00:01:24.220I just, the roads in Calgary, too many crazy drivers, and I find I'd rather take the train, gives me time to collect my thoughts.
00:01:34.200But at the train station, it's been two weeks in a row now where I've had a hard time finding a parking spot.
00:01:40.440Like, it used to be empty, and I guess it's a sign that summer's over and people are going back to work and starting to take the train again.
00:01:48.540but I had to drive around for about five minutes today
00:02:17.240All right. So let me start with a quick observation. And maybe this will make sense when I'm done talking. But I went to a town. So I live in Rocky View County. I live in the country northwest of Calgary proper and a little town hall in my area on Tuesday evening to discuss a gravel pit application.
00:02:43.840So somebody, a German company, Heidelberg, I believe they're called, wants to propose a gravel pit in Rocky View County.
00:02:55.640And there's already three gravel pits in the area, and the gravel pits fundamentally benefit Calgary, right?
00:03:03.040The gravel comes, it's close to Calgary, convenient.
00:04:09.220now in the area this area i bike around there and i can tell you there's a lot of uh forever
00:04:17.260canadian signs in there and and there were some of those people there and when i challenged them
00:04:21.880i'm like you're pissed off that your local government is could be overruled by edmonton
00:04:28.200why are you not pissed off when your provincial government is overruled by ottawa crickets right0.62
00:04:35.580So got that. And then the second thing that started upsetting me at that place is that when I talk, if the proposed gravel pit was smaller just by a local company or local outfit, I think the dynamics would have been different.
00:05:20.600there is no benefit to me locally but we could move that gravel pit you know 10 miles further
00:05:27.320and the economic impact the cost of gravel might be slightly up for the people of calgary but you
00:05:32.500know what anyway so i'm fundamentally opposed but i'm i'm exposing when i'm discussing this
00:05:38.900with some of the people i just wanted to get you know this is what i do i want people to think
00:05:42.720broadly and and and and so i challenge people i'm like would you be in favor if this was
00:05:48.920a local development instead of a German company and then you get more yeah it'd be okay so I'm
00:05:53.560like all right more hypocrisy because you're you're you're against Germany investing here
00:05:58.680but you want us to go invest in Germany and join the European Union you see what I'm saying
00:06:03.160and then lastly the one that really uh annoyed me to no end was they had I went there to get
00:06:09.140informed and there's a Q&A and so uh we're we're allowed to go to the mic and ask questions
00:06:14.800And one lady, instead of just asking a question, walked up to the front of the stage and basically took command of the microphone and started lecturing and giving her reason why she didn't want the gravel pit.
00:06:28.360And they went on and on about protecting the children and this and that and so forth.
00:06:38.540Like, we're not here to listen to you, right?0.99
00:06:40.340And then all of a sudden the crowd, which was, I'll say it, demographically very, very old, right? These are the people that are living in a bear spa area. Their houses are paid for and, you know, nimbyism is kicking in. They don't want development in their backyard.0.95
00:06:56.440And then when I dared to challenge one of their own, a white liberal lady, because she was just grandstanding, all of a sudden everybody's like, let her speak, let her speak.0.89
00:07:12.040And she was annoying and people were annoyed.0.86
00:07:14.300But because I challenged one of the members of the Klan, now everybody turned at me and started booing me and giving her a stand.0.98
00:07:21.180And they literally gave her a standing ovation.
00:07:23.080So anyways, I witnessed all that and it made me realize that that is definitely a common theme in this country right now, that people are crazy entrenched in camps, like entrenched, entrenched, entrenched.
00:07:42.960And huge amounts of cognitive dissonance is setting in.
00:08:55.460I mean, there's nothing wrong with a summit to invite people to come see projects, right?
00:09:01.380We used to do this all the time, like the, the concept of trade delegations.
00:09:05.220And so I'm OK with inviting people to come and see what we have to offer.
00:09:12.600I found I found the overall meeting, though, a bit interesting with the fact that you had all the premiers there really, you know, applauding Kearney.
00:09:24.580And again, that's OK. They serve their their respective provinces and they want to promote the projects.
00:09:30.960But I found Stephen Harper closing the conference to be a bit weird.
00:09:40.720Stephen Harper's change of heart regarding Carney seems to have been rather dramatic.
00:09:47.220Because I remember Stephen Harper being a keynote speaker at one of the Pierre Poiliev events during the general election a year and a half ago.
00:09:56.220And Harper had no kind words for Carney.
00:10:00.540And then what I found really interesting is some of the projects that were being proposed
00:10:07.200and some of the money that Carney's trying to attract, right?
00:10:09.940He went as far as saying that he wanted to open up four of Canada's major airports,
00:10:16.800you know, Toronto, Vancouver, Montreal, and I believe Calgary,
00:10:21.360to foreign investment or to investment, to more privatization.
00:10:25.840and um i i he got a lot of backlash for that which he should but again it's watching the online
00:10:36.800mental gymnastics of people applauding it like if if i had asked almost any canadian
00:10:42.100four years ago would you be in favor of privatizing the airports and risking that the cost of travel
00:10:50.640could go up further would you be in favor of that i'm pretty sure that four years ago
00:10:54.440people would have said no, no, no, no, no. But for whatever reason now, whatever Carney does
00:11:00.220these days, people are applauding him more than they are than criticizing him. And so I don't
00:11:07.520know. What's your thoughts on that, folks? Should airports be more privatized? I mean,
00:11:13.280I'm having a hard time understanding what would be gained by doing that, right? If the idea is
00:11:21.580that an airport currently, I mean, here's how the airports are managed right now.
00:11:33.380And then the airport authority, whoever's there, follows federal guidelines, rents the
00:11:42.980land from Ottawa and built an airport.
00:11:47.940So the airport already is privately owned, but it's following rules, but it's privately owned, but it's run as a not for profit business.
00:11:57.580And I think that's the biggest change is that he wants to turn airports into for profit entities and allow more investment, which would mean that somebody could in principle, somebody could use an airport and build, I don't know, a better restaurant and amusement park at the airport and try and get some dollars from from people that are
00:12:17.860transiting through the airport. But if the airport needs to be upsized because there's increased
00:12:23.400traffic, I think Ottawa could easily spend that money and recover that money through the airport
00:12:31.080fees and charges. So I don't understand. I don't need to. I just answered my own question. I don't
00:12:37.100need to understand why Carney makes these kinds of statements. Carney's making all these kinds
00:12:41.660of statements just to distract, just to appear like he's doing something. And at the end of the
00:12:48.820day, I'm not fundamentally worried because no matter what the liberals have been announcing0.96
00:12:53.280in the last 12 years, they suck at executing on anything. Yeah. So, you know, I'm, I have a joke0.91
00:13:02.160among my friends, whatever the liberals announce, short it, right? So if the liberals announce that
00:13:08.280they're going to invest in Air Canada, short Air Canada. If they promote something, whatever they
00:13:14.540promote, short it. And don't worry about it because they are absolutely terrible at any
00:13:20.420kind of execution. I mean, look at all the promises that have been made by the Liberals in the last
00:13:24.660year and a half, right? 500,000 homes to be built annually. Like, we're already stalled on that. I
00:13:33.100I mean, we're less than 200,000 housing units starts this year.
00:13:43.680Like last week when we talked about the icebreakers.
00:13:46.100Well, that promise goes back to like 2009.
00:13:49.560Nothing got built and they made it again.
00:13:51.320And I don't think anything will be built.
00:13:53.040I don't even think the rail cars that they said they would build out of Thunder Bay will get built.
00:13:56.780That's how bad they are at executing on stuff.
00:14:00.520uh all right so Carney does his uh does this announcement in Toronto and then quickly gets
00:14:06.820on a plane and flies to Brussels and uh goes and sits in front of the European Union and uh
00:14:17.480before he gets to speak he gets welcomed now let me I think most of you understand what the
00:14:23.820European Union is but let me just repeat it right so the European Union goes back to like
00:14:30.900the 1970s like 77 some people think of it as a as a as a modern creation but it's a pretty old
00:14:38.180creation and it's a it's it's a union so 27 countries belong to the union it started as
00:14:46.680less than that and then and then they added countries over time and then some have left
00:14:50.800Right. Everybody's familiar with the Brits leaving the European Union, you know.
00:14:58.300But so the EU is, it's more than just countries coming together, though, because it's countries coming together, but it's countries coming together and building a separate parliament.
00:15:09.240So in Europe, the European Union has its own parliament.
00:15:14.460And so each member country sends people to the parliament.
00:15:35.260well i was just thinking about this whole eu business and the uh our option one voters
00:15:44.380in this province who want the status quo need to be made clear that there is no status quo anymore
00:15:50.880no matter what you do because if this really happens the status quo that we have enjoyed
00:15:57.240is no longer the status quo yes no i 100 agree and and having your your i was
00:16:05.200about to go there in my in my speech but if we join the eu uh it's not a trade agreement right
00:16:12.760we're joining a group and agreeing we'd have to send uh members to the european parliament and
00:16:19.960then we would have to agree to a new set of rules like the eu dictates rules like um i don't know
00:16:27.120you know agricultural rules right they dictate the levels of of antibodies and cattle stuff like that
00:16:35.040So we are already having interference from Ottawa, and now we're going to join the EU without a vote, without even being consulted.
00:16:45.680Look at all the protests in France and the Netherlands from the farmers blockading their parliament buildings and throwing manure everywhere because of the nitrogen regulation.
00:17:24.700I think it just entrenches the sidekeeper.
00:17:27.420I think the independence minded people will be more firm in that resolve because we're not European.
00:17:35.540And the people that want to stay as part of Canada, I think, are already kind of OK with the Europe thing, because a lot of them just have Trump's arrangement syndrome.
00:17:46.680Right. Like Trump is only here for two more years.
00:17:49.660It boggles the mind that we can't just find a deal and then renegotiate it in two years when he's gone.
00:17:56.340or we can't just get something yeah we're at the very least just wait him out and don't do anything
00:18:02.860right i mean we could have just waited out trump if we wanted well i don't know trump is kind of
00:18:08.940pushing the issue because there's a lot of irritants on their side yeah yeah you know like
00:18:12.820our dumping of chinese field products and the forest border and the drug trafficking and the0.92
00:18:17.520chinese money money laundering and the the military cooperation and the police cooperation with china
00:18:23.100and all the stuff that's annoying them, right?0.95
00:18:25.760They were putting the tariffs on to get us to come to the table
00:18:29.980and start resolving some of those arrogance.
00:18:32.220And instead, we've given them a double middle finger
00:18:35.520and are trying to talk with the European Union.
00:18:39.220Like, this is not a good long-term strategy at all.
00:19:21.040I live in Rocky View County, I got the Rocky View County, I got my provincial government, Ottawa is my federal government, and now I'm going to have my European Union Parliament, like I'm going to have four levels, and am I going to have to pay taxes to the EU as part of this?
00:19:37.040because in Europe, they do pay taxes to the EU.
00:19:40.260I mean, these organizations don't fund themselves, right?
00:20:03.500So, like I said, I gave the example of cattle,
00:20:06.300But the European Parliament could pass a law that says, you know, we want whatever, you know, 50% electric cars on the roads by such and such a date.
00:20:18.180So that scares me that it's potentially a fourth level of government.
00:20:24.520And then the EU does other things like they share a currency, which is why Britain wanted to leave, which is why Norway never joined.
00:31:49.520so joining the EU pushes towards that,
00:31:51.700and then the other endgame is what's happening at home.
00:31:54.880If you want to piss off Donald Trump even further than imposing counter tariffs on him and mocking him and everything else, then you sign a deal with Europe, which will aggravate Donald Trump.
00:32:07.360And Donald Trump bit again, this escalated. So this week he signed another executive order. As I had as I hinted at last week, he has now formally banned government U.S. government agencies from buying Canadian goods.
00:32:25.400so the U.S. government cannot buy Bombardier jets
00:32:33.960they can't buy boats from us, ammunition from us, food from us
00:32:38.560so that's not, it's an interesting way around the tariff
00:32:43.200I don't know how much goods the American government consumes
00:32:48.160but I'm going to guess it's in the trillions of dollars
00:32:50.520and if a lot of it came from Canada, that's it, that's a big hit for us
00:32:54.480So anyways, I think I think we killed the EU discussion, but I I had to talk about it because it is on the news and it's been interesting to watch people do their mental gymnastics trying to justify joining the EU when when in fact there was nothing stopping us from doing trade with the EU.
00:33:14.800We have a great agreement with them. We can trade with any country we want, but we just haven't.
00:33:20.360And by the way, it's very interesting also to, like I said, not every country is in the EU, right?
00:33:32.040And I think that in the Alberta context, that's really important because Norway is often mentioned as an example of what Alberta could be like, right?
00:33:38.700They're almost identical in size and population.
00:33:43.140Economies are based on the same things, but Norway does far better than us.
00:33:47.320and people at the end of the day say that the big overwhelming difference
00:33:50.280between Norway and Alberta is that Norway is not landlocked.
00:34:55.220And then Elections Alberta had their website and the data started coming in.
00:34:58.720The data didn't fully come in until about 10 o'clock.
00:35:01.700It was pretty quick, two hours to count.
00:35:04.120And I was actually plotting as the night was progressing.
00:35:07.940So right off the bat, as soon as the polls closed, the first thing that Elections Alberta published was what they call the special ballots.
00:35:18.560So those are the mail-in ones, basically.
00:35:22.900And there was something like 900 mail-in ballots.
00:35:29.060And immediately, right out of the gate, the NDP led after just the mail-in ballots.
00:35:35.620like it was something like 600 to 300 so pretty big uh gap right out of the gate so on paper uh
00:35:44.180in the mail-in ballots the um yeah scroll down please john to the very the mail-in ballots are
00:35:50.820at the very bottom it's the last ones uh there they are so mail-in ballots was uh oh special
00:35:59.460ballots you have it right there actually it was it was less than i thought 279 111 so 279
00:36:05.540for the NDP, 111 for the UCP. So 430 special ballots. Those are the basically the mail-in
00:36:11.220ones. And then after that, I started plotting as the different polling stations were reporting in.
00:36:19.700And you could see that by the time about 50% of the polling stations had reported,
00:36:26.000the overall count had flipped and the conservative was in the lead. And then the conservative
00:36:31.120have maintained the lead right until all 68 polling stations were reported. Got a caller
00:36:40.280on the line. Let's go to the caller. Go ahead. Where are you calling from? Your name, please.
00:36:46.420Good afternoon. Mr. Marty, can you hear me? Yes, I can. Now I can hear you.
00:36:53.860Okay. There is a bit of a time lapse delay in our speaking.
00:37:01.120Okay. One of the previous callers, since I got called away, was mentioning the boomer era. I am also coming up to 70 years, and I have noticed that within my circle of acquaintances, those who are in this age group, if they've had no computer skills in their life,
00:37:29.660They solely depend on all of their information from media, from CBC, CTV, global.
00:37:40.220I also have found that entering into any discussion with them, they are immediately closed off.
00:37:48.760They have no open window to discuss whatsoever.
00:37:53.720Yeah, that's, oh, did I lose the caller, John?
00:42:44.760if you were, if you're 24 years old in 1980, compared to being 24 years old in 2026, it's a completely different future, man, like completely different future. Anyways, we're going to run out of time, which is crazy. So I just would go back to the, so let me finish on the election, because I actually wanted to talk about the by-election a bit.
00:43:11.000But so the elections, as the pollings came in, the conservative took the lead.
00:43:15.860And then all of a sudden, the last polling station officially is all the advanced votes, because now you don't just vote on the Monday, right?
00:43:23.220You can vote for like days leading to the election.
00:43:25.860And when they when they revealed that number, all the pre-election votes, boom, the writing flipped again and the NDP won it by whatever, 500 votes.
00:43:36.240So you got on the day of the election, you have a trend.
00:43:39.580So all the voting on the day of the election favored the conservatives, all the voting by special ballots and advanced voting favored the NDP by a large margin.
00:43:52.580And my question to people was simply this, was this just an anomaly? Is this always how it's going to be? Like, you know, that the left is very good at mobilizing people to do the advanced voting and the special ballots.
00:44:11.300but more generally speaking are you shocked by the election results is this just what because
00:44:19.040it's common during um it's a common way for people to send a message to the politicians right so was
00:44:26.520this just the way because if you look at it it kind of appears as if the conservatives didn't
00:44:31.160go out and vote okay the ucp didn't go out and vote nearly as much because this writing was a
00:44:36.440big, strong conservative riding in the last couple of elections.
00:44:41.080Now, mind you, Calgary Shaw is in the very far south end of Calgary, and it's where the
00:47:44.040So much so, and I guess, you know, just last week, coincidentally, the U.S. Supreme Court struck down mail-in ballot restrictions.
00:47:58.680So Donald Trump tried to get mail-in ballots, whatever, restricted because we've seen this pattern.
00:48:08.880The pattern at the U.S. election two elections ago, the Joe Biden election had the similar pattern.
00:48:14.500When you when you plot what happened with with Calgary Shaw, like when you plot the two trends, you've got the UCP and the NDP, you know, neck and neck.
00:48:24.580And all of a sudden, boom, a big flip at the end when a bunch of mail in ballots are revealed.
00:48:29.120And the same thing happened in the Joe Biden election.
00:48:31.660There's a there's a famous image, a graph that people often share with that.
00:48:35.520Anyways, Trump, in preparation for his upcoming midterms, tried to get that curtailed a bit, and he was unsuccessful.
00:48:48.440The Supreme Court voted it down, rejected it, saying, you know, basically mail-in ballots are constitutional.
00:51:17.240So you're basically saying that paying, that being ignored by Ottawa is okay, that the fact that there's, you know, that your vote doesn't matter, that on election night at 8 p.m. when the polls close here, you already know the results because Eastern Canada has voted.
00:51:36.360you're okay with that you're okay with uh your your cpp payments overpayments going to fund
00:51:44.340to subsidize people in nova scotia and new brunswick you're okay with your employment
00:51:49.620insurance benefits uh subsidizing somebody over there you're okay with gun bans you're okay with
00:51:55.560everything that's happened for the last 121 years as far as you're concerned confederation is just
00:52:01.680perfect. Peachy fine. And so you're going to vote for option one. And by the way, if you vote for
00:52:06.880option one on October 19th, what do you think Carney's going to do the next day, right? Like
00:52:12.260he's worried about our referendum. And so he's signing the MOU and he's throwing a lot of carrots
00:52:18.340our way. But if we vote option one on the 19th, what do you think he's going to do? He's going to
00:52:25.040say, well, Albertans are easy. They don't want any change. And I'm just going to keep doing what
00:52:30.680i'm doing so back to electric vehicle mandates back to net zero back to emission caps back to
00:52:37.420all of that so but if you vote for option two you're voting at this point to send a message
00:52:45.540to ottawa and you're voting for us to for danielle smith to start working on a proper referendum
00:52:52.940and if we start working on that then we need that that better plan of what it's going to look like
00:52:58.440in the future but i'm still glad that groups have put forth these plan i i will study them uh in
00:53:05.640detail in the coming days and we'll talk about it more next week but the idea that an independent
00:53:10.200alberta would have to spend about 200 to 400 billion dollars is ridiculous i mean we've said
00:53:16.680this before the day after a referendum vote it's business as usual we have to start negotiating
00:53:22.200with with ottawa on the separation they owe us 335 billion dollars that's our share of the cpp
00:53:29.820we owe them our share of the debt so we negotiate that we buy the airports we buy the national parks
00:53:37.180and uh and then we sign up to some temporary agreements like we'll keep using their currency
00:53:45.000or maybe we use the american currency do i need to go out overnight and build uh canada alberta
00:53:51.620embassies all over the world no i don't so i can't see why these these big numbers all right i got
00:53:58.060one more call you probably the last call this afternoon how are uh where are you calling from
00:54:02.420what's your name please uh-oh oh did you just hang him up john or he hung up by accident uh
00:54:14.560i don't have a clock on my screen john i got about five minutes right i um
00:54:20.420four minutes okay four minutes um what all right so anyways my my simple you know um
00:54:31.380think of it that way really think about that so option two you got nothing to lose by voting for
00:54:38.120option two on october 19th and right now the best thing you can do it well apparently is to get a
00:54:45.140mail-in ballot that's the other side is getting a bunch of mail-in ballots but make sure you get
00:54:49.460out and vote but the most important thing you can do on that day is call your kids call your
00:54:54.360neighbors call somebody and get them out to vote even if you think they might not be voting the
00:54:59.900way we want to get them out to vote like go out and vote uh in the referendum and uh it's it's
00:55:06.340just that important this could be one of the most important referendum most important elections as
00:55:11.820an albertan right like i've said it how many times do does our vote not count in a federal election
00:55:17.720Well, this one could be one of the most significant votes of your life.