In this episode of Trigonometry, Francis Foster and Konstantin Kudrin talk to Russia's most prominent libertarian and political activist, Michael Svetov. They discuss the current political situation in Russia, the role of the opposition to Vladimir Putin, and the importance of a free and fair election system.
00:00:00.000The reason why you think Putin is irreplaceable is precisely because he's like, you know, like a witch from the Snow White, you know, who's the fairest of them all?
00:00:11.580Well, after you poison every Snow White in the country, you know, you're the fairest of them all.
00:00:46.140Thanks for having me. Hi, Konstantin. Hi.
00:00:48.700Yeah, there you go. Well, I mispronounced your name or I pronounced it in the English way to start with after you spent five minutes training Francis to pronounce it correctly.
00:01:03.720Because you're not actually in Russia at the moment.
00:01:05.660What has been your journey through life that leads you to be sitting here talking to us?
00:01:10.040Well, I'm Russia's most prominent libertarian, as you mentioned before.
00:01:13.700And I've been really active in Russian activist circles for a couple of years now.
00:01:19.200And I've organized some of the most successful rallies in Russia.
00:01:23.000Not many people know that the Libertarian Party of Russia organized a rally of 60,000 people in Moscow just a couple of years ago, two years ago to be exact, in defense of free speech online, in defense of privacy of conversation, in defense of telegram.
00:01:37.540It was a big news in the international media as well, and I played a major role in organizing those rallies.
00:01:44.380I'm also famous for reading lectures about libertarianism, and my biggest accomplishment
00:01:50.940is that I actually toured Russia from Kaliningrad to Yuzhno-Sakalinsk, that's the far east
00:01:57.240of Russia, reading lectures in over 70 cities of Russia.
00:02:01.640All of them were very successful, and that's my biggest accomplishment, something I'm most
00:02:23.120It took place in the big concert hall.
00:02:25.920The recording is available on my YouTube channel.
00:02:28.620And nothing like this, at least as far as I know, has never been done anywhere else.
00:02:33.520I mean, 1,600 people listening to a lecture read by a philosopher and economist, that's something.
00:02:39.500So whenever people act surprised that Russia has a libertarian party and it's been quite prominent for the last several years, I always act surprised in return because, you know, we did things that seem impossible even in the U.S. and seem ridiculous in Europe.
00:02:59.380Well, it's great to have you on. And I think we'll get into some of your work a little bit further on. But I think it's impossible to discuss anything about Russia, particularly for a Western audience, which is mostly who we have without contextualizing a little bit, because most people, I know this for a fact in the West, don't really understand what's happening.
00:03:19.200to be honest with you, I wouldn't even claim to necessarily know the ins and outs of what's going
00:03:24.420on. So can you give people, first of all, a broad perspective of where Russia is today?
00:03:31.340What has happened? Who is Vladimir Putin? How has he been in power for so long? You know,
00:03:37.560all the electoral shenanigans that are going on and all of that. Can you just give people a big
00:03:41.900picture view before we get into everything else? Well, yeah, Russia is in a very difficult place
00:03:46.160right now. We just had elections two days ago, and they were fraught with falsifications, with
00:03:54.380ballot stuffing and things like that. And basically, United Russia, that's the Putin's
00:03:59.100party, claimed victory, even though they didn't gather enough votes to actually win properly.
00:04:04.600But there's nothing civil society can do. So there's no rallies because most of the activists
00:04:09.180has been jailed. Like the last nine months were spent just jailing every single dissident in
00:04:16.540Russia. So the biggest story you probably heard about is the story of Alexei Navalny, who's been
00:04:22.180poisoned by Novichok last year. He survived. He found people who attacked him. He dared to come
00:04:29.060back to Russia and he was apprehended and put to jail right in the airport when he boarded off
00:04:36.020the plane. So that's the situation we've been struggling with in the past months. And I myself
00:04:43.220had to leave Russia because most of my team, like the people who made the successes that we'll be
00:04:47.840talking about today, possible last year, two years ago, three years ago, most of them were
00:04:53.240dispersed. Some of them are under house arrest right now. Some of my closest allies are under
00:04:58.080house arrest. Most of my allies had to flee Russia. I left Russia myself as well, not because of the
00:05:03.740direct political prosecution even though just three months ago I was in jail three months ago
00:05:08.800I had another house search my house searched again so that's the kind of pressure we're living under
00:05:14.560and Russia's been very very difficult place to do any kind of political activism but and it's
00:05:20.700getting worse unfortunately. It's interesting that you're saying it's getting worse because
00:05:25.560hasn't Russia always had this history of you know powerful leaders crushing down on you know the
00:05:33.160individuals and the people who live in Russia. Yeah, but we had this window of freedom 20 years
00:05:40.400from early 90s to, let's say, to the late noughties that felt freer than ever before. But now that
00:05:48.880Putin cracked back on the civil society, now it's getting really bad again. So Russia today is very
00:05:56.760different from Russia two years ago. As I mentioned, the kind of work I've been doing in Russia for the
00:06:01.960past years is impossible today. Like the biggest example, two years ago, I opened the first
00:06:08.120libertarian club in Russia called New Sincerity, and it felt like a good idea just two short years
00:06:13.420ago. But then the whole thing with Navalny happened, the poisoning, his survival, his return
00:06:18.140home, and his incarceration. And now it's something that's impossible to imagine. I had to close it
00:06:24.000down. Police raided several times. They forced us to close for several months, and it's impossible
00:06:29.820to hold a place of conversation anymore even though a kind of conversation was possible
00:06:35.940just recently even less than a year ago it was still possible really the things turned to the
00:06:41.480worst nine months ago when Alexei Navalny came came back to Russia and why is that why is this
00:06:48.360sudden crackdown happening is it because Putin has felt that his power is being threatened that
00:06:53.480he's not as strong as he used to be therefore he needs to introduce more draconian measures
00:06:58.840Well, he's as strong as he used to be.
00:07:01.060The reason why he's cracking down is because he saw an example of Ukraine.
00:09:37.560But to me, it always felt ridiculous because I remember the interviews that Putin gave in 1999 when he was first appointed as a prime minister back then, before he became president.
00:09:49.580One of the first interviews he gave, he was asked, you know, other people you trust, you can trust 100 percent, other people you can rely on.
00:09:59.200And he named one person who nobody knew at the time, whose name country didn't learn for another eight years.
00:10:06.020and that was Dmitry Medvedev, he said, that's the person I can rely on 100%.
00:10:10.280So when they made the switch rule, when Medvedev became president,
00:10:15.240I was sure that, you know, that's basically the same party, the same person ruling the country.
00:10:20.380And it proved to be correct when they switched back four years after that,
00:10:25.200when Medvedev seceded the presidential post back to Putin again.
00:10:30.640And after that, after that, things turned more authoritarian.
00:10:34.460So, in the first eight years, Putin generally was a very liked president.
00:10:39.820Like, I didn't like him, most of dissidents didn't like him, but it was hard to argue that he was really popular.
00:10:45.700After that, the Ukrainian war happened, the annexation of Crimea, and that gave him a different kind of boost,
00:10:54.320a different kind of boost of popularity than he had before.
00:12:17.560I think he's driving country to the ground,
00:12:19.480but he's been doing it very competently,
00:12:22.180and he didn't allow any kind of dissent during his five terms in power now.
00:12:31.140And why is it that he's been allowed to serve five terms
00:12:34.000if, as Constantin alluded to, there was a set limit?
00:12:39.420Well, there is a limit on consecutive terms.
00:12:42.860So you can't stay president for three consecutive terms, only two consecutive terms.
00:12:47.900But if you make a switcheroo, the kind of switcheroo that he did with Dmitry Medvedev, then you're allowed an extra two consecutive terms.
00:12:55.740And then we had this referendum. Well, it wasn't really a referendum.
00:12:59.220It was a plebiscite where he asked people if it was all right for him to change the constitution to allow him to stay in power pretty much indefinitely.
00:13:08.180And that's happened last year, the big plebiscite. So now there is no limit whatsoever.
00:13:12.760And the one thing that we think of Putin in the West is that his ruthlessness, particularly when it comes to his enemies and particularly when it comes to the use of poison, why does he do that?
00:13:27.220Why? And particularly, why is it always poison?
00:13:30.980Because it works. I mean, the question you should ask yourself is why shouldn't he do what he does?
00:13:36.760because it allows him to reach the goals that he sets.
00:16:39.200So, of course, right now there is no alternative to Putin.
00:16:42.060But the only reason there is no alternative to Putin
00:16:44.680is because Putin did everything in his power
00:16:47.300to make it so. I think it's what all tyrants and all dictators do, really. They destroy any
00:16:57.280meaningful opposition and they come to the public and say, well, look, there is nobody except me.
00:17:02.760And that's exactly what Putin did. So how popular do you think he actually is? Because
00:17:07.460you make a very good point. For example, Ceausescu, the Romanian dictator, he had a 93%
00:17:13.100approval rating the day before he was taken out and shot, right? So he was obviously not that
00:17:19.480popular, but in dictatorships, I take your point, the popularity rating, according to polls, is kind
00:17:26.620of irrelevant. So how popular do you think he actually is in Russia? I think he was very popular
00:17:31.680throughout most of his time in power, but I think it changes right now. And the last election we had
00:17:37.280just two days ago, showed that his party, United Russia, couldn't achieve the success that they were
00:17:44.960hoping for. So they had to use tough ballots. They had to falsify the elections in order to
00:17:52.880secure the seats that they needed. There's a really clear evidence that the last election
00:17:59.420was heavily falsified on both ends, on offline ballots, real-life ballots, and on the digital
00:18:06.060election front as well. We have this digital election system based on blockchain that's
00:18:11.980been used to actually swing the election in favor of United Russia.
00:18:16.920Mikhail, wouldn't you say that actually Russia needs a Putin? Because it's a country that is not
00:18:25.420particularly stable. It's large. And if you have a democracy, wouldn't that therefore mean that
00:18:32.300there'd be certain parts of it that want to become independent, and it would be fundamentally
00:18:36.760unstable as an entity? Well, I think people should be given a chance. There will never be an
00:18:43.780alternative to a dictator as long as there is a dictator in power. So we will never know what
00:18:48.540other options are. So we have this, well, he's an opposition leader, we call him that, Alexei
00:18:56.140Navalny, the man I mentioned earlier. And he managed to gather a serious support in Russia.
00:19:02.880He had chapters of his organization in every major city in Russia. He ran for mayor of Moscow
00:19:11.200and almost won several years ago. And he hasn't been allowed to participate in elections ever
00:19:17.240since so uh the the the reason why you think putin is uh uh irreplaceable is precisely because he's
00:19:25.940like uh you know like a witch from the snow white you know who's the fairest of them all well after
00:19:31.240you poison every snow white in the country you know you're the fairest of them all and that's
00:19:35.740the logic of putin and has his reign been undermined is coronavirus playing a big factor in
00:19:42.060that go for it yeah well i think uh the whole thing with coronavirus is just uh uh it's been
00:19:50.840so depressing not just in russia but in the entire world as well in russia it's being used
00:19:54.940exactly the same way it's been used in the u.s and in australia right now basically every time
00:20:00.500it's convenient you know you crack down you say that there's a quarantine uh you have to stay
00:20:05.520home. There is this whole criminal case against activists right now who are basically being
00:20:12.040framed for spreading the coronavirus by means of organizing a political rally. So it is being used
00:20:18.140for political means whenever it's convenient, but whenever there is a big prestigious event like
00:20:24.980the European football match that took place in St. Petersburg a couple of months ago,
00:20:33.660You know, all the quarantine measures are being lifted whenever there is an election.
00:20:38.140And that was very, very funny as well.
00:20:40.480We had elections that I mentioned two days ago and all the quarantine measures were lifted.
00:20:44.580And once they were over, the government came in and said, well, you know, you can't have rallies.
00:20:50.160You can't oppose the election results because we have coronavirus and actually we're bringing back your codes as well.
00:20:56.140So it is being used by a tyrannical government to reach its political means.
00:21:02.680Yeah. And Mikko, the other thing that people in the West often associate with Russia without really understanding the full meaning is people describe Russia as a kleptocracy, which I know is another thing, one of the things that you would be concerned about as an as an opposition activist.
00:21:18.200Can you explain to people in in a kind of broad brush detail what that actually means?
00:21:24.040Because I think, again, in my experience, people in the West have absolutely no idea what what we're talking about.
00:21:31.560Well, kleptocracy basically is when you have the ruling class and Putin and his closest
00:21:36.720associate dealing with using the government budget as their own piggy bank.
00:21:41.100And that's what they've been doing for the past 20 years.
00:21:43.800Every single friend of Putin's became extremely rich in the past 20 years.
00:21:48.280And the kind of crippled down economy that you usually took in the West, it works in
00:24:57.200She's been in the Western News as well.
00:24:59.300She was in the list of extremists and terrorists as well
00:25:02.160for sending a meme in her private message to a friend
00:25:06.320when she was living in a tiny city in Russia.
00:25:09.920So she was not a political activist back then.
00:25:12.320She is now because of the story she went through.
00:25:14.560But she was not a political activist back then.
00:25:16.680And still she was tried as a terrorist simply for sending a meme.
00:25:21.540And there are stories like this happening all the time.
00:25:24.680The biggest one out of three is the case of Ruslan Sokolovsky, who was a blogger as well.
00:25:30.720He recorded a video catching Pokemons, playing Pokemon Go inside a church.
00:25:35.820And for posting that video, he's been put in the list of terrorists and extremists, the same kind of list where people who actually bomb and kill people are being put in.
00:25:46.980And it took us over a year to help him get out of trouble.
00:25:51.720So, no, it's not enough. It's not good enough if you're not interested in politics because politics will get interested in you.
00:26:02.440And when it happens, there's nobody left to help you.
00:26:05.820And Mikhail, you mentioned something that I think is actually very important, something that, you know, I haven't lived in Russia for over 20 years now.
00:26:13.560But the one thing I really do associate very strongly with is Russian culture, Russian literature, Russian, the whole cultural sphere, which, you know, Russia has produced some of the greatest poets, the greatest artists, the greatest writers, a little bit depressing.
00:26:30.240But nonetheless, the greatest writers in history, even during very difficult, oppressive times.
00:26:37.140What has been the impact of the last 20 years on the cultural life of Russia, on the ability to produce the great satirists?
00:26:45.320I know that, for example, one of the people I really used to respect, like Viktor Shondorovich, he's not able to really be a satirist anymore.
00:26:52.720He's become a sort of dissident commentator because he can't actually make comedy shows on TV as he used to.
00:35:42.800Isn't it also as well, Mikhail, is that at one point you saw America as a unified country, whereas you look at America now, it seems to be a country at war with itself.
00:35:57.340So America always had dissent within its borders. And I think it's quite normal for a democracy, for a liberal democracy to disagree with each other. But what I think is not normal is having the kind of Putin-esque censorship that's taking place in social media.
00:36:14.160And I know there is this this fig leaf of explanation that, you know, well, it's a private property, so they can ban whomever they want.
00:36:23.360But we saw the leaks from the White House that, you know, the White House actually helps Facebook and helps Twitter to create white lists of people who it will not ban.
00:36:31.920We saw the conversation that the tech oligarchs had with the Democratic administration just before the election.
00:36:38.560So it all raises red flags. And I think this is a much bigger story.
00:37:11.080I want just to precise your point a little bit. It's not just about pointing in the other direction and saying, why can't we do the same? It's also about real politics. And I mentioned real politics before, is people in other countries use Western social media.
00:37:26.600And when Western social media is being censored in favor of a political party or a political force in the US, it triggers every single other country to, you know, to defend itself because it feels like the same kind of private censorship, call it what you will,
00:37:46.680will be used in local elections as well to sway the elections in favor of a different country,
00:37:52.860of a country that controls Facebook or Twitter or YouTube or Google or whatever.
00:37:58.140So in terms of real politics, it's a much graver situation.
00:38:01.260So it's not just ideology. It's not just moral high ground.
00:38:05.200It's real politics that changes it all.
00:38:08.680So the reason why Putin became so aggressive in censoring Western social medias in Russia
00:38:15.000is because he feels that the Western social media
00:38:17.980can be used to interfere in Russian elections.
00:38:20.740The same thing is being felt in Hungary.
00:38:22.580The same thing is being felt in Poland.
00:38:25.900And to be fair, the same thing is being felt in France as well
00:38:29.900because, well, you remember the reaction of Macron
00:38:33.580and Angela Merkel in Germany when Donald Trump was banned.
00:38:38.300because they felt that the same kind of instrument
00:38:40.440can be used to sway elections in their own constituencies.
00:38:44.580Well, they're smart then, because this is the point I've been trying to make to British politicians as much as I can.
00:38:51.160You've got to understand, these people are going to have the power to decide whether you get re-elected or not if you allow this to continue.
00:38:58.200And not enough people, I think, grasp that.
00:39:01.500So with that in mind, what about the sort of the stuff that you and I talked about when I was on your show,
00:39:07.040the culture war, if you like, the cultural debates, the cultural, I mean, it's not debates, really.
00:39:13.860it's war at this point, I think, that we are seeing here in the West, all of the discussions
00:39:19.320about sort of reshaping society. Is that happening in Russia? Or is that a thing that sort of
00:39:27.800Westerners, rich and bored as we are, can get involved with? No, it is being discussed in
00:39:34.600Russia as well, primarily because everyone in Russia uses Western social media, and that's
00:39:38.980being interpreted by Putin as a kind of a cultural war, especially after everything that we just
00:39:46.460discussed, after the censorship started to take place, etc. So it is a factor. It's not a major
00:39:51.480factor because the grasp of traditional media on Russian audience is still quite strong, stronger
00:39:58.520than it is in the West, I think. But it is being discussed. And I think one other factor that is
00:40:03.780rarely discussed, and I'm going to put it in the most mild words possible, is that, well,
00:40:10.760the reality of politics in the world is that whenever you have an opposition, the opposition
00:40:17.100seeks whatever support it can get. And it seeks support in other countries as well. And the U.S.
00:40:23.960is the country that is most generous with its support. And its support is conditional. So
00:40:28.880So whenever it starts to help a certain political group within Russia, and I'm not naming names and I'm not going to tell who I'm referring to, but it happens all the time.
00:40:40.480They condition their support with a certain cultural agenda and Democratic Party is much more willing to give money for this sort of activism.
00:40:50.680So, what you get is that the political opposition within borders of a country, Russian borders, for example, gets colored with a certain cultural agenda.
00:41:04.420And that, in my opinion, that really, whomever accepts this kind of support shoots themselves in the leg.
00:41:12.560Mikhail, I'm going to interrupt you. I'm very sorry. I'm just very sorry.
00:41:15.880I know what exactly you mean, but let me state it as Russianly and bluntly as I can.
00:41:22.680You're talking about, I imagine, and correct me if I'm wrong, the U.S. says, here's some money for your opposition efforts, but you've got to focus it on LGBTQ+, blah, blah, blah, which will automatically discredit you massively in the eyes of ordinary Russian people.
00:41:43.100Absolutely. That's exactly what is happening.
00:41:45.460And I think the most obvious example of that we saw in Afghanistan.
00:41:49.340You saw the videos flowing from Afghanistan.
00:41:52.060They had gender studies being taught in Kabul.
00:41:55.200They had, you know, people talking about feminism.
00:41:57.120And I mean, OK, those those are values that I understand you feel like you have to defend those values.
00:42:01.880But you also have to take into consideration, you know, the kind of culture that country has, you know, and work within that culture.
00:42:08.220because otherwise you'll never achieve the kind of ends
00:42:12.300of building a functional society that you were striving for in Afghanistan.
00:42:18.360That's what I think brought the war to the fiasco that it had.
00:42:23.460In Russia, the same thing happens as well.
00:42:25.280The reason I didn't want to put it as bluntly as you did
00:42:27.620is because I have a lot of friends who will be watching this show
00:42:31.160and they'll take it personally and I didn't want them to take it personally.
00:45:52.540It's not a global empire like it used to be during the Soviet era.
00:45:55.860But it's much more convenient to prop up Russia as this big enemy
00:46:02.200because China is scary and ruining relations with China.
00:46:07.160Nobody can afford to ruin relations with China,
00:46:09.740but pretty much everyone can afford to ruin relations with Russia.
00:46:12.940And that gives you an idea that Russia does not really pose a serious threat
00:46:17.520Because when someone does pose a serious threat, you don't deal with it the same way that Russia has been dealt with by the West.
00:46:27.080Well, the last time the Soviet Union posed a genuinely serious threat that we had to, well, the West had to react to was the Cuban Missile Crisis when, you know, the West America pulled out all the stops to prevent Russia from having its nuclear missiles right on its border.
00:46:43.660and I guess what you're saying is the passive response to the poisonings of people in western
00:46:49.880countries the invasion of Ukraine etc etc shows you that the west isn't really that bothered about
00:46:56.240what Russia is doing because it's kind of local affairs they killed off a few Russian guys in
00:47:00.840London whatever who gives a shit really yeah yeah exactly that right so Russia does its thing and
00:47:06.840it can like poison a politician in London if it really wants to but it will be a Russian politician
00:47:11.360It doesn't have a real sway in the European election and the whole Russiagate that happened in the U.S. just felt so ridiculous, like watching from Russia.
00:47:20.880You know, nobody could have done a better PR campaign for Putin than the Democratic Party did because they basically created this kind of, you know, demigod, you know, who rules the American elections, who rules the European elections, you know, who has his hand pretty much in every single crisis in the world.
00:47:37.540And that's, I mean, yeah, Putin has been flattered by this kind of coverage.
00:47:43.100And it did a lot to raise his prestige within Russia.
00:47:47.480Because if you remember in the 90s, it was a decade of humiliation.
00:47:52.880A lot of Russians felt that, you know, Russia's been humiliated by the term of Boris Yeltsin.
00:47:59.040And when Putin came back, he said, well, you know, from now on, Russia will be respected.
00:48:03.280And the kind of, you know, Russiagate stories and the propping up Putin as a boogeyman, as a worldwide boogeyman, is actually, it feels like respect when you live in Russia.
00:48:17.560It feels like, well, now, you know, they're afraid.
00:48:19.700And if they're afraid, you know, they respect us.
00:48:22.180So I think it did more harm than good in terms of creating a functional political system in Russia.
00:48:29.280because a lot of people, every time there is another Russiagate happening in the US,
00:48:34.080a lot of people see it as a sign of strength of Putin's regime.
00:48:39.340It's very interesting that you say that because, you know, we've been fed this lie again and again.
00:48:44.900You know, the reason Trump came to power was because of the Russians.
00:48:49.200The reason Brexit happened was because of the Russians.
00:48:52.620I mean, you tried to get Jeremy Corbyn in it.
00:48:55.160Don't, don't, don't you fucking start.
00:49:35.000And by the way, if we're talking about the prestige of the West, you know, it's humiliating to see the Secretary of State, Anthony Blinken, you know, deleting the tweet that the U.S. will stand with the people of Hong Kong.