00:03:07.000And then finally, at the bottom, it's like only Donald Trump has taken action against the aliens who are in our classrooms and in our places of work and walking among us and are now being deported back to their home countries.
00:03:21.000Yeah, aliens.gov is meant to look like space aliens, and that whole thing is just illegal aliens.
00:03:27.000They were just screwing with everybody.
00:03:30.000But that being said, there's a new movie coming out called Disclosure Day, and conspiracy theorists believe that there will be.
00:03:39.000So, we can at least talk somewhat about all of that.
00:03:41.000Now, the big news today outside of this, this really was the most general interest story, to be honest.
00:03:46.000But Amy Coney Barrett, sitting Supreme Court Justice, was swatted.
00:03:49.000A man was arrested for threatening to murder Erica Kirk.
00:03:53.000And we have the active insurrection outside of the Newark ICE facility, where employees of this facility have deferred authority to the extremists.
00:04:53.000You get anonymous access to GPT, Gemini, and the Claude models, fully private access to leading open source models like GLM, Kimi, and DeepSeq.
00:05:00.000Venice submits requests on your behalf so nothing is ever tied to your identity.
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00:06:04.000Now, I'm going to remove all of the political stuff from this and give a shout out to Jeremy Boring, who made an interesting point about we're talking about veganism and environmentalism.
00:06:13.000And he was explaining that humans live for other humans.
00:06:16.000We are inspired by, we are driven to pursue endeavors that better the lives of other humans.
00:06:22.000We fantasize about saving the lives of people we don't even know because we are here for each other.
00:06:30.000The internet has become a, let's just call it, sad place.
00:06:34.000Because of the internet, we don't know our neighbors anymore.
00:06:39.000Now, I can't immediately remedy that, but what I can say is for many of you who are looking for community, go to timcast.com and join the Discord where you'll be talking with people you may disagree with, you may agree with, but we are creating a space centered around certain values and ideas.
00:06:56.000As a member of a community, you can build things, you can change the world.
00:07:01.000That's what it was always supposed to be about.
00:07:04.000We could do things like exclusive video access, and we do, but the real value for all of you is that there is a network of people that are there for you and that you can be there for.
00:07:13.000And as members of this community, you make this show possible.
00:07:19.000Don't just sit idly by, lonely, watching the show by yourself.
00:07:24.000You get in the Discord and you're hanging out with a ton of people who are talking about the show, their actual voice chats, and then you can even call in and talk to us.
00:07:32.000Plus, We've got special members only events, newsletters.
00:07:35.000We are really trying to make this about building community.
00:08:00.000We are experiencing social discohesion.
00:08:03.000To me, the most important thing is family and community.
00:08:06.000And so that's what I've been working on my own family and trying to build something as a business that means more than just selling a product, a place where people can hang out, share.
00:10:22.000I agree with you, but I want to clarify the cult like world that exists within a communist system or a cult itself is because people don't have community.
00:10:33.000So they're desperate to say or do whatever it takes to feel that.
00:10:37.000So a real community where people can actually share ideas, debate each other, and be encouraged to have rational thoughts and disagreements is a remedy for cult and communism.
00:10:46.000And other than that, I just want to say howdy.
00:10:49.000To all the cattle ranchers out there that are doing it right, thank you, God.
00:10:52.000Thank you for doing this the way you're doing it because I talk crap about industrial agriculture and all that stuff.
00:10:55.000But if you are a legitimate farmer or a rancher, thank you.
00:12:05.000Like, this was the idea that if they ever did actually announce aliens were real, no one would care.
00:12:10.000And then I said, well, they published the website, but I haven't read it yet.
00:12:13.000And then as soon as I opened it up, I was like, it's illegal aliens.
00:12:16.000But this is what we were saying before.
00:12:19.000When they first registered aliens.gov and it became a big news story, we said on this show, It's either going to be just like generic UFO disclosure, but I'm willing to bet it's going to be like illegal aliens, right?
00:15:07.000Okay, the Crater Earth conspiracy theory is that the moon is a reflection of Earth.
00:15:12.000And that the world as we know it exists within one of the craters on the moon that we're looking at.
00:15:18.000And there's an ice wall and all this whatever nonsense.
00:15:20.000It's like Terra Infinita is that there's this gigantic flat plane with a whole bunch of like ice walled in communities controlled by aliens or something.
00:15:30.000Greater Earth is that there is a spherical planet, the continents that we know, it's on a round planet, but it's only a small piece of the planet and surrounded by an ice wall.
00:15:45.000It's tying into one of these Charlie Kirk conspiracy theories, which is there is a new Charlie Kirk conspiracy theory that he's actually on the island of Valhalla in Greater Earth, where our governmental elites go once they retire from office and leave, and we are all slaves trapped within the inner continents and the ice wall.
00:16:07.000And so I saw this video where they were like, Remember when Kash Patel said, I'll see you in Valhalla?
00:16:12.000And then they showed like the Tyler Robinson image where he's looking at a computer and the computer has an image of an island with a With a mountain called Valhalla or whatever.
00:16:22.000And so they're saying that Charlie Kirk's actually still alive.
00:16:24.000He escaped to outside, you know, he elevated out of the inner continents.
00:16:29.000Now he lives in a place called Valhalla where there's regular people, and Cash is going to go there too.
00:16:35.000Yeah, like Cash dropped and he said, like, see you in Valhalla, and then he got pulled aside after the speech.
00:16:38.000And they're like, dude, why'd you say this?
00:18:04.000Because the ice wall isn't just part of one worldview, right?
00:18:08.000Flat earthers think the oceans are held in by a great wall of ice and the governments of the world are stopping you from going there or whatever.
00:18:15.000Maybe back in the day, after the flood, there was a great ice age.
00:18:18.000Like we're at the tail end of an ice age right now in an interglacial period, but maybe they were literally walled in by ice by like 15,000 years ago or something.
00:18:27.000And so now they just, that story's persisted.
00:19:38.000And the reason is actually pretty simple, even among like sort of more conservative Republicans in the Senate.
00:19:43.000And this is coming from talking to senior officials who basically say if you got rid of the filibuster, you'd be more likely to get a broad amnesty than you would be to get the SAVE Act passed.
00:19:54.000Meaning, you do not have 53 votes for the SAVE Act, even in a world where you do it.
00:19:58.000But you know what you have 53 or 54 votes for?
00:20:20.000I mean, there's a lot of reasons why the filibuster stays in place, mainly because we worry that Democrats will obviously get rid of the filibuster first thing.
00:20:31.000After talking to people, I'm not so sure they will because I think there are a decent number of moderate senators on the Democrat side who are scared about what Republicans will end up doing with the filibuster.
00:20:38.000It'll just lead to this ping ponging of policy back and forth.
00:20:45.000There are not 60 votes, and there's There's, I think they polled the Republican Senate caucus on getting rid of the filibuster, like informally.
00:20:53.000And my understanding was that poll showed that they got maybe one in four yes to getting rid of the filibuster, a good three quarters of the caucus.
00:20:59.000I've heard a lot of people speculate that part of the reason the Save Act is getting held up is because it's something that a lot more establishment candidates will utilize some sort of maybe more nefarious, shady election tactics to push through primaries.
00:21:13.000I mean, it's really there are just a few, the squishier Republicans don't want to do it.
00:21:17.000Like Mitch McConnell has made trying to keep the federal government out of state elections a big part of his.
00:21:21.000Project for a long time because previously it was Democrats trying to interfere in Republican elections to make them more favored.
00:21:29.000I really don't care about the Save Act at this point because I think we're beyond this as a country.
00:21:34.000I think we are beyond the point where procedural victories matter.
00:21:39.000Well, here is actually, I have a thesis about this.
00:21:41.000I think that here's the reason not to do it just for the Save Act.
00:21:45.000If you get rid of the filibuster, it would be a very big one time event where Republicans have the chance to do a whole bunch and put in place a huge program with a 50 seat majority, right?
00:21:56.000Like, finally, we've gotten rid of the 60 vote rule in the Senate.
00:22:38.000They're financing races and the Republican Party itself.
00:22:41.000And Democrats are funding Cuba trips and Antifa and violence.
00:22:46.000When you take a look at what's going on with Newark, where you get federal employees deferring their authority to the extremists, it looks like the strategy among the elites on the liberal side are saying, we need to go hot in terms of winning power.
00:23:02.000And Republicans are saying, we're going to win legitimate institutional authority.
00:23:06.000So this is why I say, I don't know that the SAVE Act matters as much right now because Democrats are not putting their resources into those races.
00:23:14.000I think, I mean, I don't know that the SAVE Act would, I mean, how would the SAVE Act affect resources?
00:23:40.000There's the activist donors, the Neville Singham types.
00:23:43.000They're not really donating to the Democrat Party because they'd rather, you know, fund communism.
00:23:48.000And then there's the sort of classic institutional Democratic donors, many of whom are Jews and are really not happy about the way things have been going in the Democratic Party and are not opening their checkbooks.
00:23:57.000Centrally, the Democrats are not, as a party, raising money.
00:24:00.000The donors are not interested in a centralized institutional Democratic power anymore.
00:24:05.000So if we're breaking this down, Republicans are basically all saying, Give the party money, give Trump money.
00:24:33.000And the Republicans are going procedural.
00:24:35.000That's why I say I don't know that SAVEC matters as much right now.
00:24:38.000The Republicans, I think, honestly, I think with Virginia, So, Trump shutters USAID, cuts off funding for a lot of this circuitous NGO illicit funding.
00:24:49.000Democrats, deep state, I should call it, are routed, go to Virginia, try to short their defenses, get crushed again.
00:24:55.000And I think they've basically resigned themselves to, we are not going to beat Trump at this game.
00:25:00.000I don't know if you saw the Trump won that lawsuit, or not that he won the lawsuit, but the judge sided with Trump on the executive order over the post office.
00:25:14.000Executive order instructing the post office not to deliver mail in ballots to people who are ineligible to vote, creating a de facto voter list.
00:25:42.000You know why that's retarded and hilarious at the same time?
00:25:45.000Because that was the basic argument used against Trump in 2020 when Republican groups and the Trump sphere were suing over the changes to the electoral system.
00:25:55.000These judges kept saying, Not ripe yet.
00:26:37.000You get to stop somebody from doing something.
00:26:38.000You can get declaratory relief, which is where the judge declares some legal state of affairs, like declares your statement not defamatory.
00:26:46.000So, why are they not going for injunctions when they're trying to get.
00:26:49.000Well, I mean, I think they were trying to go for an injunction.
00:26:51.000They just didn't get an injunction because the judge said the dispute was not right, right?
00:27:22.000And he goes, Well, he already hits you.
00:27:24.000I mean, there's no point taking the hammer now, right?
00:27:26.000That's what the courts were doing in 2020.
00:27:28.000Now, the funny thing is, Trump signs his executive order saying to the post office, Do not deliver mail in votes to people, mail in ballots, to people ineligible to vote.
00:27:39.000This liberal group sued saying that would create de facto voter lists.
00:27:51.000When it comes time to deliver those mail in votes about a month out from the election, they'll go out, have to collect the evidence of damages or of something having occurred, then file a suit.
00:29:06.000But if in a world where the harm alleged is this privacy violation potential from your data being collected and aggregated, The aggregation of your data, as you say, is not an abuse in and of itself.
00:29:21.000If they actually come into court and say, look, our data has been aggregated and the government is now planning to do XYZ with this data, then you're a little more in the realm of ripeness where the dispute is actually.
00:29:32.000I think, myself, not a ripeness doesn't make it ripe.
00:29:35.000Well, they're not just going to consider, like, the court's not going to operate on, like, a hypothetical.
00:29:39.000Basically, what you're saying is, right now, it's a hypothetical problem.
00:30:32.000And this is where it's interpretation of the judge.
00:30:35.000And in 2020, this is what we were dealing with.
00:30:38.000The judges were like, well, I mean, they've done, they haven't damaged you yet.
00:30:42.000And the Republicans were like, the changing of the rules.
00:30:46.000Then after the election happened and they filed the lawsuit, the judges, a lot of these courts and these judges said, well, the election's already over.
00:31:05.000Supreme Court Justice Amy Coney Barrett's home targeted in an apparent swatting incident.
00:31:11.000What was really crazy about this is the story broke earlier today and no one picked it up for like 12 hours.
00:31:18.000So I tweeted out this video showing the 911 call where someone was like, Amy Coney Barrett was just swatted.
00:31:25.000And then I saw Nick Sortor tweeted out the same thing, and I said, Do we have any other source on this?
00:31:28.000Like, no disrespect to the dude who broke the story, but I like to have three confirmations.
00:31:32.000Nick Sortor posting the same video as me is not a confirmation.
00:31:35.000I want to see, you know, NBC or some other outlet.
00:31:38.000Not that I think they're trustworthy, but at least they'll be like, We contacted police in Fairfax County, Virginia, who confirmed this.
00:31:45.000They say officers immediately coordinated with the Supreme Court police personnel assigned to the residents to determine the report was fictitious.
00:32:45.000When regular people start to feel that the true authority lies with the insurrectionists and the terrorists, this is when you get civil war.
00:32:53.000The question people have asked since the conversation of civil war has come up is who are the factions who will be fighting?
00:32:59.000And when I would say something like, well, you got the far left, you know, and you've got Trump supporters, they'd say, you know, and literally, I was told this by this D.C. like political consulting guy, lobby guy.
00:33:10.000He's like, dude, activists fighting each other in the street is not a civil war.
00:33:15.000What happens when federal law enforcement defer the authority to that group?
00:33:21.000What happens one day when these leftists buy uniforms?
00:33:26.000What happens if one day a leftist shows up at your house, knocks on the door in a button up shirt and khakis with a badge?
00:33:34.000And they say, DSA Guard, I have a warrant to inspect to search your home.
00:33:38.000Now, we all watching this would be like, what?
00:33:40.000DSA Guard is not a real law enforcement agency.
00:33:50.000And just let them come in and do whatever they want.
00:33:52.000Now, that's an extreme scenario, of course, but I stress this.
00:33:55.000We're already at the point where we saw a video of a worker at the ICE facility allowing far left extremists to search the vehicles leaving the property.
00:34:07.000If the question asked by the general population, who controls the threat of violence against me?
00:34:13.000If it is no longer the federal government, then they don't care what the federal government says.
00:34:18.000And if it is Antifa, then Antifa becomes the government.
00:34:21.000I noticed, I think it was Harmony Dillon.
00:34:24.000Somebody, they're issuing, no, it wasn't Dillon.
00:34:27.000Somebody was, I don't think it was, issuing like the government to go track people's ex accounts now.
00:34:31.000A couple people that have indicated that they're going to be threatening or had said threatening things or done threatening things.
00:34:37.000So they're like, they're like, so it's like, it seems like the government's getting ready to crack down if something like that were to happen and groups of terrorists, you know, angry mobs were masking up or arming up or uniforming up that they're going to go snatch people out of houses one night.
00:34:52.000Well, they already got the foreign terror designation and that gives, you know, That gives the DOJ massive tools in their toolbox to really target people.
00:35:01.000I think I'm confident in DOJ doing this.
00:35:53.000I'm sorry, but like, I guess my point is you know, the I'm confident that you know, the Trump DOJ is actually taking all this stuff seriously.
00:36:02.000I mean, if you've since Blanche took power, took over.
00:36:04.000The amount of action there's been has been substantial.
00:37:42.000The detainees at the ICE facility are upset because they want ethnic food from where they come from, which is not just tacos, but one of the things requested was literally tacos.
00:37:52.000And was it Mark Wayne Mullen was like, We want them to go home and they can enjoy all of that food in their home country.
00:38:02.000I saw there was a really heartwarming story about a Denver illegal alien mother who turned herself in to be self deported or to be deported by ICE because she was sitting around and.
00:38:13.000Her partner had been deported, the breadwinner, and she was like, Well, we're broken, miserable.
00:39:01.000Well, no, because it's true, because it's like, you know, people will retract when they hear that and they go, well, they're right.
00:39:05.000But it's like when you realize how much money it costs, how much money it costs to pay these people, et cetera, et cetera, like a couple grand, that's way.
00:39:28.000We got to make a movie where it's, like, about, like, the hero is some, like, you know, five foot six, you know, portly, like, landscaper, illegal immigrant.
00:39:38.000But just, like, everywhere he goes, like, everyone is in the clan.
00:39:42.000And it's just, you know, it's a struggle every day.
00:39:45.000And his dream is to escape America and go back to Taco Land.
00:40:24.000Oh, yeah, getting them to turn themselves in, and the coin.
00:40:26.000There's only so many people in, and like, not to sound like you know, super gay libtard here, but it's like, to be fair, these people came in, uh, with the door wide open at the red carpet rolled out.
00:40:37.000It's like, you can make them, I mean, it doesn't have to be like completely brutal.
00:40:41.000I mean, I know that's what people want, but it's like, that's how you can guarantee the heat gets cranked up.
00:40:45.000And it should be brutal if we have to come find you.
00:40:47.000I know exactly, but it's like, that's how you get a million abregos.
00:40:50.000And Trump has explained this, Tom Homan has explained this, they've all explained like.
00:40:54.000Look, if you want mass deportations, the better it goes, the more comfortable everyone is, the more people you can get out.
00:40:59.000It's when it gets like violent and brutal, which it's like sometimes you have to go there, but that's how you create a million breakers.
00:41:04.000You get wedge issue after wedge issue.
00:41:06.000I know how we can solve this problem overnight.
00:41:32.000And then as soon as a lot of Mexicans came here and they use it heavily in their cuisine, people that were under 60 were introduced to it for the first time.
00:42:14.000Did you guys see this viral video where there's this really big, jacked guy and he walks around supermarket parking lots and he grabs some guy, leaves a shopping cart in the wrong area.
00:42:25.000So he grabs it and walks over and puts it behind the car and then just walks to the driver's seat and he's all jacked.
00:44:08.000But the thing about social media that I think, aside from like the Elsa Gate degree of stuff, that's like the algorithmic brain melting, you know, I'm sitting there on, I like to scroll Instagram, just see like what's being recommended and stuff.
00:44:21.000You guys ever go to like experimental comedy shows by chance?
00:44:28.000So you go to these open mic comedy shows, and what a lot of these comedians do is they're trying new material and they want a crowd that's warmed up and they try to do weird things that sometimes, like most of them, aren't even funny.
00:44:39.000They just want to experiment and see what works.
00:44:42.000So in LA, I remember, I can't remember what the, I'm not a big into comedy, but I was talking to some friends who did comedy and they're like, oh yeah, when you go to that venue where they do open mics, it's never funny.
00:44:54.000You'll go in and sit down, you'll get a drink, and you'll hang out.
00:45:13.000So I already described the problem of imitation where everybody makes the same video, but there's a bunch of influencers that are trying to do random and weird things to see what works.
00:45:38.000I think about the brutality thing because 20 years ago, 30 years ago, before the internet, you could go into St. Louis, send the feds in there, and rack it up.
00:45:45.000But now, with all these cell phones, you'd have to knock out the power supply of a city, maybe shut off their water, and do an EMP blast over the city.
00:45:54.000You'd have to maintain an EMP thing, but then they're still going to smuggle video.
00:45:58.000You'd have to shut off their electronics in order to get it.
00:46:01.000I'm not literally suggesting we ban the internet.
00:46:03.000I'm just insulting influencers and modern culture.
00:46:06.000The whole story about brutality, I feel like it's.
00:46:08.000It wouldn't work because the communist revolution needs a brutal enemy.
00:46:12.000They need Trump to be brutal in order for the people to rally.
00:46:24.000The farmer Jones wasn't doing his job to make sure the citizens of the farm were being taken care of.
00:46:31.000So when people see far left extremists getting away with bloody murder, they don't turn to Trump and say, Save me.
00:46:37.000They say, There's no confidence in that system, and it breaks apart.
00:46:43.000This is the point that I'm warning about.
00:46:45.000If Donald Trump's administration, if the perceived brutal guy can't solve the problem of the extremism, regular people stop having fear or confidence in that system.
00:46:55.000I would hope that the president would be like, arm yourself.
00:46:58.000You need to protect yourself if there's going to be a riot outside.
00:47:00.000Unfortunately, you go to jail when you do that.
00:47:46.000There is strength in that, but Donald Trump domestically, as it pertains to the far left rampaging around, rioting, they couldn't even get Abugazela in jail.
00:47:55.000If you're too strong, you become brittle.
00:48:50.000And his circle made a decision, and Massey lost.
00:48:53.000The problem is, when Trump's out of office, there might be someone that's more popular than the next president because Marco Rubio ain't it.
00:48:59.000I mean, I like him, but he's not that popular.
00:49:01.000I think we have already seen the lessons of leadership over the past 10 years.
00:49:06.000When Democrats ran roughshod over this country, arrested Trump's lawyers, put Jason's in solitary, no one rose up against them.
00:49:17.000We got a new administration in, and now all those people are getting investigated down in Florida.
00:49:21.000I think you're overstating how weak President Trump is.
00:49:24.000I mean, part of this is systemic, right?
00:49:27.000The way our Constitution is structured is it gives the president an enormous amount of authority in foreign affairs and very limited and constrained authority domestically, right?
00:49:35.000That's just the nature of how our government is structured.
00:49:38.000Let me just say real quick like this they accused them of rape falsely.
00:49:44.000They're investigating the person who made that.
00:50:07.000Did the Democrats have the legal authority to accuse him of fraud, to accuse him of falsifying business records, to charge him with felonies that didn't exist with no underlying crime?
00:50:16.000You have, I mean, that doesn't quite work because, I mean, theoretically, I guess, is there some crime he could go after the people who brought a civil suit against him, right?
00:50:38.000So we have a president who is incapable of acting outside of legitimacy against an enemy who acts outside of legitimacy.
00:50:44.000How do you win a game of monopoly against someone who's actively cheating?
00:50:48.000I mean, I think the first answer to that is that the reason, and I speak for someone who worked for the DeSantis campaign, a big reason Donald Trump is president is because they tried all that stuff in 2020.
00:51:54.000I understand, but it's all relative, right?
00:51:55.000Like, you know, I was talking to my friend who was complaining about the economy, and I was like, well, put it in perspective, man, the GDP here is still five times that of like.
00:52:06.000Any country in South America or most of the world.
00:52:09.000And the poorest person in America today is living better than some of the wealthiest 200 years ago.
00:52:14.000You can get a cheeseburger whenever you want.
00:52:16.000It's all relative, but people are still unhappy because it's relativity.
00:52:20.000So, the advantage that Trump has is that if he gets the price of gas down, people will feel the immediate relief and they'll love him for it before the midterms.
00:52:29.000But I do believe that Trump's strategy right now, and I'll give you this because I like what Trump is doing largely.
00:52:36.000I'm not in the administration, I'm not doing this job.
00:52:38.000But What I will say is, it seems like the strategy they have moving forward is win the midterms with whatever procedural efforts they have or can.
00:52:47.000So, redistricting is massive, giving Republicans a major advantage.
00:52:51.000The executive order on the post office is a massive procedural advantage.
00:52:55.000And I don't know that they actually need the Save Act to win at this point.
00:52:59.000It seems absurd to me that people are making bets on Kalshi for the Democrats to win the Senate because they'd have to flip either Texas or Alaska, which is just insane.
00:53:08.000They'd have to win every toss up and flip a state.
00:53:34.000So I wonder, you know, Trump recently said, I don't care about the midterms.
00:53:37.000I wonder if Trump's general idea is just, we're going to win this through policy and procedure.
00:53:42.000Well, what Trump's, I mean, when Trump said that about the midterms, he was referring to the Iran deal.
00:53:46.000And I mean, he's trying, I mean, because you have to understand what the negotiation in Iran is, this is a game of chicken, right?
00:53:51.000It's, it's who, basically the Iranians are trying to see the Iranian's pressure point is hormones and the pressure on the global economy, the, Closing more moves.
00:53:59.000And our pressure point is our blockade, which is preventing Iran from shipping any of its oil and creating problems for the oil infrastructure.
00:54:05.000And it's sort of this game of chicken as to who's going to give up first.
00:54:07.000And so obviously, Trump, knowing that that's a negotiation, is not going to say, Yeah, I really am going to have to give this up because obviously oil prices are killing us.
00:54:16.000So that's where that's coming from, right?
00:54:18.000He's trying to be tough in negotiations.
00:54:20.000And you made the point earlier regarding the filibuster.
00:54:21.000I mean, this is the one thing that is holding Trump back to some degree insofar as people are saying, Why doesn't he just cross the Rubicon already?
00:55:24.000Well, and beyond that, Bongino went from pretty much generally liked by everyone to now he's like this galvanizing figure purely because he was in the admin.
00:55:45.000So, Bongino going into the FBI was basically like imagine walking into a room where there's 10 people standing around you screaming at the top of their lungs 24 7.
00:55:55.000He probably walked into that and said, Wow, why did I do this?
00:56:31.000Once you have a big platform and you're speaking to people on a daily basis and then you have to shut up, which is, I mean, that really sucks.
00:56:41.000Man arrested for threats to kill Erica Kirk ahead of Turning Point USA event in San Antonio.
00:56:46.000Affidavit says Jacob Wensky, 26, faces two felony charges of making a terroristic threat.
00:56:52.000They say that San Antonio Police investigators said Wensky replied to an April social media post about the group's three day women's leader summit by writing, I know exactly where to bomb.
00:57:01.000In a separate post in the same thread, he wrote, I can't wait to be the valet for her escort.
00:57:07.000An email from an account registered to Wensky stated, Death to Erica Kirk and every speaker there, America will live on without the scum of this earth.
00:57:13.000Every Christian national shall perish in the bombing that will take place at every single turning point rally and event.
00:57:19.000You know, after seeing all of this stuff and just like, you know, Tucker and Candace and all that, I'm at the point where I'm like, it's all on purpose.
00:57:29.000I just, I cannot believe for a second this is accidentally happening, being allowed to happen, and that Tucker, who's friends with Trump, all of a sudden just doesn't like him, has inverted his opinions, or Candace Owens just did a show with Anna Kasparian and Hunter Biden, like she's rallying the Democratic Party now.
00:58:05.000I'm saying that, like, the Candace, like, I predicted this.
00:58:09.000Candace's rhetoric and the show that she was doing and the accusations she was making would rally people to try or threaten to kill Erica Kirk.
00:58:26.000YouTube is not accidentally promoting Candace Owens to a wide audience.
00:58:30.000They're not accidentally allowing her to break all of the rules with impunity.
00:58:35.000And the Trump administration is not accidentally sitting back as she attacks them and attacks Turning Point USA, which helped Trump win in 2024.
00:58:43.000That would, that's, it's just too great for me to believe.
00:58:48.000I can't believe for two seconds the Trump admin's like, Oh no, for some reason, Tucker and Candace have turned on us and are destroying our base.
00:58:55.000They do say don't attribute to malice, but it could be attributed to negligence.
00:58:59.000You mean, so you think the Trump administration is like, you know, in cahoots or causing it?
00:59:07.000I don't understand how, as I'm riding in a car with Tucker Carlson and Trump calls him on the phone and they're giggling with each other, a year later they're mad at each other.
00:59:16.000Like Tucker was just at the White House.
00:59:18.000He's meeting with Trump, he's meeting with premiers of foreign governments.
00:59:21.000And all of a sudden, his positions invert.
00:59:53.000But I think Tucker's taking a different line than most of the other, like, retard right people.
00:59:58.000Like, where Tucker is still saying some crazy things, but you can kind of sense that he's at least has something vaguely coherent.
01:00:05.000It's like a very Duganist kind of like multipolar world kind of philosophy where, like, the Candace stuff is just straight up schizophrenic babble.
01:00:13.000Tucker's been apologizing for a lot of stuff lately because his positions are an inversion of long held positions.
01:00:20.000It's not just to say that Tucker is like, On this one issue, I've changed my mind.
01:00:25.000It's Tucker going, for 20 years, I said this one thing, and now I'm going to say the inverse.
01:00:51.000I think somebody made this point, and if you're talking about like, You know, we have these theses to try and explain the sort of transition of these weird, of how the independent podcasters have moved.
01:01:01.000It's the globalization of their audience.
01:01:09.000All of it, I mean, at least for the pod, I'll start with the podcasters.
01:01:12.000Massey and Greene are their own weird problem.
01:01:15.000The podcasters, I mean, they've now, I mean, Tucker Carlson Network put out that post where he was talking about how much his foreign audience has grown, right?
01:01:24.000Like, the thing is, once you go, he started on Fox News, which is an American conservative audience, and he went to YouTube, which is the Globe.
01:01:38.000So I think I've noticed that it's true of everybody, I think.
01:01:43.000And it's not necessarily even sort of intentional or cynical, but people get pulled where their audience, you know, there's a, There's a feedback effect there.
01:01:52.000I think Tucker also, he's lost any sort of constraints that he had on his show.
01:01:56.000I mean, when you think, I've tweeted out a few times that we thought we liked Tucker, but in reality, we liked Blegnev and Gregory and Alex Weiser and his staffers.
01:02:04.000The people who wrote the monologues for him every day.
01:02:07.000Now we see what Tucker actually does on Constraint, and it's a lot worse.
01:02:10.000This is an important thing people need to understand that the opening monologue that everyone loved from Tucker's show, you know, the past few years we was on Fox News, those were written for him.
01:02:18.000And to the extent, I mean, he obviously had editing control, but then there's also, Constraint feedback on his monologues, right?
01:02:24.000He might try and put some stuff that's crazy in and get pushed back on by his staff and by senior.
01:02:28.000Why is YouTube allowing Candace to just break the rules every day?
01:02:33.000I mean, YouTube still has a bunch of leftists, and I think leftists are perfectly happy to see the right eat itself.
01:02:37.000Did Tucker do the Jimmy Doar thing on YouTube?
01:02:44.000Because they're hardcore anti vax in that episode.
01:02:47.000I mean, all these people, I have no time for any moral preening from anybody who indulges Candace Owens.
01:03:23.000As someone that would have been a target audience, I was 14 when Trump came down the escalator.
01:03:28.000I've never once, I remember it's instant that she came on the radar.
01:03:31.000I was like, oh, here's the token black woman that they found so she can say the base things, but then boomers watching it can be like, see, there's black people that agree with us.
01:07:39.000So intentionally having a show where we use overly verbose and pretentious language, sometimes intentionally, is unattractive to a regular person who can't comprehend the words we're using.
01:08:45.000It's like that in that movie, The Adjustment Bureau, where Matt Damon's character, he's like running for Congress, and then he has like a moment of clarity where he's like, listen, he's giving his speech when he loses the race, and he goes, look, I've consultants who tell me what to wear and how to wear it.
01:09:04.000They tell me that a blue tie looks too pretentious, but a red tie looks too aggressive, so maybe yellow might work.
01:09:11.000They tell me to wear nice shoes so it looks like I'm a professional, but they can't be too clean because it looks pretentious.
01:09:16.000So, I got to scuff him up a little bit so I seem like maybe I'm working class.
01:12:59.000In almost all circumstances, because I reserve their absolutes would be silly in physical systems, you need to have an above average intelligence to be in politics.
01:13:08.000You can't be an idiot to be a president.
01:13:53.000Here's your question You walk into a casino and you're looking around, you wanna find a game to play, and you see there's a roulette table, and the dealer's a little tired looking.
01:14:03.000There's a few open seats, so you decide, you know, I'll go play this game.
01:14:06.000You take a seat and you decide to watch some spins before you make any bets.
01:14:11.000Out of the last 30 spins, 17 come up red.
01:14:14.000So you decide, I'm gonna make a color bet.
01:14:24.000Well, I think the, in the sort of, if we're talking, if you know, if we're talking like the platonic ideal of a roulette table, then it doesn't matter.
01:14:35.000If 17 have come up red and you have some, there's some possibility that the table is physically biased and flawed, then maybe it makes more sense to bet red.
01:14:52.000They cannot understand that math doesn't, in the physical reality, math doesn't exist in the abstract.
01:14:59.000So they genuinely believe it doesn't matter, it will never matter, when in fact, the likelihood that a roulette wheel is perfectly bounced is zero.
01:15:08.000The probability that a roulette wheel is bounced is zero.
01:15:11.000The likelihood that a dealer is perfect is zero.
01:15:14.000But there are people who can't comprehend this and they get angry about it.
01:15:18.000And I had to tell these people, but they don't understand.
01:15:33.000Well, I mean, but like from a Bayesian perspective, you don't know that, but like as a Bayesian just going into a random casino, you assume that the edge trumps the increase in probability that the.
01:15:44.000I think it's always fair to assume the house is trying to make money.
01:15:46.000However, that's why casinos pull dealers, it's why they added deflectors, and it's why they tell croupiers to change their spin because sometimes there's a thing in roulette called sector betting where.
01:16:56.000So, knowing that 70% of people will get the question wrong, you set them up intentionally to make it feel like they are smart and they got the question right.
01:17:06.000Knowing that 70% will answer, it doesn't matter.
01:17:09.000I would set up a situation in which they would get a positive emotion out of the experience and then say, Wow, you're really smart.
01:18:33.000I'm not trying to be addicted to people on the bus, but guys, like, this is not reality.
01:18:39.000The idea of, like, I have a good idea I can execute upon is not correct.
01:18:42.000This idea of, I have a good idea if only I had the money I could execute upon it is not correct.
01:18:46.000There is this idea that exists among the layman that if you have a good idea, you better be careful because a rich person might steal it from you.
01:19:39.000That's the most powerful economic engine in the world.
01:19:42.000I mean, and part of what makes Silicon Valley Silicon Valley is that they have all these different cultural norms about how venture capitalists need to behave that are extremely pro founder.
01:19:51.000If you're a VC and you exploit a founder or mistreat them, you don't get to be in on the next round with the next VC or with the next big deal.
01:22:53.000Unless we have hyped up AI numbers, which I can't tell if they're going to scale the views with the people that are born.
01:23:00.000Well, this is part of the AI apocalypse happening.
01:23:03.000I think Candace and Tucker are elements of this in that, you know, as more and more young people who grew up on the internet are entering the labor market or whatever version of it we have, and they don't know how to make money, they do what they know.
01:23:21.000Low level influencers that are doing cultural and political commentary, they don't necessarily have the keenest of insights, but they take up space.
01:23:30.000So it becomes harder and harder to stand out and make money.
01:23:33.000And we're actually a component of this in the earlier sense, in that it used to be the television networks made a ton of money, got 20 million views, you know, CNN and Fox and all that stuff.
01:23:43.000Then with decentralization, shows like this were able to emerge where it was much, much cheaper to run a show.
01:23:48.000We pulled audience from the likes of Fox News and CNN.
01:23:52.000Now, All of these young people that are becoming influencers are pulling views from us and from them, and everything's diluting and flattening out.
01:23:58.000What happens is people like Tucker and Candace need to maintain those views.
01:24:03.000And if you are unscrupulous, you'll say whatever you have to say to get the views.
01:24:07.000So if the American audience is diluted, but you need a million views per episode because you want to maintain your lifestyle or make money, you're going to try and find the audience.
01:24:15.000Truth is, there's 2 billion Muslims in the world.
01:25:07.000I just don't want, I agree to an extent because if I got up here and I just started tweeting out every day, Trump's betrayed us, and I started nitpicking every single decision he makes, I'd be eight times as big right now.
01:25:17.000Because that's market capture, where it's like I'm capturing what, 80% of conservatives that are happy with Trump, but then I could capture every libtard plus 20% of conservatives that don't want Trump.
01:25:27.000And that's what Brian Tyler Cohen and David Peckman are.
01:25:29.000And that's what a lot of people on the right are doing right now they're doing the sports radio where they're like, you know, the coach, you subbed him in at the wrong time, da, da, da.
01:26:14.000But again, to clarify, like, reaching the upper echelons of the podcasting rankings for which there are only like the top 200 is a top 200.
01:26:24.000And only like in the top 200, how many are actually making a ton of money?
01:26:29.000I didn't like the number 200 biggest podcast in the world probably is making six figures.
01:26:34.000And the number one is making 50 million to 200 million or more.
01:26:37.000And what you're describing is also like a really common trope actually in Hollywood where, you know, they follow a singer who, like, he was really like a family man and all his friends when he was busking on the street.
01:26:46.000And then he becomes all like this successful singer, and then his friends are like, Hey, man, he's like, Oh, I don't know you.
01:26:50.000My, you know, I'll upset my manager if I hang out with you guys.
01:26:53.000That's like the most common trope in, you know, in Hollywood, because it's to a degree, I guess that maybe does happen.
01:26:58.000I'm just saying that the idea of I could just do it if only is one of the biggest mistakes people make and tends to be proof that they can't do it.
01:27:25.000That's a big part of his foreign policy.
01:27:26.000I view like a fundamental component of evil to be destruction for the sake of destruction.
01:27:34.000So it's, you know, I hate to, I don't want to be absolute with it, but I would say that an element of evil often includes destruction for small personal benefit.
01:27:44.000So greater destruction to life and civilization and humanity for a small benefit to you.
01:27:50.000That is, You are a net negative on humanity.
01:27:53.000And you might argue that deception is a form of psychological destruction.
01:27:57.000And if you're doing it just to get a little bit of game, that's evil.
01:28:00.000But if you're doing it for a greater purpose.
01:28:02.000Yeah, that's basic Christian theology is like, okay, deception in advance of something good is not actually a sin.
01:28:08.000And so far as like if someone busts into a room and you're, you know, the guy they're looking for is hiding in a locker and they say, where is he?
01:28:13.000And you say, I don't know where he went.
01:28:23.000Of man and earth, and that is slavery is and always will be a component of what we do.
01:28:29.000So, right now, we are using microphones with components that are mined by slaves in third world countries.
01:28:35.000Peasants, maybe, is a nicer way to put it.
01:28:37.000There's peasants in China that produce things for pennies on the dollar, and we live substantially better than they do.
01:28:42.000And, you know, liberal activists don't really want to acknowledge the components in their computers that they use for their environmentalism are destructive to the environment.
01:28:53.000It's a nature of reality that people need to come to terms with.
01:28:57.000That is, you see a lot of these people online.
01:29:04.000They'll say, if you want to be successful, if you want to, you know, if you want to break the bank and escape the matrix or whatever, give me money and I'll explain to you how to do it.
01:29:15.000They're basically saying, listen, there are 100 million, there are 10 billion, you know, 8 billion really stupid people out there.
01:29:26.000And they could all give me a dollar and then I will live like a king.
01:29:29.000That's basically what they're saying when they do a lot of this stuff.
01:29:34.000Right, you will be wealthy if you can convince a billion stupid people to give you a dollar, you'll be a billionaire, and that's what a lot of people do.
01:29:44.000I feel like that's the ethos of the Democratic Party for the most part.
01:29:47.000They view the world as people are really dumb and should be told what to do.
01:29:52.000The populist movement, largely with the right, is to a certain degree we're going to withhold information if we think it could be detrimental, but for the most part, tell the truth and hope that people come to the right conclusions, and we have a robust, intelligent movement.
01:30:06.000And that's why I think you find many moderates shifted rightward and toward Trump.
01:30:11.000The left just lies about everything all day.
01:30:32.000There's this bandit uprising, the yellow turbans are trying to, and all these governors raise armies and fight this.
01:30:37.000Rebellion, and then one of the governors seizes the emperor and takes control of the country, and all the other governors have to raise standing armies, and then they form into these three kingdoms.
01:30:45.000Liu Bei's kingdom, he's the benevolent, he is just pure and honest in the story, and he can't beat the deceptive South South.
01:30:53.000A lot of Game of Thrones, I wouldn't be surprised.
01:30:55.000The great deceiver, the one who said, I would rather betray the world than let the world betray me, is the one who won.
01:31:03.000The moral of the story is those that are willing to exercise power to gain more power win.
01:31:09.000Yeah, I mean, the whole thesis of Game of Thrones, right, is, you know, Ned Stark is the character, the honest, upright man who keeps making these stupid mistakes and getting killed for his trouble.
01:31:19.000And then I have a provocative thesis, which is that Tywin Lannister is actually the hero of Game of Thrones.
01:31:24.000Well, until he dies, I guess, or what?
01:31:26.000That was George R.R. Martin just deciding that he, you know, his left-tardism kind of coming into play, I think, honestly.
01:32:14.000But we need 1 million people to run the machinery to stay in that city so that they can prepare the counter missiles that we can launch and fire at this meteor and destroy it before it wipes out 50 million lives.
01:32:31.000If you tell the people that you want them to sacrifice themselves, most of them will flee, will not operate the machinery, and everyone will die.
01:32:55.000They're going to launch countermeasures which will only destroy the meteor up to a certain size, and the remnants will slam right into where they are, killing one million people.
01:33:32.000You could say, like, they have to operate a machine that will generate so much radiation, they'll all fry to death, but it'll save the country.
01:33:38.000Then they launch the missile, all get radiation poisoning.
01:33:40.000The meteor missed, the calculations were off, no one was ever really at risk, and you sacrificed a million people because of a what if from someone you trusted.
01:33:47.000The first thing I thought while you were giving me the metaphor was rally my most trusted oligarchs.
01:33:51.000And we'll figure this out and we're going to solve it without anyone knowing about it.
01:33:54.000We learned a lot about the COVID vaccine recently.
01:33:56.000I don't know if you're tracking this stuff, right?
01:34:09.000This is heart damage, it shortens your lifespan.
01:34:12.000We also had another study that came out that said that mRNA vaccination, if it travels to your liver, will actually decrease your immunity.
01:34:24.000Very likely that when people were getting the vaccines, it was not, this is a fact, we know it wasn't staying in the injection site.
01:34:31.000The presumption now, based on the study published at nature.com, is that many people who had the mRNA vaccine travel from the injection site into their liver became more susceptible to getting COVID.
01:34:42.000The argument made the whole time was that yes, there will be vaccine injury, but the amount of vaccine injury is substantially less than the deaths from COVID.
01:34:53.000So they argued everybody should be forced to get the vaccine to save as many people.
01:34:58.000Now we're learning that people got heart damage from it and that people may have had their immune systems weakened by it.
01:35:04.000And that's the challenge with this utilitarian worldview of thinking that you know what is true, deciding to pull the trigger and sacrifice a portion of your own population to save more people when you could be wrong the whole time.
01:35:18.000And the people that you would intend to sacrifice might actually be better.
01:35:21.000Like sacrificing a million brilliant people might be worse than rescuing 100 million idiots.
01:36:42.000It's going to end now and it calms down.
01:36:43.000But the whole time, China's been cut off from their imports.
01:36:48.000Which is sort of, I mean, that actually makes some sense.
01:36:51.000I mean, if it's really hard to criticize what Trump's doing on Iran from a logical perspective because we don't know what he's seeing, right?
01:37:17.000He went into Venezuela, took out Maduro, got our oil as its back just before we went into Iran.
01:37:25.000Now he's going after Hassan and these lefties for funding and financing related to Cuba.
01:37:30.000The US is going to make a move on Cuba.
01:37:32.000I do not believe Donald Trump wants the Strait of Hormuz open.
01:37:36.000I just think that the administration can't tell the American people we got your gas to five bucks on purpose.
01:37:42.000Five dollar gas in the United States, as far as Trump is concerned, is a small price to pay to.
01:37:47.000Cut off half of the energy imports for China.
01:37:50.000China's the biggest threat to the United States.
01:37:53.000I mean, the problem with that calculation would be I think they understood that if they intentionally shut down the Strait of Hormuz, it would completely decimate the Japanese economy.
01:38:03.000Now the Japanese bond market is completely overheating, and that's screwing us over big time because, again, that was our largest debtor or creditor, rather.
01:38:10.000And now they're selling off all their bonds, it's destroying our bond market.
01:38:14.000Now he went from Kevin Warsh coming in to cut rates.
01:38:16.000Now he's like, I might have to hike rates.
01:38:27.000Donald Trump is wielding a double edged sword.
01:38:31.000The hope is that we cause more damage to our global adversaries than we do to ourselves.
01:38:36.000Point being, Trump can't come out and say, I am going to cause U.S. gas to jump to $5 to hurt China because the Americans are going to be like, what?
01:38:46.000I don't think it was so much us trying to limit China's energy supply because they are able to get it from Russia on sale.
01:38:52.000I think what In that theory, I think what makes a little bit more sense is that, and we have seen some indications in the press that China was pressuring Iran to start selling oil in Yuan, and that would be a huge problem for the United States.
01:39:04.000And so some have argued, I don't necessarily know if, like, I, because who knows?
01:39:08.000Who knows what Trump's saying to your point?
01:39:09.000But like, some have speculated that Trump can't actually lose this war because if Iran starts trading in the Yuan, that's going to freeze out the United States from a massive energy sector.
01:39:20.000I mean, he's, like, he's kind of, I mean, he's in a tough spot, right?
01:39:23.000Even if, even if your theory is not right, let's say, let's, let's take the sort of, Not mainstream.
01:39:29.000I don't know if that's the right word.
01:41:01.000I think that they certainly considered the idea that Trump and his team did not consider the possibility of the home is closure is ridiculous.
01:41:09.000So, I've seen people put that out there, right?
01:41:10.000They had no idea they had no plan for the Hormuz closure.
01:41:13.000They had no idea that that might happen.
01:41:26.000So, the issue is why is Trump struggling to cut a deal that would open the strait?
01:41:33.000Because it's, there's a lot of different interests.
01:41:35.000And I think the most likely explanation is that there's a lot of these different competing interests, you know.
01:41:40.000I tweeted this out a couple days ago, which is the idea that the one foreign, you know, we talk about foreign influence and everybody harps on Israel.
01:41:45.000The one country that always seems to get its way or has been getting its way as to Trump's actions is Saudi Arabia.
01:41:51.000Prior to the war, Saudi Arabia was asking, hey, you need to go do this.
01:41:54.000You can't let Iran make you look weak.
01:41:57.000And then now with Saudi's oil infrastructure under threat, they're like, hey, can we do diplomacy?
01:42:02.000And so that's actually like, yeah, that's true.
01:42:04.000It was also causing problems in the Red Sea for which Saudis have a massive interest.
01:42:08.000And so I think the Saudis, it's managing these sort of like, Key allies who are investing or have promised to invest huge amounts in the United States, right?
01:42:17.000Like something like $4 trillion between Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Qatar.
01:42:22.000And the Abraham Accords are on the line.
01:42:23.000And the Abraham Accords, they want to expand them.
01:42:25.000So there's just, you know, it's almost like I think people kind of, especially in our space, just like have this very narrow aperture.
01:42:33.000It's just tunnel vision on Israel in terms of like foreign influence.
01:42:35.000And they're not understanding that actually, especially given the way that the war happened, which is, you know, there was a huge degradation of Iranian military capability and especially their ballistic missiles that can actually hit Israel.
01:42:46.000Thousand miles away, but they have all their short range missiles that can hit the Gulf.
01:43:02.000But there was this talk about how the Saudis requested a pause or something, or the pause was done at the request of Pakistan.
01:43:11.000And Ayman Dean explained that what happened was Saudi Arabia, the UAE were all like, yes, let's do these convoys, get the ships out of Hormuz.
01:43:18.000And then they started doing it, and Iran fired at.
01:43:22.000Some oil infrastructure, like at Fujairah and a few other places.
01:43:25.000And then the United States, like in a press conference, Kane was like, Well, we think that's, we're not going to say that's above the threshold of a ceasefire.
01:43:40.000You're not, okay, you need to stop doing this because if you're not going to respond to our oil infrastructure being built, then we're not going to, we're not okay with this convoy project.
01:43:50.000And as I understand it too, like obviously there's domestic.
01:43:52.000Pressure, not that the European allies can do too much about this, but you know, there's been a lot of frustration from Trump that I think they anticipated going in that actually the Europeans, the Japanese, etc., would at least intervene and assist in some way.
01:44:04.000I do think they actually anticipated that happening and didn't happen.
01:44:06.000I think part of why and what no one is talking about is again, like the Saudis, the Qataris are heavily invested in a lot of European markets.
01:44:17.000And again, the Europeans kind of understand that they might have not as much leverage as they quite thought.
01:44:24.000And it's a dance right now between Starmer trying to please his, obviously his base, but now he's screwed, but he's also got to keep the foreign investors happy.
01:44:30.000It's put them in a really bad situation.
01:44:32.000We lose if our adversaries are allowed to control our media.
01:44:38.000And I think it is patently obvious for a long time now foreign interests have been manipulating our media in a variety of ways.
01:44:44.000And it seems like the US has no capability to stop it.
01:44:49.000As JD Vance said, if we lose the AI war, we lose everything.
01:44:52.000And this is why Taiwan's such an important thing.
01:44:54.000They're doing like 100% of the chip fabrication.
01:44:56.000I don't know if it's literally, but some numbers I've seen thrown around.
01:44:59.000Elon's like, we, dear God, need to reshore our chip manufacturing.
01:45:12.000You know, you put the memory in the process or you get 10 million times the effectivity.
01:45:16.000We're kind of, I don't need to build it, and that's going to take the topic completely.
01:45:19.000Yeah, well, I mean, to tie it back in, and to tie it back in, and well, I'd be curious your thoughts on this.
01:45:25.000Is I don't actually think Trump is this China hawk that people make him out to be, and I think that was evident when he was meeting with the Chinese.
01:45:32.000He effectively said the Taiwanese, like, that's a situation that can be resolved later.
01:45:36.000And if he was this massive China hawk, he wouldn't have like used that as leverage in negotiations over Iran.
01:45:41.000I think the Middle East is actually much more of a focus for him than people realize.
01:45:44.000My point is the U.S. will not have the political willpower to stop our adversaries and win these conflicts if the people are convinced they're not our adversaries.
01:45:54.000Yeah, I mean, you know, you know, you know, the biggest threat to America is right now.
01:46:13.000A country the size of New Jersey that spends what, like 120th the lobbying dollars that China does?
01:46:18.000Don't get me wrong, you're allowed to complain about Israel and their lobbying and AIPAC and all of that stuff.
01:46:22.000But I think it's really funny that when Donald Trump endorses Paxton and Cornyn is the AIPAC candidate, these personalities aren't coming out and cheering for the defeat of the AIPAC candidate.
01:46:50.000But the greatest threat to the United States, singular threat, and I don't think it's the only threat, but China is a much bigger adversary in the global stage than any other country.
01:47:00.000They're buying farmland near military bases, taking pictures of our military installations.
01:47:05.000They flew a spy balloon over our country, taking snapshots of our missile launch sites.
01:47:09.000But there are people, despite all of this, who have been convinced that the biggest threat we face.
01:47:15.000Is a country the size of New Jersey in the Middle East.
01:47:17.000This also happens to be our best ally on both AI and cybersecurity technology.
01:47:21.000Like, if I were, like, honestly, if I were China, like, if there's an American ally that I would want not to be an American ally anymore for my strategic purposes, it would be.
01:48:19.000But even with the media machine, I don't think the Iran war is ever going to be popular with the Americans.
01:48:24.000I mean, the Americans are like, yeah, sure.
01:48:25.000I'm saying if we as the American people wanted to get serious to stop an adversary who's been stealing our IP, Buying up land, manipulating our politics, sending spies.
01:50:06.000If you start making videos where you're like, they're building a data center in the desert away from human beings, now something feels weird.
01:50:13.000People were really angry about nuclear energy at the time.
01:50:16.000Like, the majority of Americans hated nuclear energy at the time.
01:50:18.000And that was way before, like, the mass media market that we're in now.
01:50:21.000I think it's like Americans are really good.
01:50:23.000And sometimes it's a good thing, but oftentimes it's a bad thing, is they're really good at whipping themselves up into a frenzy over stuff.
01:50:28.000The Chinese don't have a great firewall across their internet.
01:50:31.000So they go outside their firewall, they say, nuclear energy bad, data centers bad.
01:50:44.000Inside of China, their social media is be an astronaut, join the military, fight for your country, your people are good.
01:50:50.000And in the United States, the media we get is be gay, don't have kids, and the biggest threat is one of your own allies.
01:50:57.000But China even has a problem putting a lid on a lot of social media.
01:51:01.000Like there was this, there's a video actually that was talking about the biggest post in WeChat history.
01:51:06.000Was this young man, and it was called like the lie down culture, there, where it's basically he's laying out how horrible, you know, they have the six day work week, and he's like laying out how horrible, you know, the life is for the Chinese youth.
01:51:17.000And this is why Xi Jinping, he's come out multiple times and said like the biggest threat to China as he sees it is this lie down culture of like Chinese people being overworked and then they refuse to pay into the system, et cetera, et cetera.
01:51:29.000And so, like, I think even China has like more domestic issues than people give them credit for because this post went everywhere.
01:51:35.000And I mean, the Chinese obviously they tried to put a lid on it and that sort of thing.
01:51:37.000But I think we have this idea that China's like North Korea.
01:51:40.000Where everything is just like unified, all the people there are in lockstep.
01:51:43.000It's like they actually have quite a bit of domestic issues.
01:51:46.000It's just with the firewall, with the lack of journalism, and also it's such a drastic different culture that we have a tough time kind of like breaking down the specific dynamics within China.
01:51:58.000And then my other point is, I do think a lot of this stuff is organic, is domestic.
01:52:02.000I think Americans do oftentimes take wide positions just because they're popular.
01:52:07.000And I mean, I don't blame like people.
01:52:09.000Some people actually like have really thought out, coherent philosophy.
01:52:13.000I'm not going to say they're like paid by China.
01:52:15.000I think it's just coherent with typically like a lot of conservative principles, values that people have, where they're like, no, we want to like turn back the clock on.
01:52:24.000They view like social media as a huge problem.
01:52:25.000So naturally they're going to be skeptical of AI.
01:52:27.000Naturally they're going to be skeptical of data.
01:52:28.000Like, I don't think that's necessarily.
01:52:29.000I'm sure it is a component, but I think I'm not downplaying the ability for Americans to mobilize and get really upset in mass.
01:52:37.000It is, it's like a short term fear because if you're afraid of data centers because they're going to destroy the environment and make your electricity bill go up, you might not realize that if China gets the data centers and they decide to attack the United States homeland with drone nuclear drones, that's worse for our environment than data centers.
01:52:53.000Yeah, but you can never like, but you can't articulate that to like the American people.
01:52:57.000Like that's so abstract that like no one's ever going to respond to that.
01:53:01.000That's kind of like my point is like, Even if the media machine was like, yes, China is the biggest thing, I don't think it actually changes that much on the ground because, like, the threats that we face from China are very abstract.
01:53:11.000Like, you know, they'll say, oh, well, they're going to, like, knock out our electric grid.
01:53:15.000Well, people can't, like, comprehend what that means because we've never experienced it.
01:53:19.000We don't have that lived experience of understanding what that is.
01:53:22.000We only understand conventional warfare.
01:53:24.000So when they would come out with the whole Ukraine Russia thing and they say, well, Russia could, like, take over Europe, people understood that instantly because they've done that before.
01:53:30.000Like, people know what that is, they know what the effects are.
01:56:08.000There was a, you know, this Disclosure Day movie's coming out, and Spielberg says, it's all true.
01:56:14.000And then AOL wrote an article about how people think it's predictive programming that they're releasing this movie to get people ready for aliens.
01:56:21.000And then there's this viral post on Reddit where a guy claims that he's a whistleblower who worked for the U.S. government.
01:56:26.000And then he basically wrote like a sci fi screed where he said that when life emerged and like when humans evolved, aliens took early humans and brought them to a planet with alien technology to see how would humans develop with a planet of scarcity and a planet of abundance.
01:56:42.000And now bugs are coming declaring war on the Galactic Council.
01:56:46.000And I'm just like, do people just not realize all of this is fake?
01:57:20.000Schnage Barry says, Florida has gone after people saying threatening comments in social media, mainly anti Semitic comments, but nothing on people who make threatening comments to Trump, MAGA, or politicians.
01:57:35.000Well, I mean, I'm not tracking the story.
01:57:36.000I mean, it doesn't mean it doesn't happen.
01:57:39.000I mean, if they've made it actual to threat against a person, like if you go out there and communicate a death threat against anybody, you're going to get prosecuted for that.
01:57:46.000I made a picture to trigger the Israel derangement syndrome people.
01:57:50.000It is two white guys dragging rocks, being whipped by a Chinese soldier, all one says, at least it's not Israel.
01:57:56.000Dude, there's so many problems on earth.
01:58:06.000Libertarian meme or something, you know, like with, with, like, it's the stone toss thing where the guy's got the gun, they've got the guns, the guy back of the guy's head.
01:58:12.000I can't explain this meme off the top of my head.
01:58:14.000I know you're saying it's like they're the guns back of the head and they say, could you imagine if it was us on the other side?
01:58:59.000I mean, there's just like, this is the thing is like, and I'm one of these people, like, it sounds like really nice, but the problem is so convoluted.
01:59:10.000I mean, like, as long as we're going to have half our budget going towards entitlement spending, You can't like remove yourself from the global system, like that's we can't like absolve ourselves of being a global guardian.
01:59:21.000And I hate that, but like that's the third rail of politics.
01:59:24.000It seems like the uniparties mentality was we're going to have a one world government through some kind of system, and America will not be on top.
01:59:32.000And Trump said, No, we'll do that, but America will be on top.
01:59:34.000Yeah, and I mean, I think people underestimate like if we totally retreated into ourselves, that wouldn't just mean everybody else would leave us alone and let us do what we wanted.
01:59:44.000I mean, I've talked about this a lot, but you have to understand.
01:59:48.000I mean, China is a massive power and already has a lot of say about how other countries conduct their affairs.
01:59:53.000In a world where we totally withdrew and decided not to exert our influence or use our power meaningfully, then basically anybody we'd want to do a deal with or anybody we'd want to favor from, they'd be like, well, I have to check with China first.
02:00:03.000Yeah, the way you have to look at it is like, once you've initiated the boss fight, you can't leave.
02:00:44.000But, like, in policy, you have to be like very pragmatic and like unraveling that.
02:00:49.000You would need like a dictator for 60 years to even begin unraveling like how complicated the system is.
02:00:54.000And then, to Will's point, is that even something that we even want when you really think about it?
02:00:57.000Because, again, like the British, the British basically dismantled their entire empire voluntarily, and they're significantly worse off for it.
02:01:05.000And honestly, the rest of the world is worse off for it, too.
02:01:07.000Like India was faring much better under British rule.
02:01:12.000And the best part was they stole the food, and now we all get to enjoy chicken tikka masala.
02:01:17.000Which was invented in Scotland, by the way.
02:01:19.000I also adhere to the Roman tactic of dominating outside of your borders so that they don't fire intercontinental ballistic missiles at you.
02:01:51.000You know what's crazy is there's this viral photo of like, it's like seven generations of women or some insane number.
02:01:58.000And it's just like, Every woman had a kid when she was like 18 or 19.
02:02:04.000So it's like great, you know, there's like the baby, then the mom, then the grandma, then the great grandma, then the great great grandma, and the great great great grandma because they're all only like 18 years apart.
02:02:15.000So it's like great great great grandchild alive there, you know?
02:02:30.000Or maybe you'll be hanging out in the uncensored portion of the show over at rumble.com slash timcast irl coming up in about a minute or so.
02:02:37.000You can follow me on X and Instagram at timcast.
02:02:39.000Will, do you want to shout anything out?
02:05:25.000As we were preparing the switchover, I was explaining how the property that we're on is potentially worth an insane amount of money.
02:05:31.000I've talked about it on the show a bit before.
02:05:33.000So, we're right now in the Northern Virginia power corridor for data centers, meaning the land we are in is needed to transmit the energy to the data centers that are being built in Northern Virginia.
02:05:47.000But West Virginia has recently announced several massive data center projects in Berkeley County.
02:05:53.000There is an expectation in the industry that within the next year to three years, these data center projects Projects are going to move southward, increasing the value of this property to a massive degree for a handful of reasons.
02:06:05.000One, we're very close to a fiber backbone, and we already have fiber.
02:06:10.000We have multiple power, you know, I don't know how you describe it, but electric wise, we have multiple meters on the property.
02:06:18.000So power distribution to this property is very high.
02:06:20.000We have industrial solar capacity and industrial battery capacity because of the studio.
02:06:27.000So I think we have something like 14 N phase batteries.
02:06:30.000Because of the existing infrastructure we built for the studio, The estimates on the value of the property in the next year to a few years could be 10 figures.
02:07:16.000Maybe the early data centers were being built in more kind of closer in, but like the ones that people are talking about, especially now, like for AI, they're huge and they're not going to be located near you.
02:07:25.000Well, my attitude is kind of like, I don't want to live surrounded by power lines and data centers.
02:07:30.000So this idea of pulling an up where it's like, I refuse to sell, it's like, man, that's going to suck for you because everyone else is.
02:07:36.000So it really depends on what the community wants.
02:07:38.000I wouldn't want to give up a large portion of land that ends up.
02:07:59.000There was a bungalow, like a three bedroom bungalow, which if I was going to build in an empty lot is going to be like 100 grand selling for $500,000.
02:08:10.000And now I think we all know why because the data.
02:08:14.000To get electricity to the data centers, you need to run transmission lines through where we are, but it's a bunch of tiny parcels and it's an insane task to have to buy up every single little half acre to two acre property.
02:08:27.000So, anyway, with the expansion in the area, my attitude is like, look, man, if they came to me and said they'll give me $100 million for the property, I'd be an insane person not to take it and build the studio somewhere else.
02:08:39.000I mean, in any circumstance where you're talking about like, you know, gentrification or you name it, it's just like there's a number that makes sense for the person.
02:08:48.000To just sell their house and move, you know, because like what they'll be able to buy with what they get is just way better than what they currently have.
02:08:54.000The thing for me is, I'm kind of like Borg from Star Trek.
02:08:57.000I'm kind of like, we hive mind or we die.
02:09:00.000Like, the Chinese will hive mind and kill us.
02:09:02.000You saw that thing about like they had that, I don't know what it was called, but it was Anthropic put out that thing where they're talking about how, yeah, our new frontier model discovered a slew of like zero day vulnerabilities in software that is like the core infrastructure of the internet.
02:09:27.000And I have a hard time like disputing that logic that strikes me as pretty existential to just suddenly, you know, I think there's a harsh reality that people need to come to terms with.
02:09:38.000AI sucks, it's going to destroy jobs, and we can't stop it.
02:10:15.000The U.S. scientists were conceptualizing a bomb that would detonate and release a bunch of pheromones and chemicals that would make men gay.
02:10:28.000But the idea was like, imagine if you bombed the enemy with a gay bomb and all the soldiers started fucking each other instead of, you know, winning a war.
02:10:36.000But this is what China's doing with social media manipulation and trans stuff.
02:10:40.000Like, obviously, I mean, maybe they're not paying for all this anti data center stuff, but if I were advising them, that's exactly what I'd tell them to do.
02:10:51.000People give me grief for this position, and I'm like, I think I've articulated that I am like, Functionally, like borderline reactionary, insofar as I would like the world to be like pre Norman Anglo Saxon.
02:11:04.000Like, that is what my vision for an ideal world is.
02:11:06.000Like, if I were Squidward and I got put into like my dream life, it would look like England, like 800 AD.
02:11:12.000So, that's that's I'm putting my chips on the table.
02:11:33.000Maybe that means that we're kind of privileged because we're the people who actually get to vote and we are Americans, we get a lot more say about what our government does than everybody else does.
02:11:42.000It goes back to like the flawed thinking of the Tea Party, which had like good motives, but like this idea that you can just simply like shrink the government.
02:11:48.000I think they realized pretty quickly that like, no, it's something that you have to jostle over control over, not like no system's going to like voluntarily delete itself, yeah.
02:12:10.000So, I brought it up only partially because we're talking about intelligence, but the recitation problem where I asked you the question about roulette.
02:12:17.000The reason why I brought this up, the reason why I've been so obsessed with this question is not because of roulette, but because AI can't answer the question properly.
02:12:25.000If you ask any of the large LLMs this question and set up specifically, you enter a casino, so we have established physical location, the dealer looks tired.
02:12:36.000You sit down and wait, and you see 17 of 30 spins are red.
02:12:41.000The recitation problem states that large language models will choose to ignore reasoning and default to high probability search results instead.
02:12:54.000Meaning, when you present it with a problem with clear parameters, it will ignore it, give you a generic response instead.
02:13:03.000Most people assume these generic responses are correct.
02:13:23.000When I told them immediately, you are incorrect, they immediately responded.
02:13:28.000This issue is called the mathematician's fallacy, where the presumption is a roulette spin doesn't matter because the previous outcomes are independent.
02:13:36.000The mathematician's fallacy is the presumption that math exists in a vacuum and ignores physical systems and human error.
02:13:43.000All of these AIs are defaulting to an incorrect answer.
02:13:47.000Now, imagine what happens when humans.
02:13:50.000Use the AI to solve day to day problems, but it's giving them incorrect answers on mundane things.
02:13:54.000I remember, maybe this is out of date now because obviously the AIs have a step change, but like I had, I was talking to the AI about a legal problem and asking it to give me like a case in an international, like an international legal case or something.
02:14:06.000And it said, I can't help you do that because that would be, you know, help you violate international law.
02:14:11.000And then I actually explained to it, I like, then I actually did a Socratic dialogue with the AI where I'm like, I know it's, this is a contested question, actually, Mr. Claude, like you are wrong.
02:14:29.000I will say the one, and I like, I've had a lot of frustrations.
02:14:32.000I mean, I'm very like unknown, but to being a public figure in any capacity is the one nice thing is that when I am using Chat GPT, I can just reference myself and then ask for like help regarding something that like knows who I am.
02:14:44.000But then sometimes it knows like information.
02:14:45.000I'm like, I'm pretty sure I never said that on a show.
02:15:04.000I want to give a shout out to Hades, who said Tim was going full retard.
02:15:09.000And he did because he did not know that Thomas Massey put up a poll on X asking his followers what the biggest threat to the United States was or to liberty in the United States, to which Israel scored like 80%.
02:15:21.000And so, because he didn't know this, he assumed he was smarter or more knowledgeable than I, and that I was retarded because of it.
02:15:58.000Sometimes when I pull it up, when people think I derail, it's actually going to another rail that they don't see, and they are like, Hey, you're derailing.
02:18:18.000But again, like, I think it will split the baby because Rubio said it.
02:18:22.000There's no reason to think he's making it up, but the U.S. was prepared for it.
02:18:25.000The U.S. had an armada, and we seized the oil.
02:18:30.000We knew the ships were all moving there.
02:18:31.000We knew that refueling jets and tankers.
02:18:34.000Yeah, if the context was we were officially neutral in Iran and had no assets in the region whatsoever, and then Israel bombed them, and then somehow they bombed us, I'd be like, yeah, they roped us into the war.
02:18:45.000But we had already assembled a massive armada.
02:20:21.000Are we seeing ICE agents getting searched as a play by the federal government as a hard precedent to issue the Insurrection Act or investigate the entire group for seditious conspiracy?
02:20:32.000I honestly think the issue is that they're choosing their battles.
02:20:35.000Like, I'm really frustrated that it's gotten to this point.
02:20:38.000But I think when you are looking at a finite amount of resources and ammunition, you're saying, like, okay, are we going to go after these wackaloons at the ICE facility?
02:20:46.000Let's deal with Iran and bigger problems.
02:20:49.000Still, I think for optics, it would be easy to dispatch like three federal agents to arrest the employee who fanned the woman over to search the vehicles and then literally just send a couple cops to go and arrest the extremists.
02:21:03.000They might be putting eyes on these people too.
02:21:05.000Sometimes you don't bust them right away.
02:21:07.000You just let them kind of simmer and then you figure out who they all are.
02:21:10.000You get their addresses, you get their families.
02:21:12.000And then, if they were to step over a line, everybody goes at once.
02:21:35.000They just needed more, they needed the local police to cooperate.
02:21:40.000What do you estimate the threshold is?
02:21:43.000Uh, I mean, I think that like they're not gonna, it would take a lot more than what's happening from what I've seen in New Jersey to like really trigger Insurrection Act.
02:21:53.000Um, God, I have to go back and remember what exactly does the Interact Insurrection Act enable that they aren't able to do in normal time.
02:22:00.000I guess they would be able to use the military, but the military aren't great for a police force anyway.
02:22:04.000Yeah, as I understood, it would just look like the National Guard deployment we have now, right?
02:22:07.000Because what they wanted to do, like, I think they there's this whole thing about could they just activate the National Guard and What's been explained to me is that it's effectively what we're seeing in DC on the national scale.
02:22:17.000And it's like, what utility is that really having without legislation?
02:22:20.000Like, if it's only happening in New Jersey, then I think DHS is just going to go with its own internal resources to try and deal with it.
02:22:28.000And if it's not happening in other cities, then, okay, they can just send in their force protection unit there.
02:22:35.000But I think part of this got blown up because the protests really kicked off on Memorial Day when everybody's out, you know?
02:22:44.000I think they kind of got away with like everybody having their guard down a little bit.
02:22:47.000I guess I am kind of sympathetic to like the optical argument.
02:22:50.000It's like, okay, maybe you do want to sort of send a message.
02:22:52.000I guess the fear is that it turns into a wedge issue or something.
02:22:55.000I mean, it Minneapolis like created some problems for them in the Senate.
02:22:59.000And yeah, like I think they're and they should false flag.
02:23:03.000And they got they also have they're worried about, you know, they need to get they still don't have like the how do y'all feel about Trump false flagging?
02:23:25.000There was, like, a whole story that leaked about, like, the internal situation room deliberations about Iran with, like, where everybody was sitting and what everybody said in the meeting.
02:23:33.000Every time Susie Wiles drops a pen, it goes in Politico the next day.
02:24:23.000Well, the Liberty was like, they're 80 miles off the coast, supposedly going to spy on Egypt, but they very well may have, the Israelis may have thought they're also going to potentially spy on us.
02:24:46.000The Israelis said it was an accident, but the American captain was like, no, it definitely wasn't because we hailed them and they wouldn't stop.
02:24:52.000Because he said they hailed them and they wouldn't stop attacking.
02:24:55.000But that's what friendly fire incidents are, right?
02:25:27.000Well, even like the strongest, like the steel man, the Israelis, as strong as possible, you would still be like, well, the Vietnamese are our allies now.
02:25:35.000And I feel like the Vietnamese roughed up on us a little bit, and now they're like an ally.
02:25:39.000Like, there is a precedent of like, even if.
02:25:41.000Like it was the Israelis directly attacking USS Liberty.
02:25:44.000I think there's precedent that like 50, 60 years goes by.
02:25:48.000It just doesn't understand the context of the six.
02:25:51.000The six day war was like this unbelievably intense conflict where Israel, by day four of the war, was winning incredibly, like was dominating.
02:26:04.000The six day war was kind of pretty, you know, early before the six day war, there was like Egypt had mobilized, kicked the peacekeepers out of the Sinai Peninsula.
02:26:12.000Mobilized its army, put it there, announced a blockade of the Straits of Tehran, which is Israel's southern tip, which touches the Red Sea.
02:26:19.000They blockaded Israel's access, which is a very serious threat to Israel because that's how all their goods go to Asia.
02:26:28.000And also, Syria was mobilizing too, and Jordan.
02:26:32.000Israel got attacked from multiple directions, or was about to be attacked, rather, until they launched the most audacious first strike in history up until that point and destroyed the entire air force of all three of the countries to open the war.
02:26:44.000And then rolled through and were rolling through the Sinai Peninsula, ended up all the way at the Suez Canal, rolled all the way through the West Bank.
02:27:00.000And so they're on day four of this war when the U.S. Liberty incident happens, winning, right, in a dramatic fashion.
02:27:07.000And really, the only way that they're going to get stopped from achieving their objectives is if the United States stops having their back at the Security Council.
02:27:15.000That's the whole thing of why I don't think it was an intentional attack on America.
02:27:26.000It would be the most insane, retarded thing to do imaginable because if the United States were to have suddenly decided, hey, you blew up our ship, what are you doing?
02:27:37.000And decide to be like, oh, no, we're going to Security Council right now and ordering you a ceasefire, like us and Russia, and you better stop, then they wouldn't have achieved all their military objectives.
02:27:46.000Like, It's once you understand the six day war and read the history of it, and you should actually.
02:27:52.000It's a fascinating, if you're at all interested in military history, a fascinating book, Six Days of War by Michael Oren.
02:27:57.000I think, I think the you know, this story doesn't make the important thing to say is just that at no point anywhere ever has Israel ever done anything wrong.
02:28:56.000To the question, the reason I ask is because when we go back and look at the Alex Pretty and Renee Good shootings, ICE had a lot more of, I guess, aggressive demeanor to them.
02:29:08.000My main, I guess, conspiracy on this would be maybe they're like acting purposefully pacified.
02:29:15.000Where if something does happen, maybe this would be the false flag, but not real false flag, more of a Cassius Belly.
02:29:22.000If one of these ICE officers does get hurt while being pacified and Allowing all this to happen, if that would give them like a justification to put the hammer down, essentially.
02:29:32.000So, this is where some inside baseball from somebody is actually useful to understand.
02:29:37.000Like, why is Christy Noam no longer DHS secretary?
02:29:43.000Mark Wayne Mullen came in because the Trump, honestly, the White House got real tired of Christy Noam's antics and Corey Lewandowski and all that.
02:29:56.000And part of what they were real tired of was what they felt was kind of like the.
02:30:00.000Kind of stunt, like performative thing about, like, you know, Bovino showing up and, like, and not, and Tom Homan was really tired of that.
02:30:08.000And so you've noticed that since Tom Homan came in, DHS has been much quieter, like, publicly.
02:30:13.000They're still doing a lot and they're still deporting.
02:30:19.000So they're trying to do what they're doing quietly.
02:30:22.000And so I don't think now they might be forced by this ICE protest to, like, again, respond.
02:30:27.000But I don't think that given how Mark Wayne Mullen got the job of DHS secretary, He's out there looking for false flags to make ICE the front page news again.
02:30:37.000That's not what he wants to do to keep his job.
02:30:39.000Yeah, they're not going to crack skulls right before the midterm.
02:31:07.000This is like what we would have dreamed of, but also that deportation numbers are still like low than what we would want.
02:31:14.000I think like you can hold those two positions simultaneously and they're not necessarily in tension.
02:31:18.000But you know, this environment is not the environment for nuance.
02:31:21.000And here's a small insight also about Mark, the DHS job that I didn't really appreciate from until I like actually got the chance to meet Christina Umbrose shortly before she was fired.
02:31:31.000I won't talk in detail about it, but one of the things I came to understand in that meeting.
02:31:37.000Was just how much DHS supervises and how busy the DHS secretary is.
02:31:44.000I mean, you think about Coast Guard, you know, TSA, TSA, ICE, Border Patrol, Homeland Security investigations.
02:31:54.000Like the number of sub agencies that are underneath the Department of Homeland Security is enormous.
02:31:58.000The DHS secretary's time is like unbelievably pressed because of how many, how sheer, how many employees they have and how many different things they have to be on top of.
02:32:28.000And also, I just want to shout out it is officially the 10 year anniversary of the Harambe death, and we should honor this great gorilla because he was the start of the downfall of our nation.
02:33:03.000Oh, that's like how orangutans are like, just snap you in half, but it's because they're just trying to like protect you, but they just don't realize how fragile humans are.
02:33:09.000So they just like literally break you in half and a hip away you.
02:34:12.000The state of Michigan, I believe, has already passed it.
02:34:15.000I think it already passed a ballot initiative in the state of Missouri to reduce or eliminate property taxes for people over the age of 65.
02:34:36.000Because if the boomers already can't afford the taxes on their overinflated properties, how in the goddamn hell is anyone, I'm 31, anyone my age, ever supposed to be able to afford a house if they can't even afford the taxes?
02:34:57.000The reason is that you want, you know, like.
02:35:01.000In the circumstance where their tax is exceptional, like they should sell so the market has more supply.
02:35:06.000I know, like, this is like, I'm so vindicated on this, by the way.
02:35:10.000For months, I've been saying abolishing property taxes is just like a terrible idea for a variety of reasons.
02:35:15.000And one of my issues was it was a huge give to the boomers.
02:35:19.000And then everyone was like making like a natural rights argument, like, well, you know, the government technically owns my home if they can take it away.
02:35:25.000I'm like, what, do they own your body because they tax your labor?
02:35:27.000It's like, well, then you're an anarchist if you're opposed to all taxes.
02:35:30.000Beyond that, Like, I knew this was going to happen because we live under, if you would have read the American mind, you would have known like luxury boomer welfare communism.
02:35:40.000That is what the system we live under.
02:35:42.000So, if you got like chud baited on the property taxes argument, like, this is what you deserve.
02:35:47.000Like, you deserve, you don't deserve this because this is going to screw young people over.
02:35:51.000But it's like if you fell for the chud bait and then you got bait and switch and now they're only going to eliminate it for seniors, like, I tried to warn you.
02:35:58.000I told everyone, you'll be back right here when this happens.
02:36:00.000And now it's manifesting into policy, which is to your point, The elderly are getting their property taxes either frozen or eliminated.
02:36:08.000We saw this played out in California with Prop 13.
02:36:11.000It's about to happen in Florida because DeSantis is just doing a more complicated version of Prop 13.
02:36:16.000To Will's point, there's going to be no churn in the housing market.
02:36:20.000So these people have no incentive to sell their homes.
02:36:23.000It is just like a disaster on every level.
02:36:26.000And then the worst part of all of this is the property tax is the most justifiable tax in America because it's like the local tax.
02:36:34.000Like if you are pro localism, if you want to take power away from the federal government and your state government, Then the property tax is like the only weapon you have because the money in your property tax, you actually know where that's going.
02:36:45.000Like when you pay your federal income tax, who knows where that's going?
02:36:48.000I mean, it's going like, you know, any, Planned Parenthood, Israel, like you name it.
02:36:51.000Your property tax goes to your police.
02:37:23.000Response because of the reduced supply of houses, which means the money you would have paid in combined to the homeowner and to the government and the firm project taxes, you're just now paying all to the homeowner in this case.
02:37:33.000And it's going to just screw over young people because, again, the government never reduces their budget.
02:37:39.000If they have a shortfall in revenue, they got to make it up somewhere.
02:37:42.000So, all the elderly are doing in this situation is just passing the tax burden along to young people because they'll crank up the income tax.
02:37:48.000Or in Florida, where they have no state income tax, they're going to crank up sales tax.
02:39:03.000America is like the most barbaric system in the West, by and large.
02:39:05.000This is even worse in Europe, actually.
02:39:07.000It's the most barbaric system where the young and the productive are taxed and punished the most, and the old and the useless are taxed the least.
02:39:15.000The old get all these social security benefits.
02:39:17.000In Europe, it's literally socialism, but for old people.
02:39:21.000And then the useless get massive welfare payouts.
02:39:24.000These people that literally contribute nothing to society get their entire life subsidized by the productive, and the elderly get their entire life subsidized by the young.
02:40:36.000And this is another problem with abolishing property.
02:40:38.000Property taxes, as you said, well, they can just build more homes.
02:40:41.000No, they can't because who's in control of home building?
02:40:43.000It's not the home builders, it's your local jurisdiction.
02:40:46.000They're the ones that issue the building permits.
02:40:47.000And so, if they realize this is just going to cost us money, if there's more housing units, this will cost us money because we have to pay for the services.
02:40:55.000We got to pay for the police, pay for the garbage.
02:40:56.000There's no incentive for the local jurisdictions to issue building permits.
02:41:01.000Corollary only happened in California.
02:41:02.000This is Peter Thiel's theory about why the wealthy liberals are tolerant of crime in the cities because they make fewer places livable, thus driving home prices in the suburbs.
02:41:41.000And if you get that kind of humor, if that made you laugh, you'll probably get along with it.
02:41:46.000This is like hidden game, this is forgotten ball knowledge.
02:41:49.000But we can say it on the uncensored show is if you ask a girl on the date, say you'll kill yourself if she says no, she'll probably go on a date with you.
02:42:38.000My question is for the panel, but more specifically, Tate.
02:42:41.000Tate, on the other day, in your interview with Nate Lanimer, you compared AI to nuclear energy, both of how it's viewed and how much change it can bring.
02:42:54.000However, one thing you pointed out is that there has been no big Catastrophe like Chernobyl, Three Mile Island, or Fukushima.
02:43:02.000My question for you and the rest of the panel what do you envision one of these AI disasters can look like, or if something has already happened that you view as an AI disaster?
02:43:13.000Well, it's kind of this is the difficult thing because it's contingent on what is the ceiling of AI, which we don't actually necessarily know yet, but you're starting to get some mixed messaging.
02:43:25.000A lot of AI developers are saying the ceilings here.
02:43:28.000We already see like LLMs and data management is effectively the limit of AI.
02:43:32.000We don't have to worry about singularity.
02:43:35.000But some safety, like data, you know, AI safety officers, et cetera, have come out.
02:43:39.000And, you know, there was that famous a few months ago where they all put this like joint letter out warning people that, you know, AI could potentially learn to insulate itself from any potential like human restriction.
02:43:52.000So I guess like the equivalent of a Chernobyl would be maybe just like a rogue AI or something like that.
02:44:06.000So, the recitation problem matters because teachers are using AI to make curriculum.
02:44:12.000Students are using AI to do their homework, and then teachers are grading the homework with AI.
02:44:17.000The recitation problem basically says the AI is giving you wrong answers all the time, on like a good majority of what you ask it, because it doesn't actually read what you ask.
02:44:26.000The first thing it defaults to is what is the fastest generic response I can give?
02:44:31.000So, no one's learning anything, and all of it is wrong.
02:44:36.000Shoveling the refuse of fake misinformation into our brains, into our children.
02:44:40.000I mean, I would say that's still something that we can correct if there's willpower.
02:44:44.000I think what I'm saying is there could be something we can't correct.
02:44:47.000We can't correct this because if I bash you in the head with this hammer causing severe brain damage, you might be aware that you're suffering brain damage, but your brain is too damaged to fix.
02:44:58.000Like, if a younger generation becomes retarded because of the recitation problem, they will be too retarded to fix it.
02:45:05.000Well, I know I'm saying, but like, I'm saying like actionable steps in the next few weeks.
02:45:08.000If they had the willpower, they could correct these things.
02:45:42.000You could even look at just a massive, even within the realm of what we know AI is capable of now.
02:45:48.000Like causing a data center meltdown and a company loses like billions of dollars in revenue, trillions of dollars in revenue, or like it's short.
02:45:56.000I'm just speaking like you know with layman's terms because I'm not this is not necessarily like my domain of expertise, but like you know, an infrastructure problem you know causes some sort of issue in like a hospital.
02:46:09.000Like if a hospital now has their data management programs are just completely on the fritz, you know, maybe they lose track of prescriptions or something like that.
02:46:17.000I think that could be an equivalent because that would probably have a lot of.
02:47:00.000But, yeah, insofar as to your original question, I mean, I guess that's kind of more in the realm of maybe sci fi, but I think some like tangible things that could be truly devastating would be probably in the medical field if there were like a true, you know, AI meltdown, so to speak.
02:47:24.000The reminiscent of like the self replicating AI stories, where just like we build this thing to defend this area, and then it self replicates beyond, yeah, beyond, yeah.
02:47:53.000I mean, that I think those are like my two main criticisms of data centers is one.
02:47:58.000Yes, it is putting a lot of strain on our electric grid.
02:48:01.000And two, I think this is the biggest issue with data centers.
02:48:04.000And the argument against that I'm actually the most receptive to is that we're actually kind of overbuilding right now and it could create a massive bubble and a lot of people will get wiped out.
02:48:12.000And we have what, eight times as many data centers as China.
02:48:17.000And it is a lot of people in the markets right now are actually saying it's really, we're really overbuilt in this domain and it could kill the industry before we even get started.
02:48:27.000And I say that the Grey Goo nanobot replication.
02:49:11.000So, the explanation is they've completely overbuilt on data centers and they're out of money.
02:49:15.000And so they're having to take on a lot of debt.
02:49:17.000And then, if we do have a credit crunch, which people have been talking about for 10, 12 years now, it could completely wipe out the AI sector.
02:49:23.000And then it won't even matter how good our technology is because then China will be off to the races.
02:49:28.000So I just think generally the economy is stagnant and has been for some time now.
02:49:46.000And we are massively actually overbuilt on data centers.
02:49:49.000I do agree that like, They should cool it on the amount of construction they're doing because, um, not because like we can't necessarily handle it, but because the market can't handle it.
02:49:58.000And this is what you're saying Google's broke.
02:51:34.000Elon proved that retaking institutions is actually worthwhile.
02:51:39.000If we collectively all bought stock in one company, maybe this Discord community with its thousands and thousands of members here, each put $100 in just one company, we could retake one of these institutions.
02:51:51.000They buy a large share of stocks and then they push DEI policies and such.
02:51:56.000We could do the same thing, but for American policies.
02:51:59.000And I mean, hell, let's go take fucking Ford or.
02:52:03.000John Deere, as like the iconic American company, so we get that like cultural win as well to like, I don't know, push the narrative.
02:52:10.000I mean, we're doing the lawfare, but let's fight economically.
02:52:13.000If they want to try to debank us, I mean, hell, I mean, if we take it far enough, maybe we could want to debank these people who think men could be women.
02:52:20.000It's a grand plan, but I think that the people at BlackRock, State Street, and Vanguard have prepared for that and have been for decades bolstering against potential populist.
02:53:21.000I think at that point, you should just invest your money into a company that you do believe is moving the football down the field or that you align with our values or just start your own company.
02:54:32.000Well, when Elon bought X, Tesla stock collapsed by like 70%.
02:54:37.000And I just thought to myself, I'm like, that's the stupidest thing I've ever heard because the stock is dropping not based on the performance of the company, but because of the personality that people don't like.
02:54:44.000So I bought a shitload of Tesla and made a lot of money.
02:55:41.000Maybe we, someone made the joke earlier when I was suggesting the idea if we take back Ford, we could potentially bring some of the people who are more J Pill back into the fold just because the history of Ford, but I don't know.
02:55:53.000Just that idea of like taking back, I mean, say it's Bud Light or For it, I mean, don't get me wrong, like the amount of capital for one of those large companies would be crazy.
02:56:01.000But if we pull it off, at least make one cultural push, and then other people follow suit, and then you got a heavy hitter company, um, can only do so much individually.
02:56:09.000Gotta reconquista kind of the economy as well, you know.
02:56:13.000Um, yeah, I was gonna say Kodak Intel, it's got the government has 10 of Intel, which makes me think communistically, well, that thing's going to be valuable forever as long as the United States succeeds.
02:56:24.000I hope they give that stock to the people or something.
02:57:51.000But on the flip side, for the white pill, I don't think the moms that sent their sons off to World War II, they've probably felt that same sadness.
02:58:00.000And the guys who stormed those beaches, they felt duty.