Valuetainment - March 18, 2020


Episode 443： US Election System Explained - Valuetainment Podcast


Episode Stats


Length

22 minutes

Words per minute

200.6262

Word count

4,464

Sentence count

281

Harmful content

Misogyny

5

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

11 Steps to become a President: How to run for President in 2020 by the 2020 Democratic Primary Candidates. 1) Qualify 2) Have a clear message 3) Have to show that you ve spent $5,000 on your campaign 4) Get on the ballot in your states 5) Build a campaign team 6) Show up in debates 7) Write a book 8) Pivote 9) Advertise 10) Move to the center 11) Handle Attacks

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
00:00:00.000 30 seconds.
00:00:01.860 Did you ever think you would make it?
00:00:04.240 I feel I'm so close I could take sweet victory.
00:00:07.640 I know this life meant for me.
00:00:10.780 Yeah, why would you bet on Goliath when we got Bet David?
00:00:14.600 Valuetainment, giving value is contagious.
00:00:16.440 This world of entrepreneurs, we get no value to haters.
00:00:19.160 Now they run, homie, look what I become.
00:00:21.400 I'm the one.
00:00:22.500 This is Patrick, man, David, host of Valuetainment.
00:00:24.140 Today we're going to talk about the U.S. election system.
00:00:26.720 You know, you hear all this stuff about delegates, gerrymandering.
00:00:30.100 You hear all this stuff about, you know, how they have the caucuses.
00:00:33.140 How does all this stuff work?
00:00:34.720 You ought to know about it before you vote a president, right?
00:00:37.380 We're going to talk about it today and probably have some fun with it as well.
00:00:40.660 11 steps on how to become a president.
00:00:42.800 You decide, I want to be a president.
00:00:44.300 What is a step on becoming a president?
00:00:45.820 Number one, you got to qualify.
00:00:47.540 35 years old, natural born citizen, lived in U.S. for at least 14 years.
00:00:52.480 Step number two, have a clear message.
00:00:54.060 Step number three, you need to fill out the form, FEC Form 2, which you can go to fec.gov
00:00:58.540 to fill that out.
00:00:59.560 And you need to show that you've spent $5,000 on your campaign, or you've raised $5,000 on
00:01:04.160 your campaign.
00:01:04.680 Step number four is get on the ballots in your states.
00:01:07.000 Then number five, build a campaign team.
00:01:08.800 Start raising money.
00:01:10.120 Then participate in debates.
00:01:11.720 Then show up in polls.
00:01:13.220 Then convert non-believers.
00:01:14.880 Then get indoors.
00:01:15.920 Write a book.
00:01:16.700 And last but not least, step number 11, you got to maneuver, pivot, embrace all attacks,
00:01:20.700 because everybody's going to attack you from so many different angles.
00:01:24.760 And if your message is solid, if you raise a lot of money, if you got good following,
00:01:28.880 if you got good endorsement, if you got a way of telling your story good, and you're
00:01:32.260 good at handling all the attacks, then maybe you got a shot.
00:01:34.980 And you'll have to go through getting your delegates.
00:01:37.320 Then you'll get your 270 electoral votes to become a president.
00:01:40.580 So before we get into that, let's go through the timeline of this election, 2020 election.
00:01:45.940 And we'll go all the way back to the day President Trump gives this inauguration speech, which
00:01:52.520 I believe is January 20th of 2017.
00:01:55.580 So just to kind of give you ideas on what things take place.
00:01:57.820 So that happens, 2017, November 6th.
00:02:00.240 Andrew Yang is the first one that comes out and says, look, I'm going to run for office
00:02:03.620 and I'll be a president.
00:02:05.060 Then January 25th, 2019, RNC unofficially endorses Trump.
00:02:10.060 First mass rally for Trump in El Paso.
00:02:12.120 Then Bernie Sanders gets into it on February 19th.
00:02:14.580 April 25th, Biden announces it.
00:02:17.240 June 18th, Trump kicks off his rally in Orlando.
00:02:19.520 June 26th and 27th was the first Democratic debate that took place in Miami.
00:02:24.560 And they had two batches.
00:02:25.720 It was the lower ranking candidates first went on the first one, which wasn't that big.
00:02:32.200 Then you have the second one, which is the Sanders, the bigger names, the Bidens who are
00:02:36.700 on the stage.
00:02:37.340 And they kind of set it up that way.
00:02:38.960 And the guys from the second are trying to get to the main stage.
00:02:41.100 And then September 12th was the third debate, Texas.
00:02:44.560 And then October 15th, they did a fourth debate in Ohio.
00:02:47.300 November 20th, they did the next debate in Atlanta.
00:02:49.760 November 24th was Bloomberg announced.
00:02:51.700 He's running now.
00:02:52.820 And Bloomberg didn't show up on a public stage.
00:02:55.120 He didn't debate.
00:02:56.280 You don't hear him give a lot of speeches.
00:02:57.840 It's a lot of money.
00:02:58.560 He's got $60 billion, but owning Bloomberg.
00:03:01.000 So he can do all these Super Bowl ads and $2 and $5, $6 million means nothing.
00:03:05.920 He can spend $10 billion.
00:03:07.260 He won't even feel it if he wanted to, but he's hoping for a brokered convention, which
00:03:11.780 we'll talk about here in a minute.
00:03:12.920 And then the sixth debate happens in L.A.
00:03:15.300 And then you have January 14th, which is a seventh debate in Iowa, leading to February
00:03:19.540 3rd, the Iowa caucuses, which Iowa caucuses, it's not really a big meaning, like people
00:03:27.600 are going to identify, like this person is going to win if you want Iowa.
00:03:29.960 But the whole purpose of Iowa is to create momentum.
00:03:32.260 So they go there and people are trying to win delegates.
00:03:35.020 These candidates are working for that.
00:03:37.140 And then February 7th is the 8th debate in New Hampshire, because New Hampshire is the
00:03:40.300 original first primary, which is February 11th.
00:03:44.120 February 19th is the 9th debate.
00:03:45.740 February 22nd is Nevada caucuses.
00:03:48.000 And then you have Super Tuesday, March 3rd, which we'll talk about what March 3rd is.
00:03:51.080 It's a very, very big day because it falls into the second phase of these candidates trying
00:03:57.220 to win delegates.
00:03:58.440 Next, you have July 13th to the 16th, which is the actual DNC.
00:04:01.400 That's the Democratic National Convention.
00:04:02.860 This is when we find out who the Democratic nominee is going to be.
00:04:06.240 It's the epic moment where somebody goes up and says, I accept the nomination.
00:04:11.340 And then balloons drop, confetti goes craziness.
00:04:14.980 And also at the same time, this is a place where maybe there's a brokered convention.
00:04:18.780 And a brokered convention, things get different.
00:04:20.560 It's very heated.
00:04:21.460 And we'll talk about that here in a minute as well.
00:04:23.900 And typically about these Democratic National Convention and Republican National Convention,
00:04:27.680 if a Republican is in office right now, was the last one who won and left office, Democrats
00:04:32.820 go first.
00:04:33.860 Then it's Republicans.
00:04:35.380 But if a president's in office that's a Democrat, Barack Obama, Republican National Convention
00:04:40.380 goes first.
00:04:41.220 Then it's the Democratic National Convention to find out who's who.
00:04:44.160 So then you've got the Republican National Convention right after that, which will be August 24th
00:04:48.560 to the 26th.
00:04:49.300 Then it starts.
00:04:50.260 Now we know who's going to be facing off Trump.
00:04:52.520 So then September 29th will be the first presidential debate at the University of Notre Dame, Indiana.
00:04:57.480 October 7th will be the VP debate in Utah.
00:05:00.440 Some say it doesn't matter at all.
00:05:02.020 Some say it does.
00:05:02.940 It's interesting on who they choose as their VP.
00:05:06.100 Then October 15th will be the second debate that'll take place in Michigan.
00:05:10.020 Then they'll have the third debate that'll take place in Belmont University of Nashville,
00:05:13.340 Tennessee.
00:05:14.060 Then it's election day, November 3rd.
00:05:16.280 Then after that, you've got all these other electorals got to get together and put it together.
00:05:20.140 And then January 6th, the votes are finally formally counted and it's official.
00:05:23.780 And then January 20th, 2021, whoever's the president will be given an inauguration speech.
00:05:29.060 So now you kind of have some of the steps and some of the dates that we've gone through,
00:05:32.740 right?
00:05:32.920 Now let's get into the numbers on what the formula is and what the method to the madness
00:05:37.300 is and the science behind this.
00:05:39.160 By the way, there's a lot of predictive analytics, guys, that are being hired right now on campaigns
00:05:44.220 because it's all a formula on how this works out.
00:05:47.660 So the road to 270, that's how you become a president once you're nominated.
00:05:51.820 The road to 270 and the 270 numbers of 538 electoral votes that you have.
00:05:57.600 Of that 538, 100 are senators, two senators per state.
00:06:01.260 Then you have 435 House of Representatives and three from D.C. makes up 538 and that's
00:06:07.860 your Congress, okay?
00:06:09.080 So to win this, you first got to win delegates.
00:06:11.620 By the way, this whole electoral votes, the reason why we have the system the way that
00:06:15.120 we have, which is you saw President Trump, you constantly hear people saying, well, Hillary
00:06:20.080 won the majority votes, but Trump won the electoral, right?
00:06:24.220 There's only been five times where the person who won and became a president won electoral
00:06:29.600 but didn't win majority.
00:06:32.100 Trump is one of them, Bush is another one, Harris is another one, Rutherford Hayes is another
00:06:36.740 one, and John Quincy Adams is another one.
00:06:38.480 There's only happened five times.
00:06:39.640 Those are the five times that's happened with, right?
00:06:41.320 So that's the numbers that you have, but before going into the electoral, you got to kind
00:06:45.640 of look at some of the states.
00:06:47.060 At the top, it's California with 55.
00:06:49.100 So then you see Texas, 38, and Florida, 29, and New York, and you can pretty much look
00:06:53.860 at this list to see the highest as California and the lowest as many states tied with three,
00:06:58.360 you know, Dakota, Alaska, Wyoming, Vermont, you know, Montana, those are three.
00:07:03.260 But this is the key part to think about, the difference between the electoral and the majority.
00:07:07.180 If becoming a president was all about the majority, then you would just go to a handful
00:07:13.200 of states.
00:07:13.740 You'd go to California, New York, Texas, you know, you'd be going to some of these, Florida,
00:07:19.100 now, that'd be your main focus.
00:07:20.780 But the way they set it up is in a way where some states are pretty much, no matter what,
00:07:25.400 going to be voting Democratic, and some states are, no matter what, going to be voting Republican,
00:07:30.300 which is why they call it the red state or blue state, and then you got the purple state,
00:07:35.060 which we'll talk about red state and blue state.
00:07:37.440 This started back in the 80s, okay?
00:07:40.080 Back in the 80s, when ABC, CBS, and NBC started going and talking about colors with states,
00:07:47.500 back then, believe it or not, the only channel that had it right from day one, that stuck
00:07:53.120 to it, was ABC.
00:07:54.560 They put Democrats as blue, Republicans as red, and they've always been that way.
00:07:59.780 But originally, CBS had Democrats as red, Republicans as blue, so did NBC, then immediately CBS
00:08:07.680 and the next election changed, and then eventually in 1992, NBC was still looking at Democrats as
00:08:13.940 red, Republicans as blue, then in 1996, they were all on the same page, red and blue, that's
00:08:18.220 where you hear about the red states and the blue states.
00:08:19.860 So, the red states, Republican, blue states, Democrats, right?
00:08:23.380 You hear about this kind of stuff typically, red and blue, okay?
00:08:26.400 So, you'll see a lot of times, president election, you'll see, they'll wear a blue tie,
00:08:30.860 Barack Obama wears blue ties all the time, he's trying to say, I'm a Democrat.
00:08:34.400 You'll see Republicans wear a red tie, they're trying to say, I'm a Republican, right?
00:08:39.500 So, then you have the swing states, swing states are kind of like purple, because they're red
00:08:43.400 and blue, and these are the ones that you'll see a lot of times strategically, they'll campaign
00:08:46.920 over, so that's Florida, that's Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, North Carolina, Virginia, Minnesota,
00:08:53.420 you know, you got Wisconsin, you got Colorado, you got a few, I think it's like 13 of them
00:08:57.700 that you're fighting for, to see who gets what.
00:09:00.760 And they can go right, they can go left, so you can win those states.
00:09:03.760 So, this is why I kept hearing about Trump, kept going to Ohio, kept going to Pennsylvania,
00:09:07.800 and, you know, Hillary didn't really go to Ohio, didn't really go to Michigan, and she 0.97
00:09:12.480 wasn't really spending a lot of time, because they thought for sure they're going to win
00:09:14.960 it, and they didn't, but Trump kept going, boom, boom, I'm here, I'm here, and that's
00:09:19.120 how he got his 300, and I don't know what the number is, 313 to 236, some number like that
00:09:23.940 that happened when he came to electorals, right?
00:09:26.040 So, that's the electorals.
00:09:27.120 Now, let's talk about delegates, okay?
00:09:28.440 This is what stuff gets a little technical, a little crazy, so Brace, stay with me here,
00:09:35.260 because you'll get it by the time we go through this together.
00:09:37.120 So, think about it this way, before you win your 270 electoral votes, right, to become
00:09:41.440 a president, you got to go and win states, and you're fighting for some of the swing states,
00:09:46.440 but within the state, when you break down the state, they have delegates, Republican and
00:09:51.780 Democratic delegates, that you got to win the delegate votes, right?
00:09:55.620 And to win those, these break down into districts, it's not as simple, it could be counties, and
00:10:01.620 they draw them up, and they change them up, and that's when it gets a little bit technical,
00:10:04.740 but I want to simplify it for you on how this works.
00:10:07.140 So, selection process to pick your candidate.
00:10:10.120 There's primary, there's caucuses.
00:10:12.600 Primary is what?
00:10:13.500 It's typically how the system works, you know, you go and you vote, and they count all the
00:10:17.280 ballots, they count all the votes, and then boom, this person wins this place.
00:10:20.640 Caucuses are different, because caucuses are the old system.
00:10:23.840 This is why you notice Iowa was having all these problems with the way they had their app,
00:10:28.020 and, oh my gosh, it's complicated, because that's how America was originally, they would
00:10:32.420 go to these caucuses, and here's how caucuses work. 0.99
00:10:34.960 It's not primary where everybody's voting.
00:10:37.260 They go in a room, and these delegates start debating with each other, and they go into groups.
00:10:41.560 Oh, we're over here for Sanders.
00:10:43.040 No, we're over here for Biden.
00:10:44.800 No, we're over here for Buttigieg.
00:10:46.060 We're over here for this, and they're talking, da-da-da-da-da-da-da-da, and they're going
00:10:49.320 back and forth, they're raising their hands, they're voting this way.
00:10:51.780 It's very, very old school, meaning it's eventually going to be all primary, but today we still
00:10:57.100 have the caucuses, and it's not that many states, by the way.
00:10:59.580 You're only dealing with 13 or something amount of states that you're working with as caucuses,
00:11:03.980 right?
00:11:04.500 So primary caucuses, so Alaska, Colorado, Hawaii, Kansas, Maine, Minnesota, Nevada, North Dakota,
00:11:09.740 Wyoming, Iowa, are caucuses that we're dealing with, right?
00:11:13.260 So now let's talk about a delegate.
00:11:15.060 What is a delegate?
00:11:16.100 A delegate is an authorized person to represent others, in particular, an elected representative
00:11:23.640 sent to a conference.
00:11:25.180 That's what you call a delegate.
00:11:26.380 So now, how does one become a delegate?
00:11:28.880 A delegate must be a registered voter, 18 years old, and resident of a state or district.
00:11:34.320 And there's two different types of delegates.
00:11:35.940 There's the established party insider, or it's the politician themselves.
00:11:39.920 So it could actually be, you'll hear when we go through them, mayor, it could be a senator,
00:11:45.000 it could be a congressman, it could be a lot of different things, but it could be an insider,
00:11:48.780 or it could be somebody that's a politician themselves.
00:11:51.480 How are they chosen?
00:11:52.600 By voters, by the party, or by the presidential candidate?
00:11:55.040 Very simple.
00:11:55.800 By voters, by party, or by presidential candidates.
00:11:59.080 Now when we continue here, you'll hear some states work a little bit differently, which
00:12:04.480 means, you know, some states will have a little bit more diversity attitude.
00:12:07.220 Wisconsin will say, we want 12 of our delegates to be African Americans, and we want 12 to be
00:12:13.040 from LGBT community.
00:12:15.000 No problem.
00:12:15.480 Florida may say we want to have to be men, have to be women. 1.00
00:12:17.500 Some of them are going to have their own things, but that's kind of how they choose their delegates.
00:12:21.500 So now, the one part you need to know about delegates, it's not you go in a state and you
00:12:29.440 win, you know, 17 of the delegates, and then the other 13 goes to somebody else.
00:12:34.820 Maybe you're Sanders, you win 17, 13 goes to Warren.
00:12:38.100 I'm just giving you an example here.
00:12:39.420 The way delegates work is, majority takes all.
00:12:43.520 So, meaning, if it's 17, that entire state's delegates beats their 13, all of it goes to
00:12:49.440 the same person, even though those 13 don't agree that Sanders is their candidate, okay?
00:12:54.340 They still have to go to them because that's how the system works for delegates, except
00:12:58.440 for two states, which is Maine and Nebraska.
00:13:01.500 Maine and Nebraska could be three goes to a candidate and two goes to somebody else.
00:13:05.940 Three goes to one place, one goes here, and one goes here.
00:13:09.540 They'll break it down, Maine and Nebraska, everywhere else, winner takes all.
00:13:12.940 That's how the delegates work for this phase, unless if it's a brokered convention, then
00:13:17.020 things change.
00:13:17.560 Stay with me here.
00:13:18.260 So now, the number to win, here's what we had, 2016, 2017.
00:13:22.460 The numbers change, so the amount of delegates we have today are not the same as we had in
00:13:26.540 2016.
00:13:27.080 In 2016, the Democratic delegate was a total of 4,707.
00:13:31.840 Today, it's 4,750.
00:13:33.240 So the magical number to win delegates is 2,376 on the second ballot, if there is a brokered
00:13:41.700 convention, but the magical number is 1991 on the first ballot.
00:13:46.560 Whoever gets to 1991, that's pretty much going to be the nominee, and they don't need to go
00:13:51.260 to second phase, which is part of the brokered convention that we have.
00:13:55.060 So you may say, Pat, what is first ballot?
00:13:56.880 What's second ballot?
00:13:57.660 Well, first ballot doesn't include superdelegates, because there's 3,979 Democratic delegates,
00:14:04.560 and there's 771 superdelegates, but we may not need to go into superdelegates.
00:14:10.840 And remember, the delegates, it's winner takes all.
00:14:15.620 So you may not like a candidate, and they have to go to that person anyways, but the superdelegates
00:14:19.720 don't play by those rules.
00:14:20.740 They're unpledged, which means they're not committed to an individual candidate.
00:14:25.240 They can choose to go to a completely different direction if they want to, but not the pledge.
00:14:30.140 The unpledged are not committed.
00:14:31.660 The pledged delegates are committed.
00:14:33.320 So for example, somebody may say, how do I become a superdelegate?
00:14:36.780 Who is a superdelegate?
00:14:38.160 It's all Democratic governors, senators, House of Representatives.
00:14:41.520 They are superdelegates.
00:14:43.040 Number two, being a DNC member, which there's 20 ways of becoming a DNC member, I'm not going
00:14:47.780 to get into it.
00:14:48.600 That's another way of being a superdelegate.
00:14:51.060 And last but not least, is the distinguished member of the party, which I think right now
00:14:55.140 it's 20.
00:14:55.580 It's typically less than 20.
00:14:57.040 This one I think is 22.
00:14:58.820 A President, Barack Obama, is a superdelegate, right?
00:15:02.620 A Speaker of the House is a superdelegate because they are more at the top, and they kind of
00:15:08.400 have protection of the party, so they're going to look at it and say, this is the direction
00:15:11.900 we want to go to.
00:15:12.540 This is why you saw last time, when Bernie was going against Hillary, it was a close race,
00:15:17.420 1850 to 1819, I don't, but some number like that, and then all of a sudden, when it came
00:15:22.120 to superdelegates, 90% of superdelegates were for Hillary, it was Overwood, which means 0.99
00:15:27.040 she had the establishment, Bernie didn't, okay?
00:15:29.580 So Hillary became the nominee, while Bernie was still close to it. 1.00
00:15:32.820 So it's going to change this time, because there's a lot of different things, and you
00:15:35.280 keep hearing about the Brokered Convention, that's why Bloomberg got in the race, and
00:15:39.040 Bloomberg's got all the money in the world, and he's hoping for a Brokered Convention.
00:15:42.520 A Brokered Convention is when no one, no one candidate gets all the delegate votes.
00:15:49.960 When no one candidate gets it, then it's a Brokered Convention.
00:15:53.260 When it's a Brokered Convention, this is what happens.
00:15:56.420 So there's going to be, by the way, the last time we had a Brokered Convention was 1948.
00:15:59.820 I want to say it's Dewey and Truman.
00:16:02.560 Dewey and Truman was the last time we had a Brokered Convention in 1948.
00:16:06.420 And so what happens the following, so you'll have all these delegates that are there, and
00:16:10.560 they're like, no, I'm for Biden, no, I'm for Sanders, no, I'm for Buttigieg, no, I'm
00:16:15.060 for, you know, such and such, no, I'm for this person.
00:16:17.740 And they start recruiting each other and selling each other.
00:16:20.120 Look, your person's not going to win.
00:16:21.300 You've got to come over here to us.
00:16:22.660 I'm just telling you, there's no chance your person's going to win.
00:16:24.800 Come over here.
00:16:25.420 If you do, we can help your person become the speaker.
00:16:27.500 We can help your person become this.
00:16:29.080 We can help your person become secular.
00:16:30.420 We can help your person, maybe a VP.
00:16:32.120 And then they start talking to one another, almost like negotiating with each other.
00:16:36.820 Then eventually, by this is done, they get somebody that becomes a nominee.
00:16:40.740 And then they announce, okay, after the brokered convention, we figured out who our person's
00:16:44.940 going to be.
00:16:45.600 In 1948, when it was brokered, it became Dewey.
00:16:49.640 And then Dewey ends up going up and running against Truman, right?
00:16:54.480 And then that's when you saw the newspaper comes out and says, oh, Dewey wins.
00:16:57.500 And then Truman's holding him and saying, no, he didn't really win.
00:16:59.720 I really won.
00:17:00.300 That's 1948, the last time we had a brokered convention.
00:17:02.380 Listen, chances are against it, odds are against it, because most likely Sanders is looking
00:17:08.940 right now that he could win, even though Pete's got some momentum right now at the beginning.
00:17:12.060 But we'll see what happens.
00:17:12.780 So that, in a nutshell, is how this madness takes place on how they become president.
00:17:21.340 By the way, there's three phases of voting.
00:17:24.000 Phase one is what happens with the early states.
00:17:26.980 It's four states, which is Iowa, which is New Hampshire, which is Nevada, and South Carolina.
00:17:31.980 This only totals up 155 of the delegates, 4% of all the delegates.
00:17:37.140 Now, phase two is slightly different, because it's not 150, but a lot more is on the line.
00:17:41.360 This is when Super Tuesday happens.
00:17:43.580 And Super Tuesday typically falls on the first Tuesday of March, following a Monday.
00:17:48.600 So it can't be the first Tuesday, and it's the first March 1st.
00:17:52.760 It would be March 8th.
00:17:54.600 It has to be a Monday, then there's a Tuesday, it's a Super Tuesday, right?
00:17:58.040 And the race here is for a mid-March contest, and a lot's on the line, by the way.
00:18:01.900 You're talking about 14 states.
00:18:04.200 First part of the Super Tuesday's got 1,344 delegates for grabs.
00:18:09.380 Then the mid-March contest is 11 more states.
00:18:12.740 By the time this is over with, it's 61% of all the delegates have been accounted for.
00:18:17.760 Just so you know that.
00:18:18.980 61% of the 3,979 have already been accounted for.
00:18:24.240 So that's phase two.
00:18:25.000 And then phase three is the final one, which is a slug.
00:18:27.200 This is between March 18th to June 6th.
00:18:30.300 You're going to get the remaining 39%.
00:18:31.800 I think April 28th ends up becoming the biggest day, because that's New York and Pennsylvania.
00:18:36.560 And at this point of the game, people pretty much know who it's going to be.
00:18:40.000 You know, typically at this point of the game, people pretty much kind of have an idea.
00:18:42.800 Yeah, it's going to be this person as the winner, or that person as the winner.
00:18:46.480 And then the momentum's being built to the Democratic National Convention, and you're
00:18:49.860 already seeing the Republican candidates start taking shots.
00:18:53.000 Whoever Trump goes after the most, just remember this, whoever President Trump goes after the
00:18:58.460 most, that's pretty much a candidate.
00:18:59.600 Just keep that part in mind.
00:19:00.720 If he's going after Sanders, it's him.
00:19:02.880 If he's going after Warren, it's him.
00:19:05.020 If he's going over Biden or Pooh, it's them.
00:19:07.720 And by the way, he may also have somebody that he wants to win because he would prefer
00:19:12.660 to face.
00:19:13.840 So he may campaign for that person in the weirdest way, which is very, very, remember
00:19:19.180 how I talked about the pivoting, the mover, the embracing, the conflict.
00:19:22.660 You may all of a sudden see President Trump start protecting Sanders or protecting certain
00:19:26.040 people.
00:19:26.440 It's like, why is he doing this?
00:19:27.620 Because he wants to go against this person more than he wants to go against another person.
00:19:31.200 Again, that's another strategy, will you see, with politics.
00:19:33.960 By the way, there's a lot of people that, you know, some people are like, oh, I can't wait
00:19:37.400 for Super Bowl, fantasy football.
00:19:39.160 Football, some people are NBA people, MLB people, hockey people, soccer, World Cup,
00:19:43.360 all this other stuff.
00:19:44.360 There are certain people that during this season, when the election happens, this is
00:19:49.540 their sports.
00:19:50.700 This is their own fantasy.
00:19:52.320 This is their own how they score with the delegates and who's going to win this state
00:19:56.080 and that state.
00:19:57.000 I mean, some crazy stuff happens with people that are into politics.
00:19:59.880 This one obviously matters a lot, even though you had a lot of the Wall Street guys out of
00:20:04.120 New York that said, privately, in private meetings, I had some recent meetings with
00:20:08.520 Goldman Sachs and some different economists, and you hear a lot of people talking about
00:20:12.000 the fact that if Sanders and Warren are the lead for the Democratic national, on the Democratic
00:20:19.320 side, they're not going to support him.
00:20:21.000 They're going to support Trump.
00:20:22.100 These are Democratic Wall Street people.
00:20:24.520 They're going to go to Trump because they're seeing what the economy's doing right now.
00:20:27.460 And you're hearing about Warren and Sanders.
00:20:29.100 They want to raise taxes, you know, $60 trillion, Medicare, all this stuff, and they don't have
00:20:33.400 a clue on how they're explaining to pay this stuff.
00:20:36.220 And the finance guys in New York are not very comfortable with it.
00:20:39.600 They're comfortable with a broker convention and a Bloomberg going in, or possibly Joe Biden,
00:20:44.540 although Joe Biden's having a hard time creating momentum.
00:20:46.560 So it's going to be very, very, very interesting.
00:20:50.280 If you want like a pay-per-view match of two people going at it, Bloomberg against Trump,
00:20:56.440 oh my gosh, it'd be epic if that takes place.
00:20:59.740 This is when you hear Bloomberg, you know, they're talking about if they face each other,
00:21:04.140 it'll be two billionaires going up against each other, and Bloomberg tweets out, who's
00:21:07.860 the other billionaire?
00:21:08.920 That's the kind of heated New York mayor, real estate, feuds.
00:21:13.420 It'll be pay-per-view type of stuff.
00:21:15.160 It'll be the debates that no one, if Bloomberg goes against Trump, no one's going to miss
00:21:19.960 these debates.
00:21:20.540 Thanks, everybody, for listening.
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00:21:42.240 With that being said, have a great day today.
00:21:44.040 Take care, everybody.
00:21:44.780 Bye-bye.
00:21:45.040 Bye-bye.