00:00:04.000I climbed a mountain and I turned around And I saw my reflection in snow-covered hills Till the landslide broke Can the child within my heart rise above?
00:00:32.000Can I sail through the changing ocean?
00:41:16.000You can't be everything you wanna be before your time.
00:41:20.000Although it's so romantic on the borderline tonight, tonight.
00:41:29.000Too bad, but it's the life you lead, you're so ahead of yourself.
00:41:34.000that you forgot what you need though you could see when you're wrong you know you can't always see when you're right you're right you got your passion you got your pride but don't you know that only fools are satisfied dream on but don't imagine they'll all come true oh when will you realize
00:42:25.000Now take the phone off the hook and disappear for a while.
00:42:40.000Be in a way When the truth is told, that you can get what you want, or you can just get old.
00:43:00.000Why don't you realize Vienna waits for you?
00:43:08.000When will you realize Vienna waits for you?
00:44:18.000I look to you when I see nothing I look to you to see the true shadow
00:44:45.000You'll come apart and you'll go She got the night
00:46:26.000the stranger that comes on slowly the stranger's heart is out of you put your hand
00:48:00.000What I am not happy to do is have a debate with somebody who has joked about my death, called people who work for me Shabbos boy race traitors.1.00
00:48:26.000He would neither go towards the feeding grounds at the edge of the ice nor return to the colony.1.00
00:48:35.000Shortly afterwards, we saw him heading straight towards the mountains, some 70 kilometers away.
00:48:45.000Dr. Ainley explained that even if he caught him and brought him back to the colony, he would immediately head right back for the mountains.
00:50:48.000I be from the back, she gripping them covers like she on her last leg She look like she belong on a cover, this hoe getting covered in everything I'm gonna have a hypo, take a banana, but she is not getting wet, it rain If he wants to interview Nick Fuente, get the word out It's undeniable.1.00
01:03:11.000Hands in each other's hair We are born for gold
01:07:50.000Chewin' on a pizza, bruh Walking down the road me how long you gonna stay here joe some people say this town don't look good in snow don't care
01:09:49.000No, I have no interest in sex at all.0.99
01:09:53.000I am interested in a total Aryan victory and that. is what gets me off.1.00
01:09:57.000Tell me your friends, I'll tell you your future.
01:10:06.000Give me your friends, I'll tell you your future Ironic, cause the Iceman was a nice man, now I'm hot and cold Way out of dip out of six, run out of six, just like it did
01:10:41.000Shut the fuck up and kill yourself.1.00
01:11:55.000he believed a lion could be brought to heel they have total control that a lion could from his courage be pride over every single thing that the lion himself would learn1.00
01:12:16.000That a line would not care, even if his line died. That the line himself would accept such a deal.
01:12:31.000In the end, it was only to themselves they had lied. I am your voice.
01:18:50.000Ah, now Dad's on the phone and he's lecturing me.
01:19:25.000And asking her way too much Like, why am I still in love? But somebody believes me Way too easy She said, honey, you'll be alright But she gets paid to be nice
01:22:43.000We found a silver lamp glad you're doing so only you could see how i'm being real no way they've been
01:24:17.000One minute since we're gone We're not giving it back.
01:24:39.000You're never getting your menorah back.0.87
01:25:12.000Never tell me I'm gonna, no, never, no, never tell me.
01:25:25.000I'm gonna wake up one day and have nothing.
01:25:34.000What I am not happy to do is have a debate with somebody who has joked about my death, called people who work for me Shabbos Goy race traders.1.00
01:35:29.000All I am is a man, I want the world in my hands, but I stand in caliph toes in the sand, use the sleeves of my sweat, let's have an adventure, head in the gravity center, touch my nuts, yours, you and those
01:36:35.000Not much to say Sometimes the silence guides the lines To move to a place so far away From star to race The minute that my left hand meets your waist And then I watch your face Put my finger on your tongue Cause you love the taste, yeah And these hearts adore, everyone the other beats hardest for.
01:40:48.000Rats came in hello, so fuck this goin', Vogue Big Range ain't no vocal Big Chain just said choker, she like when her neck get choked I know that her boyfriend knows, he told her I laughs like cocaine I know that her boyfriend knows, he told her I ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************* Everything0.99
01:41:27.000is going to the beat, everything is going to the beat, everything is going to the beat.0.99
01:41:33.000As a race, human beings live in existence.
01:41:42.000Death is promised. So what do you do with your life? Your voice.
01:42:33.000in popularity and in political influence than many young men. He refers to his listeners as groipers.
02:06:19.000I'm always a little bit worried the night before the election.
02:06:22.000You never know exactly how it's going to go.
02:06:25.000However, it's looking like all the early signs are pointing towards a total Democrat blowout.
02:06:33.000About a 95% chance they're going to take the House, it's an 80% chance they're going to take the Senate.
02:06:39.000Looking like they're going to run the table, maybe win every single battleground state in the Senate.
02:06:45.000And there's two big new polls out just today.
02:06:48.000Brand new New York Times poll shows the Democrats up in every battleground state.
02:06:56.000Another new poll from Atlas, which was the most, I think it was the best, most predictive poll in 24 and 2022.
02:07:05.000Same story has Democrats winning every single battleground state.
02:07:09.000If you look at all the betting markets, Poly Market, CalShee, they also have the Democrats favored to win every battleground state.
02:07:17.000And take the Senate and the House, their favorite to win.
02:07:21.000If you look at early voting, and I said this last week, I think I covered this on Thursday Republicans are showing up at the same level as 2022 when there was a red wave and Republicans took the House.
02:07:35.000But it's looking like Democrats are showing up at 2024 levels, even bigger.
02:07:41.000These are presidential election level turnout numbers for the Democrats in the early voting.
02:07:49.000And they might have already banked an advantage in the early vote.
02:07:53.000Republicans might not even be able to overcome with a big turnout on Election Day tomorrow.
02:09:46.000They had literally every advantage, even up to and including going into 2026, world's first trillionaire giving them a half of a billion dollars alone.
02:09:59.000Elon, one guy, has supplied a quarter of the total fundraising for the Republicans, $500 million.
02:10:08.000And they still had a pretty strong turnout in spite of everything that's happened.
02:10:14.000So, if Republicans don't win everything tomorrow, and it's looking like it's going to be quite the opposite, again, they have nobody to blame but themselves.
02:12:35.000We're also going to talk tonight about the war in Iran because it's not just influencing the elections, but how the elections go will influence the war.
02:12:46.000The war is the reason that Republicans are going to be destroyed.
02:12:50.000And then the outcome of the election will determine how the war plays out.
02:12:54.000And the latest on the war comes from Tucker Carlson.
02:12:58.000And Tucker swears, I think it's maybe the eighth time this year, seventh, eighth time.
02:13:20.000According to Tucker Carlson, Trump is getting ready to nuke Iran.
02:13:27.000Tucker swears, according to his insider information, that Trump is days away from nuking Iran.0.79
02:13:33.000It's the only thing he can do, he's going to do it.
02:13:37.000Netanyahu is blackmailing his personnel like Pete Hegseth and Bradley Cooper.0.69
02:13:42.000He's either influencing them, blackmailing them, controlling them, but a nuclear strike is imminent.
02:13:48.000And this message from Tucker has gotten 85 million impressions on X at the time of this live stream.
02:13:56.000Something like 350,000 likes, 87 million impressions on Twitter.
02:14:04.000But what is the most interesting about this warning is not even the warning itself, because we've heard this all before.
02:14:11.000We've heard this from this entire crowd actually for years and years, not just about Iran, but about Russia too.0.82
02:14:20.000Whenever these people, I don't even know what you would call them Russian shills, these are third worldists, Duganists, I don't even know what you want to call them.
02:14:33.000But for years and years, whenever these people are trying to harm or roll back or critique the American empire, they're always talking about nuclear weapons.0.79
02:15:19.000And the real message inside of the warning is actually buried deep inside of it.
02:15:24.000Towards the end of Tucker's message, he says the only one actually that can bring us back from the brink of a nuclear apocalypse is JD Vance.
02:17:44.000Well, it's been four and a half years and there's been no tactical nuclear weapons deployed.
02:17:49.000And it's been how many months with Iran and there's been no nuclear weapon here either?0.99
02:17:54.000This is something they're always trotting out.0.95
02:17:57.000And I think in this case, there's a very specific reason.
02:18:00.000They are looking for an angle for JD Vance to salvage his 2028 candidacy.
02:18:07.000If the war in Iran is sinking Trump and through Trump sinking Republicans in the midterms, I think that all of JD Vance's allies understand that if they don't have a very good and persuasive answer for him in the 2027 Republican primary and then the 2028 general election as to what his role is in the war in Iran, then he can never be president.
02:18:30.000And they've tried out a number of different things.
02:18:33.000In the early stages of the war, JD Vance hid.
02:18:37.000And they tried to plant stories in the press that said that he was the only voice in the room against the war.
02:18:44.000And then in the summer, they tried to push him in front of the cameras and get involved in the mediating process so that he could take credit for the peace agreement in Islamabad.
02:18:55.000And now that that isn't working, and now that the midterms are going to be a flop, maybe this is going to be the angle.
02:19:02.000Well, maybe he didn't prevent the war, and maybe he didn't end the war.
02:19:06.000But maybe he stopped the war from escalating to a nuclear holocaust.0.75
02:19:11.000Maybe that's going to be the argument.
02:19:13.000And I think that Tucker and his show and his platform is where they're trial ballooning all of the JD Vance campaign rhetoric.
02:29:15.000The Patrick Bateman thing, in part, because it's these guys, it's like they're waiting all year to dress up and role play and play make believe.0.99
02:32:43.000It says The threat of a blue tsunami is bearing down on President Trump's Washington, with virtually every major indicator forecasting a Democratic rout in Tuesday's elections.
02:32:56.000The probability of Democrats winning the House and Senate is 95% and 80%, respectively, according to election forecaster Nate Silver, whose model projects an average gain of 25 House seats for Democrats.
02:33:12.000So, Nate Silver, you might remember from 538.
02:33:17.000He says Democrats, according to his model, have a 95% chance of taking the House, 80% for winning the Senate.
02:33:25.000And on average, out of all of the simulations, Democrats are going to pick up 25 seats and have a commanding majority.
02:33:33.000Silver says Democrats could now withstand a modest polling error and still capture the Senate.
02:33:39.000Democrats lead in all seven Senate battleground states.
02:33:43.000Surveyed in the final New York Times Siena polls, including by 11 points in Michigan and seven in Texas.
02:33:50.000So there was one final Times poll, and it says Democrats are leading in every state 11 points in Michigan, seven in Texas.
02:33:59.000It says Trump carried six out of those seven states in 2024, although five of the Democratic leads in Maine, Kansas, Ohio, Alaska, and Iowa remain within the poll's margin of error.
02:34:11.000So this is the Times poll Democrats are up by six in Maine.
02:34:15.000Five in Kansas, five in Ohio, two in Alaska, and one in Iowa.
02:34:20.000And that's all within the margin of error.
02:34:22.000Democrats could win 240 House seats under the upper end of Cook Political Report's forecast, potentially their largest majority since the first year of Barack Obama's presidency.
02:34:33.000And Cook Political Report is Republican leaning.
02:34:37.000And on the upper end of their forecast, Dems are going to have 240 seats, which is massive.
02:34:42.000Republicans, I believe, only had 220, something like that, for the past two years, although it went up and down.
02:34:48.000Democrats are, pardon me, I just read that.
02:34:51.000Probability of Democrats winning both chambers of Congress is 73%, according to the major betting markets, Calche and Polymarket.
02:34:59.000And Democrats lead by 14% on the generic congressional ballot in the final poll from Atlas Intel, which became the nation's highest rated pollster after its remarkably accurate 2024 performance.
02:35:31.000Tomorrow's election day, it's going to be a turnout game.
02:35:35.000Democrats already have a massive turnout.
02:35:38.000They're saying that they are turning out at presidential election levels.
02:35:41.000They're at or exceeding the 2024 turnout in early voting already in 2026, especially in the battleground states.
02:35:50.000And so now, what has to happen is that Republicans need to have something surpassing the 2024 turnout on election day if they're going to overcome the Democrats.
02:36:03.000It all comes down to whether or not that happens.
02:36:05.000We have really no way of knowing, although we can kind of tell.
02:36:10.000And where it stands right now, all of these indicators, as mentioned in this article, show Democrats are not just going to win, but it's going to be a total blowout.
02:36:18.000That's the betting market probability.
02:36:20.000That is the polling in the battleground states, the final polling from some of the pollsters like New York Times and CNN.
02:36:28.000It's a generic ballot from Atlas Intel.
02:36:31.000It's some of the forecasting models like from Nate Silver and from some other experts, Cook Political Report.
02:36:38.000Everything that you can look at shows the Democrats are going to have a good night.
02:36:43.000It just remains to be seen based on Republican turnout how good it's going to be.
02:36:48.000And I guess really the big question is whether the Democrats are going to take the Senate.
02:36:53.000They're almost certainly going to take the House.
02:36:56.000The question is how big of a lead they're going to have, whether it's going to be minimal and they win the House, maybe they have a 220 seat majority.
02:37:04.000It's looking like that's going to be the floor, is that they'll have about 220 seats.
02:37:10.000And then out of the 22 toss ups, we'll see how many of them go to the Democrats.
02:37:15.000If they sweep and win all the toss ups, it could be 240 to 245 seats.
02:37:20.000If they win none of them, like I said, they'll still have the majority, but it'll be a very small one.
02:37:26.000And then the question is what happens in the Senate, whether they'll have control over the upper chamber.
02:37:30.000And that depends on all these races in the Senate.
02:37:38.000They're also looking at Iowa, potentially Nebraska, Kansas, maybe even Mississippi, Louisiana, South Carolina, North Carolina.
02:37:48.000Looks like Georgia's already in for the Democrats.
02:37:50.000It depends on how all those races shake out, whether they're going to control the upper chamber.
02:37:55.000And I want to just talk a little bit in general about how things are going to go.
02:37:58.000I'm not going to make a forecast because it's really unpredictable.
02:38:01.000But I do just want to give a final message before the midterms on what happened here.
02:38:06.000I think what we know for a fact is that Democrats are going to win the House.
02:38:11.000It's looking very likely they're going to take the Senate.
02:38:14.000And the reason this in itself is something to talk about is because a few months ago, it was thought to be impossible that the Democrats would take the Senate.
02:38:24.000And some of these races in particular that are competitive, maybe even favoring the Democrats, were thought to be unwinnable.
02:38:49.000Same story in North Carolina and Texas.
02:38:51.000These are solid Republican states that are now either favored to go to Democrats or their toss ups.
02:38:58.000Republicans have had historically a 10 point advantage in these states.
02:39:03.000Now that's either completely evaporated or it's evaporated and then gone to the Democrats.
02:39:09.000And the question now before us, and this is something, of course, that we'll talk about tomorrow and then throughout the rest of the week, is how we got here.
02:39:21.000We have to say it before it happens because I know that tomorrow night and then again on Wednesday and Thursday and then for the next few months, Republicans are already going to start playing the blame game.
02:39:34.000They're already doing it even tonight.0.97
02:39:36.000Republicans are starting to say that if we lose the midterms tomorrow or when we lose the midterms tomorrow, It's the fault of the Groypers.
02:39:59.000They're going to say it was a messaging problem.
02:40:02.000They're going to say the administration fumbled how they were selling it to the American people.
02:40:07.000These are all the narratives they're trying to spin up already.
02:40:10.000And this is what they're going to say tomorrow and through the rest of the week.
02:40:15.000But I think we all know, I think everybody understands perfectly well what happened here.
02:40:21.000And when we lose tomorrow, however big the loss is, that we're not winning the Senate, that Republicans aren't winning the Senate, winning the House, and it's not even competitive.
02:40:32.000We all know it's because of the Republican leadership.
02:40:37.000And it goes all the way to the top with Trump, with Vance, the party, the influencers.
02:40:43.000Think about where we were two years ago.
02:40:47.000Think about where we were in November 2024.
02:40:50.000Do you remember what it was like on that night?
02:40:53.000Do you remember what it was like in the weeks and months leading up to it?
02:40:56.000Because I remember it was overwhelming how much enthusiasm and optimism there was for Trump.
02:41:05.000I've actually never seen anything like it, even in 2016.
02:41:10.000And I was there in 2016 on election night in college with the Trump flag and the MAGA hat.
02:42:52.000You had Trump, Vance, Tulsi Gabbard, RFK Jr. defecting from the Democrats.
02:42:58.000You had Elon Musk, the richest man in the world, who was historically a liberal Democrat, coming on board very strongly after having bought Twitter.
02:43:27.000We got one more state than we did in 16.
02:43:30.000Had the House, had the Senate, 6 3 majority on the Supreme Court.
02:43:35.000You remember at the inauguration of Trump, In January 25, you had all the major Silicon Valley oligarchs lined up funding the inauguration committee.
02:43:46.000Jeff Bezos, Sundar Pichai, Zuckerberg, Elon Musk, Sam Altman, all the big ones were there.
02:43:53.000There was this feeling back in 24 and 25 that literally anything was possible.
02:46:39.000We're talking about whether Democrats are going to take the House and Senate or whether it's going to be a blowout and they take 240 seats in the House and 53 or 55 in the Senate.
02:46:52.000And not only that, what are they talking about doing?
02:46:55.000It's not just that Democrats are going to take the House, possibly sweep every battleground state in the Senate and take control over both chambers, but they're also going to impeach everybody.
02:47:10.000Because every major member of the Trump government has been involved in some kind of corruption scandal in the past two years, whether it's Signal Gate for Pete Hegsef, violation of the War Powers Act, or it's Christy Noam and her boyfriend, Corey Lewandowski, taking bribes for government contracts in DHS.
02:47:30.000It's people like Howard Ludnick that are involved in these scams regarding the repayment on the tariffs.
02:47:38.000Having to refund $250 billion in tariffs, and somehow the trade office, Howard Lutnick, is making money off of this, profiting from it.
02:49:11.000When Republicans lose tomorrow, do not for one second let them gaslight you into thinking that this is anybody's fault other than their own.
02:51:31.000Well, correct me if I'm wrong, but at the Republican convention in July 2024, were people holding up signs that said net negative migration or were they holding up signs that said mass deportations?
02:51:48.000Was the promise that we would have net negative migration?
02:51:52.000And if you look at the H 1B real numbers, did they say that or did they say largest deportation operation in history?
02:52:01.000A million per year, mass deportations now.
02:52:06.000Would you like to know the difference?
02:52:08.000Well, the difference is that when Trump left the border open the first time and then gave temporary protected status to Venezuelans, those two things allowed Joe Biden to let 15 million illegal immigrants into the country.
02:52:31.000Mass deportations mean we've removed the people that Biden let in because Trump left the gate open.
02:52:39.000If you have net negative migration year over year, that just speaks to the rate of migration going forward.
02:52:48.000You can have minimally net negative migration this year and next year and the year after that, but it doesn't change the amount of people that are here from Joe Biden's term.
02:52:59.000That's why the deportations are important.
02:53:02.000So they come at us with, well, we have net negative migration.
02:53:06.000Okay, well, that's not what the sign said.
02:53:08.000That really wasn't the promise, was it?
02:53:43.000And if anything, he actually said he would stop the genocide in Gaza, which is intimately related to the strategic confrontation between Israel and Iran.
02:53:53.000Once again, with the Epstein files, we only got three out of six million Epstein files.
02:54:00.000Republicans had to override Trump to compel his DOJ to release even those after Trump's DOJ put out a memo in July 2025 saying they weren't going to release any information and that was the end of the investigation.
02:54:15.000Again, did they promise total transparency except Epstein?
02:54:33.000We're going to have a blowout tomorrow.
02:54:35.000There is literally no good reason that this should happen.
02:54:40.000There is absolutely no reason it should not be a Republican blowout.
02:54:46.000Let me show you and paint for you a very different picture.0.65
02:54:50.000If instead, in 2025, Trump released the Epstein files, exposing all the billionaires, exposing all the oligarchs, If Trump told Netanyahu, no, we're not going to go to war against Iran, that might have then allowed us to get out of Ukraine.0.66
02:55:09.000And then, by the way, gas prices wouldn't be $5.0.64
02:55:12.000And then maybe inflation wouldn't be 3.7%.
02:55:16.000And then we might have been able to bring the Federal Reserve rate down.
02:55:21.000And that would have brought down mortgage rates.
02:55:23.000And maybe that would have brought the GDP up.
02:55:26.000If Trump had actually brought in Doge and cut the deficit by a trillion dollars, $2 trillion dollars, if he did tariffs right, And brought in $250 billion in revenue annually.
02:55:38.000If, in addition to this, he cut taxes and kept $800 billion for Medicaid, if he followed through on mass deportations and built a wall, if he had done all these things and more, which was totally possible with the House and the Senate and the Supreme Court, would he be at a 32% approval rating?
02:55:58.000Would we be having this conversation about a Democrat blowout?
02:56:02.000How about if Trump had done all those things and then on top of that, Republicans dutifully redistricted their states, adding on net a half dozen to a dozen Republican seats in the House if all the Republican states did it.
02:56:17.000Add to that, what if Republicans in the House and the Senate actually passed the Save Act and they mandated voter ID nationwide?
02:56:26.000And what if, add to that, Elon Musk injected $500 million alone into the Republican effort for the midterms?
02:56:38.000What would tomorrow look like if all of this had been true?
02:56:41.000I think the opposite would be the case.
02:56:45.000I think not only would we not be talking about a Democrat blowout, 240 seats in the House, 55 seats in the Senate, I think Republicans would be running the table in literally every single state.
02:56:57.000I think we'd be talking about Republicans gaining in the House.
02:57:50.000If we had gotten the policies right and the process right, that's redistricting, that's voter ID, it would be a very different outcome tomorrow.
02:58:00.000And what do Republicans have to say for themselves?
02:58:24.000Well, Republicans say the filibuster rule.
02:58:28.000You can't pass the Save Act with a simple majority because, in order to end debate on the matter and invoke cloture, to end the filibuster, you need 60 votes.
02:58:39.000Well, Republicans could have terminated the rule.
02:58:42.000They say, well, we couldn't terminate the filibuster.
02:58:53.000If the Democrats, when they get in next, are going to make Puerto Rico a state, And they're going to pack the courts and they're going to amnesty 20 million illegals.
02:59:04.000Don't we kind of need to pull out all the stops?
02:59:07.000If Democrats are going to get in and rig everything anyway, what difference does it make with the filibuster?0.59
02:59:13.000They're telling us we can't break the filibuster because then the Democrats will do it.
02:59:17.000But simultaneously, they're telling us if the Democrats win, they're going to make Puerto Rico and D.C. a state and they'll gain four seats in the Senate forever.
02:59:28.000If they have the 51 seat majority without the filibuster, or they add four, six, eight new seats, making territory states, and then they have a permanent 60 seat majority anyway.
02:59:46.000And the bottom line is there is literally no excuse the Republicans can give.
02:59:53.000We had it stacked, we had the mandate, we had every branch of government, we had the turnout, we had the fundraising, we had the wind at our sails.
03:00:03.000It was simply a matter of competence, willpower, follow through.
03:00:10.000Whether Trump and Vance and Susie Wiles and the Republicans in the House and the Senate really wanted it.
03:00:18.000If they did, it could have been a different story.
03:00:20.000Instead, what they're telling us on election day and what they'll be telling us afterward, they'll be fear mongering about what the Democrats are going to do if and when they get power.0.97
03:00:29.000They're going to tell us, well, what we have to offer maybe sucks.
03:05:23.000Maybe what is required is for the Democrats to take their turn in 26, maybe 28.
03:05:29.000And then there will be a new wave of younger, more radical, more competent, more serious Republicans that grew up in the post Trump GOP that can take them on from the right.
03:05:42.000I think we've tried it this way basically every cycle.
03:05:56.000Think about all these other candidates that are out there.
03:05:59.000We're replacing the old GOP with Vivek, with Byron Donalds, with Ken Paxton, with, I'm sorry, I said Mike Collins, Mike Rogers, and Mike Collins in Georgia.
03:06:16.000And so, I think what has to happen tomorrow, I would like to see a crushing blue wave because what it will suggest unequivocally is a repudiation of the GOP as it exists.
03:09:48.000She was asking donors to pay her $100,000 credit card statement.
03:09:52.000Corey Lewandowski was running DHS through his illicit lover, Christy Nome, asking Palantir and other contractors like the private prisons for bribes.
03:10:03.000Pete Hegseth was running the foreign policy of the United States of America in a signal group chat.
03:10:10.000Let the Democrats investigate all these people.
03:10:13.000Let them investigate the pay to play, the quid pro quo.
03:10:16.000Let them investigate all the corruption.
03:10:18.000Let them find it and then use their impeachment power to indict all of these people.
03:10:23.000And then I would really love to see Donald Trump and JD Vance defend this going into the 2028 general election.
03:10:32.000How are they going to defend that their entire cabinet are full of criminals?
03:10:37.000How will they defend the perjury, the abuse of classified materials, the pay to play corruption?
03:10:44.000How are they going to defend that this was happening under their watch and they either knew about it and did nothing about it or they didn't know anything about it because they have no idea what's going on inside their own administration?
03:10:59.000The Democrats, you must understand, are going to do us a favor because all these problems, all these things that are going on, they're going to be a problem in 28 as well.
03:11:15.000Better make those things an impossible liability now so we know about them before the general election in 28.
03:11:25.000I'm telling you, we limp along another couple of years without a blowout.
03:11:30.000You limp along, it not only breeds complacency, but then we might make the mistake of nominating someone like Vance or Rubio for 28, and they got to answer all these questions about Iran, inflation.
03:11:42.000Failing administration, no legislation, the corruption on a general election stage in 28.
03:11:48.000And by that point, I don't think you have a chance in hell to win.
03:12:09.000Vote Democrat in the Senate, vote Democrat in the House.
03:12:12.000If you can't stomach James Tallarico, you can just leave that one blank.
03:12:17.000You can vote Republican for the governor.
03:12:18.000You can vote Republican if you have a really good congressman, let's say, if they've got a C or above on our scorecard on America First Foundation.
03:12:27.000But I really believe that it is just absolutely unacceptable, inexcusable.0.97
03:12:33.000I cannot imagine being a bigger sucker, being a bigger fool than voting Republican yet again after another two years of broken promises and a failure to launch.0.99
03:12:48.000I just can't even conceive of something more pathetic than that.1.00
03:13:50.000If they want it, then they'll show up too.
03:13:53.000We'll get another shot at it in 28, and the money will show up and the turnout will show up, but they better get it right in the next two years.
03:14:03.000So that's my outlook going into tomorrow.
03:14:06.000And I just want to make it absolutely clear because you know that for the next two years, people are going to say all kinds of things about why we did what we did.
03:14:16.000And it's not because I support Democrats.
03:18:03.000And he says this because the military situation in Iran is such that only a nuclear bomb will be able to destroy Iran's stockpile of highly enriched uranium.
03:18:14.000Netanyahu, facing removal from office and prosecution, has his back against a wall, needs the war to continue, as such, is lobbying Trump to end the war once and for all.
03:18:26.000And the way to do that is with a nuclear bomb.
03:18:29.000And he says this is based on information from inside the administration.
03:18:35.000He says, Under pressure from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the Trump administration may be within days of launching a nuclear strike on Iran.
03:18:48.000The target would be Pickaxe Mountain in central Iran, where Israeli intelligence claims the Iranian government has restarted its nuclear enrichment program.
03:18:58.000No conventional weapon in the American arsenal can penetrate 300 feet of solid granite to destroy the tunnels where enrichment is supposedly taking place.
03:19:07.000The only military option is a nuclear strike.
03:19:10.000Netanyahu has been pushing hard for one.
03:19:13.000BB calls Trump about it every day, says an informed observer.
03:19:43.000And then Yahoo's calling Trump every day about nuking Iran.
03:19:47.000Well, none of these assumptions are necessarily true.
03:19:50.000What they are saying is that Iran has stashed its stockpile of highly enriched uranium in tunnels inside of what they call Pickaxe Mountain, not necessarily the centrifuges.
03:20:07.000Well, this is apparently a super fortified facility.
03:20:11.000South of Fordo, which is their underground facility where they're enriching uranium.
03:20:18.000And so the IAEA and U.S. and Israeli intelligence believe that Iran is storing its 900 pounds of highly enriched uranium in the tunnels inside Pickaxe Mountain.
03:20:29.000Now, we don't necessarily know that Iran has restarted enrichment or that there is enrichment taking place there.
03:20:37.000I don't know that that's even what Israeli intelligence is saying.
03:20:40.000I think what the intelligence says is that that's where the stockpile is, not necessarily that enrichment is happening there or that it's restarted there.
03:20:49.000Then they say, well, the only way to destroy Pickaxe Mountain is with a nuclear bomb.
03:20:55.000Now, that may or may not be true that a nuclear bomb would even destroy Pickaxe Mountain.0.86
03:21:00.000But of course, there are other ways that we can restrict Iran's access to their enriched materials or centrifuges.0.90
03:21:07.000You can blow up exhaust ports, tunnels, where they can access the sites.0.79
03:21:14.000Now, some say that Pickaxe Mountain has no exhaust ports that are external and that we can't destroy the tunnels either.
03:21:46.000He says Netanyahu is cornered and desperate.
03:21:49.000After last week's election results, he can't form a government unless Trump intervenes directly in Israeli politics and brokers a deal with other parties.
03:21:57.000That gives Netanyahu 61 seats in the Knesset.
03:22:00.000Otherwise, he is out as prime minister and on his way to ignominy, investigations, and possibly jail.
03:22:31.000Now, the Palestinian parties, the largest Arab party, has offered to support the opposition, but the constituent Jewish parties in the opposition bloc don't want to work with the Arabs.
03:22:46.000So, in order to get the majority, they need the Arabs, but then they can't have some of the Jewish parties.0.86
03:22:52.000If they want all the Jewish parties, then they can't have the Arabs.
03:22:55.000So, it's looking like, unless something changes and that's possible, that Netanyahu will actually stay on as a caretaker prime minister, at least for now.0.66
03:23:03.000So, when he says Netanyahu's got his back up against the wall, that is true, but it's an oversimplification.
03:23:11.000It's not as if there's going to be a breakthrough imminently.
03:23:22.000He says to that end, Netanyahu has applied maximum pressure to his closest allies in the administration, including Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth and CENTCOM Commander Brad Cooper.
03:23:32.000Both opposed a negotiated settlement to the war they've so grievously mismanaged.
03:23:36.000Both are pushing to restart major combat operations.
03:23:39.000Secretary of State Marco Rubio and CIA Director John Ratcliffe are also following Netanyahu's lead, as are the leaders of the Democratic Party.
03:23:48.000In a recent meeting on the subject, former President Obama said he opposes the current Iran peace deal being drafted in Doha.
03:23:56.000So everybody in the Trump government is in on it.
03:24:00.000Pete Hegseth and Brad Cooper, it's their fault.
03:25:55.000An American nuclear attack on Iran would set a new precedent.0.73
03:25:58.000The Russians have already told at least two governments that an American nuclear strike on Iran would free them to use nuclear weapons against Ukraine.
03:26:06.000Pakistan and India would be tempted to do the same against each other, as would North Korea against Seoul.
03:26:12.000After the first nuclear strike, World War III is inevitable.
03:29:18.000We've been sleepwalking toward this moment for months.
03:29:20.000Since February, the administration has quietly rewritten America's nuclear doctrine to make first use of so called battlefield nukes easier and therefore more likely.
03:29:30.000No one in Washington in either party seems bothered by this.
03:29:50.000At the moment, Trump is listening to his vice president, JD Vance, and his envoy and friend, Steve Witkoff, both of whom argue a deal with Iran can be made.
03:30:03.000Oh, now I see what this is really about here.
03:33:21.000He goes on, he says Vance and his envoy, Steve Woodcock, both argue a deal with Iran can be made.0.94
03:33:28.000They're right, although it won't be simple.0.96
03:33:31.000The Iranians are famously frustrating to negotiate with under any circumstances, and elements of that government have become more radical since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and his family were killed in February.0.62
03:33:42.000After decades of isolation, even relatively moderate Iranian leaders seem confused by how decisions are made in the West.
03:33:49.000There's a widespread belief in Tehran, for example, that the U.S. government controls Israel.
03:33:56.000Overall, people who have spoken to decision makers in Iran say there is consensus there that more war is bad for everyone and a deal is worth making.0.71
03:34:05.000One group that hasn't been confused so far is the global population the hundreds of millions of people who will be killed along with their children.0.93
03:34:13.000If Trump is pushed by Netanyahu into launching a nuclear strike next week, now would be the time for them to speak up.
03:34:22.000Now, this coincides with a story that JD Vance is in communication with one of these moderate members of the Iranian government.
03:34:33.000There was a story this week, last week, I think, that JD Vance sent a letter to the moderate opposition in Iran.
03:34:45.000From the Qatari media, from the House of Al Thani, the Qatari media, no one else is reporting this, that there's a peace agreement in Doha and the US and Iran have agreed to it.
03:34:58.000And I think what is really going on here is they're trying to prop up Vance as the guy that ended the war.
03:35:06.000That's really what none of this is true.0.99
03:37:20.000The idea that that is being seriously considered, and Tucker is the only one that knows about it, and it's sourced from inside the admin, and it's going to happen in five days, and it's going to kill everybody and their children in World War III, and everyone in the Trump government and the Democrats are in on it, but the only one that's against it is JD Vance.0.97
03:37:49.000And what this really looks like is a very ham handed effort to try to get JD Vance to look like the hero here, because there's also a story last week that Vance sent a personal letter to one of these members, the moderate members of the Iranian government, to try to find a deal.0.81
03:38:06.000And in the Qatari media, they're also trying to create this impression that there's some kind of peace agreement in the works.
03:38:14.000This is a Tucker Vance, Steve Witkoff operation.
03:38:19.000To try to make Vance the hero in ending the war by fear mongering about a nuclear war.
03:38:55.000It's ruining the economy, which is ruining Trump.0.70
03:38:58.000And if Vance wants to be the nominee and if he wants to be the president, he's going to need a good answer for why he didn't prevent it and why he has to defend the war.
03:39:07.000And so they're just trying out all these different excuses.
03:39:10.000Well, I had to support it because Trump was my boss.
03:39:13.000Well, I tried to end it with the Islamabad Accords.
03:39:16.000Well, I opposed it from the beginning.0.59
03:39:19.000They're just trial ballooning all these different answers.
03:39:22.000And I think in the end, they're going to try to come up with this.
03:39:25.000Which is, I prevented the nuclear war, or I foisted the Qatari Accords, the Doha Accords on everybody.0.51
03:44:36.000The children of rich white people, they have, I've said it before, they have no enemies.
03:44:42.000They're just like, they're those like good Samaritans that get in the middle of a fight.
03:44:47.000They're like, hey, I'm sure we can work this out.
03:44:51.000The children of rich white people, they will like get in the middle of a knife fight and be like, hey, can we all just, can we all just lower the temperature, bro?
03:45:01.000Can we all just take a step back and breathe?0.62
03:45:04.000We could have a civil, like white, the children of rich white people, these are pacifists.0.97
03:45:14.000It's all the non white people that have this anger.0.99
03:45:44.000My QJS and Boomer mom thinks Trump's comments about Nicki Minaj and mail butts are a diversion for the mainstream media to distract them from what he is really doing.
03:53:08.000A goy will live in a pile of mud and shit with the pigs.1.00
03:53:14.000They'll buy a half dozen flags, take them out of the plastic wrapper, and hang them up without steaming them first.1.00
03:53:24.000And then not only will they have them up with the creases and faults, they'll take a picture.
03:53:29.000And say, look at my flags hanging up with the creases in them without any shame, without being embarrassed or self, not even like, I'm gonna steam them later.
03:53:39.000Me, it's like I would never take a picture of my room unless it was immaculate.0.97
03:57:49.000He goes, I just wanted to say the only reason I got mad at you is because I was really emotional about my dad dying and I was just upset about it.
03:58:00.000And I just, something put it on my heart to tell you that that's why I said that.0.96
03:58:04.000It was basically a fucking apology.1.00
03:59:25.000Shortband Chase sent $100 for donors looking to make substantial contributions, plus 100K.
03:59:29.000Are you able to share information about how the money is spent?
03:59:31.000It would be helpful to offer an informal prospectus or explanation of ROI.
03:59:35.000Absolutely, but we just got to be careful because you can't be like, hey, we're going to give you money and then we just tell you all our secrets.
03:59:43.000So, if that's a serious offer, let's talk.
03:59:46.000Get in the group chat and we could talk.
03:59:50.000But listen, here's the problem there's a lot of people that talk about giving me money and then they don't give me money.
03:59:57.000I like people that put up money up front.
04:00:32.000I don't want to name any names, but it has happened to me like a half dozen times in my career where somebody's super, super serious about giving me a shit ton of money and then it just never happens.
04:08:01.000You are Plato's philosopher king, the one who turned from shadows, endured decline, and returns not for praise, but because the form of the good requires speech amid exile.
04:24:39.000Just got an incredible report that apparently at MIT, all the sororities now avoid mixer slash parties with the football team because nobody will hook up with them since a large portion of the players are all based Catholic volume cell CHADs.