00:00:00.000good evening i'm cory morgan and you are watching the pipeline this is
00:00:28.720western standards flagship show actually our oldest video production and it's a panel show
00:00:35.120where we're going to break down the breaking and top issues and there's just so much going on this
00:00:39.360week and we've shuffled our panels so that we have some different faces to at least one different
00:00:45.120face to talk about these things and yes i'm sitting in our usual host derek phildebrand's
00:00:50.320chair so to get into the issues and i'll just introduce everybody from my right to my left we've
00:00:55.040got our former opinion editor nigel hanaford still have opinions oh yes director of operations in
00:01:03.040food reviews still john sanders fire chief and fire chief may wears many many fire warden
00:01:09.520not chief don't promote yourself well i think yeah you gotta work i have to check what the
00:01:14.080building code is but i am fire something fire warden okay fire warden we're on the fire warden
00:01:19.360and our our ever harried and overworked news editor at the end there dave mailer hey gory good to be
00:01:24.320All right. So we'll get into what's just been breaking out and we're still chewing on. It appears, Dave, that our government's going to have some different faces in the front.
00:01:33.920We have a real-life cabinet shuffle going on as we speak.
00:01:38.460As first reported by our publisher a week or so ago,
00:01:42.280Nate Horner is out as finance minister.
00:01:45.500He's going to retire from politics, apparently.
00:09:19.020But I think that the issue that the independent side has in this very moment is you have a lot of the leadership that are attacking the premier, that are going after the premier for her lack of interest in what they're doing from their standpoint.
00:09:35.060But if she puts a referendum on the table and they continue to attack her when they have a clear objective that they have to hit, you have to win that referendum now.
00:09:43.760And so if there if you see kind of that split where the grassroots membership looks at the direction that the leadership is taking the movement and isn't talking about an independence referendum, it's attacking the premier, trying to remove her.
00:09:55.360You're seeing Sylvester right now pushing people into the UCP like you should be focused on what's coming.
00:10:00.800And that's a referendum. This is mainly not the way you wanted it, but it is very much a showing.
00:10:06.460and perhaps even like having lukhasik's question on the ballot where it's uh not necessarily a
00:10:13.260constitutional question it's a policy question it might lower the stakes a little bit to get
00:10:17.840more people showing up and saying like look actually i want to send a message to the federal
00:10:21.140government i'm voting to not stay in canada because we need to send a message to ottawa
00:10:25.820and maybe that's what happens but i think part of the issue that we're seeing in the independence
00:10:30.220camp is is there even if they get their referendum they're going to turn around and they're going to
00:10:35.400attack the premier and i think that's a missed opportunity because you do have to be driving
00:10:39.880support to get the answer you want on that referendum question no matter what you know if i
00:10:44.840if i may just comment on that uh and you probably know what i'm going to say but it's if if you are
00:10:51.720in the independence camp you have to be really sure you know what you want and why you want it
00:10:59.160uh we can all agree we've often said it from this this this table that the influence of eastern
00:11:06.920canada does alberta no good and it is the values as much as anything that are implicit in the
00:11:13.960liberal governments that we've had which make people just want to turn their back on the whole
00:11:19.720thing all the political correctness all the you know whites not needed for in the army the the0.82
00:11:26.360green stuff which you know is is hokum all of those things are good reasons for albertans to
00:11:31.800be discontented but anybody i refer you to um judge leonard's uh decision on the uh on the
00:11:42.360referendum uh that was to be prompted by 300 000 signatures of angry uh albertans that
00:11:51.400should have been allowed to happen i view her um a decision as politically motivated she probably
00:11:59.080would say otherwise but i that's how i see it so what i'm saying is that you as a bona fide
00:12:07.240peace-loving alberta independence seeker thinking to action the constitutional mechanism that is
00:12:14.760available for a province that wants to leave talking about the clarity act if you think
00:12:20.040that ottawa is going to let you quietly do that and accept the results of a free vote and
00:12:28.120negotiate a peaceful exit with all our money which keeps the rest of canada going so the narrative
00:12:36.360goes i don't think that's i don't think it's going to work out like that so just how much
00:12:41.480do you want to put into this well i think i agree with that sentiment and i think that the federal
00:12:45.960government uh they're gonna interpret the clarity act however they see fit in that moment i think
00:12:53.320that that's going like that kind of creates that deeper resentment and and it may shift a lot of
00:13:00.360people that like we know that there's discontentment towards ottawa i mean that shows up every time we
00:13:06.360go to the polls and elect you know 33 conservative mlas but or mps but at the same time like if they
00:13:13.480continue to take this path it's going to harden support and and yeah maybe uh maybe it's not this
00:13:19.720wave that gets to over the 50 maybe it's the next one like i think they're playing with fire here
00:13:24.040they also have you know potential pq government in quebec to deal with that's watching this like
00:13:29.080none of this is happening in a vacuum and i think the liberals are are hardening something where
00:13:36.120and even this mou i don't necessarily think that's going to help right i mean it's a pipeline by 2034
00:13:42.200is when they're expected to have it completed in exchange for concessions on the carbon well i
00:13:47.720mean they don't get built overnight the key date is approval uh 2027 september right and after a
00:13:55.400year long and only a year long review process but you know i think nigel hinted on it earlier on0.93
00:14:02.360i think smith not a stupid woman she's obviously been optimistic about the pipeline all the way0.92
00:14:08.520through she i think she's uh optimistic she can find a proponent uh and i think she's optimistic0.99
00:14:14.840that she's going to have a have a shovel ready proposal to to to give to ottawa to uh to approve
00:14:22.920by the end of the year uh and hopefully before the referendum and that kills off any hope of
00:14:28.200independence yes i don't believe that whatsoever i mean the problem is another maybe another
00:14:34.040possibly another potential the movement needs a yes it needs to see dirt moving it needs to see
00:14:41.080not more pushing this this thing up i mean i could see progress on this slowing the movement
00:14:47.800absolutely but like as you said maybe knocking it down to 17 i think oh what would happen there's
00:14:52.920the 30 that are done they've had it they're ready to roll but it won't grow if it looks like there's
00:14:59.560progress on that i mean they could get to the referendum and it's going to be a 30 vote
00:15:04.040they're not going to get any closer to that 55, 50, whatever they may think they need.
00:29:12.980There's a lonely Pete Guthrie sitting over in the corner of the legislature who would certainly love to grab a couple of wayward ex-Cabinet ministers or even other discontented people.
00:29:21.360So do you think there's any chance of that sort of gong show erupting?
00:29:25.860No, zero, especially as they're both retiring or leaving politics.
00:29:30.260They say, but I mean, you know, we've heard liberals say they're going home to spend more time with their family
00:29:34.560and then discover they're not like their family when they find a better opportunity.
00:29:37.800Warner coming out as a red Tory would be quite damaging to him and Drumheller-Stettler
00:29:43.760unless he wanted to switch ridings and run somewhere in central Calgary for Guthrie.
00:29:48.120i don't i think corners uh i think he's retiring at the end of this term i think he'll be done
00:29:52.840um if he does go to the what are they calling themselves now the united tory party united
00:29:58.040tory party because they can't call themselves progressive like why don't they just call them
00:30:02.200the red tories like i mean like let's be real here so yeah no i i i don't i don't think i'm
00:30:08.600not worried about corner going to guthrie too much matt jones southeast cavalry riding maybe
00:30:14.920Maybe he thinks he's got to play like if he is one of those, like if the reason he is quitting is because he thinks that this this entire situation is so damaging to his personal reputation that he has to exit stage right as fast as possible.