“Chaos Is Their Strategy” - Iran's President Resignation Rumors SPARK IRGC Power Struggle
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Summary
Iranian President Hasan Pazeshkian resigns, citing total takeover by Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) commanders, and the markets react to the news. We talk about what this means for the economy, the future of the deal with Iran, and much more.
Transcript
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It's a story about Pezeshkian, who is the president of Iran, comes out and says, I'm resigning.
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And so we saw this all over the place, that he is resigning.
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Iran's president offers resignation, citing total takeover by IRGC commanders, which is kind of weird.
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So then when you're reading this story, Rob, I think you may have a clip on this.
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When you're reading this story, you see some people coming out and saying,
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And I think even he sends out a tweet, Rob, if I'm not mistaken.
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It's a video clip that the Iranian state media is saying is the denial that he's resigning.
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We are ready to sacrifice our lives, our existence for this revolution and the people of our country.
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But in any case, this is something we must all help each other with and walk this path together.
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And our dear people must also be aware of this matter and help out.
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Rob, this is what I expect from the national broadcaster as well.
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So this came out last night, and this is what the Iranian state media is claiming is his denial.
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I listened to the clip. He doesn't say it anywhere in here.
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No, I'm not going to put this as a denial. I'll read this to you.
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You know, this article here from the Iran International says that he submitted his letter of resignation,
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In the letter sent on Sunday, Pazeshkin stressed the fact that the president and the government have effectively been excluded from major and vital decision-making process in the country and that the vacuum created by the situation has enabled hard-line factions within the IRGC to take control of affairs.
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Pazeshkin added that under such a circumstance, he is unable to run the government and carry out his legal responsibilities, and he requested to be out immediately.
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It is not yet clear whether Khamenei will accept the resignation, but the contents of the letter point to a deep and unprecedented rift at the highest levels of power.
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So if this is true, I have some thoughts on this myself, on how this can end up.
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Tom, if this is true, what does this really mean, if it is true?
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Well, when we all saw the headline, I immediately, I had no reaction.
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I was like, well, of course, the hardliners and IRGC are really calling the shots.
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And, you know, Trump and the world had been saying it's hard to negotiate because the government was split.
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We had heard all that. Right, Pat? I mean, that's what we heard. Everything.
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So when I first heard this, it seemed like, wow.
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So as a legitimate government off to the side, finally just thrown in the towel and said, I resign.
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So it seemed normal, not normal, but it seemed like, oh, OK, very believable.
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However, if this is true and this is what's going on and the IRGC and the hardliners are really in charge, then I think this is kind of worse than where it started.
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because for the people that have been protesting, this is bad
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because it means if IRGC is in the point of ultimate power, Pat,
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The markets aren't liking what came in this morning.
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But I think this is a reaction to Lebanon-Israel.
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I don't think that's the reaction to Pazeshkian.
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I think that's the, which we'll get into that here momentarily as well.
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I think the main reaction to this, what the market is saying,
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is due to the attacks that are taking place between Lebanon and Israel, no?
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Well, I think it's both because I think Lebanon-Israel is the second front
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Israel is with us, and we are fighting here, but it's a second front.
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Yeah, so then the question, Adam, your thoughts on this.
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Did you hear what the gay Ayatollah, whatever you want to call this guy,
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that I haven't seen it, did you hear what he had to say over the weekend?
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Doubling down on everything they've always done.
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Death to America, death to Israel, this is quote-unquote.
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This will be the common slogan of the Islamic nation and the revolution.
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And the oppressed people of all over the world, especially youth.
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The future belongs to the Islamic nation, the IRGC, and the new Islamic civilization,
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and each of us can play a role in realizing this future together.
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Does this sound like somebody who wants to cut a deal?
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And if Pazeshkin, the president, we all know the president doesn't really have any power,
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the Ayatollah, the supreme leader, has power.
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As much as much as I think it's going to get ugly,
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we've already done what we needed to do with epic fury, economic fury.
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Trump has been very clear that he doesn't necessarily care about midterms, so to speak.
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I think they may even get into another hot war over this.
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And we've already done the hard part, whether it's economically, whether it's militarily.
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So here here's here's what I want to think about.
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Let's go be in the room, the situation room of IRGC.
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If you're in the situation room of IRGC, what are you saying?
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It's only people that are pro-IRGC, people that are in that room.
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When Allah is the answer, we can't negotiate about that.
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I understand that, but what I'm saying to you is what do you do?
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If I'm them right now, you know what I'm saying?
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Technically, because they're not going to come in and bomb us
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and kill all the civilians because they're going to look really, really bad.
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Meaning, it seems to me like they're holding the cards.
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What can the United States do, Pat, to harm them right now?
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I would assume, and just kind of doing game theory on here,
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we just need to wait it out and get a deal and get the deal that's a ceasefire and get the deal
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on Hormuz and then you know get them to agree to negotiate the uranium and everything going forward
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they're saying no every day that we make them wait we're closer to just getting the war over
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and we'll negotiate all of that later that's what we want every day we wait I fully agree with Tom
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on this tom is right um if what does winning look like they just have to survive if they cut any
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deal the deal is almost irrelevant because you think they're going to honor the deal the whole
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takia thing is just lying for the sake of winning so there is no so so there's no any deal with
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strong points is so the nuclear the the enriched uranium the the missiles the proxies um to me
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you would probably know this better than anybody chaos is their strategy delaying is their strategy
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When you don't care about your own people, how do you end up cutting a deal that benefits your own people?
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And number two, what do you think that they're saying in that room right now?
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Okay, so first, you have to, when you're running a company and you're going through a bad season financially,
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the first thing you have to sit there and talk about is finances.
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How much longer can we afford to go with X, Y, Z?
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Okay. And finance person will say, we only have $6.8 million in a bank. Really? Yeah. How long can that last? Three months. Okay, shit. So we got three months. Yes. So the finance person is going to say, our revenue is depleted. Our oil revenue is depleted. We are down to nothing. How long can we last?
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Everybody in that room knows a number on how long that can last.
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So number one is, what is the lifespan of their money?
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If America has intel or Masan has intel to find out that number,
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So assume if we know exactly what that number is,
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and the people that are going to take a hit is going to be who?
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If in this instance Russia helps out, maybe China doesn't help out,
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but Russia helps out, but Russia's also depleted,
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It's not like they're having a great time right now with what's going on.
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Ukraine's making their life a living kill.
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So Ukraine relates more to Iran and Russia relates more to U.S., right?
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But in a way, Russia could be the little guy because NATO, U.S., everybody is helping out who?
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So I think if you bring in the Israel thing, if you really want to go to, you know, Israel has control and they want this thing to continue and they want to create chaos, you know what they could do to create a lot of chaos?
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You know what could be the craziest thing Israel could do to create some chaos?
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What were the number of people that killed on day one or day two, whatever it was?
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If they take out Pezeshkian, you can give credibility to the people to say,
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So if all of a sudden the next week you hear a story, Pezeshkian's been killed,
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there is credence to say, I get what they're doing.
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I don't know if you understand what I just said right there, Tom.
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So I would not be surprised if the moderates get killed to force the president to have to say,
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are we really going to negotiate with terrorists, IRGC, or no?
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Because while this is going on, Rob, you have this story with Israel.
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And you know what happened over the weekend with U.S. says it struck Iranian drone
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and a radar site, as Iran claims, attack on airbase.
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There's a few things that happened over the weekend,
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U.S. Central Command announcing it conducted self-defense strikes
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inside Iran over the weekend, targeting radar and drone sites.
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CETCOM says the U.S. strikes were in response to what it called
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aggressive Iranian actions, which included the shooting down
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Iran claims it responded by targeting the air base where the U.S. attack originated.
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Missile activity was being monitored in Kuwait.
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All this coming after President Trump suggested a peace deal with Iran was in reach.
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He says we will not develop or in any way purchase a military weapon.
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So over the weekend, Hezbollah fired rockets into northern Israel from Lebanon.
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Israel responded with expanded military operations.
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Bibi ordered renewed strikes on Hezbollah targets, which they captured the castle.
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Rob, do you have the video of the castle with the Israeli flag at the top?
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Just go on YouTube, type in the castle, Israel flag castle.
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So they say they captured the castle, and they put up the Israel flag at the top of the castle in Lebanon.
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I want to say the castle's name correctly if you want to pull it up.
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Rob, if you want to go to the Buford Castle, it's got rich history to it.
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Obviously, it's not the kind of castle where you're going to go have
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full-grown steak and, you know, it's a different kind of a castle meeting.
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Israel captured a major strategic position, which is the Beaufort Castle.
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Ceasefire talks appear to be faltering between the two.
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So think of everyone's motives, IRGC's motives versus Peseshkin's motives
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versus Israel's motive versus U.S.'s motives versus the world's motives.
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If you want to go one by one by one, let's do it.
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Their loyalty is to their Allah and their loyalty is to what they believe in
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They could care less about the Strait of Hormuz.
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They could care less about any of that stuff.
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He would like something to happen, which, by the way,
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believe it or not, that guy's got a target on his back
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Because if Israel notices Trump's going to extend this,
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So Pazeshkin has to be gone one way or another.
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If Israel's motive, if BB's legacy goes that Iran got stronger with IRGC,
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We need gas prices back down to be in the high 60s, high 70s to be fine where we are.
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The world is like, we got to get this shit to be done because we want it to be done.
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But if you can find out how much money they have and what their run rate is and what their pain is,
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If Masato, the CIA, can get into their situation room,
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which is probably going to be in some kind of a bunker,
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and hear what their biggest pain is, now you have a situation there.
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So for me, you know, I think there could be a lot of moving parts,
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but that's what I think is going on right now with Iran, you know, Israel, and U.S.
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00:15:10.500
All weekend, I wore the white, the brown, and the black.
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The brown I wore at the office on Friday, and the black I wore yesterday, right?
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