00:00:18.880On Wednesday, as the U.S. partnered with Saudi to strike Tehran-backed militias a neighbor in Iraq,
00:00:25.060killing at least 20 fighters and six Iranian advisors.
00:00:27.240The flare-up on multiple fronts after several days of a relative calm raised the risk of a return to an all-out war and underscored the difficulty of winding down a five-month conflict that has jolted the world economy.
00:00:39.180Iran's Revolutionary Guard said it fired ballistic missiles at Jordan's Muwafak Salty Air Force Base, a key U.S. military hub.
00:00:49.220Jordan's military said five missiles were intercepted with no casualties.
00:00:53.000Fox News reporter said Trump told him, use vulgarities that the U.S. will hit hard.
00:00:58.200And then at the same time, Trump launches U.S. airstrikes.
00:01:39.760And I'm concerned about the escalation because now, and I'm going to flip this to Jeff, who's got something on this that he found that I hadn't seen yesterday.0.72
00:01:49.180and that is you know you've got these missiles now it's like us how is Iran getting itself back
00:01:54.580together it's aiming for Jordan it's aiming for Saudi and you've got the rest of the Middle East
00:01:59.020going holy crap this is getting worse and Pat that's the thing that I see I see that other
00:02:05.160people are getting drawn into it and it's not just big brother the United States going after Iran0.97
00:02:10.660at some point in time the other people that knew he was that knew Iran was the bad guy on the block
00:02:15.480but just kind of tolerated it and kind of held it in check, it's like, how are they getting after it?
00:02:54.000I think it's difficult to see, first of all, that Saudi Arabia joined the U.S. again.
00:02:59.660The more pressure that's applied, the more you see these Gulf states, instead of trying to bend Trump's ear to end this thing,
00:03:07.180we've got to get this thing over, we've got to get oil flowing.
00:03:09.140Instead, they're saying, you know what, we're actually going to join you, because I think they see incremental progress that maybe we don't necessarily see.
00:03:15.540I think the strategy here, again, they have not been clear about the strategy or what this is really about.
00:03:21.060I still think it's about China, the Cold War.
00:03:23.180I think the ultimate red line here is not the nuclear program.0.83
00:03:25.780It's the control of the straighter for moves for the long run and hopefully the fall of the Iranian regime, which I still think is possibility.0.93
00:03:34.220And I think that's why the Saudis and the UAE, too.
00:03:36.440The UAE is heavily involved in this on the U.S. side, too.
00:03:39.540I think what the idea here is instead of an all-out conflict, instead of just, you know, invading Karg Island and going from there, bombing the crap out of everything, this is a pressure campaign.
00:03:49.860And the pressure campaign whose goal is to separate the IRGC from the civilian leadership.
00:03:56.240Because like you said, the civilian leadership will say one thing that looks like they're trying to find an off-ramp to the war, and then the IRGC will start fighting back.
00:04:03.600I think there is a pressure campaign to drive a wedge between at least those two factions if they're not other factions, and it's working.
00:04:10.880It's working to the point where the Saudis say, you know what, maybe we're going to join the side who wins here.0.54
00:04:15.640And I'm not saying this is going to be done with imminently.
00:04:18.160I'm saying that it does appear to be fractioning the Iranian leadership as much as they can possibly have an Iranian leadership.
00:04:25.560And that the ultimate goal here is to separate those two completely so that the IRGC loses all of its ability to affect the outcome of the war, the outcome of Iran.
00:04:35.820And eventually what emerges, at least what we hope emerges, is a more moderate faction of Iranian government that is actually trustworthy enough to make a peace deal.
00:04:44.440I think that's what they're working toward.
00:04:46.100And I think they are making progress to it.
00:04:47.640It's just painfully slow and incremental.
00:04:49.640Where are those missiles coming from, do you think?0.83
00:04:54.320Let's just, I mean, there was reports all over the media yesterday, day before, I forget what it was, this week, this week, that the Chinese are supporting shoulder launch, or they're likely to be supplying shoulder launch missiles.
00:06:32.400Our arms were being tested in Ukraine when we sent some of our newer stuff, ground stuff, over there in Ukraine was testing against Russian soldiers.
00:06:39.360Now China is testing some of their stuff against us through Iran.