00:00:08.000Every time that you open up I know that I can't get close enough
00:00:22.000See everything gets so damn mixed up And I can't get nothing to add up See all I want is a little trust Yeah, yeah I know that it's more than enough for you Thank you.
00:10:39.000What makes Christianity and Christ so different from the other religions is that our religion is based on the bearing of suffering for the sake of even those that persecute us.
00:11:59.000Read as many books as you can, learn a language, learn an instrument, get the best grades you can, get into a good school, and just don't mess around.
00:12:07.000You turn like 18, 20, and then just goes at light speed.
00:12:11.000And if you are wasting time, years will go by.
00:12:15.000And you will wake up when you're 25 years old and say, I thought I would have accomplished more by now.
00:12:20.000Why am I still stuck in the same place?
00:12:24.000Let time be your ally by working every single day at what you think you want to be doing in 20 years.
00:12:38.000The servant who received five talents invested it and earned five more.
00:12:43.000The one who received two talents also invested wisely and earned two more.
00:12:49.000But the servant who received one talent went and dug a hole in the ground and hid his master's money.
00:12:56.000When the master returned, the servant with five talents said, Master, you gave me five and look, I've gained five more.
00:13:04.000The master replied, Well done, good and faithful servant.
00:13:08.000Because you have been faithful with little, I will put you in charge of much.
00:13:14.000The servant with two talents said, Master, you gave me two, and look, I've gained two more.
00:14:22.000Let's say that Kamala Harris had won the election in 2024.
00:14:25.000If Kamala doubled down on supporting Ukraine as Trump has, if Kamala bombed Iran, there'd be riots in the streets.
00:14:33.000People would say our illegitimate president, who cheated her way into the nomination, she's expanding the war, she's expanding World War III into the Middle East.
00:14:42.000Everybody would say this is illegitimate, this is like a crime.
00:14:45.000But because it was Trump, 90% of Republicans supported Trump bombing Iran on Israel's behalf.
00:15:25.000After October 7th, the Jews knew that the Republican Party, controlled by AIPAC, controlled by Israel, and with Trump in office, they were going to let Israel do whatever they wanted to do.
00:16:24.000When Israel was under attack, They played into the right wing because they knew that the Republican Party would say things like, There's a Muslim takeover of America.
00:45:06.000. Z . I saw him heading straight towards the mountains, some 70 kilometers away.
00:45:19.000Dr. Ainley explained that even if he caught him and brought him back to the colony, he would immediately head right back for the mountains.
00:45:47.000A half ago, people said, I just can't even imagine Trump bringing us to war in Iran for regime change.
00:47:22.000I beef in the back, she gripping them covers like she on her last leg She look like she belong in a cover this whole getting covered in everything I'm gonna buy a bottle, take a banana, but she is not getting wet in rain If he wants to interview Nick Fuente Get the word out It's undeniable.
00:54:13.000Miliana, it's been so long since you texted me.
00:54:16.000I finally took a break and now I feel like I'm on ecstasy.
00:54:20.000You said what my work means to me will one day be the death of me.
00:54:24.000They tried to kill me once but darling, you just resurrected me.
00:54:28.000Beach me, baby, Call my phone and say you need me, baby, I'm so green, you gotta teach me, baby, Something cooler, you obese, baby, Pull up, baby, Baby, baby, baby.
00:54:45.000And my d*** came with the ECs, baby Swear, my label got out of free me, baby, Blow on me just like some green tea, baby, Hey, hey, hey Buried a lie, someone come dig me up.
00:55:02.000If I call up your shirty right now, she picking up.
00:55:06.000You boys got big off my name, that's big enough.
00:55:10.000We know how you OGS rockin' already, man, The jig is up.
00:55:15.000Well, minors gon' stream while you watchin' HD.
00:55:17.000They say that karma could take an eternity.
00:55:19.000Yours is droppin' the same night as me.
00:55:21.000Funny thing is that they ain't gon' compete.
00:55:23.000You gon' get yours while I'm doin' me.
00:55:25.000You gon' get yours while I'm doin' me.
00:55:27.000Hey, Janice, shut up, teach me, baby, Pull my phone and say you need me, baby, Thought they had me in a deep sleep, baby, I'm still scorchin' hot in these streets, baby, Pull up playback Beep, beep.
00:56:19.000How many souls did you heal off the back of your deal?
00:56:22.000Difference between niggas getting you out of your deal And letting you out of your deal Damn, against your will How many new names do you got on your wheel?
00:56:30.000Damn, how many more times is y'all gonna keep calling this soft when it's silk?
00:56:34.000Damn, how many more interviews y'all gonna do just to get ice or chill?
00:56:37.000Damn, they trying to cover it up like a quilt Why are you gonna skirt on a boy like a kilt?
00:56:44.000Paper like Will tricking it off on a paying a bill.
00:56:47.000That's just how I do the sauce and the spill.
00:57:26.000And I went bought a whip for my brother Same body but two different colors And I might just sell cock at another Small price, cause he kept it 100 And I might book a flight out to London.
00:59:11.000John the Baptist on the land, Lori Lynn Stark on my bed, and I ate it to a fan, and in 10 toes, I'm quitting, they would've been, but they can't, embarrassment, the only thing I'm getting second hand, it costs a lot for that Mercedes stretch to the end.
01:00:49.000The way we was boxing, you think we went hand to hand.
01:00:52.000I just ran a million up on some slime shit I just fucked they feelings up on some pride shit I just fucked Shanelia up on some light shit Molly Santana gon' make em rewind it With diamonds on diamonds and helmets on helmets I'm a big shot where these hoes in Piranha Talkin' bout billions, he talkin' on camera Think he a dirty, ain't nothing but a random Molly Santana, no handle Montana Molly Santana, no handle Montana Molly Santana, no handle Montana Molly Santana, no handle Montana
01:01:33.000Iceman turn Iceman turn, Iceman turn Like we knew that the tables were Iceman back outside for the greater Good fuck you pussy, but shout out your neighbor I get mentioned a lot by a bunch of people that I wish I never met We sharing women that I already fucked at the height of my success All you pussy boys losing it ain't your need to take meds When I tell you, dear, cause it's ice time Bitch, it ain't the fake fans Iceman turn, what else?
01:03:54.000The United States military began major combat operations in Iran.
01:04:00.000To consign the American empire to destruction while they look forward to a golden age, while they look forward to a century of empire and domination.
01:04:10.000Maybe we can't stop it, but I'm not going along with it.
01:04:48.000When Syria and Egypt launched a surprise attack on Israel, which started the Yom Kippur War on October 6th, 1973, almost 50 years exactly before October 7th, Israel was almost overrun.
01:05:01.000And the United States was reluctant to provide them with the military support that they needed to defend themselves.
01:05:07.000So the prime minister of Israel, Golda Meir, called up Nixon and said, If you don't help us, we will nuke Syria and Egypt.
01:20:11.000You're raised by your parents, you go to school, you finish school, then you move into an apartment as a single man or a woman, and you go to work.
01:21:17.000So it's totally fair for us to recognize that the countries around Russia, no, we shouldn't be invading or torturing them or oppressing them.
01:21:26.000And big picture, holy smokes, you do not want the two largest powers in the world, apart from the United States, to get together and align against us.
01:21:35.000Why do you support Israel against Hamas, for example?
01:21:39.000Why do you support America giving them billions of dollars?
01:38:18.000In 2026, in the midterms, we are showing up and the Gripers are showing up with us.
01:49:22.000In the days after the September attacks, there were countless rumors about strange coincidences surrounding the events.
01:49:29.000One report about a group of Middle Eastern men spotted the morning of September 11th, parked just across the river from New York City, has not gone away.
02:03:33.000Two weeks ago, he said that last week we would begin annihilating Iran by bombing their civilian infrastructure.
02:03:42.000Then he said this week we would annihilate Iran if they didn't make a deal by bombing their civilian infrastructure.
02:03:49.000He said they have until last week until it gets really bad.
02:03:53.000Then he said, no, wait, they have until this week before it gets really bad.
02:03:57.000So, there was a maximalist threat due today for things to get really bad with Iran if they didn't open up the strait.
02:04:07.000But at the last minute, Trump called it off, stopped the bombing on Saturday because he said Iran reached out to us begging us to make a deal.
02:04:18.000As a matter of fact, he said they want to make a deal more than anyone knows.
02:04:23.000He said they're pleading and begging with us to make a deal.
02:04:25.000They asked us to stop, they want to negotiate.
02:04:30.000You want to know what the Iranians said almost immediately after?
02:05:23.000And then we get ready for the cycle to repeat, probably within a few days.
02:05:28.000So that is what happened again this weekend, and we'll get into it.
02:05:31.000As you know, the war has resumed, the MOU collapsed two weeks ago.
02:05:36.000The United States has been bombing Iran for two weeks, 14 consecutive days, but Trump stopped on Saturday.
02:05:46.000And Trump said that the reason we stopped bombing them is because diplomacy has resumed.
02:05:51.000The Iranians have denied that this is the case.
02:05:55.000And now, the major development that we're watching and waiting to see is that tomorrow, Benjamin Netanyahu will visit Trump in Washington for his eighth visit.
02:06:05.000This is the eighth time Netanyahu has had an audience with Trump in America.
02:06:11.000So that meeting will take place tomorrow.
02:06:14.000And later in the week, there will be a meeting between the United States and the United Kingdom about some kind of coalition to protect shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and also probably the Red Sea, too.
02:06:27.000And I would imagine that pending the outcome of these two meetings, there may be a new path forward in the war.
02:06:35.000We'll see what happens with Netanyahu tomorrow.
02:06:38.000The meeting between the UK and the US.
02:06:43.000Pete Hegseth is talking with his British counterpart.
02:06:46.000But I imagine that pending the outcome of our discussions with the UK and with Israel, maybe towards the end of this week when the market closes on Friday, maybe we'll get something new.
02:06:57.000So we'll talk all about the situation in Iran.
02:06:59.000There's a couple of other big developments, too.
02:07:02.000And the biggest development, curiously, and this concerns the timing of why we stopped the strikes, why we allowed diplomacy to resume, is that Saudi Arabia is now under fire from both the Shiite militias in Iraq.
02:07:18.000The popular mobilization forces, and they are also now under attack from the Houthi rebels in Yemen on the south.
02:07:28.000So they're being bombed with drones and rockets from the north, from Iraq, from the Shiite militias there.
02:07:33.000They're also being bombed by the Houthis from the south in Yemen.
02:07:37.000And in particular, the Houthis are not just attacking commercial shipping that is linked to Saudi Arabia in the Red Sea, but they're also now attacking oil refineries and a port from which Saudi Arabia is moving their oil.
02:07:53.000Into the Red Sea from their east west pipeline, which we've talked a lot about.
02:07:58.000So, a lot of people believe that it was the targeting of some oil refineries run by Saudi Aramco, the port in the Red Sea.
02:08:06.000Maybe this is driving some of the de escalation pressure in Washington.
02:09:13.000And not only will they endure the pressure on the regime, but more than that, they retain their capabilities to shut down shipping in the Strait of Hormuz with drones and missiles, but also to attack their adversaries in the Gulf countries as well.
02:09:30.000And so as long as their capabilities do not change, As long as the regime is undeterred, nothing is fundamentally changing.
02:09:38.000So they will insist on a resolution on their terms.
02:09:43.000As long as they are capable of maintaining themselves, they're resilient in the face of all the pressure, but also they're capable of shutting down the strait, they are not going to bow to the pressure.
02:09:57.000And conversely, the United States is not ready to give up either.
02:10:00.000Although there's a lot of pressure on the economy and there's a lot of pressure on the oil market, and inflation is increasing.
02:10:07.000And it was just announced that potentially the Federal Reserve will have another rate hike later in the week, which is going to be problematic.
02:10:14.000The Trump administration is undeterred as well.
02:10:17.000We're not willing to walk away and surrender.
02:10:20.000We're also not willing to escalate and do what's necessary to achieve our objectives.
02:10:25.000And so this is why we're in this dance with Iran.
02:10:29.000It's a contained, calibrated escalation trap.
02:10:36.000As we've been saying for five months, Ever since the United States failed to topple the regime in Tehran, nothing has changed in five months.
02:11:18.000And she's pressing Elon about his tweets about what's happening in the United Kingdom.
02:11:23.000Elon Musk is talking about how the UK is on the brink of a civil war because of mass migration into the country and anger over this issue from the natives.
02:11:34.000And so, typical, The Economist is a liberal publication, its editor is from the United Kingdom.
02:12:54.000And I thought it was a very interesting exchange because of what he said at the very end.
02:12:58.000At the very end of this very contentious exchange, like I said, he's in the Gigafactory, he's interviewing with the liberal British Economist publication.
02:13:07.000She's pressing him about you have too much power, you're abusing your power to push far right politics.
02:13:16.000And I thought the most interesting comment came at the end.
02:13:44.000And this, to me, is the problem with people like Elon Musk, who I consider an oligarch, obviously.
02:13:51.000He's the richest man in the world, has an enormous stake in some of the most strategically vital companies to America.
02:14:00.000Not just Tesla and of course SpaceX, but also Starshield and Starlink.
02:14:05.000It is this reluctance to really engage in the fight and to see ourselves as part of a team.
02:14:13.000This is the biggest problem because you see, a billionaire like George Soros knows he's on a team and he knows what team he's on.
02:14:21.000And he's using his capital, deploying his capital, and using his influence to do very important things to help his team.
02:14:30.000And so, for example, they support the bail funds and they support the protesters and they get prosecutors and judges elected and appointed in the various states.
02:14:41.000And so he's really effectively deploying his capital for his political vision of an open society.
02:14:48.000But the people on our side don't even see themselves as on a side.
02:14:52.000They won't even call themselves far right.
02:14:56.000They won't embrace the idea that they are in a fight, they have a side, they are on a side, let alone effectively deploy the capital to support our side.
02:15:07.000What I mean by this is why is Elon Musk not using more of his money and resources?
02:15:15.000Specifically, to prop up and support the anti immigration movement, the remigration movement in Europe.
02:15:22.000Why not pour money into AFD, into whatever you want to go for in the UK reform, restore, whatever it is today?
02:15:33.000It's going to be something else next week.
02:15:36.000This is the problem the lack of buy in from the oligarchs.
02:15:39.000So I thought that was the most interesting part.
02:16:11.000The Arch of Titus t shirt, now famous.
02:16:15.000I don't go viral that much on Instagram and TikTok anymore.
02:16:18.000The ADL got all the Channels banned and all the clips suppressed.
02:16:23.000But I did see that one of the clips that is still blowing up on Instagram and TikTok is me talking about the history of the Arch of Titus and the shirt.
02:19:22.000Like, honestly, if you are living in and around New York City and you see this person walking around dressed like Malcolm X or dressed in a nightgown or something like that, I'm telling you, walk the other way.
02:19:33.000Laura Loomer, what are you doing for national security?
02:19:37.000We got to get this brown clown out of the country.
02:20:05.000It's really for people that love the show.
02:20:07.000If you love the show, it's the best way to watch the show.
02:20:11.000Also, for $100 a month, you can get access to the exclusive group chat that I am in.
02:20:18.000And I'm in there hanging out, dropped a little update about Iran as it happened this weekend, talking a little bit about it, a little preview in the group chat.
02:21:23.000Every normie, girls on dating apps, your relatives, normies at work, normies at the water cooler, men and women, young people and old people, normies and extremely online people, everyone has lost their minds.
02:21:39.000Everyone is becoming so much more retarded.
02:21:44.000Everyone is specifically becoming like conspiratarded.
02:21:49.000And it's legitimately a mass psychosis event.
02:26:03.000We were in a ceasefire, we had made an agreement with Iran, and everybody thought the war was over.
02:26:08.000Everybody thought the war had concluded.
02:26:10.000We made a 14 point plan called the Memorandum of Understanding from Islamabad, mediated by Pakistan and Qatar.
02:26:18.000And we thought that we brought an end to the war between the U.S. and Iran, and we were on our way to a longer term, more comprehensive nuclear agreement.
02:26:30.000And as we know, two weeks ago, the MOU collapsed and the United States resumed its hostilities with Iran.
02:26:36.000And Iran once again closed the Strait of Hormuz and began bombing U.S. bases and U.S. allies, for the most part, Jordan, Kuwait, and Bahrain.
02:26:47.000It seemed like we were tending towards escalation.
02:26:52.000The United States had been bombing Iran every consecutive day for two weeks before Saturday.
02:27:01.000And we were hitting them harder than we have hit them since the original ceasefire back in the second week of April.
02:27:08.000So we did strikes on 1,000 targets in Iran in 14 days after the MOU collapsed.
02:27:15.000And the way that Trump had been talking for two weeks was that we were going to escalate things and maybe escalate them not just to the level of fighting at the beginning of the war, but even beyond that.
02:27:29.000For those two weeks of fighting, the last two weeks, Trump was indicating.
02:27:32.000Not that we would get to the level of fighting in those initial days when we struck 15,000 targets in Iran in the first five, six weeks and assassinated the Supreme Leader and sank their Navy and so on.
02:27:45.000Trump said we would blow past that and we would hit them harder than we've ever hit them in history and annihilate Iran.
02:27:53.000And Trump had been talking specifically about escalating the fighting, attacking civilian infrastructure, bridges, power plants.
02:28:02.000Ports, maybe even up to and including their energy sector, their oil and gas fields or infrastructure.
02:28:11.000And all of a sudden, this is the direction things were headed in.
02:28:14.000And Trump had been saying this for two weeks.
02:28:17.000All of a sudden, Trump called it off on Saturday.
02:28:23.000And after two weeks, 14 days of consecutive bombing, and all this escalatory, bellicose rhetoric, we simply stopped bombing Iran on Saturday.
02:28:38.000And this weekend, Trump said that we were going to suspend the kinetic action against Iran because Iran is begging us for a deal.
02:28:47.000And so Trump said something might happen indicating that there might be some kind of a truce or we might get Iran back into some kind of short term agreement.
02:28:58.000He said, but Iran has basically pleaded with the United States to stop hitting them.
02:29:02.000And so we've reached an understanding and we're going to now allow diplomacy to resume.
02:29:07.000And this is a story from the New York Times about this.
02:29:10.000It says, quote, President Trump said on Monday that there was a good chance a new round of diplomacy with Iran could yield a breakthrough.
02:29:19.000Trump told reporters, quote, We're talking right now.
02:29:22.000Iran took a beating over the last 14 days, and they asked us very nicely, please stop, let's meet, he said, an assertion that Iran quickly denied.
02:29:32.000Well, Mr. Trump insisted that the recent U.S. attacks had led Iran to request new talks with his administration.
02:29:37.000Iran denied that claim and gave no sign it was prepared to make any new concessions or even speak directly with American officials.
02:29:46.000Now, it's important that it's phrased in this way.
02:29:51.000They say Iran has given no indication that they will make new concessions or speak directly with the United States.
02:29:59.000Now, what that implies, what's the negative?
02:30:03.000They're going to make the same concessions and they will speak indirectly with the United States.
02:30:09.000And these are important details because.
02:30:12.000Many people recognize that Trump is lying.
02:30:17.000He's either totally misrepresenting what is happening or he's finessing the truth.
02:30:28.000Trump is conducting public diplomacy, meaning that he's not just speaking to us and telling us what is happening on the ground.
02:30:35.000He's also posturing as a form of diplomacy vis a vis Iran.
02:30:40.000So, what he says does not just contain a truth value relaying information to the public as the president, but also the information and the press releases and public statements reflect a posture that Iran will then have to respond to.
02:30:57.000And so, we understand that there's a lot of deception.
02:31:00.000And a lot of uncertainty and deceit that is involved in this.
02:31:04.000But it should also be said that Iran is doing exactly the same thing.
02:31:09.000It is a bad heuristic to say that the United States always lies and Iran tells the truth.
02:31:16.000The United States is posturing and Iran is giving us the business because that is not true.
02:31:22.000Both Iran and the United States, as well as Israel, are all engaging in public facing diplomacy and press releases are a part.
02:31:34.000And what I mean by that is we can't just take what Trump says at face value.
02:31:39.000We have to interpret it through the lens of how Iran might perceive it and think that Trump is tailoring his messaging for Tehran's consumption and Israel's consumption and the Gulf countries' consumption, too.
02:31:56.000It's not just about relaying information, it's also about posturing to our allies and our adversaries.
02:32:04.000And so the reason this is important to understand is because.
02:32:47.000But I think that really we're both lying.
02:32:49.000When Iran says we will not communicate directly with the United States, this is one of those weasel words.
02:32:57.000Iran has rarely, if ever, talked directly with the United States since Trump got into office a year ago.
02:33:07.000Iran Is engaged in diplomacy with the United States, has been engaged in diplomacy with the United States, but always indirectly through mediators.
02:33:17.000When we negotiated with Iran during that 60 day ultimatum last spring, all of those meetings were indirect.
02:33:25.000And what that means is quite literally, the U.S. delegation and the Iranian delegation will arrive in the same city, they will go to separate rooms, and a mediator, the Omanis, the Qataris, the Pakistanis, will deliver messages between the two rooms.
02:33:42.000The supreme leader of Iran, the first one and the second one, Khamenei and his son Mochtaba, they did not authorize the delegations from Iran to speak directly with the United States last year, not this year in February.
02:33:58.000The only time the U.S. and Iran have met directly, I believe, was the first week of the MOU when Vance, Witkoff, Lutnik, the rest of them met with Halibuf and Arakshi in Switzerland.
02:34:12.000I believe that was direct, if I recall correctly.
02:34:18.000And the reason that the Supreme Leader insists on this being indirect is because the United States has killed personnel in the Iranian government.
02:34:29.000The United States killed Qasem Soleimani.
02:34:32.000They killed the Supreme Leader Khamenei.
02:34:38.000They killed members of the civilian government.
02:34:41.000And so, for a delegation from the Iranian government to meet directly with their murderers or the murderers of their colleagues, Is seen as a consolation to the United States and in a way a humiliation.
02:34:56.000And so this is where the Supreme Leader says, you can, we must obviously engage the United States in diplomacy.
02:35:04.000It's sort of like a direct back channel, meeting in the same place in person, but the back channel is literally a courier moving from one room to the other through a hallway.
02:35:14.000But they will not actually meet directly with the United States because of the U.S. posture towards Iran.
02:35:21.000So, when it's very important you understand these things, when the press says and they're conveying on behalf of Iran what Iran says, when Iran says and the press relays this, that we are not speaking directly with the United States, that's a weasel word.
02:35:37.000They are speaking with the United States.
02:35:40.000And as to who reached out to who first, it probably is a mixture of both or maybe doesn't even matter.
02:35:48.000But it's certainly true that Iran is engaging the United States in diplomacy, they're just doing it indirectly through mediators.
02:35:55.000And so, Iran can deny it and say, well, we never, we didn't initiate it or we're not directly talking to them.
02:36:03.000They're certainly talking to the United States.
02:36:04.000They've been talking to the United States the whole time.
02:36:07.000So, there's some truth and there's some dishonesty in both statements.
02:36:12.000When Trump says they're begging us to stop, I don't really think that's true.
02:36:16.000But when Iran says we're not talking to the United States, that's also not true.
02:36:21.000Anyway, the article goes on it says Mr. Trump warned last week that he might dramatically escalate his attacks on Iran.
02:36:28.000He threatened to hit major infrastructure targets like bridges and power plants, along with an underground facility known as Pickaxe Mountain.
02:36:36.000He decided against that approach over the weekend after warnings from senior officials that the United States was running low on anti missile interceptors and other critical munitions.
02:36:45.000Mr. Trump denied on Monday that the United States military was running low on such weapons.
02:36:50.000He said, We have a lot of ammunition, while perhaps hinting at a more complicated truth, adding, I'd like to have more to be honest, but so much was given to Ukraine.
02:37:02.000So, Let's just first talk about where we are in the conflict.
02:37:28.000The United States, understanding that Iran is never going to stop their quest for a nuclear bomb, is never going to stop developing.
02:37:37.000Their conventional deterrent capabilities, like their proxy network and their missile arsenal.
02:37:44.000The United States determined earlier in the year, with the input of Israel and on the advice of Israel, that the only way to stop Iran is a decisive confrontation.
02:37:56.000We have to topple the regime and install a new regime.
02:37:59.000In other words, we're never going to stop the supreme leader from wanting and pursuing a bomb, wanting and pursuing a stockpile of thousands of missiles and millions of drones.
02:38:11.000Trying to create this network of proxies in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Bahrain, Yemen.
02:38:18.000So, the administration said, we simply just have to get rid of the regime.
02:38:21.000If they're all dead, they can't pursue these things.
02:38:24.000And on the Council of Israel and against the Council of his own Pentagon, he thought that we could go in like we did in Venezuela with fire and fury, shock and awe.
02:38:34.000We'll hit the regime really hard, kill the supreme leader, attack their command, control, communications.
02:40:03.000They actually gain something from our all out attack, regime change war, offensive on their government.
02:40:11.000And that's a strategic defeat in theory because it erodes U.S. deterrent force.
02:40:17.000You know, the threat of the United States intervening and influencing your country is diminished.
02:40:21.000But it's also a very practical defeat because we lose control over the waterway.
02:40:26.000And that sets a precedent for other waterways in the world as well.
02:40:31.000So, we're stuck where we have to escalate enough that we can create leverage to get Iran to surrender control over the strait so that we can leave.
02:40:42.000And this is the cycle that we've been stuck in ever since using diplomatic means and military means to really try to maneuver and finesse and wiggle our way out of this one.
02:40:55.000Can we bribe Iran to give up the strait with commitments that we will help them prosper economically?
02:41:03.000And so, what you would say is we're bribing them by unfreezing their assets, by promising this $300 billion reconstruction fund, by promising to eventually lift the sanctions regime for their nuclear weapons, and ending our blockade over the strait on our side in the Arabian Sea.
02:41:23.000We're also trying to increase pressure on them militarily by bombing them, trying to take away some of their capabilities to close the strait, bombing missile and drone platforms, assassinating the leadership, attacking some of these strategic islands in the Strait of Hormuz.
02:41:37.000Like Greater and Lesser Tongue, as well as Kesham Island, among others.
02:41:45.000Using diplomacy, variously, when diplomacy is frustrated or exhausted, using military means.
02:41:52.000When military means are exhausted, going back to diplomatic means, we're trying to increase our leverage to get Iran to give us back the straight so that we can leave the region, having recognized we failed to achieve our objectives.
02:43:33.000The United States, because we're unwilling to give it over, eventually retaliated against Iran for continuing the closure of the strait, the controlled opening or controlled closing of the strait, attacking Iran's southwestern coast, which led to the collapse of the MOU.
02:43:51.000But then we found ourselves in the same problem on the other side.
02:43:55.000After the MOU collapsed, we bombed Iran for 14 days.
02:44:46.000And so, this explains the cycle exhausting diplomacy.
02:44:51.000We're not going to bribe our way out of it.
02:44:53.000And then reverting to military, only to realize we're not going to bomb our way out of it, going back to diplomacy.
02:45:00.000So you can predict how these things are happening when you consider what's fundamentally at stake, which is the straight.
02:45:08.000You realize that we're never going to bomb them into giving it up.
02:45:12.000That's why that contained low level bombing campaign from April until June was never going to work.
02:45:18.000You also realize the MOU was never going to hold because Iran is never going to agree to give it up.
02:45:23.000We're not going to agree to let them have it.
02:45:26.000So, you knew war was coming back, but like we talked about last week, what we're doing is not going to meaningfully change the situation on the ground.
02:45:35.000So, you knew it was only a matter of time before we went in one direction or the other.
02:45:40.000Either we have to escalate the attacks or we have to de escalate and try diplomacy again, which is where we are.
02:45:46.000So, we're in this cycle, like we've talked about.
02:45:50.000And I say it jokingly, but this is just as a matter of fact how it happens.
02:45:54.000Trump will give the ultimatum, the maximalist threat.
02:45:57.000This is what's been happening for the past two weeks.
02:46:00.000Two weeks ago, the MOU formally collapsed, and Trump said it's just going to get much worse for them.
02:47:49.000That increasingly the United States is having to pick and choose where and when we shoot down Iranian drones and ballistic missiles because we have to now economize on the systems and the munitions that intercept those projectiles.
02:48:05.000And so, the reason, for example, that you're seeing more U.S. casualties, a lot of injured, and about a half dozen more dead is because Iranian drones and missiles are breaking through.
02:48:19.000They are, in some cases, killing people, wounding people.
02:48:22.000Damaging military infrastructure, civilian infrastructure.
02:48:26.000Iran is claiming that they've destroyed a significant amount of U.S. aircraft.
02:48:30.000They're claiming credit for strikes on civilian infrastructure in the Gulf countries.
02:48:36.000And so I imagine there's some truth to this that the United States, having to economize, has to actually now allow some drones and missiles to impact because they're running low.
02:48:48.000Other sources have disputed this and they're saying that's not true.
02:49:06.000There's not a lot of clarity, but I'm sure that this is true.
02:49:09.000There have been various estimates that we burned through half or two thirds of our stockpile of Patriot missile batteries that we might use to intercept those drones and missiles.
02:49:24.000What we are doing to Iran is not actually having a real impact.
02:49:29.000We hit 13,000 targets in the first five to six weeks of the fighting.
02:49:33.000We hit another 1,000 targets in the past two weeks.
02:49:36.000And in spite of all these attacks, Iran still has so many anti ship missiles, drones, other projectiles that they are attacking multiple ships in the strait every day.
02:49:50.000It's not meaningfully making a difference.
02:49:52.000The reason it is costly then for us to carry out these attacks anyway.
02:49:58.000Because you might say, well, why not just engage in this low level conflict indefinitely?
02:50:34.000So, it's a form of attrition, it's economics in the military domain.
02:50:39.000So, if for two weeks we bomb them a thousand times and we're not doing damage, but conversely, we're running out of interceptors and Iranian drones and missiles are killing people again, that Russian targeting data and advances in the terminal phase of Iran's missiles are making them harder to intercept,
02:50:56.000and we're running out of interceptors, causing service members to die, Saudi refineries to get destroyed, and U.S. bases to get bombed, and planes are being destroyed on the runways, then this is costly for us to bomb Iran.
02:51:14.000We have more exquisite systems, exquisite weapon systems, but it's hurting us more than it's hurting them.
02:51:22.000So, this is a big reason why we stopped.
02:51:24.000Another reason why we stopped, I believe, is because increasingly, as we escalate the fighting, even in a calibrated way to target Iranian civilian infrastructure, the same logic governs this qualitative escalation, too.
02:51:40.000So, in the same way that we're bombing Iran, it's not having much impact.
02:51:44.000They're bombing us, it's increasingly having a very big impact.
02:51:49.000In exactly the same way, we can bomb Iranian railway bridges and we can bomb Iranian ports and power plants.
02:52:57.000The Iranians tried to establish an air bridge with Sana'a a couple of weeks ago.
02:53:03.000And Saudi Arabia and the United States believe that the intention behind this why was an Iranian plane trying to land in Yemen?
02:53:10.000It's because they are preparing the Houthis for a protracted blockade of the Red Sea on the other side of the Arabian Peninsula.
02:53:19.000And the idea is that Iran will close the Strait of Hormuz.
02:53:22.000The Houthis will close the Bab el Mandeb Strait in the Red Sea.
02:53:27.000And this is going to put even more economic pressure on energy and the Gulf countries in particular, but also global shipping in general.
02:53:35.000And it's going to increase inflation, specifically in the United States.
02:53:40.000And so, what has started the past couple of weeks is now Saudi Arabia is in a three front war.
02:53:46.000They're fighting Iran, they're fighting the Iranian backed Shiite militias in Iraq to their north.
02:53:53.000And now they're also fighting the Houthi rebels in Yemen in the south.
02:53:57.000Their oil cannot get out of the Strait of Hormuz from the Gulf because Iran has shut down the Strait.
02:54:03.000And even though they've been pushing a lot of the oil west through their east west pipeline out the Red Sea, now the Houthi rebels are shutting that down with their blockade over the Red Sea, attacking Saudi shipping there.
02:54:16.000What happened this weekend, though, is that the Houthis are escalating the fighting as well.
02:54:20.000So Saudi Arabia is now in a three front war.
02:54:23.000They've been hit maybe 500 times by the popular mobilization forces in Iraq, they're getting hit by Iran.
02:54:30.000And now, this weekend, they're getting hit by the Houthis.
02:54:33.000We're not sure exactly who did it, but a Saudi refinery, the biggest in the world, was hit by a rocket this weekend.
02:54:41.000It processes 7 million barrels of oil per day, as well as the port that exports the oil in the Red Sea was also targeted.
02:54:50.000And again, we're not sure by who, whether it was Iraq or whether it was from Yemen.
02:54:54.000But these critical pieces of Saudi Aramco infrastructure came under attack.
02:54:59.000And this is a story from the New York Times.
02:55:01.000It says, quote, Saudi Arabia said it had intercepted a number of drones that pro Iran militias in Iraq launched at the kingdom's oil facilities.
02:55:10.000Iraqi militias have not claimed responsibility for the attacks.
02:55:15.000And another pro Iran militant group, Yemen's Houthis, said it had attacked Saudi oil facilities, making it unclear who was responsible for the strikes.
02:55:24.000Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al Zaidi ordered security authorities to investigate and said his country wouldn't allow its territory to be used as a corridor or launch pad for any attack against friendly countries.
02:55:36.000Pro Tehran Iraqi militias have conducted repeated drone attacks against Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states since February.
02:55:44.000The militias operate independently of the Iraqi government and are often at odds with the central authorities.
02:55:50.000A Saudi assessment concluded that up to half of the nearly 1,000 drone attacks on the kingdom have come from inside Iraq.
02:55:57.000They included strikes on a Saudi refinery in the Yanbu oil hub on the Red Sea and on oil fields in the kingdom's eastern province where Monday's attacks took place.
02:56:09.000Saudi Arabia has retaliated by carrying out strikes on Iran backed militias in Iraq.
02:56:14.000One Gulf official said the attack on Monday caused minor damage to an oil processing and stabilization facility, the world's largest.
02:56:22.000So perhaps this is part of the reason that Trump called off the strike when he did.
02:56:29.000It's because not only are they potentially running out of interceptors and the casualty count is higher than the Pentagon is reporting to the press, but also because as the energy war, Intensifies as we increasingly begin to target civilian infrastructure in Iran, this really becomes catastrophic for our Gulf allies.
02:56:51.000And if you have Houthi rockets and rockets from Iraq and missiles from Iran, and they're all raining down on Saudi's eastern province, and they're attacking the port at the Red Sea, and they're attacking Bahrain and Kuwait and the Emirates and radar in Jordan, then this is a nightmare scenario for the Gulf.
02:57:11.000And what's more, not only does that hurt America economically because This is a significant source of oil for the entire world, but also it might tend to push Saudi Arabia and the other Gulf allies out of the conflict.
02:57:26.000And we've already started to see this that some of the Gulf countries are folding under the pressure from Iran.
02:57:33.000As Iran targets Saudi Arabia, as they target Qatar, the leadership in these countries are looking to absolve themselves of liability for the conflict.
02:57:43.000It was said, for example, that Qatar made a backdoor deal with Iran.
02:57:47.000That Qatar would stop producing as much liquefied natural gas to put pressure on the United States.
02:57:55.000And in exchange, Iran would not attack their LNG infrastructure.
02:58:00.000In other words, Qatar agreed to put short term pressure on the United States so that Iran would not inflict long term damage on its energy infrastructure.
02:58:11.000Similarly, Saudi Arabia has been reluctant to allow the United States to use its bases or its airspace to launch attacks on Iran because they fear retaliation.
02:58:23.000They don't want another war with the Houthis, they don't want attacks from Iraq and from Iran.
02:58:28.000Increasingly, Mohammed bin Salman, the leader of Saudi Arabia, is acting as a stabilizing status quo force in the region.
02:58:36.000And so the last thing he wants is irreversible damage to his infrastructure, reigniting his involvement in the civil war in Yemen.
02:58:46.000And so this might be another reason why Trump called off the attacks at the moment that he did.
02:59:07.000Now, we can predict the future in exactly the same way that we've predicted events up until this point.
02:59:14.000It all rests on one question, which is under what conditions will the Strait of Hormuz open?
02:59:21.000Consider that what we have done this weekend is we have effectively made the same deal unofficially that we did in April and that we did in the MOU.
02:59:31.000And what I mean by that is in April, April 8th, when Trump announced a ceasefire with Iran, the terms were we will stop bombing you in exchange, you have to open up the strait.
03:00:11.000Same thing happened with the MOU in the middle of June.
03:00:15.000The terms of the MOU were basically the same open up the strait, and we will give you a short term ceasefire on all fronts, over the Persian Gulf, in Lebanon, et cetera.
03:00:28.000We stopped bombing Iran, but Iran never fully implemented the opening of the strait.
03:00:33.000And to the extent that they did allow traffic through the strait, they did it under their control.
03:00:40.000Iran stipulated that the only way the strait would open is under the supervision and control of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, and that all shipping would have to get permission and eventually pay a fee.
03:01:21.000This is an unofficial, informal truce.
03:01:26.000To the extent that we're going to formalize this with a 10 day truce mediated by Qatar and Pakistan, to the extent that we're going to get them to participate in the MOU again, what is that going to look like?
03:01:39.000We will be telling them we're not going to escalate.
03:01:44.000But our expectation will be that they open the strait for freedom of navigation, meaning the strait is open, not under Iran's control, not with their permission, not with their sole and exclusive right to charge a fee, but it's the pre war status quo.
03:02:01.000Iran will insist in the opposite direction.
03:02:04.000Iran has said, they said as recently as Friday, we're never going back to the pre war status quo.
03:02:13.000It is the same issue as it was four days into the conflict back in March, as it was in April with the original ceasefire, as it was in June with the MOU, as it is now.
03:02:24.000Iran is going to insist they control the Strait.
03:02:26.000We're going to insist that they open the Strait.
03:02:30.000And it's really a question for Washington Are we willing to walk away and cede control over the Strait?
03:02:37.000Because if we're willing to do that, that is a fundamental change.
03:03:27.000If, on the other hand, the administration is not willing to let Iran control the Strait, in which case our negotiating position has not changed, then you're not going to get another deal.
03:03:38.000Because Iran's position hasn't changed.
03:03:40.000They're still willing to stick it out, they're still able to shut down the Strait.
03:03:44.000And as far as we know, they still claim the Strait.
03:03:48.000So, you're not going to get any kind of stable truce.
03:03:52.000And if you can't get a stable truce, you're also not going to advance to a nuclear agreement.
03:03:57.000And so, what Iran is trying to do is they're trying to make it hurt as much as possible so that we leave without the straight.
03:04:06.000They're telling us, you have no more cards to play.
03:05:05.000If they don't have the strait, it doesn't really matter.
03:05:07.000If they don't have control over the strait, we could probably keep this going longer.
03:05:12.000I'm not going to say indefinitely, but it definitely gives us a longer time horizon for the fighting.
03:05:18.000We could keep it going at a low boil because the economic pressure isn't there.
03:05:22.000And so, what the United States would have to do.
03:05:25.000In order to take away this pain point, this leverage point from Iran, is that we would have to find a military solution to take control over the strait.
03:05:34.000Rather than bombing Iran's every anti ship missile and every drone and every other projectile, we would have to go in and take the islands.
03:05:44.000This is something that people have talked about.
03:05:49.000And it's not a full blown invasion, but it's not quite a raid either.
03:05:53.000It's a little bit more intense than even a raid.
03:05:55.000But it's the idea that the Marines, Are going to go in and they're going to take some of these strategic islands in the Strait, Great and Lesser Tongue, Kesham Island, Hormuz Island, Larocque Island, and we will take those islands, destroy all of the IRGC naval assets there, destroy all the mining equipment, destroy everything, turn those into U.S. bases, and then we will control the Strait.
03:06:22.000The reason the administration has not gone all the way in on this is because it's dubious whether the Gulf countries will help us.
03:06:30.000If we take the islands, that's the easy part.
03:06:33.000Hard part is going to be hanging on to them because surely, as soon as we take them, Iran is going to rain artillery fire, drones, missiles on our personnel there, and even their own infrastructure.
03:06:53.000But that is what an escalation might look like to take away that leverage point so that we could either continue the fighting indefinitely or extract concessions that we need from Iran.
03:08:00.000Otherwise, we're going to keep doing these ineffectual, contained, limited strikes on Iran that do nothing, that do not effectuate any meaningful change.
03:08:12.000And oscillating between that and this diplomacy, which is just wasting everybody's time.
03:08:18.000Maybe it's buying Iran a reprieve to build more drones and missiles.
03:08:23.000It's giving us a reprieve so that we can recalibrate our strategy or find alternative energy sources.
03:08:33.000But it's not actually going to resolve the problem.
03:08:36.000That is what still hangs in the balance.
03:08:39.000And I think that what happens is after the election, you just get more flexibility.
03:08:45.000I think the truth of the matter, and I think everybody in Tehran and in Jerusalem and in Washington knows, or Tel Aviv, whatever you prefer, the decision makers in all these countries know that the calculus changes after the midterms.
03:08:59.000Maybe Trump thinks that if he can get us past the midterms, keeping oil prices stable, then you unlock more options.
03:09:55.000Perhaps the thinking is if we can keep this going in a contained way for a few more months, if we can keep this pushing through November, we can go through the election without the bottom completely falling out, without oil skyrocketing.
03:10:12.000We'll keep it controlled between, let's say, $70, $100 a barrel.
03:10:17.000And then after the midterms, then we can take more risks risk more American casualties, risk a higher price for oil, risk an escalation, occupying islands or something like that.
03:10:31.000Escalating and de escalating, neither of them are really in the cards right now for the administration.
03:10:36.000It would be a strategic defeat and unacceptable to cede the Strait of Hormuz to Iran.
03:10:41.000It's also just politically not possible right now to escalate to victory and achieve any kind of strategic objective that would give us the leverage to extract the concessions we need from Iran.
03:10:53.000So that's where we are in the conflict.
03:10:55.000Now, like I said, the things to watch this week, we said last week, let's watch this tit for tat.
03:11:01.000One ship, one bridge policy from the administration that went nowhere.
03:11:08.000Now, what we need to watch is whether there is a conversation between U.S. and Iranian negotiators through the mediators.
03:11:16.000But more importantly, Trump will meet with Netanyahu tomorrow for the eighth time in his second term so far.
03:11:24.000Trump meeting with Netanyahu tomorrow, and then the U.S. and the United Kingdom will hold a security conference later in the week to discuss a coalition to open up the Strait of Hormuz.
03:11:35.000And as I said at the top of the show, pending the outcome of those meetings, we'll get some more clarity.
03:11:40.000I assume that Netanyahu is going to pressure Trump to escalate the fighting.
03:11:46.000And I imagine that maybe there's more willingness on the part of the United Kingdom and the Europeans to intervene against Iran because they see that policing the Strait of Hormuz is in everybody's best interest from a security point of view.
03:12:01.000And so I imagine that both of those meetings will increase the willingness of the administration to escalate.
03:12:06.000Maybe something will happen this weekend.
03:12:51.000Honestly, it's not the biggest news story in the world, but there's nothing really going on.
03:12:57.000Our final story of the night we're going to talk a little bit about this Elon Musk interview, and there's not, I don't think, a whole lot to say about it.
03:13:44.000Elon Musk has really avoided the spotlight, I think, since last spring after Doge utterly collapsed and people were blowing up Teslas and Tesla dealerships.
03:13:54.000So it's been a minute since we've seen a whole lot from Elon Musk, but he did this interview.
03:13:59.000And most of the interview was about AI and about technology in the future and so on.
03:14:05.000And he was asked about his support for the far right in Europe and about some of his rhetoric about immigration and some of these issues, specifically in the United Kingdom.
03:14:15.000And the interviewer, Economist is a British publication.
03:15:40.000And this is a story from the New York Post.
03:15:42.000It says, Elon Musk fired back at The Economist editor in chief, Zannie Minton Beddoes, during an interview after she said people loathed him over his efforts to influence European politics.
03:15:54.000Musk said, I think a lot more people hate you in the media more than you realize.
03:15:59.000She confronted the Tesla CEO after challenging his support for right wing European political parties and arguing that his wealth, ownership of X, and following on the platform gave him unusual power to shape politics abroad.
03:16:13.000She said, Why should you be able to shape European politics?
03:16:18.000She said, Do you see why this makes people think that this man who has all this power, he's the world's richest man, he thinks he has a right to influence our politics?
03:16:29.000I mean, some people loathe you, she says.
03:16:33.000Musk dismissed the criticism by pointing to his roughly 250 million followers on X as evidence that he has had more supporters than detractors.
03:16:41.000He blasted her, claiming a lot more people hate you and the media than you realize.
03:16:47.000He said, maybe some people do loathe me, and that's probably true.
03:17:00.000Do you realize journalists, the view of journalists is like 15% favorability?
03:17:07.000Baddows acknowledged that trust in American journalism was low, but argued that polarization on social media contributed to the problem.
03:17:14.000She said, I think in part there have been mistakes by journalists and journalism, but I also think that the kind of polarized environment on social media, fostered by the things you are pushing on X, makes it worse.
03:17:33.000The exchange followed a lengthy disagreement about Musk's warnings that Britain could face civil war and his backing of far right European parties.
03:17:41.000Musk rejected the label and framed his positions around border security, public safety, and government spending.
03:17:47.000He said, I literally said, look, I believe in safe cities, secure borders, and sensible spending with respect to government.
03:17:53.000That doesn't make me right wing at all in the least.
03:17:57.000So I saw this exchange, and I said this a few weeks ago.
03:18:11.000He supports legal immigration into the country.
03:18:14.000Apparently, he talks to Netanyahu all the time, which is not good.
03:18:17.000Nikita Beer runs X, which is a really bad idea.
03:18:22.000I said, but when you get out there in the real world and you're seeing this more and more, and you actually meet these left wing people, not just the People in the media and the people in the DSA in Hollywood, but even just your average leftist.
03:18:39.000And they exist everywhere in the Midwest, in the South, in the big cities.
03:19:21.000There are some people that are telling us now that the left and right is not real, it's a fake divide.
03:19:28.000The left and right was created by the billionaire class to get us to fight each other.
03:19:34.000Well, be that as it may, the left is still our enemy.
03:19:39.000Whether the billionaires created them or what their intention is, these people are crazy.
03:19:46.000They're in Madison, Wisconsin, right now, burning down the city, sacking bars and stores and restaurants, taking control over multiple city blocks because the police shot somebody who had 42 prior convictions, who was armed with a knife.
03:20:05.000And these people are out there with bullhorns screaming in people's faces about Black Lives Matter.
03:20:10.000These are people that went to Minneapolis, beating up ICE agents, kicking their cars, trying to intervene and stop arrests because we were going after Somali scammers that were looting the public coffers of billions of dollars and siphoning it to Somalia or to scams in the city in Minneapolis.
03:21:38.000They shouldn't launch missiles at Greta Thunberg from Europe.
03:21:44.000Maybe we have more in common than we don't.
03:21:47.000And then you started to see this slate of DSA candidates getting elected.
03:21:53.000Then you saw Zoran Mandani's people get elected in New York, and their platform is literally, Queer liberation, abortion on demand, abolish and prosecute ICE, abolish prisons, abolish the police, BLM, legalize all illegal aliens, government run grocery stores with prices pegged at 30% below market level, and rent control, and free healthcare, and free housing, and free this,
03:22:40.000The left is going to become the governor, and the left is going to become the president, and the left are going to have all the judges, and they're going to run Congress.
03:22:48.000And you know what they're going to do?
03:22:49.000They're going to take all the money from white people, and they're going to give it all to non white people.
03:22:54.000They're going to legalize all the illegals.
03:23:25.000Well, when your city and your mid sized town and your suburb and even a rural town somewhere else, When you got black people driving out there to loot all the businesses and you can't shoot back, the police won't chase them or arrest them.
03:23:42.000When the government's bankrupt, when the country's overrun by illegal aliens, you know, you go and say, oh, well, the good news is they're against Israel or something.
03:23:51.000Well, the good news is, you know, they're against whatever.
03:23:57.000And here's my problem with what Elon Musk said and even what he does he needs to recognize, and maybe he does on some level, and this is tactical.
03:24:37.000And I'm sure this is true of all the mainstream media, and it's true of all the major universities, and it's true of the entire Democrat machine, and it's true of all the far left.
03:24:47.000And why do you think they hate Elon Musk?
03:24:50.000They don't hate Elon Musk because of Israel.
03:26:03.000You may not like Trump and you may not like Elon, and I've got my criticisms of them also.
03:26:09.000They hate Trump and Elon because they represent white excellence, they represent patriarchy, they represent success, they represent industry.
03:26:20.000Trump is a real estate developer, he's a businessman.
03:26:23.000Elon Musk is an engineer, he is a titan of industry.
03:26:40.000And what's more, more than that, not only are they titans of industry, not only are they builders, not only are they big, tall, white guys.
03:26:49.000The thing that the left hates most about them is they have no white guilt.
03:27:52.000But Trump and Elon both have an awareness and a consciousness that our civilization exists.
03:27:58.000We have a civilization, it's distinct, it's unique, it's worth preserving.
03:28:04.000They're proud of it and they want to fight for it, they want to build walls around it.
03:28:09.000To distinguish it from the outside world, to give a definition, to protect it, to protect it and what's inside from the people on the outside that would destroy it.
03:28:20.000They want to take the people that don't belong, that don't appreciate it, and remove them through remigration or mass deportations.
03:28:27.000This is why the left, this is why the affluent white female liberal head of The Economist hates Elon.
03:32:06.000And if the Somalians get tired of the mess they created in Minneapolis, they could go to Somalia.
03:32:11.000And if the Venezuelans get tired of the mess they created here, they could always go home to Venezuela.
03:32:16.000And same for the Indians, and same for the Chinese, and same for the Filipinos, and same for the Mexicans, and same for every group that comes here.
03:32:23.000But for the white people, where are we going to go?
03:32:25.000Because the same thing is happening to the UK, and the same thing is happening to Germany, and the same thing is happening to France, and Italy, and Spain, and Portugal, and the Netherlands, and Belgium, all the countries, Ireland, it's happening to all of them.
03:32:40.000So either they win and they wreck everything, or we win.
03:33:16.000When you say, I just want borders and safety, and I just want government efficacy, and I just want fiscal responsibility, yeah, that's normal for us.
03:33:33.000What is normal here in the West is exceptional, it is unique, it is remarkable, it is worth preserving because it is so abnormal everywhere else.
03:33:45.000Everywhere else you go, That's why no one wants to live anywhere else.
03:33:49.000That's why white people are not pouring into Africa.
03:33:54.000That's why white people are not pouring into Latin America.
03:33:57.000Hispanics are pouring into the United States.
03:34:00.000That's why white people are not pouring into India.
03:34:03.000Indians are pouring into our countries.
03:34:06.000So when Elon says, Hey, I'm not far right, I'm not a far right ethno nationalist, I'm just normal, that makes you a far right ethno nationalist.
03:34:16.000If you want to keep normal, if you want to preserve normalcy as we understand it, Where we have electric cars and rocket ships and satellites and progress and science fiction and technological development and productivity, then we're going to have to re migrate all these people and they're not going to want to go.
03:34:36.000And they're going to call you a racist Nazi, kicking and screaming all the way.
03:34:40.000And we have to be willing to take that.
03:34:54.000And I recognize he's in a difficult position, but have you ever considered if those questions that she asked him were asked to the left wing billionaires?
03:35:04.000Does George Soros ever get asked, Don't you think you have too much power?
03:35:09.000Don't you think you're abusing your influence to remake society in your image for open borders?
03:36:10.000You look at the direction the Democrats are going in with the DSA and all that kind of stuff, and the right is just not where it needs to be.
03:36:17.000They're talking about the America Party.
03:36:19.000It's about cutting the deficit and stuff.
03:36:21.000It's like, it's not about cutting the deficit.
03:36:23.000It's about we need to disable the left.
03:36:26.000We need to throw their activists in jail.
03:36:28.000We need to deport their future voter base.
03:36:31.000We need to go after the institutions that are a locus for their power.
03:36:37.000But it's just that willingness is not there.
03:38:09.000There's some very fine people to work at 7 Eleven, but it's like, niggas will have like no motion, no money, no bitches, no nothing, and they're like, actually, Hitler.
03:38:32.000You fucking loser nerds are more preoccupied debating about what the real national socialist doctrine is, but you couldn't explain to me what effective altruism is.
03:43:07.000This guy, we have not seen him tested.
03:43:10.000So I don't know why we would just like trust him, like, hey, hey, Vance, you know, are you going to save us or are you going to like buy us a foam finger and a hot dog when he takes me to the ball game?
03:44:42.000And so it's easy to tell yourself, I believe in these people when you're asking them for money or when you're at dinner with these people or whatever.
03:44:50.000Like I've dealt with these people my whole life and they're unremarkable.
03:44:57.000All these people that you deal with in politics, I don't care about their position.
03:45:02.000Most of them are the most unremarkable people you've ever met.
03:52:48.000Half so true what you said Friday about podcastslash media using the disaffected, angry young men line every time they interact with you or talk about your influence.
03:52:54.000I think this is intentional to diminish you, your arguments, and followers.
03:52:57.000It implies your arguments are irrational and based on emotions.
03:53:01.000Two halves, and that's why they appeal to the disaffected, angry young men.
03:53:04.000Then they address the imaginary emotional arguments they want people to believe you've made instead of your rational, factually accurate arguments that you actually did make and that resonate with people because they're true.
03:53:49.000His anger is the expression of the oppressed or something.
03:53:55.000And they want to say, well, maybe if this guy just had some friends or if this guy had some bitches or if this guy had a job, maybe he would cease his war against diversity and the oligarchy or whatever.
03:54:20.000They say, why is it that this guy, who is by all accounts articulate, intelligent, persuasive, likable, funny, popular, resonant, how can all of these attributes characterize somebody who we believe is ontologically evil?
03:54:37.000He's a wicked, evil person who believes wicked, evil things.
03:56:00.000I was at dinner last night, and this black guy comes walking in with tattoos all over on his face, on his arms, and he comes and goes, Hey man, appreciate what you're doing, shakes my hand.
03:56:53.000It's an injustice when predators and opportunists steal and kill and wreck people's fucking lives.
03:57:01.000It's, you know, crime is something that is so bad for society.
03:57:05.000It's really, I think, understated because, you know, if you've never been a victim of crime, you don't understand how traumatizing it can be.
03:57:13.000Somebody gets their car stolen, that's really bad.
03:57:16.000Somebody gets their ass kicked, that can ruin a person's life for five or 10 years.
03:57:21.000It's very bad, not to mention the knock on effects economically and otherwise.
03:57:27.000And so it's like, do we have to be a little bit brutal to get crime under control?
03:59:24.000The rudeness, the inconsideration, the lack of decorum, the lack of respect for everyone, for everything, it's so wrong.
03:59:33.000And it's all these other, it's these sweetie pies that just want our country to be a free for all because they don't want to make anybody upset.
03:59:43.000And so people just cannot fathom that somebody would be.
03:59:47.000Loving and caring and likable and funny, and you know, someone who's fundamentally empathetic but also wants order to be restored.
04:01:06.000These young men, we just need to pay lip service that we're going to listen to them and then, you know, they're going to become good communists.
04:01:15.000They're going to become good little communists.
04:04:34.000First time chatter, post Kirk fan, you are truly phenomenal.
04:04:37.000Any opinions on the role of engineers in AF?
04:04:39.000I'm a recently graduated microelectronics engineer with a DS clearance looking for ideas, and nothing seems relevant other than becoming owner/slash CEO of a defense contractor or becoming very rich.
04:08:01.000Should have known, should have clocked that.
04:08:05.000Cartman pajama pants in the wash, by the way.
04:08:07.000What if we said, actually, you know, the problem is you people don't think in terms of reality, like causes and effects, and you're not looking at the board.
04:08:22.000You're thinking in terms of, like, how are we going to make arguments?
04:08:26.000And that's just not how change happens.
04:12:08.000Now, all the right wing women are Candace Owens fans, and they're all just like, everything is fake and gay, and they've turned all the women insane.
04:13:40.000It's like you talk to some, like, you talk to some boomer over the age of 56, and they go, I get all my news from some nitwit in Florida, like some podcaster in the villages.
04:13:54.000And then you tune in, and it's some patriot-tarted, like, Boomer whose brain was fried from the sun because they live in Florida their whole life.
04:19:19.000It was like going into the salty spittoon.
04:19:23.000It's like I opened the door, walked through, and Everybody looked up and looked at the door, and they all were Jews, all tiny hats, all visibly Jewish people.
04:19:34.000And I was like, hey, hey guys, can I get some help?
04:24:22.000I mean, don't get me wrong, it's nice.
04:24:24.000It feels good to be known and notorious and famous and recognized.
04:24:29.000But the more famous I've gotten, the more uncomfortable it becomes because you're just being watched all the time and you can never relax.
04:24:38.000Even if it's friendly, you just, anywhere you go, you just anticipate you're going to get recognized.
04:24:45.000And, In positive or negative, you're just going to have to deal with that.
04:24:50.000Negative, it's going to be somebody maybe killing you, attacking you, ruining your day by being really belligerent or obnoxious.
04:25:00.000Even if it's friendly, I mean, sometimes when it's friendly, it's fine or it's pleasant enough.
04:25:05.000But other times when it's friendly, it's just like, you know, some days you don't want to talk to somebody.
04:25:12.000And so it's like people coming up and talking your ear off or, you know, want to get a picture you don't really feel like it or don't look good.
04:29:02.000And I know this because like, When life changing things happen to you that other people have not gone through, they cannot possibly comprehend it.
04:31:57.000What's your take on Ukraine destroying an Iranian ship in the Caspian Sea, retaking a village using only drones without any infantry, and Iran threatening to strike Ukraine directly in retaliation?
04:34:26.000If your dad is rich and powerful, a lot of the kids struggle with that, you know, living in the shadow of that or that life or the expectations.
04:34:33.000I'm not going to pretend to psychologize him, but it's common.
04:34:39.000You know, but let's give credit where it's due.
04:35:06.000I mean, listen, Hunter Biden to me is like a very typical liberal, like a lot of liberal politics, right?
04:35:14.000But unlike most liberals who would never engage and would be hostile or maybe even militaristic or combative, you know, he was willing to have a civil conversation.
04:37:26.000I'm here to be a very noble, a very noble loser.
04:37:32.000I want to be somebody who loses every battle, has no influence over anything, no power to make the world the way I want it to be, protect the things and people I love.
04:37:44.000No, I want to lose every battle, lose endlessly, but all along the way, never, never compromise, never, never do anything pragmatic, never show flexibility.
04:39:38.000It costs you nothing, it requires no responsibility to just, and it's easy to just do whatever you feel like doing and only do the things that you agree with and then lose.
04:41:56.000But if you're able to have a business that runs the AI locally, then you legitimately could have people building biological weapons in their garage, which is not good.
04:42:19.000Will all of this BS actually matter, though?
04:42:20.000If we all die one day, why even waste your time talking, preaching what you think is true when Dum Dum to your left is preaching what he thinks is true?
04:43:17.000I saw a wedding on Instagram Reels this weekend where.
04:43:22.000All these stupid bitches are playing that song, you know, Where the Hell Is My Husband for their wedding entrance.
04:43:29.000And they're all doing this thing where they have like a sheet over the door so that you could see the shadow, you could see the silhouette of the groom and the bride.
04:43:40.000And so there's a TikTok where they're shining a light over a sheet.
04:43:43.000You could see her silhouette on the sheet.
04:47:51.000As always, thank you to our top super chatters.
04:47:53.000Huge thank you to Diversity Stole My Bike, KJC, Big Beninky Bones, Lily, Titty Sprinkles, Chinggis Bingus, Surfer Groyper, Loyalist Groyper, Big Marsic Tide, Ice.