Valuetainment - July 26, 2025


＂Putin's Playing Poker＂ - Chris Cappy REVEALS Why Putin WON’T Fold In Ukraine


Episode Stats

Length

7 minutes

Words per Minute

166.25388

Word Count

1,253

Sentence Count

90

Hate Speech Sentences

5


Summary

In this episode, we talk about the peace deal between Ukraine and Russia, the economic sanctions, and why we should be worried about them. We also talk about why we shouldn't be focusing on Ukraine and focus on Russia.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 I'm curious, how do you see the peace deal in Ukraine and Russia,
00:00:06.680 the negotiations, how they've kind of unfolded so far?
00:00:10.300 Do you feel like it's going in a good direction?
00:00:15.080 Well, I mean, it was supposed to happen the day after election, right?
00:00:19.380 It was supposed to happen January 21st.
00:00:21.060 I'm surprised even this much headway has been made, or even an attempt.
00:00:26.960 You think progress has been made?
00:00:28.820 I think that they've tried progress.
00:00:31.220 I think that before they weren't even trying.
00:00:33.760 So it's interesting to see them trying.
00:00:36.040 And I think even through that process of trying, we've learned a lot now
00:00:39.920 that we didn't maybe know before for certain.
00:00:43.260 I think we've at least learned that.
00:00:47.460 It's funny because their strategy was exactly what they said it was going to be,
00:00:52.040 where they said, we're going to come in, we're going to put pressure on Ukraine first
00:00:55.960 and use all the leverage we have, all of it, to strong arm them into agreeing to go to
00:01:03.620 the peace negotiating table.
00:01:05.480 And then in all these think peace documents about what Trump was going to do,
00:01:11.160 they said, if that doesn't work, we'll turn around and we'll put maximum pressure on Russia
00:01:17.400 with all the leverage that we possibly can, which I think we're now in that step of it.
00:01:22.360 But yeah, so, you know, Trump's losing his patience with Putin.
00:01:28.520 He's threatening heavy sanctions, right?
00:01:30.800 We saw this very significant Russia sanctions, bashes all talk Putin.
00:01:36.200 There will be very, very powerful and very bad for the country involved.
00:01:40.400 And he also publicly in an interview said that we have to give Ukraine more weapons.
00:01:44.920 We have to help them out.
00:01:45.840 Wait a minute.
00:01:46.720 We're not giving Ukraine weapons.
00:01:48.100 He said that in an interview openly.
00:01:50.100 I think this was a week and a half ago, two weeks ago.
00:01:52.820 So I don't know if the relationship with Putin is as good as it was on the first administration.
00:02:00.100 First administration conditions were a little bit different.
00:02:02.420 Is this the one, Rob?
00:02:03.160 This is where he announces more weapons for Ukraine.
00:02:06.580 Go for it.
00:02:07.540 Are you planning to send more weapons to Ukraine?
00:02:11.240 We're going to send some more weapons.
00:02:13.020 We have to.
00:02:13.520 They have to be able to defend themselves.
00:02:15.620 They're getting hit very hard now.
00:02:17.160 They're getting hit very hard.
00:02:18.920 We're going to have to send more weapons.
00:02:20.260 You have defensive weapons primarily, but they're getting hit very, very hard.
00:02:26.540 So many people are dying in that mess.
00:02:31.800 You see, Hexats look as good, but his buddy sitting next to him is kind of like, oh, my God, what are we talking about?
00:02:40.640 I was not aware of this.
00:02:41.880 But where are you at with this?
00:02:44.800 I think the secondary tariffs are the real weapon there because the Patriot missile systems won't really change the equation too much.
00:02:54.360 They'll give more air defense capabilities to Ukraine, and that'll help them shoot down some ballistic missiles.
00:02:59.260 But the real threat that's embedded in there is the secondary tariff, which is you can almost think of it more like a sanction, the nuclear option of sanctions against Russia.
00:03:09.740 If they actually end up going through with it in that 50-day deadline, they would be basically putting a lot of pressure on China and India and anyone who buys oil from Russia, which is really what would put pain on them, if it really does go through.
00:03:27.400 What do you think Russia wants here?
00:03:29.940 I think that they're looking at the battlefield and assessing, we could do this for another year or two.
00:03:35.440 Why would we stop now?
00:03:37.020 We're going to be in a better position, tactically speaking, on the battlefield a year or two from now than Ukraine.
00:03:43.220 Why?
00:03:43.380 Because just the momentum of the battle is they're gaining territory.
00:03:48.080 Like that place that I was in, in Kursk, where I was reporting from there, Russian soldiers stand there today.
00:03:54.980 They've captured that territory.
00:03:56.680 Same with that other drone mission.
00:03:58.760 Most of the places along the front, Russia is standing where I was when I was there.
00:04:04.280 And a number of the people that I spoke to and interviewed in those videos, I've gotten word now that they're missing in action or killed.
00:04:11.540 And Russia, they have the battlefield momentum.
00:04:15.980 So from their perspective, why settle for peace agreement now?
00:04:20.800 Wait until the battlefield conditions are not in their favor or it looks like they can no longer fight.
00:04:27.520 To them, it doesn't make sense to stop now.
00:04:30.200 You've been in it for how long now?
00:04:31.840 Four years?
00:04:32.760 What's the timeline?
00:04:33.480 Three years?
00:04:34.060 How long has it been now, Rob?
00:04:36.420 Since we invaded Russia, 2022?
00:04:39.000 No, we didn't invade Russia.
00:04:40.000 I'm sorry.
00:04:40.460 I'm sorry.
00:04:40.700 Russia invaded Ukraine, 2022.
00:04:42.720 You started a war online.
00:04:44.340 U.S. invaded Russia.
00:04:46.580 Underground war.
00:04:49.700 It's been about three and a half, four years.
00:04:52.060 February 24th of 2022.
00:04:54.340 Okay.
00:04:54.620 So almost three and a half years, soon to be.
00:04:57.100 Yeah.
00:04:57.340 Three and a half years.
00:04:58.260 Okay.
00:04:59.000 So three and a half years there.
00:05:01.860 You're playing poker.
00:05:03.800 You know, you have $10,000.
00:05:06.840 You're in $9,000 of your chips, 90%.
00:05:09.600 What are you going to do?
00:05:10.420 Say, ah, okay, you know what?
00:05:11.920 I'll throw in.
00:05:13.920 What do I got to lose?
00:05:14.940 What do I got to lose?
00:05:15.600 You got to go and see what's going to be, you know, happening and what the opponent has.
00:05:21.760 So you're saying this thing's going to continue with Russia for a while.
00:05:24.720 Unless we, unless the leverage is successful in ending it, if I were them, I wouldn't stop unless pressure was being put on me.
00:05:35.780 I don't know how realistic it is or not, whether that pressure works.
00:05:41.660 I don't, I don't know if Trump is going to actually go through with those 100% tariffs is the threat currently, which would be, I mean, it would threaten to, in a way, make the war more global than it is.
00:05:58.200 Like, we know North Korean troops are fighting now for Russia.
00:06:01.740 That was kind of shocking and a little bit concerning.
00:06:04.380 And then if these sanctions put pressure and really hurt China because of what's happening in Ukraine, that makes this thing global in a way that it kind of wasn't before.
00:06:15.840 Like, we know China is providing a lot of aid to Russia.
00:06:20.400 The Chinese Communist Party is sending machine tooling parts, microchips for their drones.
00:06:28.600 They're propping Russia up in their main ally in this war.
00:06:35.400 Everything's short of munitions, but they're sending the nitrate that you need in order to make artillery shells, which is extremely important.
00:06:46.500 And so if we now start putting pressure on China, I think it makes this war, it adds a different dynamic to the war that wasn't there before.
00:06:57.760 It almost puts the United States in confrontation with China.
00:07:00.940 I think it would be, I don't know.
00:07:04.140 I'm very curious to see what happens in less than 50 days.
00:07:08.140 50 days.
00:07:09.320 Hi, I'm Chris Cappy.
00:07:10.400 You probably know me from the YouTube channel Cappy Army.
00:07:13.120 I'm now on Minect.
00:07:14.100 You can find me there and you can ask me any questions about war corresponding, if you're interested in how to get into that, geopolitics, defense industry, entrepreneurialism, anything you want to chat about, I'm on there.
00:07:25.860 If you enjoyed this video, you want to watch more videos like this, click here.
00:07:29.440 And if you want to watch the entire podcast, click here.