00:10:05.760doesn't mean that other people are following and indeed other people aren't seemingly following
00:10:09.920and so the pain that is being experienced in america may end up being may it's still too
00:10:15.200early to tell may end up being a unique experiment in that country alone as the rest of us continue
00:10:19.520to prosper through free trade which ultimately benefits everyone that used to be a conservative
00:10:23.760precept by the way that used to be a conservative principle um you know mark you kind of raise a
00:10:29.200point as you talk about uh the the us putting itself in a sort of isolated position at the
00:10:35.360the moment that it was meant to be a power play. We're in a position right now, I guess, as the
00:10:42.120rest of the world to find allies. And we understand now at this very moment, it's come into clear
00:10:48.240focus that we are at war and it's an economic situation. Yes, there are bombs being dropped
00:10:57.520and missiles being sent. But really what's at the heart of this is economics. We've seen the
00:11:04.000economic fallout from this. We are predicting what the economics are ahead of this. And
00:11:10.800now having allies means having trade partners. It's almost like where that used to be separate
00:11:18.660almost of one another. We see now how integral it is that we have allies that are also our trade
00:11:26.660partners. You know, it's interesting because trade has driven civilizational advance since
00:11:32.920the 1200s. The country that trades the most with the world becomes the world power. Now,
00:11:39.200the definition of trade can be rapacious, stealing everything from India and bringing it back to
00:11:46.040Great Britain. But the point is goods moving back and forth, whichever country, the Dutch
00:11:51.380facilitated it through the East India, through the Dutch East India Company. The French facilitated
00:11:59.020it until Louis XVI. The British facilitated it throughout the 1800s. The Americans facilitated
00:12:05.880it for the... And now we're seeing the rise of China, which frankly facilitates trade better
00:12:10.120than anyone else. To remove yourself from the system that has proven itself since the 1200s
00:12:15.520to be the source of global power is folly. And the Americans seem intent on relearning that
00:12:23.660lesson. Let me give you an example of the obvious benefits that America
00:12:32.340held prior to engaging in its current course of action. Because I know we're going to talk about
00:12:39.880NATO. People love to, and the American, Trump particularly loves to say other people aren't
00:12:47.600paying their share when it comes to military and defense. And that is very true. Like, let's be0.98
00:12:55.700very clear. We have massively underinvested in defense. In this country particularly, it's
00:13:00.020embarrassing. Canada's military tradition, just give a shout out to the veterans, Canada's military
00:13:05.360tradition is one of incredibly proud service, but also aptitude. In World War II, we were known as
00:13:11.920the premier fighting force pretty much of the world, largely because our land was untouched
00:13:17.740and we were able to build up our capacities in ways that, you know, Europe couldn't.
00:13:21.260But still, and this is true, by the way, when we fought as the British in 1812 on forward,
00:13:27.500we've always had a proud fighting tradition.
00:13:29.720And our veterans in Afghanistan and in Iraq, they did us proud.
00:13:34.340Like, even though we were massively underfunding our military at that point, they did us proud.
00:13:38.940We have a military tradition that we as Canadians should be very proud of and, by the way, should rebuild because the military is actually very important for the past.
00:13:47.600And it's also, by the way, an amazing employment force.
00:13:50.680It's a great way to create national projects.
00:13:53.660It inspires us in many ways to do better around the world.
00:13:58.800My point is that there was a tradeoff that was made with the United States and all allied nations, which is, hey, America, you can provide your forces for everyone.
00:14:07.740And we in turn will use American military tech stacks. We will involve ourselves in the F-35.
00:14:14.560We will involve ourselves in the Patriot batteries. We will involve ourselves in what Trump wants to
00:14:19.660call the golden dome, whatever it is, doesn't matter. We will put our money into that so that
00:14:25.380we don't need to start from scratch and we can use your platforms. By Trump's singular comment
00:14:33.040that one day they may not be so friendly so we could turn off the F-35s, suddenly every single
00:14:38.560person realized that actually dependence upon the American military platforms are really problematic.
00:14:46.960And that's the reason that our spending has gone up from 0.8% of GDP to over two. It's because not
00:14:54.760only are we massively investing in actual guns, bombs, and everything else and training, but we
00:15:01.760are now also creating the raw infrastructure that America basically provided as a sunk cost.
00:15:07.920And we have to build that up ourselves now. And so do every allied nation. So does France. So does
00:15:13.040Britain. So does Germany. We're all realizing that we need to spend money. But that money comes at a
00:15:18.840direct cost to the United States, because we were subsidizing their military. Every person was
00:15:24.840subsidizing their military, because the military in turn was subsidizing trade routes, global peace
00:15:30.100and everything else. When Trump announced he's no longer going to do that job, when Trump said,
00:15:34.240you're on your own, fellas, what he did was he gave everyone the incentive to ultimately say,
00:15:38.960well, that's fine. But if you're not going to provide the raw sunk costs, we now need to spend
00:15:42.940on our sunk costs. And that explains Carney's recent decision that, hey, 70% of our military
00:15:49.140spend was going to the United States, no more. Why? Because now if America's not going to protect us,
00:15:53.920well, let's build our own economies. Let's build our own resources. We've done it before.
00:15:57.620We are very good at it. We're a military nation when we want to be, and we will be again.
00:16:02.680And that's being forced on us. But at the same time, it's something that provides unique opportunity at this time of day.
00:16:09.720It's interesting that we are sitting here talking about the increase in defense spending, which came out in Carney's budget.
00:16:17.800By the way, he's suspended that budget and we're expecting a new one.
00:16:21.360But I wonder if that new budget will have an even larger increase in defense spending.
00:16:29.140And it makes me think to myself, OK, we're going to participate in NATO properly.
00:18:08.360High oil prices, because Canada primarily exports raw materials
00:18:12.200and oil is a major component, directly affects our dollar.
00:18:15.560You'll remember the last time we were at par, the oil price was spiking.
00:18:20.740Our dollar is set for a pretty good run,
00:18:23.780and vis-a-vis other global currencies were really high.
00:18:26.700Vis-a-vis the United States, the United States still being the reserve currency,
00:18:30.160is partaking in the benefit of massive global instability.
00:18:33.400um and as a result huge dollars are flowing in right now i have a feeling that i think though
00:18:39.080that our dollar is being propped up right now by the increase in oil uh per barrel it is out of
00:18:45.400alberta and i wonder if okay so you know the u.s has all of these options likely on oil moving
00:18:53.740forward they're looking at venezuela they're uh you know bullying their way around the world trying
00:18:58.920take whatever oil or make whatever oil deals they can they're the biggest buyer of our raw product
00:19:05.400i just wonder if what we're looking at by the way over the last couple of days is an increase in the
00:19:09.960dollar but we were decidedly headed that way and if the effects of this war haven't really taken
00:19:16.920effect yet we might find ourselves there in as little as 30 days so so first off because we're
00:19:23.720only talking about the dollar now you asked a whole bunch of other questions i don't know why
00:19:26.040we got on that sorry about that no problem but first off the dollar is directly reflective of
00:19:31.720the oil price because we're a petrodollar that's that's what we are like i'd love to say that we're
00:19:36.440an economy of brains and brawn and manufacturing prowess and everything else but we're actually 37
00:19:42.360million people in an 8 billion person world and all we have is land and resources and so the
00:19:48.040petrodollar directly affects us but it is expected that the petrodollar now will have or the
00:19:56.040oil price will be spiked for a very long time and when i say a very long time i'm talking about
00:20:01.400several years not several months which means that given the reality of our goal
00:20:06.520yeah given the reality of our dollar we are simply put going to see a higher canadian dollar as a
00:20:13.160result because again the way it works is that in order to buy canadian oil you have to buy
00:20:19.880canadian dollars because we then will sell it to you and so that's what props up the dollar fine
00:20:26.120as regards to the fact that the united states has other sources who cares oil is a global price
00:20:33.480it doesn't matter if the market goes up our price is based on texas sweet crude right
00:20:39.240it's based on texas street sweet crude sure but texas sweet crude is in turn based on the global
00:20:44.680oil price which is impacted by the i got you okay right and as a result it doesn't really
00:20:49.160matter where the United States is getting their product from. China wants our product. So if we
00:20:54.580have to put it on a tanker and get it out there, great. People are still ready to pay the dollar
00:20:58.600value. Moreover, India is now desperate for our product because China is a bit different than0.53
00:21:04.160India. China has over the past five, six years actually reduced. I'm not talking about reduced
00:21:10.440its growth in fossil fuels. Last year, it reduced its total fossil fuel consumption.
00:21:18.900And it was the second year it did that in a row. Look up the stats. It's very interesting.
00:21:23.520And the reason that they did that is because, don't get me wrong, they still are producing
00:21:27.580coal and they're still doing all their stuff, nuclear, but they are massively producing
00:21:33.520renewables. And they're not doing it because they're good people, by the way. I want to be
00:21:37.700very clear about this. They're not sitting there singing kumbaya, holding hands and saying we care
00:21:42.460about the environment. I'd love if that was the case. Environment is my thing. That's not what's
00:21:46.440going on. What's going on is that they don't have domestic sources of fossil fuels outside of coal.
00:21:52.240And as a result, they see it as a source of strategic disadvantage and massive vulnerability.
00:21:57.260The reason that they've invested in solar the way that they've invested, and the reason that
00:22:01.000America doesn't give a shit about solar is because America sees its future in fossil fuels because
00:22:06.660it has a lot of them. China, which has none of them, and by the way, has no water either,
00:22:11.520sees a much bigger problem. And it realizes that renewables are the only way forward through
00:22:16.080its security advantages. And it made that deal about 2011, 2012, when it massively invested in
00:22:23.120solar. The efficacy of full solar rose to 35% efficacy, which means every single electron of
00:22:29.660sun that comes from the sun, 35% of it is converted into electricity at the present time.
00:22:34.300and they've now been able to generate huge huge huge quantities to the point where they're no
00:22:39.540longer as dependent upon oil as they once it's incredible you see the you see the fields that
00:22:44.820they've built i mean it's miles by miles isn't it i pointed out to you the tibetan field last
00:22:50.380spoke and i told you there's a 500 square kilometer tibetan field for solar that is
00:22:55.680generating one i think it was one terawatt of energy which is by the way the united states
00:23:00.620consumes 1.2 terawatts in total on a given year and they're generating one terawatt i mean check my
00:23:08.380numbers because i'm not an energy expert but i remember reading these numbers they're just
00:23:11.820astounding whatever they are it doesn't matter so mark but to this end i mean my point is this my
00:23:17.180point is china's not dependent but india hasn't made that transition yet and neither has uh brazil
00:23:23.580and neither has a whole bunch of other countries and all of them are massively dependent and all
00:23:28.300of them need our product. So on that note, do they then become allies of ours? And the reason that I
00:23:35.180ask this is because we're seeing what dependence on oil means around the world and how it impacts
00:23:41.420humanity. Do we start to sell to the Chinese market? Does that upset the US when we're
00:23:49.020diverting and doing business with China when they would prefer that we don't? I mean,0.75
00:23:54.060Trump has made it really clear that we shouldn't be doing as much business with China as we're
00:23:57.980doing and i just wonder if our economic ties to other countries now will strain our relationship
00:24:05.180with the us sure meaning we've got new allies and we're upsetting our largest ally sure well
00:24:13.740first off it's worth calling the kettle black i mean the united states on a gdp basis does far
00:24:20.140more trade with care with china than canada does far more okay yeah way way way way more on a per
00:24:26.940person basis they do way way more so for them to sit there and say you can't work with china
00:24:32.140is just the the height of hypocrisy and can be pointed out in real time to them at all times0.60
00:24:38.620but it's shocking that they won't hear that but well i mean it's true they don't want to hear
00:24:43.740what they don't want to hear but it doesn't change the reality um the really interesting
00:24:50.700part here is your question okay well what formulates the basis for new friendships
00:24:57.980and i'm going to go back to the 1200s what formulates the basis for um new friendships
00:25:04.780actually it's not the 1200s it was um uh it wasn't until free trade came about
00:25:11.900that trade itself became mutually beneficial it wasn't beneficial for the indian subcontinent
00:25:18.300that that that that multiple hours of china or for any of the conquered territories that people came
00:25:27.180in scrubbed their land clean of treasure and and and uh and and riches and took it back to their
00:25:33.980country that was trade that wasn't beneficial trade right since free trade i think that was
00:25:40.140called plundering but that was called plundering since the advent of free trade that benefits both
00:25:46.220sides and i mean there's classic economics that bears this out and it's the whole thing that
00:25:50.060trump doesn't want to understand but the idea is that it's not a zero-sum game trump trade is
00:25:54.620something that can ultimately expand the pie meaning that both parties benefit a conservative
00:25:59.020a traditional conservative audience understands this very well this is the whole basis of
00:26:03.340our global economy and to that end if you're asking where the new ally ships will lead all
00:26:07.980All you need to really look at is where the growing trade routes are, because where the growing trade routes are, there is more of a pie that both of us are eating from.
00:26:15.300And the more we both eat together, the more you sit together with someone and have dinner, the more friends you make.
00:26:29.460So if you're wondering where our new traditional growing allies are going to be, I mean, no one in Canada is stupid enough to say the United States isn't going to be a massive.
00:26:37.980massive part of our life forevermore. They will. In the same way, by the way, that someone who has
00:26:43.980three kids with someone and is getting a divorce cannot possibly say, this person is not going to
00:26:49.520be part of my life. They're obviously going to be part of your life. That's it. You have to learn to
00:26:53.440live with it. You have to learn to deal with it. And to the extent that, by the way, that we're
00:26:56.540having perhaps a fight, we probably won't even end up divorced. We'll probably end up remembering
00:27:02.440that this was a poor time in our relationship and we'll recover with better leadership and
00:27:06.700everything else. All of that's true. But in the interim, we're eating pie with other people and
00:27:12.320we're developing new relationships. Some of those people that we're eating with and going on dates
00:27:16.480with are pretty sexy. Yes. Tell me the sexy list of our current dates in your mind.0.99
00:27:24.220Well, let's, I mean, let's just take the growing powers of this world. So there's a couple of
00:27:29.940growing powers. There's India, very clearly a growing power. Brazil, very clearly a growing
00:27:36.740power. China, very clearly a growing power. Those are the three. Oh, and then I would have I would
00:27:45.460add long term, obviously, they're going through a bit of a rut. But the Middle Eastern countries
00:27:50.280of saudi arabia um and uh the uae and others are also equally powerful uh economic forces
00:28:01.880those are trade allies do you see any sort of defensive allies out there that we are
00:28:08.520gravitating toward that we might not have before yeah um oh and by the way mexico is also a growing
00:28:14.840power and that that's very important because we have deep and abiding um disputes and also trade
00:28:24.840uh with with mexico so let's keep that in mind although it's not growing the same way china is
00:28:29.400and india is but it's still growing significantly um so sorry mike your question was oh yeah uh
00:28:36.280these are good trade partners that we're developing but are you starting to see any
00:28:40.280sort of defensive positioning that we might find in countries where we weren't hanging out before
00:28:45.560or uh teaming up with or aligning with well there's a very simple reason that we're aligning
00:28:51.640with the people we are which happens to be north uh in north europe um there's there's actually
00:28:57.960two major reasons one the arctic's about to open up and we need to have arctic security it's the
00:29:03.800same reason that trump was trying to go for greenland uh the arctic is everything russia
00:29:08.840knows it and they're now a dissipated force because of what has happened in the ukraine
00:29:13.000um but so do the arctic states finland norway sweden iceland us um and so there's a natural
00:29:20.440affinity of interest that we have given that we see the next 30 to 40 years worth of conflict
00:29:27.320resolving or really being over establishing that new territory because really it is new territory
00:29:33.480new routes, new transport, new trade. It's critical. Also, we have an affinity of cultural
00:29:40.400interest with most of the European countries. After all, we come from there. We have the same
00:29:45.000culture. We have the same beliefs. We have the same technologies, systems, understandings,
00:29:52.440languages. So obviously, our natural tendency, if the Americans are out, is to bolster our European
00:30:00.300allies who seem all too well willing to do a bolstering. But more importantly, and this is
00:30:06.460not really known by many people, particularly those people who have only paid attention to
00:30:10.800military materials tangentially. One of the premier powers in this world, military powers in this
00:30:19.700world is Ukraine. And people don't really appreciate it. But Iran's war is bringing it0.68
00:30:27.400into sharp relief and focus. Look, Ukraine has 1 10th of the population of Russia. And they are
00:30:35.380now in a position where they are not losing a single piece of territory. Moreover, they're
00:30:40.600bombing the hell out of Russia and Russia can't do anything back. That was the easy one. The fact0.79
00:30:47.100is the Americans sent over two aircraft carriers to Iran. Only one is there because it had a
00:30:54.300washroom malfunction, but actually it was later revealed that Iran pummeled it with it had a fire
00:30:59.420on board. Yeah. And now it's out of commission for two years. Yeah. That's the power of Ukraine's
00:31:05.600technology. It's not an advanced weaponry in the form of multimillion dollar drones. It's in the
00:31:12.420it's in the massive scale up of cheap technology brought to bear. And Iran actually was really0.99
00:31:22.500its counterparty, but it was beating Iran because Iran was supplying Russia. We were all supplying0.68
00:31:27.140Ukraine. Ukraine has now built up this defense capability, and that defense capability is wanted
00:31:32.300by the whole world. The Americans are extremely angry at Saudi Arabia at the present time because
00:31:36.660Saudi Arabia just did a defense deal with Ukraine. America, Trump hates Ukraine. Trump's trying to
00:31:42.000do business in Russia, and so he's trying to undermine it and destroy Ukraine as a country.
00:31:46.700They were furious when they suddenly realized that Ukraine, not the United States, was being
00:31:51.660asked for so i'm able to solicit saudi money because saudi arabia looked at their defensive
00:31:57.500network and said this is more valuable to us in today's economy i don't need a patriot
00:32:01.100bed missile battery even though it's better that costs two million i need a drone that costs
00:32:06.620three thousand and i know that's that's an interesting point because now you're not
00:32:11.660fighting missiles with multi-million you're not fighting wars with multi-million dollar missiles
00:32:15.900you're fighting them with drones and and i don't know if you know this uh mark i've never told you
00:32:19.980this but i have a warehouse uh do you know how many drones i can fit in my warehouse 2000 and i
00:32:26.700have six warehouses okay exactly and you know i i had a meeting so i i ran a podcast for for a bit
00:32:35.020and uh i do do writing a podcast and one of the guests on that i had was general ben hodges
00:32:40.060uh who was commander of the uh eastern european um uh sorry the european uh the american command
00:32:47.100in Europe. And we had a big discussion about asymmetric warfare, because that's what this is.
00:32:52.160And asymmetric warfare is the idea that America, you can invest trillions of dollars, but trillions
00:32:58.240of dollars is something that becomes a vulnerability when you invest that much, if you can take it out
00:33:04.080with 5,000. And so if you're asking where our natural military allyship is, both because of
00:33:10.280culture and because of the geography of situation, but above all else, because they are now the
00:33:17.080premier exporter of the defense that the world needs. It's Europe. It's clearly Europe. China
00:33:22.920is learning from Europe. India is learning from Europe. People are not trying to buy...0.79
00:33:29.320Russian technology is totally discredited. It's always been a joke, but it's been proven to be
00:33:35.400joke. No one buys commercial. American technology is now discredited because of political leadership,
00:33:41.480where Trump has basically said we can cut you off at any time. Well, because these tech stacks cost
00:33:46.040billions of dollars, you don't invest in something where someone is erratic and ultimately can cut
00:33:50.280you off at the push of a button. So who do you invest in? Well, you invest in someone who is
00:33:54.760proving that they have a technology that is cheap, easily deployed, and that fundamentally can't be
00:34:01.480controlled through centralized means and that that that that avails itself incredibly well
00:34:06.840to artificial intelligence swarms of drones can be controlled through artificial intelligence
00:34:13.400and this is the new reality that we face so if you're asking where our defensive posture is
00:34:17.960i think anyone both in the military for the economy and for our culture everyone looks to
00:34:23.400europe first and foremost then secondary is yeah i was going to say and and beyond that
00:34:29.880it seems like we're developing relations in japan south korea china right well the reason
00:34:37.640that those guys are militarily important is because they see benefit in the status quo so
00:34:42.600it's not that they have the same culture or understanding or desires but what they do have
00:34:47.720a desire to keep doing is it's been global trade has been very good to china it joined the wto in
00:34:53.7202001. Look at what it is now. It wants to keep this system going. And more importantly, it will
00:34:59.940use force to protect it. There's a reason it hasn't attacked Taiwan recently. May still. I don't think
00:35:07.400it will. I think it's just, personally, I think Taiwan's, even though Trump is there, and Trump
00:35:13.580won't raise a finger to help Taiwan, China has not chosen to attack Taiwan. And I think the reason
00:35:20.160that is because it just keeps growing stronger stronger and stronger and stronger and perhaps
00:35:25.040the best way to take over taiwan tsmc and everything else is just to build out your
00:35:30.480economy such that you're better and then at that point taking them over becomes a non-issue the
00:35:35.040reason we're all freaking out is because they produce the nvidia chips and they produce all
00:35:38.240the other chips that exactly china's china's massively investing in lithography they're0.88
00:35:43.120expecting to get ahead of the game um you know like they have the power to produce for the chips
00:35:48.880all of these anyways the point is you just raised a good point we spend our existence
00:35:54.960intimidated by the us will they do trade with us will they protect us will they take us over
00:36:00.560that wouldn't be in question if we just got better right right exactly and look to some
00:36:07.360degree canada can't become you know let's be honest like like we're 37 million there are 400
00:36:14.480million like at some point there is a structural limitation to becoming a global power the way the
00:36:23.360united states is but it doesn't take away from your point which is canada can be way better than
00:36:27.040it is canada can yeah i mean it can put ourselves in a position where the status quo is that they
00:36:33.360find us mutually beneficial right that we're not viewed as a drain on their economy that we're
00:36:38.400productive and supplying things to the world that are desirable to them right well i mean strangely
00:36:45.120the americans that are actually in business and not in graft understand that we are all those
00:36:50.640things i mean canada is massively those things for the united states we are a huge benefit to
00:36:55.040the united states to the point where we are impeding our own growth because we just give
00:36:59.200our raw materials to them and then we become a consumer economy where we buy out their finished
00:37:04.320products i mean we're we can do better we can do better you know what mark i want you to be part
00:37:09.760of my new team i'm gonna start a company called petro canada and we're gonna make petroleum for
00:37:15.600our own nation what do you think i think it's a great idea and then i think we should ultimately
00:37:20.880sell it to uh private interests at some point in the turn of a government and then we can all
00:37:26.080lament we've lost oh you know what let's learn from our lessons previously mark morris thanks
00:37:32.160sir uh i really appreciate you doing this on short notice you're the guy that we turn to and i hope
00:37:36.800that you'll be around more as we dissect what's going on around the world uh because you're out
00:37:41.520there uh your next trip is madagascar you are in asia you're the guy that we know that has more air
00:37:48.000miles uh than anybody else on our team so thank you i appreciate for being here i want to be clear
00:37:52.960that's not for business that's because king julian's theme song from madagascar thing i have
00:37:57.840young kids played in my ear forever i'm gonna go find that lemur i'm gonna go kick him in the rear
00:38:03.040and i'm gonna take my vengeance that's the reason that's the reason for madagascar
00:38:07.840i understand i got lion king on my list all right thank you my man my best take care mike
00:38:20.080patriotic means looking up for each other and fixing things together true patriotism is being
00:38:27.120in a country you love surrounded by people you love and great weather being a patriot is being
00:38:31.840a part of your community and caring for it it doesn't matter who you are or where you're from
00:38:36.320patriotism is the one thing we all share it's okay to be critical of government and still be
00:38:42.400a patriot it's gratitude to your country of course i'm a patriot i'm canadian it's my home
00:38:48.080Well, actually, true patriot love is the mission.