00:02:41.000But the Democrats have come out saying they are fearful based on what they are saying that the likelihood we are going to put boots on the ground is increasing.
00:02:47.000Whether or not we trust them, I don't know, but I got to be honest, I don't think Democrats are actually fearful of it.
00:02:51.000I think they're talking out the side of their mouths, going like, oh no, I hope we don't have boots on the ground.
00:02:57.000Yeah, at the same time, Israel is calling up 100,000 reservists.
00:03:01.000And the question there is: for what purpose?
00:03:04.000Do you need 100,000 people active across the country?
00:03:07.000Well, to be fair, there's probably ground operations in Israel they do need people for, but 100,000 is quite a bit.
00:03:14.000And then there's the ultimate logic, which is: how do you guarantee that the regime you've, or I should say, the supreme leader that you've taken out and his leadership is not replaced by the exact same structure?
00:03:25.000You can't unless there is some form of occupation.
00:03:28.000So perhaps it won't be direct U.S. troops, but it seems incredibly likely this will be the outcome.
00:03:34.000And that appears to be an ever-increasing opinion that people are having.
00:03:38.000But again, we're going to see, and we're going to show you exactly what the Democrats as Blumenthal is saying.
00:03:43.000I fear it's going to happen, as well as the information that we've been getting from Israel.
00:03:49.000But when you factor in those fears, and I think, again, the general assessment and fears people have, with the fact that a U.S. base was just struck by Iran, and that a CIA facility was also just struck by Iran, and that they've been striking civilian targets and they've shut down the Strait of Hormuz.
00:04:08.000If we don't get a handle on this quickly and actually stop their government and their capability to fight, which again, Trump says we've done largely, but if they're allowed to continue, it's going to cause severe economic crisis around the planet, which means, again, I think the general assessment is: how do you solve this unless you actually get people in to shut down those military capabilities?
00:04:36.000But in Texas, we got big elections happening right now, and we are all rooting for Brandon Herrera, who is 91% in the prediction markets to win.
00:05:04.000Indeed, not actually stem cells, okay?
00:05:06.000But what your body needs to make better stem cells.
00:05:10.000Can you guys remember a moment when your body just didn't heal like it used to?
00:05:13.000Maybe after getting sick or pushing yourself physically, I can remember because I'm literally experiencing it right now as I'm one week from turning 40.
00:05:19.000I got sick and I'm literally knocked out for five days and I'm really angry because it didn't used to be this way.
00:05:24.000And I take vitamins and I exercise and my diet's above average.
00:05:29.000And so, needless to say, I've been sick for a few days and it's extremely frustrating, especially when I miss Monday after the weekend where the U.S. declares war on Iran.
00:05:36.000So anyway, I'm considering Kualia stem cell because they're speaking my love language on this one.
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00:07:22.000From the Panhandle and for the Panhandle is our slogan.
00:07:26.000And, you know, in my district, it matters that you know how to throw a cast net, that you know how to tie a fishing knot.
00:07:32.000I know how to do that, but also have experience in Washington serving as chief counsel on Senate Judiciary Committee and serving in Senator Rake Scott's general counsel.
00:07:40.000So not a swamp creature, but know the swamp, know firsthand how it's broken, and looking forward to fixing it.
00:09:24.000I just want to say I am more fearful than ever after this briefing that we may be putting boots on the ground and that troops from the United States may be necessary to accomplish objectives that the administration seems to have.
00:09:44.000But I also am no more clear on what the priorities are going to be of the administration going forward, whether it is destroying the nuclear capacity of Iran for simply the missiles or regime chain for stopping terrorist activities.
00:10:03.000And I think the administration owes it to the American people to have briefings not just for members of Congress, but for the American public.
00:10:14.000Nothing here should have been classified.
00:10:18.000So I'm going to go ahead and say, yeah, I think there's probably going to be boots on the ground.
00:10:32.000And I think to the point made by Senator Blumenthal, they're getting these briefings.
00:10:37.000And I believe what you're getting is they would never and they could never come out and just say, we hereby declare war in Iran and we're sending in the troops because there would be revolt instantly.
00:10:48.000So what you need is some kind of chaos's belly and then after that, some kind of justification for furtherance of that war.
00:10:58.000We have had a CIA facility struck with the Strait of Hormuz closed.
00:11:02.000All of these things are causing the water to boil.
00:11:05.000And at a certain point, you are going to have, in my opinion, I'm not saying for sure, but if this continues like this, you will then get, you know, Heg Seth or Trump or someone coming out being like, you know, we lost so many American lives today.
00:11:24.000And that's when you start getting an escalation of boots on the ground.
00:11:26.000Now, again, with what we've seen in Ukraine, they don't play that game anymore where they're like, deploy the troops.
00:11:31.000They go, a coalition of volunteers have decided to go in.
00:11:35.000Many of them, of course, are U.S. veterans who are being paid circuitously through various means.
00:11:40.000But ultimately, the sources of the funding is the U.S. government and the U.S. isn't involved.
00:11:44.000So I expect the possibility of special forces, limited U.S. military engagement With support from private military contractors, which are effectively U.S. forces.
00:11:58.000However, I believe the most likely outcome is going to be IDF moving in and shutting this down.
00:12:02.000And I think the attacks that we've seen and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz are going to be the principal causes, or I should say, justifications.
00:12:14.000My first reaction is on the declaration of war front.
00:12:18.000That's something that, according to Article 1, Congress does.
00:12:22.000And that is a speech act that invites all sorts of differences of legal rights.
00:12:28.000You know, they can create a blockade that helps them control the economy.
00:12:33.000So, you know, Article 2, the executive acting in a way that's addressing conflicts and hostilities is quite a different thing than a declaration of war.
00:12:45.000I think Trump has shown with Venezuela and with Iran previously that he's been pretty surgical and that he's willing to take isolated sort of discrete movements to address the issue.
00:12:59.000So I would argue that Venezuela was done as a surgical strike because of the war with Iran.
00:13:07.000That we knew Iran was going to close the Strait of Hormuz.
00:13:10.000And for those that don't know, I want to pull this up because I know there's a lot of people who, you know, they tune in because they want to watch general news and conservative level stuff.
00:13:19.000And this can get particularly esoteric, as it were.
00:13:36.000So European countries, Russia, Turkey, et cetera, transport goods to the Suez Canal and the Red Sea, for which they've been threatened substantially by Houthi rebels in Yemen, right here.
00:13:45.000They've actually been bombing cargo vessels, and that's been disastrous.
00:13:49.000You also have here the Strait of Hormuz.
00:13:51.000Now, this is about, I believe it's a three-mile-wide stretch of water where 20% of global gas, oil and natural gas flows through.
00:14:02.000And Iran has basically said, we're going to shut that down.
00:14:06.000So Trump, he's probably sitting around with Du Bois, and they're like, should we go in and just bomb the Ayatollah?
00:14:13.000And they probably said they're immediately going to shut the Strait of Hormuz and we're going to lose 20% of global oil trade and wipe out the global economy.
00:14:34.000In fact, and I was thinking about that today.
00:14:36.000And then you also had Trump saying that he was going to work to open the Strait of Hormuz and have escorts of the tankers going through there.
00:14:45.000Trump has been seizing tankers in the Caribbean Sea.
00:15:17.000And I think also what you have is the, I think that Trump's inability to prevent the war in Ukraine, to like get that stopped, has been really rankling.
00:15:29.000And so he's going after as well Russian allies, right?
00:15:34.000You'll notice like China and Russia have not been coming in to Iran's aid.
00:15:39.000And this is a situation where Trump is going to go after all of the oil.
00:15:43.000Now, I do think, just my last point, I do think that if it goes beyond the, you know, two weeks to stop the spread, I mean, two weeks to stop the Iran.
00:15:54.000Four to five weeks that have been promised.
00:15:56.000I think that's going to be a concern because this was a promise made now, four to five weeks, right?
00:16:01.000I think this might be, that's all that MAGA has the stomach for.
00:16:06.000Real quick, I just must stress the sheer absurdity.
00:16:10.000That is, the neocons who hated Donald Trump and fought against him are screaming and shearing, and the populist right is losing it pissed off.
00:17:02.000Sure, but I mean, Trump wants that stopped.
00:17:04.000I mean, he campaigned on stopping it within 24 hours, and it's been over a year.
00:17:08.000I mean, he may want that stopped, but I don't think that this actually has as much effect on Russia as it does have on China.
00:17:15.000And then as for like a long-term, the administration made a bad move by even putting any kind of timeframe.
00:17:23.000When they were starting out and they were saying, look, this is open-ended.
00:17:26.000This is going to be longer than just a strike.
00:17:29.000This is something that might take a while.
00:17:31.000That was probably the best messaging that they had at the time by talking about boots on the ground or talking about an end to it or whatever.
00:17:40.000Then they put a time limit in people's heads.
00:17:43.000They just recently started launching B-52s, which means they've taken out the vast majority of the threats because you put first B-2s when there's you put in B-2s, the stealth bomber when there's serious threats.
00:17:55.000B-1s go in when the threats have kind of knocked down a little bit.
00:17:57.000Then B-52s can fly at 55,000 feet, but those are easily taken out by air defense.
00:18:02.000So essentially, the air defenses in Iran are gone now.
00:18:04.000So Iran is notorious for being mountainous with heavy anti-air defense, and the U.S. relies on air superiority.
00:18:11.000So this has been one of the principal issues with the U.S. moving in on Iran for the whole time.
00:18:18.000So taking out those anti-air surface air missiles was the key to getting this job done.
00:18:23.000I just want to say, I am, of course, as a millennial skeptical on these regime change wars, for which this absolutely is.
00:18:30.000I'm going to piss off a lot of people when I say this, but I just love the masculinity of it.
00:19:02.000I'm not, I don't believe, I would call it intervention skeptic, general anti-intervention.
00:19:08.000And I think the issue is the potential for instability knocking out a big player like Iran and the blowback we could get.
00:19:13.000That being said, there is just something satisfied in finally having a world leader who's going to, like Obama saying, we're going to give you as much money as you want.
00:19:41.000I wish he had that same decisiveness domestically, which he does not seem to show, especially with the riots and the protests and the Democratic Party.
00:19:51.000Sometimes, not always, but you know, there, I said, it is what it is.
00:19:56.000Well, hopefully, this doesn't result in massive regional instability.
00:19:59.000You're not talking about JDAMs on protesters, are you?
00:22:26.000And again, I'm not saying it's been all bad.
00:22:27.000I say generally net positive in a lot of areas.
00:22:30.000But again, going in on full war with Iran is, I mean, this is a, if you're talking about political risk, Donald Trump being like, well, we could declare the Insurrection Act.
00:22:45.000We could send in federal investigators to look into what's going on with, you know, Tim Waltz, the guy he hired, like a lot of various issues.
00:22:56.000It's politically tumultuous, but I will bomb Iran.
00:23:00.000It's like, wow, bombing Iran is tenfold more.
00:23:03.000It's like more difficult to do in terms of decision-making than the domestic actions we want to see to hold accountable corrupt politicians and far-left extremists.
00:23:13.000Well, he's running in line with what he did during the summer of love, right?
00:23:15.000During COVID, he kind of left things to the states, the governors to manage their own things.
00:24:03.000And I can respect the libertarians in this regard because they know the facts and they'll make the arguments and say, I don't think it's worth it.
00:24:09.000I think the end results often, like, I respect their arguments.
00:24:13.000But the point is, the argument I have with libertarians on intervention is after the fact.
00:24:18.000The reality is we live very comfortably because we blow people up who don't get on the petrodollar or who threaten global trade routes, which is basically the deal we have to these countries.
00:24:31.000It's going to be clean, safe, and you don't have to worry about it because we're going to send our aircraft carriers around and police the seas.
00:24:35.000So when Iran is acting a fool, our customers are going, look, we use your currency for the oil that we're selling, but we can't even trade in this region without getting bombed.
00:24:48.000This is honestly why it is easier, in my opinion, for every administration to go to war, because domestically you can lose elections, you can lose power.
00:24:55.000Foreign intervention, for the most part, Americans don't care about foreign policy.
00:24:59.000Like, I know they polled people and they're mostly opposed to the strikes in Iran.
00:25:03.000But I got to be honest, if I walk down the street and ask somebody, would you care more about the upcoming season, insert sport, or war with Iran, they'll go, who?
00:25:14.000Yeah, people with an opinion on Iran should be forced to point it out on a map first before their opinion counts.
00:25:27.000To your point earlier and to something that you said, I think Republicans, there's a strong contingent of Republicans that are rightly skeptical of forever wars, of oil wars, of foreign intervention.
00:25:41.000But I think Trump has demonstrated time and again in this administration that he is being surgical.
00:25:48.000He is not getting us embroiled in forever wars.
00:25:52.000He is being quite isolated and surgical in how he's treating this.
00:25:56.000And I don't know why we wouldn't trust him for this one.
00:25:59.000Well, let's come to the story from the Times of Israel.
00:26:02.000Iranian missile hits U.S. base at Al-Udid, no casualties.
00:26:33.000I don't think you can accomplish what you want to accomplish with Iran in the same way.
00:26:37.000And so I think it's a fair argument to say, you know, we had just referenced Senator Blumenthal, who said, based on the briefing that I got, I am more fearful than ever that we'll have boots on the ground.
00:27:42.000It is going to, like, if you create a power vacuum in Iran, the most brutal guy is going to win.
00:27:48.000Again, so we can bomb their formal government and leadership, but you are going to get terrorist insurgent cells and they're going to start spreading all of those resources and weapons around like crazy and create massive instability unless someone goes in and occupies it.
00:28:03.000That seems to be the most probable outcome.
00:28:05.000The only problem with that is that we don't have a very good track record of doing that.
00:29:17.000And I don't think that the Trump administration is.
00:29:20.000But again, is it then bombing the leadership incessantly until they give up and stop appointing new leadership?
00:29:26.000Well, I mean, that's essentially what they did in Venezuela was they took Maduro out and they said, okay, you're going to play ball with us now.
00:30:03.000But it's not a question of Trump or Ruby.
00:30:05.000It's a question of the effectiveness of regime change in general, which for the past 50 years we have seen utter failure on.
00:30:12.000I mean, we failed in Korea to a large degree.
00:30:15.000We failed in Vietnam, you know, after the French failed.
00:30:19.000I'll give some credit to South Korea, but we certainly haven't unified the Koreas, and that's largely due to the conflict with China and China's support for North Korea.
00:30:25.000There's all, I mean, you know, there's all kinds of things and all of these things.
00:30:30.000Real quick, regime change in Japan after World War II, we turned those samurai into like ladyboy cat girls.
00:31:18.000And it's because when you are occupied by Americans who look a certain way and they control your culture and your development, you look to the wealthy, you look to the developed, and you take those things on.
00:31:31.000So again, Japan, this is probably why they retained this ethos of saying, we are not going to look at Vietnam or Iraq or Afghanistan, Iraq again, as it's not possible, just that we got to try again.
00:31:44.000So I certainly would say that, you know, the way I describe it is that we have post-intervention stress disorder due to the failures of the Bush administration's interventions in the Middle East.
00:31:55.000That doesn't mean it always fails, but I would say based on the track record of our current infrastructure, the probability of failure is likely high.
00:32:03.000Syria being another really great example.
00:32:06.000The Obama intervention in Syria resulted in the expansion of ISIS and U.S. weapons falling into the hands of psychopaths who basically defied all of the norms we expected from these Muslim insurgent groups.
00:32:18.000It used to be that during the Iraq or early Iraq war era, you get kidnapped as a journalist or contractor in some Middle Eastern country by a Muslim.
00:32:28.000There were, I forget what the word is, but there was something you could invoke in Islam where it would require them to protect you until the conclusion of whatever it is they kidnapped you for, be it a ransom or some political reason.
00:32:40.000And an individual would be like, okay, I am basically your captor and I have to make sure nobody harms you.
00:32:51.000And they defied the norms we grew to expect because they were, as Noam Chomsky said, to quote, that guy, in the arena of violence, the most brutal guy wins.
00:33:01.000And in reference to the left, he said, that's not us.
00:33:02.000But the point is, you have order in Iran.
00:33:08.000Eventually, you get brutal Islamic disorder.
00:33:11.000And that has a very high likelihood of looking like ISIS.
00:33:14.000Unless we get boots on the ground exactly like we did in Syria.
00:33:19.000And again, even Syria wasn't quickly resolved.
00:33:22.000I don't see a mathematical probability to having any kind of stability in the region.
00:33:28.000If the anger is that Iran is arming the Houthi rebels and Iraqi militia groups who are killing U.S. troops, constantly flattening the leadership in Iran, resulting in the IRGC just going rogue and forming Islamic factions is going to make that tenfold worse.
00:33:44.000So the solution is then there need to be, look, I'll put it like this.
00:33:51.000Fighter jets don't occupy street corners.
00:33:55.000So you can bomb all day and night and the factions there that believe what they believe and don't want to give up are going to adapt to it.
00:34:03.000Until you get someone on a street corner with a gun, you will not have control of these systems, the economics, be it disaster economics, war economies.
00:34:12.000If you want to put a stop, you need a grid of people stopping them.
00:34:17.000I guess my question is, do we not think that the Trump administration has counted that cost?
00:34:22.000I mean, I think they want to put boots on the ground.
00:36:04.000Now we're being told that when Trump goes to negotiate with Iran, they said outright, we have enough material for 11 bombs, and that's where we're starting the negotiation.
00:36:12.000So again, I say I love the masculinity of Trump's response to looking him in the eye and being like, then I'm going to kill you.
00:36:19.000Not that the strikes are good, but it is like you need the balls.
00:36:24.000That being said, as much as I can be like, I love the manliness of it.
00:36:28.000It is fair to say we are not talking about a question of trust or capability.
00:36:33.000We're talking about a question of strategy and math.
00:36:35.000And fighter jets don't occupy street corners.
00:36:38.000If the goal is to remove their ability to fight, you can keep bombing them.
00:36:42.000But we saw what happened with Syria already.
00:36:45.000So again, I'm looking at a math problem.
00:36:48.000Trump can be the best in the world at these math problems, but if the solution still requires physical occupation, my assumption is the United States fully expects there needs to be an occupation of Iran.
00:37:02.000And they're going to pull off the same BS they did with Ukraine by saying U.S. troops aren't in Ukraine.
00:37:08.000It's a coalition of volunteers that we're paying.
00:37:11.000So I would say that I think Trump is also looking at a math problem himself.
00:37:17.000And I would say people talk about him playing 4D chess, 5D chess all the time in 100 different ways.
00:37:41.000I think they concluded the only way we get this done is by total regime change.
00:37:47.000There's been a I would describe it, and I want to be careful with this, but there's been a propagandistic effort to rally public support for the end of the Iranian government.
00:37:59.000We've been getting just slammed by these stories of the killing of civilians and things like this, which I would argue is probably largely true, but of course going to be exaggerated, especially by Israel, who wants the Iranian government removed.
00:38:12.000I also have no problem saying the Ayatollah was a very bad person, and the Iranian government is absolutely garbage, and it is 100% moral to have removed them.
00:38:23.000The issue, however, is it may be morally good that the Iranian government is not there anymore and was removed.
00:38:29.000The question is, is it going to create, is it going to be a Pyrrhic victory?
00:38:33.000Is the calculation Trump made that in order to effectively end this government, you need people?
00:38:39.000I do not see, based on history and everything we've seen thus far, it is possible to engage in a full-scale operation of this size without people, with a very easy example being Ukraine.
00:38:53.000They told us there are no U.S. troops on the ground.
00:38:56.000Well, they're special forces and U.S. intelligence, and we are giving all of our weapons and telling them where to point them and where to shoot them.
00:39:03.000And the people we're talking to are American veterans that are just privately, you know, hired and paid by the U.S. government.
00:40:38.000No, I was just going to say you've rightly identified a power vacuum, but I think the response from a lot of Iranian people being nothing short of jubilation signifies.
00:41:05.000If China launched a strike and blew up the White House, they would be running videos all across China of Americans celebrating and they'd say, see, we liberated them.
00:41:14.000Yeah, I just, I've seen the response in both the U.S. and in Iran.
00:41:20.000The response in the U.S. is going to be obvious.
00:41:22.000These are people who fled Iran, like its government.
00:41:28.000A lot of the folks in Iran, by the way, still have family back in Iran.
00:41:33.000Sorry, a lot of the folks, Iranian folks in the U.S. have family back in Iran.
00:41:38.000I'm telling you, there's appetite for a different regime, a different.
00:41:42.000And again, the rebuttal is the same appetite exists nearly half the population in the United States.
00:41:49.000You know, Trump won 49.5% of the vote and Kamala got like 47 or something like this.
00:41:56.000So again, when you start seeing all of these mass protests, I guarantee you, I mean, this is true, North Korea, China, Russia are rolling those videos out in their media being like the American people hate their government and want it overthrown and Trump just killed two civilians.
00:42:10.000Yeah, but again, these things aren't alike.
00:42:12.000Like we have a foundation of government based on separation of powers, based on French philosophy, based on enlightenment.
00:42:19.000They have a structure of government that is based on radical Islamic terrorism.
00:42:25.000Indeed, and the argument there is we all agree we are correct and we have a better form of government.
00:42:30.000My point is to look at a video of any amount of people protesting and determine that the people of Iran support their government being toppled, I would say, well, a percentage of them probably do, just like a large percentage of the people in the United States would celebrate Trump being killed all the same.
00:42:46.000Yeah, but it's not a justification for why we go in and blow up their government.
00:42:51.000Yeah, but what I'm saying is real quick.
00:42:53.000The framework of government they had there is much more fragile than the framework that we have here.
00:42:59.000If God forbid something happened to a president here, we have the framework in place to replace.
00:43:27.000None of that morally justifies the U.S. Like to say that because a portion of a country's people don't like their government is not a justification of executing their leader.
00:43:36.000The moral justification would be that they have Americans' blood on their hands.
00:43:42.000A moral justification would be they are racing to get nuclear arms.
00:43:47.000A moral justification would be they adhere to a form of Islam that is eschatological, apocalyptic, wants to kill the West, wants to kill the United States of America.
00:44:19.000That's why My point is, whether or not any amount of people in Iran are for or against the government does not matter.
00:44:27.000The question that I think is posed largely, certainly there's going to be a bunch of leftists who are like, it was wrong to kill a leader in this way.
00:44:33.000I'm like, the Ayatollah was a very, very bad guy.
00:44:37.000The bigger issue is not military action against evil people.
00:44:41.000The bigger question is, is this a Pyrrhic victory which results in mass destabilization in the region and results in more death, more killing, more rape?
00:44:48.000And if our goal ultimately is, now, first and foremost, I get it.
00:44:57.000I know a lot of people are going to say, you actually think they really said that?
00:45:01.000You actually think Donald Trump would come out and admit he f ⁇ ed up when the 12-day war was supposed to wipe out their materials and it did not work?
00:45:08.000I don't think Trump decided to just arbitrarily go in and mount this massive assault on Iran.
00:45:12.000No, I think the reality is the 12-day war failed.
00:45:15.000And now the Trump administration has to admit they failed and their assurances were incorrect.
00:45:21.000And now the only outcome was we're going to have to take them out and start taking out their capabilities.
00:45:26.000Why would we make the assumption that it failed?
00:45:29.000Because they literally said Iran came to the negotiating table with Trump saying we have enough nuclear material for 11 bombs.
00:45:37.000After the 12-day war, we were assured by the Trump administration and Trump they wiped out their nuclear capabilities.
00:45:55.000They're racing to develop a nuclear program again.
00:45:59.000Yeah, but Trump isn't going to be 20, 30 years away from making a war.
00:46:04.000He's about making a deal, and he was trying to make a deal, and they were filibustering him.
00:46:10.000Is your argument that the 12-day war was a success?
00:46:13.000We set their nuclear program back decades, as we were told, meaning they're going to be at least 20 years on the low end away from ever getting close to this.
00:46:21.000And then because they wouldn't agree to it, Trump decided to kill them all.
00:46:23.000No, my point is they were racing to develop a nuclear program.
00:46:58.000A lot of oil refining happens in Iran.
00:47:01.000Indeed, I think the real issue was already laid out by Rubio when he said Israel was planning on staging an attack against Iran, and we knew this would result in strikes against U.S. personnel and our bases.
00:47:12.000And we didn't want to take a defensive posture, so we decided to go in on the attack.
00:47:18.000I think Rubio just said the quiet part loud.
00:47:20.000Israel has been begging for this war, and the U.S. and Trump were trying to avoid it.
00:47:26.000When Israel said we're going in, Rubio was like, well, we have no choice.
00:47:30.000And he was like, if we did not join them and it resulted in strikes against U.S. personnel, we'd have more dead, and then we have to go to hearings to explain why we didn't react properly.
00:47:40.000Indeed, we went to war, not because of the nuclear program or whatever it may be.
00:47:44.000It seems the most probable reason is because Israel has wanted to go to war with Iran for a long time and told the U.S., we will do it with or without you.
00:47:50.000And the U.S. response was, we are going to get bombed like crazy if Israel does this.
00:47:56.000We better just stand alongside them and make sure we take out as much Iranian infrastructure as we can before that happens.
00:48:01.000Everybody does not want a Benghazi on his hand.
00:48:03.000He's running for 28 and probably the frontrunner, if I had to guess.
00:48:06.000I think my greater concern with all of this is not so much what's going on in Iran.
00:48:09.000It's what's going to happen stateside.
00:48:13.000Because if the general sentiment of the U.S. population is we don't want a 20-year war if ever war, is it beyond the CIA to maybe orchestrate a handful of things to encourage people to be on board with a 20-year war with Iran?
00:49:10.000And the fear now is that we have Democrats not wanting to fund DHS at a time when we know there are people here legally and illegally who want to kill us.
00:49:20.000We had the attack in D.C. on the West Virginia National Guard already.
00:49:36.000There's a woman screaming something like, why are you filming this?
00:49:40.000And with all due respect to the person who filmed, I commend you for doing so because I know it's difficult with the horrific sight you see, the blood coming out of these people as they're desperately performing CPR, trying to keep them alive.
00:49:57.000People need to understand what these people are going and willing to do.
00:50:02.000And so when you have a video showing these people laying on the ground, dying because Islamic terror is in this country and they want to kill, and Secretary Noam told me in an interview explicitly, these people are here and we are concerned because we have to track them down.
00:50:17.000And now the Democrats are saying, well, we don't want to fund DHS because we want to protect illegal immigrants that expect more of this.
00:50:22.000And this has got everybody freaked out that I've been talking to because it could be anywhere.
00:50:26.000And Austin, downtown, that's just why they were all placed.
00:51:03.000He just said, I'm paraphrasing here, but with the Islamic migration into Great Britain, the question is, how does it benefit the people of the United Kingdom?
00:51:12.000In what way should they welcome these people in for what benefit do they get?
00:51:18.000And so if that's the case, then why do it?
00:51:20.000And so now, if you have a country, the United States, that has gone to war and wants to go to war repeatedly with Islamic nations, probably a bad idea to invite militant ideologues into your country.
00:51:33.000Yeah, I mean, look, we talk about, you know, cultures that are incompatible with ours, and we should make sure that if we're going to allow people into the United States, they need to be from cultures that actually mesh well with the United States.
00:51:48.000Like, we shouldn't just be like, anyone from around the world can come here with no vetting or what have you.
00:51:53.000If you can get to our shores, we'll let you in.
00:51:56.000We should have very strict requirements about who is and isn't let in to become a citizen.
00:52:01.000That'd be a funny like Freedom Tunes cartoon.
00:52:03.000A guy comes from the country of rape land, and they're like, tell me about your country.
00:52:07.000It's like in our country, our entire national pastime and culture is just SA.
00:53:17.000And so once you wipe out everybody, and Trump even said that they had wiped out the people who he thought would be, you know, good next leaders.
00:53:28.000Now we have a situation where how many more people are they going to wipe out before they find like, you know, that guy who was waiting, like the, the postal inspector?
00:53:40.000The point isn't about like, trying to find the good guy.
00:53:43.000It, the point is to make the people understand, look, this is going to keep happening until you play ball with the United States and go ahead, go ahead.
00:53:51.000And every president, since you know, back to Obama and before, had wanted to take out Khomeini, like it.
00:53:57.000You know, it's um, something that everyone want, everyone wanted to do, and they just didn't have the capability up until now to do.
00:54:04.000And that's, I mean, that's actually and that's what happened in, you know, in Venezuela.
00:54:09.000Like they, they wrapped up Maduro and they told the, the vice president, look, you need to play ball.
00:54:15.000And I mean, obviously the jury's still out on on how far that's going to go how how uh, how well they're going to work with the United States and stuff um, but it it, all indications are that they're like, okay yeah, we'll go ahead and do this.
00:54:28.000I read a story about the vice president.
00:54:30.000That or not the vice president, but the, the person that won the Nobel Peace Prize, that she was supposed to be the president, that that Maduro stole the election, she was going back and they were going to organize new elections.
00:54:41.000I think in the fall and I mean again, if it works out then it seems like a method worth trying.
00:54:48.000Now obviously, like I said, Iran is not the same place as Venezuela.
00:54:52.000The culture is different, but if the, if the Trump administration's goal is all right, we're going to get you to the table and find someone that actually wants to work with us and we're going to use violence to do it, I mean it's it's, it's not something that I'm exact, that I that I can say, that I endorse, but it's better than having a 20-year quagmire.
00:55:11.000Yeah, and it's kind of mess around, and they just decided that the um, the crown prince what's his name?
00:55:16.000Pahavi or whatever he's going to be speaking at CPAC in Dallas in just a couple of weeks.
00:55:23.000Yeah, I think I think it's an effort to bring them to the negotiating table and say hey, you've already found out.
00:55:29.000Yeah, mess around and find out like, if you don't come to the negotiating table and play ball, we mean business, he's shown he means business and I think he's gonna get a lot of success out of this.
00:55:40.000I think the thing is, unless you destroy the entire IRGC, you're going to have this problem not only continue in Iran, but in the region.
00:55:47.000I mean, if it wasn't for the Iranian revolution, you wouldn't have the spread of extremist Islam in the Middle East as it stands right now.
00:55:54.000Yeah, and I think that's part of the calculation.
00:55:57.000If they actually can get Iran to stop funding Amas, stop funding Hezbollah, stop giving weapons and arms to the Houthis, stop.
00:56:05.000You know, I think it was the Houthis that were going after Saudi Arabia as well, right?
00:56:19.000And again, I don't know that it's going to work.
00:56:21.000I'm not saying that I'm for the attacks, but at the same time, if they can get those kind of behaviors to stop from the Iranian regime, that's something that the whole Middle East is going to say, well, this is good.
00:56:33.000Because right now, the whole Middle East essentially is against Iran.
00:56:37.000Everybody, they all signed onto the Abraham Accords.
00:56:40.000You were looking at basically a Middle East that was moving towards a peaceful situation with Israel.
00:56:47.000It was looking like things were going to go the way that the West wants.
00:56:51.000And the only stopping, you know, the stopping force was Iran.
00:56:54.000If they can fix it, if they can straighten that problem out by a use of force, the whole Middle East is going to say, well, this is actually better than it was before.
00:57:02.000And as I said at the outset, nobody's in favor of a forever war.
00:57:58.000Hopefully, that, you know, again, I'm not, I'm not in favor of a ground invasion.
00:58:04.000I do think that it's a little early to be talking about ground invasion.
00:58:07.000We're on day, what, three of the actual airstrikes, and you haven't seen any kind of significant movement of troops or logistics, and you don't see a ground invasion.
00:58:18.000You don't, you're not going to see a soldier going into Iran unless there's a Burger King in a truck behind him.
00:58:24.000Like, there's always a massive movement of troops.
00:58:26.000There was a massive movement of troops signaling the invasion of Iran.
01:01:56.000I'm not saying cyber war is not a real thing at all.
01:01:58.000I'm saying that I don't think that we can fairly characterize this as a war.
01:02:02.000So the largest buildup of U.S. naval forces in what, 20 plus years or ever in the Gulf launching missiles and blowing up bases as well as their palace is not war.
01:02:15.000Again, I think we're getting into semantics.
01:02:18.000I think as a legal term of art, no, I would not call it war.
01:02:28.000Again, we are talking about two different realities.
01:02:32.000There's a colloquial way of describing war, which is like 99% of the world.
01:02:35.000There's a legal way of describing war where now the president can seize private companies and force them to operate the economy in a certain way.
01:03:52.000I wouldn't call that a fight unless there's a protracted brawl.
01:03:54.000Yeah, like, so he punches me in the back of the head.
01:03:57.000I bang my head in the urinal, fall down, I get up, I go, you son of a, I punch him in the face, he falls down, he gets up, kicks me in the nuts, then I punch him in the stomach.
01:04:18.000But my mind cannot get out of the legal mentality and the legal implications of declaring war.
01:04:24.000And that's why I think it's an important distinction.
01:04:26.000And so what you're really saying is you can't say it, not because it's not true, but because of legal ramifications against you.
01:04:32.000No, not legal ramifications against me, legal ramifications that attach to the executive, to Congress, to international law, to all sorts of things that are maybe it's a war with a silent Z. W-Z-A-R.
01:06:31.000They violated FCC regulation rules in order to give James Tallerico a major boost, and they knew they were faking it.
01:06:40.000Colbert knew he was not prohibited from having on Tallerico's opponent, Jasmine Crockett, and Ahmad Hassan.
01:06:47.000He knew this, and he wanted to frame it as though Trump stopped him from having him on to make it seem like this guy was the guaranteed frontrunner against the Republican and that Jasmine Crockett didn't exist.
01:06:57.000As much as I don't like Jasmine Crockett, and I do think Tellerico is better in a lot of ways, it doesn't matter.
01:07:02.000That was scumbag BS, and Colbert is a scumbag who hoaxed people to cheat in an election.
01:08:31.000I can't tell sometimes because it's believable.
01:08:35.000I just want to say this whole Tony Gonzalez thing, everyone knew, and it was kept under wraps by the Democrats and Republicans.
01:08:46.000So for those who don't know the story, Tony Gonzalez reportedly had an affair with a staffer who was desperately in love with him.
01:08:53.000And she was, I don't know that the full story was, but she was like, you know, if you leave me, I'll take my own life or something like this, doused herself in fuel or something, and then accidentally immolated herself.
01:09:07.000But apparently, the Beltway of D.C., they all knew it the whole time.
01:10:04.000And so my assumption is the Democrats were like, this is not the kind of play we want to make, which could also bring in a hardliner like Herrera.
01:10:12.000Even the Democrats would rather have Tony Gonzalez.
01:10:14.000And then the Republicans are like, we want a guy who's going to jump when we say jump.
01:11:11.000Well, I mean, obviously, I can't see the future, but I would hope that considering he lost by 400 last time, and this time his opponent is embroiled in a scandal that's pretty embroiling.
01:11:25.000But guys, Caul She prediction markets calling it for Tallarico already.
01:11:54.000It was the Texas redistricting, redistricting that caused the California redistricting that caused the New York redistricting that caused it to go to the Supreme Court.
01:12:02.000And Nicole Maliotakis gets to keep that GOP seat.
01:12:06.000So if I, so I got here, the Texas 23 Republican nominee, and we can see Brandon Herrera at 93%.
01:12:17.000It's interesting how that sometimes happens.
01:12:19.000I don't know what the actual rules are why that's happening, but I know a lot of people are going to get mad at me when I say this, and I'm not going to make a play or anything like that.
01:12:28.000But my point is, if you were going to make a bet on the establishment, you know what I mean?
01:12:34.000Like, do we actually have faith that the machine would be fair to Brandon Herrera?
01:12:40.000That's the real question I'm bringing up.
01:12:41.000His likelihood of winning just dropped to 85%.
01:12:44.000And Tony Gonzalez up to 18, which, again, those numbers don't add up.
01:14:10.000I just want to say, real quick, there's a you are so right now, call she has close, there's no contracts available to bet yes on Tellerico to buy yes contracts.
01:14:22.000Jasmine Crockett, there's a yes, no, no.
01:14:26.000She will not get the nomination, not available.
01:14:29.000But if you want to bet she's going to win, and if you want to bet Tellerico's going to lose, those are allowed.
01:14:34.000And we call those value bets because $100 on no wins you $9,351.
01:15:05.000Tony Gonzalez up to 35% to win, which is weird because Brandon Herrera is at 83%.
01:15:11.000And I think the reason here is, I want to clarify, it's my understanding is it's supposed to be internally among themselves.
01:15:19.000Basically, whether or not Brandon Herrera wins, yes and no, is it's immaterial to whether Tony Gonzalez wins.
01:15:27.000Like basically the way the contracts work, all that really matters is what people think: will Tony win or lose, not if Brandon is winning, Tony is losing, if you get what I mean.
01:15:37.000So it often will equal more than 100%.
01:15:40.000So basically, you have a lot of people betting that their guy's going to win.
01:15:45.000It still doesn't add up because Brendan Herrera is at 85 yes and 24 no, which, you know, doesn't math.
01:15:53.000And Tony Gonzalez at yes, 33 cents and no 77.
01:16:51.000Like, heck yeah, Herrera or something like that.
01:16:54.000But yeah, I mean, I really do have my fingers crossed that Brandon wins.
01:16:58.000Obviously, I know the guy and he's a good dude.
01:17:01.000But the idea of Gonzalez winning after all that stuff came out about the cheating on his wife and the scandal with the poor woman that ended up killing herself.
01:19:31.000We encourage each and every one of you to remain resilient.
01:19:35.000We cannot allow this type of behavior to be rewarded because so long as they know that they can win, even if it means cheating, then they will continue to do it.
01:19:47.000So, I am asking you, I am begging you to make sure that you go ahead and figure out where it is that you are supposed to vote, stand in line, wait in line.
01:19:59.000And I stand with Jasmine Crockett on this issue.
01:20:02.000Stephen Colbert falsely accused Donald Trump of suppressing an interview with Jasmine Crockett, a Democrat's opponent, so that they could frame this as though Tellerico was the only competitor against the Republicans, when in fact, the real issue was if Colbert interviewed Tellarico, he needed to provide equal opportunity to Jasmine Crockett.
01:20:24.000However, instead of being honest, Colbert attacked Trump so that regular people would assume it was Democrat versus Republican.
01:20:32.000And that was the lie meant to prop up the Democrat purporting to be a Christian so that, again, the idea here is Jasmine Crockett is not going to get enough middle-of-the-road people, and Tallerico could.
01:20:44.000So they're kneecapping Jasmine Crockett, cheating, violating FCC rules, and then lying about and hoaxing smears against Trump so they could steal this election.
01:20:55.000I actually think her voter base needs under two hours to come voting because they're typically not on time.
01:24:28.000But anyway, that's, you know, that's my own thing.
01:24:32.000But so, I mean, what do you, so if you think that it really would prohibit future illegal immigration, inhibit, prevent, make it not happen.
01:24:41.000Well, prevent and inhibit a different words.
01:24:46.000Parents are going to be like, it should be known if you illegally enter this country with the intent to violate our laws and effectively spit in the face of our people and our nation with your child, you are not giving your child a better life.
01:25:03.000In fact, you are going to cause tremendous suffering to them.
01:25:05.000So what do you do with all of the people who got birthright citizenship and then they grew up, you know, in China, for example?
01:25:18.000I'm willing to negotiate on that where it's like your parents are Canadian and they live here part-time and you were born here, so you're a citizen.
01:25:41.000Yeah, I think they're going to go narrow.
01:25:43.000I think Thomas Alito and Kavanaugh are probably going to be a bit more based, with Thomas Enlito, of course, being perfectly based, and the rest are going to be the least based possible.
01:25:53.000The ACB is automatically based on the base.
01:25:54.000Yeah, Sotomayor and I do think there is Kagan.
01:26:18.000And I think there's a way that even under Wong Kim Ark, you could say that the way Trump has gotten rid of birthright citizenship is lawful.
01:26:41.000I mean, if somebody was, let's say somebody was born in California to Chinese mom who came to the U.S. simply to have the baby and then have the child have American citizenship, grows up in China the whole time.
01:27:16.000I think the obvious goal with the 14th Amendment is to say the people that were born here after, like, we're concluding the Civil War, all of these slaves, they were born here, they're citizens too.
01:27:29.000And then the far left is like, and this means anyone at any point born here, even if they're the reason why they said subject to the jurisdiction of the United States is that the slaves in the United States were subjects of the U.S. government.
01:29:29.000Yeah, there was some controversy on Caul Shi over the death of Khomeini because there was a wager, will he be out of power before, and that's like April 1st.
01:29:39.000It was like March 1st, April 1st, September.
01:39:52.000And again, that's why I was saying, like, I don't want to be a dick, but would the machine state ever allow someone as based as Brandon Herrera?
01:40:01.000Like I said, considering he was within 400 points, I mean, 400 votes last time, and to think he could, you know, not up when Gonzalez has this terrible, you know, scandal that's going on, it makes you get a little bit blackpilled.
01:40:16.000You're just like, you know, Crenshaw's gone.
01:40:33.000This is going to be interesting, though, looking at the midterms going forward.
01:40:35.000You see a lot of these people who held office for a long time getting ousted in the primaries.
01:40:40.000That might be a good indicator that people are watching what's going on.
01:40:43.000And a lot of the issues I have with Republicans is they fall asleep during the midterms.
01:40:48.000But if we're seeing people get their seats flipped like Crenshaw, that is a significant indicator that maybe midterms won't look like what a lot of people are predicting.
01:40:55.000Isn't it kind of wild that Al Green did as well as he did?
01:41:10.000There's so much, like, incumbents have such an advantage in Congress and stuff because the people that know who's running, most people can't even identify their own congressperson, never mind, you know, actually go out and be bothered to go out and vote for him.
01:41:27.000So people in Congress that are in Congress, they have such an advantage.
01:41:31.000And it's a shame because there's so many people in Congress that need to be primary and removed and stuff.
01:41:37.000I mean, it seems like the only kind of silver lining is it looks like Crenshaw's not going to be another guy anymore.
01:43:30.000Moneymaker is one of the most famous poker pros.
01:43:34.000He's famous for being he won what's what's called a satellite tournament, which is a small, cheap, like amateur thing where you're trying to win.
01:43:43.000You're trying to win a seat to the actual tournament, and then he won the tournament and it created this boom where it was like you could be a regular guy and win $3 million.
01:44:58.000There's a concept called nominative determinism, which is a hypothesis that people will gravitate towards careers that fit their names.
01:45:06.000And the general idea is it's like, if you will it, there's a way, or the inverse of out of sight, out of mind, when your whole life you keep hearing that word or, you know, you gravitate toward those things.
01:45:17.000I will say at the same time, many people's last names are literally just based on the job they had.
01:45:22.000They're like or the son of the person.
01:45:49.000I don't speak German, but there's a lot of places called Berg.
01:45:52.000And people now associate Berg with city, but it referenced like John's Hill.
01:45:58.000Yeah, the names in my family, like on the Norwegian and the Yankee side, they're all pretty traceable to like the thing that it was, you know, like resident of this valley.
01:46:10.000Berg and the sermonaine is primarily of German, Dutch, and Jewish origin, and it means castle or fortress.
01:46:16.000Berg in German and Swedish means hill or mountain.
01:46:21.000You conquered who first and renamed it.
01:48:54.000I legit drink this every single night, and I have a sleep tracker on my watch and my phone, and my sleep score has legitimately improved by like four or five points on average.
01:49:04.000If you're a dude, your body produces testosterone and HGH during deep and REM sleep.
01:49:09.000If you are not sleeping well, if you are missing those nutrients, you are going to get fat, tired, and sick.
01:49:16.000And so obviously on all of those things, consult your nutritionist and doctor, whatever.
01:49:21.000But they're going to tell you very much similarly, like you need to get that legit sleep so that your body can get the, you know, you want your testosterone up.
01:49:47.000He says, to hell with your speculation, unless you have the intel that Trump does, STFU, Alex Jones already proved to me he isn't worth listening to.
01:50:49.000The point that I'm making is like the Kurds are pretty pro-America because of the, I believe it was the first Gulf War when Saddam Hussein was gassing them.
01:50:58.000They're pro-America because it's convenient right now.
01:51:28.000We have always been at war with East Asia.
01:51:30.000No, but I think it's fair to say that Iran has been, as a regional power, they wage the war they're capable of waging in the region, and they have been bombing and killing Americans and our allies in the region for some time.
01:51:42.000And this is Trump being like, yeah, I'm done with it.
01:51:45.000I mean, they were responsible for a lot of the roadside bombs and stuff like that during the Iraq war.
01:51:51.000Mythos says, Libby, we won in Vietnam.
01:51:53.000They signed a peace treaty that they only broke three years after we pulled out.
01:51:56.000We were within 30 miles of the Chinese border in Korea before China got involved.
01:52:57.000That's not really the American strategy.
01:52:59.000It's interesting because I think if we're going to do global conflicts and we're going to go in places and do all this stuff and take over places and Cuba's next and whatever else, then it does make me a lot more in favor of autonomous weapons than I previously have been because it would reduce the deaths.
01:53:23.000And I'm all in for reducing American deaths.
01:53:26.000I mean, like autonomous weapons and stuff like that, those are coming, whether people are comfortable with them or not.
01:54:24.000So when we were bombing civilian targets in Yemen and Yemen was largely just like hiding, like as a government, yeah, I think it's fair to say that we were bombing countries we were not at war with.
01:54:43.000Don't we think that the United States, since World War II, has been subject to foreign policy loss after foreign policy loss, and that Trump has given us the first sort of strength and the first foreign policy victories ever?
01:55:32.000So I have no problem saying I think Trump has been substantially better than all the other presidents.
01:55:39.000I've routinely referred to him as one of our first net positive presidents.
01:55:42.000I was talking to this guy back in his first term, this black dude, and he was like, you know, I asked him, I was like, you think Trump is racist?
01:55:48.000And he's like, hell yeah, Trump is racist.
01:56:57.000Like, sure, Trump is racist and the least racist president we've ever had, which is a good thing.
01:57:01.000And then it puts them in a position where it's like, I do agree with you, but here's why it's better than it's ever been.
01:57:05.000And then it puts the liberals in a position where it's like, do you agree with this black man who has approached this from, yes, you're correct, but it's still better than it's ever been?
01:57:13.000You have to have these liberals concede, like, it's true.
01:57:16.000If you think Trump is racist, you have to acknowledge he is the least racist we've ever had.
01:57:33.000And if you look at my wedding party, it's like just pretty much the rainbow.
01:57:40.000Honestly, Not to be that guy who's like, oh, I have one, but yeah, it's like, okay, you can call me whatever you want, but if you don't have evidence for it, you're just kind of a jerk.
01:57:51.000All right, we got this from Cerebral Vagabond.
01:57:52.000He says, Tim, please read, I'm a Timcast member and combat veteran trying to leave a bad situation and need to relocate as quick as possible.
01:57:59.000Please view my give, send, go page/slash CV0 raised yet.
02:01:31.000I think there was some article out in Australia, Skynet or something came out and said that actually people who do the plasma pheresis like cycle their blood actually live a lot longer and they have less diseases.
02:02:19.000I will pay them a fair price for their blood.
02:02:21.000I saw something, speaking of capitalism, I saw something about this on the internet, and I was like, look, it's going to be the first chance that Gen Z has to get a money transmon from the boomers to Gen Z and J.