00:01:05.840I think there was never a time at which everyone agreed about what every word means.
00:01:10.540But clearly, when you have polarization, political polarization, and mutual demonization, people will warp pretty much all of their thought processes to whatever conclusion makes their side look good and the other side look stupid and evil.
00:01:25.860I think that's a general phenomenon of human nature, but it has increased with the negative polarization of the past few years.
00:01:35.600I guess what I'm getting at is, I think, certainly in my lifetime, I don't remember a time when we disagreed about the meaning of the word violence, for example.
00:01:43.580I don't remember people saying the words of violence 20 years ago.
00:01:48.040And that seems like a pretty big leap to make.
00:01:54.320I guess I'm always reluctant to compare now with 20 years ago, unless I actually see quantitative or textual evidence, just because I'm so sensitive, having written books on trends in history documented by data, which often differ from people's impressions.
00:02:14.360But since there is a presentist bias, we tend to see the worst in what's happening now.
00:02:23.340I think the kids are today are no good, but it was better when I was young.
00:02:41.820And what's the psychological basis for that state?
00:02:46.120Well, there's in general a negativity bias in all of human cognition and emotion.
00:02:52.200There are many more words for negative emotions than positive emotions.
00:02:55.200Criticism tends to sting more than praise elevates.
00:03:01.680When it comes to memory of the past, it's not that we forget bad things that happen, but we tend to forget how bad they were at the time.
00:03:10.760We remember the events, but we don't remember the negative affect, whereas the current negative affect is highly salient and we can't get it out of our minds.
00:03:18.900And there are other cognitive allusions that give rise to a kind of nostalgia.
00:03:26.360One of them is that we confuse changes in ourselves with changes in the times.
00:03:30.840So as our powers fade, our memory fades, we perhaps become more committed to the skills that we have and therefore distrustful of skills in a changing world.
00:03:42.500We tend to think that things have gotten worse as opposed to we're less adapted to a changing world.
00:03:51.340I think part of it is as well, it's to do with youth and optimism, that when people were younger, they're naturally more optimistic, whereas people, when they get older, are slightly more, shall we say, jaded as it was.
00:04:06.180I'm not sure that that's a general phenomenon, and if anything, what we're seeing now is in a wave of almost fatalism among your IDECA cohorts.
00:04:15.240They say they're not having children because they don't want to bring kids into a world where humans are going to go extinct by 2050 because of climate change.
00:04:24.080You have younger journalists saying that we're living in a hellscape of inequality and pollution and inflation.
00:04:36.440I sense a great deal of pessimism in the English cohorts today.
00:04:41.680You might be right that there's, in general, a generation effect, on top of which there may be a cohort effect, mainly the current generation of young people as more pessimistic.
00:04:55.440And there could also be a period effect, namely everyone is glum nowadays.
00:05:00.600And what do you put that down to, the pessimism of the young?
00:05:03.220Some people have argued, I think, quite persuasively, that their actual material circumstances of their life are not as good as one would have expected if we believe in this idea that our children must always do better than us.
00:05:17.060Yeah. Well, it is debatable because, in many ways, the life of a young person is far richer than, say, 40 or 50 years ago when I could cling to being young.
00:05:29.180Such as access to art and entertainment, such as the cost of travel, such as the cost of food, such as conveniences like the internet, like streaming music, streaming cinema on demand.
00:05:52.520More people will get on planes than they used to.
00:05:56.720There are some things that have gotten more expensive over this period, mainly housing, medical care, and education.
00:06:06.200And, you know, admittedly, those are big things.
00:06:09.380But it's not, and it's certainly not the case that the economic growth from, say, the silent generation to the boomer generation has been replicated in boomer and Gen X and Gen X to millennial.
00:06:22.600So, on the other hand, that doesn't mean that standards have gotten worse.
00:06:26.660It just means they haven't as increased as steeply.
00:06:30.700And again, just to throw out some other examples, most people nowadays have air conditioning.
00:06:35.340When I was a kid, when I was a young adult, I didn't have air conditioning.
00:06:39.100When I was a kid, I used to run through the sprinkler to cool off during the summer.