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Valuetainment
- March 18, 2020
Episode 443: US Election System Explained - Valuetainment Podcast
Episode Stats
Length
22 minutes
Words per Minute
200.6262
Word Count
4,464
Sentence Count
281
Misogynist Sentences
5
Summary
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.
Transcript
Transcript is generated with
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).
Misogyny classification is done with
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.
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30 seconds.
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Did you ever think you would make it?
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I feel I'm so close I could take sweet victory.
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I know this life meant for me.
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Yeah, why would you bet on Goliath when we got Bet David?
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Valuetainment, giving value is contagious.
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This world of entrepreneurs, we get no value to haters.
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Now they run, homie, look what I become.
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I'm the one.
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This is Patrick, man, David, host of Valuetainment.
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Today we're going to talk about the U.S. election system.
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You know, you hear all this stuff about delegates, gerrymandering.
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You hear all this stuff about, you know, how they have the caucuses.
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How does all this stuff work?
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You ought to know about it before you vote a president, right?
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We're going to talk about it today and probably have some fun with it as well.
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11 steps on how to become a president.
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You decide, I want to be a president.
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What is a step on becoming a president?
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Number one, you got to qualify.
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35 years old, natural born citizen, lived in U.S. for at least 14 years.
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Step number two, have a clear message.
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Step number three, you need to fill out the form, FEC Form 2, which you can go to fec.gov
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to fill that out.
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And you need to show that you've spent $5,000 on your campaign, or you've raised $5,000 on
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your campaign.
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Step number four is get on the ballots in your states.
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Then number five, build a campaign team.
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Start raising money.
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Then participate in debates.
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Then show up in polls.
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Then convert non-believers.
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Then get indoors.
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Write a book.
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And last but not least, step number 11, you got to maneuver, pivot, embrace all attacks,
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because everybody's going to attack you from so many different angles.
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And if your message is solid, if you raise a lot of money, if you got good following,
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if you got good endorsement, if you got a way of telling your story good, and you're
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good at handling all the attacks, then maybe you got a shot.
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And you'll have to go through getting your delegates.
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Then you'll get your 270 electoral votes to become a president.
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So before we get into that, let's go through the timeline of this election, 2020 election.
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And we'll go all the way back to the day President Trump gives this inauguration speech, which
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I believe is January 20th of 2017.
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So just to kind of give you ideas on what things take place.
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So that happens, 2017, November 6th.
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Andrew Yang is the first one that comes out and says, look, I'm going to run for office
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and I'll be a president.
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Then January 25th, 2019, RNC unofficially endorses Trump.
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First mass rally for Trump in El Paso.
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Then Bernie Sanders gets into it on February 19th.
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April 25th, Biden announces it.
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June 18th, Trump kicks off his rally in Orlando.
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June 26th and 27th was the first Democratic debate that took place in Miami.
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And they had two batches.
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It was the lower ranking candidates first went on the first one, which wasn't that big.
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Then you have the second one, which is the Sanders, the bigger names, the Bidens who are
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on the stage.
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And they kind of set it up that way.
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And the guys from the second are trying to get to the main stage.
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And then September 12th was the third debate, Texas.
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And then October 15th, they did a fourth debate in Ohio.
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November 20th, they did the next debate in Atlanta.
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November 24th was Bloomberg announced.
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He's running now.
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And Bloomberg didn't show up on a public stage.
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He didn't debate.
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You don't hear him give a lot of speeches.
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It's a lot of money.
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He's got $60 billion, but owning Bloomberg.
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So he can do all these Super Bowl ads and $2 and $5, $6 million means nothing.
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He can spend $10 billion.
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He won't even feel it if he wanted to, but he's hoping for a brokered convention, which
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we'll talk about here in a minute.
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And then the sixth debate happens in L.A.
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And then you have January 14th, which is a seventh debate in Iowa, leading to February
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3rd, the Iowa caucuses, which Iowa caucuses, it's not really a big meaning, like people
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are going to identify, like this person is going to win if you want Iowa.
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But the whole purpose of Iowa is to create momentum.
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So they go there and people are trying to win delegates.
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These candidates are working for that.
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And then February 7th is the 8th debate in New Hampshire, because New Hampshire is the
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original first primary, which is February 11th.
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February 19th is the 9th debate.
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February 22nd is Nevada caucuses.
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And then you have Super Tuesday, March 3rd, which we'll talk about what March 3rd is.
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It's a very, very big day because it falls into the second phase of these candidates trying
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to win delegates.
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Next, you have July 13th to the 16th, which is the actual DNC.
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That's the Democratic National Convention.
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This is when we find out who the Democratic nominee is going to be.
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It's the epic moment where somebody goes up and says, I accept the nomination.
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And then balloons drop, confetti goes craziness.
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And also at the same time, this is a place where maybe there's a brokered convention.
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And a brokered convention, things get different.
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It's very heated.
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And we'll talk about that here in a minute as well.
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And typically about these Democratic National Convention and Republican National Convention,
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if a Republican is in office right now, was the last one who won and left office, Democrats
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go first.
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Then it's Republicans.
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But if a president's in office that's a Democrat, Barack Obama, Republican National Convention
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goes first.
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Then it's the Democratic National Convention to find out who's who.
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So then you've got the Republican National Convention right after that, which will be August 24th
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to the 26th.
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Then it starts.
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Now we know who's going to be facing off Trump.
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So then September 29th will be the first presidential debate at the University of Notre Dame, Indiana.
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October 7th will be the VP debate in Utah.
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Some say it doesn't matter at all.
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Some say it does.
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It's interesting on who they choose as their VP.
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Then October 15th will be the second debate that'll take place in Michigan.
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Then they'll have the third debate that'll take place in Belmont University of Nashville,
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Tennessee.
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Then it's election day, November 3rd.
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Then after that, you've got all these other electorals got to get together and put it together.
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And then January 6th, the votes are finally formally counted and it's official.
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And then January 20th, 2021, whoever's the president will be given an inauguration speech.
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So now you kind of have some of the steps and some of the dates that we've gone through,
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right?
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Now let's get into the numbers on what the formula is and what the method to the madness
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is and the science behind this.
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By the way, there's a lot of predictive analytics, guys, that are being hired right now on campaigns
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because it's all a formula on how this works out.
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So the road to 270, that's how you become a president once you're nominated.
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The road to 270 and the 270 numbers of 538 electoral votes that you have.
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Of that 538, 100 are senators, two senators per state.
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Then you have 435 House of Representatives and three from D.C. makes up 538 and that's
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your Congress, okay?
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So to win this, you first got to win delegates.
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By the way, this whole electoral votes, the reason why we have the system the way that
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we have, which is you saw President Trump, you constantly hear people saying, well, Hillary
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won the majority votes, but Trump won the electoral, right?
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There's only been five times where the person who won and became a president won electoral
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but didn't win majority.
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Trump is one of them, Bush is another one, Harris is another one, Rutherford Hayes is another
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one, and John Quincy Adams is another one.
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There's only happened five times.
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Those are the five times that's happened with, right?
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So that's the numbers that you have, but before going into the electoral, you got to kind
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of look at some of the states.
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At the top, it's California with 55.
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So then you see Texas, 38, and Florida, 29, and New York, and you can pretty much look
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at this list to see the highest as California and the lowest as many states tied with three,
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you know, Dakota, Alaska, Wyoming, Vermont, you know, Montana, those are three.
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But this is the key part to think about, the difference between the electoral and the majority.
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If becoming a president was all about the majority, then you would just go to a handful
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of states.
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You'd go to California, New York, Texas, you know, you'd be going to some of these, Florida,
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now, that'd be your main focus.
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But the way they set it up is in a way where some states are pretty much, no matter what,
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going to be voting Democratic, and some states are, no matter what, going to be voting Republican,
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which is why they call it the red state or blue state, and then you got the purple state,
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which we'll talk about red state and blue state.
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This started back in the 80s, okay?
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Back in the 80s, when ABC, CBS, and NBC started going and talking about colors with states,
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back then, believe it or not, the only channel that had it right from day one, that stuck
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to it, was ABC.
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They put Democrats as blue, Republicans as red, and they've always been that way.
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But originally, CBS had Democrats as red, Republicans as blue, so did NBC, then immediately CBS
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and the next election changed, and then eventually in 1992, NBC was still looking at Democrats as
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red, Republicans as blue, then in 1996, they were all on the same page, red and blue, that's
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where you hear about the red states and the blue states.
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So, the red states, Republican, blue states, Democrats, right?
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You hear about this kind of stuff typically, red and blue, okay?
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So, you'll see a lot of times, president election, you'll see, they'll wear a blue tie,
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Barack Obama wears blue ties all the time, he's trying to say, I'm a Democrat.
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You'll see Republicans wear a red tie, they're trying to say, I'm a Republican, right?
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So, then you have the swing states, swing states are kind of like purple, because they're red
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and blue, and these are the ones that you'll see a lot of times strategically, they'll campaign
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over, so that's Florida, that's Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, North Carolina, Virginia, Minnesota,
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you know, you got Wisconsin, you got Colorado, you got a few, I think it's like 13 of them
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that you're fighting for, to see who gets what.
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And they can go right, they can go left, so you can win those states.
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So, this is why I kept hearing about Trump, kept going to Ohio, kept going to Pennsylvania,
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and, you know, Hillary didn't really go to Ohio, didn't really go to Michigan, and she
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wasn't really spending a lot of time, because they thought for sure they're going to win
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it, and they didn't, but Trump kept going, boom, boom, I'm here, I'm here, and that's
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how he got his 300, and I don't know what the number is, 313 to 236, some number like that
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that happened when he came to electorals, right?
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So, that's the electorals.
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Now, let's talk about delegates, okay?
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This is what stuff gets a little technical, a little crazy, so Brace, stay with me here,
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because you'll get it by the time we go through this together.
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So, think about it this way, before you win your 270 electoral votes, right, to become
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a president, you got to go and win states, and you're fighting for some of the swing states,
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but within the state, when you break down the state, they have delegates, Republican and
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Democratic delegates, that you got to win the delegate votes, right?
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And to win those, these break down into districts, it's not as simple, it could be counties, and
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they draw them up, and they change them up, and that's when it gets a little bit technical,
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but I want to simplify it for you on how this works.
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So, selection process to pick your candidate.
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There's primary, there's caucuses.
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Primary is what?
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It's typically how the system works, you know, you go and you vote, and they count all the
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ballots, they count all the votes, and then boom, this person wins this place.
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Caucuses are different, because caucuses are the old system.
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This is why you notice Iowa was having all these problems with the way they had their app,
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and, oh my gosh, it's complicated, because that's how America was originally, they would
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go to these caucuses, and here's how caucuses work.
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It's not primary where everybody's voting.
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They go in a room, and these delegates start debating with each other, and they go into groups.
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Oh, we're over here for Sanders.
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No, we're over here for Biden.
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No, we're over here for Buttigieg.
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We're over here for this, and they're talking, da-da-da-da-da-da-da-da, and they're going
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back and forth, they're raising their hands, they're voting this way.
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It's very, very old school, meaning it's eventually going to be all primary, but today we still
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have the caucuses, and it's not that many states, by the way.
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You're only dealing with 13 or something amount of states that you're working with as caucuses,
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right?
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So primary caucuses, so Alaska, Colorado, Hawaii, Kansas, Maine, Minnesota, Nevada, North Dakota,
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Wyoming, Iowa, are caucuses that we're dealing with, right?
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So now let's talk about a delegate.
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What is a delegate?
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A delegate is an authorized person to represent others, in particular, an elected representative
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sent to a conference.
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That's what you call a delegate.
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So now, how does one become a delegate?
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A delegate must be a registered voter, 18 years old, and resident of a state or district.
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And there's two different types of delegates.
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There's the established party insider, or it's the politician themselves.
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So it could actually be, you'll hear when we go through them, mayor, it could be a senator,
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it could be a congressman, it could be a lot of different things, but it could be an insider,
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or it could be somebody that's a politician themselves.
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How are they chosen?
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By voters, by the party, or by the presidential candidate?
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Very simple.
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By voters, by party, or by presidential candidates.
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Now when we continue here, you'll hear some states work a little bit differently, which
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means, you know, some states will have a little bit more diversity attitude.
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Wisconsin will say, we want 12 of our delegates to be African Americans, and we want 12 to be
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from LGBT community.
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No problem.
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Florida may say we want to have to be men, have to be women.
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Some of them are going to have their own things, but that's kind of how they choose their delegates.
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So now, the one part you need to know about delegates, it's not you go in a state and you
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win, you know, 17 of the delegates, and then the other 13 goes to somebody else.
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Maybe you're Sanders, you win 17, 13 goes to Warren.
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I'm just giving you an example here.
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The way delegates work is, majority takes all.
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So, meaning, if it's 17, that entire state's delegates beats their 13, all of it goes to
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the same person, even though those 13 don't agree that Sanders is their candidate, okay?
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They still have to go to them because that's how the system works for delegates, except
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for two states, which is Maine and Nebraska.
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Maine and Nebraska could be three goes to a candidate and two goes to somebody else.
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Three goes to one place, one goes here, and one goes here.
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They'll break it down, Maine and Nebraska, everywhere else, winner takes all.
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That's how the delegates work for this phase, unless if it's a brokered convention, then
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things change.
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Stay with me here.
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So now, the number to win, here's what we had, 2016, 2017.
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The numbers change, so the amount of delegates we have today are not the same as we had in
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2016.
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In 2016, the Democratic delegate was a total of 4,707.
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Today, it's 4,750.
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So the magical number to win delegates is 2,376 on the second ballot, if there is a brokered
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convention, but the magical number is 1991 on the first ballot.
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Whoever gets to 1991, that's pretty much going to be the nominee, and they don't need to go
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to second phase, which is part of the brokered convention that we have.
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So you may say, Pat, what is first ballot?
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What's second ballot?
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Well, first ballot doesn't include superdelegates, because there's 3,979 Democratic delegates,
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and there's 771 superdelegates, but we may not need to go into superdelegates.
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And remember, the delegates, it's winner takes all.
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So you may not like a candidate, and they have to go to that person anyways, but the superdelegates
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don't play by those rules.
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They're unpledged, which means they're not committed to an individual candidate.
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They can choose to go to a completely different direction if they want to, but not the pledge.
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The unpledged are not committed.
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The pledged delegates are committed.
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So for example, somebody may say, how do I become a superdelegate?
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Who is a superdelegate?
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It's all Democratic governors, senators, House of Representatives.
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They are superdelegates.
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Number two, being a DNC member, which there's 20 ways of becoming a DNC member, I'm not going
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to get into it.
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That's another way of being a superdelegate.
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And last but not least, is the distinguished member of the party, which I think right now
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it's 20.
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It's typically less than 20.
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This one I think is 22.
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A President, Barack Obama, is a superdelegate, right?
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A Speaker of the House is a superdelegate because they are more at the top, and they kind of
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have protection of the party, so they're going to look at it and say, this is the direction
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we want to go to.
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This is why you saw last time, when Bernie was going against Hillary, it was a close race,
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1850 to 1819, I don't, but some number like that, and then all of a sudden, when it came
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to superdelegates, 90% of superdelegates were for Hillary, it was Overwood, which means
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she had the establishment, Bernie didn't, okay?
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So Hillary became the nominee, while Bernie was still close to it.
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So it's going to change this time, because there's a lot of different things, and you
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keep hearing about the Brokered Convention, that's why Bloomberg got in the race, and
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Bloomberg's got all the money in the world, and he's hoping for a Brokered Convention.
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A Brokered Convention is when no one, no one candidate gets all the delegate votes.
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When no one candidate gets it, then it's a Brokered Convention.
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When it's a Brokered Convention, this is what happens.
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So there's going to be, by the way, the last time we had a Brokered Convention was 1948.
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I want to say it's Dewey and Truman.
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Dewey and Truman was the last time we had a Brokered Convention in 1948.
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And so what happens the following, so you'll have all these delegates that are there, and
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they're like, no, I'm for Biden, no, I'm for Sanders, no, I'm for Buttigieg, no, I'm
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for, you know, such and such, no, I'm for this person.
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And they start recruiting each other and selling each other.
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Look, your person's not going to win.
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You've got to come over here to us.
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I'm just telling you, there's no chance your person's going to win.
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Come over here.
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If you do, we can help your person become the speaker.
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We can help your person become this.
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We can help your person become secular.
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We can help your person, maybe a VP.
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And then they start talking to one another, almost like negotiating with each other.
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Then eventually, by this is done, they get somebody that becomes a nominee.
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And then they announce, okay, after the brokered convention, we figured out who our person's
00:16:44.940
going to be.
00:16:45.600
In 1948, when it was brokered, it became Dewey.
00:16:49.640
And then Dewey ends up going up and running against Truman, right?
00:16:54.480
And then that's when you saw the newspaper comes out and says, oh, Dewey wins.
00:16:57.500
And then Truman's holding him and saying, no, he didn't really win.
00:16:59.720
I really won.
00:17:00.300
That's 1948, the last time we had a brokered convention.
00:17:02.380
Listen, chances are against it, odds are against it, because most likely Sanders is looking
00:17:08.940
right now that he could win, even though Pete's got some momentum right now at the beginning.
00:17:12.060
But we'll see what happens.
00:17:12.780
So that, in a nutshell, is how this madness takes place on how they become president.
00:17:21.340
By the way, there's three phases of voting.
00:17:24.000
Phase one is what happens with the early states.
00:17:26.980
It's four states, which is Iowa, which is New Hampshire, which is Nevada, and South Carolina.
00:17:31.980
This only totals up 155 of the delegates, 4% of all the delegates.
00:17:37.140
Now, phase two is slightly different, because it's not 150, but a lot more is on the line.
00:17:41.360
This is when Super Tuesday happens.
00:17:43.580
And Super Tuesday typically falls on the first Tuesday of March, following a Monday.
00:17:48.600
So it can't be the first Tuesday, and it's the first March 1st.
00:17:52.760
It would be March 8th.
00:17:54.600
It has to be a Monday, then there's a Tuesday, it's a Super Tuesday, right?
00:17:58.040
And the race here is for a mid-March contest, and a lot's on the line, by the way.
00:18:01.900
You're talking about 14 states.
00:18:04.200
First part of the Super Tuesday's got 1,344 delegates for grabs.
00:18:09.380
Then the mid-March contest is 11 more states.
00:18:12.740
By the time this is over with, it's 61% of all the delegates have been accounted for.
00:18:17.760
Just so you know that.
00:18:18.980
61% of the 3,979 have already been accounted for.
00:18:24.240
So that's phase two.
00:18:25.000
And then phase three is the final one, which is a slug.
00:18:27.200
This is between March 18th to June 6th.
00:18:30.300
You're going to get the remaining 39%.
00:18:31.800
I think April 28th ends up becoming the biggest day, because that's New York and Pennsylvania.
00:18:36.560
And at this point of the game, people pretty much know who it's going to be.
00:18:40.000
You know, typically at this point of the game, people pretty much kind of have an idea.
00:18:42.800
Yeah, it's going to be this person as the winner, or that person as the winner.
00:18:46.480
And then the momentum's being built to the Democratic National Convention, and you're
00:18:49.860
already seeing the Republican candidates start taking shots.
00:18:53.000
Whoever Trump goes after the most, just remember this, whoever President Trump goes after the
00:18:58.460
most, that's pretty much a candidate.
00:18:59.600
Just keep that part in mind.
00:19:00.720
If he's going after Sanders, it's him.
00:19:02.880
If he's going after Warren, it's him.
00:19:05.020
If he's going over Biden or Pooh, it's them.
00:19:07.720
And by the way, he may also have somebody that he wants to win because he would prefer
00:19:12.660
to face.
00:19:13.840
So he may campaign for that person in the weirdest way, which is very, very, remember
00:19:19.180
how I talked about the pivoting, the mover, the embracing, the conflict.
00:19:22.660
You may all of a sudden see President Trump start protecting Sanders or protecting certain
00:19:26.040
people.
00:19:26.440
It's like, why is he doing this?
00:19:27.620
Because he wants to go against this person more than he wants to go against another person.
00:19:31.200
Again, that's another strategy, will you see, with politics.
00:19:33.960
By the way, there's a lot of people that, you know, some people are like, oh, I can't wait
00:19:37.400
for Super Bowl, fantasy football.
00:19:39.160
Football, some people are NBA people, MLB people, hockey people, soccer, World Cup,
00:19:43.360
all this other stuff.
00:19:44.360
There are certain people that during this season, when the election happens, this is
00:19:49.540
their sports.
00:19:50.700
This is their own fantasy.
00:19:52.320
This is their own how they score with the delegates and who's going to win this state
00:19:56.080
and that state.
00:19:57.000
I mean, some crazy stuff happens with people that are into politics.
00:19:59.880
This one obviously matters a lot, even though you had a lot of the Wall Street guys out of
00:20:04.120
New York that said, privately, in private meetings, I had some recent meetings with
00:20:08.520
Goldman Sachs and some different economists, and you hear a lot of people talking about
00:20:12.000
the fact that if Sanders and Warren are the lead for the Democratic national, on the Democratic
00:20:19.320
side, they're not going to support him.
00:20:21.000
They're going to support Trump.
00:20:22.100
These are Democratic Wall Street people.
00:20:24.520
They're going to go to Trump because they're seeing what the economy's doing right now.
00:20:27.460
And you're hearing about Warren and Sanders.
00:20:29.100
They want to raise taxes, you know, $60 trillion, Medicare, all this stuff, and they don't have
00:20:33.400
a clue on how they're explaining to pay this stuff.
00:20:36.220
And the finance guys in New York are not very comfortable with it.
00:20:39.600
They're comfortable with a broker convention and a Bloomberg going in, or possibly Joe Biden,
00:20:44.540
although Joe Biden's having a hard time creating momentum.
00:20:46.560
So it's going to be very, very, very interesting.
00:20:50.280
If you want like a pay-per-view match of two people going at it, Bloomberg against Trump,
00:20:56.440
oh my gosh, it'd be epic if that takes place.
00:20:59.740
This is when you hear Bloomberg, you know, they're talking about if they face each other,
00:21:04.140
it'll be two billionaires going up against each other, and Bloomberg tweets out, who's
00:21:07.860
the other billionaire?
00:21:08.920
That's the kind of heated New York mayor, real estate, feuds.
00:21:13.420
It'll be pay-per-view type of stuff.
00:21:15.160
It'll be the debates that no one, if Bloomberg goes against Trump, no one's going to miss
00:21:19.960
these debates.
00:21:20.540
Thanks, everybody, for listening.
00:21:22.080
And by the way, if you haven't already subscribed to Valuetainment on iTunes, please do so.
00:21:26.640
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00:21:28.040
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00:21:29.540
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00:21:35.480
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00:21:37.400
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00:21:42.240
With that being said, have a great day today.
00:21:44.040
Take care, everybody.
00:21:44.780
Bye-bye.
00:21:45.040
Bye-bye.
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