TRIGGERnometry - July 03, 2024


Why I'm Voting Against Labour - Peter Hitchens


Episode Stats

Length

54 minutes

Words per Minute

176.54907

Word Count

9,660

Sentence Count

465

Misogynist Sentences

7

Hate Speech Sentences

19


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

In this episode of Trigonometry, host Alex Blumberg talks to Peter Hitchens about his thoughts on the upcoming general election. Hitchens explains why he thinks people should vote against the Tories and why they should vote for Labour.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
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00:00:30.660 What you're talking about is the destruction of British society, really.
00:00:36.060 Civil society, yes. Voting is not a sacrament. It's not even a civic duty.
00:00:40.920 And it's certainly not an emotional spasm. It's a practical act with a measurable effect.
00:00:45.760 Work out what it is you don't want, most of all, and vote against it.
00:00:50.280 And I said the thing you really don't want, most of all, is the second half of the Blair Revolution.
00:00:55.700 I think that he's a man of the pretty strong, hard left, probably wealth of left of Jeremy Corbyn.
00:01:04.500 And why have the right-wing newspapers and media not exposed this?
00:01:07.580 Because they don't understand it.
00:01:08.920 But if you are an ex-Trotskyist, you do know, because you can read the signs and you understand the code.
00:01:13.000 It's all there.
00:01:13.580 Peter Hitchens, welcome back to Trigonometry.
00:01:17.820 Now, Peter, I have to say you have outdone yourself because what I think about you, I think of you as a contrarian.
00:01:23.720 You've got to the point where you're so contrarian, you're actually disagreeing with yourself.
00:01:27.400 Because you're famous for telling people, A, to not vote Conservative, and B, to leave the country if they still can.
00:01:34.420 And here you are, in this country, telling people to vote for the Conservatives.
00:01:37.800 No, I'm not saying anybody to vote for the Conservatives.
00:01:39.780 I'm telling them to vote against Labour.
00:01:42.620 No, no, no, it's a completely different thing.
00:01:44.900 People have to learn to vote against.
00:01:46.580 What I've strove against for 20 long years was the determination of Conservative, patriotic people in this country to continue to vote for a party that hated them.
00:01:58.060 Now I have to strive against the determination of Conservative, patriotic people in this country to vote for a party which hates them even more, and not to be able to see the difference between bad and worse.
00:02:09.780 My position remains the same.
00:02:11.300 I loathe the Conservative Party, and I always offer to do this.
00:02:16.040 If you'd care to join me in a chorus of, if you hate the Tory party, clap your hands, a song I learned in Glasgow in 1972, I'm happy to join you.
00:02:23.100 I still hate the Tory party.
00:02:24.960 I still think the wisest course for anyone who could start a new life in a new country is to leave this country, but the many who cannot leave, and therefore I have to act where I can to try and avert catastrophe.
00:02:36.120 A Labour government in this country would make the past 14 years of Tory government seem quite civilised and intelligent, and therefore it has to be avoided at all costs.
00:02:45.860 Yet I'm surrounded by people who, either by actually voting Labour or voting for Reform UK, are determined to install a Labour government, and I have to argue against it.
00:02:57.640 I will not wake up on July 5th thinking there was anything I could not have done, anything I could have done that I didn't do to prevent that from happening, because it would be so catastrophic.
00:03:13.180 So?
00:03:14.060 Everything I've said remains absolutely the same.
00:03:15.920 I have to shift it from any of it.
00:03:17.140 By the way, I have to tell you that I regard the same contrarian as an insult.
00:03:21.080 Well, you do.
00:03:21.480 It absolutely assumes that I take positions for effect.
00:03:26.300 All my positions are taken on principle and after considerable thought.
00:03:30.200 Well, I certainly didn't...
00:03:30.980 It's not taken for effect.
00:03:31.840 The problem is that in a largely irrational, uneducated society, rational and educated positions annoy people.
00:03:38.400 I certainly didn't mean that I was annoyed by your position.
00:03:39.960 I know you don't mean it to be, but as I think Cardinal Newman said, no gentleman ever unintentionally insults anybody.
00:03:47.060 Are we going to recover from this?
00:03:48.280 Either way, I'm just telling you, don't bleeping well call me a contrarian and expect me to like it.
00:03:53.100 I hear you.
00:03:53.740 Thank you.
00:03:53.940 So, in terms of the Conservative Party, I mean, you say you're not telling people to vote for it, but in effect, you are.
00:04:01.080 No, I couldn't.
00:04:01.620 I couldn't conceivably tell anyone to vote for it.
00:04:03.480 The crucial...
00:04:04.700 But how do you vote against Labour?
00:04:05.880 The crucial step people have to...
00:04:06.980 Well, generally, in many cases, that would involve voting Conservative, not invariably.
00:04:11.560 In my own seat, it's pointless, for instance.
00:04:13.480 I shan't vote because the Labour Party has a majority of nearly 20,000 and it's unassailable.
00:04:17.540 And why should I vote Conservative in the face of that?
00:04:20.020 Pointless.
00:04:20.620 So, I won't.
00:04:21.520 And it was only you won't vote.
00:04:22.620 Well, I'm only saying voting.
00:04:24.940 I'm trying to extract voting from the strange, sanctified urn in which people keep it.
00:04:31.160 Voting is not a sacrament.
00:04:32.960 It's not even a civic duty.
00:04:34.320 And it's certainly not an emotional spasm.
00:04:35.980 It's a practical act with a measurable effect.
00:04:39.520 And in modern Britain, the intelligent and reasoned person knows, because he ceased long
00:04:44.260 ago to believe in Father Christmas and the Tooth Fairy, that voting for things is a waste
00:04:48.820 of time.
00:04:49.260 You won't get what you vote for.
00:04:51.200 But there are definitely occasions when you can effectively vote against things.
00:04:54.860 And this is an occasion where you can effectively vote against the Labour Party and against Keir Starmer
00:04:59.720 and prevent them from coming to office.
00:05:01.560 It's still possible.
00:05:02.640 The opinion polls don't dictate the results of the election.
00:05:06.100 You don't have to be told what to do by propaganda.
00:05:08.880 You can actually use your own mind and your own will to vote.
00:05:11.460 Oh, well, the opinion polls say that Labour have won.
00:05:14.820 Therefore, I won't vote against them.
00:05:17.320 It's such a moronic position, isn't it?
00:05:19.240 Peter, the only point I'm making...
00:05:20.820 But I have to make people think.
00:05:23.020 And this is one of the most difficult things in modern Britain, because people have been
00:05:27.320 educated not to think.
00:05:30.020 So I start by saying, if you want to vote, learn to vote against.
00:05:33.760 Work out what it is you don't want, most of all, and vote against it.
00:05:37.820 And I said, the thing you really don't want, most of all, is the second half of the Blair
00:05:43.240 Revolution, which is what you're going to get if you get a Labour government.
00:05:47.140 Is this you coming out as a Liberal Democrat then, Peter?
00:05:51.140 You still don't get it, do you?
00:05:53.160 I'm not for anybody.
00:05:55.280 I'm against Labour.
00:05:56.560 I'm saying there are a few years left to us in this country where life might remain relatively
00:06:01.600 civilised and where the downward careering of the country down the slope of Avernus is
00:06:07.100 not complete.
00:06:09.180 And those years would be taken from us if we had a Labour government now.
00:06:12.960 So I kind of...
00:06:15.540 I have a personal stake in this.
00:06:16.580 I'm still alive, to my own amazement.
00:06:18.540 Here I am.
00:06:19.840 I don't want to spend the declining years of my old age under a government headed by someone
00:06:25.960 like Keir Starmer, Keir Rodney Starmer.
00:06:29.460 We should learn to...
00:06:30.320 So what is it that you object to about this Labour government?
00:06:34.780 Why is it that you're so fearful of it?
00:06:37.760 What is the havoc that they are going to reach?
00:06:39.720 It's partly a huge sense of regret that I was so powerless in 1997.
00:06:43.660 I had a column in the Daily Express, it's true, but I had no...
00:06:46.580 Anti-social media had barely developed and there was no...
00:06:49.260 I had no other platform, almost very little access to broadcasting.
00:06:53.360 And I simply didn't have the reach which I think I now possess.
00:06:56.300 And I've always regretted that because I knew, not in detail, because I didn't fully understand
00:07:01.960 it, but from friends of mine who were in the new Labour project and from my own deductions,
00:07:06.660 that a Blair government would be deeply and irreversibly damaging to the country in many
00:07:12.300 ways.
00:07:13.160 And I couldn't do anything to stop it.
00:07:14.560 And again, we had the same miasma of moronic self-indulgence.
00:07:18.240 Oh, well, the Tories deserve a period in opposition.
00:07:21.180 The Tories deserve to be punished.
00:07:22.940 John Major's awful.
00:07:23.740 Well, that's only...
00:07:24.860 He looks all right.
00:07:26.240 We don't know what he's going to do, but he says he's in favour of education and things
00:07:31.000 like that.
00:07:31.820 He says he's in favour of being tough on crime.
00:07:34.940 So let's give him a go.
00:07:36.160 And they gave him a go.
00:07:37.740 And he smashed up the United Kingdom.
00:07:39.460 He wrecked the Constitution.
00:07:40.840 He raped the economy.
00:07:42.580 He destroyed huge numbers of personal pension, for instance.
00:07:47.220 And he unleashed a wave of social, moral and cultural revolution, which still sweeps through
00:07:51.680 the country with very damaging effects.
00:07:53.200 And all of that was avoidable if people only said, well, yes, OK, John Major isn't that
00:07:56.940 good, is he?
00:07:57.460 But good heavens, it has to be better having him there than having this, a government basically
00:08:02.680 run by Alistair Campbell, which is what we got.
00:08:05.100 So now we have this exactly the same dilemma again.
00:08:07.860 The Labour Party in the intervening period has been a fairly poor, lifeless thing without
00:08:13.540 any serious leadership or purpose.
00:08:15.300 But under Keir Starmer, it now has a serious leadership or purpose, and that purpose is
00:08:19.820 the completion of the Blair Revolution and also constitutional change to make that completion
00:08:24.460 irreversible.
00:08:25.740 So I think people should realise that, oh, well, in five years' time, all right, it doesn't
00:08:29.680 matter if we get a Labour government.
00:08:31.860 As long as the Tories are smashed, that'll be fine.
00:08:34.240 In 2029, we'll be able to get the Labour out and go back to normal.
00:08:37.860 You won't.
00:08:38.960 Once these guys move in, they're not going.
00:08:41.660 So what do you mean by this Blair Revolution?
00:08:46.100 Let's actually dig down.
00:08:47.380 Let's look at the components.
00:08:49.480 What does that actually mean?
00:08:50.700 What is it that they want to achieve?
00:08:52.600 How are they going to achieve it?
00:08:54.040 Well, you see, the huge pillars of it, which people were largely unaware of in 1997 and which
00:08:59.860 in many cases only came into real force in the second Blair term, were the Equality Act,
00:09:08.920 which has fundamentally altered the whole moral and social nature of the country and changed
00:09:13.520 the way in which people think and speak.
00:09:17.680 Peter, can you flesh that out a little bit?
00:09:19.140 The enormous redistribution of the...
00:09:21.040 Peter, just flesh that point out a little bit.
00:09:22.820 Okay.
00:09:23.180 I agree with you, but it would be interesting for viewers and listeners to get a little bit
00:09:27.580 more detail on why it changed the way people think and speak.
00:09:31.200 Here's one very simple way that this country had been, you might say, officially Christian
00:09:37.360 since before the Norman Conquest.
00:09:40.960 The Equality Act, by making Christianity one among many religions, removed the primacy of
00:09:46.080 Christianity from public life and from law in a way which continues to have profound effects
00:09:52.120 on the way in which people live the contracts which they make between themselves, personal life.
00:09:56.600 And the sexual revolution, which accompanied the Blair government, has been enormous.
00:10:00.140 Whether you like it or not, no one can deny that that has changed.
00:10:04.620 So has the general predisposition towards equality of outcome in the whole social and welfare system,
00:10:15.080 which again formed part of Gordon Brown's enormous splurge in the second term,
00:10:20.600 which was a huge tranche of redistribution.
00:10:24.560 And those things are just the obvious and in some ways superficial aspects of what then turns
00:10:32.780 into a complete social, economic, and political revolution.
00:10:38.140 You must also bear in mind that people have forgotten this now because it's now so far in the past
00:10:42.580 and appears irreversible.
00:10:44.720 When Labour came into office in 1997, this was the United Kingdom.
00:10:48.540 There were no parliaments in Edinburgh or Califf.
00:10:51.580 And that's now happened.
00:10:52.980 And what's also happened is that there's been a breakup of the English part of the United Kingdom
00:10:58.400 with the formation of these mayors, which are almost mini-republics.
00:11:01.920 I mean, London is actually now the only republic in the United Kingdom.
00:11:05.700 It has an elected head of state, which is an interesting piece of testbed politics.
00:11:12.660 But it's also pretty much, it was designed to be a left-wing policy and it will always be one.
00:11:18.180 And then you look at the constitutional changes which Gordon Brown put forward in 2022
00:11:22.740 in the Leeds announcement with Keir Starmer at his side,
00:11:27.400 with a new chamber of the regions and the nations, which will make this permanent.
00:11:31.620 And the other thing, of course, which lies alongside and beneath this,
00:11:37.140 and this is partly because New Labour was a project conceived mainly by lawyers,
00:11:41.340 was the creation of the Supreme Court.
00:11:43.840 It was constitutional nonsense in a country with parliamentary supremacy,
00:11:49.000 where they created it and it continues to accrue power to itself.
00:11:51.760 And one of the main effects of the constitutional changes which were put forward in 2022
00:11:56.240 would be more powers for the Supreme Court,
00:11:59.080 more powers taken away from Parliament and particularly from the House of Commons
00:12:03.360 so that it simply ceases to be sovereign.
00:12:05.640 David Stark is very good on this if you want to ask him about it,
00:12:07.820 but it is an extraordinary, astonishing document which very few people have read
00:12:12.740 and it lies there waiting to be implemented.
00:12:14.520 I think probably given the way it's referred to in the Labour Manifesto,
00:12:18.020 which is, as I've said, a bikini in that it covers what it reveals is much less interesting than what it conceals.
00:12:31.020 But the reference to constitution in the Labour Manifesto, which I have actually read,
00:12:36.700 suggests that unless they get very lucky with a huge majority,
00:12:40.500 they'll probably wait until the second term to implement the Chamber of the Regents
00:12:44.460 and all the other changes which are in it.
00:12:46.060 But it's well worth reading in the interim because it's extremely cleverly drawn.
00:12:50.600 These people are not fools.
00:12:52.140 They understand very well how the British constitution works
00:12:54.960 and they understand that if they arrange it in the way that they wish to do so,
00:12:57.980 then any future government will be unable to undo what they've done.
00:13:02.060 This has been a preoccupation in Labour since the 1930s.
00:13:04.860 I think John Strachey was the first person to raise it.
00:13:07.420 Nye Bevan again raised it in 1945.
00:13:09.220 Labour have always felt that it was unfair that a Conservative government could come into office
00:13:14.340 and undo what they'd done.
00:13:15.760 They wanted to have some kind of ratchet by which it was agreed
00:13:18.560 that their key reforms would be irreversible.
00:13:21.420 And now, with this constitutional plan, they've got it.
00:13:25.560 And so what do you think, if Starmer wins,
00:13:30.160 what do you think are the first things that he is going to try and do when he gets in?
00:13:34.920 What do you think is going to be the main targets?
00:13:37.020 So here's the thing we cannot know.
00:13:39.120 In 1997, nobody knew, for instance,
00:13:41.240 that Gordon Brown would abolish the government control over the Bank of England
00:13:45.640 and make it independent.
00:13:46.640 It was an amazing, and in my view, extremely bad development.
00:13:50.400 Nobody knew that he was going to make this tremendous raid upon private pension funds.
00:13:54.700 And nobody knew that there was going to be the constitutional putsch
00:13:57.640 which placed Alistair Campbell and Jonathan Powell in charge of civil servants,
00:14:01.960 although they were not in any way responsible to any Chamber of Parliament.
00:14:05.740 It was an astonishing development, which was considered outrageous at the time.
00:14:09.920 None of these things were in the manifesto.
00:14:12.180 None of them had even been rumoured before,
00:14:13.760 though in fact Alex Brummer had discovered about the pension plan
00:14:17.260 when he was working for the Guardian in the period before the election.
00:14:21.580 And the Guardian disgracefully cooperated with Gordon Brown suppressing the news.
00:14:25.000 So we don't know what Starmer is suppressing about his major plans.
00:14:30.540 But all the major things which Labour did in the aftermath of its victory in 1997
00:14:34.060 were things it hadn't told anybody about.
00:14:36.420 And what makes you...
00:14:37.340 So I don't know what they might do, but I don't think any of them will be nice.
00:14:41.020 Interesting.
00:14:41.400 And what makes you suspect of Keir Starmer personally?
00:14:45.180 Starmer himself is a man of very interesting background.
00:14:47.960 I think his struggles over...
00:14:49.640 Well, I find actually the rather dull Soviet for transgender issue are interesting.
00:14:54.200 The reason why he struggles over it is because he is, by inclination and politics for a long time,
00:14:59.420 a person of the very, very far left.
00:15:01.600 He was mixed up with a tendency called Pabloism in his 20s,
00:15:05.900 which is an outward branch for Trotskyism,
00:15:09.060 named after a man whose nom de guerre was Pablo,
00:15:12.240 who's really a Greek revolutionary called Michaelis Rapsis,
00:15:15.580 who decided that the old form of revolutionary socialism was clapped out,
00:15:19.660 in which he was absolutely right,
00:15:20.760 and the seizure of the post office in the barracks by the waking class,
00:15:23.980 that that wasn't going to happen.
00:15:25.560 But the revolutionaries should concentrate on two things,
00:15:27.640 the red and the green,
00:15:28.720 and the red being the cultural, moral, and revolution,
00:15:31.700 sort of Gramscian takeover of society in every corner,
00:15:35.600 and the green bit, of course,
00:15:36.740 the fanatical and zealous pursuit of net zero and similar targets.
00:15:42.940 And the red bit is, of course, sexual politics, amongst other things.
00:15:47.080 And Starmer, I think, recognizes and has had difficulty over this
00:15:50.940 because he really believes this stuff.
00:15:54.660 Do you?
00:15:55.020 I think he...
00:15:56.320 People, when Starmer in that first debate said,
00:15:59.820 he was asked whether if a relative was suffering on the NHS waiting list,
00:16:03.000 would he go private?
00:16:04.120 He said no.
00:16:05.180 People thought he was making it up or pretending.
00:16:07.820 I absolutely believe him.
00:16:10.040 He's an extremely dogmatic person.
00:16:12.720 The other very interesting thing was when he was finally asked a political question interview
00:16:17.300 a week or so ago,
00:16:19.900 and Nick Ferrari asked him,
00:16:21.260 when he kept on referring to working people,
00:16:24.020 and they wouldn't face any more taxes,
00:16:26.320 who did he mean by working people?
00:16:28.680 And he said, in effect,
00:16:30.240 I won't try and quote exactly,
00:16:31.440 but the effect of what he said was
00:16:32.620 that people he does not regard as working people
00:16:35.100 are people with savings.
00:16:37.120 Now, there are many, many people in this country
00:16:38.480 who are not particularly well off
00:16:39.380 who do have savings
00:16:40.240 and who have managed to accumulate assets.
00:16:41.920 They will all, I think,
00:16:44.320 face very strong egalitarian taxation
00:16:47.640 in one form or another under this government.
00:16:50.460 There are other things about Stanislav Havel
00:16:51.540 which are fascinating.
00:16:52.920 The Daily Mail the other day revealed
00:16:54.980 that he'd been on a trip,
00:16:56.800 a work camp trip to Czechoslovakia,
00:16:59.380 deep in the deep frozen years of communism in 1986.
00:17:03.040 This was in the period when people like Václav Havel
00:17:04.940 were being thrown into jail
00:17:06.260 when Charter 77 supporters
00:17:09.320 were trying very hard
00:17:10.500 to draw attention
00:17:12.180 to the complete lack of freedom of speech
00:17:13.740 when anybody who opposed
00:17:15.640 the communist regime in Czechoslovakia
00:17:18.120 was either put into prison
00:17:19.140 or driven from his profession
00:17:20.280 and made to work in menial tasks.
00:17:22.360 It was a miserable Cold War time
00:17:24.840 and yet he went on this work camp.
00:17:29.000 He was also, when he was a lawyer,
00:17:31.140 a young lawyer in the 1980s,
00:17:34.140 secretary of a body
00:17:35.060 called the Haldane Society of Socialist Lawyers.
00:17:37.320 Now, there are lots of things
00:17:38.080 I could say about that
00:17:39.020 but I won't say any more than this.
00:17:41.600 The Haldane Society was the result
00:17:43.080 of a split among left-wing lawyers
00:17:44.720 in London in the 1940s,
00:17:46.740 a split largely between sympathizers
00:17:48.760 of the Soviet Union
00:17:49.640 and non-sympathizers of the Soviet Union
00:17:51.340 in which the Haldane Society
00:17:53.080 was the society of choice
00:17:54.800 for those who were more inclined
00:17:56.920 towards sympathy for the Soviet Union
00:17:58.460 and the Society of Labour Lawyers
00:17:59.860 was the society of Labour lawyers,
00:18:02.840 of normal Labour Party members
00:18:04.180 who were also lawyers.
00:18:04.880 No one who was a left-wing lawyer
00:18:07.860 in London in the 1980s
00:18:08.960 could not have known
00:18:09.640 about this distinction.
00:18:10.980 I have particular reasons
00:18:12.100 for knowing about it
00:18:12.780 but no one,
00:18:14.120 Sir Keir Starmer could not have known,
00:18:16.580 could not have been unaware
00:18:17.600 that there was this distinction
00:18:19.080 and yet he was secretary
00:18:19.920 of the Haldane Society
00:18:20.780 rather than a member
00:18:21.540 of the Society for Labour Lawyers.
00:18:23.360 You have to ask why.
00:18:24.320 I think that he's a man
00:18:26.120 of the pretty strong, hard left,
00:18:32.300 probably wealthy left
00:18:33.220 of Jeremy Corbyn
00:18:34.440 in a modern and partly Gramscian way
00:18:39.680 which is incomprehensible
00:18:41.080 to most people
00:18:41.620 who write about politics
00:18:42.320 in this country
00:18:42.800 because most people
00:18:44.240 who write about politics
00:18:44.940 in this country
00:18:45.420 are politically illiterate,
00:18:46.660 particularly about the left
00:18:47.560 and don't understand its language.
00:18:49.240 Well, perhaps I'm certain
00:18:50.980 that we are two of them
00:18:51.800 so explain it to us
00:18:53.200 because the public perception
00:18:55.520 is that Keir Starmer
00:18:56.960 is this centrist figure
00:18:58.260 who's taken on the extremes
00:19:00.360 of his own party,
00:19:01.840 who's got rid of Jeremy Corbyn,
00:19:03.740 he's got rid of Diane Abbott,
00:19:05.400 he's got rid of all this
00:19:06.580 far left progressive fringe
00:19:07.900 and he's this centre-left,
00:19:10.060 moderate, centrist dad.
00:19:12.200 Why is that wrong?
00:19:13.460 Well, because there is an old,
00:19:17.160 almost sentimentally lovable
00:19:19.600 old left, steam-powered old Trotskyist
00:19:24.540 like Jeremy Corbyn
00:19:25.640 and an open, rather noisy,
00:19:29.140 very sincere leftists
00:19:30.640 like Diane Abbott,
00:19:32.060 people of that kind
00:19:32.820 who are no threat to anybody
00:19:34.580 because you can see them
00:19:35.500 coming about 30 miles off.
00:19:37.600 And there is the subtle, smooth left
00:19:40.100 which became Blairism,
00:19:42.260 the left of Euro-communism,
00:19:43.680 the crucial year in all this being 1968
00:19:45.820 when two things happened.
00:19:47.680 One, the Soviet Union and its allies
00:19:49.300 invaded Czechoslovakia
00:19:50.500 and horrified almost everybody
00:19:53.540 on the serious left
00:19:54.560 who had up till then
00:19:55.940 had any sympathy with the Soviet Union
00:19:57.440 and broke probably forever
00:19:58.760 that connection.
00:19:59.800 So there was particularly
00:20:00.720 in the Italian Communist Party
00:20:03.480 a movement towards
00:20:04.800 some form of serious leftism
00:20:08.260 which was no longer Soviet,
00:20:09.520 no longer believed
00:20:10.260 in the complete takeover
00:20:11.940 of industry and the economy
00:20:14.440 by the state
00:20:15.140 which looked back
00:20:16.300 to Antonio Gramsci
00:20:17.360 who was in Italian Communist
00:20:18.680 who'd seen in the 20s
00:20:19.660 that Soviet socialism
00:20:21.600 wouldn't work.
00:20:23.020 And at the same time
00:20:23.680 you had this 1968 events in Paris
00:20:25.780 which were largely about sex.
00:20:28.660 They began with a quarrel
00:20:30.160 about male access
00:20:31.240 to female dormitories
00:20:32.240 at the Monterey branch
00:20:34.420 of the University of Paris
00:20:35.240 and that's what they were about,
00:20:37.360 sex, drugs, and rock and roll.
00:20:38.840 And if you go and look
00:20:39.580 at all the museums
00:20:41.480 and all those posters
00:20:42.400 that were stuck up at the time
00:20:43.380 it's quite clear
00:20:44.080 that's what it was about.
00:20:45.240 Those two channels of thought
00:20:47.300 came together
00:20:48.360 into a current
00:20:51.140 called Euro communism
00:20:52.040 which took over
00:20:54.560 the theoretical journal
00:20:55.800 of the British Communist Party
00:20:57.320 Marxism today
00:20:59.020 which became actually
00:21:01.100 the theoretical journal
00:21:02.040 of New Labour.
00:21:03.080 And if you look
00:21:03.640 at New Labour's front ranks
00:21:05.620 and this is only because
00:21:07.620 you're limited in knowing
00:21:10.420 anything about this
00:21:10.920 because all you know
00:21:12.020 is what's come out
00:21:13.000 much more may well exist
00:21:15.800 which doesn't come out.
00:21:16.740 An extraordinary number
00:21:18.040 of Blair's cabinet colleagues
00:21:19.740 had been Marxists
00:21:21.640 of one kind or another
00:21:22.460 during the 1960s
00:21:23.480 and 1970s.
00:21:25.180 Blair himself,
00:21:26.220 and this was concealed
00:21:27.060 during his entire time
00:21:28.380 as leader of the Labour Party,
00:21:29.260 Blair himself
00:21:29.740 was at Trotsky University.
00:21:32.380 And people don't necessarily
00:21:33.920 stop being revolutionists
00:21:35.860 because they stop
00:21:36.580 running around
00:21:37.200 and going on demonstrations
00:21:38.100 or believing the waking class
00:21:40.280 is about to take over.
00:21:41.480 What happened to the revolution
00:21:42.820 in the 60s
00:21:43.560 was they refined
00:21:44.480 and sophisticated
00:21:46.280 their politics
00:21:47.660 and sought a,
00:21:49.720 as I say,
00:21:50.220 a moral, cultural
00:21:50.960 and social revolution
00:21:52.060 by other means
00:21:53.280 and began a long march
00:21:54.880 through the institutions
00:21:55.500 which bore fruit
00:21:56.340 in the 1990s
00:21:57.500 and is still with us.
00:21:58.640 Peter, do you not think...
00:21:59.540 I understand this
00:22:00.160 because I was so very nearly in it.
00:22:02.040 Oh no, of course.
00:22:02.720 I was there.
00:22:03.200 I was myself
00:22:04.240 a revolutionary Marxist
00:22:05.140 in the late 60s
00:22:06.600 and 1970s
00:22:07.720 and I broke quite bitterly
00:22:08.860 with my former comrades
00:22:09.820 and I make it public.
00:22:14.520 Anyone who asks me,
00:22:15.340 I'll tell them all about it.
00:22:16.420 When I joined,
00:22:17.260 where I joined,
00:22:17.720 what I did
00:22:18.140 and all the rest of it.
00:22:19.080 They don't.
00:22:20.200 Not one of these people,
00:22:21.240 not one of these people
00:22:21.800 who rose to cabinet rank
00:22:22.880 in the Blair government
00:22:23.940 has ever sat down
00:22:25.540 and discussed in detail
00:22:26.960 what it was that they did.
00:22:28.920 Broadway's smash hit,
00:22:30.280 The Neil Diamond Musical,
00:22:31.700 A Beautiful Noise,
00:22:33.120 is coming to Toronto.
00:22:34.320 The true story
00:22:35.340 of a kid from Brooklyn
00:22:36.400 destined for something more
00:22:37.920 featuring all the songs you love
00:22:39.700 including America,
00:22:41.120 Forever in Blue Jeans
00:22:42.160 and Sweet Caroline.
00:22:43.840 Like Jersey Boys
00:22:44.800 and Beautiful,
00:22:45.660 the next musical mega hit is here.
00:22:47.900 The Neil Diamond Musical,
00:22:49.500 A Beautiful Noise,
00:22:50.720 April 28th through June 7th,
00:22:52.660 2026,
00:22:53.740 The Princess of Wales Theatre.
00:22:55.640 Get tickets at mirvish.com.
00:22:58.160 And why have the right-wing newspapers
00:23:00.000 and media not exposed this?
00:23:01.540 Because they don't understand it.
00:23:02.600 And I do.
00:23:06.580 Actually,
00:23:07.380 if you don't have any understanding
00:23:08.740 of Marxism and Leninism,
00:23:09.760 you're completely at a loss
00:23:11.140 from understanding
00:23:11.680 modern European politics.
00:23:14.620 So...
00:23:15.100 A lot of, for instance,
00:23:15.960 someone like Daniel Kern Bandit,
00:23:17.280 who ended up as a Euro MP,
00:23:18.760 the currents which began
00:23:19.860 in 1968 Paris
00:23:22.600 and the May events
00:23:24.600 of people throwing
00:23:25.360 cobblestones at the Gendarmerie,
00:23:26.600 ended up in many cases
00:23:29.600 deep in the institutions
00:23:30.820 of the European Union.
00:23:32.900 One of the main founders
00:23:34.240 of the European project
00:23:35.000 was an Italian communist scholar,
00:23:36.460 Tiaro Spinelli.
00:23:39.480 You don't know this.
00:23:41.280 But if you are an ex-Trotskyist,
00:23:42.860 you do know,
00:23:43.480 because you can read the signs
00:23:44.540 and you understand the code.
00:23:45.500 It's all there.
00:23:46.800 These things are...
00:23:47.760 This is a left-wing project
00:23:48.900 which we face.
00:23:49.580 You look somewhat
00:23:52.220 inexplicably excited
00:23:53.340 about this.
00:23:53.700 It's funny.
00:23:54.780 It's become...
00:23:55.740 It used to make me
00:23:56.780 absolutely furious
00:23:57.700 standing there and saying,
00:23:58.660 look!
00:23:59.800 People saying,
00:24:00.460 what are you talking about?
00:24:01.960 And now I just...
00:24:02.860 I've given up that
00:24:04.440 and I know no one's ever
00:24:05.520 going to pay any attention
00:24:06.360 to anything I say.
00:24:07.220 So I have to learn
00:24:08.360 to enjoy the role of Cassandra.
00:24:10.660 The original Cassandra
00:24:11.580 had a terrible time.
00:24:13.560 Poor thing.
00:24:15.180 Because she continued
00:24:16.080 to believe that one day
00:24:17.400 somebody might listen to her.
00:24:18.520 Look, that horse.
00:24:19.240 It's full of soldiers.
00:24:20.180 No.
00:24:21.200 But I've learnt
00:24:22.620 that it only makes me unhappy
00:24:24.280 worrying about that.
00:24:25.580 So it makes me laugh
00:24:26.540 watching people
00:24:27.460 who think they know
00:24:28.780 about politics
00:24:29.420 who don't.
00:24:31.880 Peter,
00:24:32.520 is there a part of you
00:24:33.840 that thinks
00:24:34.340 that this particular
00:24:35.640 Labour project
00:24:36.400 is doomed to failure
00:24:37.460 because there's
00:24:38.160 too many different
00:24:39.760 types of leftists
00:24:41.880 under one particular umbrella?
00:24:43.860 He sounds like he's saying
00:24:44.840 he's doomed to succeed.
00:24:46.380 No, no euphopian project
00:24:48.280 ever succeeds.
00:24:49.240 That's axiomatic.
00:24:52.420 But in the course
00:24:53.000 of failing
00:24:53.500 it doesn't mean
00:24:54.260 it isn't going to roll
00:24:55.160 over civil society
00:24:56.900 and any opposition
00:24:58.280 to it like a steamroller.
00:25:00.780 So what you're
00:25:02.520 effectively saying
00:25:03.580 is that this is going
00:25:04.780 to destroy our society.
00:25:06.620 It's a bit channeled for,
00:25:07.480 isn't it,
00:25:07.660 what you're really saying?
00:25:08.400 No, no, no, I would
00:25:09.820 never do that.
00:25:10.660 Kathy Newman lives.
00:25:12.620 I think both
00:25:13.600 Kathy Newman and I
00:25:14.640 are offended
00:25:15.100 by that comparison.
00:25:17.040 But what you're talking
00:25:19.320 about is
00:25:19.880 the destruction
00:25:21.100 of British society,
00:25:22.400 really.
00:25:23.080 Civil society, yes.
00:25:25.200 Of course.
00:25:26.380 Well, the Blairites
00:25:26.960 did a lot of that anyway.
00:25:27.920 Look how
00:25:28.300 almost none
00:25:29.880 of the professions,
00:25:31.080 almost none
00:25:31.400 of the institutions
00:25:32.120 remains independent.
00:25:34.580 And the real triumph,
00:25:36.680 the stealth triumph
00:25:38.300 of their transformation
00:25:39.040 of the courts
00:25:39.720 and the legal system
00:25:40.940 is astounding.
00:25:43.480 Hardly anyway
00:25:44.260 has even heard
00:25:45.180 of the Judicial
00:25:46.980 Appointments Commission
00:25:47.760 which revolutionized
00:25:48.680 the appointments
00:25:49.140 to the judge's bench.
00:25:51.040 Very few people
00:25:51.860 understand the nature
00:25:52.780 and extent of the powers
00:25:54.940 of the Supreme Court.
00:25:56.320 These are gigantic changes,
00:25:57.700 but because they
00:25:58.300 bore people
00:25:59.540 as most serious
00:26:01.340 left-wing change does.
00:26:02.620 Because they bore people
00:26:03.180 they can't bother
00:26:05.280 to concentrate on them
00:26:06.340 or think about them.
00:26:08.180 And there isn't,
00:26:08.920 there certainly hasn't been
00:26:09.940 in British conservatism
00:26:10.980 any intellect
00:26:12.840 capable of understanding
00:26:13.860 what they're up against
00:26:14.640 for a very long time.
00:26:16.480 So what do you think
00:26:17.480 of now what we're seeing
00:26:18.440 which is a populist revolution
00:26:19.940 sweeping through Europe?
00:26:22.380 Oh, I don't think
00:26:23.320 there is such a thing.
00:26:24.940 I think there's an increase
00:26:26.200 in the vote
00:26:26.780 in certain disreputable parties,
00:26:29.060 but most of the countries
00:26:30.120 involved have a electoral system
00:26:31.380 which contain that.
00:26:33.140 And we make a lot of fuss
00:26:34.720 when the ex-fascist party
00:26:38.220 in Transylvania
00:26:40.620 moves up from 11% to 16%
00:26:43.300 in a proportional representation
00:26:44.700 in the European election.
00:26:46.400 I don't myself think
00:26:47.880 the moment for panic
00:26:48.880 has yet arrived.
00:26:53.900 Emmanuel Macron
00:26:54.860 has a bit of a problem
00:26:57.200 in France
00:26:57.700 but that's because
00:26:58.280 he destroyed the French
00:26:59.460 Tory party
00:27:00.700 to get into office
00:27:03.520 in the first place
00:27:04.240 and so he now
00:27:05.780 hasn't got any defence
00:27:07.180 against a complete
00:27:08.060 left-right split
00:27:09.140 and also that
00:27:09.800 Marine Le Pen
00:27:10.640 has been quite clever
00:27:11.400 but that's the only
00:27:12.560 really serious problem
00:27:14.420 that any of the major
00:27:15.320 European countries have.
00:27:16.140 Goethe Wilders
00:27:16.760 in Holland?
00:27:18.120 Well, what's his percentage?
00:27:19.640 The key was that his party
00:27:20.840 was the biggest party.
00:27:21.620 Yeah, but what was his percentage?
00:27:23.600 I don't remember.
00:27:24.360 Well, look it up.
00:27:24.940 It's not that big.
00:27:25.980 I mean, being the biggest party
00:27:27.780 in the Netherlands
00:27:28.300 doesn't mean you're very big.
00:27:31.300 But it invariably means...
00:27:32.640 That's like being the biggest
00:27:34.040 strongman in Lilliput.
00:27:35.100 It really isn't very big.
00:27:37.920 He hasn't got
00:27:38.760 a parliamentary majority.
00:27:40.180 He has to be...
00:27:41.300 If he forms a government
00:27:42.900 he has to form it
00:27:43.620 but people who disagree with him
00:27:44.960 will get in his way
00:27:46.300 and in a coalition
00:27:49.120 which is formed
00:27:49.700 after the election.
00:27:51.620 So, Peter,
00:27:52.140 bringing this back to home then,
00:27:54.500 the one party you mentioned
00:27:56.520 that a lot of people
00:27:57.500 who are frustrated
00:27:59.080 with the state
00:27:59.840 of the Conservative Party
00:28:00.820 as you are,
00:28:01.920 the one party
00:28:02.820 that they are keen
00:28:03.600 to vote for is reform.
00:28:05.240 What are your thoughts
00:28:06.000 on Nigel Farage and reform?
00:28:08.760 I get it.
00:28:09.560 Sorry, I'm suffering
00:28:13.320 from election fever.
00:28:15.600 I thought that was
00:28:16.580 an allergic reaction, Peter.
00:28:18.100 It may have been
00:28:18.880 but we're in the realm
00:28:21.060 of the subconscious here
00:28:22.040 as we almost always are
00:28:24.540 when dealing with Nigel Farage.
00:28:26.900 I mean,
00:28:28.220 I don't regard
00:28:28.960 Nigel Farage as conservative.
00:28:31.060 I regard him
00:28:31.900 as a sort of watered down
00:28:33.380 Britain's Tizer
00:28:39.300 to America's Coca-Cola,
00:28:41.040 Britain's Farage
00:28:42.240 to America's Trump.
00:28:43.460 It's a sort of,
00:28:44.220 he is a rightish populist,
00:28:47.340 whatever that means,
00:28:49.080 but he isn't a conservative.
00:28:50.720 For instance,
00:28:51.340 he has said,
00:28:53.060 he's now
00:28:53.660 sort of scrabbling backwards on it
00:28:55.220 because I keep
00:28:55.820 drawing attention to it.
00:28:56.600 He has spoken out
00:28:58.000 in favour
00:28:58.380 of the decriminalisation
00:29:00.860 of marijuana,
00:29:01.440 for instance,
00:29:01.820 which no intelligent person
00:29:04.360 and no conservative
00:29:05.120 could conceivably support.
00:29:06.900 So he gave himself
00:29:07.920 away twice on that.
00:29:09.740 I don't think
00:29:10.560 he's got a developed
00:29:11.720 set of positions
00:29:13.640 on social
00:29:14.860 and cultural matters
00:29:16.400 at all
00:29:17.440 or understands
00:29:18.320 basically
00:29:18.900 what he's up against
00:29:19.880 in new labour.
00:29:20.860 And in many ways,
00:29:23.360 I think my description
00:29:24.060 of whatever his party
00:29:25.440 is called this week
00:29:26.280 as a Thatcher tribute band
00:29:27.480 isn't far out.
00:29:29.860 That's who it really appeals to
00:29:31.500 as Thatcher nostalgias
00:29:32.620 for an era
00:29:33.360 which has definitively gone.
00:29:36.140 So I don't think
00:29:37.200 all that much of him,
00:29:38.260 but the other point
00:29:39.020 about it is,
00:29:41.060 in fact,
00:29:41.460 there is a less famous
00:29:43.840 than it should be
00:29:44.540 encounter between him
00:29:46.340 and me
00:29:46.740 on GB News,
00:29:48.460 which I recommend
00:29:49.280 you all to watch,
00:29:50.080 which seems to me
00:29:50.840 to end rather abruptly
00:29:51.960 because he was
00:29:53.320 in control of it.
00:29:55.600 I don't know,
00:29:56.140 anybody can watch it.
00:29:57.160 It's still there
00:29:57.820 on the internet.
00:29:59.640 Pints with Nigel Farage
00:30:01.000 or something?
00:30:01.480 Yeah.
00:30:01.960 Watch it.
00:30:03.020 You'll get an idea
00:30:03.720 of what I think
00:30:04.220 of Nigel Farage
00:30:04.980 from there
00:30:05.240 better than I can give you
00:30:06.080 in our short encounter now.
00:30:08.480 But in terms of voting,
00:30:10.200 the British voting system
00:30:11.740 is very simple.
00:30:13.160 There are two parties
00:30:14.100 which can win
00:30:14.900 general election
00:30:15.740 in 2024
00:30:16.820 and neither of them
00:30:17.760 is reform.
00:30:19.020 And if you do vote
00:30:20.080 for reform,
00:30:20.560 if you were going
00:30:21.360 to vote for,
00:30:22.580 what should I say,
00:30:23.300 another party
00:30:24.260 which was more likely
00:30:25.000 to defeat Labour,
00:30:26.100 then you are effectively
00:30:26.940 voting Labour.
00:30:28.560 There isn't any
00:30:29.040 getting out of this.
00:30:29.900 I mean,
00:30:30.420 the reform spokesman
00:30:33.480 of the debate
00:30:34.460 I attended last night
00:30:35.280 had unheard
00:30:35.720 admitted it.
00:30:37.880 They can't win
00:30:38.840 this time.
00:30:39.380 It's not possible.
00:30:39.960 And they all go on and on
00:30:40.840 about how there's going
00:30:41.400 to be some catastrophe now.
00:30:43.400 They sound actually
00:30:44.100 remarkably like Trotskyists.
00:30:45.780 They're going to have
00:30:46.160 a catastrophe
00:30:46.700 out of which
00:30:47.320 will come
00:30:47.780 the revolution
00:30:49.260 in 2029
00:30:50.480 after five years
00:30:52.040 of Keir Starmer.
00:30:53.140 Then it'll be all right.
00:30:54.700 Well, that is the argument.
00:30:55.460 On our northern shores,
00:30:56.480 Nigel Farage will appear
00:30:57.560 and sweep the country.
00:30:58.420 Well, I don't think
00:30:58.880 this is very likely,
00:31:00.180 practically or politically,
00:31:01.100 not least because
00:31:01.800 it seems to me
00:31:02.440 that Labour and Keir Starmer
00:31:05.040 have no intention
00:31:05.960 of relinquishing
00:31:07.240 what they gain.
00:31:08.320 The incredible cynicism
00:31:10.560 and it is in the manifesto
00:31:12.660 of giving votes
00:31:14.360 to 16-year-olds.
00:31:15.660 And no,
00:31:16.000 it's indefensible.
00:31:18.220 He knows it's indefensible.
00:31:19.620 There's only a couple
00:31:20.140 of years since Labour MPs
00:31:21.060 voted to ban people
00:31:22.140 from getting married
00:31:22.840 at the age of 16.
00:31:24.860 And you can't,
00:31:26.360 and also they ban them
00:31:27.620 from buying cigarettes
00:31:28.420 at the age of 16.
00:31:29.240 You can't buy fireworks.
00:31:30.920 You can't go into,
00:31:32.120 you can't be put in a combat unit
00:31:33.540 in the army at 16
00:31:34.420 and yet suddenly
00:31:35.060 voting's okay.
00:31:36.700 It is boundlessly cynical.
00:31:39.000 And it comes from a man
00:31:40.240 who has in recent years
00:31:41.920 said that he would like
00:31:42.720 to give EU citizens
00:31:44.400 living in Britain the vote.
00:31:46.040 He now says
00:31:46.600 he doesn't want to do that.
00:31:47.700 But how valuable
00:31:48.720 is that as a pledge?
00:31:50.460 He makes a weathercock
00:31:52.460 look like a signpost.
00:31:55.840 He swivels around so much
00:31:57.380 on things that don't matter to him.
00:31:58.780 This is, I think,
00:31:59.680 probably because his deep,
00:32:00.980 profound, dogmatic
00:32:02.920 left-wing principles
00:32:03.660 never alter.
00:32:04.860 He feels quite happy
00:32:05.700 about swiveling around
00:32:06.580 wildly on superficial issues.
00:32:08.540 But I think that the idea
00:32:10.140 that this Labour Party,
00:32:13.900 if it gains power,
00:32:14.980 will relinquish it again
00:32:16.160 is fanciful.
00:32:17.180 They won't.
00:32:17.920 They're not proposing
00:32:18.780 to give up.
00:32:19.660 You get at least 20 years
00:32:20.600 of them,
00:32:20.900 by that time
00:32:21.340 they will pretty much
00:32:22.160 have finished their project.
00:32:23.740 So you think
00:32:24.900 that we're going
00:32:25.400 to get 20 years?
00:32:26.260 I actually think so.
00:32:27.700 Because we've spoken
00:32:28.640 to a lot of people.
00:32:29.240 They've always wanted 20 years.
00:32:30.540 Oh, I mean,
00:32:31.020 every political party
00:32:31.940 wants 20 years.
00:32:32.740 But there's a particular thing
00:32:33.740 and if you're transferring wealth
00:32:35.200 from one group of people
00:32:36.100 to another,
00:32:37.280 any form of taxation
00:32:38.880 has to be slow acting on this.
00:32:40.140 You can't do it quickly.
00:32:41.920 It has to be done slowly.
00:32:43.220 This is the point
00:32:43.580 that Nye Bevan made
00:32:44.460 in his very dangerous speech
00:32:45.620 in 1945
00:32:46.220 to do what they needed.
00:32:48.920 They needed a really long
00:32:49.820 period in government,
00:32:50.620 which they felt cheated of,
00:32:51.700 of course,
00:32:51.960 in 1951
00:32:52.580 when they were kicked out
00:32:54.400 after only six years.
00:32:55.800 If the 45 government
00:32:56.940 had lasted
00:32:57.420 as it was intended to do
00:32:58.640 probably until 1960,
00:33:00.160 the country would be
00:33:00.840 through a much more profound
00:33:01.980 social and economic revolution
00:33:03.180 than it actually suffered.
00:33:06.080 Because they finished in 1951
00:33:08.000 and what they left behind
00:33:09.120 was in many cases
00:33:10.020 quite popular.
00:33:10.960 They hadn't gone on
00:33:11.940 to the bad bits.
00:33:12.980 But I guess
00:33:14.500 when it comes to that point
00:33:15.860 about the 20 years,
00:33:17.460 every person on the left,
00:33:18.980 let's be fair,
00:33:19.960 the left is always
00:33:21.720 in this purity spiral
00:33:22.940 where they've always gone,
00:33:24.420 nobody,
00:33:25.000 you're not really
00:33:25.740 on the left because of X,
00:33:26.920 you're not really
00:33:27.360 on the left because of Y.
00:33:28.800 I haven't spoken
00:33:30.020 to somebody on the left
00:33:31.720 or in Labour
00:33:33.420 who is actually enthused
00:33:34.780 by Keir Starmer at all,
00:33:36.020 which makes me think,
00:33:36.860 is he actually going to be able
00:33:37.860 to last even a term?
00:33:39.100 Don't you remember
00:33:39.420 the saying about Blair?
00:33:40.620 No, when I remember
00:33:41.460 when Blair came to power.
00:33:42.400 Oh, yes, they were always saying,
00:33:43.000 oh, we can't stand him,
00:33:43.920 he's really a Tory
00:33:44.600 and all this stuff.
00:33:45.700 Half the Labour Party membership
00:33:48.180 say that the whole time.
00:33:50.180 But then they can't
00:33:50.900 understand it either.
00:33:52.680 And you have to have,
00:33:53.680 you had two groups of people
00:33:54.660 who didn't understand Blair.
00:33:56.720 One were the Kevins
00:33:57.940 in the working men's club
00:33:58.940 who thought Blair was a Tory
00:34:01.060 and the other were the Nigels
00:34:02.700 in the golf clubs
00:34:03.360 who also thought Blair was a Tory.
00:34:04.580 They were both equally wrong.
00:34:06.360 But to reveal to the Labour supporters
00:34:09.480 how radical Labour was
00:34:10.760 would have been to reveal
00:34:11.560 to the golf club goers
00:34:12.980 how radical they were
00:34:13.820 and they didn't want to do that.
00:34:14.640 So they were left in ignorance.
00:34:16.340 It doesn't do any harm.
00:34:16.940 They still vote Labour
00:34:17.600 when it comes to it.
00:34:18.900 Labour vote is still pretty loyal.
00:34:20.280 Peter, I think a point
00:34:22.000 I'm trying to make
00:34:22.520 and I do think it's a fair one
00:34:23.660 is the level of enthusiasm
00:34:25.440 that we saw in 1997
00:34:27.060 is simply not there for the...
00:34:29.460 Well, thank heaven for that at least.
00:34:31.180 Right.
00:34:31.540 But I mean,
00:34:32.000 they can manage without enthusiasm
00:34:33.900 provided they're organised.
00:34:36.200 Who needs enthusiasm
00:34:37.300 when you have had
00:34:38.600 this amazing business
00:34:39.980 of the opinion polls
00:34:41.000 trumpeting from the moment
00:34:42.180 the election began.
00:34:43.020 The Tories have already lost.
00:34:44.040 The Tories have already lost.
00:34:44.940 The Tories have already lost
00:34:46.180 night and day
00:34:46.900 into the earphones.
00:34:48.160 The Tories have already lost.
00:34:49.160 The Tories have lost.
00:34:49.900 The Tories have lost
00:34:50.500 every day,
00:34:51.580 every afternoon,
00:34:52.380 every morning,
00:34:53.000 every evening,
00:34:53.660 every night.
00:34:54.220 The Tories have lost.
00:34:55.060 The Tories have lost.
00:34:56.200 People believe it.
00:34:58.400 That's what you need.
00:34:59.640 This is the best form of propaganda.
00:35:02.320 If you've got an enemy army
00:35:03.980 bottled up,
00:35:04.780 you fly over
00:35:05.560 with your planes
00:35:07.180 dropping the propaganda leaf
00:35:08.300 that's pointing out
00:35:08.940 that you've lost,
00:35:09.780 you've lost,
00:35:10.200 you've lost surrender.
00:35:11.020 It's what you do.
00:35:11.880 You tell people
00:35:12.480 they've already lost.
00:35:13.240 No, that's fair enough.
00:35:14.380 They believe it.
00:35:15.460 Who needs a manifesto?
00:35:17.620 Who needs even
00:35:18.840 to win a debate?
00:35:19.760 Who needs to have
00:35:20.400 a personality
00:35:21.060 which Keir Starmer
00:35:21.880 appears to lack?
00:35:22.700 Who needs to have
00:35:23.200 any presence
00:35:23.780 which Keir Starmer
00:35:24.460 has to lack?
00:35:25.020 Who needs to have
00:35:25.860 any posters?
00:35:27.200 Have you seen
00:35:27.660 an election van?
00:35:28.620 Who needs to have
00:35:29.120 any activity?
00:35:29.780 If you've got that
00:35:30.580 going for you,
00:35:31.920 then what does it matter?
00:35:33.520 So enthusiasm
00:35:34.400 is not necessary.
00:35:35.620 No, we were talking
00:35:36.400 about enthusiasm
00:35:37.180 as in there is a lack
00:35:38.600 of enthusiasm
00:35:39.160 at the moment
00:35:40.160 which will translate
00:35:41.620 into where
00:35:42.520 in a difficult situation
00:35:43.940 economically as a country.
00:35:45.440 I don't think
00:35:46.160 many of the things
00:35:46.940 that people are concerned
00:35:47.920 about at the moment
00:35:48.700 are going to get
00:35:49.200 any better
00:35:49.640 over the next five years.
00:35:50.440 They're probably
00:35:50.720 going to get worse
00:35:51.480 and so the argument
00:35:52.700 is after five years
00:35:54.840 people are going
00:35:55.980 to be the way
00:35:57.320 that they're currently
00:35:57.960 annoyed with
00:35:58.460 the Conservative Party.
00:35:59.340 They're going to be
00:35:59.880 just as annoyed
00:36:00.580 if not more
00:36:01.080 with the Labour Party
00:36:02.000 which is perhaps
00:36:03.160 the reform opportunity.
00:36:04.260 But in five years
00:36:04.940 quite a lot of the
00:36:05.880 existing Conservatives
00:36:07.800 will have gone
00:36:08.480 to their award
00:36:09.080 and the 16-year-olds
00:36:12.080 will be able to vote.
00:36:13.280 And the number
00:36:13.740 of people,
00:36:14.300 the number
00:36:14.520 of loyal Conservatives
00:36:15.380 in this country
00:36:15.820 goes down all the time
00:36:16.960 because they're not
00:36:17.980 making them anymore.
00:36:19.900 Very few people
00:36:20.680 are growing up
00:36:21.240 Conservative.
00:36:22.660 It just isn't happening.
00:36:24.500 So the simple passage
00:36:25.720 of time reduces
00:36:26.560 the Conservative vote
00:36:27.440 and if you
00:36:29.540 enfranchise 16-year-olds
00:36:30.680 and if you enfranchise
00:36:31.520 EU citizens
00:36:32.100 living in this country
00:36:32.860 of whom there are
00:36:33.320 quite a few
00:36:34.000 then what does it
00:36:36.420 matter whether
00:36:36.840 you have enthusiasm
00:36:37.580 or enthusiasm
00:36:38.160 is not necessary
00:36:39.160 where you have
00:36:40.040 organisation
00:36:40.620 and effective propaganda.
00:36:42.420 But Peter as well
00:36:43.420 it's not just
00:36:44.520 it's also the
00:36:46.240 incompetence
00:36:46.920 of the Conservative Party
00:36:48.000 and the fact
00:36:48.560 that they have
00:36:49.140 failed to deliver
00:36:50.820 on key election
00:36:51.820 pledges
00:36:52.200 including immigration.
00:36:53.260 Of course it is.
00:36:54.140 But I mean
00:36:54.500 this is a given
00:36:57.720 like the fact
00:36:58.220 the sun rises
00:36:58.880 in the east
00:36:59.780 and the morning
00:37:00.380 comes before the afternoon.
00:37:01.400 We know this.
00:37:02.020 It's not what's discussing.
00:37:04.000 That's all that's so
00:37:05.100 but it doesn't
00:37:05.640 it doesn't affect
00:37:06.300 the here we have
00:37:07.380 probably the biggest
00:37:09.080 political economic
00:37:10.700 and social change
00:37:11.400 which this country
00:37:11.960 has undergone
00:37:12.560 in its modern history
00:37:13.940 and an election campaign
00:37:15.340 of total vacuity
00:37:16.160 in which no major issue
00:37:17.160 is ever discussed.
00:37:18.620 How's that come about?
00:37:20.320 That is the important thing
00:37:21.580 and people
00:37:22.740 and people
00:37:23.460 trotting
00:37:24.360 bleating
00:37:24.820 towards the
00:37:25.520 towards the pens
00:37:26.300 where they're assured
00:37:27.000 that they can strike
00:37:28.980 a blow
00:37:29.320 at the Conservative Party
00:37:30.460 and that's what
00:37:30.960 they're going to vote for.
00:37:31.820 That's no
00:37:32.380 what we're going to vote for.
00:37:33.660 We're going to punish
00:37:34.360 the Tories.
00:37:35.460 In fact
00:37:35.760 we're going to punish
00:37:36.260 ourselves.
00:37:37.280 Everybody who votes
00:37:38.060 to put a Labour government
00:37:40.620 in will be punishing
00:37:41.340 himself or herself
00:37:42.280 for decades to come
00:37:43.800 but for one brief
00:37:46.340 shining moment
00:37:47.100 lasting perhaps
00:37:48.120 45 seconds
00:37:51.740 and gosh
00:37:52.440 I've punished the Tories.
00:37:54.160 Great.
00:37:55.660 I've really given
00:37:56.980 a hard time
00:37:57.520 to lose trust.
00:37:58.340 I've voted Labour.
00:37:59.560 Well I haven't voted
00:38:00.060 I've voted reform
00:38:00.820 but I've actually voted Labour.
00:38:01.880 that'll show
00:38:03.520 Liz Truss
00:38:04.160 won't you know.
00:38:05.980 Nothing will show
00:38:06.700 Liz Truss actually.
00:38:09.680 It's just ludicrous.
00:38:11.360 It's mistaking
00:38:12.860 a political act
00:38:13.700 for an emotional spasm
00:38:15.020 or the other way around.
00:38:17.140 Peter it's always great
00:38:17.980 to get you on
00:38:18.540 because you really
00:38:19.140 cheer us up.
00:38:20.800 That's my job.
00:38:22.220 There's nothing
00:38:22.720 look at me.
00:38:23.520 It's being so pessimistic
00:38:26.240 accepting that we're all doomed
00:38:27.580 that keeps me so cheerful.
00:38:30.320 And I remind you
00:38:31.880 of my watchword
00:38:33.400 in between the crisis
00:38:34.280 and the catastrophe
00:38:35.240 we may as well
00:38:36.260 have a glass of champagne.
00:38:38.180 It's my view.
00:38:38.920 I can't live any other way.
00:38:40.740 If I actually believed
00:38:42.140 that I had influenced events
00:38:43.180 and that I wasn't doing
00:38:43.940 enough to do it
00:38:44.520 I would go mad with grief.
00:38:46.440 So I just cease to do that.
00:38:49.000 There's no point in making
00:38:49.920 yourself deliberately unhappy.
00:38:51.900 Which I don't think there is.
00:38:53.100 I mean there are people
00:38:53.760 obviously who have
00:38:54.700 all kinds of weird proclivities.
00:38:56.300 And this is my other point.
00:38:57.360 If you don't like
00:38:58.380 the conservative government
00:38:59.880 and you're going to
00:39:01.700 substitute a Labour government
00:39:02.900 for it
00:39:03.380 you'll like someone
00:39:04.140 who's living with a masochist
00:39:05.440 who doesn't like
00:39:07.520 all those whips
00:39:08.180 and chains
00:39:08.700 and handcuffs and stuff
00:39:09.740 and chucks out the masochist
00:39:11.500 and goes and moves in
00:39:12.220 with a sadist.
00:39:13.560 It's a ludicrous reaction
00:39:15.420 to the problem.
00:39:16.760 So
00:39:17.040 what should
00:39:19.520 the ordinary
00:39:20.560 It's reaching you.
00:39:21.120 What should
00:39:21.680 the ordinary person
00:39:22.460 do Peter?
00:39:23.460 What should
00:39:23.760 he's told you to leave.
00:39:25.140 Vote against Labour.
00:39:26.160 Give yourself
00:39:26.660 another five years
00:39:29.040 before the heavens fall.
00:39:30.580 Vote against Labour.
00:39:31.560 It won't be as bad
00:39:33.520 if you do that
00:39:34.600 and succeed in keeping them out
00:39:36.020 as it will be
00:39:36.480 if they get in.
00:39:38.200 Maybe some miracle.
00:39:40.360 Maybe we'll discover
00:39:42.500 another vast bubble
00:39:44.060 of gas and oil.
00:39:45.260 Maybe some other
00:39:45.860 fantastic thing
00:39:46.580 will happen to the country
00:39:47.400 between now
00:39:48.400 and the next election
00:39:49.040 during which we can
00:39:49.760 rescue ourselves economically
00:39:51.320 and on the basis
00:39:52.140 of that politically
00:39:52.800 and socially as well.
00:39:54.160 It's highly unlikely
00:39:55.420 but who knows
00:39:55.960 stranger things
00:39:56.560 that happen.
00:39:57.740 Maybe
00:39:58.180 but whatever
00:39:58.700 you'll at least
00:39:59.180 give yourself
00:39:59.880 a five year reprieve
00:40:01.620 from the worst
00:40:02.760 imaginable government
00:40:03.680 in modern times.
00:40:04.640 Why would you possibly
00:40:05.620 not take that chance?
00:40:07.600 Offered a reprieve.
00:40:08.960 Why not take it?
00:40:10.180 Yeah.
00:40:10.500 I mean look
00:40:11.060 your argument
00:40:11.980 sounds more and more
00:40:12.760 rational
00:40:13.180 as I become determined
00:40:15.700 to leave this country
00:40:16.520 imminently
00:40:17.060 based on your
00:40:18.440 excellent advice.
00:40:20.640 Well as you can.
00:40:22.260 If you are able
00:40:23.260 to make a living
00:40:24.200 somewhere else
00:40:25.200 as things are
00:40:26.240 I've never seen
00:40:27.260 a country
00:40:27.720 more wrecked
00:40:31.700 than this one
00:40:32.300 and more determined
00:40:33.520 to pursue
00:40:34.180 a path of wreckage.
00:40:35.580 I mean look
00:40:35.940 add to what we have now
00:40:38.440 our economic problems
00:40:39.280 that we have now
00:40:39.880 add a fanatical pursuit
00:40:41.500 of net zero
00:40:42.080 over the next 10 years.
00:40:44.040 The idea that labour
00:40:44.980 while it pursues net zero
00:40:46.120 can somehow
00:40:48.000 rather mastermind
00:40:48.780 an economic recovery
00:40:49.600 is comically impossible
00:40:52.700 and I would like
00:40:54.240 to remind you
00:40:55.020 that Rachel Reeves
00:40:57.120 the supposedly
00:40:58.540 moderate
00:40:59.040 and responsible
00:41:00.580 chancellor
00:41:01.020 has a favourite guru
00:41:02.740 in the world
00:41:03.260 of economists.
00:41:04.400 Do you know
00:41:04.700 who she is?
00:41:06.320 It's the late
00:41:06.980 Joan Robinson.
00:41:08.860 Do you know
00:41:09.200 anything about her?
00:41:09.760 No.
00:41:10.660 Well
00:41:11.020 she was a very clever woman
00:41:12.660 but she did have
00:41:15.000 a bit of a tendency
00:41:16.600 to admire
00:41:17.280 first of all
00:41:18.360 Mao Zedong
00:41:19.000 and then after that
00:41:20.580 North Korean.
00:41:22.080 Excellent.
00:41:22.480 She is the
00:41:23.080 proclaimed
00:41:23.700 favourite
00:41:24.980 economist guru
00:41:26.100 of the
00:41:28.600 chancellor
00:41:28.880 very well.
00:41:30.140 So you're not
00:41:30.760 here dealing
00:41:31.280 with unideological
00:41:32.860 people.
00:41:34.960 And so
00:41:35.880 what did this
00:41:36.880 economist want?
00:41:38.220 I mean
00:41:38.460 you've alluded to it
00:41:39.500 Jane Robinson.
00:41:40.540 Yes.
00:41:41.140 Well she
00:41:41.820 had a particular
00:41:42.720 I can't even
00:41:43.180 remember the name
00:41:43.880 of her post-Keynes
00:41:44.920 theory but
00:41:45.820 you can find
00:41:47.060 and I have
00:41:47.620 published
00:41:48.020 works in which
00:41:50.000 she loads
00:41:52.040 praise upon
00:41:53.480 the Mao Zedong
00:41:54.340 regime during
00:41:55.060 some of its
00:41:55.500 stupidest action
00:41:56.480 and that's
00:41:57.440 quite stupid
00:41:58.200 and also
00:41:59.100 a particular article
00:42:00.040 in which she
00:42:00.940 becomes extremely
00:42:02.480 lyrical about
00:42:03.740 the Democratic
00:42:05.240 People's Republic
00:42:05.900 of Korea.
00:42:06.480 Now
00:42:08.620 And this is
00:42:09.300 the named
00:42:11.100 guru of
00:42:11.760 prospective
00:42:12.860 chancellor
00:42:13.320 of the
00:42:13.540 Exegger
00:42:13.840 I wish
00:42:14.720 you joy
00:42:15.120 of it
00:42:15.420 again I
00:42:16.880 shall be
00:42:17.160 laughing.
00:42:18.680 Now
00:42:19.240 if we look
00:42:20.400 at the
00:42:20.600 Conservative
00:42:21.060 Party
00:42:21.560 what do
00:42:22.320 they need
00:42:22.960 to do
00:42:23.480 in order
00:42:24.180 to regain
00:42:25.600 the trust
00:42:26.120 of the
00:42:26.380 British
00:42:26.600 people?
00:42:27.260 Well
00:42:27.400 if they
00:42:28.400 were to
00:42:29.340 remain in
00:42:30.120 government
00:42:30.420 keep out
00:42:30.840 Labour
00:42:31.100 the best
00:42:32.420 thing they
00:42:32.820 could do
00:42:33.120 because they
00:42:33.420 won't do it
00:42:33.940 would be
00:42:35.280 to continue
00:42:36.580 to govern
00:42:37.580 the country
00:42:38.660 not as
00:42:39.680 new Labour
00:42:40.080 as they
00:42:40.340 have been
00:42:40.720 but with
00:42:41.360 a certain
00:42:41.900 amount
00:42:42.200 of
00:42:42.720 conservatism
00:42:43.320 while the
00:42:44.180 rest of us
00:42:44.780 burrowed away
00:42:45.480 to replace
00:42:45.960 them with
00:42:46.340 a proper
00:42:47.020 Conservative
00:42:47.440 Party
00:42:47.780 by which I
00:42:48.660 do not
00:42:48.960 mean
00:42:49.140 Reform
00:42:49.420 UK
00:42:49.640 I mean
00:42:50.060 a party
00:42:50.360 which
00:42:50.580 understands
00:42:51.100 the nature
00:42:51.580 and principles
00:42:52.140 of
00:42:53.040 conservatism
00:42:53.660 It would
00:42:55.540 give us
00:42:55.760 a five-year
00:42:56.320 interval
00:42:56.620 in which
00:42:56.940 we could
00:42:57.220 do that
00:42:57.600 all I
00:42:58.620 would ask
00:42:59.040 them to
00:42:59.540 do
00:42:59.620 is not
00:42:59.880 make
00:43:00.080 things
00:43:00.280 any worse
00:43:00.800 So
00:43:01.240 what are
00:43:01.440 your
00:43:01.580 predictions
00:43:01.980 for the
00:43:02.340 election
00:43:02.580 Peter?
00:43:02.860 I don't
00:43:03.580 know
00:43:03.860 I don't
00:43:05.220 think
00:43:05.340 anybody
00:43:05.600 knows
00:43:05.960 I
00:43:06.300 mistrust
00:43:06.780 polls
00:43:07.160 I've
00:43:07.580 lived
00:43:07.760 through
00:43:07.980 many
00:43:08.280 occasions
00:43:08.760 when
00:43:08.980 polls
00:43:09.220 have
00:43:09.340 been
00:43:09.460 wrong
00:43:09.900 To this
00:43:11.440 level
00:43:11.740 though
00:43:11.980 I mean
00:43:13.580 for the
00:43:14.180 Labour Party
00:43:14.780 not to be
00:43:15.420 elected now
00:43:15.960 Polls are not
00:43:16.960 what they
00:43:17.320 were
00:43:17.620 when
00:43:18.000 Mr.
00:43:19.740 Dr.
00:43:20.560 Gallop
00:43:20.920 invented
00:43:21.520 opinion polls
00:43:22.060 before the
00:43:22.520 Second World War
00:43:23.380 people lived
00:43:24.820 in houses
00:43:25.740 and he would
00:43:26.120 go and knock
00:43:26.580 on their
00:43:26.800 doors
00:43:26.980 and they
00:43:27.180 answer
00:43:27.420 the
00:43:27.880 doors
00:43:28.160 and they
00:43:28.520 working from
00:43:31.700 home
00:43:31.900 and people
00:43:34.540 answered
00:43:34.820 their
00:43:35.000 telephones
00:43:35.520 and now
00:43:36.620 you have
00:43:36.820 a completely
00:43:37.120 different
00:43:37.380 society
00:43:37.780 I would
00:43:38.480 be fascinated
00:43:39.120 to know
00:43:39.680 how
00:43:40.660 in a country
00:43:41.360 where people
00:43:41.760 rarely answer
00:43:42.440 the door
00:43:42.800 unless they
00:43:43.160 think it's
00:43:43.460 Amazon
00:43:43.780 and how
00:43:45.520 in a society
00:43:45.940 where nobody
00:43:46.740 under the age
00:43:47.700 of 40
00:43:48.060 seems to
00:43:48.460 answer the
00:43:48.760 telephone
00:43:49.100 ever
00:43:49.460 anymore
00:43:49.940 opinion polls
00:43:51.180 are conducted
00:43:51.700 and the
00:43:53.840 other thing
00:43:54.160 that I do
00:43:54.580 know
00:43:54.880 particularly
00:43:55.480 from the
00:43:55.880 2010
00:43:56.260 election
00:43:56.740 which I
00:43:57.660 looked at
00:43:58.100 very closely
00:43:58.660 because I
00:43:59.020 simply did
00:43:59.500 not believe
00:44:00.100 the constant
00:44:00.780 reports that
00:44:01.380 David Cameron
00:44:01.880 was on course
00:44:02.460 for a
00:44:03.160 smashing victory
00:44:03.900 what happened
00:44:05.140 was that
00:44:05.760 huge numbers
00:44:07.020 of people
00:44:07.380 were either
00:44:08.320 not saying
00:44:09.160 how they were
00:44:09.900 going to vote
00:44:10.220 or saying
00:44:10.600 they didn't
00:44:11.000 know
00:44:11.360 and they
00:44:12.060 were excluded
00:44:12.640 from the
00:44:13.300 tallies
00:44:13.640 which the
00:44:14.120 newspapers
00:44:14.540 then published
00:44:15.280 as if they
00:44:16.120 were tallies
00:44:17.080 of 100%
00:44:17.940 so the
00:44:18.560 newspaper would
00:44:19.000 say that
00:44:19.320 the Tories
00:44:19.700 had gained
00:44:20.260 5% or
00:44:21.000 7%
00:44:21.540 of about
00:44:25.380 40%
00:44:25.940 of the votes
00:44:26.380 so much
00:44:26.860 much less
00:44:27.380 than that
00:44:27.800 so quite
00:44:28.660 small movements
00:44:29.500 were portrayed
00:44:30.140 as big
00:44:30.700 it can be
00:44:31.540 very misleading
00:44:32.100 my view
00:44:32.880 is that
00:44:33.140 the opinion
00:44:33.800 poll
00:44:34.140 organisations
00:44:34.720 the work
00:44:35.600 they do
00:44:36.220 to the
00:44:37.620 extent
00:44:37.820 that they
00:44:38.080 can
00:44:38.580 in the
00:44:38.840 circumstances
00:44:39.280 they do
00:44:39.700 it is
00:44:40.300 good
00:44:40.540 it has
00:44:40.860 to be
00:44:41.080 because
00:44:41.220 their
00:44:41.380 basic
00:44:41.740 job
00:44:42.000 is
00:44:42.120 market
00:44:42.340 research
00:44:42.760 if they
00:44:43.580 fail
00:44:43.820 in
00:44:43.940 elections
00:44:44.320 then
00:44:44.580 their
00:44:44.780 market
00:44:45.060 research
00:44:45.360 customers
00:44:45.740 won't
00:44:46.240 come to
00:44:46.640 them
00:44:46.780 anymore
00:44:47.100 but
00:44:48.160 those
00:44:48.640 are
00:44:48.740 the
00:44:48.860 raw
00:44:49.000 figures
00:44:49.380 the
00:44:49.540 way
00:44:49.720 in which
00:44:49.940 those
00:44:50.120 raw
00:44:50.340 figures
00:44:50.640 are
00:44:50.840 then
00:44:51.160 projected
00:44:51.740 by the
00:44:52.220 media
00:44:52.440 is a
00:44:52.840 totally
00:44:53.120 different
00:44:53.400 thing
00:44:53.700 and you
00:44:53.880 have to
00:44:54.060 be aware
00:44:54.360 of that
00:44:54.600 so I
00:44:55.260 don't know
00:44:55.700 I remember
00:44:56.680 very well
00:44:57.360 when I was
00:44:58.120 at Trotsky
00:44:58.560 in 1970
00:44:59.220 I was also
00:45:00.240 18 and
00:45:00.880 just benefited
00:45:01.880 from Harold
00:45:02.280 Wilson's
00:45:02.720 cynical
00:45:03.020 granting of
00:45:04.460 the vote
00:45:04.760 to 18
00:45:05.260 year olds
00:45:05.580 standing outside
00:45:07.100 Oxford
00:45:07.380 Town Hall
00:45:07.860 at midnight
00:45:08.820 because polls
00:45:09.260 closed earlier
00:45:09.840 in those days
00:45:10.240 waiting for
00:45:11.060 the result
00:45:11.660 which I
00:45:11.960 assumed
00:45:12.200 would be
00:45:12.380 a Labour
00:45:12.600 victory
00:45:12.880 and out
00:45:13.320 onto the
00:45:13.660 balcony
00:45:13.960 of Oxford
00:45:14.340 Town Hall
00:45:14.780 on that
00:45:15.740 warm June
00:45:16.240 night
00:45:16.540 came
00:45:17.080 the newly
00:45:19.340 elected
00:45:19.700 Tory MP
00:45:21.060 the right
00:45:22.800 honourable
00:45:23.240 Monty
00:45:24.540 Woodhouse
00:45:25.220 formerly of
00:45:26.420 MI6
00:45:26.980 and it was
00:45:29.260 a great surprise
00:45:29.840 to us all
00:45:30.180 and that was
00:45:30.600 the first
00:45:31.060 inclination I
00:45:32.260 and anybody else
00:45:32.820 had that night
00:45:33.620 of a complete
00:45:35.200 failure of the
00:45:35.880 opinion polls
00:45:36.400 together
00:45:36.620 they predicted
00:45:37.160 75 majority
00:45:38.320 for Harold
00:45:38.680 Wilson
00:45:38.900 and he was
00:45:40.740 thrown out of
00:45:41.180 office
00:45:41.480 and they
00:45:42.880 famously
00:45:43.760 the swing
00:45:45.200 ommeter
00:45:45.500 in the BBC
00:45:46.020 studios
00:45:46.640 which was
00:45:47.700 then painted
00:45:48.760 on a piece
00:45:49.220 of plywood
00:45:50.620 wasn't big
00:45:52.020 enough
00:45:52.360 to express
00:45:53.940 the swings
00:45:54.360 they had to
00:45:54.700 get a painter
00:45:55.160 in to paint
00:45:55.680 a longer
00:45:56.760 curve
00:45:57.100 on the swing
00:45:57.500 ommeter
00:45:57.760 because the
00:45:58.960 polls
00:45:59.280 were so
00:45:59.940 wrong
00:46:00.260 I also
00:46:01.000 remember
00:46:01.180 1992
00:46:01.740 when everybody
00:46:02.380 thought
00:46:02.640 Neil
00:46:02.860 Kennett would
00:46:03.280 win
00:46:03.440 and recently
00:46:05.640 elections abroad
00:46:06.740 in India
00:46:07.260 and in
00:46:07.920 Australia
00:46:08.320 and in
00:46:09.960 Norway
00:46:10.440 the polls
00:46:11.060 have been
00:46:11.420 completely wrong
00:46:12.180 the polling
00:46:13.740 organisations
00:46:14.300 constantly strive
00:46:15.260 to keep up
00:46:15.840 with change
00:46:16.340 in society
00:46:16.800 so nothing
00:46:17.660 needs to
00:46:18.440 surprise you
00:46:18.840 what I think
00:46:19.560 people should
00:46:19.980 be very careful
00:46:20.620 of don't let
00:46:21.580 the polls
00:46:21.980 rob you of
00:46:22.540 your mind
00:46:22.960 and will
00:46:23.320 do you
00:46:24.980 in any
00:46:25.460 important action
00:46:26.140 you have to
00:46:26.520 look over your
00:46:27.040 shoulder
00:46:27.380 before you
00:46:28.180 decide what
00:46:28.640 to do
00:46:29.060 or do you
00:46:29.880 as a
00:46:30.100 self-respecting
00:46:30.660 person
00:46:30.920 make your
00:46:31.280 own mind
00:46:31.660 up
00:46:31.920 letting your
00:46:33.320 vote be
00:46:33.620 influenced by
00:46:34.040 the opinion
00:46:34.360 polls
00:46:34.620 is being
00:46:35.100 the pathetic
00:46:36.360 direction
00:46:38.260 this person
00:46:38.840 the nowhere
00:46:40.100 man
00:46:40.420 who can't
00:46:41.100 make up
00:46:41.440 his own
00:46:42.280 mind
00:46:42.520 why be
00:46:43.260 that person
00:46:43.840 the election
00:46:45.320 hasn't taken
00:46:45.840 place
00:46:46.240 why people
00:46:47.140 are still
00:46:47.400 going around
00:46:48.260 all the time
00:46:48.940 acting and
00:46:49.940 speaking and
00:46:50.400 thinking as if
00:46:50.840 it has
00:46:51.200 big mistake
00:46:52.240 even from
00:46:53.600 the simple
00:46:54.280 point of view
00:46:54.660 of self-respect
00:46:55.240 it's a big
00:46:55.600 mistake
00:46:55.900 and Peter
00:46:57.460 I really want
00:46:58.660 to focus
00:46:59.080 on conservatism
00:47:00.080 what do you
00:47:02.100 mean by
00:47:02.580 conservatism
00:47:03.340 because we
00:47:03.880 talk to a lot
00:47:04.380 of people
00:47:04.780 everybody seems
00:47:05.440 to have a
00:47:05.720 different view
00:47:06.200 of it
00:47:06.500 oh love
00:47:07.420 of God
00:47:07.840 love
00:47:08.340 country
00:47:08.840 love
00:47:10.520 beauty
00:47:11.000 love
00:47:12.800 of
00:47:13.200 the
00:47:14.920 family
00:47:15.960 and
00:47:17.600 of your
00:47:18.280 fellow man
00:47:19.160 and expressed
00:47:20.360 in lasting
00:47:21.500 fair institutions
00:47:23.400 an absolute
00:47:24.480 attachment
00:47:25.000 to freedom
00:47:25.880 and the
00:47:26.960 rule of law
00:47:27.480 an unwillingness
00:47:28.900 to change
00:47:29.340 where it's
00:47:29.720 not necessary
00:47:30.500 and a
00:47:30.920 willingness
00:47:31.220 to change
00:47:31.680 where it is
00:47:32.500 an ability
00:47:33.220 to tell
00:47:34.920 change from
00:47:36.600 progress
00:47:37.020 and progress
00:47:37.560 from change
00:47:38.100 one could
00:47:40.840 go on
00:47:41.380 but you
00:47:41.960 obviously
00:47:42.280 don't want
00:47:42.680 the long
00:47:42.960 definition
00:47:43.340 I'd have
00:47:43.660 to give
00:47:43.900 you a book
00:47:44.320 and why
00:47:46.560 is this
00:47:47.060 conservative
00:47:47.540 government
00:47:47.960 in your
00:47:48.460 opinion
00:47:48.740 not
00:47:49.160 conservative
00:47:49.700 well it
00:47:50.440 never has
00:47:50.860 been
00:47:51.080 the
00:47:51.240 conservative
00:47:51.560 party
00:47:51.820 has always
00:47:52.220 been
00:47:52.460 an organisation
00:47:53.000 for attaining
00:47:53.460 office for the
00:47:54.000 sons of
00:47:54.320 gentlemen
00:47:54.620 the name
00:47:56.220 has always
00:47:57.800 been misleading
00:47:58.340 and its
00:47:59.760 history is not
00:48:00.840 particularly
00:48:01.380 conservative
00:48:01.780 and indeed
00:48:02.260 it absorbed
00:48:03.900 what was left
00:48:04.560 of the
00:48:04.740 liberal
00:48:04.900 party
00:48:05.320 Winston Churchill
00:48:08.060 if you remember
00:48:08.540 spent a lot
00:48:09.000 of his
00:48:09.240 political life
00:48:10.920 as a liberal
00:48:11.300 at one point
00:48:12.220 it's never
00:48:12.520 been a conservative
00:48:13.140 party
00:48:13.400 so it would be
00:48:14.220 unfair to
00:48:15.300 accuse it
00:48:16.400 of being
00:48:16.720 a conservative
00:48:17.120 party
00:48:17.400 and indeed
00:48:17.740 since
00:48:18.080 especially
00:48:18.940 since David
00:48:19.500 Cameron
00:48:19.860 explicitly
00:48:20.400 took it
00:48:20.880 over
00:48:21.160 and turned
00:48:21.920 it into
00:48:22.160 a Blairite
00:48:22.740 formation
00:48:24.440 that he
00:48:24.720 didn't
00:48:24.900 understand
00:48:25.400 Blairism
00:48:25.800 he knew
00:48:26.200 what he
00:48:26.440 had to
00:48:26.740 do
00:48:27.040 since then
00:48:28.620 anybody
00:48:29.840 who's
00:48:30.060 voted
00:48:30.240 conservative
00:48:30.640 has got
00:48:31.060 what they
00:48:31.380 deserved
00:48:31.880 people who
00:48:32.780 say
00:48:32.960 well
00:48:33.220 I voted
00:48:33.560 conservative
00:48:34.020 in
00:48:34.420 whenever
00:48:35.020 the last
00:48:35.360 election
00:48:35.680 was
00:48:35.960 I've
00:48:36.620 lost
00:48:36.820 count
00:48:37.080 of
00:48:37.180 them
00:48:37.340 and I
00:48:38.240 didn't
00:48:38.680 get a
00:48:38.900 conservative
00:48:39.220 government
00:48:39.540 I said
00:48:39.940 well what
00:48:40.320 did you
00:48:40.540 expect
00:48:41.040 there isn't
00:48:44.280 a conservative
00:48:44.840 to be seen
00:48:45.480 anywhere near the
00:48:45.980 front of the
00:48:46.280 party
00:48:46.740 or any
00:48:47.500 conservative
00:48:47.920 sentiment
00:48:48.340 to be found
00:48:48.820 in
00:48:49.480 Tory
00:48:49.880 manifestos
00:48:50.440 why would
00:48:51.080 you expect
00:48:51.580 that
00:48:51.880 especially
00:48:52.920 after you
00:48:53.420 voted
00:48:53.700 to
00:48:54.220 ratify
00:48:55.020 David
00:48:55.380 Cameron's
00:48:56.300 Blairite
00:48:56.780 takeover
00:48:57.180 of the
00:48:57.340 Conservative
00:48:57.640 Party
00:48:57.880 in 2010
00:48:58.380 you've
00:48:59.240 got what
00:48:59.540 you asked
00:48:59.900 for
00:49:00.100 so now
00:49:01.020 to turn
00:49:01.480 around
00:49:01.760 in 2024
00:49:02.860 and say
00:49:03.400 oh gosh
00:49:04.340 the Tories
00:49:04.680 aren't very
00:49:05.060 conservative
00:49:05.460 what's wrong
00:49:06.020 with you
00:49:06.500 presumably
00:49:08.620 people who
00:49:08.980 wander around
00:49:09.460 in the rain
00:49:10.000 for three
00:49:10.920 quarters of
00:49:11.240 an hour
00:49:11.420 and after
00:49:11.880 they become
00:49:12.300 soaking wet
00:49:12.920 start complaining
00:49:14.600 about the
00:49:14.860 weather forecast
00:49:15.640 it's just
00:49:17.280 people don't
00:49:18.100 think about
00:49:18.680 politics
00:49:19.040 I can't
00:49:20.400 help them
00:49:20.760 either
00:49:21.000 I try
00:49:21.660 and they
00:49:22.140 get angry
00:49:23.120 and call me
00:49:23.500 a contrarian
00:49:24.080 well
00:49:25.300 I certainly
00:49:25.920 didn't get
00:49:26.340 angry
00:49:26.600 I just
00:49:26.940 called you
00:49:27.280 a contrarian
00:49:27.740 to wind
00:49:28.120 you up
00:49:28.400 which has
00:49:28.720 worked out
00:49:29.120 very well
00:49:29.500 because we've
00:49:29.840 had a great
00:49:30.220 conversation
00:49:30.760 but the
00:49:31.960 thing that
00:49:32.720 I guess
00:49:34.260 this boils
00:49:34.940 down to
00:49:35.360 is the
00:49:35.580 Peter Hitchens
00:49:36.000 recommendation
00:49:36.560 is you should
00:49:37.240 vote against
00:49:37.740 Labour
00:49:38.040 which most
00:49:38.840 of the time
00:49:39.180 will mean
00:49:39.440 voting for
00:49:39.980 the Conservative
00:49:40.500 Party
00:49:40.940 while knowing
00:49:41.760 you're voting
00:49:42.320 for simply
00:49:43.060 a slightly
00:49:43.500 less
00:49:43.760 Blairite
00:49:44.200 version
00:49:44.500 of the
00:49:44.740 same
00:49:44.900 thing
00:49:45.080 not
00:49:45.860 I don't
00:49:46.380 think so
00:49:46.680 I think
00:49:46.960 this is
00:49:47.260 a
00:49:47.440 I think
00:49:47.780 the
00:49:48.560 Starmer
00:49:49.060 government
00:49:49.380 will be
00:49:49.640 a major
00:49:50.180 step
00:49:50.640 previous
00:49:51.860 since
00:49:52.540 really
00:49:53.020 the
00:49:53.520 washed
00:49:54.040 out
00:49:54.360 old
00:49:54.780 Gordon
00:49:55.060 Brown
00:49:55.320 government
00:49:55.700 that
00:49:56.220 tried
00:49:57.060 to stay
00:49:57.720 in office
00:49:58.000 in 2010
00:49:59.800 to which
00:50:00.220 I would have
00:50:00.540 no objection
00:50:01.040 in many ways
00:50:01.580 Gordon Brown
00:50:01.940 was to the
00:50:02.260 right of
00:50:02.540 David Cameron
00:50:03.060 particularly
00:50:03.760 on European
00:50:04.220 matters
00:50:04.620 I think
00:50:04.960 and the
00:50:05.260 European
00:50:05.680 currency
00:50:06.200 he was
00:50:07.760 exhausted
00:50:08.520 and
00:50:09.300 played out
00:50:10.200 and
00:50:10.540 run out
00:50:11.960 of ideas
00:50:12.400 and to have
00:50:12.960 left him
00:50:13.320 in office
00:50:13.720 in 2010
00:50:14.240 wouldn't have
00:50:14.660 been a
00:50:14.880 big problem
00:50:15.280 the other
00:50:16.400 leaders
00:50:17.160 that Labour
00:50:17.560 have groped
00:50:18.940 for in
00:50:19.240 the intervening
00:50:19.640 period
00:50:20.020 have not
00:50:20.820 really been
00:50:21.240 convincing
00:50:21.700 or likely
00:50:22.160 winners
00:50:22.520 Starmer is
00:50:23.760 the first
00:50:24.160 real attempt
00:50:24.800 to bring
00:50:25.500 together
00:50:26.100 the full
00:50:28.000 force
00:50:28.880 of Blairism
00:50:30.120 again
00:50:30.660 politics
00:50:31.160 and you'll
00:50:31.640 note that
00:50:32.040 it's attracted
00:50:32.560 the support
00:50:33.180 and help
00:50:33.680 of prominent
00:50:34.680 veterans
00:50:35.180 of the
00:50:35.800 Blair
00:50:36.900 revolution
00:50:37.340 in 97
00:50:37.800 it's
00:50:39.340 much
00:50:39.760 much
00:50:40.120 more powerful
00:50:40.780 thing
00:50:41.240 than the
00:50:42.020 Tories
00:50:42.280 faced
00:50:42.820 for a
00:50:43.260 very long
00:50:43.640 time
00:50:43.840 or indeed
00:50:44.120 the country
00:50:44.580 has faced
00:50:45.020 and it's
00:50:46.280 not just
00:50:46.720 a minor
00:50:47.100 difference
00:50:47.660 the Tories
00:50:48.680 have been
00:50:49.040 caretaking
00:50:49.640 Blairism
00:50:50.220 since 2010
00:50:51.580 as I say
00:50:52.780 without
00:50:52.960 understanding
00:50:53.580 it and
00:50:53.900 therefore
00:50:54.100 without having
00:50:54.540 the initiative
00:50:55.360 to pursue
00:50:56.180 it
00:50:56.440 and sometimes
00:50:57.020 even
00:50:57.520 very slightly
00:50:58.500 restraining
00:50:59.900 and diminishing
00:51:02.140 it
00:51:02.300 nothing like
00:51:02.980 as much
00:51:03.380 as they
00:51:04.580 should have
00:51:04.840 done
00:51:05.140 but
00:51:06.240 but
00:51:06.260 what
00:51:07.280 a
00:51:07.400 Starmer
00:51:07.720 government
00:51:08.000 would do
00:51:08.280 would be
00:51:08.540 to
00:51:08.920 bring
00:51:11.860 the full
00:51:12.520 force
00:51:13.020 of
00:51:13.440 will
00:51:14.020 and
00:51:14.180 enthusiasm
00:51:14.720 and
00:51:15.420 dogma
00:51:15.880 and power
00:51:16.340 and if
00:51:17.720 what we're told
00:51:18.680 is true
00:51:19.140 a very big
00:51:20.200 and unassailable
00:51:20.780 majority
00:51:21.300 back into
00:51:23.020 the Blairite
00:51:24.400 locomotive
00:51:24.920 and it would
00:51:26.380 be capable
00:51:26.860 of pulling
00:51:28.140 immense loads
00:51:28.840 and turning
00:51:29.360 immense speeds
00:51:30.100 and that
00:51:30.580 which would
00:51:30.840 make
00:51:31.060 if people
00:51:32.060 don't like
00:51:32.580 Conservative
00:51:32.980 government
00:51:33.280 to say
00:51:33.760 then they
00:51:34.620 really won't
00:51:35.240 like
00:51:35.580 Starmer
00:51:36.040 and what
00:51:38.580 do you think
00:51:39.000 Starmer's stance
00:51:39.940 is going to be
00:51:40.520 on immigration
00:51:41.060 because he's
00:51:42.080 alluded to the
00:51:43.420 fact that he
00:51:43.880 wants to tackle
00:51:44.680 illegal immigration
00:51:45.620 or do you
00:51:47.120 think it's
00:51:47.520 going to be
00:51:47.760 very much
00:51:48.240 an open
00:51:48.700 border policy
00:51:49.500 it's a
00:51:50.500 so
00:51:50.600 I think
00:51:51.020 it's a
00:51:51.680 so
00:51:51.800 which is
00:51:52.080 in some
00:51:52.420 ways
00:51:52.560 largely over
00:51:53.280 mass
00:51:53.920 immigration
00:51:54.280 has happened
00:51:54.920 in this
00:51:55.280 country
00:51:55.540 and
00:51:56.020 irreversibly
00:51:57.060 and a lot
00:51:57.520 of the
00:51:57.740 problems
00:51:57.980 which we face
00:51:58.520 now are
00:51:59.420 going to
00:51:59.620 have to
00:51:59.920 be with
00:52:00.340 how civilized
00:52:01.200 people
00:52:01.460 we cope
00:52:01.820 with it
00:52:02.120 I don't
00:52:03.480 think he
00:52:03.780 has any
00:52:04.440 particular
00:52:05.420 policy
00:52:05.820 and I
00:52:06.100 think
00:52:06.260 any
00:52:06.600 attempts
00:52:07.160 to get
00:52:07.580 him
00:52:07.740 to
00:52:08.100 set
00:52:09.220 one
00:52:09.420 out
00:52:09.660 have
00:52:09.880 failed
00:52:10.260 because
00:52:11.380 he
00:52:11.580 doesn't
00:52:12.380 I don't
00:52:13.620 think he
00:52:13.900 has
00:52:14.160 in his
00:52:14.720 deep
00:52:15.640 heart's
00:52:16.600 core
00:52:17.060 any
00:52:18.220 particular
00:52:18.920 objection
00:52:19.360 to
00:52:19.600 large
00:52:19.800 scale
00:52:20.020 immigration
00:52:20.460 he
00:52:21.060 probably
00:52:21.560 realizes
00:52:22.100 as a
00:52:22.760 political
00:52:23.640 issue
00:52:24.180 is
00:52:25.260 possibly
00:52:26.340 one of
00:52:26.740 the
00:52:27.220 things
00:52:27.420 most
00:52:27.700 dangerous
00:52:28.080 to his
00:52:28.320 party
00:52:28.520 in the
00:52:28.720 long term
00:52:29.160 well I
00:52:30.080 don't think
00:52:30.280 he really
00:52:30.500 has one
00:52:31.000 when he
00:52:31.780 talks about
00:52:32.460 and Starmer
00:52:33.180 it's been
00:52:34.060 said by
00:52:34.940 clever people
00:52:35.520 not by me
00:52:36.340 but it's
00:52:36.680 true
00:52:37.060 that Starmer
00:52:38.160 approaches
00:52:38.680 every problem
00:52:39.540 as a lawyer
00:52:40.060 he tries to
00:52:40.680 prosecute it
00:52:41.320 out of existence
00:52:41.900 and when he
00:52:42.860 makes these
00:52:43.240 speeches
00:52:43.520 he's going to
00:52:44.000 have these
00:52:44.260 special squads
00:52:45.080 and prosecutors
00:52:45.560 he's going to
00:52:46.040 catch the
00:52:46.480 people
00:52:46.800 I think he
00:52:47.980 genuinely
00:52:48.380 believes
00:52:49.120 that he can
00:52:50.120 do something
00:52:50.500 by that
00:52:50.860 method
00:52:51.260 but I don't
00:52:52.400 think he has
00:52:52.840 any profound
00:52:53.400 idea because
00:52:54.000 I don't think
00:52:54.700 he really
00:52:56.580 knows what
00:52:57.340 to do
00:52:57.760 any more
00:52:58.760 than the
00:52:59.000 Tories
00:52:59.320 have known
00:52:59.840 what to
00:53:00.160 do
00:53:00.420 well Peter
00:53:01.900 there you
00:53:02.240 go
00:53:02.440 it's a
00:53:02.900 pleasure
00:53:03.100 having you
00:53:03.520 back on
00:53:03.980 to as I
00:53:04.680 say cheer
00:53:05.060 everybody up
00:53:05.720 right before
00:53:06.560 the election
00:53:07.000 well I like
00:53:07.660 to feel
00:53:08.120 and I bring
00:53:08.780 happiness
00:53:09.260 every home
00:53:11.520 in a manner
00:53:14.300 of speaking
00:53:14.860 the key to
00:53:16.580 happiness
00:53:16.940 is pessimism
00:53:17.680 optimism is
00:53:19.620 absolutely
00:53:21.040 the road
00:53:21.580 to misery
00:53:21.980 Peter
00:53:23.920 Hitchens
00:53:24.220 the last
00:53:25.040 question
00:53:25.340 before we
00:53:25.760 go to
00:53:26.160 locals
00:53:26.520 and ask
00:53:26.960 you
00:53:27.080 questions
00:53:27.460 from our
00:53:27.960 audience
00:53:28.320 last
00:53:28.920 question
00:53:29.220 we always
00:53:29.540 ask in
00:53:29.880 the main
00:53:30.120 section
00:53:30.420 is
00:53:30.680 what's
00:53:31.280 the one
00:53:31.540 thing
00:53:31.720 we're not
00:53:32.160 talking
00:53:32.520 about
00:53:32.800 that we
00:53:33.080 really
00:53:33.260 should
00:53:33.440 be
00:53:33.660 actually
00:53:35.400 probably
00:53:36.100 the
00:53:37.120 standing
00:53:38.400 of this
00:53:38.900 country
00:53:39.200 and the
00:53:39.480 world
00:53:39.760 our
00:53:41.000 fantasy
00:53:41.880 that we
00:53:42.380 are still
00:53:42.740 a great
00:53:43.060 power
00:53:43.400 our
00:53:44.540 fantasy
00:53:44.840 that we're
00:53:45.160 still very
00:53:45.540 rich
00:53:45.860 and these
00:53:46.960 two
00:53:47.280 fantasies
00:53:47.800 prevent us
00:53:48.500 from actually
00:53:49.360 being
00:53:49.860 in my view
00:53:50.660 a far
00:53:51.420 more
00:53:51.600 prosperous
00:53:51.980 and far
00:53:52.420 happier
00:53:52.700 society
00:53:53.120 because we
00:53:53.440 constantly
00:53:53.820 strain
00:53:54.300 to be
00:53:55.200 what we
00:53:55.480 once
00:53:55.760 definitely
00:53:56.220 were
00:53:56.580 and are
00:53:57.400 no longer
00:53:57.880 and by
00:53:59.260 straining to
00:53:59.800 do that
00:54:00.180 by continuing
00:54:01.400 to make
00:54:02.640 these pretenses
00:54:03.220 of being
00:54:03.580 a great
00:54:03.900 power
00:54:04.200 we
00:54:05.420 fail
00:54:07.280 to discuss
00:54:08.420 how in
00:54:08.840 fact we
00:54:09.240 could be
00:54:09.780 a smaller
00:54:11.480 happier
00:54:12.300 more prosperous
00:54:13.320 more contented
00:54:14.280 and more
00:54:14.540 successful
00:54:14.840 country
00:54:15.200 I wish we
00:54:16.120 could discuss
00:54:16.580 that
00:54:16.860 but it seems
00:54:18.200 to be largely
00:54:18.640 undiscussable
00:54:19.520 Peter Hitchens
00:54:20.540 thank you very
00:54:21.020 much
00:54:21.200 follow us
00:54:21.880 over to
00:54:22.200 locals
00:54:22.480 where we
00:54:22.820 ask Peter
00:54:23.240 your questions
00:54:23.940 if we want
00:54:26.400 to change
00:54:26.920 how will we
00:54:27.760 get that
00:54:28.200 by continuing
00:54:28.840 to vote
00:54:29.320 for one of
00:54:29.760 the two
00:54:30.040 parties
00:54:30.440 when neither
00:54:31.300 of them
00:54:31.640 have the
00:54:31.980 policies
00:54:32.320 we actually
00:54:32.880 want
00:54:33.260 up
00:54:34.820 tell
00:54:36.200 for one to
00:54:40.700 or
00:54:41.400 have a
00:54:41.500 like
00:54:41.940 a
00:54:42.360 bomb
00:54:42.860 to be