The Drill - Scheer Resignation! - December 12, 2019
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Summary
Andrew Scheer suddenly resigns as Conservative Party of Canada leader, and no one saw it coming. What does that mean for the rest of the party, and who will replace him as leader? And who will be the next leader of the Conservatives?
Transcript
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You're here with The Drill and joining me today is the Western Standards publisher Derek
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Vildebrand and Western Standard digital editor Paul Holmes and of course we have the big news
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today Derek about Andrew Scheer just suddenly resigning no one saw it coming no one so a
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little bit of background obviously there's been a movement to remove him what else do
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we know at this point of the day it's 1130 Pacific time on Thursday December 12th
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well there's obviously been quite a bit of a movement to remove him from the
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leadership of the party we started getting some word yesterday that in the
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review that was being done by former cabinet minister John Baird it it was
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about to come to light that Andrew Scheer had been using party funds to pay it
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whole or a part it's not yet clear for his children's private schooling now just
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just to be clear is that is that is that confirmed or is that the rumor that has
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now been confirmed today but that was about to break likely today where the
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Western standard was not able to confirm and on the record source so we did not
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run with the story but we knew the press gallery in Ottawa was hurrying around
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trying to confirm it as well it probably would have been a pretty big knife and
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shear at that point I don't think party members who are giving money to win
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elections would be happy to see their donations going to pay towards so it's
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private school right for someone who's lived in government resident got
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mansions government mansions for a decade and it's obviously got the money to pay
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for their own kids schooling if they don't want to send them to a public school
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you probably remember in BC I believe I think it was Christy Clark that had the
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the party was paying a stipend for her clothing allowance a fairly significant
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clothing allowance and and that's not unprecedented it's not unprecedented for
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parties to talk something up but in this case members were not told about it it
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was done secretly it's it's a it's a not widely known fact actually that members
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of the Conservative Party of Canada have no say whatsoever how the money is spent
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even the elected National Council party it's actually run by a shadowy
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organization called Conservative Fund of Canada right which is more or less just an
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appointed shadowy group it's the fundraising arm right it's not just the
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fundraising arm it gets to decide how the money is spent and so there's no
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accountability to the and we were on a bit of attention but there was a fairly
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significant story about to break and coupled together with really shaky caucus
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support and very large numbers of members saying he should go with this about to
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come I think the decision would have been made late last night that this this blow
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would have been very painful even if he could survive it there would be more coming
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so Andrew Scheer this morning addressed the Conservative caucus informed him he was
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resigning and then stood up right afterwards in the House of Commons and and said he's
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out there we go one and done but he's gonna he says he's gonna stay as the as the
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leader on an interim basis now that he's given a notification of resignations
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actually up to the conservative caucus to decide if they want a new interim leader
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or not it's not up to him it's up to the caucus my guess is the caucus is
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probably gonna fall in line and let him have this on an interim basis until the new
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leaders chosen but we'll see if certainly the he commanded the support of the
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previous caucus and I don't think it's changed a whole lot in this this
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Parliament so yeah so I I suspect that's probably gonna be the I suspect he'll
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survive till the replacement is chosen yeah and who's that gonna be Derek
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Maxime Bernier I think I saw the Western Standard has put forth ten names don't
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know how long that one's been already prepared actually that was written that
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article came out either the very first day or the second day of the Western
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standards existence there we go that was written some time ago we just
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essentially replaced it and put it back up not much has changed the only thing we
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would probably add to the list now is maybe Don Cherry should be on that sure
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sure yeah I know this well so we could talk about the people on that list a
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little bit maybe what I'll do is I'll just list the the the folks that are being
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speculated and we could talk about the ones that maybe are not on there we have
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Brad Wall former Saskatchewan Premier Rona Ambrose the former interim leader of the
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Conservatives who of course did a very respectable job everybody sort of seems
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to agree how about Jason Kenney Premier of Alberta Michelle Rample has a as a
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popular following obviously very very significant on social media I'm not sure
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about Maxine Bernier at this point but he's on there he's on the list
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Max has done bolder things so as crazy as it is it wouldn't be the craziest thing
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he's attempted to do absolutely Peter McKay that's you know waste from the
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wilderness he'll be on any short list for the next conservative leader as long as he's
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still draws breath absolutely John Baird takes a lot a lot of a lot of checkboxes
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for electability Aaron O'Toole of course ran against Sheeran Bernier Pierre
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Pauliev that's an interesting one I I'm I'm not sure about that one either and
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then Candace Bergen I noticed that James Moore is not on the list number 11 way oh way out of there
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yeah I mean James Moore's you know he's a respected guy he was a mid low to
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mid-level cabinet minister under Harper jeez I can't think of a I'm not
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including Jagmeet Singh as a British Columbian he parachuted there to get a
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seat and that's fine that's a national leaders do that's okay the the last
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British Columbian I can remember correct me if I'm wrong but I can't think of a
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British Columbian leader of a national parties it's Kim Campbell yeah probably and
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and how'd that go barely well I'm not blaming BC I'm looking to Kim Campbell
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yeah there's been a few NDP leaders I think the Johnny Johnny McDonald was
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representing he did a Jagmeet Singh he needed a seat and he went out to
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Victoria he was from Kingston but yeah I suppose no but I thought
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Victoria's recently repudiated its history with Sir John McDonnell so you don't get to
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claim it anymore since it took the statue down yeah yeah I didn't personally
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take the statue down just for the right I heard you didn't all right so um so yeah
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do you want to talk about some of these these folks or should we leave that for
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well we gotta you know some people said when we posted this article they said the
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body's uh not even cold yet well that's because we wrote this a month and a half
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ago uh but we you know it's obviously very topical we put it out um I I need to
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like uh well Maxime Bernier but I don't think it's happening uh actually I talked to
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Max this morning uh we're gonna be doing uh an exclusive with uh him on his
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reaction but big surprise he's not coming back to run uh I actually think he did win
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last time I I the results were destroyed before they even announced it I thought
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I I think they were rigged I uh I don't think he's gonna try his hand again
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I I don't uh I mean that was so close that you know anything is possible
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it's like I I how do you feel about Epstein as well as that
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I'm not being that conspiratorial well no no Epstein did not kill himself
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like you don't you don't get into you don't get into inside job twin tower stuff
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by thinking Jeffrey Epstein I think you are a conspiracy theorist if you think he did kill
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him so um but I don't know I uh you know I think Rempel can make a strong run she's very
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popular in uh in Alberta here especially around Calgary what about Brad Wall I uh I've always
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respected him a lot well it'll be interesting I mean there was a lot of kerfuffle last time
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about if there should be another western leader in a row I mean uh if you look at kind of the
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broad historical lay of things you had Preston Manning Stockwell Day Stephen Harper and then
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it was like well can we have another western leader and if you can if you include Andrew
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Shearer as a western leader I mean like he's spent the vast majority of his career in Ottawa but
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you represented us so sure um but we had a so we had another western leader you know Saskatchewan
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being our little brother province um so that raises questions you know uh about an Ambrose
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a Kenny a Rempel a Wall I really like Wall um I think he's probably have to have a bit more than
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he deserves like he was a good premier of Saskatchewan but he wasn't this great reforming
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libertarian conservative but he did a good job turning Saskatchewan around but I I think there's
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going to be a lot of pressure to elect someone not from the west in this in this leadership
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because if if we're kind of going through if the chronology goes to the reform party not the PCs
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there's been western leaders since 1988 and uh so I I think Ontario is good Ontario or the east in
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general is going to seem to want to have its turn in this leadership race so so if it is Ontario uh of
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course one candidate that ticks every box uh is um Mulroney do you think she's uh I was wondering
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which one I mean uh well not not the tv star but the other one well the tv star would be the more
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comparable to our prime minister right now uh I don't yeah Karen Mulroney um I mean it's it's not
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entirely fair to compare her to Justin Trudeau she has actually accomplished something in her life prior to
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politics she's a she's an accomplished lawyer I think in corporate law but I can't say she's an
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accomplished lawyer very intelligent gone on to do a lot of things um of course her family name has given
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her uh profile that she would not otherwise have that's impossible to say it's not true uh but it's
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much less true than it is with Trudeau where it was just simply the golden ticket that being said uh she
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is very much a she is the definition of a Laurentian elite just on the Tory side of things uh so I I don't
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think Westerners would be pretty happy uh the last time we had a Mulroney uh we got the reform party out
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but will she run I don't know I mean she ran for the Ontario PC leadership did decent uh obviously didn't
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win yeah you know there's you know there's been a lot of phone calls to her this this morning so oh yeah
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I'm sure it's being chatted up uh it is possible that um she will I I I could see it as conceivable
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she runs uh as the the Laurentian candidate I think uh the punditocracy has been saying that the
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Conservative Party is too Western which drives me crazy they didn't even run on even minor tweaking of
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equalization they didn't run on very much that was particularly strongly Western uh Westerners are generally
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willing to vote for the Conservatives because uh they'll screw them less badly than the other main
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parties right um but you know thank your island you're your own little world there um which is
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kind of what I love about you guys yeah it's it's adorable it's it's a greenish orange yeah so uh but
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yeah I know you could see someone like Carolyn Mulroney run as someone that the media like because she she
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checks the boxes of an alarm and I don't want to take she's a very smart and capable woman but she's
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not particularly conservative well and she's certainly not uh Western in her outlook a lot of
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people and I would say in particular a lot of people in Ontario that are party supporters and and beyond
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are going to be looking at electability that's where I think um you know they're going to be looking for
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somebody moderate centrist somebody like her somebody like Peter McKay um you know I think uh I think when they
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when the uh when the first polling numbers come in we're going to see names like that near the near
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the top um you know in double digits anyway so well electability is important it it tends not to be at
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the top of my list when I'm looking at candidates which is perhaps perhaps why I didn't make a
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particularly good politician is I I just I vote for the most conservative the most Western candidate
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every time can't imagine uh electability factors in but it's not in the top five yeah all right I don't
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want someone who's going to get us nothing but uh you know it they want someone who's going to appeal
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in the GTA and in Vancouver and Montreal and Quebec I mean you can do well with that if you're not winning
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suburban Toronto you're not winning right that's the new sort of logic oh yeah that's our Ohio and
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Florida you don't win that you're not in government that's exactly that's it but uh but I don't know
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if I was the conservatives I would be very leery of picking someone who's not going to be very closely
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attuned to western concerns right now uh westerners voted for the conservative party of Canada in
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overwhelming numbers in the last election but they also did in 1988 and then in 1989 they started
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electing reformers and by elections and senate elections uh so they've got to be very careful
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with what to do they're between a bit of a rock and hard place are they going to uh continue to be
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a western party as they're accused of being by the Laurentian media or are they going to be a more
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Laurentian friendly party but risk uh giving an opening to some something new in the west which
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has got a market for it right now but it's not yet there so long as there's a Saskatchewan leader
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so if you had to predict today and that you know I know how much you love to do this who's uh who's
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the front runner or who are the amongst the potential front runners uh when when uh the poll numbers start
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coming out well we just don't know who's going to run yet um I mean the first poll will be speculative
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anyway right yes somebody says explicitly that Jason Kenney will be on there um that being said
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I'm really not sure he can run um I've always thought he would want to uh there's pretty strong
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signs he does I'm not sure he will though for a number of reasons uh the RC I'm not sure how well
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you're following this there but the there are some very serious RCMP investigations going on right now
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that he might get away with in Alberta but could be very damaging nationally where people are less
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willing to vote for a fence post as a conservative candidate uh as well as uh and this isn't really
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this isn't something I thought of as an issue until about a month and a half ago until a month and a
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half ago he could probably have a pretty safe bet of more or less appointing his successor I'm not
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sure that's the case anymore if if he were to vacate the leadership of the Ontario uh the Alberta UCP
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um there's a good chance a separatist could win all of a sudden you've got an independent supporting
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government in Alberta without even an election um and I think that'd be a real danger so I I'm not
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sure he runs I mean it is possible that he does so I think it is his ultimate ambition but I I don't
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think he will because there's some pretty big circumstances lining up against them and as we
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talked about on the pipeline this week you know he is um he's pretty firmly and um um um you know
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he has a lot of fixing to do right now in Alberta and until he does that I don't see him making that
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transition what he would claim is that he has to go to Ottawa to fix these things right I mean that
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that would be his excuse but anyway uh if Brad Wall wins he'd be a huge uh sorry enters the race he
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would be very hard to beat I think he'd be the instant front runner he'd have the support of the west
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but you then have um you know the Laurentian media chirping away that oh this is just a western party
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blah blah blah and well westerners want a western party right now and if they don't get it in the
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conservative party they might look elsewhere there is nothing else right now uh that's likely to break
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through I mean the PPC shares a lot of the values but it's not a western party yeah so but a western
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party can't by definition be led by somebody from Quebec right as much as many westerners might like
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the idea no I don't think it works fair enough all right uh any other comments before we wrap this up
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uh geez um so much right there's a lot it's coming hot and fast uh there's a lot to take in but um
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the conservative party is now going to have a bit of a bloodletting I Andrew Scheer did not go
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willingly I think he was probably sat down by his inner circle and they said do it now or it's going
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to go down bloody I I believe for some time it was inevitably he was going to go I didn't think
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he'd go before Christmas but I think this saves him a lot of grief I think this saves the party a
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lot of grief uh they won't have to spend uh especially since they're in a minority government
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parliament here they have to have a leader up and running as soon as possible to face a general
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election which will come sooner than four years from now and Andrew Scheer hanging on to the
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spring when there was really little chance of him surviving it anyway was not very was not putting
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his party first he's now um uh well I don't think this was necessarily done for the party it's better
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for the party to get this out of the way so the conservatives would be probably wise to have a
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leadership race that wraps up no later than the fall of next year all right well there you have it
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um that is the drill the big news today um I was going to say Jason Kenney not Jason Kenney Andrew
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Scheer vacates the leadership of the conservative party uh so lots more to come uh stay tuned to
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westernstandardonline.com for the latest breaking news as it happens thanks for joining me today