"I'm A F#cking Multi-Millionaire" - Heated Debate Over Homeownership As Prices SKYROCKET
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Summary
Home prices hit a record high in June, dragging down sales. Is this a good or bad thing? And what does it mean for the housing market? Today, we break down the data and try to figure out what's going on.
Transcript
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Home prices hit record high in June, dragging down sales.
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Home prices hit record high in June, okay, dragging down sales.
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So the national median existing home price in June rose to $435,000.
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A record in data going back to 1919, a 2% increase from a year earlier,
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while U.S. existing home sales fell 2.7% from prior month to a seasonal adjusted annual rate of $3.93 million.
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The slowest pace since September, according to the National Association of Realtors,
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home buyers were hesitant with unaffordable home prices and mortgage rates of up 6.5%,
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the fact that we hit record high home prices is reflecting multiple years of undersupply.
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Nationally, there were 1.53 million homes for sale or under contract at the end of June,
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down 0.6% from May, but up 15.9% from June of 2024,
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with more than one in four listings on Zillow getting a price cut.
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The highest proportion for any June since at least 2018.
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Diana Ayala-Sefi, branch manager at New American Funding in San Antonio,
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stated there is a lot more inventory and the demand is not that great.
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Noting sellers are becoming a lot more flexible.
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It's a story that's telling you the prices are going up,
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but it's also telling you sellers are more flexible to wanting to sell.
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Well, I don't know who's more full of crap, politicians or headline writers.
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And I am getting, I just, you know what we should do every day, Pat?
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Just have 15 minutes, all of us sit here, and we just go fast popcorn.
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We decode headlines for the short attention span reader.
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For people that don't want to read headlines, they just want to know what it means.
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So home prices hit record highs, dragging down sales.
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And what that means is the number of houses that transacted Vinny.
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Like Vinny, Vinny, we've been looking at Zillow.
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You're looking for a nice condo, two-car garage, so you've got...
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Well, you wouldn't put her in the garage, but I mean...
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Well, it depends on her attitude, but go ahead.
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So, but the point is, you're looking for, you know, a great housing for yourself
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And the reason is, people didn't want to sell their houses because they had a really
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And also, that happens more gradually during reassessment.
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But it's, the homeowner's insurance has gone way up, like California and Florida.
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And so, if you read into the Wall Street Journal story, it's like, we're starting to see price
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But people like you are still looking at the interest rate and what that does to your payment.
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And as soon as you buy that place, the property tax is going to reassess at the transaction,
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which that's up, and then the homeowner's insurance is up.
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But the first, I believe, and I connect with Bill Pulte, who's, you know, president, director,
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you know, of Fannie Mae and doing a great job in Washington.
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And he's been saying, we need interest rates to come down a little bit so we can get the
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If we can get one of the things to move, get the interest rates to move so more people could
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afford the payment with the property tax, with the, you know, the insurance, maybe we
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But the Wall Street Journal here is just saying, yeah, you know, home prices hit record high.
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But, you know, there were some price cuts starting to happen.
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But the truth is, the number of transactions is at a still way low.
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In other words, you can say, this is up a percent, that's up a percent, that's down a
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But just, and you can play games with percents, words talk, numbers scream, percents don't
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tell the whole story, but they're part of the numbers.
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It's the number of transactions just aren't happening.
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Because overall, it's a housing affordability crisis.
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And prices are up because the great houses are still selling, not briskly, but they're
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It means that the market right now, there's not really a market for buyers right now.
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They need more, they need more things to be on a market at a moderated price.
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So when they buy that house, then the property tax is more moderated.
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Do you think sellers today, Rob, what is the number of, do you remember the number, Tom,
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Have you reached a all-time high of 2.4 trillion of cash and it went all the way down to 1.4 trillion?
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And then the other alignment with that was the total amount of credit card debt that we
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Down to 700 billion and we blew it right past 1.1 trillion when the government said
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If I'm a buyer, this is the number I'm looking at.
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What is the federal government statistic on total savings?
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And this will be coming from, I think it's St. Louis Fed that used to keep this.
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It's St. Louis Fed used to keep statistics on consumer savings and total credit card debt.
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This number matters the most because during COVID, I remember the chart that they said during
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During COVID, they showed that the total cash during COVID showed that total cash Americans.
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Okay, there's one stat that the AMS, average monthly savings, is $496.
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But what is the total reserve, like total savings reserves for Americans?
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What I'm trying to find out is because if cash is low and I'm a buyer,
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I'm a buyer, I'm a buyer, I'm a buyer, I'm a buyer, I'm a buyer, I'm a buyer.
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Yeah, I'd be curious to know how much cash people have.
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Because if the liquid cash we have right now is super low, then guess what?
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It's a good time to go buy because sellers need cash.
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But if the cash in hand people have right now is at an all-time high, nobody's going to be selling.
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So it becomes a very awkward time where sellers are willing to sell,
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but they're not motivated seller for the most part.
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So anytime I'm trying to buy something, I'll ask, is the seller motivated?
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But not at the levels of wanting to drop the price by $50,000 or $100,000,
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So a lot of that matters with the amount of cash that we have at hand.
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At least a couple years ago, it was tough because everybody was greedy.
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Well, I'm not going to make any realtor friends by saying what I'm about to say,
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but the most overrated investment you can possibly make is buying a house.
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because you've been asking about buying a house here for a second.
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If you're going to buy a million-dollar house, million-dollar house,
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put down a little down payment, put down 50 grand, you're a veteran.
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So right now, interest rate, 6%, whatever it may be, 30-year mortgage.
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In 30 years, you say, all right, I bought this house for a million.
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How much do you think you actually spent and paid for that house?
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How much did you spend on that million-dollar house?
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Well, you didn't spend $750,000 because it costs a million.
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Well, you buy a million-dollar house, 6% interest rate, 30-year mortgage.
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You're going to spend $2 million on that $1 million asset.
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What the hell are you doing freaking Jeopardy mortgages over here?
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How much did you spend on that million-dollar house?
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No, you're spending more than the million because you have to basically make payments.
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And on your payments, there's interest on your payments.
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Over 30 years, your million-dollar house is going to cost you $2 million.
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So for young people out there, this is my message to you.
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If you're young, you're single, you're working on your career,
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you're working on starting a business, you're not married, you don't have kids,
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you're working on your life, don't buy a house.
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I totally understand if you're established, you have a family,
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you have kids, you know where you're going to live for the next decade,
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you may want to consider buying a house, 100%, if that's who you are.
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If you're young, you're single, bro, keep your flexibility high and your overhead low.
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Work on your career, work on your business, work on yourself.
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Don't get lied to and confused by the realtor association saying that renting is throwing away money.
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It's only throwing away money if you don't save money, save that money,
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I know plenty of realtors who rent, I don't know, any financial advisors that don't own stocks.
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Let me tell you what I found out yesterday for the very first time.
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I found out that our governor doesn't own a home or a car.
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Do you know Governor DeSantis doesn't own a house or a car?
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If you Google, does Ron DeSantis own a house or a car?
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He doesn't own a car, but his wife is a sporty little model.
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Okay, so that was inappropriate, but let's go back to this.
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So, yeah, he doesn't, no private home, okay, does not own any private real estate, and doesn't own a car.
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There's no public record of DeSantis' person owning a private vehicle.
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No, no, but it's kind of weird for a governor to not own.
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Well, I understand you don't think so, because you're like the anomaly, but what I'm saying to you is.
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I, it's very tough for you to want others to be optimistic about home ownership in your state while you're not.
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It's like when I went and bought a Ford, I bought it from this guy named Jaime Godina.
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Every once in a while, I give this guy a shout-out.
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We bought it for our family, and I've always referred over to him, a bunch of people.
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He sold me a, no, he sold me a, he sold me a Focus or an Expedition, but I'm like, what do you drive?
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It, the idea of people, I did an interview, 2011, Rob, if you go to Denver Post, but David, Denver Post, but David, I'm wearing this beautiful orange sweater.
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It says updated, so it doesn't have the original date.
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We've talked about this article, but I don't remember.
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I mean, I am for the renting if you're building something up.
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And I said, I'm going to put it into business instead of buying a house.
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And five years later, four years later, I bought a house.
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And then I flipped and went and bought a house in Plano.
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And when we moved to Florida, we first rent it for the first six months.
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And we bought a small little house, very small little condo is what we bought.
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You got that small little house here in Fort Lauderdale.
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I just thought it was very interesting that the governor doesn't own a house or a car.
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Because I fully agree with you that if you're building something, you should rent.
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And you could use basically the difference to build your business.
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I would make the argument that you don't have to be building a business.
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I'm thinking you're telling me some inside scoop you have on why DeSantis doesn't own a house.
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And you're telling me you're building yourself.
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I'm not going to let you just bulldoze my argument here for a second.
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Because there's a lot of people out there that don't.
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You're not sitting there like absolutely on top of the world.
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You're saying having millions in a bank is not a good thing?
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You think the fear of commitment to building something?
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No, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, what?
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It's better for all of us that you're not driving.
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Because I've taken all the money I've saved and I've bought Bitcoin.
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And the money I would have made buying, which historically is, what, 3% to 5%, I've made 10%, 20%, 50%, 100%.
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Well, from a numbers perspective, it might never be right.
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I would much rather have you keep that argument and not contradict yourself.
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It just came out on Valuetainment about why to do a prenup, why not to do a prenup.
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Because what you did is you drew out the numbers.
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And you said, all right, so you want to have four kids.
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And I love that about what you did that you did math.
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Most people cannot afford a house with a mortgage, with kids, with two cars in the garage, with food, with groceries, with insurance.
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And things have shifted so astronomically in America today that you're just going to be broke if you keep perpetuating the same bullshit.
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Most people are paycheck to paycheck because they're following the old rules of life.
00:17:22.740
Our audience that watches whatever we talk about here, okay, the average person who's minimum wage, I guarantee you they're not watching a podcast.
00:17:42.500
The person who's begging to raise minimum wage, they're not going to like a podcast like this.
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They're going to be sitting here saying, I can't stand what these guys are talking about.
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But the people that are watching, they want to grow.
00:18:01.840
But then, when later on, when you decide to have a family, wife and kids, security matters, community matters, protection matters, many different things matter, finances matters, write-offs matter.
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There's a lot of other arguments on the opposite side.
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I said if you're young and single, don't do it.
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If you're married and have a family, you might want to consider it.
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You don't think we have 25-year-olds who are watching this being like, yeah, I'm thinking about buying a house.
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You're 19 years away from getting Social Security.
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This guy, you understand what I just said to you.
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You're 19 years away from getting Social Security.
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So, PBD, what you want to do is make it about me.
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The 30-year-old out there who's like, should I buy a place?
00:19:02.640
This is the other hoax that you'll eventually come out of as well.
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But it's going to take a while until that comes out.
00:19:20.200
You know a fun fact about Tom Ellsworth that you all need to know about?
00:19:24.140
Tom, how many Yetis do you have in your kitchen?
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The question is, how many Yetis do you have in your kitchen?
00:19:40.920
The Yetis are back, Rob, if you want to put it up and play the video.
00:19:48.040
Press play, Rob, and you can lower the audio a little bit.
00:19:54.140
You got the blue, fellas, black, future looks bright, takes it to your office.
00:19:58.740
You got the small ones, the big ones, all of them.
00:20:01.840
So if you're somebody that drinks a lot of coffee, or you drink a lot of tea, or you drink a lot of protein, whatever it may be.
00:20:09.260
You are somebody that's constantly, what does Adam do with his bottle of water?
00:20:21.960
These are the taper bottoms that fit in all cars.
00:20:27.840
Regardless of the car you have, it fits in a cup holder in the front.
00:20:42.680
Your wife will love these better than Stanleys.
00:20:45.300
Again, remember, when we do these, guys, we don't do a big order.
00:20:48.940
We even have the one Yeti all the way at the bottom for dogs.
00:20:54.980
Your dog's even going to be optimistic about the future, guys, if you get this form.
00:21:00.000
We want a million Future Looks Bright pieces all over the world.
00:21:05.060
And if you support the brand, go support Future Looks Bright.
00:21:09.040
And while you're there, maybe pick up a hat or two for yourself as well.
00:21:11.740
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