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00:00:00.000 What if I told you whichever candidate was favored they want to become the U.S. president

00:00:03.800 actually ends up losing and the underdog nobody is paying attention to is typically the one that

00:00:09.120 wins. So we went back and looked at numbers, our research team. Here's what we noticed.

00:00:12.860 Jeb Bush, most money raised, lost. Hillary Clinton, most money raised, twice she lost.

00:00:17.620 Once to Obama, once to Trump. Now, just a couple months ago, they were talking about the fact that

00:00:22.640 Ron DeSantis, the great governor, nobody did a better job than him during COVID. No one did.

00:00:26.780 I'm in Florida because of him. $130 million with a super PAC. Another $20 million race. Everyone

00:00:31.300 said it's over with. This guy's going to win it. They're about to fire a third of their staff. So

00:00:35.340 this is what we did. We went and found a list of people that were the biggest underdogs that ended

00:00:41.740 up winning. We looked at who raised how much money, what qualities people look at, what gaffes they

00:00:47.620 had, and then a couple of funny clips we'll show you and who is the current underdog that could

00:00:53.480 eventually be your president. Okay, so if you get value from this video, give it a thumbs up and

00:01:06.480 subscribe to the channel. Let's get right into it. So the biggest triumphs, underdogs coming out of

00:01:11.340 nowhere, the first one we're going to look at is Abraham Lincoln against William Seward. In 1860,

00:01:15.900 the Republicans expected to win the presidency with their strong candidate, William H. Seward,

00:01:20.880 a polished, influential former governor and senator from New York. His only serious rival for the

00:01:26.460 party's nomination was Abraham Lincoln, a politician from the backwood states of Illinois who was little

00:01:31.060 known in the powerful eastern states. Lincoln proved a better politician. As a native son, he secured all

00:01:36.740 the votes. From the Illinois delegates, his campaign workers made sure to seat Lincoln supporters close

00:01:42.320 to critical delegations. They printed counterfeit admission tickets to the convention to pack the

00:01:47.120 hold with Lincoln backers and leave little room for Seward supporters. And through these tactics and

00:01:52.120 backroom bargaining, Lincoln gained the nomination. In November, he won the presidency because the anti-Republican

00:01:59.120 votes were divided between three pro-slavery candidates. And now, some say Abraham Lincoln is one of the

00:02:04.680 greatest presidents we've ever had. Next, Truman against Dewey. Five to fifteen point underdog, Truman had taken

00:02:10.820 office after Roosevelt's death in 1945 and faced numerous challenges during his term. Even the newspaper announced

00:02:17.440 Dewey defeats Truman. Based on early results and expectation, nobody thought Truman was going to win, but Truman

00:02:23.880 traveled nearly 22,000 miles by election day, at one point giving 13 speeches in one day. And they were said to be

00:02:31.920 very passionate speeches, advocated for civil rights and USSR containment, considered one of the biggest political

00:02:38.660 comebacks of all time. And maybe one of the greatest pictures ever taken in politics in newspapers is when

00:02:44.140 Truman is holding the paper that says, Dewey defeats Truman. The ultimate underdog story at the time, he makes in

00:02:51.440 the top five stories. The next one is Nixon against John F. Kennedy. This is very interesting because nobody

00:02:55.940 knew who John F. Kennedy was. They kind of looked at him as, look, your father, Joseph, has been doing

00:02:59.220 everything for you. Yeah, you're Congress. Yeah, you're Senate. But Nixon, two-term vice president. Like, this is the guy

00:03:04.580 that's going to be the next president. But when it ends up happening, the national sentiment turned in

00:03:09.060 Kennedy's favor when the first televised debates were held. Kennedy was much better looking and

00:03:13.780 charismatic than Nixon. What a lot of people don't know the night before, Nixon didn't shave. He didn't

00:03:17.760 think it was a big deal because when it was on radio, Nixon had a great voice. Like, this guy's got it on TV.

00:03:21.960 JFK went to sleep. He was very well rested. He went to tanning bed. He looked good. Nixon had a flu.

00:03:28.300 Obviously, all of this worked against Nixon. And knowing the fact that JFK's dad, Joseph, was a

00:03:34.180 master at marketing, he's kind of behind closed doors saying, here's what we're going to do. This

00:03:38.180 is what's going to happen. My son's a better looking guy. You're going to win in this area.

00:03:41.240 And obviously, it worked in their favor. This was enough to give JFK a razor-thin victory over the 0.85

00:03:46.280 favorite, Richard Nixon. This next one's a little bit crazy because it's Reagan against Carter. And

00:03:50.820 most of the time when we hear this story, we hear about the shellacking, you know, Reagan gave Carter

00:03:55.180 because it's like, oh, 49 out of 50 states. But what most people don't realize, Carter was the

00:03:59.920 president. He was the incumbent. And he's going up against the governor. But

00:04:03.800 up until the last week, President Carter had a definite lead. Even with America's concern about

00:04:08.800 the economy and the Iran hostage crisis, he still had the lead. Reagan turned it around with his

00:04:13.300 polished performance in the campaign's one televised debate. It had one of the highest TV ratings of any

00:04:19.920 show in the previous decade. The debate is remembered for Reagan's quips. There you go again. And are you

00:04:25.500 better off now than you were four years ago? Ronald Reagan ended up winning the 1980 election in a

00:04:31.460 definitive and unprecedented landslide. You ready? 489 to 49. 489 to 49. Never has there been something

00:04:41.220 this embarrassing. What's wild about this is, guys, he won 44 out of 50 states. Think about that. It's

00:04:47.660 one of the most embarrassing losses ever because Carter had the lead. And last minute, Reagan makes

00:04:52.880 a comeback. And obviously, the rest is history. So before we go to Obama, Hillary, McCain, let me give

00:04:58.180 you a quick respect to Bill Clinton against President Bush, senior, two-term vice president,

00:05:03.560 director of CIA, one-term president, father of Senator Prescott. I mean, this is a legacy type

00:05:08.020 of a family you're going up against. Who are you, Bill Clinton, from Arkansas, from Hope, from being

00:05:13.720 the cutest two-year-old boy. I was in Hope, Arkansas, went to his house where he was born,

00:05:18.380 and I saw he won all these awards for being a cute boy. He was a cute boy himself. Went and asked

00:05:22.000 everybody about Bill Clinton. But being a president, my wife and Bill Clinton went to

00:05:25.980 the same middle school. Okay, not the same age, but to the same middle school. And he

00:05:29.460 was the first president I ever shook hands when I was working at Haagen-Dazs. In Glendale

00:05:33.400 Galleria, he shook this kid's hand. His second term, he got my vote. First president I ever

00:05:38.040 voted for, and I made $50 off his vote with an uncle of mine. Well, Bill Clinton comes out

00:05:42.040 of nowhere, and he beats senior. And senior becomes a one-term president. Now, senior will

00:05:46.100 say it was all Ross Perot's fault, but regardless of what happens, this charismatic,

00:05:50.020 center-left, distancing himself from traditional liberals, ends up becoming a president and a

00:05:55.480 two-term president, Bill Clinton. But let's go to the last one here. We got Obama-McCain. Here's

00:05:59.660 the part about Obama. Obama gives a speech in 2008. That's great. But Hillary Clinton, I

00:06:04.040 mean, this is like senator, secretary of state, husband's a two-term president. Clinton's got

00:06:09.020 a very strong word. It's one of the most powerful political families in America, the most powerful

00:06:14.960 political couple in America, both way more than Michelle and Barack Obama today. And she

00:06:19.960 decides to run. No one's supposed to beat her. Definitely not this one-term senator. Who are 0.92

00:06:24.360 you, one-term senator, motivational speaker? You're not going to beat me. Not only does

00:06:28.960 he beat her, then he goes up against McCain, who has a resume this thick of a resume, prisoner

00:06:35.760 of war. This guy's got one of the best resumes ever. And what ends up happening when you look

00:06:40.500 at this chart here in 2008, at first, Obama wins Iowa caucuses, so he's got a lead. Then

00:06:45.760 all of a sudden, Super Tuesday takes place, and McCain's got the lead, okay? So he wins

00:06:49.640 the Florida primary. And like, no, McCain's going to win it. Then next thing you know,

00:06:53.660 boom, right after Super Tuesday, Obama takes off. He wins the nomination. Everything's going

00:06:59.220 their way. Then suddenly, right before election time, a couple weeks before it, McCain takes

00:07:04.420 a lead right after AIG, seized Lehman Brothers, bankruptcy, all that stuff's going on. They said,

00:07:09.340 we got to kind of lean on this McCain guy. Then all of a sudden, it's as if Obama went

00:07:14.740 on a run, and it was game over. He ended up winning 365, 173, wasn't even close, but he

00:07:21.020 was an underdog, and he beat two favorites, heavyweight Hillary Clinton and heavyweight 0.64

00:07:25.900 McCain at the same time. Now, before I give you the last one here on the greatest, like,

00:07:30.080 underdog guy winning president, all this stuff, I think you kind of know where I'm going.

00:07:33.000 I want to give you some data before I go through that. So here's how much money's been raised

00:07:35.960 since 1960 to today for every single election. If you look at Nixon against Kennedy, Nixon

00:07:40.240 raised 10.1 million, Kennedy raised 9.8 million, Kennedy ends up winning. Next one, Goldwater

00:07:44.820 raised 16 million, Johnson raises 8.8, but guess who wins? Johnson wins. Next one, Nixon

00:07:49.400 raises 25.4 million, Humphrey raises 11.6, more than doubling, Nixon obviously wins. Nixon 0.75

00:07:54.920 raises 61.4 million, doubling McGovern, Nixon wins. Next, 435, Carter, 33, Carter wins.

00:08:01.300 Reagan, 57.7 million, Carter 49 million, Reagan wins. Next one, Reagan

00:08:05.880 raises 67.5 million, a million more than Mondale, Reagan wins. Bush Sr., 80 to 77 Dukakis,

00:08:12.340 Bush Sr. wins. Again, Bush Sr. versus Clinton, 97 million to 107.9 million, Clinton wins. Dole,

00:08:20.340 66.8, goes against Clinton, 115 million, this is Bill Clinton, Bill Clinton wins. Then you

00:08:25.180 got Bush Jr. going against Gore, 60 million dollars more raised, Bush wins. Bush again beats Kerry,

00:08:30.900 he raised 355, Kerry raised 332, Bush wins. McCain against Obama, Obama nearly 4x became

00:08:37.420 760 to 239 million, Obama wins. And the next one, Obama against Romney, 737 to Romney's 483,

00:08:45.480 Obama wins. Then if you look at Hillary Clinton against Trump, Hillary Clinton 580, Trump 340,

00:08:50.680 Trump wins. Biden against Trump, Biden raised 1.68 billion, Trump raised 1 billion, 60 million,

00:08:57.800 and Biden wins. So if you look at this and see how many times a person who raised less money won,

00:09:03.360 you would notice it's Kennedy, it's Johnson, it's Carter, and Trump. Almost every single time whoever

00:09:08.760 raised more money wins the whole thing. These are some of the underdogs. So here's what you'll notice

00:09:13.500 if we look at this and we think about a pattern, there's only been four times where somebody who

00:09:17.600 raised less money won. One is Kennedy, 60, one is Johnson, 64, the other is Carter, 76,

00:09:23.600 and the other is Trump, 2016. The last time somebody who raised less money, he raised half the money

00:09:29.160 Hillary did. The last time that happened was 1976. It hasn't happened for 40 years, right? So now if

00:09:34.200 we look at this and we go to the Trump-Hillary campaign, what will you notice? This is what

00:09:37.700 you'll notice. I want you to look at this election odds, okay? Well, who's going to win? If you look at

00:09:43.000 the dates, Trump versus Clinton, Clinton had a negative 110 odds. That means you have to bet $110,

00:09:49.220 two and a hundred dollars. And with Trump, as of August 5th, 2015, you had to bet. If you bet

00:09:54.560 a hundred dollars, you would have won $2,500. And it goes, goes, goes, goes, goes, goes all.

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00:11:00.060 We'll talk October 25th. On October 25th, a week and a half before voting, in order for you to win

00:11:04.900 $100 with Hillary Clinton, you had to bet $550 to win $100. And with Trump, if you bet $100, you win

00:11:11.820 $350. You know what that tells you? Everybody sat there and said, guys, come on, let's not get it

00:11:15.900 twisted. Hillary Clinton's going to be our next president. Trump is out. Everybody knew this.

00:11:20.480 However, there's a couple things I remember. I would be on Facebook, and I would see Trump 6, 7, 8, 9, 10

00:11:26.740 Facebook lives in different places. He's giving a speech, and you would only see Hillary giving one speech

00:11:32.620 a week, two speech a week. I'm sitting there saying, 50, 70,000 people are coming to see this

00:11:38.660 guy. How is this possible? This guy's going to lose. That's kind of crazy. But maybe, maybe she

00:11:43.700 raised twice as much money than him. Maybe that's what it is. The ads are going to work. And then what

00:11:47.580 results do we get? All of us at 2 o'clock in the morning, 3 o'clock in the morning. President Donald

00:11:51.500 Trump, and you see Donald Trump walking on stage with him and his wife, and you're like, wait, they don't

00:11:54.920 even think they won. Look at their, they were surprised. Even he said it. I looked at Ivanka, I'm like,

00:11:59.980 did we really win this thing? We did. Pretty wild, man. I didn't think we were going to be

00:12:03.260 presidents. And he gets a call from Hillary Clinton. Now, let me go a little bit more,

00:12:06.820 because there are certain qualities that Gallup did to say who was likelihood to become the

00:12:11.460 president based on what qualities. There are four people they're looking at here. These were like

00:12:14.740 the four candidates they thought was most likely to become president. Hillary Clinton, Ted Cruz,

00:12:18.900 Bernie Sanders, and Donald Trump. Out of all of these things that they have, which is, I want to say

00:12:23.700 it's 12 different qualities. Trump only was leading in two out of the 12. Let me give you exactly

00:12:28.940 these qualities. Intense. Bernie Sanders won that with 44 percent. Competitive. Bernie Sanders first

00:12:33.520 place. Inspiring. Hillary Clinton, 71. No one even was in 60s. Courageous. Hillary Clinton, 61. No one

00:12:40.640 was even in the 50s. Prepared. Trump. Beating Hillary by one. Consistent. Hillary. Enthusiastic. Hillary got

00:12:47.560 50. Trump only got 27. Cares about individuals. Trump got 68. Beating Hillary by one 61 percent. And the rest,

00:12:54.840 it's a sweep. Emphasize success. Hillary Clinton, 52. Trump only 25. Trump is like, his brand is

00:13:00.540 success, but they gave it to Hillary. Gallup. Analytical. Hillary 53. Focused. Hillary 44. Visionary.

00:13:06.940 Hillary 65. But at the end of the day, we know who won. Trump won. And by the way, Hillary Clinton

00:13:11.420 lost to a one-term senator and lost to Trump, who's never ran for office before. And she's got the 0.92

00:13:16.080 biggest. Imagine being that. Like your entire dream for 50 years has been to become the president and you

00:13:21.180 miss out. But there's a couple of things you need to look at here together. So in 2010, they passed the

00:13:26.660 Citizens United versus FEC. It's important to know this. The Supreme Court ruled five to four that the

00:13:31.640 freedom of speech clause of the First Amendment prohibits the government from restricting

00:13:34.840 independent expenditures for political campaigns by corporations, including non-profit corporations,

00:13:39.460 labor unions, and other associations. This ruling allowed corporations and other outside groups to spend

00:13:44.640 keyword unlimited money on elections. Look at the kind of money we raise when you look at this chart

00:13:51.840 from Statista. In 2003-2004 election, we raised $891 million total presidential election. 2008,

00:14:00.160 it doubles, that's the Obama year, to $1.769 billion. Next one, $1.4 billion. Next one, $1.529 billion.

00:14:08.760 That's Trump-Hillary. But look at 2020, when it's Biden-Trump, $4 billion, $58 million, almost more

00:14:15.640 money than the three previous elections. That is insane to think that people at the top can just

00:14:21.700 have an open checkbook to spend money and say, I'm literally going to buy your presidency is what

00:14:26.400 I'm going to do. Because I'm going to run non-stop negative ads until you win. So when you look at this,

00:14:31.140 when you look at some candidates, RFK, why is he getting momentum? Nobody thought he was going to,

00:14:34.580 everybody thought he's just a conspiracy theory guy writing a book against Fauci because he's pissed off

00:14:38.080 about Fauci. Isn't he an environmental lawyer? He's got a bad voice. This guy shouldn't be doing

00:14:42.640 a better job than somebody. Who's this Vivette guy, by the way? I don't even know. 37 years old. He's

00:14:47.140 a billionaire. He comes in. He makes a lot of sense. Why is he getting all these eyeballs? He's

00:14:50.740 everywhere. Everywhere. I look at here, he's here. Then he's here. Then he's here. Then he's here.

00:14:53.620 He's about to do a town hall with us. Next week, he's going to be with us here. Why is he everywhere?

00:14:57.860 He's the underdog. Trump against DeSantis. Some would say Trump, in a way, was an underdog based on who

00:15:02.300 raised more money. You look at these different things, you start realizing money matters, but it's not just money.

00:15:07.540 They said five qualities to be a president. Number one, personal success, like you have to be a winner.

00:15:12.300 Number two, demonstrated commitment to the community. People have to trust that you care about them.

00:15:16.260 Number three, integrity. Are you honest? Number four, intelligence. And number five, consistent

00:15:21.380 political philosophies. This definitely didn't work for John Kerry when he was flip-flopping because

00:15:26.360 they said, you don't really have consistent philosophies. To one crowd, you say one thing. To another

00:15:31.300 crowd, you say another thing. We don't believe you. You're not consistent. We don't want you, even though

00:15:36.200 you're a Yale guy. So they look at that stuff. Now, if you look at this next one, what Democrats

00:15:40.120 care about versus Republicans, empathy. Democrats care about that 69 to Republicans, 48. Strength,

00:15:45.760 76 to 64 Republicans. Honesty, Democrats value that 81 to 71. Audacity, Republicans value that 38 to 28.

00:15:53.920 Taking responsibility. It's about the same, but Democrats 85, Republicans 80. Competence, 77, 77.

00:15:59.740 This is when Biden was going up against Trump. And when they measured the two against each other,

00:16:05.040 strength, they give it to Trump. 89 to 64. Competence, they give it to Trump. Takes responsibility,

00:16:10.080 they give it to Biden. Honesty, they give it to Biden. Audacity, they definitely gave that to Trump.

00:16:14.660 And empathy, they give it to Biden by 20 points, and we know who won. So picking who's going to win

00:16:20.260 day one without us even having seen a single debate yet, it's very early to do so. Anybody can make a

00:16:26.360 combat, including DeSantis. But you have to pay attention to a lot of different factors. It's

00:16:30.380 not just one thing or another. And by the way, when you look at some of the most embarrassing

00:16:33.340 gaps, we can find a lot of them. Here's one of them. Marco Rubio against Chris Christie.

00:16:37.320 When Chris Christie said, watch, he keeps saying this one line or over and over again. And the line

00:16:41.660 was this notion that Barack Obama doesn't know what he's doing. Matter of fact, I'll just let you see

00:16:45.220 when Chris Christie calls him out. Here he is. Let's dispel with this fiction that Barack Obama

00:16:49.080 doesn't know what he's doing. He knows exactly what he's doing. This notion that Barack Obama

00:16:53.540 doesn't know what he's doing is just not true. There it is. He knows exactly what he's doing.

00:16:56.900 There it is. The memorized 25-second speech. Well, that's the reason why this campaign is so important.

00:17:01.680 Now, obviously, right after that, people said Marco Rubio was done with. There's no way he can

00:17:04.800 compete. And it was pretty much done for him. The next one, a lot of people think Joe Biden is the

00:17:08.660 goat for falling. Before there was a Joe Biden, there was a Bob Dole. And Bob Dole's fall is by far

00:17:13.740 a greater fall. Now, obviously, we don't want anybody to get hurt. When you fall like this,

00:17:17.360 this video is going to be shown everywhere. Matter of fact, Bob Dole, if he fell like this today,

00:17:21.120 that clip would be getting billions of views. Here's the clip of Bob Dole falling.

00:17:36.480 This next one, got to give it to Obama and his marketing campaign. Romney gets up and gives

00:17:40.300 this incredible song. And then Romney's campaign takes that song. It opens it up with Obama saying,

00:17:44.960 I endorse this message. And then Romney is singing this song. And then they said, everything Romney

00:17:49.480 is touching. He has money in Bermuda. He has money in Caymans. Here's what he's doing to his

00:17:53.620 employees. Is this a person you want to solve your problems? He's nodded. Boom. Obama uses that,

00:17:58.040 helps him. Romney's out. They go with Obama. I'm Barack Obama, and I approve this message.

00:18:02.700 Oh, beautiful for spacious skies, for amber waves of grain, for purple mountains majesty, above the

00:18:15.660 fruit and plain. America, America, God shed his grapes on thee, and crown thy good with

00:18:29.940 bronze. And last but not least, this guy's got to be the goat. I mean, I don't think anyone's 0.92

00:18:34.440 going to come at this guy's level. Howard Dean crushed it. At one point, for a split second,

00:18:38.760 he thought he was the second coming of Tony Robbins. I'll just let you judge it for yourself.

00:18:43.100 You know something? You know something? If you had told us one year ago that we were going to come

00:18:51.100 in third in Iowa, we would have given anything for that. And you know something? You know something?

00:18:58.120 Not only are we going to New Hampshire, Tom Harkin, we're going to South Carolina and Oklahoma

00:19:02.900 and Arizona and North Dakota and New Mexico. We're going to California and Texas and New York.

00:19:09.680 And we're going to South Dakota and Oregon and Washington and Michigan. And then we're

00:19:15.240 going to Washington, D.C. to take back the White House. I mean, you didn't have to do that,

00:19:21.860 bro. What are you doing screaming? I mean, who told you that's a good idea? It's over for him

00:19:25.940 right after that. And last but not least, Dukakis is going up against Bush, and he's trying to sell

00:19:30.340 the fact that he's tough with military. And then his team, somebody on his team thought this was a

00:19:34.860 good idea. And when they did this, it was a laughingstock. It was over after this day. Check

00:19:38.080 this out. Michael Dukakis has opposed virtually every defense system we developed. He opposed

00:19:43.940 new aircraft carriers. He opposed anti-satellite weapons. He opposed four missile systems,

00:19:49.700 including the Pershing 2 missile deployment. Dukakis opposed the stealth bomb and a ground

00:19:54.880 emergency warning system against nuclear attack. He even criticized our rescue mission to Grenada

00:20:00.240 and our strike on Libya. And now he wants to be our commander-in-chief. America can't afford that

00:20:06.980 risk. Terrible idea, but somebody thought it was a good idea. Look, we can say one-liners, you know,

00:20:12.180 there you go again, because you'd be in jail. You know how many one-liners we can come up with on

00:20:16.720 all this stuff to give it to them? There's so many factors that goes into this. But this is why,

00:20:21.220 when I had Ari Fleischer here on the podcast, and I said, there's so many different industries for 1.00

00:20:25.320 you to get into to make money. Why politics? He says, because I love competition, and there is

00:20:30.780 nothing better. He says, in every competition, there's a score. You can say, you shoot a three

00:20:36.880 pointer, you get three points. You catch a touchdown, six points. You get the extra point, one point. He

00:20:41.640 says, the only sport that there is no way to score a point, but who can sell ideas better, and who's a

00:20:46.280 marketer, is politics. He says, you gotta love this competition. This is why so many people tune in.

00:20:51.700 Now, a big part outside of competition, it's also policies that's going to dictate which direction

00:20:56.120 America goes. So a lot is on the line, but it's way too early for us to decide who's going to be

00:21:01.520 the president in 2024. So if you got value out of this video, give it a thumbs up, subscribe to the

00:21:05.480 channel. I got another video I want you to watch is the anti-establishment presidents, and why free

00:21:11.440 thinkers? If you're a free thinker, if you're a true value-tainer, you're typically somebody that's

00:21:16.640 anti-establishment. If you've never seen this video before, I highly recommend you watching this.

00:21:20.920 Just click here to watch that video. Take care, everybody. Bye-bye, bye-bye.

Biggest Presidential UPSETS - Why The Underdogs Almost Always Win

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