00:05:22.160What then is a clear majority if it's not 50% plus 1%?
00:05:26.620Funny enough, he at the Liberal Party argued that that Quebec by-election was separated by a single vote.
00:05:32.940They argued that that single vote was enough.
00:05:36.880And in that case, it certainly was not because there was all sorts of problems with the balloting so that there was no actual margin there.
00:05:43.760I would agree that if the literal difference was a single vote, and, you know, there's always a little bit of discrepancy.
00:05:51.000You have to have some margin of error for discrepancy in elections.
00:05:54.020You know, some people voted who shouldn't have voted.
00:05:56.500Some people were sent to the wrong balloting station.
00:05:59.320I agree you have to have a little margin of error, so not a single vote, but more or less the principle.
00:07:16.120And she responded twice, outright saying 50% plus one is the bar.
00:07:21.260Then it was that bloc member kept pushing that to get a distinctive answer.
00:07:25.620And both times literally outright said 50% plus one.
00:07:28.200So Carney is in conflict with his own parliamentary secretary on this one.
00:07:33.480And that's the thing to remember is the bloc pushing all this, not Paulie because he's a federalist.
00:07:39.540But if you guys are saying that, you understand that you're telling Quebec that that's where the bar is going to be too.
00:07:44.440And they're not going to take that very well or lightly.
00:07:47.640So there's much more to this than just these things that Carney's putting out.
00:07:52.760He'd better watch the line he's walking.
00:07:54.740They're not afraid of Alberta, but you can certainly inspire a province that's on the brink of electing a pretty Quebec law government to, you know, elect them with a stronger mandate.
00:08:04.360It just adds to the confusion of the whole thing, right?
00:08:22.740I mean, it's not carried all the mush.0.97
00:08:24.440Well, we'll get a little further in the muckiness of the question in a moment, but I want to talk about the bloc.
00:08:31.460This is one of these times where I'm really jealous of Quebecers, and we do this to ourselves.
00:08:36.540I mean, the Conservatives, you know, are the super dominant party in Alberta because they tend to represent, they're at least the least hostile to Western aspirations.
00:08:47.520Actually, Conservative MPs are obviously pro-Alberta, but they're shackled by the national organization of the party from truly representing Alberta in many ways because they're trying to win votes in Quebec, in Ontario, in the BC Lower Mainland, in the Atlantic.
00:09:02.860you know that's why you're you will never see a conservative MP stand up and say why
00:09:07.340do we have twice the population of all four Atlantic provinces but uh but half the senators
00:09:12.660of just uh Nova Scotia you would never see that because then you're gonna get in trouble
00:09:17.860and lose uh voters in Nova Scotia so that's the kind of one of the advantages the bloc has
00:09:23.440but there was uh I don't know her name but some bloc lady uh MP was going on about this
00:14:30.680That's the thing we're certainly seeing right now, for sure.
00:14:33.160There's no easy way to get a yes or no question on that ballot now.
00:14:39.200Now, for the, but if you're going to, if this bizarre consultation before you even ask the question, if that was a thing that was going to be upheld in courts, and it would be crazy.
00:14:51.780And for all of you conservative Federalists who are happy that this happened, this is just applying the duty to consult, which in principle isn't a bad thing.
00:15:03.500It's actually a good thing that, you know, Indigenous groups should be consulted if it affects their treaty rights.
00:16:23.160bear with me for a moment the government of quebec this is a weird okay the government of
00:16:29.500quebec has made public its proposal to negotiate a new agreement with the rest of canada based on
00:16:35.880the equality of nations this agreement would enable quebec to acquire the exclusive power to
00:16:41.940to make its laws levy its taxes and establish relations abroad in other words sovereignty
00:16:47.380At the same time, to maintain with Canada an economic association including common currency,
00:16:54.120any change in political status resulting from these negotiations
00:16:57.020will only be implemented with popular approval through another referendum.
00:17:02.040On these terms, do you give the government of Quebec
00:17:05.120the mandate to negotiate the proposed agreement between Quebec and Canada?
00:17:10.200So Quebec had a referendum to have a referendum.
00:17:13.300It kind of fleshed out what they want as the end goal, which was independence, but still an economic union, sort of, but quasi-independent, sort of.
00:17:24.280That's what they use, the term sovereignty, not independence.
00:17:27.220But it was a referendum to hold a referendum.
00:17:31.020And in all honesty, you know, there would have to be an enabling at the end.
00:17:37.140So say we just had a straight referendum on independence, and then we go through a Clarity Act process, and there's different ways that that could end.
00:17:45.300But ultimately, there would now then need to be some kind of instrument declaring independence.
00:17:50.520So it could even, even a straight independence referendum that was successful this October could theoretically result in another referendum anyway.
00:17:59.440This might just be in a weird way, a way of, it's just a softer way of maybe putting it.
00:18:07.140Because even Quebec had a two-stage, it was, that's a referendum to hold a referendum, and they lost that.
00:18:13.420I'm sorry, doesn't it seem to me that now, they've got all the things they were asking for?
00:21:55.420I mean, we're even hearing now about the Indigenous guys are getting up to challenge this weird, mushy middle question we've got going on.0.85
00:22:03.120Is it going to be allowed even to ever have that question asked and lose it or win it or not?
00:22:08.780That's the debate that's happening in Alberta.
00:22:10.240Well, let's lay the blame where it belongs.
00:36:31.760So you're already on a huge uphill climb to win this thing.
00:36:35.520the other the federalists are better funded better organized more recognizable people as spokesmen
00:36:41.580um and then this side that already is fighting an uphill war proposes
00:36:46.920uh a kind of schlieffen plan here and uh danielle smith is france seeing a quickly knock out danielle0.97
00:36:53.820smith then run a leadership race ostensibly and try to win that it's actually making a three
00:37:00.440front so you have to take out danielle smith you've got to win a leadership race and i don't
00:37:05.260know who the nationalist candidate is for premier at that point you got to win that uh then somehow
00:37:10.220unify the party all before october 19th um so you have left you probably won't even have that done
00:37:18.000by october 19th the referendum comes and goes before that actually happens um and then but
00:37:23.880even if it was done even if they had a no pun intended a blitz leadership race and you get that
00:37:28.940done you've left no time and no resources for actually fighting the referendum in the meantime
00:37:34.480you've got like three or four big organized well-funded federalist camps which are the one
00:37:39.360one here use your analogies yeah you're giving the eastern front four free months of organization
00:37:44.640knowing that you're going to be coming in yeah so you know what do you think is going to happen
00:37:49.840when you start that campaign they've already built the wall you're up yeah and there's no guarantee
00:37:53.920you defeat france in a in a few weeks right like it's smith stronger than france was a lot stronger
00:38:00.800So it's fighting a two or more front war with no time to do it.
00:38:07.980So even if you are really angry at Smith here and you think she's betrayed the Alberta Nationalists from having the right to have their referendum,
00:38:16.140I don't see plausibly how that fixes things.
00:38:21.600I think what you do is like you just you throw everything into the referendum.
00:38:25.440You might hate it. You throw everything into it.
00:45:55.800going with the news, this is how quickly
00:45:58.140we're acting on the news cycle now. Not only
00:46:00.280Are we doing video and written news content and analysis when the news breaks on something like Stephen Gilbeau saying he's resigning from Parliament?