In this episode of The Pipeline, hosts Derek Fildebrandt, Nigel Hannaford, and Corey Morgan talk about how the ideas of Alberta or Saskatchewan independence have crept into the federal election, and what impact is it having here at home in the West, and in the East?
00:04:32.000Okay. Um, I'm not that upset that talk of Western or Alberta or Saskatchewan independence has entered, uh, the, the mainstream media conversation, uh, John tried pretty hard to get the attention of the media, they're all based in Toronto, Montreal, Ottawa, Triangle, for a Western issue, and, um, and well it is, it's in.
00:04:55.640I mean, this all falls in the context of 51st state talk with Donald Trump, but, you know, Danielle Smith has warned that if, you know, if the next federal government, presumably liberal in the case she's talking about, doesn't take some pretty major action to rectify some of Alberta and the West's major grievances with the federal government and confederation, that it will spark a national unity crisis.
00:05:23.140she has when asked about referendums on independence she has said well i'm not gonna
00:05:29.860call it myself but hey albertans through uh initiative legislation uh have the right to
00:05:34.620start a referendum themselves and they can make about whatever they want hint hint um and then
00:05:40.380uh preston menning was uh he wrote a piece in the globin mail uh stating that uh if if the
00:05:48.960Liberals win, you know, a vote for Mark Carney is a vote to break up Confederation,
00:05:52.240very plainly stating that if Mark Carney wins, Liberals get a fourth term here,
00:05:57.700then it is very possible, and I don't think I'm interpreting it wrong,
00:06:04.220saying potentially desirable for the West to stake out on its own
00:06:09.600and chart its own future independently of Ottawa.
00:06:13.500uh cory uh what impact has this had on the federal election well i don't know if it will
00:06:21.680have an impact on the federal election you know but it's brought it into stark relief if anybody's
00:06:26.720looking at the polls across the country if they're to be believed we've got a red wave of liberal
00:06:32.360support across this country and a great big blue chunk right in the middle like it's highlighted
00:06:37.280that difference of opinion that the west holds on federal politics with the rest of the country
00:06:42.700quite clearly. So, you know, a lot of independence-minded Westerners I've talked to in the
00:06:47.720past, they talk about, you know, oh, the East hates us and so on. No, it's even worse than
00:06:52.000that. The East doesn't even think about you. They're indifferent to you. That's what the
00:06:57.020reality tends to be. And hopefully, at least with that polling, they will realize we're here
00:07:02.500and the West is not impressed with this. But whether it impacts the election is another
00:07:08.020question. You know, if I lived in a different region, I'm trying to put myself in an Eastern
00:07:11.020his shoes, which is difficult for me. Uh, I have a province coming out and saying, you guys had
00:07:16.960better vote this way or I'm going to do that. Well, I know what my kind of nature is. It's like,
00:07:22.480kiss my butt. You don't tell me how to vote. I'll vote how I please. I, this, this election is
00:07:29.680really going to impact the support for Western independence without doubt, but whether or not
00:07:34.040the Western independence movement impacts this election, I don't think it's going to register.
00:07:39.380Well, it is, Nigel, getting at least some attention.
00:07:43.020I don't know if it'll impact it or not,
00:07:44.840but it's certainly getting attention in the commentariat.
00:08:36.640You just know, because of the value difference that there is in the West and in the East, that another disappointment in the West is going to be bad for Confederation.
00:08:54.120You know, go back 40 years and look at what Banning was talking about in this article, and he said, look, you know, we had the same thing in the 1980s, disappointment in the West.
00:09:05.820Well, we launched a campaign, the West wants in,0.95
00:09:09.140and we sort of got the door open enough
00:09:11.480that we could have nearly 10 years of Stephen Harper government.
00:09:15.320That was the West getting in with the assistance1.00
00:11:17.620But Ontario has, at times, when national unity has been threatened by Quebec, voted for the federal party, most seen, at least, as best able to keep Quebec in the fold, make Quebec feel a part of Canada, if you're being less charitable, more to my view, appease Quebec and give it what it wants.
00:11:42.920Ontario was often voted that way. But I don't think ever, and including now, there is a large group of Ontarians who see a threat to national unity coming from the West, discontent in the West.
00:11:58.960I don't know, maybe you discreet the premise of what I'm saying
00:12:03.700but if not, why would Quebec, sorry Ontario
00:12:07.700not follow that traditional pattern that it's had in the past
00:12:11.680of voting for the party, Liberals, most able to keep Quebec happy
00:12:15.700when Quebec is upset. Why would they not repeat that with the Conservatives, with the West?
00:12:20.260Well again, it shows that indifference I was sort of speaking of. They don't even realize
00:12:23.620I think how upset we are out here. They don't think the threat is real coming from the West
00:12:27.980and they better understand when we're polling now over 30% of people considering leaving a country
00:12:33.160and I'm seeing dismissive attitudes on social media from people out there already. Well,
00:12:37.340two thirds of the province doesn't want to leave. Boy, an independence movement consistently hitting
00:12:43.100at 30%. This is before this election is over. That is significant. You better bloody take it
00:12:48.920seriously. If those numbers, I mean, you know, right now Quebec, they're sitting around there,
00:12:53.360but not they come and go a bit again it shows how explosive things can turn out here because yes
00:12:59.400quebec gets pandered to quebec gets attention quebec gets asked to stay they asked what must
00:13:05.220we do to make you feel happy with the federation when we show 30 they say you're selfish you're
00:13:11.220bitter you uh you know you're you're rednecks we get an aggressive response coming back to us in
00:13:18.140the West. And that, of course, will only inflame it further. But again, I don't think it's a wish
00:13:23.700on the part of Ontario to want to see secessionist movements grow in the West. They just don't take
00:13:29.540the West seriously. And that's part of what's built it for a long time, whether it comes to
00:13:34.040attacks on our resources or other such things. And the West thought they were going to get a break.
00:13:40.520They thought they were going to get another Stephen Harper, even if only for one term. I mean,
00:13:43.900We've had nine years of horrific government at our expense.
00:13:47.140We thought, okay, there's the turnover.
00:24:12.280It might not be exciting, but it'll be competent and no big surprises.
00:24:18.600I think a big part of that was it ran counter to the perennial liberal narrative of the
00:24:25.660hidden agenda which i always hoped that stephen harper had and turned out we just couldn't find
00:24:30.200it when i came to it yeah i was very disappointed that that was my very disappointed but uh and it
00:24:34.600worked until the shiny pony uh justin trudeau came around and that wore off perhaps you know
00:24:41.320nigel do you think there is an appetite for boring after because justin trudeau was not boring he was
00:24:46.380not dull and i mean well i think he's got a lot more mental uh chops than just trudeau obviously
00:24:53.020In a way, Pierre Polyev, because he is colorful, because he is charismatic, is in a way, you know, is he maybe working against the desire of voters, if there is a desire of voters, to have a boring bean counter prime minister?
00:25:58.780You know, I've said this before, that very quietly,
00:26:01.660I think Pierre Polyever promises, you know,
00:26:04.500know if you can make it come true or not, of building more homes and bringing housing
00:26:07.360prices down, very quietly, a lot of older voters who are sitting on a huge equity in
00:26:15.220their homes, they've got to look at that and say, that's not in my interest.
00:26:18.880Can I say that of Mr. Carney, too, though?
00:26:22.200I mean, yesterday he was promising to build millions of mouse dorms.
00:26:25.980Well, maybe they are projecting on him the way I projected on Stephen Harper, that he
00:26:29.620has a hidden agenda, that, oh, well, he doesn't really mean it.
00:26:32.520Yeah, there'll be some building, but it won't be so much building that it's going to endanger the value of my home, where we have a real generational divide here.
00:26:41.820And normally it's older voters who vote conservative, younger voters voting for progressivist parties.
00:26:58.740Yeah, so the grandparents who don't have to deal with that, they want to hold on to the limited housing market.
00:27:06.680The parents with their, you know, 28-year-old kids living in the basement, they might be a bit more sympathetic to getting them the hell out.
00:27:17.200Well, let's talk about, before your eyes all glaze over, the notwithstanding clause.
00:27:25.520It's the part of the Constitution that allows Parliament or provincial legislatures to essentially throw out or preempt court rulings that say something is unconstitutional under the Charter.
00:27:38.820And some people on our Senate, it only applies to the Charter part of the Constitution, nothing else.
00:29:40.380Is this something we should take the block up on?
00:29:43.040That we use the notwithstanding clause, not just for Quebec, official bilingualism, but for the whole country, perhaps.
00:29:49.940Well, again, as an independence-minded guy, I'd like to see that constitution and charter challenged quite often.
00:29:55.640And hey, it was that old Pierre who put that notwithstanding clause in the charter in the first place.
00:30:01.280So we're only using the rules that Trudeau's data gave us.
00:30:04.060Well, under some pressure from Alberta's own Peter Lockheed, let us remember, I mean, that notwithstanding clause is actually the provincial protection against the overweening power of a majority in the rest of the country.
00:39:26.100We're not talking about a laptop left on a coffee table that you're, you know, when
00:39:29.580somebody went to the bathroom and somebody snatched as a crime of opportunity, these
00:39:32.800are planned, but the progressive mindset blames the victim.
00:39:36.720as you said you know they're gonna go after the person who uh the gun is responsible not the
00:39:40.820person yeah it's absurd and we've got you know if we want justice reform it's a huge issue and i
00:39:46.380love seeing discussion of it because it's bugged me for a long time but it's also a big issue you
00:39:50.740know so speak of the old onion with a lot of layers uh to begin with though just just getting
00:39:55.300our most violent as probably wants to do and using uh the notwithstanding to do it getting
00:40:00.140those dangerous ones and those sex offenders locked up yeah i'm all for it i think it's start
00:40:04.400i just don't think it's gonna it's not gonna get it because we need it's not just bad judges it's
00:40:10.000police who are overwhelmed by the guy you know i handed the guy they charged him i said what's
00:40:15.200gonna happen next they said nothing he's not gonna show up there's nothing we can do we
00:40:20.960we're gonna need to build bigger temporary prisons and deal with this stuff because it's
00:40:25.680it's killing our communities well it's something else mental health facilities we need nut houses1.00
00:40:29.840again and they don't make not houses great again absolutely i mean they don't have to look like
00:40:34.860they did and one flew over the cuckoo's nest but we need secured facilities and we've been closing
00:40:38.820those down for decades and where do the people that used to reside in them go they're right
00:40:42.940they're over the streets and they're desperate and they're in trouble indeed okay uh well
00:40:48.900let's turn it to our parting shots uh we didn't discuss this in advance so hopefully you guys
00:40:54.020don't preempt uh what i had uh we'll start with you nigel well hopefully uh hopefully we don't0.87
00:40:59.500Look, we had a story this morning about how Kearney supporters steal and vandalize hundreds of conservative campaign signs in Ottawa.
00:41:09.680I couldn't help thinking how very appropriate that was for Kearney supporters to steal the signs after Kearney himself has stolen so many of polyurethyls.