True Patriot Love - October 21, 2025


Canada’s Immigration Crisis: Bill C-12 Explained


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Length

58 minutes

Words per minute

176.60655

Word count

10,315

Sentence count

16

Harmful content

Misogyny

3

sentences flagged

Hate speech

10

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

On this episode of the Social Experiment, we speak to the former Director of the Canadian Association of Immigration Consultants and Professional Integration Consultants (APIC) and the former President of the Council for Canadian Visas, Nadav Rosenberg. Nadav joins us to discuss the impact of Bill C12, which will change the landscape of immigration and asylum in Canada forever.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 on this wednesday we learned that the government was changing immigration forever bill c12 will
00:00:07.200 change the landscape of immigration and asylum seekers in canada forever and we're about to see 1.00
00:00:13.680 the impacts 200 000 people with claims sitting in the queue are about to get their fate decided
00:00:20.800 so stay tuned and join we are so concerned about what we're doing on this front people came to
00:00:28.880 canada with the intention of being residents they paid into the system they got educations they
00:00:35.920 funded tuitions they took loans back home and they got their parents to fund
00:00:42.080 their education with the dream of becoming canadian and now all that is about to end
00:00:47.600 those people who dropped into the asylum seeker category are about to be given their fate as this
00:00:53.280 bill passes today on the social experiment i'm speaking to near rosenberg council for canadian
00:01:10.480 visas.com welcome near well thank you very much appreciate being here and i met near a few years
00:01:17.440 ago um through a friend and it was uh over someone who needed help in the immigration field and it's
00:01:24.880 been a really good relationship and i'm i'm happy to have him on today near was the past director by the
00:01:30.560 way of the canadian association of immigration consultants professional integration consultants
00:01:36.080 and uh you know which is really important because i know sometimes you know people uh immigration
00:01:42.320 sometimes gets a bad name there's some characters out there and i think near and uh another gentleman
00:01:48.640 phil uh spent a lot of time in their career kind of working towards making it reputable and getting
00:01:55.120 people into a set of standards that help the industry right near yeah absolutely yeah uh over over
00:02:02.240 many many years i would say yeah yeah it's got to be 20 years since i met phil so yeah so today we're
00:02:09.520 talking about asylum seekers so um and this is a topic that's been uh in the news in the newspapers it's
00:02:18.400 been uh talked about a lot uh probably since you know late 24 mid to late uh 2024 and into the first
00:02:27.920 quarter 2025 and it it really popped up near um and we did a show on it yesterday with respect to people
00:02:35.760 entering into uh the ports of canada right the number of people coming over the border walking
00:02:41.200 and flying and i wanted to start the show off today just kind of talking about some information and then
00:02:47.760 kind of delve into students because it's a big issue here and it it continues to be um and you know i did
00:02:55.680 some research as i was prepping for the show i was doing a lot of research and i came across some really
00:03:01.040 interesting uh information and i wasn't aware of and you know the ircc the department of immigration
00:03:08.560 refugee citizenship of canada um basically has a budget uh for 2024 and they spent it of 6.3 billion
00:03:18.640 dollars so you know this is a big bigger industry than i even i thought to tell you the truth when i got
00:03:24.480 into it you know and and it's interesting you know they uh since 2023 they ramped up and they
00:03:33.440 increased their funding the ircc funding uh ramped up and it it hit its kind of peak in 24 when it went
00:03:41.680 to the 6.3 and now the government wants of the government of canada is saying okay let's kind of
00:03:47.760 try to slow it down a little and let's ratchet it back and i threw a graph up on the screen that
00:03:53.520 basically shows the expenditures you know going down and they really want to kind of get it back
00:03:59.680 to where it was kind of i'd say before covid um the expenditure on the file um and then i said okay
00:04:08.320 well that's interesting because how many asylum seekers do we have so you know and where does the
00:04:14.480 money go so the the money they spend on right now the 6.3 in 2024 i looked into it and i said okay where
00:04:22.320 where do they spend their money well they they transfer a bunch of money to the provinces so
00:04:27.520 you know it was very interesting because they transfer roughly three billion dollars to the
00:04:33.520 provinces in 2024 then they uh they take about 167 billion dollars and they transfer or give that or
00:04:43.760 pay that to a consulting a set of uh people who are not on payroll but they actually assist immigration
00:04:51.120 and then they have personnel of about 1.66 billion dollars so it massive you know a lot bigger and
00:04:57.920 it makes up immigration as an expenditure for the government makes up about 1.2 percent of the total
00:05:04.560 budget so you know a little different than what i thought um they're trying to kind of ratchet that down
00:05:11.600 uh as i mentioned go to a lower spend but they still want to spend four billion dollars uh in 2025
00:05:19.840 this year on asylum seekers so that that brought a lot of uh questions to my mind and and the first
00:05:27.360 one that came up is you know who's submitting claims and where are they submitting claims so
00:05:32.960 i looked at okay um how many claims are they getting well they're getting about right now uh if
00:05:39.040 you look at the chart that's on your screen july 2025 they're at just below 14 000 people making asylum
00:05:48.400 claims a day right so 14 000 as you can see most of those claims are either in quebec or ontario
00:05:57.840 makes sense not a lot of claims happening anywhere else in canada um because all the provinces are
00:06:04.080 recommend uh are represented in this graph and then i said okay well are they coming in like
00:06:10.160 where are they coming in to the country from because i thought they were all you know it's funny near i
00:06:14.960 thought when they said asylum seekers they basically were talking about people who were coming through
00:06:21.120 you know a port through land or air but it includes students and other people in the country
00:06:27.760 yeah yeah it does yeah um and now now we're seeing that more and more um we we uh there are
00:06:37.200 really only a couple of different ways someone can really make a refugee claim um we have convention
00:06:43.200 refugees um which are essentially um individuals that um have to go through the united nations high
00:06:49.600 commission for refugees uh outside of canada so they they're individuals that can't get to canada 0.85
00:06:55.200 either by land sea or air uh and they go through an interview process they go through a lengthy
00:06:59.440 process and they get some uh they get a certificate from the unhcr that calls them a convention refugee
00:07:04.320 and then they make a claim uh for permanent residency through uh some sort of a sponsorship
00:07:09.120 to canada or it's individuals that are say crossing the border uh landing uh into one of the canadian
00:07:16.640 airports or crossing the border uh through a land crossing whether it's a secured line crossing or an
00:07:22.560 unsecured line crossing and through canada and the us i mean we have the most the longest uh say
00:07:27.920 unprotected border in the world uh or unsecure border in the world uh you've got a lot of areas where
00:07:33.520 there's no uh no formal port of entry where you are being uh interviewed by uh cbsa or canadian border
00:07:39.920 services agencies um and so you've got you've got individuals that could come from uh latin american
00:07:46.720 countries step into the united states or even individuals that are american who are feeling
00:07:52.240 insecure or or or fearing of persecution of some sort of reason uh in the united states and so they
00:07:58.640 come to the canadian border we get a lot of calls from individuals like that who just say you know what
00:08:03.200 if we don't want to live here anymore what if we don't want to live in the united states uh and we
00:08:07.440 want to go to canada can we just go to the border and make a claim technically yes um but there are
00:08:13.360 things that uh that prevent them from doing that like uh the safe third country agreement between
00:08:18.000 canada and the us so um there are um uh individuals that do come into the country uh in in in uh in
00:08:26.400 different ways uh and make those claims and then of course you touched on um individuals that are in
00:08:32.560 canada perhaps students or foreign workers or individuals that just you know came into canada
00:08:37.520 for some sort of reason whether it was a visit a study a work permit and they don't want to leave
00:08:43.120 and so they'll make a claim from inside the country yeah yeah well you know in that you know i when i
00:08:48.560 got into it you know you in the movies you used to see you know the professional athlete or the
00:08:53.680 ballerina who came to town and then claimed asylum so i used to think to yourself wow that doesn't
00:08:58.320 happen very often but we're gonna in a minute we're gonna get into it you know it's interesting
00:09:02.800 because you know just quick story you know because you know i do a lot of building and i love to build
00:09:08.000 things um there was kind of a mass uh immigration of turkish trades this happened you know almost
00:09:15.600 around covet we started to see more people from turkey coming in wonderful uh stucco and concrete
00:09:21.600 guys and you you know i'd love working with them and as i was working with them i you know i asked
00:09:26.960 them the story how did you get here what do you what were you know what was your entry point and it was
00:09:31.760 interesting so this is so crazy when you listen to their story and i said you guys should write a book
00:09:36.960 they would they would go to mexico right they would uh come through get smuggled into the u.s
00:09:44.880 and then travel all the way up to quebec and then come into the country right and claim asylum
00:09:50.720 and i said wow what a what a journey you've been through like that's crazy well we wanted to come
00:09:55.040 to canada and i thought you know here's and it's interesting because you know how times change that was
00:10:00.480 you know during the covet times uh here now we're we just put something out the other day in
00:10:08.960 in ontario or all throughout canada we are having a housing crisis of course and we are five thousand
00:10:18.000 500 000 workers skilled workers short so these guys who and you know it's funny i called a friend of
00:10:24.240 mine a turkish friend and i said to him i said did you read that article he said he said i read it
00:10:28.960 this morning he said imagine if all these guys in this time they would be begging for them to come in
00:10:34.720 but in order for them to get him at that time they had to go through that journey which you can imagine
00:10:39.680 the perils of that journey like just the the risk of making it onto that border in in quebec uh what
00:10:47.040 must have been so large so anyways you gotta you know the stories you hear are amazing so then you
00:10:52.800 know yeah so then i i jumped forward and i said okay you know where uh people coming in through ports
00:10:59.920 is what you mentioned near you know basically which ports so you know the interesting part when i just
00:11:07.760 mentioned you know most of them are coming in through quebec so if you look at the graph the
00:11:12.320 brown part is basically ontario and the blue part is quebec or the blue green part um you know it's
00:11:20.720 quebec and you know it's interesting so quebec you know not known for great border port control right
00:11:28.080 because i don't know moneer you probably don't you might hear a little bit of it but you know it's kind
00:11:33.520 of a one of those things that we talk about car thefts in canada um and most of our cars that
00:11:38.720 actually do get uh go through the quebec port a lot of them get shipped to quebec and then out of
00:11:44.400 the quebec port and it's become an issue sort of over time but so they come through the quebec port and
00:11:50.960 i said okay great that must be where everyone's coming in then i flip to the next page and basically
00:11:57.520 people inside of canada um are mostly uh or a big portion of them are probably more than 50 are
00:12:06.800 actually in ontario so they're becoming asylum claimants inside of canada in ontario so not quebec
00:12:13.280 so i said okay a few of them you know are alberta uh you see that in the chart um i thought a lot more
00:12:22.480 would be on the east coast but no so and it made sense given the size so i i said okay well that's
00:12:29.840 kind of weird how many how many people okay uh so we probably have 5 500 people a day um and then i said
00:12:38.400 okay what happened what the next chart i went what happened to study permits and work permit holders well
00:12:44.880 then i remembered our uh immigration minister mark miller um before lena uh diav got in she he said
00:12:55.120 you know he came on tv and he said listen we're going to reduce the number of study permits and we're
00:13:00.960 going to you know reduce the number of work permits so then i went and took a look and lo and behold it
00:13:06.720 is true they they have actually moved quite aggressively to do that as you can see from the
00:13:12.800 chart that shows them declining so i'm like okay um so it's a kind of a weird graph you know we don't
00:13:21.120 have as many study permits we have a lot of people claiming asylum inside the country um and so then i
00:13:27.440 asked my you know a few friends of mine i said what's going on and they said well you know take a look
00:13:32.480 at the incoming asylum applications so i went to the next chart asylum applications and lo and behold
00:13:39.840 there's 200 000 uh as of 200 2024 asylum applications so when it spiked up like from you know 21 coming
00:13:51.200 out of covet 22 23 24 and it it appears to be based on you know the few quarters in 25 to be increasing
00:14:01.600 even more rapidly so you know what and i i asked then the question i said well where the heck are they
00:14:07.920 coming from who's making these claims so then i went to the source documents in in the irc websites and
00:14:16.240 and stats websites well you know you got it uh india haiti mexico iran nigeria bangladesh turkey china
00:14:25.920 afghanistan that should be columbia and then sri lanka pakistan and guinea right so those were the top
00:14:33.840 kind of leaders in uh q1 2025 for people who were making claims so that that's where they're coming
00:14:41.120 from um now you know i'm going to get into in a minute with you but you know the reason so like
00:14:49.760 you know we talked about a little yesterday if i'm just coming across the border making asylum
00:14:55.120 you know for the most part i'm doing that because i need protection or i'm uh i'm in fear
00:15:01.520 uh it seems like a very complicated process that whole process um when i looked i kind of delved
00:15:09.520 into it for a few hours and the amount of case law and information and diligence that goes give me a
00:15:16.080 little bit of flavor of that near before we jump into students well um yeah as far as you know the numbers
00:15:27.200 um are concerned um i think that uh the the increase in refugee claims um overall are due to lack of um
00:15:42.160 ability to i mean from those in canada lack of ability to remain in canada using a regular process
00:15:48.960 those that are coming from outside of canada i i would say probably over the last few years since covid
00:15:54.720 um probably relate to um uh situations you know with uh volatile uncertainty around the world in
00:16:02.640 different countries like ukraine um like the middle east um so we're seeing you know canada be a little
00:16:09.200 bit more open to certain refugees from different countries and so they'll create certain policies
00:16:14.800 around a very specific circumstance or around a very specific country um and so you know the numbers
00:16:22.160 are increasing but canada's recently starting to kind of put a a a stop to it essentially um you
00:16:30.400 know they they realized that they created this problem um and i truly believe that canada created
00:16:36.080 this problem over the last several years uh since covid primarily you know yeah they're bright you
00:16:43.120 know the first quarter of 25 i think the the minister came out and said listen we we uh put some measures
00:16:49.440 in we seem to have decreased the year on year by 34 percent um and we're going to keep being diligent
00:16:56.320 on asylum seekers coming through the port of entry which you know i think that was a cry that we got
00:17:01.520 when uh all the expenditures for hotels and onboarding came out and people were totally shocked at the
00:17:09.120 numbers tell you the truth so yeah they spend again i i need to cut you off they they do spend uh tens of
00:17:16.560 thousands of dollars per uh individual on a refugee claim uh whether it's temporary housing it's uh you
00:17:23.680 know food uh it's shelter it's uh clothing uh they they they give grants uh to individuals and then and
00:17:31.360 these refugees uh don't necessarily in there are certain cases they do but 90 majority don't have to
00:17:39.920 repay that back ever um and so when you're letting in so many refugees from so many different countries
00:17:48.320 you have to support them um a lot of these uh individuals that come in aren't some of them some
00:17:54.880 of them are well educated but don't have english some of them are not very educated uh some of them
00:18:00.160 just don't have the ability to integrate very fast or very fairly quickly into the canadian
00:18:05.360 uh society or into the canadian market uh and so you have to support them for a certain extent of
00:18:12.000 time um and that's where we saw majority of uh the funding the the statutory uh funding going into
00:18:21.040 resettlement of refugees uh to to resettle these refugees in the country yeah no i know and and uh you
00:18:28.880 know the guys from true north another podcast they did a i was watching it the other night they estimate
00:18:34.960 kind of each of those claimants uh cost the government roughly 81 000 by the time they get
00:18:40.960 through the process um and i think that's what caught attention of a lot of canadians because
00:18:45.360 they were like you know my incomes you know average 61 and so they were like we're spending 81 000 to
00:18:52.560 onboard someone who that's seeking asylum and i'm only making 61 a year and so there was a lot of
00:18:58.240 comparisons going on of course yeah that's just human nature but sure i think that's flagged it for
00:19:04.480 a lot of people you know so the next one that caught my and this was something that really um hit home
00:19:11.920 with me right and uh it's the people who have kind of entered into canada under student visas um
00:19:22.400 and they they arrived and you know they're the people who you know left their hometown and their village
00:19:32.320 or their city they you know got their parents to mortgage lands that had been in their family for
00:19:41.200 decades and 100 you know 100 years and a lot of these a lot of these places that you saw on the list
00:19:47.360 that we talked about a few minutes ago you know wealth is really generated by um bequest by transfer of
00:19:56.320 uh land between or homes between families so you know these are people that kind of came here their
00:20:03.680 parents you know mortgaged their lands you know sold their lands uh worked hard all their lives to get
00:20:10.000 them to come here and start their um start their journey uh through education in the country in canada
00:20:18.000 and you know that kind of caught my eye because i started looking at the stats and i'm like wow a lot of
00:20:23.280 these people have now are now claiming asylum they've they've they've reached their end of their
00:20:28.720 student visas and quite frankly the government said well you know your path to potential pr here or
00:20:36.480 citizenship here is you know going to come to an end and they said well what am i going to do so they
00:20:41.360 panicked i guess and they jumped on to the asylum system so um you must see that and i just want to
00:20:48.480 get your take on and then share a few stats because i was i was i was actually shocked at the numbers
00:20:55.440 yeah yeah the the numbers are high and and um they they they are going to go down uh and i we believe
00:21:02.400 very quickly um the issue around international students coming to canada i think became well we
00:21:11.360 didn't know it was going to be an issue um or some people must have uh but what they did was in uh in
00:21:18.080 and around the covet era uh when schools were struggling and canada wanted to inject funding
00:21:24.640 and money into these international schools and a lot of these international schools are private schools
00:21:29.280 so you know they they needed to stay afloat during the covet era and so what canada did was they
00:21:35.120 basically kind of opened the doors to a lot of international students over half a million annually
00:21:40.880 uh well above that uh actually and what they did was they they they they have brought in these students
00:21:46.640 they increased revenue but what they did was they allowed so many people into the country when the
00:21:54.960 country couldn't necessarily absorb that amount of people um you know and that's where we find today
00:22:00.880 the housing shortage the health care crisis um you know they're but they are addressing this problem
00:22:07.120 by essentially putting a little bit of a band-aid um students came to canada back around the covet era
00:22:14.320 and when you uh become as as an international student you have the opportunity if you qualify if
00:22:20.720 you study in the right program if you study in the right uh the right length uh you have the opportunity
00:22:25.120 of getting something called a post-graduation work permit and essentially that's an open permit
00:22:29.600 that is uh for a duration that is equivalent to the same of your study program for a maximum of three
00:22:35.360 years so if you study for a year you get it for a year if you study for three you get it for three
00:22:40.000 these open work permits allowed these students to gain canadian work experience all within the
00:22:46.800 pretense of a path to permanent residency uh when these students acquired canadian work experience
00:22:56.080 a lot of them went on to filing permanent residency applications through the federal programs through
00:23:02.160 provincial nominee programs um but there's a lot that um uh it came to canada a little bit after
00:23:10.880 covid um in 2022 in 2023 and they're still students and they're those that have graduated already now are
00:23:18.960 in their first year or second year of post-grad uh work permits and they're working towards their
00:23:25.120 path the path that they originally came to canada on uh thinking that that is what the path was going
00:23:31.040 to be for them and over the last uh year we've seen a change in government we've seen a change in
00:23:37.680 policy and what we've seen is um the biggest factor is canada reducing the number of immigrants overall the
00:23:47.040 number of permanent residency visas that they're going to admit uh or approve um students are are
00:23:53.200 getting um uh cut down international uh foreign workers uh are are are you know getting uh less
00:24:01.520 and less opportunities to come to work in canada there's many different reasons for how that's
00:24:07.360 how they're doing that they're they're limiting employers on hiring foreign workers they're refusing
00:24:12.240 labor market impact applications they're not allowing employers to file so there's a lot of
00:24:16.400 different ways that they're actually making this happen but what they've done is they've closed the
00:24:21.120 doors on a lot of those students that came in thinking they're going to have the opportunity
00:24:26.960 and so you've got individuals now that are working in canada and their work permits are going to expire
00:24:33.120 you know in three months or in four months and they talk to immigration consultants or they talk to
00:24:37.760 immigration lawyers or they read things online and they realize they don't have an opportunity to stay
00:24:42.480 so they get bad advice and they go and file a refugee claim and so now we're seeing in the last uh i want
00:24:51.360 to say six to 12 months we're seeing a higher number of international students requesting refugee
00:24:58.320 making refugee claims from inside the country and that could also show us a correlation as to why the
00:25:06.240 graphs are indicating majority are in ontario so a ton of students in ontario um a ton of students worked
00:25:12.400 in british colombia moving to ontario worked in quebec studied in quebec couldn't find jobs couldn't
00:25:18.400 speak the language moving into canadian or canadian english speaking provinces and so you were finding
00:25:25.360 most of those claims made in these particular areas um but there are there are ways that canada has
00:25:32.800 actually uh tried to put a stop to this so you know there there there are things in place that
00:25:38.960 they're putting now and that they're trying to um implement uh and that's uh what they hope is going
00:25:46.400 to reduce uh the number of refugee claims and uh uh essentially you know solve the problem that they
00:25:53.680 actually caused uh about four or five years ago yeah no i remember you know it's interesting you know
00:26:00.080 i remember going to events and parties and things and you'd meet all these administrators from the
00:26:04.880 different educational institutions you know and and they're always uh sharp dudes and gals 0.95
00:26:12.240 and uh they were killing it you know they were doing very well you know they'd come out of covid
00:26:17.280 the the international tuitions were very high so and the programs were were you know a lot of them
00:26:24.720 were not very good quality personally you know that's uh my sort of opinion but uh you know what
00:26:31.200 you would see they'd come in do two-year programs quite frankly they weren't great programs a lot of
00:26:35.840 the students didn't get a lot out of them and then they the students would be kind of stuck right they
00:26:40.240 were here um and and you know that so in 2024 you know the 200 000 that we had mentioned we had about a
00:26:48.880 171 000 claims of students and then just year to date were over 30 000 so in 25 um and i think you
00:27:00.160 hit it right in the head near you know it did cause some housing health care public issues that that you 0.98
00:27:06.240 know still kind of linger and we're we're going through right now um you know you you see all the
00:27:12.880 time there's a cbc's been running a bunch of videos about how housing insecurity is going to be
00:27:18.880 causing mental distress to international students you know they can't right now you know our rents went 0.67
00:27:26.960 crazy for a while and now they've leveled out again thank goodness for some of these students but still
00:27:32.160 finding a place getting set you know a safe uh uh you know well built uh housing unit or apartment is
00:27:41.760 very difficult now and uh you know we're we're kind of running into a bubble on our condo market so
00:27:49.200 uh a lot of them have been lucky enough to kind of shift over and get into that market on rentals but
00:27:54.880 still a problem um so you know we we hit it so they they capped the uh study permits at 550 000
00:28:05.200 and then you know we have a bunch of people coming in i i get it um
00:28:10.480 um how many of those people you know you're down in the u.s so how many people uh of that group
00:28:20.000 are coming from the u.s given what's going there are you noticing are you noticing any of kind of
00:28:27.440 migration that way whether it be from students or just quite frankly people who are on other political
00:28:34.080 parties yeah yeah we are um you know yeah you mentioned that we're we're i'm in the u.s yeah
00:28:39.280 so we we're we're based in canada but we also have a u.s based office um and we do get a lot of
00:28:45.040 individuals uh who call us uh in the last uh year or so um uh and also since the trump um presidency
00:28:53.040 again uh we get a lot of individuals who are fearing uh you know their their uh uh
00:29:01.200 their life in in in essentially not being able to remain in the united states the tps uh program you
00:29:07.680 know the temporary protected status program in the united states you know trump wants to
00:29:10.800 end that um and he's placed essentially a temporary uh uh date when he's going to end and that uh and
00:29:16.400 those those policies are um you know individuals are fearing that right uh i've got a lot of people
00:29:22.880 that call us and say you know our tps status is expiring it's not going to be renewed i don't want
00:29:28.880 to go back to haiti i don't want to go back to cuba i don't want to go back to you know uh colombia
00:29:34.480 where do i go what can i do is there a path for me to canada and a lot of these people don't
00:29:39.280 necessarily have a path to canada either um and for different reasons but um they end up resorting
00:29:45.760 to asking what if i go to the canadian border and i ask to go in as a visitor and i make a refugee claim
00:29:52.880 um technically they can do that um but i believe that canada is now also looking at solving that
00:29:59.760 problem so uh there there are uh measures that canada is putting in place they're trying to uh now
00:30:06.800 with uh two bills c12 and uh bill c2 uh and though those bills uh when they do get royal ascent they
00:30:13.840 will um become law and and canada will be able to uh stop and prevent uh you know individuals from
00:30:21.840 coming in whether it's from the united states or it's individuals that are in canada making claims
00:30:26.720 uh that that's kind of going to go away but even when that does go away that doesn't solve the problem
00:30:31.600 right away you have a backlog in the refugee claims uh system in the immigration refugee board
00:30:37.280 um hundreds of thousands of cases it takes well over a year to get your case heard um but you know
00:30:44.240 what they do in the interim they grant them a work permit so an international student whose work
00:30:49.280 permit is going to expire in a week goes and makes refugee claim gets an open work permit for another
00:30:54.720 year or two and then works wherever they want until that becomes a dead end but when that becomes a
00:31:01.840 dead end or when the refugee claim is heard and it's denied because it's not a substantiated claim
00:31:07.760 they end up leaving the country so it's uh it's an inevitable situation that uh that they they don't
00:31:13.520 necessarily um have an opportunity to overcome uh with uh the options that exist today right so they i get
00:31:23.520 you so you know the loophole gets them i guess the the backlog gets them a little extra time so it
00:31:29.280 gets them a year or two they get a year or two they they get the letter um you know it's been an issue
00:31:35.520 probably for another show but they get a letter and then we're struggling now with some issues of
00:31:40.080 finding people so right uh whether or not the tracking is very good or whether they moved around a
00:31:45.280 lot but you know getting them finding them and making sure they leave the country is becoming a more 0.99
00:31:51.120 critical issue as time goes on and you're now starting to read about it more and more um and
00:31:58.000 i don't know you know that that to me that to me is a resource issue but uh and i you know probably
00:32:05.120 trying to understand is that given the fact that we've secured gone and secured our border more on the
00:32:13.200 request of the president you know president trump you know are we now struggling with uh resource issues
00:32:20.400 from that perspective so that's probably a question we have to ask them but i assume that probably the
00:32:25.360 answer is yes on that front um so you know we talked about housing the strain on the public service
00:32:33.600 whether it be healthcare and you know asylum seekers you know join in the system they get the social
00:32:38.960 services and the health care of a normal you know an average canadian um which is something uh you
00:32:45.600 know we all understand um colleges are gone you know a lot of the colleges that popped up have
00:32:51.200 disappeared now so you know they're kind of gone by the by um are you you know i guess do we stop
00:32:59.840 being kind of a haven for people to educate and is that uh are you seeing people still interested are they
00:33:06.400 still wanting to come and explore canada or is that slowing at such an extent you're not getting as many
00:33:12.560 requests or in uh you know people looking for information yeah so so we are we are seeing um as
00:33:19.120 a steady i would say a steady uh interest in coming to study in canada um but it has gone down in the
00:33:28.720 sense that they when they when we submit applications for a study permit we got a lot more refusals today
00:33:35.520 so we're getting a lot more refusals and and and and it it explains why the numbers are down um they
00:33:43.040 just don't grant study permits enough um the schools uh that used to the the private ones uh that used to
00:33:52.000 accept pretty much any student from any country um are now uh you know slowly dwindling and going away
00:34:00.800 um and it's because they don't have the funding to stay alive um but what we're seeing is also
00:34:06.880 students who um call me and i know that other immigration consultants uh who i talk to are
00:34:13.520 experiencing the same uh same same uh same thing is that the students are asking okay if i come to
00:34:20.320 canada as a student you know if i do get a work permit because or sorry a study permit because i've got
00:34:25.680 you know a good education background i've got great funds i've got you know the ability to
00:34:30.720 study and i've got a great path is there a path for me to remain in canada after after i get my phd
00:34:38.080 after i get my master's degree after i've studied and i'm not we're not talking about individuals that
00:34:41.680 are coming in to study a one-year graphic diploma program at a private college we're talking about
00:34:46.400 individuals that really want to contribute uh individuals that have very uh good promising
00:34:53.760 possibilities with a career in canada uh in the health sciences in the mathematics in the
00:34:59.920 engineering world um these individuals want to rely on a path forward uh on a path to becoming
00:35:08.000 permanent residents and when there's no clear path they start to think why should we come and invest 0.96
00:35:14.960 all of this money into canada because it does it's not very cheap to go to school in canada
00:35:19.200 uh as an international student you're paying at least two to three times the cost
00:35:24.240 of any canadian citizen or canadian permanent resident and on top of that you've got to pay 0.99
00:35:29.360 housing and you've got to prove that you have uh financial support for yourself for that first year
00:35:34.720 and in the past uh and it goes up every single year but in the past um one individual on a study
00:35:42.000 permit required somewhere around eleven twelve thousand dollars uh to show that they had for the first
00:35:49.120 year of studies as financial support from themselves uh call it settlement funds uh in addition to the
00:35:54.880 study program tuition fees and all that stuff they wanted to see that you had at least at one point it
00:36:00.400 was 11 grand then it was 13 000. now uh in two years ago it was about 18 now it's 22 000. it went from
00:36:08.160 last year being twenty thousand dollars to uh to exceeding twenty two thousand it's that's another ten percent
00:36:14.160 increase so every year they're making it more and more difficult for students from different
00:36:19.120 countries to qualify it's not enough that you are getting into a you know a great tier uh university
00:36:26.560 it's not enough that you um have straight a's it's not enough that you want to go live in a rural
00:36:33.200 community and study at that rural college it's not enough you have to show that you have the money
00:36:38.480 and a lot of people will say well if i'm gonna have to go and spend all this money
00:36:42.320 into a school in canada and invest all this effort what do i get in return why i'm gonna study here
00:36:47.360 and then have to leave what's the point so they start looking at different countries around the
00:36:51.200 world they look at europe they look at australia they look at um you know um um these countries
00:36:57.920 where they do see a path to becoming permanent they some even actually go to the united states um
00:37:04.320 because there are ways in the united states for them to benefit from a work permit after
00:37:09.200 what's happening in canada now is that they're trying to put this temporary band-aid and what
00:37:15.520 they're doing is that they're doing it so quickly that it's it's going to take time to reduce
00:37:22.320 these numbers and it's going to take time to solve the problem they caused back in 2020 2021 2022
00:37:29.680 by eliminating these students by eliminating the the foreign workers it's going to bring those numbers 1.00
00:37:36.480 down it will take time but it will bring it down but what it's doing is it's already also hurting
00:37:42.320 our population overall we're we're not going to be able to have the population that we need to
00:37:48.240 sustain the labor market there's a lot of employers across canada that have no way of hiring and filling
00:37:54.880 positions because they rely on foreign workers there's the restaurant industries the hotel industries the
00:38:02.080 tourism industry they rely on these temporary foreign workers they rely on these international
00:38:06.800 students and the problem that they're trying to solve is is i can appreciate the problem but what
00:38:14.160 they're doing is they're using bill uh there's a bill c2 and bill c12 and what these bills are doing
00:38:19.680 is that they're proposing essentially to limit the number of refugee claims that are made from inside
00:38:25.760 to canada so for example if you came to canada after uh june 6th of 2020 it's retroactive so if you
00:38:33.760 came to canada after june 6th of 2020 and you stayed in canada for effectively at least um a year in the
00:38:43.760 last five right 2020 to 2025 you can't make a refugee claim if you do your refugee claim will get thrown out
00:38:51.440 so they're just basically saying if you came in any time after june 6th of 2020
00:38:57.040 up until now if you make a claim and you've been in canada for at least a year
00:39:01.520 you can't make that claim so if you were a student you had a postgrad work permit you completed a study
00:39:05.440 program whatever your case was you came to canada as an international worker as a as a temporary foreign
00:39:10.080 worker you worked for a year worked for two years now you see no path you can't file a refugee 0.98
00:39:14.560 claim you can file it it'll get thrown out they're not going to process it right so that's what they're
00:39:19.920 doing as it as it relates to the refugee claims because they've realized that the refugee numbers
00:39:24.960 are going up and that there's no way to control that so they're just going to say we're going to
00:39:29.760 throw it out you know if you came in during this period of time you stayed for this amount of time
00:39:34.000 we're going to throw it out so yeah wow so interesting because i didn't get that so the bill
00:39:41.040 the bill's passed right no the bills in uh in the house they're they're working to essentially get
00:39:47.360 it uh to pass uh and and get it through royal assent but there's a bc2 um and bill c2 essentially
00:39:55.440 uh proposes the solution right with the refugee claims um but it's got a lot of privacy laws in
00:40:01.360 there uh as well allowing essentially cbsa to do a lot uh and that means to check people's mail uh check
00:40:10.480 electronic communication um and dual investigative measures per se um and so because that is causing
00:40:18.800 a lot of delays they've introduced another bill um uh bill c12 which basically pulls out the refugee
00:40:26.560 solution into its own separate bill and that's going to and that's going to be something that's
00:40:31.120 going to be passed expeditiously and then once that's passed yeah the rules for refugees will
00:40:35.920 essentially become law uh much sooner and then that is what's going to be the new kind of norm
00:40:42.720 if you're in canada today you won't be able to file a refugee claim there are other other ways of
00:40:48.240 potentially staying in canada maybe a humanitarian and compassionate application right an h and c
00:40:52.960 consideration and that's a whole different story but that particular application doesn't grant you a
00:40:57.840 work permit for the year it doesn't grant you a temporary stay in canada it's an application
00:41:02.160 kind of happens in the background but you don't get an actual um uh stay uh authorization to stay
00:41:08.240 in canada while that's being processed that's the difference so near does that mean just so i and
00:41:13.040 i understand so it's retroactive back to 2020 and if you've stayed in the country at that point for a
00:41:18.320 year correct can't and you've claimed asylum so you're a refugee you'll be told right away so that
00:41:24.080 bill passes and then a bunch of letters so like almost like a mass those so you know uh those 200 000
00:41:30.480 people that we're talking about probably a lot of them are going to get the letter like it's done
00:41:36.720 once once the uh the bill receives royal assent yeah they'll pass the law and they'll retroactively
00:41:41.760 apply it and they'll throw out every claim um the only ones that will uh be allowed to go through
00:41:47.440 are the ones that it so for example if you came to canada illegally like let's say you cross the
00:41:51.600 border from the united states came to canada illegally you cross through one of the borders that you didn't
00:41:55.440 get interviewed by cbsa officer um and you don't claim within two weeks they'll throw out your claim
00:42:02.160 as well so you can't come in illegally stay for a year and then claim you have to claim within two
00:42:07.920 weeks and you can claim it at at at a cbsa office you can claim it at the airport you can claim it
00:42:14.640 you know at the border claim it wherever you want you can actually be in canada and go to an actual uh
00:42:19.680 immigration enforcement center office and say i want to make a refugee claim but you've got to do that
00:42:23.760 within two weeks and that's assuming the bill passes you right so so the interesting bill bill
00:42:31.600 passes the interesting thing is so those people get the letter but the people who uh made it up to
00:42:37.760 a border or came in through an airplane claimed asylum they're going to sit in the process
00:42:44.480 so they're not going to be impacted the same way because they're not uh correct are they yeah so
00:42:51.120 they're not impacted so the the port asylum seekers will not be impacted by it but the education the
00:42:58.400 people who came for a work permit did it will yeah it's it's anyone that's been in canada for more
00:43:03.440 than a year and hasn't claimed that if they claim now let's say the bill passed today if they claim
00:43:09.200 tomorrow they won't it will be thrown out because they won't accept that it was between the last you
00:43:13.760 know it's retroactive it's going all the way back to 2020 if you came in 2020 in 2019 then you can still
00:43:19.520 make the claim they're going based on uh june 6 of 2020 as the as the retroactive date um and uh yeah
00:43:27.920 so it it's it's uh it's that quick fix to try to solve the problem that they are essentially causing
00:43:35.360 by limiting the options for uh international students you know the the the limited number of
00:43:41.120 immigration programs the difficulty in claiming points towards express entry which is the federal system
00:43:46.880 to apply for permanent residency it's it's it's it's a point system where you gain points based
00:43:51.680 on different human capital factors work experience age education etc so those are the uh those are the
00:43:57.600 programs that those individuals who came to canada back in 2020 2021 2022 relied on right but are we
00:44:04.880 and this is where my mind is kind of uh you know my confusion with this the people came they uh you know
00:44:11.920 back home they mortgaged their land they came here they spent the time they paid the money to the
00:44:17.280 government they supported these new educational programs that popped up they supported traditional
00:44:23.600 programs they paid rent they bought food so they've been in the economy right these are the people that
00:44:29.680 came with money right they came they came here we we didn't give them money they came and
00:44:34.640 gave us money and so now we're going to be saying to them go home right we're exiting them out and
00:44:43.600 we're going to be and aren't we incentivizing the people who are coming you know they're they're
00:44:49.120 claiming asylum for other reasons whether it be protection or other issues in their home countries
00:44:55.200 but we're kind of it just seems a little backward to me it seems quite frankly we should be 0.86
00:45:00.960 in my mind we should be trying to figure out some solution for these people and to fit so if
00:45:05.920 if we need trades or if we need jobs we should be trying to give them almost first priority first
00:45:11.440 right to kind of say hey we have some stuff coming up it might not be in your field but
00:45:16.560 if you're interested in doing it whether it be in mining or whether it be in forestry or whether it be in
00:45:21.680 skilled trades isn't that where we need to because that's where we need people right now yeah yeah and
00:45:27.360 it's it's absolutely true but what happened is um you had a shift in policy in government and you had
00:45:32.880 you have a liberal government that wants to please the canadian um population um and so you know when
00:45:39.440 they ran for uh office um they basically you know listened to the canadian public who said housing
00:45:47.120 shortage healthcare crisis too many international workers too many international students we got to cut
00:45:52.720 it down so they're putting this fix to cut down all of these people but what they've done is they
00:45:59.440 they they don't in my opinion it's not a very smart way to do it because when you apply like for example
00:46:06.880 the foreign worker program relies on you can't you can't just come into canada and apply for a work
00:46:13.200 permit right you can't just apply for a work permit from whatever country and come to work here
00:46:16.720 you have to have 99 of the time you have to have a job offer and that job offer has to be pre-approved
00:46:23.600 by the government under a department called employment and skills development canada esdc
00:46:30.640 employment social skills development canada this department reviews job offers and they look at
00:46:37.840 whether or not the position that is uh being um being requested to fill by the employer is going to
00:46:45.920 create a positive negative or a neutral effect in the canadian labor market and if it creates a
00:46:52.160 positive or a neutral effect typically it gets approved if it gets a negative effect it gets
00:46:57.920 denied so they do an evaluation they assess take several months you have to prove advertising you
00:47:02.720 got to prove you couldn't find a canadian to fill the position etc what they've done last year almost
00:47:09.040 a year ago now is or maybe just a year ago now just over a year i believe it was september of 2024
00:47:15.280 they implemented a policy called refusal to process they love using this term refusal to process and
00:47:21.200 what they do is they put a blanket refusal to process policy that says in this particular instance
00:47:26.960 they said if any employer is located in a region that has a unemployment rate of six percent or more
00:47:36.720 okay we will not allow them to apply for what's called a low wage application so they have a threshold
00:47:43.760 and for example i remember the number in my head in ontario so i'll mention ontario ontario has a
00:47:48.240 threshold of 36 an hour today if your position that you're offering a foreign worker is below 36
00:47:55.760 an hour that's considered a low wage application now which employers are going to fill these jobs so
00:48:03.680 we're talking restaurants we're talking hotels we're talking ski resorts we're talking um bakeries we're
00:48:10.160 talking manufacturing facilities we're talking the fishing industry uh in in different parts of canada
00:48:16.480 um these uh industries are lacking the workers they're sure there's a shortage of these workers in
00:48:24.240 canada uh agricultural workers also so you've got a lot of employers that are saying we need to hire
00:48:30.080 these people we will do whatever it takes to hire them but there's a cap to the number of of of of
00:48:36.800 dollars per hour that they could spend on a worker and they can't afford to pay 36 an hour to put them 0.70
00:48:44.400 into a high wage application i i spoke to a um an individual today um from a pharmacy uh in ontario
00:48:51.760 in cambridge ontario and this pharmacy um has three different locations and in their cambridge
00:48:58.080 location they're trying to hire a pharmacy uh what they call it a pharmacy um technical assistant
00:49:03.680 is 20 and 50 cents an hour and right now they're paying um someone that is already working there
00:49:16.160 about 22 an hour so they're willing to say you know what we want to keep this guy we'll pay him more
00:49:22.400 but they didn't know that there was a refusal to process policy which means you can't file an lmi
00:49:28.000 application for a low wage application you can't do that you have to put them into a high wage
00:49:32.560 application because cambridge falls into a region of six percent or more of unemployment and so what
00:49:37.920 ends up happening is you tell the employer look the only way you're going to be able to keep this
00:49:41.760 guy working beyond to say february when his work permits expiring is to apply for a new lmia but you
00:49:47.440 got a bump and promise to pay 36 an hour at the minimum rate so this employer is telling me uh i've got
00:49:55.600 to go from 22 an hour to 36 an hour that's a problem and now this gentleman has already worked in
00:50:02.160 canada for two years in that position and now has no option essentially if the employer can't afford
00:50:08.240 to bump the raise can't can't can't stay in canada work what are they going to do they could then talk
00:50:15.200 to someone who's going to give them bad advice and say go file a refugee claim right and so that's why
00:50:21.360 we're seeing a lot of these refugee claims not just from students but also from temporary foreign workers
00:50:27.040 and we i have uh clients in different parts of canada manitoba alberta very large restaurant chains
00:50:34.240 that you and i are very familiar with who are are are are potentially laying off employees canadians
00:50:43.280 because they can't keep their doors open the 24-hour shift that they need to because they just don't
00:50:48.480 have that they don't have the people and they're not located in in in toronto where you've got six
00:50:53.360 million seven eight million people they're located in rural places in alberta or in manitoba or in
00:50:58.800 saskatchewan or bc and in the mountains there's no workers there and so they're the the blanket
00:51:06.240 refusal to process on the temporary foreign worker program causes a major issue on employers in canada
00:51:14.160 it's not very smart in my opinion to blanket a refusal to process there are certain exemptions they
00:51:19.760 will say will will will allow it if it's a health care or if it's a uh you know a caregiver position
00:51:25.920 or if it's you know uh and that's another thing i mean they they limit the exemptions to very specific
00:51:32.240 industries which in my opinion based on my understanding of of who my clients are that's
00:51:40.000 not where the problem is the problem isn't necessarily in health care to keep the nurse it's
00:51:45.600 in the majority of the industries and they've done so many things you know to to to limit uh foreign 1.00
00:51:53.120 workers that it's you know i know we were talking about refugee claims but i'll i'll give you i'll
00:51:57.200 give you this that you know just recently they in january they implemented a new uh a new policy if
00:52:03.680 you're working in canada and you're not working in a particular occupation that we put on a particular
00:52:08.800 list you can't bring your spouse to canada to work so your spouse can't accompany you so there's
00:52:15.360 there's there's so many restrictions that they've placed and all within a matter of the last 10 to
00:52:19.440 12 months they removed the points that an international student who has a job offer from
00:52:26.240 an employer with a valid labor market impact assessment with that valid document they've
00:52:30.480 removed the 50 points that they would receive so anyone that had the number of points they needed in
00:52:35.040 order to qualify to become a permanent resident all of a sudden dropped by 50 points possibly putting
00:52:39.360 him into a um outside that window of getting an invitation so they've they've put in so many
00:52:46.160 measures in place overnight call it right in order to solve this problem that they caused five years ago
00:52:55.280 and we're gonna see this problem kind of linger for the next couple of years it'll reduce the numbers
00:53:00.400 for sure but it's gonna linger and it's gonna linger for a few years before
00:53:04.960 canadian population realizes that in fact you know this particular you know uh um very quick response
00:53:14.400 may not have been the the correct response necessarily yeah it's gonna create a labor shortage
00:53:21.360 you can just see it right because on mass we're gonna have a mass exodus um and then you know again
00:53:28.800 will a lot of canadians even do those jobs great that's another issue and then you know like you
00:53:34.640 said you just it's frustrating and it's frustrating because you know are we honoring our and i call it
00:53:41.760 an ethical obligation the people that came on the study visas and the educational uh you know visas and
00:53:49.200 went to school here they committed to the country they came here they spent money you know it's the way it's
00:53:54.160 supposed to work it's it's how it's how our grandfathers and our fathers all came you know
00:53:59.760 they brought money they invested they bought homes they rented they got on their feet that their
00:54:05.200 families were here or relatives they sponsored them you know that's how how we started off and
00:54:10.480 that that's what it's supposed to be and uh just because we hit we've hit a bubble now and it's to me
00:54:16.400 it's more of a reallocation of resources right now it's sitting down and saying where are we short where
00:54:20.640 are we not and then giving those people priority to make it through the system and that that's where
00:54:25.920 i'm so frustrated um near i really appreciate hey before we leave today i wanted to um and you
00:54:33.600 mentioned something when we were just setting up for the show and yeah your website um you guys have
00:54:39.120 automated it you talk a little bit about what you've done and i know what people have a lot of
00:54:43.200 questions and you know you guys are a real resource and and uh i think you know just talking about how
00:54:49.760 you're using some systems to answer a bunch of questions that people have sure sure thank you
00:54:55.120 um yeah so we we just launched our brand new site um on canadianvisas.com so it's canadianvisas.com
00:55:03.040 and we are are working to implement now a new system where individuals can come on our website and
00:55:09.360 complete a an assessment on any options uh that they're looking for uh in canada whatever visa they're
00:55:16.080 looking for so they'll be able to select you know what type of visa they're looking uh to apply for
00:55:21.600 um and if they're in canada or if they're outside of canada and they're looking to apply for permanent
00:55:25.440 residency they can fill out all their details uh their age their education level if they've taken an
00:55:30.560 english test um if they've got work experience they can list all of those details and our system would
00:55:36.560 take all of that information and spit out essentially a result um for them to be able to download uh
00:55:42.800 instantly and that's going to give them a full report on um any of their immigration options
00:55:47.920 in canada whether they qualify in any of the federal system uh uh that canada has today the
00:55:52.960 federal express entry system the canadian experience class programs um or any of the provincial programs
00:55:58.240 if they have job offers in canada or not so we look at all of that data and we give out a pdf that
00:56:04.320 basically gives them all of their options um we're going to be implementing an option on our website
00:56:09.280 for individuals to apply for visas uh essentially on their own um and if they need any assistance
00:56:14.320 they can always reach out to us they can uh hire us for consultation um we highly highly highly
00:56:19.840 recommend you know i can't stress this enough um and and they don't have to call me specifically
00:56:25.760 they can call anyone but as long as they call someone who is authorized who's an authorized
00:56:31.120 representative there's a lot of individuals from overseas that don't have the right information
00:56:35.280 they go on google they start typing they get some you know joe schmo who's going to tell them some
00:56:41.600 some uh some uh some of their options and it's not true they're going to give them some false
00:56:46.240 information some false hope you know there's a benefit to hiring an immigration uh professional
00:56:53.280 whether it's an immigration consultant or a lawyer um there's a benefit in in talking to someone who
00:56:59.360 understands the rules who understands the policies who understands the shift in changes because
00:57:05.440 if somebody gives you advice today that answer may not necessarily apply tomorrow um and so
00:57:11.920 we highly recommend i i strongly encourage uh they can call me they can reach out to us by email they
00:57:16.960 can reach out to us by phone um they could go on our website they can get some information there they
00:57:20.960 can fill out the assessment form but talk to someone who's experienced in the immigration world who's
00:57:26.240 got you know a license to do so um because there's a lot of uh ghost consultants out there that prey
00:57:32.880 on uh individuals in these particular situations those are in canada who feel like they'd have no
00:57:38.880 place to go who feel like there is a dead end and they are willing to do to do anything in order to
00:57:44.000 stay in canada it's not always the right solution we recommend to talk to someone so that you get the
00:57:48.880 right advice uh no thank you near and i really appreciate your time uh so thank you for today and uh we're
00:57:56.320 going to be following up with some more shows on immigration have near back on answer some more
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