"50 Year Mortgage" - Trump's RADICAL Housing Move IGNITES National Firestorm
Episode Stats
Words per Minute
188.26825
Summary
Trump administration working on a 50-year mortgage. 50 year mortgage is a play to lower monthly mortgage payments, but the downside is that all of that payment will be going to interest, and of course, since you're paying over 50 years, you're going to be paying off that mortgage for a lot longer.
Transcript
00:00:00.160
Housing director confirms administration working on a 50-year mortgage after Trump, hint.
00:00:08.220
50-year mortgage? Yes. 50-year mortgage. What would it look like? Go ahead, Rob.
00:00:13.960
Trying to find an answer on affordability for housing,
00:00:17.120
which right now we're seeing one of the worst housing markets that we've seen in recent times.
00:00:22.120
And so the 50-year mortgage is a play to lower people's monthly mortgage payments.
00:00:26.920
But the downside is, especially early on, all of that payment will be going to interest.
00:00:32.600
And of course, since you're paying over 50 years and not over 30 years,
00:00:35.940
you're going to be paying off that mortgage for a lot longer.
00:00:41.060
but it looks to be like the president's looking for a quick fix to a market that is fundamentally broken right now.
00:00:48.340
Because you see in the back, if you zoom in on the books, you'll see the New Deal.
00:00:55.020
You can always tell what books they're reading.
00:00:57.100
Okay, do you know, while this guy's saying this, it's so funny,
00:01:01.520
do you know who came up with the 30-year mortgage?
00:01:04.900
Do you know who came up with the 30-year mortgage?
00:01:06.700
I want you to think about, can you, right there, Rob, can you pull that up?
00:01:16.360
So did you say the same thing back in the day, Svelo?
00:01:18.780
I don't know what your name is, but, you know, well-spoken guy a minute ago.
00:01:25.520
By the way, Tom, the question is, if you're a bank, if you're a bank, would you get into
00:01:33.980
Would we do that knowing you're collecting the interest up front?
00:01:40.800
You still have to find a way to make it profitable for the banks, right?
00:01:43.820
So the bank has to get their money, or else there's no incentive for them to want to
00:01:49.540
What would be the incentive for banks to sell 50-year loans?
00:01:52.740
Well, as long as they felt that the underlying asset wasn't going to drop.
00:02:07.220
Now then, what it means, Pat, is the first 10 years of that 50-year loan, the bank has
00:02:14.460
to underwrite it and be comfortable that that house won't decline in value.
00:02:20.140
Because not much will be paid off in 10 years, Pat.
00:02:23.740
So if you and I, Tom and Pat's bank, and we do a 50-year mortgage, our underwriting has
00:02:28.740
to say, are we sure that house is not going to go down in these first 10 years?
00:02:32.880
Because if we have to seize the house and auction it, we've got to make sure that house
00:02:40.940
So it makes the front-end underwriting has to be more certain for the banks.
00:02:48.620
30-year, $400,000, $6.255, $2,462 is the payment.
00:03:00.740
So about a $300 difference on a $400,000 mortgage.
00:03:05.980
However, next to no principal is paid off in those first 10 years.
00:03:12.960
So for the banks, more people will qualify using standard ratios and measurements.
00:03:20.120
But the bank better be sure that those houses don't drop in those first 10 years.
00:03:24.540
Rob, go back to where you were at right there a minute ago.
00:03:26.960
So this is 30-year payment, 30-year loan, 360 payments.
00:03:43.740
And eventually you end up paying $658,000, $200,000 more.
00:03:48.820
And then 50 years is $2272,000, which is $142,000 less of the 40-year.
00:04:06.860
It's a half a million dollar loan is what you're looking at.
00:04:10.200
And what's the interest rate that you put on this, Rob?
00:04:20.940
I mean, you already know where I stand on this.
00:04:32.380
Because the math on buying a house is the following.
00:04:37.060
Let's just kind of do, you know, if you just do the flat interest, you're not making a lot of money.
00:04:44.080
If I buy a $600,000 auto house, how much down payment am I putting on a $600,000 auto house, Tom, if I got a 750 credit score?
00:04:52.480
A $600,000 house, you'll have to put down about 120.
00:04:59.600
Let's just type in, Rob, if I have a $600,000 house, a $750 credit score, how much down payment would I need to put down?
00:05:09.280
Yeah, there are some states who give you a first-time home buyer for 10%.
00:05:13.800
So if I do first time, I'm putting $60,000 down.
00:05:18.180
So I'm financing $540,000 is what I'm financing.
00:05:22.780
So now, what is the rate of return on real estate the last decade?
00:05:33.500
If we do 5% on that $600,000, 5% on $600,000 over 10 years, 6% to 7% average.
00:05:44.160
So what is the price of this $600,000 house come 10 years from now?
00:05:48.300
What's the price of this $600,000 house come 10 years from now?
00:05:53.820
So say if I bought a $600,000 house and it grows at 6% every year, what is the property value 10 years from now?
00:06:06.420
So I'm probably going to say 6% is going to be $980.
00:06:15.640
So $1,074,000, you just made $574,000 on that money.
00:06:30.020
Now, just say what is your payment on a $540,000 loan at 6%, 30-year fixed.
00:07:08.900
What does a $600,000 house average get in the country today?
00:07:13.560
We're going to actually do the math very deep right now.
00:07:22.140
How big of a house does a $600,000 budget get you in America on average?
00:07:44.860
Okay, Rob, can you then ask the following question?
00:07:48.240
What is the average rent for a 2,576-square-foot home in America?
00:07:55.480
We're getting very deep if you notice what I'm doing right now.
00:08:00.340
and I'm going to do the math as deep as you want to go with this here right now.
00:08:33.520
What is the average rent for a 2,570-square-foot home in America?
00:08:51.560
I don't know if you're getting this number or not.
00:09:03.620
I wrote $1,900 before it came out because that's the stuff I've been reading.
00:09:09.340
Let's just say the average rent right there is $2,100 a month.
00:09:24.540
Now take $1,138 times $120 because you know what I'm doing.
00:09:46.260
No, but I'm tracking because I'm paying big ass rent.
00:09:55.280
So if we take that 6% concept, if we take that 6% concept, that the value of real estate
00:10:05.060
makes an average return of 6% every year, over 10 years, your $600,000 house you bought
00:10:11.340
will be $1,074,000, $1,074,000 minus, okay, minus, I can't believe we're getting this
00:10:21.920
deep in the loan, but let's do it anyways, minus $600,000.
00:10:29.300
If I take $474,000 minus, Vinny, $136,540 that you would have paid at a $2,100 rent.
00:10:40.120
Rent, 10 years later, owning a home would have gotten you $337,000, let's add the $60,000
00:10:52.440
I mean, you're making $397,460 buying a house versus renting a house over 10 years.
00:11:04.740
Your argument, or not your argument, the argument is you're not going to lose money by buying
00:11:27.320
To be honest with you, I haven't had my coffee this morning.
00:11:28.060
You're going to start shaking hands with the camera.
00:11:35.180
The argument is not, is buying a house a good investment?
00:11:43.940
I'm not recommending that you don't do the investment.
00:11:46.600
I'm saying if you're solving for a rate of return.
00:11:48.840
Stop, stop, stop, stop, stop, stop, stop, stop, stop.
00:11:52.340
Based on this argument, we did it as technical as possible.
00:11:59.760
I'm willing to bet we lost viewership right now.
00:12:02.040
Let me just see where people, people are probably like, stop talking about this.
00:12:06.660
I'm telling you right now, Adam, okay, this is my advice to people.
00:12:11.980
So if you're in the area where you're working for a company advance, like if I'm working
00:12:17.280
for Marriott, say I'm working for Marriott and my goal is to be a general manager running
00:12:22.280
a hotel one day, guess what I'm not doing for 10 years?
00:12:32.760
I'm not going to get a stat, but I'll go to Dubai, right?
00:12:35.200
Do you want to go to a new Marriott that's coming?
00:12:37.440
If your job requires potential promotions to move.
00:12:42.860
As crazy as it is, I bought a house eventually in that community that we lived in, Tramble
00:12:49.000
I bought the cul-de-sac and I bought it right next to the Barry Bonds agent.
00:13:01.760
Two years later, I'm like, shit, I'm going to Texas.
00:13:04.840
I still made $200,000 when I bought this because it was prime property cul-de-sac in
00:13:16.880
Did you go to both of them or just one of them?
00:13:23.780
So the one, but the other one you went to, right?
00:13:31.080
The house we bought here, we made money on this one.
00:13:32.720
If a person's buying long-term, this is what I did for a living financially, but you're
00:13:40.660
When you get to the bottom of it, the question is simple.
00:13:43.920
Are you planning on living in this place for 10 years?
00:13:48.020
Then I would lean more towards buying than renting.
00:13:51.880
If you tell me no, then I would say pump the brakes.
00:13:59.080
Fully on the, I'm not, I have zero disagreements.
00:14:01.180
So my contention is never don't buy real estate.
00:14:06.440
This is as thorough as a breakdown we could have done for the people that are watching.
00:14:14.640
Well, you know 150 million ain't what it used to be.
00:14:18.440
If you could put the following three things where you've made the most money.
00:14:34.560
A guy asked me, if you could define yourself with one word, what would it be?
00:14:49.240
You know since what time I've been at the office today?
00:14:51.860
You don't even know what time I've been at the office today.
00:14:55.980
I went to the championship, coming back, and I've been dealing with a bunch of chaos this weekend.
00:15:15.020
Then I got to get doing stuff with the kids to go to the...
00:15:24.000
If somebody's watching this right now who has a job making $82,000, your wife makes $59,000,
00:15:29.100
they're trying to make a decision, do we listen to the people that are saying we're not?
00:15:33.220
And you know there's not going to be a massive amount of changes in your life the next 10 years.
00:15:39.700
If there is, then you have to adjust accordingly.
00:15:43.740
But if you know it's going to be, I'm going to be with this company long term, I love it here.
00:15:59.300
And then by the way, guess what else you have to be thinking about?
00:16:03.080
Never has there been more important time, Tom, to buy a house in a community, in an area based on politics than today.
00:16:10.040
Do you know what just happened right now with California and Texas?
00:16:12.780
Folks, let me tell you what happened with California and Texas.
00:16:15.020
This whole thing with the elections and all this stuff that they're saying going into midterms.
00:16:19.320
Do you know what California and Texas just did with redistricting?
00:16:29.000
We're going to stay Republican for many, many decades.
00:16:34.300
We're going to stay Democrat for many, many decades.
00:16:39.320
And he's being asked, what areas do you buy properties in?
00:16:57.840
So, you know, these are the types of decisions you've got to make with your family and say, where are we going to go buy a home long term?
00:17:03.700
But if it's 10 years, I'm banking on buying a home instead of renting a home.
00:17:08.100
Because 10 years later, that family is going to have an additional $400,000 of net worth added to their name that they wouldn't have had.
00:17:16.840
And what we want to do for the veterans who are watching this, we have a whole new series of merch for veterans.
00:17:22.720
Rob, if you can zoom in into some of these guys here, whether you're Army, we've got an Army Future Looks Bright.
00:17:28.920
We've got, go a little bit low, Rob, if you could.
00:17:33.340
That right there, the Army Future Looks Bright patch is insane.
00:17:38.100
You know, Air Force, Navy, keep going, keep going, keep going.
00:17:49.360
On the front of it, it says Future Looks Bright.
00:17:56.820
It's one of our most, I think it's the top five most reviewed hats of all time that you have right there.
00:18:09.280
Six shirt, keep going low, Rob, keep going low.
00:18:11.680
And you've got the Army greens, the hats in the middle, and then go to the next one.
00:18:20.260
Go to vtmerch.com, place your order, use the code VETERAN for a discount, VETERAN for a discount.
00:18:29.180
And 10% of every purchase made will go to charities that are related to folks who are serving.
00:18:38.100
And we have a handful of them that we're working with.
00:18:39.900
Trust me, we're very selective on which one we go through.
00:18:42.740
10% of whatever purchase is made will go to different charities out there.
00:18:47.520
And if you use the code VETERAN, you'll get a 10% discount as well.
00:18:51.360
Some of those items are, you know, limited supply that we ordered.
00:18:55.620
So be sure to go out there and place the order for yourself.
00:18:58.240
And if it's not you, you have a friend that went to the Air Force, the Army, the Marines, the Navy.
00:19:03.300
You know, gift them something from this that watches the podcast.
00:19:06.040
Again, go to vtmerch.com, place your order using the discount VETERAN.
00:19:10.940
If you enjoyed this video, you want to watch more videos like this, click here.
00:19:14.080
And if you want to watch the entire podcast, click here.