00:02:48.000Yesterday it was reported that the U.S. fired on the engine room of an Iranian flagged vessel that tried to run the U.S. blockade into the Strait of Hormuz.
00:02:57.000It is now being reported the U.S. believes this was a Chinese laden vessel carrying dual use materials, meaning the reason this Iranian vessel tried to run the blockade is that it was providing supplies to Iran, which could be used for war.
00:03:13.000Meanwhile, European intelligence is reporting that Russia may be supplying drones to Iran For their war effort.
00:03:20.000And in the wildest of stories, which many people are saying is pure nuts, still a video is going viral of a guy claiming.
00:03:32.000Donald Trump tried to activate the nuclear codes, but was stopped.
00:03:36.000Now, I think that one's a little nuts, probably coming from some anti Trump wacko, but it's been going viral on X.
00:03:43.000So, you know, I'll mention it, but still put a, yeah, probably not.
00:03:47.000Well, the question now is whether or not all of the conflicts that are happening around the world add up to a World War III.
00:03:54.000And surprise, surprise, Russia's foreign minister once again is saying we are already in World War III.
00:03:58.000Pundits across the board are saying it is now with Russia and China supplying weapons and intelligence to Iran.
00:04:04.000To continue to disrupt U.S. efforts in the Strait, they are suggesting with 20 plus nations now involved in this war, it is World War III.
00:04:14.000Of course, all right, we'll tone it down a bit.
00:04:17.000We don't really know for sure, and we won't until sometime.
00:04:19.000In fact, according to some historical academic reports, we didn't call it World War II formerly in the United States until after the war was already over.
00:04:28.000And the question about whether or not World War II was a world war was happening before it even began and well into the war was going on.
00:04:37.000To be honest, considering now that we're over a month in and Trump has whipped back and forth as to whether or not we're actually going to have peace talks, we're going to stop this conflict, or it's going to escalate, it's hard to see how this slows down, especially with the latest reporting that an Iranian vehicle was potentially carrying weapons from China or dual use items.
00:04:56.000Let's be careful here, meaning it could be used for war and tried to run a U.S. blockade.
00:05:00.000There is a video of the U.S., they're instructing.
00:05:06.000With a threat of death, a vessel to turn back.
00:05:10.000And these videos tracking these transponders in the straight are nuts with all the ships turning around.
00:05:45.000With the whiplash in oil prices and Trump going back and forth and complete uncertainty, it's gotta be hard to figure out how to prepare correctly and appropriately for what's going on.
00:05:57.000You look at the world right now, we got active wars.
00:08:51.000So our Navy ship stopped them right in their tracks by blowing a hole in their engine room.
00:08:57.000Trump said U.S. Marines have custody of the vessel.
00:08:59.000And that it is under U.S. Treasury sanctions because of the prior history of illegal activity.
00:09:04.000U.S. CENTCOM said in a statement that the Iranian ship refused to comply with U.S. warnings over the course of six hours before the U.S. fired on the ship and boarded it.
00:09:12.000American forces acted in a deliberate, professional, and proportional manner to ensure compliance.
00:09:17.000The latest update from Fox News the vessel Tuska remains in U.S. custody as American forces continue inspecting what maritime security sources told Reuters is likely dual use cargo following a voyage from Asia.
00:09:31.000Shipping data shows the Tosca made multiple recent stops in Shuhai, a major port in southern China, before transiting through Southeast Asia and heading towards Iran.
00:09:41.000Part of a pathway, analysts say, has helped Iran sustain trade flows despite U.S. pressure.
00:09:46.000The seizure comes as part of a broader U.S. effort to enforce a naval blockade on Iran, aimed at pressuring Tehran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global shipping lane.
00:09:56.000The ship had docked in Port Klang, Malaysia, on April 12th, and was en route to the Iranian port of Bandar Abbas when it was intercepted.
00:10:03.000The Tusco was seized in the Gulf of Oman, just outside of the Strait of Hormuz, as it was approaching Iranian waters.
00:10:09.000It tried to run the blockade, which seems like a particularly foolish thing to do, which would seem to indicate there was something aboard that ship that they really perhaps needed in Iran, said Ray Powell, director of Sea Light, a maritime transparency initiative, told Fox News Digital.
00:10:23.000Powell said the vessel's route through Malaysia is notable, describing waters near the Singapore Strait as infamous for ship to ship transfers due to relatively weak enforcement, a tactic that can make cargo movements harder to trace.
00:10:36.000He added that the ship stops in China, raised questions about the origin of its cargo, though what was on board remains unknown.
00:11:29.000We've got Potentially a ship trying to run the U.S. blockade with Chinese bound dual use cargo, as well as reports European intelligence believes that Russia is supplying drones to Iran.
00:11:41.000Not only that, with the shooting down of the F 15E, many were concerned that I believe the F 15 is a stealth fighter, meaning Iran should not have had the capabilities to track it, but somehow did.
00:11:53.000And these people suspect Russia has been providing the technology to detect U.S. airships.
00:14:27.000Right now, I think you would be insane to believe that Donald Trump is going to come out and say, here's exactly what's going on in the Middle East.
00:15:00.000That he said, it's a lot of here's he said, she said, kind of tough.
00:15:03.000And so now you look at what happened in Pakistan today.
00:15:05.000Well, the Iranians didn't show up, and they had signaled through their state agency or state media earlier today that they weren't even going to show up.
00:15:13.000So there's kind of a bit of a diplomatic mess right now.
00:15:16.000So that's why Trump, I think, he's looking at again, keeping the straight clothes as economic leverage because obviously, like the military operation as far as toppling the Iranian regime. hasn't manifested.
00:15:25.000We haven't even really moderated the regime.
00:15:27.000I mean, if anything, all the people that got replaced after we would kill their leader, they would just get replaced by someone with the exact same ideology.
00:15:32.000So it doesn't really make Iran a preferable.
00:15:35.000They're not more, you know, they're not more tenable to negotiate with as it stands.
00:15:40.000To Tim's point, though, like in regards to sort of the inklings of world war here, I mean, yeah, I mean, everyone points to Poland, but yeah, you look at World War II, I mean, the Marco Polo Bridge incident could really be cited as the beginning of the war.
00:15:50.000That's when the Japanese and the Chinese actually started exchanging fire.
00:15:55.000You're kind of looking at this, and maybe some people will go back.
00:15:57.000And if this truly keeps kicking off, because we're seeing right now a power block stitched together the Chinese, the Russians, and the Iranians.
00:16:03.000And you could look back at, I don't know, maybe the withdrawal from Afghanistan is when the war started, or perhaps when obviously Russia moved into Ukraine, maybe that's when the war started.
00:16:11.000But what is obvious right now is that three man coalition, I guess the fourth would be North Korea, if you want to include them, that doesn't seem to be unraveling anytime soon.
00:16:20.000And if anything, this Iran operation has stitched China and Russia closer together, which I don't really think was the intention necessarily, but that's just been the result.
00:16:27.000I mean, this story says right here the Chinese are sending dual use cargo to the Iranians.
00:16:32.000Well, where has China been sending dual use cargo?
00:17:47.000He is now, whether accidentally or otherwise, forcing the world to buy oil from the U.S., which for the first time since World War II is about to become a net oil exporter.
00:18:01.000Now, it's going to mean everything gets more expensive for everybody, but it also means it's going to get a whole lot worse for everybody outside of the United States.
00:18:08.000The problem, though, is that right now China is actually getting energy on sale.
00:18:12.000They're getting energy on sale from Russia because, again, Russia is still sanctioned quite extensively by the West.
00:18:18.000They don't have as many options to export energy.
00:18:20.000So, even though now energy is in high demand right now in the global market, especially oil, China is able to source it at a discount from Russia.
00:18:37.000So, now Australia kind of gets introduced into this global kind of reshuffling of the chairs because what's Australia going to do with their LNG?
00:18:45.000Are they going to sell it to the Chinese or is there any other buyers on the market that are going to gobble a lot of it up?
00:18:50.000It looks like Taiwan, 50% of Taiwan's energy grid is built off of LNG.
00:18:54.000So now Taiwan is buying Australian LNG en masse.
00:18:58.000So it's really dramatic what we're seeing.
00:19:00.000We've seen an entire rewiring of the entire global energy trade literally within two weeks.
00:19:06.000And the only winners have been America, Russia, and Australia.
00:21:00.000If you go read the press over there, like, they're freaking out.
00:21:02.000And so China might be thinking it's now or never, and that's what could really kick things off.
00:21:06.000Now, I don't expect them to, but I'm just saying the odds of it happening now, I don't know what Polyomarket or Kalshi is saying, but I would imagine it's higher than it's been in a minute, just purely because of how vulnerable, again, East Asia is right now.
00:21:20.000And the U.S. also has diverted a lot of our munitions.
00:21:23.000We've completely abandoned East Asia, maybe not completely, but we've largely abandoned our military posture in East Asia to sort of apply those resources to our Middle Eastern operation right now.
00:21:32.000So munitions are very low in East Asia.
00:21:35.000A lot of our navies out of the region.
00:22:48.000I don't think we're out of the weeds yet.
00:22:49.000Again, things are looking promising at times.
00:22:51.000I mean, we've won this war eight times already, according to President Trump.
00:22:54.000I mean, he declares we won quite frequently.
00:22:58.000But again, to Tim's point, I mean, where's the off ramp right now?
00:23:01.000I mean, the Iranians are not willing to budge because for them, the victory condition for Iran is survival.
00:23:06.000The victory condition for us, the bar is much higher.
00:23:09.000Like, we have to draw some serious, some serious, we have to extract some serious, I guess, folds from the Iranians to really emerge victorious.
00:23:20.000We got to throw this fact check in real quick because this video has been going massively viral.
00:23:25.000Jimmy Dore posted it saying that a CIA analyst was claiming that Trump threatened to use nuclear weapons against Iran and that Dan Kane was like, no, and like threatened Trump.
00:23:35.000The fact check is, Kane did not storm out of an emergency meeting after Trump suggested threatening Iran with nuclear weapons.
00:23:41.000They claim that the initial claim was that Dan Kane stormed out of an emergency meeting with Trump.
00:23:50.000They say, uh, Lead story searched Google News, Yahoo News, did not find any matching reports for Dan Kane stormed out of an emergency meeting.
00:23:58.000If the Trump said he wanted to threaten Iran with nuclear weapons, had such an incident actually occurred and been confirmed by sources, major news outlets would have widely reported.
00:24:07.000I do want to stress that's the stupidest rationale for a fact check.
00:24:10.000No one's yet reported outside of rumors, therefore it must be false.
00:24:15.000But let me see if I can find the scuttlebutt.
00:24:20.000Because I do have the video from Jimmy Dore, but I want to make sure I get the article on this one first.
00:24:53.000Retired CIA analyst Larry Johnson said on his YouTube show, Judging Freedom, that during an emergency meeting on Saturday, Trump tried to access the nuclear codes.
00:25:01.000One report coming out of that meeting at the White House is that Trump wanted to use the nuclear codes, and General Dan Kane stood up to him and said no.
00:25:08.000He invoked his privilege as the head of the military, so to speak.
00:25:27.000And then there was a report out that they had an emergency meeting Saturday night.
00:25:34.000And apparently, well, one report coming out of that meeting at the White House is that Trump wanted to use the nuclear, so called, use the nuclear codes.
00:25:44.000And General Dan Kane stood up and said no.
00:25:48.000He invoked his privilege as the head of the military, so to speak.
00:27:43.000If a story comes out where it's like Trump's trying to nuke them and they won't let them, they're going to be like, uh.
00:27:48.000A few weeks ago, Trump said, you got to bow to my demands.
00:27:52.000I'm putting words in his mouth, but the way he said it, or we're going to unleash hell and fury on Iran and wipe out genocide, the civilization.
00:27:58.000He basically alluded to total war and just didn't do it.
00:28:01.000And like once you make that threat and don't follow through, I don't think any of these threats are going to be taken seriously.
00:28:06.000So you do want to tone down the threatening rhetoric and just let them believe.
00:29:24.000Anytime he wants to like muddy the waters to get everybody all up in arms and distracting and stuff, he's got to go throughout these other securitist routes.
00:29:39.000No, Trump is like infamous for A B testing ideas.
00:29:42.000He'll like throw out an idea, kind of see how everyone in the space reacts, and then we'll like either double down or kind of back off of it.
00:30:03.000Like all the reports that are coming out now, again, I think this is trial balloon stuff, but I'm seeing more and more reports about the U.S. preparing an invasion, like drones flying over Cuba now.
00:31:05.000You know, and that wouldn't have worked in the 80s because if you look how like CIA guys used to dress, they did used to just dress like that.
00:31:10.000They used to just wear like slacks, where now they're like all body armored up and everything.
00:31:13.000To be fair, we just send tons and tons of troops to Guantanamo Bay and then they walk outside.
00:31:18.000Yeah, you know, and this is maybe, this is kind of one of my pet issues is like Guantanamo Bay.
00:31:22.000Why are we not turning that into like Hong Kong 2.0?
00:31:24.000Because the actual part of, like, the actual concessions that we got as far as like what we can utilize, there's a lot of land there we don't use for development.
00:31:30.000I'm like, we should just turn it into like a paradise so that way Cubans look across the fence and they see like skyscrapers in their eyes.
00:31:47.000Key West is closer to Cuba than Miami is.
00:31:49.000Yeah, they could just get their binoculars out and just be like, whoa.
00:31:52.000Yo, Cuba is a fascinating story about why, like, liberating someone isn't always the best thing for them.
00:31:59.000Sometimes you want to take control of them because, like, when we liberated Cuba from the Spanish Empire in 1898 with the Spanish American War, we gave them sovereignty and then a communist dictator took it over.
00:32:10.000And now, but had we taken it and taken control of it, like Puerto Rico made it a territory, it would still be a peaceful, probably, well, I don't know, not like Puerto Rico is a haven of wealth, but it would have a better shot than Castro's, you know, demolition of the country.
00:32:31.000I mean, this is the case with, like, pretty much every decolonization, like, post-decolonization story throughout the world, is that more often than not, they just diverge back into, or they revert back into, like, basically tribal warfare.
00:32:44.000I mean, this is what you saw throughout Africa.
00:32:46.000There's exceptions, obviously, like, Singapore actually probably was better off decolonized, so to speak, but that was for a variety of other reasons.
00:32:53.000But yeah, like, Cuba is a great example of we cut them loose and then what it took 20 years before they had a literally a communist government.
00:33:00.000I mean, like, Yeah, maybe we should just sort of incorporate them into the fold.
00:33:03.000And now you have an elite ready to go because they have an entire elite in exile.
00:33:37.000I was there when they were filming the movie.
00:33:39.000And no, he's like a plumber in South Florida, but he had two Harleys when he lived in Cuba that he buried in a septic tank when he fled the country.
00:33:47.000So he's like, I'm going back and getting my Harleys back.
00:33:50.000Yeah, it wasn't so much that they were like the elites that got targeted, but like the middle class.
00:34:39.000So, one of the claims on the Iranian cargo ship is that it was carrying ammonium perchlorate, sodium perchlorate, sodium chlorate, oxidizers and propellant chemicals like dual use materials, which can be used for ballistic missiles.
00:35:06.000Trump invoked the Defense Production Act to provide federal funds for energy projects targeting areas including domestic coal power and power grid infrastructure.
00:35:14.000The move allows the Energy Department to deploy funding to overcome delays, financial shortfalls, and market barriers, and to support projects such as coal fired power plants and facilities that manufacture gas turbines.
00:35:24.000Trump said the actions are necessary to strengthen grid infrastructure, unleash reliable energy, and support national defense, citing concerns about high energy costs and the nation's aging and constrained electric grid infrastructure.
00:35:35.000Two things here Trump invoking wartime powers.
00:35:38.000With the Iran war stuff going off, it's kind of freaky.
00:35:41.000Except presidents invoke wartime powers all the time.
00:35:45.000The question is is this just a move for energy independence to strengthen us in the United States?
00:35:50.000Or is it executive encroachment that our legislative branch is so dysfunctional, the president is just rubber stamping projects now?
00:36:30.000I think you thought for a second that it was an AI company, or I'm sorry, an energy company, but Palantir is just like a government contractor for surveillance.
00:36:38.000So, it was unrelated to Trump's wartime policy.
00:36:43.000If that thing starts calling for drafts and compelling service, and the president takes the authority to do it, it is largely an exaggeration.
00:36:58.000It's like in the Heinlein sense, you know, Star Star Struck Troopers, that kind of thing.
00:37:00.000I'm going to look it up because I thought there was more, but I'll check it out.
00:37:03.000But to the story, I mean, Biden and Obama both invoked wartime powers over cleaning our electric grid up, as far as like Obama was trying to, I think it was literally, he just called it like.
00:37:14.000The Green Act or something, and he used wartime powers.
00:38:04.000It happens once every three months, three to six months.
00:38:06.000Since he's been in office in the second term, they've been trying to reinvigorate the industrialization, re industrialization of the U.S.
00:38:13.000I feel like this is just like a, in case of emergency, break glass measure because we're expending 1,000 Tomahawk missiles in Iran and we build 100 per year.
00:38:23.000Any attempt to ramp up production of anything in the U.S. is going to require a ton of energy.
00:38:27.000And I think they're realizing we have a limited amount of time left in this term, and we got to get as much done as humanly possible.
00:38:34.000I wonder if we stay on the oil as our main energy source, if we will inevitably be led to global war.
00:38:41.000Like the whole Iranian seizure and control is about oil.
00:38:44.000And if we're stuck on oil as our main and only fuel source.
00:38:48.000If we're not stuck, we want it to be that way because we control it.
00:39:38.000There's other things you can do with oil and LNG, liquefied natural gas, too.
00:39:43.000There's all kinds of petrochemicals and stuff that we produce as byproducts during refining.
00:39:48.000So just the fact that we're controlling or we're exporting so much natural gas right now is great because it doesn't just stay as natural gas.
00:39:56.000It can be burnt for energy, it can also be turned into other products.
00:39:59.000So anytime we're net exporting all that stuff, it's a win for us.
00:40:04.000Yeah, I mean, we use LNG for ethylene.
00:40:09.000It's what is the primary chemical that we use in plastics manufacturing.
00:40:14.000So, if you can dominate LNG trade, you basically dominate the global plastics production.
00:40:20.000And then, in addition to that, our electric grid primarily utilizes LNG.
00:40:26.000So, I mean, to Tim's point, we don't want to diversify if we don't have to because it helps us on the global stage.
00:40:33.000The LNG, that's methane, liquid natural gas is methane.
00:40:36.000CH4 is the Chemical structure, you can strip away the carbon and turn it into graphene.
00:40:40.000I know it's, I brought it up a lot of times, and then you left over with all that hydrogen.
00:40:44.000Similar, you actually turn carbon dioxide into methane and then turn that methane into graphene with the hydrogen byproduct.
00:40:50.000But I think you're probably right that the ideal for the power structure is to maintain the oil and methane chain and not open up a new fuel source yet until we have total control.
00:41:03.000Like, I don't know what they're thinking, but I mean, the inevitable transition to another fuel source is coming.
00:41:20.000So, I mean, for the longest time, yeah, a lot of that was used domestically, but now that we're able to export a lot of it, I mean, again, who knows?
00:41:27.000Who knows how the global market will rewire?
00:42:00.000It's just like imagine there's some morbidly obese.
00:42:04.000Purple haired woman to your right, and I guess to your left, and then on your right is like some mug, smug guy in a suit.
00:42:11.000The person on the left is going, just in your left ear the whole time, and the guy on the right's going, Oh, yeah, oh, yeah, really, the whole time.
00:42:19.000Yeah, that's what it feels like for 10 years, and so I'm just like, Is the new uh Game of Thrones done yet?
00:42:27.000Because I've been waiting for that book.
00:42:29.000If the Chinese were blockading the Panama Canal right now, I'd be out of my mind screaming rampant, like, Ah.
00:42:36.000Thing about thing, about thing, about thing.
00:44:34.000She turns into sea foam, which just disintegrates.
00:44:36.000There's constant jostling over Bible and like Quran translations because it's like, okay, clearly you can't like copyright the Bible, but this specific translation we have copyrighted, like, I don't know, like the New Living translation or something.
00:44:48.000So, it's like spawning all these new translations that are really obscure.
00:44:52.000To your point, Ian, IP law is over anyway.
00:45:15.000But the Chinese, if the Chinese broke it open and they're like, you know what, screw your IP law, everyone can have access to every character.
00:45:20.000I'd rather that than corporations owning your likeness.
00:45:23.000I disagree because a corporation could be one single person with a legally protected entity just so that it houses that particular IP.
00:46:20.000If you as a representative of a corporation do something defamatory, they can't come after you personally after the fact unless you personally are involved.
00:46:29.000The purpose of corporations is to limit liability to key areas.
00:46:35.000And then someone slips on a banana peel at a work, a business you own, and then sue you and take your home from you because something the business was doing.
00:46:42.000So we separate these so they're legally distinct.
00:46:45.000To be fair, there's still ways to go after the individual, the principal, and go after his assets as well.
00:48:06.000You write a song and then Columbia Records comes to you and sues you because you have like the same chord progression as one of their pop songs.
00:49:45.000And if you agree to it, that's your choice.
00:49:48.000You can't be like, yeah, well, I want the job, therefore they should give me beneficial terms.
00:49:52.000You're basically saying the government should interfere in the negotiation between me and another entity because I want from them something they don't have to give me.
00:50:00.000Well, I think that unethical contracts should not be honored.
00:50:29.000And only if I said to somebody, you will be an artist, we have a right to your likeness to market and portray and do all this art for the span of X amount of time, do you agree?
00:50:38.000And they say, yes, that is totally ethical.
00:50:41.000Now that's another, that's a better way to go about it for the span of X amount of years, but across all space and time through all universes is insane.
00:50:48.000But, and also, like, IP law, if you're like an individual and you want to, like, license your likeness, that benefits you.
00:50:53.000Now, now you're in the driver's seat because if there were no IP law in regards to likeness, like, you know, a football player can't control his naming printed on, you know, any piece of merchandise or his photo being put on any trading card.
00:51:04.000I would actually say that, you know, it actually benefits the individuals primarily until someone else buys it from them.
00:51:16.000Like, I don't want some company, some, Yeah, I mean, if you pay a lawyer and he thumbs through it and then misleads you on what the terms of the IP likeness exchange are, it would be thrown out in court in two seconds.
00:51:29.000What if mass layoffs receive in the next five years, mass layoffs, 20% unemployment, corporations come in and they're like, we will give you universal basic income if you sign your likeness to us across all space and time.
00:52:10.000But as soon as they start throwing away, what are they just, $50 billion Amazon's putting into, like, the money is, how much are they printing?
00:52:19.000The core of your argument is I should get free stuff from big corporations.
00:52:33.000If a corporation comes and tries to, let's say they offer somebody $15,000 because they're destitute and they own their likeness after that.
00:54:11.000Completely different issue, but also bad.
00:54:13.000But we were talking contracts and stuff, and the way my brain works, everything goes to trucking.
00:54:17.000So there's actually like a big class action lawsuit against a lot of these trucking companies because these drivers are starting to realize oh, I can take this contract, punch it into ChatGPT, and realize just how much I'm getting ripped off.
00:54:28.000Because even the lawyers, the lawyers all work for the trucking companies.
00:54:31.000Well, the problem we have with illegal immigration has always been these companies basically going to illegal immigrants knowing that they have no legal recourse no matter what they agree to.
00:54:40.000Contracts don't exist, basically, because the individuals didn't have legal standing to enter into these contracts to begin with.
00:54:45.000Famously, some of these companies would bring in illegal immigrants from Mexico to work in certain factories.
00:54:51.000At the end of the month, when pay was due, they'd call INS.
00:55:00.000If one of these people had a contract and they're illegal immigrants or unlawfully working or bunk CDLs, they go to court over this.
00:55:08.000They're going to be like, oh, Ice is waiting for you outside.
00:55:12.000So the contracts are just fake anyway.
00:55:13.000You know, I don't, I'm not like totally against IP law because I think it is reasonable in the right situations, but like owning data is very concerning for the future that we're going towards with like owning the schematics for a gun.
00:55:26.000If you then can say, now no one can trade this data online or it will be a felony to send this email to your friend with that information because I own that information.
00:55:49.000And if a corporation then buys all those things and then shelves them, it kind of defeats the purpose of the little guy making money off his invention, which was the whole purpose in the common man's mind about why IP works.
00:56:04.000It doesn't even need to be another corporation, it could just be you and me.
00:56:08.000I show you something cool on my laptop and you're like, oh, that's pretty dope.
00:56:11.000And then you rip off whatever I'm building.
00:56:14.000I have to have some kind of defense to go after you to protect whatever I'm building.
00:57:00.000Corporate personhood, the legal concept that corporations are treated as independent entities separate from their owners, managers, and employees, granting them certain legal rights and responsibilities, typically associated with natural persons.
00:57:13.000So I'm okay with the independent entity thing.
00:57:17.000So corporate personhood means that a corporation is a standing legal entity unto itself, which means it can be fined and penalized in whatever ways you can fine and penalize it for breaking the law.
00:58:42.000It means that they want people to be shareholders and stakeholders in their process.
00:58:46.000And if you violate their corporate ethos, you lose your free speech, you lose your right to speak, you lose banking, you got to be part of the corporation.
00:58:55.000I could go on and on, but I mean, it's the World Economic Forum's modus operandi is corporate serfdom, basically.
01:01:10.000If you were in the middle of the woods and there was no corporation around, you're not being oppressed.
01:01:13.000But the moment someone starts fishing and catches fish, you deserve it?
01:01:16.000No, it's like not the moment it happens, but if you're born, say, factory towns, you're familiar with what those are?
01:01:22.000Corporate towns, they would set up little towns and then they'd pay them with corporate scrip, and the person would only buy food from the company stores.
01:01:36.000It's not anyone else's responsibility.
01:01:38.000We, the people, have created a system to protect ourselves from predatory advancements from corporations, from governments, from foreigners.
01:01:46.000So, again, do you understand the idea that if there is no factory or corporation, You are not being oppressed, and the existence of it does not oppress you.
01:02:46.000It's not about IP, it's about the scale of IP.
01:02:49.000We have an adversary purchasing farmland next to our military installations to spy on our military, and it's different from a guy buying a farmland.
01:02:57.000If BlackRock bought the personas of every American citizen on birth somehow, that would be something that's like a scale I'm not comfortable with IP.
01:03:06.000Don't get money, that's not how IP law works.
01:03:31.000On the Politics War Room podcast, Carville encouraged Democrats to make Puerto Rico state, expand the Supreme Court to 13 seats if they win.
01:03:40.000This is the gameplay for a permanent one party state.
01:03:45.000Carville is telling Democrats to do it.
01:03:47.000I got to be honest, I think they will.
01:04:12.000So, rolling a dice, what do you think is the probability that Democrats are going to just take everything over and Republicans are wiped out forever?
01:04:18.000It's very high because, I mean, like, here's the difference.
01:04:20.000You know, people always make this distinction.
01:04:23.000The Republicans are retarded broadly, and then the Democrats are evil.
01:04:26.000And I think that is, again, when you look at these types of things, it's true because Republicans will like throw out these grand ideas all the time, and it never actually manifests into policy or it rarely does.
01:04:34.000It only happens to the executive, like in Trump's second term.
01:04:37.000I mean, any idea that Congress has thrown out there, like the Save Act, is dead.
01:04:42.000The Democrats, on the other hand, like when they propose ideas, they do it with the full intent of delivering on that proposition.
01:04:50.000So again, Carvelt, you know, some people are hand waving in this way, and they're saying, well, you know, he's like a, you know, advisor that's kind of on the Fringes of the Democrat Party, as far as like he's not anywhere close to the power structure.
01:05:00.000But I actually don't know because, again, I think he's a good thermometer for what the mood of the base is in the Democrat Party.
01:05:07.000And I think the Democrat Party going into 2028 really has no appetite to moderate at the moment.
01:05:11.000Like, I know on the conservative media, we're like, oh, Gavin Newsom's a shoe in.
01:05:59.000Yeah, I mean, I think for a variety of reasons.
01:06:01.000I mean, the main one I would say is they've bought into sort of the principles of proper governance, and they don't actually realize that we're sort of in a civilizational battle at the moment.
01:06:10.000They don't really, when they saw the Charlie Kirk thing happen, they just went, wow, that's sad.
01:06:16.000The reaction from all of us in the commentariat and the reaction from the base and really everyone on the right was, oh my gosh, they want to do that to us too.
01:06:38.000They don't see things in the same way we're seeing things, like, oh my gosh, we're on the precipice of Brazil or South Africa, do something.
01:06:45.000They see things as, I've made it to this point and I'm going to make sure that I hold up this form of proper governance and democracy and this beautiful republic and that.
01:06:55.000So they don't realize how dire things are.
01:07:34.000I'm saying the political machinations are largely that for some reason they're like, we're going to have World War III, nuclear annihilation.
01:08:37.000I mean, that's kind of the, I guess what a lot of people point out the fault with democracy is that it works really well when the government is broadly benevolent or broadly accountable to the people.
01:08:47.000But then as soon as there's that incentive structure, right, is broken, as soon as there's a block in between the government, how they operate, and then the voters, right, like the people, then that's when you end up in these situations where you effectively have an autocracy, but then you don't actually have.
01:09:01.000Any leverage you can pull to get rid of it.
01:09:03.000I mean, like, you know, you had these throughout Europe, throughout, you know, for centuries, I mean, you would have like massive upheaval, you know, you would have these kings overthrown and these sorts of things.
01:09:11.000And that was recourse that was actually fairly accessible.
01:09:13.000Like, it would take very small militias to go in and just, you know, topple a government, where now it's basically impossible.
01:09:18.000People can't organize, people can't really do anything.
01:09:20.000The only recourse you have is at the ballot box.
01:09:22.000But when you're locked in a two party system, or even in Europe, we have parliamentary systems, but that's dominated, you know, primarily by like neoliberals, you don't really have any recourse.
01:09:30.000There's not really any options you do have.
01:09:32.000The best you can do is, again, push the party that is, Broadly similar to your ideology, and then push them in the direction that you want them to go.
01:09:41.000You know, you had people outflanking the Republican Party on the right by and large.
01:09:46.000And so when Trump came along, they're like, okay, finally, this is a chance to sort of reform the Republican Party.
01:09:50.000And I think the Democrats are in that moment right now, where I think the Democrats are outflanking their establishment to the left and they want to push the Democrat Party to the left.
01:09:57.000So you're going to see that play out in the next primary cycle because that's the only recourse you have.
01:10:02.000You know, the reason I asked this question is that Democrats, that's what they think.
01:10:12.000We must do whatever it takes to protect humanity from being destroyed by Donald Trump.
01:10:17.000And if that means stealing elections, if that means redistricting in Virginia, if that means arresting anybody in our path or even blowing up Tesla facilities, they will do it.
01:10:42.000But that's why he draws the most ire from the Democrat Party is not because he's the most radical, not because he's the most, you know, out of the box or unorthodox, but it's because he's the most effective way.
01:10:51.000He's been the most effective vehicle thus far in disrupting the status quo.
01:12:19.000The people have been radicalized, whether to become one of Trump's acolytes or to be one of his haters, to the point where they will throw away the American Republic to try and defeat a perceived enemy.
01:12:31.000And whether that enemy is real or not, they're willing to.
01:12:35.000That's so crazy because that would be the obvious way to destroy the United States is to get the people to turn on each other.
01:12:40.000Well, you have to look at like going through the Obama era into the beginning of the Trump era is like we, I think the American people by and large realize there is a systematic issue.
01:12:51.000So I actually almost sympathize with the far left because they're seeing the same thing I'm seeing, which is the very basic fact that yes, this is broken.
01:13:00.000Now, obviously, their applications are completely out of line and they would probably get me out of the, you know, get rid of me if they had the option.
01:13:42.000You, I mean, like you know, like I said, going into the Trump era, you had mass migration on you know, basically unfettered for 50, 60 years.
01:13:48.000That's going to put a lot of pressure on the markets, put a lot of pressure on people's livelihoods.
01:13:52.000I mean, you saw purchasing power has declined slightly, but if you look at some metrics like the housing market, I mean, the housing is completely detached from earnings, from real wages.
01:14:01.000So housing has gone up exponentially, and that's like the number one thing people are going to need.
01:14:05.000That's the number one thing where someone can measure how well they've done in life is like, what's their house like?
01:16:01.000Anderson Cooper, he did an internship with the CIA for a couple of years, then just became a prominent personality in American mainstream media where he's on every single night and has been for 20 years.
01:16:10.000But I mean, as far as like him inheriting that like Vanderbilt wealth, like it didn't really happen.
01:16:13.000So, like, we used to have, I'm saying this as examples, we used to have a system where actually there was a lot of churn in the elite and that was kind of a very natural thing.
01:17:35.000They come to you and they say, I own a building.
01:17:36.000You can live in it, but you got to give me stuff.
01:17:38.000Like if there was a piece of river land that someone owned and that's the water source, and he's like, Hey, you can all live on my property, but I get access to your firstborn child.
01:17:47.000People would be like, We're going to revolt against that guy.
01:18:13.000I don't know if entitled is the right word.
01:18:15.000It's like some things you have to have to survive.
01:18:17.000And if anybody, through threat of force or whatever, prevents you from it, like some of the basics, you know, if you're prevented from clean water, who's preventing you from going to Nestle just bought a bunch of water sources?
01:18:29.000So, like, if a corporation's like, look, you have to play our game to drink our water, you're like, come on, at some point.
01:20:08.000No, but if there was no water in the 10 mile radius, then yes.
01:20:13.000Then, so if I move out to the middle of a desert where there's no human beings and there is a small plot of land with a water source and nobody's there at all, right?
01:20:24.000So I file the registration and I say, we're going to be setting up a little factory here.
01:21:46.000Now, if they came out on the door and said we would be willing to trade for you for access to your water because we're desperate, I'd say absolutely.
01:21:52.000Yeah, there's different scenarios for how you would handle water sources, I suppose.
01:21:57.000Because their needs, it's such a basic need.
01:22:00.000This is the debate Jay Dyer was having here.
01:22:02.000I don't want to put words in his mouth, but it was effectively that if a company goes to the middle of nowhere, invests money, brings in supplies, and builds a company town, it's communism now.
01:22:13.000And it's like, in the most technical of senses, sure, but it's all voluntary.
01:22:18.000You choose to come and work for the company town, and if at any point you don't want to, you can just pack up and leave.
01:22:23.000The response from communists about the United States is that it's too hard to live any other way.
01:22:29.000It is certainly easier to work as a cashier at McDonald's than it is to forage in the woods and build shelter and survive in the wilderness.
01:22:52.000Kind of speaking about the Chinese model, I just saw a story today that I don't know how many tens of thousands of people are homeless because they failed their social credit score.
01:22:59.000They said the wrong words online, so they lost access to their bank and now they live on the street.
01:23:11.000I mean, that's just doing it to their population.
01:23:13.000So, with deer population, we know that when deer population reach environmental equilibrium, they all suffer.
01:23:20.000That is, the deer eat all available food until there's not enough food yet for the entire population.
01:23:26.000They become sick and starving and they all suffer.
01:23:29.000So, what we then say is, the deer need to be culled.
01:23:33.000We intentionally, as humans, hunt the deer, killing the bucks, so that the food supply can regrow and the deer now have full bellies.
01:23:42.000So, I suppose the question is understanding this nature of reality, do you believe it is conducive or it is functional for human society to allow those who do not produce enough to survive to be subsidized and reproduce?
01:24:43.000I think, like, in instances of like mental handicap or sort of any handicap, like it's justifiable, but that's obviously like an exception, not disproving the norm.
01:24:50.000And temporary provisions, I understand, like a year and a half of unemployment, stuff like that, but.
01:24:58.000So the end result of subsidization of families, and I don't mean humans, and just in general, of populations that can't produce enough to sustain themselves, is that.
01:25:13.000So if you have 10 people, five overproduce and five underproduce, so you take from the five to give to them to create equilibrium, they all die.
01:25:26.000Now, for us, with technological advancement, we've staved a lot of that off.
01:25:30.000But now I think it's one of the reasons the Malthusians wanted to curtail population growth and they advocated things like abortion.
01:25:36.000There was this post that I was reading about UBI.
01:25:38.000I did a video on it talking about how this guy believes that in the future, We will come to realize that advocating for abortion, soft euthanasia, was actually the merciful way to deal with people who are consumers and can't produce for themselves.
01:25:54.000Outside of any moral issue, there is a question of we know in nature if you subsidize a population that can't sustain itself, you will create a population that becomes destitute and eventually just dies without your assistance.
01:26:06.000That's why we have signs everywhere saying, do not feed wild animals.
01:26:09.000We as human civilization intentionally do this.
01:26:13.000So, we are ever expanding every day the population of people that can't actually survive on their own.
01:29:24.000He said he shared the clip to be self deprecating as he and Baum found it funny that while most babies find it easier to say dada, their baby went with mama.
01:29:31.000Okay, so just those that don't know, the reason why babies say dada first is because babies spend more time with their mothers, and mothers make references to dad more often than dads make references to mom.
01:29:40.000To be fair, it's entirely possible that moms and dads reference each other equally, but as long as the baby is with mom more often, the repetition of mom saying, Where's dad?
01:29:51.000They do say da, da and mama with comparable frequency, slightly leaning towards da, da for that reason.
01:29:58.000So I think the reason the baby is saying mama is because they were telling it over and over again, No mama, no mama.
01:30:04.000And so it started repeating what they were saying as they made references to mama.
01:30:08.000Seeing them laugh and say there's no mama feels cold.
01:30:10.000And that is an ad commented under the video, while another called McAnally and Baum cold blooded criminals for depriving the child of a motherly bond.
01:30:22.000Matt Walsh responded to the homophobic baby story saying, This story is horrifying.
01:30:27.000It's also a direct result of the legalization of gay marriage, in quotes.
01:30:31.000If you're willing to pretend that two men can be married, then there's no reason to object to the equally grotesque farce of two men pretending to be parents.
01:30:38.000To which I responded, and I think I have to go back a couple times.
01:30:46.000I said, two men approach a woman and ask her to become pregnant by one of them, and they will then pay her to take the child from her.
01:30:53.000I see no functional difference between this and a woman just offering to sell her child outright.
01:30:58.000It's a semantic debate by degenerates that want people to be allowed to sell children and an effort to devalue human life.
01:31:04.000Now, Brandon Strzok has chimed in, triggering the debate.
01:31:09.000He said, 3,000 births every year are through surrogacy, and the majority of them are heterosexual couples.
01:31:14.000Tim, why don't you call out surrogacy in general since you feel so strongly about this?
01:31:17.000Seems silly to focus on the small pool of gay couples using a surrogate when a much larger swath of people are doing the same thing who aren't gay.
01:31:27.000You're confusing a current news cycle for the scope of my arguments on the issue.
01:31:31.000To which he responded, But it's only news because they are gay.
01:31:34.000If you feel so strongly about this, you should go stick microphones and cameras in the faces of thousands of straight people who are doing the same thing every single day.
01:31:42.000Indeed, whoever filmed, there was a viral story where a guy was asking a gay couple with a baby about surrogacy.
01:31:48.000And about child molestation, and they started punching him and beating the crap out of him.
01:31:52.000And another guy came up and threatened to murder the guy.
01:31:55.000And now we're getting many individuals defending him, even people on the right.
01:31:59.000So I will just say this for Brandon a woman who doesn't want to carry a baby, so she hires another woman to birth that child.
01:32:14.000A woman who cannot bear children on her own and needs assistance to do so, I also think is wrong, but.
01:32:21.000As someone who is not a staunch conservative, I'd be willing to make certain exceptions for a woman who wants to have a kid but physically cannot do it.
01:32:39.000I'm only trying to be somewhat compassionate to a woman who would normally do a natural birth but physically cannot for some reason, and she wants to have a child.
01:32:48.000The problem is a child grown in the mother is attached to that mother, there's a chemical bond.
01:32:53.000The child that nurses off that mother sends chemical signals back and forth.
01:32:57.000This is all very important for the child's development.
01:32:59.000So, any individual that pays a woman to give birth and then hand that child over is human trafficking, in my opinion.
01:33:28.000So, yes, to Brandon Strzok, I think it is all bad.
01:33:31.000I think it is substantially worse because, in the instance of many gay surregacies, the female surrogate is actually providing her own eggs, meaning the baby is biologically hers.
01:33:42.000Now, it is one million times worse if gay men or anybody goes to a clinic and receives a donated egg and then uses their sperm to fertilize a random woman's egg they purchased.
01:33:58.000To be gestated in a different random woman.
01:34:00.000Now we're talking man made horrors beyond your comprehension level stuff.
01:34:07.000Like Brandon Strachey is in his bio, former liberal, but he's like regurgitating like left wing boilerplate, which is just hilarious in this instance.
01:34:13.000In addition to that, no, it is, yeah, to your point, I believe, yeah, gay adoption or gay surrogacy is significantly worse.
01:34:20.000I mean, I would broadly be against surrogacy anyway, but no, I'm comfortable saying gay couples, you know, participating in surrogacy is far worse because I do think you do have the right to a father and mother.
01:34:30.000This is why when people end up in instances of single parenthood, everyone acknowledges this is not the optimal condition to be raised in.
01:34:36.000Everyone can acknowledge, even if it turns out well, like I know this situation very well.
01:34:40.000It's still everyone can concede that it is sort of a tragic situation to be in because everyone knows that having a father and a mother will provide the best outcome for the child.
01:34:48.000And then there's no limiting principle on gay adoption.
01:34:50.000Okay, if you have gay adoption, why is it just two parents?
01:35:25.000That is, Womb factories, baby factories, they're going to grow human beings in bags.
01:35:32.000We are moving towards a society where a woman who wants to be a mother but is a girl boss goes to a facility where they take an egg and the husband's sperm and they say, We will grow the baby for you in this artificial womb.
01:35:46.000We will send you progress reports and they'll get emails being like, Oh, baby's growing.
01:35:50.000They actually made a movie about this that was really bad because it had no ending and I am sick.
01:36:19.000So I will just say in response to my post, Heidi Briones says 90% of surrogacy is gestational, meaning the surrogate is not the biological mother.
01:36:26.000I asked, where do gay men get the egg from in gay surrogacy?
01:36:36.000That is like, now I'm just like, okay, ban it all.
01:36:40.000Like, you're telling me that a guy went to a store and bought some random woman's egg, grew a baby, that baby has no mother, was a different egg born.
01:37:36.000Yeah, it seems weird now, but the generation that grows up with it will be totally cool with it.
01:37:41.000Then, my fear of what's going to happen is we're going to genetically engineer a bunch of people because we have no, like, look at what they're already doing.
01:37:49.000These people are going to be smarter, faster, and stronger than the average person, which is going to create a threat to governance on the Earth.
01:37:57.000And we're going to then isolate these people and freeze them and launch them into orbit because we have no idea what else to do.
01:38:02.000And then, when in 100, 200 years from now, when like a starship is flying through space and they accidentally find these, they're going to open it up and the dude's going to try and take over the world and kill Spock.
01:38:17.000Yeah, or they'll they're gonna land on Jor-L or whatever that Superman planet was and get superpowers and come back a thousand years later, dude.
01:38:24.000I think we're going full designer, baby.
01:38:26.000Do you think they're gonna create like a super trucker out of this?
01:38:30.000I'm thinking Elon Musk is like booting up a fetus X startup right now, just populate Mars.
01:38:36.000Yeah, because you could like optimize for the perfect trucker, you know, like you know, I could see it now, like Jack Lynx, that just like animate, just like they get fired up.
01:39:04.000I'm like, is this how they're going to backstop it when the populist kind of upheaval of the immigration system takes root and then these companies look around?
01:39:11.000They're like, we still need cheap labor.
01:39:13.000If we're not careful here, I'm usually hesitant to go to worst-case scenario, but in this instance, I'm like, that actually seems.
01:39:20.000Pretty realistic, actually, is that again when they start feeling the pinch on labor instead of what paying workers more?
01:39:24.000No, they're just going to say, Well, let's just spawn people, like let's go to clone army.
01:39:28.000But what they're going to do is they're going to be like, We're going to design your baby just like you like it, but we're going to own the rights to that baby's persona.
01:39:34.000And then they're going to gestate it for you.
01:39:35.000They're going to try and do that anyway.
01:39:37.000They're going to create templates like genetic profiles that you'll license and that they'll own the IP to that profile.
01:39:42.000That's what another reason why I'm like, Dude, this IP's and they will say things like, If you agree to these terms, in the event your baby goes on to be a movie star, we're entitled to 5%.
01:39:50.000And parents will agree in the long run.
01:39:52.000If he's an athlete, we're taking 10% of his earnings.
01:39:56.000We'll manage this kid's life and all that.
01:39:58.000You already saw a little bit during the Olympics some of the stars, if you dug into their background, they were sort of conceived through surrogacy or conceived through surrogacy, sort of like where they could control for parents with the best genetics.
01:40:09.000I won't say which names, but there were like prominent athletes that were sort of like test tube babies, quite literally selecting for the best genetic traits.
01:40:17.000Send the video of the baby saying mama to every woman in your life, every single one.
01:40:42.000The only thing I saw when I watched that video was imagining my daughter crying for mama if something, heaven forbid, happened to my wife and she was no longer around.
01:40:52.000And someone, like, let's say somehow, you know, Alice and I were out of the picture through some tragedy, knock on wood, and then someone, You know, some guy is with her and she's saying, Mama, and he's laughing, being like, No, Mama, no.
01:41:05.000I'm just like, The nightmarish reality of that, the horrifying torture for that poor child.
01:41:11.000The reality is this whether or not that baby actually meant Mama, like I want my mother, sure, make the argument babies don't actually understand what these words mean.
01:42:15.000So the one thing I will say is this a lot of people keep pushing that gay parents who adopt or have surrogates are more likely to molest the children.
01:44:06.000I don't even want to get into it because it's disturbing, but it's like the postpartum disorders that would come from a woman who has to surrender her child through surrogacy is mental.
01:44:14.000You see all these different stories about these women, some of the things they do afterwards, and it's quite horrific.
01:44:18.000Well, there's also the stories of the women who the gay men wanted her to get an abortion.
01:45:02.000It's another to actually go, you know, follow through with that.
01:45:05.000But yeah, I'm curious if these are women who, if this was their first child and then they had to give it up versus, you know, they had children before and they're like, oh, here I go again.
01:45:15.000It's, I mean, look, you know, you look at outliers and to like Ian led off with it.
01:45:19.000I mean, it is tough to like go to a couple who are like struggling with fertility and then just say like, sorry.
01:45:24.000But I mean, it goes back to when you're, when you're, when you're defining policy, right?
01:45:28.000When you're like trying to implement policy.
01:45:30.000You can't make policy based off of exceptions.
01:45:32.000You have to base policy based on norms.
01:45:34.000And I would presume, again, I would have to look at the data, but I presume the majority of surrogacy are for vanity reasons or in situations with their homosexuals.
01:45:43.000I would doubt that a lot of them are fertility related, or at least the majority.
01:46:39.000And when you look at the popular vote, you see Democrats tend to win.
01:46:43.000So they've been making this argument that we should just, every state that's under this compact, and that way if the popular vote swings Democrat, your state then just votes Democrat.
01:46:54.000The only problem with that, there are blue states where Republicans won't vote because they feel like it doesn't matter.
01:47:05.000We're never going to pull that five point swing, so I just stay home.
01:47:09.000In the event they switch to the national popular vote, in California, for instance, you will see a major uptick of Republican votes.
01:47:17.000This could actually change the game because there are more reds, there are more Republican voters in blue states than blue state voters in red states.
01:47:24.000So it could dramatically shift things in favor of Republicans.
01:47:27.000We just don't know what's going to happen.
01:47:28.000And the reason that Virginia is like the first one that you're like, whoa, guys, I mean, like there's what, 13 states that are already in it?
01:47:37.000It might be a little bit higher, but fairly inconsequential if, again, a deep, Blue state joins, but Virginia is a state that teeters on elections.
01:48:16.000Yeah, 48 more electoral votes to trigger the actual threshold.
01:48:20.000Well, that's the reason why Virginia is the shocking one because, like, thus far it didn't matter.
01:48:24.000Because, look, if the Democrats are going to win, or sorry, if the Republicans are going to win the popular vote, they're definitely going to win the electoral college.
01:48:29.000But now with Virginia, again, that's the first one where it's like Republicans could win Virginia and that could win them the electoral college.
01:48:37.000But if they lose the popular vote, now the Republicans lose the election.
01:48:40.000So that's why it's like this is the first one where it's like, holy crap, like, we got to do it.
01:48:44.000But again, California would have turned red this time around.
01:49:10.000You would see higher turnouts in like deep blue states.
01:49:12.000I mean, Hawaii is kind of the most infamous example where it's like so done and dusted for Republicans there that they just don't bother voting.
01:49:18.000Like, If they participated, if they all came out in numbers, like what the projections would be, it would be a lot closer of a state.
01:49:25.000But in a situation where they're like, yeah, we could contribute to the national popular vote tally, they would turn out in quite large numbers.
01:49:31.000Steele's shattered hand says, I don't want to set the world on fire.
01:49:40.000What he didn't add is that he's lost all ambition for worldly acclaim.
01:49:43.000He just wants to be the one that you love.
01:49:45.000And with your admission that you'd feel the same, he'd have reached the goal he's dreaming of.
01:49:50.000Yeah, you hear those old doo wop songs, and it's like the women must have been a lot better back then because not only would one guy sing about it, but he'd get like four guys to join him to sing about the same woman.
01:51:39.000What people don't understand is that happiness is relative.
01:51:43.000So, famously, there was a study that found a lottery winner and a paraplegic one year after their formative moments, either winning lottery or becoming injured, registered the same levels of happiness.
01:52:49.000Oh, so you think Trump will do some shenanigans right before the midterms and make gas drop in price by 40% and be like, we did it, we did it.
01:52:56.000And then the votes will come in and then it'll be right back.
01:52:59.000And then what happens is Trump says, it's like something he can do, which is not out of the question.
01:53:05.000Right before the midterms, the price plummets due to some executive order.
01:53:09.000And then he says, look, if the Democrats get in, they're going to reverse this and make gas go way up, way up.
01:53:14.000You got the Republicans are going to keep it.
01:53:16.000Then all the Republicans come out and say, we're making gas cheaper.
01:53:25.000Just repeal the gas tax at the end of October because it'll take like a couple months before the court's going to correct.
01:53:30.000And then what's going to happen is people are going to say, I mean, the Republicans are probably lying, but I'll flip a coin on whether or not they're lying.
01:53:45.000And then three weeks later, it'll be like, oh, the Iranians, they did the thing.
01:53:49.000Now gas prices are back to where they were.
01:53:52.000Sorry, it was the Iranians that did it.
01:53:54.000Asriel says, ammonium perchlorate is an oxidizer that can be volatile but primarily used in pool chemicals and sold by places like Walmart and Lowe's.
01:56:07.000Okay, I'm in favor now of all of that, so long as for everyone that comes in, a leftist has to leave.
01:56:13.000You're just like a communist who doesn't want to do work, who thinks they're entitled to everything, versus a guy willing to go through the Darien gap to get a job in America.
01:56:49.000If you had the choice between a communist who grew up in, you know, like, the suburbs of New York, Then moved to California, went to Berkeley, and is part of Antifa.
01:57:00.000If we could deport that person and bring in some Indian guy who traveled 2,000 miles from South America to the Darien Gap, which would you rather have?
01:57:09.000The American, but a communist, or the guy who crawled through the Darien Gap to come here for a job?
01:57:14.000I want to put both of them in a truck and see how well they can back a trailer up to a door.
01:57:18.000Nothing will de radicalize someone against unionization than sending them to a union run warehouse and having to deal with it.
01:57:24.000Well, there's a viral video of an Indian guy backing a truck up to a loading dock and crushing the guy.
01:57:46.000Yeah, this stuff happens all the time.
01:57:48.000They tell you in training, go, get out and look.
01:57:51.000You know what they're going to do, right?
01:57:52.000Once they replace as many drivers as possible with low skill, unqualified individuals and we get a bunch of accidents, they're going to say, we have to automate this.
01:58:00.000That has always been the conspiracy, but we were talking about this earlier on the other show.
01:58:05.000The cost that it takes to run these autonomous trucks for now is still way higher than it is to have meat in the seat.
01:58:12.000So that's why you go back 10, 15, 20 years, we had all these autonomous startups in trucking.
01:58:16.000And over the last decade and a half, they've all gone bankrupt or consolidated.
01:58:20.000There's only a handful left, and they're just holding on for dear life, trying not to burn through their cash reserves before they go bankrupt.
01:59:45.000And then they're going to offer these things up.
01:59:46.000I think, however, the argument that trucks will be electric, I don't think so, but you'd probably know better.
01:59:51.000No, I think the Tesla Semi, the Freightliner eCascadia, those are great for small local runs, going from the Pepsi plant to another Pepsi plant, charging overnight.
02:00:02.000But as far as them actually doing over the road freight, having to go into a truck stop, We don't have the charging infrastructure.
02:00:08.000It takes too long to charge them, period.
02:00:10.000By the time you get to a regular truck stop, if there's three trucks ahead of you in the fuel line, that's 45 minutes you're already waiting.
02:00:17.000But from the warehouse to the gas stations, I think that probably will happen.
02:00:22.000So, like, if you have a Dunkin' Donuts distribute, like, factory where they make all the donuts for all the, like, 20 stores, one truck electric autonomously could pick up the donuts, drop them off, and come back and charge, and that would work.
02:00:35.000But the long haul stuff, it's got to be gas.
02:00:38.000Well, so there's a company right now called Gattick.
02:00:42.000The way that they're kind of sneaking into the radar is they are not class eight trucks.
02:00:50.000So they go from the Walmart distribution center to a Walmart store, and it'll be the guys on the dock unloading the trucks.
02:00:57.000But again, they've been around for a while, but they only have 10 trucks.
02:01:00.000So you look at any of these companies that are in this space and you actually look at how many trucks they have running right now, it's very, very few.
02:01:05.000Most of this is just they're still trying to nibble around the edges and the.
02:01:11.000Rate at which they can grow at scale is just not here yet.
02:01:14.000You said the minimum insurance got frozen at 750.
02:01:21.000There's, God help you if you get rear ended by one of these guys with like a non domicile CDL because the company that they drive for, you know, you go down the highways and you see billboards for like, you know, truck attorneys all the time.
02:01:33.000If one of these guys rear ends you, they don't have any assets for that attorney to go after you.
02:01:38.000If you're, I'm not saying to do this, if you were to get rear ended by a semi truck, you want to get rear ended by one of the big guys who has lots of assets and lots of money to go after.
02:02:23.000But the point is this if people needed to access any of the private land because they needed that water, they cannot.
02:02:30.000It was secured by the individuals who live here for the purpose of protecting themselves and their family.
02:02:34.000If it was as such that anyone could just go into anyone's property and take it, there'd be no point in buying land with water on it, and nobody would.
02:02:40.000But land with water is more valuable than land without.
02:02:45.000There are many properties nearby with navigable water, for which when you own a portion of that, They can travel down it, and there are certain restrictions.
02:02:53.000Also, there's like fishing restrictions.
02:02:54.000But again, my point is we have a pond and we have a creek.
02:03:09.000We can actually trench it out and then dig a gigantic pool and create a pond if we want to.
02:03:13.000But we cannot stop the flow to or pollute or damage that water because then you're causing problems downstream.
02:03:20.000The only issue is a lot of people do, and you can't prove it.
02:03:22.000So, if one day you went to your water and noticed there's something off about it, good luck figuring it out because there's going to be a thousand houses upstream and you're going to figure out where the source is, I guess.
02:03:51.000Elon is correct about some kind of UBI, not because he, I don't think that's the case.
02:03:57.000I think the issue is that the transformation that we're experiencing from AI will be so dramatic, humans won't be able to generationally adapt.
02:04:06.000With the Industrial Revolution, it was an overnight shift, but it still took a bit of time, and there were Luddite revolts.
02:04:13.000There was violence, there was explosions, bombs, and all that stuff.
02:04:17.000AI is going to make the same, like, think of the Industrial Revolution, but in a flash, the exponential increase.
02:04:25.000And change to our economy will wipe out 10, 20, 30 million jobs overnight.
02:04:33.000So they're trying to taper it so the job losses are as such that people don't have a revolution.
02:04:38.000We'll talk about more of this and we'll play a fun song for you that is too offensive to play on YouTube over at rumble.com slash Timcast IRL.
02:04:45.000Smash the like button, share the show with everyone you know.
02:04:48.000Justin, you want to shout anything out?
02:04:50.000Yeah, find me on Twitter at Super Trucker.
02:04:53.000We're still looking into all this stuff with Super Ego.
02:04:57.000You know how a couple weeks ago Twitter changed the algorithm and everyone's feeds was flooded with posts from Japan?
02:08:48.000Oh, Bunga Bunga Bunga, he don't wanna leave the Congo.
02:08:54.000No, Bingle, bangle, bungle, he's so happy in the jungle, he refused to go.
02:09:02.000Don't want no penthouse, bathtubs, street cars, taxis, noise in my ear.
02:09:08.000So I was looking for the songs in the soundtrack, and I was like, what song is this?
02:09:12.000Because all I remember is the Bingle, Bangle, Bungle, and I looked it up on Reddit, and it was a bunch of leftists complaining about how racist the song was and how problematic it was.
02:13:28.000I was thinking the Suomi, as you pronounce it, in Scandinavia, they have like some of the highest crime rates in Europe and they're like, oh, yeah.
02:14:07.000There was a TikTok video a while back of a black guy at a ski resort, and he's like, look at these white motherfuckers just leaving all this shit lying around.
02:14:13.000He was like, the first person to be in the world.
02:15:38.000I lived in Indiana for a while as a child and I noticed, and I'm not saying this to drag Indianans, but there is like an inferiority complex in Indiana.
02:16:05.000Indiana's got, because everything with me is trucking, Indiana's got a shitload of problems in trucking right now.
02:16:10.000We've, I, I had a, one of my big like Twitter moments, uh, this year was, uh, I ratioed two Indiana senators in the span of a week because they were talking about trucking.
02:16:20.000And I just laid everything out saying, hey, look at this random suburb in south of Indianapolis, Indiana.
02:17:06.000There was one guy from California who migrated from India, saw all those cheap houses, and was like, that's a fucking steal, bought all the houses in the area, and then just started bringing in all his cousins from California and India over the last.
02:17:19.00015 years, and they've just completely dominated the trucking area down there.
02:17:24.000There's a politician or a wannabe politician in Indiana named Sid Mahant.
02:17:29.000He owns a handful of trucking companies and CDL schools.
02:17:32.000And Indiana is unique versus other states where if I have a CDL and I live in Florida, but I want to move to Indiana, I have to retake the knowledge test in English.
02:17:42.000And this is before Trump, before Obama.
02:17:44.000This has been law in Indiana for years.
02:17:46.000Sid was having this problem where all his drivers from California.
02:17:49.000Couldn't move to Indiana because they can't speak or read English.
02:17:52.000And so they couldn't take the knowledge test to transfer the CDLs over.
02:17:55.000So he ran for state Congress to try and pass this law to overturn that rule.
02:17:59.000Well, he borrowed $2 million to fund his own political campaign.
02:18:03.000He got kicked off the ballot and he's running again right now.
02:18:07.000And he's tied in with their Secretary of State in Indiana, like the two of them have owned businesses together.
02:18:13.000That's where we see a lot of the shenanigans in trucking in different states.
02:18:17.000You look at states where they're having all kinds of issues with trucking.
02:18:21.000Look at their secretary of state and see what they're up to.
02:18:22.000Nebraska, their secretary of state is, there is no word for it, but you know, like the term otaku, like guys who are just really.
02:19:25.000The whole fucking nation grinds to a screeching halt.
02:19:28.000The government at the time was like, we got to fucking do something about this.
02:19:31.000So they just steamrolled the Motor Carrier Act of 1980 through and it completely 100% deregulated the industry.
02:19:38.000There are zero barriers to entry into trucking whatsoever.
02:19:41.000Tim, you could take out your phone right now and in 30 minutes, I can walk you through the steps of starting your own trucking company.
02:19:47.000You don't have to prove that you know anything about trucking.
02:19:49.000You don't have to prove that you've read the 800 pages of all the federal rules and regulations involved with running a trucking company.
02:19:55.000You can just start a trucking company.
02:19:57.000And so we went from like, 17,000 to 14,000 trucking companies to 1980 to like half a million within like just a quick number of years.
02:20:05.000So the market was immediately flooded.
02:20:08.000A bunch of the old legacy carriers went bankrupt and turnover was just like insane.
02:20:11.000Like nobody would stay at a trucking company for more than a year because everybody was hopping from one job to another or just quitting.
02:20:18.000So this narrative of a truck driver shortage started popping up in the 90s where the big lobbyist group in the US called the American Trucking Association, they don't represent truck drivers, they represent large truckload carriers.
02:20:32.000Their whole bread and butter is, you know, all these big trucking companies, they pay dues to us so that we can take their money and lobby Congress critters to get what we want.
02:20:41.000So they've been lying about this truck driver shortage for years and years and years.
02:20:43.000And that's kind of where things start falling apart, where they start importing guys from overseas in the 90s.
02:20:49.000And what they didn't anticipate was all these drivers that they were importing were going to start trucking companies of their own and then start importing the drivers they want.
02:20:57.000And so now they've completely abandoned the shortage narrative.
02:21:00.000They've moved on to other pet projects like truck parking or.
02:21:04.000You know, CDL, like the whole idea of starting your own CDL school, it's a self certified process.
02:21:11.000You don't have to prove that your class is worth the shit.
02:21:14.000You can just say, I am a trucking school and I register with the FMCSA, and the FMCSA goes, okay.
02:21:19.000So you just start funneling guys through your pipeline all you want.
02:21:22.000And to his credit, Sean Duffy shut that down earlier this year.
02:21:47.000With Trump's recent alienating much of his base, do you see those that voted for and believed in the original principles of MAGA to continue to stay with MAGA and justify Trump from the coalition?
02:21:59.000Or do you see them starting a new movement on the right with all the original principles they voted for, like no new wars, America first, mass deportation, prosecution of crooked Dems, et cetera? to rival whatever Trump and MAGA has become now.
02:22:14.000Well, Trump's diehards are always going to be for Trump no matter what.
02:22:17.000It's his untouchable base that pollsters have always found.
02:22:20.000Then there's the coalition, which includes anti interventionists and libertarian types, liberals.
02:22:29.000This is actually becoming an issue because events are coming up where I'm talking to a lot of the organizers and I'm saying, like, yeah, I don't think I'm interested in whatever that right wing lineup's going to be.
02:22:39.000I don't want to be like at a TPUSA where Bannon's screaming at Shapiro, who's screaming at Candace.
02:22:43.000Like, I'm not interested in any of those things.
02:22:47.000Base of supporters aren't ever going to leave them.
02:22:49.000And I think that the coalition is shattered and going to break off and do their own things where they don't like each other.
02:22:56.000The problem is, like, within the Republican Party, they've pulled the Republican Party.
02:22:59.000Their support for the Iran war is at like 88%, something like that.
02:23:03.000So even if there were like a pressure group among the coalition, right, the 2024 coalition, it wouldn't matter because you're not registered Republicans.
02:23:10.000When the primaries come around, the Trump base is still going to be in control of ultimately who's going to be the Republican nominee.
02:23:16.000So I suppose if you're talking about an outside political movement, I think the way I see it, I mean, maybe you disagree, but the way I see it is a lot of people that came into the coalition and voted for Trump, a lot of them, I'm not saying the commentariat, but a lot of those voters were not super politically involved voters.
02:23:31.000My evidence for this is Trump gets a lot of first time voters.
02:23:34.000And so I'm not sure those people really have the desire or willpower to start a third party or any sort of pressure group within the Republican Party or any sort of political movement broadly.
02:23:44.000And I think come 2028, you're going to see that coalition stitched back together because the main reason the coalition happened in 2024 wasn't necessarily because of Trump's gravity.
02:23:53.000It was more of an anti Kamala kind of fervor, anti political correctness, et cetera, et cetera.
02:23:58.000So, yeah, I mean, I see what you mean.
02:24:01.000I just think the problem is the way that the dynamics in the Republican Party is, he still has massive support within the Republican Party among registered Republicans.
02:24:08.000That whole thing, he said things like, I am MAGA.
02:24:12.000Things are at least, I don't agree with.
02:26:11.000I see a lot of stuff in common with him as far as that goes.
02:26:16.000But I think once Trump is out of office trying to get whatever next coalition they're trying to build, that's going to be hard.
02:26:23.000I think it's going to take Democrats coming back in.
02:26:25.000And figuring out what they have to be opposed to.
02:26:27.000Because that was the whole point of MAGA, they were just opposed to progressivism.
02:26:31.000Then once they got into the second term here, all those coalitions start falling apart because it's like, okay, we made it.
02:26:36.000It's very easy to be against something, but then trying to hold a coalition of different groups together based on what stuff you're agreeing upon is like next to impossible.
02:29:01.000So there is ICE has, again, when you see a truck on the road, you have no knowledge whether or not that driver is here in the country legally or illegally.
02:29:12.000What I would suggest to you is take a photo of that truck and upload it to a website called searchcarriers.com.
02:29:19.000It will pull up all the information on that truck.
02:29:22.000Copy the address of that trucking company and then put it in the search and see if there are additional trucking companies registered at that address.
02:30:25.000At least this Trump administration, if you are loud enough and you are bringing receipts, somebody will reach out to you.
02:30:33.000I never in my wildest dreams would ever imagine, never imagine like Pete Buttigieg reaching out and being like, yo, what the fuck's up with these trucking companies?
02:31:31.000Most of these trucking company owners have been in the country long enough that they are naturalized citizens, but if they are caught committing fraud at this scale, they need to be debanked, denaturalized, and deported immediately.
02:31:59.000And lastly, how do we prevent this from happening again in the long term?
02:32:03.000I understand, you know, administration to administration, things are going to change and things, you know, like all the executive orders that Biden put in were in direct counter to all of Trump's, and then Trump reverses it.
02:32:29.000It's not a new regulation or anything.
02:32:32.000It's a law, so it's going to be a lot harder for something that to get overturned in the next administration.
02:32:38.000If they can pass Delilah's law, it heavily restricts the issuances of CDLs.
02:32:44.000Non US citizens, there's literally like two cohorts that can do it.
02:32:50.000It's a very, very small group of like very temporary agriculture workers, and that's it.
02:32:56.000And it also bans the usage of foreign dispatch services.
02:33:00.000How they enforce that part, I got no idea.
02:33:01.000I'm just thrilled that it's even in there.
02:33:03.000But yeah, pass Delilah's Law and raise the barrier to entry.
02:33:08.000It is absolutely insane that you could be a guy with a laptop in France and with a couple keystrokes in half an hour open up a trucking company in the US.
02:33:17.000No other industry in the US has that lower.
02:33:24.000We're almost once or twice a month now.
02:33:26.000There's like a high profile fatal wreck that's like caught on video.
02:33:30.000And over 5,000 people a year are killed on US highways involving accidents with trucks, whether the car crashed into the truck or the truck crashed into the car.
02:33:39.000But because now there's like so many dash cams in the trucks now, all this footage is coming out and people are really starting to see this horrific footage.
02:33:45.000Or the dude who couldn't read English.
02:33:48.000I love reading posts from large Twitter accounts where they'll retweet some headline involving trucking and they're like, wait, this isn't going on.
02:34:25.000Because what was horseshit about that accident was Sean Duffy himself retweeted libs of TikTok with a video of that carrier swapping the signs out.
02:34:34.000So they knew about this carrier like a month and a half before this accident.
02:34:38.000They had plenty of time to get guys on the ground to knock on some doors and say, Hey, can we see your paperwork?
02:35:15.000Especially with trucking, it gets even worse with the foreign ownership because once I started screeching about trucking enough, People would come to me with like rumors about, you know, oh, we hear, you know, the military loads are getting kind of squirrely.
02:36:01.000There's a guy in Kenya who owns a trucking company in South Carolina that's one pickup truck.
02:36:08.000And somehow this guy is getting like 200 loads a month out of this one pickup truck.
02:36:13.000And so he's getting awarded all these military contracts, the whole military freight.
02:36:17.000But when you look at his company activity on GenLogs, this like trucking visibility platform that has cameras all over the United States, no movement, none whatsoever.
02:36:28.000So what this guy's doing is he's taking.
02:36:31.000He's getting awarded contracts to haul military freight, and then he's brokering those loads out to outside carriers.
02:36:36.000So, and that alone is like scary enough.
02:36:39.000But again, we don't know what kind of electronic logging devices these carriers that are hauling this freight are using.
02:36:45.000So, Every time I talk to guys in the administration or in the military about what's going on, they're always like, okay, yeah, that's a little squirrely.
02:36:53.000And I'm like, no, you don't understand.
02:36:54.000It gets even worse because all that data of the truck movement is being monitored by guys overseas.
02:37:00.000So all they got to do, just like how the OP load got stolen or Guy Fieri had his tequila stolen, these guys are watching military loads get moved around all over the United States.
02:37:09.000And say we need to go kinetic on Iran next time or another country, all they got to do is look at the volume of military loads being shipped around the country.
02:37:17.000And they know before we even have boots on the ground.
02:37:20.000Because we got to supply those guys first.
02:37:22.000And it's just every time we've brought this up, some of these things, you sound insane when you start ranting on this stuff.
02:37:30.000But even people in the administration are like, this is fucked up.
02:37:35.000But then Minneapolis burns down or some other bigger headline pops up and they've been kicking this can down the line.
02:37:42.000So we're really fortunate that these guys that are doing this shit, all they want to do for right now, all they want to do is haul the freight.
02:39:05.000So, my question for you guys is there's a couple YouTube channels that have been really exposing this as well.
02:39:12.000Bonehead truckers being the primary one that I watch.
02:39:15.000But there's a ton of these accidents that are taking place all across America that are making national headlines that are involving H 1B visa drivers as well as illegal drivers.
02:39:27.000Is it time now to conduct a 24 to 48 hour safety stand down, just shut trucking down for 24 to 48 hours to examine everything and clean it up?
02:40:38.000If you have like a pre-pass, if you pay into this network and they might have like a pre-scale before you get to the scale, if everything checks out, you get a green light.
02:40:59.000If they do catch something, it's okay, driver, pull around, pull around back, bring your paperwork in.
02:41:04.000And that's where these guys are getting popped in like Arkansas, where you know they roll up, the paperwork is out of order, or like the registration on the truck isn't right, and then they can't even talk to the officers because the guy's from China and he's been fresh off the boat for six weeks.
02:41:56.000So, when you hear about like Sean Duffy or DOT bragging about X number of drivers being taken out of service because they can't speak English, it's a fucking parking ticket.
02:42:03.000Like, these guys are immediately back in the truck and rolling again.
02:42:05.000Unless they're taken out of the truck and having their immigration status checked and then put through a detention center, they don't stop.
02:42:16.000They have partnered with ICE, with their DOT, and they run these operations called Operation Guardian every couple of weeks or months.
02:42:24.000The very first time they ran one last year, it lasted three days and only three days because they ran out of room.
02:42:31.000Within the span of three days, it was like 159 trucks that they had in custody and all their drivers, and they just ran out of room.
02:42:38.000So they keep doing this operation every few months.
02:42:41.000Now, Mark Wayne Mullen, the new head of ICE, I'm really bullish on him.
02:42:46.000I think he's going to start expanding the operations that they've done in Oklahoma to other states, and we're going to see some heavy enforcement going forward.
02:42:54.000What everybody in the industry has been waiting on is like, okay, all these new rules, these new regulations are all coming into effect, but where's the enforcement?
02:43:00.000Like, we don't have enough boots on the ground.
02:43:02.000We don't have enough bodies to throw at the problem.
02:45:02.000To what degree have truckers that were forced out of the business during the Biden administration gone and what level of pay is going to bring them back in?
02:45:32.000And I think far too many people come into this thinking that it's going to be a job.
02:45:38.000Most of the carriers that went bankrupt post the COVID boom, they're just not coming back.
02:45:47.000It's going to have to be new people coming into the industry and growing their own fleets that really take over.
02:45:54.000Well, I mean, speaking of new people coming in, in the federal prison system, the most popular.
02:46:01.000Programming classes, the written portion of the truck driving class, you see a lot of the former inmates following through and actually getting their CDL.
02:46:14.000The prison to trucker pipeline is like one of my biggest pet peeves because most of those programs are basically just like a money laundering front from the states because, again, they're all operating under the assumption that there's a truck driver shortage.
02:46:27.000There is not, has never been, and never could possibly be a perpetual nationwide truck driver shortage in the U.S.
02:46:34.000We issue more than 450,000 CDLs every single year.
02:46:38.000And again, there's only half a million trucking companies in the US.
02:46:42.000So every time you see one of these programs, it's a push by lobbyists at places like the ATA that are just trying to flood the market with more capacity and bring down wages.
02:46:56.000I mean, I thought it was kind of a good thing because you see this programming and you want people to get into work.
02:47:01.000Yeah, on paper, it makes sense because it's like, okay, we want to lower the rate of recidivism and we've got to get these guys a job somewhere.
02:47:07.000But what you don't realize is that most of these trucking companies, depending on where you're going, if you have a felony on your record, they're not going to let you inside the facility.
02:47:15.000So, any kind of real money that you're going to make in trucking, as far as like hazmat freight or sensitive cargo, those avenues are completely blocked from you.
02:47:25.000You know, if you're lucky and you can get a job in like waste management somewhere, Or a construction site where you have to use a CDL, that's a good path.
02:47:32.000But for the most part, a lot of these like prison, the trucking pipelines, it's just a mega carrier somewhere that's needing more bodies because everyone keeps quitting because they're not paying enough because there are too many truck drivers.
02:47:45.000Well, I mean, that really well answers my question.