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True Patriot Love
- January 18, 2026
Conservative Leadership Crisis: Can Poilievre Survive?
Episode Stats
Length
31 minutes
Words per Minute
186.85066
Word Count
5,845
Sentence Count
5
Misogynist Sentences
3
Hate Speech Sentences
1
Summary
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Transcript
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Misogyny classification is done with
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Hate speech classification is done with
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.
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look at us just a couple of weeks out from the conservative party convention in calgary at the
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federal level to see what the review is on pierre pauliev and what some of the possibilities could
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be if he was to exit the position of leader of the party and to talk about that i'm delighted
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paul micucci's here and jim lang is here how's it going uh guys thanks for doing a round table on
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this because although this might be somewhat fantastical in its nature of discussion is it
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really no no if you if i may i as a matter of fact i think the conversations this is a real tipping
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point for the federal conservatives what to do all the polls are showing federally the conservatives
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and liberals very very close within one or two percentage points but the gulf between carney's
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likability and pauliev's is massive you it's we'd be naive not to think that the power brokers of
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the conservative party of canada are not thinking if we had that person running the party what would
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the numbers be they have to say that oh yeah they have to and and you know it's interesting coming
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out of the their convention coming out of it they have to give him if they're going to keep him as
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leader they have to give him direction on how they want to conduct themselves yes the policies they want
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to get behind um and i think it's a unique opportunity because you know when the election
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happened terrorists were everything and he stuck on his main mantra you know build the homes act the
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tax you know affordability fight the crime fight the crime yeah so there was you know he stuck on it
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and that was a direction that they wanted to move towards in the election now with this western
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hemisphere domination and a lot more at stake than just tariffs tariffs is one little piece of the
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whole plan now so he's coming into this and they're going to have to look at it and say okay yeah we can
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go back and be tough on tariffs that's fine but it's now tough on a lot of things because you really
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have to figure out what you're going to do how you're going to play and when you go when the parliament
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sits again when you go back into uh the session starts he has to figure out how he wants to conduct
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himself and that's the direction because he didn't have that he kind of after the election
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he went quiet you didn't hear as much we would have conversations where we were like wow he really
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doesn't have an opinion anymore does he but then he got his seat in alberta yes and then it was the
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same old polyev but then jenny byrne was shown the door yes and they have new people around him
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sort of steering the ship yeah steve outhouse came in right and that's going to be a real x factor
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going to the convention and throughout the rest of 2026 how much that changes polyev his perception
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because right now the perception in canada fair or not hasn't changed well i will tell you this uh we
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are headed to calgary for the convention not that we've received media passes or anything yet
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not that that will stop us either uh but we'll be there having a chat with a number of people
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uh both on the conservative and the opposing side uh that revolves around this discussion because
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something obviously needs to change uh in a recent poll i found this to be almost
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it this i found shocking uh the likelihood of voting conservative should pierre polyev no longer
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be party leader this is an abacus poll that took place and you know how i feel about the polls
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but i'll give you the data anyway 29 percent of people in canada are more likely to vote
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conservative 12 percent less likely um if pierre polyev is replaced 29 percent more likely that's the
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election yeah yeah if whomever the leader is because of the last election was so close 29 percent that's
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a they're the ruling government well now i guess at this convention the uh the executive of the
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leadership sits down and they have a discussion and and a review takes place what do you think
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happens at that review first of all what do you think the discussion points are oh wow well it's
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policies so the first thing they're going to talk about in the amongst the general membership is how
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they feel about certain policies so they're going to talk about uh made they're going to talk about
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dei they're going to talk about a bunch of stuff pipelines pipelines what their position is on all
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those policies and is it the right position is that what the membership supports is that what they
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want him to go forward with um you know that's prior to the vote so that's you know a day of just
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going through what the platform is why it is what it is and just to get the climate of the group
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gentlemen you alluded to some other factors in the world now leading into the convention
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i mean let's face it the american military and their elite tier one operators went in there
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grabbed maduro and his wife and took control of venezuela in hours and no matter what denmark says
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or nato says they could do the same thing to greenland by lunchtime with where they already have a
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military presence there i almost wonder by the time that we put this out greenland might have already
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been uh invaded so the the the what donald trump now calls the dunro doctrine which is a take on
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the monroe doctrine from the 1800s in his vision they want all of north america usa canada greenland
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and now venezuela all under their sphere with their resources and oil and minerals and whatnot so
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there has to be some hard questions about polygave if you're prime minister if you're running the party
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how do you handle that because fair or not this is not conspiracy theory this is we're seeing in
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real time what's happening in venezuela and how open trump is about his future canada could be next
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we also see our prime minister making no strategic headway in other countries so far uh and he's headed
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to countries already that trump is saying in his national defense strategy he doesn't want us visiting
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with uh and so our policy as canadians under one leadership might come under question heavier than
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ever heavier definitely than in the last 10 years we've seen and it's really the time where the
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conservative party it could be theirs to lose again well remember so we're maybe or potentially a few
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short months from another election absolutely you know because you have budgets coming up again and
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so you have the whole uh session starting again budget starting again you have all that and will
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given this climate he'll be able to get the votes to get it passed and when it happened before so the
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last budget was kind of like let let it pass and we'll wait and see how he does since then though
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yeah okay christian freeland stepped aside it's going to be a by-election yeah there's already been a
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number of mps who have come forward saying they've been recruited ndp and conservatives and they said
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thanks but no thanks right yes so that has to tell you that carney and the liberals aren't convinced
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they'll get another vote through yeah the backdoor dealing i think is over for uh control um in
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parliament i wonder and it's funny paul you bring this point up i wonder with all of these uh scrutinies
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being placed on the budget suddenly we got a new budget the budget was completely different than
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one we've seen historically in canada i think even the experts have just finished digesting that
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we've then seen what moves carney has made and will they align with the budget that he presented us
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if not you're right he could be really under a lot of pressure it already does there could be a vote
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of non-confidence yeah it already doesn't right the fact that venezuela now is under control of the u.s
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puts major pressure on what to do with the oil and gas yeah um and what to do with resources
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there's been a number of announcements you know we're doing another show on it so i won't
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circumvent the show but uh there's a number of announcements came out of major resource fines
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so a lot of countries are ahead of us on the resource development side and now we're planning to
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catch up and they're jumping right whether it be china or whether it be gold or lithium their
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discovery to mining uh timeline is so drastically different than ours because we have such net net
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zero and so much red tape to to cut through yes australia uh many euro countries that are are just
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making discoveries right now china is absolutely killing it with gold at the moment right and
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they're just getting into the ground exactly so you know we have some decisions to make because
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we're either going to be in that market or in a big way and compete or we're not or we're going to
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be too late to the party and that's not going to be part of the equation so those are all the things
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he's got now that we didn't have in the last election and that's such a short period you think
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about it the number of announcements since the election the venezuela as you mentioned and the
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invasion by the u.s all these things weren't even there so now as if i'm going to the convention i'm the
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conservative party i'm now sitting down and saying okay time out how much do these things mean am i
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going to micromanage the policies here so i you know and i'm not i'm not calling them when i say micro
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i don't mean they're small in the fact that to people's lives but in the big picture of things
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i think people are going to want to know what we're going to do on the global stage and how we're going
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to compete before they're worried about affordable housing and you know not that you know you really
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you're right the focus suddenly just changed dramatically yeah so you know how do we keep
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our sovereignty how do we uh start to compete globally these really become matters to everyday
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canadians so you yeah mike you're at the inner circle of the convention and you turn to paul one of
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the power brokers and you say let's be honest if the election happened and paul he had won could he
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handle trump in the current climate we are in the world that's the question because it was before
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tariffs and that now we're looking at whomever is voted and decided that they should be the next
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leader the conservatives because we believe if they're elected prime minister they are best capable
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of handling trump and what's going on in the world right now let me ask you this question in response
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do you think that pierre polyev could switch from cheeky combative mode to uh diplomatic
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world leader mode no and if he doesn't how much does trump like a cheeky leader and we've seen this
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a couple of times now zelinski being one of them so the risk to canada is that the personality doesn't
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match with trump and sadly that makes a huge difference and and personality is matching and still being able to
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to be forceful and maintain your position with trump that's a real skill that i don't think we're
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seeing mastered by many yeah like paul you mentioned it in a few shows we were stunned i was stunned that
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when he came back to the house of commons after being re-elected he didn't change no the theatrics were
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the same it was still high school juvenile tactics and i think a lot of people went oh no he didn't learn
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a thing so how why you know this is the big question in a couple weeks okay so we've justified
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it there's probably a chance there's at least a chance that yeah the leadership review uh comes back
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uh and and votes down polyev and then we go to a leadership election um so now abacus takes one step
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further and they take this uh poll and they ask people okay if not polyev who do you think would
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be the best leader for the conservative party in canada and uh the top five some of them not not
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that big a surprise number one with 34 percent would never take the position i don't believe
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stephen harper no people still have love in their heart for stephen harper in a big way yeah
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yeah yeah well you know stable uh quiet statesman statesman yeah you know not overstated didn't
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over speak no theatrics controlled the media very well you know wasn't out there flamboyantly waving
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around and uh people people like them and and success and a record of success you know that that
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the truth when the economy grows and the productivity grows oil flows all those things happen people are
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happy but paul from your background in economics and finance he had the brains to delegate to jim
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flarity oh yeah and and they made a nice team yeah they did they did a very good team their strengths
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were totally different and and that's what made you know the country a success at the time but a very
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understated success there wasn't a lot of theatrics and the stability was really you know i have to say
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part of that era was it was just stable the federal government was there they're doing their thing they
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were paving the way they were finding ways to you know get things and and lubricate the skid so
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things moved along and and your life was a lot easier the red tape was not there now on that note
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stephen harper alongside a trump or a macron or anybody uh on the world stage i think is met with
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probably a more calm more reasonable once again stephen harper if you want to consider it go right
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ahead but uh you you're certainly in the lead in popularity according to this poll uh number two
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is worth discussion among all of us as we have speculated this as a group for some time doug ford
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31 percent um jason kenny 30 carolyn mulrooney uh 29 and michelle rumple garner at 28 percent uh if you
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wanted to go beyond that tim houston mark mulrooney around 27 percent each so having said that
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the real number one on this list according to canadians would be doug ford yeah yeah yeah well
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you know loved by the people for sure you know not without some words uh but loved by the people
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yeah and uh you know had some challenges definitely on certain files that have come back to bite him a
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couple times in ontario but the people have forgiven him um and he's got a you know the popular vote in
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ontario is very high it's it's you just nailed it right there paul in a nutshell despite all his
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pitfalls despite controversy despite how he's perceived him everyone says i hate him three straight
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majorities yeah they love the party right they love the party and they they like kind of the the
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folksy manner with which he conducts himself and you know being forgiving of someone who once in a
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while says well i don't get it right i go back and try it again so he and that's it's what he's told
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the people the people are fine with it uh but you if i'm federally the conservatives and i see his
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success in ontario and ontario is the key to the next federal election i can see why they're thinking
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long and hard about it well i would imagine that it's so funny because his uh convention and the
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federal convention are right on top of each other so he won't even he won't visit calgary i'm sure or
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have anything to do with that um do you think do you think that his lack of presence at the convention
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uh sort of signifies i'm i'm not in the i'm not in the race no no a lot of times the premiers don't
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go to the convention but one of the things it does cause a challenge for it pulls a bunch of
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people who might have gone uh to make a decision i'm going to go to his or i'm going to go to calgary
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so it does pull some people away uh which maybe that is the deciding vote maybe that is one of the
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strategy what is it and hey i'm not going to rock the boat he could say well i stayed away
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the people want me what can i do yeah like so now his hands are clean like well i didn't go there
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they have they asked for me yeah it wouldn't shock me now i i ask you this question that we've kind of
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put everybody the same lens that we put in front of everybody how does he do uh in a federal election
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against carney and how does he do if elected with the global stage in your opinion he would do well
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in small town rural canada in the west in ontario the big cities uh the inner cities it would be a
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struggle i mean it doesn't really matter who the leader is those key liberal writings in central
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montreal toronto big cities like that they're going to go to the liberal leader yeah but can he get
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enough of the other writings in the maritimes will it play well in the maritime i think he plays well in
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the maritimes to be honest with you i think that same folksy i think he would well and if he doesn't
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do what pauliev does and starts the election by garnering the support of tim houston and scott mole
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and all the other premiers and get behind it and have that support that could make a big difference
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i mean ford nation right right seriously well the premier conferences and having him as the lead has
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been a a big a big boost for him personally with them because they're seeing him as a leader of the
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group they're seeing building relationships he's building all those relationships he has time to
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have dinner with them yeah so it's been a smart move i think you know putting that together and
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getting them to meet so frequently uh has been has been good for him if that is something he wants to do
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and he's been quiet about it you haven't heard much so which tells me that that you know if he's quiet
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about it and we haven't heard much that tells me that maybe something's being worked on behind the
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scenes well and purposely everything's the lids being kept on there didn't you guys just say to
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me before the show cory tenecki's headed west uh yes he is yeah yeah yeah that sounds like a shoring
00:18:05.520
up to me well it sure helps right so if you help the conservative leader in bc yeah you get some more
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votes and you turn the tide definitely helpful if he comes through because that's just another feather in
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his cap so smart move uh they're you know those two are very tight uh they were and had a lot of
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success together but they've had a lot of success and i think they understand that they need to do
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better uh in bc so yeah it's a good move it'll be fascinating because there has to be other people
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around the country even looking at objectively even if you don't care where the poly of wins or not
00:18:41.120
if he didn't change after losing and is basically the same person it was the definition of insanity
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doing the same thing expecting a different result it'd be pretty weird to see a different poly up to
00:18:51.380
that point though right wouldn't you be like what what if he said like hey i i lost i'm humbled
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you know that happens to people after they lose i've got to take a new tax i'm taking you know
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and maybe he'd be perceived differently but there's no reason to perceive him differently
00:19:07.060
well but can i throw and i'm gonna add a component sure so part of the importance of the upcoming
00:19:14.180
few days is that the membership has to provide him direction and guidance for him to go forward so
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i think what's important for them as a conservative party is they need to sit down and they need to talk
00:19:28.340
about that i agree because you know sometimes it got criticized for being too tough you know too
00:19:36.180
too militant you know looking too serious and so they have to say to him you know we want a softer
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or quite frankly you know given the times we might want you to go harder yeah right we might want you to
00:19:48.180
be more aggressive now because canadians need that strength and it do they feel that there's a gap and
00:19:53.620
that they need to be more aggressive uh to take leadership to to win an election and that's something
00:19:59.700
that they have to share and and the the board and the membership have to vote on and and whether or
00:20:06.580
not he gets an overwhelming vote whether he gets uh you know just eats by uh whether or not they think
00:20:13.700
that they want him to stay or not after they're done all said and done if he does stay they really
00:20:18.820
have to give him some guidance because i i think a little bit um where he got put in the middle is he
00:20:25.700
came up with an approach people were going to rallies supporting those rallies pushing him
00:20:31.620
forward rah rah rah but they weren't voting like they were there you know that that's it didn't
00:20:38.260
translate to see translate to seats right and they did a lot better so i give them that you know they
00:20:43.300
got way more seats well they did great in the places where they really reached out to the community
00:20:47.860
really reached out to community right but but is that going to resonate and given the change of
00:20:53.540
climate is it going to resonate more now or less now that's really going to make this and that is
00:20:58.980
the you know we can we can look to him to say it's all on him but really is it is the membership and
00:21:05.940
the committee that really has to give them that guidance because that decision that they make to push
00:21:11.780
that forward will decide the future of the party that will decide it's such a brilliant point
00:21:17.940
in your part think about the transition from the liberals dead in the water yep trudeau leaves
00:21:24.900
incomes carney they make a decision we're going to go elbows up team canada and they won the election
00:21:31.940
and they all stuck to it yeah with really a pr campaign right and that was totally appeared with
00:21:37.540
this crazy thing about that with mike myers and all the commercial yeah they got totally away from
00:21:43.460
policy yeah i don't think any of us had heard mark carney's voice to be honest with you and then
00:21:49.460
he said commercials yeah he said stephen colbert well and you know i'm sitting having dinner with
00:21:54.420
people and they're saying to me well you know he was a good business person so we should let him lead
00:21:58.820
and i'm like but i want to hear his policies i don't want to hear that all i just want to hear what
00:22:03.060
we're going to do but you wonder how you want a popular vote that way it's wild but the liberals had a
00:22:08.180
plan to paul's point and they stuck to it let's do it but that's gone see here's the here's the
00:22:12.580
interesting dynamic in this which the conservative party i don't know if they're going to focus on
00:22:16.980
they don't have any idea but if i'm sitting in their shoes i would i'm like okay that was then
00:22:23.300
that was the climate we're in we're in a new climate now wherever so our approach and whoever
00:22:28.740
takes the right approach on this one for canadians how they're feeling will win if an election is
00:22:33.700
triggered in the spring all i can think is she must not want to do it at all because the one
00:22:40.020
name that's not on this list i noticed is daniel smith and i was wearing my calgary jacket
00:22:47.220
i was like you have out there you go to cowboys later i hope i see daniel smith and i hope we get
00:22:51.540
an interview so i wore my jacket and yeah well you know what at the very least you should be campaign
00:22:56.260
managing for her uh but it's interesting to me because she has done uh so much on the west coast
00:23:03.700
for not just creating an identity but creating a sort of a protection around an entire province
00:23:11.460
dealing directly with the u.s on on you know uh clever terms as best she can and really uh kind
00:23:19.620
of representing canada as one of the more stable voices but would she play in eastern canada would she
00:23:25.780
i don't know would she get enough support in ontario and eastern canada to win an election
00:23:30.740
that's the hard question that has to be asked well she's nothing against her but you have to think
00:23:34.820
realistically would she get enough seats well i think she communicates better than almost any party
00:23:40.660
leader that i've seen in a long time on her feet love him or hate him doug ford has got a way to connect
00:23:46.260
to the average person that we've not seen in canadian politics in a long time now i can see that
00:23:51.540
what i could see also is both doug ford and in in the opposition uh moment of this i could see both
00:24:02.500
of them dealing well with whatever prime minister is in place and whatever government is in front of
00:24:07.140
them they both tend to have a desire to get to the table and get things done so it just it's
00:24:14.020
ford had mark carney to his house for dr cottage and they had a barbecue so yeah that would be they
00:24:19.620
would get along well so i think that it just shocked me a little bit that i guess danielle
00:24:24.420
smith has no desire there's no rumbling she's made well no bones about no rumors ever so carolyn
00:24:30.980
mulroney yeah but not danielle smith which to me is i find that bizarre well she's fluently bilingual
00:24:37.700
carolyn mulroney and she has the mulroney legacy the brand the brand so the brand and the fact she's
00:24:43.380
fluently bilingual that's one reason the name is being mentioned yeah it's you i mean you have
00:24:49.540
to win some seats in quebec i would say but the other thing is i don't know that brand name means all
00:24:55.140
that much uh in in this scenario now i think you're right we're in a different you know we're
00:25:00.420
in a different different atmosphere globally certainly nationally we're watching over a budget
00:25:05.780
that's leaving people unable to feed themselves unable to get into a home all of these issues that
00:25:11.060
we have and at the same time i think what we want is somebody with a policy well and you know look at
00:25:18.580
the position she's in right now so it's very interesting alberta's in this middle position
00:25:24.100
right now with venezuela and the oil production coming and everything happening and you know the
00:25:30.660
fact that he's going to look at columbia and cuba and all these places so now if i'm sitting in their
00:25:37.380
shoes i'm thinking to myself i need an opinion on what we're going to do here or maybe i have to go
00:25:43.380
up so if you're daniel smith yeah maybe i have to go up like if i'm sitting here i'm no one wants to
00:25:49.940
be a sitting duck right so either they have to move or but if she can kind of deal with that memorandum
00:25:57.060
of understanding with carney and get the pipeline to the bc coast does that save her job well it's
00:26:02.420
interesting because i don't know if you noticed today before he flew to china he went and met with
00:26:07.940
the coastal right first nations yes right so i think he understands that also i think he understands
00:26:15.700
the fact that he's got to cut a deal keep her at bay and the last thing he wants is her either going
00:26:22.980
up trying to come up because she has nowhere to go you know the the province she has somewhere to go
00:26:28.500
but i mean the province is stuck it keeps them happy keeps well it gets a deal done and they sort
00:26:33.700
of secures them from you know saying to her we need you to run because quite frankly if pierre doesn't
00:26:40.820
get the nod um if you don't we're going to be foobarred and she goes up to get it done she goes up and
00:26:47.460
tries and which then that becomes kind of a tough race because then if you have potentially doug ford and
00:26:54.420
her and they're both coming up and they're both coming across the worst thing that can happen to
00:26:59.780
carney is they co-join yes so they decide to kind of enter into a kind of a one-two relationship and
00:27:08.900
because they do like each other they get along well yeah yeah they seem to get along well at the
00:27:12.820
premier's events they're in you know on camera they seem to get along well so quite frankly and
00:27:18.500
it does if carney gets that resolved the the you know the coastal first nations
00:27:25.780
quite frankly are one of those groups that should be fairly easy to deal with and dan mctagg on one
00:27:31.700
of her earlier shows he did say that the prime minister has executive powers that he can override
00:27:37.780
eb and if he has a deal with the coastal first nations and he has the memorandum of understanding the
00:27:43.300
pipeline will get built and then get to the markets of indonesia and japan and south korea who
00:27:48.260
are begging for our oil right yeah which now is the time if you're gonna go because if you don't
00:27:54.740
do that there's no way he can go to this spring without something in the bay no we definitely made
00:27:59.300
a major project online by the time that has to be resolved so you know he's got a few months left
00:28:07.380
you know we're in january now so he's you know he's skating because he's got to get there and he's
00:28:12.900
got to get that resolved if he doesn't get a resolve and it gets to uh budget time election
00:28:17.860
happens and people are going to say well you didn't you just didn't get those issues off the
00:28:22.260
table your major projects really were stuff that was happening anyways he's going to get a lot of
00:28:27.060
criticism he so i think he saw that today as a key and why would you fly to bc before flying to
00:28:36.500
you wouldn't take the time no he really made a round trip basically to do that and i think this is
00:28:42.420
where we and you've talked about it both you gentlemen that mark carney this is being in high
00:28:48.660
finance and hedge funds and the head of a bank for four decades understanding this has to happen to
00:28:54.900
get this done and then this and then you get that that that that's that's a pretty shrewd move in his
00:29:00.420
part you know the uh the one thing that i will say about looking for the right leader for the
00:29:05.940
conservative party is i think whoever it is really does need to be working uh in lockstep with whomever
00:29:13.620
is in power and if they if we have to get a conservative government they need to be ready
00:29:18.740
to work in lockstep with all of the areas in canada that are uh you know polarized politically because
00:29:26.820
now that is what canadians want i think that we're less polarized than ever have you noticed guys as we do
00:29:33.060
these shows yeah we seem to be coming closer and closer and closer to consensus of common sense
00:29:40.340
and i think that's where canadians that's why we get the response that we get because
00:29:44.660
we're having discussions that are in line with the common sense discussions canadians are having
00:29:49.780
every day about what we should be doing next in this country and mike i mean every day you're seeing a
00:29:54.580
story venezuela what's happening in iran all these other countries we're like we have to protect what we
00:30:00.660
have we you say the consensus let's let's do something let's have win-win deals break down
00:30:08.100
provincial trade barriers let's get pipeline get stuff built and help each other well i think if
00:30:14.100
that's not happening by the spring then we are really down the barrel elections so yeah you know
00:30:19.140
it'll be interesting to see what happens i think that you're right paul a new set of policies and
00:30:24.900
approaches have to come out of this convention at the federal level for the conservative at least
00:30:29.060
at the very least at the very least uh and i've got it you're going to write in daniel smith on the
00:30:33.380
ballot yourself um spolumbo's fine foods and deli in calgary former cfl lineman johnny spolumbo
00:30:40.900
and it's his mom's italian from the old country sugo recipe and it's some great deli sandwiches so
00:30:47.060
when you guys are at the convention spolumbo's fine food yeah good guy in the room okay and something
00:30:54.020
duly noted we'll say that you sent us yeah yeah i show respect look we'll see you from calgary
00:30:58.420
between here and there don't forget to subscribe to tplmedia.ca and the app oh download the app it's
00:31:05.220
beautiful it's for the iphone and for android yeah and so you can't argue over that you can both have
00:31:10.100
the app uh thanks guys i appreciate it thank you thank you
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