00:00:30.000hello and welcome to trigonometry i'm francis foster i'm constantin kissin and this is a show
00:00:40.500for you if you want honest conversations with fascinating people our brilliant guest today
00:00:46.120and very timely i dare say uh is a biochemical engineer and a corporate complex problem solver
00:00:52.000iva cummings welcome to trigonometry great to be here guys it's great to have you thank you so much
00:00:57.740for coming on the show. If people don't know who you are, just give them a little brief overview
00:01:02.220of who are you, how are you, where you are. How do you find yourself sitting here talking to us?
00:01:07.380Yeah, okay. Well, brief version, I'm a biochemical engineer originally. I'm around 30 years in
00:01:12.800corporate kind of high volume manufacturer, medical device and electrofluidics, all kinds
00:01:18.060of stuff. But my primary role has been as a complex problem solving leader, large teams
00:01:23.820across the world and I've also been a technical manager with teams directly reporting to me
00:01:28.780but again nearly always involved in problem solving multi-factor complex stuff so it's just
00:01:34.140been my whole life and around eight years ago I had some blood test issues so I began to research
00:01:40.120chronic disease and I discovered a lot that we have not been told so I got into that whole field
00:01:46.980and then more recently in March the corona thing kind of happened and by April it was quite clear
00:01:53.540that they weren't removing the lockdowns appropriately after we'd flattened the curve.
00:01:58.200And I began to focus more and more on the virology, the epidemiology, you know, all aspects
00:02:03.720of the science and indeed the lockdown so-called science.
00:02:07.360And I've been on that now for many, many months, getting a lot of material out there just to
00:02:12.360show people the data, the science, the logic, the rational approach, the balanced approach
00:02:17.880and counter the unusual hysteria that's actually occurred.
00:02:23.540And for anyone who's watching, who doesn't know who you are, I should say you're not one of these 5G David Icke people by any stretch of their imagination at all.
00:02:32.600But there's a lot of misinformation flying about.
00:02:35.380But you've obviously been interviewed on a bunch of mainstream shows and all that sort of thing.
00:02:40.520So take us right back to the beginning, Ivan, because you mentioned the initial lockdown.
00:03:22.120So why not do it? Now, I didn't believe it would make any real difference to lockdown because of the dormancy of viruses and because it was a high or virus that had been spreading for months and it was seasonally triggering, I figured, from my knowledge.
00:03:37.060and also Professor Michael Levitt, the Nobel Prize winner, who I interviewed months ago and
00:03:42.980met in London for our new coronavirus movie, interviewed him in 4K. He had done all the
00:03:49.500calculations from the China situation in February, and he had seen that the curve of mortality and
00:03:55.320impact follows a specific shape, kind of independent of lockdowns. And he had verified
00:04:01.760that for the Italian data. So he was already working out that this was not what they perceived,
00:04:07.740that the lockdowns would not do much that cause enormous economic damage, and that the curve
00:04:13.620would be followed kind of regardless. So at the time, I thought lockdown is not going to do much
00:04:19.720at this stage. But you know what, why not? And it was really in April, then I began to get more and
00:04:27.140more concerned when there was no desire to take out the lockdowns once the curve had turned.
00:04:33.200You know, the peak in the UK was, I think it was April 11th, and it was coming down and the
00:04:38.000hospitals were beginning to empty out. So we were clearly in a seasonal virus, similar to a very bad
00:04:44.280flu, and it was coming down following its pattern. So why not begin to take out the lockdowns?
00:04:50.940But there was no desire to do that. In Ireland, there was a four-month plan put in at the end of
00:04:55.980April. A four-month plan over the summer when our hospitals are emptying out. Kind of weird.
00:05:03.640So I really dug in there. And Ivor, we're talking about lockdown. In London, we're just about to go
00:05:11.240into a second lockdown. They're going to do a local lockdown that's going to come in as of
00:05:16.180Saturday. Why is it that governments are still pursuing this policy if, as you claim, that it
00:05:23.500simply doesn't work? Well, it will do something. But I agree at the moment, there is no justification
00:05:31.060whatsoever. I think there's an engine driving this of fear and ideology. So there's a belief
00:05:39.380system throughout the advisors and the government that lockdowns are a hammer that can crack the
00:05:46.380not. There's five published papers now that have actually analyzed the data for Europe,
00:05:53.400retrospectively real data, not Neil Ferguson modeling pie in the sky, but actual data,
00:05:59.200and have come to the conclusion that I said. But it appears they're not interested in the
00:06:04.420science of the data. They've got an ideology that lockdown helps, and they've got a fear
00:06:09.880coming into the winter. Now, all of the science would suggest that this winter will be not
00:06:15.420massively different than prior ones with or without lockdown, because these viruses go
00:06:21.400through an enormous hump when they're new to a naive, immuno-naive population. But then you get
00:06:27.800three key things that I always mention. There's many, but three key things. You get the passing
00:06:33.260of the most susceptible, so that changes the curve. You get immunity building in the community,
00:06:40.080you know, T cell mucosal and everything. And you have seasonal change coming into the summer and
00:06:47.400out of the winter. So those three things kind of acted on the curve and brought it down.
00:06:51.980As we come into the winter, we're going to see more respiratory challenges. And because we're
00:06:58.760testing in a hyper fashion with PCR tests, we're going to see SARS-CoV-2 virus more often in the
00:07:07.060winter. We know that from prior research on coronaviruses. So we're going to see things
00:07:11.720happen. But the question is, are we in immediate threat of a rapid hockey stick rise like back in
00:07:19.920March? And the fact is, look at the data for England. There's a steady rise. And in fact,
00:07:25.400it's mostly in northern England that probably didn't get hit as much in the first wave.
00:07:29.640it's completely controlled we know from spain who's way ahead of uk they've been flattening
00:07:37.160now for around five or six weeks you know at around two deaths per million people per day
00:07:43.420with the virus not necessarily driven directly from it and france has several weeks of flattening
00:07:50.000so we can see what happens in our neighbors a flattening and the uk if people want to think
00:07:57.480of it, in a real epidemic like back in March, you have a near vertical increase in impacts like we
00:08:03.180saw. What we have now is a nearly horizontal steady increase. There's simply no justification
00:08:10.700for lockdown type behavior that's more appropriate to a new virus coming into society with everyone
00:08:18.560exposed and a massive rise before a fall. It just doesn't make sense now scientifically.
00:19:10.620Mention you're a trigonometry fan and get 50% off your first session.
00:19:17.840But let's talk about, I mean, one of the things you talked about was essentially that the governments of our different European countries are essentially mostly pursuing ideological policies as opposed to science-based policies.
00:19:30.480while telling us they're following the science,
00:19:32.920which is a bit of an absurdity in and of itself
00:19:34.820because there's clearly no consensus on this issue among scientists.
00:19:38.800But as two comedians, we obviously are not in a position
00:19:42.280to judge the medical data or the scientific data.
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00:25:18.300And Ivor, this is, I think, is a point that we talk about a lot. It's a point that has meant
00:25:23.340that I've lost friends is a point that gets people very angry because the moment you mention it you
00:25:28.160become a right-wing Nazi etc etc but people don't seem to understand what happens when there is an
00:25:34.980economic crash not only to physical health but also to mental health. It's an absolute disaster
00:25:41.860there are plenty of studies on this and people argue that they're associational data but yes
00:25:47.460increased mortality and all kinds of bad things come from economic challenges and this economic
00:25:54.820challenge is enormous and because we have five papers now and more actually analyses showing
00:26:02.000that lockdown has a very limited benefit it's all cost the cost is enormous compared to the
00:26:09.040supposed benefit so it's an own goal of of spectacular proportions and now they want to go
00:26:16.500and kick the ball into their own net again and again. It's fascinating to watch. It's frightening
00:26:22.940to watch. It's scary. I have five children. I'm focused on the next generation. You know, I'm
00:26:29.120going to die. We're all going to die. And I mean, the average age in Ireland was 82 of the deceased,
00:26:37.160sadly, and 84 was the median. And the latest figures brought out for coronavirus, the WHO
00:26:44.540last night quietly put Professor John Ioannidis' analysis on their website very quietly. But his
00:26:53.560infection fatality rate, which the WHO and everyone at the start when everyone went crazy
00:26:59.520was thinking was a 3%, 4%, is actually 0.2% and 0.05% if you're below 70 years old. So the data
00:27:12.040is all there now but everyone is acting like nothing was learned in the last six months
00:27:18.960it's like a vacuum it's like we're back in march now facing into a genuine epidemic
00:27:25.100it's like we learn nothing it's like they're i don't know like mice in a wheel they're just
00:27:31.340trapped in some kind of hamster wheel okay so if that being the case why are we still
00:27:37.960and it's not just the uk it's lots of other countries why are we still pressing ahead with
00:27:44.260something that will guarantee our own economic destruction oh that's a big one so i roughly look
00:27:51.820at it that there's two primary mechanisms of driving this one of them is local in country
00:27:58.880so the government's got enormous fear back in march and they inflicted enormous fear on the
00:28:06.080population you could argue it was justified because it was their strategy to get the population
00:28:10.940fearful to use the media social media get people challenging other people amongst the community
00:28:16.800and shaming them that's actually published and that was to make sure they follow the guidelines
00:28:21.700so you could say okay i don't i don't think it's very honest or ethical but but okay we let it go
00:28:27.840they did too good a job and they're still doing too good a job so the fear created in the population
00:28:35.040now has gone into irrationality or arguably psychosis, given the actual data. And that
00:28:40.740psychosis is being projected back on the governments that are now demanding the governments
00:28:45.740do more, as you mentioned. So they've created this. In engineering, there's a lot of self-reinforcing
00:28:51.260loops that can occur. They're catastrophic. In this case, it certainly is. They've created a
00:28:56.900self-reinforcing loop that's catastrophic. But that's an in-country thing. And you could also
00:29:02.460add to that a little extra nuance. The politicians who are realizing now the magnitude of the mistake,
00:29:09.600if they don't lock down coming into the winter, and the winter turns out to be as I would expect,
00:29:17.360people are going to ask a lot of questions. They're going to say, but hold on, we didn't
00:29:21.300really lock down going into the winter. And it was kind of like a similar excess mortality to
00:29:25.320previous years. And that means this is really a seasonal flu-like illness. We thought it was some
00:29:31.120kind of crazy thing. So they're actually incentivized now to lockdown so they can
00:29:36.880credit a normal winter. They can credit the lockdowns that they're doing. Do you see the
00:29:42.580deceit? So there may be a big enough factor there in the people in politics who are more knowing
00:29:48.720about this. They'll know they need a kind of placebo lockdown to cover the story. So that's
00:29:55.740not conspiratorial. That's just politics. And I'm a long time in corporate politics. So that's why
00:30:00.640recognize these things so easily. But then that's the in-country, and that's a huge engine that's
00:30:07.000driving this. But we've got to keep in mind, too, that there are international engines, too. Like
00:30:13.700the WHO has been very clear in driving all of these strategies from March, lockdowns. Their
00:30:20.420own guidelines up to November 2019 said for pandemics, no isolation, no lockdowns. I have
00:30:27.720the published paper november 2019 in february march they decided let's copy china you know i
00:30:34.960don't know what their reasoning was but they decided that but they have kept pressure on and
00:30:39.740that's international true to every advisory body in every country is coming down to do this kind
00:30:46.240of stuff and the world economic forum has been very public very powerful international organization
00:30:53.060I think your own Matt Hancock was enthusing about them back in 2018 and the fourth industrial
00:30:59.820revolution and their great reset. They've been very public. This is an enormous opportunity,
00:31:06.580apparently, this COVID crisis, to get their strategies implemented for tracking, tracing,
00:31:13.120control, and stuff. And they're public, so it's not a conspiracy when they tell you.
00:31:17.720So I could go on, but let's just say there is that second engine from the start of international organizations of great influence that's probably causing a lot of the similarity between countries, as well as a Me Too kind of thing going on between countries.
00:32:08.820So they followed the science of 40 years and they had a lower mortality per million than UK and effectively the same as Ireland.
00:32:18.420If you account for care home and age profiles and their soft 2019 flu season, that's what caused their big hit compared to the Nordics.
00:32:27.340So we have all the data now and Sweden now are four to six weeks back, pretty close to all normal.
00:32:34.820And I have the photos. People on buses, pretty packed, no masks, shopping. The distancing has fallen away for a month or two now because there's no driver for it. And their death rates and ICU rates are on the floor for months.
00:32:50.280As you were talking there, Francis started staring longingly into the distance, maybe remembering one of those great moments being packed onto a bus.
00:32:58.660I'm packed onto the Northern line with my head trapped under some sweaty businessman's armpit.
00:33:04.860And you know what? I actually felt nostalgia for that memory.
00:33:07.880I think I'm going insane after being locked down here for so long.
00:33:12.040But so we've seen that the Swedish model works.
00:33:17.480We've seen that actually that is a way to deal with it.
00:33:22.960When are we going to get out of this, Ivor?
00:33:24.760Because I'm going to be honest with you.
00:33:26.200I was looking at the situation, and to myself, I think there's three options.
00:33:30.820We either adopt the Swedish model, number one.
00:33:36.260And from what, I'm not an epidemiologist, I'm not a virologist,
00:33:40.880the last truly great pandemic was the HIV-AIDS virus.
00:33:45.440They isolated the HIV virus, I think it was in 83 or 84.
00:33:49.760They've never managed to find a vaccine to combat that.
00:33:53.000They've never had a vaccine against a coronavirus.
00:33:56.200So there's a vaccine option, which is looking tenuous at best.
00:34:00.340Or number three, we just carry on with this to what to the economy doesn't exist anymore.
00:34:08.240Yeah, that's why I've been despairing for months, particularly since the mandated masks, which made zero scientific sense, regardless of their efficacy, as I said.
00:34:18.620I'll have to say that again, because that was a dark day for me because I realized then they've gone nuts.
00:38:21.540i i'm not often speechless but i just i've been pinching myself every day for six months or more
00:38:29.800now every day for a moment it flashes through my head this is not real and then i realize it is
00:38:35.640real that's how disbelieving i am as a 30-year technical master and problem-solving master in
00:38:43.060many different fields i cannot believe it anymore i don't know where it's going it's just
00:38:50.920Sweden is the only possible model and that was clear in March it was clear in March
00:38:58.700and it's since been borne out by the data with absolute clarity and either how much of this
00:39:06.220is political caridus in that you know governments don't want to be seen to adopt the Sweden model
00:39:13.420because if there is a slight spike they're going to be labeled as murderers especially
00:39:17.660of the conservative government, uncaring, unfeeling, yada, yada, yada.
00:39:22.020Yeah, that's part of like the first engine I described earlier.
00:39:25.540That's definitely, you know, we got a devil's brew in there between the governments, the
00:39:30.760politicians, the advisors, the conflicted parties, you know, in academia and science
00:39:36.300and the people, the citizenry, that whole self-reinforcing kind of negative loop, destructive
00:39:44.060loop. That's running now. You need a leader. You need a Churchill or something to come in and
00:39:49.380actually smash that loop and stand in front of a microphone and say some of the stuff we're saying
00:39:55.040and say, guys, I'm calling it. Refer to the Sweden data. Show a couple of graphs. Say, guys,
00:40:02.080we got it wrong. But what modern politician is going to do that? The answer is none of them.
00:40:08.120None of them are statesmen or stateswomen anymore. Well, not none. But let's be honest,
00:40:13.400We don't have the people of the caliber of the 40s and 50s.
00:40:16.760We're not within a million miles of it.
00:40:19.440And I mean, I saw, you know, I could say it's a bit harsh, but I saw this cartoon meme and it showed the young soldiers, American jumping off at maybe Utah Beach or one of the beaches.
00:40:32.200And they're all jumping out with rifles.
00:40:34.340And it says 1944, Americans jumping to sudden or to almost certain death.
00:40:41.820And then it shows a guy cowering under a desk with a mask on and it says Americans, you know, 2020 terrified of a virus with a 99.9% survival rate. And that contrast in those two pictures brings it home to how far we've fallen.
00:41:00.520I mean, when you actually think of it in those terms, we've given away everything we stand for based on one virus that has a 99.9% survival rate.
00:41:15.760And to be honest, it's a thousand times more dangerous to the over 70s who are ill than to, you know, middle aged or young people.
00:41:23.700This was raised by British professors.
00:41:26.060Like you just keep asking, what have we done?
00:41:29.600I mean, it's like, Father, what have I done?
00:44:44.520You know where that comes from. He's still quoting from Ferguson's ridiculous model that's been debunked totally. 30,000 people. So I simply drew Ireland's epidemic. I had to scale it down in a graph right down to allow room for his absurdity. And I showed what he was saying.
00:45:04.520it's absurd we know from spain and france that we're getting nothing like the original wave and
00:45:12.880it's leveled out there and he's saying we're going to get something 20 times bigger than the original
00:45:20.060actual epidemic and that's on prime time television and no one countered them like
00:45:26.580oh it's just this is surreal it's surreal for a technical person to even see this
00:45:33.320it's insane i mean i don't know i don't know guys and i mean going to the virus itself there's
00:45:43.760at first we were told all this you know in naturally evolved from you know a combination
00:45:48.400of a bat and a pangolin and then it seems that it might have actually been come from a lab from
00:45:54.400the Wuhan lab. What do we know about the actual chemical makeup of this virus? Is it artificially
00:46:00.240created or is it naturally evolving? Yeah. I mean, I read a couple of papers back then and there was
00:46:06.960a French professor who insisted because of the sequences that were in there wouldn't have
00:46:11.900happened naturally. And I quickly moved away from it because I made a decision. It's like 5G and
00:46:17.640stuff. I'm not even going there. I'm not even going to look up any science there. I'm just not going
00:46:22.680near it. So I just decided whether or not it was a gain of function. So we have the technology for
00:46:29.020decades to do something like that, which you assume that no one would ever do it. But if it
00:46:34.700was, say, made in Wuhan and that stuff, and it was mistakenly let out, it doesn't really change
00:46:42.400the reality now. So for me, the reality is what we've been talking about. What is the impact and
00:46:49.440is our response scientific and proportional? That's the game I'm in. Only based on published
00:46:55.160data, government sources, verifiable data. That's where I'm staying. So I could speculate about
00:47:01.360whether it was made or whether it was a freak in nature. But to be honest, it doesn't really
00:47:07.100matter what it was. It's the destruction of our society that's the problem now. And technically,
00:47:12.020it doesn't matter where it came from. You talk about the destruction of our society,
00:51:50.540Happy times. I mean, it does make you think that this could potentially go on indefinitely.
00:51:59.900We know that there's a very real precedent with governments that once they have taken away civil liberties and rights,
00:52:05.720they don't really like to give them back. An example is raising taxes, a classic one. They never lower them.
00:52:12.480Do you worry that there's some civil liberties that have been taken away from us that they're not going to be wanting to give back anytime soon?
00:52:19.580I have no doubt that unless pushed, they won't give anything back because that's as you describe this in the summer, clearly in June, they could have taken down the emergency powers and watched carefully like a proper government and proper scientists for any sign of trouble where they could reintroduce them.
00:52:43.040That would be logical and it would respect our freedoms and our democracy and rights.
00:52:52.280And I knew, again, in July, when mandatory masks came in and new laws to wear masks with no exit strategy, flying in the face of all, every scientific kind of edict or not edict principle.
00:53:06.560I realized then we're remorselessly caught in some crazy train ride into anti-science and God knows where it's going to go.
00:53:18.560But I agree wherever this train is going, unless people push back or like the Great Barrington Declaration, GB declaration dot org, you can sign there unless the medical people and the scientists and I know scores of them in Ireland, doctors who are pulling their hair out, agree with me entirely on what I said.
00:53:37.900but they're afraid for their jobs if they actually three doctors have gotten big trouble
00:53:42.640just for discussing this in ireland already uh two of them lost their jobs so all the doctors are
00:53:49.640kind of scared to even say the truth it's a weird situation right well either one of the things that
00:53:56.840i'm sort of experiencing is we're having this conversation and i was very careful i think to
00:54:01.220distance us from genuine conspiracy people, David Ikes, etc. But I do feel like I would someone to
00:54:09.240pass the joint and give me that tinfoil hat right now, because the way we're talking, we are sort
00:54:14.180of discussing it in very conspiratorial terms. But as you look around, I mean, if you if you're
00:54:18.720objective and logical, that's what you see. And there's another element to all of this stuff that
00:54:24.080I would add, which is big tech censorship, you alluded to briefly with YouTube. But you know,
00:54:29.260And when we had Peter Hitchens on, who, you know, he's obviously, you know, someone who divides opinion in this country, certainly.
00:54:36.260But you have to say he's one of the people who's been vindicated throughout this whole episode.
00:54:40.900And when we had him on, YouTube shadow banned that video.
00:54:44.800So it was impossible to find on YouTube without having the direct link.