00:01:56.640You know, more than a quarter of the country now has no memory of a time when the United States was not at war.
00:02:02.460More than a quarter of the country cannot remember a day in their lives when the United States was not at war.
00:02:07.800We've been at war for 20 consecutive years since the U.S. invaded Afghanistan in 2001.
00:02:13.460And when I began research for this book, I thought this was fairly exceptional in U.S. history.
00:02:20.060And I came to find that actually this is the norm in U.S. history,
00:02:23.840that the United States military has been fighting in almost every year of U.S. history since independence.
00:02:29.980All but 11 years, the United States military has been involved in some kind of a war or other form of combat.
00:02:35.980And I put simply, we need to stop fighting this fighting, this really endless forever war that we've been fighting has not only damaged and taken the lives of millions of people around the world.
00:02:50.500It's been, in ways that I think are often invisible to us, harming the vast majority of people in the United States in profound ways.
00:02:59.240Did you say we've been at war with somebody from inception 1776 till today, except for 11 years?
00:03:20.840There were a few years at the end of the 19th century, a few years during the Roosevelt administration, when he, in addition to the New Deal, brought into effect what he called the Good Neighbor Policy,
00:03:33.320where he ended a long pattern of invading Latin American countries, in particular a few years in the late 1970s.
00:03:42.000But, you know, by some accounts, the United States has never been at peace.
00:03:45.380There are other, you know, CIA interventions, coups, other forms of warfare that the United States has been engaged in, arguably, in every year since independence.
00:03:56.340And this is not a Democratic or Republican thing.
00:03:58.620It's just our leaders like to go to war.
00:04:01.540So do you think it's because our nature from day one, when we fought away, you know, from our independence from Britain,
00:04:10.440it was kind of like in our nature to constantly be in that fight mode, that that's just in our genes, in the DNA, in the fabric of what America was founded on?
00:04:19.560Or do you think some of it is like we're causing it and it's self-inflicted?
00:04:26.340I think it is deeply rooted in U.S. history, but it's definitely not in our genes or our DNA or in some sort of inherent U.S. American character.
00:04:38.560I think there are patterns that were created and actually that predate the creation of the United States.
00:04:45.960The history I tell in the United States of war goes back before the creation of the United States and shows how the United States emerged out of European empires that colonized the Western hemisphere, the Americas.
00:04:59.580Specifically and most importantly, the U.S., of course, emerges out of the British empire, gains its independence from Britain, but models itself.
00:05:07.480U.S. leaders model the United States after the European empires, and then they attempt to build an expansionist empire that came to conquer territories across North America.
00:05:20.320And this put into place a system of permanent or almost permanent war.
00:05:28.100It's important to point out that no war was inevitable.
00:05:40.620You said no war is inevitable and no war can be avoided.
00:05:43.960No war is inevitable and no, indeed, we can avoid future wars.
00:05:51.240And that's why I wrote the book, because I think we need to choose a different path.
00:05:56.060U.S. leaders have avoided wars in the past, often because large groups of people pressured them not to go to war, including sometimes members of the U.S. military.
00:26:39.760They're going to come and take everything you got from you if they could.
00:26:43.080So do you think there's a little bit of that contradiction in there where if you're too soft and you think it looks good long term,
00:26:48.540you're going to cost, it could end up costing you a lot of lives?
00:26:52.200No, I think, I mean, there are a few things I would wonder about and would want to see the evidence
00:26:58.980that people released by the Shah in the 1970s became ISIS or became Al-Qaeda, I would want to see that evidence.
00:27:07.760And similarly, my understanding of the Cuban migration to Miami is that actually the Miami economy was able to absorb large numbers of refugees,
00:27:19.540people fleeing Cuba because essentially the more people who migrated actually created new economic opportunities.
00:27:25.740But that's not the core of your question.
00:27:29.060For your question, and I think in a way I would turn it back on you is to ask, you know, who is bullying the United States?
00:27:35.560And more importantly, who is really a threat to the United States?
00:27:39.440I think one of the longstanding problems we've seen since the 1970s and really throughout the Cold War,
00:27:46.040but to this day is a kind of fear mongering about others, a kind of inflation of the threat of others.
00:27:53.280The Soviet Union was another empire like the United States and did pose something of a threat,
00:27:59.080but its threat was consistently exaggerated by U.S. leaders, especially U.S. leaders who wanted to inflate the size of military budgets,
00:28:07.720let alone, you know, a small group of militants in the Middle East, which whether Al-Qaeda or another group,
00:28:16.020they do not pose any kind of existential threat to the United States.
00:28:22.340And inflating the threat of others is really a dangerous strategy that has really only created more trouble and more war over time.
00:28:36.480So you don't think they pose any threat to the United States?
00:28:46.240I think they pose a very limited threat to the United States.
00:28:50.000I think they pose a greater threat to the United States today than they did in 2001.
00:28:55.060I mean, what is the last 20 years of war have had many effects.
00:28:58.74015,000 U.S. military personnel dead, that's uniform personnel and contractors, hundreds of thousands coming back with PTSD, traumatic brain injuries.
00:29:11.040The death toll in the war zones has been far, far worse.
00:29:15.020It's three to four million people likely dead in Afghanistan, Iraq, Pakistan, Yemen, Syria, in the part of the war the United States has been involved in.
00:29:26.420Tens of thousands, tens of millions injured in these war zones.
00:29:30.320And $7 trillion, $7 trillion that the United States has spent on these wars in the last 20 years.
00:29:38.280In addition to all that death and suffering and what we didn't spend $7 trillion on, there are more militant groups now than there were in 2001.
00:29:47.180This war has, in its own terms, been a complete and utter catastrophe and disaster.
00:29:53.660And I don't think people, I mean, we went back to the 70s and Vietnam, I don't think people see the last 20 years of war in the same way they saw Vietnam as the disaster that it was.
00:30:07.860The last 20 years of war has been at least as disastrous, at least as catastrophic for the United States, for the world, as the U.S. wars in Vietnam and Southeast Asia.
00:30:18.300And I think we have to recognize that because, indeed, I think there are greater threats to the United States today than there were in 2001.
00:30:25.220But I think they are still very minimal.
00:30:27.380We're talking about a small group of people.
00:30:29.100ISIS controls almost no territory now.
00:30:32.060And al-Qaeda is a fraction of what it once was.
00:30:36.580So I think it's really dangerous to over-inflate the problems and to respond to these problems with war.
00:30:43.060That was the first mistake the Bush administration made.
00:30:45.780The attacks of 9-11 took about 3,000 lives.
00:30:50.220Terrible for the people affected, for the families affected, absolutely.
00:30:55.520The United States, the Bush administration, did not need to respond to those crimes with war.
00:31:02.860By invading a country that had no, I mean, the vast majority of people in Afghanistan had no responsibility for the attacks of 9-11.
00:31:09.820The Taliban gave sanctuary to al-Qaeda, but was not involved in planning or orchestrating the attacks of 9-11.
00:31:17.320The United States should have responded to those crimes of that day, September 11, 2001, as crimes, responded with criminal justice responses, with criminal justice agents.
00:31:31.480These are people that are willing to put their lives on the line to show your weakness.
00:31:41.020These are people that, that's an achievement if you do that to them.
00:31:44.400How are you going to get to the people that did what they did to U.S.?
00:31:47.840No, that's, indeed, I think that the problem was that by giving them the war they wanted, that was an achievement for them.
00:31:56.460In the past, U.S. governments have responded to terrorist crimes as crimes.
00:32:04.320And research shows beyond the U.S., around the world, that responding with warfare tends not to be a very effective response to terrorist acts.
00:32:14.260That responding with diplomacy, with intelligence gathering, with criminal justice responses is far more effective than war.
00:32:22.320By giving al-Qaeda and Osama bin Laden a war, it gave them exactly what they wanted in a much larger platform for recruiting, for building their movement.
00:32:32.340And I think the past 20 years shows how, what a disastrous choice that was.
00:32:38.980Yeah, I mean, listen, Osama bin Laden bragged about the fact that he made America spend $3 trillion to kill him.
00:32:44.180I mean, the guy's life was worth $3 trillion.
01:04:30.040You know, Chinese leaders like other other leaders like US leaders tend to exaggerate the threats of
01:04:39.040others for their own domestic political benefit.
01:04:43.040And they tend to engage in, you know, especially male leaders, I have to say,
01:04:48.040is another dimension we haven't talked about.
01:04:50.040A lot of this conversation is shaped by gender and male posturing by male leaders.
01:04:56.040And I think that's a lot of what he was engaged in.
01:04:59.040President Trump, obviously, was very good at trying to show how big a man he was.
01:05:05.040And I think this is this is part of the problem.
01:05:08.040Male leaders trying to prove their manliness.
01:05:11.040Again, we shouldn't just we shouldn't take the words of a leader and turn it into a threat that it isn't that it doesn't represent the Chinese military.
01:05:25.040Again, as you mentioned earlier, the United States military budget is at least three times the size of the Chinese military budget.
01:05:34.040The Chinese military is nothing of the threat.
01:05:37.040Again, the Soviet Union was its capabilities or do not come close to rivaling that of the United States in so many respects, including nuclear.
01:05:47.040Chinese military is a very small nuclear threat.
01:05:50.040So, you know, I think we need to be really careful about the kind of fear mongering that's going on about China in particular.
01:06:00.040And one of the I think the top of our list of foreign policy priorities has to be the avoidance of war with China.
01:06:09.040I think there are far too many people in the United States who are inflating the threat of China, which is creating a kind of self fulfilling prophecy runs the risk of creating a self fulfilling prophecy.
01:06:19.040You know, how would how would how would US leaders respond if China started building dozens of military bases near US borders?
01:06:28.040The United States military surrounds China's borders with hunt literally hundreds of military bases and has been building up its presence in East Asia in the Western Pacific.
01:06:40.040How would how would US leaders respond if the shoe was on the other foot?
01:06:44.040There would be a call for a massive military build up our inflation of China of the Chinese threat is leading to an aggressive military posture.
01:06:53.040These are the China, which is only encouraging them to spend more on their military in an escalating cycle.
01:07:00.040And this, you know, again, runs the risk of being a self fulfilling prophecy and bringing about a war between the United States and China.
01:07:08.040That really should be incomprehensible that the two wealthiest countries on Earth, the two largest military spenders on Earth, the two nuclear armed powers that they could engage in a war and that it wouldn't go completely out of control.
01:07:25.040I mean, it would look, make the catastrophe of the last 20 years of war look small.
01:07:31.040We have to avoid this escalation of tension with China, military tension with China and other tensions.
01:07:37.040And we have to avoid war with China at all costs.
01:07:41.040I got to tell you, you come across as a very sweet man. Very. I can use the word sweet.
01:07:47.040OK, I'm being serious. When's your birthday, by the way? When is your birthday?
01:07:52.040So you're Sagittarius. OK, got it. So I'm October 18th.
01:07:56.040So I listen, I you sound like the type of person I love you to be at the house, you know, have dinner, have a glass of wine.
01:08:05.040I think we'd have a fascinating conversation. But there's a part of me that thinks, you know, and Andy Grove one time wrote a book in the 80s or 90s.
01:08:13.040He said only the paranoid survive. I think there's a there's a bit of paranoia necessary against our enemies.
01:08:19.040The speech I was talking about was when Xi got up and he said only socialism can save China and only socialism with Chinese characteristics can develop China.
01:08:29.040We will never allow anyone to bully, oppress or subjugate China. So far, it's fine.
01:08:34.040Great. I understand. I want my leader to believe that as well.
01:08:37.040And then anyone who dares to try that will have their heads bashed bloody against the great wall of steel forged by over one point four billion Chinese.
01:08:46.040I mean, he went from civil protected to straight up gangsters.
01:08:50.040What do you want to? I mean, at the end, I'm like the Italian mob just came out at the end.
01:08:54.040Maybe a little bit of too much of Godfather.
01:08:58.040But what do you think about that? Was I like a noble message?
01:09:00.040No, of course, that's not a noble message.
01:09:02.040And that's, again, the kind of sort of macho bluster and posturing and mafia style.
01:09:08.040An American president can get away with that.
01:09:10.040That is completely how are we going to respond?
01:09:13.040I mean, you can respond by escalating the language.
01:09:16.040Biden or other leaders can respond by, you know, responding in kind.
01:09:20.040And then that just leads to an escalating.
01:09:24.040But, you know, I think we should pay more attention to, you know, what's what's more gangster, you know, a little sort of smack talking, macho smack talking or building and maintaining literally hundreds of military bases near the borders of China.
01:09:42.040I mean, and, you know, flying, you know, bomber missions near the borders of China, sending aircraft carriers north near near China's coast.
01:09:52.040Do we see any Chinese aircraft carriers on the coast of California?
01:09:56.040I don't think so. That's gangster like behavior.
01:10:00.040And it's only encouraging the kind of, you know, macho talk that we're seeing.
01:10:06.040What do you think about the conspiracy theory Jon Stewart pitched on Stephen Colbert talking about the fact that the virus could be manmade?
01:10:13.040I saw that. That was an interesting conversation because they clearly disagree.
01:10:19.040I think I think clearly more research needs to be done to figure out the where this virus came from.
01:10:29.040But I was a little disturbed by Jon Stewart's certainty about the origin of this coronavirus, especially because it has fueled anti Asian, anti Chinese sentiment and violence against Asian Americans in this country.
01:10:48.040I think I'm kind of with you when when leaders have a little too much certainty on any topic concerns the hell out of me, like, you know, being that certain that the vaccine is 100 percent great and not giving you an out.
01:10:58.040That's also a little bit like too much like a tell me like when I was in the military, I got in and I'm like, OK, hey, guys, you guys got to take these 11 shots.
01:11:06.040Why your government property? OK, so I took the anthrax shot.
01:11:09.040Every one of those shots, you know, sometimes I wonder I'm a little bit off because the military shots I took and we were all worried that one of our hands is going to get bigger than the other one.
01:11:18.040You know, we would play these jokes with each other, what these things are going to do. Obviously, nothing happened.
01:11:22.040But, you know, I think I'm with you on that side. I just I just hope, by the way, let's just say it was something intentional.
01:11:27.040Let's just say that, you know, we go and we do it and say it comes back and Jon Stewart is right.
01:11:33.040What should happen to China? Should we just look at one and say, guys, you guys were bad, terrible job.
01:11:37.040Terrible job. Please don't do it again. What do you think we should do?
01:11:40.040Well, I don't think anyone is saying that it was intentional on the part of the Chinese.
01:11:45.040I mean, you know, how many people have died in China right now?
01:11:47.040They're dealing with a new surge in infections.
01:11:51.040I think the accusation is that it accidentally escaped from this laboratory.
01:11:57.040And, you know, in theory, that that is possible.
01:12:01.040And if if it was, you know, if it was because of lax security protocols or some sort of accident, you know, those responsible should be, you know, held responsible.
01:12:14.040And I think, you know, financially responsible and otherwise.
01:12:18.040But right now, there is no conclusive evidence that the Chinese government or a Chinese lab is responsible for this coronavirus.
01:12:26.040But if we find it, if we find it, should we put them in the timeout room?
01:12:53.040Again, I think we have to we have to choose a different path.
01:12:58.040And I hope maybe if people take away nothing from our conversation, nothing else that, you know, the path that the United States, that U.S. leaders have pursued for the last 20 years and really throughout U.S. history has been catastrophic.
01:13:21.040And again, not for reasons of nobility, but for reasons of protecting people in the United States and people around the world, we need to stop fighting.
01:14:09.040I'm also laughing at the approach U.S. military is taking on the way they're fighting today and not preparing for the kind of war that we may face 10, 20, 30, 40 years from now.
01:14:19.040That's how we need to play our defense.
01:14:21.040Sometimes the biggest part is, you know, when people in high school know you can fight, sometimes the best part about avoiding fights is as long as the other guy knows you can whoop his ass.
01:14:30.040That's all that matters sometimes. As long as either they know you can whoop their ass or they know that your uncle, your brother, your cousin or your best friend is a guy you don't want to fight.
01:14:39.040Because if you do, it's going to be fight.
01:14:41.040You can avoid 99% of fights if one of those two things is on your side.
01:14:45.040So I think what I'm saying is, David, I think what I'm proposing is I think you and I need to go become best friends with Mike Tyson.
01:14:51.040Okay, and then just tell everybody about it on our Twitter profile says, if you mess with me, my best friend is Mike Tyson, he will work your tail.
01:15:00.040Yeah, no, and it's, it's almost like us leaders have had some sort of, you know, profound insecurity and needed to demonstrate that military power.
01:15:10.040Of course, when they've done so it's been completely counterproductive in so many ways, including, you know, how many wars these United States one in the last 20 years, zero, you know, all they've done is to demonstrate the inadequacies of the US military.
01:15:27.040While, of course, undermining our security and found ways taking the lives of, you know, 10s of 1000s of people in the United States and, and, you know, millions of people in the war zones where the US military has been deployed.
01:15:41.040Let me just say one last thing that, that, you know, I'm not alone in in holding these sorts of views, they're a growing number of people across the political spectrum, who come to similar conclusions that we need a profoundly different strategy.
01:15:55.040It's not just, you know, leftist folks like me, they're, you know, anti imperialist Republicans and libertarians coming to similar conclusions.
01:16:03.040And that's part of what encourages me that, you know, these aren't just sort of noble ideas, but that there are a growing number of people who want to see the United States.
01:16:13.040Take another path, and, and that the United States can, and really must, we have to have a sense of urgency of transforming US foreign policy and transforming.
01:16:24.040And ending the endless wars, or else I fear as a country and as people were doomed.
01:16:34.040You seem you're coming from a very good place.
01:16:36.040And you seem somebody that really wants to make this place a better place.
01:16:40.040And I support that becoming a reality how we go about doing it.
01:16:45.040The more the opposing sides have debates.
01:16:48.040I think the more closer we'll get to a better resolution, the more we avoid the talk, the less likely it's going to be happening recently I just put out something I don't know if you saw that or not.
01:16:57.040I said, I announced a week ago, I'll give $5 million, $2 and a half million to President Obama, $2 and a half million to President Trump, to have them sit down together for that money goes to any charity they want.
01:17:09.040Just to get these two men in sitting against each other for three hours to have a conversation together on how we can unify America.
01:17:17.040Again, the more we have opposing people in the room together, I think we'll make progress.
01:17:22.040The more we avoid the conflict and the conversation, the more divided we'll be.
01:17:27.040So, once again, appreciate you for coming on and sharing your views with us.
01:17:32.040And, you know, I gave you some tough questions.
01:17:34.040I pushed back a little bit, but you were a class act about it.