Timcast IRL - Tim Pool - WE'RE GOING IN | Timcast IRL #1461 w- Austin Rodgers & Adam Johnson

00:02:31.000 The likelihood that we put boots on the ground is unfortunately going up, at least I think, in the general opinion.

00:02:39.000 It's not guaranteed.

00:02:40.000 We don't know for sure.

00:02:41.000 But the Democrats have come out saying they are fearful based on what they are saying that the likelihood we are going to put boots on the ground is increasing.

00:02:47.000 Whether or not we trust them, I don't know, but I got to be honest, I don't think Democrats are actually fearful of it.

00:02:51.000 I think they're talking out the side of their mouths, going like, oh no, I hope we don't have boots on the ground.

00:02:56.000 Wink.

00:02:57.000 Yeah, at the same time, Israel is calling up 100,000 reservists.

00:03:01.000 And the question there is: for what purpose?

00:03:04.000 Do you need 100,000 people active across the country?

00:03:07.000 Well, to be fair, there's probably ground operations in Israel they do need people for, but 100,000 is quite a bit.

00:03:14.000 And then there's the ultimate logic, which is: how do you guarantee that the regime you've, or I should say, the supreme leader that you've taken out and his leadership is not replaced by the exact same structure?

00:03:25.000 You can't unless there is some form of occupation.

00:03:28.000 So perhaps it won't be direct U.S. troops, but it seems incredibly likely this will be the outcome.

00:03:34.000 And that appears to be an ever-increasing opinion that people are having.

00:03:38.000 But again, we're going to see, and we're going to show you exactly what the Democrats as Blumenthal is saying.

00:03:43.000 I fear it's going to happen, as well as the information that we've been getting from Israel.

00:03:49.000 But when you factor in those fears, and I think, again, the general assessment and fears people have, with the fact that a U.S. base was just struck by Iran, and that a CIA facility was also just struck by Iran, and that they've been striking civilian targets and they've shut down the Strait of Hormuz.

00:04:08.000 If we don't get a handle on this quickly and actually stop their government and their capability to fight, which again, Trump says we've done largely, but if they're allowed to continue, it's going to cause severe economic crisis around the planet, which means, again, I think the general assessment is: how do you solve this unless you actually get people in to shut down those military capabilities?

00:04:30.000 So we got to talk about that.

00:04:31.000 But, my friends, there's much, much bigger news.

00:04:34.000 I know it's funny to say, right?

00:04:36.000 But in Texas, we got big elections happening right now, and we are all rooting for Brandon Herrera, who is 91% in the prediction markets to win.

00:04:45.000 And that's what we want to see.

00:04:46.000 And so we're going to be tracking those election results out of Texas.

00:04:49.000 It looks like Jasmine Crockett is going to lose. 1.00

00:04:52.000 She's got like 10% probability to win. 1.00

00:04:55.000 Yikes.

00:04:56.000 We're going to track those results around 9 p.m.

00:04:58.000 So stick around.

00:04:59.000 It's going to be a lot of fun.

00:05:00.000 Before we get started, we got a great sponsor for you, my friends.

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00:06:39.000 Super cool.

00:06:40.000 And of course, my friends, don't forget Cast Brew.

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00:06:44.000 We've got our Cold Brew glass bottles, Gold Brew Concentrate.

00:06:47.000 I really do recommend it.

00:06:48.000 And big news, pool water is coming back very soon.

00:06:52.000 We have aluminum pool water cans indeed.

00:06:56.000 So stay tuned for that.

00:06:58.000 Don't forget to also smash the like button, share the show with everyone you know right now.

00:07:02.000 Take that URL, take that link, whatever you got, and just post it all across social media if you want to support our work.

00:07:06.000 Really do appreciate it.

00:07:08.000 Joining us tonight to talk about this and so much more is Austin Rogers.

00:07:12.000 Hey, Austin Rogers, running for Congress in the second congressional district of Florida.

00:07:21.000 Good point.

00:07:22.000 From the Panhandle and for the Panhandle is our slogan.

00:07:26.000 And, you know, in my district, it matters that you know how to throw a cast net, that you know how to tie a fishing knot.

00:07:32.000 I know how to do that, but also have experience in Washington serving as chief counsel on Senate Judiciary Committee and serving in Senator Rake Scott's general counsel.

00:07:40.000 So not a swamp creature, but know the swamp, know firsthand how it's broken, and looking forward to fixing it.

00:07:47.000 Right on, should be fun.

00:07:48.000 Good time to join with all these politics and the war stuff.

00:07:50.000 So great to have you.

00:07:51.000 We have another man here.

00:07:52.000 Well, hey, Adam Johnson here, author terrorist and all-around nice guy.

00:07:56.000 I am also running for office, not Congress.

00:07:58.000 It is a Manatee County Commission, and I need your help.

00:08:01.000 You can go to voteadamjohnson.com, donate to my campaign.

00:08:04.000 It's looking really good.

00:08:05.000 We're outraising almost everyone in my race right now.

00:08:07.000 And I'm going back to the government through me in prison.

00:08:12.000 Oh, it's going to be fun.

00:08:14.000 Good to have you, brother.

00:08:15.000 Libby's here.

00:08:16.000 I'm hanging out.

00:08:17.000 Glad to be here with you guys.

00:08:18.000 I'm Libby Emmons.

00:08:19.000 I'm the host of the Pod Millennial, a new podcast.

00:08:22.000 Our episode with your favorite podcast host, Tim Poole, dropped today.

00:08:26.000 So I'm really excited about that.

00:08:28.000 And I hope you go check it out.

00:08:29.000 God, honor.

00:08:30.000 Hello, everybody.

00:08:30.000 My name is Phil Labonte.

00:08:31.000 I'm the lead singer of the Heavy Metal Man, All That Remains.

00:08:33.000 I'm an anti-communist and a counter-revolutionary.

00:08:35.000 Carter.

00:08:37.000 What's up, everyone?

00:08:38.000 Carter Banks here, holding it down button-wise and delivering a great show for y'all.

00:08:43.000 Tim Gluncher back.

00:08:44.000 Adam, good to see you again.

00:08:46.000 It's been a couple of couple weeks, maybe.

00:08:49.000 And then he lives here now.

00:08:51.000 Yeah.

00:08:51.000 Thanks for coming out.

00:08:52.000 All right.

00:08:53.000 Let's get it.

00:08:54.000 We got this story from the Washington Examiner.

00:08:55.000 Senate Democrat, quote, more fearful than ever of U.S. troop deployment to Iran after briefing.

00:09:02.000 And, you know, I'm going to say it outright.

00:09:05.000 I don't actually think he's fearful at all.

00:09:07.000 I think he got a briefing, and inside they're all going like, woo!

00:09:10.000 And they started jumping up on the table and clicking their heels and doing a tap dance.

00:09:14.000 And then they're like, stop, stop, stop, stop, calm down.

00:09:17.000 Poker face, poker face.

00:09:19.000 I'm just so worried about boots on there.

00:09:21.000 Let me play the video for you and stop goofing off. 0.95

00:09:23.000 Here you go.

00:09:24.000 I just want to say I am more fearful than ever after this briefing that we may be putting boots on the ground and that troops from the United States may be necessary to accomplish objectives that the administration seems to have.

00:09:44.000 But I also am no more clear on what the priorities are going to be of the administration going forward, whether it is destroying the nuclear capacity of Iran for simply the missiles or regime chain for stopping terrorist activities.

00:10:03.000 And I think the administration owes it to the American people to have briefings not just for members of Congress, but for the American public.

00:10:14.000 Nothing here should have been classified.

00:10:18.000 So I'm going to go ahead and say, yeah, I think there's probably going to be boots on the ground.

00:10:22.000 We have this from Times of Israel.

00:10:24.000 This is actually an older story.

00:10:25.000 It's from a few days ago.

00:10:26.000 IDF mobilizes 100,000 reservists amid war with Iran.

00:10:30.000 So we have all of these indicators.

00:10:32.000 And I think to the point made by Senator Blumenthal, they're getting these briefings.

00:10:37.000 And I believe what you're getting is they would never and they could never come out and just say, we hereby declare war in Iran and we're sending in the troops because there would be revolt instantly.

00:10:48.000 So what you need is some kind of chaos's belly and then after that, some kind of justification for furtherance of that war.

00:10:55.000 We have had a U.S. airbase struck.

00:10:58.000 We have had a CIA facility struck with the Strait of Hormuz closed.

00:11:02.000 All of these things are causing the water to boil.

00:11:05.000 And at a certain point, you are going to have, in my opinion, I'm not saying for sure, but if this continues like this, you will then get, you know, Heg Seth or Trump or someone coming out being like, you know, we lost so many American lives today.

00:11:19.000 It's unfortunate.

00:11:20.000 We may have no choice but to shut them down.

00:11:22.000 They've refused to surrender.

00:11:24.000 And that's when you start getting an escalation of boots on the ground.

00:11:26.000 Now, again, with what we've seen in Ukraine, they don't play that game anymore where they're like, deploy the troops.

00:11:31.000 They go, a coalition of volunteers have decided to go in.

00:11:35.000 Many of them, of course, are U.S. veterans who are being paid circuitously through various means.

00:11:40.000 But ultimately, the sources of the funding is the U.S. government and the U.S. isn't involved.

00:11:44.000 So I expect the possibility of special forces, limited U.S. military engagement With support from private military contractors, which are effectively U.S. forces.

00:11:58.000 However, I believe the most likely outcome is going to be IDF moving in and shutting this down.

00:12:02.000 And I think the attacks that we've seen and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz are going to be the principal causes, or I should say, justifications.

00:12:12.000 Yeah, I mean, without objection.

00:12:14.000 My first reaction is on the declaration of war front.

00:12:18.000 That's something that, according to Article 1, Congress does.

00:12:22.000 And that is a speech act that invites all sorts of differences of legal rights.

00:12:28.000 You know, they can create a blockade that helps them control the economy. 0.98

00:12:33.000 So, you know, Article 2, the executive acting in a way that's addressing conflicts and hostilities is quite a different thing than a declaration of war.

00:12:45.000 I think Trump has shown with Venezuela and with Iran previously that he's been pretty surgical and that he's willing to take isolated sort of discrete movements to address the issue.

00:12:59.000 So I would argue that Venezuela was done as a surgical strike because of the war with Iran.

00:13:07.000 That we knew Iran was going to close the Strait of Hormuz.

00:13:10.000 And for those that don't know, I want to pull this up because I know there's a lot of people who, you know, they tune in because they want to watch general news and conservative level stuff.

00:13:19.000 And this can get particularly esoteric, as it were.

00:13:22.000 So let me grab the map here.

00:13:24.000 And here's the Strait of Hormuz.

00:13:25.000 Let me zoom out so you can see where it is.

00:13:27.000 Here's Iran. 0.98

00:13:28.000 Here's Saudi Arabia.

00:13:30.000 Then you've got Israel right here. 0.85

00:13:32.000 So the Persian Gulf is here.

00:13:34.000 You've got the Mediterranean.

00:13:35.000 Okay.

00:13:36.000 So European countries, Russia, Turkey, et cetera, transport goods to the Suez Canal and the Red Sea, for which they've been threatened substantially by Houthi rebels in Yemen, right here.

00:13:45.000 They've actually been bombing cargo vessels, and that's been disastrous.

00:13:49.000 You also have here the Strait of Hormuz.

00:13:51.000 Now, this is about, I believe it's a three-mile-wide stretch of water where 20% of global gas, oil and natural gas flows through.

00:14:02.000 And Iran has basically said, we're going to shut that down.

00:14:05.000 Right.

00:14:06.000 So Trump, he's probably sitting around with Du Bois, and they're like, should we go in and just bomb the Ayatollah?

00:14:13.000 And they probably said they're immediately going to shut the Strait of Hormuz and we're going to lose 20% of global oil trade and wipe out the global economy.

00:14:20.000 So Trump says, what can we do?

00:14:21.000 And they're like, well, yeah, look, I mean, Venezuela does have a massive chunk of that, and we could easily go in and knock out Maduro.

00:14:27.000 And so I believe the move against Maduro was actually a precursor to the strikes on Iran.

00:14:32.000 Yeah, I think that's exactly right.

00:14:34.000 In fact, and I was thinking about that today.

00:14:36.000 And then you also had Trump saying that he was going to work to open the Strait of Hormuz and have escorts of the tankers going through there.

00:14:45.000 Trump has been seizing tankers in the Caribbean Sea.

00:14:49.000 So that's been really interesting.

00:14:51.000 But this is what we have here is another WMD oil war, right? 0.90

00:14:56.000 I mean, that's what's going on.

00:14:58.000 Every time.

00:14:59.000 And this is something that specifically MAGA voters were thinking they were voting for Trump against things like WMD oil wars.

00:14:59.000 Every time.

00:15:08.000 Trump had said we were going to get out of Afghanistan.

00:15:11.000 Now Biden ended up doing that and did it wrong, and the Democrats were against it anyway.

00:15:15.000 But we have this situation.

00:15:17.000 And I think also what you have is the, I think that Trump's inability to prevent the war in Ukraine, to like get that stopped, has been really rankling.

00:15:29.000 And so he's going after as well Russian allies, right?

00:15:32.000 Like Venezuela, Iran. 0.85

00:15:33.000 These are Russian allies.

00:15:34.000 You'll notice like China and Russia have not been coming in to Iran's aid.

00:15:39.000 And this is a situation where Trump is going to go after all of the oil.

00:15:43.000 Now, I do think, just my last point, I do think that if it goes beyond the, you know, two weeks to stop the spread, I mean, two weeks to stop the Iran. 0.94

00:15:54.000 Four to five weeks that have been promised.

00:15:56.000 I think that's going to be a concern because this was a promise made now, four to five weeks, right?

00:16:01.000 I think this might be, that's all that MAGA has the stomach for.

00:16:06.000 Real quick, I just must stress the sheer absurdity.

00:16:10.000 That is, the neocons who hated Donald Trump and fought against him are screaming and shearing, and the populist right is losing it pissed off.

00:16:20.000 Yeah.

00:16:20.000 So just for accuracy, the strait is actually 21 miles.

00:16:24.000 Oh, 20 miles.

00:16:24.000 My bad.

00:16:25.000 Narrowest point.

00:16:26.000 And I have a bit of a different perspective than Libby.

00:16:29.000 I do think that this is actually the Venezuela and the Iran op is actually more about China than it is about Russia.

00:16:36.000 I think that it's about trying to limit China's ability to get oil.

00:16:42.000 China takes like 80% of the oil from Iran.

00:16:45.000 Like Iran's exports go basically directly from Iran to China because of sanctions and stuff like that.

00:16:50.000 And China doesn't mind going around the sanctions.

00:16:53.000 China is our greatest geopolitical rival right now.

00:16:57.000 Russia's not really, I mean, they show that they're a paper tiger. 0.97

00:17:00.000 They can't even beat little Russia. 0.99

00:17:02.000 Sure, but I mean, Trump wants that stopped.

00:17:04.000 I mean, he campaigned on stopping it within 24 hours, and it's been over a year.

00:17:08.000 I mean, he may want that stopped, but I don't think that this actually has as much effect on Russia as it does have on China.

00:17:15.000 And then as for like a long-term, the administration made a bad move by even putting any kind of timeframe.

00:17:23.000 When they were starting out and they were saying, look, this is open-ended.

00:17:26.000 This is going to be longer than just a strike.

00:17:29.000 This is something that might take a while.

00:17:31.000 That was probably the best messaging that they had at the time by talking about boots on the ground or talking about an end to it or whatever.

00:17:40.000 Then they put a time limit in people's heads.

00:17:43.000 They just recently started launching B-52s, which means they've taken out the vast majority of the threats because you put first B-2s when there's you put in B-2s, the stealth bomber when there's serious threats.

00:17:55.000 B-1s go in when the threats have kind of knocked down a little bit.

00:17:57.000 Then B-52s can fly at 55,000 feet, but those are easily taken out by air defense.

00:18:02.000 So essentially, the air defenses in Iran are gone now.

00:18:04.000 So Iran is notorious for being mountainous with heavy anti-air defense, and the U.S. relies on air superiority.

00:18:11.000 So this has been one of the principal issues with the U.S. moving in on Iran for the whole time.

00:18:18.000 So taking out those anti-air surface air missiles was the key to getting this job done.

00:18:23.000 I just want to say, I am, of course, as a millennial skeptical on these regime change wars, for which this absolutely is.

00:18:30.000 I'm going to piss off a lot of people when I say this, but I just love the masculinity of it.

00:18:35.000 Let me explain.

00:18:36.000 The reporting is that the Trump admin went to sit down.

00:18:40.000 I mean, figuratively, they had a meeting with the Iranian government who stated, we have enough fissile material for 11 bombs.

00:18:49.000 That's where we're starting the negotiation. 0.99

00:18:50.000 And Trump's response was, then I'm going to kill you. 0.98

00:18:54.000 And again, I'm not suggesting I support the strikes or the invasion of Iran. 0.99

00:18:59.000 I'm not a staunch anti-Trump.

00:19:02.000 I'm not, I don't believe, I would call it intervention skeptic, general anti-intervention.

00:19:08.000 And I think the issue is the potential for instability knocking out a big player like Iran and the blowback we could get.

00:19:13.000 That being said, there is just something satisfied in finally having a world leader who's going to, like Obama saying, we're going to give you as much money as you want.

00:19:22.000 We want to buy you into the system.

00:19:23.000 Just this is not the way you solve problems with ideological psychopaths.

00:19:28.000 I am not suggesting that it means we should be bombing them.

00:19:32.000 It's just there's just something visceral about Trump's response to the world stage.

00:19:39.000 Now, I'll give him a little pushback.

00:19:41.000 I wish he had that same decisiveness domestically, which he does not seem to show, especially with the riots and the protests and the Democratic Party.

00:19:51.000 Sometimes, not always, but you know, there, I said, it is what it is.

00:19:56.000 Well, hopefully, this doesn't result in massive regional instability.

00:19:59.000 You're not talking about JDAMs on protesters, are you?

00:20:01.000 No. 0.98

00:20:02.000 I'm talking about Trump coming out and saying, shut your mouth.

00:20:06.000 I'm talking about Trump going to Democrats and when the Democrats say, well, Trump, you know, the people have a right to protest. 0.98

00:20:13.000 And in Minnesota, and Trump goes, shut up, as in, close your mouth and stop talking.

00:20:17.000 I wish he would do that. 0.98

00:20:18.000 I wish he would do that.

00:20:20.000 Really?

00:20:20.000 Don't you think that that would just backfire?

00:20:24.000 If I did shut their mouth, they would all just whine more.

00:20:27.000 I just for the most part to say Trump has not been decisive on issues of these riots and the unrest as much as I would like him to be.

00:20:39.000 Yeah, I would have liked to have to be able to see that.

00:20:40.000 What more would you want him to do?

00:20:42.000 I would have liked to have seen 2022.

00:20:45.000 I don't think so.

00:20:47.000 I think Homan, I think they've generally cracked down. 0.98

00:20:50.000 Tom Homan said when he went to Minnesota that, you know, I'm paraphrasing, of course we had problems.

00:20:54.000 I wouldn't be here if that wasn't the case.

00:20:56.000 And I think the actual issue is Trump doesn't prioritize that.

00:21:02.000 Let's be completely real.

00:21:03.000 I think that when all this Minnesota is going on, this is the real plan.

00:21:07.000 Trump is working on a probably how much money do you think it costs to launch this operation?

00:21:13.000 I mean, a trillion dollars, insane amount of money.

00:21:15.000 And so someone goes to him and says, Mr. President, there's a bunch of angry leftists throwing snowballs and getting into fights.

00:21:20.000 He's like, I don't care, deal with it.

00:21:22.000 And so my principal issue is we get this super masculine, you know, like I could throw some shade at Trump.

00:21:31.000 He said, we knocked out their nuclear program in the 12-day war.

00:21:34.000 Well, obviously, the war was not 12 days.

00:21:36.000 It is now ongoing.

00:21:37.000 From that point on, history will look at it as one conflict.

00:21:40.000 Right now.

00:21:41.000 The strikes are about $100.5 billion total for since the start, yeah.

00:21:46.000 It's a lot less than I thought.

00:21:47.000 A lot less than the Somalis have taken. 0.99

00:21:49.000 A lot less than a trillion.

00:21:51.000 Well, anyway, my point is, you know, Trump's heavy priority has been an international engagement.

00:21:59.000 And I feel like he defers a lot of the domestic stuff to his administration, his staff.

00:22:04.000 And we have seen the far left basically getting away with murder, literally, in many states.

00:22:11.000 We see criminals being released.

00:22:13.000 And what the American people who support Trump want is not an incursion into Iran, which is why the base is split.

00:22:19.000 They want to see corrupt politicians be prosecuted, investigated, or otherwise.

00:22:23.000 And they ain't getting it.

00:22:25.000 They're not.

00:22:26.000 And again, I'm not saying it's been all bad.

00:22:27.000 I say generally net positive in a lot of areas.

00:22:30.000 But again, going in on full war with Iran is, I mean, this is a, if you're talking about political risk, Donald Trump being like, well, we could declare the Insurrection Act.

00:22:45.000 We could send in federal investigators to look into what's going on with, you know, Tim Waltz, the guy he hired, like a lot of various issues.

00:22:55.000 We could do that.

00:22:56.000 It's politically tumultuous, but I will bomb Iran. 1.00

00:23:00.000 It's like, wow, bombing Iran is tenfold more. 0.93

00:23:03.000 It's like more difficult to do in terms of decision-making than the domestic actions we want to see to hold accountable corrupt politicians and far-left extremists.

00:23:13.000 Well, he's running in line with what he did during the summer of love, right?

00:23:15.000 During COVID, he kind of left things to the states, the governors to manage their own things.

00:23:19.000 And we saw that turned out.

00:23:20.000 I mean, there were literally cities being taken over.

00:23:22.000 So he's been consistent in that.

00:23:24.000 I think when he ran in 24, and I mean, I voted for him in 16, 20, and 24.

00:23:29.000 And my biggest thing was I got five kids.

00:23:31.000 One is of draft age, two are approaching draft age.

00:23:33.000 I don't want new war.

00:23:35.000 And what he ran on mostly for 24, in my opinion, it was the economy.

00:23:39.000 And whether we like it or not, America is a war economy.

00:23:42.000 And doing these moves, making these maneuvers, this is how we get our economy back on track.

00:23:47.000 I, you know, I agree.

00:23:49.000 I think that if Trump pulls this off, people need to understand that U.S. hegemonic power means you live comfortably.

00:24:00.000 I just, these liberals.

00:24:03.000 And I can respect the libertarians in this regard because they know the facts and they'll make the arguments and say, I don't think it's worth it.

00:24:09.000 I think the end results often, like, I respect their arguments.

00:24:13.000 But the point is, the argument I have with libertarians on intervention is after the fact.

00:24:18.000 The reality is we live very comfortably because we blow people up who don't get on the petrodollar or who threaten global trade routes, which is basically the deal we have to these countries.

00:24:29.000 Like, hey, you're going to trade oil.

00:24:31.000 It's going to be clean, safe, and you don't have to worry about it because we're going to send our aircraft carriers around and police the seas.

00:24:35.000 So when Iran is acting a fool, our customers are going, look, we use your currency for the oil that we're selling, but we can't even trade in this region without getting bombed. 0.93

00:24:44.000 And Trump's like, okay. 0.97

00:24:46.000 That's why it's so easy.

00:24:48.000 This is honestly why it is easier, in my opinion, for every administration to go to war, because domestically you can lose elections, you can lose power.

00:24:55.000 Foreign intervention, for the most part, Americans don't care about foreign policy.

00:24:59.000 Like, I know they polled people and they're mostly opposed to the strikes in Iran.

00:25:03.000 But I got to be honest, if I walk down the street and ask somebody, would you care more about the upcoming season, insert sport, or war with Iran, they'll go, who?

00:25:14.000 Yeah, people with an opinion on Iran should be forced to point it out on a map first before their opinion counts.

00:25:19.000 I think that's true for everything.

00:25:20.000 Yeah.

00:25:21.000 You know, so anybody who comes and like, I think it's wrong that we're attacking Iran, I'd be like, and where is it?

00:25:25.000 Yeah.

00:25:27.000 To your point earlier and to something that you said, I think Republicans, there's a strong contingent of Republicans that are rightly skeptical of forever wars, of oil wars, of foreign intervention.

00:25:41.000 But I think Trump has demonstrated time and again in this administration that he is being surgical.

00:25:48.000 He is not getting us embroiled in forever wars.

00:25:52.000 He is being quite isolated and surgical in how he's treating this.

00:25:56.000 And I don't know why we wouldn't trust him for this one.

00:25:59.000 Well, let's come to the story from the Times of Israel.

00:26:02.000 Iranian missile hits U.S. base at Al-Udid, no casualties.

00:26:06.000 Qatari Defense Ministry.

00:26:08.000 We also have, I don't know where the other story is.

00:26:11.000 There was a CIA, I thought I pulled up somewhere.

00:26:14.000 CIA facility in Saudi Arabia.

00:26:15.000 Oh, here it is.

00:26:16.000 I got it.

00:26:16.000 It was just in the wrong order.

00:26:18.000 CIA station in Saudi capital hit in drone attack.

00:26:21.000 The strikes in Riyadh come as Iran Wyden's retaliation across the Middle East in the wake of U.S.-Israeli bombing campaign.

00:26:27.000 So far, Trump's surgical strike has just been Venezuela.

00:26:31.000 And yeah, you know, great job.

00:26:33.000 I don't think you can accomplish what you want to accomplish with Iran in the same way. 1.00

00:26:37.000 And so I think it's a fair argument to say, you know, we had just referenced Senator Blumenthal, who said, based on the briefing that I got, I am more fearful than ever that we'll have boots on the ground.

00:26:49.000 I defy anybody.

00:26:51.000 Tell me how we remove the Islamic fundamentalist government without occupation. 0.99

00:26:57.000 We just removed a broad swath of their major political and military leaders through one isolated operation.

00:27:07.000 And they voted in a new guy and they've got new guys appointed.

00:27:10.000 He's the son of the old guy.

00:27:11.000 Yeah, but I mean, there's also political upheaval going on.

00:27:14.000 Like, who knows how much staying power that's going to have?

00:27:17.000 But is the end result that we end up with an ISIS-like state of chaos and fervor? 0.82

00:27:22.000 I mean, Libya is a state of Libya, since NATO decided to go in and bomb the place and Gaddafi.

00:27:32.000 Yeah, you know, Hillary Clinton said we came, we saw he died.

00:27:34.000 Is that how we're going to leave?

00:27:36.000 Iran is not Libya.

00:27:37.000 It is not Afghanistan.

00:27:38.000 It is not Iraq. 0.87

00:27:39.000 You've got, what is it, 90 million people?

00:27:41.000 Something like that.

00:27:42.000 It is going to, like, if you create a power vacuum in Iran, the most brutal guy is going to win. 1.00

00:27:48.000 Again, so we can bomb their formal government and leadership, but you are going to get terrorist insurgent cells and they're going to start spreading all of those resources and weapons around like crazy and create massive instability unless someone goes in and occupies it.

00:28:03.000 That seems to be the most probable outcome.

00:28:05.000 The only problem with that is that we don't have a very good track record of doing that.

00:28:09.000 Of course, that's why everyone's concerned.

00:28:11.000 We don't have a very good track record of doing that with our president.

00:28:14.000 Neither does anybody.

00:28:16.000 Like, nobody has a good track record of doing that.

00:28:18.000 Yeah, well, I think a lot of these things aren't like each other, right?

00:28:22.000 They don't have to be like each other for us to not have to.

00:28:24.000 No, I understand, but I'm saying we have a different foreign nation.

00:28:27.000 No, I totally.

00:28:28.000 You know, and like not being able to figure out how we're supposed to lead them or get other people to lead them either.

00:28:33.000 Yeah, but I would say that's a thing.

00:28:35.000 Look at Afghanistan. 0.93

00:28:36.000 Afghanistan is a disaster now. 1.00

00:28:38.000 Yeah.

00:28:38.000 I would say the geopolitical landscape has fundamentally shifted during Trump's tenure.

00:28:43.000 Look at the Abraham Accords. 1.00

00:28:45.000 Look at UAE. 0.98

00:28:46.000 Look at a lot of the allies that we have who are doing business with us and who are being helpful.

00:28:51.000 I would say the landscape is entirely different and these situations aren't like the other.

00:28:57.000 Libya, all the ones that you alluded to are not the same as what we're dealing with now.

00:29:03.000 And we're dealing with a leader now, a president who actually has the stones, the fortitude to do the right thing.

00:29:13.000 So what's the right thing?

00:29:14.000 Occupying a foreign country? 0.56

00:29:16.000 I'm not suggesting that at all.

00:29:17.000 And I don't think that the Trump administration is.

00:29:20.000 But again, is it then bombing the leadership incessantly until they give up and stop appointing new leadership?

00:29:26.000 Well, I mean, that's essentially what they did in Venezuela was they took Maduro out and they said, okay, you're going to play ball with us now.

00:29:32.000 And I know that they're not the same.

00:29:34.000 Here's my other thing, too.

00:29:37.000 We have seen Trump act in the economy.

00:29:39.000 We've seen him act in dozens of different ways and in the course of a year be more effective than any president in my lifetime.

00:29:48.000 Why wouldn't we trust him?

00:29:49.000 Why wouldn't we trust Mark Orubio?

00:29:50.000 Why wouldn't we trust the regime that we have in place who is proven unequivocally to be effective?

00:29:56.000 Phil makes a super good point.

00:29:59.000 They are the government.

00:30:01.000 And I think they're here to help.

00:30:03.000 But it's not a question of Trump or Ruby.

00:30:05.000 It's a question of the effectiveness of regime change in general, which for the past 50 years we have seen utter failure on.

00:30:12.000 I mean, we failed in Korea to a large degree.

00:30:15.000 We failed in Vietnam, you know, after the French failed. 0.99

00:30:19.000 I'll give some credit to South Korea, but we certainly haven't unified the Koreas, and that's largely due to the conflict with China and China's support for North Korea.

00:30:25.000 There's all, I mean, you know, there's all kinds of things and all of these things.

00:30:30.000 Real quick, regime change in Japan after World War II, we turned those samurai into like ladyboy cat girls. 0.99

00:30:39.000 Businessmen.

00:30:40.000 No, not even, not even salarymen.

00:30:41.000 Getting drunk in the street.

00:30:42.000 They don't have kids anymore.

00:30:44.000 And they want, and South Korea and Japan both have an obsession with American culture.

00:30:50.000 No, I'll give Japan a little bit more than that. 0.95

00:30:51.000 It is pretty awesome. 0.60

00:30:52.000 Korea is pretty creepy. 0.99

00:30:53.000 I got to be honest. 0.97

00:30:54.000 I'll have to say that as a Korean.

00:30:55.000 I've never been there.

00:30:56.000 Have you been?

00:30:56.000 It's amazing.

00:30:57.000 I love the place, but they all get plastic surgery to look like white people instead of just looking like Koreans. 1.00

00:31:02.000 They get that blaroplasty.

00:31:04.000 They get facial.

00:31:06.000 Koreans have like a round face, as you can see. 1.00

00:31:07.000 I got a little round face.

00:31:08.000 They get their faces shaved down and reshaped to look more like the European chiseled square jaw or like, you know, whatever.

00:31:16.000 They get eyelid surgery.

00:31:18.000 And it's because when you are occupied by Americans who look a certain way and they control your culture and your development, you look to the wealthy, you look to the developed, and you take those things on. 0.93

00:31:31.000 So again, Japan, this is probably why they retained this ethos of saying, we are not going to look at Vietnam or Iraq or Afghanistan, Iraq again, as it's not possible, just that we got to try again.

00:31:44.000 So I certainly would say that, you know, the way I describe it is that we have post-intervention stress disorder due to the failures of the Bush administration's interventions in the Middle East.

00:31:55.000 That doesn't mean it always fails, but I would say based on the track record of our current infrastructure, the probability of failure is likely high.

00:32:03.000 Syria being another really great example. 0.90

00:32:06.000 The Obama intervention in Syria resulted in the expansion of ISIS and U.S. weapons falling into the hands of psychopaths who basically defied all of the norms we expected from these Muslim insurgent groups. 0.99

00:32:18.000 It used to be that during the Iraq or early Iraq war era, you get kidnapped as a journalist or contractor in some Middle Eastern country by a Muslim. 1.00

00:32:28.000 There were, I forget what the word is, but there was something you could invoke in Islam where it would require them to protect you until the conclusion of whatever it is they kidnapped you for, be it a ransom or some political reason.

00:32:40.000 And an individual would be like, okay, I am basically your captor and I have to make sure nobody harms you.

00:32:46.000 ISIS did not care at all. 0.99

00:32:48.000 ISIS was like, we will literally chop off your head. 1.00

00:32:50.000 We don't care. 0.97

00:32:51.000 And they defied the norms we grew to expect because they were, as Noam Chomsky said, to quote, that guy, in the arena of violence, the most brutal guy wins.

00:33:01.000 And in reference to the left, he said, that's not us.

00:33:02.000 But the point is, you have order in Iran.

00:33:06.000 We keep blowing up their leadership.

00:33:08.000 Eventually, you get brutal Islamic disorder. 1.00

00:33:11.000 And that has a very high likelihood of looking like ISIS. 1.00

00:33:14.000 Unless we get boots on the ground exactly like we did in Syria.

00:33:19.000 And again, even Syria wasn't quickly resolved.

00:33:22.000 I don't see a mathematical probability to having any kind of stability in the region.

00:33:28.000 If the anger is that Iran is arming the Houthi rebels and Iraqi militia groups who are killing U.S. troops, constantly flattening the leadership in Iran, resulting in the IRGC just going rogue and forming Islamic factions is going to make that tenfold worse.

00:33:44.000 So the solution is then there need to be, look, I'll put it like this.

00:33:51.000 Fighter jets don't occupy street corners.

00:33:54.000 People do.

00:33:55.000 So you can bomb all day and night and the factions there that believe what they believe and don't want to give up are going to adapt to it.

00:34:03.000 Until you get someone on a street corner with a gun, you will not have control of these systems, the economics, be it disaster economics, war economies.

00:34:12.000 If you want to put a stop, you need a grid of people stopping them.

00:34:17.000 I guess my question is, do we not think that the Trump administration has counted that cost?

00:34:22.000 I mean, I think they want to put boots on the ground.

00:34:24.000 No.

00:34:24.000 No, I don't think they've said that.

00:34:26.000 I don't think they've got to do it.

00:34:27.000 Well, of course they can't.

00:34:28.000 I think Hank Seth said, you know, we have to keep all options on the table or whatever.

00:34:33.000 But I mean, my sense of things is you have Marco Rubio, who has better foreign policy chops than anyone I know of.

00:34:43.000 He is great.

00:34:43.000 I do.

00:34:44.000 You have a administration who has proven themselves trustworthy in a million different ways.

00:34:50.000 And we don't have, I don't think it's meaningless.

00:34:55.000 We don't have access to the classified briefings they have.

00:34:57.000 We don't have access to a lot of the intel that they have that made them make that decision.

00:35:03.000 And I would argue that you can trust a guy very much so, but it doesn't mean he's going to be good at baseball.

00:35:10.000 Yeah, but he's proven himself good at baseball.

00:35:12.000 When?

00:35:13.000 Recently in Venezuela, for example.

00:35:15.000 Yeah, so all the Democrats.

00:35:19.000 This is going to lead to this massive wisdom embroil us in this massive war and this mass and nothing happened.

00:35:24.000 I would actually argue that he has disproven this, and that is by the 12-day war, which utterly failed in Iran.

00:35:31.000 And we were assured in no uncertain terms, the nuclear program had been wiped out, and that was not true.

00:35:39.000 And this war is the continuation of the 12-day war.

00:35:43.000 So I love calling the current strikes in Iran the 12-day war, because now it's what, the 365-plus 12-day war.

00:35:51.000 So the point is this.

00:35:52.000 We were told it was a surgical strike.

00:35:54.000 The bombs went in, took it out.

00:35:55.000 There were satellite videos showing what looked like Iran shuffling their fissile material out of this base.

00:36:00.000 And we were told they did not.

00:36:02.000 It's not true.

00:36:03.000 Don't worry about it.

00:36:04.000 Now we're being told that when Trump goes to negotiate with Iran, they said outright, we have enough material for 11 bombs, and that's where we're starting the negotiation. 0.99

00:36:12.000 So again, I say I love the masculinity of Trump's response to looking him in the eye and being like, then I'm going to kill you. 0.99

00:36:18.000 Okay. 0.99

00:36:18.000 And then he did. 0.99

00:36:19.000 Not that the strikes are good, but it is like you need the balls. 0.95

00:36:24.000 That being said, as much as I can be like, I love the manliness of it. 0.89

00:36:28.000 It is fair to say we are not talking about a question of trust or capability.

00:36:33.000 We're talking about a question of strategy and math.

00:36:35.000 And fighter jets don't occupy street corners.

00:36:38.000 If the goal is to remove their ability to fight, you can keep bombing them.

00:36:42.000 But we saw what happened with Syria already.

00:36:45.000 So again, I'm looking at a math problem.

00:36:48.000 Trump can be the best in the world at these math problems, but if the solution still requires physical occupation, my assumption is the United States fully expects there needs to be an occupation of Iran. 0.71

00:37:02.000 And they're going to pull off the same BS they did with Ukraine by saying U.S. troops aren't in Ukraine.

00:37:08.000 It's a coalition of volunteers that we're paying.

00:37:11.000 So I would say that I think Trump is also looking at a math problem himself.

00:37:17.000 And I would say people talk about him playing 4D chess, 5D chess all the time in 100 different ways.

00:37:24.000 Earlier, we alluded to China.

00:37:27.000 And I think certainly he has the bigger picture in mind.

00:37:31.000 He is playing 4D chess.

00:37:32.000 I think he's counted the costs.

00:37:33.000 I think he has done the mathematics.

00:37:35.000 And I think they have what it takes to get this across the finish line in a discrete, isolated, and surgical way.

00:37:40.000 I disagree.

00:37:41.000 I think they concluded the only way we get this done is by total regime change.

00:37:47.000 There's been a I would describe it, and I want to be careful with this, but there's been a propagandistic effort to rally public support for the end of the Iranian government.

00:37:59.000 We've been getting just slammed by these stories of the killing of civilians and things like this, which I would argue is probably largely true, but of course going to be exaggerated, especially by Israel, who wants the Iranian government removed. 0.89

00:38:12.000 I also have no problem saying the Ayatollah was a very bad person, and the Iranian government is absolutely garbage, and it is 100% moral to have removed them. 0.99

00:38:22.000 I think that's true. 0.94

00:38:23.000 The issue, however, is it may be morally good that the Iranian government is not there anymore and was removed.

00:38:29.000 The question is, is it going to create, is it going to be a Pyrrhic victory?

00:38:33.000 Is the calculation Trump made that in order to effectively end this government, you need people?

00:38:39.000 I do not see, based on history and everything we've seen thus far, it is possible to engage in a full-scale operation of this size without people, with a very easy example being Ukraine.

00:38:53.000 They told us there are no U.S. troops on the ground.

00:38:56.000 Well, they're special forces and U.S. intelligence, and we are giving all of our weapons and telling them where to point them and where to shoot them.

00:39:03.000 And the people we're talking to are American veterans that are just privately, you know, hired and paid by the U.S. government.

00:39:10.000 It's like, we get it.

00:39:11.000 So I think it's very likely that Israel is going to have the bulk of the forces that go into Iran.

00:39:16.000 I think Trump is going to make some argument about how there are no boots on the ground.

00:39:21.000 And then they're going to whisper like, but the volunteers are there.

00:39:24.000 And then what you do is instead of having the U.S. military formally, you go to a bunch of PMCs and say, call them the boys.

00:39:31.000 We're going to pay them a salary and we're going to send them in. 1.00

00:39:32.000 And we're going to have 100,000 boots on the ground.

00:39:35.000 Unofficially, of course, not the United States.

00:39:38.000 And sorry, just one more thing.

00:39:39.000 For that matter, I really do think there's a strong probability that Trump literally orders U.S. troops to go into Iran.

00:39:44.000 I'm fine with PMCs.

00:39:45.000 A lot of these operators actually like what they do and like getting paid for it.

00:39:49.000 What I don't want to do is start at the meat grinder again and send in 10,000 boys who just face just finished basic.

00:39:55.000 I think that is my concern.

00:39:57.000 But PMCs, all for it.

00:39:58.000 Yeah, I think when we say boots on the ground, the American people are thinking about big army stuff.

00:40:04.000 They're thinking about large U.S. forces.

00:40:04.000 They're thinking about tanks.

00:40:07.000 There's definitely CIA on the ground.

00:40:09.000 The administration has already admitted it.

00:40:12.000 There might end up being special forces, Green Berets, going in to try and train the YPG or the Kurdish forces.

00:40:20.000 It's probably already there.

00:40:21.000 You know what I mean? 0.57

00:40:23.000 We just blew up their palace and killed all of their top government. 0.92

00:40:28.000 Sure. 0.71

00:40:28.000 You could intel through, and I'll put it like this. 0.71

00:40:31.000 If it's not an American who went there, it's an Iranian who's operating for the U.S. government.

00:40:37.000 Go ahead.

00:40:38.000 No, I was just going to say you've rightly identified a power vacuum, but I think the response from a lot of Iranian people being nothing short of jubilation signifies. 1.00

00:40:50.000 I don't believe it.

00:40:51.000 I believe it.

00:40:52.000 You've seen videos of it.

00:40:53.000 And I've seen videos of people celebrating the attempted assassination on Trump and the celebrating the assassination of Charlie Kirk.

00:40:53.000 Sure.

00:40:58.000 But all I'm saying is there's certainly appetite there for some different form and mode of government beyond Islamism.

00:40:58.000 Sure.

00:41:05.000 If China launched a strike and blew up the White House, they would be running videos all across China of Americans celebrating and they'd say, see, we liberated them. 0.83

00:41:14.000 Yeah, I just, I've seen the response in both the U.S. and in Iran.

00:41:20.000 The response in the U.S. is going to be obvious.

00:41:22.000 These are people who fled Iran, like its government. 0.63

00:41:24.000 Absolutely.

00:41:25.000 And I believe that again, they're still, I agree with that.

00:41:27.000 I think they're not.

00:41:28.000 A lot of the folks in Iran, by the way, still have family back in Iran.

00:41:33.000 Sorry, a lot of the folks, Iranian folks in the U.S. have family back in Iran. 0.71

00:41:38.000 I'm telling you, there's appetite for a different regime, a different.

00:41:42.000 And again, the rebuttal is the same appetite exists nearly half the population in the United States.

00:41:49.000 You know, Trump won 49.5% of the vote and Kamala got like 47 or something like this.

00:41:56.000 So again, when you start seeing all of these mass protests, I guarantee you, I mean, this is true, North Korea, China, Russia are rolling those videos out in their media being like the American people hate their government and want it overthrown and Trump just killed two civilians.

00:42:10.000 Yeah, but again, these things aren't alike.

00:42:12.000 Like we have a foundation of government based on separation of powers, based on French philosophy, based on enlightenment.

00:42:19.000 They have a structure of government that is based on radical Islamic terrorism.

00:42:25.000 Indeed, and the argument there is we all agree we are correct and we have a better form of government.

00:42:30.000 My point is to look at a video of any amount of people protesting and determine that the people of Iran support their government being toppled, I would say, well, a percentage of them probably do, just like a large percentage of the people in the United States would celebrate Trump being killed all the same.

00:42:46.000 Yeah, but it's not a justification for why we go in and blow up their government.

00:42:51.000 Yeah, but what I'm saying is real quick.

00:42:53.000 The framework of government they had there is much more fragile than the framework that we have here.

00:42:59.000 If God forbid something happened to a president here, we have the framework in place to replace.

00:43:06.000 So do they.

00:43:07.000 They had their assembly of experts and then Israel bombed them.

00:43:10.000 No, I don't think they have the same structure.

00:43:13.000 They have their structure to replace their leader, which they've just done.

00:43:13.000 I didn't say they're the same.

00:43:16.000 And I think that we are going to find out here in the near future, their structure is much weaker and more fragile than ours.

00:43:23.000 Well, I think that's obvious considering we're the United States.

00:43:26.000 Correct.

00:43:26.000 That's what I'm saying.

00:43:27.000 None of that morally justifies the U.S. Like to say that because a portion of a country's people don't like their government is not a justification of executing their leader.

00:43:36.000 The moral justification would be that they have Americans' blood on their hands. 0.51

00:43:42.000 A moral justification would be they are racing to get nuclear arms.

00:43:42.000 Agreed.

00:43:46.000 Totally agree. 0.99

00:43:47.000 A moral justification would be they adhere to a form of Islam that is eschatological, apocalyptic, wants to kill the West, wants to kill the United States of America. 1.00

00:43:57.000 Totally agree.

00:43:57.000 That is a vision of moral righteousness, and they're acting on that moral righteousness.

00:44:01.000 And in which case if 100% of the population supported the government, it would not change the morality of what we have done.

00:44:09.000 Sorry, I don't know.

00:44:10.000 If 100% of the Iranian people were in support of the Ayatollah, it would not change the morality of our actions in blowing them up. 1.00

00:44:19.000 Yeah.

00:44:19.000 Sure.

00:44:19.000 That's why My point is, whether or not any amount of people in Iran are for or against the government does not matter.

00:44:27.000 The question that I think is posed largely, certainly there's going to be a bunch of leftists who are like, it was wrong to kill a leader in this way.

00:44:33.000 I'm like, the Ayatollah was a very, very bad guy.

00:44:37.000 The bigger issue is not military action against evil people. 0.91

00:44:41.000 The bigger question is, is this a Pyrrhic victory which results in mass destabilization in the region and results in more death, more killing, more rape?

00:44:48.000 And if our goal ultimately is, now, first and foremost, I get it.

00:44:52.000 They can't have a nuclear bomb.

00:44:53.000 And they come to the negotiating table claiming that they still have the material to do it.

00:44:56.000 And you know why I believe this?

00:44:57.000 I know a lot of people are going to say, you actually think they really said that?

00:45:01.000 You actually think Donald Trump would come out and admit he f ⁇ ed up when the 12-day war was supposed to wipe out their materials and it did not work?

00:45:08.000 I don't think Trump decided to just arbitrarily go in and mount this massive assault on Iran.

00:45:12.000 No, I think the reality is the 12-day war failed.

00:45:15.000 And now the Trump administration has to admit they failed and their assurances were incorrect.

00:45:21.000 And now the only outcome was we're going to have to take them out and start taking out their capabilities.

00:45:26.000 Why would we make the assumption that it failed?

00:45:29.000 Because they literally said Iran came to the negotiating table with Trump saying we have enough nuclear material for 11 bombs.

00:45:37.000 After the 12-day war, we were assured by the Trump administration and Trump they wiped out their nuclear capabilities.

00:45:44.000 They did not.

00:45:45.000 Yeah, I mean, I think puffery happens in any sort of negotiation.

00:45:48.000 But if we didn't fail – There are two different questions.

00:45:51.000 If we didn't fail, then why are we attacking Iran?

00:45:53.000 They have no nuclear program anymore, right?

00:45:54.000 What's the point?

00:45:55.000 They're racing to develop a nuclear program again.

00:45:59.000 Yeah, but Trump isn't going to be 20, 30 years away from making a war.

00:46:04.000 He's about making a deal, and he was trying to make a deal, and they were filibustering him.

00:46:10.000 Is your argument that the 12-day war was a success?

00:46:13.000 We set their nuclear program back decades, as we were told, meaning they're going to be at least 20 years on the low end away from ever getting close to this. 0.98

00:46:21.000 And then because they wouldn't agree to it, Trump decided to kill them all.

00:46:23.000 No, my point is they were racing to develop a nuclear program. 0.92

00:46:28.000 And they were decades away.

00:46:30.000 Yeah.

00:46:31.000 So we could have waited.

00:46:33.000 You don't have to wait for somebody to punch you before you.

00:46:36.000 20 years.

00:46:37.000 We could have waited to see how they start developing weapons.

00:46:39.000 But you have to imagine they are also interacting with China.

00:46:42.000 They're also interacting with all sorts of our enemies.

00:46:46.000 And they are integrated sort of system.

00:46:49.000 And obviously, I said it earlier.

00:46:51.000 I think he has China in mind.

00:46:53.000 I think he has broader interests in mind that extend beyond Iran.

00:46:53.000 I think he has Russia.

00:46:57.000 I think the real issue is that.

00:46:58.000 A lot of oil refining happens in Iran.

00:47:01.000 Indeed, I think the real issue was already laid out by Rubio when he said Israel was planning on staging an attack against Iran, and we knew this would result in strikes against U.S. personnel and our bases.

00:47:12.000 And we didn't want to take a defensive posture, so we decided to go in on the attack.

00:47:15.000 Trump, of course, walked it back.

00:47:17.000 But I don't buy it for a second.

00:47:18.000 I think Rubio just said the quiet part loud.

00:47:20.000 Israel has been begging for this war, and the U.S. and Trump were trying to avoid it.

00:47:26.000 When Israel said we're going in, Rubio was like, well, we have no choice.

00:47:30.000 And he was like, if we did not join them and it resulted in strikes against U.S. personnel, we'd have more dead, and then we have to go to hearings to explain why we didn't react properly.

00:47:39.000 Right.

00:47:40.000 Indeed, we went to war, not because of the nuclear program or whatever it may be.

00:47:44.000 It seems the most probable reason is because Israel has wanted to go to war with Iran for a long time and told the U.S., we will do it with or without you.

00:47:50.000 And the U.S. response was, we are going to get bombed like crazy if Israel does this. 0.91

00:47:56.000 We better just stand alongside them and make sure we take out as much Iranian infrastructure as we can before that happens. 1.00

00:48:01.000 Everybody does not want a Benghazi on his hand. 1.00

00:48:03.000 He's running for 28 and probably the frontrunner, if I had to guess.

00:48:06.000 I think my greater concern with all of this is not so much what's going on in Iran.

00:48:09.000 It's what's going to happen stateside.

00:48:11.000 How many sleeper cells are here?

00:48:12.000 How many attacks we're going to see?

00:48:13.000 Because if the general sentiment of the U.S. population is we don't want a 20-year war if ever war, is it beyond the CIA to maybe orchestrate a handful of things to encourage people to be on board with a 20-year war with Iran? 0.51

00:48:27.000 Yeah, let me pull up this story here.

00:48:30.000 This is we're going to pull up this from Fox News.

00:48:33.000 We got this story.

00:48:35.000 Austin mass shooting.

00:48:36.000 Timeline traces suspects rap sheet as terror link probed.

00:48:40.000 I don't know how to pronounce this guy's name, Indiaga Diagni.

00:48:44.000 He killed two people outside of Buford's backyard beer garden while wearing a property of Allah sweatshirt.

00:48:49.000 Now, my general understanding is this is still believed to be Islamic terror, largely motivated by retaliation to the war in Iran.

00:48:57.000 It's really hard to tell while he's wearing a shirt that says property of Allah.

00:49:00.000 Anyway, he had a Quran in his car.

00:49:02.000 Indeed.

00:49:03.000 And again, I'm trying to be careful because I don't want to come out and just be like, it's true.

00:49:07.000 Like, they're investigating it, but it seems the most plausible reason.

00:49:07.000 I don't care what they say.

00:49:10.000 And the fear now is that we have Democrats not wanting to fund DHS at a time when we know there are people here legally and illegally who want to kill us.

00:49:20.000 We had the attack in D.C. on the West Virginia National Guard already.

00:49:25.000 We have this shooting.

00:49:26.000 And people, you can watch the video of this.

00:49:28.000 Have you guys seen the footage of the shooting?

00:49:30.000 I have seen some of it.

00:49:31.000 Not there.

00:49:32.000 Somebody's, you know what, man?

00:49:36.000 There's a woman screaming something like, why are you filming this?

00:49:40.000 And with all due respect to the person who filmed, I commend you for doing so because I know it's difficult with the horrific sight you see, the blood coming out of these people as they're desperately performing CPR, trying to keep them alive.

00:49:52.000 But people need to see it.

00:49:54.000 I'm sorry.

00:49:55.000 Don't let your kids see it.

00:49:56.000 I get that.

00:49:57.000 People need to understand what these people are going and willing to do.

00:50:02.000 And so when you have a video showing these people laying on the ground, dying because Islamic terror is in this country and they want to kill, and Secretary Noam told me in an interview explicitly, these people are here and we are concerned because we have to track them down. 1.00

00:50:17.000 And now the Democrats are saying, well, we don't want to fund DHS because we want to protect illegal immigrants that expect more of this.

00:50:22.000 And this has got everybody freaked out that I've been talking to because it could be anywhere.

00:50:26.000 And Austin, downtown, that's just why they were all placed.

00:50:30.000 There's a lot of people.

00:50:32.000 But this guy was a legal immigrant.

00:50:33.000 He came in legally under Clinton.

00:50:35.000 He was naturalized citizen under Obama.

00:50:39.000 And here he is.

00:50:40.000 So does that give credence to the notion that we need to put a stop to legal immigration as well?

00:50:45.000 As if we needed more, but yes.

00:50:47.000 And naturalize them. 0.98

00:50:48.000 Well, they're talking.

00:50:48.000 Yes.

00:50:49.000 We can agree on.

00:50:50.000 They're talking about re-vetting all these Afghan migrants. 1.00

00:50:53.000 100%.

00:50:54.000 All of them.

00:50:56.000 There's a Benjamin, Carl Benjamin, asked a really great question on X.

00:51:01.000 It's a really simple way to put it.

00:51:03.000 He just said, I'm paraphrasing here, but with the Islamic migration into Great Britain, the question is, how does it benefit the people of the United Kingdom?

00:51:12.000 In what way should they welcome these people in for what benefit do they get?

00:51:16.000 The answer is none.

00:51:17.000 There isn't one.

00:51:18.000 And so if that's the case, then why do it?

00:51:20.000 And so now, if you have a country, the United States, that has gone to war and wants to go to war repeatedly with Islamic nations, probably a bad idea to invite militant ideologues into your country.

00:51:33.000 Yeah, I mean, look, we talk about, you know, cultures that are incompatible with ours, and we should make sure that if we're going to allow people into the United States, they need to be from cultures that actually mesh well with the United States. 0.99

00:51:48.000 Like, we shouldn't just be like, anyone from around the world can come here with no vetting or what have you.

00:51:53.000 If you can get to our shores, we'll let you in. 1.00

00:51:56.000 We should have very strict requirements about who is and isn't let in to become a citizen.

00:52:01.000 That'd be a funny like Freedom Tunes cartoon.

00:52:03.000 A guy comes from the country of rape land, and they're like, tell me about your country. 1.00

00:52:07.000 It's like in our country, our entire national pastime and culture is just SA. 0.86

00:52:11.000 And then they're like, uh-huh.

00:52:13.000 Welcome in.

00:52:14.000 Well, then the Republicans are like, what?

00:52:15.000 That's just what happened in Afghanistan, right?

00:52:18.000 I mean, the Taliban legalized domestic violence and they legalized beating your wife and sexual violence against children.

00:52:25.000 But didn't they ban child marriage or something like this?

00:52:28.000 They did. 0.99

00:52:29.000 What happened was the Taliban said, so there's a practice of like raping kids. 0.98

00:52:33.000 And Taliban's like, you can't do that. 0.95

00:52:35.000 And so when the U.S. went in to remove the Taliban, the people who were fighting against the Taliban were pro-pedophilia.

00:52:40.000 And so U.S. troops were ordered not to report it because these were people fighting for us against them. 0.96

00:52:46.000 Well, and now it's legal to sexually assault your children.

00:52:51.000 Are you sure children? 0.80

00:52:52.000 I know the wife. 1.00

00:52:53.000 They're like, your wife is your. 0.95

00:52:54.000 Yeah, I dug into that.

00:52:55.000 I'm pretty sure the Taliban was like, you can't sexually assault kids. 0.60

00:52:58.000 You can sexually assault your own children because it's a form of punishment. 0.96

00:53:02.000 Yeah. 0.99

00:53:03.000 Well, I mean, both the Taliban and whatever the other factions were were all bad.

00:53:07.000 They're all bad.

00:53:08.000 Which is why they shouldn't be allowed into the United States. 0.95

00:53:11.000 Like, they should not be.

00:53:13.000 That's what we're looking at in Iran, too.

00:53:16.000 I mean, everybody's bad, right?

00:53:17.000 And so once you wipe out everybody, and Trump even said that they had wiped out the people who he thought would be, you know, good next leaders.

00:53:28.000 Now we have a situation where how many more people are they going to wipe out before they find like, you know, that guy who was waiting, like the, the postal inspector?

00:53:39.000 The point is you know what I mean?

00:53:40.000 The point isn't about like, trying to find the good guy.

00:53:43.000 It, the point is to make the people understand, look, this is going to keep happening until you play ball with the United States and go ahead, go ahead.

00:53:51.000 And every president, since you know, back to Obama and before, had wanted to take out Khomeini, like it. 1.00

00:53:57.000 You know, it's um, something that everyone want, everyone wanted to do, and they just didn't have the capability up until now to do.

00:54:04.000 And that's, I mean, that's actually and that's what happened in, you know, in Venezuela.

00:54:09.000 Like they, they wrapped up Maduro and they told the, the vice president, look, you need to play ball.

00:54:15.000 And I mean, obviously the jury's still out on on how far that's going to go how how uh, how well they're going to work with the United States and stuff um, but it it, all indications are that they're like, okay yeah, we'll go ahead and do this.

00:54:28.000 I read a story about the vice president.

00:54:30.000 That or not the vice president, but the, the person that won the Nobel Peace Prize, that she was supposed to be the president, that that Maduro stole the election, she was going back and they were going to organize new elections.

00:54:41.000 I think in the fall and I mean again, if it works out then it seems like a method worth trying.

00:54:48.000 Now obviously, like I said, Iran is not the same place as Venezuela.

00:54:52.000 The culture is different, but if the, if the Trump administration's goal is all right, we're going to get you to the table and find someone that actually wants to work with us and we're going to use violence to do it, I mean it's it's, it's not something that I'm exact, that I that I can say, that I endorse, but it's better than having a 20-year quagmire.

00:55:11.000 Yeah, and it's kind of mess around, and they just decided that the um, the crown prince what's his name?

00:55:16.000 Pahavi or whatever he's going to be speaking at CPAC in Dallas in just a couple of weeks.

00:55:21.000 Yeah, you know.

00:55:23.000 Yeah, I think I think it's an effort to bring them to the negotiating table and say hey, you've already found out.

00:55:29.000 Yeah, mess around and find out like, if you don't come to the negotiating table and play ball, we mean business, he's shown he means business and I think he's gonna get a lot of success out of this.

00:55:40.000 I think the thing is, unless you destroy the entire IRGC, you're going to have this problem not only continue in Iran, but in the region.

00:55:47.000 I mean, if it wasn't for the Iranian revolution, you wouldn't have the spread of extremist Islam in the Middle East as it stands right now. 0.98

00:55:54.000 Yeah, and I think that's part of the calculation.

00:55:57.000 If they actually can get Iran to stop funding Amas, stop funding Hezbollah, stop giving weapons and arms to the Houthis, stop.

00:56:05.000 You know, I think it was the Houthis that were going after Saudi Arabia as well, right?

00:56:09.000 They were Saudis.

00:56:11.000 The Houthis is Yemen. 0.93

00:56:12.000 So, like, if they can get that to stop, I think the region will look at this as an overall good thing.

00:56:12.000 Yeah.

00:56:19.000 And again, I don't know that it's going to work.

00:56:21.000 I'm not saying that I'm for the attacks, but at the same time, if they can get those kind of behaviors to stop from the Iranian regime, that's something that the whole Middle East is going to say, well, this is good. 0.93

00:56:33.000 Because right now, the whole Middle East essentially is against Iran.

00:56:37.000 Everybody, they all signed onto the Abraham Accords. 0.99

00:56:40.000 You were looking at basically a Middle East that was moving towards a peaceful situation with Israel.

00:56:45.000 They were recognizing Israel.

00:56:47.000 It was looking like things were going to go the way that the West wants.

00:56:51.000 And the only stopping, you know, the stopping force was Iran. 0.97

00:56:54.000 If they can fix it, if they can straighten that problem out by a use of force, the whole Middle East is going to say, well, this is actually better than it was before. 0.94

00:57:02.000 And as I said at the outset, nobody's in favor of a forever war.

00:57:02.000 Yeah.

00:57:07.000 Nobody's in favor of aggressive, sort of gratuitous foreign intervention.

00:57:13.000 But they've said it's going to be a discrete four to five week operation.

00:57:17.000 And by the way, that was said before the midterms.

00:57:21.000 So, you know, I think we take them at their word and just see how they perform.

00:57:24.000 Can we just pull this map real quick and just talk about, you know, you got the Straight O'Hara's right here, and here's Dubai.

00:57:30.000 And look at this.

00:57:31.000 Look at these goofy little palm tree islands they built.

00:57:35.000 Yeah, can't we just do more of that?

00:57:36.000 You know, like it's, it's, it's like a party.

00:57:38.000 Everyone's having a good time.

00:57:40.000 You know, people.

00:57:41.000 The thing is, they can't do more of that because of Iran. 0.99

00:57:43.000 That's what I'm saying.

00:57:44.000 This is my point.

00:57:44.000 I'm like, can't we just, like, can't Iran just stop, knock it off so we can have these little sand islands to you know go swimming in?

00:57:52.000 Well, now they can.

00:57:54.000 Now they can.

00:57:55.000 Not now.

00:57:56.000 Not now.

00:57:56.000 You know, in due course.

00:57:58.000 Hopefully, that, you know, again, I'm not, I'm not in favor of a ground invasion.

00:58:04.000 I do think that it's a little early to be talking about ground invasion.

00:58:07.000 We're on day, what, three of the actual airstrikes, and you haven't seen any kind of significant movement of troops or logistics, and you don't see a ground invasion.

00:58:18.000 You don't, you're not going to see a soldier going into Iran unless there's a Burger King in a truck behind him.

00:58:24.000 Like, there's always a massive movement of troops.

00:58:26.000 There was a massive movement of troops signaling the invasion of Iran.

00:58:30.000 I'm sorry, of Iraq. 1.00

00:58:31.000 There was a massive movement of troops into Afghanistan.

00:58:35.000 People will know if that's something that's actually starting to happen.

00:58:39.000 And it's probably a little too early to actually be talking about it.

00:58:42.000 Well, what do we think of what Trump said on his election night victory when he said, I'm not going to start wars.

00:58:48.000 I'm going to stop wars.

00:58:50.000 I think that he's right.

00:58:51.000 I mean, you think he started this war?

00:58:54.000 No, I think a reasonable articulation would be it was preventative.

00:58:57.000 I mean, at least.

00:58:58.000 So it was starting a war in a preventative way.

00:59:01.000 I'm just curious about how we.

00:59:02.000 It's a hard one to stop one.

00:59:04.000 I'm curious about how we're aware of what Trump said about not starting wars with him just.

00:59:09.000 Right.

00:59:09.000 Well, we also keep using the word war.

00:59:12.000 Again, I would probably articulate it more in terms of conflict, in terms of another country's leader.

00:59:20.000 No, war is a term of art.

00:59:23.000 The phrase matters, as I said.

00:59:25.000 When you blow up another country's leader and then bombard their country and they fire back, you're at war.

00:59:25.000 No, I'm sorry.

00:59:30.000 So it's photography.

00:59:32.000 Constitutionally speaking, that's not right.

00:59:34.000 I'm going to beat you up in the schoolyard. 0.98

00:59:35.000 3 p.m., I'm going to get you. 0.99

00:59:36.000 It's not a fight. 0.99

00:59:37.000 You find him at 10 o'clock in the morning in the bathroom taking a piss at the urinal and you kick him in the back of the head. 0.83

00:59:43.000 You get ahead of it is what you do.

00:59:44.000 You don't wait for the fight.

00:59:45.000 No, to be a fair point, that's not a fight.

00:59:47.000 Yeah, it's not.

00:59:48.000 It never happens.

00:59:49.000 That's what I'm getting at.

00:59:50.000 And again, I was a little back of the head.

00:59:53.000 I was a little egg-headed.

00:59:55.000 I was like, I'm not sure if I'm going to get you into the urinal, too.

00:59:58.000 And again, I was a little eggheaded at the outset when I was talking about Article 1, Article 2.

01:00:04.000 But the declarations of war carry legal significance that authorizes additional action by...

01:00:12.000 Would you describe what's going on between Iran and the United States as an armed conflict?

01:00:16.000 I would call it a conflict.

01:00:17.000 I would call it a hostility.

01:00:18.000 I would call it military population.

01:00:21.000 It's an armed conflict.

01:00:22.000 Yeah, military operation.

01:00:24.000 That is the definition of war.

01:00:25.000 I don't think it is.

01:00:27.000 It literally is.

01:00:28.000 In the Oxford dictionary, war is a state of armed conflict between nations.

01:00:31.000 Yeah, but we moved our biggest aircraft carrier over there. 1.00

01:00:35.000 We moved like a whole bunch of people.

01:00:36.000 We have like a blueprint.

01:00:38.000 We have like 40,000 guys waiting.

01:00:41.000 I understand.

01:00:42.000 I think I am kind of putting on my attorney hat, and there are a lot of legal terms of art that carry certain weight.

01:00:50.000 Indeed, and to the average person around the world, the U.S. started a war with Iran.

01:00:54.000 If you want to put it colloquially, you can say that, but I would say that it's a conflict, it's a hostility, it is a military conflict.

01:01:00.000 And the definition in the dictionary of what a war is is a state of armed conflict between nations.

01:01:03.000 Yeah, I think it's protracted.

01:01:05.000 I think, as you stated, declaration of war.

01:01:09.000 See, is it going to be like whoever is in power and needs to massage the truth will justify why man doesn't mean male.

01:01:18.000 It means something else.

01:01:19.000 And then the like pro-war side is, no, no, no, war is a legal term of art.

01:01:24.000 And this is just an aggressive negotiation.

01:01:27.000 No, listen.

01:01:28.000 I think the beginning of wisdom is calling a thing by its proper name.

01:01:32.000 War.

01:01:32.000 I think boots on the ground, this massive influx of troops that he was describing, that is war.

01:01:39.000 I think a protracted 10-year period of time, the 30 years war, I think that's war.

01:01:44.000 So cyber war doesn't exist.

01:01:46.000 I think discreet attacks that are prophylactic in nature is not a war.

01:01:52.000 So cyber war.

01:01:53.000 It wears itself out in history.

01:01:54.000 Cyber war is not a real thing.

01:01:56.000 I'm not saying cyber war is not a real thing at all.

01:01:58.000 I'm saying that I don't think that we can fairly characterize this as a war.

01:02:02.000 So the largest buildup of U.S. naval forces in what, 20 plus years or ever in the Gulf launching missiles and blowing up bases as well as their palace is not war.

01:02:15.000 Again, I think we're getting into semantics.

01:02:18.000 I think as a legal term of art, no, I would not call it war.

01:02:21.000 I got to be honest, bro.

01:02:22.000 Like, do you really think anyone believes what you are saying or that you believe it?

01:02:26.000 Yeah, absolutely.

01:02:27.000 No, they don't.

01:02:28.000 Again, we are talking about two different realities.

01:02:32.000 There's a colloquial way of describing war, which is like 99% of the world.

01:02:35.000 There's a legal way of describing war where now the president can seize private companies and force them to operate the economy in a certain way.

01:02:44.000 He can do blockades.

01:02:45.000 It has certain implications on maritime law.

01:02:47.000 Let's just say that it's a totally different reality.

01:02:49.000 And so I'm saying, would you agree then we're at war with Iran?

01:02:53.000 I would say we're in a conflict.

01:02:54.000 I would say we're at war.

01:02:55.000 According to common parlance, would you say we're at war with Iran?

01:02:59.000 No, I think it is a narrow dispute.

01:03:01.000 Literally, no human being anywhere is going to agree with you.

01:03:05.000 And you know it.

01:03:05.000 No, no, there's 434 people in Washington, D.C. that would agree that he is speaking Congressman.

01:03:12.000 Thomas Massey and Roque Lee.

01:03:12.000 That's not true.

01:03:14.000 Okay, so 433.

01:03:17.000 It goes back to the fight versus the punch thing versus the, I think we delivered a formidable punch.

01:03:22.000 We can't call it war until we have proper time to invest.

01:03:25.000 So look, look, look, the fight on the school ground.

01:03:28.000 You and I square up, we're throwing fisticuffs, you know, mama jokes back and forth, et cetera. 0.90

01:03:35.000 That is war.

01:03:36.000 I think we're bombing their base. 0.98

01:03:39.000 To use his example, seeing you in a urinal and punching you, that's a punch.

01:03:43.000 It's not a fight.

01:03:44.000 Okay, so if I'm at a urinal and he punches me in the back of the head and I turn around and punch him in the gut, are we fighting?

01:03:50.000 Well, especially.

01:03:51.000 Are we fighting?

01:03:52.000 I wouldn't call that a fight unless there's a protracted brawl.

01:03:54.000 Yeah, like, so he punches me in the back of the head. 0.99

01:03:57.000 I bang my head in the urinal, fall down, I get up, I go, you son of a, I punch him in the face, he falls down, he gets up, kicks me in the nuts, then I punch him in the stomach. 0.98

01:04:04.000 Are we fighting yet? 1.00

01:04:05.000 Look, are we fighting?

01:04:06.000 I have to explain again.

01:04:08.000 Trump has used the word war.

01:04:09.000 Other people have a war.

01:04:11.000 Other people have used the word war.

01:04:13.000 I think colloquially we are talking about, you're talking about war or whatever.

01:04:18.000 But are you?

01:04:18.000 But my mind cannot get out of the legal mentality and the legal implications of declaring war.

01:04:24.000 And that's why I think it's an important distinction.

01:04:26.000 And so what you're really saying is you can't say it, not because it's not true, but because of legal ramifications against you.

01:04:32.000 No, not legal ramifications against me, legal ramifications that attach to the executive, to Congress, to international law, to all sorts of things that are maybe it's a war with a silent Z. W-Z-A-R. 0.99

01:04:50.000 Wazor.

01:04:51.000 Yeah.

01:04:51.000 Silent Z.

01:04:53.000 It's not just casualty.

01:04:54.000 I'm not trying to evade the question.

01:04:56.000 I think it's important to distinguish it, at least from a legal perspective.

01:05:01.000 I think if this lasts, I think if this lasts for several months, I would say you could fairly characterize it as such.

01:05:08.000 I mean, look, I don't know.

01:05:09.000 I mean, it's am I am I crazy?

01:05:11.000 Maybe.

01:05:12.000 No, you're just trying to get into Congress.

01:05:14.000 So yes, actually. 0.99

01:05:15.000 Yes, you are crazy because that seems totally insane to me. 0.97

01:05:20.000 I don't think there are very many people that would say that it's not a war. 0.98

01:05:25.000 I do think it's fair to say these are strikes, right?

01:05:28.000 They're carrying out airstrikes because that's technically what they're doing.

01:05:32.000 But yeah, I mean, people are just going to be like, look, it's a war, man.

01:05:36.000 Let's jump to this next story because we got big, big news.

01:05:38.000 The results are starting to come in in Texas, and Cornyn is beating Ken Paxton.

01:05:44.000 Yeah.

01:05:44.000 Oh, wow.

01:05:46.000 It's kind of a surprise, isn't it?

01:05:47.000 So right now we're looking at 42% reporting.

01:05:50.000 So we will see.

01:05:51.000 Cornyn, of course, he's got Dallas.

01:05:53.000 He's got Houston.

01:05:54.000 Austin is actually not reporting just yet.

01:05:57.000 I'm assuming it's going to go Cornyn.

01:05:57.000 We'll see.

01:05:59.000 But, you know, we'll see.

01:06:02.000 It could turn around.

01:06:03.000 We've not gotten any declaration just yet on how it's going to play out.

01:06:06.000 Jasmine Crockett is getting crushed. 0.67

01:06:08.000 She's down some 76,000 votes. 0.99

01:06:12.000 She's down by about, we're looking at eight points, 8.3 points so far, 39% reporting.

01:06:18.000 I'm just going to go ahead and say this.

01:06:20.000 I'm on her side, and she should, along with the FCC, sue CBS, Paramount, and Stephen Colbert because they violated FCC.

01:06:30.000 Oh, more reporting just came in.

01:06:31.000 They violated FCC regulation rules in order to give James Tallerico a major boost, and they knew they were faking it.

01:06:40.000 Colbert knew he was not prohibited from having on Tallerico's opponent, Jasmine Crockett, and Ahmad Hassan.

01:06:47.000 He knew this, and he wanted to frame it as though Trump stopped him from having him on to make it seem like this guy was the guaranteed frontrunner against the Republican and that Jasmine Crockett didn't exist.

01:06:57.000 As much as I don't like Jasmine Crockett, and I do think Tellerico is better in a lot of ways, it doesn't matter. 0.99

01:07:02.000 That was scumbag BS, and Colbert is a scumbag who hoaxed people to cheat in an election. 0.99

01:07:08.000 Yeah, but you know why he did it? 1.00

01:07:09.000 It's because he didn't think Crockett could win because he thinks everyone in Texas is racist.

01:07:14.000 The idea was Tellerico is a left-leaning, self-reported Christian, and that he's going to be able to this.

01:07:22.000 It's not just him, it's the Democrats.

01:07:23.000 It's all about electability.

01:07:24.000 And it's this fake concept because as we've seen, electability doesn't mean anything.

01:07:29.000 People are electable if their constituents want them, and that's really it. 1.00

01:07:32.000 Colbert is a scumbag. 1.00

01:07:34.000 Yes, that's. 1.00

01:07:35.000 How does a guy like Ahmad Ahsan get 10,000 votes in Texas?

01:07:39.000 Because there's a hard worker.

01:07:40.000 There's a growing word.

01:07:42.000 There's about 10,000 people.

01:07:44.000 There's a massive Muslim population.

01:07:45.000 There's a segment.

01:07:47.000 It's growing.

01:07:48.000 Yeah.

01:07:50.000 They voted to fund the building of a bunch of mosques, didn't they?

01:07:54.000 And like a whole town that they were calling, what was it, like Epic City or something?

01:07:54.000 Yeah.

01:07:59.000 Something like that.

01:07:59.000 Because they got in trouble when it had an Islamic name, so they changed it.

01:08:03.000 As of right now, sorry, just Tony Gonzalez is beating Brandon Herrera with 4% reporting.

01:08:09.000 So I'm not super worried about it.

01:08:11.000 The prediction markets have Herrera to win.

01:08:13.000 If Tony Gonzalez wins, I'm sorry.

01:08:16.000 I am going to laugh, a hearty laugh after that whole scandal.

01:08:21.000 Because his mistress set herself on fire.

01:08:23.000 Oh, man.

01:08:24.000 And you don't say a celebration song is actually the roof is on fire.

01:08:27.000 Wow.

01:08:28.000 You're joking.

01:08:29.000 I am joking.

01:08:29.000 Oh, my God.

01:08:31.000 I can't tell sometimes because it's believable.

01:08:35.000 I just want to say this whole Tony Gonzalez thing, everyone knew, and it was kept under wraps by the Democrats and Republicans.

01:08:46.000 So for those who don't know the story, Tony Gonzalez reportedly had an affair with a staffer who was desperately in love with him.

01:08:53.000 And she was, I don't know that the full story was, but she was like, you know, if you leave me, I'll take my own life or something like this, doused herself in fuel or something, and then accidentally immolated herself.

01:09:07.000 But apparently, the Beltway of D.C., they all knew it the whole time.

01:09:13.000 Yep.

01:09:13.000 So this also happened in Uvalde County.

01:09:15.000 They've not released any of the details of the investigation.

01:09:18.000 It's still ongoing.

01:09:19.000 It was in Uvalde.

01:09:19.000 And it's just interesting.

01:09:21.000 Wow.

01:09:21.000 Uvalde, yeah.

01:09:22.000 Unreal.

01:09:23.000 They need a whole new police force there.

01:09:25.000 Well, I'm going to say this.

01:09:26.000 I'm going to say this.

01:09:26.000 They quitted the two officers who were permitted to get out of the way.

01:09:29.000 Yeah, they got off.

01:09:30.000 God.

01:09:31.000 I'm going to.

01:09:31.000 It's crazy that they got off.

01:09:33.000 Because they stood outside being like, don't go rescue your own children as they're being butchered.

01:09:37.000 Oh, they were playing Candy Crush.

01:09:38.000 They were on a high score.

01:09:39.000 The story of Tony Gonzalez is known by everyone in Congress.

01:09:43.000 Everyone knows it.

01:09:44.000 Everyone knows it.

01:09:46.000 And for whatever reason, they have been keeping their mouths shut.

01:09:50.000 I think the Republicans, I very much dislike the Republican Party, and I want Brandon Herrera to win.

01:09:57.000 But you know, the Republican establishment definitely does not want Brandon Herrera in.

01:10:02.000 They want people they can control.

01:10:04.000 And so my assumption is the Democrats were like, this is not the kind of play we want to make, which could also bring in a hardliner like Herrera.

01:10:12.000 Even the Democrats would rather have Tony Gonzalez.

01:10:14.000 And then the Republicans are like, we want a guy who's going to jump when we say jump.

01:10:18.000 So everybody, shh.

01:10:20.000 Yeah.

01:10:21.000 I was shocked when Trump endorsed Gonzalez.

01:10:24.000 And from what I understand, Trump does not actually endorse people.

01:10:26.000 It's a pay-to-play system.

01:10:27.000 The people in charge of doing the endorsements basically get backdoor deals, and then you get a Trump endorsement.

01:10:32.000 But I was shocked after all of this.

01:10:34.000 I thought it was because he values his endorsement and his reputation with the GOP voters, and that's why he didn't endorse.

01:10:40.000 Yeah, I know.

01:10:41.000 That's a little Pollyanna-ish for sure.

01:10:44.000 But and that was why he wasn't going to endorse in the GOP Senate primary.

01:10:50.000 Yeah.

01:10:51.000 Well, I mean, you think it's a little pay-to-play?

01:10:51.000 Yeah.

01:10:53.000 A little pay-to-play act?

01:10:55.000 A little extra Bitcoin.

01:10:55.000 I can tell you.

01:10:58.000 I mean, like last time, Brandon lost by 400 votes.

01:11:01.000 400.

01:11:01.000 You know, man.

01:11:02.000 A district that had a turnout that typically does not turn out.

01:11:06.000 I think it was over 90% turnouts. 1.00

01:11:07.000 They actually fucked. 0.99

01:11:08.000 There's a whole thing. 0.96

01:11:09.000 I won't get into it here.

01:11:11.000 Well, I mean, obviously, I can't see the future, but I would hope that considering he lost by 400 last time, and this time his opponent is embroiled in a scandal that's pretty embroiling.

01:11:25.000 But guys, Caul She prediction markets calling it for Tallarico already. 0.99

01:11:29.000 Nice.

01:11:29.000 So I don't, yeah, we only got 40% reporting.

01:11:34.000 This is what's really interesting to see if they're going to be right about this.

01:11:37.000 It's 99%, according to Caul She's prediction market, that Tallarico is going to win.

01:11:43.000 Jasmine Crockett's at less than 1%.

01:11:46.000 And you were saying before, like they eliminated her congressional seat.

01:11:49.000 So she gone.

01:11:50.000 Gone.

01:11:50.000 Yeah.

01:11:51.000 They got rid of that seat.

01:11:53.000 It was the redistricting.

01:11:54.000 It was the Texas redistricting, redistricting that caused the California redistricting that caused the New York redistricting that caused it to go to the Supreme Court.

01:12:02.000 And Nicole Maliotakis gets to keep that GOP seat.

01:12:06.000 So if I, so I got here, the Texas 23 Republican nominee, and we can see Brandon Herrera at 93%.

01:12:11.000 Weirdly, Tony Gonzalez at 16%.

01:12:14.000 Those numbers don't add up.

01:12:17.000 It's interesting how that sometimes happens.

01:12:19.000 I don't know what the actual rules are why that's happening, but I know a lot of people are going to get mad at me when I say this, and I'm not going to make a play or anything like that.

01:12:28.000 But my point is, if you were going to make a bet on the establishment, you know what I mean?

01:12:34.000 Like, do we actually have faith that the machine would be fair to Brandon Herrera?

01:12:40.000 That's the real question I'm bringing up.

01:12:41.000 His likelihood of winning just dropped to 85%.

01:12:44.000 And Tony Gonzalez up to 18, which, again, those numbers don't add up.

01:12:49.000 Math ain't math.

01:12:50.000 Math ain't math.

01:12:52.000 Whatever.

01:12:53.000 I gotta say, I would miss Jasmine Crockett on the national stage.

01:12:56.000 She is fun to watch.

01:12:57.000 She'll be on the view.

01:12:57.000 She ain't going nowhere.

01:12:59.000 She'll be somewhere.

01:12:59.000 Yeah, exactly.

01:13:00.000 She'll be around.

01:13:01.000 Love a podcast.

01:13:02.000 Maybe she'll start talking like this again.

01:13:04.000 Maybe she'll be Gavin Newsom's running mate. 0.99

01:13:07.000 No, that would be fun.

01:13:09.000 Maybe.

01:13:10.000 Maybe it would be really quite the show.

01:13:12.000 If she loses.

01:13:12.000 I don't know.

01:13:14.000 If she had Oscars, they'd get Oscar Nomster.

01:13:16.000 I mean, I wonder.

01:13:16.000 That was awesome.

01:13:17.000 I imagine she'll just move and go trying to get back into Congress. 1.00

01:13:20.000 Yeah.

01:13:21.000 She could move to Jersey.

01:13:21.000 Like, where was she?

01:13:23.000 I mean, maybe where is she originally from?

01:13:24.000 Is she from Jersey?

01:13:25.000 I thought she was from Texas. 1.00

01:13:27.000 No, I don't think so.

01:13:28.000 Is she not?

01:13:28.000 Maybe.

01:13:29.000 I don't know if it's looking up.

01:13:30.000 I mean, maybe she would just move. 1.00

01:13:32.000 I'm sure she'd cash out for a little while, make a little money, and then maybe make another run at it. 1.00

01:13:37.000 Write a book.

01:13:38.000 Yeah.

01:13:39.000 Yeah.

01:13:40.000 Write a book.

01:13:41.000 Yeah.

01:13:42.000 I can't imagine what Jasmine is.

01:13:43.000 St. Louis.

01:13:44.000 She's from St. Louis, Missouri.

01:13:45.000 Oh, there you go.

01:13:47.000 She could fight Corey Bush for that seat Corey Bush has been trying to get back for a while now.

01:13:51.000 God, it is astounding that Corey Bush was ever in Congress.

01:13:56.000 You realize she was part of a congressional hearing on black maternal mortality, and she referred to herself as a birthing person. 1.00

01:14:07.000 She was just an absolute imbecile. 1.00

01:14:10.000 Yes. 0.99

01:14:10.000 I just want to say, real quick, there's a you are so right now, call she has close, there's no contracts available to bet yes on Tellerico to buy yes contracts. 0.99

01:14:22.000 Jasmine Crockett, there's a yes, no, no.

01:14:26.000 She will not get the nomination, not available.

01:14:29.000 But if you want to bet she's going to win, and if you want to bet Tellerico's going to lose, those are allowed.

01:14:34.000 And we call those value bets because $100 on no wins you $9,351.

01:14:41.000 So the idea there is a value bet.

01:14:45.000 Again, you know, it's buying contracts on futures predictions.

01:14:50.000 But this is like for $100, having a very, very, very slim chance to win basically 10 Gs.

01:14:56.000 You know, there's a lot of people who take those bets.

01:14:58.000 And I think it's probably a bad idea.

01:15:00.000 Probably a bad idea.

01:15:01.000 Jasmine, she go on.

01:15:03.000 Yeah, I think that's good.

01:15:04.000 Now, take a look at this.

01:15:05.000 Tony Gonzalez up to 35% to win, which is weird because Brandon Herrera is at 83%.

01:15:11.000 And I think the reason here is, I want to clarify, it's my understanding is it's supposed to be internally among themselves.

01:15:19.000 Basically, whether or not Brandon Herrera wins, yes and no, is it's immaterial to whether Tony Gonzalez wins.

01:15:27.000 Like basically the way the contracts work, all that really matters is what people think: will Tony win or lose, not if Brandon is winning, Tony is losing, if you get what I mean.

01:15:37.000 So it often will equal more than 100%.

01:15:40.000 So basically, you have a lot of people betting that their guy's going to win.

01:15:45.000 It still doesn't add up because Brendan Herrera is at 85 yes and 24 no, which, you know, doesn't math.

01:15:53.000 And Tony Gonzalez at yes, 33 cents and no 77.

01:15:57.000 I will stress this again.

01:15:58.000 This is due to the fact it's the average cost of the contract, not the actual percentage that he's going to win.

01:16:05.000 So again, let's, oh, actually, where's the Texas 23rd?

01:16:10.000 We got some updates.

01:16:12.000 Oh, wow.

01:16:12.000 Here we go.

01:16:13.000 Big jump for Brandon Herrera.

01:16:15.000 7% reporting, and it is nearly tied.

01:16:17.000 Tony Gonzalez leading by 51 votes.

01:16:20.000 Let's go, Brandon.

01:16:21.000 Wait.

01:16:22.000 Does that mean what I think?

01:16:24.000 I don't think that means what you think it means.

01:16:26.000 No, no, we're taking it.

01:16:26.000 I think it's easy.

01:16:27.000 We're turning it around now.

01:16:29.000 He's appropriated it.

01:16:30.000 I'm pretty sure it's not.

01:16:31.000 Let's go, Brandon.

01:16:32.000 Yeah.

01:16:33.000 So it's okay to say.

01:16:34.000 I'm going to tweet, let's go, Brandon.

01:16:36.000 Because you know what?

01:16:37.000 You know, it's.

01:16:38.000 Yeah.

01:16:38.000 Reclaim it.

01:16:38.000 No, no, no, it's not reclaiming.

01:16:40.000 It's if you know you know.

01:16:41.000 It means both good and bad, depending on the context.

01:16:41.000 Right.

01:16:44.000 Yeah.

01:16:45.000 Let's put a picture of an AK-47 with that.

01:16:48.000 Just an AK-47 and then AK-47.

01:16:51.000 Like, heck yeah, Herrera or something like that.

01:16:54.000 But yeah, I mean, I really do have my fingers crossed that Brandon wins.

01:16:58.000 Obviously, I know the guy and he's a good dude.

01:17:01.000 But the idea of Gonzalez winning after all that stuff came out about the cheating on his wife and the scandal with the poor woman that ended up killing herself.

01:17:15.000 It seems like it's accidentally.

01:17:18.000 If he still gets elected, I mean, God, I can't believe that he's got this many votes.

01:17:23.000 The fact that he's got 1,800 votes with that track record.

01:17:27.000 Those people have to be completely and totally checked out.

01:17:29.000 They don't know about the situation at all.

01:17:31.000 Jasmine Crockett is already saying that there's been cheating in the election. 1.00

01:17:34.000 Oh, for real?

01:17:35.000 Let's go.

01:17:36.000 I'm totally on board.

01:17:38.000 Let's do it.

01:17:39.000 I am with you, Jasmine Crockett.

01:17:39.000 Let's go.

01:17:42.000 Let's cry fraud.

01:17:44.000 If you want to accuse Dominion, which was bought by a Republican, I will stay out of it.

01:17:50.000 But I will cheat from the sidelines.

01:17:51.000 No election has ever been stolen in the history of election.

01:17:53.000 Not ever.

01:17:54.000 I certainly don't believe that.

01:17:55.000 No.

01:17:56.000 I mean, North Korea, clean as a whistle. 0.99

01:17:58.000 Yeah.

01:17:59.000 Definitely not in America.

01:18:00.000 Definitely not in America.

01:18:01.000 Definitely not.

01:18:02.000 Not once.

01:18:03.000 No, but to your point, it's kind of funny.

01:18:05.000 It used to be despairing.

01:18:05.000 Oh, really?

01:18:07.000 And if someone had smoked weed or something, they were just toast for an election.

01:18:12.000 And now you have this guy with all the baggage in the world.

01:18:16.000 Ever since the DC mayor, I forget what his name was, the guy that was smoking crack.

01:18:19.000 Oh, my God.

01:18:20.000 Marian Barry.

01:18:21.000 All right.

01:18:22.000 Let's pull up the clip.

01:18:23.000 Uh-oh.

01:18:24.000 It's crashing on us.

01:18:25.000 I'm texting my wife right now to put $1,000 on Brandon.

01:18:28.000 It's froze.

01:18:29.000 Just text her, let's go.

01:18:30.000 We'll have to come back to that in a second.

01:18:32.000 As soon as it stops, it's freezing.

01:18:37.000 In the meantime, Marion Barry smoked cracks on camera, still wants an election. 1.00

01:18:45.000 Yeah, but what was his name?

01:18:46.000 Gillam?

01:18:47.000 Andrew Gillam?

01:18:48.000 Yeah, that almost drugs all over.

01:18:51.000 That is wild.

01:18:52.000 Some kind of a motel room or something like that.

01:18:54.000 Almost the governor's.

01:18:55.000 He's in a nice hotel.

01:18:56.000 Wasn't there a picture of him like buck naked on the ground?

01:18:59.000 There was. 0.54

01:18:59.000 Yes. 0.54

01:19:00.000 Like vomiting or something. 0.99

01:19:02.000 A male prostitute actually called it in. 1.00

01:19:04.000 There were drugs all over the ground, pills. 0.99

01:19:05.000 He's passed out butt nagged.

01:19:07.000 He's got vomit coming out of his mouth. 0.89

01:19:09.000 Horrible picture.

01:19:10.000 DeSantis feed him, right?

01:19:11.000 Better night than the picture, apparently.

01:19:13.000 And if I recall, it was close.

01:19:16.000 All right, here we go.

01:19:17.000 We got it.

01:19:18.000 Here we go.

01:19:19.000 Let's roll tape.

01:19:20.000 Got Jasmine Crockett, who, as of the recording of this episode, is losing.

01:19:25.000 And so, of course, the real issue is it's stolen from us.

01:19:28.000 Allred has already stated.

01:19:31.000 We encourage each and every one of you to remain resilient.

01:19:35.000 We cannot allow this type of behavior to be rewarded because so long as they know that they can win, even if it means cheating, then they will continue to do it.

01:19:47.000 So, I am asking you, I am begging you to make sure that you go ahead and figure out where it is that you are supposed to vote, stand in line, wait in line.

01:19:59.000 They did cheat, though.

01:19:59.000 And I stand with Jasmine Crockett on this issue.

01:20:02.000 Stephen Colbert falsely accused Donald Trump of suppressing an interview with Jasmine Crockett, a Democrat's opponent, so that they could frame this as though Tellerico was the only competitor against the Republicans, when in fact, the real issue was if Colbert interviewed Tellarico, he needed to provide equal opportunity to Jasmine Crockett.

01:20:24.000 However, instead of being honest, Colbert attacked Trump so that regular people would assume it was Democrat versus Republican.

01:20:32.000 And that was the lie meant to prop up the Democrat purporting to be a Christian so that, again, the idea here is Jasmine Crockett is not going to get enough middle-of-the-road people, and Tallerico could. 0.59

01:20:44.000 So they're kneecapping Jasmine Crockett, cheating, violating FCC rules, and then lying about and hoaxing smears against Trump so they could steal this election.

01:20:55.000 I actually think her voter base needs under two hours to come voting because they're typically not on time. 0.76

01:21:00.000 Oh, my goodness.

01:21:03.000 Well, it's progressives in Texas.

01:21:06.000 Let me, where's the race?

01:21:09.000 Texas Democrat, where is it at?

01:21:11.000 Here we go.

01:21:12.000 She's currently down 7.3, I believe.

01:21:15.000 Is that 7.7?

01:21:19.000 Oh my God, my math is way, way wrong.

01:21:21.000 No, 7.7.

01:21:22.000 Tellerico is up 522,000 with 42% reporting against Jasmine Crockett's 447,000.

01:21:29.000 For the Republican primary, Ken Paxton is down three points, but he is improving with 47% reporting.

01:21:34.000 We don't know exactly.

01:21:36.000 Let me pull up the prediction market on this one.

01:21:40.000 Texas Republican primary and see if we can get the turnout.

01:21:45.000 No, I don't care about that one.

01:21:46.000 San Antonio and Austin can put Brendan over the.

01:21:49.000 Here we go.

01:21:50.000 Paxton is actually the favorite to beat Cornyn, which would be massive.

01:21:54.000 Please.

01:21:55.000 Yeah.

01:21:56.000 Please.

01:21:57.000 Well, Corn wants to do amnesty, doesn't he?

01:21:58.000 Yeah, that's exactly about doing an amnesty bill.

01:22:01.000 I mean, he was talking about doing amnesty for DACA, but Trump has also said that he wants to make a deal on DACA.

01:22:07.000 So, you know, I'm comfortable with deals on DACA.

01:22:12.000 I mean, if a kid's grown up here since they were one because their parents are criminals, you send them to them.

01:22:19.000 Already done amnesty, what, four times already?

01:22:22.000 I'm not crazy about the I'm not crazy about the amnesty either, specifically for adults.

01:22:27.000 Every single time we do amnesty, they go, this will be the last time, and then they do it again.

01:22:31.000 They do it again.

01:22:31.000 So I'm just, I'm done with it.

01:22:33.000 I was a rumor the other day saying 11 million.

01:22:36.000 Yeah.

01:22:37.000 Let me ask you this.

01:22:40.000 A guy steals $10,000 cash and then gives it to his son and then dies.

01:22:48.000 Does his son keep the money?

01:22:50.000 No.

01:22:50.000 It's not his fault.

01:22:51.000 He's had the money for a long time.

01:22:53.000 It was given to him by his dad.

01:22:55.000 The original owner says, I want my money back.

01:22:56.000 Should we just be like, well, we can't.

01:22:57.000 He was a little kid when he got the money.

01:22:58.000 It's his.

01:22:58.000 I don't even know where the money came from.

01:23:01.000 And look, it's been sitting in his account.

01:23:04.000 He's been using it here and there.

01:23:05.000 He's been making plans based on having that money.

01:23:08.000 He should keep it, right?

01:23:09.000 Do you think that sending the DACA people back would discourage illegal immigration in the future?

01:23:17.000 Absolutely.

01:23:20.000 I ended up here. 1.00

01:23:21.000 I don't even speak whatever stupid language. 0.99

01:23:23.000 And how many years have they had to actually do the paperwork and get the job done? 0.99

01:23:28.000 Well, the thing with DACA is once you registered for DACA under the Obama era.

01:23:33.000 You weren't eligible?

01:23:34.000 No, that was like what you could do.

01:23:35.000 And it was like, that was your limit because there was no legal status after registering.

01:23:41.000 If you are a 30-year-old DACA recipient, are you not allowed to apply for a residency?

01:23:47.000 Yeah, there's like, I believe there's limits on what you can do once you've been registered as DACA.

01:23:52.000 So you're sort of just like waiting around.

01:23:54.000 Then I would say you made your bed.

01:23:57.000 But it's only the people who are eligible for DACA are only the people who were qualified for it under that Obama administration.

01:24:04.000 I don't understand the argument where it's like someone broke into my house with a baby and now I'm forced to adopt the baby.

01:24:11.000 It literally makes no sense.

01:24:14.000 You can be like, I'm not going to kick you out.

01:24:15.000 I'm going to adopt the baby personally.

01:24:17.000 No, I'd call health services and say, I have no obligation to this criminal who broke into my house with a baby.

01:24:23.000 Sure.

01:24:24.000 And we're going to drop the baby off at a fire department.

01:24:27.000 Yeah, I probably wouldn't do that.

01:24:28.000 But anyway, that's, you know, that's my own thing.

01:24:32.000 But so, I mean, what do you, so if you think that it really would prohibit future illegal immigration, inhibit, prevent, make it not happen.

01:24:41.000 Well, prevent and inhibit a different words.

01:24:44.000 Discourage.

01:24:45.000 Yeah, discourage.

01:24:46.000 Parents are going to be like, it should be known if you illegally enter this country with the intent to violate our laws and effectively spit in the face of our people and our nation with your child, you are not giving your child a better life.

01:25:03.000 In fact, you are going to cause tremendous suffering to them.

01:25:05.000 So what do you do with all of the people who got birthright citizenship and then they grew up, you know, in China, for example?

01:25:12.000 Terminate it.

01:25:13.000 So just say no more birthright citizenship.

01:25:16.000 But what if?

01:25:18.000 I'm willing to negotiate on that where it's like your parents are Canadian and they live here part-time and you were born here, so you're a citizen.

01:25:24.000 I'll go like the birth tourism stuff.

01:25:26.000 Gone in two seconds.

01:25:28.000 So, do you, what do you think the court's going to rule on that?

01:25:31.000 I actually would not be surprised if there is a ruling, it depends on if they go broad or narrow.

01:25:38.000 If they go narrow, then it might just be like a case.

01:25:40.000 They tend to go narrow.

01:25:41.000 Yeah, I think they're going to go narrow.

01:25:43.000 I think Thomas Alito and Kavanaugh are probably going to be a bit more based, with Thomas Enlito, of course, being perfectly based, and the rest are going to be the least based possible.

01:25:53.000 The ACB is automatically based on the base.

01:25:54.000 Yeah, Sotomayor and I do think there is Kagan.

01:25:58.000 Yeah.

01:25:59.000 I do think there is space.

01:26:00.000 I'm not a biologist.

01:26:01.000 What's her name?

01:26:02.000 Sodomaior. 0.91

01:26:02.000 I wouldn't know. 0.91

01:26:03.000 Oh, you're talking about Katashi Brown Jackson.

01:26:06.000 I just know her as not a biologist.

01:26:06.000 Good lord.

01:26:06.000 Yeah.

01:26:08.000 Yeah.

01:26:09.000 There's a Supreme Court case called Wong Kim Mark that they're in part deciding in this case.

01:26:15.000 That's the original from the 1870s.

01:26:17.000 Exactly.

01:26:17.000 Yeah.

01:26:18.000 And I think there's a way that even under Wong Kim Ark, you could say that the way Trump has gotten rid of birthright citizenship is lawful. 0.52

01:26:28.000 And they could read it narrowly.

01:26:30.000 There's actually a good law review article out about this from one of my former counsels.

01:26:36.000 But it would be unlikely to be grandfathered in.

01:26:38.000 That would be unlikely.

01:26:40.000 Right.

01:26:41.000 I mean, if somebody was, let's say somebody was born in California to Chinese mom who came to the U.S. simply to have the baby and then have the child have American citizenship, grows up in China the whole time. 0.97

01:26:56.000 And let's say that was in 2013.

01:26:58.000 Even if Trump eliminates birthright citizenship, that doesn't do anything for that.

01:27:02.000 Those cases.

01:27:03.000 Well, yeah, it's like all of them.

01:27:04.000 How would it?

01:27:05.000 I mean, if they rule, if they rule broad, it will.

01:27:11.000 It's whether they're subject to the jurisdiction thereof.

01:27:13.000 That's the language from the Congress.

01:27:15.000 I disagree with that.

01:27:15.000 Right, no.

01:27:16.000 I think the obvious goal with the 14th Amendment is to say the people that were born here after, like, we're concluding the Civil War, all of these slaves, they were born here, they're citizens too.

01:27:29.000 And then the far left is like, and this means anyone at any point born here, even if they're the reason why they said subject to the jurisdiction of the United States is that the slaves in the United States were subjects of the U.S. government.

01:27:42.000 Yeah, exactly.

01:27:43.000 And if you come into the United States, you have what's colloquially referred to as an anchor baby.

01:27:49.000 I don't think you are subject to the jurisdiction there.

01:27:51.000 No.

01:27:52.000 No, we actually have treaties with other countries as to your status.

01:27:52.000 Yeah.

01:27:56.000 And everybody that makes remarks about, oh, well, you know, they're like, well, you know, that's what the Constitution had said.

01:28:00.000 And I understand when you read it verbatim, I understand that.

01:28:06.000 But at the same time, this was written before there was all these generous social programs.

01:28:11.000 So like it used to be where if you come to the U.S. and you become a citizen, it was just like, all right, good luck.

01:28:18.000 But now it's like you come to the U.S., you get Social Security, you get all these sorts of benefits.

01:28:22.000 Brandon Herrera is now down by 0.3.

01:28:25.000 Literally just 10 votes.

01:28:27.000 Brandon Herrera is trailing Tony Gonzalez by just 10, 10 votes.

01:28:31.000 So with 4,509 votes currently in, every time we get a new update, Tony Gonzalez drops further.

01:28:38.000 I believe in the next update, it will flip.

01:28:40.000 That being said, still only 7% of the votes are currently in.

01:28:45.000 So let's just...

01:28:46.000 To avoid a runoff, he needs...

01:28:48.000 What?

01:28:48.000 Fingers crossed.

01:28:49.000 To avoid a runoff, he needs what, 60%?

01:28:51.000 Is that how it works?

01:28:52.000 It has to be within a certain amount of votes.

01:28:54.000 That's why I'm not going to be able to do it.

01:28:54.000 Well, look, Keith Barton and Francisco Kinseco are so low.

01:28:58.000 I don't think it's going to matter.

01:29:00.000 What if he just ends up flipping entirely?

01:29:02.000 Then, you know, 40,000 votes come in and it's like 80% Brandon Herrera.

01:29:07.000 My wife just put $1,000 on Brandon.

01:29:09.000 Did she really?

01:29:10.000 Very good.

01:29:11.000 On Kalshi?

01:29:12.000 Yeah.

01:29:13.000 But you don't win that much.

01:29:15.000 I know.

01:29:15.000 $1,000 for penny bags.

01:29:18.000 You'll win $278.

01:29:19.000 That's fine.

01:29:20.000 Pay for my meal.

01:29:22.000 Just your meal.

01:29:23.000 Just my meal.

01:29:24.000 Not even your wife's. 0.81

01:29:25.000 Dollar doesn't do what it used to do.

01:29:27.000 We'll bring some home.

01:29:29.000 Yeah, there was some controversy on Caul Shi over the death of Khomeini because there was a wager, will he be out of power before, and that's like April 1st.

01:29:39.000 It was like March 1st, April 1st, September.

01:29:42.000 And he died.

01:29:45.000 And so a lot of people were like, that counts.

01:29:46.000 And Kaul Shi said, we have never had wagers on death.

01:29:50.000 It's always removed from office.

01:29:52.000 But here's the problem, I suppose, is that that guy's never, it should have been 99% zero.

01:29:58.000 Like, never going to happen.

01:29:59.000 He's the supreme leader.

01:30:01.000 He's never going to be removed from office.

01:30:02.000 The only way he exits office is after his body exits reality.

01:30:06.000 And so I think a lot of people made the assumption because on polymarket, it is.

01:30:11.000 If you're dead, that counts.

01:30:12.000 And so Kaul said, no, no, no, no.

01:30:14.000 If they're dead, they stop it where it is and then do a fair market value payout.

01:30:19.000 So, you know.

01:30:21.000 Yeah, I mean, we'll see how it goes.

01:30:24.000 I do think that Brandon's going to pull it out.

01:30:26.000 It's just maybe just my hope speaking, but, you know.

01:30:32.000 I have full confidence.

01:30:33.000 He's in a really good campaign.

01:30:34.000 He was knocking doors.

01:30:35.000 I mean, he's doing everything he's supposed to do.

01:30:36.000 Yep.

01:30:37.000 I saw him out there with him.

01:30:37.000 Yeah.

01:30:38.000 And Tony Gonzalez was embroiled in a huge scandal that broke right before this primary.

01:30:47.000 So you got multiple Congress people calling for him to resign.

01:30:50.000 Really?

01:30:51.000 Yeah.

01:30:52.000 Wow.

01:30:52.000 And that's why they assume Brandon Harris is going to win.

01:30:54.000 I mean, it's going to be epic if he wins.

01:30:57.000 I hope the first thing he does is he just goes to Thomas Massey and they both have a bill together, co-sponsored.

01:31:01.000 That's like the NFA is hereby repealed effective, you know, April 1st.

01:31:06.000 Wouldn't it be?

01:31:07.000 I was torn about him running because if he does win, I was worried about Range Day going away.

01:31:11.000 It's a range day every year that gets to Alto.

01:31:13.000 And I was like, Brandon, we're still going to do it.

01:31:15.000 Just going to be a Congressman rather instead.

01:31:17.000 It's going to be a Congressman out there instead.

01:31:17.000 It's going to be a what?

01:31:19.000 Yeah.

01:31:21.000 Range Day with Range Day outside of DC.

01:31:24.000 Maybe he'll do it in Virginia or something.

01:31:26.000 We did that in Vegas last time.

01:31:27.000 Went to Scotto Range.

01:31:28.000 Oh, okay.

01:31:29.000 What a beautiful range.

01:31:29.000 Oh, my God.

01:31:29.000 Yeah.

01:31:31.000 Awesome.

01:31:32.000 Yeah, I haven't had a chance to make it out any of the range days.

01:31:36.000 The last one just this past year was like right when my kid was going to be born.

01:31:40.000 So I'm like.

01:31:41.000 We had Tony Moon out there, rooftop Korean. 0.99

01:31:44.000 Oh, yeah.

01:31:45.000 I actually had him taking shots from a rooftop downrange.

01:31:47.000 It was so much fun.

01:31:49.000 That's great.

01:31:51.000 He's a good dude.

01:31:51.000 I follow him on.

01:31:52.000 Oh, man.

01:31:53.000 He brought his kids out.

01:31:54.000 What?

01:31:54.000 You brought his two kids out.

01:31:55.000 Oh, did he, really?

01:31:56.000 That's good stuff.

01:31:56.000 Good dad.

01:31:57.000 He wrote a book recently.

01:31:58.000 He did get a book.

01:31:58.000 He did.

01:31:59.000 Buy his book to everyone.

01:32:00.000 Yeah, you should buy somebody.

01:32:02.000 Can they get us the results faster here?

01:32:04.000 Come on.

01:32:04.000 No, they're not going to get us the results faster.

01:32:06.000 Cornyn is still up by 3.1 points, but Ken Paxton is slowly closing in.

01:32:13.000 Austin's not reporting yet.

01:32:14.000 That's going to be interesting.

01:32:15.000 It's going to go Cornyn Heavy.

01:32:16.000 Yeah, I think that'll go Corny.

01:32:18.000 Just because of the makeup of Austin.

01:32:20.000 1.1 million votes already being tricked.

01:32:22.000 Anna Bender, 11,462 votes.

01:32:26.000 Wesley Hunt, 144,000.

01:32:28.000 I always wonder how it is lesser-known candidates.

01:32:30.000 I don't know who these people are.

01:32:32.000 Wesley Hunt?

01:32:33.000 I know Wesley Hunt, but Anna Bender, I don't know.

01:32:35.000 It's their backyards.

01:32:37.000 They probably stay in their backyard just campaign within a good 50-mile radius.

01:32:41.000 Oh, Jasmine Crockett, she getting crushed.

01:32:43.000 It's getting worse.

01:32:45.000 She's down almost 100,000 votes. 0.98

01:32:47.000 That's racist.

01:32:51.000 Of course it is.

01:32:52.000 Greg Abbott's clearly got this.

01:32:55.000 Nobody voting against him.

01:32:56.000 Yeah, he's extremely popular in Texas.

01:32:58.000 Gina Hinayosa is dominating the Democrat governor primary race. 0.95

01:33:04.000 I've never heard of her.

01:33:05.000 I don't know.

01:33:07.000 Lieutenant Governor, you got Dan Patrick.

01:33:10.000 No one cared to the Democrat.

01:33:12.000 For the Attorney General, Mays Middleton.

01:33:13.000 This will be interesting because Ken Paxton's out.

01:33:16.000 So it looks like it's going to be Mays Middleton.

01:33:19.000 Is that a woman? 0.99

01:33:20.000 A lot of my people were voting for Chip Roy.

01:33:23.000 All the fence about him.

01:33:25.000 I think Chip Roy's one of the better members of Congress.

01:33:30.000 Not to say that he's a good member of Congress, but he's one of the better members.

01:33:33.000 You know, most of the Republicans.

01:33:36.000 Dan Crenshaw's losing.

01:33:37.000 Yeah.

01:33:39.000 He's going to lose.

01:33:40.000 Yeah, he's going to lose his seat.

01:33:41.000 He's going to lose his seat.

01:33:42.000 Check us out.

01:33:43.000 58% reporting, and he's down almost 20 points.

01:33:48.000 Yep.

01:33:48.000 Wow.

01:33:49.000 That's such a bummer, man.

01:33:51.000 When he got in, we were so excited.

01:33:53.000 And then it's kind of a disappointment.

01:33:54.000 Yeah.

01:33:55.000 Very much so.

01:33:56.000 Just he was like, what did he snap at that little girl or whatever that thing was?

01:34:00.000 And like, man, he got made fun of by what's his face on SNL?

01:34:05.000 That was pretty bad.

01:34:06.000 Yeah. 1.00

01:34:06.000 Yeah, and then he just kind of was a dick. 1.00

01:34:08.000 And we invited him on the show and he canceled on us twice, I think it was. 0.99

01:34:10.000 Twice.

01:34:11.000 Yeah, that's rude. 1.00

01:34:12.000 Some bitch. 1.00

01:34:13.000 And I was like, we weren't even going to be completely, it wasn't going to be completely filled with acrimony. 0.99

01:34:21.000 Like, it was going to be probably, you know.

01:34:24.000 A little acrimony.

01:34:25.000 A little bit, like a little debate, a little pushback.

01:34:27.000 But we're not, we were not the hardcore anti-Den Crenshaw people.

01:34:31.000 But you know what?

01:34:32.000 Maybe Steve Toth is the guy.

01:34:34.000 You know, I use acrimony in my first interview in the panhandle, which it's a good word, but it just doesn't play great in the panhandle.

01:34:42.000 Of course not.

01:34:42.000 See, I'm never going to run for office because I like to use big words and stuff.

01:34:46.000 You know what I mean?

01:34:48.000 Never going to refer out the Pensacoli.

01:34:48.000 My dad's going to be a little bit more.

01:34:50.000 They're quite often.

01:34:51.000 It's kind of a pretentious word.

01:34:52.000 I could have used, you know, I don't know.

01:34:56.000 Foment violence or animosity.

01:34:58.000 Yeah, animosity or something.

01:34:59.000 Do you have a campaign website?

01:34:59.000 Acrimony.

01:35:01.000 I do.

01:35:01.000 Acrimony.

01:35:01.000 You should announce that to a connection.

01:35:03.000 Rogers4Florida.com.

01:35:04.000 That's cool.

01:35:05.000 That's the one.

01:35:07.000 Just RogersForFlorida.

01:35:07.000 Yeah.

01:35:09.000 I mean, this is pretty crazy because he's getting smashed.

01:35:09.000 Wow.

01:35:11.000 Yeah, Dan Crenshaw.

01:35:12.000 58% in, and he is getting smashed.

01:35:15.000 He must be feeling pretty bad about now.

01:35:17.000 Poor Dan Crenshaw.

01:35:18.000 Looking for a little backup plan.

01:35:20.000 Maybe if he would come on shows like this and actually defend himself.

01:35:23.000 And then he got into it with Sean Ryan.

01:35:25.000 Was it?

01:35:26.000 Yeah.

01:35:26.000 Was that something that happened?

01:35:27.000 He should beef up his LinkedIn.

01:35:29.000 Oh, no.

01:35:29.000 I'm tweeting.

01:35:33.000 I don't even have a LinkedIn.

01:35:35.000 Oh, no.

01:35:36.000 Yeah, the back and forth with Sean Ryan really.

01:35:38.000 I had a LinkedIn, and every time I've tried to use it, I end up not knowing the password, and it gets all screwed up.

01:35:43.000 And so I have to make a new one just to see whatever the thing is.

01:35:46.000 I love this.

01:35:47.000 Whatever the trans activist professor at Oregon State that I'm looking at.

01:35:52.000 While we're waiting on the results, I got to play this clip for you guys.

01:35:55.000 Are there measures being taken not to eliminate other possible alternatives to leadership?

01:36:01.000 This is war, and we're taking out the threat.

01:36:04.000 And if you're part of the threat, then you have the your target.

01:36:07.000 There you go.

01:36:08.000 There it was, said by Zetter.

01:36:09.000 This is war.

01:36:10.000 And we're not going to dwell on the last 50 seconds of this video.

01:36:14.000 No, I'm just kidding.

01:36:15.000 Let's listen to the rest.

01:36:15.000 It's funny.

01:36:16.000 What we call not all the arrows, but going after the archers.

01:36:22.000 You'll concede this is war.

01:36:23.000 We haven't declared war.

01:36:24.000 They declared war on us.

01:36:25.000 We haven't warned.

01:36:25.000 There we go.

01:36:27.000 Just now you said just this school.

01:36:27.000 We haven't declared war.

01:36:30.000 They called it war.

01:36:31.000 What I was saying is.

01:36:32.000 Okay, well, that was a misspoke.

01:36:33.000 What I was saying is they declared war on us.

01:36:35.000 But war is ugly.

01:36:37.000 It always has been ugly. 0.98

01:36:39.000 But we're taking out a regime that's crazy.

01:36:43.000 This is why people hate Congress.

01:36:45.000 That's for quite some time.

01:36:46.000 But you're not conceding this is war.

01:36:47.000 We have declared war.

01:36:49.000 So if we haven't declared war, then I don't see that.

01:36:53.000 The president asked us to declare war yet, but they have declared war on us.

01:36:57.000 We're just simply fighting the threat that's been at our door for 47 years.

01:37:04.000 It is really at our door.

01:37:06.000 There you go.

01:37:07.000 It's not really at our door.

01:37:09.000 No.

01:37:10.000 Is there anybody else running that we Al Green?

01:37:12.000 He's winning, right?

01:37:13.000 Is that?

01:37:13.000 Al Green's running.

01:37:14.000 Yeah.

01:37:15.000 He's the worst. 1.00

01:37:17.000 He's just terrible. 0.98

01:37:19.000 Tony just jumped up by another.

01:37:21.000 Oh, he may.

01:37:22.000 Yep.

01:37:22.000 He jumped?

01:37:24.000 Tony.

01:37:25.000 Wait, I'm not seeing that in the New York Times.

01:37:28.000 NBC News.

01:37:29.000 NBC News.

01:37:31.000 So Tony just took a lead from Brandon.

01:37:33.000 No.

01:37:34.000 So he's up 12,754.

01:37:36.000 Brandon's at 11,068 with 46.2.

01:37:39.000 Nah, we're just going to look at this one.

01:37:41.000 We're just going to look at this one.

01:37:42.000 What are you doing, Tony?

01:37:43.000 It makes me feel better.

01:37:44.000 Green is down.

01:37:45.000 That would be nice.

01:37:46.000 I'd like to see Green lose.

01:37:47.000 Did I just pull?

01:37:48.000 Oh, here's 68% in.

01:37:50.000 He's at 43%.

01:37:52.000 Oh, my God.

01:37:53.000 He's amazing.

01:37:54.000 Who's Christian Menafe? 0.97

01:37:55.000 I hope he's worse.

01:37:58.000 Is it possible to be worse?

01:38:00.000 I got to be honest.

01:38:01.000 These guys might actually be a lot better.

01:38:03.000 I would love moderate libs.

01:38:05.000 Yeah, moderate libs is what we're looking for.

01:38:07.000 I mean, I do think that the Democrats have really done the American people a disservice by offering zero viable candidates.

01:38:14.000 Oh, this is so awesome.

01:38:15.000 Well, the internal polling with the Democrats is the Democratic Party is losing to their own Democratic Party.

01:38:20.000 Yeah, I mean, the far left has really taken over that thing.

01:38:23.000 You know, that's how we end up with Mamdani and AOC.

01:38:26.000 I saw a tweet the other day that said that most of the Democrats, something like 55 or 60%, want more progressive politicians.

01:38:34.000 Yeah, well, I mean, there was a story out of Axios the other day.

01:38:38.000 Yeah, Crenshaw looks like Crenshaw lost.

01:38:40.000 He's doing.

01:38:41.000 Have they called it?

01:38:43.000 Why aren't they giving us the update on Tony Gonzalez here at the New York Times?

01:38:46.000 But anyway, a lot of Democrats are looking for AOC to be the heir to Bernie Sanders and run in 2028.

01:38:53.000 And that's like a Democrat thing.

01:38:54.000 They want her.

01:38:55.000 So we got NBC News.

01:38:57.000 I think she could win, but I thought Crockett could win too.

01:38:59.000 Oh, Brandon just got knocked way down.

01:39:02.000 I mean, that's not looking good. 0.99

01:39:04.000 Damn. 0.98

01:39:04.000 Yeah, he's down six points. 0.98

01:39:08.000 That is significant.

01:39:09.000 Is there a map up?

01:39:13.000 The maps that we have.

01:39:14.000 No.

01:39:15.000 Yeah, the 270 to win map doesn't include all the individual little houses.

01:39:19.000 Oh, wait, it does.

01:39:20.000 Does it?

01:39:20.000 It does.

01:39:21.000 Okay.

01:39:22.000 Let's find 23.

01:39:24.000 There's no map, though.

01:39:25.000 My buddy's running in 32 right there, Jace, but he's, I think he's clinched it.

01:39:30.000 Oh, yeah.

01:39:31.000 He's crushed it, bro.

01:39:32.000 70% in.

01:39:33.000 He's got 51%.

01:39:34.000 Let's go, Jace.

01:39:35.000 He's a stud.

01:39:36.000 Let's go.

01:39:38.000 Tony Gonzalez.

01:39:39.000 Can you believe it if he wins?

01:39:41.000 62%.

01:39:42.000 You might lose $1,000.

01:39:43.000 Yeah, it's just money.

01:39:47.000 That's so disheartening.

01:39:48.000 I mean, I'm not trying to look at that.

01:39:50.000 Haul she markets got him at 62%.

01:39:52.000 And again, that's why I was saying, like, I don't want to be a dick, but would the machine state ever allow someone as based as Brandon Herrera?

01:40:01.000 Like I said, considering he was within 400 points, I mean, 400 votes last time, and to think he could, you know, not up when Gonzalez has this terrible, you know, scandal that's going on, it makes you get a little bit blackpilled.

01:40:16.000 You're just like, you know, Crenshaw's gone.

01:40:19.000 How on earth does that happen?

01:40:22.000 All right, let's see.

01:40:24.000 Let's see if we got an update on the Crenshaw.

01:40:27.000 Al Crenshaw's cooked.

01:40:28.000 57% in.

01:40:28.000 Yeah.

01:40:30.000 Yeah, he's down nearly 20 points.

01:40:30.000 He's done.

01:40:33.000 This is going to be interesting, though, looking at the midterms going forward.

01:40:35.000 You see a lot of these people who held office for a long time getting ousted in the primaries.

01:40:40.000 That might be a good indicator that people are watching what's going on.

01:40:43.000 And a lot of the issues I have with Republicans is they fall asleep during the midterms.

01:40:48.000 But if we're seeing people get their seats flipped like Crenshaw, that is a significant indicator that maybe midterms won't look like what a lot of people are predicting.

01:40:55.000 Isn't it kind of wild that Al Green did as well as he did?

01:40:59.000 What was that?

01:41:00.000 Oh, Al Green just got a big jump.

01:41:01.000 Oh, did he?

01:41:02.000 Yep.

01:41:03.000 He's down by only 5.7.

01:41:05.000 I'm saying, isn't it crazy he's done as well as he did? 0.99

01:41:07.000 Yeah, he's such a clown. 1.00

01:41:08.000 I mean, he's crazy. 0.99

01:41:10.000 There's so much, like, incumbents have such an advantage in Congress and stuff because the people that know who's running, most people can't even identify their own congressperson, never mind, you know, actually go out and be bothered to go out and vote for him.

01:41:27.000 So people in Congress that are in Congress, they have such an advantage.

01:41:31.000 And it's a shame because there's so many people in Congress that need to be primary and removed and stuff.

01:41:37.000 I mean, it seems like the only kind of silver lining is it looks like Crenshaw's not going to be another guy anymore.

01:41:46.000 But it is a drag.

01:41:49.000 They've called it for K-Rabble with 0% reporting, running unopposed.

01:41:55.000 Hey, I don't know if that's good or bad, but congratulations, Democrat.

01:41:58.000 Kyle.

01:41:59.000 Because he's in Tom Sells' district.

01:42:01.000 Is that who it is?

01:42:02.000 Yeah.

01:42:02.000 He's got that hat on, the 10-gallon hat, so you know he's a real Texan, even though he's the kid.

01:42:10.000 I'm a real Texan.

01:42:11.000 What do they call it for? 0.63

01:42:12.000 He's a boy who's into castration.

01:42:14.000 Kay Self. 0.94

01:42:15.000 Hey.

01:42:15.000 You know who.

01:42:16.000 Keith Self, the incumbent, has defeated Mark Nugent.

01:42:18.000 I don't know if that's good or bad.

01:42:19.000 He doesn't even have a picture up there.

01:42:21.000 Let's see what he got.

01:42:22.000 Self is a weird last name.

01:42:23.000 You know what else is a weird last name?

01:42:25.000 It's person.

01:42:25.000 Person.

01:42:26.000 I've never met a person whose last name is person, actually.

01:42:29.000 I've seen it out there.

01:42:31.000 If my last name was person, I'd name it Guy.

01:42:33.000 Guy person.

01:42:34.000 People would be like, that's not a real name.

01:42:37.000 My parents hate me.

01:42:37.000 Dude.

01:42:38.000 Like Northwest.

01:42:39.000 Everybody was like, Tim, you should name your son or daughter Gene.

01:42:42.000 Either way, it works.

01:42:43.000 Yeah.

01:42:44.000 G or J. 0.96

01:42:45.000 And then I was like, because I hate my child.

01:42:46.000 Yeah, don't hate your child.

01:42:48.000 What if it's a boy MM Sess?

01:42:50.000 That's terrible.

01:42:52.000 Sess.

01:42:53.000 Cess person? 0.99

01:42:54.000 No.

01:42:55.000 Cess Poole.

01:42:55.000 Oh, Cess Poole.

01:42:56.000 Oh.

01:42:56.000 Cess person.

01:42:58.000 It's terrible.

01:42:59.000 Gene person?

01:43:01.000 Gene pool.

01:43:02.000 Yeah.

01:43:03.000 The things that people do.

01:43:05.000 I've met.

01:43:06.000 Have you ever noticed there's a weird correlation between people with people's jobs and their names?

01:43:09.000 Really?

01:43:10.000 Like what?

01:43:11.000 I forgot what the fine one is called, but let me pull up some examples of it.

01:43:16.000 I think I used to do it, right?

01:43:17.000 I think one of the best examples is Chris Moneymaker.

01:43:21.000 Yeah.

01:43:21.000 What do you think he does?

01:43:23.000 I think he's a poker person.

01:43:23.000 Makes money.

01:43:24.000 I think he's a bank.

01:43:26.000 He's one of the most famous poker brands.

01:43:28.000 Doyle Brunson, Chris Moneymaker.

01:43:29.000 These guys are.

01:43:30.000 Moneymaker is one of the most famous poker pros.

01:43:34.000 He's famous for being he won what's what's called a satellite tournament, which is a small, cheap, like amateur thing where you're trying to win.

01:43:43.000 You're trying to win a seat to the actual tournament, and then he won the tournament and it created this boom where it was like you could be a regular guy and win $3 million.

01:43:53.000 And his name is Moneymaker.

01:43:55.000 Love to see it.

01:43:56.000 Yeah.

01:43:57.000 We just went with a traditional yellow name.

01:44:00.000 He should be one of the guys that works at the Federal Reserve.

01:44:03.000 I know, right?

01:44:05.000 Moneymaker.

01:44:07.000 It would make sense.

01:44:09.000 You've still got multiple districts not voting yet and like multiple zero votes in yet.

01:44:16.000 They're smaller counties.

01:44:17.000 It's called an aptronym.

01:44:19.000 Yeah, when somebody coincidentally has a job, Usain Bolt.

01:44:19.000 Atronym.

01:44:25.000 Oh, yeah.

01:44:26.000 He's the fastest printer.

01:44:27.000 There's a meteorologist named Amy Freeze and another named Sarah Blizzard.

01:44:32.000 Sarah Blizzard is good.

01:44:33.000 That's good.

01:44:34.000 There's numerous Dr. Butts who are partologists.

01:44:37.000 Like, bro.

01:44:37.000 I know a Dr. Butts.

01:44:39.000 Why, for the love of all that is holy, would you have the last name Butts and be like, I'm going to be a partologist?

01:44:44.000 Yeah.

01:44:44.000 It's just your calling.

01:44:45.000 You're like, I have to do it. 1.00

01:44:46.000 You're the ass-man. 1.00

01:44:49.000 What movie was the license plate Assman? 1.00

01:44:52.000 It was Seinfeld.

01:44:53.000 It was Kramer.

01:44:54.000 The wrong vanity license plates.

01:44:56.000 So there's a concept.

01:44:58.000 There's a concept called nominative determinism, which is a hypothesis that people will gravitate towards careers that fit their names.

01:45:06.000 And the general idea is it's like, if you will it, there's a way, or the inverse of out of sight, out of mind, when your whole life you keep hearing that word or, you know, you gravitate toward those things.

01:45:17.000 I will say at the same time, many people's last names are literally just based on the job they had.

01:45:22.000 They're like or the son of the person.

01:45:26.000 Right.

01:45:27.000 Smithsky know.

01:45:28.000 And where you're from.

01:45:29.000 Well, that's like somebody who is a Smith. 0.72

01:45:31.000 Like your last name is where you're from.

01:45:33.000 John of Barcelona, you know, something like that.

01:45:36.000 Yeah, that's the, that's the, in the Middle East, a lot of people like, if you're like Al Kuwaiti, it's from Kuwait or whatever.

01:45:42.000 There's also, if people don't know this, Berg means hill in German.

01:45:47.000 Means hill?

01:45:48.000 Yeah.

01:45:48.000 I'm pretty sure.

01:45:49.000 I don't speak German, but there's a lot of places called Berg.

01:45:52.000 And people now associate Berg with city, but it referenced like John's Hill.

01:45:58.000 Yeah, the names in my family, like on the Norwegian and the Yankee side, they're all pretty traceable to like the thing that it was, you know, like resident of this valley.

01:46:10.000 Berg and the sermonaine is primarily of German, Dutch, and Jewish origin, and it means castle or fortress.

01:46:16.000 Berg in German and Swedish means hill or mountain.

01:46:21.000 You conquered who first and renamed it.

01:46:22.000 That's kind of what?

01:46:24.000 You conquered who first then renamed it.

01:46:26.000 Bergesnaut.

01:46:27.000 Bergesnaut Castle.

01:46:29.000 Yes.

01:46:30.000 Oh, no.

01:46:33.000 Tony Gonzalez took another big jump.

01:46:35.000 Rough.

01:46:36.000 Oh, no.

01:46:37.000 It's crazy that people would vote for that guy.

01:46:39.000 Yeah.

01:46:39.000 So if I bet against Brandon right now, what's his name?

01:46:43.000 1G.

01:46:44.000 Wins me 2G's. 1.00

01:46:45.000 Even though he was like, let's kill kids. 1.00

01:46:48.000 Yeah. 1.00

01:46:49.000 So that their parents learn lessons about gun control.

01:46:51.000 I can't do it.

01:46:52.000 Oh, God.

01:46:53.000 I can't do it.

01:46:53.000 We're still going to bet $999,999 on Brendan Hurricane to win.

01:46:57.000 If I wager $1 million, I will win back $9,000.

01:47:02.000 No, it says you can only wager $8,000.

01:47:04.000 Totally worth it.

01:47:06.000 Come on, the big money.

01:47:08.000 I mean, Kalshi's still giving him the odds to win, which is pretty amazing.

01:47:11.000 Although he's dropped substantially.

01:47:14.000 Brutal.

01:47:15.000 So someone just sent me a message saying that Texas primaries need more than 50% to avoid a runoff.

01:47:22.000 So he may go to a runoff.

01:47:24.000 Yeah, if he doesn't get over 50%.

01:47:26.000 Yeah, but is he going to win Keith Barton and Francisco?

01:47:28.000 I mean, the challengers to Gonzalez have more reason to vote Herrera.

01:47:28.000 Maybe.

01:47:34.000 Well, in Bexar County, which one of the largest ones, Barton's got 1,500 votes.

01:47:38.000 Well, Gonzalez has 8,600 and Herrera has 7,600.

01:47:41.000 So that's a significant portion.

01:47:43.000 That's 8% in the largest county.

01:47:45.000 French cooked.

01:47:46.000 What do we got?

01:47:47.000 Al Green.

01:47:49.000 He's close.

01:47:50.000 He's close.

01:47:50.000 We'll see.

01:47:51.000 Maybe he's going to turn it back around.

01:47:51.000 It's a 70% reporting.

01:47:53.000 All right, we're going to go to your super chats and Rumble Rants as we watch these numbers.

01:47:58.000 Smash that like button.

01:47:59.000 Share the show with everyone in your life.

01:48:01.000 Tell them you love them.

01:48:02.000 Before we do, my friends, we got a great sponsor.

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01:49:09.000 If you are not sleeping well, if you are missing those nutrients, you are going to get fat, tired, and sick.

01:49:16.000 And so obviously on all of those things, consult your nutritionist and doctor, whatever.

01:49:21.000 But they're going to tell you very much similarly, like you need to get that legit sleep so that your body can get the, you know, you want your testosterone up.

01:49:27.000 You don't want to be a low-T guy.

01:49:29.000 You know, nobody does.

01:49:30.000 So we should lift.

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01:49:33.000 Not saying I don't prove your testosterone, but you want to get good sleep.

01:49:37.000 Let's go to your Rumble Rants and Super Chats, of course, and see what y'all have to say.

01:49:37.000 Thanks for sponsoring the show.

01:49:43.000 Super Pooper says, everyone here is beyond annoying.

01:49:45.000 With pleasure.

01:49:47.000 He says, to hell with your speculation, unless you have the intel that Trump does, STFU, Alex Jones already proved to me he isn't worth listening to.

01:49:53.000 So have many others.

01:49:54.000 I don't actually know what your argument is.

01:49:56.000 He's a plan truster and he doesn't approve of people that don't trust the people.

01:50:00.000 Trust the government.

01:50:01.000 Trust the government, everyone.

01:50:03.000 Always trust the government.

01:50:04.000 Kind of my thesis.

01:50:05.000 He's arming the Kurds or however you spell their Star Wars name so you can just calm the hell down. 1.00

01:50:12.000 Has there ever, Libby, I have a question for you.

01:50:15.000 Has there ever, just at any point in U.S. history, been a problem caused by the U.S. arming the enemy faction of an enemy of ours?

01:50:24.000 That's never happened in America.

01:50:26.000 Never in Latin America or the Middle East. 0.93

01:50:28.000 The Middle East or Southeast Asia.

01:50:30.000 Eastern Europe.

01:50:31.000 Literally never happened.

01:50:33.000 Literally every time it's backfired.

01:50:35.000 Every single time.

01:50:36.000 To be fair, the Kurds aren't really, as far as I can tell, the Kurds aren't enemies.

01:50:41.000 Like, we actually helped them out.

01:50:43.000 It never happened ever either.

01:50:44.000 The Mujahideen weren't our enemies.

01:50:46.000 We helped them out.

01:50:47.000 The point that I'm making.

01:50:47.000 And they blew up the world trade.

01:50:49.000 The point that I'm making is like the Kurds are pretty pro-America because of the, I believe it was the first Gulf War when Saddam Hussein was gassing them. 0.69

01:50:58.000 They're pro-America because it's convenient right now.

01:51:00.000 Indeed.

01:51:01.000 And it's been convenient for a while, and the CIA has been arming them.

01:51:03.000 They are also communists, too.

01:51:05.000 Well, and don't they also team up with Antifa?

01:51:08.000 Isn't that like part of the deal?

01:51:11.000 Well, they're communists, so maybe.

01:51:13.000 I've got some friends that actually did, that worked with them during the Iraq.

01:51:17.000 I've been talking to some people about it just today.

01:51:20.000 The better argument I'd say is this.

01:51:21.000 Joshua French says, Iran is not a new war.

01:51:23.000 We've been at war with them for 47 years.

01:51:25.000 How many Americans died because of Iran?

01:51:27.000 See, I actually.

01:51:28.000 We have always been at war with East Asia. 1.00

01:51:30.000 No, but I think it's fair to say that Iran has been, as a regional power, they wage the war they're capable of waging in the region, and they have been bombing and killing Americans and our allies in the region for some time. 0.85

01:51:42.000 And this is Trump being like, yeah, I'm done with it.

01:51:45.000 I mean, they were responsible for a lot of the roadside bombs and stuff like that during the Iraq war.

01:51:51.000 Mythos says, Libby, we won in Vietnam.

01:51:53.000 They signed a peace treaty that they only broke three years after we pulled out.

01:51:56.000 We were within 30 miles of the Chinese border in Korea before China got involved.

01:52:00.000 Indeed, that's true.

01:52:01.000 We basically won, and then China was like, eh, we're going to fund the other side.

01:52:04.000 And then just sent wave after wave of their own men against our limited.

01:52:08.000 That kind of means we didn't really win.

01:52:11.000 Indeed.

01:52:12.000 Yeah.

01:52:13.000 And Russia's using North Koreans right now, aren't they, to fight in Ukraine? 0.97

01:52:17.000 We call it the Zap Brannigan strategy, where you send wave after wave of your own men to just die until you overwhelm the opponent.

01:52:24.000 You can do that if you're a place like Russia or China because you have that many guys.

01:52:28.000 Indeed.

01:52:29.000 And the funny thing is, this actually is Russia's strategy famously in like World War II. 0.69

01:52:33.000 They were just like mass-produced garbage weapons and send as many people just to wipe them out Zerg, we call it. 1.00

01:52:39.000 But the funny thing is, in Futurama, Zap Brannigan famously defeated the Kilbots, and he said he discovered their weakness. 0.92

01:52:46.000 They had a preset kill limit.

01:52:47.000 So he sent wave after wave of his own men to die until they hit their kill limit and stopped.

01:52:52.000 And so that's basically the Russia and China strategy.

01:52:56.000 Yeah.

01:52:57.000 It's very effective.

01:52:57.000 That's not really the American strategy.

01:52:59.000 It's interesting because I think if we're going to do global conflicts and we're going to go in places and do all this stuff and take over places and Cuba's next and whatever else, then it does make me a lot more in favor of autonomous weapons than I previously have been because it would reduce the deaths.

01:53:23.000 And I'm all in for reducing American deaths.

01:53:26.000 I mean, like autonomous weapons and stuff like that, those are coming, whether people are comfortable with them or not.

01:53:30.000 Sure.

01:53:30.000 I want to stop me from philosophizing about it myself.

01:53:34.000 I want to stress this from Briggs.

01:53:35.000 He says, Obama dropped bombs on Libya, Yemen, Afghanistan, Iraq, Pakistan, and others.

01:53:42.000 Were we at war then?

01:53:43.000 Simple answer.

01:53:45.000 Simple answer is yes.

01:53:47.000 However, challenge is they didn't fight back.

01:53:50.000 We were just bombing their countries and they just did largely nothing. 0.98

01:53:55.000 Iraq, yes, we were at war.

01:53:57.000 Afghanistan, yeah, we were at war.

01:53:59.000 Libya, yeah, we were at war.

01:54:02.000 And look at the state of Libya now.

01:54:03.000 We just haven't followed through.

01:54:05.000 Yemen and Pakistan are the only ones where we can question because Yemen and Pakistan did not engage in armed conflict with us.

01:54:12.000 So there was no between nations.

01:54:14.000 So that being said, I would agree.

01:54:16.000 It's not a fight if I punch you in the back of the head and you fall down.

01:54:19.000 It was an ambush. 0.56

01:54:20.000 It was a strike.

01:54:21.000 No fight ensued.

01:54:22.000 No one struck back.

01:54:24.000 So when we were bombing civilian targets in Yemen and Yemen was largely just like hiding, like as a government, yeah, I think it's fair to say that we were bombing countries we were not at war with.

01:54:35.000 Same thing is true for Pakistan. 0.57

01:54:37.000 As for the rest of the countries, we were literally at war with them.

01:54:40.000 Donald Clinton said we came, we saw he died.

01:54:42.000 Yeah.

01:54:43.000 Don't we think that the United States, since World War II, has been subject to foreign policy loss after foreign policy loss, and that Trump has given us the first sort of strength and the first foreign policy victories ever?

01:54:58.000 No, I disagree.

01:54:59.000 I do think that he's given us some of the, I wouldn't say loss after loss or any insinuating kind of weakness.

01:55:06.000 I would argue that Trump has, with like the Abraham Accords, for instance, hit a grand slam and Jared Kushner credit as well.

01:55:13.000 It's amazing.

01:55:16.000 His timeline for withdrawing Afghanistan was great. 1.00

01:55:18.000 Getting our troops out of Syria, absolutely fantastic. 1.00

01:55:21.000 Syria, do your thing, I guess. 0.91

01:55:23.000 Obama was a nightmare. 1.00

01:55:25.000 Obama and Bush were just horrible. 0.99

01:55:27.000 Now, I wouldn't call them weak because, boy, did they blow up civilians? 0.99

01:55:30.000 Whoa, boy.

01:55:31.000 Yeah.

01:55:31.000 They loved it.

01:55:32.000 It was their favorite.

01:55:32.000 So I have no problem saying I think Trump has been substantially better than all the other presidents.

01:55:39.000 I've routinely referred to him as one of our first net positive presidents.

01:55:42.000 I was talking to this guy back in his first term, this black dude, and he was like, you know, I asked him, I was like, you think Trump is racist? 0.99

01:55:48.000 And he's like, hell yeah, Trump is racist. 0.98

01:55:50.000 And I was like, really? 0.99

01:55:51.000 You think Trump's racist?

01:55:52.000 He's like, yeah, but I also think he's the least racist president we've ever had.

01:55:55.000 And then I was like, go on.

01:55:57.000 And he's like, bro, we have presidents who own slaves.

01:56:00.000 And I was like, indeed, we did.

01:56:01.000 He's like, right.

01:56:02.000 He's like, so Trump's racist about some things, but he's the least racist president we've ever had.

01:56:05.000 That's a good thing.

01:56:06.000 And I was like, all right, I accept that.

01:56:09.000 Like, okay, like, we found compromise here.

01:56:11.000 Like, I don't, I think it's fair to say, if your perspective is that there are some biases that Trump has based on race.

01:56:11.000 Yeah.

01:56:17.000 So you're arguing there's some racism there.

01:56:19.000 I'd go, yeah, probably in like minor things that are not super important the way most people would perceive them to be.

01:56:25.000 I don't consider him to be, when we say racist, we think like, will he have an aversion to black people?

01:56:29.000 I don't think that's true.

01:56:30.000 But does he probably have some racial biases?

01:56:30.000 No, I don't think.

01:56:32.000 And he probably does.

01:56:33.000 That's a fair.

01:56:34.000 He's the least racist president we've ever had.

01:56:36.000 I'm said bias is not racism.

01:56:37.000 Those are two very separate things.

01:56:39.000 I also think racist is overused.

01:56:41.000 I think if everything is racist, then nothing's racist.

01:56:44.000 Of course.

01:56:44.000 And honestly, a lot of what's attributed to him as being racist is just, it's not racist at all.

01:56:51.000 I agree.

01:56:52.000 I like the guy's statement because it turns the left's argument on their head.

01:56:56.000 Yeah.

01:56:57.000 Like, sure, Trump is racist and the least racist president we've ever had, which is a good thing.

01:57:01.000 And then it puts them in a position where it's like, I do agree with you, but here's why it's better than it's ever been. 0.75

01:57:05.000 And then it puts the liberals in a position where it's like, do you agree with this black man who has approached this from, yes, you're correct, but it's still better than it's ever been? 0.76

01:57:13.000 You have to have these liberals concede, like, it's true.

01:57:16.000 If you think Trump is racist, you have to acknowledge he is the least racist we've ever had.

01:57:21.000 So I think it's a clever tactic.

01:57:23.000 Yeah.

01:57:24.000 You know, I've had some classmates from my grad school that called me racist for running for Congress.

01:57:32.000 Prisoned.

01:57:33.000 Yeah.

01:57:33.000 And if you look at my wedding party, it's like just pretty much the rainbow.

01:57:40.000 Honestly, Not to be that guy who's like, oh, I have one, but yeah, it's like, okay, you can call me whatever you want, but if you don't have evidence for it, you're just kind of a jerk. 1.00

01:57:40.000 Yeah. 1.00

01:57:51.000 All right, we got this from Cerebral Vagabond.

01:57:52.000 He says, Tim, please read, I'm a Timcast member and combat veteran trying to leave a bad situation and need to relocate as quick as possible.

01:57:59.000 Please view my give, send, go page/slash CV0 raised yet.

01:58:04.000 God bless Go Trump.

01:58:05.000 Well, best of luck there, sir.

01:58:06.000 Best of luck.

01:58:08.000 Carl says, Tim, never get sick again.

01:58:10.000 I'm forced to watch Asmungold and the quartering to get my daily news. 0.98

01:58:14.000 Well, you don't have to.

01:58:16.000 There are still people here.

01:58:18.000 But, bro, I just, I've been, I've been more sick in the past, I've more sick in the past eight months than I've ever been in my life.

01:58:27.000 Like, I've been sick like, what, four or five times since August?

01:58:31.000 Yeah, I was sick in September.

01:58:31.000 Jeez.

01:58:33.000 You know what I think it is?

01:58:33.000 It was brutal.

01:58:34.000 To be honest, I'm getting older, but I used to travel all the time.

01:58:38.000 So my immune system was just bonkers.

01:58:40.000 And now I don't travel at all.

01:58:43.000 I'm just here in West Virginia.

01:58:44.000 So then I start, you know, we go to Austin in October.

01:58:47.000 We go to D.C. into the club three times.

01:58:50.000 And all of a sudden, I'm coming out of this one local area where we stay most of the time and I'm getting sick again.

01:58:54.000 So I just got to build up that immune system and we're going to be traveling again.

01:58:58.000 We're going, I'm not going to say anything about where we're going, but we're going to be traveling again.

01:59:01.000 And, you know, probably going to get sick again.

01:59:03.000 I have three kids, so I just stay sick.

01:59:07.000 This is the other thing, too.

01:59:09.000 Because I told my wife, I was like, I honestly think it's the baby.

01:59:12.000 And she's crawling around on the floor and grabbing everything. 0.94

01:59:15.000 And then I'm grabbing her and kissing her.

01:59:17.000 Remind me how old she is again. 1.00

01:59:19.000 She's one.

01:59:20.000 And I'm sure playing with other kids too.

01:59:22.000 Yeah, and that was the bigger concern that she'd be around other kids is not as much. 0.85

01:59:26.000 And so I do think the travel is the bigger factor, but I'm not going to discount that she's crawling around all over the floor. 0.98

01:59:31.000 And like we do clean, we try to keep everything clean and disinfectant and all that stuff.

01:59:34.000 But she's grabbing whatever, and then I'm picking her up and carrying her around.

01:59:37.000 And then I'll give her a kiss on the cheek or the head. 0.70

01:59:39.000 And I'm just sucking in those germs from the ground. 0.95

01:59:41.000 And it's probably not helping.

01:59:42.000 Are you taking vitamin C and zinc?

01:59:44.000 Oh, bro.

01:59:46.000 I probably nearly just like died overdosing on airborne and Zycam.

01:59:50.000 Any more of the dream then?

01:59:51.000 Or whatever?

01:59:52.000 I can't handle that Zycam stuff.

01:59:53.000 And you're not supposed to chew it.

01:59:55.000 You're supposed to just let it dissolve in your mouth.

01:59:56.000 I'm just okay.

01:59:57.000 But here's the reason why.

01:59:59.000 It's not meant to be ingested.

02:00:00.000 It's meant to coat your mouth in zinc to inhibit viral replication in your mouth.

02:00:05.000 That's fair.

02:00:06.000 So it's trying to reduce viral load.

02:00:07.000 It's horrible.

02:00:08.000 I think what I will do, though, is I got a really easy solution.

02:00:13.000 If I ever start feeling sick, I will just get a blood boy. 0.96

02:00:17.000 Oh, sure.

02:00:18.000 That's great.

02:00:19.000 Remember that year where the flu wasn't here?

02:00:21.000 Tim Vampire Pool.

02:00:22.000 You know, you guys know this.

02:00:23.000 Like, it's like seven grand or eight grand.

02:00:25.000 And it's a thing that all, yeah, this is, you didn't know about this?

02:00:28.000 All the rich terror services.

02:00:30.000 This is what all those rich Satanists do. 0.99

02:00:30.000 Brave new world. 0.99

02:00:33.000 Well, I mean, not all of them are Satanists, but probably all the rich Satanists do do.

02:00:40.000 Are all the people who do this Satanists?

02:00:41.000 Probably not.

02:00:42.000 There are companies you can call and you say, I'd like to do the plasma.

02:00:47.000 It's called plasma something.

02:00:49.000 And they take the blood plasma.

02:00:51.000 It is scientifically proven.

02:00:53.000 Plasma pharies.

02:00:54.000 I don't know if that sounds maybe right, but I'm not entirely sure.

02:00:58.000 But if you take the blood plasma from a younger organism and transfer it to an older, the older one heals.

02:01:05.000 And the inverse is true.

02:01:07.000 That's why.

02:01:08.000 I thought that's what it was.

02:01:09.000 That's part of why, like, when women have children, like they get extra, you know, both stem cells. 1.00

02:01:14.000 And if you take an older person's plasma and put it to a young person, they get sick.

02:01:19.000 Yeah, I bet.

02:01:20.000 Big tech billionaire who.

02:01:22.000 Peter Thiel reportedly did this.

02:01:25.000 And who's that other guy who tries to stay young forever?

02:01:28.000 He did it with his son.

02:01:30.000 He had his son give him his blood.

02:01:31.000 I think there was some article out in Australia, Skynet or something came out and said that actually people who do the plasma pheresis like cycle their blood actually live a lot longer and they have less diseases.

02:01:41.000 It's a fact.

02:01:41.000 It's like it heals your organs.

02:01:44.000 There's a compound in higher density in younger people's plasma that they've actually started to try it.

02:01:50.000 I was reading about it.

02:01:51.000 They may want to try and sell it.

02:01:52.000 I don't know if they are selling it, but they're like, we've isolated the compound in the plasma that's doing the work.

02:01:58.000 And so now you can buy it.

02:01:59.000 So anyway, comes with a crazy handle.

02:02:03.000 Libby, Libby, calling everybody Satanists. 0.63

02:02:06.000 I can be sick for five days or I can hook up young persons' blood into my blood. 1.00

02:02:13.000 The old are always willing to sacrifice the young so that they can live just a little longer. 1.00

02:02:13.000 Sure. 1.00

02:02:18.000 It's capitalism. 0.85

02:02:19.000 I will pay them a fair price for their blood.

02:02:21.000 I saw something, speaking of capitalism, I saw something about this on the internet, and I was like, look, it's going to be the first chance that Gen Z has to get a money transmon from the boomers to Gen Z and J. 0.73

02:02:32.000 Oh, good God.

02:02:33.000 They can actually pay them air market rate for their blood.

02:02:38.000 What if?

02:02:39.000 Sell your blood.

02:02:39.000 What if?

02:02:39.000 Hold on.

02:02:40.000 Sell your organs.

02:02:42.000 What if instead of one blood boy, 100 blood children, all giving 1%? 0.58

02:02:49.000 So for most of them, they notice nothing.

02:02:51.000 We have to keep them on an island or something. 1.00

02:02:54.000 What we should do is we should just hook up a bunch of third world women and have them get impregnated and then just like suck. 1.00

02:03:01.000 We already talked about DACA on the subject of Brave New World kind of stuff. 0.99

02:03:05.000 That is happening in the United States with Chinese billionaires.

02:03:09.000 They're literally renting wombs in the United States. 1.00

02:03:12.000 50% of international commercial surrogacy is with China.

02:03:16.000 Well, do you know it's because in most of the rest of the world, surrogacy is not legal.

02:03:20.000 Yeah.

02:03:21.000 Even in progressive social media.

02:03:22.000 It's not legal in France.

02:03:23.000 We're going to go to the uncensored portion of the show and track the status on this election in Texas.

02:03:28.000 So smash the like button, share the show with everyone you have ever met.

02:03:32.000 You can follow me on X and Instagram at Timcast.

02:03:34.000 Thanks so much for hanging out.

02:03:35.000 Austin, do you want to shout anything out?

02:03:36.000 Yeah, no.

02:03:38.000 So, as I mentioned at the outset, running for Congress in the second district.

02:03:42.000 And, you know, as you pointed out, thank you for reminding me of the website.

02:03:48.000 You know, visit rogers for Florida.com, donate, support, and looking forward to, you know, earning your vote.

02:03:56.000 I'm Adam Johnson.

02:03:57.000 If you have any money left over after United's campaign, you can donate to mine.

02:04:00.000 I'm running for Manatee County Commissioner.

02:04:02.000 It's a great position.

02:04:03.000 We're going to win.

02:04:04.000 It's voteadamjohnson.com.

02:04:05.000 You can follow me on Twitter at LecternLeader.

02:04:09.000 I'm going to ask you what a commissioner does, but first, I'm going to pump my podcast again, The Pod Millennial.

02:04:15.000 You can go to thepodmillennial.com and find out all of the links where you can listen to the show.

02:04:20.000 It's a really great show.

02:04:21.000 We've had some really great guests so far.

02:04:23.000 You can go back.

02:04:24.000 You can listen to Tim Poole, who, of course, you already know and love.

02:04:28.000 We got into some pretty interesting ideas, so you can check that out.

02:04:32.000 And yeah, thank you.

02:04:35.000 I am Phil That Remains on Twix.

02:04:37.000 The band is all that remains.

02:04:37.000 You can check us out at allthatremainsonline.com.

02:04:40.000 We're going on a tour this spring with Born of Osiris and Dead Eyes.

02:04:44.000 The tour starts April 29th in Albany and goes through the end of May.

02:04:48.000 You can check out All That Remains Music on Apple Music, Amazon Music, Pandora, YouTube, Spotify, and Deezer.

02:04:53.000 Don't forget the left lane is for crime.

02:04:55.000 We will see.

02:04:56.000 Oh, my bad.

02:04:57.000 Oh, yes.

02:04:57.000 I'm Carter Banks.

02:05:00.000 Still working on an outro, but you can follow me over at Carter Banks.

02:05:04.000 Follow our label Trash House Records on YouTube.

02:05:07.000 Thank you so much, Adam and Austin, for coming.

Timcast IRL - Tim Pool - March 04, 2026

WE'RE GOING IN | Timcast IRL #1461 w- Austin Rodgers & Adam Johnson

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