Rob and Tom talk about the latest trade deal between the US and China and what it means for the economy and the rest of the world. They also discuss the impact this could have on the Fed raising rates and the impact on the economy.
00:00:00.120Trump's trade deals for the world will be done by Friday, but China will take longer, is what Howard Lutnick said.
00:00:09.660Okay, so out of all the deals that we did, you know, you saw he just increased Brazil by 50% because of what's going on with Alexandre de Moraes and Lula.
00:00:19.920You saw what he just did with India, 25%. They're saying it'll be done by Friday, but here's Lutnick on China. Go for it, Rob.
00:00:27.560Well, I think with respect to other countries, what's happened is many, many countries had made us okay offers to open their markets, you know, 50%, 30%.
00:00:39.940And then the president said, no, no, I want them open. And then they get up to 75%. And the president said, I want it open.
00:00:45.720So now the price of a deal with the United States of America is black and white, completely open markets.
00:00:52.240He wants to make sure that Americans can sell their goods overseas. He's tired of all those years where it was unfair and asymmetric against us.
00:01:02.640He wants to right the wrong of the last 80 years of trade policy, and he wants to do it now. And that's what he's doing.
00:01:09.320So are there deals on the table for him to consider? Yes.
00:01:12.520But he knows that he can just set the rate and set the price and move on. And he said that over and over again.
00:01:19.420We put in front of him the deal. He sees the deal and he decides, do I want to do a deal with India or I don't?
00:01:26.300And that is up to him. We've done our job. They've made offers, but they generally, these countries came to the table slowly from what President Trump was hoping for.
00:01:36.220But of course, from their perspective, no one's moved as fast as the world has moved with respect to Donald Trump.
00:01:42.560He has moved the world in a way that no one can imagine. He's done this in six months. This is amazing.
00:01:50.480And I am, as you can tell, I'm having the best time working for Donald Trump.
00:01:54.720We're out of time, but I, so you think it's more likely that, you know, musical chairs, people are looking around thinking, no one wants to be last, do they?
00:02:04.480I mean, you think we're going to hear more? Well, China is going to be tough all day.
00:02:10.200We only got 30 seconds, but China is going to be tougher.
00:02:14.140Yeah. China is their own thing. We have our own team working with China. They're their own thing.
00:02:19.780I'll leave the people who are working with China right now to give you a briefing on what they've accomplished and where they are.
00:02:26.160I'll leave it to them. But for the rest of the world, we're going to have things done by Friday.
00:02:31.040And Friday is not that far away. So you should expect, we said August 1st is the date that we're setting all these rates and they are off to the races after that.
00:02:40.40024 hours. Tom, what do we know about this?
00:02:43.160Well, Howard Lutnick is not going to go in and say something like that on CNBC because CNBC is the direct line to the markets.
00:02:50.840CNBC is highly credible with the markets and Wall Street reacts very quickly to what happens there versus what happens in other forms of interviews, even though the market instantly reacts to most news.
00:03:03.580What Howard is talking about is he's setting an expectation. China may take longer, but I think we took another step forward.
00:03:11.300That's what he wanted the markets to hear. And everybody else, he wants to let them know that it's all done.
00:03:16.920But you've got everybody. That is the truth. And Howard's not going to put himself out that 24 hours later, he's proven wrong because six countries go sideways on us.
00:03:26.900They're not going sideways. The closer it gets to the deadline, the more they're realizing this is serious. This is real.
00:03:32.700And it's like what he said. We'll give you 50 percent. We'll give you 75 percent open.
00:03:36.520He's like, no, open up so we both can trade back and forth asymmetrical.
00:03:42.380And you still got, you know, business media out there. I mean, Barron's article in Barron's is like, well, you know, what if this happens?
00:03:49.060What if that happens? And the writer from Barron's actually said and the Fed could raise rates a quarter point.
00:03:55.440Just trying to create this fear monger in there. And it just I was reading this article and I said, this is freaking Barron's.
00:04:02.340And it was like cute kid rock in my head. And we were trying different things.
00:04:05.920We were smoking funny things, drinking whiskey from the bottle. Don't care about tomorrow.
00:04:10.500That's what it felt like reading this is the business certain part of the business meeting.
00:04:14.500They are cheering against. They are so speechless that this is Kramer's reaction, dropping an F bomb on how great the economy is doing.
00:04:21.760Watch this. I almost dropped an F bomb just now.
00:04:23.660We our biggest problem is we have so much growth that the Fed won't cut.
00:12:08.480My entire shirt is flipping, you know, drenched, and this is why Tommy just announced she's moving to Florida because she loves the humidity here.
00:12:16.880But for some of you guys that are in the heat, you want to wear a polo shirt and have the vitamin gear on, go place your order at vtmerch.com.
00:12:25.680We did not order too many of these, but if you want to get them, go to vtmerch.com, place your order, support them.
00:12:31.100We were at Orlando at the Gaylord event.
00:12:33.000Cannot wait to see all of you guys at the Vol Conference.
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