00:03:09.360But you have to understand the man that you're negotiating with.
00:03:12.080And apparently, our strategy is to walk up to the biggest guy in the league, slap him across the mouth, puff out our chest, and announce that Canada will not be intimidated.
00:04:07.580Because in 2025, even after Canadian trade diversified somewhat, 71.7% of all Canadian
00:04:16.100merchandise exports still went to the United States. 71.7%. That isn't a trading partner.
00:04:23.920That's the gravitational center of the Canadian economy. And Carney wants Canadians to believe
00:04:29.120that retaliating against that market demonstrates strength. No. Strength is understanding leverage.
00:04:35.560Strength is knowing the difference between what you want and what you can actually compel another country to give you.
00:04:41.880Strength is refusing to confuse national pride with economic strategy.
00:04:46.300Donald Trump can hurt Canada far more easily than Canada can hurt Donald Trump.
00:04:51.340That's not anti-Canadian. That's math.
00:04:54.320The United States has more people, more capital, more domestic demand, more industrial capacity, more military power, and more bargaining leverage.
00:05:06.020Canada's great economic advantage has never been our ability to overpower the United States.
00:05:12.200It has been privileged access to the United States.
00:05:16.320And if your government strategy is to jeopardize that advantage because you think Canadians will applaud you for standing up to Trump,
00:05:22.260you had better have one hell of a plan B.
00:12:56.260Use diplomacy and make the case directly to American businesses, governors, members of Congress, consumers who benefit from Canadian trade.
00:13:04.780At the same time, diversify aggressively, build pipelines, build LNG terminals, build ports, build mines, build transmission, build processing facilities, knock down interprovincial barriers, make Canada the easiest place in the G7 to invest.
00:13:21.040Get our products to Europe, get them to Asia, get them to India, get them anywhere someone wants to buy them.
00:13:27.640For years, politicians in central Canada have treated energy as some dirty Alberta obsession.
00:13:33.220Now suddenly they're discovering that depending overwhelmingly on one foreign market might be
00:13:38.140dangerous. Economic independence isn't saying kiss my ass. Economic independence is having
00:13:45.040somewhere else to sell your stuff after you say it. And that's the part Doug Ford seems to be
00:13:49.760missing. Because there is also something dangerous happening psychologically in Canada right now.
00:13:55.520We have been confusing anger with patriotism. The angrier you are at Trump, the more Canadian
00:14:02.420apparently you become. Elbows up. Where does that end? Because economic nationalism has a habit of
00:14:09.420sounding wonderful right up until the unemployment numbers come out. Patriotism means wanting your
00:14:14.860country to succeed. It does not mean demanding that your country undertake economically self-destructive
00:14:20.000policies because they make you feel good for 15 minutes. Well, but then there's Daniel Smith.
00:14:27.020Because while Doug Ford is running around talking about throwing everything in the kitchen sink at
00:14:31.100the American, Danielle Smith is asking an apparently revolutionary question. What happens
00:14:36.820after we throw it? Smith came out yesterday and rejected calls to tax or restrict Alberta oil
00:14:42.400exports to the United States. She was unequivocal. She said she could not imagine a more disastrous
00:14:48.600policy decision than cutting off or taxing Alberta oil. And she's completely right. That's exactly the
00:14:55.340distinction I'm talking about. There's a difference between having leverage and setting your leverage
00:14:59.740on fire. Alberta's oil is leverage. It's enormous leverage. Roughly 4 million barrels of Canadian
00:15:06.500crude move south into the United States every day. Canadian crude accounts for nearly one-fifth
00:15:11.900of American petroleum consumption. That matters. American refineries, particularly in the Midwest,
00:15:18.380have been physically designed around processing heavy Canadian crude. That's important. These are
00:15:23.780jobs, refineries, pipelines, communities, and entire regional economies on both sides of the
00:15:29.040border that depend on that relationship that matters so naturally the elbows up crowd looks
00:15:34.980at one of alberta's most valuable strategic assets and says you know what we should do tax it
00:15:40.120restrict it maybe shut it off brilliant this is the economic equivalent of noticing that you have
00:15:47.840a really good hand in poker and immediately throwing your cards into the fireplace danielle
00:15:52.680smith understands that's something that apparently doug ford does not when you weaponize a commercial
00:15:58.280relationship, you change the nature of that relationship. Smith put it very simply. If Canada
00:16:04.220takes an action against American energy supplies, we should expect an equal and probably more
00:16:10.100forceful reaction. Suppose Canada slaps a massive export tax on Alberta oil. Americans retaliate.
00:16:17.840Fine. Who gets hurt? Alberta does. But it obviously doesn't stop at Alberta. Eastern Canada imports
00:16:24.240refined petroleum products from the United States. Gasoline, diesel, aviation fuel. Ontario and
00:16:30.200Quebec are connected to the American refinery infrastructure too. So now Canada has deliberately
00:16:36.020turned a deeply integrated continental energy system into a weapon and we are betting that
00:16:41.320the Americans blink first. And what is exactly the basis for that confidence? Smith warned that
00:16:47.740an escalating energy fight could cost hundreds of thousands of Canadian jobs and push American
00:16:51.740refiners towards alternative heavy crude supplies, including Venezuela. This is the strategic
00:16:57.360insanity of using energy exports as a political weapon. You get one shot, one, and after you fire
00:17:03.740it, the customer spends the next 10 years making sure the gun is never pointed at him again.
00:17:08.700That's why Smith's position is actually more hard-headed than the people screaming about
00:17:12.600retaliation. She isn't saying Alberta oil is unimportant, she's saying the opposite. It is
00:17:18.500too important to squander. And look at the numbers. Alberta exported nearly $111 billion worth of oil
00:17:24.780to the United States in 2025. $111 billion. And someone wants to explain to me that the
00:17:31.620patriotic thing to do is deliberately disrupt that trade. Who's petroleum? The workers? The
00:17:37.620drillers? The welders? The engineers? The small town business owners? The provincial treasuries?
00:17:42.660Because once again, the people proposing these grand dressers are usually not the people whose
00:17:47.280livelihoods are being put on the negotiating table. Jason Kenney has now joined calls to
00:17:52.380consider using energy exports as leverage on the very same day, essentially the same day that he
00:17:58.780announces a new partnership with the Canadian Chamber of Commerce, taming up with former NDP
00:18:04.020Premier Rachel Notley to defend staying in Canada. And the entire provincial NDP is moving in that
00:18:11.700direction. Doug Ford wants everything on the table. Danielle Smith is saying, no, oil stays
00:18:18.720flowing. There's something deeply ironic about Alberta having to explain free trade to the rest
00:18:25.840of Canada. For years, we begged for pipelines. We begged for market access. We begged for export
00:18:31.580capacity. We begged Ottawa to understand that selling energy into one market was a strategic
00:18:37.060vulnerability. Build West, build East, get to Tidewater, sell LNG, sell oil, find Asian customers,
00:18:44.540find European customers, diversify. And for years, Central Canada has treated that argument as if it
00:18:49.960was some pericule Alberta complaint. Now suddenly, everyone has discovered the danger of depending
00:18:57.700on the United States. Great. Welcome to reality. If Alberta has one dominant customer, America has
00:19:05.140leverage if alberta has five serious customers competing for its energy alberta has leverage
00:19:10.020canada has leverage it's that simple and yet canadian governments have spent decades making
00:19:15.460that harder even today trump is publicly talking about keystone xl well another project the smith's
00:19:23.380west coast pipeline is being explored as a way to move out more alberta crude and this brings
00:19:30.740us to the question that i think is becoming much more important than anybody in alberta wants to
00:19:37.300admit what happens on october the 20th because on october the 19th alberta is voting on whether we
00:19:45.220should remain a province of canada or whether the provincial government should begin the legal
00:19:49.860process required to hold a future binding referendum on independence now smith has been
00:19:54.420unclear about when this will happen says maybe in the spring i think she says probably not in
00:19:59.300in the spring because there's laws that well you wrote so uh yeah we'll get i don't know if we'll
00:20:05.540get into that but uh if option two wins uh danielle smith has said she intends to move fairly quickly
00:20:11.900towards that binding vote fine we we know what happens if option two wins if canada enters one
00:20:18.120of the most consequential constitutional debates in its history alberta has to respond alberta has
00:20:24.620to define what independence actually means there are negotiations there are questions about debt
00:26:48.520What happens when Ottawa and Alberta fundamentally disagree?
00:26:52.340These are legitimate questions and federalists should want to answer them, but they won't because they don't have the answers.
00:27:00.560If Canada cannot make a compelling case for itself without demonizing the people asking questions, Canada has a much bigger problem than one referendum.
00:27:10.480Danielle Smith now says herself that she is voting to remain in Canada.
00:27:14.760She has defended holding the referendum anyways, arguing that hundreds of thousands of Albertans demanded a resolution and the province needs clarity about what Albertans actually want.
00:27:24.560I think that's important, but the problem already exists.
00:27:28.960The referendum reveals it and doing what the NDP and some of the Federalists want by canceling the referendum won't make the problem disappear.
00:43:02.800what does Kearney do do we get a national energy strategy we know the budgets have been atrocious
00:43:09.820we're running massive deficits they're desperate for money where are they going to get it how are
00:43:15.300they going to get it there's only one way to get it fast and that's to come after Alberta that's
00:43:20.980to come after our resources that's the tax the crap out of us to pay for services that aren't
00:43:26.340paid here Albertans as of right now as of I think the last time I did this was 2024-25 numbers
00:43:32.460But we pay about 15% of all federal taxes, like all the money that goes into the federal coffers, 15% of it comes from Alberta. And there's about 11% of the people of the Canadian population that lives here. So every time that there's a federal transfer, a fiscal transfer, it's 11%, 11.6 or whatever.
00:43:52.780Like, so there's a discrepancy of, well, if you think about every dollar in federal tax, 4 over 15, that's 25%, 20% of every federal tax dollar that Albertans pay just goes to everyone else and we don't see it back here.
00:51:38.460The Canadian federal government is captured by the CCP.
00:51:42.220Alberta independence is the only way to save a piece of Canada.
00:51:45.880And I actually think that's a good point. And I haven't read the article recently, but our publisher, Derek Fildebrandt, wrote a very, very thoughtful column where he taught where he reminisced about what Canada meant to him, about what, you know, he was an army brat, grew up, you know, all over the country.
00:52:01.960And there is a certain way that this country has gone in the last 10 years where it's almost recognizable, not only on an economic level, but on a cultural level.
00:52:16.900It's hard to explain. I think you get it.
00:52:19.580But we have seen a loss in certain values, values like hard work, entrepreneurship, innovation.
00:52:31.240like why would you create something if you're going to get taxed to sell it like at the rate
00:52:37.220that we're getting taxed on it's it's brutal cp cb fixes all 9202 says her only move is to
00:52:46.260implement the firewall letter immediately to push for alberta sovereignty yeah actually i think
00:52:54.620there's quite a few things that she can do um let's start with is it still up
00:53:11.340yeah like and i think the frustrating part is that
00:53:24.620The anti-Alberta independence sentiment, the Canadian pride at all costs, is permeated not just through the public sphere in the rest of the country.
00:53:41.220I think that it has firmly entrenched itself in the Alberta legislature building.
00:53:44.340I think the concept of standing up for Alberta against federal intrusion, which is, in my opinion, the absolute baseline of what a new deal should look like, is off the table as long as we have this attitude.
00:54:00.100It's amongst the cabinet ministers. It's amongst the staffers. It's amongst maybe not the backbenchers, but that's kind of what I see is a situation where Smith is being pulled one way by forces within her party.
00:54:16.640And then the professional conservatives, as I like to call them, now that they've burned Pierre Polyev's chances at prime ministership to the ground are now being hired in senior government positions after four months of experience in a losing cause.
00:54:31.860I mean, if they won, we'd be having a different conversation entirely, but they lost.
00:54:35.860So we have this. It's it's it's the culture.
00:54:38.920The culture in the legislature does not adhere to standing up for our province.
00:54:45.420even the bare minimum like the firewall letter which we haven't seen any of them implemented we've
00:54:51.500seen certain aspects you know looked at uh but at the end of the day like pension plan for example
00:55:03.740we released a report fumbled it and then uh moved forward we get a call on the line let's go to the
00:55:09.380hi there hello how's it going hi this is bridget i'm good how are you good
00:55:18.280okay all right i'm just wondering what you think that daniel smithson that could have done
00:55:24.200differently when she got elected like i worked for her campaign i really believed in her and now
00:55:31.780i'm just like incredibly disappointed where i know she seems like she got body snatched
00:55:36.820Like, she was still against a nationalized energy program, but now she wants the taxpayer to foot 90% of the bill, you know, which is pretty much just nationalizing her energy.
00:55:50.920And I think, well, this is an opinion more of a question, I guess, sorry.
00:55:55.940i think that um she really she made some major mistakes when she got elected and she kept so
00:56:03.720many bureaucrats that have been entrenched in edmonton for so long and i think that happens
00:56:09.480to all the politicians that we elect i don't know what do you think yeah i i that was what i
00:56:13.740experienced when i was up there i mean the people that i brought with the most were the ones that
00:56:18.540were there for the longest and and they're it's hard to get rid of them because of the unions
00:56:25.800but is what i was told it's what i was told that's what i was told but i i think that's the issue is
00:56:32.720like you have in certain departments especially more social departments they're bureaucrats
00:56:40.060they are more uh supportive of ndp policies than they are of ucp policies and so that work
00:56:48.360for the ucp yeah and then you get like cabinet staff caucus staff that are younger they're easier
00:56:54.240to you know push push around the feedback that gets to the minister is skewed in that direction
00:57:01.840and then that creates issues of the cabinet table when it comes to decision making but you asked
00:57:06.960what uh what she should be doing differently and and i don't think it was anything there yes there
00:57:13.860needed to be more of a clean clean house um i think that's part of the issue um but i i do think
00:57:20.760that uh what she's done um or what she did what she was elected to do which was the alberta
00:57:28.300sovereignty act the provincial priorities act which was designed at least to look at every
00:57:33.700single agreement we have with the federal government and determine which ones were good
00:57:36.820and which ones were bad 90 of them if you're following the formulaic you know like did we get
00:57:42.900all of our tax dollars back those those that that's not the case like i'd say there's a lot
00:57:48.420of them that are just like you know it's a grant for fireworks for municipalities or whatever like
00:57:53.380i'd say i think that's like 90 of the agreements we have with auto but the big ones they and i'd
00:57:58.600like to see her be heart like there was a moment a couple weeks ago where we were talking about
00:58:03.700um private health care like uh not necessarily privatizing health care but creating an avenue
00:58:10.920for individuals to get a hybrid yeah the hybrid model and uh you have federal ministers federal
00:58:18.340minister saying you can't do that according to the confeder to the canada health act and smith
00:58:22.320saying it's our jurisdiction and that's an area where yeah she said it but like drive yeah push
00:58:29.380like i honestly like yeah i don't know i i'm sure the bureaucrats will laugh at me for saying this
00:58:34.520but why don't we challenge the canada health act in federal court like i mean i get it it's an
00:58:39.380agreement that we signed to but health care is provincial jurisdiction and the canada health
00:58:44.260transfer is another ripoff we again we pay 15 percent of all federal taxes collected they
00:58:49.820transfer us back 10.6 11 percent based on our percentage of the population and this is our
00:58:57.180area of jurisdiction like every probably even worse than taking on the mail cartel
00:59:02.140like they're calling so many lobbyists for the medical industry for the cousins that have been
00:59:09.080hired by the liberal federalists for that bureau and that bureau i bet you that's even well and
00:59:16.020the lobbyists too right like there's i mean there's like the lobbyists that all have even
00:59:23.160the most conservative lobby organizations have former ndp mlas or mps on senior positions like
00:59:31.800this is these are the people that get to the officials that make the decisions like you don't
00:59:36.880get to them they just think you know oh yeah this constituent email we think are gonna yeah we hire
00:59:44.720the people that we think are gonna fight those people and then they get into the system and
00:59:49.200they're just got so many little nitsicking nd peers in their ears saying well that's not really what
00:59:56.560people want but no you are a minority in alberta and then essentially our conservative premier
01:00:04.080start talking like a liberal and it only takes yeah if i can jump in too i i was in washington
01:00:14.800yeah i was in washington a little bit uh like in july and i had a a former uh senior level
01:00:21.600official with uh i think it was the newt gingrich uh when he was a speaker of the was he the he was
01:00:28.400the speaker of the house i think um he said the one the people that you need to be the most concerned
01:00:34.000about are the professionals the professional conservatives because what they'll do is they'll
01:00:38.480come in they will consult they will bleed you dry and they will leave you dead on the side of the
01:00:44.400road because everything they suggested was a terrible idea and i think that's the big issue
01:00:49.600that smith has right now is the professionals are in the legislature they are the ones who
01:00:55.280err on the side of caution i don't want to read um yeah like yeah they like they're the ones that
01:01:05.200are advising the premier and her her team to do what they want and they're the they're the ones
01:01:11.560that like yeah they they've been in and out of the federal conservative party over the last
01:01:16.20010 years again no election victories um they were part of they were the ones that drove jason kenny
01:01:22.920the ground during covet it's the same people like they and so they'll go to the lobby firms and then
01:01:27.640they'll go back into the legislature and then they'll go back to the lobby groups then the
01:01:31.080lobby groups will get in and they'll you know they're working on behalf of a company we want
01:01:36.520to do an announcement and then the press secretary all he cares about is getting the podium and being
01:01:42.520able to do the announcement so you can get the press coverage and i think that's one of the most
01:01:48.280challenging things to deal with uh in dealing with this government so um yeah yeah well if
01:01:56.920there's one thing i have faith in it's albertans for sure i think they do not like being played
01:02:03.800yeah it's it can be frustrating i like what you guys are doing on your show though it's very good
01:02:08.760i appreciate that thank you okay hang out i'll let you okay sounds good thank you very much
01:02:18.280All right. I saw. Have a good day. Thank you. And David Wim here says Alberta will make a free trade deal with the U.S. independent.
01:02:27.360Now that that caller is offline, you can call in. Alberta will make a free trade deal with the U.S. independent of eastern Canada.
01:02:35.200Thank you very much. And yeah, that is very much why the free Alberta strategy should be playing a bigger role in the way that this premier is governing.
01:02:44.340The free Alberta strategy is very clearly outlines that the province, in order to best represent itself on the international stage, should engage in negotiations independent of those of the federal government, because we can't trust Ottawa to take us seriously straight up.
01:03:00.960We just can't like they only use us for leverage when they need to, as is happening right now.
01:03:07.320and the fact that it's it's just a never-ending cycle of crap so yeah um what else have we got
01:03:18.940here alberta needs to pull out of supply management yeah i agree i think supply management is the
01:03:24.780biggest i hate paying six bucks for a jug of milk i hate paying twelve dollars for a block of cheese
01:03:35.080knowing that i mean i go drive through rural alberta and you see a dairy farm it's like whoa
01:03:41.160look at that that is like fancy stuff it is a it's class warfare in ag is what it is and it's
01:03:50.860government controlled the government controls the amount of milk and dairy products that are
01:03:57.140produced they do so so that they can control how much the producers make it has nothing to do with
01:04:03.820the cost of the product for the consumer the consumer they don't care about the consumer this
01:04:09.320is all about protecting interest polyev in fact came out in support of supply management saying
01:04:16.280that it should absolutely never be on the table um carney's pretty much said the same thing and
01:04:22.540and i'll give jason credit kenny credit where credit is due no more no more than what is due
01:04:27.760i will assure you but he's even come out and said that it needs to be eliminated i mean now
01:04:35.44010 years later but i mean it's it's one of those things and then he turned around and blamed stephen
01:04:41.760harper for the fact that it's still in effect so yeah that's an old one out of the liberal playbook
01:04:46.880there jason western canada has been played since 1905 says waniska 5324
01:05:58.640But because we're Canadian and because our mainstream media is so adamantly in line with the liberals, you don't get that.
01:06:13.280And I will say one thing before we go, because we are actually past clock.
01:06:19.520But one thing that I do think that this referendum is going to have an impact in terms of the public discourse is long run, it will code Canada as a left wing country.
01:06:35.800There aren't enough conservatives that are standing up for Canada in the way that people are, you know, feeling good about.
01:06:51.040And in Alberta, I think there was a decision recently made to revisit the flag policy in schools.
01:06:58.600And obviously, Berta Prouddad, he was on Cory Morgan yesterday.
01:07:02.920And I think that decision, from what I heard, was made because Cabinet didn't want the inflammation of the situation.
01:07:12.520They didn't want to deal with the backlash.
01:07:16.380I think a bunch of teachers flying pride Canadian flags would be more benefit to the Alberta government and to the, well, maybe not to the government, maybe not the press secretaries probably hate that.
01:07:31.100i don't give a shit about the press secretaries though so uh sorry um but in terms of just
01:07:37.680positioning i think it would definitely code canada on left and right and that i think is where
01:07:45.880the divide is it is very much that canada is not a conservative country it is the growing disbelief
01:07:55.900that it ever will be again if an if a free enterprise conservative like Pierre Polyev
01:08:01.400gets brushed aside at the mere mention of Donald Trump then maybe this thing's over
01:08:05.840maybe we're just waiting for somebody to to vote to leave and maybe that's Alberta maybe that's
01:08:12.400Quebec I don't know their elections coming up we'll see but it's I see that there's an American
01:08:18.340in there what does that say William Roble I'm an American and live in Texas and I support Alberta
01:08:24.200to independence see i knew we had one thanks william that's exactly it like there's a certain
01:08:30.580degree of and there's another one canada's inferior complex will sink it like that's
01:08:38.460exactly the point we are an inferior country we are not great we are a middle we we've got
01:08:48.440prime ministers that are bragging about being a middle power there's no ambition to become great
01:08:54.060i mean i we get we got participation medals from the hockey at the gold medal games
01:09:01.580at the olympics so that was something we can be proud of i guess i mean we're not even the best
01:09:06.680at what we're supposed to be the best at anymore
01:09:09.360we're not a great country we need to stop acting like we can do the damage that we think we can do