

00:05:38.000 I think it's a good time. I'm Hannah-Claire Brimlow.

00:05:40.000 I'm here to co-host tonight.

00:05:42.000 I'm happy you guys are joining us.

00:05:43.000 Let's get started. Here we go.

00:05:44.000 From the post-millennial, independents favor J.D. Vance over Tim Waltz after VP debate says CNN of all outlets.

00:05:52.000 54% of independents said after the debate that Vance did a better job compared to 46% who said the same of Waltz.

00:06:00.000 The CNN poll conducted by SSRS found these numbers when asked about before the debate.

00:06:06.000 60% of independents said they thought Kamala's running mate would do a better job in the debate compared to 60% who said the same of Vance.

00:06:14.000 Those numbers are wrong, by the way, Postman.

00:06:15.000 You mean 40%. Overall, 51% of registered voters said that Vance did a better job in the debate compared to 49% who said Waltz did a better job.

00:06:23.000 Before the debate, 54% said Waltz would do better, and 45% said the same of Trump.

00:06:28.000 We heard this Before the debate yesterday, that the polls were favoring Tim Walz.

00:06:33.000 Everyone thought he was going to do better.

00:06:35.000 And as you know, he got cooked.

00:06:37.000 That's what we're saying. We're saying he got cooked.

00:06:39.000 And he did. I've got a post for you guys, and I'm going to show you.

00:06:44.000 This is an actual picture from the debate that was used by Politico.

00:06:46.000 I'm not kidding. This is a real picture that Politico is using.

00:06:52.000 I'm just going to say this. For those that are listening, it's a picture of Tim Walz, but he looks like some kind of demon.

00:06:57.000 He reminds me of the snake in the Jungle Book that, like, opens its eyes and hypnotizes you.

00:07:03.000 You know? He does. If he just gets his eyes open wide enough, then the voters will be mystified and believe everything he says.

00:07:10.000 Yeah, I'm part Asian, so I'm kind of jealous.

00:07:12.000 Oh, Jesus. Am I allowed to say that?

00:07:14.000 I mean, I am. It's how I feel.

00:07:16.000 You can't get mad at me, YouTube. I don't know.

00:07:17.000 What did you guys think? Did you expect this?

00:07:21.000 I'm not sure. I mean, I think it was clear within two minutes that Vance had it.

00:07:25.000 I mean, the first response from Walls and the second one from Vance, and it was clear it was going to be Vance all night.

00:07:29.000 Yeah. But before it went in, were you like, J.D. Vance, who is this guy?

00:07:35.000 I mean, I called him Vanilla Pudding.

00:07:36.000 Yeah, I mean, I recall, what, two years ago when he ran for Senate for the first time, he was very articulate during that debate, too.

00:07:41.000 So it wasn't too much of a surprise to see that he dwelt last night.

00:07:44.000 Yeah. Yeah, I think people are underplaying how important this is, especially how thin the margins are between Trump and Kamala.

00:07:51.000 I think JD did a really good job in positioning Trump as more of a moderate, and it was a very civil discussion.

00:07:59.000 They agreed on a lot of points, and I think that was very important to counter what I consider the failure of Trump in the last debate.

00:08:05.000 So I think it had more of an impact than a lot of people are making it out to be.

00:08:11.000 I agree. You know, but the question is, I see this meme.

00:08:14.000 It's actually pretty good. It's a Venn diagram and it says people who care enough about politics to watch a VP debate.

00:08:20.000 And then all the other side, it says undecided voters.

00:08:22.000 Yes. So how much of the needle is getting moved?

00:08:25.000 I think the important thing for undecided voters is that most headlines are struggling to make J.D. Vance the same kind of villain that they often portray Trump as.

00:08:35.000 I mean, you could tell that Walz was flustered because he expected a really aggressive kind of name throwing, like a Trump light, so to speak, on that stage.

00:08:47.000 And he didn't get that.

00:08:48.000 J.E. Vance is very much his own politician.

00:08:50.000 He's very smooth.

00:08:51.000 And I think he is effective in explaining his arguments.

00:08:54.000 I mean, whether that's just because he always has been good at this or because he put the time in during debate prep, he was really able to articulate policies, positions in a way that neither Harris nor Walz could.

00:09:05.000 And it left Walz really floored.

00:09:06.000 I mean, Walz was not expecting him to keep going, oh, well, I think the governor and I agree on this.

00:09:11.000 He made him his friend.

00:09:13.000 And Tim Walz was prepared to be enemies.

00:09:15.000 I wasn't sure what to expect from J.D. Vance beforehand.

00:09:17.000 I seen him in a couple of interviews and doing speeches and whatnot, but I didn't know how he was going to hold up in a debate.

00:09:25.000 And I was very excited and pleasantly pleased that he actually held his own. 0.88

00:09:29.000 He kept looking at the camera when Walsh was making dumb comments. 0.97

00:09:31.000 He's like Brooklyn Fourth Wall. 0.98

00:09:33.000 Yeah, yeah.

00:09:34.000 I just got to say, you know, first, I am very optimistic about 2028.

00:09:39.000 If Trump and Vance end up winning, Vance looks to be a stable guy who can be that stable guy for the American public that they're looking for in a Trump presidency.

00:09:49.000 If they win, I feel like they can pull us out of this tailspin.

00:09:52.000 And then 2028, with J.D. Vance as the head of the Republican Party and taking over this MAGA thing, he proved last night just how incredible he can be on that debate stage and how inspirational he can be.

00:10:06.000 I'm deeply inspired and impressed by this guy.

00:10:09.000 I had not seen this before in my lifetime.

00:10:11.000 I feel like that's the best debate performance I've ever seen.

00:10:13.000 Now, I think it balances out Trump as well.

00:10:15.000 I think he's going to play a key role in this debate moving forward until 2028.

00:10:20.000 So I think he was very presidential.

00:10:22.000 I wasn't too surprised. He's always been more well-spoken than Tim Walz.

00:10:26.000 He comes from an Ivy League school.

00:10:28.000 Tim Walz doesn't have that same background.

00:10:30.000 So I wasn't too surprised.

00:10:32.000 I think Tim Walz comes from – he's a football coach, as far as I know, from a rural area.

00:10:36.000 He was an associate coach. I wasn't too surprised JD Vance did so well.

00:10:44.000 And again, I do think it will balance out Trump's energy or spiciness. 0.95

00:10:50.000 Now, as I say this, I was deeply impressed by Vance.

00:10:53.000 I was actually kind of shocked at how bad Waltz was.

00:10:56.000 I knew he was a nervous wreck.

00:10:58.000 The news reports that he was having panic attacks.

00:10:59.000 But ladies and gentlemen, You're going to have to help me out with this one.

00:11:02.000 Guys, I genuinely mean this.

00:11:04.000 Please, please help me.

00:11:06.000 Tim Waltz says, I've become friends with school shooters in weird debate moment.

00:11:10.000 Here you go. I've become friends with school shooters.

00:11:13.000 I've seen it. Look, the NRA, I was an NRA guy for a long time.

00:11:16.000 They used to teach gun safety.

00:11:17.000 Well, let me play that again for you guys.

00:11:21.000 So I've become friends with school shooters.

00:11:22.000 I've seen it. Look, the NRA, I was an NRA guy for a long time.

00:11:25.000 Okay, one more time because I know you at home are like, this has got to be AI. There's no way he said this.

00:11:31.000 I've become friends with school shooters.

00:11:33.000 I've seen it. Look, the NRA, I was an NRA guy for a long time.

00:11:36.000 Okay, I don't understand.

00:11:39.000 I'm confused. I'm lost.

00:11:42.000 He hasn't clarified, right?

00:11:43.000 No, and this is disqualifying.

00:11:45.000 Done. Out. Really?

00:11:46.000 It's disqualifying. Look.

00:11:48.000 Let's try and be as nice as we can what did he mean by this and I'm sitting here thinking like Could he have meant I have become friends with the families of the victims of school shooters But look misspeaking is not Ripping out a huge portion of the sentence if he said I've become friends with school snoozers. I'd like oh he misspoke He meant something else, but he said he's friends with school shooters You don't accidentally misspeak missing several words.

00:12:16.000 And here's, look at this, from the Daily Mail.

00:12:18.000 Look at this, look at this.

00:12:19.000 Governor, you said you'd become friends with school shooters during the debate.

00:12:22.000 Can you clarify what you meant on that?

00:12:23.000 Can you clarify what you meant when you said you'd be friends with school shooters?

00:12:31.000 Ignoring it. No!

00:12:33.000 Why did you say you were in Hong Kong?

00:12:35.000 What? The moderators didn't ask him follow-ups.

00:12:39.000 He just said it, and they were like, okay.

00:12:42.000 It seems like an easy layup.

00:12:43.000 You just clarify. I meant the families of school shooters or something, and then you're done.

00:12:46.000 The families of school shooters? I think he did clarify.

00:12:49.000 It just came out now.

00:12:50.000 Yeah, not long ago. He says, I was talking about meeting people that came on the hill.

00:12:53.000 I was talking about meeting people where there are school shooters and I need to be more specific on that.

00:12:58.000 But I am passionate about this.

00:13:00.000 This one for my wife and I is just a teacher's appearance.

00:13:04.000 It's so personal. So that's came from the hill.

00:13:06.000 I mean, this just seems like a typical waltz dodge, right?

00:13:09.000 like 24 hours later, he's finally like, I'm gonna say I met people who were impacted by school shooting.

00:13:15.000 He could have in the moment said whatever he actually meant.

00:13:18.000 Here it is, we did get it pulled up.

00:13:20.000 Thank you for that clarification, Mario.

00:13:22.000 He says, I was talking about meeting people where there are school shooters, and I need to be more specific on that.

00:13:27.000 What?

00:13:28.000 But I am passionate about this.

00:13:29.000 This one for my wife and I is just, as teachers, as parents, it's so personal.

00:13:33.000 He didn't clarify anything.

00:13:37.000 I was talking about meeting people where there are school shooters.

00:13:40.000 So he goes out in town and goes to school shooters.

00:13:42.000 Underneath it says, Walsh noted that he met members of Congress with parents with, as a member of Congress, met with the parents of children killed at the Sandy Hook Elementary shooting.

00:13:51.000 And I get that because I'm like, there's no way he literally meant that.

00:13:55.000 Maybe he said, maybe he meant like he went to a jail and like met one of these kids and was trying to understand why they were so distraught or whatever the issue was.

00:14:02.000 Saying he's friends with David Hogg who survived a school shooting?

00:14:05.000 He's calling David Hogg a school shooter.

00:14:07.000 That's the thing.

00:14:09.000 He didn't say those who have survived are the victims of school shootings.

00:14:13.000 He said a school shooter.

00:14:15.000 What do you mean more specific? You said you've become friends with school shooters.

00:14:18.000 More specific? You made a declarative statement.

00:14:21.000 Like, which school shooters?

00:14:22.000 More specific would be which shooters.

00:14:24.000 So if he said, I misspoke and I meant something else, the dude misspeaks quite a bit.

00:14:29.000 Well, he already used misspoke.

00:14:31.000 He said he misspoke when he claimed to have been at Tiananmen Square, and so he can't just use misspoke again.

00:14:37.000 He likes to space them out.

00:14:38.000 Sometimes he says the media gets him wrong, and other times he says, what was it last night?

00:14:43.000 Like, I'm not very articulate.

00:14:44.000 That's one of his favorites.

00:14:45.000 My wife says I have bad grammar.

00:14:47.000 Remember that was his explanation for, like, claiming he went through IVF? I eat white guy tacos. 0.97

00:14:51.000 What a joke. Wow.

00:14:54.000 Look, I get it. We all assumed that maybe he was trying to say friends with the victims of.

00:15:00.000 But this guy, I will tell you right now, I still feel like it's disqualifying and more in an opinion and biased sense than like an actual legal.

00:15:08.000 Come on, of course not. But I'm saying, bro, if you want to be the vice president and you accidentally say you're friends with school shooters, this falls into the same camp as when Joe Biden called Syria Libya.

00:15:17.000 And he was at a G7 meeting and he's saying something about our operation, our military in Libya and things like this.

00:15:25.000 And it's like, you know, if you're in the situation room and you tell everybody we need military action in Libya and they say, you sure?

00:15:33.000 And he's like, yes, OK. And you meant the wrong country.

00:15:36.000 That matters. And if you're vice president and you say something like this.

00:15:42.000 I can't imagine what's going to happen when he says this.

00:15:46.000 I'm imagining someone in the administration and he says, let's go help out these school shooters or something.

00:15:53.000 And then they're like, can you clarify that for me?

00:15:55.000 Did you mean he's like, no. They're like, okay.

00:15:57.000 No, I meant the families.

00:15:59.000 If he's going to misspeak to this degree, refuse to clarify it, then give some really weak response.

00:16:03.000 I'm just like, dude, you're not ready for this job.

00:16:05.000 Yeah, I think I'm a bit confused why he didn't clarify it the first time around.

00:16:09.000 When they asked him, did he just ignore them?

00:16:10.000 Did he ignore the reporters the first time they asked him?

00:16:12.000 He got asked twice and he ignores them.

00:16:14.000 Yeah. He could have just been like, excuse me?

00:16:17.000 I'm sorry. Well, I must have made a mistake.

00:16:19.000 I meant to say. And that would have been it.

00:16:21.000 It would have been over. And everyone would be like, we get it.

00:16:23.000 But the ignoring it made a whole day news cycle of him saying these things.

00:16:26.000 The long story short of this, this dude got cooked by J.D. Vance.

00:16:30.000 Cooked. Cooked. And he wasn't prepared to offer a counter defense that wasn't just based on personal attacks.

00:16:37.000 I think you saw that throughout the debate.

00:16:39.000 He would give these statements like Donald Trump did this and you should be scared of the things they're going to do.

00:16:45.000 Very negative. And then you would get these very calm...

00:16:48.000 Sort of respectful answers that didn't agree or sometimes did point out where they had common ground from J.D. Vance, who just seemed to be in his element.

00:16:57.000 I mean, Walls really wanted it to be about name-calling and he never got that chance and therefore he did not know how to counter what was going on.

00:17:04.000 He even got hostile with the moderators at one point and J.D. Vance never did, even though he's theoretically the one who's like anti-woman or whatever.

00:17:11.000 Just going back to the comment as well.

00:17:12.000 Elon did make an interesting point.

00:17:14.000 He said I think there's a – he was surprised that he didn't get fact-checked.

00:17:17.000 So Musk said mind-blowing that Tim Walsh said he was friends with school shooters.

00:17:21.000 Fine. He's clarified that.

00:17:22.000 But he said he didn't even get fact-checked.

00:17:24.000 That's good. Which kind of goes back to the point that J.D. Vance was fact-checked and he responded pretty well to it.

00:17:30.000 Well, but I'll say this.

00:17:32.000 In terms of political strategy, J.D. Vance masterclass.

00:17:36.000 I'll tell you this. J.D. Vance ignoring that Tim Woltz said this was the smartest move he could make.

00:17:44.000 So when your opponent says something that is overtly incorrect on the debate stage, if you challenge them, you give them an out.

00:17:52.000 They immediately respond with, I'm sorry, I didn't mean to say that.

00:17:54.000 What I meant to say was this. He says it.

00:17:57.000 J.D. Vance says, I ain't gonna say nothing.

00:17:58.000 Why? The news media is gonna stew on this for 24 hours and But if he responds with Governor Walz, you just say you were friends with school shooters.

00:18:06.000 I don't believe you meant that.

00:18:07.000 Walz would have said, I'm sorry, the families of the victims.

00:18:09.000 And then there would have been no story at all.

00:18:11.000 So letting your opponent make mistakes is huge.

00:18:14.000 I wonder then about the moderators who called him out for lying about Hong Kong.

00:18:18.000 He patters for two minutes.

00:18:20.000 Then they call him. They say, no.

00:18:22.000 What happened? He's like, I'm a knucklehead and I misspoke.

00:18:24.000 So they actually pushed back on this.

00:18:26.000 If they fact-checked him when he said this, they would have been helping him.

00:18:30.000 They didn't do it. Right.

00:18:32.000 Respect for that. Well, I think J.D. Vance could have also put him on the spot, said, you know, Mr.

00:18:36.000 Waltz, you want to be vice president.

00:18:38.000 And like you said, in the Situation Room, you cannot misspeak like this.

00:18:41.000 You said this, you probably don't remember.

00:18:43.000 So yeah, two options. I think, not sure which one's better, but not commenting on it lets the media eat it up.

00:18:49.000 And they did all over the media right now.

00:18:51.000 I think a lot of these debates are based on vibes.

00:18:53.000 So I think everybody was expecting an aggressive advance, like you were saying.

00:18:56.000 But the fact that he was very polished, I think he has a PR background, if I remember correctly, in the military.

00:19:01.000 So maybe that plays into it. But yeah, so he knew just how to be very polished and polite and to be very...

00:19:06.000 I think they agreed half a dozen times with various policies that we weren't expecting that.

00:19:11.000 But if he had... Crack down on walls for something that was clearly just misspeaking, then the voters wouldn't have liked that.

00:19:17.000 Oh, he's mean, and he hates shoutless cat ladies because he's correcting the moderators, stuff like that.

00:19:23.000 So I think it was smart for him to back off a little bit and just let everybody else do their own graves.

00:19:27.000 Well, here's where the corporate press is.

00:19:29.000 Dead even, says Politico.

00:19:31.000 Their snap poll shows a stark division on the debate.

00:19:34.000 They're actually saying it's 50-50.

00:19:36.000 And you know what? Maybe.

00:19:37.000 CBS says 42% Vance, 41% Tim Walz.

00:19:42.000 I can't say I'm surprised.

00:19:45.000 But any reasonable human who watched that debate, I mean, look at the photo they chose.

00:19:50.000 There's no way that Politico, again, for those that are listening, it's J.D. Vance looking over like a normal dude, and Tim Waltz sitting there like a deer in the headlights with his eye.

00:19:59.000 I can't even make my eyes that wide.

00:20:01.000 And the frown he's making, it's weird.

00:20:04.000 I don't know why they chose that photo, but I feel like any reasonable person who watched the debate would not conclude that Tim Waltz won.

00:20:09.000 That seems silly to me.

00:20:11.000 Bias? Democrats? What do you think? 0.66

00:20:13.000 I think what's interesting is the media has decided – like when I was watching mainstream post breakdowns of this, the thing that they lead with was J.D. Vance struggled to condemn Trump's statements on the last election, right?

00:20:28.000 That's the thing that they have said.

00:20:29.000 90 minutes in, that's where Walls finally got him.

00:20:33.000 But the thing is, for the first 90 minutes, and I would say even after that, Vance ran circles around Walls.

00:20:41.000 They're saying that Walls being able to say, that's an outright liar, whatever he said, that's the big gotcha moment.

00:20:49.000 But really, J.D. Vance had Walls on his heels the whole night.

00:20:54.000 And I think the other point that they're sort of giving to Walls, I don't think totally fairly, is talks about abortion.

00:21:00.000 Because they're always going to say that the Democrat handled that better.

00:21:03.000 But I actually think J.D. Vance talking about, we need to win Americans' trust on this issue, and we need to be a full stop pro-family party, was one of the best moments of the debate, and I think of this political season.

00:21:17.000 I mean, he is really redefining issues that conservatives have struggled to speak about in a way that wins confidence from voters.

00:21:24.000 Right. And I think the risk there is, you know, maybe it appealed to moderates.

00:21:27.000 That's been the play from the Trump campaign for the past several months is, you know, start to pivot on abortion, go back to, you know, let the states handle it.

00:21:33.000 But the question is, what kind of effect is it going to have on the pro-life evangelicals and Catholics who show up to the polls?

00:21:38.000 And basically, there's a huge percentage of evangelicals who show up just to vote against abortion.

00:21:42.000 And I saw one poll from Barnard that said participation this year from evangelicals is going down from 61% to 50%.

00:21:48.000 So there's some kind of effect this rhetoric is having.

00:21:50.000 On the willingness of evangelicals to show up and vote.

00:21:53.000 And if they think there's not a pro-life candidate, they're not going to do it.

00:21:55.000 Check out this clip. This is going viral.

00:21:57.000 I'm just appalled.

00:21:59.000 I can't believe this is the country I've lived in for 65 years.

00:22:02.000 What's happening has to be intentional.

00:22:05.000 There's no other way to explain what's going on.

00:22:08.000 When I see the thousands upon thousands of military-age men coming alone without families, there's reasons for red flags.

00:22:20.000 So yes, the immigration issue is huge.

00:22:23.000 She was asked by Fox following the debate, so this was earlier this morning, what she thought.

00:22:28.000 Some people in this restaurant said they didn't think that the immigration issue was covered enough.

00:22:33.000 That was her response.

00:22:35.000 And I feel like she's correct.

00:22:36.000 So, you know, there's another great moment where J.D. Vance told Tim Waltz, I feel bad for you.

00:22:43.000 You've got this really difficult job of trying to explain away the failures of your running mate.

00:22:48.000 A whack-a-mole, I think he said.

00:22:50.000 Yeah, whack-a-mole with these failures.

00:22:52.000 Three and a half years, nothing got done.

00:22:54.000 And, you know, when I hear that woman, I agree.

00:22:58.000 I don't know how Tim Walz is going to explain that away.

00:23:01.000 I don't know how Kamala Harris is going to explain this away.

00:23:03.000 It's the biggest elephant in the room for their administration right now or for their campaign.

00:23:09.000 We see all these problems happening.

00:23:10.000 They are not solving them.

00:23:13.000 No one thinks this is—I mean, it feels deeply intentional what they're doing.

00:23:16.000 I genuinely believe they are allowing illegal immigrants to come in specifically to fill jobs numbers because they're worried about the economy. 1.00

00:23:23.000 The economy is about to implode because of the dock workers' strike, and there's no escape for them on this one.

00:23:29.000 I think Americans don't feel safe.

00:23:30.000 There's this report from AP News that five Chinese nationals were just charged for sneaking onto a military base at night.

00:23:40.000 They were students at the University of Michigan at the time, or Michigan State University.

00:23:45.000 And so theoretically, they're here on a student visa.

00:23:47.000 On the other hand, this concern that, like, we don't know who's coming to the country and we don't know if they're staying, if they're going, if they have good intentions or bad, after...

00:23:56.000 You know, years and years and years of this compounding, I think that, you know, Americans are really looking for someone who's going to take their concerns seriously, saying, well, if you talk about this, you're racist or you're not compassionate.

00:24:07.000 That isn't enough for Americans anymore. 0.72

00:24:09.000 I think they're past that point. They want to feel like they're safe in their communities.

00:24:13.000 I think the polls are fake. I think everybody thinks the polls are fake for the most part.

00:24:17.000 But how could you have people claiming Walt's won this one?

00:24:20.000 Yeah, any rational person who's seen him get flabbergasted, his big ol' eyes.

00:24:25.000 I mean, they're very passionate eyes, because they're really big and round.

00:24:27.000 Okay, Politico. But yeah, any rational person who watches that and sees him every minute, every time he talked, get more flabbergasted as the day went on.

00:24:38.000 But you have to understand these debates depend.

00:24:40.000 It's 90 minutes. It's a VP debate.

00:24:42.000 I think people are just tired of this.

00:24:44.000 It all comes down to the gotcha moments that you have.

00:24:46.000 And in this case, there's, I'd say, two major gotcha moments.

00:24:51.000 Walt's being questioned about China.

00:24:53.000 And when he was there and the way he responded was just horrendous.

00:24:56.000 And the other one is Vance being asked about the 2020 election.

00:25:00.000 It was a tough question. He couldn't give an answer.

00:25:02.000 Tim Walz knew that and he put him on the spot.

00:25:04.000 So I think that gotcha moment played into Tim Walz's hands.

00:25:07.000 So it could have played a role.

00:25:09.000 But I don't think it's enough to say Tim Walz was even close to JD Vance in terms of performance.

00:25:16.000 So that's the only explanation that I have.

00:25:18.000 Do you think these polls are evidence of confirmation bias?

00:25:21.000 Do you think the people that were asked went in knowing that they were going to say, you know, Republican or Democrat, that's who I think was?

00:25:27.000 I think the only way those polls would not fall prey to confirmation bias is if there was someone that was, you know, won by a landslide.

00:25:35.000 That means, you know, I think here that was pretty close.

00:25:38.000 I think they were both very civil.

00:25:39.000 They agreed on a lot of points.

00:25:41.000 I think they showed how...

00:25:43.000 I wish more politicians would talk as they did, the way they've agreed on multiple things.

00:25:47.000 It wasn't spicy, no personal attack.

00:25:49.000 So I appreciate that side of it.

00:25:51.000 So I'd say JD Vance won, but not 80 to 20.

00:25:56.000 It was like, what, 60-40 is a good number to you. 0.99

00:25:59.000 And that small margin, relatively small, means that people will fall into confirmation bias and choose...

00:26:06.000 Who they think...

00:26:07.000 Who they want to be the winner.

00:26:09.000 And in this case, a lot of people chose Tim Walz for no good logical reason.

00:26:14.000 Right. I think a big question too is Vance's image.

00:26:18.000 So for the past several months, all I've heard from Vance from the mainstream media is he's weird.

00:26:21.000 You know, there's that... They're basically trying to pin him with all these memes.

00:26:24.000 You know, he's obsessed with his couch for some reason.

00:26:25.000 But I think if you actually watch the debate, if you're an undecided voter, he's more presented.

00:26:29.000 I mean, who do you think looks weirder on that screen?

00:26:31.000 It's not the guy on the left with the beard who's pretty...

00:26:34.000 You know, intelligent looking.

00:26:35.000 It's the guy with the bug eyes who is apparently compassionate or something like that.

00:26:39.000 So I do wonder what effect this has among independents too.

00:26:42.000 Again, but the question is how many actually watch it.

00:26:44.000 Is it that Venn diagram where nobody actually even cares about a vice presidential debate a month out?

00:26:49.000 Or has everybody made up their mind?

00:26:50.000 I think a lot of folks actually are paying a little more attention than they used to the last couple of times.

00:26:54.000 You know, this is a huge, huge election.

00:26:56.000 A lot on the line.

00:26:57.000 So anyone who's kind of almost interested in politics is definitely going to pay attention.

00:27:00.000 Because there's only, what, two debates? Yeah, there are very few.

00:27:02.000 I mean, the thing is, We had that Trump-Biden debate, but that doesn't even really count.

00:27:06.000 I mean, it was massive. It was a massacre.

00:27:09.000 But if we are going off a Harris v.

00:27:13.000 Trump election cycle, there's only one presidential debate.

00:27:16.000 There's only one VP debate.

00:27:17.000 So that does add pressure.

00:27:19.000 You know, what I find myself thinking about is in the last debate with Trump and Harris, I think they had two different objectives.

00:27:26.000 Like they had two different things they need to accomplish.

00:27:28.000 And for Kamala Harris, that was selling herself to independent voters as someone with a real personality and real beliefs and also real policies. 1.00

00:27:35.000 And she flaked out on that. 1.00

00:27:37.000 She didn't really give them any specifics.

00:27:40.000 And in this case, I wonder if Walls and JD Vance had different tasks as well.

00:27:45.000 Like, yes, they have to talk about the issues.

00:27:47.000 Yes, they have to counter each other.

00:27:48.000 But Walls has to fight this idea that he is just this brash, evil, mean man that whatever is going to be out there.

00:27:55.000 And Walls has to develop kind of a backbone.

00:27:57.000 And I don't think he did, but I think Vance did define himself on the national stage in a really successful way.

00:28:02.000 I just want to say, because I mentioned this the other night during the debate, that I feel a lot of Americans watched that and wished they were the presidential candidates.

00:28:10.000 Yes. I like Trump, but I was not an OG Trump guy, and a lot of big Trump supporters are critical of me for that.

00:28:18.000 But I do think Trump is the better option, and he was a net positive president.

00:28:21.000 For my lifetime, that's a big deal.

00:28:24.000 Watching J.D. Vance up there be very nice, and then Tim Walz be nice back, their arguments were...

00:28:31.000 Minimal. Your policies are wrong.

00:28:33.000 I'm sorry. I mean, what did he say to Tim Walsh?

00:28:36.000 He's like, I feel for you.

00:28:37.000 You got a tough job. He's smiling as he says it.

00:28:40.000 He's being nice. And that's the kind of politics that I want for this country back.

00:28:44.000 I do not think Kamala Harris represents that.

00:28:46.000 I don't. And I don't blame Donald Trump for the media lying about everything he says to paint him in a negative light.

00:28:52.000 But it is fair to say that Trump can be crass and crude.

00:28:55.000 So, right now, you know, look, I'm happy for a Trump presidency because I think we need the bull to come into the China shop.

00:29:02.000 Fine. I can understand people don't like the guy.

00:29:04.000 But I'm excited for 2028.

00:29:06.000 If this is what we can get moving forward and they call that Midwestern kindness...

00:29:10.000 I'm pretty optimistic that we can get things to calm down a little bit.

00:29:13.000 I think it's very important. It does make Trump more presidential having a VP like J.D. Vance.

00:29:18.000 I think we should really focus on that a bit more.

00:29:21.000 And I think it will change the sentiment around Trump.

00:29:23.000 Because one of the main reasons me and Tim were talking about this earlier is that why, despite Elon endorsing Trump, despite Tulsi, despite Kennedy endorsing Trump, the polls are still razor thin.

00:29:35.000 The margins are razor thin.

00:29:37.000 One of the reasons people don't see Trump to be presidential enough.

00:29:41.000 A lot of people hate Trump for that.

00:29:43.000 And J.D. Vass, I think, will play a key role in improving that image.

00:29:47.000 No question. Let's jump to this from Politico.

00:29:50.000 I love this. Eight body language tells from the vice presidential debate.

00:29:55.000 Okay, well, first of all, this is going viral, right?

00:29:58.000 And the first thing I want to start with is Waltz's wide eyes.

00:30:03.000 This was lighting up X all day.

00:30:06.000 Tim Waltz's eyes super just lit up, sure.

00:30:10.000 Look at that guy. And if you guys want to know what that is, it's this.

00:30:15.000 For those that are just listening, you can't see it, but you can hear everybody laughing.

00:30:19.000 It's Tim Waltz's unnaturally wide-open eyes.

00:30:23.000 I don't quite understand the—look, I'm not trying to be mean. 0.98

00:30:28.000 It is a little crap, but people keep putting cocaine in the chat. 0.96

00:30:32.000 Like, the assumption is that he's on uppers and he's wired— You don't think he gets passionate? 0.99

00:30:38.000 Doesn't look like passion to me.

00:30:39.000 But Politico says, when Waltz felt especially passionate about something, he'd open his eyes wide as saucers.

00:30:50.000 Eye-popping can sometimes be a sign of surprise, but for Waltz, it simply revealed his emotional intensity.

00:30:59.000 Like this moment during an exchange about abortion, the orbicularis oculi muscle, working in concert with the corrugator and frontalis muscles, contract to raise the eyebrows, a dynamic and emphatic facial motion that grabbed the viewer's attention.

00:31:17.000 Early humans would have made such facial gestures to communicate strong emotions, like danger is close. For Waltz, it gave extra weight to his feelings and held our gaze.

00:31:26.000 I guarantee you the writer in the newsroom who was instructed by the editor to write that was crying the whole time and they had a bottle of Jack that they were swinging down because they knew what they were writing was the most absurd piece of garbage they've ever been tasked with writing.

00:31:38.000 This was written, I think, by a body language expert who apparently has consulted for the FBI. I mean, this is not good.

00:31:45.000 I actually think this line is pretty telling because as soon as he's like, early humans would have said this was a sign of danger, meaning that Waltz is standing there panicking.

00:31:54.000 He senses he himself is in danger.

00:31:56.000 And that's why his eyes are open so hard.

00:31:58.000 And he's telling us about Kamala Harris' campaign.

00:32:00.000 Like, guys, we're dangerous.

00:32:02.000 Watch out for us. I'm sorry, guys.

00:32:03.000 It gets worse. I mean, that was pretty bad.

00:32:06.000 The first one they have is, yes, Vance's beard matters.

00:32:10.000 Check this one out. One of the first bits of nonverbal communication to appear in the debate was on J.D. Vance's face, his beard.

00:32:17.000 As Politico magazine has noted before, Vance is the first White House wannabe to wear facial hair in 80 years.

00:32:23.000 Thank you.

00:32:35.000 Thank you.

00:32:42.000 And when? The beard is a sign of oppression.

00:32:45.000 Hannah-Claire, in your general opinion as a woman, do women like beards?

00:32:50.000 Yes, a lot of women. You've got two men here with beards. 0.99

00:32:52.000 You've got two without a beard. Look, women do like beards. 1.00

00:32:55.000 I mean, maybe not all of them.

00:32:56.000 They're not a universal species.

00:32:58.000 But I have – I actually think the beard is sort of in – I mean, number one, I actually think it's to cover up the fact that he's kind of a baby face.

00:33:05.000 But two, because beard is the contour of men.

00:33:08.000 You know what I'm saying? Yeah. And two, I actually think in some ways it's an ode to his Appalachian ties.

00:33:14.000 I have never seen so many beards, especially like long, full beards, as when I moved to West Virginia.

00:33:21.000 This is the land of bearded men.

00:33:23.000 And so in some ways, he's actually just kind of honoring his heritage in a much more, you know, clean-cut, shaven way.

00:33:29.000 Again, I actually think the reason J.D. Vance has a beard is because he has a baby face and it's the makeup for men.

00:33:34.000 But in this case, I don't think that – I think this idea that somehow a beard is to signal that he is anti-feminism is sort of ludicrous.

00:33:44.000 I think this is very much grasping at straw.

00:33:47.000 Ladies and gentlemen, this is exactly why mainstream media is struggling right now.

00:33:51.000 If you're looking for examples, that's a perfect example.

00:33:53.000 And in the meantime, I looked up two studies.

00:33:56.000 One by the University of Queensland, if they want to stick to facts.

00:33:59.000 A thousand American women, majority of them prefer beards. 1.00

00:34:02.000 They found men with more facial hair more attractive.

00:34:05.000 Another one by whatsyourprice.com survey, because so many people care about this.

00:34:09.000 2,500 women, over 60% of them found facial hair attractive.

00:34:13.000 So there's some numbers here. It's like women like masculine men. 0.99

00:34:16.000 I'm keeping my beard. What a concept.

00:34:17.000 I gotta do it. I've been growing my mouth for 40 years.

00:34:21.000 We showed the picture of Tim Waltz.

00:34:24.000 And look, I know I tweeted this out and people are looking at it and I'm going to get a bunch of Democrats mad at me for posting this.

00:34:30.000 This is an actual screen grab that Politico.com posted on their article about this and all I did was screen grab a photo of the man's face.

00:34:39.000 I didn't say anything. Be mad at political.

00:34:42.000 But it would only be fair if I show you J.D. Vance.

00:34:45.000 So take a look at this. You can see there's old J.D. with the beard.

00:34:48.000 And I want to tell you why he's wearing the beard.

00:34:50.000 Do you guys want to see why he's wearing the beard?

00:34:52.000 Yes. Okay, here's a picture of J.D. Vance.

00:34:56.000 That's, and to be fair, he's a little chubbier.

00:34:58.000 Yeah, it looks like he lost weight since then.

00:35:00.000 And it's on, what is it, the subreddit, 30, 13 or 30?

00:35:04.000 So, talk about, is that a glow-up?

00:35:06.000 Is that what they call it? I think it is.

00:35:07.000 I think it's what they call a glow-up.

00:35:09.000 You know, he has fuller cheeks, he's a baby fake.

00:35:12.000 I actually don't even think that is not in his favor.

00:35:15.000 I mean, he stood on that stage and he's like, I'm 40 and I have three kids and I'm married.

00:35:19.000 Like, there are so many Americans who look at that and say, goals, ideal, this is it.

00:35:24.000 I mean, the beard is great, look a little bit older, look like a little bit outdoorsy, whatever.

00:35:29.000 But it's not an oppressive signal.

00:35:32.000 It's because he has a baby face.

00:35:35.000 I think it shows you how much our country hates men, where this political writer is annoyed by the fact that somebody has a beard.

00:35:40.000 And this would have been... I mean, if you look at just pictures of the presidents for most of our history, most of them had beards, probably about half of them, from what I remember.

00:35:47.000 But, yeah, I mean, right now the Democrats are upholding Doug Emhoff, who, you know, is now...

00:35:53.000 A new story came out today saying that he punched a girlfriend or something to that effect.

00:35:56.000 And Tim Walz. These are these, you know, paragons of masculinity.

00:36:00.000 And these are who we should... From the Midwest, you know, who's 40 years old, has three kids and a wife and is happily married and has a normal set of relationships.

00:36:09.000 I just want to point out this fake body language stuff.

00:36:12.000 I think it's pseudoscience.

00:36:14.000 Maybe I'm wrong. Okay, I don't know.

00:36:16.000 They're going to put up one of those YouTube fact check tags.

00:36:18.000 Body language is real. Tim is wrong.

00:36:19.000 But you see these YouTube videos where there'll be like some dude I'm watching Biden with the volume turned down, and he'll just be like, Joe here is raising his right hand.

00:36:27.000 That indicates that he's being dishonest.

00:36:30.000 And if you look at his face, that's not a real smile.

00:36:32.000 And people love and eat this stuff up, which is why Politico is now doing it.

00:36:36.000 They're bringing on—what is this— Author of the international bestseller, What Everybody Is Saying, An Ex-FBI Agent's Guide to Speed Reading People and the Dictionary of Body Language.

00:36:47.000 Okay, look, body language is real.

00:36:48.000 I know it is.

00:36:50.000 People in sales understand, you know, when people are defensive, they're covering their chest and things like this.

00:36:56.000 But to look at, like, Tim Waltz pointing when he talks and it's like, oh, well, this means something.

00:37:00.000 No, it doesn't. He's just gesturing with his hands.

00:37:03.000 Calm down. I also don't think claiming, like, saying I worked for the FBI is actually a good credential in today's America.

00:37:10.000 Like, I'm from the FBI, so therefore I'm an expert.

00:37:13.000 So I think it's important.

00:37:14.000 Like, I used to be obsessed with body language.

00:37:16.000 I studied it many, many years ago.

00:37:17.000 The main thing you'd look for is not these silly examples.

00:37:20.000 That's just from entertainment. You'd look for deviations from the norm.

00:37:23.000 Like, once you look into proper body language, it's actually very, very boring and not interesting enough for mainstream media. 1.00

00:37:28.000 So everything you've talked about now, obviously, the beard is completely stupid. 1.00

00:37:31.000 The pointing is dumb. 0.99

00:37:33.000 You've just got to look at how it deviates from the norm, how they've been acting the entire time, how they usually act and what changes throughout the debate. 0.98

00:37:40.000 So if someone, if he's always pointing, pointing, pointing, pointing, and then let's say J.D. Vance says something or Tim Walsh says something, and then he doesn't point or points downwards, then you can comment on that.

00:37:51.000 But just like, hey, he pointed, he means this, or his eyes mean that.

00:37:55.000 That's just entertainment, as you said, pseudoscience.

00:37:57.000 In the first debate, Trump was asked about his comments like Kamala Harris sometimes chooses to be black and sometimes chooses to be Indian.

00:38:05.000 He responded to that. And then he gave whatever answer and they turned to her and they said, do you want to respond?

00:38:10.000 And she looked completely down.

00:38:13.000 It was the deviation that stood out to me because she before had sort of been posturing as her lady boss. 0.95

00:38:18.000 She knew at times to put up her hand or then take it back down, whatever. 0.93

00:38:21.000 But that was the one where she looked truly uncomfortable.

00:38:24.000 I think you're totally right. Wanting to be like, well, he has a beard and this guy opened his eyes wide is actually kind of running cover for the issue that you're trying to portray, which is like that JD Vance is a mean man and Tim Wallace is a sensitive sweetie.

00:38:36.000 It's also sad. Like this was a very civil discussion about, you know, important topics.

00:38:40.000 Yeah, they put out a whole article about their body language.

00:38:42.000 I just think they're focusing. Look at this one. How was Beard?

00:38:45.000 Vance let a little frown give him away.

00:38:48.000 When Waltz brought up Project 2025, Vance exhibited a little tell that carried a big message.

00:38:54.000 A slight squinting of the eyes and a small frown. Clearly this was a sore subject. When we hear something we're unhappy or uncomfortable with, the negative emotion flashes over our face exactly as we saw here. We have to guard against such behaviors, blah blah blah. It's because he's lying. It's because JD Vance is thinking he is lying.

00:39:10.000 We don't do Project 2025.

00:39:13.000 But you see how they frame this?

00:39:14.000 They're trying to make it seem like J.D. Vance is actually, uh-oh, he's got me.

00:39:18.000 Yeah, so when he squints, it means it's discomfort.

00:39:22.000 But the reason he feels uncomfortable, you can interpret it in different ways.

00:39:26.000 So they interpret it as like, hey, he got me.

00:39:28.000 Well, as you've explained it, no, he's lying and I'm pissed off he's lying, so I've squinted accordingly.

00:39:33.000 So again, the way you interpret body language could be, you know...

00:39:36.000 And it's like, I think it's all pseudoscience.

00:39:38.000 It's like, of course they're bringing it up again.

00:39:39.000 Of course he's going to bring it up. He's like, he should have rolled his eyes at that moment.

00:39:42.000 It would have been the same response.

00:39:44.000 They should have included one where Wall spent the whole time rapidly scribbling talking points.

00:39:48.000 What do you think he was doing?

00:39:50.000 What was he writing? Yeah, he was drawing pictures of cats.

00:39:52.000 Hey, I'm girls.

00:39:54.000 The staffers are looking over. He's like, please help me send talking points.

00:39:58.000 Yeah, he's got a Newton and he's like, send.

00:39:59.000 He writes it. It's crazy.

00:40:02.000 I don't know if they still do that anymore, though.

00:40:04.000 All right. Well, let's get it.

00:40:05.000 I don't even know what we have.

00:40:06.000 What's the next story that we got?

00:40:08.000 Oh, man. This debate was wild.

00:40:10.000 We got a lot of debate news. Here you go from Postmanal.

00:40:13.000 MSNBC's Nicole Wallace claims women object to J.D. Vance's mansplaining immigration during debate after a female moderator offered false fact check. 0.81

00:40:23.000 Quote, I actually think if you're a woman, that might be the worst moment J.D. Vance had because he was going to mansplain right over that mute button.

00:40:32.000 He was talking to everybody.

00:40:33.000 He was talking to everyone who's watching the show.

00:40:36.000 And he was pointing out they broke the rules.

00:40:38.000 And were wrong.

00:40:40.000 Or they manipulate context.

00:40:42.000 But here's the clip. And I actually think if you're a woman, that might be the worst moment J.D. Vance had, because he was going to mansplain right over that mute button.

00:40:53.000 And again, I don't pretend to know how everyone will react to this.

00:40:57.000 I think that a lot of women in positions of authority that should command respect just by virtue of that dynamic will see themselves as some dude that disrespected them and talked over. 1.00

00:41:08.000 I mean, there was a moment like that with the vice presidential in the Harris-Pence field.

00:41:13.000 This is really interesting in the perspective of the feminist girl boss, because it is not true of all women. 1.00

00:41:19.000 It is, in my experience, specifically these chip-on-their-shoulder women. 1.00

00:41:24.000 J.D. Vance, if he were to argue with a man, and he literally did with Tim Walz, they never accused him of mansplaining when he would interject or start talking over Tim Walz, which happened, I think, two or three times.

00:41:36.000 But if it's the moderator breaking the rules, and he says, you're breaking the rules, let me clarify, you see her reaction, oh, a woman, how dare he? 0.70

00:41:45.000 Are you kidding, lady? Stop being so fragile, okay? 1.00

00:41:49.000 Sometimes you're wrong, and sometimes people want to argue.

00:41:52.000 If you're a woman or a man, it doesn't matter. 0.66

00:41:54.000 But there are these liberal mindset girl boss women who think that any time a man has a disagreement, it's because she's a woman. 1.00

00:42:00.000 Mm-hmm. I actually think this comment makes it look like she thought the female moderators were weak and couldn't handle J.D. Vance. 1.00

00:42:07.000 Right. Or being like, look, he just talked over to them and I must defend them means that they somehow mishandled this situation.

00:42:13.000 But it's so unfair. It's so unfair to J.D. Vance.

00:42:15.000 He was corrected.

00:42:17.000 He was not meant to be corrected.

00:42:18.000 He's upset about it. I think he approached it in a very, again, presidential way, in a very respectful way.

00:42:23.000 And again, I had to look up the definition of mansplaining.

00:42:25.000 That's why I never even hear that word anymore.

00:42:28.000 I mute people like this in my life.

00:42:30.000 In a condescending, patronising or oversimplified manner...

00:42:36.000 Yeah, where is he condescending at?

00:42:38.000 He didn't condescend anyone. He was just telling them exactly how they do it.

00:42:41.000 Very respectful. Yeah. Very respectful.

00:42:43.000 Especially when they were manipulating the circumstances, right?

00:42:46.000 The whole thing was the only people who had fact-checked each other were the two vice presidential candidates.

00:42:51.000 And they had already slipped one in that was like, science agrees the world is warming or whatever.

00:42:56.000 And he didn't respond to that one.

00:42:58.000 He waited until he was like, look, this is a big deal.

00:43:00.000 You're challenging me on immigration in Ohio.

00:43:02.000 Yeah. I'm going to throw this one out to all the men out there who are just – they want to hear this.

00:43:07.000 Let me tell you the facts of this story.

00:43:10.000 J.D. Vance was having a discussion on immigration issues.

00:43:14.000 The female moderator interjected incorrectly. 1.00

00:43:19.000 J.D. Vance said, first, you broke the rules that we agreed upon, but I will clarify.

00:43:24.000 She got angry and began talking over him, and then on, what was this, MSNBC's Nicole Wallace gets offended that he dared try to correct Owen who was wrong.

00:43:34.000 I wonder how many husbands are out there going like, I know exactly what that's like. 0.99

00:43:39.000 I just don't like the idea that women are like, yeah, we can do everything a man can do, but you can't tell us if we're wrong because then you're mansplaining. 1.00

00:43:45.000 Like, I don't understand.

00:43:47.000 If they're so good and girl bossy, why does this lady need to come out and defend what happened there? 1.00

00:43:52.000 I mean, either they could or couldn't handle the moment, and I think JD Vance was justified.

00:43:57.000 I think it's really fragile of them to claim that this was a bad moment for J.D. Vance.

00:44:01.000 I would have assumed the January 6th questions or something on his abortion response when he was like pro-family.

00:44:08.000 If you want to be mad about that, fine.

00:44:09.000 But in this case, you're saying that these girlboss moderators did a bad job. 1.00

00:44:13.000 like that seems disloyal to the Klan. I think they had nothing to criticize him on.

00:44:17.000 He was calm, he was nice, he was apologetic. On the issue of abortion, talk about a masterclass.

00:44:23.000 I cannot praise this man enough. He said, you know, we've got to earn the trust back of these women that, you know, we want to help. We want to help families. We want to make life better. All of these things. And it was a brilliant response. His response Let me just break this down.

00:44:40.000 It's a tough question for Republicans.

00:44:42.000 Trump gets floundered on.

00:44:44.000 It's tough because he's like, you know, are you going to veto?

00:44:46.000 Are you for the six week ban?

00:44:47.000 Are you not? And he goes back.

00:44:49.000 He went back and forth. J.D. Vance knows it's a negative and Republicans are looked down on the issue.

00:44:54.000 So he turns it around by saying, we're going to earn your trust back, which is him acknowledging it's a bad issue for Republicans, but that's him saying, we're going to earn your trust back is, we do have plans to help you and we want you to, we want to prove it to you.

00:45:09.000 I thought it was masterfully handled.

00:45:11.000 When you see that kind of debate performance, what do they have to get mad about other than he tried to clarify a point on illegal immigration?

00:45:18.000 And he has a beard. I wanted to look at the exact quote as well.

00:45:23.000 Just going back to the mansplaining things.

00:45:25.000 I was just a bit triggered by it.

00:45:26.000 And then we'll go to the abortion. Look at what he responded.

00:45:28.000 He said the rules were that...

00:45:30.000 I'm just going to read it.

00:45:31.000 And objectively, anyone listening, especially women, let me know what you think objectively of what he said.

00:45:35.000 The rules were that you guys weren't going to fact check.

00:45:38.000 And since you are fact checking me, I think it's important to say what's actually going on.

00:45:43.000 I don't find that to be condescending.

00:45:45.000 I don't find that to be disrespectful or patronizing.

00:45:50.000 I'll put that behind because I'm really a bit annoyed by it.

00:45:52.000 Regarding the abortion, I think it was one of the best performances.

00:45:55.000 I know it's a very tough topic for him.

00:45:58.000 And the way he's kind of self-criticized, he's very, very self-critical about it.

00:46:03.000 And I think he's just very, in my opinion, authentic about it.

00:46:08.000 I know Tim Walsh didn't do bad there as well, putting him on the spot.

00:46:12.000 I think J.D. Vance's response there was one of the highlights for me.

00:46:15.000 Yeah, it's been disappointing, though, to see over the past couple of years.

00:46:17.000 So even Mike Pence was more overtly pro-life.

00:46:20.000 I think Vance had a throwaway line in there saying, you know, I support life.

00:46:25.000 Something to that effect. But if you look at the way that the GOP is trending on abortion, it's pretty negative in the sense that now J.D. Vance, a few months ago, came out and said that he's for the abortion pills, which is the way that two-thirds of abortions now happen.

00:46:37.000 So You know, cards on the table, I'm about as anti-abortion as you can get as a Christian and a Republican.

00:46:43.000 And I look at that and I hear people talking about that, you know, in my personal life, not even just people who are as far in that issue as I am, but just like average, everyday, pro-life Catholic, something like that.

00:46:51.000 And they're saying, you know, the GOP is losing me on this one.

00:46:55.000 I'm curious though, J.D. Vance's response was largely, we want to make it so that women who have unintended pregnancies do not feel as though abortion is their only option, which really has become the talking point from Democrats, right?

00:47:07.000 Like, you're trapped with this man in this relationship you don't like.

00:47:11.000 J.D. Vance referenced a friend who had been in an abusive relationship to have an abortion.

00:47:16.000 Or the economic challenges of young families or young couples trying to buy houses or support these families is part of the obligation of pro-life Americans to win back people on the idea that family is good and that bringing a child into the world, even if it's not under ideal circumstances, is worth doing? I also think for the right, there's a very important consideration in that a large reason women get abortions is because they feel like they do not have support in having these kids, and it's the fault of men.

00:47:43.000 We have a cultural problem that is not just men, not just women.

00:47:47.000 It is a social development issue for us.

00:47:50.000 and i i i don't i want to put singular blame on anyone for people are generation housing is too expensive young people need better paying jobs gen z needs bill to get houses we need young men to learn what it is to be a man and be responsible to the women that they are with and women need to know if they're with a man that that that man is going to help take care of that child because that's that's what jd vance pointed out that he knew a woman

00:48:19.000 she was in an abusive relationship and she was she was scared that if you had a kid she have no support in this guy was gonna be really bad and i don't i don't know that i appreciate that reason for terminating a pregnancy but jd vance makes a great point that you certainly have to overcome that hurdle if we're going to win trust back Yeah, so I've been to Kenya a couple of times.

00:48:36.000 So this is back when I was in high school, early college.

00:48:38.000 And the way that they view children was one of the first things I noticed about their culture, where they unconditionally see children as a blessing.

00:48:43.000 So I was spending a lot of time in the slums in Kenya, and their mothers, they were with several kids, and they were like, you know...

00:48:48.000 My children are the best. So I think it's actually really a cultural problem and spiritual problem we have in the United States where even though we are one of the wealthiest countries in the world, and obviously it's gotten worse over the past few years, people see it as a legitimate option just murdering your child at the abortion mill or with the abortion pills.

00:49:02.000 And I don't think that statements like this are helpful at all in reverse in that culture.

00:49:06.000 I think there's a sense in which our politicians and our laws actually catechize the culture, and I think they ought to be fostering life.

00:49:13.000 You know, Vance had some ways in doing that.

00:49:15.000 I think there's a good debate to have about social policy, you know, supporting, you know, mothers who, you know, with maternity leave, stuff like that.

00:49:22.000 You can talk about all that. But, you know, in terms of...

00:49:25.000 You have to also address the elephant in the room, which is the fact that we're back to over a million abortions every single year.

00:49:29.000 I think... We see that on the surface.

00:49:32.000 And I think it's important to ask what is causing it.

00:49:34.000 And it's not just that young men are not growing up and taking responsibility.

00:49:38.000 It's also because there are young women who are raised in a culture that tells them don't have kids right now and who cares if you get an abortion. 0.97

00:49:45.000 So we need to reinstill in our young people. 0.98

00:49:49.000 Pride, responsibility, and hard work, right?

00:49:54.000 And that means that, hey look, if you want to have a relationship and it results in a pregnancy, take responsibility, both of you, and have a kid, and kids are good things, but that needs to be the general idea that is ingrained in people.

00:50:07.000 I think too much right now, it's permanent adolescence.

00:50:10.000 Young men are like, I can play video games. 0.99

00:50:12.000 I can drink beer and go with my friends.

00:50:13.000 I got no responsibilities. I think it was Pete Buttigieg who said this.

00:50:17.000 He was like, men are freer when abortion is available.

00:50:21.000 So... I think it's not just that we have all this abortion.

00:50:25.000 Ron Paul said it great. It shouldn't be illegal.

00:50:27.000 It should be unthinkable. And that's the very libertarian approach.

00:50:30.000 I like that because socially we should say a woman should never have to deal with the thought that she's in trouble.

00:50:37.000 It should always be a blessing.

00:50:38.000 And young men need to be men and carry a big old sack of bricks to build a house and be responsible. 0.98

00:50:43.000 And there's pride in that.

00:50:44.000 I like the trust comment because what I took from it was so far Democrats have successfully sold to you that losing your right to have an abortion means that you're about to lose health care and fertility treatments and all of these things.

00:51:00.000 They made it not just about the singular act of abortion but about generally a threat to women's wellness overall.

00:51:05.000 And I think what's interesting about choosing the words like we want to win back your trust is to say you don't need to look at our policies in fear.

00:51:14.000 Like if you were in a culture that said we value life over anything else and your community is going to rally around you if you have a pregnancy in a circumstance that's maybe not ideal for you, then it makes it less about what you are losing and the danger you are hypothetically putting yourself in to being like, okay, this isn't maybe what I was going to do, but I can handle this.

00:51:33.000 I know that there's a much more optimistic and confident message.

00:51:36.000 And I do think, you know, I obviously, I mean, I would hope that no woman is in a position where she feels like abortion is the best solution for a pregnancy that she didn't want.

00:51:47.000 On the other hand, I do think that this is one of the areas that the pro-life movement hasn't been agile enough because they allow the conversation to always be in response to this attacking position.

00:51:59.000 They are the scary monsters and they need to kind of bring themselves out to closets and say, no, we're actually just your neighbors.

00:52:04.000 We're trying to help you. I think this is one last thing I'd say here is because I was with President Novak from Hungary just a few days ago talking about population collapse.

00:52:12.000 I know it's completely not off topic, but it goes back to the point.

00:52:15.000 This is a cultural issue, not only in the US, you know, the high abortion rates, you know, women not wanting to have kids, even men not wanting to have kids.

00:52:21.000 And, you know, we had a very personal discussion, did an interview with her as well, Stephen Shaw.

00:52:26.000 Who did a documentary on this.

00:52:28.000 And I think this issue will gain more and more traction.

00:52:31.000 Just the whole approach to having children and people thinking it's just already too many people on the planet was not able to have kids.

00:52:38.000 If you have kids, you can't, you know, achieve much in your careers, either your career or having a family.

00:52:44.000 I think the world is going to wake up to that problem impacting the US, impacting Europe, impacting Asia, even you mentioned – not Rwanda, you mentioned Kenya.

00:52:52.000 Even Africa is going to head down that path and, of course, Latin America. 0.99

00:52:56.000 So I think it's going to end up being a much bigger issue.

00:52:58.000 Real quick, do you think it's going to be too late?

00:53:01.000 We're already there within this century.

00:53:03.000 Numbers were insane. There's a reason Elon talks about it all the time.

00:53:06.000 So she launched a foundation and she talked to Elon about it as well.

00:53:09.000 He's been pretty supportive.

00:53:11.000 Within this century...

00:53:15.000 Multiple Asian countries, European countries, Canada.

00:53:18.000 The US has done well because of immigration, but that's not sustainable because where are you going to get these immigrants from? 1.00

00:53:22.000 Because Latin America is having that issue.

00:53:24.000 Asia is having that issue. Africa will soon have that issue.

00:53:27.000 Within this century, countries around the world will have their populations halve.

00:53:32.000 That's dropped by half.

00:53:33.000 And another scary thing is that there's never been a time in history where that was a global problem.

00:53:38.000 It happened to the Roman Empire, for example.

00:53:40.000 That was one of the reasons that – one of the reasons, one of the main reasons that the Roman Empire is no longer here.

00:53:45.000 The collapse of the Roman Empire.

00:53:47.000 But there's never been a time in history where that was successfully reversed.

00:53:52.000 Now President Novak, the reason she's getting a lot of traction, she probably had performed the best with her country Hungary.

00:53:58.000 That was one of the worst countries. She improved it by about 30%. 0.89

00:54:01.000 So she tested a few strategies, but there's no one strategy that works, which makes it a pretty scary problem.

00:54:07.000 I remember when Elon was posting about it all the time.

00:54:09.000 I'm like, why is Elon talking about this?

00:54:10.000 And I ignored it. There's already too many people in the world, and yet it's the complete opposite.

00:54:15.000 Well, I will say population collapse is a more complicated detriment than people realize.

00:54:22.000 One thing I would advocate for right now is reassessment of current human allocation.

00:54:29.000 So we got a lot of people on this planet.

00:54:31.000 But we got a lot of people who aren't as efficient as they can be.

00:54:34.000 The body positivity movement where you got, you know, people gorging themselves and doing these YouTube videos where they just eat endlessly until they get sick.

00:54:41.000 You know, there was a woman, I think, in South Korea who ate so much for her live stream, her stomach ruptured and she died.

00:54:46.000 Jesus. This is inefficient use of human energy.

00:54:49.000 But don't get me wrong, humans are free to do kind of whatever they want, but there's got to be, I don't know, certain limitations if someone's doing this harmful stuff.

00:54:56.000 The issue with population is that the more people we have, the more specialties we have.

00:55:01.000 Humans are brilliant.

00:55:02.000 An individual human can master a task.

00:55:06.000 There was a period on Earth where it was possible for a single human to know everything that humans knew.

00:55:13.000 Population was very, very small.

00:55:14.000 Humans knew very little. Now you're going to meet a guy, and you're like, what do you do?

00:55:18.000 It's like, I make the paneling for the SpaceX Starship.

00:55:22.000 You're like, just the panels? Yeah, I do metal fabrication, so I make panels.

00:55:26.000 That's it. That's all you do.

00:55:28.000 Yep. Back in the day, one guy might do everything to make a waggie as a carpenter.

00:55:32.000 Now... One guy makes wire.

00:55:34.000 One guy makes computer chips.

00:55:36.000 One guy makes transistors.

00:55:37.000 One person does these things.

00:55:39.000 In fact, now they're being automated in a lot of ways.

00:55:41.000 Humans, the more we have, the more finite we can have the specialties of each individual.

00:55:47.000 To put it simply, it might take 1,000 specialty jobs to make a car.

00:55:53.000 I don't know the exact number.

00:55:54.000 A spaceship might take 10,000 specialty positions because the more science we develop, the more specific an individual task has to be.

00:56:02.000 That means we need dramatically more human beings and population is collapsing.

00:56:07.000 We lose population, we are going to lose technology and we're going to wonder how we had spaceships in the first place.

00:56:13.000 This is why I think Elon is 100% correct.

00:56:16.000 And I'm a huge fan because he's building spaceships, trying to colonize Mars, working on bringing back free speech, telecommunications, electric cars.

00:56:24.000 I'm like, dang, this guy is doing it all.

00:56:25.000 So he's an African-American colonizer.

00:56:28.000 Certainly he is indeed.

00:56:30.000 But let's jump to this story, though, from Politico.

00:56:33.000 Harrison Trump taking America first tone on dock workers strike.

00:56:38.000 Foreign shipping companies that dominate seaborne trade draw bipartisan criticism at U.S. ports.

00:56:44.000 They say Vice President Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are so far taking the same side in the strike by East and Gulf Coast longshoremen speaking up for the American workers against the foreign-owned shipping companies that control ports in the U.S. The fact that major political leaders from both parties are taking aim at the European and Asian-based shipping companies represent an early political victory for the dock workers.

00:57:04.000 Quote, American workers should be able to negotiate for better wages, especially since the shipping companies are mostly foreign flag vessels, including the largest consortium one.

00:57:14.000 Trump said in a statement on Tuesday evening, the Singapore based one is the sixth largest shipping company in the world.

00:57:20.000 Harris also sounded a message sympathetic to the port workers on Wednesday, despite the risk that an extended strike could trigger price spikes and commodity shortages that would imperil her chances of defeating Donald Trump.

00:57:35.000 You better get your goods now.

00:57:37.000 You better fill up your gas tank, whatever it is you got to do, because we get so much of our stuff from overseas.

00:57:41.000 Your bananas, gone. Heineken, uh-oh, you're in trouble.

00:57:44.000 Imported cars, there's already a shortage of cars.

00:57:47.000 It is going to get intense and prices are going to go up.

00:57:50.000 Now, Kamala's in a rough spot. 1.00

00:57:51.000 Trump, not so much. Trump's going to come out and say, keep it up, boys.

00:57:54.000 We wish you the best. Why? The strike is good for Trump. I mean, it's brutal, but this is going to negatively impact the economy under Kamala Harris's watch, and that will benefit a challenging campaign. Kamala Harris, Joe Biden could come out and what is it, the Taft-Hartley Act, I think, I'm not sure. Taft-Hartley. Right, where they could basically say, get back to work or else.

00:58:17.000 But if he did that, the unions are all in this country going to be like, we're voting Trump, and they already may be.

00:58:22.000 The only thing Harris can do is support them while it tanks the economy and hurts our chance at winning this election.

00:58:29.000 That, you know, it's such a tight election.

00:58:32.000 Anything could make a difference. And this could genuinely make a big difference.

00:58:35.000 Just to kind of point out, 43% of all imports get through these ports on the East Coast.

00:58:40.000 Wow. The ones impacted by the strikes.

00:58:43.000 And that's, what, $5 billion per day.

00:58:47.000 That impacts everything from cherries, alcohol, home appliances, the auto industry.

00:58:51.000 And as you said, Tim, like, Kamala's in a very tough spot.

00:58:54.000 Because on one side, you've got Lee, or Biden, the Taft-Harley Act.

00:58:58.000 But if he does that, 90%, this year is 85%, but generally it's 90% of the donations by the unions are Democrat, 90%.

00:59:08.000 So if he invokes the Taft-Hardley Act, which I think George Bush did in 2002, I think it was.

00:59:16.000 That could backfire on him really badly.

00:59:18.000 But at the same time, if he does not reach a resolution, and just to point out, I think as far as I'm aware, the Longshoremen Union has not yet endorsed Kamala.

00:59:30.000 Usually they do, which kind of makes it even tougher for Kamala now. 0.90

00:59:35.000 So I don't know how she could solve this.

00:59:37.000 And this could end up, you know, they could bring, you know, the ports on the West Coast could try to compensate for that.

00:59:42.000 It's a very tricky situation.

00:59:44.000 We do know that the ports as well stocked up on imports before the strike, anticipating the strike.

00:59:50.000 But how long could they last?

00:59:51.000 The one that happened, the last one that happened was in 1977.

00:59:55.000 That lasted six weeks.

00:59:57.000 We don't have six weeks. No.

00:59:58.000 Right. Yeah, the time frame is the most important issue.

01:00:00.000 So I think you mentioned $5 billion.

01:00:01.000 I saw $4.5 billion from JP Morgan today.

01:00:04.000 So give it a few days, you're not really going to feel it, but give it a few weeks and cars aren't on the lots and then you're really going to feel it.

01:00:10.000 Again, that's before the election.

01:00:11.000 So end of October, if that's still happening, that could have a really big impact.

01:00:14.000 Seems like the worst part would hit right when the election is happening.

01:00:17.000 Oh, yeah.

01:00:32.000 And it's already having an impact. Sorry, the polls take time to show Polymarket.

01:00:36.000 Again, I use Polymarket all the time.

01:00:37.000 There's others, I'm sure. But I always look at it every day.

01:00:40.000 It's like every morning I look at a few things, including Polymarket.

01:00:43.000 A few days ago, Kamala was ahead 50 to 48.

01:00:47.000 After the debate, it went 49, 48.

01:00:49.000 And it's more margins, but they make a difference.

01:00:50.000 49, 48. Again, Kamala.

01:00:53.000 And after this news started gaining traction, now it's 49-49 as of earlier today.

01:00:57.000 So it's back to it being even.

01:00:59.000 It was like a five-point difference a week ago.

01:01:01.000 And that's, again, people betting money.

01:01:03.000 That means if they bet wrong, they lose their money.

01:01:05.000 It's not just saying, hey, I'll vote Kamala, I'll vote Trump.

01:01:09.000 So I think that is important to note.

01:01:11.000 I think this will continue to develop if they can't reach a resolution.

01:01:14.000 Actually, in aggregate, I pulled up the real clear polling betting odds.

01:01:19.000 Trump is actually ahead by 0.1 in the betting average.

01:01:23.000 Did you see how it's changed over the last few days?

01:01:27.000 Yes. Oh, nice.

01:01:28.000 Look at that. So Trump just pulled the lead very slightly.

01:01:31.000 I do think the J.D. Vance-Tim Waltz debate is going to give Trump a tiny bit of a fraction of a point.

01:01:39.000 I don't know if it's a full point off that because it's the VP debate.

01:01:42.000 But you take a look at this. Betfair has Trump winning by one point, 48 to 47.

01:01:46.000 Betson has it tied 51 to 51, which is kind of odd.

01:01:49.000 That makes no sense. Bovada, I don't know what their metrics are.

01:01:52.000 Bovada is 50-50.

01:01:54.000 Bwin is 50-50.

01:01:55.000 Points bet is tied 51-51.

01:01:58.000 Polymarket 48-48.

01:02:00.000 Smarket's 48-48.

01:02:01.000 Because of Betfair, this one, giving Trump a one-point lead, Trump is slightly ahead of Harris to win.

01:02:08.000 So in the betting markets, he's getting favored.

01:02:11.000 I've got to tell you, it's going to be a sour day for Alan Lichtman.

01:02:14.000 They call him political Nostradamus with the keys to the White House.

01:02:17.000 If he gets this one wrong, he will have that on his face.

01:02:21.000 That's a big change. If you look at the chart, it's a massive change.

01:02:23.000 It only happened in the last few days. The margin was 6 points on September 21st.

01:02:29.000 About a week ago, a week and a half ago, six-point difference Harris.

01:02:34.000 Yeah. And then you see it going down, and then in the last two days, yeah, it went massively.

01:02:39.000 So three days ago, it was two-point difference, three-point difference, two-point, and then now Trump is ahead.

01:02:44.000 Well, look at this. On the sidebar, you can see here that Trump is winning in the battlegrounds by 0.1 points.

01:02:51.000 Nationally, Harris is up 2.2.

01:02:53.000 However, we expect there to be a three-point margin of error.

01:02:56.000 So this is toss-up.

01:02:58.000 Now, if we factor in the 2016 and the 2020 biases that favor Democrats, that would put Trump up one point.

01:03:04.000 On the low end, on the high end, he's up two points.

01:03:07.000 But ignore that, because we don't know for sure, and Harris is winning in the national polls, but national polls don't win you elections.

01:03:12.000 It's starting to come into focus.

01:03:15.000 Early voting is happening now, but it does seem like we may be on track for a Donald Trump victory with a Kamala Harris popular vote margin victory.

01:03:23.000 Back to the longshoremen. 0.93

01:03:24.000 I don't know how many people are going to feel sympathetic to them.

01:03:27.000 They approximately make $43 an hour.

01:03:30.000 You know, $25 in Philadelphia and then $120 in California.

01:03:35.000 And we have North Carolina.

01:03:36.000 We have Tennessee. We have Florida. We have the huge hurricanes.

01:03:38.000 And they're going to start losing supplies.

01:03:40.000 And it's going to be terrible for them if they don't come back to start working.

01:03:43.000 So I don't know who's going to do that.

01:03:46.000 Automation is one of the big issues for the longshoremen.

01:03:48.000 They want guarantees in their contract.

01:03:50.000 They're not going to get replaced by robots.

01:03:51.000 And they're not going to give it to them. Right.

01:03:54.000 And actually, one of the complaints they had is that despite their demands for contract guarantees, these companies have been bringing the robots in anyway.

01:04:01.000 You look at China, they're already automated.

01:04:04.000 Now, it's tough.

01:04:06.000 Do we just say we're going to keep your jobs forever despite the technology existing to automate your position?

01:04:11.000 I say bring the technology.

01:04:13.000 That being said, I don't believe we should punish the workers.

01:04:16.000 We need to find a soft landing for people who lose their jobs through no fault of their own.

01:04:21.000 Yeah, public perception is an interesting phenomenon, because over the past decade or so, unions have surged to, I think, the highest public popularity in a long time.

01:04:29.000 So it could be interesting to see if they're viewed as selfish, if that could start to reverse.

01:04:34.000 Right now, unions are in a strong position.

01:04:36.000 But I agree, long term, it's got to be automation.

01:04:38.000 I mean, it's hard to imagine in 2100 that, with the technology currently intact, that we're still going to be having these handful of union guys unloading all the boats.

01:04:46.000 And again, I I think it's interesting that it reflects fears that probably, like, long-haul truck drivers have and other industries that...

01:05:06.000 You know, hypothetically, there is a way to automate the job into, you know, automate them out of a job.

01:05:13.000 Maybe that's not happening in the next two years.

01:05:15.000 Maybe it's happening in the next 10.

01:05:17.000 But there are people who this is sort of the trade, right?

01:05:20.000 Their dads were in these industries.

01:05:21.000 This is the industry they go into and to think that they are going to Yes.

01:05:28.000 I can see that being a big issue, something that you would be willing to say, I know we have crisis right now, but we feel like this is our argument issue, more so than the wages. I've heard the wages things before, that they have high wages, so what are they arguing about? But they do say, you know, West Coast has higher.

01:05:44.000 Yes, yeah, but they want wages even higher than West Coast. 0.99

01:05:47.000 I think they want a 77% hike, which means they'll be higher paid than the West Coast.

01:05:53.000 No sure if that's a negotiation tactic.

01:05:55.000 I assume it's in part negotiation, right?

01:05:57.000 You're not going to ask for exactly what you want.

01:05:58.000 Philadelphia is only 25K, it says, per Brave AI. 25K a year, which is 4% less than national average, is nothing.

01:06:06.000 25K is zero. Hey, look, these guys go on strike.

01:06:09.000 What if the company is just bringing the robots?

01:06:11.000 Okay, you guys are on strike. Robots, come on in.

01:06:13.000 Take their jobs. You can strike as long as you want.

01:06:16.000 If they could do it quickly, but it takes time.

01:06:18.000 I think this is going to be resolved.

01:06:21.000 I think eventually robots have to take their place.

01:06:23.000 Otherwise, the U.S. will no longer be competitive.

01:06:25.000 I think that's long term. But what I'm really contemplating is how big of an impact this will have in five weeks' time.

01:06:32.000 I'm worried about the disaster zones too, man.

01:06:35.000 We need to worry about those folks. Yeah.

01:06:37.000 Especially if they have to wait five weeks for the result because then they actually are waiting like, what, ten weeks for the goods to finally get to them?

01:06:42.000 The government's already effing them over. But here's a simple one.

01:06:45.000 It's time to stop being so reliant on imports and we need to make sure that we're doing as much as we can here at home.

01:06:51.000 I get it. You want bananas?

01:06:52.000 We can only do so much.

01:06:54.000 You want avocados? We can only do so much.

01:06:55.000 We got avocados in California, I'm pretty sure, but we get a lot from Mexico.

01:06:58.000 And when it comes to shipping, we're getting a lot of these coming from the Caribbean and other island nations.

01:07:06.000 So... You might just not be able to get your bananas or your Heineken, which is coming from Europe.

01:07:12.000 Where does Heineken come from? I think it's Germany.

01:07:14.000 I'm pretty sure it's Germany. Belgium? Yeah, I think it's right. 0.99

01:07:15.000 Or Belgium? This is what I actually thought was one of J.D. Vance's best moments on stage.

01:07:20.000 I was going to talk about the debate the whole time.

01:07:22.000 Wow, we were all wrong. Per certainty.

01:07:24.000 Oh, really? Okay. The European. 0.73

01:07:26.000 He got it. But JD Vance said, you know, if you are really concerned about the environment, you would want U.S. manufacturing to move back to the U.S. because we have the cleanest economy.

01:07:36.000 Like, we hold ourselves to standards that other nations don't.

01:07:38.000 And I feel similarly about shippings and goods.

01:07:40.000 Like, if you are concerned about being dependent on international shippings, then we should want to buy domestically.

01:07:46.000 There is this...

01:07:48.000 Well, this is the way we operate, so we have to continue this system when really I think Americans are looking to say we are dependent on everyone but ourselves.

01:07:56.000 Yeah, slight rabbit trail. So I was shocked at the debate last night where, you know, obviously they're going to ask about Khalid, but what they asked was not about, you know, do you think the federal government is helping the victims properly?

01:08:05.000 They asked about what do you think this says about climate change?

01:08:08.000 They didn't care at all about the actual people who were suffering.

01:08:10.000 They're like, what about climate change? And I think Vance did a good job of making the human element back in, basically saying we're praying for the people who are down there and suffering and pivoting back to the manufacturing stuff.

01:08:20.000 But I was just floored that the media didn't even care enough about Appalachia to say, ask one question about what do you think the federal government is doing a good job at helping them out?

01:08:29.000 Well, we can't critique Biden because then we're critiquing Harris.

01:08:32.000 And, you know, I thought CBS, other than a couple obvious moments, generally did better than the previous debate moderators.

01:08:38.000 But, you know, they obviously can't risk Kamala Harris seeming like she didn't do a good job by not going down there. 0.54

01:08:45.000 She's finally going to Georgia, I heard.

01:08:47.000 Biden was in North Carolina today.

01:08:49.000 I think there is this...

01:08:51.000 Keeping all disasters at arm's length so you don't look like it's happening in your America, which is the nimbyism that put manufacturing somewhere else in the first place and caused all kinds of economic weakness. 0.64

01:09:00.000 Guys, I've got a question for you.

01:09:02.000 The head of the Longshoremen Union, he met Trump in 2023.

01:09:07.000 I didn't give this too much importance, but he hasn't met Kamala and Biden in years.

01:09:11.000 Do you think that could be a shift within the union or other unions towards the right?

01:09:17.000 Because I genuinely think this could flip the election one way or another.

01:09:21.000 Look at the Teamsters. I don't know how the Democrats are going to win when the Teamsters have flipped.

01:09:26.000 You've lost the unions then.

01:09:28.000 What do they have? I mean, look, I get it.

01:09:31.000 Everyone says, as soon as I say this, they're going to do mail-in ballots or something like that.

01:09:34.000 I get it. I get it. But do you think that strike was potentially politically motivated, at least the timing of it?

01:09:40.000 Doc workers? I don't know.

01:09:43.000 Was it planned out? Didn't they have it planned out?

01:09:44.000 They went on strike when their contract expired, and their contract was set six years ago.

01:09:49.000 Yeah, the West Coast cannot because of that contract.

01:09:52.000 You're right. Right. Why the Biden-Harris administration did not see this coming when it's been brewing for a while, I don't know.

01:09:58.000 You think they would have leaned on someone to be like, push this back until December.

01:10:03.000 But again, either the workers didn't comply, whatever it was.

01:10:08.000 What I wonder, more so than a shift in the union workers, and it might be that there's a political sentiment shift there, is...

01:10:14.000 Is this evidence of lip service from the Biden-Harris administration?

01:10:18.000 They tout Biden as the most pro-union president.

01:10:21.000 He stood on a picket line.

01:10:22.000 No one's ever done that before.

01:10:23.000 But he didn't even seem to be prepared to intervene preemptively on this.

01:10:28.000 I thought he was so pro-workers.

01:10:30.000 They've been clear that they are unhappy and they want to negotiate.

01:10:33.000 But there was sort of a standstill.

01:10:35.000 He didn't try to break in then and negotiate between workers and employees.

01:10:39.000 He just sort of let it happen.

01:10:41.000 Maybe that's because he hates Kamala Harris and was like, well, I'll just let you burn.

01:10:45.000 Right. Well, this happened two years ago where I think it was the railways also went on strike right before the election.

01:10:50.000 It was the same exact questions we're asking now.

01:10:52.000 Is this going to affect outcomes?

01:10:54.000 Are people going to be upset as the supply chain is shut down?

01:10:57.000 But again, it's a replay of two years ago.

01:10:58.000 Do you think that American workers are sympathetic to Kamala Harris when she says stuff like, I am the middle class?

01:11:06.000 No. I mean, she went to elite schools and so forth, and she's been in politics her entire life. 0.93

01:11:14.000 It's hard to imagine.

01:11:15.000 And I think they see Trump as more genuine just because he's more Americana, so to speak.

01:11:20.000 Sure, he comes from a wealthy family, but...

01:11:22.000 He comes from multifamily, but he actually did manage workers and work with other companies.

01:11:27.000 In a business sense, I think he is the one you'd actually want in the room.

01:11:31.000 She's a politician. She's the one pushing the legislations that make life difficult for the workers and for the companies. 1.00

01:11:37.000 He's on the other side of that being like, how do we get our work done?

01:11:39.000 I told him just to play a clip now.

01:11:41.000 I want you to listen to the leader of the union to give you an idea of who Kamala has to negotiate with.

01:11:47.000 Listen to this. Now you start to realize who the longshoremen are, right?

01:11:55.000 People never gave a s*** about us until now, when they finally realized that the chain is being broke now.

01:12:02.000 Cars won't come in.

01:12:04.000 Food won't come in.

01:12:06.000 Clothing won't come in.

01:12:07.000 You know how many people depend on our jobs?

01:12:10.000 Half the world!

01:12:11.000 And it's time for them and time for Washington to put so much pressure on them to take care of us because we took care of them and we're here 135 years and brought to where they are today and they don't want to share!

01:12:25.000 Imagine negotiating with that guy.

01:12:27.000 I don't know what's going to happen.

01:12:29.000 Here's one question. Isn't this the guy who said, I will cripple you?

01:12:34.000 Or is that somebody else? That's him, Harold Daggett.

01:12:36.000 He makes almost a million a year, by the way.

01:12:38.000 I still like him.

01:12:41.000 Look, I understand, like, you know, we got some people chatting saying, I don't appreciate that.

01:12:45.000 You're saying you're going to cripple us when we're, you know, dealing with this inflation, plus it's a disaster.

01:12:49.000 But in terms of fighting for his people, you got to respect it.

01:12:52.000 Yeah, I absolutely respect that.

01:12:54.000 That guy's a union leader right there.

01:12:57.000 Don't hate the play, hate the game.

01:12:58.000 That's what unions are meant to do. 0.99

01:13:00.000 So you're just playing the game.

01:13:02.000 If you don't like what unions stand for, there's other ways to solve it.

01:13:05.000 Why did the Democrats send two terrible negotiators to the White House?

01:13:09.000 I mean, this is the question.

01:13:11.000 If you're saying, I don't appreciate that you're going to cripple us, the question should be like, did you vote Democrat last time?

01:13:16.000 Because the only response to a strong negotiator is another strong negotiator.

01:13:20.000 Shall we jump to the more scandalous of the stories of the day?

01:13:25.000 From the post-millennial Doug Emhoff, for those that don't know, that's Kamala Harris' husband, accused by anonymous sources claiming to be friends to his ex of slapping his then-girlfriend in France in 22.

01:13:36.000 It's kind of an awkward way to write the headline, so I'll give you the simple version.

01:13:40.000 According to a Daily Mail exclusive with multiple sources, Kamala Harris' husband, Doug Emhoff, slapped his ex-girlfriend for, quote, flirting with another man.

01:13:49.000 But the story is actually, and it's been corroborated by numerous people, they say...

01:13:54.000 He was on a date with someone at the Cannes Film Festival.

01:13:56.000 She went to the valet to get her car pulled up and she put her hand on his shoulder.

01:14:02.000 Emhoff then walked up, grabbed her by the shoulder and spun around and then just BAM! So hard in the face, she spun around.

01:14:09.000 Then forced himself into her car as she was trying to flee.

01:14:14.000 It's scandalous. I don't know.

01:14:16.000 It's salacious.

01:14:18.000 It's the exclusive story that's in the news right now.

01:14:21.000 And they say they've got documents proving the travel, text messages from the friends confirming the story.

01:14:26.000 And it looks like Kamala Harris's husband is a woman beater. 0.68

01:14:30.000 That's a very bad week for Kamala. 0.99

01:14:32.000 You've got the debate. You've got the union strike.

01:14:35.000 And now you've got Emhoff. No wonder why the betting polls are showing the margin flip.

01:14:41.000 Hillary Clinton said October Surprise is going to pervert Kamala Harris. 1.00

01:14:45.000 Yeah. It's going to try and make Kamala Harris look bad. 1.00

01:14:49.000 So did she know this was coming?

01:14:50.000 There was that other story where Doug Emhoff – and I think this is pretty much confirmed – that he had an affair with his children's nanny who was also a teacher at the school.

01:14:58.000 But the other part was that allegedly what mitigated the divorce – or what spurred the divorce more than anything was that she got pregnant and the rumor is that he pressured her to have an abortion.

01:15:10.000 Well, according to the story from the Daily Mail, she had a miscarriage and then he paid off a settlement of $80,000 with a non-disclosure agreement.

01:15:19.000 They say this right here.

01:15:20.000 According to friends, Emhoff did not say how he was allegedly responsible for the miscarriage, and he told Jane the nanny's claims were false.

01:15:37.000 But the second gentleman allegedly confessed to Jane that he paid Naylor a settlement of around $80,000 and had the nanny sign a non-disclosure agreement.

01:15:45.000 He was previously dubbed by Democrats as a wife guy and a mensch, a Yiddish term for an honorable kind man.

01:15:51.000 He's also spoken out in media interviews about being an ally to him and against toxic masculinity.

01:15:56.000 You know, look, when I read this and they say that he paid her 80 grand with an NDA and she accused him of causing a miscarriage, sounds more like he beat her.

01:16:04.000 It sounds brutal.

01:16:06.000 It sounds like she was pregnant and he beat her and the baby died.

01:16:10.000 Which is terrifying, right?

01:16:11.000 That's a very serious situation and no one seems to be willing to address it in the mainstream media.

01:16:17.000 Is this story confirmed? Yeah, exactly.

01:16:19.000 Because I can't see it on Fox News.

01:16:21.000 It doesn't have it on their front page. It should be the main story on their front page.

01:16:24.000 The slapping the woman, Daily Mail says they have corroborating confirmations.

01:16:28.000 Separate individuals who were...

01:16:30.000 It's because he has a beard. Look at him.

01:16:32.000 So their claims are, and look, let's say the slapping thing is not true.

01:16:36.000 Their claim is that they've got multiple friends who provided documents of text and of the trip confirming that this happened.

01:16:42.000 Fine. Maybe.

01:16:44.000 I don't know. But I'm asking about the nanny story.

01:16:46.000 This Nayyin Naylor. 0.91

01:16:48.000 That it is true that he impregnated her?

01:16:51.000 Yeah, I think.

01:17:06.000 Wow. And that the nanny was at school.

01:17:08.000 I remember... So this story came up a couple...

01:17:10.000 I think maybe a month or two ago.

01:17:12.000 And someone found the nanny, right?

01:17:15.000 She's living a different life now. 0.69

01:17:16.000 I think she's living on the East Coast.

01:17:18.000 And she wouldn't talk about it.

01:17:19.000 Now, obviously, if you sign a non-disclosure agreement, you can't talk about it.

01:17:23.000 But as far as we know, she doesn't have any children.

01:17:25.000 So if she did become pregnant and the miscarriage is true, there is not a child, a love child between her and Doug Emhoff.

01:17:33.000 What I think is hard is like, is this going to be something we get kind of raining down on us for the next couple of weeks?

01:17:38.000 Like all these stories of Doug Emhoff being sort of brutal towards women.

01:17:43.000 That's not great.

01:17:44.000 Seems like we've just scratched the surface.

01:17:45.000 A lot of these male feminists actually have pretty bad histories with women. 1.00

01:17:49.000 There's actually, I've noticed that over the past couple of years where a lot of these guys who are very woke in public and very pro-feminists are actually very bad to women.

01:17:57.000 It seems like you shouldn't say, well, I'm, you know, anti-toxic masculinity because that's to tell that you are actually probably an untrustworthy man.

01:18:05.000 Oh, yeah. I mean, for the past month, I've seen nothing in the media about Doug Emhoff except for these stories about him being this model man and propping up his wife and so forth.

01:18:13.000 But it's all facade.

01:18:14.000 Yes. Yeah, so I'm trying to find out the source because it is – there's no evidence to back it.

01:18:22.000 But – Yeah, it's hard to know.

01:18:25.000 It's hard to know. Either way, it's an exclusive Daily Mail story.

01:18:29.000 I'm talking about the nanny one. 0.89

01:18:30.000 Oh, the pregnancy one. Yeah, I'm trying to find out more about that one.

01:18:33.000 There's not much there.

01:18:34.000 He hasn't commented on it either.

01:18:37.000 But either way, I think it will have, again, any small story could have an impact on the election in a few weeks' time.

01:18:45.000 But also this stuff isn't getting talked about publicly.

01:18:47.000 I mean to be fair, these are difficult things to confirm if no one is willing to say anything.

01:18:52.000 On the other hand, this is not the way we treat Republicans, right?

01:18:56.000 Like he is maybe getting a pass especially as the stories get more serious.

01:19:00.000 They seem to indicate a level of violence that they didn't have before.

01:19:04.000 You know, it's – One thing to sort of promote salacious gossip that he was unfaithful and that's why his marriage broke up.

01:19:11.000 But to have this now developing suggested pattern of like very nefarious behavior, maybe manipulative or abusive behavior towards women, you know, you can't really be married to our girl boss feminist president and just turn a blind eye to that. 0.96

01:19:25.000 It's difficult for the Kamala Harris to respond to without acknowledging the stories are present which they don't want to do. 0.93

01:19:30.000 Well, I think it matters if the second gentleman who wants to be the first gentleman is a woman beater. 0.92

01:19:38.000 Yes. For sure. It doesn't matter as much as policy and real discussions over what these individuals will be doing, but if there is a security issue in the White House. 0.82

01:19:47.000 That being said, ladies and gentlemen, get ready for the wildest month of your life because October has only just begun.

01:19:54.000 Oh, it's the second. It's the second.

01:19:55.000 Yep. Here we go. We got another 29 days to go.

01:19:58.000 I'm excited for Halloween, by the way, and then a couple more days right up to the election.

01:20:02.000 But here's the thing. The October surprise, usually, we have election day.

01:20:08.000 We got election month now, which means deep impact stories, rapid fire.

01:20:13.000 Before, it'd be like one big story a week out before the election in October, and everyone's like, oh, no, and they try to knock you down so that right before the election, it's hard to recover.

01:20:21.000 Yeah. They got the whole month.

01:20:23.000 People are going to be voting. So it don't matter.

01:20:25.000 Every day, starting from now until the 5th, every day is election day.

01:20:31.000 So they're going to need all of these stories.

01:20:33.000 It's going to get absolutely insane.

01:20:35.000 The best they could get on J.D. Vance, I guess, is any mansplains.

01:20:38.000 They don't. I don't feel like this.

01:20:40.000 Maybe independents, but something like this will not affect anyone who's a Democrat voter.

01:20:44.000 If they're already a Democrat voter, I don't see them.

01:20:46.000 If the guy could have beat up five girls and they don't care because they don't like Trump, they hate Trump.

01:20:50.000 And it's different, again, because it's like, you know, text messages, people who couldn't account for the story, that's a little more solid than just this kind of widely held belief that's why this marriage broke up because of infidelity and actually infidelity maybe had some other components to it.

01:21:06.000 It's different than when George W. Bush's like DUI came to light.

01:21:11.000 But then Al Gore chose kind of not to bring that up.

01:21:13.000 I mean some stuff both campaigns will be like we can't touch that because it's actually messy for both of us.

01:21:19.000 And I wonder if this is one of the issues.

01:21:21.000 If you're the Trump campaign and they've already tried to paint you out as like this man who's sort of violent and aggressive towards women, then it would be difficult to start trying to push that this this claim against Doug Emhoff is addressed.

01:21:34.000 And Trump only, real quick, Trump only grabbed a woman.

01:21:37.000 He did not slap any woman.

01:21:38.000 So I do want to point out that the Daily Mail is the one that broke the story on the nanny, cheating with the nanny.

01:21:47.000 I'm not sure when it comes to abortion.

01:21:48.000 I'm trying to find out more about this.

01:21:49.000 And then he admitted to it.

01:21:51.000 So Doug did admit to CNN. He said, Kirsten and I went through some tough times on account of my actions.

01:21:59.000 I took responsibility. And in the years since, we worked through things as a family and have come out stronger on the other side.

01:22:07.000 So he did admit to cheating on his wife.

01:22:10.000 We don't know. Maybe you probably know this already.

01:22:12.000 And that only came out in August.

01:22:13.000 And that was also the story brought by the Daily Mail, which broke this story as well.

01:22:17.000 It was confirmed that – he confirmed that he was – that the divorce was because of his actions, the infidelity.

01:22:23.000 But his first wife has come out to his defense several times now but at that time was like, I'm very proud that he was – he's the father of my children and we're on good terms is basically her stance.

01:22:35.000 No one has ever really addressed the component of like did the nanny fall pregnant?

01:22:39.000 What happened in that case?

01:22:40.000 Right. And it's a good point that this is now election month.

01:22:43.000 So I wonder if we know that Democrats and Democrat leaders, which I think is more important than people who are solid blue and are going to vote for Kamala no matter what comes out over the next month.

01:22:50.000 But I wonder about the timing of these stories because now that early voting is just starting in certain states, I think we're going to see a lot more blue-leaning October surprises, you know, targeted at Democrats and targeted at Kamala in her circles.

01:23:01.000 And then I think later in the month we're going to see more red and targeted at Trump October surprises.

01:23:06.000 I think there's more to this Daily Mail story.

01:23:08.000 No one's talking about it in the media.

01:23:10.000 Even though there's a few women, according to the Daily Mail, a few women who told the Daily Mail they've corroborated the allegation.

01:23:16.000 So there is a possibility they're holding off the story for political purposes.

01:23:20.000 So we might see a lot more from this because it's surprising that the media is not talking about this a lot more.

01:23:25.000 Not really. I mean, the corporate press does not want to put out information damaging to the Democrats.

01:23:30.000 No, even the right-leaning press is not putting it out.

01:23:33.000 I looked at Fox News. It should be on their front page.

01:23:36.000 Yeah, that's true. Maybe they're timing it.

01:23:39.000 I don't know. No, I think you're right.

01:23:40.000 I think perhaps Daily Mail, this is 10% of the story, and then they're waiting to put out the photos.

01:23:45.000 They're priming it. Oh, photos of him doing that?

01:23:48.000 Yeah, that'll be fun. I mean, the woman got slapped. 1.00

01:23:51.000 Someone took a picture of her face. 0.93

01:23:52.000 I mean, imagine a day before the election, the woman's giving an interview, talking about it in detail.

01:23:58.000 A live interview on 60 Minutes.

01:24:00.000 And she still has a red face, so they paint a face that's like a slap hand. 0.96

01:24:03.000 No, but they show photos of being like, after he hit me, my friends took pictures to document the abuse.

01:24:08.000 But to your point, if Democrats are more likely to vote by mail, the day before the election is almost too late if the attack is on the Democrats.

01:24:17.000 Which means it'll be coming in a week.

01:24:19.000 Yeah, exactly. By the time we finish this episode.

01:24:22.000 Tomorrow, episode two.

01:24:24.000 Well, this happened to me a couple days ago when Iran launched those missiles at Israel.

01:24:28.000 While I was live, people are like, hey, there's a fear that Iran's going to launch missiles, and I'm like, sure. 1.00

01:24:33.000 Show wraps up. Thanks for watching.

01:24:34.000 Have a nice day. And then I look at my phone, missiles launched by Iran, and I'm like, well, you know, right when the show ends.

01:24:40.000 And that happened to you with the pager thing, too?

01:24:41.000 You were, like, getting updates live in the chat.

01:24:43.000 Oh, I was covering the pager explosion story, and while I had it pulled up, someone said, hey, walkie-talkies just exploded in Lebanon, and I was like, what?

01:24:52.000 Crazy story. But what's crazy to me is I know they started talking about Iran, Israel, Lebanon at the beginning of the debate.

01:24:57.000 I know we've digressed again. But that and Ukraine was barely mentioned.

01:25:01.000 I think these are – because the American people just don't care about it as much, which is surprising to me.

01:25:06.000 But I think that's something that could boil out of control and, again – It looks really bad for Kamala if you add the Middle East to the mix. 1.00

01:25:17.000 So you've got the husband. You've got the strike. 0.91

01:25:19.000 You've got the debate, which will disappear.

01:25:22.000 It's not going to have much of an impact.

01:25:23.000 And you've got the Middle East.

01:25:25.000 So it's not good times for the Democrats right now.

01:25:28.000 But the Middle East is very concerning, and I think it should be getting a lot more attention.

01:25:32.000 Did you say that it's surprising to you that Americans don't care about the foreign conflict?

01:25:36.000 They don't care. Not surprising.

01:25:39.000 It is... I think it's just fatigue.

01:25:43.000 I think it's been going on for so long.

01:25:44.000 You've got the Ukraine war. It's like a nuclear war.

01:25:46.000 It's been talked about all the whole year.

01:25:47.000 You've got the Gaza, Gaza, Gaza, Gaza, which as heartbreaking as what's happening there is, how long could people sustain it for?

01:25:54.000 Even the assassination people are not talking about.

01:25:56.000 The assassination, almost the close assassination, the Trump was shot in the ear, almost killed.

01:26:01.000 No one's talking about it. Which one?

01:26:04.000 Exactly. It's crazy to me.

01:26:06.000 Me and Tim were talking about it earlier.

01:26:07.000 The president was almost killed.

01:26:10.000 So many unanswered questions.

01:26:12.000 It was not even brought up in either debate. 0.70

01:26:14.000 It was like an inch from a frickin' skull.

01:26:16.000 Trump had to bring it up in the first one.

01:26:17.000 Yeah.

01:26:18.000 I mean, I think it was even closer than that.

01:26:19.000 I think you're right.

01:26:20.000 I think Americans are politically fatigued.

01:26:23.000 And I think that was one of the reasons that the more cordial debate performed well with a lot of them.

01:26:26.000 But I also think that this was, I think the DNC and I think the Biden-Harris administration relied on fear to be the main motivator.

01:26:35.000 So it was like, you have to be supportive of Ukraine because Russia is this big, terrible enemy.

01:26:40.000 You must give them funding.

01:26:41.000 So they have been... I mean, that was what, almost two years ago?

01:26:44.000 Almost three at this point? Like...

01:26:45.000 There has been constant tension and fear.

01:26:47.000 But if you're in a state of fear and panic, your body actually reaches a level of equilibrium, right?

01:26:51.000 You get used to it. So then they try to layer more fear on.

01:26:54.000 Now we have Roe versus Wade and abortion rights. 0.86

01:26:56.000 And actually now Donald Trump is the biggest threat.

01:26:58.000 And I think Americans are sort of numb to this panic.

01:27:00.000 But that's the only motivator Democrats have for their voters right now.

01:27:04.000 It's true. It's been nine years of Trump as the boogeyman.

01:27:07.000 Like, that's almost a decade since he came down to Golden S-Clairs in 2015.

01:27:10.000 And this goes back to October's surprise.

01:27:12.000 Like, what more could they possibly find on him that they haven't already tried?

01:27:15.000 I mean, they did Access Hollywood in 2016.

01:27:17.000 That was bad. But, I mean, it's hard to imagine there's much worse that would even surprise anybody at this point.

01:27:22.000 I think the – something to mention where, Tim, me and you met at the – what was it?

01:27:26.000 Rescue the Republic. The positivity on that front to make America healthy again.

01:27:30.000 I think the narrative is changing, kind of countering that whole perception of Trump due to the media, of him being the boogeyman.

01:27:38.000 I think they're doing a really good job with Elon and Kennedy and Tulsi backing him.

01:27:43.000 I think that perception will slowly shift.

01:27:46.000 So we'll see. When you mentioned that earlier about them, and I know Tim talks about a lot, when you laid their names up, you said Elon, you said Tulsi, you said RFK. Just hearing you say that associated with Trump and JD, it is nice.

01:27:59.000 It's really neat. Three former Democrats.

01:28:01.000 Three former Democrats. I told you, Raymond, we'll get one out by the end of the show.

01:28:04.000 Half of one. Half of one.

01:28:07.000 It is incredible.

01:28:08.000 RFK Jr. I'm Maha all the way, man.

01:28:12.000 Maha's making America. Maha. 1.00

01:28:14.000 That's right. But come on, Harris has Dick Cheney.

01:28:16.000 I mean, what do you mean? I love that debate moment when J.D. Vance is like, when we see Tulsi Gabbard, RFK Jr.

01:28:24.000 with Donald Trump, and then Tim Walz is like, we've got Bernie Sanders and Dick Cheney.

01:28:28.000 It's like, oh! When I think politics and joy, I think Dick Cheney.

01:28:32.000 Yes, he's the future of optimism.

01:28:35.000 Aren't these coalitions weird, though?

01:28:36.000 Like, you've got RFK Jr., Tulsi, Vance, Trump, and then over here you've got Dick Cheney, Liz Cheney, Bernie, Kamala.

01:28:43.000 What is going on with politics in this country?

01:28:45.000 It's a whole new realignment.

01:28:47.000 It's basically establishment versus populist.

01:28:49.000 Yeah. It's awesome. I like it.

01:28:51.000 I mean, but what is Bernie Sanders doing?

01:28:53.000 He's... He's falling in line.

01:28:55.000 He was – I listened to this interview where he was like, look, I really thought Biden should stay in and I thought that right up until the end.

01:29:02.000 But now I think it should be Kamala Harris. 0.96

01:29:05.000 And like there's not really an explanation other than this is what the party has decided and we have to coalesce together so we're against Donald Trump.

01:29:12.000 I mean, I think that the fall in line instinct for Democrats was cultivated and executed, especially this summer.

01:29:21.000 But I don't think that there is a genuine tie between Bernie Sanders and Kamala Harris, which is very different than RFK, right?

01:29:30.000 Like RFK has really strong values, ran his own campaign as an independent, and then was like, look, I have goals for this country and I'm going to find a way to make them happen.

01:29:39.000 And in this case, it's by partnering with Donald Trump.

01:29:42.000 That's fascinating.

01:29:43.000 That's much more authentic.

01:29:44.000 Yeah, I just don't see if there's no major October surprise on the Democratic side.

01:29:49.000 I just don't see how Kamala could win, even though the polls and the betting platforms It's razor thin. It just doesn't add up.

01:29:59.000 Yeah, I was positive in 2020, and then they fortified it, so it stinks.

01:30:03.000 Shadow campaign. Yeah. Fortification.

01:30:07.000 So that's the challenge we have because I think on the merits, Trump has won the argument.

01:30:12.000 The economy is not good.

01:30:14.000 They're lying about it. Illegal immigration is out of control. 0.55

01:30:16.000 And those are the big issues. And Trump's got both of them.

01:30:19.000 So how are the betting markets 50-50?

01:30:21.000 How are the prediction markets favoring Kamala?

01:30:24.000 Shadow campaign. Democrats got better procedure game.

01:30:29.000 You do have to also remember, Kamala was on the betting platforms.

01:30:32.000 Kamala was winning by a wide margin.

01:30:34.000 Maybe you can put the chart again.

01:30:35.000 She was winning by a very wide margin, especially if you go earlier, as soon as she was swapped.

01:30:39.000 Look at that margin at the beginning. If you go back more to the left.

01:30:41.000 Almost 10 points. No, that was the Biden one.

01:30:44.000 10 point difference there.

01:30:46.000 Almost 10 points.

01:30:47.000 Exactly. Almost 10 point difference.

01:30:50.000 Again, it's surprising to me.

01:30:52.000 I think there's just a lot of people that just maybe hate Trump's character, for example.

01:30:56.000 It could be one thing and the JD could balance that.

01:30:57.000 Can I ask, for the betting markets, are the betting markets measuring who the average American thinks is likely to win the election or who they want to win the election?

01:31:05.000 So they're betting on. Yeah, exactly.

01:31:07.000 Because I think, especially given what happened in 2020 and people's skepticism about election security, there are people who are like, it's going to be Harris because that's who they've decided.

01:31:15.000 And so you would bet on that, but it's not necessarily indicative of what he's going to win.

01:31:18.000 Exactly, exactly. And that's the question, how much do you trust the system?

01:31:21.000 Because if you trust the system, that's a positive thing to the betting market because a lot of people don't trust the system and they bet Kamala's going to win even though more people will vote for Trump because it's all corrupt.

01:31:32.000 But if you trust the system, that means those people are wrong betting because they don't trust the system.

01:31:38.000 So that's a positive thing to Trump.

01:31:40.000 If the system is as corrupt as some people believe, then there's no point even looking at the betting markets.

01:31:45.000 I'm in the cap that the system is not as corrupt, and I hope I'm right, and I'm still a believer.

01:31:52.000 But I do think there's many ways to influence it unfairly, and we're seeing that, including lawfare.

01:31:58.000 Ben, do you have a prediction for our upcoming election?

01:32:01.000 I'm honest. I go back and forth, honestly.

01:32:03.000 So two years ago, when I was with The Daily Wire, I reported on Pennsylvania's midterms.

01:32:08.000 And I actually drove to Braddock, Pennsylvania, which is where, of course, John Fairman is from.

01:32:12.000 And I went asking questions about inflation and those kind of top-of-the-line issues.

01:32:16.000 And nobody even was thinking about that.

01:32:18.000 They're like, I'm 70 years old.

01:32:19.000 I've seen this happen three different times.

01:32:22.000 They actually, fascinatingly, were obsessed with the infrastructure build that had just passed.

01:32:26.000 And they're like, oh, our road got fixed.

01:32:27.000 So I think the fact that Money has been pouring out, and there have been a couple of big Biden administration funding packages.

01:32:33.000 I think that actually might have an impact.

01:32:35.000 I don't know.

01:32:37.000 The polls say one thing about what people value, but when you're that jaded and that set in your mindset on who you vote for politically and who you've been voting for for the past five decades of your life in some cases, maybe the polls don't reflect that as well.

01:32:50.000 What do you see as the dynamic for voters between Biden and Harris?

01:32:54.000 I felt, especially during the first debate, that she would say—she wouldn't use Biden's name, but she'd say, we accomplished so much, and then she would pivot to, I'm going to do this.

01:33:02.000 But she also obviously has tried to distance herself.

01:33:05.000 So with infrastructure bills, do Biden's look at that—voters look at that and say, Joe Biden got this, but he's not running anymore, so we don't give credit to Kamala Harris?

01:33:14.000 Or do they credit Kamala Harris with the new road?

01:33:17.000 Yeah. Yeah, they probably would credit Kamala as well.

01:33:19.000 But I mean, I think the biggest shift between Biden and Harris is the effect on men.

01:33:23.000 So I saw David Hogg tweeting about a month ago about this phenomenon.

01:33:26.000 Tim Walls' friend, David Hogg.

01:33:28.000 Yeah, Tim Walls' best friend, David Hogg, you know, apparently something about a school shooter.

01:33:32.000 But he was basically saying that...

01:33:35.000 He was trying to address the masculinity issue on the Democratic Party side, and he's theorizing.

01:33:40.000 And basically his conclusion was men went home in 2020, and they went into their basements because they weren't working.

01:33:47.000 They went online, and they became more misogynistic, and that's why this is happening.

01:33:50.000 So I think that's the biggest phenomenon is a lot of men won't be able to bring themselves to vote for Kamala.

01:33:56.000 Her overall vibe, for lack of a better term, but I don't think that Democrats are actually even thinking remotely closely on how to effectively address that issue.

01:34:03.000 A side issue, it's, I guess, aura, I learned today.

01:34:07.000 Aura, yeah. Aura's the new thing.

01:34:09.000 So, we're cooked with aura.

01:34:11.000 She's got some cooked aura going on, but yeah. 1.00

01:34:13.000 Cooked. That's the lingo we're using these days, guys, because we've got to be cool.

01:34:17.000 We've got to be hip with a Gen Z. All right, we're going to go to Super Chat, so if you haven't already, would you kindly smash that like button, subscribe to this channel, share the show with everyone you know, because it's the best show on the internet.

01:34:27.000 Everyone agrees. At least that's what I've been told.

01:34:30.000 And make sure you pick up our new song on iTunes.

01:34:32.000 You've got to buy it on iTunes.

01:34:33.000 Those are the rules they say. You buy them on iTunes, getcominghome.com.

01:34:37.000 The song is called Coming Home by Timcast.

01:34:40.000 We would appreciate it if you guys bought the song and helped us out.

01:34:43.000 Check it out if you like the song.

01:34:44.000 Are we 2 million subscribers yet?

01:34:46.000 I heard we're close. Are you close?

01:34:48.000 2 million subscribers.

01:34:50.000 We are currently...

01:34:51.000 Let's see what we got. Nope.

01:34:54.000 As of right now, my friends, we have 1,997,323 subscribers.

01:35:00.000 So we are only about 2,600 or so subscribers away from cracking 2 million.

01:35:06.000 If you are watching right now and you did not subscribe, you will smash that subscribe button and we will...

01:35:11.000 Crack $2 million before the show is over.

01:35:13.000 And grab your mom and dad's phones and just press subscribe.

01:35:16.000 Well, if your mom and dads are watching the show.

01:35:18.000 Scooby Dragon says, Howdy, people.

01:35:21.000 Howdy, Scooby. Takti Polite says, Tim Raymond is a great value added to your team.

01:35:25.000 Indeed. Thank you, Takti.

01:35:26.000 There you go. Did you pay him to say that?

01:35:28.000 No, no. He's a good person.

01:35:29.000 I've heard that you hand out bribes in the Discord.

01:35:31.000 I do. Well, you know, I wasn't so sure, but Raymond wears a hat with a rooster on it, and I just was like, well, I like the hat.

01:35:36.000 I got a cock on my head. It's true. 0.97

01:35:37.000 You know, I like roosters, so...

01:35:39.000 Let's go. Crispy Joe says, how long will this dark strike last?

01:35:43.000 What do you guys think? F. Did you see that video of the guy speaking?

01:35:47.000 Yeah. That's the answer.

01:35:49.000 It's going to last a long time.

01:35:50.000 Look, if he did meet Trump, if they had a role to play in it, if Trump has encouraged him to do this for political purposes, then it will obviously last for a long time.

01:35:58.000 Considering his personality, I think it was planned as well.

01:36:02.000 The timing of it is spot on.

01:36:03.000 Think about it. The last time it happened, only one time we can compare it to 1977, I think it was.

01:36:09.000 Six weeks, the election's in five weeks.

01:36:11.000 You said 2002, George Bush invoked the Taft-Hartley Act.

01:36:14.000 Yeah, but Biden can't do that when all the unions support the Democrats.

01:36:18.000 Right, but the ports were on strike in 2002 is my point.

01:36:20.000 Yeah, exactly. It was a smaller strike then.

01:36:23.000 It was, I think, a different port.

01:36:24.000 I can't remember who it was, but it was a smaller strike.

01:36:27.000 And you can't use that one as a comparison because the act was activated.

01:36:31.000 But in this case, if you'll make a comparison to 1977...

01:36:35.000 And they haven't endorsed the Democrats as well.

01:36:37.000 It does not look good at all.

01:36:40.000 It is. I am wondering who is actually going to do negotiation on the Biden campaign, on the Biden administration team.

01:36:46.000 I mean, Biden himself is, to use the Gen Z word, cooked.

01:36:48.000 And Harris is not a great negotiator.

01:36:50.000 She's on the campaign trail. So I'm wondering who's actually going to be doing, who's going to sit down with this guy we were watching from the longshoremen and actually sit down and negotiate terms.

01:36:58.000 It's hard to imagine who that is at this point.

01:37:00.000 I agree. And it makes me wonder, I don't know if you guys know this, has Trump already tried to meet with our friend Harold Daggett?

01:37:07.000 Because that would be interesting.

01:37:09.000 Like in the weeks leading up to the election, he's already like going to the table prepared to negotiate.

01:37:13.000 You're talking about the head of the union?

01:37:15.000 Yeah. Yeah. Other than the meeting in 2023?

01:37:18.000 Yeah. Yeah. Oh, no, I don't know.

01:37:20.000 I hope it wouldn't look good if he does, though, because people start pointing out there's some collusion there.

01:37:26.000 So I don't think they should be.

01:37:27.000 Interesting. Yeah, I think any talk should be private if anyone from Trump campaign is listening.

01:37:32.000 It wouldn't look good at all because it has to look genuine.

01:37:36.000 Otherwise, it could backfire really badly for them.

01:37:38.000 All right, Grofty, who is a 30-month member.

01:37:41.000 Shout out, Grofty. Says, a like button needs a lick like a like button needs. 1.00

01:37:46.000 Don't forget to like it.

01:37:47.000 Hello, Raymond and team.

01:37:49.000 Hey, buddy. Grofty's OG. Indeed.

01:37:51.000 How many months you said? Grofty, 30 months.

01:37:53.000 Nice. That is a very long time.

01:37:54.000 You rock, Grofty. Horsehead says, this song resonates with what is happening where I live.

01:38:00.000 You see Main Street pics in the old part of town in all its glory in the 50s.

01:38:04.000 Now addicts shoot up in broad daylight and tents are everywhere.

01:38:07.000 Okay, so the song is called Coming Home by Timcast.

01:38:11.000 Watch the video and I'll describe it for you because some people might be skeptics and they're like, well, I don't really care.

01:38:15.000 But I'll explain it anyway. We're good to go.

01:38:38.000 I like to do this thing where when I look at an old abandoned building, I try to imagine what it was like when it was finally built.

01:38:44.000 And the owner comes out with the employees and they cut the ribbon and they say, look at our new factory.

01:38:49.000 And now 40 years later, the windows are all smashed out.

01:38:52.000 There's homeless people inside, rats, drugs, disease.

01:38:55.000 And you just wonder, how does this fall apart?

01:38:58.000 How does it happen? Worse still, because I understand that buildings fall apart and sometimes these things happen, when you go to our once great American cities and you see in the center of San Francisco, they're abandoning the mall, they're abandoning the hotels, there's human waste everywhere.

01:39:12.000 How did this happen to San Francisco?

01:39:13.000 San Francisco was a great tech hub.

01:39:15.000 What happened? In New York, in D.C., tent cities everywhere, in Chicago, tent cities.

01:39:20.000 How is this happening?

01:39:22.000 I don't know. Failed leadership across the board.

01:39:25.000 And, you know, the song that we wrote is basically, we're not going to stand for it anymore.

01:39:29.000 It's time to shut it down.

01:39:31.000 Things have to change. So that's coming home.

01:39:34.000 First time I hear you sing, by the way.

01:39:35.000 It's pretty impressive. Oh yeah, thank you. Appreciate it.

01:39:36.000 I'm not surprised. It's our eighth release, I think?

01:39:39.000 Or is it seven, maybe? I don't know.

01:39:41.000 And we have another song we're trying to get out for Halloween, which is meant to be a much, much sillier song.

01:39:46.000 I don't want to give away too much, but Puppets Are Attacking Us is going to be funny.

01:39:49.000 Oh, nice. Yeah, shout out to Jack Posovic.

01:39:52.000 Oh, for your little doll guy?

01:39:53.000 Yeah, we're getting more made because they're hilarious and we're going to have Muppets running around.

01:39:58.000 You should do one about censorship.

01:39:59.000 I'd love that one. I'd share the hell out of that one.

01:40:02.000 We kind of do. It's called Genocide. 0.76

01:40:04.000 Shit. Yeah, I don't know. 1.00

01:40:06.000 I guess we didn't play it when you were here, but this is where we have corporate press personalities like Don Lemon and Cuomo singing, and the song is about breaking out of their controlled information machine.

01:40:16.000 You can check it out. Check it out after this one.

01:40:18.000 And everyone says that's their favorite song that we put out.

01:40:20.000 Oh, wow. Tim Pool Genocide.

01:40:21.000 Is that what I said? Timcast. Genocide music, yeah. 0.76

01:40:24.000 And we used AI. The word thing to Google.

01:40:26.000 Yeah. Well, that's the name of the song.

01:40:28.000 I know. I'm just kidding. Great name, Tim.

01:40:30.000 Well, we were like, should we change the name because that's pretty brutal and they might censor it.

01:40:33.000 I think they kind of did because it got a lot of interaction and engagement.

01:40:36.000 The views are lower than the other songs.

01:40:38.000 And I was like, I don't want to call it anything else.

01:40:40.000 It is what it is. But it's basically we make – there's a lot of jokes in the video where I'm playing this news reporter and it says things like lockdowns are good for you.

01:40:49.000 Giving your money to the government to fund wars is actually healthy and helpful.

01:40:53.000 Yeah. We have Ian standing reporting on drone strikes and it says mostly peaceful drone strikes, all that stuff.

01:40:59.000 And then in the end it says the world is ending.

01:41:01.000 Here's why that's a good thing. All the lies of the corporate press.

01:41:05.000 A year ago. Yeah, yeah, a year ago.

01:41:07.000 And I think we hit the charts on that one.

01:41:11.000 I'm not sure. Jaylor Krenn says, Vance is vanilla ice cream because even lactose intolerant people love ice cream.

01:41:17.000 Vance and Vivek for 2028 has a ring to it.

01:41:20.000 I'm feeling hopeful. Vance and Vivek 2028.

01:41:23.000 I like it, but is Vivek going to be a VP? I don't know.

01:41:27.000 I want to know if he's going to get Vance's Senate seat.

01:41:31.000 Oh, that's right. That's still a thing.

01:41:33.000 Would he take a position in Ohio? Yeah, right. Well, would it be DeWine who appoints it, the governor of Ohio?

01:41:36.000 Yeah, he's a complete rhino.

01:41:37.000 I'd be shocked if he picked Ronald Swamy.

01:41:39.000 He's going to pick some longtime guy who's basically been in line for that kind of appointment, is my prediction on that.

01:41:46.000 Okay, so everyone message DeWine, let him know if you want.

01:41:49.000 Can we get like Vance, Vivek, and Tulsi, you know, like somehow?

01:41:54.000 Maybe she can be like Secretary of... 1.00

01:41:55.000 You want co-VP? Yeah, I want everyone who's good and cares about America and wants to save lives and make us better to be in charge, for sure.

01:42:03.000 Yeah, is Tulsi going to be involved in the Trump administration in any way like Bobby and – Hopefully.

01:42:09.000 Fingers crossed. We don't know anything yet.

01:42:10.000 Nothing's mentioned. Not that I know of myself.

01:42:12.000 Ms. Santa Clara is a reporter or journalist.

01:42:15.000 Nothing's out yet. I mean she's obviously serving as an advisor on the Trump campaign.

01:42:18.000 She helped with debate prep, but it's not – I should have promised that she would.

01:42:22.000 Yeah, come on. A few days ago, I'm like, yeah, I'll regret it a bit now.

01:42:28.000 By the way, one thing, I know we're doing the questions from the audience, but this one thing is really good news talking about free speech is the court.

01:42:35.000 Remember, Tim, we talked about it earlier as well.

01:42:36.000 The court blocked the California law on deceptive election deepfakes.

01:42:40.000 That's right. So I think they...

01:42:41.000 That was actually big news we didn't get to.

01:42:43.000 Yeah, they ruled us unconstitutional.

01:42:45.000 Exactly. Memes are allowed.

01:42:47.000 Nice. Yeah. So they said that the ban is too broad.

01:42:51.000 There's a very good reason that it's too broad and it could be abused.

01:42:54.000 And the cool thing, they said counter speech is the solution, not banning speech.

01:42:59.000 That's a perfect response.

01:43:00.000 Absolutely. That's a perfect response.

01:43:02.000 And then I tweeted about it.

01:43:04.000 Alex Jones replies. Where's Alex Jones' reply?

01:43:06.000 He says, ah, First Amendment stands in Patrick Bateman's way.

01:43:09.000 They will try to outlaw free speech again.

01:43:11.000 Democrats are the threat to democracy as they like to call it.

01:43:15.000 I would agree with him. I think they'll keep trying to – we saw John Kerry's comments a couple of days ago as well, which just wasn't the most assuring.

01:43:23.000 It's a win, though.

01:43:24.000 It's a win. John Grandia says you should really try to hammer home Vance's response on the abortion issue.

01:43:29.000 I know you talk about it, but this is the issue this election and the undecided need to hear his response from the debate.

01:43:35.000 Well, I agree it is a issue.

01:43:37.000 The issue is the economy, and the second issue is immigration, and that's what we're seeing across all the polls.

01:43:42.000 Abortion is the only thing Democrats have to move on, but it's lower on the charts.

01:43:48.000 It's sad to see that child sacrifice is something that motivates tens of millions of people to go and vote in our country.

01:43:56.000 It's good laws and it's good culture.

01:43:58.000 You really need both. That's why I need a firm Republican Party that's actually holding the line on saying babies are murdered. 0.99

01:44:04.000 These are image bearers of God who are being sacrificed on the altar of convenience.

01:44:07.000 Hold on, my friend. I don't mean to cut off superchats, but they're not being sacrificed.

01:44:11.000 Sacrificed is when you make an omen to someone or something like that.

01:44:15.000 Unless they are, too. They're devil or whatever, but they are murdering human life. 0.89

01:44:19.000 Yeah. The terminology is saying they sacrifice. 0.95

01:44:21.000 I think of someone on a pedestal, on a big old piece of stone, being like...

01:44:26.000 Well, yeah.

01:44:28.000 So, I mean, everybody worships is what it boils down to. 0.94

01:44:31.000 So, if you worship yourself and there's a baby in the way of you having lots of sex or just... 0.77

01:44:36.000 You have a career. You have a college degree you want to get.

01:44:39.000 That's where the sacrifice comes in, is you are serving yourself, is really what it boils down to.

01:44:44.000 I agree. You know, maybe, you know, in centuries past and millennia past, it was Moloch and you bring your child to burn inside that big bronze statue. 0.55

01:44:51.000 But nowadays it's, yeah, I want to continue, you know, sleeping with this man.

01:44:54.000 I want to stay in school.

01:44:56.000 And, you know, of course there's cases where, yes, there is legitimate difficulty, there's tough situations, but we know that the vast majority is just convenience and prosperity.

01:45:04.000 It's the same thing that led people to kill babies way back in the day because they thought that it would make their crops grow.

01:45:09.000 Thank you. Did it make their crops grow?

01:45:12.000 I don't think so. I think they were swiftly judged by the one true living God.

01:45:17.000 Hillbilly Tarzan said, Things are bad in Western North Carolina.

01:45:19.000 Government is focusing aid in the only Democrat areas of West NC. It destroyed my entire town of Lansing.

01:45:26.000 Every building flooded, even the FD Give, Send, Go Appalachia Relief Fund.

01:45:31.000 Even the FD? Oh, Give, Send, Go Appalachia Relief Fund.

01:45:34.000 Right on. I keep hearing this, that people in North Carolina are saying that they're being punished because their area is red.

01:45:41.000 I don't know. It's difficult to confirm, right, because the reports are so sketchy.

01:45:46.000 On the other hand, is this correlation or causation?

01:45:51.000 Are red districts in North Carolina more rural and therefore more difficult to serve during times of emergency?

01:45:58.000 If you're a major city and so you're the only blue area...

01:46:01.000 Obviously, you would probably get a certain number of resources first just based on that.

01:46:06.000 But I would really hope that Joe Biden, who just went to North Carolina and said this is not time for politics, would not be depriving people of resources because he's like, well, you're red, so I don't care about you.

01:46:16.000 Right. Well, I actually just started writing a piece, you know, interviewing multiple people who are helping with the disaster, especially in Tennessee.

01:46:22.000 But, you know, you always hear that the federal government is doing a great job and that's an easy, you know, scapegoat.

01:46:28.000 But they are legitimately saying we have not seen anything federal, you know, all these people who are helping across Appalachia.

01:46:34.000 And yeah, I mean, hopefully that article will be up in the next few days at republicsensinal.com.

01:46:39.000 But yeah, it's not looking good for them.

01:46:41.000 I do want to mention something talking about North Carolina.

01:46:44.000 Something interesting because I was with Commissioner Brendan Carr yesterday from the FCC and he talked about how Elon is being targeted by the various alphabet agencies.

01:46:52.000 And Starlink, they've had $900 million a few months ago revoked, which was a grant because apparently they weren't meeting certain standards.

01:46:59.000 They're not even meant to meet for another couple of years.

01:47:01.000 Why does that matter? Well, not only is the government using Starlink, Starlink was just used in North Carolina.

01:47:10.000 I think Biden was taking credit for...

01:47:12.000 Wasn't Trump? Trump spoke to Elon about sending Starlink to those rural areas and I saw a tweet my team put out about Biden taking credit for it.

01:47:22.000 So it's just the irony there is difficult not to mention.

01:47:26.000 It reminds me a lot of Atlas Shrugged by Ayn Rand, where you have the really effective businessman who all the bureaucrats absolutely hate.

01:47:32.000 So in that book, it was the guy who was...

01:47:33.000 I think his last name was Hank Reardon, so he was making Reardon steal.

01:47:38.000 So the most objectively effective businessman was enemy number one, even though he was the one person who had it together.

01:47:43.000 It's the same with Elon Musk in our country, where even a couple years ago, we were talking about unions.

01:47:47.000 There was this big union event, or big automakers event at the White House, and they snubbed Tesla, even though Tesla is the only...

01:47:54.000 Major manufacturers actually making cars in the United States, and they went for Ford and GM and all these things.

01:48:00.000 Elon Musk has been a popular villain in progressive culture for a little while now, even before he endorsed Donald Trump this summer.

01:48:09.000 There is something about him that left-wing Americans really hate.

01:48:14.000 Yeah, look... It's just too far.

01:48:17.000 Like, Biden said the following.

01:48:19.000 I've directed the deployment of styling satellites.

01:48:21.000 50 are in place now. More will follow, allowing people in areas like Kent to call for help where there's no cell service.

01:48:28.000 Where is the mention of Elon?

01:48:30.000 Where's the mention of Elon for once?

01:48:32.000 And you talked about the summit for the EV, the EV summit, where Elon was not even mentioned.

01:48:41.000 You've had the FBI. You had the Fish and Wildlife, whatever you call it, organization that sued SpaceX because they found a few crabs and quail eggs that were burnt because of a space launch.

01:48:53.000 You've got Elon trying to launch...

01:48:56.000 A rocket, try to take people to Mars, and he's being held up by regulators because a few quail eggs and crabs were burnt.

01:49:03.000 That upsets me the most.

01:49:06.000 Let's go. We'll grab some more Super Chats here.

01:49:10.000 Quantum Strange Quark says, I'm looking forward to Vance Vivek 2028.

01:49:14.000 Everyone, please check your voter registration to be sure you're ready for November.

01:49:17.000 Trump Vance 2024. Indeed, I did.

01:49:19.000 I hope you all did, too. Yeah.

01:49:21.000 Yep. Yep. Hopefully everything works out right.

01:49:24.000 What day is it? It's Tuesday, right?

01:49:26.000 Today? The election. The election's on Tuesday, right?

01:49:28.000 Yeah, yeah. We're going to have to make sure everybody here has the day to go.

01:49:32.000 We'll go to field trip. We'll get a school bus.

01:49:34.000 Or we'll open up the back of the Cybertruck and everyone will just climb in.

01:49:37.000 Drop us off at our cyber polling station.

01:49:38.000 I'll be late at work that day. I'll do it in the morning and then come down for the panel session.

01:49:42.000 There you go. Let's go.

01:49:45.000 Jared says, Vivek is also pretty fantastic.

01:49:57.000 Smartest guy in politics. And they're from a similar area, right?

01:49:59.000 They're both from Ohio.

01:50:01.000 I think maybe Vivek spent some time in Kentucky growing up.

01:50:03.000 But this is really good for this part of Appalachia being like, ah, we have representation.

01:50:09.000 And also being from here isn't a death sentence.

01:50:12.000 I mean, I think about the fentanyl crisis and who was the most affected by it.

01:50:15.000 I mean, this was a region without hope for a long time.

01:50:18.000 But if you actually spend time with people there, it's a really fascinating and strong culture.

01:50:21.000 That's a positive. I love that. That's a very positive message you can get out of that.

01:50:24.000 You can get out of the inner city. You can get out of Appalachia.

01:50:26.000 I like that. HawksTheHuman says, have you guys bought the official Trump coin yet?

01:50:31.000 Trump tweeted about it last week.

01:50:32.000 No, but I have the Biden and Trump for prison coins right there.

01:50:35.000 Have you seen them? Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah.

01:50:38.000 You can flip them over on the back.

01:50:40.000 You got Trump in prison or Biden in prison, whichever one you want.

01:50:43.000 And Tim's buying me one of the $100,000 watches.

01:50:45.000 Is he? I'm just kidding.

01:50:46.000 Nice bonus. Ladies and gentlemen, these skateboards are back in stock for those that have been asking about it.

01:50:53.000 So if you go to boonieshq.com, I know everybody loves the boobies board, but everybody was demanding the boobies board.

01:51:01.000 And this is Sam's pro model.

01:51:03.000 This is the boobies. And he just thought it was funny to put a B over boonies and then put a blue-footed boobie.

01:51:09.000 And everyone's been demanding more of this skateboard, so they're all up at boonieshq.com, especially for those that want the Step on Snek and Find Out skateboard.

01:51:18.000 Those sold out instantly, like within hours, and they are available again.

01:51:24.000 I don't know. We might have a bit more in stock, but you probably want to get them now while you still can.

01:51:29.000 Taylor Silverman Pro Model, if you want to support women, women's sports.

01:51:33.000 Taylor stood up against men who were competing women's sports, and the machine came after her for it.

01:51:39.000 So she's got a skateboard. Of course, I got my skateboard.

01:51:41.000 And Mr. Bocas has a pro model.

01:51:42.000 It's the one that's actually...

01:51:43.000 Well, you can't see it right now, but it's usually right behind me.

01:51:45.000 Sam is a great addition.

01:51:48.000 Yeah, he's great. He's been here, man.

01:51:50.000 I think, yeah, he's killing it. And boobies, forget about it.

01:51:53.000 I didn't even know we had this, and people were like, I want the boobies board. 1.00

01:51:56.000 And I was like... I want a boobies board. 0.99

01:51:57.000 A boobies board? I like boobies. 0.99

01:51:58.000 And it's just a blue-footed boobie. 0.98

01:52:00.000 It's a silly-looking bird. 0.95

01:52:01.000 I love it. Birds are great. 0.96

01:52:03.000 How often do you guys use your skate park?

01:52:05.000 Every single day. Every day.

01:52:06.000 Yeah, bro. I was skating over today. Wow.

01:52:08.000 Yep. Skating today.

01:52:09.000 What did I do? I don't think I did.

01:52:10.000 I didn't think substantial today.

01:52:12.000 I walk around and do things.

01:52:15.000 And then the guys are skateboarding. And I'm jealous because I can't do kickflips.

01:52:18.000 And then I go cry in the shower.

01:52:20.000 I'm like, man. You could learn.

01:52:21.000 That's a very defeatist attitude.

01:52:23.000 It was. It was. Yeah.

01:52:25.000 Let's see. Spivster says, Walt in that pic looks like he'd really enjoy a bottle of Chianti.

01:52:33.000 I suppose. Horsehead says, Tim, you and Zuby should make a track.

01:52:37.000 I've talked to Zuby about it.

01:52:38.000 I think we've got to get to it.

01:52:40.000 I mean, look, our last song was like seven months ago.

01:52:43.000 So we have this one song out right now.

01:52:45.000 And the challenge is, right now we're looking at most people don't know the difference between Apple Music and iTunes.

01:52:51.000 And they've rigged the game.

01:52:53.000 Wait, hold on. There's a difference between Apple and iTunes?

01:52:56.000 Aren't they the same thing? No. I had no idea either.

01:53:00.000 It's the first time I hear this.

01:53:01.000 Yep. So if you are getting the song on Apple Music, it is doing nothing.

01:53:04.000 They've rigged the game to make sure that they choose who's the Billboard charts.

01:53:09.000 It's all fake. It's 100% fake.

01:53:12.000 Basically, the way it works right now is if the digital streaming platforms put you in rotation, you're Billboard number one.

01:53:19.000 End of story. And so they try to play it off like these are the songs that people like.

01:53:24.000 People just like it when the gay dude bangs the devil. 1.00

01:53:27.000 You remember that song? People aren't choosing to listen to WAP and things like this. But the thing is, there's no real way to get into these systems. It used to be even a year or two ago, we put out music, you could just sell the song. And Billboard was tracking your song sales. Then they started removing the capability because people like me and Tom McDonald, and other people, Bryson Gray, were putting out songs that were continually charting. And they were like, these outsiders 0.99

01:53:55.000 should not be allowed to represent music. So then, the last song we put out was Eyes of Advice before we take together again. And they told us our song sales 35,000 didn't Can't do it. We're not going to let you do it.

01:54:09.000 Then we were told...

01:54:12.000 Amazon song sales maybe will sometimes count.

01:54:15.000 We don't know for sure. What's happening is that independent artists are generating massive amounts of sales that the industry cannot, but the industry doesn't want people who are outside of their purview and their control to be the top-ranking artists.

01:54:30.000 I mean, Tom McDonald just smashes.

01:54:32.000 He should be on the charts every single time he puts a song out.

01:54:35.000 And for some reason, they're just like, not today, Tom.

01:54:37.000 You don't count. Even though he's getting millions of hits.

01:54:41.000 So they basically told us the only thing that counts is iTunes.

01:54:44.000 The problem is there's Apple Music and iTunes.

01:54:46.000 So people try to go to iTunes and they get redirected to Apple Music.

01:54:48.000 It doesn't count. They basically just cut it off.

01:54:50.000 There's no way to do it. When I download the Apple Music app that I have, I have to go to the website.

01:54:54.000 No, you got to go on a computer.

01:54:56.000 Right, that's what I mean. I'm sorry, my laptop and do the actual iTunes.

01:54:58.000 You got to download the iTunes program and buy the song on iTunes.

01:55:02.000 Yep. And so, of course, that's very difficult for people because that's an old app people don't really use.

01:55:08.000 But imagine, I mean, it's just that's the game they've made.

01:55:11.000 They've made it so that it's basically impossible.

01:55:13.000 The only way to actually get on Billboard is if a record label cuts a deal with the digital streaming service like Apple Music, Pandora, Spotify, and says, anybody opens the app, just play this song.

01:55:24.000 That auto-generates streams.

01:55:25.000 It's completely fake.

01:55:27.000 And then they say, no, that counts.

01:55:28.000 That counts. That's real, actually.

01:55:30.000 Talk about gatekeeping. Yep.

01:55:32.000 And then YouTube recommends a lot of these same things.

01:55:35.000 And, you know, there is an argument you can make for them like, hey, look, this artist has got a song coming out.

01:55:39.000 We know people like it. We're going to bet on that.

01:55:41.000 But that basically means that independent artists will never be able to get in unless our record label chooses them to get in.

01:55:47.000 So when we start generating independent sales and we should be charting like everybody else, they just go, nah, you know, we decided that doesn't count.

01:55:54.000 Why don't you do a deal with one of the big labels and then come out, get on stage.

01:55:58.000 You guys remember when we saw Paramore go on stage and say Donald Trump, Project 2025 and all that garbage?

01:56:03.000 It's because, I'm willing to bet, they go to her and they say, you know what happens if you don't do what we want you to politically?

01:56:10.000 We'll just say don't put them in rotation anymore and no one will hear your music ever again.

01:56:13.000 And there's nothing you can do about it.

01:56:15.000 They don't say it like that. They say, come on, you know everyone's doing it.

01:56:18.000 This is what we expect of you at the label.

01:56:20.000 And they go, okay, yeah, yeah, whatever you say.

01:56:22.000 And that's the game! It's all fake.

01:56:24.000 It sounds like we need X music or something like that.

01:56:25.000 Some kind of disruption. Elon!

01:56:28.000 Hook it up. Or I think the reality is we just need to start tracking our own charts for bands and musicians that are actually generating real influence and a new way to measure whether or not a song is influential.

01:56:39.000 Because people are like, oh yeah, I heard that song.

01:56:42.000 If I pull up the Billboard 100 right now, I bet half the songs you guys are going to be like, I have no idea what that song is.

01:56:47.000 Guaranteed. I have zero idea.

01:56:49.000 And then when Taylor Swift releases music and nine of the top ten are all her song, it's like, does anyone really believe...

01:56:55.000 Some people do. It's all rigged.

01:56:57.000 It's all fake. All right.

01:57:00.000 Ronan Jack says, Tim, are you blind?

01:57:02.000 That isn't Ben Zizeloff.

01:57:03.000 That is a freshly shaved J.D. Vance sneaking up on your shirt.

01:57:07.000 I knew it. I was going to make some kind of joke about my wife not liking beards, which she does not, but I can't grow one anyway, so it doesn't even matter.

01:57:15.000 Ferdinand is beloved, says Tim, all I think with Maha, we will finally see some significant changes in human DNA and intelligence, almost like a spiritual awakening.

01:57:22.000 Of course, it may come after a significant tragedy or loss.

01:57:25.000 I mean, people be chugging fluoride, you know?

01:57:29.000 When it comes to America's health, that's probably one of the biggest learning lessons I got from the Rescue of the Republic.

01:57:35.000 I was interviewing Mr.

01:57:38.000 Big Tree from the Kennedy campaign, and he started giving some of the stats.

01:57:44.000 Me and Tim were talking about this earlier as well.

01:57:47.000 And I think that's one of the issues that could start gaining a lot of attention now.

01:57:52.000 It's a bit too late for this election, but I think in the next election, yeah, I think we'll get a lot more attention when people realize how bad the health of the American citizen is.

01:58:04.000 And I think it's the worst among all the advanced economies, all the first world, for lack of a better term, countries.

01:58:10.000 And it's new.

01:58:12.000 It's kind of breaking news with the last year or two.

01:58:16.000 I felt like it was telling that Theo Vaughn, you know, he interviewed Bernie Sanders and then the Trump interview was right after.

01:58:21.000 And in both, he brought up health.

01:58:24.000 It's too expensive, addiction, pre-existing conditions, medical debt, things like that.

01:58:28.000 Like these are the concerns of average Americans that you're relying on to go to the polls.

01:58:35.000 The fact that you would have to demand answers from both the Democrat and Republican is showing that it really is an issue that more people want answers.

01:58:42.000 Yeah. I think the two problems I think we're getting to actually the next election cycle will be health and censorship.

01:58:50.000 Mr. Putty had said, Tim Waltz's wide eyes is the exact same look as the screaming triggered leftist lady meme.

01:58:55.000 It is a fear response.

01:58:57.000 Fear is what motivates the left.

01:58:59.000 I think he was terrified.

01:59:01.000 I think he was panicking. It was brutal.

01:59:03.000 Look, he sensed danger was near.

01:59:04.000 He sensed that he was in danger.

01:59:06.000 Guys, don't vote for us because we're terrible for the country.

01:59:09.000 Alright, I'm Not Your Buddy Guy says this is completely unrelated, but I don't care.

01:59:12.000 Since it's spooky month, let's go around the table and find a great Halloween movie or show to watch.

01:59:17.000 That's a good Halloween movie.

01:59:20.000 I loved Little Monsters growing up.

01:59:22.000 I was a big fan. If you're my age...

01:59:24.000 It's not like horror, though. So, okay, then horror would be the new version of Evil Dead.

01:59:29.000 If you want to be scared, Evil Dead...

01:59:33.000 Eh. What do you mean? You asked me for horror.

01:59:35.000 What are you looking for? Evil Dead's comedy.

01:59:37.000 You want a comedy? No, no, no.

01:59:38.000 The newer version is definitely not.

01:59:40.000 It's not comedy? No, I'm going to look it up.

01:59:42.000 Original with Bruce Campbell.

01:59:43.000 That was amazing. No, this is freaky scary.

01:59:45.000 The woman in the basement coming out.

01:59:47.000 I think there's a movie I saw.

01:59:49.000 I think it's called The Innkeepers.

01:59:50.000 I'm not sure. Innkeepers.

01:59:52.000 Yeah, that's a tight one. It was like an indie film, right?

01:59:54.000 From like 10 years ago. That was really good.

01:59:56.000 People liked it. Yeah. All right, everybody.

01:59:58.000 If you haven't already, smash the like button, subscribe to this channel, and let's take a look at where we're currently at.

02:00:04.000 We are right now at 1,998,201.

02:00:09.000 So we need but 1,799 more subscribers and we will crack 2 million, which likely means by the end of the night we will be at 2 million subscribers on this.

02:00:21.000 We'll do a competition. I was watching Elon's as well.

02:00:24.000 Elon's at $199,944,843.

02:00:29.000 So he's $60,000 away from $200 million.

02:00:32.000 So I think it's a competition. Will Elon or Tim, will you get, what, $2 million?

02:00:36.000 I only need about $1,000.

02:00:38.000 You need $1,000. You need $60,000.

02:00:40.000 We'll see who gets it first.

02:00:41.000 I kind of think anyone that wants Tim to get it first, I think you should subscribe now.

02:00:44.000 Evil Dead 2013.

02:00:46.000 It'll knock your socks off.

02:00:47.000 All right, everybody. Go to TimCast.com right now.

02:00:51.000 The members-only show is coming up in about a minute or so.

02:00:54.000 You don't want to miss it. You can follow me on Axe at TimCast.

02:00:57.000 And... Get our song if you want to help support our work.

02:01:01.000 They're making it impossible, and it's brutal.

02:01:04.000 It really is, and maybe this is just it.

02:01:06.000 I was predicting this.

02:01:08.000 After our last release, which is like nine months ago, when they told us that independent resellers no longer count, I was like, they've basically announced publicly that they will no longer allow you to sell music to chart, which is the original method of actually charting.

02:01:21.000 Who sells the most? Now I think they're actually icing out the very last...

02:01:25.000 Which is iTunes. They're basically saying, that's it, you're done.

02:01:28.000 So getcominghome.com, but it's got to be on the iTunes player, not the Apple Music player.

02:01:33.000 There are two different things. You see how they make it impossible.

02:01:35.000 And yeah, follow me on X. Ben, do you want to shout anything out?

02:01:38.000 Yeah, you can go to our website, republicsensinal.com.

02:01:41.000 And toward the top, there's a place to put your email address.

02:01:44.000 So you can find us on X too, but mostly we're distributing via email.

02:01:46.000 So encourage folks to do that.

02:01:48.000 Again, that's republicsensinal.com.

02:01:51.000 Mario? Follow Tim.

02:01:53.000 So we hit 2 million followers by the end of today and then we get credit.

02:01:57.000 Well, this will be the episode where Tim, he reaches 2 million followers and I get a bit of credit for it since I'm on this episode.

02:02:03.000 I think at least by the time we wrap up the members show, we'll be over two million.

02:02:06.000 Oh, perfect. Yeah. We can watch it rolling live during members.

02:02:09.000 Nice. Where can people find you? X. I think I'm very active on X. I love X. And yeah, just check out Mario Nofol on X. I had a great time.

02:02:19.000 Pleasure meeting you two gentlemen. Thank you.

02:02:21.000 Good to be here.

02:02:23.000 My name is Raymond G. Stanley Jr.

02:02:24.000 on X. You can follow me there.

02:02:25.000 And also, don't forget about the people in North Carolina, Florida.

02:02:29.000 Tennessee, all those things.

02:02:30.000 Give a dollar. If everyone, like, 50,000 people give a dollar, or 2 million people give a dollar, all you gotta do is give a dollar to the one company campaign you like.

02:02:37.000 That means a huge amount.

02:02:39.000 Ms. Santa Clara. It's been great to have you all here, especially on this, the eve of such a historic event, the 2 million subscriber mark.

02:02:46.000 Thanks so much for coming out and joining us.

02:02:48.000 I'm Hannah Claire Brimlow. I'm a writer.

02:02:50.000 You can follow my...

02:02:52.000 Sorry, I'm so tongue-tied tonight.

02:02:54.000 You can follow me on Instagram at HannahClaire.b.

02:02:56.000 I'm on X and everywhere else at HannahClaireB.

02:02:58.000 Really, guys, thanks for everything you guys do.

02:03:00.000 It's the backbone of this operation, in my opinion.

02:03:02.000 Have a great night. We will see you all over at TimCast.com in about one minute.

Timcast IRL - Tim Pool - October 02, 2024

Vance STUNS Independent Voters After Walz's VP Debate Disaster! | Timcast IRL

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