In this episode of The Pipeline, we discuss the results of municipal elections across Alberta and the involvement of union money in one of them. Also, the ongoing scandal around Calgary City Councillor Sean Chu. What has happened, what has been revealed, and what do we know?
00:16:56.860Dave mentioned that, so there's a super PAC
00:17:00.240called Calgary's Future, very benignly named,
00:17:02.960non-threatening named PAC, funded largely by QP,
00:17:06.960and I think maybe one other union, they've put in $1.7 million.
00:17:10.800It was more money for their candidates to spend than all others combined.
00:17:14.900And I think there is, I think I sussed this out a bit in my column,
00:17:19.400that the impact isn't just that they have a bunch of money to spend against, say, the conservatives.
00:17:26.160It's that it helps them form an unofficial political party,
00:17:29.380because there's no political parties here to ensure that each side has only one candidate on the ballot.
00:17:34.660It's a free-for-all. Anyone can get on the ballot.
00:17:36.960and there's not really a way to clear the field of people who would, for lack of a better term, split the vote with you.
00:17:44.480So for the mayor's chair, let's just use that as an example.
00:17:48.580Jody Gondek was the only credible left-leaning candidate on the ballot.
00:17:53.340Any others who came along, they either dropped out like Kent Herr, they saw the writing on the wall,
00:17:57.040or they ran nil campaigns, didn't register above, into the 1%.
00:18:03.320On the right side, you had Jeremy Farkas, but then you also had kind of red Tory-ish type candidates like Jeff Davison, Brad Field, intelligent and credible candidates, but who couldn't win.
00:18:18.440The left had this pack, and they could say, this is our candidate, and they're going to have an overwhelming financial advantage in the campaign, and so you may as well not bother, because they're just going to clear through.
00:18:32.120But on the other side, well, there was no single organization that could point its finger and say,
00:18:37.880Jeremy Farkas is our guy or Jeff Davison is our guy.
00:18:40.920And that meant that the right, whose financing, it was not only just less, was also more diffuse.
00:18:47.980They had to actually get their own donors.
00:18:50.700And so I think that is effectively created a de facto political party, at least on the left in council.
00:18:57.600And I know you had something to say about...
00:18:59.280Yeah, well, I wrote that column on it.
00:19:01.140And I think it's time for a party to come on the conservative end.
00:19:04.280But I mean, that aside, and as you said, there's a de facto one.
00:19:06.860And I believe the sway I said in the column is the only thing worse than an official political party is an unofficial political party.
00:19:20.320And there is a law that, you know, some union members were upset that the way their fees are being used and what political things they were supporting, and the government wrote a law, and the law passed, and it hasn't been officially signed in yet.
00:19:37.000This law was passed by the Alberta legislature.
00:19:39.280It was a UCP bill, and it would require that if unions want to spend money on political purposes,
00:19:46.780that they have to get the opt-in of individual union members to have their dues go into it.
00:19:51.400Traditionally, the union just says, well, we have their money, and we're going to spend it however we like,
00:19:55.480and we're going to spend it on political parties, even if many of our members don't agree with it.
00:19:59.460That bill passed the Alberta legislature, I believe, a long time ago.
00:20:03.340But here's a really weird, niche-y thing about Alberta.
00:20:06.400A bill passes the legislature, and then it goes and gets signed by the lieutenant governor.
00:20:10.800But then it goes back to cabinet, and it's still not the law until the cabinet passes it again and gets enacted.
00:21:28.420This is all going back to 1997, so cast your memories back a very long time, 24 years.
00:21:36.900This is when Sean Chu was a constable with the Calgary Police Service.
00:21:41.160I interviewed Chu yesterday, it's the only interview he's given out to any media, he's issued a few statements, but we had a very long chat, and here's his side of the story.
00:21:52.100He's on duty in uniform, and he gets called to a bar on somewhere near McLeod Trail and 94th Avenue South.
00:22:00.900Inside this bar, a licensed establishment, he meets a girl.
00:22:07.200He assumes because it's a license, it's actually got to be a woman, legally.0.97
00:22:57.140He said there was kissing and touching.
00:22:59.300There was other intimate sex acts, which we won't get into.
00:23:04.640But then all of a sudden, the girl said, look, I want to go home.
00:23:08.520Chu says he immediately took the girl home.
00:23:11.640The girl then files an official complaint with Calgary Police Service alleging sexual assault against Chu.0.98
00:23:21.640That then takes us to seven years of investigations, appeals, counter appeals, charges, more investigations.
00:23:30.640Bottom line is, out of all those seven years, the only reprimand that Chu got was a letter of reprimand for caressing the girl's leg in the pub when he was on duty in uniform.
00:23:42.900Nothing else, no criminal charges of any kind whatsoever.
00:23:48.540Now the story gets murky because other media have reported things like he met the girl at the Husky House downtown, which would just be a restaurant and not a licensed establishment.
00:23:59.460Let's talk about the implications of each of these things as you go through it.
00:24:05.460That would mean that his defense that he assumed she was over 18 because she was in a bar that
00:24:11.580would have required her to be 18, that defense falls apart if it was the Husky House.1.00
00:24:16.540And so CTV and some others, or at least CTV is reporting that it was the Husky House not
00:27:55.360But, you know, his defense was that, you know, if he's in this place that he says is not the Husky House, there was an 18 plus establishment at a certain time.
00:28:06.240Well, he at least has a better case than if not.
00:28:11.460So, but I mean, but if a single threat of this thing comes, and the good thing is, though, that we should be able to check every single one of these facts.
00:28:19.160Chu will almost certainly have to consent to the release of any documents around this to want to clear it up.
00:28:25.920I think the Calgary Police Service owes it to Calgarians to release these documents, assuming that they're legally allowed to.
00:28:34.800Let's see. Was the gun checked in or was the gun out? That's a key part of the story.
00:28:40.060Was this at the Husky House or was this at an 18-plus only establishment?
00:28:44.080Key part of the story. Let's see the documents, see if it checks out.
00:28:48.620Corey, I'm a bit baffled that Gondek and Kenny are swirling around looking for ways to remove
00:35:39.860Yeah, it doesn't take away from the content of the allegations.
00:35:44.240The original documents, the documents that we've seen, I don't think those are shooting offenses,
00:35:49.540but the other allegations that we have not seen documents to back up, they are.
00:35:54.900And I have a fair degree of confidence we're going to see those documents soon enough.
00:35:59.600So, very difficult situation and a massive distraction for a new city council.
00:36:05.520difficult to see how Jody Gondak's going to be able to focus on global warming and federal
00:36:11.980child care in the meantime. Okay, let's turn towards the equalization referendum. Maybe a
00:36:18.600bit of a happier topic than the last. Albertans voted on October 18th. There's no official result
00:36:29.160yet because it's done actually by every single municipality and then forwarded on to the
00:36:33.640province. But what do we know so far, Dave? Well, our Western Standard Election Desk has
00:36:38.560declared it passed with the magic desk that goes up and down. Yeah, our projections show that it's
00:36:50.460going to pass with 60 plus percent. Calgary passed it with 58 percent. Lethbridge was 59 percent.
00:36:58.620The Red Deer and Medicine Hat were way up there at 69%.
00:37:02.620Edmonton didn't want to play with everybody else and they've kept their results secret.
00:37:07.620As Derek mentioned, it will be released by Elections Alberta on October 26th.
00:37:14.620But, you know, when you're looking at all these areas, you can see that it's probably going to pass with a, you know, 60% plus mandate.
00:37:23.620mandate, but Premier Kenney seemed happy with that yesterday. He had initially said all he
00:37:32.380was looking for was 50% plus one, which I think was a bit of a...
00:37:36.900I've got to bridge the side if you believe that.
00:37:38.260Yeah, exactly. He was hoping for a lot higher than this, but his personal unpopularity has
00:37:44.000obviously kept the vote from being where he wanted it to be.
00:37:48.540Yeah, so we don't have Edmonton. Obviously, that's the biggest missing chunk right now.
00:37:52.360We've got a sampling of the medium municipalities, Lethbridge's, Medicine Hats, Red Deers, things like that.1.00
00:37:58.720That gives us an indication of how similar-sized communities and similarly located communities will vote.
00:38:04.300I haven't seen any of the smaller towns, places like Strathmore and Drumheller.
00:38:10.000I haven't seen those, and we certainly haven't seen county-level, the real rural, people who don't live as firmly on the grid.
00:38:19.800I think, you know, you don't have to be a world-class pollster to predict that the smaller the community gets, the higher the yes vote gets for the equalization vote.
00:38:31.940Edmonton is probably going to come in a little bit under Calgary.
00:38:35.680Our polling showed as much when we did it.
00:38:38.760Polling showed still that a majority of Edmontonians would probably vote for it, but it'll be a, but who knows, maybe it'll be neck and neck.
00:38:45.880Maybe even the no side wins by a hair.
00:38:48.440But overall, we're looking at 60% plus.
00:38:52.960I think actually by simply the mechanics of having this anticlimactic announcement a week after the vote diminishes the effect of the vote.
00:41:06.840But it's not going to be the thumping supermajority it should have gotten.
00:41:09.520Again, I think the pollsters and most are agreeing that is due in a very large measure to the extreme unpopularity of Premier Jason Kenney.
00:41:21.180The whole thing was just really poorly executed.
00:41:23.780And even in the best of circumstances, nothing would probably still change except it would make us feel good.
00:41:29.580It just seems like the whole thing was a very big missed opportunity.
00:41:32.220But now, as we said in our editorial the day before this, before the vote, we said on October 18th, vote yes to end equalization.
00:41:47.700But on October 19th, make sure that the federal government doesn't forget about it.
00:41:52.960Sorry, the provincial government doesn't let the feds forget about it.
00:41:57.740Now, I guess we don't have the official results yet.
00:41:59.340You won't say anything until it is official.
00:42:00.820Yeah. But really, what do we honestly expect? Is Jason Kenney, so let's say Monday next week, which is approximately when we're going to have the official results. Is Jason Kenney going to get on a plane, go to Ottawa and, you know, kick Trudeau in the shins until something happens?
00:42:17.500He might do something like that, actually.
00:42:19.060I mean, we're at a point of the latest wave of COVID.
00:44:27.880So if the results from the small selection we've got are confirmed by the rest of the province and there's really no reason to think that they won't be, then I guess those three have to go sit in a special padded room and wait until they get the beck and call from Justin Trudeau.
00:44:47.380The PPC candidates, they had a big slate too, and Maxime Bernier, the leader of the party, came to Alberta to campaign.
00:44:58.320Really didn't translate much at the polls. Their candidates were sitting around 4 or 5 percent.
00:45:03.960Well, percentages are tough for this because you get three votes.