00:02:22.380So, Tom, tell us why this is a big deal.
00:02:24.160And the tough part is even Tom is saying that the poor guy is going to have to raise the rates if inflation goes the way it's going, not even lower the rates.
00:04:01.220Supply-siders say, how do I make it so that everything from the Small Business Administration to bank loans for little companies be there so you can go build?
00:04:12.980Whereas the Keynesians, those are the ones that are in the Fed right now.
00:04:16.880And the Fed is overrun by Keynesians who think that the government should control the demand by all the levers that it's pushing.
00:04:40.340We have supply spikes that are raising prices, but those are not pure signs that the whole economy's got an inflation problem.
00:04:48.880We have a supply spike. Which way? Down. In oil and everything that oil becomes. Gasoline, heating for your home, not as important in the summer, and jet fuel. So guess what? Airline tickets go up. Everything that goes up. Diesel fuel, getting all that apples to the grocery store. Apple is up not because there's inflation effect on apples, but because there's inflation on the diesel fuel.
00:05:12.540But as soon as you fix the supply spike on fuel, we are going to discover that the inflation rate is not 3.1%, 3.84%.
00:05:25.980And so the first thing that he has to do, Pat, is get through all this because I believe we need rate cut.
00:05:32.520We need a quarter cut on July 28th, 29th.
00:05:36.440That's what I believe, and all the supply siders that I line up with believe that.
00:05:41.280his fight is going to be against the spike because the spike is not you see what i'm saying it's a
00:05:47.780supply spike that is putting inflation statistics statistics that might normally indicate inflation
00:05:54.940but it's not and so i am glad this guy got through 13 to 11 55 45 i'm glad that trump's happy with
00:06:02.840them i agree the relationship can only go one way from that press conference but i'm telling you
00:06:08.040I am praying this guy is successful, and people should put aside the partisan and understand that the socialists love the Keynesians because they're government-oriented people, and they want to control demand by government, and that's what the socialists want.
00:06:24.460The supply-siders like me are free market guys.
00:08:20.720Bottom line, a quarter point is probably going to go up, yes, or go down.
00:08:24.620By the way, it's not my arbitrary one.
00:08:26.900I believe when the supply shock goes away on oil and things come back down, we are going to discover we do not have an inflationary economy.
00:08:35.020We are discovering that we've got job changes and unemployment, which means we need to give capital to businesses to go expand.
00:08:43.000I agree with you on the temporary inflation, what they call the transitory back in the day.
00:08:47.520I think obviously there's an oil spike and everything like that.
00:08:49.960The bigger thing, I think, of what you're saying is how to basically hire unemployment due to AI.
00:08:54.840I think you think that everybody's been spooked by the length of time of the war and they're seeing all these inflation oriented stats out there.
00:09:02.980But it's not broad based structural inflation at the bottom.
00:09:06.760So that's why they're like, oh, my gosh, all these stats are going to be out there and worse is going to have no choice but to raise it a quarter.
00:12:02.320A lot of guys bring their family, their partners, and also with some of you that want to have your kids learning on how to create content the way that Logan and Jake Paul have.
00:12:12.280and they became who they are today with their businesses,
00:12:14.780you may want to bring your kids as well.
00:12:16.140So go to vault2026.com, get registered.