＂Democrat's Hostage Negotiation＂ - America On Edge As Shutdown CRIPPLES Flights, Paychecks & SNAP
Episode Stats
Words per Minute
196.91896
Summary
Rob and Sarah discuss the latest on the government shutdown and what it means for the 800,000 federal employees who are now without a paycheck. They also talk about the impact of the shutdown on the economy and the impact on the middle class.
Transcript
00:00:00.000
There's a bunch of different things going on right now in the government shutdown.
00:00:03.400
We hear the video that comes out, the story saying up to 20% of flights can be canceled
00:00:07.600
in coming weeks if the government shutdown drags on as airports endure first day of crippling
00:00:15.440
reductions. You hear pilots talking about a bunch of different things. You hear pilots saying,
00:00:20.180
hey, you know, we have folks that are working right now that are not getting paid, but they're
00:00:23.120
showing up today, et cetera, et cetera. And there was a rare Saturday Senate session that ends with
00:00:28.040
a few signs of shutdown progress. So as of right now, Rob, the latest thing we know is what?
00:00:33.860
The fact that eight senators have agreed. Is that the clip right there, Rob? Okay, there we go.
00:00:39.000
Can you go back to it? Yep. So the government shutdown on October 1st. On November 9th,
00:00:42.880
the United States advanced a funding measure by 60-40 vote. This is the first major bipartisan
00:00:48.840
movement towards reopening the government. The measure would extend federal funding through
00:00:53.400
January 30th, 2026 for some agencies. Attach three full-year appropriation bill, agriculture,
00:01:01.260
veterans affairs, and legislative branch as part of the broader package. Guarantee a future vote in
00:01:06.820
December on Affordable Care Act, health insurance tax credit issues, which has been a key sticking
00:01:11.720
point. And it's important to know this, that with the Obamacare, Trump wants to give you the credit.
00:01:17.280
He wants you to make a decision what you want to do with it because all the promises
00:01:19.920
Obama made that you're not, you're going to be able to keep your doctor. It's not going to be
00:01:23.600
costing you anything. Taxes will go up. We all know Obama lied on every one of those issues.
00:01:28.440
And that's proven by the left and the right. So many federal functions that have been severely
00:01:33.340
disrupted, the 900,000 federal employees that have been working without pay, SNAP, which is impacting
00:01:39.920
a lot of people's lives, especially immigrants that are here taking advantage of it.
00:01:43.900
You know, who some of them, that's that they're relying on you, the hardworking people to take
00:01:49.680
care of them. But Tom, where are we at with this?
00:01:52.560
Well, the Senate voted. You had to break the filibuster. You need to have 60 votes. And what
00:01:57.820
the Senate did, they haven't ended the government shutdown, but they have put together something
00:02:02.140
and they're sending it back to the House and the House is all upset. However, this should
00:02:05.880
be good news. But check this out. Look at the eight people that voted with the Republicans.
00:02:13.300
Catherine Cortez Masto of Nevada, Jackie Rosen of Nevada. Wait a minute. Wait a minute.
00:02:19.880
Both Nevada senators voted. Very interesting. We know Nevada was razor thin, you know, and
00:02:26.320
Trump got traction. Traction there was used to be blue, blue, blue. But the election there
00:02:31.100
also look at this, New Hampshire, Gene Shaheen and Maggie Hassan, both senators from New Hampshire
00:02:37.860
went with them. And this guy, I'm really proud of this guy, Dick Durbin of Illinois.
00:02:43.300
Went with the Republicans to break this. And then Tim Kaine of Virginia. Tim Kaine was
00:02:48.620
Hillary's VP candidate. And then, of course, the guy we expected for the last three months
00:02:56.320
So those were the eight that went and they went with it. What's interesting, if you look
00:03:01.280
at it, I believe the Republicans got about 80 percent of what they wanted in the Senate
00:03:05.340
bill, whereas the Democrats got about 20 percent. For instance, Dick Durbin came across when
00:03:11.140
he said that Trump, that what they would put in there, and John Thune gets credit for this,
00:03:16.560
lonely, not very charismatic, just very effective, and just a good person, John Thune, apparently...
00:03:25.280
Yep. Got everybody together. But, you know, John Thune has never been like the Schumer,
00:03:31.580
the Pelosi, the camera guy. He's always just kind of just there working. And he got it done.
00:03:36.340
But here's what he gave back to Durbin. He said, I'll tell you what, this is what we'll put in.
00:03:39.900
All the federal workers that were fired during the shutdown, not the ones that were fired during
00:03:46.600
those at the beginning when he started thinning things out, but all the ones that were fired
00:03:51.020
during the shutdown will get their jobs back. And there will be a provision to give them some
00:03:58.460
back pay, which shouldn't be huge in American people because that back pay thing has really
00:04:02.620
just kind of started. You know, it's not... Well, some had started before, but it's not cataclysmic.
00:04:07.900
It is to those people, but in terms of dollars to the U.S. taxpayer, you know, it's manageable.
00:04:13.100
So he gave that back, and Durbin said, OK, Thune, I'm in. And they went in. And so it was very
00:04:18.940
sensible, but what's really important... I'll go back, and these are my estimates, Pat. I think
00:04:23.900
the Republicans got about 80% of what they wanted. Specifically, they didn't want the Obamacare
00:04:29.800
subsidies just to roll over as this trillion-dollar wave in the American people. They got that.
00:04:35.800
They got what Wade wanted. So I think the Republicans got 80%. I think the Dems got 20%.
00:04:41.020
And people like Dick Durbin got the unionized federal workers get their jobs back. And so
00:04:46.840
Got it. So here's a tweet. No more money, hundreds of billions of dollars to the Democratic-supported
00:04:51.100
insurance companies for really bad Obamacare. The money must now go directly to the people
00:04:54.640
taking the fat cat insurance companies out of the corrupt system of health care. The people
00:05:00.520
can buy their own much better policy, much less money, saving for themselves an absolute fortune,
00:05:06.340
President Donald J. Trump. And while this is going on, and while this is going on, Scott Jennings,
00:05:13.460
Rob, can you pull up the Scott Jennings clip where he's talking to Abby? And on that clip,
00:05:18.680
he... Do you know which one I'm talking about? I put it... I may have put it in the PVD podcast if
00:05:24.120
you want to look for it. And he's saying, look, you know, I mean, the reality of it is,
00:05:30.000
you guys got what you wanted, right? You know, you were able to... You were able to use this as
00:05:37.280
for the election. Yeah, I think... Yeah, there you go. You were able to use this for the election,
00:05:43.260
the special elections that was taking place. And watch how she answers this. Look at this. Go ahead, Rob.
00:05:47.740
Republicans going to use leverage in their fight with Democrats when the Democrats are actually
00:05:54.240
the ones with the upper hand in the eyes of voters. Well, I'm sure Democrats will be more
00:05:58.860
than happy to open the government now. The election's over. I mean, I mean, part of the reason they
00:06:03.140
shut it down was to get through tonight. I mean, I... And so I would suspect they'll be going to open it
00:06:07.400
up by the end of the week. Adam Schiff, he was like, hold the line. There's lots of rumors of people
00:06:12.160
wanting to open it. Look, I don't see what is the incentive for Democrats to back down when voters are
00:06:17.660
basically saying Trump's not doing enough. It's the Republicans' fault. And then they basically
00:06:21.600
handed the keys in the last election... In this past election to the Democrats. It's... Where's the
00:06:27.160
leverage? Again, these are blue states electing Democrats. Not a shock. Democrats clearly wanted
00:06:33.240
this shutdown to get through Election Day. I do think they are facing pressure from their internal
00:06:37.860
coalitions. The unions, the air traffic controllers, the government employee unions are desperate to get
00:06:43.200
the government back open. They're feeling a little bit of internal heat. But again, the election's now
00:06:47.460
over. I'm sure tomorrow morning, phones will start ringing, and it'll be open soon enough.
00:06:51.320
This was a political shutdown, and that's what they did, and now we're through the election.
00:06:56.260
So now, by the way, while this is going on, you know, Rob, Adam, I'm going to come to you.
00:07:01.940
I do want to show something, because what he said right there is, these were all blue states.
00:07:07.100
These were... Not this one, Rob. The other one, the one with the link. Not the one that goes to X,
00:07:12.960
That is showing what happens when they lose the special election.
00:07:16.820
Yeah. And then if you don't mind, Rob, go fast forward to...
00:07:21.560
Go, keep going, keep going, keep going. Go from right there. Go back a little bit.
00:07:24.800
Go back a little bit. When that starts, play from right there.
00:07:29.240
So now, is there any patterns to show what this means to midterms that's going to come up
00:07:36.320
in a year? And watch what Anton says here. And by the way, whether you like Anton or not,
00:07:41.740
he is fair, okay, when he's going through some of these numbers. So you can't just like him when
00:07:45.420
the polls are good for you, and then hate him when they're not. Watch this one here. Go ahead.
00:07:49.280
...do well. I mean, just take a look at the House special elections. Take a look here,
00:07:52.880
the 2025 House special elections. Look at those in which Democrats outran Kamala Harris.
00:07:57.360
There have been five House special elections so far this year in every single one of them
00:08:02.080
across the board. Virginia, Texas 18, that was on Tuesday night. Florida 6, Florida 1,
00:08:08.100
Arizona 7. From blue districts like Arizona 7 to red districts like Florida 1 and 6,
00:08:13.640
what we are seeing are clear shifts towards the Democratic candidates in all five of them.
00:08:20.080
And we're talking about shifts on average, Kate Baldwin, of about or north of 15 percentage
00:08:25.880
points from the 2024 presidential baseline, which is even larger than the shifts that we saw
00:08:32.280
in both Virginia and New Jersey on Tuesday night. And a million things can happen in the year
00:08:39.020
until the midterms. With that caveat, what are you seeing? A year is a very long period of time,
00:08:45.760
but you know we've spoken about this. I like going through history. What do these...
00:08:50.140
Watch this. Watch what magnesium does to your power. Watch what magnesium does right now.
00:08:53.680
This a joke, Robert? Magnesium guy. Magnesium bros? Stop it.
00:08:56.860
Your elections usually forecast for the year ahead for the midterm elections. Well, I mean,
00:09:01.540
we take a look at the House special elections, right? If a party outperforms in House special
00:09:05.620
elections five out of five times, what do we see? They've gone on to win the U.S. House the
00:09:10.600
following midterm every single time since the 2005-2006 cycle. So when you see,
00:09:16.360
of course, that the Democrats are outperforming in all of them, historically speaking, that means
00:09:20.520
they go on to win the U.S. House of Representatives in the following midterm. And then, yes,
00:09:25.520
New York, New Jersey, Virginia. Yes, there's a blue city in New York City. Yes, the blue states
00:09:30.380
in Virginia and New Jersey. But historically speaking, when you sweep all three, you go back
00:09:35.580
since the FDR... Tom, do you agree with him? Well, yeah. History is absolutely... He is accurately
00:09:41.920
recounting history. And what happens is the special elections here usually are not about the
00:09:48.320
candidates. If you go deeper into it, and I know exactly what he's talking about, and he
00:09:52.800
is faithfully showing it without spin, so hats off to Mr. Enten. The issue is there's usually
00:09:59.720
an overriding issue that goes beyond the candidates because all those candidates are different, yet
00:10:05.100
five out of five races move. Make sense? Yeah. So, wow, is this a candidate? So it also shows
00:10:10.520
that the down-ballot effect by Kamala Harris was actually negative, not positive. She had
00:10:16.880
a negative impact on the down-ballot races. In other words, she didn't help it at all. It's
00:10:20.560
like, stay out of my state. I'm running for myself. I don't need your help. I don't want
00:10:24.040
you here. Well, guess what? The issue right now, the number one issue, when you talk to all
00:10:29.380
the core voters, and Enten has talked about it, I've seen polls on it, is affordability.
00:10:34.760
That's the word. It's James Carville all over again. The core Americans is on affordability.
00:10:40.520
And the mainstream media really did a—it's terrible, it's capricious, but they did a pretty
00:10:48.400
good job of pushing economic down, economic down, economic down out there on the American people
00:10:54.980
and the American voter. And, and, and, and, you've got these angry women under 40. Adam's talked about
00:11:02.600
it. I've talked about it. The polls have talked about it. So those are the three things. Affordability
00:11:06.700
is a top issue. The movement of, of basically angry women under 40. And then you've got the
00:11:13.180
mainstream media that wouldn't get off economic topics. Got it. Adam thoughts. The ghost of
00:11:17.680
James Carville comes back. Got it. Adam. It's the economy, stupid. So this whole government
00:11:21.600
shutdown thing, to me, as you said, James Carville and the economy, stupid. To me, I don't even
00:11:27.160
call it a government shutdown. I cover, I call it a government showdown. Because I feel like
00:11:32.420
we've seen this, it's a Groundhog Day with, with our tax dollars. Every year, it's just every time
00:11:38.880
they do these government showdowns. It's the same thing. It's theater, it's politics. They waited
00:11:43.460
till Tuesday elections were done. And it, all it ends up being is a short-term fix. I'm so sick of
00:11:49.840
these short-term fixes. Every year, it's the same movies, showdown time, showdown time, continuing
00:11:55.480
resolution time. What are we going to do? Filibuster time. And it's actually just getting annoying at this
00:12:01.140
point. Can we get a long-term solution? So we stopped doing this every single year. We know
00:12:06.540
this movie. We've seen it every single time. We know what the government's not going to shut down
00:12:11.020
forever. And how many lives are affected when it shut down for 40 days? It only started moving the
00:12:16.940
needle after the election was over, one. And all of a sudden, everyday people are getting affected
00:12:22.400
because their flights are getting canceled. So unless it affects people, the politicians have no problem
00:12:28.560
basically playing chicken with your tax dollars. Once you start saying, dude, I just got my flight
00:12:33.720
canceled. Hey, buddy, I'm going to miss a meeting. Can we get this thing figured out? That's when
00:12:38.520
they'll start moving. Until then, they don't really give a crap because they're getting paid.
00:12:42.960
Of course they are. Politicians are getting paid. But the everyday workers are getting paid.
00:12:47.440
The old bill compared to the new bill is nothing. And the fact that I want Democrat voters to
00:12:53.100
understand that your missed paychecks, your flights, your snap, and all that, it's because
00:12:58.280
the left was using it as leverage so they look good during their runs with Virginia and all that
00:13:03.840
nonsense. And even The Hill did a piece that said, Democrat senators fear getting hammered after no
00:13:09.320
kings for ending government shutdown. They have nothing. And you know, just like remember with the
00:13:14.680
border bill, Tom, they were like, no, we're not going to give you what you want unless you give
00:13:18.560
you know, billions of dollars to Ukraine, billions of dollars here, billions of dollars to like
00:13:23.020
Israel and all these places. And it's like, bro, like what? I don't like this hostage stuff. I agree
00:13:27.160
with you 100%. It's actually a hostage negotiation. But Tom, right now, the Republicans have the House
00:13:33.420
and the Senate. I don't feel like they're doing enough to not only go after everybody that has been
00:13:38.400
screwing Trump and screwing us for the past, you know, eight years. They're not doing enough to put
00:13:42.720
stuff in place, Tom, that's going to last. You know what I mean? He makes a great point.
00:13:46.420
Every year, this is going to change. Every year, they're going to keep doing the same thing.
00:13:48.780
Well, this is our government. But I think you have to remember the fog of what happened in
00:13:52.240
the election is fogging over all the winds. Look at the winds that have been happening on
00:13:56.260
international trade deals. Look at the winds that have been happening on rare earth minerals.
00:14:00.280
Look at the winds that have been happening on energy drill, baby drill, and the cost of oil
00:14:04.240
and heating oil. When the Northeast Democrat voters have lower cost heating oil this winter,
00:14:08.980
I hope they remember who made that happen. I hope they remember that that was President
00:14:13.740
Trump keeping his promise to drill, baby drill, which translates to your fuel tank, to your
00:14:19.260
airline ticket cost, and to your heating oil. I think all these winds are getting covered
00:14:23.940
by the fog, and I think the administration needs to do a PR tour reminding us all of all
00:14:29.260
the good things that happened, while at the same time, they offer some concrete, you know,
00:14:34.340
dates behind all this $1.5 trillion coming in to build more jobs in America. When are
00:14:40.980
those jobs coming? And to get after affordability. And I think if the president should go on the
00:14:45.840
offense about this, he's got a lot of good stuff to talk about.
00:14:48.180
I do think the affordability is something that needs to be focused on.
00:14:53.420
Tomorrow's Veterans Day. And what we want to do for the veterans who are watching this,
00:14:59.080
we have a whole new series of merch for veterans. Rob, if you can zoom in into some of these
00:15:02.540
guys here, whether you're Army, we got an Army Future Looks Bright, we got go a little
00:15:08.300
bit lower, Rob, if you could. We got those hats with the Velcro, that right there, the
00:15:12.720
Army Future Looks Bright patch is insane. Go lower, Rob, you know, Air Force, Navy, keep
00:15:18.900
going, keep going, keep going. We got those green hats. Those green hats, they won't last
00:15:22.940
long. Every time we have those, they disappear. The one on the right, it's absolutely sick on
00:15:27.820
the front of it. It says Future Looks Bright. U.S. Armed Forces, Marines, keep going.
00:15:32.540
And then you have the USA hat. That's another one. It's one of our most, I think it's the
00:15:36.600
top five most reviewed hats of all time that you have right there. The USA with the, what
00:15:43.920
do you call it? Camouflage. Camouflage on there. Armed Forces in the middle with the
00:15:47.060
dog tag. Sick shirt. Keep going lower, Rob, keep going lower. And you got the Army
00:15:50.680
greens, the hats in the middle, and then go to the next one, that Angry Patriot shirt to
00:15:55.420
the right. Nice. You got a bunch of stuff here. And here's what it is. Go to vtmerch.com,
00:16:00.740
place your order. Use the code VETERAN for a discount. VETERAN for a discount. And 10% of
00:16:08.580
every purchase made will go to charities that are related to folks who are serving. And we
00:16:16.700
have a handful of them that we're working with. Trust me, we're very selective on who,
00:16:19.700
which one then we go through. 10% of whatever purchase is made will go to different charities
00:16:25.460
out there. And if you use the code VETERAN, you'll get a 10% discount as well. Some of
00:16:29.960
those items are, you know, limited supply that we ordered. So be sure to go out there
00:16:34.960
and place the order for yourself. And if it's not you, you have a friend that went to the
00:16:39.180
Air Force, the Army, the Marines, the Navy, you know, gift them something from this that
00:16:43.360
watches the podcast. Again, go to vtmerch.com, place your order using the discount VETERAN.
00:16:49.300
If you enjoyed this video, you want to watch more videos like this, click here. And if
00:16:52.620
you want to watch the entire podcast, click here.