00:02:25.540It features quite heavily in the book, I think it's fair to say.
00:02:27.860But the visionaries in that case are very much the forefront
00:02:30.380are Franklin D. Roosevelt and Harry S. Truman,
00:02:34.820the two presidents that kind of served during the Second World War.
00:02:38.500And they're kind of an antidote to Hitler.
00:02:40.980You know, they're different worldviews because both America and Germany are experiencing very, very similar things in terms of Spanish flu, post-First World War, Wall Street crash, global trade war, etc., etc.
00:03:00.080They don't go down the route that Nazi Germany goes down.
00:03:03.820And why is that? I think that's very interesting.
00:03:05.720And so it's a sort of study of contrast.
00:03:09.240There's a right way to go about things.
00:03:11.660There's a wrong way to go about things.
00:03:13.380Those guys kind of, I would say, nailed it.
00:13:20.160And he starts to have increasingly strong views about how he sees Germany should be.
00:13:24.520And he goes to a meeting in a beer colour of the Darcher Ibeite Partei,
00:13:29.740which is the German People's Party, which has been set up by Anton Drexler,
00:13:32.860who is friends with people like Rudolf Hess and various others
00:13:39.640who have been part of the Tula Society, which is a sort of, you know,
00:13:45.480woo-woo kind of, you know, where do we all come from,
00:13:49.080sort of ancient Aryan myths kind of vibe with some anti-Semitism thrown in.
00:13:55.360And they've all sort of merged into the DAP, the Deutsche, the German Workers' Party.
00:14:00.940And he goes there and he stands up and speaks and everyone goes,
00:14:04.020wow, you know, who is this guy? And he's really good at it.
00:14:07.540and he starts to speak more and more and he suddenly becomes a star and i can't remember
00:14:14.000it's 1920 or 1921 that drexler changes the name to the you know the national socialist
00:14:19.260workers party the nazis um germans by the way don't do acronyms they do abbreviations
00:14:26.680so you know the stuka for example is a is an abbreviation nazi is an abbreviation uh rather
00:14:33.140than an acronym. And Hitler then just takes over. And it's just completely obvious that he should
00:14:40.080take over because he's the leading light. He's the person that everyone listens to. And suddenly
00:14:43.880he can hold a room. And he finds this incredibly liberating, this ability to stand in a beer
00:14:50.620cellar, stand in a room and hold everyone's attention with his rhetoric. And he can just
00:14:56.060speak in fully formed paragraphs and sentences. And all his speeches follow exactly the same
00:15:01.780They start off, you know, we were robbed. We were kind of, you know, we were stabbed in the back, which is Hindenburg's line from spring of 1918.
00:15:14.620This idea that it wasn't the fault of the generals and the commanders in the First World War.
00:15:18.300They were stabbed in the back by the politicians and by commies and, you know, Bolsheviks and so on.
00:15:24.300But it was entirely their fault. I mean, you know, they were party to going to war in the first place.
00:15:28.820They were egging on the Kaiser. They were promising military miracles that couldn't be achieved and all the rest of it.
00:15:36.000So, you know, if anyone in any war, there's always a combination of people that are responsible for what happens.
00:15:43.700But they had as much blood on their hands as anyone, you know, the Ludendorce and Hindenburgs and all the other senior commanders.
00:15:49.380So to kind of try and absolve themselves and pass the blame on something else was, you know, cowardly and ridiculous and not true.
00:15:56.080But it tapped into a kind of need of a lot of these veterans
00:16:04.440who were coming back who were angry, disappointed.
00:16:06.500You know, we've just fought through this.
00:16:21.560And so Hitler, in his speeches, is able to tap into that anger,
00:16:25.200But he would always then end his speeches with hope.
00:16:30.140We can rise again. The German people can be great again.
00:16:34.020But part of this, reaching this point of hope, was also about setting up the enemy.
00:16:42.340And so what he does is this us and them.
00:16:45.400And us is Volksgemeinschaft and Franzgemeinschaft.
00:16:50.340And there's no literal translation for Volksgemeinschaft at all.
00:16:53.400But it is it is a sense of. We as Germans are linked inextricably by culture, by race, by being northern Europeans, by being at heart German Christians, even if you don't believe in it.
00:17:13.700by a sort of a heritage and inheritance that we instigate.
00:17:21.180It's a bit like sort of, you know, the Pashtun Wadi Code or something
00:45:58.240And you're also saying, if you're from a democracy, you're saying, hang on a minute, we've just given women the vote.
00:46:03.620We are progressing. We don't want all this threatened by some new movement, which is even worse than the kind of sort of imperialist shower of imperial Russia.
00:46:17.660You know, the last thing we want is Europe and its democracies
00:46:21.680and its progression and its modernity being overrun
00:46:24.540by this totally awful, oppressive, proletariat movement.
00:46:34.880And so on the communist piece, before we get back to the story,
00:46:38.360the second thing I want to ask you is something you just pointed out,
00:46:40.800which is about the horseshoe theory of political convergence.
00:46:44.360if you told me that there was a party which had the word socialist and workers in it
00:46:49.220i'd say that's a far left party and when we had the philosopher history steven hicks on the show
00:46:57.380who we love and we talked about nazism he talked about the fact that if you look at the economic
00:47:02.260program there's not a jot of difference between that and communism actually in terms of the
00:47:06.960economic side of it and i now see sometimes people on the internet arguing about whether
00:47:12.220the Nazis were actually left or right wing,
00:50:03.060You know, so it is really, really different.
00:50:08.080And I would be very, very wary about saying that actually they're closer than you think.
00:50:14.620They are closer so much that the two, the horseshoe, the horns, whatever you want to, the analogy you want to use, are coming towards each other.
00:52:10.080You know, yes, there is Salon Kitty and all the rest of it.
00:52:12.840And, you know, if you want to be gay and take lots of drugs,
00:52:16.140nowhere better to be in the world in 1929 than Berlin.
00:52:19.900in. But that is not defining Weimar. Weimar is defined by democratic political processes,
00:52:29.180by a growing economy and the notion that Germany can rebuild itself and its fortunes by its
00:52:38.100It's immensely capable and competent technological and industrial output.
00:52:48.160And so it's growing as a major, major exporter of fine stuff.
00:52:53.940I mean, German engineers are known the world over as the best.
00:52:57.640You know, these are the people that create the Myrna Dam and the Ada Dam
00:53:00.360and these huge works projects before the First World War.
00:53:02.940You know, these are German scientists are absolutely cutting edge of medical science, of astrophysics, of all sorts of things, of engineering.
00:53:16.220And leading engineers in Weimar are absolutely household names.
00:53:21.040You know, it's not football players that people are collecting cards of, cigarette cards of.
00:53:25.260It's, you know, it's engineers and great men of letters and musicians and artists and so on.
00:53:30.860So Germany is able to do this through a series of help projects that have really come from the United States above anywhere else.
00:53:41.620I mean, it is the Doors plan of late 1923, which really kickstarts this, where France and Britain are paying back war loans to the United States.
00:53:54.520United States, and this is obviously massively simplified,
00:53:57.580but in its basic form, are then funneling those repayments
00:54:01.060back to Germany, which is then getting an offer.
00:54:03.800They create this temporary currency to sort of get rid
00:54:06.740of the Reichsmark, which is, to get rid of the mark,
00:54:08.980the Deutsche Mark, rather, which is one that's having
00:54:17.420The temporary currency is stabilising things
00:54:20.440in conjunction with these loans which are coming in.
00:54:23.520Then comes the Young Plan at the beginning of 1929, which enables, and this is Owen Young, who is the chairman of General Electric in America, and Charles G. Dawes is a banker from Chicago.
00:54:37.680And the two of them work together under the auspices of the American government to try and alleviate the problems of America and try and alleviate the harshness of the terms of the Versailles Treaty.
00:54:50.320So first of all, you have the Doors plan, which is money, a massive injection of cash and helping stabilize the currency.
00:54:57.380Then you have the Young plan of early part of 1929, which reassesses the repayments and reestablishes.
00:55:05.640So that instead of paying it, you know, X by X, it's now going to be the final loans we paid in 1988.
00:55:13.320So it's so far off that you might just actually just forget about it.
00:55:16.380And basically there's gaps in the loan payments which are sanctioned.
00:55:19.940And, you know, Germany is able to basically see off the worst
00:55:26.100of the financial burden of the Treaty of Versailles.
00:55:31.300And that happens at the beginning of 1929.
00:55:34.140So by the summer of 1929, Germany's in a really pretty good position.
00:55:40.700You know, FIMR is flourishing, exports are on the rise to a massive extent.
00:55:45.980The factories are working. People are employed. It's all really good, which is why the Nazi party is just, you know, absolutely kicked into long grass because it's because all of that anger and resentment and that vision is is meaningless because we're actually we're doing just fine.
00:55:59.860thanks very much. But that view of a sort of drug-addled, you know, sex-obsessed, kind
00:56:13.540of ultra-liberal Weimar of Salon Kitty, that is 100% pure Goebbels propaganda.
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00:58:17.760So, but then you had this amazing time, this golden period in German history,
00:58:24.060but it all ended rather quickly, didn't it?
01:00:37.400So you develop hotels for motorcars, which are called motels and, you know, so on and so forth.
01:00:43.120And so suddenly, you know, America's absolutely booming and it's got Hollywood and it's got skyscrapers and it's got everything and it's all absolutely fine.
01:00:49.280And they, for the first time, if they've really started to curb the amount of immigrants, so there's these quotas per country and they're very, very strict quotas.
01:00:56.980So, you know, to say you've got fewer Austrians and you have Czechoslovakians, you can't sort of take the Czechoslovakian quota and add it onto the Austrians.
01:01:06.580it's all very strict and you've also got the first part of tariffs coming on which is one of the
01:01:12.880reasons why Europe is developing its own automobile industry because that and that's why you haven't
01:01:19.300got that many Model T forwards in Europe because they're keeping it internally because of tariffs
01:01:23.520but then comes the Wall Street crash of October end of October 1929 where 810 billion is wiped
01:01:31.260from the stock exchange in New York in five days and 810 billion is a huge sum now. It's a vast
01:01:37.820sum in 1929 and it is an absolute catastrophe. And banks are going bust and there's more paper
01:01:48.040money in America than there is actually gold and so people are just being ruined. Millionaires
01:01:55.260are becoming impoverished you know paupers just overnight um and it is an absolute catastrophe
01:02:01.660and it is exacerbated by an existing piece of legislation which is then passed which which
01:02:08.800had been lined up before the wall street crash so in the summer of 19 spring and summer of 1929
01:02:14.920um two senators smoot and hawley come up with this idea to be more protectionist and try and
01:02:21.560impose greater trade tariffs on other nations because they could see that Germany and France
01:02:28.440particularly France had increased its exports by 50 percent in the last couple of years
01:02:32.580try and protect itself against that against cheaper labor in Europe and protect Americans
01:02:38.260that will have this this trade act once the Wall Street crash happens Smoot and Hawley think well
01:02:46.200let's push ahead with this this this tariff act because that will protect us even more particularly
01:02:50.940it will protect American farmers and what we can do is we can make sure that that we try and blunt
01:02:59.520the kind of awfulness of the Wall Street crash by protecting ourselves but of course it's a
01:03:05.060terrible terrible idea because tariff wars only end up with everyone getting poorer and again
01:03:12.160human behavior there's patterns of human behavior that prove that this is the case and patterns of
01:03:18.020the ebbs and flows of financial cycles show that this is the case, regardless of President
01:03:23.760McKinley and his tariffs in the start of the 20th century. And so it's passed by President
01:03:32.620Herbert Hoover on the 28th of May 1930, despite the fact that over a thousand economists in the
01:03:39.000US write to him and say, please, please, please, do not do this. This is what's going to happen
01:03:43.800if you do it. And he feels compelled, Huber is instinctively against signing it, but feels
01:03:49.000compelled to do it because it is voted for by the Republicans in Congress. And so it goes into being.
01:03:57.500And what starts off as a really, really bad knock-on effect for Europe and America with the
01:04:03.980Wall Street crash becomes a catastrophe as a result of it, because suddenly there's a global
01:04:08.540trade war and it leads directly to the collapse of the national bank in Vienna and indeed in Berlin
01:04:16.260and so suddenly Germany which has been doing very nicely thank you very much thanks to the loans
01:04:22.560it's getting from the United States and to its growing burgeoning export trade is suddenly
01:04:29.700smashed because the tap of loans for America is cut off inevitably because America can't afford
01:04:36.200to give them any more and its export market just goes and so what you suddenly get is lots of
01:04:41.900Germans within a general you know within 10 years from eight years nine years have suddenly already
01:04:48.240been through this catastrophe once and they don't want to go through it again and what you find in
01:04:54.100democracies is when the traditional ways or the existing ways of politics seems to be failing the
01:05:02.900working classes and the middle classes they get unhappy about it and you know this is the truth
01:05:08.780the truth is is the very rich are usually okay because after all if you've got five million and
01:05:13.660you lose a million you still got four million you know if you've got 10 billion and you lose
01:05:18.220two billion you still got eight billion if you're on a salary of today's money you know 500,000
01:05:23.820bucks and you suddenly get out of a job you've got nothing you know if you're a working class
01:05:28.560blue-collar worker, and, you know, still works in Pittsburgh, and you get laid off, you've got
01:05:35.140nothing. So that's the same with Weimar Republic. And this catastrophe, this economic catastrophe,
01:05:43.880which envelops Germany just at the point where they're kind of emerging quite successfully,
01:05:49.520the fact that it's been successful makes it doubly worse. And so the president, who by this
01:05:55.900point is hindenburg is desperately trying to kind of sort it out and has this series of elections
01:06:00.620and then imposes his own chancellor who's heinrich bruning who's one of the guy who's one of the
01:06:05.780leading lights behind uh the creation of the different currency in 19 back end of 1923 who's
01:06:12.200done great works for stabilizing the german economy at the kind of height of it of the
01:06:17.220awfulness of the early 1920s bruning is an economist comes in takes control and he goes
01:06:23.740there's only one way we're going to do it we have to tighten our belts we have to impose a whole
01:06:26.960load of austerity measures and the voting people of germany don't like this because they don't want
01:06:32.880lower wages they don't want to be out of a job they don't want unemployment they don't want to
01:06:37.340higher rents they don't want a higher cost of living they were they're very angry about this
01:06:43.260and so suddenly you have a political void because the existing politics in the democracy isn't
01:06:48.400working so what are the alternatives well the alternatives into that void are communism or
01:06:54.280national socialism and the interesting thing is you also have an adolf hitler who tried to gain
01:07:01.140power through physical force but he also learned his lesson and thought to himself let's go the
01:07:07.860legitimate route let's go legitimate route and let's let's also try try the modern way let's
01:07:12.760actually reach as many people as possible let's tap into the into the farmers for example absolutely
01:07:17.580vital part of the voting public in Germany. Let's tap into the farmers. Let's also use air power
01:07:24.060to visit and travel around the whole of Germany delivering speeches. And people are mesmerised
01:07:30.360about it because in the early 1920s, before the Beer Hill push, only a small number of people
01:07:34.040are hearing him, largely because radio as a means of public address is in its infancy.
01:11:55.840Yeah, the same. That's all tied up into the same thing.
01:11:58.860And so for a lot of Germans, you know, a lot of Germans sort of go, well, I've never had anything against the Jews, you know, all right, you know, one of my neighbours, one of my best mates is a Jew, all this sort of thing.
01:12:07.240But, you know, on the other hand, you know, Hitler is promising this.
01:12:10.320And Hitler is very lucky because he comes into time as a chancellor just at the moment where the economy is just starting to take a dip for the better, a rise for the better.
01:40:52.220I've gone into this situation, I've gone into war, my bluff has been called, Britain and France have entered it, I've got rid of France, I've got rid of everything else, but the pantry is already half bare by late summer of 1940, I'm running out of everything, this sort of smoke and mirrors show of kind of military grandioseness is kind of going to get called out if I'm not careful, if I'm not careful.
01:41:17.060I know the Red Army is a bit rubbish because it's just gone to war with Finland and got humiliated.
01:41:23.120And I know they've had the purges in 1937, 1938.
01:41:37.420But, you know, what they're doing is they're taking the wrong lessons.
01:41:39.520The reason why they're able to win in France is because there are petrol stations in France.
01:41:43.260So when their panzer runs out of fuel, they can go into a petrol station and go, you know, fill her up, you know, Jean Hilaire, and the petrol is there.
01:41:52.520That isn't the case in Soviet Union, which is infrastructurally extremely threadbare and operates at a different railway loading gauge, for starters, and there aren't many roads and blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.
01:42:07.580And so they come up with this madcap idea that, oh, my God, you know, what we'll do?
01:42:56.800I mean, they just get it completely wrong.
01:42:59.040And so they're really shocked when they don't have
01:43:02.160the same walkover that they do against Poland, against Scandinavia, against Holland, the low
01:43:06.940countries in France that don't have air defence systems. And the air defence system means that
01:43:12.340you can see when your enemy is coming. You can make sure that your aircraft aren't on the ground
01:43:16.740when they come over to that airfield in Biggin Hill or wherever it might be. And they can be
01:43:21.360airborne. And not only that, you can control them and attack the Luftwaffe when they come over on
01:43:27.580your terms rather on their terms but that hasn't been the case in aerial conflict in aerial warfare
01:43:33.500up to that point in the second world war so the germans just go and go well you know slam dunk
01:43:38.360it's just easy we'll go over we'll go and destroy them all on the ground then we'll run in and we'll
01:43:41.600drop some paratroopers and all the rest of it and you know jobs job done and it's just they have this
01:43:46.120terrible shock and it's the same when they go into the soviet union they think it's going to be easy
01:43:51.680peasy and it isn't because it's vast and they've completely underestimated the the strength of the
01:43:58.920Soviet Union and they they can see from their own intelligence picture the bulk of the Red Army is
01:44:04.160is along the western border and that's largely because Stalin is thinking of invading into
01:44:10.180Europe into Romania and Bulgaria from the southwest anyway so that's why they're all there ready for
01:44:15.620their own attack which is probably going to attack which is going to begin on the 25th of July might
01:44:20.940not but that's what they're kind of working towards so they're all mass so it feels like a
01:44:24.680really easy victory because there they all are there's lots of aircraft and new airfields that
01:44:28.400the russians have built you know on the border and so it's so it's so it's easy so again they
01:44:33.860kind of think that they've they've got this easy victory but then suddenly there's a whole new
01:44:38.760wave of new divisions and new armies which are appearing and the vast mass of military superiority
01:44:45.580in terms of numbers that suddenly appears on the battlefield
01:44:49.020slows the Germans down, which is compounded by the fact
01:44:53.540that they're now operating 500, 750 kilometres
01:44:56.760from their start place and from their railheads
01:44:59.620and from where their supply chain's starting.
01:45:02.940And they can't do it. They just can't maintain it.
01:45:05.960They have also reached their culmination point
01:45:08.040where they can no longer operate at the level they want to operate
01:45:11.280because their supply chains are so long.
01:45:13.360So, you know, if you've got if you're 500 miles or 500 kilometers from your from your start line to your front panzer troops, that's a thousand miles because you've got to go there.
01:45:24.300Then you've got to go back again and you've got to extend the railway line.
01:45:28.680You've got to change the loading gauge all the time.
01:45:30.820Now, you can do that at a rate of about 20 kilometers a day.
02:00:59.540I mean, the absolute one thing that is completely certain,
02:01:02.320The moment that Hitler takes power in January 1933 is that at some point there is going to be a massive clash between the Soviet Union and Nazi Germany.
02:01:14.160And when that happens and how it pans out and what form it takes, that's all up for grabs.
02:01:19.020But the one thing that isn't up for grabs is that it's going to happen.
02:01:23.380And I think you can argue there's a very, very strong case for thinking that the Soviet Red Army was going to go and invade in Romania and Bulgaria.
02:01:32.320in july 1941 the problem is is because he started the war because he hasn't won the battle of
02:01:39.280britain he's got no let out he's got he's got he's got no alternative he's he's either and
02:01:46.960and because he's running out of resources because he because there's an economic blockade by by the
02:01:51.680royal navy because they're pegged in into the center of europe he's got no means of getting
02:01:58.000the resources he needs and because they don't have the wits to kind of galvanize the french and the
02:02:02.720dutch and everything else to to operate to their advantage and they don't have oil the biggest oil
02:02:08.880producer in the world in the 1940s is the united states the second biggest is venezuela the third
02:02:14.960biggest is you know azerbaijan uzbekistan you know the the caucasus so within the sphere of the of the
02:02:23.200of the ussr and some way behind that is the oil fields of the middle east germany doesn't have
02:02:30.880any connection to any of those so it's dependent on its alliance of the soviet union effect getting
02:02:37.040its oil which the soviet union is going to break if germany doesn't break it
02:02:40.880or it's dependent on the oil fields of romania
02:02:44.240at Plouesti, which the Soviet Union have all but kind of surrounded