Valuetainment - March 04, 2026


“Most Of Our Options Are DEAD” - Trump DOUBTS Reza Pahlavi As Khamenei Successor


Episode Stats

Length

8 minutes

Words per Minute

215.60806

Word Count

1,910

Sentence Count

169

Hate Speech Sentences

8


Summary


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Here's what the president was asked about the next president, right, on what's going to happen with Iran.
00:00:04.420 There's two clips I want to play.
00:00:06.560 This is about whoever becomes next is going to get killed, and then we'll go to what he said about Reza Pahlavi.
00:00:11.720 Go ahead, Rob.
00:00:13.140 That could happen.
00:00:14.860 We don't want that to happen.
00:00:16.480 It would probably be the worst.
00:00:17.800 You go through this, and then in five years you realize you put somebody in who is no better.
00:00:23.400 So we'd like to see somebody in there that's going to bring it back for the people.
00:00:28.120 And we'll see what happens with the people.
00:00:30.460 You know, they have their chance.
00:00:32.140 And we've said, don't do it yet.
00:00:33.900 If you're going to go out and protest, don't do it yet.
00:00:35.960 It's very dangerous out there.
00:00:37.820 A lot of bombs are being dropped.
00:00:39.720 But I always say that would be about the worst.
00:00:41.980 Do you have someone in mind right now?
00:00:43.600 Because you've said all the people you did have in mind have been taken out.
00:00:46.880 Well, most of the people we had in mind are dead.
00:00:49.480 So, you know, we had some in mind from that group that is dead.
00:00:54.120 And now we have another group.
00:00:57.140 They may be dead also, based on reports.
00:01:00.580 Can you go to the Reza Pallavi question?
00:01:02.200 He loves saying that.
00:01:03.080 They're dead the way he says it.
00:01:05.540 It's lots of enthusiasm.
00:01:07.100 Go ahead.
00:01:07.460 Ah, my daddy is dead.
00:01:09.460 President Trump, current Reza Pallavi, is he an option at all in your mind?
00:01:14.240 I guess he is.
00:01:14.940 Some people like him, and we haven't been thinking too much about that.
00:01:18.720 But it would seem to me that somebody from within maybe would be more appropriate.
00:01:23.960 I've said that.
00:01:24.920 He looks like a very nice person.
00:01:27.680 But it would seem to me that somebody that's there, that's currently popular, if there's
00:01:35.700 such a person.
00:01:37.200 But we have people like that.
00:01:38.560 We have people that were more moderate.
00:01:41.240 You know, these were radical lunatics.
00:01:42.960 And you know what they get?
00:01:43.780 They get nothing.
00:01:44.380 All they do is kill people.
00:01:45.640 Jeff, what do you think about what he said here?
00:01:50.620 Well, I think, look, it goes back to what we're talking about here, is that if we're
00:01:55.860 going to do this, let's do this, right?
00:01:57.960 If we're going to do this, you know, let's not do a bunch of missile strikes and take
00:02:02.920 out some capacity, then have to do this four or five years from now.
00:02:05.400 That was the lesson from the Gulf Wars.
00:02:07.300 You know, if we're going to do this, let's do it right.
00:02:09.560 I have to believe that he has something in mind.
00:02:11.660 This is not just, hey, let's just hope that Iran, the Iranian regime collapses on its
00:02:16.380 own, under its own weight, and that somebody just magically shows up, you know, a Cicero
00:02:21.260 or Washington or something just shows up and everything works out.
00:02:24.640 I have to believe because they are executing a strategy, both a big picture strategy as
00:02:29.960 well as a smaller picture strategy, that they have something in mind for what comes
00:02:34.020 next.
00:02:34.800 I believe it has to do with the popular uprising, too, because they keep saying, look, now's
00:02:38.500 not the time to protest.
00:02:39.920 Wait.
00:02:40.220 Wait for what?
00:02:42.400 They have something in mind.
00:02:43.700 We'll tell you when the time comes that the regime is on its last legs.
00:02:47.420 You guys rise up and take it.
00:02:49.440 That's the optimistic scenario.
00:02:51.180 I hope that's the case.
00:02:52.140 And I think that there's probably a reasonable chance that it is.
00:02:55.000 You know, for most people that don't know their history, they know that we had the Cuban
00:02:58.640 missile crisis.
00:03:00.060 What most Americans don't know is from about 1940 to 1950, there was 10 years that there was
00:03:05.880 a democratic government and system in Cuba.
00:03:10.220 Was it corrupt?
00:03:11.260 Yes.
00:03:11.560 Were there problems?
00:03:12.340 Yes.
00:03:12.600 Were there assassinations?
00:03:13.600 Yes.
00:03:13.980 But it wasn't Castro.
00:03:15.400 And then this guy shows up, I think it was 1950 to 1959, Batista.
00:03:20.560 And it was even more corrupt.
00:03:22.400 And it got weird.
00:03:23.620 And it opened the door for the revolution in 1952.
00:03:27.400 And what did we get?
00:03:28.700 Fidel Castro.
00:03:30.000 Forever.
00:03:31.140 And that's exactly the lesson here.
00:03:33.540 The lesson here is that, you know, think of that time in Cuba, 1904, 1950, as Iran before
00:03:41.180 1979.
00:03:42.360 And if you're not careful during like Batista with the Ayatollah, you get what you get.
00:03:47.980 And it goes a hell of a lot longer than you think.
00:03:50.380 So if we're going to do this, we need to do it.
00:03:52.680 And it's not just regime change.
00:03:54.240 It's regime collapse.
00:03:55.100 What happened was Cuba's government, even though it was corrupt and cumbersome, it collapsed.
00:04:01.120 And now you had a long-term military dictatorship with no economic help for the people.
00:04:07.000 And we all know how it ends.
00:04:09.360 So right now, you can't just, you know, as Clinton did, throw a couple of cruise missiles
00:04:14.460 into Bosnia and say, see, what do you think of that?
00:04:17.200 You've got to go in there and you've got to remember that?
00:04:19.560 Yeah, we dropped cruise missiles in Bosnia.
00:04:21.640 That did what?
00:04:22.920 How many barns were destroyed?
00:04:24.200 You didn't change anything.
00:04:25.620 And Bosnia, Hergazovina, and all the horrible genocide that was going there continued.
00:04:30.640 You have to finish the job and open the door for the people to establish new, not regime
00:04:38.080 change, like you're saying, regime collapse to bring back the glory.
00:04:42.420 And by the way, people are going to think I'm crazy.
00:04:44.200 Look at the pictures.
00:04:45.220 Look at the film.
00:04:46.220 Bring back the glory of Iran from 50 years ago that stopped 47 years ago.
00:04:51.920 Go look at that.
00:04:52.580 That could be brought back.
00:04:54.200 Maybe loss in all this is that there is that optimistic scenario.
00:04:57.560 Again, the Trump administration, to me, seems to be playing like a traitor.
00:05:00.920 We talked about this, Mark.
00:05:01.980 Yeah, asymmetric bets.
00:05:03.600 Asymmetric bets.
00:05:04.540 Trades.
00:05:04.880 Trades.
00:05:05.580 Trades, yeah.
00:05:05.620 Trader.
00:05:06.340 Yes, a trader, not traitor.
00:05:07.980 It's not traitor.
00:05:09.380 I want to make sure the audience gets it right.
00:05:10.840 Thank you for clarifying that.
00:05:11.740 Yeah, but no, a trader, a good trader looks for asymmetric bets.
00:05:18.020 They'll take risk if the upside is absolutely huge.
00:05:22.100 And a free Iran is an absolute, it is worth the gamble, I think.
00:05:26.480 I think that's what the calculation, look, the downside is really bad.
00:05:29.860 The upside is really good.
00:05:31.080 We think we can do it with Israel as a partner.
00:05:33.380 And I think that's what's taking place.
00:05:34.360 Yeah, and I think the temperatures are going to go even higher as this extends.
00:05:37.880 Noise is going to get higher as it extends.
00:05:40.300 Markets are going to be volatile.
00:05:41.540 Markets are going to be volatile.
00:05:42.920 You know, and we'll get into that here as well.
00:05:45.140 This morning, they're green.
00:05:46.340 What Joe Lonsdale.
00:05:47.860 Big time red.
00:05:48.580 I had Joe Lonsdale on last week from Palantyne.
00:05:51.160 He said something very interesting about do it the way the Romans did it, okay,
00:05:54.960 on what to do with Iran.
00:05:56.000 And by the way, he said this two days before the war, before we attacked Iran.
00:06:00.740 So watch this clip here, billionaire, co-founder of Palantir.
00:06:05.180 He hired the first few hundred employees at Palantir.
00:06:07.280 Watch this.
00:06:07.840 Go forward.
00:06:08.900 You hear the two arguments.
00:06:09.900 I think they're going to do a surgical mission the way they did Venezuela.
00:06:13.300 This is two days before.
00:06:14.380 And it's going to be clean, and here's what's going to happen.
00:06:15.500 And then the other side is like, how do we know that for a fact?
00:06:17.780 So if I was in charge, I'd be very Roman about it.
00:06:20.160 So I don't know.
00:06:20.860 Maybe this is not appropriate, but I'd be very Roman.
00:06:22.400 So the Romans would do.
00:06:23.620 You'd go, and you wipe out the leadership class.
00:06:25.480 You're all dead.
00:06:26.220 And you say, okay, you guys are now in charge.
00:06:27.780 We're going to make a deal, or we're going to kill all of you, too.
00:06:29.760 It's up to you.
00:06:30.720 Because you're going to be IRGC who's in charge again, probably, right?
00:06:32.800 Because those are guys with the guns.
00:06:34.120 And say, okay, now here's what we're going to do.
00:06:35.240 We're going to make a deal.
00:06:35.760 Here's what's going to happen.
00:06:36.440 Here's how your public's going to work to be free people.
00:06:39.020 And if you don't do that, then we'll kill you all in six months, too.
00:06:41.140 And we'll give you another chance.
00:06:42.080 But I don't think we should be occupying ourselves.
00:06:43.940 That's bullshit.
00:06:44.340 I think Iraq was terribly run.
00:06:45.900 I think trying to go and have people over there was ridiculous.
00:06:49.000 But should these guys who have acted like they've had, who spread terrorism around the region,
00:06:52.800 who have tried to kill Trump, who have killed so many people,
00:06:56.060 should they be allowed to get away with that?
00:06:57.460 No way.
00:06:59.760 How much do you think the attack's going to be a collaboration with Israel?
00:07:03.360 Or do you think it's going to be—
00:07:04.060 Well, Israel has really good intelligence there in the region.
00:07:06.360 And so, obviously, if you're doing something, you need to work with your allies to do as good as possible.
00:07:10.320 So, I assume that's happening right now.
00:07:13.500 I assume it's like, hey, you're going to be the next leader?
00:07:15.720 You're next.
00:07:16.320 You're going to be the next supreme leader?
00:07:17.480 You're next.
00:07:19.000 This morning, I was reading an article or watching something that said the president of Iran,
00:07:25.060 right now has decentralized power in decision-making and has put it on the governors.
00:07:31.660 Where it's like, rather than waiting for us to make the decision, what do you think is right?
00:07:36.340 Make the decision.
00:07:37.320 And I think the reason why they're doing that, because they don't know who's going to be alive, who's not.
00:07:41.220 So, rather than waiting and saying, what do you want me to do?
00:07:43.860 What would you like me?
00:07:44.800 Should I attack?
00:07:45.520 Should I—
00:07:45.840 What do we do next?
00:07:46.760 Listen, what do you think is right?
00:07:48.960 Go do it.
00:07:49.640 They have gotten to the point that they have to do that, because, you know, it's—you'll typically have a general to call.
00:07:55.940 You'll typically have the commander to call.
00:07:58.620 It's a very different approach now they're taking when it's decentralized.
00:08:01.760 For those of you guys that are watching this and you're tuning in, I've got two more stories to do before we wrap up.
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