00:04:23.900Listen, in virtually every state in the country, the numbers are establishment moderates are about 30 percent of the primary vote.
00:04:31.720Now, if you want to appeal to 30 percent of the primary vote, that's a great thing to run as.
00:04:37.500The problem is, and it's a simple question of math, 30 percent does not beat 70 percent.
00:04:46.460And I don't know how these gazillionaires twist themselves into pretzels thinking my 30 percent is going to beat 70 percent because something's going to change.
00:04:58.100The rational thing, as I said, would be for her to drop out.
00:05:01.100I don't think she will because she's got so much money.
00:05:04.760As we talked about in yesterday's podcast, and this was an unusual week, I want to encourage you guys.
00:05:10.640If you are interested in the presidential primary process, this is going to be a week that we're going to put out five podcasts.
00:05:26.700So tell people why, because for folks that are listening, if you didn't listen to Monday's podcast, I think you ought to go back and listen.
00:05:35.520I love when people get to see the side of you that I know and I get to see and to hear you talk personally about your presidential campaign in 16 and the blood, sweat and tears that goes into a political campaign.
00:05:50.640Being privileged to be around your campaign in 16 and working on the Bush campaign in 2004 and others and understanding just how intense it is and to get your perspective on all of this, but also your memories was something that I was so happy that other people got to hear it.
00:06:09.940Because I've gotten to get some of those stories from you, and I even got some news stories from you on Monday as well.
00:06:15.260But we got done with it, and I was like, this might be one of my favorite shows that we've ever done, because it just showed a side of you that I get to see that I want everybody else to see if that makes sense.
00:06:26.560Well, look, one of the things that I think makes this podcast work is you and I are genuinely friends.
00:06:50.300I won't remind you the one time we did play poker, but we'll keep going.
00:06:54.020Look, when we started this podcast, and this is pre-you, when I started this podcast with Michael Knowles, and by the way, it was like four years ago, and I didn't know what the hell a podcast was.
00:07:04.640I remember our first guest was Lindsey Graham.
00:07:07.880Lindsey Graham came down to a basement in Washington, D.C., and his question was, what in the hell is a podcast?
00:07:13.920I felt sort of avant-garde because I knew what a podcast was, but I wasn't much more educated than he was, and some of the early and best advice I got is they said, look, the best podcast is like you and I are sitting down at a dinner table.
00:07:31.540We have a couple of glasses of wine, and we're feeling good, and we're talking, and we try to do that.
00:07:37.340We try to have a real conversation, and because we're friends, because we've got sometimes we agree a lot, but sometimes we disagree, and we've got different takes, and the back and forth is what makes it interesting.
00:07:48.200And all right, I'm going to give all the podcast listeners an interesting insight.
00:07:52.460You may be wondering, hey, wait, why did we have a podcast on Monday, and then a bonus podcast on Tuesday, and then a podcast on Wednesday, and then a podcast we're going to have on Friday, and then one on Saturday?
00:08:20.780He wanted to get into all this stuff, like all these ideas, and I was like, you know, I just think, like, Iowa and New Hampshire will consume it all.
00:08:46.960I mean, part of what hopefully makes this interesting is we just have a conversation, and hopefully you and I are relatively knowledgeable people, and we have conversations about issues that matter, and we sort of go back and forth and follow where the muse goes.
00:09:04.180We're doing YouTube, and we recorded what ended up being an hour and 10-minute podcast, and we started with – I'm talking with Iowa, and I did sort of a deep dive into the history of Iowa, the history of New Hampshire, the history of South Carolina, and I thought it was interesting.
00:09:17.840I like – look, this is what has determined the leader of the free world for the last 50 years.
00:09:35.080And listen, there are not many people on planet Earth that have gone through, like, a winning presidential campaign that you almost win, and then you don't, and then you drop out, and sort of the trauma and the personal relationships and the grassroots and all of the dynamics.
00:09:50.040And so I tried to talk about all that, and that was sort of the second half of the pod we recorded.
00:09:55.220And then afterwards, Ben said to me, hey, I love this pod, but we got a problem.
00:10:01.440The second half is, like, a thousand times better than the first half.
00:10:05.140Like, the first half is kind of interesting and academic and theoretical, but the second half is – and, Ben, what you said is what you just said a minute ago, like, is why I listen to the podcast, because it's stuff you can't hear anywhere other than verdict.
00:10:21.300It's like insight from someone who's run for president, come in second, and almost won.
00:10:26.800And so you and I made a weird decision.
00:10:29.140We said, okay, we have an hour and 10-minute podcast we've recorded.
00:10:32.940Let's take the second half, cut it off, and make it Monday's podcast, because you said – and I didn't disagree – that's the most interesting and stimulating part, so let's give people what they'll like the best.
00:10:49.280But then I said, look, I thought the stuff about the history of Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina, for me, was interesting.
00:10:56.020Maybe I'm enough of a political geek that I'm interested in stuff that is not as sort of scintillating, but I thought it was really good stuff.
00:11:02.940And so we came up with – initially, I said, well, what if we put it out on Wednesday?
00:11:08.400And Ben said, all right, you moron, you can't put it out on Wednesday, because Tuesday night we'll have the New Hampshire results.
00:11:13.740So if we put out an academic discussion of Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina on Wednesday, right after what happened in New Hampshire, people will be like, what the hell's wrong with you idiots?
00:11:23.380So we came up with, all right, screw it, let's chop it up, make it a second pod, we'll just put it out on Tuesday, bonus pod, see if you like it, and now we're here Wednesday.
00:11:34.220But the point of all of this is that it's meant to be real-time, not different from, right now you're in Texas, I'm in D.C., but if we were sitting at a dinner table, this is what I'd be saying to you, and you'd be saying the same, presumably.
00:11:50.900Absolutely. And that's the part that I love the most about getting to do this with you, is that people get to hopefully see that aspect and hear these types of conversations.
00:12:02.220And that's when we started today, I was like, all right, I got to know your thoughts on Nikki Haley.
00:12:06.620Should she drop out? And who gets to make that decision?
00:12:10.580If you've got the money to keep going, and Nikki Haley clearly has the establishment, I would call it the rhino money, to keep going, what is in it for her to keep going if you keep losing?
00:12:23.860I want to get your thoughts on that, number one.
00:12:25.300And number two, there is some politicking involved in this decision, and there's a theory that if she can hang on long enough, it gives her a better chance of being chosen as the VP to unify the party.
00:12:39.020If it's divided for weeks on end, states keep coming and going and coming and going.
00:12:45.020And there's people that have said to me in the last, you know, eight or nine hours, hey, is Nikki Haley basically running for vice president?
00:12:52.800If she can extend it long enough, she's the last one standing, that it may be in a position where Donald Trump says, fine, I got to pick you to unite the party because we're so divided because of this drag out, knock down primary that we had.
00:13:04.620Your reaction to both those questions?
00:13:06.440I don't think Nikki Haley is running for VP anymore.
00:13:12.360I don't think Trump's going to pick her as VP.
00:13:27.700And the problem is a lot of those never Trumpers have a ton of money and they can't stand Trump and they'll keep writing checks.
00:13:34.960But they don't think enough about politics to think, how do you get to 51 percent?
00:13:42.300And so I think she will stay in this race because, as we talked about on Monday and Tuesday, the reason virtually every single presidential candidate in history drops out is the same reason they run out of money.
00:14:55.500And so at this point, I think they're looking forward to 2028.
00:15:00.460I think any one of them that has an IQ in the double digits, forget triple digits, let's just get to double, in the double digits recognizes Trump's won.
00:16:23.740But I think the path for Nikki Haley to win the primary is 0.001%.
00:16:31.480For 10 years, Patriot Mobile has been America's only Christian conservative wireless provider.
00:16:37.700And when I say only, trust me, they are the only one.
00:16:41.040Patriot Mobile is a great supporter, not only of this show, which is why I'm proud to partner with them because they support conservatives.
00:16:48.180Now, in 2024, my New Year's resolution was this.
00:16:52.640Stop giving money to people that literally hate my values.
00:16:57.440And that's one of the reasons why, when I look down at my cell phone, the top left corner, it says Patriot.
00:17:02.400Patriot Mobile offers you, just like I have right now, dependable nationwide coverage, giving you the ability to access all three major networks,
00:17:10.640which means you get the same coverage that you've become accustomed to without funding the left.
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00:22:10.040Like they're a, they're a hardcore inner city team and these like little country hicks are like, okay, how do we compete against these guys?
00:22:18.720And there's a great scene where Gene Hackman, they're in the gym in Indianapolis, the big city.
00:22:25.080And he goes and sends someone on the team.
00:22:28.260He says, go, go run a tape measure from the hoop down to the floor.
00:22:34.800And he said, measure the height of it.
00:26:48.200If you have a political agenda, re-elect Joe Biden.
00:26:52.820And the American voters are really concerned about the intellectual diminution of Joe Biden, one of the best strategies to counter it and say, yeah, but Trump is totally old and feeble, too.
00:28:27.160And in this podcast, we interview Canada's most inspiring women, entrepreneurs, artists, athletes, politicians and newsmakers, all at different stages of their journey.
00:28:36.920So if you're looking to connect, then we hope you'll join us.
00:28:40.160Listen to the Honest Talk podcast on iHeartRadio or wherever you listen to your podcasts.
00:28:44.200Let me ask you one other question on this.
00:28:47.840At what point does Nikki Haley become and these are my words, I want to be clear about that, a useful idiot for the Democratic Party, for the left, because the longer that they can drag this out.
00:28:58.360And I'm talking about the media and the Democratic Party, the better off it is for Joe Biden.
00:29:04.040You're not having to focus on one on one debates and attacks and back and forth, even through the media with with a Republican candidate and a Democratic candidate.
00:29:13.500It also, you know, they're they've tied him up in court.
00:29:16.860Now they can tie him up in a primary that can be extended.
00:29:20.280At what point does it become a real problem for Donald Trump to unify the country?
00:29:28.060There is specifically conservatives, the Republican Party.
00:29:31.260And it becomes such a big advantage for Joe Biden.
00:29:37.720My prediction right now is Nikki Haley will drop out 18 hours after the South Carolina primary.
00:29:46.400I don't think it'll be such a beatdown, you think it's her home state.
00:29:49.280Yeah, I don't think she'll last to Super Tuesday.
00:29:52.860Listen, the impact, by the way, going back to 2016, Marco Rubio, who Marco stuck around too long and the fact that he stuck around helped give Trump the nomination.
00:30:03.920But Marco dropped out right after he got crushed in the Florida primary.
00:30:09.860You cannot lose your home state and particularly lose it badly and survive.
00:30:41.320But I think getting crushed in South Carolina will end that campaign.
00:30:45.360I also think every day she stays in the race, she is hurting herself for 28.
00:30:53.880And at this point, I view the Haley campaign is entirely a 2028 campaign.
00:30:58.940Basically, Nikki Haley is campaigning against Glenn Youngkin, who is going to be the moderate establishment choice for 30 percent of the primary base.