Valuetainment - March 04, 2026


“Most Of Our Options Are DEAD” - Trump DOUBTS Reza Pahlavi As Khamenei Successor

Hosted by
Patrick Bet-David
Mentioned
Trump Fidel Castro Joe Lonsdale Batista Reza Pahlavi Hergazovina Asymmetric Ayatollah Palantir Clinton Jeff Mark
“America Will Avenge Their Deaths” - Trump VOWS Venegence After Operation Fury Military Casualties “California’s Socialist Confiscation” - Billionaires FLOCK To Florida As Wealth Wars Escalate

Episode Stats


Length

8 minutes

Words per minute

215.61

Word count

1,910

Sentence count

196

Harmful content

Toxicity

16

sentences flagged

Hate speech

8

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

In this episode, the guys discuss the latest in the Iran crisis, the death of Reza Pahlavi, and whether or not the next president will be better than the current one. They also discuss the possibility that the current president is no better than his predecessor, Fidel Castro.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
Hosts, guests, and mentioned names generated with spaCy (en_core_web_sm), reconciled against Wikidata.
00:00:00.000 Here's what the president was asked about the next president, right, on what's going to happen with Iran.
00:00:04.420 There's two clips I want to play.
00:00:06.560 This is about whoever becomes next is going to get killed, and then we'll go to what he said about Reza Pahlavi.
00:00:11.720 Go ahead, Rob.
00:00:13.140 That could happen.
00:00:14.860 We don't want that to happen.
00:00:16.480 It would probably be the worst.
00:00:17.800 You go through this, and then in five years you realize you put somebody in who is no better.
00:00:23.400 So we'd like to see somebody in there that's going to bring it back for the people.
00:00:28.120 And we'll see what happens with the people.
00:00:30.460 You know, they have their chance.
00:00:32.140 And we've said, don't do it yet.
00:00:33.900 If you're going to go out and protest, don't do it yet.
00:00:35.960 It's very dangerous out there.
00:00:37.820 A lot of bombs are being dropped.
00:00:39.720 But I always say that would be about the worst.
00:00:41.980 Do you have someone in mind right now?
00:00:43.600 Because you've said all the people you did have in mind have been taken out.
00:00:46.880 Well, most of the people we had in mind are dead.
00:00:49.480 So, you know, we had some in mind from that group that is dead.
00:00:54.120 And now we have another group.
00:00:57.140 They may be dead also, based on reports.
00:01:00.580 Can you go to the Reza Pallavi question?
00:01:02.200 He loves saying that.
00:01:03.080 They're dead the way he says it.
00:01:05.540 It's lots of enthusiasm.
00:01:07.100 Go ahead.
00:01:07.460 Ah, my daddy is dead.
00:01:09.460 President Trump, current Reza Pallavi, is he an option at all in your mind?
00:01:14.240 I guess he is.
00:01:14.940 Some people like him, and we haven't been thinking too much about that.
00:01:18.720 But it would seem to me that somebody from within maybe would be more appropriate.
00:01:23.960 I've said that.
00:01:24.920 He looks like a very nice person.
00:01:27.680 But it would seem to me that somebody that's there, that's currently popular, if there's
00:01:35.700 such a person.
00:01:37.200 But we have people like that.
00:01:38.560 We have people that were more moderate. 0.99
00:01:41.240 You know, these were radical lunatics. 0.94
00:01:42.960 And you know what they get? 0.99
00:01:43.780 They get nothing. 0.99
00:01:44.380 All they do is kill people.
00:01:45.640 Jeff, what do you think about what he said here?
00:01:50.620 Well, I think, look, it goes back to what we're talking about here, is that if we're
00:01:55.860 going to do this, let's do this, right?
00:01:57.960 If we're going to do this, you know, let's not do a bunch of missile strikes and take
00:02:02.920 out some capacity, then have to do this four or five years from now.
00:02:05.400 That was the lesson from the Gulf Wars. 0.77
00:02:07.300 You know, if we're going to do this, let's do it right.
00:02:09.560 I have to believe that he has something in mind.
00:02:11.660 This is not just, hey, let's just hope that Iran, the Iranian regime collapses on its 0.93
00:02:16.380 own, under its own weight, and that somebody just magically shows up, you know, a Cicero
00:02:21.260 or Washington or something just shows up and everything works out.
00:02:24.640 I have to believe because they are executing a strategy, both a big picture strategy as
00:02:29.960 well as a smaller picture strategy, that they have something in mind for what comes
00:02:34.020 next.
00:02:34.800 I believe it has to do with the popular uprising, too, because they keep saying, look, now's
00:02:38.500 not the time to protest.
00:02:39.920 Wait.
00:02:40.220 Wait for what?
00:02:42.400 They have something in mind.
00:02:43.700 We'll tell you when the time comes that the regime is on its last legs.
00:02:47.420 You guys rise up and take it.
00:02:49.440 That's the optimistic scenario.
00:02:51.180 I hope that's the case.
00:02:52.140 And I think that there's probably a reasonable chance that it is.
00:02:55.000 You know, for most people that don't know their history, they know that we had the Cuban
00:02:58.640 missile crisis.
00:03:00.060 What most Americans don't know is from about 1940 to 1950, there was 10 years that there was
00:03:05.880 a democratic government and system in Cuba.
00:03:10.220 Was it corrupt?
00:03:11.260 Yes.
00:03:11.560 Were there problems?
00:03:12.340 Yes.
00:03:12.600 Were there assassinations?
00:03:13.600 Yes.
00:03:13.980 But it wasn't Castro.
00:03:15.400 And then this guy shows up, I think it was 1950 to 1959, Batista.
00:03:20.560 And it was even more corrupt.
00:03:22.400 And it got weird.
00:03:23.620 And it opened the door for the revolution in 1952.
00:03:27.400 And what did we get?
00:03:28.700 Fidel Castro.
00:03:30.000 Forever.
00:03:31.140 And that's exactly the lesson here.
00:03:33.540 The lesson here is that, you know, think of that time in Cuba, 1904, 1950, as Iran before
00:03:41.180 1979.
00:03:42.360 And if you're not careful during like Batista with the Ayatollah, you get what you get. 0.90
00:03:47.980 And it goes a hell of a lot longer than you think.
00:03:50.380 So if we're going to do this, we need to do it.
00:03:52.680 And it's not just regime change.
00:03:54.240 It's regime collapse.
00:03:55.100 What happened was Cuba's government, even though it was corrupt and cumbersome, it collapsed.
00:04:01.120 And now you had a long-term military dictatorship with no economic help for the people.
00:04:07.000 And we all know how it ends.
00:04:09.360 So right now, you can't just, you know, as Clinton did, throw a couple of cruise missiles
00:04:14.460 into Bosnia and say, see, what do you think of that?
00:04:17.200 You've got to go in there and you've got to remember that?
00:04:19.560 Yeah, we dropped cruise missiles in Bosnia.
00:04:21.640 That did what?
00:04:22.920 How many barns were destroyed?
00:04:24.200 You didn't change anything.
00:04:25.620 And Bosnia, Hergazovina, and all the horrible genocide that was going there continued.
00:04:30.640 You have to finish the job and open the door for the people to establish new, not regime 0.61
00:04:38.080 change, like you're saying, regime collapse to bring back the glory.
00:04:42.420 And by the way, people are going to think I'm crazy.
00:04:44.200 Look at the pictures.
00:04:45.220 Look at the film.
00:04:46.220 Bring back the glory of Iran from 50 years ago that stopped 47 years ago. 1.00
00:04:51.920 Go look at that.
00:04:52.580 That could be brought back.
00:04:54.200 Maybe loss in all this is that there is that optimistic scenario. 0.89
00:04:57.560 Again, the Trump administration, to me, seems to be playing like a traitor.
00:05:00.920 We talked about this, Mark.
00:05:01.980 Yeah, asymmetric bets.
00:05:03.600 Asymmetric bets.
00:05:04.540 Trades.
00:05:04.880 Trades.
00:05:05.580 Trades, yeah.
00:05:05.620 Trader.
00:05:06.340 Yes, a trader, not traitor.
00:05:07.980 It's not traitor.
00:05:09.380 I want to make sure the audience gets it right.
00:05:10.840 Thank you for clarifying that.
00:05:11.740 Yeah, but no, a trader, a good trader looks for asymmetric bets.
00:05:18.020 They'll take risk if the upside is absolutely huge.
00:05:22.100 And a free Iran is an absolute, it is worth the gamble, I think. 1.00
00:05:26.480 I think that's what the calculation, look, the downside is really bad.
00:05:29.860 The upside is really good.
00:05:31.080 We think we can do it with Israel as a partner.
00:05:33.380 And I think that's what's taking place.
00:05:34.360 Yeah, and I think the temperatures are going to go even higher as this extends.
00:05:37.880 Noise is going to get higher as it extends.
00:05:40.300 Markets are going to be volatile.
00:05:41.540 Markets are going to be volatile.
00:05:42.920 You know, and we'll get into that here as well.
00:05:45.140 This morning, they're green.
00:05:46.340 What Joe Lonsdale.
00:05:47.860 Big time red.
00:05:48.580 I had Joe Lonsdale on last week from Palantyne.
00:05:51.160 He said something very interesting about do it the way the Romans did it, okay,
00:05:54.960 on what to do with Iran.
00:05:56.000 And by the way, he said this two days before the war, before we attacked Iran.
00:06:00.740 So watch this clip here, billionaire, co-founder of Palantir.
00:06:05.180 He hired the first few hundred employees at Palantir.
00:06:07.280 Watch this.
00:06:07.840 Go forward.
00:06:08.900 You hear the two arguments.
00:06:09.900 I think they're going to do a surgical mission the way they did Venezuela.
00:06:13.300 This is two days before.
00:06:14.380 And it's going to be clean, and here's what's going to happen.
00:06:15.500 And then the other side is like, how do we know that for a fact?
00:06:17.780 So if I was in charge, I'd be very Roman about it.
00:06:20.160 So I don't know.
00:06:20.860 Maybe this is not appropriate, but I'd be very Roman.
00:06:22.400 So the Romans would do. 1.00
00:06:23.620 You'd go, and you wipe out the leadership class. 0.99
00:06:25.480 You're all dead.
00:06:26.220 And you say, okay, you guys are now in charge. 1.00
00:06:27.780 We're going to make a deal, or we're going to kill all of you, too. 1.00
00:06:29.760 It's up to you. 1.00
00:06:30.720 Because you're going to be IRGC who's in charge again, probably, right?
00:06:32.800 Because those are guys with the guns.
00:06:34.120 And say, okay, now here's what we're going to do.
00:06:35.240 We're going to make a deal.
00:06:35.760 Here's what's going to happen.
00:06:36.440 Here's how your public's going to work to be free people. 0.99
00:06:39.020 And if you don't do that, then we'll kill you all in six months, too. 0.99
00:06:41.140 And we'll give you another chance. 0.99
00:06:42.080 But I don't think we should be occupying ourselves. 0.99
00:06:43.940 That's bullshit. 0.99
00:06:44.340 I think Iraq was terribly run. 1.00
00:06:45.900 I think trying to go and have people over there was ridiculous.
00:06:49.000 But should these guys who have acted like they've had, who spread terrorism around the region, 0.98
00:06:52.800 who have tried to kill Trump, who have killed so many people,
00:06:56.060 should they be allowed to get away with that?
00:06:57.460 No way.
00:06:59.760 How much do you think the attack's going to be a collaboration with Israel?
00:07:03.360 Or do you think it's going to be—
00:07:04.060 Well, Israel has really good intelligence there in the region.
00:07:06.360 And so, obviously, if you're doing something, you need to work with your allies to do as good as possible.
00:07:10.320 So, I assume that's happening right now.
00:07:13.500 I assume it's like, hey, you're going to be the next leader?
00:07:15.720 You're next.
00:07:16.320 You're going to be the next supreme leader?
00:07:17.480 You're next.
00:07:19.000 This morning, I was reading an article or watching something that said the president of Iran,
00:07:25.060 right now has decentralized power in decision-making and has put it on the governors.
00:07:31.660 Where it's like, rather than waiting for us to make the decision, what do you think is right?
00:07:36.340 Make the decision.
00:07:37.320 And I think the reason why they're doing that, because they don't know who's going to be alive, who's not.
00:07:41.220 So, rather than waiting and saying, what do you want me to do?
00:07:43.860 What would you like me?
00:07:44.800 Should I attack?
00:07:45.520 Should I—
00:07:45.840 What do we do next?
00:07:46.760 Listen, what do you think is right?
00:07:48.960 Go do it.
00:07:49.640 They have gotten to the point that they have to do that, because, you know, it's—you'll typically have a general to call.
00:07:55.940 You'll typically have the commander to call.
00:07:58.620 It's a very different approach now they're taking when it's decentralized.
00:08:01.760 For those of you guys that are watching this and you're tuning in, I've got two more stories to do before we wrap up.
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