Join the usual suspects as they discuss the upcoming Conservative Party of Canada National Convention in Calgary, the upcoming leadership review of Jason Kenney, and much more. Plus, a look at the latest on the independence movement in Alberta.
00:01:24.200Okay. Well, it was just yesterday we had, there was a huge rally and petition signing event held at the Big Four on the Stampede Grounds in Calgary for Alberta independence.
00:01:40.840This is almost certainly the biggest independence rally in Alberta history.
00:01:46.260We'll be talking about that event, the media's coverage of that event,
00:01:49.800and where things are going in the effort to get a referendum launched in Alberta on independence.
00:11:28.480that it doesn't matter what mr carney says we live right next door to the united states we do
00:11:34.32090 of our business with them about eight times what we do with china you can't just turn that
00:11:39.200around on a dime and start doing something different he made that point in his response
00:11:43.760to the davos speech so i wouldn't be looking for anything other than we've got to fix it
00:11:49.200up with the americans somehow and trump's only got three more years uh david um
00:11:54.800Um, I was just, you know, kind of making fun of early election speculation columns, but
00:12:00.400I think it is reasonable speculation right now.
00:12:03.560One poll has got the liberals at 47%, which is damn, damn high.
00:12:08.540I mean, uh, I don't, I don't really see the need for an election.
00:12:13.840I think Carney is going to get his majority without an election.
00:12:16.860I don't think he needs an election to get a majority.
00:12:18.360You got, you know, he's very demoralized new Democrats sitting there.
00:12:22.840You know, you could look to a conservative, a conservative MPs who are, you know, at the end of their political career or something, and they can say, whatever, I'll take a cabinet spot and maybe I don't get reelected because I'm in a hard conservative writing.
00:12:33.900But, you know, that's a good way to finish my political career.
00:12:36.380Then I can go lobby or conservatives in marginal seats who are fearful of losing their seat as conservative.
00:12:42.860Maybe they'll actually have a better chance as a liberal because the liberals are higher in the polls right now.
00:12:46.120I agree with that. He might get his majority one way or another, but there is some serious speculation.
00:14:44.400So when you've got 25% of delegates voting against you, can you honestly go forward as the leader and say, I'm the best part, I'm the best choice for this party?
00:14:53.320I think he does better in 75. 75, 77, 78 is kind of a kiss of death number, at least in Alberta. That was the number Stelman got. He survived the leadership review, but he was ousted within a year. It was the number that Alison Redford got. She was ousted within a year.
00:15:09.620So you get to fight on, but not necessarily for that long if you get those kinds of numbers.
00:15:14.620I think he's probably going to get higher than that.
00:15:16.700So I think he gets through this weekend unscathed.
00:15:21.280Probably not with the numbers he would otherwise expect into the 90s.
00:20:38.600um dave did you watch uh the video from there i've seen dave's videos they were excellent yes
00:20:44.620what stood out as the main uh well just the overwhelming number um you know i i i don't
00:20:53.280think there's there's no doubt they're going to get enough signatures right there's there's
00:20:56.680absolutely no doubt about that so behind the scenes if they want to succeed then they need
00:21:02.480to be making their, their, their plans on the day that the government announces the, the, uh,
00:21:08.660the, the petition has passed that somebody comes out and becomes the leader of this independence.
00:21:14.840Yeah. Uh, because right now you've got petty squabbling between, uh, various people, uh, who
00:21:21.500are, are all claiming to be leaders to be, none of them right now are going to win the, win the day.
00:21:29.920So they need to, you know, I've said this before, they need to, when the petition is ratified by Elections Alberta, they need to have a press conference and say, this is our leader.
00:21:41.880And I would hope they're smart enough that those discussions are going on behind the scenes.
00:21:47.120Yeah, Naito, this seems to be the big question hanging over it right now, is leadership.
00:21:56.140I'm not sure it could just be a noitant.
00:21:58.000maybe it could be, uh, hard to say. Normally, you know, when we have had Quebec referendums in the
00:32:05.960Who do you think are the leading contenders
00:32:08.880to lead the no campaign, the Federalist side?
00:32:12.760Well, I'm not sure there's the same necessity for somebody to personally represent that side of the campaign. All I've got to say is, I just don't want any change. Nobody needs to articulate that for me. The people who do need to have a leader, we've just spent 20 minutes on it, is the independent side. Yeah, they've got to have a focal point.
00:32:33.480But if anybody can go out there, and you've mentioned three people,
00:32:38.920we're all keen to do so and say, we just shouldn't change anything.
00:33:30.880side i don't think so really to be completely honest i've been just thinking like you guys
00:33:34.660have more about the independence movement they need a charismatic leader that people can actually
00:33:38.100look to to see what they have to say so maybe cory should get out of the desert and step up
00:33:41.520then maybe he's already ruled that out not a chance uh another name to bring up though who
00:33:48.440we haven't who's been kind of quiet on this so far is mark carney you're the prime minister of
00:33:52.980this country with a budding independence movement within it and i don't know what so much coming in
00:33:57.220opposition to the independence movement because that would probably just inflame it further
00:34:00.860but something of an approach trying to you know reach out to albertans and say guys i think this
00:34:06.960isn't the route you should go this is why the future is bright with not going that path the
00:34:11.260thing that we've seen a lot in in this so far was the difference in attitude in 1995 when again
00:34:16.180everybody was saying please go back please don't go right now the federalist forces are saying you
00:34:20.540aren't allowed to go or you're rednecks if you want to go or you're selfish if you want to go
00:34:24.120So that attitude is pretty different, which is fine as an independent supporter, because I think that only helps build the base.
00:34:28.940But as a national leader, Mark Carney has got a bit of a responsibility then to quell this movement, to convince Albertans why this isn't the path they want to go.
00:34:37.800And so far, he's held his tongue on this.
00:34:39.580So we'll see if he comes out more vocally and trying to make that case for why the status quo should be maintained, because he hasn't done anything yet.
00:34:47.140yeah ironically he's in a meeting uh this afternoon with uh david eby and daniel smith
00:34:54.980yeah and i think the topic of discussions will be pipelines i assume so um if if we get a pipeline
00:35:02.020going uh before the end of the year i think that would kill off any independence uh vote possibly
00:35:08.900um because i mean that would end the ottawa's against us i don't know what he says uh you know
00:35:15.700It would have to come along with the lifting of the tanker ban and stuff like that.
00:35:20.480But Danielle Smith seems to be happier with Kearney than she was with Trudeau.
00:35:29.020And she's sort of saying, you know, I know what's going on behind the scenes.
00:35:35.820So I think she's very optimistic that she's going to get pipeline approval by the fall.
00:35:42.140And if that is the case, I think that's going to take a good chunk of wind out of the sails of the independence movement.
00:35:49.060Just to make sure, Mr. Carney is pushing ahead with the gun grab so that if Alberta does vote for independence, it will be a disarmed Alberta, he would hope.
00:35:59.760Yes. Well, I don't think they're getting many calls from Alberta to say there is my gun.
00:43:41.300Very interestingly, our new Ontario legislative reporter, we've got Jeremy, he tells us that the Ontario PCs have banned the media from covering their convention.
00:43:57.580Now, it's not the first political party to ever do it.
00:43:59.860I know it's happened in Alberta before, and I think it was Tom Korski of Blacklocks who snuck in.
00:44:06.540yes we smoked into the kitchen and listened to literally a glass on the door yeah so uh guys
00:44:13.900you could like it says ralph klein tried it and failed in the 90s because an intrepid reporter
00:44:19.300put a glass against the door and listened in on the whole thing you've got thousands of people
00:44:24.560at this thing all with recording devices in their pockets you're not going to keep anything secret
00:44:32.340it uh i don't know what doug ford's trying to do the ontario pc party is the shittiest political
00:44:38.220party in the country it is the most vanilla of pull of of vanilla parties whenever you want to
00:44:44.020know forget whatever they vote on at policy resolutions whatever they're going to do is
00:44:47.560whatever the polls say they should do whatever is going to make doug you know give doug ford a one
00:44:52.400percent bump in the polls that day that's what they're going to do i don't know what the hell
00:44:56.560they're trying to hide um anyway uh we wouldn't be the western standard if we took no for an answer
00:45:04.000so stay tuned all right gentlemen uh nigel david dave and mr sunshine
00:45:13.120thank you very much and uh john on the studio thank you very much thank all of you for joining
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00:45:28.400can read us with your morning constitutional uh thank you very much for joining us today