Let's Make A Deal: Canada's Power Play in a Global Crisis
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Summary
As always, thrilled to be joined by Paul Micucci to talk more about the crisis in the strait of hormones with our Prime Minister Donald Trump and his crisis in dealing with the Kuzma crisis. As always, as always, join us as we discuss what s going on in the world and what s happening around the world.
Transcript
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in life and in sports you go all for seven you have problems and that's the problem facing
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donald trump right now as he went all for seven reaching out to countries to help them with his
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crisis in the strait of hormones to talk more about it as always thrilled to be joined by paul
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micucci paul how are you i'm doing good jim yeah he just didn't have a good weekend no there was
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no one buying you know and our our prime minister was down in norway yes you know hadn't and then
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headed to the uk he's it's his birthday so he's taking a few days off and he it's well deserved
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yep because he's been traveling a lot and i'm sure he's tired he's good there's a lot of issues
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on the plate at this point and uh goes to norway uh has great meetings in transportation companies
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he talks to equinor um one of the largest wealth funds in norway uh has investment meetings um
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because we're kind of middled right now as a country you know we're halfway between ev and
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electric and i know kind of got our foot out of uh gas and oil and we and we're trying to
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get into ev but with this coming at this time for canada it's a little bit of a challenge
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because our energy resources are tapped at this point so and on top of it as you mentioned earlier
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we've got kuzma 110 days away july 1st is our deadline what do we do now well we had our show
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last week paul and it garnered a lot of reaction a lot of people commenting worried about it it's
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amazing it's touched a nerve on canadians about the pending kuzma negotiations and even i was
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surprised like wow a lot of canadians have concerns they're worried about it which i was thinking
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about this through the weekend you know you and i were trading notes donald trump has backed himself
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into a huge geopolitical corner where the countries of the world that he thought he could lean on have
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said thanks but no thanks and want nothing to do with helping him now at the same time mark carney
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as you mentioned was talking to norway business joint defense ventures in the arctic talking to
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keir starmer the king of england king charles but all those other countries that said no don't
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have kuzma hanging over their head what if donald trump goes to mark carney and said prime minister
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we need your help we need some navy assets we need some royal canadian air force patrol aircraft
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we need some help in the strait of hormones you do that we'll talk kuzma and have a fair and open
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negotiation well then i think he'd have to do it he'd have you have no choice at this point you
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know it's it's the number one issue 110 days away um it's interesting because you know he's
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got mexico so this is the other one that's sitting there now and i just thought about that as we were
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talking he's in discussions right now on bilateral discussions with mexico so that's another one that
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i'd also go to and say listen you know i need uh boots on the ground anything yeah well anything
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you can but we need it all they need help well they need help so you know they went to the kurds
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and then in the north and they said hey can you guys uh you know clean the cities out can you be
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our ground troops our first bodies in to sort of clean out the city yes to to take a look uh
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on how to get you know uh a new government in play and that failed so now he's sitting there
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and he's saying okay what do i do do i put us forces on the ground uh how do i you know get
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the strait cleaned up so because there's 2500 marines on their way right now right oh yeah
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well but 2500 is just a drop in the bucket right you're it's a big country right you're 90 90
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million people and quite frankly you figure at least 40 of the percent of them you know we're
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following the supreme leader uh they're not on board with trump's agenda uh even if you have
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half half you still have a lot of people that you have to deal with yeah so you know that's a big
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task for anyone and china is sitting on the right now china's quiet you know what strategically
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very quiet aren't they oh man china's quiet china's just disappeared they're like well but their
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ships are getting through that's right right and it i was just on a show i just did an um an oil show
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uh with don gilmore oh great looking forward to that it's a great show yeah and it was interesting
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because we were reminiscing about what happened in the the oil embargoes in uh 1973 and that was
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the yom kippur war yes it was caused the oil embargoes and we were just talking about because
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he was actually working the oil patch and so he was kind of sharing with me the environment we're
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going back and forth and and it was interesting how in even in that war that western europe
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opted out to help the us so britain said no and france said you can't use our airfields
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because they could not afford to lose lose saudi arabia oil no so they they said sorry but
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you can't use it because if you do um they're going to actually uh embargo us and we're going
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to be decimated our economy is going to be just blown to smithereens which some countries did
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actually some countries you know uh uh did help the us and quite frankly did get embargoed and
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just decimated uh korea and other countries were just you know basically recessions depressions
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for and here's the interesting jim but that i didn't know but when we did the we counted the
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number of months the 1973 embargo was only six months that's all it took it went from october
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to march to literally uh the u.s was putting flags on gas stations saying red i'm out of i'm out of
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gas yellow i'm almost out of gas yeah and green fill up and they changed the speed limits in
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america member yeah they lowered the speed limits and the 55 right and they told the big three
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chrysler gm and ford to make smaller engines and that's how we got the ford pinto yes and the chevy
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chevette and that was their version of japanese small fuel efficient cars which was the ninth by
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the time they got there remember this is how long it takes these these decisions these policy
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decisions this was 1973 the fuel efficient motor was 1986 right so by the time by the time america
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got the fuel efficient motor and then what happened quite frankly was the next crisis
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because then we had a glut of oil remember yeah 1986 was another meltdown because all of a sudden
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we had lower speed limits fuel efficient cars we weren't using as much and the price of oil just
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plummeted which caused another problem which caused a massive divesting people got out of
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the oil business all of a sudden and then you didn't have anyone drilling or processing anymore
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and the price was all wacky the prices were bouncing up and down and so you know that was
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just another conundrum and now they're facing an absolute untenable situation in the persian
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golf in the strait of hormuz where how did they safely get a massive highly flammable ship full
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of d uh oil yeah and natural liquid natural gas through what is only a straight a shipping channel
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of three or four kilometers that's within shouting distance of drones and missiles without navy help
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so trump and trump needs to help you know do you know one of their big aircraft carriers they had
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a fire in the laundry room the other day and they tried to hide it and it was so bad there's 600
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sailors in that aircraft carrier that don't have a sleeping berth right now because of smoke damage
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oh wow their ships and their navy is being pushed to the limit oh yeah they're desperate for help
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they've said flat out that they don't have the resources to escort the tankers through
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so i can totally see donald trump getting on the phone to carney and said we'll talk kuzma but i
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need help then you need to do an about face of what you said to the media to the reporters the
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other day and start sending some assets over it whatever you can do because we need the help
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well and you know also and we we don't talk about a lot but we should we're kind of middled right
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now like canadians are middle as we talked about earlier in the show you know we have one foot out
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of oil and we have one foot in ev but we're not there in in either way you know we didn't get
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pipelines built we stopped building pipelines our offshore drilling has been you know up and down
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we just finally got some concessions uh between the federal government and alberta with respect
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to our environmental yeah we've kind of lightened up we we basically took the ball and passed it
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back to the province which probably was a good idea in the end because daniel smith really really
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wants to get the oil out of the ground there challenges right we're coming up to that capital
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projects carney's capital project deadline in july she's not got anyone to step up so far
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so far there's no parties so we're not hearing of any parties coming to the table which if you
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think about it it took uh the last pipeline we did took 12 years to build yeah right so you got
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to think about it there's no one really saying do i want to make the investment of what's it 39
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billion dollars for the night for the pipeline to to get to the uh the ocean it's 39 billion do
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i want to make that investment knowing it's going to take a decade to build and then quite when it
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gets there what's the environment going to be like am i going to be in a green environment
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has nuclear going to have taken over everything what if oil is back to 55 a barrel what if yeah
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exactly what if you how can you predict well then you have half ev cars so say you get to 50 ev cars
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by then we don't need gas so quite frankly then you're the same issue we run into the same it's
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interesting we talked about 1973 to 1986. you're in the same conundrum now but you've seen the
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history of how it works but they're not learning from it paul no they didn't well the only one who
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is smart enough to learn from it was norway right so when you go back and you take a look at canada
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and norway back in 1973 norway went this way we went that way we we actually started going that
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way with them when we created petro canada then you know when marooney got in we shut down petro
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canada we didn't do nationalized oil we alberta hated the nep program the national energy program
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which i understand why but you know quite frankly it doesn't leave us in a good spot now um and you
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know even even premiers lamented uh lockheed and and uh we talked about earlier they lamented years
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later that quite frankly they never envisioned the oil and gas program in alberta not reaping
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as much benefit they all assumed it what now you had just mentioned mark carney his big projects
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he's just had his one year anniversary of being leader and he was questioned that in norway so
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we have some of our finest reporters would go on that trip and he was quite snippy with them
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oh yeah when he they brought up hey it's been a year what are the big projects they were just
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asking what all the canadians are wondering yeah we're all for it look his his poll numbers are
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through the roof oh yeah and they're like prime minister what are the projects and he he was kind
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rude to them oh yeah he did get quite snippy and you know you know they asked him about at the same
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time the next question was well what about oil and he said well we're we're safe we're democratic
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and we have lots of the resource right and and what are you doing like you know what i mean like
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he didn't answer the question right he doesn't go into and that's kind of where we've talked about
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right we coming back and take your time yeah it's your birthday enjoy yourself but when we come back
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we got to start talking some details now right like which direction are we going and for example
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energy right like we're a nuclear force now yep give steven lecce in the province of ontario
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some credit yeah getting things built and building these even smaller reactors and getting a lot of
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of nuclear energy online in ontario which is really helping the province on time and under
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budget we're we're a nuclear power force uranium wise we you know we have the most uranium in the
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world almost so the can-do reactors are the envy of everyone in the world quebec quebec has done a
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miraculous job on hydro quite frankly incredible incredible job so quite frankly you know we're
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going in that direction we and you know like it or not i know at first i wasn't a huge fan of it
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when i heard about it because the because the price tag yeah the price tag seems scary to me
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for the size and where we are productivity wise but we are going quite frankly we got to go faster
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so and maybe maybe the offshore oil idea which is having norway help us with that you know because
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like we said you know the equinor guys and the fund size is so they're so wealthy as far as you
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know they have three trillion dollars in their wealth fund they are so wealthy they can invest
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in the can offshore they can make some money we can get by get us get us through this 30 billion
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it's a chump change if you've got three trillion yeah exactly that's not going to dent them so they
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can we can get by we can get it done quickly the challenge is now time and decision process you
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got to make a decision now like you're at that point you know and and you know you're starting
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to and the reason we did the show on oil today is i wanted to really highlight that how important
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this decision will be not for you and i but it'll be for our kids so this is like two decades so
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1973 you see the decision point you see the decision point in 1980 and when malruti gets in
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and we decide to close that down and we see where we ended up we see norway took another step and
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and we see where they end up right and there's a country that actually took their oil and gas
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not now even smarter they didn't sit on it they actually went out and got into renewables so they
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got into wind solar they got into all those they became huge they bought gas stations they had they
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opened up uh pipeline companies which they do around the world globally so they were able to
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benefit from all facets of the energy circle right so that's the decision process that i'm talking
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about so now when trump to back to your point and i think you got a great idea there
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when trump calls and says i need help you give him the help i i do recommend you give him the
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help you you send ships you send you know as many people as you can to help out because quite
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frankly we need that kuzma agreement to go well we need to get through this period because we're
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middled right now and for those canadians are like no no no i think you have to think through from a
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canadian perspective where we're at we're we got one foot in each camp and we're not anywhere right
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now i'm not saying it it would be a completely safe mission there's there's a good chance that
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some of our assets could be hit and we could suffer casualties but if you're prime minister
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carney you can spin it like look we're not dropping bombs on iran we're not firing missiles we're
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escorting the tankers and cargo through the Strait of Hormuz so they can get to all these countries
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that's and that was what now David McGinty said yesterday they're open to helping get cargo
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through and so that leads me to believe so two days ago three days ago Prime Minister Carney
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says there's no way we're taking any offensive role in the war fine then yesterday the defense
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minister mcginty says we're open to doing something to help the straighter hormuz in a
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non-offensive way which would be escorting cargo ships through there yeah well you know you got to
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think about they're all having conversations dominic leblanc is sitting in a hotel somewhere
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in washington no one's picking up his call right now why would they each day is another day towards
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that 110 110 day deadline that we talked about last show yeah so you know they're gonna you know
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they got to be looking for a hook to get into those meetings to have a discussion what better
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hook to listen if if there's a strategy to be had the one you just had is a great strategy
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we'll send whatever look we don't we don't have a lot right now but what we can afford what we can
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expend what we can allocate we'll send over there to augment to escort the ships through but we're
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not going to drop any bombs we'll just and that's all you have to say but for trump it's a great
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win so all of a sudden trump is trump is can go to the world and say look at canada's coming forward
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yeah and for that i'm going to do a five percent tariff right for that i'm going to give them a
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five percent tariff look at that you know if you do the same i can help you remember remember i
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told you for all of you i remember so now i'm remembering yeah yeah he's he's got his back
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against the wall he's got to get he's got to pull a rabbit out of a hat now because it's getting
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worse and worse you know with with what he's what's happening to him right now and it's like
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the party's turning on him because of this there's no strategy right there is not the problem is he
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went in and he didn't think you know honestly didn't think it through i'm i know you know israel
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and him sort of thought they had it hooked and they would quickly be in and out but
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it's not going to work out that way it's becoming very apparent so we will keep an eye but don't be
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surprised that the phone rings from the white house to prime minister carney when he's done
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his birthday happy saint patrick's day patriotic means looking out for each other and fixing things
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together true patriotism is being in the country you love surrounded by people you love and great
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weather being a patriot is being a part of your community and caring for it it doesn't matter who
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you are or where you're from patriotism is the one thing we all share it's okay to be critical
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of government and still be a patriot it's gratitude to your country of course i'm a patriot
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i'm canadian it's my home well actually true patriot love is the mission