Episode 348: US China Trade War Explained -Who Needs Who?
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Summary
Trump has banned any U.S. companies from working with Huawei, and their CFO, who happens to be the daughter of the CEO, got arrested in Canada. Why so much controversy over a simple smartphone? We re going to talk about that today.
Transcript
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30 seconds. One time for the underdog. Ignition sequence start.
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Let me see you put them up. Reach the sky, touch the stars up above.
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Cause it's one time for the underdog. One time for the underdog.
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I'm Patrick Bedevi, host of ITIM, and today we're going to talk about the Huawei ban,
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that cell phone company from China that sold 206 million phones,
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where Trump all of a sudden banned any U.S. companies from working with them,
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and their CFO Ming, who happens to be the daughter of the CEO, got arrested in Canada.
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Why so much controversy over a simple smartphone? We're going to talk about that today.
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First, I'm going to talk about nine reasons why they were banned.
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Then we're going to talk about their numbers. Then we're going to talk about 5G.
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Then timeline of what took place with Huawei from 1987 to today.
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So having said that, let's get into nine reasons.
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Is China using Huawei to spy on U.S. and other countries?
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Is this U.S.'s way of protecting their golden child of Apple,
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which has caused Tim Cook and Donald Trump to become texting terms today?
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They're best friends because Tim Cook just met with Donald Trump on June 13th, on Thursday,
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Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, everybody uses their phones.
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I would much rather have Apple win than Huawei win.
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Could it be Iran violating the U.S. sanctions because of what happened in China with the CFO?
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Is it 5G? Is it first? Is it who gets 5G first?
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This is our way of the CIA, the NSA, and the FBI preventing us of somebody else,
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a major empire that went from being top 10 to now being top in the second place
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and wants to be the most dominant empire worldwide.
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This is our way of saying, hey, you cannot come and find out what we're doing here.
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Stealing trade secrets, similar to going back to Made in China 2025 plan,
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which is any company that wants to do business in China,
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So before we get into some of these topics, let's look at numbers.
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2018, Apple sold 208.8 million, which is roughly 15% of market share.
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Huawei sold 206 million phones, which is 14.7%.
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And many people watching this, you've never heard of Huawei before.
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When your competition is down 3.2% and your competition is down 8%.
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So when I looked at this, I said, okay, 206 million phones they sold.
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The U.S. government bans any U.S. companies of doing business with Huawei.
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Are they so much in U.S. that this gives them a hard time to do business?
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Which made them 26.4% of all China market share.
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You notice Apple's down 11% and Huawei's up about 15, 16%.
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So if they sold 105 million phones, Huawei, in China alone, and total is 206, what percentage
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Which means 51% of their phone sales is strictly in China.
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So I know the U.S. banned, U.S. companies of doing business with Huawei, but 51% is in
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business they're doing is in China and 49% is outside of China.
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Out of Apple's 208 million phones, 36 million was sold in China, which is 17%.
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U.S. government banned U.S. companies from doing business with Huawei.
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Huawei, what would happen if China said, listen, this whole tariff thing is getting a little
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We are going to ban Chinese companies from doing business with Apple.
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Because iPhone users, there are actively 900 million iPhone users worldwide, according
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Out of the 900 million active, 300 million is coming out of China.
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Out of 900 million active iPhone users, 300 million is coming from China.
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That's going to be a very big hit if China decided to turn it around on them.
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This is one of the reasons why Tim Cook and Trump are meeting together so regularly, because
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if all of a sudden China makes a decision like that, that's like a tariff on steroids against
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So it's very fickle right now if this doesn't take place here, and they figure out a resolution.
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And in 2018, obviously, they sold 206 million phones.
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Their total revenues in 2018 was $108.5 billion.
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And if you look at the total numbers of phones sold, it's 780 million phones sold during that
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So now you look at this and say, wow, it's pretty impressive.
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I mean, this is good stuff, but what do they do differently?
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Watch the amount of money they put into R&D, research and development.
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Huawei, $108 billion revenues, put $15.4 billion.
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Out of their 188,000 employees that they have, 75,000 of their employees strictly focus on R&D.
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So after a while, we have Samsung 16.7, then Alphabet 21, then Amazon at the top with $28.8 billion into R&D.
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So you look at all this stuff, you know, okay, I mean, I get it, good products.
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They can't really do business in the U.S. right now.
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February of 2019, this is what President Trump tweeted.
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I want 5G and even 6G technology in the United States as soon as possible.
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It is far more powerful, faster, and smarter than the current standard.
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Here, American companies must step up their efforts or get left behind.
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There is no reason that we should be lagging behind on something that is so obviously the future.
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I want the United States to win through competition, not by blocking out currently more advanced technologies.
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We must always be the leader in everything we do, especially when it comes to the very exciting world of technology.
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Go back to, I want the United States to win through competition, not by blocking out currently more advanced technologies.
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I mean, isn't it banning Huawei actually banning a better technology that's coming into the U.S.?
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2G was the old Nokia phones and a few other phones that were 2G.
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If you wanted to download a 2-hour movie on a 3G phone, it would take you 26 hours.
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If you wanted to download a 2-hour movie on a 4G phone, it would take you 6 minutes.
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But if you want to download a 2-hour movie on a 5G phone, it'll take you 3.6 seconds.
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5G is about a lot of different technology they're going to be using for.
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Surveillance, cars, GPS, mapping, technology, internet, faster internet.
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Oh, so many different things they're going to be using with this.
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When the race was taking place for 4G, U.S. got it.
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And everybody said, oh my gosh, U.S. won the race for 4G.
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Let me tell you what the race for 5G is, whoever wins it.
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Whoever wins the race to 5G, it is 3 million jobs added to U.S. economy.
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And it's $500 billion added to the top-line revenue, GDP.
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The race for 5G, China is already testing their 5G technology.
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And they are projecting that they will be done by 2020.
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They'll be the first country to be done with 5G.
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Everybody else, U.S., Japan, South Korea, EU, everybody else is projected to finish by 2025.
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This is a scary thought, by the way, if they finish by 2025.
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That's a long time for that to be taking place.
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So if they win the contract for 5G, they can go out there and give it to 57 different countries
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and say, we're not giving it to U.S., but we're giving it to these other countries.
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So China eventually can catch up by 2025 and pass U.S. and be the dominant empire worldwide.
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That's a message they made when the Olympics was in China and they did the most amazing opening show.
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They want America to know we can compete with you.
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This is very, very competitive right now, right?
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And by the way, for some of you guys that use AT&T in the U.S., you may say,
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but my phone says 5GE, that's AT&T, just changing the name of LTE to 5GE.
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It's really a 4G, but they just changed the name to 5G for people to say,
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You can go research and look it up for yourself, which is brilliant, by the way,
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but it's not really brilliant because it's not 5G.
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So now, this is all the stuff we're looking at, the 5G issue.
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Let's look at the timeline of how this whole thing took place and how we got here.
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Huawei got started back in 1987 by the founder, Ren Zhengfei,
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which, by the way, he used to be part of the Chinese military,
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and he openly talks about the fact that he supports the Communist Party.
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So in December of 2001, Indian intelligence accused Huawei of aiding Taliban.
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They're already having issues with an intelligence community of India.
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In 2003, Cisco decides to sue Huawei for unlawfully copying intellectual property.
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This is something they've been accused of many times, but the first one goes back to 2003.
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Then in October of 2007, Bush administration warned on Huawei 3Com deal.
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So eventually, after a couple years, I think 3Com ends up doing the deal with Hewlett Packard,
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Okay, this next one's a little bit weird and interesting at the same time.
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October of 2010, former UK intelligence boss Andrew Hopkins joins Huawei.
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This guy's got 40 years plus experience in intelligence worldwide.
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Why are they trying to get into the UK information?
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Or maybe you got access to certain information that can help Huawei.
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March 2012, Huawei banned from Australian National Broadband Network.
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September of 2012, David Cameron brokers a 1.2 billion pound deal with Huawei.
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Maybe they're just doing something because they want the technology to be stronger in the UK.
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But 1.2 billion UK after the head of intelligence.
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July of 2013, former CIA head, Michael Hayden, slams Huawei publicly.
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Saying this is not a company anybody should trust.
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March 2017, WikiLeaks Vault 7 release feature Huawei backdoors.
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This is when people started seeing some things with CIA and saying, wait a minute.
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Maybe all these accusations that people are making is accurate.
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February 2018, director of CIA, NSA, and FBI warned U.S. citizens against using any Huawei products.
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Okay, so now this is when it starts getting interesting.
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April 2018, America alleges possible Iran sanction violation from Huawei.
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This is when, you know, when U.S. has a sanction against Iran.
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That means you cannot do business with Iran and do business with U.S.
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But they were trying to kind of go around and figure out a different creative way of a subsidiary company to use,
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May 2018, Pentagon bans Huawei ZTE devices from military base.
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Okay, so now this is when things start getting ugly.
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December of 2018, the CFO of Huawei, Meng Wenjou, which is also the daughter of Ren, the founder of Huawei,
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Well, because for the longest time, U.S. was trying to get her.
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And finally, U.S. calls on Canada and says, you've got to arrest her.
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Because they were using, potentially, allegedly, they were using a company called Skycom,
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They say it's not, but it's a subsidiary of Huawei.
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They were using Skycom to do business with Iran.
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So this causes the chairman of Huawei in January 2019 to say the following.
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Is he insinuating that the 5G is going to be so strong that even U.S. has to figure out a way to do business with us?
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And in May 15, 2019, Trump signs the executive order banning any U.S. company of doing business with Huawei.
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And that's what brings us to where we are today.
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You've been given so much different information.
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You're sitting here saying, holy moly, I had no idea this was taking place with Huawei.
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You may say, well, Pat, you mean to tell me people are spying on us?
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Would you rather have China spy on you or would you rather have U.S. spy on you?
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If you use Huawei phones in U.S., maybe China has the ability to spy on you.
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Or if you use an Apple phone, are you okay with Apple being able to spy on you?
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Somebody says, there's no way in the world that can do that.
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There's a reason why people put Band-Aids on their cameras of their computers.
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Or are we more receptive to being spied on today?
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If you try to figure that part out, you're going to start watching conspiracy theory movies.
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And all of a sudden, you know, start having nightmares that night.
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Not sleeping and sweating all night long, right?
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Would you rather have a private corporation spy on you or a government spy on you?
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If a private corporation spies on you, they do it all the time on Facebook, how do they
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They're simply spying on you to get more money out of you.
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But if a government spies on you, what do they spy on you for?
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I mean, these smartphones that we have, these Fitbits we put on, isn't it like a device
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So the point I'm trying to make to you is the following.
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Spying, if you go to the rabbit hole of spying, you're going to go so in too deep, you're
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going to get more scared about what could happen to you.
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But let me talk to you about what I really think is taking place and what I think the
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president, the administration, Tim Cook, and these companies need to be focused on today,
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China gets 5G in 2020, and say they give it to 57 different countries and not U.S., and
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And what if they say, we don't want to do anything.
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And all of a sudden, other countries in Europe, South America, start contacting them to do
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business with Huawei because they got 5G and they brokered deals, kind of like the Prime
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Minister, David Cameron, brokered a deal of 1.2 billion pounds with Huawei.
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What if all of a sudden, everybody has 5G, everybody has incredible technology, and U.S.'s
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What if they go to every one of these guys, EU, South Korea, Japan, and they do it with
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When you're raising money and you deal with investors, here's what takes place.
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You, the entrepreneur, the owner, the shareholder, the investor comes in, you have 20 different
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No, okay, I'll give you this equity less, but I want to get dividends on the 20 million
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That's too much dividends because it adds up to this.
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And you, the investor, or you, the entrepreneur, have to decide which one you want to give up.
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U.S. is not in a power position with everything.
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So President Trump, his administration, with all the advisors, Tim Cook, they all have to
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sit down and figure out what they're willing to give up and what they're not willing to
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Because if they just go and say, I want all of it, it may crack 20, 30%.
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Because they have something that U.S. doesn't have.
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So the tariffs, you want to put 25% on this, 25% on this.
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But we've got to sit in a room and lay all these things out.
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And U.S. has got to say to them, here's what we're doing.
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I'll cut the tariffs, but you've got to give me 100% of the 5G license to U.S.
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That's the negotiation of getting 5G to five years.
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They've got to figure out a way to get this technology.
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It's going to be interesting who wins this battle.
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And they have the leverage on having a population of 1.5 billion people.
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Where Tim Cook is saying, I'm going to make the iPhone cheaper in China so I can compete with them.
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And I hope all the brains can come together and figure this part out.
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