Max and Derek debate whether or not Alberta should use wind and solar projects favored by Ottawa as bargaining chips in order to get more oil and gas projects in Alberta. They are joined by Donna Kennedy-Glenn, a subject matter expert in the energy industry, to debate this question.
00:00:34.540I'm well, Derek. Thanks for that. We made it through the
00:00:37.620first episode. We are on to number two, so we survived.
00:00:40.980Yeah. And the first one, I think, was a little less
00:00:43.240disagreement than we had actually hoped, unfortunately.
00:00:46.860Get a build towards it. So we'll get there today.
00:00:48.800I don't think we're going to have that problem today.
00:00:50.740Today, we're going to be debating the question, should Alberta use wind and solar projects favored by Ottawa as bargaining chips for oil and gas projects favored by Alberta?
00:01:05.280Kind of coming off of the six-month moratorium that was put on wind and solar projects here in Alberta.
00:01:13.620But to get started, why don't you introduce our guest?
00:02:16.980I will. You could crack some heads. Yeah, Max and I were kind of discussing back and forth who would be a good person for this.
00:02:26.040We thought about getting someone who's raw, raw Alberta oil and gas or someone who is gung ho wind and solar.
00:02:34.280And then as I was consulting around, your name came up and it was like a light bulb.
00:02:38.240And I think Max and I were both. That's absolutely perfect.
00:02:41.220I can't think of someone who'd be a better subject matter expert than you.
00:02:44.960And we don't actually really know your answer to where you come down on this question.
00:02:49.180Maybe before we jump into that question, though, let's kind of deal with maybe what inspired the question, which was the Alberta government introduced a six-month moratorium on wind and solar projects in Alberta dealing with kind of land use issues.
00:03:05.080I know that, you know, people who live where these things are built are on balance less favorable to them than the people who want them.
00:03:16.520They kind of, I don't mean to load the word too much, but maybe pollute the landscape with windmills and solar panels that aren't as natural as they would otherwise be.
00:03:29.380I know you've written on this moratorium.
00:11:21.180are picking on me. Yeah, we're going after you now. I think it would be fair to say, though, that
00:11:25.020at a minimum, this government, the UCP government, is less ideologically committed to wind and solar
00:11:31.140than, say, the NDP was. The NDP, you know, they saw it as a righteous mission, whereas the UCP,
00:11:37.820I think, views it more as, well, it's expected of us, and fine. We like it, it's expected of us,
00:11:45.300it's a business, but I don't think they see it as, like, a moral crusading cause the way the NDP did.
00:11:49.780Oh, no, no. I agree with that. Oh my gosh, we all agree. Just pause for a moment. Pause. Soak it in.
00:11:57.140But I would go one further. I would say that they see it as a threat to the market share of natural gas and of the fossil fuel industry.
00:12:04.500I think they are very different from the PCs in that respect. I think the PCs saw it neutrally in business terms, in jobs terms, in investment terms.
00:12:13.180And I think the UCP sees it in a much more ideological worldview perspective where you have the green, you know, wind and solar on one side and you have fossil fuels on the other.
00:12:24.400And I think they feel compelled to defend the status quo.
00:12:28.240I mean, I think to Donna's point, Albertans support green energy.
00:12:32.020I think by and large, especially in the cities, they support being, you know, being environmentally friendly.
00:12:37.180They support doing things about climate change, maybe not as much as people in the rest of the country, but they they want to do the right thing.
00:12:43.180I think the government is a little bit out of step with where a lot of Albertans are right now on
00:12:47.660this issue. I think this government got forced into this defense of posturing because of the
00:12:54.860federal government. There is no choice. When a federal government comes to you, an activist-led
00:13:02.140federal government, you cannot deny that, says we're going to have an electricity standard
00:13:08.380that gets rid of natural gas while the rest of Europe and the West is applauding natural gas
00:13:15.580and actually importing LNG like crazy. Well, maybe this is the perfect pivot then to the main
00:13:21.940question. I guess this was the setup. So when the six-month moratorium came in, it surprised me. I'm
00:13:28.900not in the industry, but it surprised me. So I think surprised a lot of us. And I take them on
00:13:34.620they're at face value that this is about land use and just getting the regs in order and letting it catch up.
00:13:41.400Okay, rightly or wrongly, I take it at face value.
00:13:43.620But it immediately struck me as, huh, this sounds a little bit like what Ottawa's been doing to the oil and gas industry,
00:13:53.580throwing sticks in the spokes of this stuff.
00:13:57.820And, you know, Ottawa is able to, through hook or crook, able to intervene in, at the very least, the expansion or continuation of the fossil fuel industry, taking oil and gas projects favored by Alberta and taking them as hostages and often shooting the hostage.
00:14:16.880And then this six month moratorium on wind and solar kind of dawned on me that, hey, there's hostages we can take. I don't have a problem with wind and solar, but I know Ottawa really likes them. Those are projects that Ottawa wants to see go forward.
00:14:31.940Maybe we should take them as hostages and, you know, we could then we can give ourselves some leverage to when we're talking with Ottawa to say, OK, nice solar solar farm.
00:14:46.940You got there. Shame if anything were to happen to it. Why don't you give us tech the tech frontier mind back?
00:14:52.940So your thought on the question, should Alberta use these wind and solar projects as a bargaining chip or hostage, if you will, to give it leverage in negotiating with Ottawa on, say, the West Coast tanker ban, the Noir Pipelines bill, quashing of specific projects like Tech Frontier?
00:15:13.900Well, my first reaction, Derek, to the word hostage, kind of...
00:19:42.660That's not much of a threat to Ottawa.
00:19:44.180It's certainly nothing like Peter Laughy brought to the table where he was inflicting pain
00:19:48.660on central Canadians through the cost of living. At most, she is inflicting collateral pain through
00:19:54.880an inability to meet climate targets. So the difference in the skill of their tactics is,
00:20:02.360I think, really telling to me. A couple of points. Number one, the federal net zero electricity
00:20:08.640regulations do allow for natural gas. They allow for abated natural gas, which is something that
00:20:14.260the province has said it wants to build. You put carbon capture on your gas, you're good to go.
00:20:18.080It allows for peaker plants. I think it should allow for more hours in operation than it does
00:20:23.760right now. That's something that Blake Schaefer has said at the U of C. He said,
00:20:26.860if Alberta actually wanted to negotiate constructively here, argue for more hours1.00
00:20:31.180that you can use those peaker plants. Why should Alberta even negotiate? It's not
00:20:34.960like the constitution is crystal clear that the production, ownership, and generation
00:20:40.300of electricity is strictly provincial. Why should Alberta even entertain a negotiation?
00:20:46.000Because then it doesn't get access to the tax credits and the incentives that the federal government is putting on the table for everyone to reach net zero by 2035.
00:20:53.940That's a ransom move in itself. You do it our way, you do it our way, or else we're going to hold back all the benefits. Come on.
00:21:01.920If you're not going to actually try to reach net zero, we're not going to give you funding that gets you to net zero.
00:21:07.880Like, that's not really a ransom, that's more of an incentive.
00:21:10.260But we're the province that's doing renewable energy.
00:21:13.640There's something factually unhinged in all of this.
00:21:17.220We are the province that is building out more renewable energy as greenfield, as new investment.
00:21:37.600We're doing what we're being, good Canadian, green citizens, and we're still getting punched in the head because the facts are we don't have Site C in Alberta.
00:21:48.900Site C got landed in British Columbia.
00:21:51.120Can you imagine if we tried to, I did look at hydroelectricity when I was in government.
00:21:56.700I was chairing an all-party committee, resource stewardship.
00:22:00.200And at the time, I thought something that would be not too sensitive would be hydroelectricity.
00:22:20.780If we actually build a bigger intertie with the BC electrical grid, we can take advantage of their hydro and use it to backstop more renewable energy in Alberta.
00:22:29.240That's been studied time and time again.
00:22:35.140because it allows us to produce electricity in Alberta more cheaply.
00:22:38.460We have unlimited natural gas. We've got all hell for a basement. Why would we bother?
00:22:41.740So we would rather produce expensive natural gas than cheap wind and solar?
00:22:45.780Okay, so I have looked at this. It's an argument worth talking about, and I'm not going to dismiss it.
00:22:51.740Manitoba's got water galore. They have hydroelectric capacity that's unfathomable to the rest of us of the prairies.
00:23:00.560so why didn't we hook up manitoba to the oil sands that's a question that was asked asked many times
00:23:06.900and until you get better tech on those wires you it dissipates the electricity dissipates as it
00:23:13.840comes you know farther and farther it goes they're learning that in the states right now
00:23:17.240so it didn't work out the economics didn't work out at the time that it was reviewed it may change
00:23:22.660Site C, I, you know, VC says it needs electricity. Ontario, Ontario and natural gas, right now they're saying we just need it for peaker plants.
00:23:34.040How is, and I look at this really closely, I actually, I'm so nerding out on electricity at times, it's kind of embarrassing.
00:34:01.680That industry has been around longer than almost anyone in Alberta has been alive at this point.
00:34:07.520I just think it's interesting that all the bonanzas that I've been around in this province for oil and gas, no one ever put their hand up and said we should stop.
00:41:24.740Actually, I do think Alberta's government has cried wolf a fair bit in the last few years in huffing and puffing at Ottawa without actually doing anything to fight it.
00:41:34.700Like, you know, we pass turn off the taps legislation and don't turn off the taps.
00:41:38.600We're going to take wine out of the liquor stores.
00:42:04.000Yeah. To get into the context of all of this, I mean, your comment about the world, what you're saying is the economy's cooling down, China's cooling down. All accurate. We've got a war in Europe that has dramatically changed what the trajectory is for traditional oil and gas companies and their role in this.
00:42:27.700accidental buying direct, you know, air capture. These are really new things evolving.
00:42:37.520The, I mean, we haven't even talked about the U.S. and the incentives to do renewables and the
00:42:43.080incentives to transition. It's, you know, if we didn't have companies being able to pick up the
00:42:50.160investment, the credit, the emission credits here, they would have gone to the states last year. So
00:42:55.560So how long can we stay competitive? I don't know the answer to that. The other big hole for us is we don't produce turbines and we don't produce the solar components. Why don't we? The fact that, and we didn't allude to this, that our Minister Schultz is in Germany, which is fantastic, looking at a new geothermal technology that's originated in Canada, but it's being built in Germany.
00:43:18.620Why is that being built in Germany? I wonder why. Absolutely, we have to stay current with1.00
00:43:27.500what's going on. But the fact that Alberta and the prairies have been producing oil and gas
00:43:33.720and have been an economic engine for this country for the last 25, 30 years is relevant.
00:43:42.400it. So I don't, I don't think we're, I don't think we're clinging to the past like this.
00:43:49.780The market's really changed. You can't, you don't go to UC to get a petroleum engineering degree
00:43:55.160anymore. It's changed. The world's changed. We're moving with it. But for us to keep on
00:44:03.360beating ourselves on the chest and saying, you know, we're the dinosaurs protect us.
00:44:08.480I, that's not what we're doing. We've got a really good thing going here with renewables.
00:44:14.400Great. We figured it out. We've got a system that allows it. Let's pause, figure out what's going on,
00:44:20.720make sure that we can sustain this, make sure we can continue to make this operable and share what
00:44:27.120we know and build an economy based on that. I, I get the fighting. I get the public spectacle
00:44:34.640of all of this, but it really isn't helping any of us. And I, you know, I think that both sides here
00:44:43.120are playing the same game. And it's a script that we've all gotten comfortable with and accepted.
00:44:49.120I don't accept it anymore. I'm sick of it. I'm really sick of it. And my kids don't watch that.
00:44:55.680They go on with their lives in renewable energy and oil and gas and other stuff here in Alberta.